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Opinion polling for the next German federal election

Updated: 12/16/2025, 8:56:02 PM Wikipedia source

In the run-up to the next German federal election following the 23 February 2025 election, which needs to take place before 26 March 2029, various organisations have carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions. Results of such polls are displayed below.

Tables

· Poll results › 2025
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
12–15 Dec 2025
Samplesize
2,006
Abs.
–
Union
25
AfD
26
SPD
14
Grüne
10.5
Linke
10.5
BSW
4.5
FDP
4
Others
5.5
Lead
1
Forsa
Forsa
Polling firm
Forsa
Fieldwork date
9–15 Dec 2025
Samplesize
2,503
Abs.
28
Union
24
AfD
26
SPD
13
Grüne
13
Linke
11
BSW
3
FDP
3
Others
7
Lead
2
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
8–12 Dec 2025
Samplesize
1,201
Abs.
–
Union
24
AfD
26
SPD
14
Grüne
11
Linke
11
BSW
4
FDP
4
Others
6
Lead
2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
Polling firm
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
Fieldwork date
9–11 Dec 2025
Samplesize
1,295
Abs.
–
Union
26
AfD
25
SPD
14
Grüne
12
Linke
11
BSW
–
FDP
–
Others
12
Lead
1
Verian
Verian
Polling firm
Verian
Fieldwork date
3–9 Dec 2025
Samplesize
1,443
Abs.
–
Union
25
AfD
25
SPD
14
Grüne
12
Linke
11
BSW
4
FDP
3
Others
6
Lead
Tie
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
5–8 Dec 2025
Samplesize
2,007
Abs.
–
Union
24.5
AfD
26.5
SPD
15
Grüne
10.5
Linke
11
BSW
4
FDP
4
Others
4.5
Lead
2
Forsa
Forsa
Polling firm
Forsa
Fieldwork date
2–8 Dec 2025
Samplesize
2,503
Abs.
26
Union
24
AfD
26
SPD
14
Grüne
12
Linke
11
BSW
3
FDP
3
Others
7
Lead
2
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
1–5 Dec 2025
Samplesize
1,206
Abs.
–
Union
25
AfD
26
SPD
15
Grüne
10
Linke
11
BSW
4
FDP
4
Others
5
Lead
1
Allensbach
Allensbach
Polling firm
Allensbach
Fieldwork date
22 Nov – 4 Dec 2025
Samplesize
1,029
Abs.
–
Union
27
AfD
25
SPD
14
Grüne
12.5
Linke
9
BSW
3
FDP
4.5
Others
5
Lead
2
Infratest dimap
Infratest dimap
Polling firm
Infratest dimap
Fieldwork date
1–3 Dec 2025
Samplesize
1,306
Abs.
–
Union
27
AfD
25
SPD
14
Grüne
12
Linke
10
BSW
4
FDP
3
Others
5
Lead
2
pollytix
pollytix
Polling firm
pollytix
Fieldwork date
26 Nov – 2 Dec 2025
Samplesize
3,020
Abs.
–
Union
26
AfD
26
SPD
15
Grüne
11
Linke
10
BSW
4
FDP
4
Others
4
Lead
Tie
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
28 Nov – 1 Dec 2025
Samplesize
2,002
Abs.
–
Union
24.5
AfD
27
SPD
14.5
Grüne
11
Linke
10.5
BSW
4
FDP
3.5
Others
5
Lead
2.5
Forsa
Forsa
Polling firm
Forsa
Fieldwork date
25 Nov – 1 Dec 2025
Samplesize
2,501
Abs.
26
Union
25
AfD
26
SPD
14
Grüne
12
Linke
11
BSW
3
FDP
3
Others
6
Lead
1
Ipsos
Ipsos
Polling firm
Ipsos
Fieldwork date
28–30 Nov 2025
Samplesize
1,000
Abs.
–
Union
23
AfD
26
SPD
15
Grüne
13
Linke
10
BSW
4
FDP
4
Others
5
Lead
3
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
24–28 Nov 2025
Samplesize
1,198
Abs.
–
Union
25
AfD
27
SPD
15
Grüne
11
Linke
10
BSW
4
FDP
3
Others
5
Lead
2
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
21–24 Nov 2025
Samplesize
2,008
Abs.
–
Union
25.5
AfD
26
SPD
15
Grüne
11
Linke
10.5
BSW
4
FDP
3
Others
5
Lead
0.5
Forsa
Forsa
Polling firm
Forsa
Fieldwork date
18–24 Nov 2025
Samplesize
2,501
Abs.
26
Union
25
AfD
26
SPD
14
Grüne
12
Linke
11
BSW
3
FDP
3
Others
6
Lead
1
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
17–21 Nov 2025
Samplesize
1,208
Abs.
–
Union
25
AfD
26
SPD
15
Grüne
11
Linke
10
BSW
4
FDP
3
Others
6
Lead
1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
Polling firm
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
Fieldwork date
18–20 Nov 2025
Samplesize
1,207
Abs.
11
Union
27
AfD
27
SPD
14
Grüne
12
Linke
9
BSW
–
FDP
–
Others
11
Lead
Tie
YouGov
YouGov
Polling firm
YouGov
Fieldwork date
14–17 Nov 2025
Samplesize
2,006
Abs.
–
Union
27
AfD
25
SPD
14
Grüne
11
Linke
11
BSW
4
FDP
4
Others
5
Lead
2
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
14–17 Nov 2025
Samplesize
2,006
Abs.
–
Union
24.5
AfD
26
SPD
15
Grüne
11
Linke
11
BSW
4
FDP
3.5
Others
5
Lead
1.5
Forsa
Forsa
Polling firm
Forsa
Fieldwork date
11–17 Nov 2025
Samplesize
2,502
Abs.
25
Union
25
AfD
26
SPD
14
Grüne
12
Linke
11
BSW
–
FDP
3
Others
9
Lead
1
GMS
GMS
Polling firm
GMS
Fieldwork date
11–17 Nov 2025
Samplesize
1,020
Abs.
–
Union
25
AfD
26
SPD
14
Grüne
12
Linke
11
BSW
3
FDP
3
Others
6
Lead
1
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
10–14 Nov 2025
Samplesize
1,203
Abs.
–
Union
25
AfD
26
SPD
15
Grüne
11
Linke
11
BSW
4
FDP
3
Others
5
Lead
1
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
7–10 Nov 2025
Samplesize
2,010
Abs.
–
Union
25
AfD
26
SPD
15.5
Grüne
11.5
Linke
10.5
BSW
4
FDP
3
Others
4.5
Lead
1
Forsa
Forsa
Polling firm
Forsa
Fieldwork date
4–10 Nov 2025
Samplesize
2,503
Abs.
24
Union
24
AfD
26
SPD
14
Grüne
12
Linke
11
BSW
3
FDP
3
Others
7
Lead
2
Ipsos
Ipsos
Polling firm
Ipsos
Fieldwork date
7–9 Nov 2025
Samplesize
1,000
Abs.
–
Union
24
AfD
26
SPD
15
Grüne
12
Linke
11
BSW
4
FDP
4
Others
4
Lead
2
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
3–7 Nov 2025
Samplesize
1,205
Abs.
–
Union
25
AfD
26
SPD
15
Grüne
12
Linke
11
BSW
4
FDP
3
Others
4
Lead
1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
Polling firm
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
Fieldwork date
4–6 Nov 2025
Samplesize
1,322
Abs.
13
Union
26
AfD
26
SPD
14
Grüne
12
Linke
10
BSW
–
FDP
–
Others
12
Lead
Tie
Allensbach
Allensbach
Polling firm
Allensbach
Fieldwork date
23 Oct – 6 Nov 2025
Samplesize
1,011
Abs.
–
Union
27
AfD
24
SPD
15.5
Grüne
11
Linke
10
BSW
4
FDP
3.5
Others
5
Lead
3
Infratest dimap
Infratest dimap
Polling firm
Infratest dimap
Fieldwork date
3–5 Nov 2025
Samplesize
1,300
Abs.
–
Union
27
AfD
26
SPD
14
Grüne
12
Linke
10
BSW
3
FDP
3
Others
5
Lead
1
Verian
Verian
Polling firm
Verian
Fieldwork date
28 Oct – 4 Nov 2025
Samplesize
1,471
Abs.
–
Union
26
AfD
25
SPD
15
Grüne
12
Linke
10
BSW
3
FDP
3
Others
6
Lead
1
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
30 Oct – 3 Nov 2025
Samplesize
2,002
Abs.
–
Union
25.5
AfD
25.5
SPD
15
Grüne
11
Linke
11
BSW
4
FDP
3
Others
5
Lead
Tie
Forsa
Forsa
Polling firm
Forsa
Fieldwork date
28 Oct – 3 Nov 2025
Samplesize
2,500
Abs.
23
Union
24
AfD
26
SPD
14
Grüne
12
Linke
12
BSW
3
FDP
3
Others
6
Lead
2
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
27–30 Oct 2025
Samplesize
1,202
Abs.
–
Union
25
AfD
26
SPD
15
Grüne
11
Linke
11
BSW
4
FDP
3
Others
5
Lead
1
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
24–27 Oct 2025
Samplesize
2,004
Abs.
–
Union
24.5
AfD
26
SPD
15
Grüne
11
Linke
11.5
BSW
4
FDP
3.5
Others
4.5
Lead
1.5
Forsa
Forsa
Polling firm
Forsa
Fieldwork date
21–27 Oct 2025
Samplesize
2,502
Abs.
23
Union
25
AfD
26
SPD
13
Grüne
12
Linke
12
BSW
3
FDP
3
Others
6
Lead
1
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
20–24 Oct 2025
Samplesize
1,205
Abs.
–
Union
24
AfD
26
SPD
15
Grüne
11
Linke
11
BSW
4
FDP
4
Others
5
Lead
2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
Polling firm
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
Fieldwork date
21–23 Oct 2025
Samplesize
1,272
Abs.
12
Union
27
AfD
25
SPD
15
Grüne
11
Linke
10
BSW
–
FDP
–
Others
12
Lead
2
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
17–20 Oct 2025
Samplesize
2,006
Abs.
–
Union
24.5
AfD
27
SPD
14
Grüne
11
Linke
11
BSW
4.5
FDP
4
Others
4
Lead
2.5
Forsa
Forsa
Polling firm
Forsa
Fieldwork date
14–20 Oct 2025
Samplesize
2,505
Abs.
23
Union
24
AfD
26
SPD
14
Grüne
12
Linke
11
BSW
4
FDP
3
Others
6
Lead
2
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
13–17 Oct 2025
Samplesize
1,200
Abs.
–
Union
25
AfD
27
SPD
14
Grüne
11
Linke
11
BSW
4
FDP
4
Others
4
Lead
2
YouGov
YouGov
Polling firm
YouGov
Fieldwork date
10–13 Oct 2025
Samplesize
1,880
Abs.
–
Union
27
AfD
26
SPD
14
Grüne
11
Linke
10
BSW
4
FDP
3
Others
5
Lead
1
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
10–13 Oct 2025
Samplesize
2,008
Abs.
–
Union
25
AfD
26.5
SPD
14
Grüne
11.5
Linke
10.5
BSW
4
FDP
4
Others
4.5
Lead
1.5
Forsa
Forsa
Polling firm
Forsa
Fieldwork date
7–13 Oct 2025
Samplesize
2,500
Abs.
23
Union
24
AfD
26
SPD
13
Grüne
12
Linke
12
BSW
4
FDP
3
Others
6
Lead
2
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
6–10 Oct 2025
Samplesize
1,224
Abs.
–
Union
24
AfD
26
SPD
14
Grüne
12
Linke
11
BSW
4
FDP
4
Others
5
Lead
2
Allensbach
Allensbach
Polling firm
Allensbach
Fieldwork date
26 Sep – 10 Oct 2025
Samplesize
1,044
Abs.
–
Union
26
AfD
25
SPD
15
Grüne
11
Linke
11
BSW
4
FDP
3
Others
5
Lead
1
Verian
Verian
Polling firm
Verian
Fieldwork date
30 Sep – 7 Oct 2025
Samplesize
1,478
Abs.
–
Union
25
AfD
25
SPD
15
Grüne
12
Linke
10
BSW
4
FDP
3
Others
6
Lead
Tie
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
2–6 Oct 2025
Samplesize
2,010
Abs.
–
Union
24.5
AfD
26.5
SPD
14.5
Grüne
11
Linke
11.5
BSW
4
FDP
3.5
Others
4.5
Lead
2
Forsa
Forsa
Polling firm
Forsa
Fieldwork date
30 Sep – 6 Oct 2025
Samplesize
2,001
Abs.
–
Union
24
AfD
26
SPD
13
Grüne
12
Linke
12
BSW
4
FDP
3
Others
6
Lead
2
Ipsos
Ipsos
Polling firm
Ipsos
Fieldwork date
2–3 Oct 2025
Samplesize
1,000
Abs.
–
Union
23
AfD
25
SPD
15
Grüne
11
Linke
12
BSW
5
FDP
4
Others
5
Lead
2
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
29 Sep – 2 Oct 2025
Samplesize
1,186
Abs.
–
Union
24
AfD
26
SPD
14
Grüne
11
Linke
12
BSW
4
FDP
4
Others
5
Lead
2
Infratest dimap
Infratest dimap
Polling firm
Infratest dimap
Fieldwork date
29 Sep – 1 Oct 2025
Samplesize
1,306
Abs.
