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2026 United States elections

Updated: Wikipedia source

2026 United States elections

Elections are scheduled to be held in the United States, in large part, on November 3, 2026. In this U.S. midterm election, scheduled to occur during Republican president Donald Trump's second term, all 435 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives and 35 of the 100 seats in the U.S. Senate will be contested to determine the 120th United States Congress. 39 state and territorial U.S. gubernatorial elections, as well as numerous state and local elections, will also be contested.

Infobox

Election day
November 3
Next Congress
120th
Seats contested
39 (36 states, 3 territories)
Incumbent president
Donald Trump (Republican)

Tables

· Federal elections › Generic congressional ballot aggregate polls
Decision Desk HQ
Decision Desk HQ
Source of pollaggregation
Decision Desk HQ
Datesadministered
January 9, 2025 – January 6, 2026
Datesupdated
January 6, 2026
Republicans
37.0%
Democrats
42.7%
Other/Undecided
20.3%
Margin
Democrats +5.7%
FiftyPlusOne
FiftyPlusOne
Source of pollaggregation
FiftyPlusOne
Datesadministered
January 9, 2025 – January 6, 2026
Datesupdated
January 6, 2026
Republicans
39.7%
Democrats
44.1%
Other/Undecided
16.2%
Margin
Democrats +4.4%
RealClearPolitics
RealClearPolitics
Source of pollaggregation
RealClearPolitics
Datesadministered
November 18, 2025 – January 6, 2026
Datesupdated
January 6, 2026
Republicans
42.2%
Democrats
46.2%
Other/Undecided
11.6%
Margin
Democrats +4.0%
VoteHub
VoteHub
Source of pollaggregation
VoteHub
Datesadministered
January 9, 2025 – January 6, 2026
Datesupdated
January 6, 2026
Republicans
42.2%
Democrats
47.3%
Other/Undecided
10.5%
Margin
Democrats +5.1%
Race To The WH
Race To The WH
Source of pollaggregation
Race To The WH
Datesadministered
January 9, 2025 – January 6, 2026
Datesupdated
January 6, 2026
Republicans
41.0%
Democrats
45.3%
Other/Undecided
13.7%
Margin
Democrats +4.3%
Average
Average
Source of pollaggregation
Average
Datesadministered
January 6, 2026
Datesupdated
40.42%
Republicans
45.12%
Democrats
14.46%
Other/Undecided
Democrats +4.70%
Source of pollaggregation
Datesadministered
Datesupdated
Republicans
Democrats
Other/Undecided
Margin
Decision Desk HQ
January 9, 2025 – January 6, 2026
January 6, 2026
37.0%
42.7%
20.3%
Democrats +5.7%
FiftyPlusOne
January 9, 2025 – January 6, 2026
January 6, 2026
39.7%
44.1%
16.2%
Democrats +4.4%
RealClearPolitics
November 18, 2025 – January 6, 2026
January 6, 2026
42.2%
46.2%
11.6%
Democrats +4.0%
VoteHub
January 9, 2025 – January 6, 2026
January 6, 2026
42.2%
47.3%
10.5%
Democrats +5.1%
Race To The WH
January 9, 2025 – January 6, 2026
January 6, 2026
41.0%
45.3%
13.7%
Democrats +4.3%
Average
January 6, 2026
40.42%
45.12%
14.46%
Democrats +4.70%
· Polling
The Economist/YouGov
The Economist/YouGov
Poll source
The Economist/YouGov
Date(s)administered
January 2–5, 2026
Samplesize
1,386 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
Democratic
45%
Republican
39%
Other/Undecided
16%
Lead
6%
1,547 (A)
1,547 (A)
Poll source
1,547 (A)
Date(s)administered
39%
Samplesize
32%
Marginof error
29%
Democratic
7%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
January 2–4, 2026
Samplesize
2,201 (RV)
Marginof error
Democratic
45%
Republican
42%
Other/Undecided
13%
Lead
3%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
December 29, 2025 – January 4, 2026
Samplesize
22,709 (RV)
Marginof error
Democratic
44%
Republican
42%
Other/Undecided
14%
Lead
2%
The Bullfinch Group
The Bullfinch Group
Poll source
The Bullfinch Group
Date(s)administered
December 30, 2025 – January 1, 2026
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
Democratic
44%
Republican
33%
Other/Undecided
23%
Lead
11%
1,200 (A)
1,200 (A)
Poll source
1,200 (A)
Date(s)administered
± 2.8%
Samplesize
40%
Marginof error
30%
Democratic
30%
Republican
10%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
Democratic
Republican
Other/Undecided
Lead
The Economist/YouGov
January 2–5, 2026
1,386 (RV)
± 3.1%
45%
39%
16%
6%
1,547 (A)
39%
32%
29%
7%
Morning Consult
January 2–4, 2026
2,201 (RV)
45%
42%
13%
3%
Morning Consult
December 29, 2025 – January 4, 2026
22,709 (RV)
44%
42%
14%
2%
The Bullfinch Group
December 30, 2025 – January 1, 2026
1,000 (RV)
± 3.1%
44%
33%
23%
11%
1,200 (A)
± 2.8%
40%
30%
30%
10%
· Polling
The Economist/YouGov
The Economist/YouGov
Poll source
The Economist/YouGov
Date(s)administered
December 26–29, 2025
Samplesize
1,417 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.3%
Democratic
42%
Republican
38%
Other/Undecided
20%
Lead
4%
1,546 (A)
1,546 (A)
Poll source
1,546 (A)
Date(s)administered
36%
Samplesize
31%
Marginof error
33%
Democratic
5%
Big Data Poll (R)
Big Data Poll (R)
Poll source
Big Data Poll (R)
Date(s)administered
December 26–28, 2025
Samplesize
3,412 (LV)
Marginof error
± 1.9%
Democratic
48%
Republican
44%
Other/Undecided
8%
Lead
4%
45%
45%
Poll source
45%
Date(s)administered
42%
Samplesize
13%
Marginof error
3%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
December 15–21, 2025
Samplesize
20,240 (RV)
Marginof error
Democratic
45%
Republican
42%
Other/Undecided
13%
Lead
3%
The Economist/YouGov
The Economist/YouGov
Poll source
The Economist/YouGov
Date(s)administered
December 20–22, 2025
Samplesize
1,424 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.3%
Democratic
43%
Republican
40%
Other/Undecided
17%
Lead
3%
1,591 (A)
1,591 (A)
Poll source
1,591 (A)
Date(s)administered
38%
Samplesize
34%
Marginof error
28%
Democratic
4%
Quantus Insights (R)
Quantus Insights (R)
Poll source
Quantus Insights (R)
Date(s)administered
December 15–17, 2025
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
Democratic
43%
Republican
41%
Other/Undecided
16%
Lead
2%
AtlasIntel
AtlasIntel
Poll source
AtlasIntel
Date(s)administered
December 15–19, 2025
Samplesize
2,315 (A)
Marginof error
± 2.0%
Democratic
54%
Republican
38%
Other/Undecided
7%
Lead
16%
Fabrizio Ward (R)
Fabrizio Ward (R)
Poll source
Fabrizio Ward (R)
Date(s)administered
December 15–17, 2025
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
Democratic
45%
Republican
38%
Other/Undecided
17%
Lead
7%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
December 14–15, 2025
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
Democratic
44%
Republican
42%
Other/Undecided
14%
Lead
2%
Reuters/Ipsos
Reuters/Ipsos
Poll source
Reuters/Ipsos
Date(s)administered
December 12–15, 2025
Samplesize
775 (RV)
Marginof error
Democratic
40%
Republican
36%
Other/Undecided
24%
Lead
4%
The Economist/YouGov
The Economist/YouGov
Poll source
The Economist/YouGov
Date(s)administered
December 12–15, 2025
Samplesize
1,451 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.2%
Democratic
43%
Republican
39%
Other/Undecided
18%
Lead
4%
1,630 (A)
1,630 (A)
Poll source
1,630 (A)
Date(s)administered
37%
Samplesize
33%
Marginof error
30%
Democratic
4%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
December 12–15, 2025
Samplesize
2,201 (RV)
Marginof error
Democratic
45%
Republican
44%
Other/Undecided
11%
Lead
1%
Echelon Insights
Echelon Insights
Poll source
Echelon Insights
Date(s)administered
December 11–15, 2025
Samplesize
1,011 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.8%
Democratic
48%
Republican
45%
Other/Undecided
7%
Lead
3%
Quinnipiac University
Quinnipiac University
Poll source
Quinnipiac University
Date(s)administered
December 11–15, 2025
Samplesize
1,035 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.9%
Democratic
47%
Republican
43%
Other/Undecided
10%
Lead
4%
Big Data Poll (R)
Big Data Poll (R)
Poll source
Big Data Poll (R)
Date(s)administered
December 10–12, 2025
Samplesize
3,004 (RV)
Marginof error
± 1.8%
Democratic
47%
Republican
43%
Other/Undecided
10%
Lead
4%
44%
44%
Poll source
44%
Date(s)administered
41%
Samplesize
15%
Marginof error
3%
The Argument/Verasight
The Argument/Verasight
Poll source
The Argument/Verasight
Date(s)administered
December 5–11, 2025
Samplesize
– (LV)
Marginof error
Democratic
52%
Republican
48%
Other/Undecided
Lead
4%
1,521 (RV)
1,521 (RV)
Poll source
1,521 (RV)
Date(s)administered
± 2.7%
Samplesize
50%
Marginof error
49%
Democratic
Republican
1%
44%
44%
Poll source
44%
Date(s)administered
42%
Samplesize
14%
Marginof error
2%
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)
Poll source
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)
Date(s)administered
December 4–11, 2025
Samplesize
1,000 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
Democratic
49%
Republican
44%
Other/Undecided
7%
Lead
5%
The Economist/YouGov
The Economist/YouGov
Poll source
The Economist/YouGov
Date(s)administered
December 5–8 2025
Samplesize
1,379 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.2%
Democratic
42%
Republican
37%
Other/Undecided
21%
Lead
6%
1,529 (A)
1,529 (A)
Poll source
1,529 (A)
Date(s)administered
37%
Samplesize
32%
Marginof error
31%
Democratic
5%
Hart Research Associates (D)/Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Hart Research Associates (D)/Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Poll source
Hart Research Associates (D)/Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Date(s)administered
December 4–8, 2025
Samplesize
800 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
Democratic
50%
Republican
46%
Other/Undecided
4%
Lead
4%
Reuters/Ipsos
Reuters/Ipsos
Poll source
Reuters/Ipsos
Date(s)administered
December 3–8, 2025
Samplesize
3,521 (RV)
Marginof error
± 2.0%
Democratic
40%
Republican
39%
Other/Undecided
21%
Lead
1%
Cygnal (R)
Cygnal (R)
Poll source
Cygnal (R)
Date(s)administered
December 5–7, 2025
Samplesize
1,500 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.5%
Democratic
48%
Republican
44%
Other/Undecided
8%
Lead
4%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
December 5–7, 2025
Samplesize
2,201 (RV)
Marginof error
Democratic
46%
Republican
43%
Other/Undecided
11%
Lead
3%
