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Next French legislative election

Updated: 12/11/2025, 5:02:41 PM Wikipedia source

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in France by 2029 to elect all 577 members of the 18th National Assembly of the Fifth French Republic. However, given the current political crisis, a dissolution of the National Assembly for a snap election is possible before even the presidential election.

Infobox

Leader
Jordan Bardella
Alliance
NFP
Leader's seat
None[a]
Last election
142
Seats needed
147
Party
RN/UDR

Tables

Opinion polling for next French legislative election · Opinion polling
LFI
LFI
Polling firm
LFI
Date
LE
Sample size
PCF
EXG
PS
NFP
UDR
NFP
RN
Polling firm
Date
10 Oct 2025
Sample size
Second Lecornu government formed
Ifop
Ifop
Polling firm
Ifop
Date
7–8 Oct 2025
Sample size
1,386
EXG
1%
NFP
24%
NFP
4%
NFP
NFP
14%
DVG
ECO
12%
ENS
3%
DVC
1%
LR
35%
DVD
4%
DLF
2%
RN and allies
11%
1%
1%
Polling firm
1%
Date
8%
Sample size
19%
EXG
3%
NFP
NFP
13%
NFP
NFP
11%
DVG
2.5%
ECO
1%
ENS
36%
DVC
3.5%
LR
2%
DVD
19%
1%
1%
Polling firm
1%
Date
10%
Sample size
17%
EXG
3%
NFP
NFP
13%
NFP
NFP
11%
DVG
2%
ECO
1%
ENS
36%
DVC
4%
LR
2%
DVD
19%
OpinionWay
OpinionWay
Polling firm
OpinionWay
Date
6–7 Oct 2025
Sample size
1,012
EXG
2%
NFP
24%
NFP
NFP
NFP
16%
DVG
ECO
13%
ENS
DVC
LR
34%
DVD
5%
DLF
6%
RN and allies
10%
2%
2%
Polling firm
2%
Date
13%
Sample size
13%
EXG
NFP
NFP
15%
NFP
NFP
13%
DVG
ECO
ENS
33%
DVC
5%
LR
6%
DVD
18%
2%
2%
Polling firm
2%
Date
9%
Sample size
18%
EXG
NFP
NFP
14%
NFP
NFP
12%
DVG
ECO
ENS
33%
DVC
6%
LR
6%
DVD
15%
Polling firm
Date
5–6 Oct 2025
Sample size
First Lecornu government dissolved
Polling firm
Date
8–9 Sep 2025
Sample size
Bayrou government dissolved; First Lecornu government formed
Ifop
Ifop
Polling firm
Ifop
Date
5–8 Sep 2025
Sample size
1,089
EXG
1.5%
NFP
24%
NFP
5%
NFP
NFP
14%
DVG
ECO
12%
ENS
2.5%
DVC
2%
LR
34%
DVD
3.5%
DLF
1.5%
RN and allies
10%
1%
1%
Polling firm
1%
Date
9%
Sample size
19%
EXG
3%
NFP
NFP
14%
NFP
NFP
12%
DVG
2%
ECO
2%
ENS
33%
DVC
4%
LR
1%
DVD
14%
Cluster17
Cluster17
Polling firm
Cluster17
Date
5–7 Sep 2025
Sample size
1,133
EXG
1%
NFP
25%
NFP
5.5%
NFP
NFP
14%
DVG
1%
ECO
13%
ENS
2%
DVC
1.5%
LR
29%
DVD
4%
DLF
4%
RN and allies
4%
1%
1%
Polling firm
1%
Date
11%
Sample size
16%
EXG
3%
