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2026 United States Senate election in Texas

Updated: Wikipedia source

2026 United States Senate election in Texas

The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Texas. State representative James Talarico is the Democratic nominee. The Republican nominee will be determined in a runoff election between four-term incumbent John Cornyn and state attorney general Ken Paxton on May 26, 2026, after no candidate secured a majority of the vote in the March 3 primary. Democrats have not won a Senate election in Texas since 1988.

Infobox

Nominee
TBD
Party
Republican

Tables

· Republican primary › First round › Fundraising
Candidate
Candidate
Campaign finance reports as of February 11, 2026
Candidate
Campaign finance reports as of February 11, 2026
Raised
Campaign finance reports as of February 11, 2026
Spent
Campaign finance reports as of February 11, 2026
Cash on hand
Virgil Bierschwale (R)
Virgil Bierschwale (R)
Campaign finance reports as of February 11, 2026
Virgil Bierschwale (R)
Campaign finance reports as of February 11, 2026
$9,988
Campaign finance reports as of February 11, 2026
$9,657
Campaign finance reports as of February 11, 2026
$331
Sara Canady (R)
Sara Canady (R)
Campaign finance reports as of February 11, 2026
Sara Canady (R)
Campaign finance reports as of February 11, 2026
$770
Campaign finance reports as of February 11, 2026
$7,061
Campaign finance reports as of February 11, 2026
$0
John Cornyn (R)
John Cornyn (R)
Campaign finance reports as of February 11, 2026
John Cornyn (R)
Campaign finance reports as of February 11, 2026
$11,155,399
Campaign finance reports as of February 11, 2026
$6,816,042
Campaign finance reports as of February 11, 2026
$4,972,818
Wesley Hunt (R)
Wesley Hunt (R)
Campaign finance reports as of February 11, 2026
Wesley Hunt (R)
Campaign finance reports as of February 11, 2026
$1,971,633
Campaign finance reports as of February 11, 2026
$4,116,502
Campaign finance reports as of February 11, 2026
$342,307
Gulrez Khan (R)
Gulrez Khan (R)
Campaign finance reports as of February 11, 2026
Gulrez Khan (R)
Campaign finance reports as of February 11, 2026
$10,443
Campaign finance reports as of February 11, 2026
$10,964
Campaign finance reports as of February 11, 2026
$0
Ken Paxton (R)
Ken Paxton (R)
Campaign finance reports as of February 11, 2026
Ken Paxton (R)
Campaign finance reports as of February 11, 2026
$5,857,093
Campaign finance reports as of February 11, 2026
$1,925,816
Campaign finance reports as of February 11, 2026
$3,931,277
Tony Schmoker (R)
Tony Schmoker (R)
Campaign finance reports as of February 11, 2026
Tony Schmoker (R)
Campaign finance reports as of February 11, 2026
$2,500
Campaign finance reports as of February 11, 2026
$3,107
Campaign finance reports as of February 11, 2026
$0
Source: Federal Election Commission
Source: Federal Election Commission
Campaign finance reports as of February 11, 2026
Source: Federal Election Commission
Campaign finance reports as of February 11, 2026
Candidate
Raised
Spent
Cash on hand
Virgil Bierschwale (R)
$9,988
$9,657
$331
Sara Canady (R)
$770
$7,061
$0
John Cornyn (R)
$11,155,399
$6,816,042
$4,972,818
Wesley Hunt (R)
$1,971,633
$4,116,502
$342,307
Gulrez Khan (R)
$10,443
$10,964
$0
Ken Paxton (R)
$5,857,093
$1,925,816
$3,931,277
Tony Schmoker (R)
$2,500
$3,107
$0
Source: Federal Election Commission
· Republican primary › First round › Polling
FiftyPlusOne
FiftyPlusOne
Source of poll aggregation
FiftyPlusOne
