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2026 United States elections

Updated: Wikipedia source

2026 United States elections

The 2026 United States elections are scheduled to be held, in large part, on November 3, 2026. In these midterm elections, scheduled to occur during Republican president Donald Trump's nonconsecutive second term, all 435 seats in the U . House of Representatives and 35 of the 100 seats in the U . Senate will be contested to determine the 120th United States Congress. 39 state and territorial U . gubernatorial elections, attorney general elections, and numerous state and local elections, will also be contested.

Infobox

Election day
November 3
Incumbent president
Donald Trump (Republican)
Next Congress
120th
Seats contested
39 (36 states, 3 territories)

Tables

· Federal elections › Generic congressional ballot aggregate polls
Decision Desk HQ
Decision Desk HQ
Source of poll aggregation
Decision Desk HQ
Dates administered
January 9, 2025 – May 27, 2026
Dates updated
May 28, 2026
Republicans
40 %
Democrats
48 %
Other/ Undecided
11 %
Margin
Democrats +7 %
FiftyPlusOne
FiftyPlusOne
Source of poll aggregation
FiftyPlusOne
Dates administered
January 9, 2025 – May 27, 2026
Dates updated
May 28, 2026
Republicans
42 %
Democrats
49 %
Other/ Undecided
8 %
Margin
Democrats +6 %
RealClearPolitics
RealClearPolitics
Source of poll aggregation
RealClearPolitics
Dates administered
May 1–27, 2026
Dates updated
May 28, 2026
Republicans
40 %
Democrats
48 %
Other/ Undecided
10 %
Margin
Democrats +8 %
Silver Bulletin
Silver Bulletin
Source of poll aggregation
Silver Bulletin
Dates administered
January 9, 2025 – May 27, 2026
Dates updated
May 28, 2026
Republicans
41 %
Democrats
48 %
Other/ Undecided
9 %
Margin
Democrats +7 %
VoteHub
VoteHub
Source of poll aggregation
VoteHub
Dates administered
January 9, 2025 – May 27, 2026
Dates updated
May 28, 2026
Republicans
41 %
Democrats
48 %
Other/ Undecided
10 %
Margin
Democrats +7 %
Race to the WH
Race to the WH
Source of poll aggregation
Race to the WH
Dates administered
January 9, 2025 – May 27, 2026
Dates updated
May 28, 2026
Republicans
41 %
Democrats
48 %
Other/ Undecided
10 %
Margin
Democrats +7 %
Average
Average
Source of poll aggregation
Average
Dates administered
May 28, 2026
Dates updated
41 %
Republicans
48 %
Democrats
10 %
Other/ Undecided
Democrats +7 %
Source of poll aggregation
Dates administered
Dates updated
Republicans
Democrats
Other/ Undecided
Margin
Decision Desk HQ
January 9, 2025 – May 27, 2026
May 28, 2026
40 %
48 %
11 %
Democrats +7 %
FiftyPlusOne
January 9, 2025 – May 27, 2026
May 28, 2026
42 %
49 %
8 %
Democrats +6 %
RealClearPolitics
May 1–27, 2026
May 28, 2026
40 %
48 %
10 %
Democrats +8 %
Silver Bulletin
January 9, 2025 – May 27, 2026
May 28, 2026
41 %
48 %
9 %
Democrats +7 %
VoteHub
January 9, 2025 – May 27, 2026
May 28, 2026
41 %
48 %
10 %
Democrats +7 %
Race to the WH
January 9, 2025 – May 27, 2026
May 28, 2026
41 %
48 %
10 %
Democrats +7 %
Average
May 28, 2026
41 %
48 %
10 %
Democrats +7 %
· Polling
The Economist/YouGov
The Economist/YouGov
Poll source
The Economist/YouGov
Date(s) administered
May 22–26, 2026
Sample size
1,393 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Democratic
46%
Republican
41%
Other/ Undecided
13%
Lead
5%
1,514 (A)
1,514 (A)
Poll source
1,514 (A)
Date(s) administered
39%
Sample size
33%
Margin of error
28%
Democratic
6%
John Zogby Strategies
John Zogby Strategies
Poll source
John Zogby Strategies
Date(s) administered
May 21–22, 2026
Sample size
– (LV)
Margin of error
–
Democratic
49%
Republican
42%
Other/ Undecided
9%
Lead
7%
Morris Predictive Insights/Verasight
Morris Predictive Insights/Verasight
Poll source
Morris Predictive Insights/Verasight
Date(s) administered
May 18–20, 2026
Sample size
2,000 (A)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Democratic
52%
Republican
41%
Other/ Undecided
7%
Lead
11%
Strength In Numbers/Verasight
Strength In Numbers/Verasight
Poll source
Strength In Numbers/Verasight
Date(s) administered
May 18–19, 2026
Sample size
1,413 (RV)
Margin of error
–
Democratic
51%
Republican
43%
Other/ Undecided
6%
Lead
8%
1,520 (A)
1,520 (A)
Poll source
1,520 (A)
Date(s) administered
± 2 %
Sample size
51%
Margin of error
41%
Democratic
8%
Republican
10%
Data for Progress (D)
Data for Progress (D)
Poll source
Data for Progress (D)
Date(s) administered
May 15–18, 2026
Sample size
1,149 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Democratic
51%
Republican
43%
Other/ Undecided
6%
Lead
8%
Reuters/Ipsos
Reuters/Ipsos
Poll source
Reuters/Ipsos
Date(s) administered
May 15–18, 2026
Sample size
984 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Democratic
39%
Republican
38%
Other/ Undecided
23%
Lead
1%
1,271 (A)
1,271 (A)
Poll source
1,271 (A)
Date(s) administered
± 2 %
Sample size
35%
Margin of error
31%
Democratic
34%
Republican
4%
The Economist/YouGov
The Economist/YouGov
Poll source
The Economist/YouGov
Date(s) administered
May 15–18, 2026
Sample size
1,375 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Democratic
46%
Republican
43%
Other/ Undecided
11%
Lead
3%
1,543 (A)
1,543 (A)
Poll source
1,543 (A)
Date(s) administered
40%