Quantus Insights (R)
Quantus Insights (R)
Poll source
Quantus Insights (R)
Date(s)administered
December 4–5, 2025
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
Democratic
44%
Republican
40%
Other/Undecided
16%
Lead
4%
RMG Research
RMG Research
Poll source
RMG Research
Date(s)administered
December 1–4, 2025
Samplesize
2,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
Democratic
41%
Republican
45%
Other/Undecided
14%
Lead
4%
44%
44%
Poll source
44%
Date(s)administered
48%
Samplesize
8%
Marginof error
4%
Big Data Poll (R)
Big Data Poll (R)
Poll source
Big Data Poll (R)
Date(s)administered
November 28 – December 1, 2025
Samplesize
2,008 (RV)
Marginof error
± 2.1%
Democratic
44%
Republican
42%
Other/Undecided
20%
Lead
2%
41%
41%
Poll source
41%
Date(s)administered
39%
Samplesize
20%
Marginof error
2%
The Economist/YouGov
The Economist/YouGov
Poll source
The Economist/YouGov
Date(s)administered
November 28 – December 1, 2025
Samplesize
1,452 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
Democratic
45%
Republican
39%
Other/Undecided
16%
Lead
6%
1,623 (A)
1,623 (A)
Poll source
1,623 (A)
Date(s)administered
39%
Samplesize
33%
Marginof error
28%
Democratic
6%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
November 26–30, 2025
Samplesize
2,200 (RV)
Marginof error
Democratic
45%
Republican
41%
Other/Undecided
14%
Lead
4%
GBAO (D)/Third Way (D)
GBAO (D)/Third Way (D)
Poll source
GBAO (D)/Third Way (D)
Date(s)administered
November 19–26, 2025
Samplesize
2,000 (RV)
Marginof error
Democratic
48%
Republican
42%
Other/Undecided
10%
Lead
6%
The Bullfinch Group
The Bullfinch Group
Poll source
The Bullfinch Group
Date(s)administered
November 21–25, 2025
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
Democratic
41%
Republican
35%
Other/Undecided
24%
Lead
6%
1,200 (A)
1,200 (A)
Poll source
1,200 (A)
Date(s)administered
± 2.8%
Samplesize
37%
Marginof error
32%
Democratic
31%
Republican
5%
The Economist/YouGov
The Economist/YouGov
Poll source
The Economist/YouGov
Date(s)administered
November 21–24, 2025
Samplesize
1,511 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
Democratic
39%
Republican
32%
Other/Undecided
29%
Lead
7%
1,674 (A)
1,674 (A)
Poll source
1,674 (A)
Date(s)administered
44%
Samplesize
39%
Marginof error
17%
Democratic
5%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
Poll source
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
Date(s)administered
November 17–24, 2025
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
Democratic
45%
Republican
44%
Other/Undecided
11%
Lead
1%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
November 21–23, 2025
Samplesize
2,200 (RV)
Marginof error
Democratic
45%
Republican
43%
Other/Undecided
13%
Lead
2%
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Poll source
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Date(s)administered
November 18–23, 2025
Samplesize
2,410 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.1%
Democratic
45%
Republican
42%
Other/Undecided
13%
Lead
3%
J.L. Partners (R)
J.L. Partners (R)
Poll source
J.L. Partners (R)
Date(s)administered
November 19–20, 2025
Samplesize
797 (LV)
Marginof error
Democratic
50%
Republican
46%
Other/Undecided
4%
Lead
4%
The Economist/YouGov
The Economist/YouGov
Poll source
The Economist/YouGov
Date(s)administered
November 15–17, 2025
Samplesize
1,380 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
Democratic
43%
Republican
40%
Other/Undecided
17%
Lead
3%
Echelon Insights
Echelon Insights
Poll source
Echelon Insights
Date(s)administered
November 13–17, 2025
Samplesize
1,051 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.7%
Democratic
49%
Republican
45%
Other/Undecided
6%
Lead
4%
The Argument/Verasight
The Argument/Verasight
Poll source
The Argument/Verasight
Date(s)administered
November 10–17, 2025
Samplesize
– (LV)
Marginof error
Democratic
54%
Republican
46%
Other/Undecided
Lead
8%
1,508 (RV)
1,508 (RV)
Poll source
1,508 (RV)
Date(s)administered
± 2.6%
Samplesize
53%
Marginof error
47%
Democratic
Republican
6%
46%
46%
Poll source
46%
Date(s)administered
42%
Samplesize
12%
Marginof error
4%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
November 14–16, 2025
Samplesize
2,200 (RV)
Marginof error
Democratic
46%
Republican
44%
Other/Undecided
10%
Lead
2%
High Point University
High Point University
Poll source
High Point University
Date(s)administered
November 10–14, 2025
Samplesize
1,004 (A)
Marginof error
± 3.2%
Democratic
46%
Republican
36%
Other/Undecided
13%
Lead
10%
Marist University
Marist University
Poll source
Marist University
Date(s)administered
November 10–13, 2025
Samplesize
1,291 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
Democratic
55%
Republican
41%
Other/Undecided
4%
Lead
14%
Quantus Insights (R)
Quantus Insights (R)
Poll source
Quantus Insights (R)
Date(s)administered
November 11–12, 2025
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.3%
Democratic
44%
Republican
39%
Other/Undecided
17%
Lead
5%
Reuters/Ipsos
Reuters/Ipsos
Poll source
Reuters/Ipsos
Date(s)administered
November 7–12, 2025
Samplesize
938 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
Democratic
41%
Republican
40%
Other/Undecided
19%
Lead
1%
Marquette University Law School
Marquette University Law School
Poll source
Marquette University Law School
Date(s)administered
November 5–12, 2025
Samplesize
903 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
Democratic
49%
Republican
44%
Other/Undecided
7%
Lead
5%
1,052 (A)
1,052 (A)
Poll source
1,052 (A)
Date(s)administered
± 3.3%
Samplesize
46%
Marginof error
41%
Democratic
13%
Republican
5%
The Economist/YouGov
The Economist/YouGov
Poll source
The Economist/YouGov
Date(s)administered
November 7–10, 2025
Samplesize
1,499 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
Democratic
46%
Republican
39%
Other/Undecided
15%
Lead
7%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
November 7–9, 2025
Samplesize
2,201 (RV)
Marginof error
Democratic
48%
Republican
43%
Other/Undecided
9%
Lead
5%
Cygnal (R)
Cygnal (R)
Poll source
Cygnal (R)
Date(s)administered
November 5–6, 2025
Samplesize
1,500 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.5%
Democratic
50%
Republican
44%
Other/Undecided
6%
Lead
6%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
November 3–4, 2025
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
Democratic
44%
Republican
40%
Other/Undecided
16%
Lead
4%
The Economist/YouGov
The Economist/YouGov
Poll source
The Economist/YouGov
Date(s)administered
October 31 – November 3, 2025
Samplesize
1,470 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
Democratic
44%
Republican
41%
Other/Undecided
15%
Lead
3%
RMG Research
RMG Research
Poll source
RMG Research
Date(s)administered
October 27–30, 2025
Samplesize
2,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 2.2%
Democratic
42%
Republican
43%
Other/Undecided
15%
Lead
1%
44%
44%
Poll source
44%
Date(s)administered
46%
Samplesize
10%
Marginof error
2%
CNN/SSRS
CNN/SSRS
Poll source
CNN/SSRS
Date(s)administered
October 27–30, 2025
Samplesize
945 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.6%
Democratic
47%
Republican
42%
Other/Undecided
11%
Lead
5%
NewsNation/DDHQ
NewsNation/DDHQ
Poll source
NewsNation/DDHQ
Date(s)administered
October 27–29, 2025
Samplesize
1,159 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.9%
Democratic
47%
Republican
47%
Other/Undecided
7%
Lead
Tie
1,609 (RV)
1,609 (RV)
Poll source
1,609 (RV)
Date(s)administered
± 2.4%
Samplesize
45%
Marginof error
44%
Democratic
11%
Republican
1%
Strength In Numbers/Verasight
Strength In Numbers/Verasight
Poll source
Strength In Numbers/Verasight
Date(s)administered
October 24–29, 2025
Samplesize
1,352 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.7%
Democratic
49%
Republican
41%
Other/Undecided
10%
Lead
8%
1,567 (A)
1,567 (A)
Poll source
1,567 (A)
Date(s)administered
± 2.6%
Samplesize
46%
Marginof error
39%
Democratic
15%
Republican
7%
Big Data Poll (R)
Big Data Poll (R)
Poll source
Big Data Poll (R)
Date(s)administered
October 26–28, 2025
Samplesize
2,984 (RV)
Marginof error
± 1.8%
Democratic
43%
Republican
41%
Other/Undecided
16%
Lead
2%
Washington Post/ABC News/Ipsos
Washington Post/ABC News/Ipsos
Poll source
Washington Post/ABC News/Ipsos
Date(s)administered
October 24–28, 2025
Samplesize
2,203 (RV)
Marginof error
± 2.2%
Democratic
46%
Republican
44%
Other/Undecided
10%
Lead
2%
Hart Research Associates (D)/Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Hart Research Associates (D)/Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Poll source
Hart Research Associates (D)/Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Date(s)administered
October 24–28, 2025
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
Democratic
50%
Republican
42%
Other/Undecided
8%
Lead
8%
The Economist/YouGov
The Economist/YouGov
Poll source
The Economist/YouGov
Date(s)administered
October 24–27, 2025
Samplesize
1,472 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
Democratic
43%
Republican
40%
Other/Undecided
17%
Lead
3%
Yahoo News/YouGov
Yahoo News/YouGov
Poll source
Yahoo News/YouGov
Date(s)administered
October 23–27, 2025
Samplesize
1,197 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
Democratic
45%
Republican
40%
Other/Undecided
15%
Lead
5%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
Poll source
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
Date(s)administered
October 21–27, 2025
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
Democratic
44%
Republican
46%
Other/Undecided
10%
Lead
2%
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)
Poll source
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)
Date(s)administered
October 16–23, 2025
Samplesize
1,047 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
Democratic
47%
Republican
46%
Other/Undecided
7%
Lead
1%
The Economist/YouGov
The Economist/YouGov
Poll source
The Economist/YouGov
Date(s)administered
October 17–20, 2025