–
Union
26
AfD
26
SPD
14
Grüne
12
Linke
10
BSW
3
FDP
3
Others
6
Lead
Tie
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
Polling firm
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
Fieldwork date
29 Sep – 1 Oct 2025
Samplesize
1,300
Abs.
17
Union
27
AfD
25
SPD
15
Grüne
11
Linke
11
BSW
–
FDP
3
Others
8
Lead
2
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
26–29 Sep 2025
Samplesize
2,006
Abs.
–
Union
25
AfD
26
SPD
15.5
Grüne
11.5
Linke
11
BSW
4
FDP
3
Others
4
Lead
1
GMS
GMS
Polling firm
GMS
Fieldwork date
24–29 Sep 2025
Samplesize
1,012
Abs.
–
Union
26
AfD
25
SPD
15
Grüne
11
Linke
10
BSW
3
FDP
3
Others
7
Lead
1
Forsa
Forsa
Polling firm
Forsa
Fieldwork date
23–29 Sep 2025
Samplesize
2,502
Abs.
22
Union
24
AfD
27
SPD
13
Grüne
12
Linke
11
BSW
4
FDP
3
Others
6
Lead
3
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
22–26 Sep 2025
Samplesize
1,200
Abs.
–
Union
25
AfD
26
SPD
15
Grüne
12
Linke
11
BSW
4
FDP
3
Others
4
Lead
1
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
19–22 Sep 2025
Samplesize
2,002
Abs.
–
Union
24.5
AfD
26
SPD
14.5
Grüne
11
Linke
11.5
BSW
4
FDP
3.5
Others
5
Lead
1.5
Forsa
Forsa
Polling firm
Forsa
Fieldwork date
16–22 Sep 2025
Samplesize
2,504
Abs.
–
Union
25
AfD
27
SPD
13
Grüne
11
Linke
11
BSW
4
FDP
3
Others
6
Lead
2
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
15–19 Sep 2025
Samplesize
1,200
Abs.
–
Union
25
AfD
26
SPD
15
Grüne
11
Linke
11
BSW
4
FDP
3
Others
5
Lead
1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
Polling firm
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
Fieldwork date
16–18 Sep 2025
Samplesize
1,419
Abs.
14
Union
26
AfD
26
SPD
15
Grüne
10
Linke
11
BSW
3
FDP
3
Others
6
Lead
Tie
Allensbach
Allensbach
Polling firm
Allensbach
Fieldwork date
5–17 Sep 2025
Samplesize
1,013
Abs.
–
Union
27
AfD
24
SPD
15
Grüne
11
Linke
11
BSW
3
FDP
4
Others
5
Lead
3
YouGov
YouGov
Polling firm
YouGov
Fieldwork date
12–15 Sep 2025
Samplesize
1,649
Abs.
–
Union
26
AfD
27
SPD
15
Grüne
11
Linke
9
BSW
5
FDP
4
Others
4
Lead
1
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
12–15 Sep 2025
Samplesize
2,004
Abs.
–
Union
25.5
AfD
25.5
SPD
14.5
Grüne
11.5
Linke
11
BSW
4
FDP
3
Others
5
Lead
Tie
Forsa
Forsa
Polling firm
Forsa
Fieldwork date
9–15 Sep 2025
Samplesize
2,502
Abs.
–
Union
25
AfD
25
SPD
14
Grüne
12
Linke
11
BSW
4
FDP
3
Others
6
Lead
Tie
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
8–12 Sep 2025
Samplesize
1,204
Abs.
–
Union
25
AfD
25
SPD
14
Grüne
12
Linke
11
BSW
4
FDP
3
Others
6
Lead
Tie
Verian
Verian
Polling firm
Verian
Fieldwork date
3–9 Sep 2025
Samplesize
1,460
Abs.
–
Union
26
AfD
25
SPD
15
Grüne
11
Linke
11
BSW
4
FDP
3
Others
5
Lead
1
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
5–8 Sep 2025
Samplesize
2,006
Abs.
–
Union
25.5
AfD
25.5
SPD
14.5
Grüne
11
Linke
10
BSW
4.5
FDP
3.5
Others
5.5
Lead
Tie
Forsa
Forsa
Polling firm
Forsa
Fieldwork date
2–8 Sep 2025
Samplesize
2,500
Abs.
25
Union
25
AfD
26
SPD
14
Grüne
11
Linke
12
BSW
3
FDP
3
Others
7
Lead
1
Ipsos
Ipsos
Polling firm
Ipsos
Fieldwork date
5–7 Sep 2025
Samplesize
1,000
Abs.
–
Union
24
AfD
25
SPD
15
Grüne
12
Linke
12
BSW
4
FDP
3
Others
5
Lead
1
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
1–5 Sep 2025
Samplesize
1,287
Abs.
–
Union
26
AfD
25
SPD
15
Grüne
12
Linke
11
BSW
4
FDP
3
Others
4
Lead
1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
Polling firm
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
Fieldwork date
2–4 Sep 2025
Samplesize
1,269
Abs.
14
Union
27
AfD
25
SPD
15
Grüne
11
Linke
10
BSW
3
FDP
3
Others
6
Lead
2
Infratest dimap
Infratest dimap
Polling firm
Infratest dimap
Fieldwork date
1–2 Sep 2025
Samplesize
1,342
Abs.
–
Union
27
AfD
25
SPD
14
Grüne
11
Linke
10
BSW
4
FDP
3
Others
6
Lead
2
pollytix
pollytix
Polling firm
pollytix
Fieldwork date
26 Aug – 2 Sep 2025
Samplesize
1,533
Abs.
–
Union
27
AfD
25
SPD
16
Grüne
11
Linke
9
BSW
5
FDP
4
Others
3
Lead
2
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
29 Aug – 1 Sep 2025
Samplesize
2,004
Abs.
–
Union
25.5
AfD
25
SPD
14.5
Grüne
11
Linke
11
BSW
4
FDP
3.5
Others
5.5
Lead
0.5
Forsa
Forsa
Polling firm
Forsa
Fieldwork date
26 Aug – 1 Sep 2025
Samplesize
2,502
Abs.
25
Union
25
AfD
26
SPD
14
Grüne
11
Linke
12
BSW
3
FDP
3
Others
7
Lead
1
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
25–29 Aug 2025
Samplesize
1,202
Abs.
–
Union
26
AfD
25
SPD
15
Grüne
11
Linke
11
BSW
4
FDP
3
Others
5
Lead
1
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
22–25 Aug 2025
Samplesize
2,002
Abs.
–
Union
25
AfD
25
SPD
15
Grüne
10.5
Linke
11
BSW
4.5
FDP
3.5
Others
5.5
Lead
Tie
Forsa
Forsa
Polling firm
Forsa
Fieldwork date
19–25 Aug 2025
Samplesize
2,501
Abs.
26
Union
25
AfD
26
SPD
13
Grüne
12
Linke
11
BSW
3
FDP
3
Others
7
Lead
1
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
18–22 Aug 2025
Samplesize
1,201
Abs.
–
Union
25
AfD
25
SPD
15
Grüne
11
Linke
11
BSW
4
FDP
3
Others
6
Lead
Tie
YouGov
YouGov
Polling firm
YouGov
Fieldwork date
15–18 Aug 2025
Samplesize
1,831
Abs.
–
Union
27
AfD
25
SPD
14
Grüne
12
Linke
10
BSW
5
FDP
3
Others
4
Lead
2
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
15–18 Aug 2025
Samplesize
2,010
Abs.
–
Union
26
AfD
25
SPD
14.5
Grüne
11
Linke
10
BSW
5
FDP
4
Others
4.5
Lead
1
Forsa
Forsa
Polling firm
Forsa
Fieldwork date
12–18 Aug 2025
Samplesize
2,502
Abs.
–
Union
25
AfD
26
SPD
13
Grüne
12
Linke
12
BSW
3
FDP
3
Others
6
Lead
1
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
11–15 Aug 2025
Samplesize
1,206
Abs.
–
Union
26
AfD
25
SPD
15
Grüne
11
Linke
9
BSW
4
FDP
4
Others
6
Lead
1
Allensbach
Allensbach
Polling firm
Allensbach
Fieldwork date
1–14 Aug 2025
Samplesize
1,051
Abs.
–
Union
28
AfD
22.5
SPD
16
Grüne
11
Linke
10
BSW
4
FDP
4
Others
4.5
Lead
5.5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
Polling firm
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
Fieldwork date
11–13 Aug 2025
Samplesize
1,370
Abs.
15
Union
27
AfD
23
SPD
15
Grüne
12
Linke
11
BSW
3
FDP
3
Others
6
Lead
4
Verian
Verian
Polling firm
Verian
Fieldwork date
6–12 Aug 2025
Samplesize
1,464
Abs.
–
Union
26
AfD
25
SPD
14
Grüne
12
Linke
10
BSW
3
FDP
4
Others
6
Lead
1
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
8–11 Aug 2025
Samplesize
2,008
Abs.
–
Union
27
AfD
25
SPD
14.5
Grüne
10.5
Linke
9.5
BSW
4.5
FDP
3.5
Others
5.5
Lead
2
Forsa
Forsa
Polling firm
Forsa
Fieldwork date
5–11 Aug 2025
Samplesize
2,505
Abs.
25
Union
24
AfD
26
SPD
13
Grüne
13
Linke
11
BSW
4
FDP
3
Others
6
Lead
2
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
3–8 Aug 2025
Samplesize
1,204
Abs.
–
Union
27
AfD
25
SPD
15
Grüne
11
Linke
9
BSW
4
FDP
4
Others
5
Lead
2
Infratest dimap
Infratest dimap
Polling firm
Infratest dimap
Fieldwork date
4–6 Aug 2025
Samplesize
1,321
Abs.
–
Union
27
AfD
24
SPD
13
Grüne
12
Linke
10
BSW
3
FDP
4
Others
7
Lead
3
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
1–4 Aug 2025
Samplesize
2,004
Abs.
–
Union
27.5
AfD
25
SPD
14.5
Grüne
10.5
Linke
9.5
BSW
4.5
FDP
3
Others
5.5
Lead
2.5
Forsa
Forsa
Polling firm
Forsa
Fieldwork date
29 Jul – 4 Aug 2025
Samplesize
2,503
Abs.
24
Union
25
AfD
25
SPD
13
Grüne
12
Linke
12
BSW
4
FDP
3
Others
6
Lead
Tie
Ipsos
Ipsos
Polling firm
Ipsos
Fieldwork date
1–3 Aug 2025
Samplesize
1,000
Abs.
–
Union
25
AfD
25
SPD
15
Grüne
11
Linke
11
BSW
5
FDP
3
Others
5
Lead
Tie
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
28 Jul – 1 Aug 2025
Samplesize
1,203
Abs.
–
Union
27
AfD
25
SPD
15
Grüne
11
Linke
10
BSW
4
FDP
3
Others
5
Lead
2
Verian
Verian
Polling firm
Verian
Fieldwork date
23–29 Jul 2025
Samplesize
1,473
Abs.
–
Union
27
AfD
24
SPD
14
Grüne
12
Linke
11
BSW
3
FDP
4
Others
5
Lead
3
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
25–28 Jul 2025
Samplesize
2,006
Abs.
–
Union
27.5
AfD
24
SPD
14.5
Grüne
10.5
Linke
10
BSW
4.5
FDP
3.5
Others
5.5
Lead
3.5
Forsa
Forsa
Polling firm
Forsa
Fieldwork date
22–28 Jul 2025
Samplesize
2,502
Abs.
24
Union
26
AfD
25
SPD
13
Grüne
12
Linke
12
BSW
3
FDP
3
Others
6
Lead
1
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
21–25 Jul 2025
Samplesize
1,203
Abs.
–
Union
27
AfD
24
SPD
15
Grüne
11
Linke
10
BSW
4
FDP
3
Others
6
Lead
3
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
Polling firm
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
Fieldwork date
22–24 Jul 2025
Samplesize
1,367
Abs.
13
Union
27
AfD
24
SPD
15
Grüne
11
Linke
11
BSW
3
FDP
3
Others
6
Lead
3
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
18–21 Jul 2025
Samplesize
2,005
Abs.
–
Union
27.5
AfD
24
SPD
14
Grüne
10.5
Linke
10.5
BSW
4.5
FDP
3.5
Others
5.5
Lead
3.5
Forsa
Forsa
Polling firm
Forsa
Fieldwork date
15–21 Jul 2025
Samplesize
2,502
Abs.
–
Union
25
AfD
25
SPD
13
Grüne
12
Linke
12
BSW
4
FDP
3
Others
6
Lead
Tie
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
14–18 Jul 2025
Samplesize
1,205
Abs.
–
Union
27
AfD
24
SPD
15
Grüne
11
Linke
11
BSW
5
FDP
3
Others
4
Lead
3
Allensbach
Allensbach
Polling firm
Allensbach
Fieldwork date
4–16 Jul 2025
Samplesize
1,054
Abs.
–
Union
29
AfD
23
SPD
15
Grüne
12
Linke
9
BSW
3.5
FDP
4
Others
4.5
Lead
6
YouGov
YouGov
Polling firm
YouGov
Fieldwork date
11–14 Jul 2025
Samplesize
1,820
Abs.
