Topzle Topzle

2024 United States presidential election in Wisconsin

Updated: Wikipedia source

2024 United States presidential election in Wisconsin

The 2024 United States presidential election in Wisconsin took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Wisconsin voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Wisconsin awarded ten electoral votes in the Electoral College. Wisconsin was considered to be a crucial battleground in 2024, with almost all major news organizations marking the state as a tossup. The Wisconsin Green Party attained ballot access after not appearing in 2020. Trump won Wisconsin with 49 % of the vote, the highest percentage a Republican candidate has received in Wisconsin since Reagan's 1984 landslide. When Wisconsin was called for Trump, a number of networks simultaneously declared Trump the president-elect, winning a second, non-consecutive term. Trump's victory in the state made him the first Republican candidate to carry Wisconsin twice since Ronald Reagan did so in 1980 and 1984. He also received nearly 1 million votes, a record for a candidate in the history of the state. Wisconsin was the closest state in the election by margin of victory, with Trump only winning it by 0 %, thus making it the only state to be decided by less than a 1% margin. Wisconsin also shifted rightward by about 1 points, the weakest such shift in any of the swing states in the election. While almost all of the state's counties swung right from 2020, Harris improved in the three WOW counties and Door County. As of 2024, Wisconsin has, together with Michigan and Pennsylvania, the longest-running active streak among states of voting for the winning presidential candidate, having done so in the latest five presidential elections. The results also extended it to nine consecutive presidential elections where the winning party did not differ between those three states. This was the first election since 2012 where Wisconsin voted to the left of the nation as a whole. This was also the first time that Door County voted for the losing candidate of the presidential election since 1992, a record it shared with Blaine County, Montana, up until this election where Blaine County became the sole longest bellwether county. This election was also the first time since 1988 that Wisconsin voted to the left of neighboring Michigan.

Infobox

Turnout
76 %
Nominee
Donald Trump
Party
Republican
Home state
Florida
Running mate
JD Vance
Electoral vote
10
Popular vote
1,697,626
Percentage
49 %

Tables

Wisconsin Democratic primary, April 2, 2024 · Primary elections › Democratic primary
Joe Biden (incumbent)
Joe Biden (incumbent)
Candidate
Joe Biden (incumbent)
Votes
512,379
%
87
Delegates
82
Dean Phillips (withdrawn)
Dean Phillips (withdrawn)
Candidate
Dean Phillips (withdrawn)
Votes
17,730
%
3
Delegates
0
Uninstructed Delegation
Uninstructed Delegation
Candidate
Uninstructed Delegation
Votes
48,373
%
8
Delegates
0
Write-in votes (as Scattering)
Write-in votes (as Scattering)
Candidate
Write-in votes (as Scattering)
Votes
4,045
%
0
Delegates
Total
Total
Candidate
Total
Votes
582,527
%
100%
Delegates
82
Candidate
Votes
%
Delegates
Joe Biden (incumbent)
512,379
87
82
Dean Phillips (withdrawn)
17,730
3
0
Uninstructed Delegation
48,373
8
0
Write-in votes (as Scattering)
4,045
0
Total
582,527
100%
82
Wisconsin Republican primary, April 2, 2024 · Primary elections › Republican primary
Bound
Bound
Candidate
Bound
Votes
Unbound
Percentage
Total
Donald Trump
Donald Trump
Candidate
Donald Trump
Votes
477,103
Percentage
78 %
Actual delegate count
41
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Nikki Haley (withdrawn)
Nikki Haley (withdrawn)
Candidate
Nikki Haley (withdrawn)
Votes
76,841
Percentage
12 %
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)
Candidate
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)
Votes
20,124
Percentage
3 %
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Uninstructed
Uninstructed
Candidate
Uninstructed
Votes
13,057
Percentage
2 %
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Chris Christie (withdrawn)
Chris Christie (withdrawn)
Candidate
Chris Christie (withdrawn)
Votes
9,771
Percentage
1 %
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)
Candidate