Samplesize
1,447 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
Democratic
45%
Republican
40%
Other/Undecided
15%
Lead
5%
Quinnipiac University
Quinnipiac University
Poll source
Quinnipiac University
Date(s)administered
October 17–20, 2025
Samplesize
1,327 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
Democratic
50%
Republican
41%
Other/Undecided
9%
Lead
9%
UMass Lowell/YouGov
UMass Lowell/YouGov
Poll source
UMass Lowell/YouGov
Date(s)administered
October 16–20, 2025
Samplesize
1,000 (A)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
Democratic
38%
Republican
35%
Other/Undecided
27%
Lead
3%
Echelon Insights
Echelon Insights
Poll source
Echelon Insights
Date(s)administered
October 16–20, 2025
Samplesize
1,010 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
Democratic
48%
Republican
46%
Other/Undecided
6%
Lead
2%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
October 17–19, 2025
Samplesize
2,200 (RV)
Marginof error
Democratic
46%
Republican
43%
Other/Undecided
11%
Lead
3%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
October 13–14, 2025
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
Democratic
44%
Republican
43%
Other/Undecided
13%
Lead
1%
The Argument/Verasight
The Argument/Verasight
Poll source
The Argument/Verasight
Date(s)administered
October 10–16, 2025
Samplesize
1,530 (RV)
Marginof error
Democratic
51%
Republican
49%
Other/Undecided
Lead
2%
The Economist/YouGov
The Economist/YouGov
Poll source
The Economist/YouGov
Date(s)administered
October 10–13, 2025
Samplesize
1,466 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
Democratic
43%
Republican
40%
Other/Undecided
17%
Lead
3%
Hart Research Associates (D)/Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Hart Research Associates (D)/Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Poll source
Hart Research Associates (D)/Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Date(s)administered
October 8–12, 2025
Samplesize
1,000 (A)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
Democratic
48%
Republican
47%
Other/Undecided
5%
Lead
1%
YouGov Blue (D)
YouGov Blue (D)
Poll source
YouGov Blue (D)
Date(s)administered
October 7–10, 2025
Samplesize
517 (RV)
Marginof error
Democratic
48%
Republican
45%
Other/Undecided
7%
Lead
3%
Cygnal (R)
Cygnal (R)
Poll source
Cygnal (R)
Date(s)administered
October 7–8, 2025
Samplesize
1,500 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.5%
Democratic
48%
Republican
45%
Other/Undecided
7%
Lead
3%
Quantus Insights (R)
Quantus Insights (R)
Poll source
Quantus Insights (R)
Date(s)administered
October 6–8, 2025
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.2%
Democratic
42%
Republican
43%
Other/Undecided
15%
Lead
1%
The Economist/YouGov
The Economist/YouGov
Poll source
The Economist/YouGov
Date(s)administered
October 4–6, 2025
Samplesize
1,486 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
Democratic
44%
Republican
39%
Other/Undecided
17%
Lead
5%
Noble Predictive Insights/The Center Square
Noble Predictive Insights/The Center Square
Poll source
Noble Predictive Insights/The Center Square
Date(s)administered
October 2–6, 2025
Samplesize
2,565 (RV)
Marginof error
± 2.0%
Democratic
45%
Republican
43%
Other/Undecided
12%
Lead
2%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
October 3–5, 2025
Samplesize
2,200 (RV)
Marginof error
Democratic
46%
Republican
43%
Other/Undecided
11%
Lead
3%
The Economist/YouGov
The Economist/YouGov
Poll source
The Economist/YouGov
Date(s)administered
September 26–29, 2025
Samplesize
1,517 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
Democratic
44%
Republican
41%
Other/Undecided
15%
Lead
3%
Yahoo News/YouGov
Yahoo News/YouGov
Poll source
Yahoo News/YouGov
Date(s)administered
September 25–29, 2025
Samplesize
1,126 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.2%
Democratic
44%
Republican
40%
Other/Undecided
16%
Lead
4%
New York Times/Siena College
New York Times/Siena College
Poll source
New York Times/Siena College
Date(s)administered
September 22–27, 2025
Samplesize
1,313 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.2%
Democratic
47%
Republican
45%
Other/Undecided
8%
Lead
2%
RMG Research
RMG Research
Poll source
RMG Research
Date(s)administered
September 22–24, 2025
Samplesize
2,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 2.2%
Democratic
41%
Republican
43%
Other/Undecided
16%
Lead
2%
45%
45%
Poll source
45%
Date(s)administered
46%
Samplesize
9%
Marginof error
1%
The Economist/YouGov
The Economist/YouGov
Poll source
The Economist/YouGov
Date(s)administered
September 19–22, 2025
Samplesize
1,392 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
Democratic
45%
Republican
42%
Other/Undecided
13%
Lead
3%
Echelon Insights
Echelon Insights
Poll source
Echelon Insights
Date(s)administered
September 18–22, 2025
Samplesize
1,071 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.7%
Democratic
47%
Republican
46%
Other/Undecided
7%
Lead
1%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
Poll source
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
Date(s)administered
September 17–22, 2025
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
Democratic
41%
Republican
47%
Other/Undecided
12%
Lead
6%
Strength In Numbers/Verasight
Strength In Numbers/Verasight
Poll source
Strength In Numbers/Verasight
Date(s)administered
September 15–19, 2025
Samplesize
1,268 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.8%
Democratic
50%
Republican
45%
Other/Undecided
5%
Lead
5%
1,500 (A)
1,500 (A)
Poll source
1,500 (A)
Date(s)administered
± 2.6%
Samplesize
47%
Marginof error
42%
Democratic
11%
Republican
5%
AtlasIntel
AtlasIntel
Poll source
AtlasIntel
Date(s)administered
September 12–16, 2025
Samplesize
1,066 (A)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
Democratic
52%
Republican
44%
Other/Undecided
4%
Lead
8%
Normington Petts (D)/Third Way (D)
Normington Petts (D)/Third Way (D)
Poll source
Normington Petts (D)/Third Way (D)
Date(s)administered
September 11–16, 2025
Samplesize
800 (V)
Marginof error
Democratic
51%
Republican
49%
Other/Undecided
Lead
2%
The Economist/YouGov
The Economist/YouGov
Poll source
The Economist/YouGov
Date(s)administered
September 12–15, 2025
Samplesize
1,418 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.3%
Democratic
43%
Republican
41%
Other/Undecided
16%
Lead
2%
National Association of Independent Pollsters
National Association of Independent Pollsters
Poll source
National Association of Independent Pollsters
Date(s)administered
September 6–13, 2025
Samplesize
2,071 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.0%
Democratic
47%
Republican
46%
Other/Undecided
7%
Lead
1%
i360
i360
Poll source
i360
Date(s)administered
September 10–12, 2025
Samplesize
577 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.1%
Democratic
35%
Republican
32%
Other/Undecided
33%
Lead
5%
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)
Poll source
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)
Date(s)administered
September 4–11, 2025
Samplesize
1,001 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
Democratic
50%
Republican
44%
Other/Undecided
6%
Lead
6%
The Economist/YouGov
The Economist/YouGov
Poll source
The Economist/YouGov
Date(s)administered
September 5–8, 2025
Samplesize
1,482 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
Democratic
44%
Republican
40%
Other/Undecided
4%
Lead
2%
Public Religion Research Institute
Public Religion Research Institute
Poll source
Public Religion Research Institute
Date(s)administered
August 15 – September 8, 2025
Samplesize
5,543 (A)
Marginof error
± 1.8%
Democratic
33%
Republican
30%
Other/Undecided
36%
Lead
3%
Cygnal (R)
Cygnal (R)
Poll source
Cygnal (R)
Date(s)administered
September 2–3, 2025
Samplesize
1,500 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.5%
Democratic
48%
Republican
45%
Other/Undecided
7%
Lead
3%
Yahoo News/YouGov
Yahoo News/YouGov
Poll source
Yahoo News/YouGov
Date(s)administered
August 29 – September 2, 2025
Samplesize
1,136 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
Democratic
44%
Republican
40%
Other/Undecided
16%
Lead
4%
The Economist/YouGov
The Economist/YouGov
Poll source
The Economist/YouGov
Date(s)administered
August 29 – September 2, 2025
Samplesize
1,548 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
Democratic
43%
Republican
39%
Other/Undecided
18%
Lead
4%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
August 29–31, 2025
Samplesize
2,202 (RV)
Marginof error
Democratic
45%
Republican
41%
Other/Undecided
14%
Lead
4%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
August 25–26, 2025
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
Democratic
43%
Republican
43%
Other/Undecided
14%
Lead
Tie
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
Poll source
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
Date(s)administered
August 21–26, 2025
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 2.5%
Democratic
45%
Republican
47%
Other/Undecided
8%
Lead
2%
The Economist/YouGov
The Economist/YouGov
Poll source
The Economist/YouGov
Date(s)administered
August 22–25, 2025
Samplesize
1,374 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
Democratic
43%
Republican
41%
Other/Undecided
16%
Lead
2%
Reuters/Ipsos
Reuters/Ipsos
Poll source
Reuters/Ipsos
Date(s)administered
August 22–24, 2025
Samplesize
1,022 (A)
Marginof error
± 3.2%
Democratic
38%
Republican
34%
Other/Undecided
28%
Lead
2%
SoCal Strategies (R)
SoCal Strategies (R)
Poll source
SoCal Strategies (R)
Date(s)administered
August 19, 2025
Samplesize
700 (A)
Marginof error
Democratic
42%
Republican
37%
Other/Undecided
21%
Lead
5%
RMG Research
RMG Research
Poll source
RMG Research
Date(s)administered
August 18–21, 2025
Samplesize
2,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 2.2%
Democratic
44%
Republican
44%
Other/Undecided
12%
Lead
Tie
Strength In Numbers/Verasight
Strength In Numbers/Verasight
Poll source
Strength In Numbers/Verasight