–
Union
27
AfD
25
SPD
14
Grüne
11
Linke
10
BSW
5
FDP
3
Others
5
Lead
2
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
11–14 Jul 2025
Samplesize
2,004
Abs.
–
Union
27.5
AfD
23.5
SPD
15
Grüne
11
Linke
10.5
BSW
4.5
FDP
3.5
Others
4.5
Lead
4
Forsa
Forsa
Polling firm
Forsa
Fieldwork date
8–14 Jul 2025
Samplesize
2,503
Abs.
–
Union
26
AfD
24
SPD
13
Grüne
12
Linke
11
BSW
4
FDP
4
Others
6
Lead
2
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
7–11 Jul 2025
Samplesize
1,202
Abs.
–
Union
28
AfD
24
SPD
15
Grüne
11
Linke
11
BSW
4
FDP
3
Others
4
Lead
4
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
4–7 Jul 2025
Samplesize
2,007
Abs.
–
Union
28
AfD
23.5
SPD
14.5
Grüne
11
Linke
11
BSW
4.5
FDP
3.5
Others
4
Lead
4.5
Forsa
Forsa
Polling firm
Forsa
Fieldwork date
1–7 Jul 2025
Samplesize
2,503
Abs.
–
Union
27
AfD
24
SPD
13
Grüne
12
Linke
11
BSW
4
FDP
3
Others
6
Lead
3
Ipsos
Ipsos
Polling firm
Ipsos
Fieldwork date
4–5 Jul 2025
Samplesize
1,000
Abs.
–
Union
26
AfD
24
SPD
15
Grüne
12
Linke
12
BSW
4
FDP
3
Others
4
Lead
2
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
30 Jun – 4 Jul 2025
Samplesize
1,205
Abs.
–
Union
28
AfD
24
SPD
15
Grüne
11
Linke
11
BSW
4
FDP
4
Others
3
Lead
4
Infratest dimap
Infratest dimap
Polling firm
Infratest dimap
Fieldwork date
30 Jun – 2 Jul 2025
Samplesize
1,312
Abs.
–
Union
30
AfD
23
SPD
13
Grüne
12
Linke
10
BSW
4
FDP
3
Others
5
Lead
7
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
27–30 Jun 2025
Samplesize
2,008
Abs.
–
Union
28
AfD
23.5
SPD
15.5
Grüne
11.5
Linke
9.5
BSW
5
FDP
3.5
Others
3.5
Lead
4.5
GMS
GMS
Polling firm
GMS
Fieldwork date
25–30 Jun 2025
Samplesize
1,007
Abs.
–
Union
29
AfD
22
SPD
15
Grüne
13
Linke
9
BSW
3
FDP
4
Others
5
Lead
7
Forsa
Forsa
Polling firm
Forsa
Fieldwork date
24–30 Jun 2025
Samplesize
2,501
Abs.
24
Union
28
AfD
24
SPD
14
Grüne
11
Linke
11
BSW
3
FDP
3
Others
6
Lead
4
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
23–27 Jun 2025
Samplesize
1,202
Abs.
–
Union
28
AfD
24
SPD
16
Grüne
11
Linke
9
BSW
5
FDP
3
Others
4
Lead
4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
Polling firm
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
Fieldwork date
24–26 Jun 2025
Samplesize
1,378
Abs.
13
Union
29
AfD
22
SPD
15
Grüne
12
Linke
10
BSW
3
FDP
3
Others
6
Lead
7
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
20–23 Jun 2025
Samplesize
2,002
Abs.
–
Union
27.5
AfD
23
SPD
16
Grüne
11.5
Linke
10
BSW
4.5
FDP
4
Others
3.5
Lead
4.5
Forsa
Forsa
Polling firm
Forsa
Fieldwork date
17–20 Jun 2025
Samplesize
2,003
Abs.
21
Union
28
AfD
24
SPD
14
Grüne
11
Linke
11
BSW
3
FDP
3
Others
6
Lead
4
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
16–20 Jun 2025
Samplesize
1,205
Abs.
–
Union
28
AfD
23
SPD
16
Grüne
11
Linke
9
BSW
4
FDP
4
Others
5
Lead
5
Verian
Verian
Polling firm
Verian
Fieldwork date
11–17 Jun 2025
Samplesize
1,462
Abs.
–
Union
28
AfD
23
SPD
15
Grüne
12
Linke
10
BSW
4
FDP
3
Others
5
Lead
5
YouGov
YouGov
Polling firm
YouGov
Fieldwork date
13–16 Jun 2025
Samplesize
1,912
Abs.
–
Union
28
AfD
23
SPD
14
Grüne
12
Linke
8
BSW
5
FDP
3
Others
5
Lead
5
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
13–16 Jun 2025
Samplesize
2,006
Abs.
–
Union
27
AfD
23
SPD
16
Grüne
11.5
Linke
10.5
BSW
4
FDP
4
Others
4
Lead
4
Forsa
Forsa
Polling firm
Forsa
Fieldwork date
10–16 Jun 2025
Samplesize
2,502
Abs.
–
Union
28
AfD
23
SPD
14
Grüne
11
Linke
10
BSW
4
FDP
4
Others
6
Lead
5
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
10–13 Jun 2025
Samplesize
1,203
Abs.
–
Union
27
AfD
23
SPD
17
Grüne
11
Linke
10
BSW
4
FDP
4
Others
4
Lead
4
Allensbach
Allensbach
Polling firm
Allensbach
Fieldwork date
1–12 Jun 2025
Samplesize
1,054
Abs.
–
Union
29
AfD
23
SPD
16
Grüne
11
Linke
9
BSW
4
FDP
4
Others
4
Lead
6
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
6–10 Jun 2025
Samplesize
2,004
Abs.
–
Union
27.5
AfD
22.5
SPD
16
Grüne
11
Linke
10
BSW
4.5
FDP
4
Others
4.5
Lead
5
Forsa
Forsa
Polling firm
Forsa
Fieldwork date
3–6 Jun 2025
Samplesize
2,002
Abs.
21
Union
27
AfD
24
SPD
14
Grüne
11
Linke
11
BSW
3
FDP
4
Others
6
Lead
3
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
2–6 Jun 2025
Samplesize
1,202
Abs.
–
Union
27
AfD
23
SPD
16
Grüne
11
Linke
10
BSW
4
FDP
4
Others
5
Lead
4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
Polling firm
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
Fieldwork date
3–5 Jun 2025
Samplesize
1,247
Abs.
13
Union
27
AfD
23
SPD
15
Grüne
12
Linke
11
BSW
3
FDP
3
Others
6
Lead
4
Infratest dimap
Infratest dimap
Polling firm
Infratest dimap
Fieldwork date
2–3 Jun 2025
Samplesize
1,292
Abs.
–
Union
29
AfD
23
SPD
15
Grüne
12
Linke
9
BSW
4
FDP
4
Others
4
Lead
6
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
30 May – 2 Jun 2025
Samplesize
2,002
Abs.
–
Union
26.5
AfD
24.5
SPD
16
Grüne
10.5
Linke
10.5
BSW
4
FDP
4
Others
4
Lead
2
pollytix
pollytix
Polling firm
pollytix
Fieldwork date
28 May – 2 Jun 2025
Samplesize
1,561
Abs.
–
Union
27
AfD
23
SPD
16
Grüne
11
Linke
10
BSW
5
FDP
3
Others
5
Lead
4
Forsa
Forsa
Polling firm
Forsa
Fieldwork date
27 May – 2 Jun 2025
Samplesize
2,002
Abs.
20
Union
27
AfD
23
SPD
15
Grüne
12
Linke
11
BSW
3
FDP
3
Others
6
Lead
4
Ipsos
Ipsos
Polling firm
Ipsos
Fieldwork date
30 May – 1 Jun 2025
Samplesize
1,000
Abs.
–
Union
27
AfD
23
SPD
16
Grüne
11
Linke
11
BSW
4
FDP
3
Others
5
Lead
4
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
26–30 May 2025
Samplesize
2,002
Abs.
–
Union
26
AfD
24
SPD
17
Grüne
10
Linke
11
BSW
4
FDP
4
Others
4
Lead
2
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
23–26 May 2025
Samplesize
2,006
Abs.
–
Union
26
AfD
24.5
SPD
16
Grüne
11
Linke
10
BSW
4.5
FDP
3.5
Others
4.5
Lead
1.5
Forsa
Forsa
Polling firm
Forsa
Fieldwork date
20–26 May 2025
Samplesize
2,501
Abs.
20
Union
26
AfD
24
SPD
15
Grüne
11
Linke
11
BSW
3
FDP
4
Others
6
Lead
2
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
19–23 May 2025
Samplesize
1,198
Abs.
–
Union
27
AfD
24
SPD
16
Grüne
11
Linke
10
BSW
4
FDP
4
Others
4
Lead
3
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
Polling firm
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
Fieldwork date
20–22 May 2025
Samplesize
1,328
Abs.
10
Union
26
AfD
23
SPD
16
Grüne
12
Linke
10
BSW
3
FDP
4
Others
6
Lead
3
Verian
Verian
Polling firm
Verian
Fieldwork date
14–20 May 2025
Samplesize
1,468
Abs.
–
Union
26
AfD
23
SPD
15
Grüne
12
Linke
11
BSW
4
FDP
3
Others
6
Lead
3
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
16–19 May 2025
Samplesize
2,008
Abs.
–
Union
26
AfD
24.5
SPD
15.5
Grüne
11
Linke
10
BSW
4
FDP
3.5
Others
5.5
Lead
1.5
GMS
GMS
Polling firm
GMS
Fieldwork date
14–19 May 2025
Samplesize
1,012
Abs.
–
Union
26
AfD
23
SPD
14
Grüne
12
Linke
10
BSW
4
FDP
4
Others
7
Lead
3
Forsa
Forsa
Polling firm
Forsa
Fieldwork date
13–19 May 2025
Samplesize
2,504
Abs.
20
Union
26
AfD
24
SPD
15
Grüne
11
Linke
11
BSW
3
FDP
4
Others
6
Lead
2
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
12–16 May 2025
Samplesize
1,205
Abs.
–
Union
26
AfD
25
SPD
16
Grüne
11
Linke
10
BSW
4
FDP
3
Others
5
Lead
1
pollytix
pollytix
Polling firm
pollytix
Fieldwork date
13–15 Apr 2025
Samplesize
1,514
Abs.
–
Union
27
AfD
25
SPD
15
Grüne
11
Linke
10
BSW
5
FDP
3
Others
4
Lead
2
Allensbach
Allensbach
Polling firm
Allensbach
Fieldwork date
3–14 May 2025
Samplesize
1,032
Abs.
–
Union
28
AfD
22.5
SPD
17
Grüne
11
Linke
10
BSW
4
FDP
3
Others
4.5
Lead
5.5
YouGov
YouGov
Polling firm
YouGov
Fieldwork date
9–12 May 2025
Samplesize
1,927
Abs.
–
Union
27
AfD
25
SPD
15
Grüne
12
Linke
9
BSW
4
FDP
3
Others
4
Lead
2
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
9–12 May 2025
Samplesize
2,004
Abs.
–
Union
25
AfD
24.5
SPD
16
Grüne
11
Linke
10
BSW
4
FDP
3.5
Others
6
Lead
0.5
Forsa
Forsa
Polling firm
Forsa
Fieldwork date
5–12 May 2025
Samplesize
3,001
Abs.
–
Union
25
AfD
25
SPD
15
Grüne
11
Linke
10
BSW
4
FDP
3
Others
7
Lead
Tie
Ipsos
Ipsos
Polling firm
Ipsos
Fieldwork date
9–10 May 2025
Samplesize
1,000
Abs.
–
Union
25
AfD
25
SPD
15
Grüne
12
Linke
10
BSW
5
FDP
4
Others
4
Lead
Tie
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
5–9 May 2025
Samplesize
1,203
Abs.
–
Union
25
AfD
24
SPD
16
Grüne
11
Linke
10
BSW
4
FDP
4
Others
6
Lead
1
Infratest dimap
Infratest dimap
Polling firm
Infratest dimap
Fieldwork date
5–6 May 2025
Samplesize
1,325
Abs.
–
Union
27
AfD
23
SPD
16
Grüne
11
Linke
10
BSW
4
FDP
4
Others
5
Lead
4
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
2–5 May 2025
Samplesize
2,003
Abs.
–
Union
24.5
AfD
24.5
SPD
16
Grüne
11
Linke
10
BSW
4
FDP
4
Others
6
Lead
Tie
Forsa
Forsa
Polling firm
Forsa
Fieldwork date
29 Apr – 2 May 2025
Samplesize
1,503
Abs.
21
Union
25
AfD
25
SPD
15
Grüne
12
Linke
10
BSW
3
FDP
3
Others
7
Lead
Tie
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
28 Apr – 2 May 2025
Samplesize
1,204
Abs.
–
Union
25
AfD
24
SPD
16
Grüne
12
Linke
10
BSW
4
FDP
4
Others
5
Lead
1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
Polling firm
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
Fieldwork date
28–30 Apr 2025
Samplesize
1,297
Abs.