NFP
NFP
13%
NFP
1%
NFP
13%
DVG
2%
ECO
1.5%
ENS
29%
DVC
4.5%
LR
5%
DVD
13%
1%
1%
Polling firm
1%
Date
14%
Sample size
14%
EXG
3%
NFP
NFP
12.5%
NFP
1%
NFP
12%
DVG
3%
ECO
1.5%
ENS
29%
DVC
4%
LR
5%
DVD
15%
Harris
Harris
Polling firm
Harris
Date
4–5 Sep 2025
Sample size
2,017
EXG
1%
NFP
26%
NFP
6%
NFP
NFP
16%
DVG
ECO
10%
ENS
DVC
LR
33%
DVD
5%
DLF
3%
RN and allies
7%
1%
1%
Polling firm
1%
Date
10%
Sample size
19%
EXG
4%
NFP
NFP
16%
NFP
NFP
10%
DVG
ECO
ENS
33%
DVC
5%
LR
3%
DVD
14%
Ifop
Ifop
Polling firm
Ifop
Date
29 Aug–1 Sep 2025
Sample size
1,369
EXG
1%
NFP
25%
NFP
5%
NFP
NFP
15%
DVG
ECO
13%
ENS
2%
DVC
1.5%
LR
33%
DVD
4%
DLF
0.5%
RN and allies
8%
1%
1%
Polling firm
1%
Date
11%
Sample size
15%
EXG
4%
NFP
NFP
15%
NFP
NFP
13%
DVG
3%
ECO
1.5%
ENS
32%
DVC
3.5%
LR
1%
DVD
17%
Elabe
Elabe
Polling firm
Elabe
Date
28–29 Aug 2025
Sample size
1,563
EXG
2%
NFP
23.5%
NFP
6.5%
NFP
NFP
14%
DVG
ECO
10.5%
ENS
2.5%
DVC
LR
31.5%
DVD
5%
DLF
4.5%
RN and allies
8.0%
1.5%
1.5%
Polling firm
1.5%
Date
10%
Sample size
16.5%
EXG
5%
NFP
NFP
13.5%
NFP
NFP
10.5%
DVG
3%
ECO
ENS
31%
DVC
4.5%
LR
4.5%
DVD
14.5%
Elabe
Elabe
Polling firm
Elabe
Date
3–5 Jun 2025
Sample size
1,496
EXG
2%
NFP
21%
NFP
6.5%
NFP
NFP
15.5%
DVG
ECO
10%
ENS
3.5%
DVC
LR
32.5%
DVD
3%
DLF
6%
RN and allies
11.5%
1.5%
1.5%
Polling firm
1.5%
Date
10%
Sample size
16%
EXG
3.5%
NFP
NFP
15.5%
NFP
NFP
10.5%
DVG
3%
ECO
ENS
33%
DVC
2.5%
LR
4.5%
DVD
17%
Ifop
Ifop
Polling firm
Ifop
Date
3–4 Jun 2025
Sample size
1,385
EXG
0.5%
NFP
21%
NFP
7%
NFP
NFP
18%
DVG
ECO
11%
ENS
2%
DVC
1%
LR
1%
DVD
35%
DLF
2%
RN and allies
1.5%
RN and allies
14%
1%
1%
Polling firm
1%
Date
11%
Sample size
13%
EXG
4%
NFP
NFP
18%
NFP
NFP
11%
DVG
1.5%
ECO
1.5%
ENS
0.5%
DVC
35%
LR
2%
DVD
1.5%
DLF
17%
0.5%
0.5%
Polling firm
0.5%
Date
9%
Sample size
5%
EXG
3%
NFP
12%
NFP
3%
NFP
NFP
16%
DVG
ECO
10%
ENS
2%
DVC
1%
LR
0.5%
DVD
34%
DLF
2.5%
RN and allies
1.5%
RN and allies
18%
Ifop
Ifop
Polling firm
Ifop
Date
5–6 Feb 2025
Sample size
1,377
EXG
1%
NFP
14%
NFP
13%
NFP
2%
NFP
DVG
15%
ECO
ENS
13%
DVC
1%
LR
1%
DVD
1%
DLF
35%
RN and allies
3%
RN and allies
1%
REC
21%
1.5%
1.5%
Polling firm
1.5%
Date
8%
Sample size
19%
EXG
2.5%
NFP
NFP
15%
NFP
NFP
12%
DVG
1%
ECO
1%
ENS
0.5%
DVC
35%
LR
3%
DVD
1.5%
DLF
16%
Polling firm
Date
4–13 Dec 2024
Sample size
Barnier government dissolved; Bayrou government formed
