-
Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
-
Key:A – all adultsRV – registered votersLV – likely votersV – unclear
-
"Other" with 1%
-
"Someone else" with 1%
-
With voters who lean towards a given candidate
-
"Other" with 7%
-
"Another party's candidate" with 1%
-
"Another candidate" with 2%
-
"Some other candidate" with 2%
-
"Someone else"
-
"Someone else" with 3%
-
"Other candidate" with 3%
-
"Would not vote" with 4%
-
"Don't know" with 9%; "Libertarian candidate" with 4%"; "Green Party candidate" with 2%"
-
"Someone else" with 9%
-
"Someone else" with 6%
-
"Someone else" with 7%
-
"Don't know" with 8%; "Libertarian candidate" with 4%"; "Green Party candidate" with 2%"
-
Chase Oliver (L) with 0%
-
"Someone else" with 2%; Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
-
Chase Oliver (L) with 3%
-
"Someone else" with 5%
-
Chase Oliver (L) with 1%; Undecided with 8%
-
Chase Oliver (3) with 3%; Undecided with 10%
-
Jill Stein (G) with 2%; Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
-
Undecided with 10%; Chase Oliver (L) with 3%
-
Libertarian candidate with 1%
-
"Someone else" with 21%
-
"Don't know" with 9%; "Libertarian candidate" with 3%"; "Green Party candidate" with 2%"
-
"Don't know" with 10%; "Libertarian candidate" with 3%"; "Green Party candidate" with 2%"
-
Poll sponsored by American Thinker
-
Poll sponsored by the Napolitan Institute
-
Poll commissioned by Clean and Prosperous America PAC
-
Poll sponsored by the Texas Politics Project at the University of Texas
-
Poll sponsored by the Hobby School of Public Affairs at the University of Houston
-
Poll sponsored by Texans for Fiscal Responsibility
-
Poll sponsored by Texas Gun Rights
-
Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign
-
Poll sponsored by Nexstar Media Group
-
Poll sponsored by Defend Texas Liberty PAC
-
Poll sponsored by the University of Houston and Texas Southern University
-
"Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats"
https://www.npr.org/2021/04/26/983082132/census-to-release-1st-results-that-shift-electoral-college-house-seats -
Split Ticket
https://split-ticket.org/house-generic-ballot-estimates-2008-2022-shave/?amp=1 -
The Texas Tribune
https://www.texastribune.org/2022/11/09/texas-election-results/ -
CBS News
https://www.cbsnews.com/texas/news/donald-trump-wins-presidency-margin-votes-texas-2024-election/ -
"Exit poll results 2024"
https://www.cnn.com/election/2024/exit-polls/texas/general/president/0 -
TexasMonthly
https://www.texasmonthly.com/news-politics/democrats-losing-latino-vote-texas/ -
Texas Secretary of State
https://results.texas-election.com/contestdetails?officeID=1001&officeName=PRESIDENT&officeType=FEDERAL%20OFFICES&from=race -
The New York Times
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/03/05/us/elections/results-texas-republican-presidential-primary.html -
The Texas Tribune
https://www.texastribune.org/2024/08/08/kennedy-texas-ballot-signatures-election-2024/ -
"RFK Jr. endorses Trump after weeks of back-channel courtship"
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/rfk-jr-says-court-filing-endorsing-trump-ending-presidential-hopes-rcna165936 -
"RFK Jr. suspends presidential campaign"
https://www.cnn.com/2024/08/23/politics/rfk-jr-suspends-campaign/index.html -
The Green Papers
https://www.thegreenpapers.com/G24/President-BallotAccessByState.phtml -
Cook Political Report
https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/presidential-race-ratings -
Inside Elections
https://insideelections.com/ratings/president -
"2024 Electoral College ratings"
https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2024-president/ -
The Hill
https://elections2024.thehill.com/predictions/president -
"Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270"
