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2024 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania

Updated: Wikipedia source

2024 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania

The 2024 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Pennsylvania voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Pennsylvania has 19 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state lost a seat. Pennsylvania held the largest electoral prize of all major swing states in 2024, with 19 electoral votes. As such, it was generally forecasted that the winner of the state was highly likely to win the entire election. According to statistician Nate Silver, the state's winner was estimated to have a 90% chance of winning the presidency. Major news organizations marked it as a tossup in the lead-up to the election. Pennsylvania was the tipping-point state in the election, providing Trump the 270th electoral vote. Pennsylvania voted 0.23% to the right of the nation, while Michigan voted the closest to the nation, voting 0.06% to the nation's left. Trump won Pennsylvania with 50.4% of the vote to Kamala Harris's 48.7%, defeating her by a margin of roughly 1.71% and flipping the state. This was the largest margin of victory for a Republican candidate since 1988, as well as the first time since that election that a Republican won over 50% of the state vote. Trump's victory is seen to have contributed to down-ballot victories for Republicans who won the races for the US Senate, Attorney General, Treasurer and Auditor General. Except for the Senate race, all 2024 Pennsylvania Republican statewide candidates won over 50% of the vote. Trump received more than 3.5 million votes, the most cast for any candidate in Pennsylvania history.

Infobox

Party
Republican
Nominee
Donald Trump
Turnout
76.6% 0.1 pp
Percentage
50.37%
Home state
Florida
Popular vote
3,543,308
Running mate
JD Vance
Electoral vote
19

Tables

Pennsylvania Democratic primary, April 23, 2024[7] · Primary elections › Democratic primary
Pledged
Pledged
Candidate
Pledged
Votes
Unpledged
Percentage
Total
Joe Biden (incumbent)
Joe Biden (incumbent)
Candidate
Joe Biden (incumbent)
Votes
926,633
Percentage
88.2%
Actual delegate count
159
Actual delegate count
159
Dean Phillips (withdrawn)
Dean Phillips (withdrawn)
Candidate
Dean Phillips (withdrawn)
Votes
68,310
Percentage
6.5%
Write-in votes
Write-in votes
Candidate
Write-in votes
Votes
55,611
Percentage
5.3%
Total:
Total:
Candidate
Total:
Votes
1,050,554
Percentage
100.0%
Actual delegate count
159
Actual delegate count
27
Actual delegate count
186
Candidate
Votes
Percentage
Actual delegate count
Pledged
Unpledged
Total
Joe Biden (incumbent)
926,633
88.2%
159
159
Dean Phillips (withdrawn)
68,310
6.5%
Write-in votes
55,611
5.3%
Total:
1,050,554
100.0%
159
27
186
Pennsylvania Republican primary, April 23, 2024[8] · Primary elections › Republican primary
Bound
Bound
Candidate
Bound
Votes
Unbound
Percentage
Total
Donald Trump
Donald Trump
Candidate
Donald Trump
Votes
794,048
Percentage
83.35%
Actual delegate count
16
Actual delegate count
46
Actual delegate count
67
Nikki Haley (withdrawn)
Nikki Haley (withdrawn)
Candidate
Nikki Haley (withdrawn)
Votes
158,672
Percentage
16.65%
Unprojected delegates:
Unprojected delegates:
Candidate
Unprojected delegates:
Percentage
5
Total:
Total:
Candidate
Total:
Votes
952,720
Percentage
100.00%
Actual delegate count
16
Actual delegate count
51
Actual delegate count
67
Candidate
Votes
Percentage
Actual delegate count
Bound
Unbound
Total
Donald Trump
794,048
83.35%
16
46
67
Nikki Haley (withdrawn)
158,672
16.65%
Unprojected delegates:
5
Total:
952,720
100.00%
16
51
67
· General election › Predictions
Tossup
Tossup
Source
The Cook Political Report
Ranking
Tossup
As of
November 4, 2024
Lean D
Lean D
Source
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Ranking
Lean D
As of
November 4, 2024
Tossup
Tossup
Source
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill
Ranking
Tossup
As of
November 4, 2024
Tossup
Tossup
Source
CNN
Ranking
Tossup
As of
November 4, 2024
Lean D
Lean D
Source
CNalysis
Ranking
Lean D
As of
November 4, 2024
Tossup
Tossup
Source
The Economist
Ranking
Tossup
As of
November 4, 2024
Tossup
Tossup
Source
538
Ranking
Tossup
As of
November 4, 2024
Tossup
Tossup
Source
Inside Elections
Ranking
Tossup
As of
November 4, 2024
Tossup
Tossup
Source
NBC News
Ranking
Tossup
As of
November 4, 2024
Source
Ranking
As of
The Cook Political Report
Tossup
November 4, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Lean D
November 4, 2024
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill
Tossup
November 4, 2024
CNN
Tossup
November 4, 2024
CNalysis
Lean D
November 4, 2024
The Economist
Tossup
November 4, 2024
538
Tossup
November 4, 2024
Inside Elections
Tossup
November 4, 2024
NBC News
Tossup
November 4, 2024
· General election › Polling
270ToWin
270ToWin
Source of pollaggregation
270ToWin
Datesadministered
October 23 – November 4, 2024
Datesupdated
November 4, 2024
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48.2%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48.2%
Other /Undecided
3.6%
Margin
Tie
538
538
Source of pollaggregation
538
Datesadministered
through November 4, 2024
Datesupdated
November 4, 2024
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47.9%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47.7%
Other /Undecided
4.4%
Margin
Harris +0.2%
Silver Bulletin
Silver Bulletin
Source of pollaggregation
Silver Bulletin
Datesadministered
through November 4, 2024
Datesupdated
November 4, 2024
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48.0%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48.1%
Other /Undecided
3.9%
Margin
Trump +0.1%
Real Clear Politics
Real Clear Politics
Source of pollaggregation
Real Clear Politics
Datesadministered
through November 4, 2024
Datesupdated
November 4, 2024
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48.5%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48.9%
Other /Undecided
2.6%
Margin
Trump +0.4%
The Hill/DDHQ
The Hill/DDHQ
Source of pollaggregation
The Hill/DDHQ
Datesadministered
through November 4, 2024
Datesupdated
November 4, 2024
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48.0%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48.8%
Other /Undecided
3.2%
Margin
Trump +0.8%
Average
Average
Source of pollaggregation
Average
Datesadministered
48.12%
Datesupdated
48.34%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
3.8%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Trump +0.22%
Source of pollaggregation
Datesadministered
Datesupdated
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Other /Undecided
Margin
270ToWin
October 23 – November 4, 2024
November 4, 2024
48.2%
48.2%
3.6%
Tie
538
through November 4, 2024
November 4, 2024
47.9%
47.7%
4.4%
Harris +0.2%
Silver Bulletin
through November 4, 2024
November 4, 2024
48.0%
48.1%
3.9%
Trump +0.1%
Real Clear Politics
through November 4, 2024
November 4, 2024
48.5%
48.9%
2.6%
Trump +0.4%
The Hill/DDHQ
through November 4, 2024
November 4, 2024
48.0%
48.8%
3.2%
Trump +0.8%
Average
48.12%
48.34%
3.8%
Trump +0.22%
· General election › Polling
HarrisX
HarrisX
Poll source
HarrisX
Date(s)administered
November 3–5, 2024
Samplesize
2,333 (RV)
Marginof error
± 2.3%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
Other /Undecided
6%
52%
52%
Poll source
52%
Date(s)administered
48%
Samplesize
2,103 (LV)
2,103 (LV)
Poll source
2,103 (LV)
Date(s)administered
51%
Samplesize
46%
Marginof error
3%
52%
52%
Poll source
52%
Date(s)administered
48%
Samplesize
AtlasIntel
AtlasIntel
Poll source
AtlasIntel
Date(s)administered
November 3–4, 2024
Samplesize
1,840 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
50%
Other /Undecided
1%
Research Co.
Research Co.
Poll source
Research Co.