Sample size
35%
Margin of error
25%
Democratic
5%
Echelon Insights
Echelon Insights
Poll source
Echelon Insights
Date(s) administered
May 14–18, 2026
Sample size
1,008 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Democratic
51%
Republican
43%
Other/ Undecided
6%
Lead
8%
Quinnipiac University
Quinnipiac University
Poll source
Quinnipiac University
Date(s) administered
May 14–18, 2026
Sample size
1,106 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Democratic
50%
Republican
39%
Other/ Undecided
11%
Lead
11%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
Poll source
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
Date(s) administered
May 12–18, 2026
Sample size
1,000 (LV)
Margin of error
–
Democratic
46%
Republican
42%
Other/ Undecided
12%
Lead
4%
Impact Research (D)/ National Research Inc. (R)
Impact Research (D)/ National Research Inc. (R)
Poll source
Impact Research (D)/ National Research Inc. (R)
Date(s) administered
May 7–18, 2026
Sample size
1,500 (RV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Democratic
48%
Republican
40%
Other/ Undecided
12%
Lead
8%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s) administered
May 15–17, 2026
Sample size
2,203 (RV)
Margin of error
–
Democratic
47%
Republican
41%
Other/ Undecided
12%
Lead
6%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s) administered
May 11–17, 2026
Sample size
28,525 (RV)
Margin of error
–
Democratic
46%
Republican
42%
Other/ Undecided
12%
Lead
4%
CBS News/YouGov
CBS News/YouGov
Poll source
CBS News/YouGov
Date(s) administered
May 13–15, 2026
Sample size
1,397 (RV)
Margin of error
–
Democratic
45%
Republican
40%
Other/ Undecided
15%
Lead
5%
New York Times/Siena College
New York Times/Siena College
Poll source
New York Times/Siena College
Date(s) administered
May 11–15, 2026
Sample size
1,507 (RV)
Margin of error
–
Democratic
50%
Republican
39%
Other/ Undecided
11%
Lead
11%
The Economist/YouGov
The Economist/YouGov
Poll source
The Economist/YouGov
Date(s) administered
May 9–11, 2026
Sample size
1,406 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Democratic
45%
Republican
40%
Other/ Undecided
15%
Lead
5%
1,547 (A)
1,547 (A)
Poll source
1,547 (A)
Date(s) administered
37%
Sample size
34%
Margin of error
29%
Democratic
3%
Reuters/Ipsos
Reuters/Ipsos
Poll source
Reuters/Ipsos
Date(s) administered
May 8–11, 2026
Sample size
993 (RV)
Margin of error
–
Democratic
41%
Republican
35%
Other/ Undecided
24%
Lead
6%
1,254 (A)
1,254 (A)
Poll source
1,254 (A)
Date(s) administered
± 2 %
Sample size
36%
Margin of error
31%
Democratic
33%
Republican
5%
AtlasIntel
AtlasIntel
Poll source
AtlasIntel
Date(s) administered
May 4–7, 2026
Sample size
2,069 (A)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Democratic
55%
Republican
40%
Other/ Undecided
5%
Lead
15%
Cygnal (R)
Cygnal (R)
Poll source
Cygnal (R)
Date(s) administered
May 4–7, 2026
Sample size
1,500 (LV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Democratic
48%
Republican
41%
Other/ Undecided
11%
Lead
7%
Cygnal (R)
Cygnal (R)
Poll source
Cygnal (R)
Date(s) administered
May 5–6, 2026
Sample size
1,500 (LV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Democratic
49%
Republican
42%
Other/ Undecided
9%
Lead
7%
RMG Research
RMG Research
Poll source
RMG Research
Date(s) administered
May 4–6, 2026
Sample size
2,000 (RV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Democratic
50%
Republican
41%
Other/ Undecided
9%
Lead
9%
HarrisX/Forbes
HarrisX/Forbes
Poll source
HarrisX/Forbes
Date(s) administered
April 29 – May 5, 2026
Sample size
1,891 (LV)
Margin of error
–
Democratic
48%
Republican
42%
Other/ Undecided
10%
Lead
6%
2,359 (RV)
2,359 (RV)
Poll source
2,359 (RV)
Date(s) administered
46%
Sample size
41%
Margin of error
13%
Democratic
5%
2,569 (A)
2,569 (A)
Poll source
2,569 (A)
Date(s) administered
± 1 %
Sample size
46%
Margin of error
40%
Democratic
14%
Republican
6%
Focaldata/Financial Times
Focaldata/Financial Times
Poll source
Focaldata/Financial Times
Date(s) administered
May 1–5, 2026
Sample size
3,017 (RV)
Margin of error
–
Democratic
52%
Republican
44%
Other/ Undecided
4%
Lead
8%
3,167 (RV)
3,167 (RV)
Poll source
3,167 (RV)
Date(s) administered
49%
Sample size
42%
Margin of error
9%
Democratic
7%
3,612 (A)
3,612 (A)
Poll source
3,612 (A)
Date(s) administered
46%
Sample size
39%
Margin of error
15%
The Economist/YouGov
The Economist/YouGov
Poll source
The Economist/YouGov
Date(s) administered
May 1–4, 2026
Sample size
1,406 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Democratic
44%
Republican
41%
Other/ Undecided
15%
Lead
3%
1,703 (A)
1,703 (A)
Poll source
1,703 (A)
Date(s) administered
38%
Sample size
34%
Margin of error
28%
Democratic
4%
CNN/SSRS
CNN/SSRS
Poll source
CNN/SSRS
Date(s) administered
April 30 – May 4, 2026
Sample size
– (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Democratic
45%
Republican
42%
Other/ Undecided
13%
Lead
3%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s) administered
April 30 – May 3, 2026
Sample size
2,201 (RV)
Margin of error
–
Democratic
46%
Republican
43%
Other/ Undecided
11%
Lead
3%
Marist University
Marist University
Poll source
Marist University
Date(s) administered