Polling firm
Date
5 Sep 2024
Sample size
Beginning of French political crisis: Attal government dissolved; Barnier government formed
2024 Election Results
2024 Election Results
Polling firm
2024 Election Results
Date
30 Jun 2024
Sample size
EXG
1.14%
NFP
28.21%
NFP
1.57%
NFP
0.57%
NFP
21.28%
DVG
1.22%
ECO
6.57%
ENS
3.60%
DVC
0.28%
LR
3.96%
DVD
29.26%
DLF
0.75%
RN and allies
1.60%
RN and allies
1.05%
Polling firm
Date
Sample size
EXG
NFP
DVG
ECO
ENS
DVC
LR
DVD
DLF
RN and allies
REC
Others
Lead
LFI
LE
PCF
PS
UDR
RN
10 Oct 2025
Second Lecornu government formed
Ifop
7–8 Oct 2025
1,386
1%
24%
4%
14%
12%
3%
1%
35%
4%
2%
11%
1%
8%
19%
3%
13%
11%
2.5%
1%
36%
3.5%
2%
19%
1%
10%
17%
3%
13%
11%
2%
1%
36%
4%
2%
19%
OpinionWay
6–7 Oct 2025
1,012
2%
24%
16%
13%
34%
5%
6%
10%
2%
13%
13%
15%
13%
33%
5%
6%
18%
2%
9%
18%
14%
12%
33%
6%
6%
15%
5–6 Oct 2025
First Lecornu government dissolved
8–9 Sep 2025
Bayrou government dissolved; First Lecornu government formed
Ifop
5–8 Sep 2025
1,089
1.5%
24%
5%
14%
12%
2.5%
2%
34%
3.5%
1.5%
10%
1%
9%
19%
3%
14%
12%
2%
2%
33%
4%
1%
14%
Cluster17
5–7 Sep 2025
1,133
1%
25%
5.5%
14%
1%
13%
2%
1.5%
29%
4%
4%
4%
1%
11%
16%
3%
13%
1%
13%
2%
1.5%
29%
4.5%
5%
13%
1%
14%
14%
3%
12.5%
1%
12%
3%
1.5%
29%
4%
5%
15%
Harris
4–5 Sep 2025
2,017
1%
26%
6%
16%
10%
33%
5%
3%
7%
1%
10%
19%
4%
16%
10%
33%
5%
3%
14%
Ifop
29 Aug–1 Sep 2025
1,369
1%
25%
5%
15%
13%
2%
1.5%
33%
4%
0.5%
8%
1%
11%
15%
4%
15%
13%
3%
1.5%
32%
3.5%
1%
17%
Elabe
28–29 Aug 2025
1,563
2%
23.5%
6.5%
14%
10.5%
2.5%
31.5%
5%
4.5%
8.0%
1.5%
10%
16.5%
5%
13.5%
10.5%
3%
31%
4.5%
4.5%
14.5%
Elabe
3–5 Jun 2025
1,496
2%
21%
6.5%
15.5%
10%
3.5%
32.5%
3%
6%
11.5%
1.5%
10%
16%
3.5%
15.5%
10.5%
3%
33%
2.5%
4.5%
17%
Ifop
3–4 Jun 2025
1,385
0.5%
21%
7%
18%
11%
2%
1%
1%
35%
2%
1.5%
14%
1%
11%
13%
4%
18%
11%
1.5%
1.5%
0.5%
35%
2%
1.5%
17%
0.5%
9%
5%
3%
12%
3%
16%
10%
2%
1%
0.5%
34%
2.5%
1.5%
18%
Ifop
5–6 Feb 2025
1,377
1%
14%
13%
2%
15%
13%
1%
1%
1%
35%
3%
1%
21%
1.5%
8%
19%
2.5%
15%
12%
1%
1%
0.5%
35%
3%
1.5%
16%
4–13 Dec 2024
Barnier government dissolved; Bayrou government formed
5 Sep 2024
Beginning of French political crisis: Attal government dissolved; Barnier government formed
2024 Election Results
30 Jun 2024
1.14%
28.21%
1.57%
0.57%
21.28%
1.22%
6.57%
3.60%
0.28%
3.96%
29.26%
0.75%
1.60%
1.05%

