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2026 Florida gubernatorial election

Updated: Wikipedia source

2026 Florida gubernatorial election

The 2026 Florida gubernatorial election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the governor of Florida. Primary elections will take place on August 18, 2026. Incumbent Republican governor Ron DeSantis is ineligible to seek re-election to a third consecutive term. Democrats have not won a gubernatorial election in Florida since 1994.

Infobox

Party
Republican

Tables

2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial debate · Republican primary › Debates
Key:  P  Participant   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn  A  Absent   N  Not invited
Key:  P  Participant   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn  A  Absent   N  Not invited
Date
Key:  P  Participant   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn  A  Absent   N  Not invited
Jay Collins
Jay Collins
Date
Jay Collins
Host
Byron Donalds
Moderators
James Fishback
Location
Paul Renner
Republican
Rachel Rodriguez
Republican
Bobby Williams
June 6, 2026
June 6, 2026
Date
June 6, 2026
Host
Young Leaders of America
Moderators
TBA
Location
Stuart
Republican
I
Republican
I
Republican
I
Republican
I
Republican
I
Republican
I
July 21, 2026
July 21, 2026
Date
July 21, 2026
Host
Fox News
Moderators
TBA
Location
Tampa
Republican
N
Republican
I
Republican
I
Republican
N
Republican
N
Republican
N
Date
Host
Moderators
Location
Republican
Republican
Republican
Republican
Republican
Republican
Key: P Participant I Invited W Withdrawn A Absent N Not invited
Jay Collins
Byron Donalds
James Fishback
Paul Renner
Rachel Rodriguez
Bobby Williams
June 6, 2026
Young Leaders of America
TBA
Stuart
I
I
I
I
I
I
July 21, 2026
Fox News
TBA
Tampa
N
I
I
N
N
N
· Republican primary › Fundraising
Candidate
Candidate
Campaign finance reports as of April 1, 2026
Candidate
Campaign finance reports as of April 1, 2026
Raised
Campaign finance reports as of April 1, 2026
Spent
Jay Collins (R)
Jay Collins (R)
Campaign finance reports as of April 1, 2026
Jay Collins (R)
Campaign finance reports as of April 1, 2026
$388,489
Campaign finance reports as of April 1, 2026
$28,799
Byron Donalds (R)
Byron Donalds (R)
Campaign finance reports as of April 1, 2026
Byron Donalds (R)
Campaign finance reports as of April 1, 2026
$7,104,287
Campaign finance reports as of April 1, 2026
$3,119,572
James Fishback (R)
James Fishback (R)
Campaign finance reports as of April 1, 2026
James Fishback (R)
Campaign finance reports as of April 1, 2026
$298,017
Campaign finance reports as of April 1, 2026
$267,793
Paul Renner (R)
Paul Renner (R)
Campaign finance reports as of April 1, 2026
Paul Renner (R)
Campaign finance reports as of April 1, 2026
$617,003
Campaign finance reports as of April 1, 2026
$112,183
Sources:
Sources:
Campaign finance reports as of April 1, 2026
Sources:
Campaign finance reports as of April 1, 2026
Candidate
Raised
Spent
Jay Collins (R)
$388,489
$28,799
Byron Donalds (R)
$7,104,287
$3,119,572
James Fishback (R)
$298,017
$267,793
Paul Renner (R)
$617,003
$112,183
Sources:
· Republican primary › Polling
Change Research (D)
Change Research (D)
Poll source
Change Research (D)
Date(s) administered
May 13–16, 2026
Sample size
– (LV)
Margin of error
Jay Collins
8%
Byron Donalds
48%
James Fishback
9%
Paul Renner
3%
Other
Undecided
28%
Public Sentiment Institute
Public Sentiment Institute
Poll source
Public Sentiment Institute
Date(s) administered
May 13–14, 2026
Sample size
750 (LV)
Margin of error
Jay Collins
Byron Donalds
46%
James Fishback
35%
Paul Renner
Other
Undecided
19%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)
Poll source
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)
Date(s) administered
April 26–30, 2026
Sample size
420 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Jay Collins
7%
Byron Donalds
54%
James Fishback
9%
Paul Renner
2%
Other
Undecided
28%
Stetson University
Stetson University
Poll source
Stetson University
Date(s) administered
March 25 – April 13, 2026
Sample size
373 (LV)
Margin of error
Jay Collins
6%
Byron Donalds
38%
James Fishback
5%
Paul Renner
7%
Other
17%
Undecided
28%
Keystone Analytics
Keystone Analytics
Poll source
Keystone Analytics
Date(s) administered
March 27 – April 6, 2026
Sample size
795 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Jay Collins
Byron Donalds
43%
James Fishback
19%
Paul Renner
Other
Undecided
38%
Tarrance Group (R)
Tarrance Group (R)
Poll source
Tarrance Group (R)
Date(s) administered
March 30 – April 2, 2026
Sample size
466 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Jay Collins
6%
Byron Donalds
50%
James Fishback
9%
Paul Renner
3%
Other
Undecided