Dates administered
through February 27, 2026
Dates updated
March 3, 2026
John Cornyn
29 %
Wesley Hunt
21 %
Ken Paxton
35 %
Other/Undecided
13 %
Margin
Paxton +6 %
270toWin
270toWin
Source of poll aggregation
270toWin
Dates administered
February 25 – March 2, 2026
Dates updated
March 3, 2026
John Cornyn
35 %
Wesley Hunt
17 %
Ken Paxton
38 %
Other/Undecided
8 %
Margin
Paxton +3 %
RealClearPolitics
RealClearPolitics
Source of poll aggregation
RealClearPolitics
Dates administered
February 13–27, 2026
Dates updated
March 2, 2026
John Cornyn
35 %
Wesley Hunt
15 %
Ken Paxton
39 %
Other/Undecided
9 %
Margin
Paxton +3 %
Decision Desk HQ
Decision Desk HQ
Source of poll aggregation
Decision Desk HQ
Dates administered
through February 27, 2026
Dates updated
March 2, 2026
John Cornyn
35 %
Wesley Hunt
16 %
Ken Paxton
38 %
Other/Undecided
9 %
Margin
Paxton +3 %
Race to the WH
Race to the WH
Source of poll aggregation
Race to the WH
Dates administered
through February 27, 2026
Dates updated
March 2, 2026
John Cornyn
32 %
Wesley Hunt
17 %
Ken Paxton
37 %
Other/Undecided
12 %
Margin
Paxton +5 %
Average
Average
Source of poll aggregation
Average
Dates administered
33 %
Dates updated
17 %
John Cornyn
37 %
Wesley Hunt
10 %
Ken Paxton
Paxton +4 %
Source of poll aggregation
Dates administered
Dates updated
John Cornyn
Wesley Hunt
Ken Paxton
Other/Undecided
Margin
FiftyPlusOne
through February 27, 2026
March 3, 2026
29 %
21 %
35 %
13 %
Paxton +6 %
270toWin
February 25 – March 2, 2026
March 3, 2026
35 %
17 %
38 %
8 %
Paxton +3 %
RealClearPolitics
February 13–27, 2026
March 2, 2026
35 %
15 %
39 %
9 %
Paxton +3 %
Decision Desk HQ
through February 27, 2026
March 2, 2026
35 %
16 %
38 %
9 %
Paxton +3 %
Race to the WH
through February 27, 2026
March 2, 2026
32 %
17 %
37 %
12 %
Paxton +5 %
Average
33 %
17 %
37 %
10 %
Paxton +4 %
· Republican primary › First round › Polling
YouGov
YouGov
Poll source
YouGov
Date(s) administered
February 26 – March 2, 2026
Sample size
1,659 (LV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
John Cornyn
32%
Wesley Hunt
17%
Ken Paxton
36%
Other
2%
Undecided
13%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s) administered
February 26–27, 2026
Sample size
547 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
John Cornyn
36%
Wesley Hunt
17%
Ken Paxton
40%
Other
8%
Undecided
–
Quantus Insights (R)
Quantus Insights (R)
Poll source
Quantus Insights (R)
Date(s) administered
February 25–26, 2026
Sample size
939 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
John Cornyn
38%
Wesley Hunt
16%
Ken Paxton
43%
Other
–
Undecided
3%
Victory Phones (R)
Victory Phones (R)
Poll source
Victory Phones (R)
Date(s) administered
February 24–25, 2026
Sample size
600 (LV)
Margin of error
–
John Cornyn
30%
Wesley Hunt
15%
Ken Paxton
39%
Other
–
Undecided
16%
Blueprint Polling (D)
Blueprint Polling (D)
Poll source
Blueprint Polling (D)
Date(s) administered
February 23–24, 2026
Sample size
529 (LV)
Margin of error
± 5 %
John Cornyn
30%
Wesley Hunt
14%
Ken Paxton
42%
Other
1%
Undecided
13%
Peak Insights (R)
Peak Insights (R)
Poll source
Peak Insights (R)
Date(s) administered
February 19–23, 2026
Sample size
800 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
John Cornyn
36%
Wesley Hunt
14%
Ken Paxton
36%
Other
15%
UT Tyler
UT Tyler
Poll source
UT Tyler
Date(s) administered
February 13–22, 2026
Sample size
– (LV)
Margin of error
–
John Cornyn
41%
Wesley Hunt
15%
Ken Paxton
35%
Other
–
Undecided
9%
– (RV)
– (RV)
Poll source
– (RV)
Date(s) administered
39%
Sample size
19%