References

  1. A Member of the European Parliament.
  2. PoliGlove
    https://poliglobe.com/election/1651
  3. Reuters
    https://www.reuters.com/world/france-plunges-back-into-crisis-after-pm-bayrous-confidence-vote-backfires-2025-08-26/
  4. The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/aug/27/french-prime-ministers-confidence-vote-and-its-possible-consequences
  5. www.conseil-constitutionnel.fr
    https://www.conseil-constitutionnel.fr/sites/default/files/as/root/bank_mm/anglais/constiution_anglais_oct2009.pdf
  6. "Snap elections in France: How it works, precedents, and consequences"
    https://www.lemonde.fr/en/les-decodeurs/article/2024/06/10/snap-elections-in-france-how-it-works-precedents-and-consequences_6674391_8.html
  7. L'Express
    https://www.lexpress.fr/politique/quel-gouvernement-apres-le-7-juillet-les-trois-scenarios-secrets-sur-la-table-de-macron-ZXM23QT27VDTDLQSS7KNRT6MZM/
  8. www.cfr.org
    https://www.cfr.org/expert-brief/what-do-frances-surprise-election-results-mean-far-right
  9. Brussels Signal
    https://brusselssignal.eu/2024/10/frances-hard-right-national-rally-kicks-off-campaign-betting-on-early-election/
  10. Election Guide
    https://www.electionguide.org/elections/id/2570/
  11. Ifop
    https://www.sudradio.fr/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/9-octobre-2025-EXCLU-Resultats-legislatives-anticipees.pdf
  12. OpinionWay
    https://archive.wikiwix.com/cache/index2.php?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.commission-des-sondages.fr%2Fnotices%2Ffiles%2Fnotices%2F2025%2Foctobre%2F9994-leg-opinion-way-cnews-8-octobre.pdf
  13. Ifop
    https://www.ifop.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/121850-Resultats.pdf
  14. Ifop
    https://cluster17.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/ITV-Legislatives-anticipees-Le-Point-Cluster17-9-septembre.pdf
  15. Challenges
    https://www.challenges.fr/politique/sondage-legislatives-le-rn-largement-en-tete-devant-la-gauche-en-cas-de-nouvelle-dissolution-les-macronistes-en-grande-difficulte_623760
  16. Ifop
    https://www.ifop.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/121832-Resultats-Le-Figaro.pdf
  17. Elabe
    https://elabe.fr/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/31082025_elabe_bfmtv_la-tribune-dimanche_elections-legislatives.pdf
  18. Elabe
    https://www.commission-des-sondages.fr/notices/files/notices/2025/juin/9954-leg-elabe-bfmtv-la-tribune-7-juin.pdf
  19. Ifop
    https://www.ifop.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/121682-Ifop-pour-LCI-Le-regard-des-Francais-sur-la-dissolution-du-9-juin-2024-.pdf
  20. Current election polls from Ifop
    https://www.ifop.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/121379-Rapport-Ifop-pour-lOpinion.pdf
  21. https://www.resultats-elections.interieur.gouv.fr/legislatives2024/ensemble_geographique/index.html Ministry of the Inte
    https://www.resultats-elections.interieur.gouv.fr/legislatives2024/ensemble_geographique/index.html
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