Opinion polling for the 2025 Dutch general election
Updated: 5/24/2026, 7:16:05 PM Wikipedia source
In the run-up to the 2025 Dutch general election, various organisations are carrying out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions in the Netherlands. Results of such polls are displayed in this list. The date range for these opinion polls are from the 2023 Dutch general election, held on 22 November, to the present. Four main pollsters have performed opinion polls on voting intentions in the Netherlands during this period, these being: I&O Research, Ipsos, Peil and Verian. I&O Research and Ipsos merged in January 2024, polling separately until July when they decided to poll together under the name Ipsos I&O. Peil does not give percentages, only showing seats while the other pollsters do include percentages.
Tables
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | PVV | GL/PvdA | VVD | NSC | D66 | BBB | CDA | SP | Denk | |||||||||
| 2025 election | 29 Oct 2025 | – | 26 | 20 | 22 | 0 | 26 | 4 | 18 | 3 | 3 | |||||||||
| Ipsos I&O | 29 Oct 2025 | – | 25 | 20 | 23 | 0 | 27 | 4 | 19 | 3 | 3 | |||||||||
| Peil | 28 Oct 2025 | ~8,000 | 23 | 23 | 22 | 0 | 22 | 4 | 20 | 4 | 4 | |||||||||
| Verian | 27–28 Oct 2025 | 1,151 | 29 | 25 | 16 | 0 | 24 | 3 | 19 | 5 | 3 | |||||||||
| Ipsos I&O | 25–28 Oct 2025 | 2,505 | 23 | 23 | 17 | 1 | 23 | 5 | 19 | 4 | 3 | |||||||||
| Peil | 24 Oct 2025 | 7,500+ | 29 | 24 | 20 | 0 | 17 | 4 | 22 | 4 | 4 | |||||||||
| Ipsos I&O | 23–24 Oct 2025 | 2,745 | 26 | 23 | 16 | 0 | 22 | 4 | 20 | 4 | 3 | |||||||||
| Verian | 17–20 Oct 2025 | 1,473 | 34 | 25 | 15 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 23 | 4 | 3 | |||||||||
| Peil | 17 Oct 2025 | 7,500– | 28 | 24 | 16 | 0 | 17 | 4 | 24 | 4 | 4 | |||||||||
| Ipsos I&O | 13–15 Oct 2025 | 2,455 | 29 | 22 | 14 | 0 | 18 | 4 | 25 | 4 | 3 | |||||||||
| Verian | 10–13 Oct 2025 | 1,566 | 31 | 25 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 23 | 4 | 2 | |||||||||
| Peil | 10 Oct 2025 | 7,000+ | 31 | 25 | 15 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 22 | 4 | 4 | |||||||||
| Ipsos I&O | 3–6 Oct 2025 | 2,079 | 31 | 22 | 13 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 24 | 4 | 4 | |||||||||
| Peil | 3 Oct 2025 | – | 30 | 27 | 13 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 23 | 6 | 4 | |||||||||
| Verian | 26–29 Sep 2025 | 1,074 | 34 | 23 | 14 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 23 | 7 | 3 | |||||||||
| Ipsos I&O | 26–29 Sep 2025 | 1,935 | 31 | 23 | 14 | 0 | 15 | 5 | 25 | 4 | 4 | |||||||||
| Peil | 26 Sep 2025 | – | 29 | 27 | 15 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 23 | 6 | 4 | |||||||||
| Peil | 19 Sep 2025 | – | 29 | 26 | 16 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 7 | 4 | |||||||||
| Ipsos I&O | 13–15 Sep 2025 | 1,920 | 32 | 23 | 14 | 0 | 13 | 4 | 24 | 6 | 4 | |||||||||