Date(s)administered
November 2–3, 2024
Samplesize
450 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.6%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
5%
Trafalgar Group (R)
Trafalgar Group (R)
Poll source
Trafalgar Group (R)
Date(s)administered
November 1–3, 2024
Samplesize
1,089 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.9%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
5%
Patriot Polling
Patriot Polling
Poll source
Patriot Polling
Date(s)administered
November 1–3, 2024
Samplesize
903 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
50%
Other /Undecided
1%
InsiderAdvantage (R)
InsiderAdvantage (R)
Poll source
InsiderAdvantage (R)
Date(s)administered
November 1–2, 2024
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
3%
AtlasIntel
AtlasIntel
Poll source
AtlasIntel
Date(s)administered
November 1–2, 2024
Samplesize
2,049 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
50%
Other /Undecided
2%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
October 30 – November 2, 2024
Samplesize
1,000 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
3%
49%
49%
Poll source
49%
Date(s)administered
50%
Samplesize
1%
The New York Times/Siena College/The Philadelphia Inquirer
The New York Times/Siena College/The Philadelphia Inquirer
Poll source
The New York Times/Siena College/The Philadelphia Inquirer
Date(s)administered
October 29 – November 2, 2024
Samplesize
1,527 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
5%
1,527 (LV)
1,527 (LV)
Poll source
1,527 (LV)
Date(s)administered
48%
Samplesize
48%
Marginof error
4%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University
Poll source
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University
Date(s)administered
October 25 – November 2, 2024
Samplesize
798 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Other /Undecided
6%
699 (LV)
699 (LV)
Poll source
699 (LV)
Date(s)administered
49%
Samplesize
47%
Marginof error
4%
ActiVote
ActiVote
Poll source
ActiVote
Date(s)administered
October 10 – November 2, 2024
Samplesize
400 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.9%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
50.5%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49.5%
Other /Undecided
SoCal Strategies (R)
SoCal Strategies (R)
Poll source
SoCal Strategies (R)
Date(s)administered
October 30–31, 2024
Samplesize
850 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.6%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
50%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
2%
AtlasIntel
AtlasIntel
Poll source
AtlasIntel
Date(s)administered
October 30–31, 2024
Samplesize
1,738 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
3%
OnMessage Inc. (R)
OnMessage Inc. (R)
Poll source
OnMessage Inc. (R)
Date(s)administered
October 29–31, 2024
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
4%
YouGov
YouGov
Poll source
YouGov
Date(s)administered
October 25–31, 2024
Samplesize
982 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
50%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
2%
956 (LV)
956 (LV)
Poll source
956 (LV)
Date(s)administered
51%
Samplesize
48%
Marginof error
1%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
October 22−31, 2024
Samplesize
1,395 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
4%
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call
Poll source
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call
Date(s)administered
October 27–30, 2024
Samplesize
460 (RV)
Marginof error
± 6.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
4%
Marist College
Marist College
Poll source
Marist College
Date(s)administered
October 27–30, 2024
Samplesize
1,558 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.2%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
51%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
2%
1,400 (LV)
1,400 (LV)
Poll source
1,400 (LV)
Date(s)administered
± 3.4%
Samplesize
50%
Marginof error
48%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
2%
Echelon Insights
Echelon Insights
Poll source
Echelon Insights
Date(s)administered
October 27–30, 2024
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.5%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
52%
Other /Undecided
2%
AtlasIntel
AtlasIntel
Poll source
AtlasIntel
Date(s)administered
October 25–29, 2024
Samplesize
1,299 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
50%
Other /Undecided
3%
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Poll source
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Date(s)administered
October 25–28, 2024
Samplesize
849 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
4%
Fox News
Fox News
Poll source
Fox News
Date(s)administered
October 24–28, 2024
Samplesize
1,310 (RV)
Marginof error
± 2.5%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
50%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
2%
1,057 (LV)
1,057 (LV)
Poll source
1,057 (LV)
Date(s)administered
± 3.0%
Samplesize
49%
Marginof error
50%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
1%
Quinnipiac University
Quinnipiac University
Poll source
Quinnipiac University
Date(s)administered
October 24–28, 2024
Samplesize
2,186 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.1%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
4%
CBS News/YouGov
CBS News/YouGov
Poll source
CBS News/YouGov
Date(s)administered
October 22–28, 2024
Samplesize
1,273 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
1%
InsiderAdvantage (R)
InsiderAdvantage (R)
Poll source
InsiderAdvantage (R)
Date(s)administered
October 26–27, 2024
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
October 25–27, 2024
Samplesize
1,116 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.8%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
4%
North Star Opinion Research (R)
North Star Opinion Research (R)
Poll source
North Star Opinion Research (R)
Date(s)administered
October 22–26, 2024
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
6%
CES/YouGov
CES/YouGov
Poll source
CES/YouGov
Date(s)administered
October 1–25, 2024
Samplesize
3,708 (A)
Marginof error
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
50%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
3%
3,685 (LV)
3,685 (LV)
Poll source
3,685 (LV)
Date(s)administered
49%
Samplesize
48%
Marginof error
3%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
October 21–22, 2024
Samplesize
860 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.4%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
3%
49%
49%
Poll source
49%
Date(s)administered
51%
Samplesize
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
October 20–22, 2024
Samplesize
1,586 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.3%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
5%
Susquehanna Polling and Research (R)
Susquehanna Polling and Research (R)
Poll source
Susquehanna Polling and Research (R)
Date(s)administered
October 18−22, 2024
Samplesize
500 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Other /Undecided
8%
Quantus Insights (R)
Quantus Insights (R)
Poll source
Quantus Insights (R)
Date(s)administered
October 17−20, 2024
Samplesize
840 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
50%
Other /Undecided
2%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
October 16–20, 2024
Samplesize
866 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
4%
812 (LV)
812 (LV)
Poll source
812 (LV)
Date(s)administered
50%
Samplesize
48%
Marginof error
2%
Franklin & Marshall College
Franklin & Marshall College
Poll source
Franklin & Marshall College
Date(s)administered
October 9−20, 2024
Samplesize
890 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.3%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
Other /Undecided
8%
583 (LV)
583 (LV)
Poll source
583 (LV)
Date(s)administered
± 5.0%
Samplesize
49%
Marginof error
50%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
1%
Trafalgar Group (R)
Trafalgar Group (R)
Poll source
Trafalgar Group (R)
Date(s)administered
October 17−19, 2024
Samplesize
1,084 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.9%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
43%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Other /Undecided
11%
The Bullfinch Group
The Bullfinch Group
Poll source
The Bullfinch Group
Date(s)administered
October 11−18, 2024
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
2%
49%
49%
Poll source
49%
Date(s)administered
48%
Samplesize
3%
AtlasIntel
AtlasIntel
Poll source
AtlasIntel
Date(s)administered
October 12–17, 2024
Samplesize
2,048 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
50%
Other /Undecided
3%
Rose Institute/YouGov
Rose Institute/YouGov
Poll source
Rose Institute/YouGov
Date(s)administered
October 7–17, 2024
Samplesize
1,062 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.4%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Other /Undecided
6%
1,043 (LV)
1,043 (LV)
Poll source
1,043 (LV)
Date(s)administered
50%
Samplesize
48%
Marginof error
2%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
October 6−15, 2024
Samplesize
1,395 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
3%
The Washington Post/Schar School
The Washington Post/Schar School
Poll source
The Washington Post/Schar School
Date(s)administered
September 30 – October 15, 2024
Samplesize
707 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.6%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Other /Undecided
5%
707 (LV)
707 (LV)
Poll source
707 (LV)
Date(s)administered
49%
Samplesize
47%
Marginof error
4%
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Poll source
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Date(s)administered
October 9–13, 2024
Samplesize
1,072 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
50%
Other /Undecided
3%
The New York Times/Siena College/The Philadelphia Inquirer
The New York Times/Siena College/The Philadelphia Inquirer
Poll source
The New York Times/Siena College/The Philadelphia Inquirer
Date(s)administered
October 7–10, 2024
Samplesize
857 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
50%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
4%
857 (LV)
857 (LV)
Poll source
857 (LV)
Date(s)administered
50%
Samplesize
47%
Marginof error
3%
American Pulse Research & Polling
American Pulse Research & Polling
Poll source
American Pulse Research & Polling
Date(s)administered
October 2–10, 2024
Samplesize
1,193 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.8%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
49.5%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
50.5%
Other /Undecided
TIPP Insights
TIPP Insights
Poll source
TIPP Insights
Date(s)administered
October 7–9, 2024
Samplesize
1,079 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
Other /Undecided
6%
803 (LV)
803 (LV)
Poll source
803 (LV)
Date(s)administered
48%
Samplesize
49%
Marginof error
3%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/McLaughlin & Associates (R)
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/McLaughlin & Associates (R)
Poll source
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/McLaughlin & Associates (R)
Date(s)administered
October 6–9, 2024
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
3%
InsiderAdvantage (R)
InsiderAdvantage (R)
Poll source
InsiderAdvantage (R)
Date(s)administered
October 7–8, 2024
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
4%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
October 5–8, 2024
Samplesize
1,000 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
3%
49%
49%
Poll source
49%
Date(s)administered
50%
Samplesize
1%
The Wall Street Journal
The Wall Street Journal
Poll source
The Wall Street Journal
Date(s)administered
September 28 – October 8, 2024
Samplesize
600 (RV)
Marginof error
± 5.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
7%
Research Co.
