-
Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
-
Key:A – all adultsRV – registered votersLV – likely votersV – unclear
-
With voters who lean towards a given candidate
-
"Other" with 3%
-
"Other" with 2%
-
"Someone else" with 1%
-
"Another Candidate" with 2%
-
"Another Candidate" with 1%
-
"Neither/Other" with 2%
-
"Another Party's Candidate" with 1%
-
"Someone else/third party" with 1%
-
"Other" with 5%
-
"A third party / Independent candidate" with 2%
-
"Other" with 6%
-
"Other" with 1%
-
"Some other candidate" with 1%
-
"Another Candidate" with 3%
-
"Someone else" with 2%
-
"Some other candidate" with 3%
-
"Would not vote" with 1%
-
"Neither/Other" with 4%
-
"Another Party's Candidate" with 2%
-
"Will not vote" with 6%
-
"Will not vote" with 1%
-
"I am eligible to vote but would not" with 8%; "Other" with 7%; "I am not eligible to vote" with 1%
-
Chase Oliver (L) with 2%
-
Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
-
"Will not vote" with 6%
-
Independent/Third party candidate with 12%
-
"Someone else / third party" with 8%
-
"Another candidate" with 10%
-
"Another candidate" with 7%
-
"Undecided" & "Wouldn't vote" with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
-
"Someone else / third party" with 11%; "Would not vote" with 3%
-
"Someone else / third party" with 11%; "Would not vote" with 1%
-
"Other" with 4%
-
No Labels candidate
-
Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
-
Chase Oliver (L) with >1%
-
Lars Mapstead with 1%
-
Lars Mapstead (L) with 0%
-
"Undecided" with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
-
"Would not vote" with 3%
-
Chase Oliver (L) with 0%
-
"Someone else / third party" with 4%
-
"Someone else / third party" with 7%
-
"Another third party candidate" with 6%; "Would not vote" with 2%
-
"Another third party candidate" with 6%; "Would not vote" with 1%
-
"Other (Third Party/Write-In)" with 3%; "Won't vote" with 2%; "Other (L)" & "Other (G)" with 1% each
-
"Other (Third Party/Write-In)", "Won't vote", & "Other (L)" with 1% each; "Other (G)" with 0%
-
Poll sponsored by On Point Politics & Red Eagle Politics
-
Poll conducted for The Times, Stanford University, Arizona State University, and Yale University
-
Poll sponsored by American Thinker
-
Poll sponsored by American Greatness
-
Poll sponsored by RealClearPennsylvania
-
Poll sponsored by La Torre Live
-
Poll sponsored by TrendingPolitics
-
Poll sponsored by Trump's campaign
-
Poll conducted for the University of Austin
-
Poll sponsored by Jacobin
-
Poll conducted for the Article III Project
-
Poll conducted for the Sentinel Action Fund PAC
-
Poll sponsored by Commonwealth Foundation
-
Poll sponsored by the Peter G. Peterson Foundation
-
Poll commissioned by AARP
-
Poll sponsored by Focus on Rural America
-
Poll sponsored by the Napolitan Institute
-
Poll sponsored by Spotlight PA
-
Poll sponsored by 2WAY
-
Poll conducted for the Cato Institute
-
Poll conducted for the Pinpoint Policy Institute
-
Poll sponsored by the American Principles Project
-
Poll sponsored by NumbersUSA
-
Poll conducted for The Independent Center
-
Poll commissioned by Early Vote Action PAC
-
Poll conducted for Progress Action Fund, which supports Democratic candidates
-
Poll conducted for Competitiveness Coalition
-
Poll sponsored by On Point Politics
-
Poll sponsored by The Daily Mail
-
Poll sponsored by American Fuel & Petrochemical Manufacturers, a group that supports Republican candidates
-
Poll conducted for Clean and Prosperous America PAC
-
Poll conducted for Rust Belt Rising, which supports Democratic candidates
-
Poll sponsored by Democrats for the Next Generation PAC
-
Poll sponsored by The Heartland Institute
-
Poll sponsored by NetChoice
-
Poll conducted for Vapor Technology Association
-
Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC, which opposes Trump and third party candidates
-
Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign
-
Poll sponsored by The Heritage Foundation
-
Poll commissioned by Save My Country Action Fund
-
Poll conducted for the Citizen Awareness Project
-
Poll conducted for the John Bolton Super PAC
-
Poll sponsored by the Pennsylvania Energy Infrastructure Alliance
-
"Voting & Election Statistics"
https://www.pa.gov/en/agencies/dos/resources/voting-and-elections-resources/voting-and-election-statistics.html -
"Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats"