32%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s) administered
March 29–31, 2026
Sample size
465 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Jay Collins
4%
Byron Donalds
46%
James Fishback
4%
Paul Renner
3%
Other
4%
Undecided
39%
The American Promise
The American Promise
Poll source
The American Promise
Date(s) administered
February 23–26, 2026
Sample size
800 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Jay Collins
4%
Byron Donalds
44%
James Fishback
5%
Paul Renner
2%
Other
Undecided
45%
The Public Sentiment Institute
The Public Sentiment Institute
Poll source
The Public Sentiment Institute
Date(s) administered
February 20, 2026
Sample size
– (LV)
Margin of error
Jay Collins
12%
Byron Donalds
30%
James Fishback
8%
Paul Renner
2%
Other
2%
Undecided
46%
– (RV)
– (RV)
Poll source
– (RV)
Date(s) administered
7%
Sample size
29%
Margin of error
5%
Jay Collins
1%
Byron Donalds
1%
James Fishback
57%
– (A)
– (A)
Poll source
– (A)
Date(s) administered
7%
Sample size
27%
Margin of error
5%
Jay Collins
1%
Byron Donalds
1%
James Fishback
59%
University of North Florida
University of North Florida
Poll source
University of North Florida
Date(s) administered
February 16–20, 2026
Sample size
657 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Jay Collins
4%
Byron Donalds
31%
James Fishback
6%
Paul Renner
1%
Other
6%
Undecided
51%
3%
3%
Poll source
3%
Date(s) administered
28%
Sample size
4%
Margin of error
1%
Jay Collins
28%
Byron Donalds
36%
Targoz Market Research
Targoz Market Research
Poll source
Targoz Market Research
Date(s) administered
February 13–16, 2026
Sample size
401 (RV)
Margin of error
Jay Collins
15%
Byron Donalds
33%
James Fishback
3%
Paul Renner
9%
Other
Undecided
40%
Patriot Polling (R)
Patriot Polling (R)
Poll source
Patriot Polling (R)
Date(s) administered
January 19–29, 2026
Sample size
827 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Jay Collins
Byron Donalds
37%
James Fishback
23%
Paul Renner
Other
Undecided
40%
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy
Poll source
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy
Date(s) administered
January 8–13, 2026
Sample size
400 (RV)
Margin of error
± 5 %
Jay Collins
7%
Byron Donalds
37%
James Fishback
3%
Paul Renner
4%
Other
Undecided
49%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)
Poll source
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)
Date(s) administered
January 4–6, 2026
Sample size
600 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Jay Collins
6%
Byron Donalds
45%
James Fishback
4%
Paul Renner
3%
Other
Undecided
41%
Poll source
Date(s) administered
39%
Sample size
3%
Margin of error
1%
Jay Collins
26%
Byron Donalds
31%
Poll source
Date(s) administered
47%
Sample size
5%
Margin of error
4%
Jay Collins
Byron Donalds
43%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Poll source
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Date(s) administered
December 7–11, 2025
Sample size
700 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Jay Collins
13%
Byron Donalds
40%
James Fishback
Paul Renner
Other
9%
Undecided
38%
The Tyson Group (R)
The Tyson Group (R)
Poll source
The Tyson Group (R)
Date(s) administered
December 8–9, 2025
Sample size
800 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Jay Collins
9%
Byron Donalds
38%
James Fishback
2%
Paul Renner
1%
Other
Undecided
49%
The American Promise
The American Promise
Poll source
The American Promise
Date(s) administered
November 17–19, 2025
Sample size
800 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Jay Collins
1%
Byron Donalds
43%
James Fishback
0%
Paul Renner
2%
Other
Undecided
54%
Victory Insights (R)
Victory Insights (R)
Poll source
Victory Insights (R)
Date(s) administered
November 11–13, 2025
Sample size
600 (LV)
Margin of error
Jay Collins
1%
Byron Donalds
45%
James Fishback
1%
Paul Renner
3%
Other
Undecided
49%
St. Pete Polls
St. Pete Polls
Poll source
St. Pete Polls
Date(s) administered
October 13–15, 2025
Sample size
1,034 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Jay Collins
4%
Byron Donalds
39%
James Fishback
Paul Renner
3%
Other
Undecided
54%
12%
12%
Poll source
12%
Date(s) administered
52%
Sample size
Margin of error
Jay Collins
Byron Donalds
36%
Targoz Market Research
Targoz Market Research
Poll source
Targoz Market Research
Date(s) administered
September 16–18, 2025
Sample size
506 (RV)
Margin of error
Jay Collins
Byron Donalds
29%
James Fishback
Paul Renner
9%
Other
Undecided
62%
The American Promise
The American Promise
Poll source
The American Promise
Date(s) administered
September 4–5, 2025
Sample size
800 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Jay Collins
2%
Byron Donalds
40%
James Fishback
Paul Renner
2%
Other
Undecided
54%