Margin of error
33%
John Cornyn
–
University of Texas/Texas Politics Project
University of Texas/Texas Politics Project
Poll source
University of Texas/Texas Politics Project
Date(s) administered
February 2–16, 2026
Sample size
350 (RV)
Margin of error
± 5 %
John Cornyn
34%
Wesley Hunt
26%
Ken Paxton
36%
Other
3%
Undecided
–
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
Poll source
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
Date(s) administered
February 9–12, 2026
Sample size
800 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
John Cornyn
29%
Wesley Hunt
26%
Ken Paxton
36%
Other
–
Undecided
9%
Pulse Decision Science (R)
Pulse Decision Science (R)
Poll source
Pulse Decision Science (R)
Date(s) administered
February 8–11, 2026
Sample size
800 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
John Cornyn
27%
Wesley Hunt
15%
Ken Paxton
36%
Other
–
Undecided
22%
Peak Insights (R)
Peak Insights (R)
Poll source
Peak Insights (R)
Date(s) administered
February 3–8, 2026
Sample size
1,000 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
John Cornyn
29%
Wesley Hunt
25%
Ken Paxton
31%
Other
–
Undecided
15%
Pulse Decision Science (R)
Pulse Decision Science (R)
Poll source
Pulse Decision Science (R)
Date(s) administered
February 1–3, 2026
Sample size
801 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
John Cornyn
26%
Wesley Hunt
18%
Ken Paxton
34%
Other
–
Undecided
22%
J . Partners (R)
J . Partners (R)
Poll source
J . Partners (R)
Date(s) administered
January 31 – February 3, 2026
Sample size
600 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
John Cornyn
26%
Wesley Hunt
26%
Ken Paxton
27%
Other
–
Undecided
21%
Ragnar Research Partners (R)
Ragnar Research Partners (R)
Poll source
Ragnar Research Partners (R)
Date(s) administered
January 29 – February 1, 2026
Sample size
– (LV)
Margin of error
–
John Cornyn
31%
Wesley Hunt
24%
Ken Paxton
29%
Other
–
Undecided
16%
University of Houston/YouGov
University of Houston/YouGov
Poll source
University of Houston/YouGov
Date(s) administered
January 20–31, 2026
Sample size
550 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
John Cornyn
31%
Wesley Hunt
17%
Ken Paxton
38%
Other
2%
Undecided
12%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s) administered
January 10–12, 2026
Sample size
550 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
John Cornyn
26%
Wesley Hunt
16%
Ken Paxton
27%
Other
2%
Undecided
29%
Harper Polling (R)
Harper Polling (R)
Poll source
Harper Polling (R)
Date(s) administered
January 5–7, 2026
Sample size
600 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
John Cornyn
26%
Wesley Hunt
23%
Ken Paxton
31%
Other
–
Undecided
20%
Deep Root Analytics (R)
Deep Root Analytics (R)
Poll source
Deep Root Analytics (R)
Date(s) administered
January 5–11, 2026
Sample size
– (LV)
Margin of error
–
John Cornyn
29%
Wesley Hunt
19%
Ken Paxton
26%
Other
–
Undecided
26%
Pulse Decision Science (R)
Pulse Decision Science (R)
Poll source
Pulse Decision Science (R)
Date(s) administered
December 14–17, 2025
Sample size
809 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
John Cornyn
38%
Wesley Hunt
16%
Ken Paxton
38%
Other
–
Undecided
8%
1892 Polling (R)
1892 Polling (R)
Poll source
1892 Polling (R)
Date(s) administered
December 4, 2025
Sample size
– (LV)
Margin of error
–
John Cornyn
28%
Wesley Hunt
19%
Ken Paxton
29%
Other
–
Undecided
24%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
Poll source
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
Date(s) administered