9
Union
27
AfD
23
SPD
15
Grüne
11
Linke
10
BSW
3
FDP
4
Others
7
Lead
4
Wahlkreisprognose
Wahlkreisprognose
Polling firm
Wahlkreisprognose
Fieldwork date
27–30 Apr 2025
Samplesize
1,000
Abs.
–
Union
26
AfD
24.5
SPD
16.5
Grüne
12
Linke
10.5
BSW
3.5
FDP
4
Others
3
Lead
1.5
YouGov
YouGov
Polling firm
YouGov
Fieldwork date
25–28 Apr 2025
Samplesize
2,275
Abs.
–
Union
26
AfD
26
SPD
14
Grüne
12
Linke
10
BSW
5
FDP
4
Others
3
Lead
Tie
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
25–28 Apr 2025
Samplesize
2,006
Abs.
–
Union
25
AfD
25
SPD
15.5
Grüne
11
Linke
10
BSW
4
FDP
3
Others
6.5
Lead
Tie
Forsa
Forsa
Polling firm
Forsa
Fieldwork date
22–28 Apr 2025
Samplesize
2,004
Abs.
22
Union
24
AfD
26
SPD
14
Grüne
12
Linke
10
BSW
4
FDP
3
Others
7
Lead
2
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
22–25 Apr 2025
Samplesize
1,204
Abs.
–
Union
25
AfD
25
SPD
15
Grüne
12
Linke
10
BSW
4
FDP
3
Others
6
Lead
Tie
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
17–22 Apr 2025
Samplesize
2,010
Abs.
–
Union
25
AfD
25
SPD
15
Grüne
11
Linke
10
BSW
5
FDP
3.5
Others
5.5
Lead
Tie
Verian
Verian
Polling firm
Verian
Fieldwork date
15–22 Apr 2025
Samplesize
1,469
Abs.
–
Union
26
AfD
24
SPD
16
Grüne
12
Linke
9
BSW
4
FDP
3
Others
6
Lead
2
Forsa
Forsa
Polling firm
Forsa
Fieldwork date
15–17 Apr 2025
Samplesize
1,502
Abs.
–
Union
25
AfD
26
SPD
15
Grüne
11
Linke
9
BSW
4
FDP
4
Others
6
Lead
1
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
14–17 Apr 2025
Samplesize
1,205
Abs.
–
Union
25
AfD
24
SPD
16
Grüne
11
Linke
10
BSW
5
FDP
4
Others
5
Lead
1
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
11–14 Apr 2025
Samplesize
2,002
Abs.
–
Union
25.5
AfD
24.5
SPD
16
Grüne
11
Linke
10
BSW
4.5
FDP
3.5
Others
5
Lead
1
Forsa
Forsa
Polling firm
Forsa
Fieldwork date
8–14 Apr 2025
Samplesize
2,502
Abs.
21
Union
25
AfD
24
SPD
15
Grüne
12
Linke
10
BSW
4
FDP
3
Others
7
Lead
1
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
7–11 Apr 2025
Samplesize
1,202
Abs.
–
Union
25
AfD
24
SPD
16
Grüne
11
Linke
10
BSW
5
FDP
3
Others
6
Lead
1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
Polling firm
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
Fieldwork date
8–10 Apr 2025
Samplesize
1,322
Abs.
9
Union
26
AfD
24
SPD
15
Grüne
12
Linke
10
BSW
3
FDP
4
Others
6
Lead
2
Allensbach
Allensbach
Polling firm
Allensbach
Fieldwork date
28 Mar – 9 Apr 2025
Samplesize
1,048
Abs.
–
Union
27
AfD
23.5
SPD
16
Grüne
12
Linke
10
BSW
4
FDP
3
Others
4.5
Lead
3.5
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
4–7 Apr 2025
Samplesize
2,008
Abs.
–
Union
24.5
AfD
24.5
SPD
16
Grüne
10.5
Linke
10.5
BSW
4.5
FDP
4
Others
5.5
Lead
Tie
GMS
GMS
Polling firm
GMS
Fieldwork date
2–7 Apr 2025
Samplesize
1,022
Abs.
–
Union
26
AfD
25
SPD
15
Grüne
11
Linke
10
BSW
4
FDP
4
Others
5
Lead
1
Forsa
Forsa
Polling firm
Forsa
Fieldwork date
1–7 Apr 2025
Samplesize
2,501
Abs.
19
Union
25
AfD
24
SPD
15
Grüne
12
Linke
10
BSW
4
FDP
3
Others
7
Lead
1
Ipsos
Ipsos
Polling firm
Ipsos
Fieldwork date
4–5 Apr 2025
Samplesize
1,000
Abs.
–
Union
24
AfD
25
SPD
15
Grüne
11
Linke
11
BSW
5
FDP
4
Others
5
Lead
1
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
31 Mar – 4 Apr 2025
Samplesize
1,206
Abs.
–
Union
24
AfD
24
SPD
16
Grüne
11
Linke
11
BSW
4
FDP
4
Others
6
Lead
Tie
Infratest dimap
Infratest dimap
Polling firm
Infratest dimap
Fieldwork date
31 Mar – 2 Apr 2025
Samplesize
1,334
Abs.
–
Union
26
AfD
24
SPD
16
Grüne
11
Linke
10
BSW
4
FDP
4
Others
5
Lead
2
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
28–31 Mar 2025
Samplesize
2,006
Abs.
–
Union
26.5
AfD
23.5
SPD
15.5
Grüne
12
Linke
10.5
BSW
4.5
FDP
3.5
Others
4
Lead
3
Forsa
Forsa
Polling firm
Forsa
Fieldwork date
25–31 Mar 2025
Samplesize
2,508
Abs.
–
Union
25
AfD
24
SPD
15
Grüne
12
Linke
10
BSW
4
FDP
4
Others
6
Lead
1
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
24–28 Mar 2025
Samplesize
1,204
Abs.
–
Union
26
AfD
23
SPD
16
Grüne
12
Linke
10
BSW
5
FDP
3
Others
5
Lead
3
Verian
Verian
Polling firm
Verian
Fieldwork date
19–25 Mar 2025
Samplesize
1,381
Abs.
–
Union
27
AfD
22
SPD
15
Grüne
13
Linke
10
BSW
4
FDP
3
Others
6
Lead
5
YouGov
YouGov
Polling firm
YouGov
Fieldwork date
21–24 Mar 2025
Samplesize
1,890
Abs.
–
Union
26
AfD
24
SPD
15
Grüne
12
Linke
10
BSW
5
FDP
3
Others
4
Lead
2
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
21–24 Mar 2025
Samplesize
2,004
Abs.
–
Union
27
AfD
23.5
SPD
14.5
Grüne
12
Linke
10.5
BSW
4.5
FDP
3.5
Others
4.5
Lead
3.5
Forsa
Forsa
Polling firm
Forsa
Fieldwork date
18–24 Mar 2025
Samplesize
2,502
Abs.
–
Union
26
AfD
23
SPD
15
Grüne
12
Linke
10
BSW
4
FDP
4
Others
6
Lead
3
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
17–21 Mar 2025
Samplesize
1,202
Abs.
–
Union
27
AfD
23
SPD
15
Grüne
12
Linke
10
BSW
5
FDP
3
Others
5
Lead
4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
Polling firm
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
Fieldwork date
18–20 Mar 2025
Samplesize
1,305
Abs.
11
Union
27
AfD
22
SPD
16
Grüne
12
Linke
10
BSW
3
FDP
4
Others
6
Lead
5
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
14–17 Mar 2025
Samplesize
2,008
Abs.
–
Union
29
AfD
22
SPD
15.5
Grüne
11
Linke
10.5
BSW
5
FDP
3
Others
4
Lead
7
Forsa
Forsa
Polling firm
Forsa
Fieldwork date
11–17 Mar 2025
Samplesize
2,501
Abs.
–
Union
27
AfD
23
SPD
14
Grüne
12
Linke
11
BSW
3
FDP
4
Others
6
Lead
4
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
10–14 Mar 2025
Samplesize
1,201
Abs.
–
Union
28
AfD
22
SPD
16
Grüne
11
Linke
10
BSW
5
FDP
3
Others
5
Lead
6
Allensbach
Allensbach
Polling firm
Allensbach
Fieldwork date
27 Feb – 11 Mar 2025
Samplesize
1,031
Abs.
–
Union
29
AfD
21
SPD
16
Grüne
11.5
Linke
10
BSW
4
FDP
3
Others
5
Lead
8
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
7–10 Mar 2025
Samplesize
2,003
Abs.
–
Union
28.5
AfD
22
SPD
16.5
Grüne
10.5
Linke
10.5
BSW
4.5
FDP
3.5
Others
4
Lead
6.5
Forsa
Forsa
Polling firm
Forsa
Fieldwork date
4–10 Mar 2025
Samplesize
2,504
Abs.
–
Union
28
AfD
22
SPD
15
Grüne
11
Linke
11
BSW
3
FDP
4
Others
6
Lead
6
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
3–7 Mar 2025
Samplesize
1,201
Abs.
–
Union
28
AfD
21
SPD
16
Grüne
11
Linke
10
BSW
5
FDP
4
Others
5
Lead
7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
Polling firm
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
Fieldwork date
4–6 Mar 2025
Samplesize
1,249
Abs.
8
Union
28
AfD
21
SPD
15
Grüne
13
Linke
10
BSW
3
FDP
4
Others
6
Lead
7
Infratest dimap
Infratest dimap
Polling firm
Infratest dimap
Fieldwork date
4–5 Mar 2025
Samplesize
1,325
Abs.
–
Union
29
AfD
21
SPD
16
Grüne
12
Linke
9
BSW
5
FDP
3
Others
5
Lead
8
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
28 Feb – 3 Mar 2025
Samplesize
2,002
Abs.
–
Union
29.5
AfD
22
SPD
15.5
Grüne
11
Linke
9.5
BSW
5
FDP
3.5
Others
4
Lead
7.5
Forsa
Forsa
Polling firm
Forsa
Fieldwork date
24 Feb – 3 Mar 2025
Samplesize
3,001
Abs.
16
Union
28
AfD
22
SPD
15
Grüne
11
Linke
12
BSW
3
FDP
3
Others
6
Lead
6
Ipsos
Ipsos
Polling firm
Ipsos
Fieldwork date
28 Feb – 1 Mar 2025
Samplesize
1,000
Abs.
–
Union
29
AfD
22
SPD
15
Grüne
12
Linke
9
BSW
5
FDP
4
Others
5
Lead
7
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
24–28 Feb 2025
Samplesize
1,001
Abs.
–
Union
30
AfD
22
SPD
15
Grüne
11
Linke
9
BSW
5
FDP
4
Others
4
Lead
8
2025 federal election
2025 federal election
Polling firm
2025 federal election
Fieldwork date
23 Feb 2025
Samplesize
–
Abs.
17.5
Union
28.5
AfD
20.8
SPD
16.4
Grüne
11.6
Linke
8.8
BSW
5.0
FDP
4.3
Others
4.6
Lead
7.7
Polling firm
Fieldwork date
Samplesize
Abs.