April 27–30, 2026
Sample size
1,155 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Democratic
52%
Republican
42%
Other/ Undecided
6%
Lead
10%
Big Data Poll (R)
Big Data Poll (R)
Poll source
Big Data Poll (R)
Date(s) administered
April 25–28, 2026
Sample size
2,874 (LV)
Margin of error
± 1 %
Democratic
50%
Republican
39%
Other/ Undecided
10%
Lead
11%
47%
47%
Poll source
47%
Date(s) administered
37%
Sample size
16%
Margin of error
10%
3,176 (RV)
3,176 (RV)
Poll source
3,176 (RV)
Date(s) administered
± 1 %
Sample size
48%
Margin of error
38%
Democratic
13%
Republican
10%
45%
45%
Poll source
45%
Date(s) administered
35%
Sample size
20%
The Washington Post/ABC News/Ipsos
The Washington Post/ABC News/Ipsos
Poll source
The Washington Post/ABC News/Ipsos
Date(s) administered
April 24–28, 2026
Sample size
2,059 (RV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Democratic
49%
Republican
44%
Other/ Undecided
6%
Lead
5%
The Economist/YouGov
The Economist/YouGov
Poll source
The Economist/YouGov
Date(s) administered
April 24–27, 2026
Sample size
1,645 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Democratic
46%
Republican
41%
Other/ Undecided
13%
Lead
5%
1,834 (A)
1,834 (A)
Poll source
1,834 (A)
Date(s) administered
39%
Sample size
34%
Margin of error
27%
Reuters/Ipsos
Reuters/Ipsos
Poll source
Reuters/Ipsos
Date(s) administered
April 24–27, 2026
Sample size
1,014 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Democratic
41%
Republican
37%
Other/ Undecided
22%
Lead
4%
1,269 (A)
1,269 (A)
Poll source
1,269 (A)
Date(s) administered
± 2 %
Sample size
36%
Margin of error
31%
Democratic
33%
Republican
5%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s) administered
April 24–27, 2026
Sample size
2,201 (RV)
Margin of error
–
Democratic
45%
Republican
42%
Other/ Undecided
13%
Lead
3%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Poll source
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Date(s) administered
April 21–27, 2026
Sample size
1,000 (RV)
Margin of error
–
Democratic
44%
Republican
41%
Other/ Undecided
15%
Lead
3%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s) administered
April 24–26, 2026
Sample size
1,000 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Democratic
50%
Republican
40%
Other/ Undecided
10%
Lead
10%
Harvard/Harris Poll/HarrisX
Harvard/Harris Poll/HarrisX
Poll source
Harvard/Harris Poll/HarrisX
Date(s) administered
April 23–26, 2026
Sample size
2,745 (RV)
Margin of error
± 1 %
Democratic
50%
Republican
50%
Other/ Undecided
–
Lead
Tie
– (LV)
– (LV)
Poll source
– (LV)
Date(s) administered
–
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)
Poll source
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)
Date(s) administered
April 15–24, 2026
Sample size
1,000 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Democratic
50%
Republican
45%
Other/ Undecided
5%
Lead
5%
Quantus Insights (R)
Quantus Insights (R)
Poll source
Quantus Insights (R)
Date(s) administered
April 21–23, 2026
Sample size
1,452 (LV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Democratic
47%
Republican
42%
Other/ Undecided
11%
Lead
4%
The Argument/Verasight
The Argument/Verasight
Poll source
The Argument/Verasight
Date(s) administered
April 20–23, 2026
Sample size
1,516 (RV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Democratic
53%
Republican
47%
Other/ Undecided
–
Lead
6%
47%
47%
Poll source
47%
Date(s) administered
40%
Sample size
13%
Margin of error
7%
Beacon Research (D)/ Shaw & Co. Research (R)
Beacon Research (D)/ Shaw & Co. Research (R)
Poll source
Beacon Research (D)/ Shaw & Co. Research (R)
Date(s) administered
April 17–20, 2026
Sample size
1,001 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Democratic
52%
Republican
47%
Other/ Undecided
1%
Lead
5%
Echelon Insights
Echelon Insights
Poll source
Echelon Insights
Date(s) administered
April 17–20, 2026
Sample size
1,012 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Democratic
50%
Republican
44%
Other/ Undecided
6%
Lead
6%
The Economist/YouGov
The Economist/YouGov
Poll source
The Economist/YouGov
Date(s) administered
April 17–20, 2026
Sample size
1,549 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Democratic
45%
Republican
40%
Other/ Undecided
15%
Lead
5%
1,703 (A)
1,703 (A)
Poll source
1,703 (A)
Date(s) administered
39%
Sample size
33%
Margin of error
28%
Democratic
6%
Reuters/Ipsos
Reuters/Ipsos
Poll source
Reuters/Ipsos
Date(s) administered
April 15–20, 2026
Sample size
3,577 (RV)
Margin of error
–
Democratic
41%
Republican
38%
Other/ Undecided
21%
Lead
3%
4,557 (A)
4,557 (A)
Poll source
4,557 (A)
Date(s) administered
± 1 %
Sample size
35%
Margin of error
31%
Democratic
34%
Republican
4%
Hart Research Associates (D)/ Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Hart Research Associates (D)/ Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Poll source
Hart Research Associates (D)/ Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Date(s) administered
April 15–19, 2025
Sample size
1,000 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Democratic
49%
Republican
45%
Other/ Undecided
6%
Lead
4%
KFF
KFF
Poll source
KFF
Date(s) administered
April 14–19, 2026
