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Alberta separatism

Updated: Wikipedia source

Alberta separatism

Alberta separatism, also known as the Alberta sovereignty movement, consists of a series of 20th- and 21st-century movements advocating the secession of the province of Alberta from Canada, with some groups also supporting the creation of a sovereign union with the other provinces of Western Canada, and other groups supporting Alberta joining the United States as a state or territory. The main issues driving separatist sentiment have been the power disparity relative to Ottawa and other western provinces; a sense of distinctiveness with regard to Alberta's cultural and political identity; and Canadian economic policy, particularly as it pertains to Alberta's petroleum industry and equalization payments. The concept of separation has gained considerable media attention in the aftermath of the 2025 federal election. In 2025, the Alberta Forever Canada citizen initiative opposing Alberta's separation from Canada was launched and verified by Elections Alberta pending it surpassing the required amount of signatures. In early 2026, Elections Alberta approved a petition which, pending legal challenges, intends to lead to a separation referendum. A legal challenge to the proposed referendum on separation from Canada was addressed by Alberta Justice Shaina Leonard who on 13 May 2026 ruled in favour of several First Nations whose lawyers argued that Alberta's referendum process involving its use for possible separation of Alberta from Canada has been unconstitutional because First Nations were not consulted and that separation under these circumstances would violate treaty rights. This issue of treaty rights has arisen because Alberta is within the territories of several of the Numbered Treaties between First Nations and the monarchy of Canada agreed to prior to the creation of Alberta as a province. Neil Dobson, the lawyer representing Alberta, said that it was premature for the Alberta government to consult First Nations at this point because the Alberta government was not taking any action at the time to take Alberta out of Canada and said that regarding a political discussion with First Nations over possible Alberta separation “The collection of signatures and the ability to put forward the petition in the first place is really the commencement of that political discussion”. Jeffrey Rath of Stay Free Alberta stated that the organization is going to file an appeal.

Tables

· Opinion polling on separation
April 20–22, 2026
April 20–22, 2026
Date(s) conducted
April 20–22, 2026
Yes (Separate)
28 %
No (Remain)
60 %
Lead (pp)
32
Sample
3,129
Conducted by
Mainstreet Research
Polling type
IVR
Margin of error
±1 %
Notes
Don't Know 11 %
April 7–22, 2026
April 7–22, 2026
Date(s) conducted
April 7–22, 2026
Yes (Separate)
27%
No (Remain)
67%
Lead (pp)
40
Sample
1,200
Conducted by
Janet Brown Opinion Research
Polling type
Telephone/online
Margin of error
±2 %
Notes
Don't Know 6%
April 2–6, 2026
April 2–6, 2026
Date(s) conducted
April 2–6, 2026
Yes (Separate)
17%
No (Remain)
71%
Lead (pp)
54
Sample
531
Conducted by
Spark Insights
Polling type
Online
Notes
Not Sure 12%
March 2–4, 2026
March 2–4, 2026
Date(s) conducted
March 2–4, 2026
Yes (Separate)
29%
No (Remain)
64%
Lead (pp)
35
Sample
1,003
Conducted by
Léger
Polling type
Online
Margin of error
±3 %
Notes
Independent country 23% Join USA 6% Don't Know 7%
March 16–25, 2026
March 16–25, 2026
Date(s) conducted
March 16–25, 2026
Yes (Separate)
25%
No (Remain)
69%
Lead (pp)
44
Sample
3,200
Conducted by
Pollara
Polling type
Online
Margin of error
±1 %
Notes
6% Undecided
March 2–4, 2026
March 2–4, 2026
Date(s) conducted
March 2–4, 2026
Yes (Separate)
21%
No (Remain)
70%
Lead (pp)
49
Sample
1,001
Conducted by
Léger
Polling type
Online
Margin of error
±3 %
Notes
Independent country 17% Join USA 4% Don't Know 9%
February 20–25, 2026
February 20–25, 2026
Date(s) conducted
February 20–25, 2026
Yes (Separate)
26%
No (Remain)
64%
Lead (pp)
38
Sample
1,000
Conducted by
Abacus
Polling type
Online
Margin of error
±3 %
February 2–6, 2026
February 2–6, 2026
Date(s) conducted
February 2–6, 2026
Yes (Separate)
29%
No (Remain)
65%
Lead (pp)
34
Sample
979
Conducted by
Angus Reid
Polling type
Online
Margin of error
±3%
Notes
Of Remain: 57% strongly, 8% leaning; Of Leave: 8% strongly, 21% leaning.