Union
AfD
SPD
Grüne
Linke
BSW
FDP
Others
Lead
INSA
12–15 Dec 2025
2,006
–
25
26
14
10.5
10.5
4.5
4
5.5
1
Forsa
9–15 Dec 2025
2,503
28
24
26
13
13
11
3
3
7
2
INSA
8–12 Dec 2025
1,201
–
24
26
14
11
11
4
4
6
2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
9–11 Dec 2025
1,295
–
26
25
14
12
11
–
–
12
1
Verian
3–9 Dec 2025
1,443
–
25
25
14
12
11
4
3
6
Tie
INSA
5–8 Dec 2025
2,007
–
24.5
26.5
15
10.5
11
4
4
4.5
2
Forsa
2–8 Dec 2025
2,503
26
24
26
14
12
11
3
3
7
2
INSA
1–5 Dec 2025
1,206
–
25
26
15
10
11
4
4
5
1
Allensbach
22 Nov – 4 Dec 2025
1,029
–
27
25
14
12.5
9
3
4.5
5
2
Infratest dimap
1–3 Dec 2025
1,306
–
27
25
14
12
10
4
3
5
2
pollytix
26 Nov – 2 Dec 2025
3,020
–
26
26
15
11
10
4
4
4
Tie
INSA
28 Nov – 1 Dec 2025
2,002
–
24.5
27
14.5
11
10.5
4
3.5
5
2.5
Forsa
25 Nov – 1 Dec 2025
2,501
26
25
26
14
12
11
3
3
6
1
Ipsos
28–30 Nov 2025
1,000
–
23
26
15
13
10
4
4
5
3
INSA
24–28 Nov 2025
1,198
–
25
27
15
11
10
4
3
5
2
INSA
21–24 Nov 2025
2,008
–
25.5
26
15
11
10.5
4
3
5
0.5
Forsa
18–24 Nov 2025
2,501
26
25
26
14
12
11
3
3
6
1
INSA
17–21 Nov 2025
1,208
–
25
26
15
11
10
4
3
6
1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
18–20 Nov 2025
1,207
11
27
27
14
12
9
–
–
11
Tie
YouGov
14–17 Nov 2025
2,006
–
27
25
14
11
11
4
4
5
2
INSA
14–17 Nov 2025
2,006
–
24.5
26
15
11
11
4
3.5
5
1.5
Forsa
11–17 Nov 2025
2,502
25
25
26
14
12
11
–
3
9
1
GMS
11–17 Nov 2025
1,020
–
25
26
14
12
11
3
3
6
1
INSA
10–14 Nov 2025
1,203
–
25
26
15
11
11
4
3
5
1
INSA
7–10 Nov 2025
2,010
–
25
26
15.5
11.5
10.5
4
3
4.5
1
Forsa
4–10 Nov 2025
2,503
24
24
26
14
12
11
3
3
7
2
Ipsos
7–9 Nov 2025
1,000
–
24
26
15
12
11
4
4
4
2
INSA
3–7 Nov 2025
1,205
–
25
26
15
12
11
4
3
4
1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
4–6 Nov 2025
1,322
13
26
26
14
12
10
–
–
12
Tie
Allensbach
23 Oct – 6 Nov 2025
1,011
–
27
24
15.5
11
10
4
3.5
5
3
Infratest dimap
3–5 Nov 2025
1,300
–
27
26
14
12
10
3
3
5
1
Verian
28 Oct – 4 Nov 2025
1,471
–
26
25
15
12
10
3
3
6
1
INSA
30 Oct – 3 Nov 2025
2,002
–
25.5
25.5
15
11
11
4
3
5
Tie
Forsa
28 Oct – 3 Nov 2025
2,500
23
24
26
14
12
12
3
3
6
2
INSA
27–30 Oct 2025
1,202
–
25
26
15
11
11
4
3
5
1
INSA
24–27 Oct 2025
2,004
–
24.5
26
15
11
11.5
4
3.5
4.5
1.5
Forsa
21–27 Oct 2025
2,502
23
25
26
13
12
12
3
3
6
1
INSA
20–24 Oct 2025
1,205
–
24
26
15
11
11
4
4
5
2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
21–23 Oct 2025
1,272
12
27
25
15
11
10
–
–
12
2
INSA
17–20 Oct 2025
2,006
–
24.5
27
14
11
11
4.5
4
4
2.5
Forsa
14–20 Oct 2025
2,505
23
24
26
14
12
11
4
3
6
2
INSA
13–17 Oct 2025
1,200
–
25
27
14
11
11
4
4
4
2
YouGov
10–13 Oct 2025
1,880
–
27
26
14
11
10
4
3
5
1
INSA
10–13 Oct 2025
2,008
–
25
26.5
14
11.5
10.5
4
4
4.5
1.5
Forsa
7–13 Oct 2025
2,500
23
24
26
13
12
12
4
3
6
2
INSA
6–10 Oct 2025
1,224
–
24
26
14
12
11
4
4
5
2
Allensbach
26 Sep – 10 Oct 2025
1,044
–
26
25
15
11
11
4
3
5
1
Verian
30 Sep – 7 Oct 2025
1,478
–
25
25
15
12
10
4
3
6
Tie
INSA
2–6 Oct 2025
2,010
–
24.5
26.5
14.5
11
11.5
4
3.5
4.5
2
· Poll results › CDU and CSU
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
5–8 Dec 2025
Samplesize
2,007
CDU
18.0
AfD
26.5
SPD
15.0
Grüne
10.5
Linke
11.0
CSU
6.5
BSW
4.0
FDP
4.0
Others
4.5
Lead
8.5
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
28 Nov – 1 Dec 2025
Samplesize
2,002
CDU
19.1
AfD
27.0
SPD
14.5
Grüne
11.0
Linke
10.5
CSU
5.4
BSW
4.0
FDP
3.5
Others
5.0
Lead
7.9
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
21–24 Nov 2025
Samplesize
2,008
CDU
19.3
AfD
26.0
SPD
15.0
Grüne
11.0
Linke
10.5
CSU
6.2
BSW
4.0
FDP
3.0
Others
5.0
Lead
6.7
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
14–17 Nov 2025
Samplesize
2,006
CDU
19.5
AfD
26.0
SPD
15.0
Grüne
11.0
Linke
11.0
CSU
5.0
BSW
4.0
FDP
3.5
Others
5.0
Lead
6.5
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
7–10 Nov 2025
Samplesize
2,010
CDU
19.1
AfD
26.0
SPD
15.5
Grüne
11.5
Linke
10.5
CSU
5.9
BSW
4.0
FDP
3.0
Others
4.5
Lead
6.9
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
30 Oct – 3 Nov 2025
Samplesize
2,002
CDU
20.6
AfD
25.5
SPD
15.0
Grüne
11.0
Linke
11.0
CSU
4.9
BSW
4.0
FDP
3.0
Others
5.0
Lead
4.9
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
24–27 Oct 2025
Samplesize
2,004
CDU
19.5
AfD
26.0
SPD
15.0
Grüne
11.0
Linke
11.5
CSU
5.0
BSW
4.0
FDP
3.5
Others
4.5
Lead
6.5
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
17–20 Oct 2025
Samplesize
2,006
CDU
19.7
AfD
27.0
SPD
14.0
Grüne
11.0
Linke
11.0
CSU
4.8
BSW
4.5
FDP
4.0
Others
4.0
Lead
7.3
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
10–13 Oct 2025
Samplesize
2,008
CDU
19.5
AfD
26.5
SPD
14.0
Grüne
11.5
Linke
10.5
CSU
5.5
BSW
4.0
FDP
4.0
Others
4.5
Lead
7.0
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
2–6 Oct 2025
Samplesize
2,010
CDU
19.0
AfD
26.5
SPD
14.5
Grüne
11.0
Linke
11.5
CSU
5.5
BSW
4.0
FDP
3.5
Others
4.5
Lead
7.5
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
26–29 Sep 2025
Samplesize
2,006
CDU
20.0
AfD
26.0
SPD
15.5
Grüne
11.5
Linke
11.0
CSU
5.0
BSW
4.0
FDP
3.0
Others
4.0
Lead
6.0
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
19–22 Sep 2025
Samplesize
2,002
CDU
19.5
AfD
26.0
SPD
14.5
Grüne
11.0
Linke
11.5
CSU
5.0
BSW
4.0
FDP
3.5
Others
5.0
Lead
6.5
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
12–15 Sep 2025
Samplesize
2,004
CDU
19.5
AfD
25.5
SPD
14.5
Grüne
11.5
Linke
11.0
CSU
6.0
BSW
4.0
FDP
3.0
Others
5.0
Lead
6.0
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
5–8 Sep 2025
Samplesize
2,006
CDU
19.5
AfD
25.5
SPD
14.5
Grüne
11.0
Linke
10.0
CSU
6.0
BSW
4.5
FDP
3.5
Others
5.5
Lead
6.0
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
29 Aug – 1 Sep 2025
Samplesize
2,004
CDU
19.0
AfD
25.0
SPD
14.5
Grüne
11.0
Linke
11.0
CSU
6.5
BSW
4.0
FDP
3.5
Others
5.5
Lead
6.0
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
22–25 Aug 2025
Samplesize
2,002
CDU
18.5
AfD
25.0
SPD
15.0
Grüne
10.5
Linke
11.0
CSU
6.5
BSW
4.5
FDP
3.5
Others
5.5
Lead
6.5
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
15–18 Aug 2025
Samplesize
2,010
CDU
21.5
AfD
25.0
SPD
14.5
Grüne
11.0
Linke
10.0
CSU
4.5
BSW
5.0
FDP
4.0
Others
4.5
Lead
3.5
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
8–11 Aug 2025
Samplesize
2,008
CDU
21.0
AfD
25.0
SPD
14.5
Grüne
10.5
Linke
9.5
CSU
6.0
BSW
4.5
FDP
3.5
Others
5.5
Lead
4.0
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
1–4 Aug 2025
Samplesize
2,004
CDU
22.0
AfD
25.0
SPD
14.5
Grüne
10.5
Linke
9.5
CSU
5.5
BSW
4.5
FDP
3.0
Others
5.5
Lead
3.0
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
25–28 Jul 2025
Samplesize
2,006
CDU
21.5
AfD
24.0
SPD
14.5
Grüne
10.5
Linke
10.0
CSU
6.0
BSW
4.5
FDP
3.5
Others
5.5
Lead
2.5
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
18–21 Jul 2025
Samplesize
2,005
CDU
21.0
AfD
24.0
SPD
14.0
Grüne
10.5
Linke
10.5
CSU
6.5
BSW
4.5
FDP
3.5
Others
5.5
Lead
3.0
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
11–14 Jul 2025
Samplesize
2,004
CDU
21.0
AfD
23.5
SPD
15.0
Grüne
11.0
Linke
10.5
CSU
6.5
BSW
4.5
FDP
3.5
Others
4.5
Lead
2.5
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
4–7 Jul 2025
Samplesize
2,007
CDU
22.0
AfD
23.5
SPD
14.5
Grüne
11.0
Linke
11.0
CSU
6.0
BSW
4.5
FDP
3.5
Others
4.0
Lead
1.5
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
27–30 Jun 2025
Samplesize
2,008
CDU
22.5
AfD
23.5
SPD
15.5
Grüne
11.5
Linke
9.5
CSU
5.5
BSW
5.0
FDP
3.5
Others
3.5
Lead
1.0
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
20–23 Jun 2025
Samplesize
2,002
CDU
21.5
AfD
23.0
SPD
16.0
Grüne
11.5
Linke
10.0
CSU
6.0
BSW
4.5
FDP
4.0
Others
3.5
Lead
1.5
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
13–16 Jun 2025
Samplesize
2,006
CDU
21.5
AfD
23.0
SPD
16.0
Grüne
11.5
Linke
10.5
CSU
5.5
BSW
4.0
FDP
4.0
Others
4.0
Lead
1.5
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
6–10 Jun 2025
Samplesize
2,004
CDU
20.5
AfD
22.5
SPD
16.0
Grüne
11.0
Linke
10.0
CSU
7.0
BSW
4.5
FDP
4.0
Others
4.5
Lead
2.0
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
30 May – 2 Jun 2025
Samplesize
2,002
CDU
21.0
AfD
24.5
SPD
16.0
Grüne
10.5
Linke
10.5
CSU
5.5
BSW
4.0
FDP
4.0
Others
4.0
Lead
3.5
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
23–26 May 2025
Samplesize
2,006
CDU
21.0
AfD
24.5
SPD
16.0
Grüne
11.0
Linke
10.0
CSU
5.0
BSW
4.5
FDP
3.5
Others
4.5
Lead
3.5
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
16–19 May 2025
Samplesize
2,008
CDU
20.5
AfD
24.5
SPD
15.5
Grüne
11.0
Linke
10.0
CSU
5.5
BSW
4.0
FDP
3.5
Others
5.5
Lead
4.0
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
9–12 May 2025
Samplesize
2,004
CDU
20.5
AfD
24.5
SPD
16.0
Grüne
11.0
Linke
10.0
CSU
4.5
BSW
4.0
FDP
3.5
Others
6.0
Lead
4.0
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
2–5 May 2025
Samplesize
2,003
CDU
19.0
AfD
24.5
SPD
16.0
Grüne
11.0
Linke
10.0
CSU
5.5
BSW
4.0
FDP
4.0
Others
6.0
Lead
5.5
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
25–28 Apr 2025
Samplesize
2,006
CDU
19.5
AfD
25.0
SPD
15.5
Grüne
11.0
Linke
10.0
CSU
5.5
BSW
4.0
FDP
3.0
Others
6.5
Lead
5.5
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
17–22 Apr 2025
Samplesize
2,010
CDU
19.5
AfD
25.0
SPD
15.0
Grüne
11.0
Linke
10.0
CSU
5.5
BSW
5.0
FDP
3.5
Others
5.5
Lead
5.5
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
11–14 Apr 2025
Samplesize
2,002
CDU
20.0
AfD
24.5
SPD
16.0
Grüne
11.0
Linke
10.0
CSU
5.5
BSW
4.5
FDP
3.5
Others
5.0
Lead
4.5
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
4–7 Apr 2025
Samplesize
2,008
CDU
18.5
AfD
24.5
SPD
16.0
Grüne
10.5
Linke
10.5
CSU
6.0
BSW
4.5
FDP
4.0
Others
5.5
Lead
6.0
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
28–31 Mar 2025
Samplesize
2,006
CDU
21.0
AfD
23.5
SPD
15.5
Grüne
12.0
Linke
10.5
CSU