| Peil | 6 Sep 2025 | – | 28 | 28 | 15 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 24 | 7 | 4 | |||||||||
| Ipsos I&O | 29 Aug – 1 Sep 2025 | 1,991 | 31 | 23 | 15 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 25 | 6 | 4 | |||||||||
| 1 Sep 2025 | Eddy van Hijum is chosen as lead candidate of NSC | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30 Aug 2025 | Lidewij de Vos succeeds Thierry Baudet as lead candidate of FvD | |||||||||||||||||||
| Verian | 22–25 Aug 2025 | 1,574 | 33 | 26 | 15 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 22 | 7 | 4 | |||||||||
| Peil | 25 Aug 2025 | 6,000 | 30 | 29 | 15 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 22 | 7 | 4 | |||||||||
| 22 Aug 2025 | NSC leaves the government coalition | |||||||||||||||||||
| Peil | 8–9 Aug 2025 | – | 28 | 28 | 16 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 24 | 8 | 4 | |||||||||
| Ipsos I&O | 25–28 Jul 2025 | 1,735 | 27 | 24 | 20 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 24 | 6 | 4 | |||||||||
| Verian | 25–28 Jul 2025 | 1,505 | 30 | 29 | 23 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 23 | 7 | 2 | |||||||||
| Peil | 26 Jul 2025 | – | 29 | 27 | 19 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 21 | 8 | 4 | |||||||||
| Peil | 5 Jul 2025 | – | 29 | 28 | 20 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 7 | 4 | |||||||||
| Verian | 20–23 Jun 2025 | 1,796 | 32 | 26 | 26 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 20 | 5 | 3 | |||||||||
| Peil | 20–21 Jun 2025 | – | 30 | 29 | 22 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 21 | 7 | 4 | |||||||||
| Ipsos I&O | 13–16 Jun 2025 | 1,969 | 30 | 29 | 24 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 21 | 5 | 3 | |||||||||
| Verian | 6–9 Jun 2025 | 1,594 | 33 | 25 | 26 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 20 | 6 | 4 | |||||||||
| Peil | 6–7 Jun 2025 | – | 31 | 30 | 24 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 4 | |||||||||
| Ipsos I&O | 5–6 Jun 2025 | 1,957 | 30 | 26 | 23 | 2 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 5 | 3 | |||||||||
| 3 Jun 2025 | PVV leaves government coalition, and the Schoof cabinet becomes demissionary | |||||||||||||||||||
| Peil | 31 May 2025 | – | 31 | 30 | 25 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 7 | 4 | |||||||||
| Verian | 23–26 May 2025 | 1,567 | 28 | 28 | 30 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 4 | |||||||||
| Ipsos I&O | 9–12 May 2025 | 1,877 | 29 | 28 | 26 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 17 | 6 | 4 | |||||||||
| Verian | 25–28 Apr 2025 | 1,574 | 29 | 27 | 28 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 18 | 6 | 4 | |||||||||
| Peil | 25–26 Apr 2025 | – | 28 | 29 | 26 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 8 | 4 | |||||||||