Sample size
1,107 (RV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Democratic
43%
Republican
34%
Other/ Undecided
23%
Lead
9%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s) administered
April 13–19, 2026
Sample size
27,869 (RV)
Margin of error
–
Democratic
45%
Republican
42%
Other/ Undecided
13%
Lead
3%
John Zogby Strategies
John Zogby Strategies
Poll source
John Zogby Strategies
Date(s) administered
April 17–18, 2026
Sample size
1,001 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Democratic
48%
Republican
44%
Other/ Undecided
8%
Lead
4%
Marquette University Law School
Marquette University Law School
Poll source
Marquette University Law School
Date(s) administered
April 8–16, 2026
Sample size
576 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Democratic
53%
Republican
43%
Other/ Undecided
4%
Lead
10%
870 (RV)
870 (RV)
Poll source
870 (RV)
Date(s) administered
± 3 %
Sample size
48%
Margin of error
44%
Democratic
8%
Republican
4%
982 (A)
982 (A)
Poll source
982 (A)
Date(s) administered
± 3 %
Sample size
44%
Margin of error
41%
Democratic
15%
Republican
3%
GBAO (D)/Third Way (D)
GBAO (D)/Third Way (D)
Poll source
GBAO (D)/Third Way (D)
Date(s) administered
April 8–15, 2026
Sample size
2,000 (RV)
Margin of error
–
Democratic
48%
Republican
40%
Other/ Undecided
12%
Lead
8%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
Poll source
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
Date(s) administered
April 8–15, 2026
Sample size
1,000 (LV)
Margin of error
–
Democratic
47%
Republican
43%
Other/ Undecided
10%
Lead
4%
Strength In Numbers/Verasight
Strength In Numbers/Verasight
Poll source
Strength In Numbers/Verasight
Date(s) administered
April 10–14, 2026
Sample size
1,386 (RV)
Margin of error
–
Democratic
50%
Republican
43%
Other/ Undecided
7%
Lead
7%
1,514 (A)
1,514 (A)
Poll source
1,514 (A)
Date(s) administered
± 2 %
Sample size
49%
Margin of error
41%
Democratic
10%
Republican
8%
Survey 160
Survey 160
Poll source
Survey 160
Date(s) administered
April 8–13, 2026
Sample size
1,539 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Democratic
47%
Republican
37%
Other/ Undecided
16%
Lead
10%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s) administered
April 6–12, 2026
Sample size
12,505 (RV)
Margin of error
–
Democratic
46%
Republican
42%
Other/ Undecided
12%
Lead
4%
Tavern Research (D)
Tavern Research (D)
Poll source
Tavern Research (D)
Date(s) administered
April 6–9, 2026
Sample size
502 (LV)
Margin of error
–
Democratic
44%
Republican
43%
Other/ Undecided
13%
Lead
1%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s) administered
April 6–9, 2026
Sample size
2,200 (RV)
Margin of error
–
Democratic
46%
Republican
42%
Other/ Undecided
12%
Lead
4%
RMG Research
RMG Research
Poll source
RMG Research
Date(s) administered
April 6–9, 2026
Sample size
2,000 (RV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Democratic
49%
Republican
44%
Other/ Undecided
7%
Lead
5%
45%
45%
Poll source
45%
Date(s) administered
42%
Sample size
3%
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Democratic
Republican
Other/ Undecided
Lead
The Economist/YouGov
May 22–26, 2026
1,393 (RV)
± 3 %
46%
41%
13%
5%
1,514 (A)
39%
33%
28%
6%
John Zogby Strategies
May 21–22, 2026
– (LV)
–
49%
42%
9%
7%
Morris Predictive Insights/Verasight
May 18–20, 2026
2,000 (A)
± 2 %
52%
41%
7%
11%
Strength In Numbers/Verasight
May 18–19, 2026
1,413 (RV)
–
51%
43%
6%
8%
1,520 (A)
± 2 %
51%
41%
8%
10%
Data for Progress (D)
May 15–18, 2026
1,149 (LV)
± 3 %
51%
43%
6%
8%
Reuters/Ipsos
May 15–18, 2026
984 (RV)
± 3 %
39%
38%
23%
1%
1,271 (A)
± 2 %
35%
31%
34%
4%
The Economist/YouGov
May 15–18, 2026
1,375 (RV)
± 3 %
46%
43%
11%
3%
1,543 (A)
40%
35%
25%
5%
Echelon Insights
May 14–18, 2026
1,008 (LV)
± 3 %
51%
43%
6%
8%
Quinnipiac University
May 14–18, 2026
1,106 (RV)
± 3 %
50%
39%
11%
11%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
May 12–18, 2026
1,000 (LV)
–
46%
42%
12%
4%
Impact Research (D)/ National Research Inc. (R)
May 7–18, 2026
1,500 (RV)
± 2 %
48%
40%
12%
8%
Morning Consult
May 15–17, 2026
2,203 (RV)
–
47%
41%
12%
6%
Morning Consult
May 11–17, 2026
28,525 (RV)
–
46%
42%
12%
4%
CBS News/YouGov
May 13–15, 2026
1,397 (RV)
–
45%
40%
15%
5%
New York Times/Siena College
May 11–15, 2026
1,507 (RV)
–
50%
39%
11%
11%
The Economist/YouGov
May 9–11, 2026
1,406 (RV)
± 3 %
45%
40%
15%
5%
1,547 (A)
37%
34%
29%
3%
Reuters/Ipsos
May 8–11, 2026
993 (RV)
–
41%
35%
24%
6%
1,254 (A)
± 2 %
36%
31%
33%
5%
AtlasIntel
May 4–7, 2026
2,069 (A)
± 2 %
55%
40%
5%
15%
Cygnal (R)
May 4–7, 2026
1,500 (LV)
± 2 %
48%
41%
11%
7%
Cygnal (R)
May 5–6, 2026
1,500 (LV)
± 2 %
49%
42%
9%
7%
RMG Research
May 4–6, 2026
2,000 (RV)
± 2 %
50%
41%
9%
9%
HarrisX/Forbes
April 29 – May 5, 2026
1,891 (LV)
–
48%
42%
10%
6%
2,359 (RV)
46%
41%
13%
5%
2,569 (A)
± 1 %
46%
40%
14%
6%
Focaldata/Financial Times
May 1–5, 2026
3,017 (RV)
–
52%
44%
4%
8%
3,167 (RV)
49%
42%
9%
7%
3,612 (A)
46%
39%
15%
The Economist/YouGov
May 1–4, 2026
1,406 (RV)
± 3 %
44%
41%
15%
3%
1,703 (A)
38%
34%
28%
4%
CNN/SSRS
April 30 – May 4, 2026
– (RV)
± 3 %
45%
42%
13%
3%
Morning Consult
April 30 – May 3, 2026
2,201 (RV)
–
46%
43%
11%
3%
Marist University
April 27–30, 2026