Research Co.
Poll source
Research Co.
Date(s)administered
October 5–7, 2024
Samplesize
450 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.6%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
5%
50%
50%
Poll source
50%
Date(s)administered
49%
Samplesize
1%
Quinnipiac University
Quinnipiac University
Poll source
Quinnipiac University
Date(s)administered
October 3–7, 2024
Samplesize
1,412 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.6%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
4%
Hunt Research
Hunt Research
Poll source
Hunt Research
Date(s)administered
October 2–7, 2024
Samplesize
1,037 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
5%
Center for Working Class Politics/YouGov
Center for Working Class Politics/YouGov
Poll source
Center for Working Class Politics/YouGov
Date(s)administered
September 24 – October 2, 2024
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.2%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
Other /Undecided
8%
OnMessage Inc. (R)
OnMessage Inc. (R)
Poll source
OnMessage Inc. (R)
Date(s)administered
September 24 – October 2, 2024
Samplesize
500 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Other /Undecided
8%
OnMessage Inc. (R)
OnMessage Inc. (R)
Poll source
OnMessage Inc. (R)
Date(s)administered
September 28–29, 2024
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
6%
Patriot Polling
Patriot Polling
Poll source
Patriot Polling
Date(s)administered
September 27–29, 2024
Samplesize
816 (RV)
Marginof error
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
50%
Other /Undecided
1%
The Bullfinch Group
The Bullfinch Group
Poll source
The Bullfinch Group
Date(s)administered
September 26–29, 2024
Samplesize
800 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
50%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Other /Undecided
4%
Trafalgar Group (R)
Trafalgar Group (R)
Poll source
Trafalgar Group (R)
Date(s)administered
September 26–29, 2024
Samplesize
1,090 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.9%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
45%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
7%
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)
Poll source
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)
Date(s)administered
September 23–29, 2024
Samplesize
408 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.9%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
4%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
September 27–28, 2024
Samplesize
1,000 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
4%
49%
49%
Poll source
49%
Date(s)administered
49%
Samplesize
2%
AtlasIntel
AtlasIntel
Poll source
AtlasIntel
Date(s)administered
September 20–25, 2024
Samplesize
1,775 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
51%
Other /Undecided
1%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
Poll source
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
Date(s)administered
September 19–25, 2024
Samplesize
474 (LV)
Marginof error
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
50%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
1%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
September 19–25, 2024
Samplesize
993 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Other /Undecided
5%
924 (LV)
924 (LV)
Poll source
924 (LV)
Date(s)administered
51%
Samplesize
46%
Marginof error
3%
ActiVote
ActiVote
Poll source
ActiVote
Date(s)administered
September 1–25, 2024
Samplesize
400 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.9%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
52%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
Fox News
Fox News
Poll source
Fox News
Date(s)administered
September 20−24, 2024
Samplesize
1,021 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
50%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
2%
775 (LV)
775 (LV)
Poll source
775 (LV)
Date(s)administered
± 3.5%
Samplesize
49%
Marginof error
49%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
2%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
Poll source
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
Date(s)administered
September 17–24, 2024
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
50%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
3%
Rodriguez Gudelunas Strategies
Rodriguez Gudelunas Strategies
Poll source
Rodriguez Gudelunas Strategies
Date(s)administered
September 19–23, 2024
Samplesize
400 (LV)
Marginof error
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
4%
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Poll source
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Date(s)administered
September 19–22, 2024
Samplesize
1,202 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
4%
50%
50%
Poll source
50%
Date(s)administered
49%
Samplesize
1%
Susquehanna Polling and Research (R)
Susquehanna Polling and Research (R)
Poll source
Susquehanna Polling and Research (R)
Date(s)administered
September 16–22, 2024
Samplesize
700 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.7%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Other /Undecided
8%
RMG Research
RMG Research
Poll source
RMG Research
Date(s)administered
September 18–20, 2024
Samplesize
783 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
5%
49%
49%
Poll source
49%
Date(s)administered
49%
Samplesize
3%
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call
Poll source
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call
Date(s)administered
September 16–19, 2024
Samplesize
450 (RV)
Marginof error
± 6.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
4%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
September 15–18, 2024
Samplesize
880 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.2%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
5%
50%
50%
Poll source
50%
Date(s)administered
49%
Samplesize
1%
MassINC Polling Group
MassINC Polling Group
Poll source
MassINC Polling Group
Date(s)administered
September 12−18, 2024
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
52%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
1%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
September 9−18, 2024
Samplesize
1,756 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
4%
Marist College
Marist College
Poll source
Marist College
Date(s)administered
September 12−17, 2024
Samplesize
1,663 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
3%
1,476 (LV)
1,476 (LV)
Poll source
1,476 (LV)
Date(s)administered
± 3.2%
Samplesize
49%
Marginof error
49%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
2%
The Washington Post
The Washington Post
Poll source
The Washington Post
Date(s)administered
September 12−16, 2024
Samplesize
1,003 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.6%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
5%
1,003 (LV)
1,003 (LV)
Poll source
1,003 (LV)
Date(s)administered
48%
Samplesize
48%
Marginof error
4%
Quinnipiac University
Quinnipiac University
Poll source
Quinnipiac University
Date(s)administered
September 12−16, 2024
Samplesize
1,331 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.7%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
51%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Other /Undecided
2%
The New York Times/Siena College/The Philadelphia Inquirer
The New York Times/Siena College/The Philadelphia Inquirer
Poll source
The New York Times/Siena College/The Philadelphia Inquirer
Date(s)administered
September 11−16, 2024
Samplesize
1,082 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.8%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
50%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Other /Undecided
4%
1,082 (LV)
1,082 (LV)
Poll source
1,082 (LV)
Date(s)administered
50%
Samplesize
46%
Marginof error
4%
Suffolk University/USA Today
Suffolk University/USA Today
Poll source
Suffolk University/USA Today
Date(s)administered
September 11−16, 2024
Samplesize
500 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Other /Undecided
5%
InsiderAdvantage (R)
InsiderAdvantage (R)
Poll source
InsiderAdvantage (R)
Date(s)administered
September 14−15, 2024
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
50%
Other /Undecided
2%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
August 30 – September 8, 2024
Samplesize
1,910 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Other /Undecided
5%
co/efficient (R)
co/efficient (R)
Poll source
co/efficient (R)
Date(s)administered
September 4–6, 2024
Samplesize
889 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.3%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
6%
CBS News/YouGov
CBS News/YouGov
Poll source
CBS News/YouGov
Date(s)administered
September 3–6, 2024
Samplesize
1,078 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
50%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
50%
Other /Undecided
Patriot Polling
Patriot Polling
Poll source
Patriot Polling
Date(s)administered
September 1–3, 2024
Samplesize
857 (RV)
Marginof error
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
3%
Trafalgar Group (R)
Trafalgar Group (R)
Poll source
Trafalgar Group (R)
Date(s)administered
August 28–30, 2024
Samplesize
1,082 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.9%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
45%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
8%
Wick Insights
Wick Insights
Poll source