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)
Votes
5,200
Percentage
0 %
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Write-ins
Write-ins
Candidate
Write-ins
Votes
2,081
Percentage
0 %
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Total:
Total:
Candidate
Total:
Votes
604,177
Percentage
100 %
Actual delegate count
41
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
41
Candidate
Votes
Percentage
Actual delegate count
Bound
Unbound
Total
Donald Trump
477,103
78 %
41
0
0
Nikki Haley (withdrawn)
76,841
12 %
0
0
0
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)
20,124
3 %
0
0
0
Uninstructed
13,057
2 %
0
0
0
Chris Christie (withdrawn)
9,771
1 %
0
0
0
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)
5,200
0 %
0
0
0
Write-ins
2,081
0 %
0
0
0
Total:
604,177
100 %
41
0
41
· General election › Predictions
Tossup
Tossup
Source
The Cook Political Report
Ranking
Tossup
As of
November 4, 2024
Lean D
Lean D
Source
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Ranking
Lean D
As of
November 4, 2024
Tossup
Tossup
Source
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill
Ranking
Tossup
As of
November 4, 2024
Tossup
Tossup
Source
CNN
Ranking
Tossup
As of
November 4, 2024
Lean D
Lean D
Source
CNalysis
Ranking
Lean D
As of
November 4, 2024
Tossup
Tossup
Source
The Economist
Ranking
Tossup
As of
November 4, 2024
Tossup
Tossup
Source
538
Ranking
Tossup
As of
November 4, 2024
Tossup
Tossup
Source
Inside Elections
Ranking
Tossup
As of
November 4, 2024
Tossup
Tossup
Source
NBC News
Ranking
Tossup
As of
November 4, 2024
Source
Ranking
As of
The Cook Political Report
Tossup
November 4, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Lean D
November 4, 2024
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill
Tossup
November 4, 2024
CNN
Tossup
November 4, 2024
CNalysis
Lean D
November 4, 2024
The Economist
Tossup
November 4, 2024
538
Tossup
November 4, 2024
Inside Elections
Tossup
November 4, 2024
NBC News
Tossup
November 4, 2024
· General election › Polling
270ToWin
270ToWin
Source of poll aggregation
270ToWin
Dates administered
October 23 – November 4, 2024
Dates updated
November 4, 2024
Kamala Harris Democratic
48 %
Donald Trump Republican
47 %
Other / Undecided
3 %
Margin
Harris +1 %
538
538
Source of poll aggregation
538
Dates administered
through November 4, 2024
Dates updated
November 4, 2024
Kamala Harris Democratic
48 %
Donald Trump Republican
47 %
Other / Undecided
4 %
Margin
Harris +1 %
Silver Bulletin
Silver Bulletin
Source of poll aggregation
Silver Bulletin
Dates administered
through November 4, 2024
Dates updated
November 4, 2024
Kamala Harris Democratic
48 %
Donald Trump Republican
47 %
Other / Undecided
3 %
Margin
Harris +1 %
The Hill/DDHQ
The Hill/DDHQ
Source of poll aggregation
The Hill/DDHQ
Dates administered
through November 4, 2024
Dates updated
November 4, 2024
Kamala Harris Democratic
48 %
Donald Trump Republican
48 %
Other / Undecided
2 %
Margin
Trump +0 %
Average
Average
Source of poll aggregation
Average
Dates administered
48 %
Dates updated
47 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
3 %
Donald Trump Republican
Harris +0 %
Source of poll aggregation
Dates administered
Dates updated
Kamala Harris Democratic
Donald Trump Republican
Other / Undecided
Margin
270ToWin
October 23 – November 4, 2024
November 4, 2024
48 %
47 %
3 %
Harris +1 %
538
through November 4, 2024
November 4, 2024
48 %
47 %
4 %
Harris +1 %
Silver Bulletin
through November 4, 2024
November 4, 2024
48 %
47 %
3 %
Harris +1 %
The Hill/DDHQ
through November 4, 2024
November 4, 2024
48 %
48 %
2 %
Trump +0 %
Average
48 %
47 %
3 %
Harris +0 %
· General election › Polling
HarrisX
HarrisX
Poll source
HarrisX
Date(s) administered
November 3–5, 2024
Sample size
1,727 (RV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
47%
Donald Trump Republican
46%
Other / Undecided
7%
51%
51%
Poll source
51%
Date(s) administered
49%
Sample size
1,549 (LV)
1,549 (LV)
Poll source
1,549 (LV)
Date(s) administered
49%
Sample size
47%
Margin of error
4%
51%
51%
Poll source
51%
Date(s) administered
49%
Sample size
AtlasIntel
AtlasIntel
Poll source
AtlasIntel
Date(s) administered
November 3–4, 2024
Sample size
869 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
49%
Donald Trump Republican
50%
Other / Undecided
1%
Research Co.