1,155 (RV)
± 3 %
52%
42%
6%
10%
Big Data Poll (R)
April 25–28, 2026
2,874 (LV)
± 1 %
50%
39%
10%
11%
47%
37%
16%
10%
3,176 (RV)
± 1 %
48%
38%
13%
10%
45%
35%
20%
The Washington Post/ABC News/Ipsos
April 24–28, 2026
2,059 (RV)
± 2 %
49%
44%
6%
5%
The Economist/YouGov
April 24–27, 2026
1,645 (RV)
± 3 %
46%
41%
13%
5%
1,834 (A)
39%
34%
27%
Reuters/Ipsos
April 24–27, 2026
1,014 (RV)
± 3 %
41%
37%
22%
4%
1,269 (A)
± 2 %
36%
31%
33%
5%
Morning Consult
April 24–27, 2026
2,201 (RV)
–
45%
42%
13%
3%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
April 21–27, 2026
1,000 (RV)
–
44%
41%
15%
3%
· Polling
The Economist/YouGov
The Economist/YouGov
Poll source
The Economist/YouGov
Date(s) administered
December 26–29, 2025
Sample size
1,417 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Democratic
42%
Republican
38%
Other/ Undecided
20%
Lead
4%
1,546 (A)
1,546 (A)
Poll source
1,546 (A)
Date(s) administered
36%
Sample size
31%
Margin of error
33%
Democratic
5%
Big Data Poll (R)
Big Data Poll (R)
Poll source
Big Data Poll (R)
Date(s) administered
December 26–28, 2025
Sample size
3,412 (LV)
Margin of error
± 1 %
Democratic
48%
Republican
44%
Other/ Undecided
8%
Lead
4%
45%
45%
Poll source
45%
Date(s) administered
42%
Sample size
13%
Margin of error
3%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s) administered
December 15–21, 2025
Sample size
20,240 (RV)
Margin of error
–
Democratic
45%
Republican
42%
Other/ Undecided
13%
The Economist/YouGov
The Economist/YouGov
Poll source
The Economist/YouGov
Date(s) administered
December 20–22, 2025
Sample size
1,424 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Democratic
43%
Republican
40%
Other/ Undecided
17%
1,591 (A)
1,591 (A)
Poll source
1,591 (A)
Date(s) administered
38%
Sample size
34%
Margin of error
28%
Democratic
4%
Quantus Insights (R)
Quantus Insights (R)
Poll source
Quantus Insights (R)
Date(s) administered
December 15–17, 2025
Sample size
1,000 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Democratic
43%
Republican
41%
Other/ Undecided
16%
Lead
2%
AtlasIntel
AtlasIntel
Poll source
AtlasIntel
Date(s) administered
December 15–19, 2025
Sample size
2,315 (A)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Democratic
54%
Republican
38%
Other/ Undecided
7%
Lead
16%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
Poll source
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
Date(s) administered
December 12–19, 2025
Sample size
1,000 (RV)
Margin of error
–
Democratic
46%
Republican
45%
Other/ Undecided
9%
Lead
1%
Fabrizio Ward (R)
Fabrizio Ward (R)
Poll source
Fabrizio Ward (R)
Date(s) administered
December 15–17, 2025
Sample size
1,000 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Democratic
45%
Republican
38%
Other/ Undecided
17%
Lead
7%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s) administered
December 14–15, 2025
Sample size
1,000 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Democratic
44%
Republican
42%
Other/ Undecided
14%
Lead
2%
Reuters/Ipsos
Reuters/Ipsos
Poll source
Reuters/Ipsos
Date(s) administered
December 12–15, 2025
Sample size
775 (RV)
Margin of error
–
Democratic
40%
Republican
36%
Other/ Undecided
24%
Lead
4%
The Economist/YouGov
The Economist/YouGov
Poll source
The Economist/YouGov
Date(s) administered
December 12–15, 2025
Sample size
1,451 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Democratic
43%
Republican
39%
Other/ Undecided
18%
Lead
4%
1,630 (A)
1,630 (A)
Poll source
1,630 (A)
Date(s) administered
37%
Sample size
33%
Margin of error
30%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s) administered
December 12–15, 2025
Sample size
2,201 (RV)
Margin of error
–
Democratic
45%
Republican
44%
Other/ Undecided
11%
Lead
1%
Echelon Insights
Echelon Insights
Poll source
Echelon Insights
Date(s) administered
December 11–15, 2025
Sample size
1,011 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Democratic
48%
Republican
45%
Other/ Undecided
7%
Lead
3%
Quinnipiac University
Quinnipiac University
Poll source
Quinnipiac University
Date(s) administered
December 11–15, 2025
Sample size
1,035 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Democratic
47%
Republican
43%
Other/ Undecided
10%
Lead
4%
Big Data Poll (R)
Big Data Poll (R)
Poll source
Big Data Poll (R)
Date(s) administered
December 10–12, 2025
Sample size
3,004 (RV)
Margin of error
± 1 %
Democratic
47%
Republican
43%
Other/ Undecided
10%
44%
44%
Poll source
44%
Date(s) administered
41%
Sample size
15%
Margin of error
3%
The Argument/Verasight
The Argument/Verasight
Poll source
The Argument/Verasight
Date(s) administered
December 5–11, 2025
Sample size
– (LV)
Margin of error
–
Democratic
52%
Republican
48%
Other/ Undecided
–
Lead
4%
1,521 (RV)
1,521 (RV)
Poll source
1,521 (RV)
Date(s) administered
± 2 %
Sample size
50%
Margin of error
49%
Democratic
–
Republican
1%
44%
44%
Poll source
44%
Date(s) administered
42%
Sample size
14%
Margin of error
2%
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)
Poll source
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)
Date(s) administered
December 4–11, 2025
Sample size
1,000 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Democratic
49%
Republican