5.5
BSW
4.5
FDP
3.5
Others
4.0
Lead
2.5
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
21–24 Mar 2025
Samplesize
2,004
CDU
21.0
AfD
23.5
SPD
14.5
Grüne
12.0
Linke
10.5
CSU
6.0
BSW
4.5
FDP
3.5
Others
4.5
Lead
2.5
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
14–17 Mar 2025
Samplesize
2,008
CDU
23.5
AfD
22.0
SPD
15.5
Grüne
11.0
Linke
10.5
CSU
5.5
BSW
5.0
FDP
3.0
Others
4.0
Lead
1.5
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
7–10 Mar 2025
Samplesize
2,003
CDU
22.5
AfD
22.0
SPD
16.5
Grüne
10.5
Linke
10.5
CSU
6.0
BSW
4.5
FDP
3.5
Others
4.0
Lead
0.5
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
28 Feb – 3 Mar 2025
Samplesize
2,002
CDU
23.0
AfD
22.0
SPD
15.5
Grüne
11.0
Linke
9.5
CSU
6.5
BSW
5.0
FDP
3.5
Others
4.0
Lead
1.0
2025 federal election
2025 federal election
Polling firm
2025 federal election
Fieldwork date
23 Feb 2025
Samplesize
–
CDU
22.6
AfD
20.8
SPD
16.4
Grüne
11.6
Linke
8.8
CSU
6.0
BSW
5.0
FDP
4.3
Others
4.6
Lead
1.8
Polling firm
Fieldwork date
Samplesize
CDU
AfD
SPD
Grüne
Linke
CSU
BSW
FDP
Others
Lead
INSA
5–8 Dec 2025
2,007
18.0
26.5
15.0
10.5
11.0
6.5
4.0
4.0
4.5
8.5
INSA
28 Nov – 1 Dec 2025
2,002
19.1
27.0
14.5
11.0
10.5
5.4
4.0
3.5
5.0
7.9
INSA
21–24 Nov 2025
2,008
19.3
26.0
15.0
11.0
10.5
6.2
4.0
3.0
5.0
6.7
INSA
14–17 Nov 2025
2,006
19.5
26.0
15.0
11.0
11.0
5.0
4.0
3.5
5.0
6.5
INSA
7–10 Nov 2025
2,010
19.1
26.0
15.5
11.5
10.5
5.9
4.0
3.0
4.5
6.9
INSA
30 Oct – 3 Nov 2025
2,002
20.6
25.5
15.0
11.0
11.0
4.9
4.0
3.0
5.0
4.9
INSA
24–27 Oct 2025
2,004
19.5
26.0
15.0
11.0
11.5
5.0
4.0
3.5
4.5
6.5
INSA
17–20 Oct 2025
2,006
19.7
27.0
14.0
11.0
11.0
4.8
4.5
4.0
4.0
7.3
INSA
10–13 Oct 2025
2,008
19.5
26.5
14.0
11.5
10.5
5.5
4.0
4.0
4.5
7.0
INSA
2–6 Oct 2025
2,010
19.0
26.5
14.5
11.0
11.5
5.5
4.0
3.5
4.5
7.5
INSA
26–29 Sep 2025
2,006
20.0
26.0
15.5
11.5
11.0
5.0
4.0
3.0
4.0
6.0
INSA
19–22 Sep 2025
2,002
19.5
26.0
14.5
11.0
11.5
5.0
4.0
3.5
5.0
6.5
INSA
12–15 Sep 2025
2,004
19.5
25.5
14.5
11.5
11.0
6.0
4.0
3.0
5.0
6.0
INSA
5–8 Sep 2025
2,006
19.5
25.5
14.5
11.0
10.0
6.0
4.5
3.5
5.5
6.0
INSA
29 Aug – 1 Sep 2025
2,004
19.0
25.0
14.5
11.0
11.0
6.5
4.0
3.5
5.5
6.0
INSA
22–25 Aug 2025
2,002
18.5
25.0
15.0
10.5
11.0
6.5
4.5
3.5
5.5
6.5
INSA
15–18 Aug 2025
2,010
21.5
25.0
14.5
11.0
10.0
4.5
5.0
4.0
4.5
3.5
INSA
8–11 Aug 2025
2,008
21.0
25.0
14.5
10.5
9.5
6.0
4.5
3.5
5.5
4.0
INSA
1–4 Aug 2025
2,004
22.0
25.0
14.5
10.5
9.5
5.5
4.5
3.0
5.5
3.0
INSA
25–28 Jul 2025
2,006
21.5
24.0
14.5
10.5
10.0
6.0
4.5
3.5
5.5
2.5
INSA
18–21 Jul 2025
2,005
21.0
24.0
14.0
10.5
10.5
6.5
4.5
3.5
5.5
3.0
INSA
11–14 Jul 2025
2,004
21.0
23.5
15.0
11.0
10.5
6.5
4.5
3.5
4.5
2.5
INSA
4–7 Jul 2025
2,007
22.0
23.5
14.5
11.0
11.0
6.0
4.5
3.5
4.0
1.5
INSA
27–30 Jun 2025
2,008
22.5
23.5
15.5
11.5
9.5
5.5
5.0
3.5
3.5
1.0
INSA
20–23 Jun 2025
2,002
21.5
23.0
16.0
11.5
10.0
6.0
4.5
4.0
3.5
1.5
INSA
13–16 Jun 2025
2,006
21.5
23.0
16.0
11.5
10.5
5.5
4.0
4.0
4.0
1.5
INSA
6–10 Jun 2025
2,004
20.5
22.5
16.0
11.0
10.0
7.0
4.5
4.0
4.5
2.0
INSA
30 May – 2 Jun 2025
2,002
21.0
24.5
16.0
10.5
10.5
5.5
4.0
4.0
4.0
3.5
INSA
23–26 May 2025
2,006
21.0
24.5
16.0
11.0
10.0
5.0
4.5
3.5
4.5
3.5
INSA
16–19 May 2025
2,008
20.5
24.5
15.5
11.0
10.0
5.5
4.0
3.5
5.5
4.0
INSA
9–12 May 2025
2,004
20.5
24.5
16.0
11.0
10.0
4.5
4.0
3.5
6.0
4.0
INSA
2–5 May 2025
2,003
19.0
24.5
16.0
11.0
10.0
5.5
4.0
4.0
6.0
5.5
INSA
25–28 Apr 2025
2,006
19.5
25.0
15.5
11.0
10.0
5.5
4.0
3.0
6.5
5.5
INSA
17–22 Apr 2025
2,010
19.5
25.0
15.0
11.0
10.0
5.5
5.0
3.5
5.5
5.5
INSA
11–14 Apr 2025
2,002
20.0
24.5
16.0
11.0
10.0
5.5
4.5
3.5
5.0
4.5
INSA
4–7 Apr 2025
2,008
18.5
24.5
16.0
10.5
10.5
6.0
4.5
4.0
5.5
6.0
INSA
28–31 Mar 2025
2,006
21.0
23.5
15.5
12.0
10.5
5.5
4.5
3.5
4.0
2.5
INSA
21–24 Mar 2025
2,004
21.0
23.5
14.5
12.0
10.5
6.0
4.5
3.5
4.5
2.5
INSA
14–17 Mar 2025
2,008
23.5
22.0
15.5
11.0
10.5
5.5
5.0
3.0
4.0
1.5
INSA
7–10 Mar 2025
2,003
22.5
22.0
16.5
10.5
10.5
6.0
4.5
3.5
4.0
0.5
INSA
28 Feb – 3 Mar 2025
2,002
23.0
22.0
15.5
11.0
9.5
6.5
5.0
3.5
4.0
1.0
2025 federal election
23 Feb 2025
–
22.6
20.8
16.4
11.6
8.8
6.0
5.0
4.3
4.6
1.8
· Poll results › Scenario polls › Nation-wide CSU
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
29 Aug – 1 Sep 2025
Samplesize
2,004
CDU
20
AfD
24
SPD
12.5
Grüne
11
Linke
10
CSU
12.5
BSW
3.5
FDP
2.5
Others
4
Lead
4
2025 federal election
2025 federal election
Polling firm
2025 federal election
Fieldwork date
23 Feb 2025
Samplesize
–
CDU
22.6
AfD
20.8
SPD
16.4
Grüne
11.6
Linke
8.8
CSU
6.0
BSW
4.98
FDP
4.3
Others
4.6
Lead
1.8
Polling firm
Fieldwork date
Samplesize
CDU
AfD
SPD
Grüne
Linke
CSU
BSW
FDP
Others
Lead
INSA
29 Aug – 1 Sep 2025
2,004
20
24
12.5
11
10
12.5
3.5
2.5
4
4
2025 federal election
23 Feb 2025
–
22.6
20.8
16.4
11.6
8.8
6.0
4.98
4.3
4.6
1.8
· Poll results › Scenario polls › Voting intention after hypothetical AfD ban
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
5–9 May 2025
Samplesize
1,203
Union
30
AfD
–
SPD
19
Grüne
13
Linke
12
BSW
11
FDP
6
Others
9
Lead
11
2025 federal election
2025 federal election
Polling firm
2025 federal election
Fieldwork date
23 Feb 2025
Samplesize
–
Union
28.5
AfD
20.8
SPD
16.4
Grüne
11.6
Linke
8.8
BSW
4.98
FDP
4.3
Others
4.6
Lead
7.7
Polling firm
Fieldwork date
Samplesize
Union
AfD
SPD
Grüne
Linke
BSW
FDP
Others
Lead
INSA
5–9 May 2025
1,203
30
–
19
13
12
11
6
9
11
2025 federal election
23 Feb 2025
–
28.5
20.8
16.4
11.6
8.8
4.98
4.3
4.6
7.7
· By state › Bavaria
Forsa
Forsa
Polling firm
Forsa
Fieldwork date
1–10 Sep 2025
Samplesize
1,012
CSU
33
AfD
24
Grüne
13
SPD
9
Linke
8
Free Voters
3
FDP
3
BSW
2
Others
5
Lead
9
2025 federal election
2025 federal election
Polling firm
2025 federal election
Fieldwork date
23 Feb 2025
Samplesize
–
CSU
37.2
AfD
19.0
Grüne
12.0
SPD
11.5
Linke
5.7
Free Voters
4.3
FDP
4.2
BSW
3.1
Others
2.9
Lead
18.2
Polling firm
Fieldwork date
Samplesize
CSU
AfD
Grüne
SPD
Linke
Free Voters
FDP
BSW
Others
Lead
Forsa
1–10 Sep 2025
1,012
33
24
13
9
8
3
3
2
5
9
2025 federal election
23 Feb 2025
–
37.2
19.0
12.0
11.5
5.7
4.3
4.2
3.1
2.9
18.2
· By state › North Rhine-Westphalia
Forsa
Forsa
Polling firm
Forsa
Fieldwork date
25 Jun – 2 Jul 2025
Samplesize
1,507
CDU
30
SPD
18
AfD
18
Grüne
13
Linke
9
FDP
4
BSW
3
Others
5
Lead
12
2025 federal election
2025 federal election
Polling firm
2025 federal election
Fieldwork date
23 Feb 2025
Samplesize
–
CDU
30.1
SPD
20.0
AfD
16.8
Grüne
12.4
Linke
8.3
FDP
4.4
BSW
4.1
Others
3.9
Lead
11.1
Polling firm
Fieldwork date
Samplesize
CDU
SPD
AfD
Grüne
Linke
FDP
BSW
Others
Lead
Forsa
25 Jun – 2 Jul 2025
1,507
30
18
18
13
9
4
3
5
12
2025 federal election
23 Feb 2025
–
30.1
20.0
16.8
12.4
8.3
4.4
4.1
3.9
11.1
· By Western and Eastern Germany › Western Germany
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
5–8 Dec 2025
Samplesize
2,007 in all of Germany
Union
27
AfD
23.5
SPD
15.5
Grüne
11.5
Linke
10.5
BSW
2.5
FDP
4.5
Others
5
Lead
3.5
YouGov
YouGov
Polling firm
YouGov
Fieldwork date
14–17 Nov 2025
Samplesize
1,540 in West Germany
Union
29
AfD
23
SPD
15
Grüne
12
Linke
10
BSW
3
FDP
4
Others
5
Lead
6
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
17–20 Oct 2025
Samplesize
2,006 in all of Germany
Union
26
AfD
24
SPD
14
Grüne
12
Linke
11
BSW
4
FDP
5
Others
4
Lead
2
YouGov
YouGov
Polling firm
YouGov
Fieldwork date
10–13 Oct 2025
Samplesize
1,465 in West Germany
Union
29
AfD
24
SPD
15
Grüne
12
Linke
9
BSW
3
FDP
4
Others
5
Lead
5
YouGov
YouGov
Polling firm
YouGov
Fieldwork date
12–15 Sep 2025
Samplesize
1,285 in West Germany
Union
28
AfD
24
SPD
16
Grüne
12
Linke
8
BSW
4
FDP
4
Others
4
Lead
4
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
5–8 Sep 2025
Samplesize
2,006 in all of Germany
Union
27
AfD
23
SPD
15
Grüne
12
Linke
9
BSW
4
FDP
4
Others
6
Lead
4
YouGov
YouGov
Polling firm
YouGov
Fieldwork date
15–18 Aug 2025
Samplesize
1,418 in West Germany
Union
29
AfD
23
SPD
15
Grüne
13
Linke
9
BSW
4
FDP
4
Others
4
Lead
6
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
8–11 Aug 2025
Samplesize
2,008 in all of Germany
Union
29
AfD
22
SPD
16
Grüne
12
Linke
8
BSW
4
FDP
3
Others
6
Lead
7
YouGov
YouGov
Polling firm
YouGov
Fieldwork date
11–14 Jul 2025
Samplesize
1,420 in West Germany
Union
29
AfD
22
SPD
15
Grüne
12
Linke
10
BSW
4
FDP
3
Others
5
Lead
7
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
27–30 Jun 2025
Samplesize
2,008 in all of Germany
Union
29
AfD
21
SPD
17
Grüne
12
Linke
9
BSW
4
FDP
4
Others
4
Lead
8
YouGov
YouGov
Polling firm
YouGov
Fieldwork date
13–16 Jun 2025
Samplesize
1,491 in West Germany
Union
30
AfD
21
SPD
16
Grüne
14
Linke
7
BSW
4
FDP
4
Others
5
Lead
9
YouGov
YouGov
Polling firm
YouGov
Fieldwork date
9–12 May 2025
Samplesize
1,477 in West Germany
Union
29
AfD
22
SPD
16
Grüne
14
Linke
8
BSW
3
FDP
3
Others
5
Lead
7
YouGov
YouGov
Polling firm
YouGov
Fieldwork date
25–28 Apr 2025
Samplesize
1,520 in West Germany
Union
28
AfD
23
SPD
15
Grüne
12
Linke
10
BSW
4
FDP
4
Others
3
Lead
5
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
11–14 Apr 2025
Samplesize
2,002 in all of Germany
Union
28
AfD
21
SPD
17
Grüne
12
Linke
9
BSW
4
FDP
4
Others
5
Lead
7
YouGov
YouGov
Polling firm
YouGov
Fieldwork date
21–24 Mar 2025
Samplesize
1,451 in West Germany
Union
29
AfD
21
SPD
16
Grüne
13
Linke
9
BSW
5
FDP
4
Others
5
Lead
8
2025 federal election
2025 federal election
Polling firm
2025 federal election
Fieldwork date
23 Feb 2025
Samplesize
–
Union
30.7
AfD
17.9
SPD
17.6
Grüne
12.7
Linke
7.9
BSW
4.6
FDP
3.9
Others
4.8
Lead
12.8
Polling firm
Fieldwork date
Samplesize
Union
AfD
SPD
Grüne
Linke
BSW
FDP
Others
Lead
INSA
5–8 Dec 2025
2,007 in all of Germany
27
23.5
15.5
11.5
10.5
2.5
4.5
5
3.5
YouGov
14–17 Nov 2025