https://www.npr.org/2021/04/26/983082132/census-to-release-1st-results-that-shift-electoral-college-house-seats -
www.natesilver.net
https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model -
270toWin.com
https://www.270towin.com/ -
ABC News
https://abcnews.go.com/538/2024-presidential-election-close-landslide/story?id=116240898 -
AP News
https://apnews.com/article/pennsylvania-democrats-trump-harris-bob-casey-election-fe194ab48323c645c5909e12b5fb3720 -
"Pennsylvania Presidential Primary Election Results 2024"
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-primary-elections/pennsylvania-president-results -
"Pennsylvania Presidential Primary Election Results 2024"
https://www.electionreturns.pa.gov/Home/CountyBreakdownResultsVM?officeId=1&districtId=1&ElectionID=105&ElectionType=P&IsActive=0 -
Spotlight PA
https://www.spotlightpa.org/news/2022/08/pa-mail-voting-law-uphelp-state-supreme-court/ -
WHYY
https://whyy.org/articles/governor-shapiro-voter-registration-changes-anger-trump-and-gop/ -
CNN
https://www.cnn.com/2024/07/13/politics/trump-injured-pennsylvania-rally/index.html -
CNN
https://www.cnn.com/2024/07/14/politics/corey-comperatore-trump-shooting-victim/index.html -
"2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings"
https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/presidential-race-ratings -
"2024 Electoral College ratings"
https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2024-president/ -
The Hill
https://elections2024.thehill.com/predictions/president -
"Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270"
https://www.cnn.com/election/2024/electoral-college-map?game-id=2024-PG-CNN-ratings&game-view=map -
projects.cnalysis.com
https://projects.cnalysis.com/23-24/president -
The Economist
https://www.economist.com/interactive/us-2024-election/prediction-model/president -
FiveThirtyEight
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/ -
"Presidential Ratings"
https://insideelections.com/ratings/president -
"Presidential Election Preview 2024"
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-elections/president-electoral-college-battleground-states -
270toWin.com
https://www.270towin.com/2024-presidential-election-polls/pennsylvania -
"Pennsylvania : President: general election : 2024 Polls"
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/pennsylvania/ -
www.natesilver.net
https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model -
www.realclearpolling.com
https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/pennsylvania/trump-vs-harris -
The Hill
https://elections2024.thehill.com/pennsylvania/harris-trump-pennsylvania/ -
HarrisX
https://elections.harrisx.com/public/BG_STATE_POLLS_PA.html -
AtlasIntel
https://cdn.atlasintel.org/616d82d3-e782-4d6e-b690-9eed1523fe75.pdf -
Research Co
https://researchco.ca/2024/11/04/states-us-2024/ -
The Trafalgar Group
https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/PA-24-General-1103-Poll-Report.pdf -
Patriot Polling
https://patriotpolling.com/our-polls/f/final-2024-presidential-poll -
InsiderAdvantage
https://insideradvantage.com/insideradvantage-surveys-az-mi-wi-pa-nc/ -
AtlasIntel
https://cdn.atlasintel.org/f41e83be-de61-4d59-9c46-f5f91cbf00fa.pdf -
Emerson College Polling
https://emersoncollegepolling.com/november-2024-final-swing-state-polls-too-close-to-call-election-for-president/ -
The New York Times
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/03/us/politics/harris-trump-times-siena-poll.html -
FAU Polling
https://www.faupolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/Mainstreet_PA_Oct_2024_Public.pdf -
ActiVote
https://www.activote.net/harris-stays-ahead-in-keystone-state/ -
Substack
https://substack.com/inbox/post/151014002 -
AtlasIntel
https://cdn.atlasintel.org/ff8a5b86-e293-44f4-8162-166002248f55.pdf -
Semafor
https://www.semafor.com/newsletter/11/01/2024/the-view-from-the-swing-states -
YouGov
https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/Times_SAY24_20241101.pdf -
Morning Consult
https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-election-state-polls -
Muhlenberg College
https://www.muhlenberg.edu/media/contentassets/pdf/about/polling/PA_Elec_Oct24_Report_Final.pdf -
Marist Poll
https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/marist-pennsylvania-poll-u-s-presidential-contest-in-pennsylvania-november-2024/ -
Echelon Insights
https://echeloninsights.com/in-the-news/oct2024-pa-poll/ -
AtlasIntel