44%
Other/ Undecided
7%
Lead
5%
GrayHouse (R)
GrayHouse (R)
Poll source
GrayHouse (R)
Date(s) administered
December 6–8, 2025
Sample size
2,058 (RV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Democratic
45%
Republican
41%
Other/ Undecided
14%
Lead
4%
The Economist/YouGov
The Economist/YouGov
Poll source
The Economist/YouGov
Date(s) administered
December 5–8 2025
Sample size
1,379 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Democratic
42%
Republican
37%
Other/ Undecided
21%
Lead
6%
1,529 (A)
1,529 (A)
Poll source
1,529 (A)
Date(s) administered
37%
Sample size
32%
Margin of error
31%
Democratic
5%
Hart Research Associates (D)/ Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Hart Research Associates (D)/ Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Poll source
Hart Research Associates (D)/ Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Date(s) administered
December 4–8, 2025
Sample size
800 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Democratic
50%
Republican
46%
Other/ Undecided
4%
Lead
4%
Reuters/Ipsos
Reuters/Ipsos
Poll source
Reuters/Ipsos
Date(s) administered
December 3–8, 2025
Sample size
3,521 (RV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Democratic
40%
Republican
39%
Other/ Undecided
21%
Lead
1%
Cygnal (R)
Cygnal (R)
Poll source
Cygnal (R)
Date(s) administered
December 5–7, 2025
Sample size
1,500 (LV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Democratic
48%
Republican
44%
Other/ Undecided
8%
Lead
4%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s) administered
December 5–7, 2025
Sample size
2,201 (RV)
Margin of error
–
Democratic
46%
Republican
43%
Other/ Undecided
11%
Lead
3%
Quantus Insights (R)
Quantus Insights (R)
Poll source
Quantus Insights (R)
Date(s) administered
December 4–5, 2025
Sample size
1,000 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Democratic
44%
Republican
40%
Other/ Undecided
16%
Lead
4%
RMG Research
RMG Research
Poll source
RMG Research
Date(s) administered
December 1–4, 2025
Sample size
2,000 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Democratic
41%
Republican
45%
Other/ Undecided
14%
Lead
4%
44%
44%
Poll source
44%
Date(s) administered
48%
Sample size
8%
Big Data Poll (R)
Big Data Poll (R)
Poll source
Big Data Poll (R)
Date(s) administered
November 28 – December 1, 2025
Sample size
2,008 (RV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Democratic
44%
Republican
42%
Other/ Undecided
20%
Lead
2%
41%
41%
Poll source
41%
Date(s) administered
39%
Sample size
20%
The Economist/YouGov
The Economist/YouGov
Poll source
The Economist/YouGov
Date(s) administered
November 28 – December 1, 2025
Sample size
1,452 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Democratic
45%
Republican
39%
Other/ Undecided
16%
Lead
6%
1,623 (A)
1,623 (A)
Poll source
1,623 (A)
Date(s) administered
39%
Sample size
33%
Margin of error
28%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s) administered
November 26–30, 2025
Sample size
2,200 (RV)
Margin of error
–
Democratic
45%
Republican
41%
Other/ Undecided
14%
Lead
4%
GBAO (D)/Third Way (D)
GBAO (D)/Third Way (D)
Poll source
GBAO (D)/Third Way (D)
Date(s) administered
November 19–26, 2025
Sample size
2,000 (RV)
Margin of error
–
Democratic
48%
Republican
42%
Other/ Undecided
10%
Lead
6%
The Bullfinch Group
The Bullfinch Group
Poll source
The Bullfinch Group
Date(s) administered
November 21–25, 2025
Sample size
1,000 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Democratic
41%
Republican
35%
Other/ Undecided
24%
1,200 (A)
1,200 (A)
Poll source
1,200 (A)
Date(s) administered
± 2 %
Sample size
37%
Margin of error
32%
Democratic
31%
Republican
5%
The Economist/YouGov
The Economist/YouGov
Poll source
The Economist/YouGov
Date(s) administered
November 21–24, 2025
Sample size
1,511 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Democratic
39%
Republican
32%
Other/ Undecided
29%
Lead
7%
1,674 (A)
1,674 (A)
Poll source
1,674 (A)
Date(s) administered
44%
Sample size
39%
Margin of error
17%
Democratic
5%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
Poll source
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
Date(s) administered
November 17–24, 2025
Sample size
1,000 (RV)
Margin of error
–
Democratic
45%
Republican
44%
Other/ Undecided
11%
Lead
1%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s) administered
November 21–23, 2025
Sample size
2,200 (RV)
Margin of error
–
Democratic
45%
Republican
43%
Other/ Undecided
13%
Lead
2%
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Poll source
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Date(s) administered
November 18–23, 2025
Sample size
2,410 (LV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Democratic
45%
Republican
42%
Other/ Undecided
13%
Lead
3%
J . Partners (R)
J . Partners (R)
Poll source
J . Partners (R)
Date(s) administered
November 19–20, 2025
Sample size
797 (LV)
Margin of error
–
Democratic
50%
Republican
46%
Other/ Undecided
4%
Lead
4%
The Economist/YouGov
The Economist/YouGov
Poll source
The Economist/YouGov
Date(s) administered
November 15–17, 2025
Sample size
1,380 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Democratic
43%
Republican
40%