Wick Insights
Date(s)administered
August 27–29, 2024
Samplesize
1,607 (LV)
Marginof error
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
2%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
August 25–28, 2024
Samplesize
950 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
4%
49%
49%
Poll source
49%
Date(s)administered
49%
Samplesize
1%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
August 23–26, 2024
Samplesize
803 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
51%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
2%
758 (RV)
758 (RV)
Poll source
758 (RV)
Date(s)administered
± 3.0%
Samplesize
51%
Marginof error
48%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
1%
SoCal Strategies (R)
SoCal Strategies (R)
Poll source
SoCal Strategies (R)
Date(s)administered
August 23, 2024
Samplesize
713 (LV)
Marginof error
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
5%
800 (RV)
800 (RV)
Poll source
800 (RV)
Date(s)administered
47%
Samplesize
47%
Marginof error
6%
YouGov
YouGov
Poll source
YouGov
Date(s)administered
August 15–23, 2024
Samplesize
500 (A)
Marginof error
± 5.1%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
43%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
Other /Undecided
14%
– (LV)
– (LV)
Poll source
– (LV)
Date(s)administered
± 6.0%
Samplesize
47%
Marginof error
47%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
6%
Institute for Global Affairs/YouGov
Institute for Global Affairs/YouGov
Poll source
Institute for Global Affairs/YouGov
Date(s)administered
August 15–22, 2024
Samplesize
350 (A)
Marginof error
± 6.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
40%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
Other /Undecided
16%
ActiVote
ActiVote
Poll source
ActiVote
Date(s)administered
August 5–22, 2024
Samplesize
400 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.9%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
51%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
Fabrizio Ward (R)
Fabrizio Ward (R)
Poll source
Fabrizio Ward (R)
Date(s)administered
August 19–21, 2024
Samplesize
400 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.9%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
7%
Spry Strategies (R)
Spry Strategies (R)
Poll source
Spry Strategies (R)
Date(s)administered
August 14–20, 2024
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
5%
InsiderAdvantage (R)
InsiderAdvantage (R)
Poll source
InsiderAdvantage (R)
Date(s)administered
August 18–19, 2024
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
7%
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Poll source
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Date(s)administered
August 13–17, 2024
Samplesize
1,312 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
7%
Focaldata
Focaldata
Poll source
Focaldata
Date(s)administered
August 6–16, 2024
Samplesize
719 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.7%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
50%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
50%
Other /Undecided
Cygnal (R)
Cygnal (R)
Poll source
Cygnal (R)
Date(s)administered
August 14–15, 2024
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.4%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
5%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
August 13–14, 2024
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
3%
49%
49%
Poll source
49%
Date(s)administered
51%
Samplesize
Quinnipiac University
Quinnipiac University
Poll source
Quinnipiac University
Date(s)administered
August 8–12, 2024
Samplesize
1,738 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.4%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
50%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
3%
The Bullfinch Group
The Bullfinch Group
Poll source
The Bullfinch Group
Date(s)administered
August 8–11, 2024
Samplesize
500 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
Other /Undecided
6%
The New York Times/Siena College
The New York Times/Siena College
Poll source
The New York Times/Siena College
Date(s)administered
August 6–9, 2024
Samplesize
693 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.2%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Other /Undecided
5%
693 (LV)
693 (LV)
Poll source
693 (LV)
Date(s)administered
50%
Samplesize
46%
Marginof error
4%
Trafalgar Group (R)
Trafalgar Group (R)
Poll source
Trafalgar Group (R)
Date(s)administered
August 6–8, 2024
Samplesize
1,078 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.9%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
44%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Other /Undecided
10%
Navigator Research (D)
Navigator Research (D)
Poll source
Navigator Research (D)
Date(s)administered
July 31 – August 8, 2024
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
6%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
Poll source
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
Date(s)administered
July 26 – August 8, 2024
Samplesize
411 (LV)
Marginof error
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
3%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)
Poll source
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)
Date(s)administered
July 29 – August 1, 2024
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
4%
Public Policy Polling (D)
Public Policy Polling (D)
Poll source
Public Policy Polling (D)
Date(s)administered
July 29–30, 2024
Samplesize
627 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.9%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
5%
GQR Research (D)
GQR Research (D)
Poll source
GQR Research (D)
Date(s)administered
July 26–30, 2024
Samplesize
500 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
50%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Other /Undecided
4%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Poll source
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Date(s)administered
July 23–29, 2024
Samplesize
400 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.9%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
Other /Undecided
7%
Quantus Insights (R)
Quantus Insights (R)
Poll source
Quantus Insights (R)
Date(s)administered
July 27–28, 2024
Samplesize
500 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
July 24–28, 2024
Samplesize
804 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
50%
Other /Undecided
4%
The Bullfinch Group
The Bullfinch Group
Poll source
The Bullfinch Group
Date(s)administered
July 23–25, 2024
Samplesize
800 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
5%
Fox News
Fox News
Poll source
Fox News
Date(s)administered
July 22–24, 2024
Samplesize
1,034 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
2%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
July 22–23, 2024
Samplesize
850 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.3%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
6%
49%
49%
Poll source
49%
Date(s)administered
51%
Samplesize
North Star Opinion Research (R)
North Star Opinion Research (R)
Poll source
North Star Opinion Research (R)
Date(s)administered
July 20–23, 2024
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
45%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
9%
SoCal Strategies (R)
SoCal Strategies (R)
Poll source
SoCal Strategies (R)
Date(s)administered
July 20–21, 2024
Samplesize
500 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
50%
Other /Undecided
4%
InsiderAdvantage (R)
InsiderAdvantage (R)
Poll source
InsiderAdvantage (R)
Date(s)administered
July 15–16, 2024
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
40%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
13%
Public Policy Polling (D)
Public Policy Polling (D)
Poll source
Public Policy Polling (D)
Date(s)administered
July 11–12, 2024
Samplesize
537 (RV)
Marginof error
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
45%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
51%
Other /Undecided
4%
The New York Times/Siena College
The New York Times/Siena College
Poll source
The New York Times/Siena College
Date(s)administered
July 9–11, 2024
Samplesize
872 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.7%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
6%
872 (LV)
872 (LV)
Poll source
872 (LV)
Date(s)administered
47%
Samplesize
48%
Marginof error
5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
May 7–13, 2024
Samplesize
812 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
43%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
50%
Other /Undecided
7%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
February 14–16, 2024
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
40%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
11%
The New York Times/Siena College
The New York Times/Siena College
Poll source
The New York Times/Siena College
Date(s)administered
October 22 – November 3, 2023
Samplesize
600 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.6%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
44%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
9%
600 (LV)
600 (LV)
Poll source
600 (LV)
Date(s)administered
44%
Samplesize
48%
Marginof error
8%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Other /Undecided
HarrisX
November 3–5, 2024
2,333 (RV)
± 2.3%
49%
45%
6%
52%
48%
2,103 (LV)
51%
46%
3%
52%
48%
AtlasIntel
November 3–4, 2024
1,840 (LV)
± 2.0%
49%
50%
1%
Research Co.