https://www.cnn.com/election/2024/electoral-college-map?game-id=2024-PG-CNN-ratings&game-view=map -
The Economist
https://www.economist.com/interactive/us-2024-election/prediction-model/president -
FiveThirtyEight
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/ -
CNalysis
https://projects.cnalysis.com/23-24/president -
"Presidential Election Preview 2024"
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-elections/president-electoral-college-battleground-states -
YouGov
https://today.yougov.com/elections/us/2024 -
"2024 Presidential Forecast"
https://split-ticket.org/2024-presidential-ratings/ -
270ToWin
https://www.270towin.com/2024-presidential-election-polls/texas -
538
https://web.archive.org/web/20220928163621/https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/texas/ -
Silver Bulletin
https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model -
The Hill/DDHQ
https://elections2024.thehill.com/texas/harris-trump-texas/ -
AtlasIntel
https://cdn.atlasintel.org/616d82d3-e782-4d6e-b690-9eed1523fe75.pdf -
Morning Consult
https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-election-state-polls -
ActiVote
https://www.activote.net/trump-has-double-digit-lead-in-texas-2/ -
The New York Times
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/28/us/politics/nebraska-texas-senate-races.html -
"Election 2024: Harris 48%, Trump 46% in Virginia; Cruz +4 in Texas"
https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/partner_surveys/election_2024_harris_48_trump_46_in_virginia_cruz_4_in_texas -
"2024 presidential vote preferences by state"
https://cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/stateprezapp2024/ -
"October 2024 Texas Poll: Trump 53%, Harris 46%"
https://emersoncollegepolling.com/october-2024-texas-poll-trump-53-harris-46/ -
Claremont McKenna College Rose Institute of State and Local Government
https://s10294.pcdn.co/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/TX_CMC-Rose-State-Poll-Fact-Sheet_RFR.pdf -
ActiVote
https://www.activote.net/trump-has-double-digit-lead-in-texas/ -
"U.S. Presidential Contest: Texas, October 2024 - Marist Texas Poll"
https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/u-s-presidential-contest-texas-october-2024/ -
"Mainstreet Research Survey - Texas"
https://www.faupolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/Mainstreet_TX_Oct_2024_Public.pdf -
The New York Times
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/10/08/us/elections/times-siena-poll-texas-crosstabs.html -
"TEXAS: Trump 53% Harris 46%"
https://napolitaninstitute.org/2024/10/01/texas-trump-53-harris-46/ -
"Latest Polls Show Competitive Senate Races in TX and FL"
https://cleanprosperousamerica.org/wp-content/uploads/CaPA-FL-TX-Poll-Memo-Sept-29-2024.pdf -
"September 2024 Texas Poll: Trump 51%, Harris 46%"
https://emersoncollegepolling.com/september-2024-texas-poll-trump-51-harris-46cruz-49-allred-45/ -
ActiVote
https://www.activote.net/trump-stays-comfortably-ahead-in-texas/ -
"September State Polling: California, Florida, Ohio, Texas"
https://emersoncollegepolling.com/september-state-polling-california-florida-ohio-texas -
"University of Texas / Texas Politics Project Poll - Texas Statewide Survey"
https://texaspolitics.utexas.edu/sites/texaspolitics.utexas.edu/files/202408_poll_topline.pdf -
ActiVote
https://www.activote.net/trump-extends-lead-in-texas/ -
"Trump and Cruz Lead Comfortably in Texas"
https://quantus.substack.com/p/trump-and-cruz-lead-comfortably-in -
"New Surveys Show Texas and Florida Have Competitive Senate Elections"
https://cleanprosperousamerica.org/wp-content/uploads/CaPA-FL-TX-Polls-Aug-2024.pdf -
ActiVote
https://www.activote.net/trump-leads-harris-in-texas/ -
"Texas Primary Election 2024 Presidential Candidates"
https://uh.edu/hobby/txprimary2024/president.pdf -