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Jay Collins
Byron Donalds
James Fishback
Paul Renner
Other
Undecided
Change Research (D)
May 13–16, 2026
– (LV)
8%
48%
9%
3%
28%
Public Sentiment Institute
May 13–14, 2026
750 (LV)
46%
35%
19%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)
April 26–30, 2026
420 (LV)
± 4 %
7%
54%
9%
2%
28%
Stetson University
March 25 – April 13, 2026
373 (LV)
6%
38%
5%
7%
17%
28%
Keystone Analytics
March 27 – April 6, 2026
795 (LV)
± 3 %
43%
19%
38%
Tarrance Group (R)
March 30 – April 2, 2026
466 (LV)
± 4 %
6%
50%
9%
3%
32%
Emerson College
March 29–31, 2026
465 (LV)
± 4 %
4%
46%
4%
3%
4%
39%
The American Promise
February 23–26, 2026
800 (LV)
± 3 %
4%
44%
5%
2%
45%
The Public Sentiment Institute
February 20, 2026
– (LV)
12%
30%
8%
2%
2%
46%
– (RV)
7%
29%
5%
1%
1%
57%
– (A)
7%
27%
5%
1%
1%
59%
University of North Florida
February 16–20, 2026
657 (LV)
± 4 %
4%
31%
6%
1%
6%
51%
3%
28%
4%
1%
28%
36%
Targoz Market Research
February 13–16, 2026
401 (RV)
15%
33%
3%
9%
40%
Patriot Polling (R)
January 19–29, 2026
827 (LV)
± 4 %
37%
23%
40%
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy
January 8–13, 2026
400 (RV)
± 5 %
7%
37%
3%
4%
49%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)
January 4–6, 2026
600 (LV)
± 4 %
6%
45%
4%
3%
41%
39%
3%
1%
26%
31%
47%
5%
4%
43%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
December 7–11, 2025
700 (RV)
± 3 %
13%
40%
9%
38%
The Tyson Group (R)
December 8–9, 2025
800 (LV)
± 3 %
9%
38%
2%
1%
49%
The American Promise
November 17–19, 2025
800 (LV)
± 3 %
1%
43%
0%
2%
54%
Victory Insights (R)
November 11–13, 2025
600 (LV)
1%
45%
1%
3%
49%
St. Pete Polls
October 13–15, 2025
1,034 (LV)
± 3 %
4%
39%
3%
54%
12%
52%
36%
Targoz Market Research
September 16–18, 2025
506 (RV)
29%
9%
62%
The American Promise
September 4–5, 2025
800 (LV)
± 3 %
2%
40%
2%
54%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s) administered
March 29–31, 2026
Sample size
465 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Casey DeSantis
7%
Byron Donalds
44%
Matt Gaetz
Ashley Moody
Jeanette Nuñez
Jimmy Patronis
Wilton Simpson
Francis Suarez
St. Pete Polls
St. Pete Polls
Poll source
St. Pete Polls
Date(s) administered
October 13–15, 2025
Sample size
1,034 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Casey DeSantis
21%
Byron Donalds
47%
Matt Gaetz
Ashley Moody
Jeanette Nuñez
Jimmy Patronis
Wilton Simpson
Francis Suarez
Targoz Market Research
Targoz Market Research
Poll source
Targoz Market Research
Date(s) administered
September 16–18, 2025
Sample size
510 (RV)
Margin of error
Casey DeSantis
26%
Byron Donalds
23%
Matt Gaetz
Ashley Moody
Jeanette Nuñez
Jimmy Patronis
Wilton Simpson
2%
Francis Suarez
University of North Florida
University of North Florida
Poll source
University of North Florida
Date(s) administered
July 14–22, 2025
Sample size
797 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Casey DeSantis
32%
Byron Donalds
29%
Matt Gaetz
8%
Ashley Moody
Jeanette Nuñez
Jimmy Patronis
Wilton Simpson
1%
Francis Suarez
2%
St. Pete Polls
St. Pete Polls
Poll source
St. Pete Polls
Date(s) administered
July 8–10, 2025
Sample size
831 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Casey DeSantis
27%
Byron Donalds
35%
Matt Gaetz
Ashley Moody
Jeanette Nuñez
Jimmy Patronis
Wilton Simpson
3%
Francis Suarez
Targoz Market Research
Targoz Market Research
Poll source
Targoz Market Research
Date(s) administered
May 5–7, 2025
Sample size
516 (RV)
Margin of error
Casey DeSantis
29%
Byron Donalds
28%
Matt Gaetz
10%
Ashley Moody
Jeanette Nuñez
7%
Jimmy Patronis
Wilton Simpson
4%
Francis Suarez
5%
Targoz Market Research
Targoz Market Research
Poll source
Targoz Market Research
Date(s) administered
April 15–22, 2025
Sample size
619 (RV)
Margin of error
Casey DeSantis
28%
Byron Donalds
22%
Matt Gaetz
8%
Ashley Moody
Jeanette Nuñez
9%
Jimmy Patronis
Wilton Simpson
4%
Francis Suarez
7%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)
Poll source
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)
Date(s) administered
February 26–27, 2025
Sample size
600 (LV)
Margin of error
± 5 %
Casey DeSantis
30%
Byron Donalds
34%
Matt Gaetz
Ashley Moody
Jeanette Nuñez
Jimmy Patronis
Wilton Simpson
3%
Francis Suarez
Victory Insights (R)
Victory Insights (R)
Poll source
Victory Insights (R)
Date(s) administered
January 26–27, 2025
Sample size
850 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Casey DeSantis
Byron Donalds
34%
Matt Gaetz
Ashley Moody
Jeanette Nuñez
Jimmy Patronis
Wilton Simpson
5%
Francis Suarez
Poll source
Date(s) administered
31%
Sample size
Margin of error
Casey DeSantis
4%
Byron Donalds
Matt Gaetz
3%
Ashley Moody
1%
Jeanette Nuñez
Jimmy Patronis
Wilton Simpson
60%
Florida Atlantic University/ Mainstreet Research