December 1–4, 2025
Sample size
800 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
John Cornyn
27%
Wesley Hunt
28%
Ken Paxton
33%
Other
–
Undecided
12%
J . Partners
J . Partners
Poll source
J . Partners
Date(s) administered
December 1–3, 2025
Sample size
600 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
John Cornyn
24%
Wesley Hunt
24%
Ken Paxton
29%
Other
–
Undecided
23%
co/efficient (R)
co/efficient (R)
Poll source
co/efficient (R)
Date(s) administered
December 1–3, 2025
Sample size
1,022 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
John Cornyn
28%
Wesley Hunt
19%
Ken Paxton
27%
Other
–
Undecided
26%
Public Policy Polling (D)
Public Policy Polling (D)
Poll source
Public Policy Polling (D)
Date(s) administered
December 1–2, 2025
Sample size
527 (LV)
Margin of error
–
John Cornyn
22%
Wesley Hunt
22%
Ken Paxton
32%
Other
–
Undecided
24%
Peak Insights (R)
Peak Insights (R)
Poll source
Peak Insights (R)
Date(s) administered
November 20–25, 2025
Sample size
600 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
John Cornyn
35%
Wesley Hunt
18%
Ken Paxton
33%
Other
–
Undecided
14%
Stratus Intelligence (R)
Stratus Intelligence (R)
Poll source
Stratus Intelligence (R)
Date(s) administered
November 21–22, 2025
Sample size
857 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
John Cornyn
25%
Wesley Hunt
26%
Ken Paxton
36%
Other
–
Undecided
13%
Ragnar Research Partners (R)
Ragnar Research Partners (R)
Poll source
Ragnar Research Partners (R)
Date(s) administered
November 13–16, 2025
Sample size
758 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
John Cornyn
32%
Wesley Hunt
21%
Ken Paxton
31%
Other
–
Undecided
16%
Stratus Intelligence (R)
Stratus Intelligence (R)
Poll source
Stratus Intelligence (R)
Date(s) administered
November 4–6, 2025
Sample size
811 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
John Cornyn
27%
Wesley Hunt
26%
Ken Paxton
34%
Other
–
Undecided
13%
Harper Polling (R)
Harper Polling (R)
Poll source
Harper Polling (R)
Date(s) administered
October 28–30, 2025
Sample size
614 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
John Cornyn
26%
Wesley Hunt
24%
Ken Paxton
25%
Other
–
Undecided
25%
Hunt Research (R)
Hunt Research (R)
Poll source
Hunt Research (R)
Date(s) administered
October 6–10, 2025
Sample size
1,097 (LV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
John Cornyn
24%
Wesley Hunt
19%
Ken Paxton
28%
Other
–
Undecided
29%
Stratus Intelligence (R)
Stratus Intelligence (R)
Poll source
Stratus Intelligence (R)
Date(s) administered
October 4–6, 2025
Sample size
– (V)
Margin of error
–
John Cornyn
31%
Wesley Hunt
24%
Ken Paxton
34%
Other
–
Undecided
11%
Peak Insights (R)
Peak Insights (R)
Poll source
Peak Insights (R)
Date(s) administered
October 2025
Sample size
600 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
John Cornyn
34%
Wesley Hunt
19%
Ken Paxton
36%
Other
–
Undecided
11%
University of Houston/ Texas Southern University
University of Houston/ Texas Southern University
Poll source
University of Houston/ Texas Southern University
Date(s) administered
September 19 – October 1, 2025
Sample size
576 (RV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
John Cornyn
33%
Wesley Hunt
22%
Ken Paxton
34%
Other
–
Undecided
11%
Deep Root Analytics (R)
Deep Root Analytics (R)
Poll source
Deep Root Analytics (R)
Date(s) administered
September 22–28, 2025
Sample size
1,142 (LV)
Margin of error
–
John Cornyn
33%
Wesley Hunt
21%
Ken Paxton
28%
Other
–
Undecided
18%
UT Tyler
UT Tyler
Poll source