https://cdn.atlasintel.org/12bd169b-6db5-44be-9429-90f44ba0d845.pdf -
Rasmussen Reports
https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/partner_surveys/election_2024_trump_leads_in_pennsylvania_nevada_north_carolina -
Fox News
https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-its-neck-and-neck-pennsylvania-presidential-race -
Quinnipiac University Poll
https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3916 -
CBS News
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/harris-trump-poll-pennsylvania-29-10-2024/ -
InsiderAdvantage
https://insideradvantage.com/insideradvantage-pennsylvania-survey-trump-leads-by-one-point-casey-jr-and-mccormick-tied-in-senate-contest/ -
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-25-27-october-2024/ -
American Greatness
https://amgreatness.com/2024/10/28/pennsylvania-headed-for-a-photo-finish-new-american-greatness-polling/ -
Cooperative Election Study
https://cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/stateprezapp2024/ -
Emerson College Polling
https://emersoncollegepolling.com/october-2024-pennsylvania-poll-trump-49-harris-48/ -
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-20-22-october-2024/ -
Susquehanna Polling and Research
https://mcusercontent.com/fadb7f1420fadfe09cc9d0f9c/files/a54b534a-f99a-9018-aae9-ae8a1b683189/PAStatewide_Toplines_LaTorre_Oct2024.01.pdf -
Quantus Insights
https://quantusinsights.org/f/quantus-insights-pennsylvania-2024-election-survey-analysis -
Bloomberg
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2024-10-23/new-poll-has-trump-harris-tied-in-key-states-just-12-days-to-election -
Franklin & Marshall College Poll
https://www.fandmpoll.org/franklin-marshall-poll-release-october-2024/ -
The Trafalgar Group
https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/PA-24-General-1020-Poll-Report.pdf -
The Bullfinch Group
https://www.thebullfinchgroup.com/post/your-election-guide-for-the-midrust-battlegrounds -
AtlasIntel
https://cdn.atlasintel.org/023fa4e7-4d28-4903-b4cd-57241a0f5e08.pdf -
Claremont McKenna College Rose Institute of State and Local Government
https://s10294.pcdn.co/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/PA_CMC-Rose-State-Poll-Fact-Sheet_RFR.pdf -
The Washington Post
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/10/21/harris-trump-post-schar-school-poll/ -
Rasmussen Reports
https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/partner_surveys/election_2024_trump_now_3_in_pennsylvania -
The New York Times
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/12/us/politics/times-siena-arizona-pennsylvania-polls.html -
American Pulse Research & Polling
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20241015_PA_AmericanPulse.pdf -
American Greatness
https://amgreatness.com/2024/10/10/trump-leads-in-pennsylvania-dave-mccormick-charges/ -
Mediaite
https://www.mediaite.com/news/trump-releases-internal-poll-showing-himself-ahead-in-every-swing-state-all-but-one-are-within-the-margin-of-error/ -
InsiderAdvantage
https://insideradvantage.com/insideradvantage-pennsylvania-survey-trump-leads-by-two-points/ -
Emerson College Polling
https://emersoncollegepolling.com/october-2024-state-polls-mixed-movement-across-swing-states-shows-dead-heat/ -
The Wall Street Journal
https://www.wsj.com/politics/elections/trump-harris-swing-state-poll-october-2024-c3ca9414 -
Research Co
https://researchco.ca/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/Release_USStates_08Oct2024.pdf -
Quinnipiac University Poll
https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3913 -
FiveThirtyEight
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20241010_PA_UATXmemo.pdf -
Jacobin
https://jacobin.com/2024/10/harris-trump-pa-workers-election-poll -
OnMessage Inc
https://cdn.sanity.io/files/ifn0l6bs/production/1466ccb9011fe2f2fe272e13261c967325759db3.pdf -
Sentinel Action Fund
https://cdn.sentinelactionfund.com/production/assets/surveys/2024/SAF-PA-Statewide-Survey-Memo.pdf -
Patriot Polling
https://patriotpolling.com/our-polls/f/trump-and-casey-lead-narrowly-in-pennsylvania -
Commonwealth Foundation
https://www.commonwealthfoundation.org/2024/10/08/poll-pa-voters/ -
The Trafalgar Group
https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/09/PA-24-General-0929-Poll-Report.pdf -
Peter G. Peterson Foundation
https://www.pgpf.org/sites/default/files/PGPF-Battleground-Poll-Topline-Results-by-State.pdf -
Emerson College Polling