Other/ Undecided
17%
Lead
3%
Echelon Insights
Echelon Insights
Poll source
Echelon Insights
Date(s) administered
November 13–17, 2025
Sample size
1,051 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Democratic
49%
Republican
45%
Other/ Undecided
6%
Lead
4%
The Argument/Verasight
The Argument/Verasight
Poll source
The Argument/Verasight
Date(s) administered
November 10–17, 2025
Sample size
– (LV)
Margin of error
–
Democratic
54%
Republican
46%
Other/ Undecided
–
Lead
8%
1,508 (RV)
1,508 (RV)
Poll source
1,508 (RV)
Date(s) administered
± 2 %
Sample size
53%
Margin of error
47%
Democratic
–
Republican
6%
46%
46%
Poll source
46%
Date(s) administered
42%
Sample size
12%
Margin of error
4%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s) administered
November 14–16, 2025
Sample size
2,200 (RV)
Margin of error
–
Democratic
46%
Republican
44%
Other/ Undecided
10%
Lead
2%
High Point University
High Point University
Poll source
High Point University
Date(s) administered
November 10–14, 2025
Sample size
1,004 (A)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Democratic
46%
Republican
36%
Other/ Undecided
13%
Lead
10%
Marist University
Marist University
Poll source
Marist University
Date(s) administered
November 10–13, 2025
Sample size
1,291 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Democratic
55%
Republican
41%
Other/ Undecided
4%
Lead
14%
Quantus Insights (R)
Quantus Insights (R)
Poll source
Quantus Insights (R)
Date(s) administered
November 11–12, 2025
Sample size
1,000 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Democratic
44%
Republican
39%
Other/ Undecided
17%
Lead
5%
Reuters/Ipsos
Reuters/Ipsos
Poll source
Reuters/Ipsos
Date(s) administered
November 7–12, 2025
Sample size
938 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Democratic
41%
Republican
40%
Other/ Undecided
19%
Lead
1%
Marquette University Law School
Marquette University Law School
Poll source
Marquette University Law School
Date(s) administered
November 5–12, 2025
Sample size
903 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Democratic
49%
Republican
44%
Other/ Undecided
7%
Lead
5%
1,052 (A)
1,052 (A)
Poll source
1,052 (A)
Date(s) administered
± 3 %
Sample size
46%
Margin of error
41%
Democratic
13%
The Economist/YouGov
The Economist/YouGov
Poll source
The Economist/YouGov
Date(s) administered
November 7–10, 2025
Sample size
1,499 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Democratic
46%
Republican
39%
Other/ Undecided
15%
Lead
7%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s) administered
November 7–9, 2025
Sample size
2,201 (RV)
Margin of error
–
Democratic
48%
Republican
43%
Other/ Undecided
9%
Lead
5%
Cygnal (R)
Cygnal (R)
Poll source
Cygnal (R)
Date(s) administered
November 5–6, 2025
Sample size
1,500 (LV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Democratic
50%
Republican
44%
Other/ Undecided
6%
Lead
6%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s) administered
November 3–4, 2025
Sample size
1,000 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Democratic
44%
Republican
40%
Other/ Undecided
16%
Lead
4%
The Economist/YouGov
The Economist/YouGov
Poll source
The Economist/YouGov
Date(s) administered
October 31 – November 3, 2025
Sample size
1,470 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Democratic
44%
Republican
41%
Other/ Undecided
15%
Lead
3%
RMG Research
RMG Research
Poll source
RMG Research
Date(s) administered
October 27–30, 2025
Sample size
2,000 (RV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Democratic
42%
Republican
43%
Other/ Undecided
15%
Lead
1%
44%
44%
Poll source
44%
Date(s) administered
46%
Sample size
10%
Margin of error
2%
CNN/SSRS
CNN/SSRS
Poll source
CNN/SSRS
Date(s) administered
October 27–30, 2025
Sample size
945 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Democratic
47%
Republican
42%
Other/ Undecided
11%
Lead
5%
NewsNation/DDHQ
NewsNation/DDHQ
Poll source
NewsNation/DDHQ
Date(s) administered
October 27–29, 2025
Sample size
1,159 (LV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Democratic
47%
Republican
47%
Other/ Undecided
7%
Lead
Tie
1,609 (RV)
1,609 (RV)
Poll source
1,609 (RV)
Date(s) administered
± 2 %
Sample size
45%
Margin of error
44%
Democratic
11%
Republican
1%
Strength In Numbers/Verasight
Strength In Numbers/Verasight
Poll source
Strength In Numbers/Verasight
Date(s) administered
October 24–29, 2025
Sample size
1,352 (LV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Democratic
49%
Republican
41%
Other/ Undecided
10%
Lead
8%
1,567 (A)
1,567 (A)
Poll source
1,567 (A)
Date(s) administered
± 2 %
Sample size
46%
Margin of error
39%
Democratic
15%
Republican
7%
Big Data Poll (R)
Big Data Poll (R)
Poll source
Big Data Poll (R)
Date(s) administered
October 26–28, 2025
Sample size
2,984 (RV)
Margin of error
± 1 %
Democratic
43%
Republican
41%
Other/ Undecided
16%
Lead
2%
Washington Post/ABC News/Ipsos
Washington Post/ABC News/Ipsos
Poll source
Washington Post/ABC News/Ipsos
Date(s) administered
October 24–28, 2025
Sample size
2,203 (RV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Democratic
46%
Republican
44%
Other/ Undecided
10%
