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2026 United States Senate election in Iowa

Updated: Wikipedia source

2026 United States Senate election in Iowa

The 2026 United States Senate election in Iowa will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Iowa. Primary elections will be held on June 2, 2026. Two-term Republican Joni Ernst, who was re-elected in 2020 with 51.8% of the vote, declined to seek reelection to a third term.

Infobox

Party
Republican

Tables

· Republican primary › Fundraising
Candidate
Candidate
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Raised
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Spent
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Cash on hand
Jim Carlin (R)
Jim Carlin (R)
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Jim Carlin (R)
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
$125,401
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
$124,689
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
$711
Ashley Hinson (R)
Ashley Hinson (R)
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Ashley Hinson (R)
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
$3,212,895
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
$1,087,489
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
$2,125,405
Source: Federal Election Commission
Source: Federal Election Commission
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Source: Federal Election Commission
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate
Raised
Spent
Cash on hand
Jim Carlin (R)
$125,401
$124,689
$711
Ashley Hinson (R)
$3,212,895
$1,087,489
$2,125,405
Source: Federal Election Commission
Victory Insights (R)
Victory Insights (R)
Poll source
Victory Insights (R)
Date(s)administered
December 6–7, 2024
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
JoniErnst
48%
SomeoneElse
27%
Undecided
26%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
JoniErnst
SomeoneElse
Undecided
Victory Insights (R)
December 6–7, 2024
600 (LV)
48%
27%
26%
· Democratic primary › Fundraising
Candidate
Candidate
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Raised
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Spent
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Cash on hand
Nathan Sage (D)
Nathan Sage (D)
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Nathan Sage (D)
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
$1,119,898
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
$851,129
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
$268,769
Josh Turek (D)
Josh Turek (D)
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Josh Turek (D)
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
$1,008,592
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
$356,611
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
$651,981
Zach Wahls (D)
Zach Wahls (D)
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Zach Wahls (D)
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
$1,303,295
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
$718,251
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
$585,045
Source: Federal Election Commission
Source: Federal Election Commission
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Source: Federal Election Commission
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate
Raised
Spent
Cash on hand
Nathan Sage (D)
$1,119,898
$851,129
$268,769
Josh Turek (D)
$1,008,592
$356,611
$651,981
Zach Wahls (D)
$1,303,295
$718,251
$585,045
Source: Federal Election Commission
· Libertarian primary › Fundraising
Candidate
Candidate
Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2025
Candidate
Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2025
Raised
Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2025
Spent
Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2025
Cash on hand
Thomas Laehn (L)
Thomas Laehn (L)
Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2025
Thomas Laehn (L)
Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2025
$27,581
Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2025
$10,188
Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2025
$17,393
Source: Federal Election Commission
Source: Federal Election Commission
Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2025
Source: Federal Election Commission
Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2025
Candidate
Raised
Spent
Cash on hand
Thomas Laehn (L)
$27,581
$10,188
$17,393
Source: Federal Election Commission
· General election › Predictions
Likely R
Likely R
Source
Inside Elections
Ranking
Likely R
As of
August 28, 2025
Likely R
Likely R
Source
The Cook Political Report
Ranking
Likely R
As of
October 14, 2025
Likely R
Likely R
Source
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Ranking
Likely R
As of
August 12, 2025
Lean R
Lean R
Source
Race To The WH
Ranking
Lean R
As of
September 4, 2025
Source
Ranking
As of
Inside Elections
Likely R
August 28, 2025
The Cook Political Report
Likely R
October 14, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Likely R
August 12, 2025
Race To The WH
Lean R
September 4, 2025
Public Policy Polling (D)
Public Policy Polling (D)
Poll source
Public Policy Polling (D)
Date(s)administered
August 18–19, 2025
Samplesize
572 (V)
Marginof error
± 4.1%
JoniErnst (R)
45%
JackieNorris (D)
42%
Undecided
13%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
JoniErnst (R)
JackieNorris (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)
August 18–19, 2025
572 (V)
± 4.1%
45%
42%
13%
Public Policy Polling (D)
Public Policy Polling (D)
Poll source
Public Policy Polling (D)
Date(s)administered
August 18–19, 2025
Samplesize
572 (V)
Marginof error
± 4.1%
JoniErnst (R)
45%
NathanSage (D)
41%
Undecided
14%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
JoniErnst (R)
NathanSage (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)
August 18–19, 2025
572 (V)
± 4.1%
45%
41%
14%
Public Policy Polling (D)
Public Policy Polling (D)
Poll source
Public Policy Polling (D)
Date(s)administered
August 18–19, 2025
Samplesize
572 (V)
Marginof error
± 4.1%
JoniErnst (R)
45%
JoshTurek (D)
41%
Undecided
14%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
JoniErnst (R)
JoshTurek (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)
August 18–19, 2025
572 (V)
± 4.1%
45%
41%
14%
Public Policy Polling (D)
Public Policy Polling (D)
Poll source
Public Policy Polling (D)
Date(s)administered
August 18–19, 2025
Samplesize
572 (V)
Marginof error
± 4.1%
JoniErnst (R)
43%
ZachWahls (D)
42%
Undecided
15%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
JoniErnst (R)
ZachWahls (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)
August 18–19, 2025
572 (V)
± 4.1%
43%
42%
15%
Public Policy Polling (D)
Public Policy Polling (D)
Poll source
Public Policy Polling (D)
Date(s)administered
June 2–3, 2025
Samplesize
568 (V)
Marginof error
± 4.1%
JoniErnst (R)
45%
GenericDemocrat
43%
Undecided
12%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
JoniErnst (R)
GenericDemocrat
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)
June 2–3, 2025
568 (V)
± 4.1%
45%
43%
12%