UT Tyler
Date(s) administered
September 17–24, 2025
Sample size
492 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
John Cornyn
29%
Wesley Hunt
14%
Ken Paxton
31%
Other
–
Undecided
26%
Ragnar Research Partners (R)
Ragnar Research Partners (R)
Poll source
Ragnar Research Partners (R)
Date(s) administered
September 20–22, 2025
Sample size
760 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
John Cornyn
32%
Wesley Hunt
17%
Ken Paxton
31%
Other
–
Undecided
20%
Stratus Intelligence (R)
Stratus Intelligence (R)
Poll source
Stratus Intelligence (R)
Date(s) administered
September 14–16, 2025
Sample size
842 (V)
Margin of error
–
John Cornyn
28%
Wesley Hunt
23%
Ken Paxton
38%
Other
–
Undecided
11%
38%
38%
Poll source
38%
Date(s) administered
23%
Sample size
39%
Margin of error
–
Stratus Intelligence (R)
Stratus Intelligence (R)
Poll source
Stratus Intelligence (R)
Date(s) administered
August 24–26, 2025
Sample size
– (V)
Margin of error
–
John Cornyn
28%
Wesley Hunt
23%
Ken Paxton
38%
Other
–
Undecided
11%
Stratus Intelligence (R)
Stratus Intelligence (R)
Poll source
Stratus Intelligence (R)
Date(s) administered
August 4–6, 2025
Sample size
– (V)
Margin of error
–
John Cornyn
29%
Wesley Hunt
23%
Ken Paxton
37%
Other
–
Undecided
11%
Texas Southern University
Texas Southern University
Poll source
Texas Southern University
Date(s) administered
August 6–12, 2025
Sample size
1,500 (LV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
John Cornyn
30%
Wesley Hunt
22%
Ken Paxton
35%
Other
–
Undecided
13%
Stratus Intelligence (R)
Stratus Intelligence (R)
Poll source
Stratus Intelligence (R)
Date(s) administered
July 16–18, 2025
Sample size
– (V)
Margin of error
–
John Cornyn
32%
Wesley Hunt
15%
Ken Paxton
38%
Other
15%
Undecided
–
G1 Research
G1 Research
Poll source
G1 Research
Date(s) administered
Late June 2025
Sample size
–
Margin of error
–
John Cornyn
28%
Wesley Hunt
17%
Ken Paxton
41%
Other
–
Undecided
14%
Stratus Intelligence (R)
Stratus Intelligence (R)
Poll source
Stratus Intelligence (R)
Date(s) administered
June 22–23, 2025
Sample size
– (V)
Margin of error
–
John Cornyn
28%
Wesley Hunt
17%
Ken Paxton
41%
Other
–
Undecided
14%
Pulse Decision Science (R)
Pulse Decision Science (R)
Poll source
Pulse Decision Science (R)
Date(s) administered
June 17–22, 2025
Sample size
806 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
John Cornyn
32%
Wesley Hunt
13%
Ken Paxton
49%
Other
–
Undecided
7%
Stratus Intelligence (R)
Stratus Intelligence (R)
Poll source
Stratus Intelligence (R)
Date(s) administered
June 8–10, 2025
Sample size
– (V)
Margin of error
–
John Cornyn
28%
Wesley Hunt
12%
Ken Paxton
47%
Other
–
Undecided
13%
YouGov/Texas Southern University
YouGov/Texas Southern University
Poll source
YouGov/Texas Southern University
Date(s) administered
May 9–19, 2025
Sample size
510 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
John Cornyn
27%
Wesley Hunt
15%
Ken Paxton
34%
Other
–
Undecided
24%
Quantus Insights (R)
Quantus Insights (R)
Poll source
Quantus Insights (R)
Date(s) administered
May 11–13, 2025
Sample size
600 (RV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
John Cornyn
38%
Wesley Hunt
16%
Ken Paxton
46%
Other
–
American Opportunity Alliance (R)
American Opportunity Alliance (R)
Poll source
American Opportunity Alliance (R)
Date(s) administered
April 29 – May 1, 2025
Sample size
800 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
John Cornyn
27%
Wesley Hunt
14%
Ken Paxton
43%
Other
–
Undecided
16%
Stratus Intelligence (R)