Research Co.
Poll source
Research Co.
Date(s) administered
November 2–3, 2024
Sample size
450 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
49%
Donald Trump Republican
46%
Other / Undecided
5%
Trafalgar Group (R)
Trafalgar Group (R)
Poll source
Trafalgar Group (R)
Date(s) administered
November 1–3, 2024
Sample size
1,086 (LV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
48%
Donald Trump Republican
47%
Other / Undecided
5%
Patriot Polling
Patriot Polling
Poll source
Patriot Polling
Date(s) administered
November 1–3, 2024
Sample size
835 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
49%
Donald Trump Republican
49%
Other / Undecided
2%
InsiderAdvantage (R)
InsiderAdvantage (R)
Poll source
InsiderAdvantage (R)
Date(s) administered
November 1–2, 2024
Sample size
800 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
48%
Donald Trump Republican
49%
Other / Undecided
3%
AtlasIntel
AtlasIntel
Poll source
AtlasIntel
Date(s) administered
November 1–2, 2024
Sample size
728 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
49%
Donald Trump Republican
50%
Other / Undecided
1%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s) administered
October 30 – November 2, 2024
Sample size
800 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
49%
Donald Trump Republican
49%
Other / Undecided
2%
50%
50%
Poll source
50%
Date(s) administered
50%
Sample size
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University
Poll source
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University
Date(s) administered
October 25 – November 2, 2024
Sample size
798 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
49%
Donald Trump Republican
48%
Other / Undecided
3%
786 (LV)
786 (LV)
Poll source
786 (LV)
Date(s) administered
49%
Sample size
48%
Margin of error
3%
The New York Times/Siena College
The New York Times/Siena College
Poll source
The New York Times/Siena College
Date(s) administered
October 25 – November 2, 2024
Sample size
1,305 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
49%
Donald Trump Republican
47%
Other / Undecided
4%
1,305 (LV)
1,305 (LV)
Poll source
1,305 (LV)
Date(s) administered
49%
Sample size
47%
Margin of error
4%
ActiVote
ActiVote
Poll source
ActiVote
Date(s) administered
October 10 – November 1, 2024
Sample size
400 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
51%
Donald Trump Republican
49%
Other / Undecided
AtlasIntel
AtlasIntel
Poll source
AtlasIntel
Date(s) administered
October 30–31, 2024
Sample size
673 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
49%
Donald Trump Republican
49%
Other / Undecided
2%
OnMessage Inc. (R)
OnMessage Inc. (R)
Poll source
OnMessage Inc. (R)
Date(s) administered
October 29–31, 2024
Sample size
800 (LV)
Margin of error
Kamala Harris Democratic
47%
Donald Trump Republican
48%
Other / Undecided
5%
YouGov
YouGov
Poll source
YouGov
Date(s) administered
October 25–31, 2024
Sample size
889 (RV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
51%
Donald Trump Republican
47%
Other / Undecided
2%
876 (LV)
876 (LV)
Poll source
876 (LV)
Date(s) administered
51%
Sample size
47%
Margin of error
2%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s) administered
October 22−31, 2024
Sample size
540 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
48%
Donald Trump Republican
49%
Other / Undecided
3%
TIPP Insights
TIPP Insights
Poll source
TIPP Insights
Date(s) administered
October 28–30, 2024
Sample size
1,038 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
48%
Donald Trump Republican
46%
Other / Undecided
6%