November 2–3, 2024
450 (LV)
± 4.6%
48%
47%
5%
Trafalgar Group (R)
November 1–3, 2024
1,089 (LV)
± 2.9%
47%
48%
5%
Patriot Polling
November 1–3, 2024
903 (RV)
± 3.0%
49%
50%
1%
InsiderAdvantage (R)
November 1–2, 2024
800 (LV)
± 3.5%
48%
49%
3%
AtlasIntel
November 1–2, 2024
2,049 (LV)
± 2.0%
48%
50%
2%
Emerson College
October 30 – November 2, 2024
1,000 (LV)
± 3.0%
48%
49%
3%
49%
50%
1%
The New York Times/Siena College/The Philadelphia Inquirer
October 29 – November 2, 2024
1,527 (RV)
± 3.5%
47%
47%
5%
1,527 (LV)
48%
48%
4%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University
October 25 – November 2, 2024
798 (RV)
± 3.1%
48%
46%
6%
699 (LV)
49%
47%
4%
ActiVote
October 10 – November 2, 2024
400 (LV)
± 4.9%
50.5%
49.5%
SoCal Strategies (R)
October 30–31, 2024
850 (LV)
± 3.6%
50%
48%
2%
AtlasIntel
October 30–31, 2024
1,738 (LV)
± 2.0%
48%
49%
3%
OnMessage Inc. (R)
October 29–31, 2024
800 (LV)
47%
49%
4%
YouGov
October 25–31, 2024
982 (RV)
± 3.5%
50%
48%
2%
956 (LV)
51%
48%
1%
Morning Consult
October 22−31, 2024
1,395 (LV)
± 3.0%
48%
48%
4%
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call
October 27–30, 2024
460 (RV)
± 6.0%
49%
47%
4%
Marist College
October 27–30, 2024
1,558 (RV)
± 3.2%
51%
47%
2%
1,400 (LV)
± 3.4%
50%
48%
2%
Echelon Insights
October 27–30, 2024
600 (LV)
± 4.5%
46%
52%
2%
AtlasIntel
October 25–29, 2024
1,299 (LV)
± 3.0%
47%
50%
3%
Rasmussen Reports (R)
October 25–28, 2024
849 (LV)
± 3.0%
47%
49%
4%
Fox News
October 24–28, 2024
1,310 (RV)
± 2.5%
50%
48%
2%
1,057 (LV)
± 3.0%
49%
50%
1%
Quinnipiac University
October 24–28, 2024
2,186 (LV)
± 2.1%
47%
49%
4%
CBS News/YouGov
October 22–28, 2024
1,273 (LV)
± 3.5%
49%
49%
1%
InsiderAdvantage (R)
October 26–27, 2024
800 (LV)
± 3.5%
47%
48%
5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
October 25–27, 2024
1,116 (LV)
± 2.8%
48%
48%
4%
North Star Opinion Research (R)
October 22–26, 2024
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
47%
47%
6%
CES/YouGov
October 1–25, 2024
3,708 (A)
50%
47%
3%
3,685 (LV)
49%
48%
3%
Emerson College
October 21–22, 2024
860 (LV)
± 3.4%
48%
49%
3%
49%
51%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
October 20–22, 2024
1,586 (LV)
± 2.3%
48%
47%
5%
Susquehanna Polling and Research (R)
October 18−22, 2024
500 (LV)
± 4.4%
46%
46%
8%
Quantus Insights (R)
October 17−20, 2024
840 (LV)
± 3.0%
48%
50%
2%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
October 16–20, 2024
866 (RV)
± 3.0%
48%
48%
4%
812 (LV)
50%
48%
2%
Franklin & Marshall College
October 9−20, 2024
890 (RV)
± 4.3%
48%
44%
8%
583 (LV)
± 5.0%
49%
50%
1%
Trafalgar Group (R)
October 17−19, 2024
1,084 (LV)
± 2.9%
43%
46%
11%
The Bullfinch Group
October 11−18, 2024
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
49%
49%
2%
· General election › Polling
Race to the WH
Race to the WH
Source of pollaggregation
Race to the WH
Datesadministered
through October 28, 2024
Datesupdated
November 2, 2024
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
48.0%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47.5%
JillSteinGreen
1.0%
CornelWestIndependent
ChaseOliverLibertarian
0.6%
Others/Undecided
2.9%
Margin
Harris +0.5%
270toWin
270toWin
Source of pollaggregation
270toWin
Datesadministered
October 17 – 28, 2024
Datesupdated
November 2, 2024
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
47.9%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47.9%
JillSteinGreen
0.8%
CornelWestIndependent
ChaseOliverLibertarian
0.7%
Others/Undecided
2.7%
Margin
Tie
Average
Average
Source of pollaggregation
Average
Datesadministered
47.95%
Datesupdated
47.7%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
0.9%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
JillSteinGreen
0.65%
CornelWestIndependent
2.8%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
Harris +0.25%
Source of pollaggregation
Datesadministered
Datesupdated
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
JillSteinGreen
CornelWestIndependent
ChaseOliverLibertarian
Others/Undecided
Margin
Race to the WH
through October 28, 2024
November 2, 2024
48.0%
47.5%
1.0%
0.6%
2.9%
Harris +0.5%
270toWin
October 17 – 28, 2024
November 2, 2024
47.9%
47.9%
0.8%
0.7%
2.7%
Tie
Average
47.95%
47.7%
0.9%
0.65%
2.8%
Harris +0.25%
· General election › Polling
HarrisX
HarrisX
Poll source
HarrisX
Date(s)administered
November 3–5, 2024
Samplesize
2,333 (RV)
Marginof error
± 2.3%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
Other /Undecided
5%
50%
50%
Poll source
50%
Date(s)administered
47%
Samplesize
2%
Marginof error
1%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
2,103 (LV)
2,103 (LV)
Poll source
2,103 (LV)
Date(s)administered
50%
Samplesize
46%
Marginof error
1%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
0%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
CornelWestIndependent
3%
51.0%
51.0%
Poll source
51.0%
Date(s)administered
47.5%
Samplesize
1.0%
Marginof error
0.5%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
AtlasIntel
AtlasIntel
Poll source
AtlasIntel
Date(s)administered
November 3–4, 2024
Samplesize
1,840 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
0%
Other /Undecided
2%
Survation
Survation
Poll source
Survation
Date(s)administered
November 1–4, 2024
Samplesize
941 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.9%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
2%
915 (LV)
915 (LV)
Poll source
915 (LV)
Date(s)administered
50.6%
Samplesize
47.8%
Marginof error
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
0.9%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
0.7%
CornelWestIndependent
AtlasIntel
AtlasIntel
Poll source
AtlasIntel
Date(s)administered
November 1–2, 2024
Samplesize
2,049 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
2%
The New York Times/Siena College/The Philadelphia Inquirer
The New York Times/Siena College/The Philadelphia Inquirer
Poll source
The New York Times/Siena College/The Philadelphia Inquirer
Date(s)administered
October 29 – November 2, 2024
Samplesize
1,527 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
5%
1,527 (LV)
1,527 (LV)
Poll source
1,527 (LV)
Date(s)administered
47%
Samplesize
47%
Marginof error
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
1%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
0%
CornelWestIndependent
5%
Focaldata
Focaldata
Poll source
Focaldata
Date(s)administered
October 3 – November 1, 2024
Samplesize
2,373 (LV)
Marginof error
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
50%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
2,119 (RV)
2,119 (RV)
Poll source
2,119 (RV)
Date(s)administered
± 2.0%
Samplesize
51%
Marginof error
47%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
1%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
2,373 (A)
2,373 (A)
Poll source
2,373 (A)
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
49%
Marginof error
47%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
1%
CornelWestIndependent
2%
JillSteinGreen
1%
AtlasIntel
AtlasIntel
Poll source
AtlasIntel
Date(s)administered
October 30–31, 2024
Samplesize
1,738 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
2%
Data for Progress (D)
Data for Progress (D)
Poll source
Data for Progress (D)
Date(s)administered
October 25–31, 2024
Samplesize
908 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
50%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
0%
Other /Undecided
2%
YouGov
YouGov
Poll source
YouGov
Date(s)administered
October 25–31, 2024
Samplesize
982 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
CornelWestIndependent
0%
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
Other /Undecided
5%
956 (LV)
956 (LV)
Poll source
956 (LV)
Date(s)administered
49%
Samplesize
46%
Marginof error
0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
0%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
CornelWestIndependent
5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
October 28–31, 2024
Samplesize
1,596 (LV)
Marginof error
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
0%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
3%
Suffolk University/USA Today
Suffolk University/USA Today
Poll source
Suffolk University/USA Today
Date(s)administered
October 27–30, 2024
Samplesize
500 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
0%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
1%
Echelon Insights
Echelon Insights
Poll source
Echelon Insights
Date(s)administered
October 27–30, 2024
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.5%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
51%
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
0%
Other /Undecided
2%
The Washington Post
The Washington Post
Poll source
The Washington Post
Date(s)administered
October 26–30, 2024
Samplesize
1,204 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
3%
1,204 (LV)
1,204 (LV)
Poll source
1,204 (LV)
Date(s)administered
48%
Samplesize
47%
Marginof error
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
1%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
1%
CornelWestIndependent
3%
AtlasIntel
AtlasIntel
Poll source
AtlasIntel
Date(s)administered
October 25–29, 2024
Samplesize
1,299 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
2%
Quinnipiac University
Quinnipiac University
Poll source
Quinnipiac University
Date(s)administered
October 24–28, 2024
Samplesize
2,186 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.1%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
