Topzle Topzle

2025 United States gubernatorial elections

Updated: Wikipedia source

2025 United States gubernatorial elections

Gubernatorial elections were held in the United States on November 4, 2025, in New Jersey and Virginia. Both states had last elected governors in 2021, with both incumbents being ineligible to seek re-election due to term limits in their respective state constitutions. In the 2024 United States presidential election, both states voted for Democratic nominee Kamala Harris by a 5-6% margin. New Jersey in particular had a large swing to the right in 2024, with Donald Trump losing the state by only 6%, and had narrowly re-elected Democrat Phil Murphy in 2021, leading some to expect a close race. Ultimately, Democratic nominees Mikie Sherrill and Abigail Spanberger won their races in New Jersey and Virginia, respectively, by wide margins and outperformed Harris. This is the first time since 1985 that every race in this cycle of governorships was decided by double digits.

Infobox

Party
Republican
Seats before
27
Seats after
26
Seat change
1
Popular vote
2,867,291
Percentage
42 %
Seats up
1
Seats won
0

Tables

· Election predictions
New Jersey
New Jersey
State
New Jersey
PVI
D+4
Incumbent
Phil Murphy (term-limited)
Last race
51 % D
Cook Sep. 11, 2025
Lean D
IE Aug. 28, 2025
Lean D
Sabato Sep. 4, 2025
Lean D
WH Oct. 24, 2025
Likely D
SN Sep. 30, 2025
Likely D
Result
Sherrill 56 % D
Virginia
Virginia
State
Virginia
PVI
D+3
Incumbent
Glenn Youngkin (term-limited)
Last race
50 % R
Cook Sep. 11, 2025
Likely D (flip)
IE Aug. 28, 2025
Lean D (flip)
Sabato Sep. 4, 2025
Likely D (flip)
WH Oct. 24, 2025
Safe D (flip)
SN Sep. 30, 2025
Solid D (flip)
Result
Spanberger 57 % D (flip)
State
PVI
Incumbent
Last race
Cook Sep. 11, 2025
IE Aug. 28, 2025
Sabato Sep. 4, 2025
WH Oct. 24, 2025
SN Sep. 30, 2025
Result
New Jersey
D+4
Phil Murphy (term-limited)
51 % D
Lean D
Lean D
Lean D
Likely D
Likely D
Sherrill 56 % D
Virginia
D+3
Glenn Youngkin (term-limited)
50 % R
Likely D (flip)
Lean D (flip)
Likely D (flip)
Safe D (flip)
Solid D (flip)
Spanberger 57 % D (flip)
· Race summary
New Jersey
New Jersey
State
New Jersey
Governor
Phil Murphy
Party
Democratic
First elected
2017
Status
Incumbent term-limited. Democratic hold.
Candidates
▌Y Mikie Sherrill (Democratic) 56 % ▌Jack Ciattarelli (Republican) 42 % ▌Vic Kaplan (Libertarian) 0 % ▌Joanne Kuniansky (Socialist Workers) 0 %
Virginia
Virginia
State
Virginia
Governor
Glenn Youngkin
Party
Republican
First elected
2021
Status
Incumbent term-limited. Democratic gain.
Candidates
▌Y Abigail Spanberger (Democratic) 57 % ▌Winsome Earle-Sears (Republican) 42 %
State
Governor
Party
First elected
Status
Candidates
New Jersey
Phil Murphy
Democratic
2017
Incumbent term-limited. Democratic hold.
▌Y Mikie Sherrill (Democratic) 56 % ▌Jack Ciattarelli (Republican) 42 % ▌Vic Kaplan (Libertarian) 0 % ▌Joanne Kuniansky (Socialist Workers) 0 %
Virginia
Glenn Youngkin
Republican
2021
Incumbent term-limited. Democratic gain.
▌Y Abigail Spanberger (Democratic) 57 % ▌Winsome Earle-Sears (Republican) 42 %

References

  1. 6abc Philadelphia
    https://6abc.com/11193888/
  2. U . Term Limits
    https://www.termlimits.com/governor_termlimits/
  3. "New Jersey and Virginia Are Typically Blue States—but They Got Bluer"
    https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/election-day-2025/card/new-jersey-and-virginia-are-typically-blue-states-but-they-got-bluer-bXyDOYfWEzLQKpIBYhTR?gaa_at=eafs&gaa_n=AWEtsqeZdeMDwv70wu73zsE3x7hnqS25E-IqwxCQu4DKvAFZrEdyecQ1i62mwVRJ7QA%3D&gaa_ts=6910e416&gaa_sig=QyZgpgSaN2RhXnDjwt7qhR6UPyWgHU2ynW9gFCOrwjmQ9MGDDz2ArBhWtr_00bdq_vnpKO9ZcpJCiD883Bazkw%3D%3D
  4. "New Jersey might be a swing state now"
    https://www.politico.com/news/2024/11/06/new-jersey-swing-state-red-00187965
  5. "Democrats wary support may be sliding among typically loyal voters in New Jersey governor's race"
    https://apnews.com/article/new-jersey-governor-ciattarelli-sherrill-trump-812eb76552a8e6f8605d5d5bfbaccf0a
  6. "Takeaways from US election night 2025"
    https://www.reuters.com/world/us/takeaways-us-election-night-2025-2025-11-05/
  7. Cook Political Report
    https://www.cookpolitical.com/cook-pvi/2025-partisan-voting-index/state-map-and-list
  8. The Cook Political Report
    https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/governor-race-ratings
  9. insideelections
    https://insideelections.com/ratings/governor
  10. Sabato's Crystal Ball
    https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/the-governors-part-one-democrats-start-as-favorites-in-2025-new-jersey-and-virginia/
  11. Race to the WH
    https://www.racetothewh.com/governor/26
  12. State Navigate
    https://projects.statenavigate.com/25-26/states/va/forecast-sw.html#gov
  13. projects
    https://projects.statenavigate.com/25-26/states/nj/forecast-sw.html#gov
  14. The New York Times
    https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2025/11/04/us/elections/results-new-jersey-governor.html
  15. The New York Times
    https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2025/11/04/us/elections/results-virginia-governor.html
  16. New Jersey Globe
    https://newjerseyglobe.com/governor/fulop-announces-bid-for-governor-in-2025/
  17. Politico
    https://www.politico.com/news/2023/12/11/steve-sweeney-new-jersey-governors-race-00131060
  18. New Jersey Globe
    https://newjerseyglobe.com/governor/baraka-says-hell-run-for-governor-in-2025/
  19. North Jersey
    https://www.northjersey.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/11/15/josh-gottheimer-nj-governor-2025-race-election/76291264007/
  20. Politico
    https://www.politico.com/news/2024/11/18/sherrill-2025-campaign-takes-off-00190108
Image
Source:
Tip: Wheel or +/− to zoom, drag to pan, Esc to close.