https://emersoncollegepolling.com/september-2024-pennsylvania-poll-trump-48-harris-48/ -
AtlasIntel
https://cdn.atlasintel.org/9e0da6ea-7e9c-498c-89e3-511bd7344cd0.pdf -
Cook Political Report
https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/survey-research/2024-swing-state-project/swing-state-polling-finds-deadlocked-presidential -
Bloomberg
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2024-09-26/harris-holds-thin-lead-over-trump-in-swing-state-poll-election-2024 -
ActiVote
https://www.activote.net/harris-maintains-narrow-lead-in-keystone-swing-state-pennsylvania/ -
Fox News
https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-harris-trump-locked-tight-race-battleground-pennsylvania -
AARP
https://www.aarp.org/content/dam/aarp/research/topics/voter-opinion-research/politics/pennsylvania-older-voter-survey-2024-report-september.doi.10.26419-2fres.00813.040.pdf -
Focus on Rural America
https://www.focusonruralamerica.com/2024/10/02/focus-on-rural-america-new-polling-shows-harris-leading-in-michigan-and-wisconsin-tied-with-trump-in-pennsylvania/ -
Rasmussen Reports
https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/partner_surveys/election_2024_trump_3_in_georgia_tied_with_harris_in_pennsylvania -
Susquehanna Polling and Research
https://mcusercontent.com/fadb7f1420fadfe09cc9d0f9c/files/a5dbf8d6-8ad8-c97f-7e78-5c75cbd98c8f/Toplines_PAStatewide_Omnibus_SP_amp_R_LaTorre_Sept2024.pdf -
Napolitan Institute
https://napolitaninstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/09/GCM24-PA09-Mini-Crosstabs-Pres.pdf -
Muhlenberg College
https://www.muhlenberg.edu/media/contentassets/pdf/about/polling/PA_Elec_Sep24_FinalVersion.pdf -
Emerson College Polling
https://emersoncollegepolling.com/september-2024-swing-state-polls-trump-and-harris-locked-in-tight-presidential-race/ -
SpotlightPA
https://www.spotlightpa.org/news/2024/09/kamala-harris-donald-trump-pennsylvania-poll-results-economy-jobs/ -
Marist Poll
https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/marist-pennsylvania-poll-u-s-presidential-contest-pennsylvania-september-2024/ -
The Washington Post
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/09/19/polling-harris-trump-pennsylvania-debate/ -
Quinnipiac University Poll
https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3905 -
The New York Times
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/09/19/us/politics/times-siena-inquirer-poll-pennsylvania-toplines.html -
USA Today
https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/09/16/harris-trump-pennsylvania-poll/75236006007/ -
InsiderAdvantage
https://insideradvantage.com/pennsylvania-survey-trump-leads-50-48-casey-ahead-of-mccormick-by-four-points/ -
co/efficient
https://coefficient.org/ivf-pa/ -
CBS News
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/harris-trump-poll-pennsylvania-michigan-wisconsin-debate/ -
Patriot Polling
https://patriotpolling.com/our-polls/f/trump-and-harris-in-dead-heat -
The Trafalgar Group
https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/PA-24-General-0830-Poll-Report.pdf -
YouTube
https://www.youtube.com/live/X773PMNqjsw -
Emerson Polling
https://emersoncollegepolling.com/august-2024-swing-state-polls-toss-up-presidential-election-in-swing-states/ -
Bloomberg
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-08-29/election-2024-poll-harris-leads-or-ties-with-trump-in-swing-states -
Substack
https://substack.com/@socaldata/p-148067056 -
Cato Institute
https://www.cato.org/blog/new-poll-wi-pa-mi-voters-believe-us-too-involved-foreign-wars-world-affairs-most-worry-were -
Institute for Global Affairs
https://instituteforglobalaffairs.org/2024/09/vox-populi-battlegrounds/ -
ActiVote
https://www.activote.net/harris-has-narrow-lead-in-keystone-swing-state-pennsylvania/ -
Pinpoint Policy Institute
https://pinpointpolicyinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/Blue-Wall-States-Survey-Slides.pdf -
American Principles Project
https://americanprinciplesproject.org/elections/new-app-polling-trump-leads-3-of-5-swing-states-voters-reject-democrats-cultural-extremism/ -
PollingPlus
https://pollingplus.com/news/pollingplus-exclusive-insideradvantage-survey-of-pennsylvania/ -
RealClearPolling
https://www.realclearpolling.com/stories/analysis/no-frontrunner-in-swing-states-before-democratic-convention -
Semafor
https://www.semafor.com/article/08/18/2024/harris-leads-trump-in-five-of-seven-battlegrounds-poll -
Cygnal