References

  1. Key:A – all adultsRV – registered votersLV – likely votersV – unclear
  2. Jerome Amos Jr., state representative from the 62nd district (2023–present) Austin Baeth, state representative from the
  3. Poll sponsored by Wahls's campaign
  4. Poll sponsored by Senate Majority PAC, which supports Democratic candidates
  5. "Joni Ernst announces retirement from Senate in 2026, pledges ongoing community involvement"
    https://cbs2iowa.com/news/local/joni-ernst-announces-retirement-from-senate-in-2026-pledges-ongoing-community-involvement
  6. Axios
    https://www.axios.com/local/des-moines/2024/11/06/iowa-remains-red-despite-iowa-poll-republicans
  7. CNN
    https://www.cnn.com/2014/11/05/politics/iowa-senate-digital/index.html
  8. The Des Moines Register
    https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2020/11/02/iowa-election-results-us-senate-theresa-greenfield-joni-ernst/5997461002/
  9. www.msn.com
    https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/were-all-going-to-die-gop-fumbles-defense-of-medicaid-cuts/ar-AA1FXvi2
  10. "Iowa politics: Republican Jim Carlin announces U.S. Senate campaign"
    https://www.kcci.com/article/iowa-politics-republican-jim-carlin-us-senate-campaign-joni-ernst/64994109
  11. NBC News
    https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2026-election/republican-ashley-hinson-senate-bid-iowa-joni-ernst-seat-rcna228679
  12. Bleeding Heartland
    https://www.bleedingheartland.com/2024/12/09/joshua-smith-to-challenge-joni-ernst-in-gop-primary/
  13. FEC.gov
    https://www.fec.gov/data/candidate/S6IA00199/
  14. NBC News
    https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2026-election/republican-sen-joni-ernst-wont-seek-re-election-iowa-2026-rcna228053
  15. The Downballot
    https://www.the-downballot.com/p/morning-digest-kansas-republicans
  16. The Des Moines Register
    https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2025/01/27/trump-supporter-kari-lake-postpones-iowa-maga-event/77968045007/
  17. The Downballot
    https://www.the-downballot.com/i/172617988/ia-sen-ia
  18. "Iowa Republican Ashley Hinson announces 2026 US Senate campaign"
    https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2025/09/02/ashley-hinson-announces-2026-us-senate-campaign-joni-ernst/85939480007/
  19. The Waterloo-Cedar Falls Courier
    https://archive.today/20250909181521/https://wcfcourier.com/news/state-regional/government-politics/article_ecb7066a-4d07-4d40-930b-09eb22e5bfbf.html
  20. Bleeding Heartland
    https://www.bleedingheartland.com/2025/09/07/ashley-hinsons-senate-rollout-short-term-success-long-term-risks/
  21. Ballotpedia
    https://ballotpedia.org/U.S._Senate_election_endorsements
  22. The Hill
    https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/5489631-trump-endorses-ashley-hinson-iowa-senate/
  23. Fox News
    https://www.foxnews.com/politics/republican-rising-star-ashley-hinson-announces-senate-bid-race-succeed-iowas-ernst
  24. Politico
    https://www.politico.com/news/2025/09/05/ashley-hinson-endorsements-00546138
  25. Ballotpedia
    https://ballotpedia.org/U.S._Senate_election_endorsements
  26. Cite error: The named reference DNCCall was invoked but never defined (see the help page).