Date(s)administered
August 18–21, 2025
Samplesize
1,500 (A)
Marginof error
± 2.6%
Democratic
49%
Republican
41%
Other/Undecided
10%
Lead
8%
Echelon Insights
Echelon Insights
Poll source
Echelon Insights
Date(s)administered
August 14–18, 2025
Samplesize
1,057 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.6%
Democratic
47%
Republican
46%
Other/Undecided
7%
Lead
1%
The Argument/Verasight
The Argument/Verasight
Poll source
The Argument/Verasight
Date(s)administered
August 18–21, 2025
Samplesize
1,562 (RV)
Marginof error
± 2.6%
Democratic
45%
Republican
42%
Other/Undecided
13%
Lead
3%
51%
51%
Poll source
51%
Date(s)administered
49%
Samplesize
Marginof error
2%
The Economist/YouGov
The Economist/YouGov
Poll source
The Economist/YouGov
Date(s)administered
August 15–18, 2025
Samplesize
1,404 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.2%
Democratic
44%
Republican
39%
Other/Undecided
17%
Lead
5%
Quantus Insights (R)
Quantus Insights (R)
Poll source
Quantus Insights (R)
Date(s)administered
August 11–13, 2025
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
Democratic
45%
Republican
42%
Other/Undecided
13%
Lead
3%
The Economist/YouGov
The Economist/YouGov
Poll source
The Economist/YouGov
Date(s)administered
August 9–11, 2025
Samplesize
1,473 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
Democratic
42%
Republican
40%
Other/Undecided
18%
Lead
2%
The Economist/YouGov
The Economist/YouGov
Poll source
The Economist/YouGov
Date(s)administered
August 1–4, 2025
Samplesize
1,528 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
Democratic
44%
Republican
38%
Other/Undecided
18%
Lead
6%
Hart Research Associates (D)/Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Hart Research Associates (D)/Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Poll source
Hart Research Associates (D)/Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Date(s)administered
July 29 – August 3, 2025
Samplesize
1,000 (A)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
Democratic
49%
Republican
44%
Other/Undecided
7%
Lead
5%
Yahoo News/YouGov
Yahoo News/YouGov
Poll source
Yahoo News/YouGov
Date(s)administered
July 24–28, 2025
Samplesize
1,167 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
Democratic
46%
Republican
39%
Other/Undecided
15%
Lead
7%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
Poll source
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
Date(s)administered
July 21–24, 2025
Samplesize
2,000 (RV)
Marginof error
Democratic
46%
Republican
43%
Other/Undecided
11%
Lead
3%
1,633 (LV)
1,633 (LV)
Poll source
1,633 (LV)
Date(s)administered
48%
Samplesize
44%
Marginof error
8%
Democratic
4%
Fabrizio (R)/Impact Research (D)
Fabrizio (R)/Impact Research (D)
Poll source
Fabrizio (R)/Impact Research (D)
Date(s)administered
July 16–20, 2025
Samplesize
1,500 (RV)
Marginof error
± 2.5%
Democratic
46%
Republican
43%
Other/Undecided
10%
Lead
3%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
July 21–22, 2025
Samplesize
1,400 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.5%
Democratic
44%
Republican
42%
Other/Undecided
14%
Lead
2%
AtlasIntel
AtlasIntel
Poll source
AtlasIntel
Date(s)administered
July 13–18, 2025
Samplesize
1,935 (A)
Marginof error
± 2.0%
Democratic
51%
Republican
43%
Other/Undecided
6%
Lead
8%
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Poll source
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Date(s)administered
July 13–17, 2025
Samplesize
2,288 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.0%
Democratic
46%
Republican
42%
Other/Undecided
12%
Lead
4%
RMG Research
RMG Research
Poll source
RMG Research
Date(s)administered
July 14–16, 2025
Samplesize
2,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 2.2%
Democratic
45%
Republican
49%
Other/Undecided
6%
Lead
4%
Big Data Poll (R)
Big Data Poll (R)
Poll source
Big Data Poll (R)
Date(s)administered
July 12–14, 2025
Samplesize
3,022 (RV)
Marginof error
± 1.8%
Democratic
42%
Republican
41%
Other/Undecided
17%
Lead
1%
Echelon Insights
Echelon Insights
Poll source
Echelon Insights
Date(s)administered
July 10–14, 2025
Samplesize
1,084 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.6%
Democratic
47%
Republican
48%
Other/Undecided
5%
Lead
1%
45%
45%
Poll source
45%
Date(s)administered
41%
Samplesize
14%
Marginof error
4%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
Poll source
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
Date(s)administered
July 9–14, 2025
Samplesize
1,000 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.5%
Democratic
42%
Republican
47%
Other/Undecided
11%
Lead
5%
A2 Insights
A2 Insights
Poll source
A2 Insights
Date(s)administered
July 7–10, 2025
Samplesize
862 (RV)
Marginof error
Democratic
48%
Republican
44%
Other/Undecided
8%
Lead
4%
Strength In Numbers/Verasight
Strength In Numbers/Verasight
Poll source
Strength In Numbers/Verasight
Date(s)administered
July 1–3, 2025
Samplesize
1,500 (A)
Marginof error
± 2.7%
Democratic
47%
Republican
43%
Other/Undecided
10%
Lead
4%
Cygnal (R)
Cygnal (R)
Poll source
Cygnal (R)
Date(s)administered
July 1–2, 2025
Samplesize
1,500 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.5%
Democratic
47%
Republican
46%
Other/Undecided
7%
Lead
1%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
June 24–25, 2025
Samplesize
1,000 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
Democratic
43%
Republican
40%
Other/Undecided
17%
Lead
3%
American Pulse Research & Polling (R)
American Pulse Research & Polling (R)
Poll source
American Pulse Research & Polling (R)
Date(s)administered
June 23–25, 2025
Samplesize
633 (RV)
Marginof error
Democratic
47%
Republican
42%
Other/Undecided
11%
Lead
5%
Cygnal (R)
Cygnal (R)
Poll source
Cygnal (R)
Date(s)administered
June 19–21, 2025
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
Democratic
48%
Republican
46%
Other/Undecided
6%
Lead
2%
RMG Research
RMG Research
Poll source
RMG Research
Date(s)administered
June 18–19, 2025
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
Democratic
44%
Republican
52%
Other/Undecided
4%
Lead
8%
Echelon Insights
Echelon Insights
Poll source
Echelon Insights
Date(s)administered
June 12–16, 2025
Samplesize
982 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.8%
Democratic
47%
Republican
48%
Other/Undecided
5%
Lead
1%
co/efficient (R)
co/efficient (R)
Poll source
co/efficient (R)
Date(s)administered
June 12–16, 2025
Samplesize
1,035 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.2%
Democratic
46%
Republican
46%
Other/Undecided
8%
Lead
Tie
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)
Poll source
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)
Date(s)administered
June 5–14, 2025
Samplesize
1,000 (V)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
Democratic
50%
Republican
45%
Other/Undecided
5%
Lead
5%
Strength In Numbers/Verasight
Strength In Numbers/Verasight
Poll source
Strength In Numbers/Verasight
Date(s)administered
June 6–12, 2025
Samplesize
1,500 (A)
Marginof error
± 2.6%
Democratic
45%
Republican
37%
Other/Undecided
18%
Lead
8%
Quantus Insights (R)
Quantus Insights (R)
Poll source
Quantus Insights (R)
Date(s)administered
June 9–11, 2025
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
Democratic
43%
Republican
43%
Other/Undecided
14%
Lead
Tie
Quantus Insights (R)
Quantus Insights (R)
Poll source
Quantus Insights (R)
Date(s)administered
June 1–4, 2025
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
Democratic
46%
Republican
45%
Other/Undecided
9%
Lead
1%
AtlasIntel
AtlasIntel
Poll source
AtlasIntel
Date(s)administered
May 21–27, 2025
Samplesize
3,469 (A)
Marginof error
± 2.0%
Democratic
51%
Republican
42%
Other/Undecided
7%
Lead
9%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
Poll source
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
Date(s)administered
May 21–26, 2025
Samplesize
1,000 (LV)
Marginof error
Democratic
43%
Republican
47%
Other/Undecided
10%
Lead
4%
RMG Research
RMG Research
Poll source
RMG Research
Date(s)administered
May 20–21, 2025
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
Democratic
48%
Republican
45%
Other/Undecided
4%
Lead
3%
Fabrizio Ward (R)
Fabrizio Ward (R)
Poll source
Fabrizio Ward (R)
Date(s)administered
May 15–19, 2025
Samplesize
800 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
Democratic
42%
Republican
42%
Other/Undecided
16%
Lead
Tie
Echelon Insights
Echelon Insights
Poll source
Echelon Insights
Date(s)administered
May 8–12, 2025
Samplesize
1,000 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.8%
Democratic
47%
Republican
48%
Other/Undecided
5%
Lead
1%
co/efficient (R)
co/efficient (R)
Poll source
co/efficient (R)
Date(s)administered
May 7–9, 2025
Samplesize
1,462 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.3%
Democratic
45%
Republican
42%
Other/Undecided
10%
Lead
3%
Quantus Insights (R)
Quantus Insights (R)
Poll source
Quantus Insights (R)
Date(s)administered
May 5–7, 2025
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
Democratic
45%
Republican
45%
Other/Undecided
10%
Lead
Tie
Big Data Poll (R)
Big Data Poll (R)
Poll source
Big Data Poll (R)
Date(s)administered
May 3–5, 2025
Samplesize
3,128 (RV)
Marginof error
± 1.8%
Democratic
40%
Republican
42%
Other/Undecided
18%
Lead
2%
Strength In Numbers/Verasight
Strength In Numbers/Verasight
Poll source
Strength In Numbers/Verasight
Date(s)administered
May 1–6, 2025
Samplesize
1,000 (A)
Marginof error
± 3.2%
Democratic
47%
Republican
41%
Other/Undecided
12%
Lead
6%
NewsNation/DDHQ
NewsNation/DDHQ
Poll source
NewsNation/DDHQ
Date(s)administered
April 23–27, 2025
Samplesize
1,448 (RV)
Marginof error
± 2.4%
Democratic
45%
Republican
40%
Other/Undecided
15%
Lead
5%
New York Times/Siena College
New York Times/Siena College
Poll source
New York Times/Siena College
Date(s)administered
April 21–24, 2025
Samplesize
913 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
Democratic
47%
Republican
44%
Other/Undecided
9%
Lead
3%