831 (LV)
831 (LV)
Poll source
831 (LV)
Date(s) administered
48%
Sample size
48%
Margin of error
4%
Marist College
Marist College
Poll source
Marist College
Date(s) administered
October 27–30, 2024
Sample size
1,444 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
50%
Donald Trump Republican
48%
Other / Undecided
2%
1,330 (LV)
1,330 (LV)
Poll source
1,330 (LV)
Date(s) administered
± 3 %
Sample size
50%
Margin of error
48%
Kamala Harris Democratic
2%
Echelon Insights
Echelon Insights
Poll source
Echelon Insights
Date(s) administered
October 27–30, 2024
Sample size
600 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
49%
Donald Trump Republican
49%
Other / Undecided
2%
Quantus Insights (R)
Quantus Insights (R)
Poll source
Quantus Insights (R)
Date(s) administered
October 28–29, 2024
Sample size
637 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
49%
Donald Trump Republican
49%
Other / Undecided
2%
SoCal Strategies (R)
SoCal Strategies (R)
Poll source
SoCal Strategies (R)
Date(s) administered
October 28–29, 2024
Sample size
600 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
49%
Donald Trump Republican
49%
Other / Undecided
2%
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Poll source
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Date(s) administered
October 25–29, 2024
Sample size
818 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
47%
Donald Trump Republican
50%
Other / Undecided
3%
AtlasIntel
AtlasIntel
Poll source
AtlasIntel
Date(s) administered
October 25–29, 2024
Sample size
1,470 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
49%
Donald Trump Republican
49%
Other / Undecided
2%
CNN/SSRS
CNN/SSRS
Poll source
CNN/SSRS
Date(s) administered
October 23–28, 2024
Sample size
736 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
51%
Donald Trump Republican
45%
Other / Undecided
4%
InsiderAdvantage (R)
InsiderAdvantage (R)
Poll source
InsiderAdvantage (R)
Date(s) administered
October 26–27, 2024
Sample size
800 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
48%
Donald Trump Republican
49%
Other / Undecided
3%
CES/YouGov
CES/YouGov
Poll source
CES/YouGov
Date(s) administered
October 1–25, 2024
Sample size
1,552 (A)
Margin of error
Kamala Harris Democratic
51%
Donald Trump Republican
46%
Other / Undecided
3%
1,542 (LV)
1,542 (LV)
Poll source
1,542 (LV)
Date(s) administered
50%
Sample size
47%
Margin of error
3%
Marquette University Law School
Marquette University Law School
Poll source
Marquette University Law School
Date(s) administered
October 16–24, 2024
Sample size
834 (RV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
48%
Donald Trump Republican
46%
Other / Undecided
6%
51%
51%
Poll source
51%
Date(s) administered
49%
Sample size
753 (LV)
753 (LV)
Poll source
753 (LV)
Date(s) administered
48%
Sample size
47%
Margin of error
5%
50%
50%
Poll source
50%
Date(s) administered
49%
Sample size
1%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s) administered
October 21–22, 2024
Sample size
800 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
48%
Donald Trump Republican
49%
Other / Undecided
3%
49%
49%
Poll source
49%
Date(s) administered
50%
Sample size
1%
Quinnipiac University
Quinnipiac University
Poll source
Quinnipiac University
Date(s) administered
October 17–21, 2024
Sample size
1,108 (LV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
48%
Donald Trump Republican
48%
Other / Undecided
4%
Trafalgar Group (R)
Trafalgar Group (R)
Poll source
Trafalgar Group (R)
Date(s) administered
October 18−20, 2024
Sample size