Florida Atlantic University/ Mainstreet Research
Poll source
Florida Atlantic University/ Mainstreet Research
Date(s) administered
June 8–9, 2024
Sample size
366 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Casey DeSantis
43%
Byron Donalds
19%
Matt Gaetz
13%
Ashley Moody
14%
Jeanette Nuñez
Jimmy Patronis
5%
Wilton Simpson
Francis Suarez
Florida Atlantic University/ Mainstreet Research
Florida Atlantic University/ Mainstreet Research
Poll source
Florida Atlantic University/ Mainstreet Research
Date(s) administered
April 15–17, 2024
Sample size
372 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Casey DeSantis
38%
Byron Donalds
Matt Gaetz
16%
Ashley Moody
Jeanette Nuñez
Jimmy Patronis
Wilton Simpson
Francis Suarez
Victory Insights (R)
Victory Insights (R)
Poll source
Victory Insights (R)
Date(s) administered
April 3–6, 2024
Sample size
1,200 (LV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Casey DeSantis
Byron Donalds
21%
Matt Gaetz
13%
Ashley Moody
Jeanette Nuñez
Jimmy Patronis
3%
Wilton Simpson
2%
Francis Suarez
University of North Florida
University of North Florida
Poll source
University of North Florida
Date(s) administered
October 23 – November 4, 2023
Sample size
788 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Casey DeSantis
22%
Byron Donalds
9%
Matt Gaetz
9%
Ashley Moody
6%
Jeanette Nuñez
2%
Jimmy Patronis
3%
Wilton Simpson
1%
Francis Suarez
1%
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Casey DeSantis
Byron Donalds
Matt Gaetz
Ashley Moody
Jeanette Nuñez
Jimmy Patronis
Wilton Simpson
Francis Suarez
Emerson College
March 29–31, 2026
465 (LV)
± 4 %
7%
44%
St. Pete Polls
October 13–15, 2025
1,034 (LV)
± 3 %
21%
47%
Targoz Market Research
September 16–18, 2025
510 (RV)
26%
23%
2%
University of North Florida
July 14–22, 2025
797 (RV)
± 3 %
32%
29%
8%
1%
2%
St. Pete Polls
July 8–10, 2025
831 (LV)
± 3 %
27%
35%
3%
Targoz Market Research
May 5–7, 2025
516 (RV)
29%
28%
10%
7%
4%
5%
Targoz Market Research
April 15–22, 2025
619 (RV)
28%
22%
8%
9%
4%
7%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)
February 26–27, 2025
600 (LV)
± 5 %
30%
34%
3%
Victory Insights (R)
January 26–27, 2025
850 (LV)
± 3 %
34%
5%
31%
4%
3%
1%
60%
Florida Atlantic University/ Mainstreet Research
June 8–9, 2024
366 (RV)
± 3 %
43%
19%
13%
14%
5%
Florida Atlantic University/ Mainstreet Research
April 15–17, 2024
372 (RV)
± 3 %
38%
16%
Victory Insights (R)
April 3–6, 2024
1,200 (LV)
± 2 %
21%
13%
3%
2%
University of North Florida
October 23 – November 4, 2023
788 (LV)
± 3 %
22%
9%
9%
6%
2%
3%
1%
1%
· Democratic primary › Polling
Change Research (D)
Change Research (D)
Poll source
Change Research (D)
Date(s) administered
May 13–16, 2026
Sample size
– (LV)
Margin of error
Jerry Demings
27%
David Jolly
42%
Other
Undecided
31%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s) administered
March 29–31, 2026
Sample size
362 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Jerry Demings
10%
David Jolly
21%
Other
16%
Undecided
53%
Targoz Market Research
Targoz Market Research
Poll source
Targoz Market Research
Date(s) administered
February 20–22, 2026
Sample size
471 (RV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Jerry Demings
23%
David Jolly
31%
Other
2%
Undecided
44%
The Public Sentiment Institute
The Public Sentiment Institute
Poll source
The Public Sentiment Institute
Date(s) administered
February 20, 2026
Sample size
– (LV)
Margin of error
Jerry Demings
16%
David Jolly
22%
Other
9%
Undecided
53%
– (RV)
– (RV)
Poll source
– (RV)
Date(s) administered
18%
Sample size
22%
Margin of error
8%
Jerry Demings
52%
– (A)
– (A)
Poll source
– (A)
Date(s) administered
18%
Sample size
21%
Margin of error
8%
Jerry Demings
53%
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy
Poll source
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy
Date(s) administered
January 8–13, 2026
Sample size
400 (RV)
Margin of error
± 5 %
Jerry Demings
19%
David Jolly
23%
Other
Undecided
58%
Public Policy Polling (D)
Public Policy Polling (D)
Poll source
Public Policy Polling (D)
Date(s) administered
December 2–3, 2025
Sample size
616 (LV)
Margin of error
Jerry Demings
22%
David Jolly
22%
Other
Undecided
56%
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Jerry Demings
David Jolly
Other
Undecided
Change Research (D)
May 13–16, 2026
– (LV)
27%
42%
31%
Emerson College
March 29–31, 2026
362 (LV)
± 4 %
10%
21%
16%
53%
Targoz Market Research
February 20–22, 2026
471 (RV)
± 4 %
23%
31%
2%
44%
The Public Sentiment Institute
February 20, 2026
– (LV)
16%
22%
9%
53%
– (RV)
18%
22%
8%
52%
– (A)
18%
21%
8%
53%
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy
January 8–13, 2026
400 (RV)
± 5 %
19%
23%
58%
Public Policy Polling (D)
December 2–3, 2025
616 (LV)
22%
22%
56%