Beacon Research (D)/Shaw & Company Research (R)
Beacon Research (D)/Shaw & Company Research (R)
Poll source
Beacon Research (D)/Shaw & Company Research (R)
Date(s)administered
April 18–21, 2025
Samplesize
1,104 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
Democratic
49%
Republican
42%
Other/Undecided
9%
Lead
7%
Noble Predictive Insights/The Center Square
Noble Predictive Insights/The Center Square
Poll source
Noble Predictive Insights/The Center Square
Date(s)administered
April 15–18, 2025
Samplesize
2,500 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.0%
Democratic
45%
Republican
42%
Other/Undecided
13%
Lead
3%
RMG Research
RMG Research
Poll source
RMG Research
Date(s)administered
April 16, 2025
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
Democratic
50%
Republican
45%
Other/Undecided
5%
Lead
5%
Hart Research Associates (D)/Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Hart Research Associates (D)/Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Poll source
Hart Research Associates (D)/Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Date(s)administered
April 9–13, 2025
Samplesize
– (RV)
Marginof error
Democratic
45%
Republican
42%
Other/Undecided
13%
Lead
3%
RealClear Opinion Research
RealClear Opinion Research
Poll source
RealClear Opinion Research
Date(s)administered
April 10–12, 2025
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
Democratic
40%
Republican
39%
Other/Undecided
21%
Lead
1%
Cygnal (R)
Cygnal (R)
Poll source
Cygnal (R)
Date(s)administered
April 1–3, 2025
Samplesize
1,500 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.5%
Democratic
48%
Republican
47%
Other/Undecided
5%
Lead
1%
Yale Youth Poll
Yale Youth Poll
Poll source
Yale Youth Poll
Date(s)administered
April 1–3, 2025
Samplesize
4,100 (RV)
Marginof error
± 1.9%
Democratic
43%
Republican
42%
Other/Undecided
15%
Lead
1%
Quantus Insights (R)
Quantus Insights (R)
Poll source
Quantus Insights (R)
Date(s)administered
March 25–27, 2025
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
Democratic
45%
Republican
46%
Other/Undecided
9%
Lead
1%
Echelon Insights
Echelon Insights
Poll source
Echelon Insights
Date(s)administered
March 10–13, 2025
Samplesize
1,007 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
Democratic
46%
Republican
47%
Other/Undecided
7%
Lead
1%
Hart Research Associates (D)/Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Hart Research Associates (D)/Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Poll source
Hart Research Associates (D)/Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Date(s)administered
March 7–11, 2025
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
Democratic
48%
Republican
47%
Other/Undecided
5%
Lead
1%
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)
Poll source
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)
Date(s)administered
March 3–9, 2025
Samplesize
1,036 (V)
Marginof error
± 1.7%
Democratic
46%
Republican
44%
Other/Undecided
10%
Lead
2%
Cygnal (R)
Cygnal (R)
Poll source
Cygnal (R)
Date(s)administered
March 3–5, 2025
Samplesize
1,500 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.5%
Democratic
47%
Republican
46%
Other/Undecided
7%
Lead
1%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
March 2–3, 2025
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
Democratic
44%
Republican
41%
Other/Undecided
15%
Lead
3%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Poll source
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Date(s)administered
February 25 – March 2, 2025
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
Democratic
44%
Republican
46%
Other/Undecided
10%
Lead
2%
RMG Research
RMG Research
Poll source
RMG Research
Date(s)administered
February 20–21, 2025
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
Democratic
46%
Republican
48%
Other/Undecided
6%
Lead
2%
co/efficient (R)
co/efficient (R)
Poll source
co/efficient (R)
Date(s)administered
February 15–17, 2025
Samplesize
2,063 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.4%
Democratic
44%
Republican
46%
Other/Undecided
10%
Lead
2%
Echelon Insights
Echelon Insights
Poll source
Echelon Insights
Date(s)administered
February 10–13, 2025
Samplesize
1,010 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.6%
Democratic
46%
Republican
47%
Other/Undecided
7%
Lead
1%
Quantus Insights (R)
Quantus Insights (R)
Poll source
Quantus Insights (R)
Date(s)administered
February 10–12, 2025
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
Democratic
44%
Republican
48%
Other/Undecided
8%
Lead
4%
Cygnal (R)
Cygnal (R)
Poll source
Cygnal (R)
Date(s)administered
February 4–5, 2025
Samplesize
1,500 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.5%
Democratic
46%
Republican
47%
Other/Undecided
7%
Lead
1%
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)
Poll source
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)
Date(s)administered
January 31 – February 6, 2025
Samplesize
1,102 (V)
Marginof error
± 1.5%
Democratic
45%
Republican
44%
Other/Undecided
11%
Lead
1%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
Poll source
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
Date(s)administered
January 27 – February 1, 2025
Samplesize
3,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 1.8%
Democratic
43%
Republican
43%
Other/Undecided
14%
Lead
Tie
RMG Research
RMG Research
Poll source
RMG Research
Date(s)administered
January 15–16, 2025
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
Democratic
44%
Republican
51%
Other/Undecided
5%
Lead
7%
Quantus Insights (R)
Quantus Insights (R)
Poll source
Quantus Insights (R)
Date(s)administered
February 10–12, 2025
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
Democratic
45%
Republican
48%
Other/Undecided
7%
Lead
3%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
February 3–9, 2025
Samplesize
19,675 (RV)
Marginof error
Democratic
43%
Republican
45%
Other/Undecided
12%
Lead
2%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
January 27 – February 2, 2025
Samplesize
19,675 (RV)
Marginof error
Democratic
43%
Republican
44%
Other/Undecided
13%
Lead
1%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
January 20–26, 2025
Samplesize
19,675 (RV)
Marginof error
Democratic
42%
Republican
45%
Other/Undecided
13%
Lead
3%
Cygnal (R)
Cygnal (R)
Poll source
Cygnal (R)
Date(s)administered
January 9–12, 2025
Samplesize
1,500 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.5%
Democratic
45%
Republican
47%
Other/Undecided
8%
Lead
2%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
Poll source
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
Date(s)administered
December 11–16, 2024
Samplesize
1,000 (LV)
Marginof error
Democratic
42%
Republican
47%
Other/Undecided
11%
Lead
5%
Cygnal (R)
Cygnal (R)
Poll source
Cygnal (R)
Date(s)administered
December 9–11, 2024
Samplesize
1,500 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.5%
Democratic
45%
Republican
48%
Other/Undecided
7%
Lead
3%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
Democratic
Republican
Other/Undecided
Lead
The Economist/YouGov
December 26–29, 2025
1,417 (RV)
± 3.3%
42%
38%
20%
4%
1,546 (A)
36%
31%
33%
5%
Big Data Poll (R)
December 26–28, 2025
3,412 (LV)
± 1.9%
48%
44%
8%
4%
45%
42%
13%
3%
Morning Consult
December 15–21, 2025
20,240 (RV)
45%
42%
13%
3%
The Economist/YouGov
December 20–22, 2025
1,424 (RV)
± 3.3%
43%
40%
17%
3%
1,591 (A)
38%
34%
28%
4%
Quantus Insights (R)
December 15–17, 2025
1,000 (RV)
± 3.1%
43%
41%
16%
2%
AtlasIntel
December 15–19, 2025
2,315 (A)
± 2.0%
54%
38%
7%
16%
Fabrizio Ward (R)
December 15–17, 2025
1,000 (RV)
± 3.1%
45%
38%
17%
7%
Emerson College
December 14–15, 2025
1,000 (RV)
± 3.0%
44%
42%
14%
2%
Reuters/Ipsos
December 12–15, 2025
775 (RV)
40%
36%
24%
4%
The Economist/YouGov
December 12–15, 2025
1,451 (RV)
± 3.2%
43%
39%
18%
4%
1,630 (A)
37%
33%
30%
4%
Morning Consult
December 12–15, 2025
2,201 (RV)
45%
44%
11%
1%
Echelon Insights
December 11–15, 2025
1,011 (LV)
± 3.8%
48%
45%
7%
3%
Quinnipiac University
December 11–15, 2025
1,035 (RV)
± 3.9%
47%
43%
10%
4%
Big Data Poll (R)
December 10–12, 2025
3,004 (RV)
± 1.8%
47%
43%
10%
4%
44%
41%
15%
3%
The Argument/Verasight
December 5–11, 2025
– (LV)
52%
48%
4%
1,521 (RV)
± 2.7%
50%
49%
1%
44%
42%
14%
2%
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)
December 4–11, 2025
1,000 (LV)
± 3.1%
49%
44%
7%
5%
The Economist/YouGov
December 5–8 2025
1,379 (RV)
± 3.2%
42%
37%
21%
6%
1,529 (A)
37%
32%
31%
5%
Hart Research Associates (D)/Public Opinion Strategies (R)
December 4–8, 2025
800 (RV)
± 3.5%
50%
46%
4%
4%
Reuters/Ipsos
December 3–8, 2025
3,521 (RV)
± 2.0%
40%
39%
21%
1%
Cygnal (R)
December 5–7, 2025
1,500 (LV)
± 2.5%
48%
44%
8%
4%
Morning Consult
December 5–7, 2025
2,201 (RV)
46%
43%
11%
3%
Quantus Insights (R)
December 4–5, 2025
1,000 (RV)
± 3.1%
44%
40%
16%
4%
RMG Research
December 1–4, 2025
2,000 (RV)
± 3.1%
41%
45%
14%
4%
44%
48%
8%
4%
Big Data Poll (R)
November 28 – December 1, 2025
2,008 (RV)
± 2.1%
44%
42%
20%
2%
41%
39%
20%
2%
The Economist/YouGov
November 28 – December 1, 2025
1,452 (RV)
± 3.1%
45%
39%
16%
6%
1,623 (A)
39%
33%
28%
6%
Morning Consult
November 26–30, 2025
2,200 (RV)
45%
41%
14%
4%
GBAO (D)/Third Way (D)
November 19–26, 2025
2,000 (RV)
48%
42%
10%
6%
The Bullfinch Group
November 21–25, 2025
1,000 (RV)
± 3.1%
41%
35%
24%
6%
1,200 (A)
± 2.8%
37%
32%
31%
5%
The Economist/YouGov
November 21–24, 2025
1,511 (RV)
± 3.0%
39%
32%
29%
7%
1,674 (A)
44%
39%
17%
5%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
November 17–24, 2025
1,000 (RV)
45%
44%
11%
1%
Morning Consult
November 21–23, 2025
2,200 (RV)
45%
43%
13%
2%
Rasmussen Reports (R)
November 18–23, 2025
2,410 (LV)
± 2.1%
45%
42%
13%
3%
Partners (R)
November 19–20, 2025
797 (LV)
50%
46%
4%
4%
The Economist/YouGov
November 15–17, 2025
1,380 (RV)
± 3.1%
43%
40%
17%
3%
Echelon Insights
November 13–17, 2025
1,051 (LV)
± 3.7%
49%
45%
6%
4%
The Argument/Verasight
November 10–17, 2025
– (LV)
54%
46%
8%

References