1,540 in West Germany
29
23
15
12
10
3
4
5
6
INSA
17–20 Oct 2025
2,006 in all of Germany
26
24
14
12
11
4
5
4
2
YouGov
10–13 Oct 2025
1,465 in West Germany
29
24
15
12
9
3
4
5
5
YouGov
12–15 Sep 2025
1,285 in West Germany
28
24
16
12
8
4
4
4
4
INSA
5–8 Sep 2025
2,006 in all of Germany
27
23
15
12
9
4
4
6
4
YouGov
15–18 Aug 2025
1,418 in West Germany
29
23
15
13
9
4
4
4
6
INSA
8–11 Aug 2025
2,008 in all of Germany
29
22
16
12
8
4
3
6
7
YouGov
11–14 Jul 2025
1,420 in West Germany
29
22
15
12
10
4
3
5
7
INSA
27–30 Jun 2025
2,008 in all of Germany
29
21
17
12
9
4
4
4
8
YouGov
13–16 Jun 2025
1,491 in West Germany
30
21
16
14
7
4
4
5
9
YouGov
9–12 May 2025
1,477 in West Germany
29
22
16
14
8
3
3
5
7
YouGov
25–28 Apr 2025
1,520 in West Germany
28
23
15
12
10
4
4
3
5
INSA
11–14 Apr 2025
2,002 in all of Germany
28
21
17
12
9
4
4
5
7
YouGov
21–24 Mar 2025
1,451 in West Germany
29
21
16
13
9
5
4
5
8
2025 federal election
23 Feb 2025
–
30.7
17.9
17.6
12.7
7.9
4.6
3.9
4.8
12.8
· By Western and Eastern Germany › Eastern Germany
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
5–8 Dec 2025
Samplesize
2,007 in all of Germany
AfD
39.5
Union
14
Linke
12
SPD
12.5
BSW
10.5
Grüne
7
FDP
2.5
Others
2
Lead
25.5
YouGov
YouGov
Polling firm
YouGov
Fieldwork date
14–17 Nov 2025
Samplesize
465 in East Germany
AfD
35
Union
18
Linke
16
SPD
11
BSW
5
Grüne
7
FDP
5
Others
4
Lead
17
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
17–20 Oct 2025
Samplesize
2,006 in all of Germany
AfD
40
Union
19
Linke
12
SPD
12
BSW
8
Grüne
5
FDP
2
Others
2
Lead
21
YouGov
YouGov
Polling firm
YouGov
Fieldwork date
10–13 Oct 2025
Samplesize
415 in East Germany
AfD
36
Union
18
Linke
17
SPD
9
BSW
7
Grüne
7
FDP
2
Others
4
Lead
18
YouGov
YouGov
Polling firm
YouGov
Fieldwork date
12–15 Sep 2025
Samplesize
364 in East Germany
AfD
37
Union
17
Linke
11
SPD
10
BSW
8
Grüne
8
FDP
4
Others
5
Lead
20
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
5–8 Sep 2025
Samplesize
2,006 in all of Germany
AfD
36
Union
19
Linke
15
SPD
13
BSW
7
Grüne
7
FDP
2
Others
1
Lead
17
YouGov
YouGov
Polling firm
YouGov
Fieldwork date
15–18 Aug 2025
Samplesize
413 in East Germany
AfD
36
Union
18
Linke
13
SPD
9
BSW
9
Grüne
6
FDP
3
Others
5
Lead
18
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
8–11 Aug 2025
Samplesize
2,008 in all of Germany
AfD
37
Union
17
Linke
15
SPD
10
BSW
7
Grüne
4
FDP
4
Others
6
Lead
20
YouGov
YouGov
Polling firm
YouGov
Fieldwork date
11–14 Jul 2025
Samplesize
400 in East Germany
AfD
36
Union
17
Linke
13
SPD
9
BSW
7
Grüne
7
FDP
4
Others
6
Lead
19
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
27–30 Jun 2025
Samplesize
2,008 in all of Germany
AfD
34
Union
23
Linke
13
SPD
10
BSW
9
Grüne
7
FDP
2
Others
2
Lead
11
YouGov
YouGov
Polling firm
YouGov
Fieldwork date
13–16 Jun 2025
Samplesize
421 in East Germany
AfD
32
Union
22
Linke
14
SPD
10
BSW
7
Grüne
9
FDP
2
Others
5
Lead
10
YouGov
YouGov
Polling firm
YouGov
Fieldwork date
9–12 May 2025
Samplesize
450 in East Germany
AfD
36
Union
19
Linke
12
SPD
10
BSW
8
Grüne
7
FDP
5
Others
2
Lead
17
YouGov
YouGov
Polling firm
YouGov
Fieldwork date
25–28 Apr 2025
Samplesize
467 in East Germany
AfD
35
Union
17
Linke
12
SPD
11
BSW
8
Grüne
8
FDP
4
Others
5
Lead
18
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
11–14 Apr 2025
Samplesize
2,002 in all of Germany
AfD
38
Union
18
Linke
12
SPD
10
BSW
8
Grüne
7
FDP
3
Others
4
Lead
20
YouGov
YouGov
Polling firm
YouGov
Fieldwork date
21–24 Mar 2025
Samplesize
439 in East Germany
AfD
35
Union
18
Linke
15
SPD
11
BSW
7
Grüne
8
FDP
2
Others
3
Lead
17
2025 federal election
2025 federal election
Polling firm
2025 federal election
Fieldwork date
23 Feb 2025
Samplesize
–
AfD
34.6
Union
18.4
Linke
12.8
SPD
10.9
BSW
9.9
Grüne
6.5
FDP
3.1
Others
3.7
Lead
16.2
Polling firm
Fieldwork date
Samplesize
AfD
Union
Linke
SPD
BSW
Grüne
FDP
Others
Lead
INSA
5–8 Dec 2025
2,007 in all of Germany
39.5
14
12
12.5
10.5
7
2.5
2
25.5
YouGov
14–17 Nov 2025
465 in East Germany
35
18
16
11
5
7
5
4
17
INSA
17–20 Oct 2025
2,006 in all of Germany
40
19
12
12
8
5
2
2
21
YouGov
10–13 Oct 2025
415 in East Germany
36
18
17
9
7
7
2
4
18
YouGov
12–15 Sep 2025
364 in East Germany
37
17
11
10
8
8
4
5
20
INSA
5–8 Sep 2025
2,006 in all of Germany
36
19
15
13
7
7
2
1
17
YouGov
15–18 Aug 2025
413 in East Germany
36
18
13
9
9
6
3
5
18
INSA
8–11 Aug 2025
2,008 in all of Germany
37
17
15
10
7
4
4
6
20
YouGov
11–14 Jul 2025
400 in East Germany
36
17
13
9
7
7
4
6
19
INSA
27–30 Jun 2025
2,008 in all of Germany
34
23
13
10
9
7
2
2
11
YouGov
13–16 Jun 2025
421 in East Germany
32
22
14
10
7
9
2
5
10
YouGov
9–12 May 2025
450 in East Germany
36
19
12
10
8
7
5
2
17
YouGov
25–28 Apr 2025
467 in East Germany
35
17
12
11
8
8
4
5
18
INSA
11–14 Apr 2025
2,002 in all of Germany
38
18
12
10
8
7
3
4
20
YouGov
21–24 Mar 2025
439 in East Germany
35
18
15
11
7
8
2
3
17
2025 federal election
23 Feb 2025
–
34.6
18.4
12.8
10.9
9.9
6.5
3.1
3.7
16.2
· Chancellor polling › Merz vs. Weidel
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
30 Oct – 3 Nov 2025
Samplesize
2,002
MerzUnion
27
WeidelAfD
29
Neither
44
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
19–22 Sep 2025
Samplesize
2,002
MerzUnion
27
WeidelAfD
29
Neither
44
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
27–30 Jun 2025
Samplesize
2,008
MerzUnion
36
WeidelAfD
27
Neither
37
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
11–14 Apr 2025
Samplesize
2,002
MerzUnion
34
WeidelAfD
26
Neither
40
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
28–31 Mar 2025
Samplesize
2,006
MerzUnion
35
WeidelAfD
27
Neither
38
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
21–24 Mar 2025
Samplesize
2,004
MerzUnion
37
WeidelAfD
28
Neither
35
Polling firm
Fieldwork date
Samplesize
MerzUnion
WeidelAfD
Neither
INSA
30 Oct – 3 Nov 2025
2,002
27
29
44
INSA
19–22 Sep 2025
2,002
27
29
44
INSA
27–30 Jun 2025
2,008
36
27
37
INSA
11–14 Apr 2025
2,002
34
26
40
INSA
28–31 Mar 2025
2,006
35
27
38
INSA
21–24 Mar 2025
2,004
37
28
35
· Preferred coalition
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
27–30 Jun 2025
Samplesize
2,008
UnionAfD
24
UnionAfD
13
UnionSPDGrüne
13
UnionSPDGrüne
9
UnionSPDGrüne
9
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
11–14 Apr 2025
Samplesize
2,002
UnionAfD
26
UnionAfD
19
UnionSPDGrüne
–
UnionSPDGrüne
15
UnionSPDGrüne
9
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Fieldwork date
4–7 Apr 2025
Samplesize
2,008
UnionAfD
27
UnionAfD
19
UnionSPDGrüne
–
UnionSPDGrüne
14
UnionSPDGrüne
10
Polling firm
Fieldwork date
Samplesize
UnionAfD
UnionSPDGrüne
SPDGrüneLinke
UnionSPDLinke
Union
INSA
27–30 Jun 2025
2,008
24
13
13
9
9
INSA
11–14 Apr 2025
2,002
26
19
–
15
9
INSA
4–7 Apr 2025
2,008
27
19
–
14
10
· Constituency projections › Constituency pluralities
election.de
election.de
Polling firm
election.de
Release date
15 Nov 2025
Union
181
AfD
52
SPD
45
Grüne
14
Linke
7
election.de
election.de
Polling firm
election.de
Release date
15 Oct 2025
Union
183
AfD
52
SPD
43
Grüne
13
Linke
8
election.de
election.de
Polling firm
election.de
Release date
15 Sep 2025
Union
186
AfD
49
SPD
43
Grüne
14
Linke
7
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Release date
15 Sep 2025
Union
178
AfD
61
SPD
39
Grüne
13
Linke
8
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Release date
8 Sep 2025
Union
172
AfD
73
SPD
34
Grüne
12
Linke
8
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Release date
1 Sep 2025
Union
172
AfD
68
SPD
39
Grüne
12
Linke
8
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Release date
25 Aug 2025
Union
159
AfD
73
SPD
48
Grüne
12
Linke
7
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Release date
18 Aug 2025
Union
177
AfD
61
SPD
41
Grüne
12
Linke
8
election.de
election.de
Polling firm
election.de
Release date
15 Aug 2025
Union
188
AfD
49
SPD
41
Grüne
14
Linke
7
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Release date
11 Aug 2025
Union
197
AfD
55
SPD
29
Grüne
10
Linke
8
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Release date
4 Aug 2025
Union
194
AfD
54
SPD
36
Grüne
10
Linke
5
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Release date
28 Jul 2025
Union
195
AfD
51
SPD
38
Grüne
9
Linke
6
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Release date
21 Jul 2025
Union
204
AfD
53
SPD
26
Grüne
10
Linke
6
election.de
election.de
Polling firm
election.de
Release date
15 Jul 2025
Union
197
AfD
48
SPD
36
Grüne
11
Linke
7
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Release date
14 Jul 2025
Union
191
AfD
49
SPD
40
Grüne
13
Linke
6
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Release date
7 Jul 2025
Union
205
AfD
50
SPD
26
Grüne
13
Linke
5
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Release date
30 Jun 2025
Union
190
AfD
46
SPD
43
Grüne
14
Linke
6
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Release date
23 Jun 2025
Union
186
AfD
47
SPD
47
Grüne
13
Linke
6
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Release date
16 Jun 2025
Union
184
AfD
48
SPD
46
Grüne
16
Linke
5
election.de
election.de
Polling firm
election.de
Release date
15 Jun 2025
Union
189
AfD
49
SPD
41
Grüne
13
Linke
7
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Release date
10 Jun 2025
Union
195
AfD
47
SPD
44
Grüne
10
Linke
3
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Release date
2 Jun 2025
Union
182
AfD
52
SPD
52
Grüne
9
Linke
4
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Release date
26 May 2025
Union
174
AfD
54
SPD
52
Grüne
13
Linke
6
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Release date
19 May 2025
Union
180
AfD
55
SPD
44
Grüne