https://www.cygn.al/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/Cygnal-PA-Statewide-Deck-Public-AUG24.pdf -
Emerson College Polling
https://emersoncollegepolling.com/pennsylvania-2024-poll-trump-49-harris-48/ -
Quinnipiac University Poll
https://poll.qu.edu/images/polling/pa/pa08142024_ppuf30.pdf -
The Independent Center
https://cdn.prod.website-files.com/65fc824cf835683ce2d3549b/66ba4069b73a13894a56414d_Independent%20Center%20-%20Battleground%20States%20Poll%202024.pdf -
The New York Times
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/08/10/us/elections/times-siena-poll-pennsylvania-toplines.html -
The Trafalgar Group
https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/PA-24-General-0808_Report.pdf -
Navigator Research
https://navigatorresearch.org/navigating-the-vote-2024-presidential-battleground/ -
Cook Political Report
https://www.cookpolitical.com/survey-research/2024-swing-state-project/fight-redefine-2024-race-president -
X
https://x.com/ScottPresler/status/1820442862393114966 -
"Trump edges out Harris in Arizona, Pennsylvania but lags in Georgia in new polling"
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4801296-trump-harris-polls-arizona-pennsylvania-georgia/ -
Scribd
https://www.scribd.com/document/756269660/Kenyatta-Public-Memo-08012024-proofed -
Politico
https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000191-0bfd-d871-af95-affdc1b80000 -
Quantus Polls and News
https://quantus.substack.com/p/trump-leads-harris-with-small-lead -
Bloomberg
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2024-07-30/kamala-harris-erases-trump-s-swing-state-lead-in-2024-election-poll -
Commonwealth Foundation
https://www.commonwealthfoundation.org/2024/07/26/swing-state-poll-pa-voters/ -
Fox News
https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-harris-trump-dead-heat-pennsylvania -
Emerson Polling
https://emersoncollegepolling.com/july-2024-swing-state-polls-harris-trails-trump-in-arizona-georgia-michigan-pennsylvania-tied-in-wisconsin/ -
American Greatness
https://cdn.amgreatness.com/app/uploads/2024/07/PA-July-Toplines.pdf -
Google Docs
https://drive.google.com/file/d/1BTopd55Mr-uiOfZ_0booFKcstbNry-Ku/view -
InsiderAdvantage
https://insideradvantage.com/three-more-battleground-polls-trump-leads-in-pa-nv-az-no-post-shooting-bump-but-large-enthusiasm-gap-harris-trails-trump/ -
Google Docs
https://drive.google.com/file/d/1yS9Jqk2ZupZxw3VGK5UPDrG8AC4G7X06/view -
The New York Times
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/15/us/politics/pennsylvania-virginia-polls-biden-trump.html -
Bloomberg
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-05-22/violence-around-2024-election-feared-by-half-of-swing-state-voters-poll -
Emerson Polling
https://emersoncollegepolling.com/pennsylvania-2024-poll-trump-at-45-biden-at-43/ -
The New York Times
https://archive.today/20231106013743/https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/05/us/politics/biden-trump-2024-poll.html -
Race to the WH
https://www.racetothewh.com/president/polls -
Survation
https://www.survation.com/harris-narrowly-ahead-in-pennsylvania/ -
Focaldata
https://www.focaldata.com/blog/our-final-report-on-the-us-presidential-election -
Data for Progress
https://www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2024/11/1/final-data-for-progress-swing-state-polls -
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/final-us-swing-states-voting-intention-28-31-october/ -
USA Today
https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/11/01/pennsylvania-poll-harris-trump/75939000007/ -
The Washington Post
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/11/01/harris-trump-pennsylvania-post-poll/ -
CNN
https://www.cnn.com/2024/10/30/politics/cnn-polls-michigan-wisconsin-pennsylvania-blue-wall/index.html -
University of Massachusetts Lowell
https://www.uml.edu/docs/2024-Oct31-PA-Topline_tcm18-392293.pdf -
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-20-22-october-2024/ -
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-16-18-october-2024/ -
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-12-14-october-2024/ -
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/pennsylvania-and-georgia-voting-intention-8-9-october-2024/ -
University of Massachusetts Lowell
https://www.uml.edu/docs/2024-October-PA-Topline_tcm18-391827.pdf -
J.L. Partners
https://jlpartners.com/pennsylvania-likely-voters-polling -