References

  1. Shane Abbott, state representative from the 5th district (2022–present) Jon Albert, state representative from the 48th
  2. Joe Gruters, state senator from SD-22 (2018–present) and chair of the Republican National Committee (2025–present) Brya
  3. Key: A – all adults RV – registered voters LV – likely voters V – unclear
  4. Bobby Williams with 1%; Charles Burkett with <1%
  5. Charles Burkett with 2%; Bobby Williams with 0%
  6. Charles Burkett with 1%; Bobby Williams with 0%
  7. Casey DeSantis with 24%; "Someone else" & "Wouldn't vote" with 2%
  8. Casey DeSantis with 26%
  9. Jay Collins & James Fishback with 4%; Paul Renner with 2%; Jay Collins with 2%; Charles Burkett & Bobby Williams with 1%
  10. Paul Renner with 7%; Jay Collins with 2%
  11. "Someone else" with 7%; "Wouldn't vote" with 2%; "Refused" with 1%
  12. Paul Renner with 2%
  13. Charles Burkett with 3%; Ashton Hayward with 1%
  14. "Someone else" with 7%
  15. "Another candidate" with 20%
  16. "Someone else" with 14%
  17. "Someone else" with 6%
  18. Michael Abrams, HD-105 (1983–1994) Dave Aronberg, SD-27 (2002–2010) Dick Batchelor, HD-43 (1974–1982) Annie Betancour
  19. Dayna Marie Foster & Jessica Vernekar at 2%
  20. "I would not vote" with 2%
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Source:
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