15
Linke
5
election.de
election.de
Polling firm
election.de
Release date
15 May 2025
Union
181
AfD
51
SPD
46
Grüne
13
Linke
8
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Release date
12 May 2025
Union
160
AfD
61
SPD
60
Grüne
14
Linke
4
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Release date
5 May 2025
Union
157
AfD
66
SPD
57
Grüne
14
Linke
5
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Release date
28 Apr 2025
Union
158
AfD
69
SPD
51
Grüne
16
Linke
5
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Release date
22 Apr 2025
Union
174
AfD
58
SPD
48
Grüne
14
Linke
5
election.de
election.de
Polling firm
election.de
Release date
15 Apr 2025
Union
181
AfD
50
SPD
47
Grüne
14
Linke
7
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Release date
14 Apr 2025
Union
165
AfD
50
SPD
59
Grüne
20
Linke
5
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Release date
7 Apr 2025
Union
160
AfD
65
SPD
56
Grüne
13
Linke
5
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Release date
31 Mar 2025
Union
178
AfD
48
SPD
51
Grüne
16
Linke
6
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Release date
24 Mar 2025
Union
192
AfD
52
SPD
35
Grüne
12
Linke
8
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Release date
17 Mar 2025
Union
199
AfD
44
SPD
40
Grüne
7
Linke
9
election.de
election.de
Polling firm
election.de
Release date
15 Mar 2025
Union
192
AfD
45
SPD
43
Grüne
11
Linke
8
INSA
INSA
Polling firm
INSA
Release date
10 Mar 2025
Union
189
AfD
41
SPD
55
Grüne
8
Linke
6
2025 federal election
2025 federal election
Polling firm
2025 federal election
Release date
23 Feb 2025
Union
190
AfD
46
SPD
45
Grüne
12
Linke
6
Polling firm
Release date
Union
AfD
SPD
Grüne
Linke
election.de
15 Nov 2025
181
52
45
14
7
election.de
15 Oct 2025
183
52
43
13
8
election.de
15 Sep 2025
186
49
43
14
7
INSA
15 Sep 2025
178
61
39
13
8
INSA
8 Sep 2025
172
73
34
12
8
INSA
1 Sep 2025
172
68
39
12
8
INSA
25 Aug 2025
159
73
48
12
7
INSA
18 Aug 2025
177
61
41
12
8
election.de
15 Aug 2025
188
49
41
14
7
INSA
11 Aug 2025
197
55
29
10
8
INSA
4 Aug 2025
194
54
36
10
5
INSA
28 Jul 2025
195
51
38
9
6
INSA
21 Jul 2025
204
53
26
10
6
election.de
15 Jul 2025
197
48
36
11
7
INSA
14 Jul 2025
191
49
40
13
6
INSA
7 Jul 2025
205
50
26
13
5
INSA
30 Jun 2025
190
46
43
14
6
INSA
23 Jun 2025
186
47
47
13
6
INSA
16 Jun 2025
184
48
46
16
5
election.de
15 Jun 2025
189
49
41
13
7
INSA
10 Jun 2025
195
47
44
10
3
INSA
2 Jun 2025
182
52
52
9
4
INSA
26 May 2025
174
54
52
13
6
INSA
19 May 2025
180
55
44
15
5
election.de
15 May 2025
181
51
46
13
8
INSA
12 May 2025
160
61
60
14
4
INSA
5 May 2025
157
66
57
14
5
INSA
28 Apr 2025
158
69
51
16
5
INSA
22 Apr 2025
174
58
48
14
5
election.de
15 Apr 2025
181
50
47
14
7
INSA
14 Apr 2025
165
50
59
20
5
INSA
7 Apr 2025
160
65
56
13
5
INSA
31 Mar 2025
178
48
51
16
6
INSA
24 Mar 2025
192
52
35
12
8
INSA
17 Mar 2025
199
44
40
7
9
election.de
15 Mar 2025
192
45
43
11
8
INSA
10 Mar 2025
189
41
55
8
6
2025 federal election
23 Feb 2025
190
46
45
12
6
· Constituency projections › By probability
Safe
Safe
Polling firm
Safe
Release date
Likely
Union
Lean
Union
Safe
Union
Likely
AfD
Lean
AfD
Safe
AfD
Likely
SPD
Lean
SPD
Safe
SPD
Likely
Grüne
Lean
Grüne
Safe
Grüne
Likely
Linke
Lean
election.de
election.de
Polling firm
election.de
Release date
15 Nov 2025
Union
34
Union
96
Union
51
AfD
38
AfD
6
AfD
8
SPD
1
SPD
14
SPD
30
Grüne
0
Grüne
3
Grüne
11
Linke
2
Linke
4
Linke
1
election.de
election.de
Polling firm
election.de
Release date
15 Oct 2025
Union
34
Union
97
Union
52
AfD
38
AfD
6
AfD
8
SPD
1
SPD
14
SPD
28
Grüne
0
Grüne
3
Grüne
10
Linke
2
Linke
4
Linke
2
election.de
election.de
Polling firm
election.de
Release date
15 Sep 2025
Union
51
Union
92
Union
43
AfD
34
AfD
9
AfD
6
SPD
3
SPD
13
SPD
27
Grüne
0
Grüne
3
Grüne
11
Linke
2
Linke
4
Linke
1
election.de
election.de
Polling firm
election.de
Release date
15 Aug 2025
Union
58
Union
85
Union
45
AfD
33
AfD
10
AfD
6
SPD
1
SPD
14
SPD
26
Grüne
0
Grüne
3
Grüne
11
Linke
2
Linke
3
Linke
2
election.de
election.de
Polling firm
election.de
Release date
15 Jul 2025
Union
80
Union
78
Union
39
AfD
31
AfD
11
AfD
6
SPD
1
SPD
13
SPD
22
Grüne
0
Grüne
3
Grüne
8
Linke
2
Linke
3
Linke
2
election.de
election.de
Polling firm
election.de
Release date
15 Jun 2025
Union
57
Union
87
Union
45
AfD
33
AfD
10
AfD
6
SPD
2
SPD
14
SPD
25
Grüne
0
Grüne
3
Grüne
10
Linke
2
Linke
4
Linke
1
election.de
election.de
Polling firm
election.de
Release date
15 May 2025
Union
38
Union
95
Union
48
AfD
35
AfD
9
AfD
7
SPD
2
SPD
13
SPD
31
Grüne
0
Grüne
3
Grüne
10
Linke
2
Linke
4
Linke
2
election.de
election.de
Polling firm
election.de
Release date
15 Apr 2025
Union
41
Union
93
Union
47
AfD
35
AfD
9
AfD
6
SPD
3
SPD
13
SPD
31
Grüne
0
Grüne
3
Grüne
11
Linke
2
Linke
4
Linke
1
election.de
election.de
Polling firm
election.de
Release date
15 Mar 2025
Union
82
Union
75
Union
35
AfD
31
AfD
11
AfD
3
SPD
3
SPD
12
SPD
28
Grüne
0
Grüne
2
Grüne
9
Linke
2
Linke
4
Linke
2
2025 federal election
2025 federal election
Polling firm
2025 federal election
Release date
23 Feb 2025
Union
190
Union
46
Union
45
AfD
12
AfD
6
Polling firm
Release date
Union
AfD
SPD
Grüne
Linke
Safe
Likely
Lean
Safe
Likely
Lean
Safe
Likely
Lean
Safe
Likely
Lean
Safe
Likely
Lean
election.de
15 Nov 2025
34
96
51
38
6
8
1
14
30
0
3
11
2
4
1
election.de
15 Oct 2025
34
97
52
38
6
8
1
14
28
0
3
10
2
4
2
election.de
15 Sep 2025
51
92
43
34
9
6
3
13
27
0
3
11
2
4
1
election.de
15 Aug 2025
58
85
45
33
10
6
1
14
26
0
3
11
2
3
2
election.de
15 Jul 2025
80
78
39
31
11
6
1
13
22
0
3
8
2
3
2
election.de
15 Jun 2025
57
87
45
33
10
6
2
14
25
0
3
10
2
4
1
election.de
15 May 2025
38
95
48
35
9
7
2
13
31
0
3
10
2
4
2
election.de
15 Apr 2025
41
93
47
35
9
6
3
13
31
0
3
11
2
4
1
election.de
15 Mar 2025
82
75
35
31
11
3
3
12
28
0
2
9
2
4
2
2025 federal election
23 Feb 2025
190
46
45
12
6
· Constituency projections › Second place
election.de
election.de
Polling firm
election.de
Release date
15 Nov 2025
SPD
70
Union
77
AfD
128
Grüne
20
Linke
4
election.de
election.de
Polling firm
election.de
Release date
15 Oct 2025
SPD
71
Union
75
AfD
129
Grüne
21
Linke
3
election.de
election.de
Polling firm
election.de
Release date
15 Sep 2025
SPD
79
Union
78
AfD
117
Grüne
21
Linke
4
election.de
election.de
Polling firm
election.de
Release date
15 Aug 2025
SPD
80
Union
80
AfD
114
Grüne
21
Linke
4
election.de
election.de
Polling firm
election.de
Release date
15 Jul 2025
SPD
89
Union
78
AfD
104
Grüne
24
Linke
4
election.de
election.de
Polling firm
election.de
Release date
15 Jun 2025
SPD
81
Union
79
AfD
113
Grüne
22
Linke
4
election.de
election.de
Polling firm
election.de
Release date
15 May 2025
SPD
72
Union
81
AfD
122
Grüne
21
Linke
3
election.de
election.de
Polling firm
election.de
Release date
15 Apr 2025
SPD
75
Union
82
AfD
117
Grüne
21
Linke
4
election.de
election.de
Polling firm
election.de
Release date
15 Mar 2025
SPD
94
Union
82
AfD
96
Grüne
24
Linke
3
2025 federal election
2025 federal election
Polling firm
2025 federal election
Release date
23 Feb 2025
SPD
111
Union
82
AfD
79
Grüne
22
Linke
5
Polling firm
Release date
SPD
Union
AfD
Grüne
Linke
election.de
15 Nov 2025
70
77
128
20
4
election.de
15 Oct 2025
71
75
129
21
3
election.de
15 Sep 2025
79
78
117
21
4
election.de
15 Aug 2025
80
80
114
21
4
election.de
15 Jul 2025
89
78
104
24
4
election.de
15 Jun 2025
81
79
113
22
4
election.de
15 May 2025
72
81
122
21
3
election.de
15 Apr 2025
75
82
117
21
4
election.de
15 Mar 2025
94
82
96
24
3
2025 federal election
23 Feb 2025
111
82
79
22
5

References

  1. Rounded from 4.98%, which is below the threshold for parliamentary representation in Germany.
  2. Coalition would break the cordon sanitaire/firewall against the far-right in Germany with the AfD.
  3. europeelects.eu
    https://europeelects.eu/europe-elects-truth-in-polling/
  4. Wahlrecht.de
    https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/insa.htm
  5. Wahlrecht.de
    https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/forsa.htm
  6. Wahlrecht.de
    https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/politbarometer.htm
  7. Wahlrecht.de
    https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/emnid.htm
  8. Wahlrecht.de
    https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/allensbach.htm
  9. Wahlrecht.de
    https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/dimap.htm
  10. Wahlrecht.de
    https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/weitere-umfragen.htm
  11. Wahlrecht.de
    https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/ipsos.htm
  12. Wahlrecht.de
    https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/yougov.htm
  13. Wahlrecht.de
    https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/gms.htm
  14. wahlkreisprognose.de
    https://www.wahlkreisprognose.de/trends-im-bund/
  15. tagesschau.de
    https://www.tagesschau.de/inland/innenpolitik/wahlrechtsreform-rechtliche-huerden-101.html
  16. election.de
    https://www.election.de/cgi-bin/showforecast_btw29.pl?map=251115
  17. election.de
    https://www.election.de/cgi-bin/showforecast_btw29.pl?map=251015
  18. election.de
    https://www.election.de/cgi-bin/showforecast_btw29.pl?map=250915
  19. election.de
    https://www.election.de/cgi-bin/showforecast_btw29.pl?map=btw29e_prognose_251115_zweiter
  20. election.de
    https://www.election.de/cgi-bin/showforecast_btw29.pl?map=btw29e_prognose_251015_zweiter
  21. election.de
    https://www.election.de/cgi-bin/showforecast_btw29.pl?map=btw29e_prognose_250915_zweiter
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