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-27-september-2-october-2024/ -
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-16-19-september-2024/ -
University of Massachusetts Lowell
https://www.uml.edu/news/press-releases/2024/cpo-fall-2024-pennsylvania.aspx -
Franklin & Marshall College Poll
https://www.fandmpoll.org/franklin-marshall-poll-release-september-2024/ -
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-6-9-september-2024/ -
YouGov
https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/Times_SAY24_20240904_state_poll_results_XTElWNX.pdf#page=155 -
CNN
https://www.cnn.com/2024/09/04/politics/cnn-polls-battleground-states/index.html -
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-25-28-august-2024/ -
American Fuel & Petrochemical Manufacturers
https://www.afpm.org/sites/default/files/issue_resources/Sept24_RemingtonStatePollsEVMandate.pdf -
"Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (12 – 15 August 2024)"
https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-12-15-august-2024/ -
Franklin & Marshall College Poll
https://s3.documentcloud.org/documents/25042734/fm-august-poll.pdf -
"Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (31 July – 3 August 2024)"
https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-31-july-3-august-2024/ -
"Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (22-24 July 2024)"
https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-22-24-july-2024/ -
Politico
https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000190-c7b2-d90b-a5fc-d7bf7a790000 -
The Well News
https://www.thewellnews.com/opinion-polls/post-dnc-polls-shows-harris-trump-tied-in-three-battleground-states/ -
RealClearPolitics
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2024/Susquehanna_Statewide_July_28_2024.pdf -
FiveThirtyEight
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20240719_PA_Civiqs.pdf -
Emerson Polling
https://emersoncollegepolling.com/july-2024-swing-state-polls/ -
Rasmussen Reports
https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/partner_surveys/toplines_2_heartland_battleground_july_2024_all_race_data -
NetChoice
https://netchoice.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/07/NetChoice-July-2024-Biden-Antitrust-Survey-Topline-1.pdf -
Bloomberg
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2024-07-06/biden-narrows-trump-s-election-lead-in-key-states-after-debate-poll -
The New York Post
https://nypost.com/2024/07/08/us-news/biden-lags-behind-in-all-of-the-key-battleground-states-by-4-point-average-new-poll/ -
Cygnal
https://www.cygn.al/pennsylvania-poll-first-fielded-straddling-the-debate-trump-with-strong-lead-and-mccormick-within-striking-distance-of-casey/ -
Commonwealth Foundation
https://www.commonwealthfoundation.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/Common-Ground-Q2-2024-toplines.pdf -
Emerson Polling
https://emersoncollegepolling.com/june-2024-state-polls-trump-maintains-edge-over-biden/ -
FAU Polling
https://www.faupolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/mainstreet_PA_June_2024_Public.pdf -
Vapor Technology Association
https://vaportechnology.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/07/PA-Banners.pdf -
FiveThirtyEight
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20240522_prime_CSOR.pdf -
Cook Political Report
https://www.cookpolitical.com/survey-research/2024-swing-state-project/unique-election-driven-traditional-issue -
The New York Times
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/05/13/us/politics/biden-trump-battleground-poll.html -
AARP
https://www.aarp.org/content/dam/aarp/research/topics/voter-opinion-research/politics/pennsylvania-older-voter-survey-2024-report.doi.10.26419-2fres.00813.001.pdf -
Emerson Polling
https://emersoncollegepolling.com/trump-holds-edge-over-biden-in-seven-key-swing-state-polls/ -
CBS News
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/biden-trump-poll-michigan-pennyslvania-wisconsin/ -
Muhlenberg College
https://www.muhlenberg.edu/media/contentassets/pdf/about/polling/surveys/pennsylvania/FINAL_PA_ELEC_2024_APRIL_REPORT%20(1).pdf -
Kennedy24
https://www.kennedy24.com/biden_real_spoiler_kennedy_only_candidate_who_can_beat_trump -
Kaplan Strategies
https://kaplanstrategies.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/Kaplan-Release-4.26.24-.pdf -
Fox News
https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-biden-trump-2024-pennsylvania-rematch -