  27. maggieslist.org
    https://maggieslist.org/maggies-list-endorses-hinson-in-iowa-noveletsky-in-new-hampshire/
  28. fec.gov
    https://www.fec.gov/data/elections/senate/IA/2026/
  29. Victory Insights
    https://irp.cdn-website.com/07e08705/files/uploaded/PollReport_IA-2026_12-9-24.pdf
  30. "Bob Krause announces candidacy for U.S. Senate, endorses Bohannan in House race"
    https://cbs2iowa.com/news/local/bob-krause-us-united-states-senate-race-iowa-senator-joni-ernst-not-running-republican-democrat-first-congressional-district-christina-bohannan
  31. NBC News
    https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2026-election/iowa-sen-joni-ernst-first-democratic-challenger-2026-nathan-sage-rcna201299
  32. Radio Iowa
    https://www.radioiowa.com/2025/10/13/coralville-democrat-says-hell-run-for-us-senate-in-2026/
  33. KCCI
    https://www.kcci.com/article/iowa-rep-josh-turek-two-time-paralympian-launches-campaign-for-us-senate/65670366
  34. Iowa Capital Dispatch
    https://iowacapitaldispatch.com/2025/06/11/democrat-zach-wahls-announces-bid-for-u-s-senate/
  35. The Des Moines Register
    https://archive.today/20251016152643/https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2025/10/16/dmps-board-chair-jackie-norris-ends-us-senate-campaign-ian-roberts/86723493007/
  36. The Des Moines Register
    https://archive.today/20250818131205/https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2025/08/18/iowa-democrat-j-d-scholten-ends-2026-us-senate-campaign-against-joni-ernst-endorses-josh-turek/85664593007/
  37. BostonGlobe.com
    https://www.bostonglobe.com/2025/09/12/opinion/future-of-democrats-progressive-vs-center/
  38. KWQC
    https://www.kwqc.com/2025/09/03/challengers-tout-endorsements-amid-major-iowa-race-shakeup/
  39. Des Moines Register
    https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2025/10/28/josh-turek-trump-tariffs-farmageddon/86932959007/
  40. The Gazette
    https://www.thegazette.com/campaigns-elections/campaign-almanac-iowa-democrat-wahls-announces-slate-of-endorsements-for-senate-campaign/
  41. The Gazette
    https://www.thegazette.com/campaigns-elections/wahls-makes-labor-core-tenet-of-u-s-senate-campaign/
  42. The Gazette
    https://www.thegazette.com/campaigns-elections/campaign-almanac-elections-forecaster-shifts-iowa-u-s-house-race-toward-democrats-as-race-takes-sh/
  43. KCAU-TV
    https://www.siouxlandproud.com/news/local-news/us-senate-hopeful-speaks-to-rotary-club-of-sioux-city/
  44. Inside Elections
    https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/senate
  45. Cook Political Report
    https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/senate-race-ratings
  46. Sabato's Crystal Ball
    https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2026-senate/
  47. Race to the WH
    https://www.racetothewh.com/senate/26
  48. Public Policy Polling
    https://drive.google.com/file/d/1JhjWdN9DjrWRZOr2ZW1sUpN6d8LbDwto/view
  49. Public Policy Polling
    https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/polls/joni-ernst-unpopular-may-face-tough-reelection/
  50. Public Policy Polling
    https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/IowaPollJune2025.pdf
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