"The TxHPF TEGNA 2023 Texas Legislative Session Issues Report"
https://www.txhpf.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/TxHPF-Spring23-Report-2.pdf -
Cygnal
https://www.cygn.al/texas-poll-harris-drags-allred-down-as-democrats-white-whale-disappears/ -
"Topline Report of Texas Voters"
https://www.uttyler.edu/academics/colleges-schools/arts-sciences/departments/political-science/files/uttyler-poll-202410.pdf -
"With voting about to start in Texas, Trump and Cruz maintain single-digit leads in new University of Texas/Texas Politics Project Poll"
https://texaspolitics.utexas.edu/blog/voting-about-start-texas-trump-and-cruz-maintain-single-digit-leads-new-university-texastexas -
"Press Release: TFR Poll Reveals Texans Believe Harris Will Raise Taxes; Support Fiscal Restraint"
https://www.texastaxpayers.com/press-release-tfr-poll-reveals-texans-believe-harris-will-raise-taxes-support-fiscal-restraint/ -
"Texas Votes 2024 - Statewide Races, Issues & Favorability October 2024"
https://uh.edu/hobby/texas2024/statewide.pdf -
"Ted Cruz, Colin Allred virtually tied in race for U.S. Senate, according to new poll"
https://www.wfaa.com/article/news/politics/ted-cruz-colin-allred-poll-results-texas-us-senate-race-election/287-e11369f6-de65-4178-ac62-c5bc525e5c8f -
Texas Scorecard
https://texasscorecard.com/federal/poll-texas-voters-believe-colin-allred-kamala-harris-will-restrict-gun-rights/ -
"Introducing Texas Public Opinion Research (TPOR)!"
https://texaspublicopinionresearch.substack.com/p/introducing-texas-public-opinion -
"New Surveys Show Texas and Florida Have Competitive Senate Elections"
https://cleanprosperousamerica.org/wp-content/uploads/CaPA-FL-TX-Polls-Aug-2024.pdf -
"Texas Trends 2024 - General Election: August"
https://uh.edu/hobby/txtrends/election2.pdf -
ActiVote
https://www.activote.net/cruz-and-trump-lead-comfortably-in-texas/ -
"Testing Texas: Survey Analysis of Likely Lone Star State Voters on Election 2024 and Transgender Issues"
https://manhattan.institute/article/testing-texas/ -
"Survey of Registered Voters in Texas"
https://www.uttyler.edu/academics/colleges-schools/arts-sciences/departments/political-science/files/pollingcenter/center-for-opinion-research-june-2024-poll.pdf -
"University of Texas / Texas Politics Project Poll - Texas Statewide Survey"
https://s3.documentcloud.org/documents/24766602/202406_poll_topline.pdf -
"University of Texas / Texas Politics Project Poll - Texas Statewide Survey"
https://texaspolitics.utexas.edu/sites/texaspolitics.utexas.edu/files/202404_poll_topline.pdf -
Kennedy24
https://www.kennedy24.com/biden_real_spoiler_kennedy_only_candidate_who_can_beat_trump -
Cygnal
https://www.cygn.al/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/Cygnal-Statewide-Deck-April-24.pdf -
"The Battleground 2024: Texas - Marist Texas Poll"
https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/the-battleground-2024-texas/ -
"Mainstreet Research Survey - Super Tuesday States"
https://www.faupolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/Mainstreet_Super_Tuesday_Mar_2024_1.pdf -
FiveThirtyEight
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20240229_TX_UTTyler.pdf -
"University of Texas / Texas Politics Project Poll - Texas Statewide Survey"
https://texaspolitics.utexas.edu/sites/texaspolitics.utexas.edu/files/202402_poll_topline.pdf -
"Texas 2024 Poll: Allred Leads Democratic Senate Primary, Plurality are Undecided"
https://emersoncollegepolling.com/texas-2024-poll-allred-leads-democratic-senate-primary-plurality-are-undecided/ -
"University of Texas / Texas Politics Project Poll - Texas Statewide Survey"
https://texaspolitics.utexas.edu/sites/texaspolitics.utexas.edu/files/202312_poll_topline.pdf -
"University of Texas / Texas Politics Project Poll - Texas Statewide Survey"