Bloomberg
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-24/biden-trails-trump-in-6-of-7-key-states-poll-shows-election-2024 -
The Independent Center
https://web.archive.org/web/20240420021003/https://www.independentcenter.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/Independent-Center-Target-State-Poll-2024-Pennsylvania.pdf -
Politics PA
https://www.politicspa.com/fm-poll-pennsylvania-moving-in-more-positive-direction/133348/ -
Big Data Poll
https://www.bigdatapoll.com/blog/rust-belt-poll-keystone-battleground-for-april-2024/ -
The Wall Street Journal
https://s.wsj.net/public/resources/documents/WSJ_Swing_States_Partial_March_2024.pdf -
The Heritage Foundation
https://first-heritage-foundation.s3.amazonaws.com/live_files/2024/04/Echelon-Insights-Survey.pdf -
CNN
https://www.cnn.com/2024/03/22/politics/cnn-poll-michigan-pennsylvania/index.html -
Emerson Polling
https://emersoncollegepolling.com/pennsylvania-2024-poll-trump-47-biden-43/ -
Bloomberg
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-03-26/election-2024-poll-biden-gains-on-trump-in-six-swing-states -
Fox News
https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-pennsylvania-looks-headed-another-tight-race-2024 -
RealClearPolitics
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2024/Toplines-PAStatewide-Omnibus-March2024-Public.pdf -
Bloomberg
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-02-29/biden-age-worries-swing-state-voters-trump-seen-as-dangerous-poll-shows -
Chism Strategies
https://chismstrategies.com/would-a-taylor-swift-endorsement-help-biden/ -
Politics PA
https://www.politicspa.com/memo-mccormick-down-to-casey-but-far-from-out/132043/ -
Franklin & Marshall College Poll
https://www.fandmpoll.org/content/files/2024/01/KEYFEB24_TOPLINE-2.pdf -
Focaldata
https://www.focaldata.com/blog/bi-focal-12-how-biden-can-still-beat-trump -
Bloomberg
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-01-31/trump-guilty-verdict-loses-half-of-key-state-voters-in-election-2024 -
RealClearPolitics
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2024/Topllines-PAStatewide-Public-Jan2024.pdf -
Quinnipiac University
https://poll.qu.edu/images/polling/pa/pa01102024_pidf24.pdf -
Google Docs
https://docs.google.com/document/d/1TpdHyzBA1zWmV6q5UCyv1nM_mKDuNPjRNknla-HVyvE/edit -
Future Majority
https://futuremajority.org/wp-content/uploads/FM-NV-PA-NY-CDs-Report.pdf -
Muhlenberg College
https://www.muhlenberg.edu/aboutus/polling/politicselectionssurveys/archivedpolls/2023-decemberpapresidentialelectionsurvey/ -
Bloomberg
https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2024-us-election-key-state-voter-polling/december-2023-poll/ -
Big Data Poll
https://www.bigdatapoll.com/blog/rust-belt-poll-trump-leads-biden-in-pennsylvania-trounces-primary-opponents/ -
Bloomberg
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-11-09/trump-leads-biden-with-key-state-voters-on-israel-hamas-war-immigration#xj4y7vzkg -
Emerson Polling
https://emersoncollegepolling.com/swing-state-2024-polling-biden-trails-trump-in-arizona-georgia-and-pennsylvania-and-wisconsin-leads-trump-in-michigan/ -
Franklin & Marshall College Poll
https://www.fandmpoll.org/franklin-marshall-poll-release-october-2023/ -
Bloomberg
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-10-19/trump-leads-biden-in-key-us-states-as-voters-worry-about-economy-poll -
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-7-9-october-2023/ -
Emerson Polling
https://emersoncollegepolling.com/pennsylvania-2024-poll-young-voters-hesitant-to-support-biden-but-stick-with-sen-casey/ -
Quinnipiac University
https://poll.qu.edu/images/polling/pa/pa10042023_pthi25.pdf -
Google Drive
https://drive.google.com/file/d/16H3_ouz5dJ8O8tg8_s_YasCDq6JFG5bu/view?pli=1 -
Save My Country Action Fund
https://savemycountryactionfund.org/2023/09/28/new-polling-biden-leading-trump-in-michigan-pennsylvania-and-wisconsin-impeachment-of-biden-unpopular-with-voters/ -
National Public Affairs
https://backend.natpublicaffairs.com/media/PA-General-Election-Polling-Memo-092123.pdf -
Franklin & Marshall College Poll
https://www.fandmpoll.org/poll-release-august-2023/ -
Prime Group
https://s3.documentcloud.org/documents/23872659/no-labels.pdf -
Quinnipiac University Poll
https://poll.qu.edu/Poll-Release?releaseid=3875 -
Citizen Awareness Project
https://citizenawarenessproject.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/06/232026-Pennsylvania-Statewide-Interview-Schedule.pdf -