1,083 (LV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
47%
Donald Trump Republican
47%
Other / Undecided
6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s) administered
October 16–20, 2024
Sample size
635 (RV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
48%
Donald Trump Republican
48%
Other / Undecided
4%
624 (LV)
624 (LV)
Poll source
624 (LV)
Date(s) administered
48%
Sample size
48%
Margin of error
4%
The Bullfinch Group
The Bullfinch Group
Poll source
The Bullfinch Group
Date(s) administered
October 11−18, 2024
Sample size
600 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
50%
Donald Trump Republican
47%
Other / Undecided
3%
48%
48%
Poll source
48%
Date(s) administered
46%
Sample size
7%
AtlasIntel
AtlasIntel
Poll source
AtlasIntel
Date(s) administered
October 12–17, 2024
Sample size
932 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
49%
Donald Trump Republican
48%
Other / Undecided
3%
RMG Research
RMG Research
Poll source
RMG Research
Date(s) administered
October 10−16, 2024
Sample size
787 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
48%
Donald Trump Republican
49%
Other / Undecided
3%
49%
49%
Poll source
49%
Date(s) administered
50%
Sample size
1%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s) administered
October 6−15, 2024
Sample size
527 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
47%
Donald Trump Republican
48%
Other / Undecided
5%
The Washington Post/Schar School
The Washington Post/Schar School
Poll source
The Washington Post/Schar School
Date(s) administered
September 30 – October 15, 2024
Sample size
695 (RV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
50%
Donald Trump Republican
46%
Other / Undecided
4%
695 (LV)
695 (LV)
Poll source
695 (LV)
Date(s) administered
50%
Sample size
47%
Margin of error
3%
Patriot Polling
Patriot Polling
Poll source
Patriot Polling
Date(s) administered
October 12–14, 2024
Sample size
803 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
49%
Donald Trump Republican
50%
Other / Undecided
1%
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Poll source
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Date(s) administered
October 9–14, 2024
Sample size
1,004 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
47%
Donald Trump Republican
49%
Other / Undecided
4%
InsiderAdvantage (R)
InsiderAdvantage (R)
Poll source
InsiderAdvantage (R)
Date(s) administered
October 8–9, 2024
Sample size
800 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
48%
Donald Trump Republican
48%
Other / Undecided
4%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/McLaughlin & Associates (R)
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/McLaughlin & Associates (R)
Poll source
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/McLaughlin & Associates (R)
Date(s) administered
October 6–9, 2024
Sample size
800 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
48%
Donald Trump Republican
49%
Other / Undecided
3%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s) administered
October 5–8, 2024
Sample size
1,000 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
49%
Donald Trump Republican
49%
Other / Undecided
2%
49%
49%
Poll source
49%
Date(s) administered
50%
Sample size
1%
The Wall Street Journal
The Wall Street Journal
Poll source
The Wall Street Journal
Date(s) administered
September 28 – October 8, 2024
Sample size
600 (RV)
Margin of error
± 5 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
48%
Donald Trump Republican
48%
Other / Undecided
4%
Research Co.
Research Co.
Poll source
Research Co.