January 23–26, 2026
January 23–26, 2026
Date(s) conducted
January 23–26, 2026
Yes (Separate)
23%
No (Remain)
71%
Lead (pp)
48
Sample
1,003
Conducted by
Léger
Polling type
Online
Margin of error
±3 %
Notes
Independent country 18% Join USA 5%
January 9–14, 2026
January 9–14, 2026
Date(s) conducted
January 9–14, 2026
Yes (Separate)
28%
No (Remain)
72%
Lead (pp)
44
Sample
500
Conducted by
Ipsos
Polling type
Online
Margin of error
±5 %
January 4–6, 2026
January 4–6, 2026
Date(s) conducted
January 4–6, 2026
Yes (Separate)
31%
No (Remain)
62%
Lead (pp)
31
Sample
703
Conducted by
Research Co.
Polling type
Online
Margin of error
±3 %
December 5–20, 2025
December 5–20, 2025
Date(s) conducted
December 5–20, 2025
Yes (Separate)
19%
No (Remain)
75%
Lead (pp)
56
Sample
1,000
Conducted by
Pollara
Polling type
Online
Margin of error
±3 %
September 5–22, 2025
September 5–22, 2025
Date(s) conducted
September 5–22, 2025
Yes (Separate)
41%
No (Remain)
52%
Lead (pp)
11
Sample
1,044
Conducted by
Ekos Politics
Polling type
Online
Margin of error
±2 %
Notes
Poll asked: I think my province would be better off as an independent country.
May 15–21, 2025
May 15–21, 2025
Date(s) conducted
May 15–21, 2025
Yes (Separate)
18%
No (Remain)
69%
Lead (pp)
51
Sample
400
Conducted by
Abacus
Polling type
Online
Margin of error
±5 %
May 7–21, 2025
May 7–21, 2025
Date(s) conducted
May 7–21, 2025
Yes (Separate)
30%
No (Remain)
70%
Lead (pp)
40
Sample
1,200
Conducted by
Janet Brown Opinion Research
Polling type
Telephone/online
Margin of error
±2 %
May 16–21, 2025
May 16–21, 2025
Date(s) conducted
May 16–21, 2025
Yes (Separate)
22%
No (Remain)
68%
Lead (pp)
46
Sample
500
Conducted by
Pollara
Polling type
Online
Margin of error
±4 %
May 16–18, 2025
May 16–18, 2025
Date(s) conducted
May 16–18, 2025
Yes (Separate)
47%
No (Remain)
48%
Lead (pp)
1
Sample
171
Conducted by
Léger
Polling type
Online
May 6–15, 2025
May 6–15, 2025
Date(s) conducted
May 6–15, 2025
Yes (Separate)
45%
No (Remain)
55%
Lead (pp)
10
Sample
810
Conducted by
Kolosowski Strategies
Polling type
Online
Margin of error
±3%
May 9–12, 2025
May 9–12, 2025
Date(s) conducted
May 9–12, 2025
Yes (Separate)
29%
No (Remain)
67%
Lead (pp)
38
Sample
1,000
Conducted by
Léger
Polling type
Online
Margin of error
±3%
May 6–8, 2025
May 6–8, 2025
Date(s) conducted
May 6–8, 2025
Yes (Separate)
38%
No (Remain)
62%
Lead (pp)
24
Sample
790
Conducted by
Angus Reid
Polling type
Online
Margin of error
±3%
The Liberal Party of Canada is elected a fourth consecutive term in the 2025 Canadian federal election (April 28, 2025)
The Liberal Party of Canada is elected a fourth consecutive term in the 2025 Canadian federal election (April 28, 2025)
Date(s) conducted