2%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
4%
CNN/SSRS
CNN/SSRS
Poll source
CNN/SSRS
Date(s)administered
October 23–28, 2024
Samplesize
819 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.7%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
October 25–27, 2024
Samplesize
1,116 (LV)
Marginof error
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
0%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
3%
North Star Opinion Research (R)
North Star Opinion Research (R)
Poll source
North Star Opinion Research (R)
Date(s)administered
October 22–26, 2024
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
4%
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov
Poll source
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov
Date(s)administered
October 16–23, 2024
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
October 20–22, 2024
Samplesize
1,586 (LV)
Marginof error
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
0%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
October 16–20, 2024
Samplesize
866 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
0%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
2%
Other /Undecided
2%
812 (LV)
812 (LV)
Poll source
812 (LV)
Date(s)administered
50%
Samplesize
48%
Marginof error
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
0%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
1%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
Franklin & Marshall College
Franklin & Marshall College
Poll source
Franklin & Marshall College
Date(s)administered
October 9–20, 2024
Samplesize
890 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.3%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
2%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
October 16–18, 2024
Samplesize
1,256 (LV)
Marginof error
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
0%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
3%
AtlasIntel
AtlasIntel
Poll source
AtlasIntel
Date(s)administered
October 12–17, 2024
Samplesize
2,048 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
50%
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
2%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
0%
Other /Undecided
1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
October 12–14, 2024
Samplesize
1,649 (LV)
Marginof error
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
0%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
3%
The New York Times/Siena College/The Philadelphia Inquirer
The New York Times/Siena College/The Philadelphia Inquirer
Poll source
The New York Times/Siena College/The Philadelphia Inquirer
Date(s)administered
October 7–10, 2024
Samplesize
857 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
2%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
3%
857 (LV)
857 (LV)
Poll source
857 (LV)
Date(s)administered
49%
Samplesize
45%
Marginof error
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
1%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
0%
CornelWestIndependent
5%
American Pulse Research & Polling
American Pulse Research & Polling
Poll source
American Pulse Research & Polling
Date(s)administered
October 2–10, 2024
Samplesize
1,193 (LV)
Marginof error
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
2%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
0%
Other /Undecided
1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
October 8–9, 2024
Samplesize
707 (LV)
Marginof error
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
0%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
5%
TIPP Insights
TIPP Insights
Poll source
TIPP Insights
Date(s)administered
October 7–9, 2024
Samplesize
1,079 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
Other /Undecided
4%
803 (LV)
803 (LV)
Poll source
803 (LV)
Date(s)administered
48%
Samplesize
49%
Marginof error
1%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
0%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
CornelWestIndependent
2%
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov
Poll source
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov
Date(s)administered
October 2–9, 2024
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
0%
Other /Undecided
8%
J.L. Partners
J.L. Partners
Poll source
J.L. Partners
Date(s)administered
October 5–8, 2024
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
4%
Quinnipiac University
Quinnipiac University
Poll source
Quinnipiac University
Date(s)administered
October 3–7, 2024
Samplesize
1,412 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.6%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
3%
Hunt Research
Hunt Research
Poll source
Hunt Research
Date(s)administered
October 2–7, 2024
Samplesize
1,037 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
September 27 – October 2, 2024
Samplesize
5,686 (LV)
Marginof error
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
0%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
4%
The Bullfinch Group
The Bullfinch Group
Poll source
The Bullfinch Group
Date(s)administered
September 26–29, 2024
Samplesize
800 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
50%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
0%
Other /Undecided
3%
AtlasIntel
AtlasIntel
Poll source
AtlasIntel
Date(s)administered
September 20–25, 2024
Samplesize
1,775 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
51%
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
0%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
0%
Other /Undecided
1%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
September 19–25, 2024
Samplesize
993 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
50%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
0%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
4%
Other /Undecided
2%
924 (LV)
924 (LV)
Poll source
924 (LV)
Date(s)administered
51%
Samplesize
45%
Marginof error
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
0%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
3%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
Fox News
Fox News
Poll source
Fox News
Date(s)administered
September 20−24, 2024
Samplesize
1,021 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
2%
Other /Undecided
3%
775 (LV)
775 (LV)
Poll source
775 (LV)
Date(s)administered
± 3.5%
Samplesize
47%
Marginof error
48%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
2%
CornelWestIndependent
2%
JillSteinGreen
1%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
Poll source
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
Date(s)administered
September 17–24, 2024
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
0%
Other /Undecided
3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
September 16–19, 2024
Samplesize
1,086 (LV)
Marginof error
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
0%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
5%
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov
Poll source
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov
Date(s)administered
September 11–19, 2024
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
4%
MassINC Polling Group
MassINC Polling Group
Poll source
MassINC Polling Group
Date(s)administered
September 12−18, 2024
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
50%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
0%
Other /Undecided
3%
Quinnipiac University
Quinnipiac University
Poll source
Quinnipiac University
Date(s)administered
September 12−16, 2024
Samplesize
1,331 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.7%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
51%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
0%
Other /Undecided
3%
Franklin & Marshall College
Franklin & Marshall College
Poll source
Franklin & Marshall College
Date(s)administered
September 4–15, 2024
Samplesize
890 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.1%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
September 6–9, 2024
Samplesize
801 (LV)
Marginof error
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
45%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
0%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
9%
YouGov
YouGov
Poll source
YouGov
Date(s)administered
August 23 – September 3, 2024
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.6%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
CornelWestIndependent
0%
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
Other /Undecided
8%
Wick Insights
Wick Insights
Poll source
Wick Insights
Date(s)administered
August 27–29, 2024
Samplesize
1,607 (LV)
Marginof error
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
3%
CNN/SSRS
CNN/SSRS
Poll source
CNN/SSRS
Date(s)administered
August 23–29, 2024
Samplesize
789 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.7%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
August 25–28, 2024
Samplesize
1,071 (LV)
Marginof error
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
0%
Other /Undecided
8%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
August 23–26, 2024
Samplesize
803 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
51%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
1%
758 (RV)
758 (RV)
Poll source
758 (RV)
Date(s)administered
± 3.0%
Samplesize
51%
Marginof error
45%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
2%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