https://texaspolitics.utexas.edu/sites/texaspolitics.utexas.edu/files/202310_poll_topline.pdf -
"Defend Texas Liberty PAC Q1 2023 Texas 2024 General Election Likely Voter Poll"
https://drive.google.com/file/d/1Ko35d6JgIjGyDg67jFbbSL0PwW4tujxc/view -
"Texas 2022: Abbott Holds Ten-Point Lead for Governor; Majority of Voters Support Migrant Busing"
https://emersoncollegepolling.com/texas-2022-abbott-holds-ten-point-lead-for-governor-majority-of-voters-support-migrant-busing/ -
"Texas 2022: Greg Abbott Leads Beto O'Rourke By Eight in Gubernatorial Election"
https://emersoncollegepolling.com/texas-2022-greg-abbott-leads-beto-orourke-by-eight-in-gubernatorial-election/ -
NetChoice
https://netchoice.org/new-national-poll-89-of-americans-say-congress-should-focus-on-addressing-inflation-not-breaking-up-tech/ -
"Uvalde Tragedy Moves Texas Opinion in Gun Safety Debate"
https://web.archive.org/web/20220615133630/https://blueprintpolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/061322-BPP-TX-Survey.pdf -
"Texas Trends 2024 - General Election"
https://uh.edu/hobby/txtrends/election.pdf -
"Texas Lyceum Poll – 2024 Texas Statewide Survey"
https://s3.documentcloud.org/documents/24679427/2024_texas_lyceum_poll_toplines.pdf -
"THE 2024 PRESIDENTIAL AND TEXAS U. S. SENATE ELECTION CONTESTS"
https://www.txhpf.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/TXHPFPresidentSenateApr2024.pdf -
"The View from Texas: Presidential Voting Intention and Approval Rating (1-3 February 2024)"
https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/the-view-from-texas-presidential-voting-intention-and-approval-rating-1-3-february-2024/ -
"The 2024 Presidential and Texas U.S. Senate Election Contests - A Study of Texas Voters and Texas Hispanic Voters"
https://www.txhpf.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/TXHPFPresidentSenateApr2024.pdf -
"Texas Statewide General Election Research"
https://web.archive.org/web/20240317003524/https://www.natpublicaffairs.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/TX-Statewide-Topline-Final-02092024-For-Release.pdf -
candidate.texas-election.com
https://candidate.texas-election.com/Elections/getQualifiedCandidatesInfo.do -
"Dra 2020"
https://davesredistricting.org/maps#viewmap::1c2c1e0d-2fd1-43a8-a039-73e7023124d1 -
Los Angeles Times
https://www.latimes.com/politics/story/2023-12-07/much-of-the-west-has-turned-blue-heres-why-texas-is-an-exception -
KXAN-TV
https://www.kxan.com/news/your-local-election-hq/2024-presidential-statewide-results/ -
"A Texas border county backed Democrats for generations. Trump won it decisively"
https://apnews.com/article/texas-election-border-house-trump-7b3c5adae15344dcb54f36e25890d1e2 -
KGNS-TV
https://www.houstonchronicle.com/projects/2024/texas-counties-trump-flipped/ -
KGNS-TV
https://www.kgns.tv/2024/11/07/webb-county-flips-red-first-time-100-years-trump-wins-majority-vote/ -
Texas Scorecard
https://texasscorecard.com/local/trump-wins-big-with-hispanics-flipping-south-texas-counties/ -
The New York Times
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/08/us/texas-border-latinos-election.html -
"Texas President Results 2024: Trump wins"
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-elections/texas-president-results -
"2024 Presidential Election Statistics"
https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/stats.php?year=2024&f=0&off=0&elect=0 -
"Facts on Hispanics of Mexican origin in the United States, 2021"
https://www.pewresearch.org/hispanic/fact-sheet/us-hispanics-facts-on-mexican-origin-latinos/ -
"2024 Presidential General Election Data - National"
https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/data.php?year=2024&def=swg&datatype=national&f=0&off=0&elect=0 -
"Texas 2024 President exit polls"
https://www.cnn.com/election/2024/exit-polls/texas/general/president/0