  1. As a result of redistricting.
  2. As a result of death, resignation, or expulsion.
  3. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  4. Key:A – all adultsRV – registered votersLV – likely voters
  5. "I would not vote" & "Other" with 2%
  6. "I would not vote" with 14%; "Other" with 2%
  7. "Other / third-party / Independent" with 11%; "I would not vote" with 3%
  8. "Other / third-party / Independent" with 10%; "I would not vote" with 9%
  9. "I would not vote" with 4%; "Other" with 2%
  10. "I would not vote" with 15%; "Other" with 2%
  11. With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  12. "Someone else / third party" with 8%
  13. "Someone else / third party" with 4%
  14. "I would not vote" with 4%; "Other" with 1%
  15. "I would not vote" with 15%; "Other" with 1%
  16. "Would not vote" with 1%
  17. "I would not vote" with 3%; "Other" with 1%
  18. "I would not vote" with 13%; "Other" with 1%
  19. "Someone else / third party" with 10%
  20. "Someone else / third party" with 5%
  21. "I would not vote" & "Other" with 3%
  22. "I would not vote" with 16%; "Other" with 2%
  23. "Would not vote" with 3%
  24. "Someone else / third party" with 14%
  25. "Someone else / third party" with 7%
  26. "I would not vote" with 13%; "Other" with 2%
  27. "Other" with 1%
  28. "Other/third-party/Independent" and "I would not vote" with 7%
  29. "I would not vote" with 12%; "Other/third-party/Independent" with 6%
  30. "I would not vote" with 14%; "Other" with 1%
  31. "Some other candidate" with 5%
  32. "Other" and "I would not vote" with 3%
  33. "Another Party" with 7%
  34. "Other" with 3%
  35. "Neither" with 6%; "Would not vote" with 1%
  36. "Neither" with 9%; "Would not vote" with 4%
  37. "I would not vote" with 3%; "Other" with 2%
  38. "Other" with 3%; "I would not vote" with 2%
  39. "Do not plan to vote" with 2%
  40. "Third-party candidate" with 7%
  41. "Third-party candidate" with 7%; "Would not vote" with 4%
  42. "Someone else / third party" with 10%
  43. "Would not vote" with 9%
  44. "I would not vote" with 14%; "Another candidate" with 2%
  45. "Would not vote" with 2%
  46. "I would not vote" with 1%
  47. The association's members are Big Data Poll, InsiderAdvantage, Rasmussen Reports, & the Trafalgar Group.
  48. "Other candidate" with 10%
  49. "Would not vote" with 12%; "Other/third-party candidate" with 4%
  50. "Will not/do not plan to vote" with 8%; "Candidate from another political party" with 4%; "Skipped" with 1%
  51. "I would not vote" with 2%; "Other" with 1%
  52. "Refused" with 1%
  53. "Someone else / third party" with 6%
  54. America Party candidate with 5%
  55. "Or Another Third Party Candidate" with 2%
  56. "Other" with 2%
  57. "A third-party candidate" with 9%; "Would not vote" with 6%
  58. Poll conducted for The Independent Center
  59. Poll sponsored by Building America's Future, a group that supports Republicans
  60. Poll conducted for CNBC
  61. Poll sponsored by Napolitan News Service
  62. Poll conducted for The Daily Mail
  63. Poll sponsored by NPR and PBS News
  64. Poll conducted for NBC News
  65. Poll sponsored by Americans for Prosperity, a libertarian conservative political advocacy group
  66. Poll sponsored by Red Eagle Politics & On Point Politics, both of which support Republicans
  67. Poll sponsored by America's New Majority Project
  68. Poll conducted for The Wall Street Journal
  69. Poll sponsored by Trending Politics, a conservative news website
  70. Poll sponsored by the Pinpoint Policy Institute
  71. Poll conducted for Fox News
  72. Poll conducted for the Paragon Health Institute
  73. Poll sponsored by AARP
  74. NBC News
    https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/congress/ron-desantis-picks-florida-attorney-general-ashley-moody-fill-rubios-s-rcna187938
  75. Politico
    https://www.politico.com/news/2025/01/17/ohio-senate-seat-dewine-husted-ramaswamy-00198974
  76. "The 2024 Crossover House Seats: Overall Number Remains Low with Few Harris-District Republicans"
    https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/the-2024-crossover-house-seats-overall-number-remains-low-with-few-harris-district-republicans/
  77. "Ohio congressional lines to be redrawn next year. Can gerrymandering be avoided?"
    https://www.daytondailynews.com/local/ohio-congressional-lines-to-be-redrawn-next-year-can-gerrymandering-be-avoided/BRPZU6QGW5CANJZGJBK2KG252U/
  78. Associated Press
    https://apnews.com/article/utah-redistricting-congressional-map-gerrymandering-a6722505b8e76eda5c73fc346eadd9aa
  79. Politico
    https://www.politico.com/news/2025/08/04/california-fires-back-at-texas-redistricting-00493314
  80. STLPR
    https://www.stlpr.org/government-politics-issues/2025-09-12/missouri-senate-passes-redistricting-and-initiative-petition-plans-voters-may-get-final-say
  81. NBC News
    https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/elections/north-carolina-lawmakers-pass-new-map-designed-give-gop-extra-house-se-rcna238702
  82. The Texas Tribune
    https://www.texastribune.org/2025/03/05/sylvester-turner-texas-houston-dies/
  83. Cook Political Report
    https://www.cookpolitical.com/cook-pvi/2025-partisan-voting-index/district-map-and-list
  84. NPR
    https://www.npr.org/2025/11/04/nx-s1-5590033/election-results-new-jersey-governor-sherrill
  85. NBC News
    https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/congress/rep-marjorie-taylor-greene-resign-january-rcna245278
  86. CBS News
    https://www.cbsnews.com/news/doug-lamalfa-republican-congressman-california-dies-65/
  87. Decision Desk HQ
    https://polls.decisiondeskhq.com/averages/generic-ballot/national/lv-rv-adults
  88. FiftyPlusOne
    https://fiftyplusone.news/polls/generic-ballot/generic-ballot
  89. RealClearPolitics
    https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/state-of-the-union/generic-congressional-vote
  90. VoteHub
    https://votehub.com/polls/?poll=generic_ballot_2026
  91. Race to the WH
    https://www.racetothewh.com/polls/genericballot
  92. MLive Media Group
    https://www.mlive.com/news/flint/2025/03/neeley-to-seek-third-term-as-flint-mayor-with-potential-challenger-on-the-horizon.html
  93. Spectrum News 1
    https://spectrumnews1.com/ky/louisville/news/2025/07/30/lexington-mayor-linda-gorton-reelection-bid
  94. Los Angeles Times
    https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2024-07-01/mayor-karen-bass-files-paperwork-to-run-for-reelection
  95. "Louisville mayor seeking reelection less than two years into first term"
    https://www.courier-journal.com/story/news/politics/2024/09/25/is-greenberg-seeking-reelection-mayor-quietly-updates-campaign-site/75375846007/
  96. Tampa Bay Times
    https://www.tampabay.com/news/st-petersburg/2024/03/29/st-petersburg-mayor-ken-welch-says-hell-run-re-election-2026/
  97. Kauaʻi Now
    https://kauainownews.com/2024/09/19/kawakamis-fundraising-office-confirms-kauaʻi-mayor-plans-to-run-for-kouchis-senate-seat-in-2026/
  98. "DC Mayor Bowser announces she won't seek fourth term, as Trump's federal intervention continues"
    https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/dc-mayor-bowser-announces-she-193700504.html
  99. Dallas News
    https://www.dallasnews.com/news/elections/2025/12/01/dallas-county-judge-clay-lewis-jenkins-kicks-off-re-election-for-fifth-term/
  100. The Baltimore Banner
    https://www.thebaltimorebanner.com/politics-power/local-government/kathy-klausmeier-johnny-olszewski-jr-3HNVN5VI3JCPTLSZ7Z73VFXMOM/
  101. The Texas Tribune
    https://www.texastribune.org/2025/09/16/lina-hidalgo-harris-county-judge-not-running-for-reelection-2026/
  102. "Mary Moriarty will not seek a second term as Hennepin County attorney"
    https://www.startribune.com/mary-moriarty-will-not-seek-a-second-term-as-hennepin-county-attorney/601450875
  103. YouGov
    https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_aY8mpiN.pdf#page=59
  104. Morning Consult
    https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2026-midterm-elections-tracker-generic-ballot
  105. The Independent Center
    https://cdn.prod.website-files.com/68d1c32ec01e1d1f6a86e801/6957e70d6a2531a1b867adaa_ICV%202026%20Nationwide%20250th%20Study%20Toplines%20-%20FINAL.pdf
  106. YouGov
    https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_h1aYmmb.pdf#page=67
  107. Big Data Poll
    https://www.bigdatapoll.com/blog/trump-improves-democrats-lead-generic-ballot-in-final-poll-for-2025/
  108. YouGov
    https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_nBgFw7w.pdf#page=55
  109. Quantus Insights
    https://quantusinsights.org/f/what-decembers-quantus-poll-reveals-about-approval-the-nation#ddfaccf9-bede-412a-8ce9-6f9ddda07554
  110. AtlasIntel
    https://cdn.atlasintel.org/b04a7568-81b3-478f-a785-d5e5902941d4.pdf#page=43
  111. Fabrizio Ward
    https://buildingamericasfuture.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/AI-Federal-Preemption-National-Voter-Survey-Memo.pdf
  112. Emerson College Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/december-2025-national-poll-trumps-approval-flips-since-start-of-the-year/
  113. Reuters
    https://www.reuters.com/data/which-party-do-americans-want-run-congress-2025-11-05/#12-08-2025
  114. YouGov
    https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_FJyfDu9.pdf#page=73
  115. Echelon Insights