1%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
ChaseOliverLibertarian
Other /Undecided
HarrisX
November 3–5, 2024
2,333 (RV)
± 2.3%
48%
45%
1%
1%
5%
50%
47%
2%
1%
2,103 (LV)
50%
46%
1%
0%
3%
51.0%
47.5%
1.0%
0.5%
AtlasIntel
November 3–4, 2024
1,840 (LV)
± 2.0%
48%
49%
1%
0%
2%
Survation
November 1–4, 2024
941 (LV)
± 3.9%
49%
47%
1%
1%
2%
915 (LV)
50.6%
47.8%
0.9%
0.7%
AtlasIntel
November 1–2, 2024
2,049 (LV)
± 2.0%
47%
49%
1%
1%
2%
The New York Times/Siena College/The Philadelphia Inquirer
October 29 – November 2, 2024
1,527 (RV)
± 3.5%
46%
47%
1%
1%
5%
1,527 (LV)
47%
47%
1%
0%
5%
Focaldata
October 3 – November 1, 2024
2,373 (LV)
50%
48%
1%
1%
2,119 (RV)
± 2.0%
51%
47%
1%
1%
2,373 (A)
49%
47%
1%
2%
1%
AtlasIntel
October 30–31, 2024
1,738 (LV)
± 2.0%
47%
49%
1%
1%
2%
Data for Progress (D)
October 25–31, 2024
908 (LV)
± 3.0%
50%
48%
1%
0%
2%
YouGov
October 25–31, 2024
982 (RV)
± 3.5%
48%
46%
0%
1%
5%
956 (LV)
49%
46%
0%
0%
5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
October 28–31, 2024
1,596 (LV)
48%
48%
0%
1%
3%
Suffolk University/USA Today
October 27–30, 2024
500 (LV)
± 4.4%
49%
49%
0%
1%
1%
Echelon Insights
October 27–30, 2024
600 (LV)
± 4.5%
46%
51%
1%
0%
2%
The Washington Post
October 26–30, 2024
1,204 (RV)
± 3.1%
48%
47%
1%
1%
3%
1,204 (LV)
48%
47%
1%
1%
3%
AtlasIntel
October 25–29, 2024
1,299 (LV)
± 3.0%
47%
49%
1%
1%
2%
Quinnipiac University
October 24–28, 2024
2,186 (LV)
± 2.1%
46%
47%
2%
1%
4%
CNN/SSRS
October 23–28, 2024
819 (LV)
± 4.7%
48%
48%
1%
1%
2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
October 25–27, 2024
1,116 (LV)
48%
48%
0%
1%
3%
North Star Opinion Research (R)
October 22–26, 2024
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
47%
47%
1%
1%
4%
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov
October 16–23, 2024
800 (LV)
± 4.0%
48%
47%
1%
1%
3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
October 20–22, 2024
1,586 (LV)
48%
47%
0%
1%
4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
October 16–20, 2024
866 (RV)
± 3.0%
48%
48%
0%
2%
2%
812 (LV)
50%
48%
0%
1%
1%
Franklin & Marshall College
October 9–20, 2024
890 (RV)
± 4.3%
49%
45%
2%
1%
3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
October 16–18, 2024
1,256 (LV)
48%
48%
0%
1%
3%
AtlasIntel
October 12–17, 2024
2,048 (LV)
± 2.0%
47%
50%
2%
0%
1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
October 12–14, 2024
1,649 (LV)
48%
48%
0%
1%
3%
The New York Times/Siena College/The Philadelphia Inquirer
October 7–10, 2024
857 (RV)
± 4.0%
49%
45%
2%
1%
3%
857 (LV)
49%
45%
1%
0%
5%
American Pulse Research & Polling
October 2–10, 2024
1,193 (LV)
48%
49%
2%
0%
1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
October 8–9, 2024
707 (LV)
46%
48%
0%
1%
5%
TIPP Insights
October 7–9, 2024
1,079 (RV)
± 3.5%
49%
45%
1%
1%
4%
803 (LV)
48%
49%
1%
0%
2%
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov
October 2–9, 2024
800 (LV)
± 4.0%
46%
45%
1%
0%
8%
Partners
October 5–8, 2024
800 (LV)
± 3.5%
47%
47%
1%
1%
4%
Quinnipiac University
October 3–7, 2024
1,412 (LV)
± 2.6%
49%
46%
1%
1%
3%
Hunt Research
October 2–7, 2024
1,037 (LV)
± 3.0%
47%
47%
1%
1%
4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
September 27 – October 2, 2024
5,686 (LV)
48%
47%
0%
1%
4%
The Bullfinch Group
September 26–29, 2024
800 (RV)
± 3.5%
50%
46%
1%
0%
3%
AtlasIntel
September 20–25, 2024
1,775 (LV)
± 2.0%
48%
51%
0%
0%
1%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
September 19–25, 2024
993 (RV)
± 3.0%
50%
44%
0%
4%
2%
· General election › Polling
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
Poll source
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
Date(s)administered
September 19–25, 2024
Samplesize
474 (LV)
Marginof error
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
JillSteinGreen
1%
Other /Undecided
3%
Remington Research Group (R)
Remington Research Group (R)
Poll source
Remington Research Group (R)
Date(s)administered
September 16–20, 2024
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
JillSteinGreen
1%
Other /Undecided
4%
The Washington Post
The Washington Post
Poll source
The Washington Post
Date(s)administered
September 12−16, 2024
Samplesize
1,003 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.6%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
JillSteinGreen
1%
Other /Undecided
4%
1,003 (LV)
1,003 (LV)
Poll source
1,003 (LV)
Date(s)administered
48%
Samplesize
47%
Marginof error
1%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
4%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
JillSteinGreen
Other /Undecided
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
September 19–25, 2024
474 (LV)
49%
47%
1%
3%
Remington Research Group (R)
September 16–20, 2024
800 (LV)
± 3.5%
47%
48%
1%
4%
The Washington Post
September 12−16, 2024
1,003 (RV)
± 3.6%
48%
47%
1%
4%
1,003 (LV)
48%
47%
1%
4%
Fox News
Fox News
Poll source
Fox News
Date(s)administered
October 24–28, 2024
Samplesize
1,310 (RV)
Marginof error
± 2.5%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
3%
CornelWestIndependent
0%
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
1%
1,057 (LV)
1,057 (LV)
Poll source
1,057 (LV)
Date(s)administered
± 3.0%
Samplesize
48%
Marginof error
48%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
2%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
0%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
1%
CornelWestIndependent
0%
JillSteinGreen
1%
The Wall Street Journal
The Wall Street Journal
Poll source
The Wall Street Journal
Date(s)administered
September 28 – October 8, 2024
Samplesize
600 (RV)
Marginof error
± 5.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
45%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
0%
CornelWestIndependent
0%
JillSteinGreen
2%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
6%
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)
Poll source
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)
Date(s)administered
September 23–29, 2024
Samplesize
408 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.9%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
0%
CornelWestIndependent
0%
JillSteinGreen
0%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
5%
The New York Times/Siena College/The Philadelphia Inquirer
The New York Times/Siena College/The Philadelphia Inquirer
Poll source
The New York Times/Siena College/The Philadelphia Inquirer
Date(s)administered
September 11−16, 2024
Samplesize
1,082 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.8%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
0%
CornelWestIndependent
0%
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
5%
1,082 (LV)
1,082 (LV)
Poll source
1,082 (LV)
Date(s)administered
49%
Samplesize
45%
Marginof error
0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
0%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
1%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
1%
CornelWestIndependent
4%
YouGov
YouGov
Poll source
YouGov
Date(s)administered
August 15–23, 2024
Samplesize
500 (A)
Marginof error
± 5.1%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
43%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
41%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
3%
CornelWestIndependent
0%
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
11%
– (LV)
– (LV)
Poll source
– (LV)
Date(s)administered
± 5.9%
Samplesize
48%
Marginof error
46%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
2%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
0%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
1%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
2%
Spry Strategies (R)
Spry Strategies (R)
Poll source
Spry Strategies (R)
Date(s)administered
August 14–20, 2024
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
4%
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
Other /Undecided
4%
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Poll source
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Date(s)administered
August 13–17, 2024
Samplesize
1,312 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
5%
CornelWestIndependent
0%
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
Other /Undecided
3%
Focaldata
Focaldata
Poll source
Focaldata
Date(s)administered
August 6–16, 2024
Samplesize
719 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.7%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
4%
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
0%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
0%
Other /Undecided
1%
719 (RV)
719 (RV)
Poll source
719 (RV)
Date(s)administered
49%
Samplesize
46%
Marginof error
4%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
0%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
0%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
719 (A)
719 (A)
Poll source
719 (A)
Date(s)administered
47%
Samplesize
47%
Marginof error
4%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
0%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
0%
CornelWestIndependent
2%
Cygnal (R)
Cygnal (R)
Poll source
Cygnal (R)
Date(s)administered
August 14–15, 2024
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.4%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
43%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
5%
CornelWestIndependent
2%
JillSteinGreen
2%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
0%
Other /Undecided
4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
August 12–15, 2024
Samplesize
825 (LV)