McClatchyDC
https://www.mcclatchydc.com/article274385065.html -
Franklin & Marshall College Poll
https://www.fandmpoll.org/franklin-marshall-college-poll-april-2023/ -
The Patriot-News
https://www.pennlive.com/elections/2023/03/early-2024-poll-shows-desantis-leading-trump-among-pa-republican-voters.html -
PollSmart MR
https://www.pollsmartmr.com/latest-polls-1/pennsylvania-poll-oz-leads-fetterman -
Emerson Polling
https://emersoncollegepolling.com/pennsylvania-2022-oz-and-fetterman-in-two-point-race-half-of-voters-say-senate-debate-worsened-their-opinion-of-fetterman/ -
Emerson Polling
https://emersoncollegepolling.com/pennsylvania-2022-fettermans-lead-shrinks-in-us-senate-race-shapiros-lead-expands-for-governors-seat/ -
NetChoice
https://netchoice.org/new-national-poll-89-of-americans-say-congress-should-focus-on-addressing-inflation-not-breaking-up-tech/ -
Emerson Polling
https://emersoncollegepolling.com/pennsylvania-2022-fetterman-holds-four-point-lead-over-oz-for-us-senate-shapiro-leads-mastriano-by-three/ -
Bolton Super PAC
https://web.archive.org/web/20220728223724/http://boltonsuperpac.com/pdfs/crostabs_07282022.pdf -
Blueprint Polling
https://web.archive.org/web/20220726195513/https://blueprintpolling.com/2022/07/26/democratic-nominees-for-pa-governor-and-senate-enjoy-early-lead-while-biden-fades/ -
Blueprint Polling
https://web.archive.org/web/20220223202424/https://blueprintpolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/BP-Polling-PA-Survey.pdf -
Politico
https://www.politico.com/f/?id=0000017d-49fd-dddc-a77f-4dff81830000 -
YouGov
https://ygo-assets-websites-editorial-emea.yougov.net/documents/Times_SAY24_20240712_state_poll_results.pdf#page=169 -
Marist Poll
https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/the-2024-elections-in-pennsylvania/ -
The Washington Examiner
https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/columnists/2900823/poll-pennsylvania-voters-reject-biden-lng-pause/ -
Morning Consult
https://pro-assets.morningconsult.com/wp-uploads/2024/01/2401055_Bloomberg_2024-Election-Tracking-Wave-4_Crosstabs_All-States-compressed-1.pdf -
Morning Consult
https://pro-assets.morningconsult.com/wp-uploads/2023/12/231206-Morning-Consult-Bloomberg-2024-Election-Swing-State-Polling.pdf#page=126 -
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-16-18-july-2024/ -
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-8-10-july-2024/ -
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-8-11-june-2024/ -
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-2-4-may-2024/ -
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-14-17-march-2024/ -
FiveThirtyEight
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20240708_Swing_1983Labs.pdf -
Commonwealth Foundation
https://www.commonwealthfoundation.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/Common-Ground-in-the-Commonwealth-Q1-2024-Survey-Analysis-Updated.pdf -
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-28-30-december-2023/ -
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-27-29-november-2023/ -
The New York Times
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/07/us/politics/rfk-jr-trump-biden-poll.html -
Morning Consult
https://pro-assets.morningconsult.com/wp-uploads/2023/11/231105-Morning-Consult-Bloomberg-2024-Election-Survey-All-States-Toplines.pdf#page=109 -
The New York Times
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2023/11/07/us/elections/times-siena-battlegrounds-likely-electorate.html -
RealClearPolitics
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2023/Toplines-PUBLIC-PAStatewide-SPR-May2023.pdf -
Commonwealth of Pennsylvania Election Results
https://www.electionreturns.pa.gov/General/SummaryResults?ElectionID=105&ElectionType=G&IsActive=0 -
"Official 2024 Presidential General Election Results"
https://www.fec.gov/documents/5644/2024presgeresults.pdf -
uselectionatlas.org
https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?fips=42&year=2024&f=1&off=0 -
States Newsroom
https://www.masslive.com/politics/2021/03/counties-that-flipped-from-donald-trump-to-joe-biden-in-the-2020-presidential-election.html -
docs.google.com
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/12moE8J_splytOqb5cfTl-bBAbDnfv2ULJdSXY96ODj0/edit?gid=569390567#gid=569390567 -
"Exit poll results 2024"
https://edition.cnn.com/election/2024/exit-polls/pennsylvania/general/president/0