    https://echelonin.wpenginepowered.com/wp-content/uploads/December-2025-Omnibus-Topline-External.pdf#page=3
  116. Quinnipiac University
    https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3943
  117. Big Data Poll
    https://www.bigdatapoll.com/blog/republicans-fall-further-behind-democrats-on-generic-ballot-in-mid-december/
  118. The Argument
    https://www.theargumentmag.com/p/have-democrats-lost-their-education
  119. Clarity Campaign Labs
    https://clarity-public-web.s3.us-east-1.amazonaws.com/Clarity+Omnibus+Overview+-+December+2025+%5BPUBLIC%5D.pdf#page=23
  120. YouGov
    https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_qLhWxpK.pdf#page=66
  121. CNBC
    https://fm.cnbc.com/applications/cnbc.com/resources/editorialfiles/2025/12/16/TOPLINES_250313_CNBC_AAES_Q4_2025_new.pdf
  122. Cygnal
    https://data.ddhq.io/polls/2025/12/15/Cygnal-National#page=22
  123. Quantus Insights
    https://quantusinsights.org/f/new-poll-strong-disapproval-drives-overall-assessment-of-trump
  124. Napolitan News Service
    https://napolitannews.org/posts/generic-ballot-gop-45-percent-dem-41
  125. Big Data Poll
    https://www.bigdatapoll.com/blog/trumps-third-world-immigration-moratorium-widely-popular/
  126. YouGov
    https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_N1Fksyq.pdf#page=40
  127. Third Way
    https://www.thirdway.org/memo/food-medicine-fuel-for-a-wave
  128. The Bullfinch Group
    https://data.ddhq.io/polls/2025/12/02/The%20Bullfinch%20Group-National
  129. YouGov
    https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_dEPgjvs.pdf#page=86
  130. McLaughlin & Associates
    https://data.ddhq.io/polls/2025/11/26/McLaughlin%20&%20Associates-National
  131. Rasmussen Reports
    https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/mood_of_america/generic_congressional_ballot_dec03
  132. J.L. Partners
    https://data.ddhq.io/polls/2025/12/05/J.L.-Partners/DailyMail.com-National-2025-11-19-2025-11-25
  133. YouGov
    https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_QMXaSrC.pdf#page=66
  134. Echelon Insights
    https://echelonin.wpenginepowered.com/wp-content/uploads/November-2025-Voter-Omnibus-Topline-External.pdf#page=4
  135. The Argument
    https://www.theargumentmag.com/p/2026-is-looking-terrible-for-republicans
  136. High Point University
    https://data.ddhq.io/polls/2025/11/25/High%20Point%20University%20Survey%20Research%20Center-North%20Carolina
  137. Marist Poll
    https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/a-look-to-the-2026-midterms-november-2025/
  138. Quantus Insights
    https://quantusinsights.org/f/survey-shows-public-discontent-with-trump-direction-of-us
  139. Reuters
    https://www.reuters.com/world/us/democrats-more-energized-2026-elections-than-republicans-reutersipsos-poll-finds-2025-11-13/
  140. Marquette University Law School
    https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2025/11/18/detailed-results-of-the-marquette-law-school-supreme-court-poll-nov-5-12-2025-national-issues/
  141. YouGov
    https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_EAdEA3C.pdf#page=51
  142. Morning Consult
    https://links.morningconsult.com/s/vb/pML3dxXpq_z0HGPRnIodfYJnCrdA5pv30yFHu8yovGNrkEKsYCrN0zHjzdDyQ6wBWN0YIBIZGjicBqLObQiaEyGGtyGViptcSFlD8X4UtYodgjvUMgKnwSfn3kTdfTsm3qYyj6bgK-k185oLu3OUHtto-3du_st3ktx_3w/Jj-WgYyBcbX2NhKQBSWVc88CaP2QP8XN/14
  143. Cygnal
    https://www.cygn.al/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/Cygnal-National-NVT-Nov25-Deck-Public.pdf#page=18
  144. Emerson College Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/november-2025-national-poll/
  145. YouGov
    https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_5RO6eos.pdf#page=65
  146. Napolitan News Service
    https://napolitannews.org/posts/generic-ballot-gop-43-percent-dem-42
  147. CNN
    https://www.cnn.com/2025/11/03/politics/cnn-poll-democrats-trump-midterms
  148. NewsNation
    https://www.newsnationnow.com/polls/full-poll-results-newsnation-national-survey-trump/
  149. Strength In Numbers
    https://www.gelliottmorris.com/p/new-poll-voters-want-democrats-to
  150. Big Data Poll
    https://www.bigdatapoll.com/blog/trumps-approval-rating-declines-further-in-october/
  151. The Washington Post
    https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2025/11/02/trump-democrats-poll-post-abc-ipsos/
  152. NBC News
    https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/elections/poll-frustration-trump-gives-democrats-opening-year-midterms-rcna240551
  153. YouGov
    https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_0AkNOQp.pdf#page=70
  154. YouGov
    https://www.scribd.com/document/940273112/Yahoo-YouGov-Shutdown-Poll-October-2025
  155. McLaughlin & Associates
    https://mclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/National-October-Presentation-RELEASE.pdf
  156. Clarity Campaign Labs
    https://www.claritycampaigns.com/clarity-omnibus-oct-2025
  157. YouGov
    https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_yAo1neA.pdf#page=64
  158. Quinnipiac University
    https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3938
  159. University of Massachusetts Lowell
    https://www.uml.edu/news/press-releases/2025/national-poll-10292025.aspx
  160. Echelon Insights
    https://echelonin.wpenginepowered.com/wp-content/uploads/October-2025-Voter-Omnibus-Topline-External-2.pdf#page=4
  161. Morning Consult
    https://links.morningconsult.com/s/vb/ym8JfUaOjlgif38SoCjCGPth6sxgb-ELMIMnEMF2E5YLxxKzw35PTtxDOnXqP6R7BKhuORUQFHsJ74buGtSU3kf1ofbEB0UXS6X7Sj_zbtcGHC2ggiv9S_WVtcNrM0rHXrv1kf7hTLZONoQALWSWwzENlgX1FjWUItM7iA/fE9WtmvEEMUzBgM2U_UlUbtkQvRCt4GY/14
  162. Emerson College Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/october-2025-poll/
  163. The Argument
    https://www.theargumentmag.com/p/the-immigration-problem-is-a-crime
  164. YouGov
    https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_K8wS7V4.pdf#page=73
  165. CNBC
    https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/17/trumps-economic-approval-rating-drops-says-cnbc-survey.html
  166. The Downballot
    https://www.the-downballot.com/p/new-poll-shows-democrats-best-path
  167. Cygnal
    https://www.cygn.al/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/Cygnal-Oct25-NVT.pdf#page=17
  168. Quantus Insights
    https://quantusinsights.org/f/the-nation%E2%80%99s-pulse-trump-approval-poll-october-2025#ddfaccf9-bede-412a-8ce9-6f9ddda07554
  169. YouGov
    https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_aAQjgRJ.pdf#page=50
  170. The Center Square
    https://www.thecentersquare.com/image_f6c02a7b-df0a-426c-b38e-7825e2b1cec6.html
  171. Morning Consult
    https://pro.morningconsult.com/analysis/government-shutdown-polling-october-2025
  172. YouGov
    https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_ZbdXWEu.pdf#page=55
  173. YouGov
    https://www.scribd.com/document/925455404/Combined-Kimmel
  174. The New York Times
    https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2025/09/30/polls/times-siena-poll-registered-voter-crosstabs.html
  175. Napolitan News Service
    https://napolitannews.org/posts/generic-ballot-gop-43-percent-dem-41
  176. YouGov
    https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_XUKbKYQ.pdf#page=65
  177. Echelon Insights
    https://echelonin.wpenginepowered.com/wp-content/uploads/September-2025-Voter-Omnibus-Topline-External-1.pdf#page=3
  178. McLaughlin & Associates
    https://data.ddhq.io/polls/2025/09/30/McLaughlin%20&%20Associates-National
  179. Strength In Numbers
    https://www.gelliottmorris.com/p/new-poll-voters-to-blame-republicans-for-shutdown
  180. AtlasIntel
    https://cdn.atlasintel.org/e734ffb6-e175-4467-b745-bd32bf1aca9a.pdf#page=54
  181. Third Way
    https://www.thirdway.org/memo/americans-caught-between-trumps-cruelty-and-democrats-chaos
  182. YouGov
    https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_jmHpS1k.pdf#page=82
  183. RealClearPolitics
    https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2025/09/19/generic_ballot_tracking_poll_republicans_narrow_dems_lead.html
  184. i360
    https://americansforprosperity.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/ACA-Enhanced-Subsidy-Expiration-Poll-Toplines-100625.pdf
  185. Clarity Campaign Labs
    https://clarity-public-web.s3.us-east-1.amazonaws.com/Clarity+Omnibus+Overview+-+September+2025+%5BPUBLIC%5D.pdf#page=23
  186. YouGov
    https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_posPy08.pdf#page=56
  187. Public Religion Research Institute
    https://prri.org/research/trumps-unprecedented-actions-deepen-asymmetric-divides/
  188. Cygnal
    https://www.cygn.al/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/23260-Cygnal-National-Sep25-NVT-Deck-Public.pdf#page=21
  189. YouGov
    https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/combined_yahoo.pdf#page=35
  190. YouGov
    https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_S3c69M7.pdf#page=64
  191. Morning Consult
    https://pro.morningconsult.com/analysis/2026-midterm-generic-ballot-september-2025
  192. Emerson College Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/august-2025-national/
  193. McLaughlin & Associates
    https://data.ddhq.io/polls/2025/09/03/McLaughlin%20&%20Associates-National
  194. YouGov
    https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_otzzSNZ.pdf#page=73
  195. Ipsos