Date(s) administered
October 5–7, 2024
Sample size
450 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
47%
Donald Trump Republican
45%
Other / Undecided
8%
50%
50%
Poll source
50%
Date(s) administered
48%
Sample size
2%
Quinnipiac University
Quinnipiac University
Poll source
Quinnipiac University
Date(s) administered
October 3–7, 2024
Sample size
1,073 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
47%
Donald Trump Republican
49%
Other / Undecided
4%
Arc Insights
Arc Insights
Poll source
Arc Insights
Date(s) administered
October 2–6, 2024
Sample size
700 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
47%
Donald Trump Republican
48%
Other / Undecided
5%
OnMessage Inc. (R)
OnMessage Inc. (R)
Poll source
OnMessage Inc. (R)
Date(s) administered
September 24 – October 2, 2024
Sample size
500 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
46%
Donald Trump Republican
47%
Other / Undecided
7%
Trafalgar Group (R)
Trafalgar Group (R)
Poll source
Trafalgar Group (R)
Date(s) administered
September 28–30, 2024
Sample size
1,079 (LV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
46%
Donald Trump Republican
47%
Other / Undecided
7%
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)
Poll source
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)
Date(s) administered
September 23–29, 2024
Sample size
408 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
48%
Donald Trump Republican
46%
Other / Undecided
6%
ActiVote
ActiVote
Poll source
ActiVote
Date(s) administered
August 29 – September 29, 2024
Sample size
400 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
52%
Donald Trump Republican
48%
Other / Undecided
The New York Times/Siena College
The New York Times/Siena College
Poll source
The New York Times/Siena College
Date(s) administered
September 21–26, 2024
Sample size
680 (RV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
49%
Donald Trump Republican
47%
Other / Undecided
4%
680 (LV)
680 (LV)
Poll source
680 (LV)
Date(s) administered
49%
Sample size
47%
Margin of error
4%
Marquette University Law School
Marquette University Law School
Poll source
Marquette University Law School
Date(s) administered
September 18–26, 2024
Sample size
882 (RV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
50%
Donald Trump Republican
45%
Other / Undecided
5%
52%
52%
Poll source
52%
Date(s) administered
48%
Sample size
798 (LV)
798 (LV)
Poll source
798 (LV)
Date(s) administered
50%
Sample size
45%
Margin of error
5%
52%
52%
Poll source
52%
Date(s) administered
48%
Sample size
AtlasIntel
AtlasIntel
Poll source
AtlasIntel
Date(s) administered
September 20–25, 2024
Sample size
1,077 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
48%
Donald Trump Republican
50%
Other / Undecided
2%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
Poll source
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
Date(s) administered
September 19–25, 2024
Sample size
411 (LV)
Margin of error
Kamala Harris Democratic
49%
Donald Trump Republican
47%
Other / Undecided
4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s) administered
September 19–25, 2024
Sample size
849 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
50%
Donald Trump Republican
48%
Other / Undecided
2%
785 (LV)
785 (LV)
Poll source
785 (LV)
Date(s) administered
51%
Sample size
48%
Margin of error
1%
Rodriguez Gudelunas Strategies
Rodriguez Gudelunas Strategies
Poll source
Rodriguez Gudelunas Strategies
Date(s) administered
September 19–23, 2024
Sample size
400 (LV)
Margin of error
Kamala Harris Democratic
51%
Donald Trump Republican
45%
Other / Undecided
4%
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Kamala Harris Democratic
Donald Trump Republican
Other / Undecided
HarrisX
November 3–5, 2024
1,727 (RV)
± 2 %
47%
46%
7%
51%
49%
1,549 (LV)
49%
47%
4%
51%
49%
AtlasIntel
November 3–4, 2024
869 (LV)
± 3 %
49%
50%
1%
Research Co.