| 18 Apr 2025 | Nicolien van Vroonhoven succeeds Pieter Omtzigt as NSC leader | |||||||||||||||||||
| Ipsos I&O | 11–14 Apr 2025 | 1,990 | 28 | 27 | 26 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 18 | 6 | 4 | |||||||||
| Peil | 4 Apr 2025 | – | 29 | 29 | 25 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 19 | 7 | 4 | |||||||||
| Peil | 29 Mar 2025 | – | 29 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 7 | 4 | |||||||||
| Verian | 21–24 Mar 2025 | 1,564 | 31 | 27 | 28 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 4 | |||||||||
| Ipsos I&O | 14–17 Mar 2025 | 2,127 | 30 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 11 | 3 | 18 | 6 | 4 | |||||||||
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | PVV | GL/PvdA | VVD | NSC | D66 | BBB | CDA | SP | Denk |
| 2025 election | 29 Oct 2025 | – | 16 % | 12 % | 14 % | 0 % | 16 % | 2 % | 11 % | 1 % | 2 % |
| Verian | 27–28 Oct 2025 | 1,070 | 18 % | 15 % | 10 % | 0 % | 15 % | 2 % | 12 % | 3 % | 2 % |
| Ipsos I&O | 25–28 Oct 2025 | 2,505 | 14 % | 15 % | 10 % | 0 % | 15 % | 3 % | 12 % | 2 % | 2 % |
| Ipsos I&O | 23–24 Oct 2025 | 2,745 | 16 % | 15 % | 10 % | 0 % | 14 % | 2 % | 12 % | 2 % | 2 % |
| Ipsos I&O | 13–15 Oct 2025 | 2,455 | 18 % | 13 % | 8 % | 0 % | 11 % | 2 % | 15 % | 3 % | 2 % |
| Ipsos I&O | 3–6 Oct 2025 | 2,079 | 20 % | 14 % | 8 % | 0 % | 9 % | 2 % | 15 % | 2 % | 3 % |
| Verian | 26–29 Sep 2025 | 1,074 | 22 % | 14 % | 9 % | 0 % | 7 % | 2 % | 15 % | 4 % | 2 % |
| Ipsos I&O | 26–29 Sep 2025 | 1,935 | 19 % | 14 % | 9 % | 0 % | 9 % | 3 % | 15 % | 2 % | 2 % |
| Ipsos I&O | 13–15 Sep 2025 | 1,920 | 19 % | 14 % | 9 % | 0 % | 8 % | 2 % | 15 % | 4 % | 2 % |
| Ipsos I&O | 29 Aug – 1 Sep 2025 | 1,991 | 19 % | 14 % | 9 % | 0 % | 7 % | 4 % | 16 % | 4 % | 2 % |
| Verian | 22–25 Aug 2025 | 1,432 | 21 % | 16 % | 9 % | 0 % | 6 % | 2 % | 14 % | 5 % | 2 % |
| Ipsos I&O | 25–28 Jul 2025 | 1,735 | 17 % | 15 % | 12 % | 1 % | 8 % | 3 % | 15 % | 4 % | 2 % |
| Verian | 25–28 Jul 2025 | 1,505 | 19 % | 18 % | 15 % | 0 % | 6 % | 1 % | 14 % | 4 % | 1 % |
| Verian | 20–23 Jun 2025 | 1,796 | 20 % | 16 % | 16 % | 0 % | 5 % | 2 % | 13 % | 3 % | 2 % |
| Ipsos I&O | 13–16 Jun 2025 | 1,969 | 19 % | 18 % | 15 % | 1 % | 7 % | 2 % | 13 % | 3 % | 2 % |
| Ipsos I&O | 5–6 Jun 2025 | 1,957 | 19 % | 16 % | 14 % | 1 % | 8 % | 2 % | 11 % | 3 % | 2 % |
| Verian | 23–26 May 2025 | 1,567 | 18 % | 17 % | 19 % | 1 % | 6 % | 1 % | 11 % | 5 % | 3 % |
| Ipsos I&O | 9–12 May 2025 | 1,877 | 18 % | 18 % | 16 % | 1 % | 7 % | 2 % | 11 % | 4 % | 2 % |
| Verian | 25–28 Apr 2025 | 1,574 | 18 % | 17 % | 18 % | 0 % | 7 % | 2 % | 12 % | 4 % | 2 % |
| Ipsos I&O | 11–14 Apr 2025 | 1,990 | 17 % | 16 % | 16 % | 1 % | 6 % | 3 % | 11 % | 3 % | 2 % |
| Verian | 21–24 Mar 2025 | 1,564 | 19 % | 17 % | 18 % | 1 % | 6 % | 1 % | 9 % | 5 % | 3 % |
| Ipsos I&O | 14–17 Mar 2025 | 2,382 | 19 % | 16 % | 15 % | 1 % | 7 % | 2 % | 11 % | 4 % | 3 % |
