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Alberta separatism

Updated: Wikipedia source

Alberta separatism

Alberta separatism comprises a series of 20th- and 21st-century movements advocating the secession of the province of Alberta from Canada, with some groups supporting the creation of a sovereign union with the other provinces of Western Canada or Alberta joining the United States as a state or territory. The main issues driving separatist sentiment have been the power disparity relative to Ottawa and other western provinces; a sense of distinctiveness with regard to Alberta's cultural and political identity; and Canadian fiscal policy, particularly as it pertains to Alberta's petroleum industry. The concept of separation has gained considerable media attention in the aftermath of the 2025 federal election, which resulted in a fourth consecutive Liberal victory.

Tables

· Opinion polling
May 15–21, 2025
May 15–21, 2025
Date(s) conducted
May 15–21, 2025
Leave
18%
Remain
69%
Lead
51%
Sample
400
Conducted by
Abacus
Polling type
Online
Margin of error
±5.0%
May 7–21, 2025
May 7–21, 2025
Date(s) conducted
May 7–21, 2025
Leave
30%
Remain
70%
Lead
40%
Sample
1200
Conducted by
Janet Brown Opinion Research
Polling type
Telephone/Online
Margin of error
±2.8%
May 16–21, 2025
May 16–21, 2025
Date(s) conducted
May 16–21, 2025
Leave
22%
Remain
68%
Lead
46%
Sample
500
Conducted by
Pollara
Polling type
Online
Margin of error
±4.4%
May 16–18, 2025
May 16–18, 2025
Date(s) conducted
May 16–18, 2025
Leave
41%
Remain
44%
Lead
3%
Sample
171
Conducted by
Leger
Polling type
Online
May 6–15, 2025
May 6–15, 2025
Date(s) conducted
May 6–15, 2025
Leave
45%
Remain
55%
Lead
10%
Sample
810
Conducted by
Kolosowski Strategies
Polling type
Online
Margin of error
±3%
May 9–12, 2025
May 9–12, 2025
Date(s) conducted
May 9–12, 2025
Leave
30%
Remain
70%
Lead
40%
Sample
1000
Conducted by
Léger
Polling type
Online
Margin of error
±3%
May 6–8, 2025
May 6–8, 2025
Date(s) conducted
May 6–8, 2025
Leave
38%
Remain
62%
Lead
24%
Sample
790
Conducted by
Angus Reid
Polling type
Online
Margin of error
±3%
The Liberal Party of Canada is elected a fourth consecutive term in the 2025 Canadian federal election (April 28, 2025)
The Liberal Party of Canada is elected a fourth consecutive term in the 2025 Canadian federal election (April 28, 2025)
Date(s) conducted
The Liberal Party of Canada is elected a fourth consecutive term in the 2025 Canadian federal election (April 28, 2025)
Apr 10–14, 2025
Apr 10–14, 2025
Date(s) conducted
Apr 10–14, 2025
Leave
29%
Remain
71%
Lead
42%
Sample
301
Conducted by
Léger
Polling type
Online
Margin of error
±6%
March 21, 2025
March 21, 2025
Date(s) conducted
March 21, 2025
Leave
30%
Remain
69%
Lead
39%
Conducted by
Mainstreet Research
Polling type
Online
Mar 20–24, 2025
Mar 20–24, 2025
Date(s) conducted
Mar 20–24, 2025
Leave
25%
Remain
75%
Lead
50%
Sample
600
Conducted by
Angus Reid
Polling type
Online
Margin of error
±4%
Mar 18, 2025
Mar 18, 2025
Date(s) conducted
Mar 18, 2025
Leave
25%
Remain
56%
Lead
31%
Sample
1,228
Conducted by
Mainstreet Research
Polling type
Online
Margin of error
±3%
The United Conservative Party (UCP) led by Danielle Smith is elected a 2nd term in the 2023 Alberta general election (May 29, 2023)
The United Conservative Party (UCP) led by Danielle Smith is elected a 2nd term in the 2023 Alberta general election (May 29, 2023)
Date(s) conducted
The United Conservative Party (UCP) led by Danielle Smith is elected a 2nd term in the 2023 Alberta general election (May 29, 2023)
Aug 21–23, 2022
Aug 21–23, 2022
Date(s) conducted
Aug 21–23, 2022
Leave
25%
Remain
75%
Lead
50%
Sample
700
Conducted by
Research Co.
Polling type
Online
Margin of error
±4%
Jun 10–12, 2022
Jun 10–12, 2022
Date(s) conducted
Jun 10–12, 2022
Leave
24%
Remain
76%
Lead
52%
Sample
800
Conducted by
Research Co.
Polling type
Online
Margin of error
±3%
October 13, 2021
October 13, 2021
Date(s) conducted
October 13, 2021
Leave
47%
Remain
53%
Lead
6%
Sample
935
Conducted by
Mainstreet Research
Polling type
Online
Margin of error
±3%
The Liberal Party of Canada is elected a third consecutive term in the 2021 Canadian federal election (September 20, 2021)
The Liberal Party of Canada is elected a third consecutive term in the 2021 Canadian federal election (September 20, 2021)
Date(s) conducted
The Liberal Party of Canada is elected a third consecutive term in the 2021 Canadian federal election (September 20, 2021)
Feb 7–9, 2021
Feb 7–9, 2021
Date(s) conducted
Feb 7–9, 2021
Leave
27%
Remain
73%
Lead
46%
Sample
600
Conducted by
Research Co.
Polling type
Online
Margin of error
±4%
May 14–19, 2020
May 14–19, 2020
Date(s) conducted
May 14–19, 2020
Leave
45%
Remain