Hart Research Associates (D)/ Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Hart Research Associates (D)/ Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Poll source
Hart Research Associates (D)/ Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Date(s) administered
October 24–28, 2025
Sample size
1,000 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Democratic
50%
Republican
42%
Other/ Undecided
8%
Lead
8%
The Economist/YouGov
The Economist/YouGov
Poll source
The Economist/YouGov
Date(s) administered
October 24–27, 2025
Sample size
1,472 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Democratic
43%
Republican
40%
Other/ Undecided
17%
Lead
3%
Yahoo News/YouGov
Yahoo News/YouGov
Poll source
Yahoo News/YouGov
Date(s) administered
October 23–27, 2025
Sample size
1,197 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Democratic
45%
Republican
40%
Other/ Undecided
15%
Lead
5%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
Poll source
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
Date(s) administered
October 21–27, 2025
Sample size
1,000 (RV)
Margin of error
–
Democratic
44%
Republican
46%
Other/ Undecided
10%
Lead
2%
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)
Poll source
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)
Date(s) administered
October 16–23, 2025
Sample size
1,047 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Democratic
47%
Republican
46%
Other/ Undecided
7%
Lead
1%
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Democratic
Republican
Other/ Undecided
Lead
The Economist/YouGov
December 26–29, 2025
1,417 (RV)
± 3 %
42%
38%
20%
4%
1,546 (A)
36%
31%
33%
5%
Big Data Poll (R)
December 26–28, 2025
3,412 (LV)
± 1 %
48%
44%
8%
4%
45%
42%
13%
3%
Morning Consult
December 15–21, 2025
20,240 (RV)
–
45%
42%
13%
The Economist/YouGov
December 20–22, 2025
1,424 (RV)
± 3 %
43%
40%
17%
1,591 (A)
38%
34%
28%
4%
Quantus Insights (R)
December 15–17, 2025
1,000 (RV)
± 3 %
43%
41%
16%
2%
AtlasIntel
December 15–19, 2025
2,315 (A)
± 2 %
54%
38%
7%
16%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
December 12–19, 2025
1,000 (RV)
–
46%
45%
9%
1%
Fabrizio Ward (R)
December 15–17, 2025
1,000 (RV)
± 3 %
45%
38%
17%
7%
Emerson College
December 14–15, 2025
1,000 (RV)
± 3 %
44%
42%
14%
2%
Reuters/Ipsos
December 12–15, 2025
775 (RV)
–
40%
36%
24%
4%
The Economist/YouGov
December 12–15, 2025
1,451 (RV)
± 3 %
43%
39%
18%
4%
1,630 (A)
37%
33%
30%
Morning Consult
December 12–15, 2025
2,201 (RV)
–
45%
44%
11%
1%
Echelon Insights
December 11–15, 2025
1,011 (LV)
± 3 %
48%
45%
7%
3%
Quinnipiac University
December 11–15, 2025
1,035 (RV)
± 3 %
47%
43%
10%
4%
Big Data Poll (R)
December 10–12, 2025
3,004 (RV)
± 1 %
47%
43%
10%
44%
41%
15%
3%
The Argument/Verasight
December 5–11, 2025
– (LV)
–
52%
48%
–
4%
1,521 (RV)
± 2 %
50%
49%
–
1%
44%
42%
14%
2%
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)
December 4–11, 2025
1,000 (LV)
± 3 %
49%
44%
7%
5%
GrayHouse (R)
December 6–8, 2025
2,058 (RV)
± 2 %
45%
41%
14%
4%
The Economist/YouGov
December 5–8 2025
1,379 (RV)
± 3 %
42%
37%
21%
6%
1,529 (A)
37%
32%
31%
5%
Hart Research Associates (D)/ Public Opinion Strategies (R)
December 4–8, 2025
800 (RV)
± 3 %
50%
46%
4%
4%
Reuters/Ipsos
December 3–8, 2025
3,521 (RV)
± 2 %
40%
39%
21%
1%
Cygnal (R)
December 5–7, 2025
1,500 (LV)
± 2 %
48%
44%
8%
4%
Morning Consult
December 5–7, 2025
2,201 (RV)
–
46%
43%
11%
3%
Quantus Insights (R)
December 4–5, 2025
1,000 (RV)
± 3 %
44%
40%
16%
4%
RMG Research
December 1–4, 2025
2,000 (RV)
± 3 %
41%
45%
14%
4%
44%
48%
8%
Big Data Poll (R)
November 28 – December 1, 2025
2,008 (RV)
± 2 %
44%
42%
20%
2%
41%
39%
20%
The Economist/YouGov
November 28 – December 1, 2025
1,452 (RV)
± 3 %
45%
39%
16%
6%
1,623 (A)
39%
33%
28%
Morning Consult
November 26–30, 2025
2,200 (RV)
–
45%
41%
14%
4%
GBAO (D)/Third Way (D)
November 19–26, 2025
2,000 (RV)
–
48%
42%
10%
6%
The Bullfinch Group
November 21–25, 2025
1,000 (RV)
± 3 %
41%
35%
24%
1,200 (A)
± 2 %
37%
32%
31%
5%
The Economist/YouGov
November 21–24, 2025
1,511 (RV)
± 3 %
39%
32%
29%
7%
1,674 (A)
44%
39%
17%
5%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
November 17–24, 2025
1,000 (RV)
–
45%
44%
11%
1%
Morning Consult
November 21–23, 2025
2,200 (RV)
–
45%
43%
13%
2%
Rasmussen Reports (R)
November 18–23, 2025
2,410 (LV)
± 2 %
45%
42%
13%
3%
J . Partners (R)
November 19–20, 2025
797 (LV)
–
50%
46%
4%
4%
The Economist/YouGov
November 15–17, 2025
1,380 (RV)
± 3 %
43%
40%
17%
3%

References

  1. Oklahoma law requires appointees to affirm they will not seek a full term.
  2. As a result of redistricting.
  3. As a result of death, resignation, or expulsion.
  4. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  5. Key: A – all adults RV – registered voters LV – likely voters
  6. "I would not vote" with 2%; "Other" with 1%
  7. "I would not vote" with 14%; "Other" with 1%
  8. "Would not vote" with 7%
  9. "Will not/do not plan to vote" with 14%; "Candidate from another political party" with 4%; "Skipped" with 1%
  10. "Doesn't matter either way" with 7%
  11. With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  12. "I would not vote" with 4%; "Other" with 2%
Image
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