The Liberal Party of Canada is elected a fourth consecutive term in the 2025 Canadian federal election (April 28, 2025)
April 10–14, 2025
April 10–14, 2025
Date(s) conducted
April 10–14, 2025
Yes (Separate)
29%
No (Remain)
71%
Lead (pp)
42
Sample
301
Conducted by
Léger
Polling type
Online
Margin of error
±6%
March 21, 2025
March 21, 2025
Date(s) conducted
March 21, 2025
Yes (Separate)
30%
No (Remain)
69%
Lead (pp)
39
Conducted by
Mainstreet Research
Polling type
Online
March 20–24, 2025
March 20–24, 2025
Date(s) conducted
March 20–24, 2025
Yes (Separate)
25%
No (Remain)
75%
Lead (pp)
50
Sample
600
Conducted by
Angus Reid
Polling type
Online
Margin of error
±4%
March 18, 2025
March 18, 2025
Date(s) conducted
March 18, 2025
Yes (Separate)
25%
No (Remain)
56%
Lead (pp)
31
Sample
1,228
Conducted by
Mainstreet Research
Polling type
Online
Margin of error
±3%
The United Conservative Party (UCP) led by Danielle Smith is elected a 2nd term in the 2023 Alberta general election (May 29, 2023)
The United Conservative Party (UCP) led by Danielle Smith is elected a 2nd term in the 2023 Alberta general election (May 29, 2023)
Date(s) conducted
The United Conservative Party (UCP) led by Danielle Smith is elected a 2nd term in the 2023 Alberta general election (May 29, 2023)
Jun 10–12, 2023
Jun 10–12, 2023
Date(s) conducted
Jun 10–12, 2023
Yes (Separate)
24%
No (Remain)
76%
Lead (pp)
52
Sample
800
Conducted by
Research Co.
Polling type
Online
Margin of error
±3%
Aug 21–23, 2022
Aug 21–23, 2022
Date(s) conducted
Aug 21–23, 2022
Yes (Separate)
25%
No (Remain)
75%
Lead (pp)
50
Sample
700
Conducted by
Research Co.
Polling type
Online
Margin of error
±4%
October 13, 2021
October 13, 2021
Date(s) conducted
October 13, 2021
Yes (Separate)
40%
No (Remain)
45%
Lead (pp)
5
Sample
935
Conducted by
Mainstreet Research
Polling type
Online
Margin of error
±3%
The Liberal Party of Canada is elected a third consecutive term in the 2021 Canadian federal election (September 20, 2021)
The Liberal Party of Canada is elected a third consecutive term in the 2021 Canadian federal election (September 20, 2021)
Date(s) conducted
The Liberal Party of Canada is elected a third consecutive term in the 2021 Canadian federal election (September 20, 2021)
Feb 7–9, 2021
Feb 7–9, 2021
Date(s) conducted
Feb 7–9, 2021
Yes (Separate)
27%
No (Remain)
73%
Lead (pp)
46
Sample
600
Conducted by
Research Co.
Polling type
Online
Margin of error
±4%
May 14–19, 2020
May 14–19, 2020
Date(s) conducted
May 14–19, 2020
Yes (Separate)
45%
No (Remain)
55%
Lead (pp)
10
Sample
1,094
Conducted by
Northwest Research
Polling type
±3%
Dec 18–20, 2019
Dec 18–20, 2019
Date(s) conducted
Dec 18–20, 2019
Yes (Separate)
42%
No (Remain)
58%
Lead (pp)
16
Conducted by
Research Co.