| Verian | 21–24 Feb 2025 | 1,578 | 21 % | 17 % | 15 % | 1 % | 8 % | 2 % | 9 % | 5 % | 2 % |
| Ipsos I&O | 14–17 Feb 2025 | 2,382 | 21 % | 15 % | 12 % | 2 % | 6 % | 2 % | 10 % | 5 % | 2 % |
| Verian | 24–27 Jan 2025 | 1,556 | 24 % | 15 % | 14 % | 2 % | 7 % | 3 % | 10 % | 4 % | 2 % |
| Ipsos I&O | 17–20 Jan 2025 | 2,267 | 22 % | 15 % | 13 % | 1 % | 8 % | 3 % | 10 % | 4 % | 3 % |
| Verian | 24–28 Dec 2024 | 1,583 | 24 % | 16 % | 15 % | 1 % | 6 % | 3 % | 10 % | 4 % | 2 % |
| Ipsos I&O | 6–9 Dec 2024 | 1,925 | 23 % | 14 % | 14 % | 2 % | 8 % | 3 % | 8 % | 4 % | 2 % |
| Verian | 22–25 Nov 2024 | 1,551 | 26 % | 16 % | 14 % | 2 % | 7 % | 3 % | 8 % | 4 % | 2 % |
| Ipsos I&O | 9–11 Nov 2024 | 2,020 | 23 % | 16 % | 13 % | 2 % | 7 % | 3 % | 7 % | 5 % | 2 % |
| Verian | 25–28 Oct 2024 | 1,604 | 25 % | 15 % | 14 % | 2 % | 6 % | 4 % | 7 % | 3 % | 3 % |
| Ipsos I&O | 18–21 Oct 2024 | 2,143 | 24 % | 16 % | 13 % | 2 % | 7 % | 3 % | 7 % | 4 % | 2 % |
| Ipsos I&O | 20–23 Sep 2024 | 1,950 | 25 % | 16 % | 11 % | 4 % | 6 % | 3 % | 7 % | 3 % | 2 % |
| Verian | 20–23 Sep 2024 | 1,607 | 26 % | 17 % | 15 % | 2 % | 5 % | 4 % | 7 % | 4 % | 2 % |
| Ipsos I&O | 13–16 Sep 2024 | 2,208 | 27 % | 15 % | 13 % | 4 % | 7 % | 3 % | 6 % | 4 % | 2 % |
| Verian | 23–26 Aug 2024 | 1,594 | 24 % | 17 % | 15 % | 5 % | 7 % | 3 % | 5 % | 4 % | 2 % |
| Ipsos | 26–29 Jul 2024 | 1,016 | 25 % | 17 % | 13 % | 7 % | 6 % | 5 % | 5 % | 2 % | 2 % |
| Ipsos | 21–24 Jun 2024 | 1,017 | 27 % | 17 % | 13 % | 7 % | 7 % | 3 % | 4 % | 2 % | 2 % |
| I&O Research | 14–17 Jun 2024 | 1,979 | 27 % | 17 % | 12 % | 4 % | 7 % | 4 % | 6 % | 3 % | 1 % |
| EP elections | 6 Jun 2024 | – | 16 % | 21 % | 11 % | 3 % | 8 % | 5 % | 9 % | 2 % | – |
| Peil | 5–6 Jun 2024 | – | 26 % | 16 % | 12 % | 5 % | 6 % | 5 % | 6 % | 3 % | 2 % |
| Ipsos | 24–27 May 2024 | 2,048 | 30 % | 15 % | 12 % | 7 % | 6 % | 5 % | 4 % | 2 % | 2 % |
| I&O Research | 17–21 May 2024 | 2,141 | 29 % | 16 % | 11 % | 5 % | 6 % | 4 % | 4 % | 3 % | 2 % |
| I&O Research | 9–12 May 2024 | 1,839 | 30 % | 16 % | 11 % | 5 % | 6 % | 4 % | 4 % | 3 % | 1 % |
| Ipsos | 26–29 Apr 2024 | 1,011 | 28 % | 14 % | 12 % | 7 % | 6 % | 5 % | 3 % | 2 % | 2 % |
| Ipsos | 22–25 Mar 2024 | 1,016 | 31 % | 15 % | 12 % | 7 % | 6 % | 4 % | 4 % | 2 % | 2 % |
| Ipsos | 23–26 Feb 2024 | 1,022 | 31 % | 15 % | 12 % | 7 % | 7 % | 5 % | 4 % | 2 % | 3 % |
| I&O Research | 9–12 Feb 2024 | 2,752 | 31 % | 16 % | 11 % | 6 % | 6 % | 4 % | 4 % | 3 % | 1 % |
| Ipsos | 26–29 Jan 2024 | 1,025 | 28 % | 16 % | 12 % | 11 % | 6 % | 4 % | 3 % | 2 % | 2 % |
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | GL/PvdA | SP | Denk | PvdD | Others/Don't Know | Lead | Ref |
| Het Opiniehuis | 16–19 Nov 2024 | 970 | 12% | 5% | 64% | 4% | 16% | 52% |
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | PVV | GL/PvdA | VVD | D66 | CDA | SP | Denk | PvdD | CU |