November 2–3, 2024
450 (LV)
± 4 %
49%
46%
5%
Trafalgar Group (R)
November 1–3, 2024
1,086 (LV)
± 2 %
48%
47%
5%
Patriot Polling
November 1–3, 2024
835 (RV)
± 3 %
49%
49%
2%
InsiderAdvantage (R)
November 1–2, 2024
800 (LV)
± 3 %
48%
49%
3%
AtlasIntel
November 1–2, 2024
728 (LV)
± 4 %
49%
50%
1%
Emerson College
October 30 – November 2, 2024
800 (LV)
± 3 %
49%
49%
2%
50%
50%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University
October 25 – November 2, 2024
798 (RV)
± 3 %
49%
48%
3%
786 (LV)
49%
48%
3%
The New York Times/Siena College
October 25 – November 2, 2024
1,305 (RV)
± 3 %
49%
47%
4%
1,305 (LV)
49%
47%
4%
ActiVote
October 10 – November 1, 2024
400 (LV)
± 4 %
51%
49%
AtlasIntel
October 30–31, 2024
673 (LV)
± 4 %
49%
49%
2%
OnMessage Inc. (R)
October 29–31, 2024
800 (LV)
47%
48%
5%
YouGov
October 25–31, 2024
889 (RV)
± 4 %
51%
47%
2%
876 (LV)
51%
47%
2%
Morning Consult
October 22−31, 2024
540 (LV)
± 4 %
48%
49%
3%
TIPP Insights
October 28–30, 2024
1,038 (RV)
± 3 %
48%
46%
6%
831 (LV)
48%
48%
4%
Marist College
October 27–30, 2024
1,444 (RV)
± 3 %
50%
48%
2%
1,330 (LV)
± 3 %
50%
48%
2%
Echelon Insights
October 27–30, 2024
600 (LV)
± 4 %
49%
49%
2%
Quantus Insights (R)
October 28–29, 2024
637 (LV)
± 3 %
49%
49%
2%
SoCal Strategies (R)
October 28–29, 2024
600 (LV)
± 4 %
49%
49%
2%
Rasmussen Reports (R)
October 25–29, 2024
818 (LV)
± 3 %
47%
50%
3%
AtlasIntel
October 25–29, 2024
1,470 (LV)
± 3 %
49%
49%
2%
CNN/SSRS
October 23–28, 2024
736 (LV)
± 4 %
51%
45%
4%
InsiderAdvantage (R)
October 26–27, 2024
800 (LV)
± 3 %
48%
49%
3%
CES/YouGov
October 1–25, 2024
1,552 (A)
51%
46%
3%
1,542 (LV)
50%
47%
3%
Marquette University Law School
October 16–24, 2024
834 (RV)
± 4 %
48%
46%
6%
51%
49%
753 (LV)
48%
47%
5%
50%
49%
1%
Emerson College
October 21–22, 2024
800 (LV)
± 3 %
48%
49%
3%
49%
50%
1%
Quinnipiac University
October 17–21, 2024
1,108 (LV)
± 2 %
48%
48%
4%
Trafalgar Group (R)
October 18−20, 2024
1,083 (LV)
± 2 %
47%
47%
6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
October 16–20, 2024
635 (RV)
± 4 %
48%
48%
4%
624 (LV)
48%
48%
4%
The Bullfinch Group
October 11−18, 2024
600 (LV)
± 4 %
50%
47%
3%
48%
46%
7%
AtlasIntel
October 12–17, 2024
932 (LV)
± 3 %
49%
48%
3%
RMG Research
October 10−16, 2024
787 (LV)
± 3 %
48%
49%
3%

References

  1. Candidate has suspended campaign, but will stay on the ballot.
  2. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  3. Key: A – all adults RV – registered voters LV – likely voters V – unclear
  4. With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  5. "Other" with 3%
  6. "Other" with 2%
  7. "Someone else" with 1%
  8. "Another Candidate" with 1%
  9. "Another Party's Candidate" with 1%
  10. "A third party / Independent candidate" with 4%
  11. "Some other candidate" with 2%
  12. "Some other candidate" with 1%
  13. "Another Party's Candidate" with 2%
  14. "Other" with 1%
  15. "Will not vote" with 4%
  16. Randall Terry (C) & Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) with 0% each
  17. Kennedy suspended his campaign, but he remains on the ballot in Wisconsin.
  18. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  19. Randall Terry (C) with 1%; Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) with 0%
  20. Randall Terry (C) with 0%
Image
Source:
Tip: Wheel or +/− to zoom, drag to pan, Esc to close.