    https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/Reuters%20Ipsos%20Core%20Political%20Presidential%20Approval%20Tracker%20August%202025.pdf
  196. Substack
    https://substack.com/home/post/p-171344467
  197. Napolitan News Service
    https://napolitannews.org/posts/generic-ballot-gop-44-percent-dem-44
  198. Strength In Numbers
    https://www.gelliottmorris.com/p/democrats-lead-the-us-house-generic
  199. Echelon Insights
    https://echelonin.wpenginepowered.com/wp-content/uploads/August-2025-Voter-Omnibus-Topline-External-3.pdf#page=5
  200. The Argument
    https://www.theargumentmag.com/p/when-americans-bite-their-tongues
  201. YouGov
    https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_sBoaiA0.pdf#page=67
  202. Quantus Insights
    https://quantusinsights.org/f/middle-america-shrugs-inflation-fatigue-and-electoral-flux
  203. YouGov
    https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_Y7xe8fY.pdf#page=65
  204. YouGov
    https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_FVfEKen.pdf#page=67
  205. CNBC
    https://www.cnbc.com/2025/08/07/trumps-approval-rating-still-negative-while-the-public-sours-further-on-democrats-cnbc-survey-shows.html
  206. YouGov
    https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/20250728_yahoo.pdf#page=37
  207. America's New Majority Project
    https://americasnewmajorityproject.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/20250724-NationalANMP-Tabs.pdf#page=172
  208. The Wall Street Journal
    https://www.wsj.com/politics/elections/democratic-party-poll-voter-confidence-july-2025-9db38021
  209. The Wall Street Journal
    https://prod-i.a.dj.com/public/resources/documents/Redacted1WSJPollJuly2025.pdf
  210. Emerson College Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/july-2025-national-poll/
  211. AtlasIntel
    https://cdn.atlasintel.org/20e36f18-42bd-4a28-85f4-9f623905ba71.pdf#page=67
  212. Rasmussen Reports
    https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/mood_of_america/generic_congressional_ballot_july22
  213. Napolitan News Service
    https://napolitannews.org/posts/generic-ballot-july-2025-republicans-46-percent-democrats-42
  214. Big Data Poll
    https://www.bigdatapoll.com/blog/poll-trump-approval-turns-slightly-negative-in-july/
  215. Big Data Poll
    https://application.marketsight.com/app/ItemView.aspx?SharedFor=public%40bigdatapoll.com&SharedBy=34090&id=3365ed0e-4357-4944-a962-b31b01623800
  216. Echelon Insights
    https://echelonin.wpenginepowered.com/wp-content/uploads/July-2025-Voter-Omnibus-Topline-External.pdf
  217. McLaughlin & Associates
    https://mclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/National-July-Presentation-RELEASE-07-15-25.pdf
  218. A2 Insights
    https://drive.google.com/file/d/1rWAD3mtcrfDv02JzCYf9LLJmRebMkq85/view
  219. Strength In Numbers
    https://www.gelliottmorris.com/p/new-poll-dems-lead-house-generic
  220. Cygnal
    https://www.cygn.al/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/Cygnal-National-NVT-Jul25-Deck-Public.pdf#page=15
  221. Emerson College Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/june-national-poll/
  222. "2026 Generic Congressional Ballot: Democrats: 46.6%, Republicans: 42.4%. Independents: Dem 47-26% —— @AmericanPulseUS. 6/23-25 – 633 RV"
    https://x.com/IAPolls2022/status/1938284824566849979
  223. Cygnal
    https://www.cygn.al/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/Cygnal-National-Bitcoin-Policy-Summit-Deck.pdf#page=10
  224. Napolitan News Service
    https://napolitannews.org/posts/generic-ballot-gop-holds-largest-lead-of-the-year
  225. Echelon Insights
    https://echelonin.wpenginepowered.com/wp-content/uploads/June-2025-Voter-Omnibus-Topline-EXTERNAL.pdf
  226. co/efficient
    https://coefficient.org/one-big-beautiful-bill/
  227. Clarity Campaign Labs
    https://static1.squarespace.com/static/61ae8d5e55be5c7314b4c83a/t/6852fc5a3ac4c05449fc450e/1750269023826/Clarity+Omnibus+Overview+-+June+2025+%5BPUBLIC%5D.pdf#page=22
  228. Strength In Numbers
    https://www.gelliottmorris.com/p/trump-approval-at-42-democrats-up
  229. Quantus Insights
    https://drive.google.com/file/d/1AQ_6yT9lTlj7wLGm38j8x0vtSMtPNMcK/view
  230. Quantus Insights
    https://drive.google.com/file/d/1yEui8UYNrloY5lHwaYAMxoOWgGn0XuYh/view
  231. AtlasIntel
    https://cdn.atlasintel.org/ae8c5bb9-44e7-4937-a544-ee1fc607d200.pdf#page=62
  232. McLaughlin & Associates
    https://mclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2025/05/National-May-Presentation-RELEASE-05-27-25.pdf
  233. Napolitan News Service
    https://napolitannews.org/posts/generic-ballot-gop-43-percent-dem-43
  234. Pinpoint Policy Institute
    https://pinpointpolicyinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/National-Spring-Quarterly-Tracking-Memo-6-2-25-1.pdf
  235. Echelon Insights
    https://echelonin.wpenginepowered.com/wp-content/uploads/May-2025-Voter-Omnibus-Topline-External.pdf
  236. co/efficient
    https://coefficient.org/national-approval-study/
  237. Quantus Insights
    https://quantusinsights.org/f/the-nation-divided-the-president-holding-ground
  238. Big Data Poll
    https://www.bigdatapoll.com/blog/poll-trump-approval-tempered-by-economic-concerns/
  239. Big Data Poll
    https://application.marketsight.com/app/ItemView.aspx?SharedFor=public%40bigdatapoll.com&SharedBy=34090&id=ed392432-25f1-4ed1-b675-b2d40178ef48
  240. Strength In Numbers
    https://www.gelliottmorris.com/p/new-poll-americans-oppose-trumps
  241. Nexstar Media Group
    https://nexstartv-my.sharepoint.com/:x:/g/personal/mhobe_nexstar_tv/Ed_IQP-AattKq1IhfspZkKUB_j3G-vcd-JiJJksGOx_TLQ?rtime=H8v4z5LR3Ug
  242. The New York Times
    https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2025/04/25/us/elections/times-siena-poll-toplines.html
  243. Fox News
    https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-democrats-favorability-hits-new-low-still-favored-over-gop-2026-midterms
  244. The Center Square
    https://www.thecentersquare.com/polls/
  245. Napolitan News Service
    https://napolitannews.org/posts/democrats-make-huge-gains-on-generic-ballot
  246. CNBC
    https://www.cnbc.com/2025/04/19/trumps-approval-rating-on-economy-drops-to-lowest-of-his-presidential-careerat-.html
  247. Real Clear Politics
    https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2025/04/18/rcp_poll_voters_see_campus_bias_reject_trumps_tariff_pitch_152678.html
  248. Real Clear Politics
    https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2025/RCOR_April_2025_Poll_Findings_and_Data.pdf
  249. Cygnal
    https://www.cygn.al/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/22974-Cygnal-National-NVT-Apr25-Deck-Public-2.pdf#page=17
  250. Yale Youth Poll
    https://youthpoll.yale.edu/spring-2025-results
  251. Quantus Insights
    https://quantusinsights.org/f/trump%E2%80%99s-standing-steadies-but-crosscurrents-remain-ahead-of-2026
  252. Echelon Insights
    https://echelonin.wpenginepowered.com/wp-content/uploads/March-2025-Voter-Omnibus-Topline-External.pdf
  253. NBC News
    https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/politics-news/democratic-party-hits-new-polling-low-voters-want-fight-trump-harder-rcna196161
  254. Clarity Campaign Labs
    https://static1.squarespace.com/static/61ae8d5e55be5c7314b4c83a/t/67d0921f11ba8d57a17670a9/1741722147070/Clarity+Omnibus+Overview+-+March+2025+PUBLIC.pdf#page=11
  255. Cygnal
    https://www.cygn.al/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/22915-Cygnal-National-NVT-Mar25-Deck-Public.pdf#page=17
  256. Emerson College Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/march-2025-national-poll/
  257. Paragon Health Institute
    https://paragoninstitute.org/medicaid/paragon-health-policy-survey-2025/
  258. Napolitan News Service
    https://napolitannews.org/posts/republicans-hold-slim-lead-in-generic-ballot
  259. co/efficient
    https://coefficient.org/doge-part-2/
  260. Echelon Insights
    https://echelonin.wpenginepowered.com/wp-content/uploads/February-2025-Voter-Omnibus-Topline-External.pdf
  261. Quantus Insights
    https://quantusinsights.org/f/quantus-insights-latest-national-survey---february-13-2025
  262. Cygnal
    https://www.cygn.al/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/22874-Cygnal-National-NVT-Feb25-Deck-Public.pdf#page=15
  263. Clarity Campaign Labs
    https://static1.squarespace.com/static/61ae8d5e55be5c7314b4c83a/t/67aa57a7976e415c4d212706/1739216809584/Clarity+Omnibus+Overview+-+Jan_Feb+2025.pdf#page=8
  264. AARP
    https://www.aarp.org/content/dam/aarp/research/topics/voter-opinion-research/politics/federal-tax-package-legislative-priorities.doi.10.26419-2fres.00921.001.pdf
  265. Napolitan News Service
    https://napolitannews.org/posts/generic-ballot-gop-51-percent-dem-44
  266. Quantus Insights
    https://quantusinsights.org/f/trump%E2%80%99s-second-term-begins-what-voters-think
  267. Cygnal
    https://www.cygn.al/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/22827-Cygnal-National-NVT-Jan25-Deck.pdf#page=17
  268. McLaughlin & Associates
    https://mclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/National-December-Presentation-RELEASE-12-17-24.pdf
  269. Cygnal
    https://www.cygn.al/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/Cygnal-National-NVT-Dec24-Deck-Public.pdf#page=17
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