Stratus Intelligence (R)
Poll source
Stratus Intelligence (R)
Date(s) administered
April 29–30, 2025
Sample size
– (V)
Margin of error
–
John Cornyn
27%
Wesley Hunt
18%
Ken Paxton
40%
Other
–
Undecided
15%
The Tarrance Group (R)
The Tarrance Group (R)
Poll source
The Tarrance Group (R)
Date(s) administered
April 27 – May 1, 2025
Sample size
–
Margin of error
–
John Cornyn
34%
Wesley Hunt
19%
Ken Paxton
44%
Other
–
Stratus Intelligence (R)
Stratus Intelligence (R)
Poll source
Stratus Intelligence (R)
Date(s) administered
April 15–17, 2025
Sample size
– (V)
Margin of error
–
John Cornyn
26%
Wesley Hunt
18%
Ken Paxton
42%
Other
–
Undecided
14%
Stratus Intelligence (R)
Stratus Intelligence (R)
Poll source
Stratus Intelligence (R)
Date(s) administered
March 23–25, 2025
Sample size
– (V)
Margin of error
–
John Cornyn
26%
Wesley Hunt
13%
Ken Paxton
46%
Other
–
Undecided
15%
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
John Cornyn
Wesley Hunt
Ken Paxton
Other
Undecided
YouGov
February 26 – March 2, 2026
1,659 (LV)
± 2 %
32%
17%
36%
2%
13%
Emerson College
February 26–27, 2026
547 (LV)
± 4 %
36%
17%
40%
8%
–
Quantus Insights (R)
February 25–26, 2026
939 (LV)
± 3 %
38%
16%
43%
–
3%
Victory Phones (R)
February 24–25, 2026
600 (LV)
–
30%
15%
39%
–
16%
Blueprint Polling (D)
February 23–24, 2026
529 (LV)
± 5 %
30%
14%
42%
1%
13%
Peak Insights (R)
February 19–23, 2026
800 (LV)
± 3 %
36%
14%
36%
15%
UT Tyler
February 13–22, 2026
– (LV)
–
41%
15%
35%
–
9%
– (RV)
39%
19%
33%
–
University of Texas/Texas Politics Project
February 2–16, 2026
350 (RV)
± 5 %
34%
26%
36%
3%
–
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
February 9–12, 2026
800 (LV)
± 3 %
29%
26%
36%
–
9%
Pulse Decision Science (R)
February 8–11, 2026
800 (LV)
± 3 %
27%
15%
36%
–
22%
Peak Insights (R)
February 3–8, 2026
1,000 (LV)
± 3 %
29%
25%
31%
–
15%
Pulse Decision Science (R)
February 1–3, 2026
801 (LV)
± 3 %
26%
18%
34%
–
22%
J . Partners (R)
January 31 – February 3, 2026
600 (LV)
± 4 %
26%
26%
27%
–
21%
Ragnar Research Partners (R)
January 29 – February 1, 2026
– (LV)
–
31%
24%
29%
–
16%
University of Houston/YouGov
January 20–31, 2026
550 (LV)
± 4 %
31%
17%
38%
2%
12%
Emerson College
January 10–12, 2026
550 (LV)
± 4 %
26%
16%
27%
2%
29%
Harper Polling (R)
January 5–7, 2026
600 (LV)
± 4 %
26%
23%
31%
–
20%
Deep Root Analytics (R)
January 5–11, 2026
– (LV)
–
29%
19%
26%
–
26%
Pulse Decision Science (R)
December 14–17, 2025
809 (LV)
± 3 %
38%
16%
38%
–
8%
1892 Polling (R)
December 4, 2025
– (LV)
–
28%
19%
29%
–
24%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
December 1–4, 2025
800 (LV)
± 3 %
27%
28%
33%
–
12%
J . Partners
December 1–3, 2025
600 (LV)
± 4 %
24%
24%
29%
–
23%
co/efficient (R)
December 1–3, 2025
1,022 (LV)
± 3 %
28%
19%
27%
–
26%
Public Policy Polling (D)
December 1–2, 2025
527 (LV)
–
22%
22%
32%
–
24%
Peak Insights (R)
November 20–25, 2025
600 (LV)
± 4 %
35%
18%
33%
–
14%
Stratus Intelligence (R)
November 21–22, 2025
857 (LV)
± 3 %
25%
26%
36%
–
13%
Ragnar Research Partners (R)
November 13–16, 2025
758 (LV)
± 4 %
32%
21%
31%
–
16%
Stratus Intelligence (R)
November 4–6, 2025
811 (LV)
± 4 %
27%
26%
34%
–
13%
Harper Polling (R)
October 28–30, 2025
614 (LV)
± 4 %
26%
24%
25%
–
25%
Hunt Research (R)
October 6–10, 2025
1,097 (LV)
± 2 %
24%
19%
28%
–
29%
Stratus Intelligence (R)
October 4–6, 2025
– (V)
–
31%
24%
34%
–
11%
Peak Insights (R)
October 2025
600 (LV)
± 4 %
34%
19%
36%
–
11%
University of Houston/ Texas Southern University
September 19 – October 1, 2025
576 (RV)
± 4 %
33%
22%
34%