| Het Opiniehuis | 26 Sep – 5 Oct 2025 | 1,007 | 3% | 18% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 32% | 11% | 1% |
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | PVV | GL/PvdA | VVD | NSC | D66 | BBB | CDA | SP | Denk |
| 2025 election | 29 Oct 2025 | – | 25 % | 10 % | 14 % | 0 % | 14 % | 2 % | 13 % | 2 % | 1 % |
| Peil | 24 Oct 2025 | – | 28 % | 14 % | 9 % | 0 % | 10 % | 4 % | 13 % | 3 % | 1 % |
| EP elections | 6 Jun 2024 | – | 24 % | 17 % | 10 % | 3 % | 6 % | 5 % | 15 % | 2 % | – |
| 2023 election | 22 Nov 2023 | – | 33 % | 13 % | 13 % | 14 % | 4 % | 4 % | 3 % | 3 % | 1 % |
References
- Part of the Schoof cabinet until 3 June 2025
- Part of the Schoof cabinet
- Part of the Schoof cabinet until 22 August 2025
- ipsos-publiekhttps://www.ipsos-publiek.nl/actueel/ipsos-nederland-en-io-gaan-samen-verder-als-ipsos-io/
- Europe Electshttps://europeelects.eu/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/EE_Truth-in-Polling-Final-Public-Report.pdf
- "Europe Elects. Truth in Polling"https://europeelects.eu/europe-elects-truth-in-polling/
- "Exitpoll Ipsos I&O: D66 (27 zetels) en PVV (25) nek aan nek, VVD op 23"https://nos.nl/artikel/2588446-exitpoll-ipsos-i-and-o-d66-27-zetels-en-pvv-25-nek-aan-nek-vvd-op-23
- mauricehttps://maurice.nl/2025/10/28/slotpeiling-en-prognose-tk205/
- EenVandaaghttps://eenvandaag.avrotros.nl/opiniepanel/uitslagen/d66-stijgt-8-zetels-in-laatste-zetelpeiling-voor-verkiezingen-pvv-daalt-5-zetels-161768
- Ipsos I&Ohttps://206.wpcdnnode.com/ipsos-publiek.nl/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/rapport-politieke-peiling-okt-iv-2025-1.pdf
- mauricehttps://maurice.nl/2025/10/26/na-het-sbs6-debat-nog-4-dagen/
- Ipsos I&Ohttps://206.wpcdnnode.com/ipsos-publiek.nl/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/rapport-politieke-peiling-okt-iii-2025.pdf
- EenVandaaghttps://eenvandaag.avrotros.nl/opiniepanel/uitslagen/pvv-stijgt-weer-iets-in-nieuwe-zetelpeiling-nog-steeds-veel-zwevende-kiezers-161702
- mauricehttps://maurice.nl/2025/10/19/cruciale-cijfers-voor-29-oktober-2025-11-dagen-voor-de-verkiezingen/
- Ipsos I&Ohttps://206.wpcdnnode.com/ipsos-publiek.nl/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/rapport-politieke-peiling-okt-ii-2025.pdf
- EenVandaaghttps://eenvandaag.avrotros.nl/opiniepanel/uitslagen/pvv-verliest-licht-in-nieuwe-zetelpeiling-d66-ja21-en-vvd-nu-op-gelijke-hoogte-161636
- mauricehttps://www.maurice.nl/2025/10/12/na-het-radio1-verkiezingsdebat/
- Ipsos I&Ohttps://206.wpcdnnode.com/ipsos-publiek.nl/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/rapport-politieke-peiling-okt-i-2025.pdf
- mauricehttps://www.maurice.nl/2025/10/04/vvd-zakt-verder-weg/
- EenVandaaghttps://eenvandaag.avrotros.nl/opiniepanel/uitslagen/groenlinks-pvda-door-verlies-in-laatste-zetelpeilingen-op-grotere-afstand-van-pvv-veel-kiezers-zweven-nog-161486