Polling type
Online
Notes
Sample size was 1,000 for all of Canada
Nov 12–17, 2019
Nov 12–17, 2019
Date(s) conducted
Nov 12–17, 2019
Yes (Separate)
25%
No (Remain)
75%
Lead (pp)
50
Conducted by
Abacus
Polling type
Online
Notes
Sample size was 3,000 for all of Canada
Oct 24 – November 1, 2019
Oct 24 – November 1, 2019
Date(s) conducted
Oct 24 – November 1, 2019
Yes (Separate)
38%
No (Remain)
62%
Lead (pp)
24
Sample
250
Conducted by
Ipsos
Polling type
Online
Margin of error
±6%
The Liberal Party of Canada is elected a second consecutive term in the 2019 Canadian federal election (October 21, 2019)
The Liberal Party of Canada is elected a second consecutive term in the 2019 Canadian federal election (October 21, 2019)
Date(s) conducted
The Liberal Party of Canada is elected a second consecutive term in the 2019 Canadian federal election (October 21, 2019)
The United Conservative Party (UCP) led by Jason Kenney is elected in the 2019 Alberta general election (April 16, 2019)
The United Conservative Party (UCP) led by Jason Kenney is elected in the 2019 Alberta general election (April 16, 2019)
Date(s) conducted
The United Conservative Party (UCP) led by Jason Kenney is elected in the 2019 Alberta general election (April 16, 2019)
Sep 11–17, 2018
Sep 11–17, 2018
Date(s) conducted
Sep 11–17, 2018
Yes (Separate)
25%
No (Remain)
75%
Lead (pp)
50
Sample
400
Conducted by
Ipsos
Polling type
Online
Margin of error
±5%
Date(s) conducted
Yes (Separate)
No (Remain)
Lead (pp)
Sample
Conducted by
Polling type
Margin of error
Notes
April 20–22, 2026
28 %
60 %
32
3,129
Mainstreet Research
IVR
±1 %
Don't Know 11 %
April 7–22, 2026
27%
67%
40
1,200
Janet Brown Opinion Research
Telephone/online
±2 %
Don't Know 6%
April 2–6, 2026
17%
71%
54
531
Spark Insights
Online
Not Sure 12%
March 2–4, 2026
29%
64%
35
1,003
Léger
Online
±3 %
Independent country 23% Join USA 6% Don't Know 7%
March 16–25, 2026
25%
69%
44
3,200
Pollara
Online
±1 %
6% Undecided
March 2–4, 2026
21%
70%
49
1,001
Léger
Online
±3 %
Independent country 17% Join USA 4% Don't Know 9%
February 20–25, 2026
26%
64%
38
1,000
Abacus
Online
±3 %
February 2–6, 2026
29%
65%
34
979
Angus Reid
Online
±3%
Of Remain: 57% strongly, 8% leaning; Of Leave: 8% strongly, 21% leaning.
January 23–26, 2026
23%
71%
48
1,003
Léger
Online
±3 %
Independent country 18% Join USA 5%
January 9–14, 2026
28%
72%
44
500
Ipsos
Online
±5 %
January 4–6, 2026
31%
62%
31
703
Research Co.
Online
±3 %
December 5–20, 2025
19%
75%
56
1,000
Pollara
Online
±3 %
September 5–22, 2025
41%
52%
11
1,044
Ekos Politics
Online
±2 %
Poll asked: I think my province would be better off as an independent country.
May 15–21, 2025
18%
69%
51
400
Abacus
Online
±5 %
May 7–21, 2025
30%
70%
40
1,200
Janet Brown Opinion Research
Telephone/online
±2 %
May 16–21, 2025
22%
68%
46
500
Pollara
Online
±4 %
May 16–18, 2025
47%
48%
1
171
Léger
Online
May 6–15, 2025
45%
55%
10
810
Kolosowski Strategies
Online
±3%
May 9–12, 2025
29%
67%
38
1,000
Léger
Online
±3%
May 6–8, 2025
38%
62%
24
790
Angus Reid
Online
±3%
The Liberal Party of Canada is elected a fourth consecutive term in the 2025 Canadian federal election (April 28, 2025)
April 10–14, 2025
29%
71%
42
301
Léger
Online
±6%
March 21, 2025
30%
69%
39
Mainstreet Research
Online
March 20–24, 2025
25%
75%
50
600
Angus Reid
Online
±4%
March 18, 2025
25%
56%
31
1,228
Mainstreet Research
Online
±3%
The United Conservative Party (UCP) led by Danielle Smith is elected a 2nd term in the 2023 Alberta general election (May 29, 2023)
Jun 10–12, 2023
24%
76%
52
800
Research Co.