–
11%
Deep Root Analytics (R)
September 22–28, 2025
1,142 (LV)
–
33%
21%
28%
–
18%
UT Tyler
September 17–24, 2025
492 (RV)
± 3 %
29%
14%
31%
–
26%
Ragnar Research Partners (R)
September 20–22, 2025
760 (LV)
± 3 %
32%
17%
31%
–
20%
Stratus Intelligence (R)
September 14–16, 2025
842 (V)
–
28%
23%
38%
–
11%
38%
23%
39%
–
Stratus Intelligence (R)
August 24–26, 2025
– (V)
–
28%
23%
38%
–
11%
Stratus Intelligence (R)
August 4–6, 2025
– (V)
–
29%
23%
37%
–
11%
Texas Southern University
August 6–12, 2025
1,500 (LV)
± 2 %
30%
22%
35%
–
13%
Stratus Intelligence (R)
July 16–18, 2025
– (V)
–
32%
15%
38%
15%
–
G1 Research
Late June 2025
–
–
28%
17%
41%
–
14%
Stratus Intelligence (R)
June 22–23, 2025
– (V)
–
28%
17%
41%
–
14%
Pulse Decision Science (R)
June 17–22, 2025
806 (LV)
± 3 %
32%
13%
49%
–
7%
Stratus Intelligence (R)
June 8–10, 2025
– (V)
–
28%
12%
47%
–
13%
YouGov/Texas Southern University
May 9–19, 2025
510 (LV)
± 4 %
27%
15%
34%
–
24%
Quantus Insights (R)
May 11–13, 2025
600 (RV)
± 4 %
38%
16%
46%
–
CWS Research (R)
CWS Research (R)
Poll source
CWS Research (R)
Date(s) administered
October 19–23, 2022
Sample size
823 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
John Cornyn
35%
Ronny Jackson
14%
Chip Roy
18%
Undecided
33%
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
John Cornyn
Ronny Jackson
Chip Roy
Undecided
CWS Research (R)
October 19–23, 2022
823 (RV)
± 3 %
35%
14%
18%
33%
Victory Insights (R)
Victory Insights (R)
Poll source
Victory Insights (R)
Date(s) administered
January 4–6, 2025
Sample size
600 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
John Cornyn
35%
Someone Else
40%
Undecided
25%
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
John Cornyn
Someone Else
Undecided
Victory Insights (R)
January 4–6, 2025
600 (LV)
± 4 %
35%
40%
25%

References

  1. Endorsement received after the first round of primary voting took place.
  2. Endorsement only applicable for the primary election.
  3. Jeffrey Barry, HD-29 (2025–present) Brad Buckley, HD-54 (2019–present) Giovanni Capriglione, HD-98 (2013–present) Ang
  4. Rodney Anderson, former HD-105 (2015–2019) and HD-106 (2011–2013) Myra Crownover, former HD-64 (2000–2017) John Cyrier
  5. Donna Campbell, SD-25 (2013–present) Bob Hall, SD-02 (2015–present)
  6. Mark Dorazio, HD-122 (2023–present) Richard Hayes, HD-57 (2023–present) Janis Holt, HD-18 (2025–present) Andy Hopper,
  7. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  8. Key: A – all adults RV – registered voters LV – likely voters V – unclear
  9. "Someone else" and "I [did/will] not vote in this primary" with 1%; John Adefope, Anna Bender, Virgil Bierschwale, and S
  10. Anna Bender with 3%; Sara Canady and Gulrez Khan 2%; John Adefope with 1%; Virgil Bierschwale with 0%
  11. "Do not remember" with 1%; John Adefope, Anna Bender, Virgil Bierschwale, Sara Canady, Gulrez Khan, and "Did not vote in
  12. Bierschwale with 1%; "Someone else" with 2%
  13. Sara Canady with 1%; "4 others" with <1%
  14. John Adefope with 1%; Anna Bender, Virgil Bierschwale, Sara Canady, and Gulrez Khan with a combined 1%
  15. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  16. "Would not vote in that race" with 9%; "Prefer not to answer" with 4%
  17. "Someone else" with 5%
  18. Would not Vote with 8%; Other with 7%; Refused with 4%
  19. County executive
  20. Diego Bernal, HD-123 (2015–present) John Bryant, HD-114 (2023–present) John Bucy III, HD-136 (2019–present) Elizabeth
Image
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