Topzle Updated: Wikipedia source
The 2026 Florida gubernatorial election will take place on November 3, 2026, to elect the next governor of Florida, alongside other state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Governor Ron DeSantis is term-limited and cannot seek election to a third consecutive term. Democrats have not won a gubernatorial election in Florida since Lawton Chiles was re-elected Governor in 1994.
| Poll source | Date(s)administered | Samplesize | Marginof error | ByronDonalds | PaulRenner | Undecided |
| Targoz Market Research | September 16–18, 2025 | 506 (RV) | – | 29% | 9% | 62% |
| Poll source | Date(s)administered | Samplesize | Marginof error | JayCollins | ByronDonalds | JamesFishback | PaulRenner | Undecided |
| The American Promise | November 17–19, 2025 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 1% | 43% | 0% | 2% | 54% |
| Victory Insights (R) | November 11–13, 2025 | 600 (LV) | – | 1% | 45% | 1% | 3% | 49% |
| St. Pete Polls | October 13–15, 2025 | 1,034 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 4% | 39% | – | 3% | 54% |
| 12% | 52% | – | – | 36% | ||||
| The American Promise | September 4–5, 2025 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 2% | 40% | – | 2% | 54% |
| Poll source | Date(s)administered | Samplesize | Marginof error | CaseyDeSantis | ByronDonalds | MattGaetz | AshleyMoody | JeanetteNuñez | JimmyPatronis | WiltonSimpson | FrancisSuarez | MichaelWaltz | Other | Undecided |
| St. Pete Polls | October 13–15, 2025 | 1,034 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 21% | 47% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 36% |
| Targoz Market Research | September 16–18, 2025 | 510 (RV) | – | 26% | 23% | – | – | – | – | 2% | – | – | 9% | 39% |
| University of North Florida | July 14–22, 2025 | 797 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 32% | 29% | 8% | – | – | – | 1% | 2% | – | 10% | 18% |
| St. Pete Polls | July 8–10, 2025 | 831 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 27% | 35% | – | – | – | – | 3% | – | – | 2% | 32% |
| Targoz Market Research | May 5–7, 2025 | 516 (RV) | – | 29% | 28% | 10% | – | 7% | – | 4% | 5% | – | 4% | 13% |
| Targoz Market Research | April 15–22, 2025 | 619 (RV) | – | 28% | 22% | 8% | – | 9% | – | 4% | 7% | – | 4% | 18% |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) | February 26–27, 2025 | 600 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 30% | 34% | – | – | – | – | 3% | – | – | – | 33% |
| Victory Insights (R) | January 26–27, 2025 | 850 (LV) | ± 3.5% | – | 34% | – | – | – | – | 5% | – | – | – | 61% |
| – | 31% | – | – | 4% | – | 3% | 1% | – | – | 60% | ||||
| Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research | June 8–9, 2024 | 366 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 43% | 19% | 13% | 14% | – | 5% | – | – | – | 7% | – |
| Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research | April 15–17, 2024 | 372 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 38% | – | 16% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 20% | 26% |
| Victory Insights (R) | April 3–6, 2024 | 1,200 (LV) | ± 2.9% | – | 21% | 13% | – | – | 3% | 2% | – | 5% | 14% | 43% |
| University of North Florida | October 23 – November 4, 2023 | 788 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 22% | 9% | 9% | 6% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 6% | 40% |
| Poll source | Date(s)administered | Samplesize | Marginof error | JasonPizzo | Daniella LevineCava | GwenGraham | DavidJolly | LaurenBook | AngieNixon | ShevrinJones | FentriceDriskell | Other | Undecided |
| Targoz Market Research | May 5–7, 2025 | 396 (RV) | – | – | 32% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 7% | – | 21% |
| Targoz Market Research | April 15–22, 2025 | 464 (RV) | – | 41% | 15% | 5% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | – | 21% |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
| Race to the WH | Lean R | October 28, 2025 |
| The Cook Political Report | Solid R | September 11, 2025 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe R | September 4, 2025 |
| Inside Elections | Solid R | August 28, 2025 |
| Poll source | Date(s)administered | Samplesize | Marginof error | ByronDonalds (R) | DavidJolly (D) | Other | Undecided |
| University of North Florida | October 15–25, 2025 | 728 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 45% | 34% | 3% | 18% |
| Targoz Market Research | September 16–18, 2025 | 1,118 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 36% | 32% | 4% | 28% |
| Bendixen & Amandi International (D) | September 7–9, 2025 | 631 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 41% | – | 19% |
| AIF Center (R) | August 25–27, 2025 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 41% | – | 11% |
| Victory Insights (R) | June 7–10, 2025 | 600 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 37% | 31% | – | 32% |
| Poll source | Date(s)administered | Samplesize | Marginof error | PaulRenner (R) | DavidJolly (D) | Other | Undecided |
| Targoz Market Research | September 16–18, 2025 | 1,123 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 34% | 33% | 5% | 28% |
| Bendixen & Amandi International (D) | September 7–9, 2025 | 631 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 40% | – | 18% |
| Poll source | Date(s)administered | Samplesize | Marginof error | ByronDonalds (R) | JerryDemings (D) | Other | Undecided |
| University of North Florida | October 15–25, 2025 | 728 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 45% | 33% | 5% | 17% |
| Poll source | Date(s)administered | Samplesize | Marginof error | ByronDonalds (R) | Daniella LevineCava (D) | JasonPizzo (I) | Undecided |
| Targoz Market Research | May 5–7, 2025 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 38% | 34% | 5% | 23% |
| Poll source | Date(s)administered | Samplesize | Marginof error | CaseyDeSantis (R) | DavidJolly (D) | Other | Undecided |
| University of North Florida | October 15–25, 2025 | 728 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 47% | 34% | 5% | 14% |
| Poll source | Date(s)administered | Samplesize | Marginof error | CaseyDeSantis (R) | JerryDemings (D) | Other | Undecided |
| University of North Florida | October 15–25, 2025 | 728 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 47% | 36% | 6% | 11% |
| Poll source | Date(s)administered | Samplesize | Marginof error | CaseyDeSantis (R) | Daniella LevineCava (D) | JasonPizzo (I) | Undecided |
| Targoz Market Research | May 5–7, 2025 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 39% | 35% | 8% | 18% |
| Poll source | Date(s)administered | Samplesize | Marginof error | GenericRepublican | GenericDemocrat | Undecided |
| Cygnal (R) | August 25–27, 2025 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 51% | 38% | 11% |
| Cygnal (R) | October 26–28, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 41% | 11% |