55%
Lead
10%
Sample
1,094
Conducted by
Northwest Research
Polling type
IVR
Margin of error
±3%
Dec 18–20, 2019
Dec 18–20, 2019
Date(s) conducted
Dec 18–20, 2019
Leave
42%
Remain
58%
Lead
16%
Conducted by
Research Co.
Polling type
Online
Notes
Sample size was 1,000 for all of Canada
Nov 12–17, 2019
Nov 12–17, 2019
Date(s) conducted
Nov 12–17, 2019
Leave
25%
Remain
75%
Lead
50%
Conducted by
Abacus
Polling type
Online
Notes
Sample size was 3,000 for all of Canada
Oct 24 – Nov 1, 2019
Oct 24 – Nov 1, 2019
Date(s) conducted
Oct 24 – Nov 1, 2019
Leave
38%
Remain
62%
Lead
24%
Sample
250
Conducted by
Ipsos
Polling type
Online
Margin of error
±6%
The Liberal Party of Canada is elected a second consecutive term in the 2019 Canadian federal election (October 21, 2019)
The Liberal Party of Canada is elected a second consecutive term in the 2019 Canadian federal election (October 21, 2019)
Date(s) conducted
The Liberal Party of Canada is elected a second consecutive term in the 2019 Canadian federal election (October 21, 2019)
The United Conservative Party (UCP) led by Jason Kenney is elected in the 2019 Alberta general election (April 16, 2019)
The United Conservative Party (UCP) led by Jason Kenney is elected in the 2019 Alberta general election (April 16, 2019)
Date(s) conducted
The United Conservative Party (UCP) led by Jason Kenney is elected in the 2019 Alberta general election (April 16, 2019)
Sep 11–17, 2018
Sep 11–17, 2018
Date(s) conducted
Sep 11–17, 2018
Leave
25%
Remain
75%
Lead
50%
Sample
400
Conducted by
Ipsos
Polling type
Online
Margin of error
±5%
Date(s) conducted
Leave
Remain
Lead
Sample
Conducted by
Polling type
Margin of error
Notes
May 15–21, 2025
18%
69%
51%
400
Abacus
Online
±5.0%
May 7–21, 2025
30%
70%
40%
1200
Janet Brown Opinion Research
Telephone/Online
±2.8%
May 16–21, 2025
22%
68%
46%
500
Pollara
Online
±4.4%
May 16–18, 2025
41%
44%
3%
171
Leger
Online
May 6–15, 2025
45%
55%
10%
810
Kolosowski Strategies
Online
±3%
May 9–12, 2025
30%
70%
40%
1000
Léger
Online
±3%
May 6–8, 2025
38%
62%
24%
790
Angus Reid
Online
±3%
The Liberal Party of Canada is elected a fourth consecutive term in the 2025 Canadian federal election (April 28, 2025)
Apr 10–14, 2025
29%
71%
42%
301
Léger
Online
±6%
March 21, 2025
30%
69%
39%
Mainstreet Research
Online
Mar 20–24, 2025
25%
75%
50%
600
Angus Reid
Online
±4%
Mar 18, 2025
25%
56%
31%
1,228
Mainstreet Research
Online
±3%
The United Conservative Party (UCP) led by Danielle Smith is elected a 2nd term in the 2023 Alberta general election (May 29, 2023)
Aug 21–23, 2022
25%
75%
50%
700
Research Co.
Online
±4%
Jun 10–12, 2022
24%
76%
52%
800
Research Co.
Online
±3%
October 13, 2021
47%
53%
6%
935
Mainstreet Research
Online
±3%
The Liberal Party of Canada is elected a third consecutive term in the 2021 Canadian federal election (September 20, 2021)
Feb 7–9, 2021
27%
73%
46%
600
Research Co.
Online
±4%
May 14–19, 2020
45%
55%
10%
1,094
Northwest Research
IVR
±3%
Dec 18–20, 2019
42%
58%
16%
Research Co.
Online
Sample size was 1,000 for all of Canada
Nov 12–17, 2019
25%
75%
50%
Abacus
Online
Sample size was 3,000 for all of Canada
Oct 24 – Nov 1, 2019
38%
62%
24%
250
Ipsos
Online
±6%
The Liberal Party of Canada is elected a second consecutive term in the 2019 Canadian federal election (October 21, 2019)
The United Conservative Party (UCP) led by Jason Kenney is elected in the 2019 Alberta general election (April 16, 2019)
Sep 11–17, 2018
25%
75%
50%
400
Ipsos
Online
±5%

References

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    http://www.abheritage.ca/abpolitics/events/becoming_province.html
  2. The School of Public Policy
    https://www.policyschool.ca/unpacking-canadas-equalization-payments-2018-19/
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  27. Calgary Sun
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  31. National Post
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  33. HuffPost
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  40. National Post
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  69. Forever Canadian
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  71. "'Forever Canadian' petition surpasses goal, collects 456K signatures"
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  72. Global News
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  73. "Home – Alberta Independence Party"
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  74. Abacus Data
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  75. Western Standard
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  76. "WS Exclusive POLL: Support for Alberta independence hits new high – The Western Standard"
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