Online
±3%
Aug 21–23, 2022
25%
75%
50
700
Research Co.
Online
±4%
October 13, 2021
40%
45%
5
935
Mainstreet Research
Online
±3%
The Liberal Party of Canada is elected a third consecutive term in the 2021 Canadian federal election (September 20, 2021)
Feb 7–9, 2021
27%
73%
46
600
Research Co.
Online
±4%
May 14–19, 2020
45%
55%
10
1,094
Northwest Research
±3%
Dec 18–20, 2019
42%
58%
16
Research Co.
Online
Sample size was 1,000 for all of Canada
Nov 12–17, 2019
25%
75%
50
Abacus
Online
Sample size was 3,000 for all of Canada
Oct 24 – November 1, 2019
38%
62%
24
250
Ipsos
Online
±6%
The Liberal Party of Canada is elected a second consecutive term in the 2019 Canadian federal election (October 21, 2019)
The United Conservative Party (UCP) led by Jason Kenney is elected in the 2019 Alberta general election (April 16, 2019)
Sep 11–17, 2018
25%
75%
50
400
Ipsos
Online
±5%

References

  1. CBC News
    https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/edmonton/forever-canada-petition-9.6999279
  2. CBC News
    https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/edmonton/alberta-referendum-question-approved-9.7025892
  3. Global News
    https://edmonton.citynews.ca/2025/12/16/alberta-separatists-new-petition-referendum-vote/
  4. CTV News
    https://www.ctvnews.ca/edmonton/article/proposed-referendum-question-approved-on-alberta-separation/
  5. Global News
    https://globalnews.ca/news/11766792/alberta-separation-question-court/
  6. CTVNews
    https://www.ctvnews.ca/calgary/article/alberta-independence-organizers-claim-signature-threshold-met-according-to-reports/
  7. Global News
    https://globalnews.ca/news/11848163/alberta-judge-quashes-separation-petition-in-favour-of-first-nations/
  8. history
    http://history.alberta.ca/energyheritage/oil/the-leduc-era-1947-to-1970s/oil-developments-after-leduc/banner-years-of-oil-discovery-1949-1953.aspx
  9. National Post
    https://nationalpost.com/news/canada/a-legacy-rich-as-oil-ex-alberta-premier-peter-lougheeds-ideas-imprinted-on-party-still-in-power-41-years-later
  10. The Western Standard
    https://web.archive.org/web/20220111174104/https://dev.westernstandardonline.com/2020/07/wagner-how-pierre-trudeau-created-the-alberta-independence-movement-and-his-son-made-it-mainstream/
  11. www
    http://www.history.alberta.ca/energyheritage/oil/energy-crises-political-debates-and-environmental-concerns-1970s-1980s/the-energy-crises-1973-and-1978-79.aspx
  12. www
    http://www.history.alberta.ca/energyheritage/oil/energy-crises-political-debates-and-environmental-concerns-1970s-1980s/the-energy-crises-1973-and-1978-79.aspx#page-3
  13. www
    http://www.history.alberta.ca/energyheritage/oil/energy-crises-political-debates-and-environmental-concerns-1970s-1980s/the-energy-crises-1973-and-1978-79.aspx#page-2
  14. Alberta Premiers of the Twentieth Century
    https://archive.org/details/albertapremierso0000unse
  15. BOE Report
    https://boereport.com/2015/10/06/remember-when-albertas-economy-and-trudeau-the-elder/
  16. The Mantle of Leadership: Premiers of the Northwest Territories and Alberta
    https://archive.org/details/centennialseries02perr
  17. The Lougheed legacy
    https://archive.org/details/lougheedlegacy0000wood
  18. Research Branch, Library of Parliament, Government of Canada
  19. Canadian Public Policy
    https://www.jstor.org/stable/3549850
  20. The Lougheed legacy
    https://archive.org/details/lougheedlegacy0000wood
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