Marginof error
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
4%
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
0%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
0%
Other /Undecided
6%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
August 13–14, 2024
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
3%
CornelWestIndependent
0%
JillSteinGreen
0%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
0%
Other /Undecided
3%
Quinnipiac University
Quinnipiac University
Poll source
Quinnipiac University
Date(s)administered
August 8–12, 2024
Samplesize
1,738 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.4%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
4%
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
0%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
0%
Other /Undecided
3%
The Bullfinch Group
The Bullfinch Group
Poll source
The Bullfinch Group
Date(s)administered
August 8–11, 2024
Samplesize
500 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
45%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
41%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
6%
CornelWestIndependent
2%
JillSteinGreen
0%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
Other /Undecided
6%
Franklin & Marshall College
Franklin & Marshall College
Poll source
Franklin & Marshall College
Date(s)administered
July 31 – August 11, 2024
Samplesize
920 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.8%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
6%
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
3%
The New York Times/Siena College
The New York Times/Siena College
Poll source
The New York Times/Siena College
Date(s)administered
August 6–9, 2024
Samplesize
693 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.2%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
45%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
5%
CornelWestIndependent
0%
JillSteinGreen
2%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
5%
693 (LV)
693 (LV)
Poll source
693 (LV)
Date(s)administered
46%
Samplesize
44%
Marginof error
4%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
0%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
1%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
1%
CornelWestIndependent
3%
Navigator Research (D)
Navigator Research (D)
Poll source
Navigator Research (D)
Date(s)administered
July 31 – August 8, 2024
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
44%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
5%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
2%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
Poll source
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
Date(s)administered
July 26 – August 8, 2024
Samplesize
411 (LV)
Marginof error
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
5%
CornelWestIndependent
0%
JillSteinGreen
0%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
Other /Undecided
4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
July 31 – August 3, 2024
Samplesize
743 (LV)
Marginof error
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
44%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
3%
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
0%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
0%
Other /Undecided
7%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
July 24–28, 2024
Samplesize
804 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
44%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
3%
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
4%
Other /Undecided
2%
The Bullfinch Group
The Bullfinch Group
Poll source
The Bullfinch Group
Date(s)administered
July 23–25, 2024
Samplesize
800 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
44%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
6%
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
July 22–24, 2024
Samplesize
851 (LV)
Marginof error
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
42%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
5%
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
0%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
0%
Other /Undecided
7%
Fox News
Fox News
Poll source
Fox News
Date(s)administered
July 22–24, 2024
Samplesize
1,034 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
45%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
7%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
Other /Undecided
3%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
July 22–23, 2024
Samplesize
850 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.3%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
44%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
3%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
0%
Other /Undecided
5%
Public Policy Polling (D)
Public Policy Polling (D)
Poll source
Public Policy Polling (D)
Date(s)administered
July 17–18, 2024
Samplesize
624 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.8%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
43%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
4%
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
2%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
Other /Undecided
6%
The New York Times/Siena College
The New York Times/Siena College
Poll source
The New York Times/Siena College
Date(s)administered
July 9–11, 2024
Samplesize
872 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.7%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
40%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
42%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
7%
CornelWestIndependent
0%
JillSteinGreen
3%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
Other /Undecided
8%
872 (LV)
872 (LV)
Poll source
872 (LV)
Date(s)administered
42%
Samplesize
43%
Marginof error
6%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
0%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
2%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
CornelWestIndependent
7%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
ChaseOliverLibertarian
Other /Undecided
Fox News
October 24–28, 2024
1,310 (RV)
± 2.5%
48%
46%
3%
0%
1%
1%
1%
1,057 (LV)
± 3.0%
48%
48%
2%
0%
1%
0%
1%
The Wall Street Journal
September 28 – October 8, 2024
600 (RV)
± 5.0%
45%
46%
0%
0%
2%
1%
6%
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)
September 23–29, 2024
408 (LV)
± 4.9%
47%
47%
0%
0%
0%
1%
5%
The New York Times/Siena College/The Philadelphia Inquirer
September 11−16, 2024
1,082 (RV)
± 3.8%
48%
45%
0%
0%
1%
1%
5%
1,082 (LV)
49%
45%
0%
0%
1%
1%
4%
YouGov
August 15–23, 2024
500 (A)
± 5.1%
43%
41%
3%
0%
1%
1%
11%
– (LV)
± 5.9%
48%
46%
2%
0%
1%
1%
2%
Spry Strategies (R)
August 14–20, 2024
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
46%
45%
4%
1%
4%
Rasmussen Reports (R)
August 13–17, 2024
1,312 (LV)
± 3.0%
46%
45%
5%
0%
1%
3%
Focaldata
August 6–16, 2024
719 (LV)
± 3.7%
48%
47%
4%
0%
0%
1%
719 (RV)
49%
46%
4%
0%
0%
1%
719 (A)
47%
47%
4%
0%
0%
2%
Cygnal (R)
August 14–15, 2024
800 (LV)
± 3.4%
43%
44%
5%
2%
2%
0%
4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
August 12–15, 2024
825 (LV)
46%
44%
4%
0%
0%
6%
Emerson College
August 13–14, 2024
1,000 (RV)
± 3.0%
47%
47%
3%
0%
0%
0%
3%
Quinnipiac University
August 8–12, 2024
1,738 (LV)
± 2.4%
48%
45%
4%
0%
0%
3%
The Bullfinch Group
August 8–11, 2024
500 (RV)
± 4.4%
45%
41%
6%
2%
0%
6%
Franklin & Marshall College
July 31 – August 11, 2024
920 (RV)
± 3.8%
46%
43%
6%
1%
1%
3%
The New York Times/Siena College
August 6–9, 2024
693 (RV)
± 4.2%
45%
43%
5%
0%
2%
1%
5%
693 (LV)
46%
44%
4%
0%
1%
1%
3%
Navigator Research (D)
July 31 – August 8, 2024
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
44%
46%
5%
1%
1%
1%
2%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
July 26 – August 8, 2024
411 (LV)
48%
43%
5%
0%
0%
4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
July 31 – August 3, 2024
743 (LV)
44%
46%
3%
0%
0%
7%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
July 24–28, 2024
804 (RV)
± 4.0%
44%
46%
3%
1%
4%
2%
The Bullfinch Group
July 23–25, 2024
800 (RV)
± 3.5%
44%
44%
6%
1%
1%
4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
July 22–24, 2024
851 (LV)
42%
46%
5%
0%
0%
7%
Fox News
July 22–24, 2024
1,034 (RV)
± 3.0%
45%
43%
7%
1%
1%
3%
Emerson College
July 22–23, 2024
850 (RV)
± 3.3%
44%
46%
3%
1%
1%
0%
5%
July 21, 2024
Joe Biden announces his withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
Public Policy Polling (D)
July 17–18, 2024
624 (RV)
± 3.8%
43%
45%
4%
2%
6%
The New York Times/Siena College
July 9–11, 2024
872 (RV)
± 3.7%
40%
42%
7%
0%
3%
8%
872 (LV)
42%
43%
6%
0%
2%
7%
Z to A Research (D)
Z to A Research (D)
Poll source
Z to A Research (D)
Date(s)administered
August 23–26, 2024
Samplesize
613 (LV)
Marginof error
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
5%
Other /Undecided
3%
Fabrizio Ward (R)
Fabrizio Ward (R)
Poll source
Fabrizio Ward (R)
Date(s)administered
August 19–21, 2024
Samplesize
400 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.9%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
43%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
3%
Other /Undecided
11%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)
Poll source
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)
Date(s)administered
July 29 – August 1, 2024
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
45%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
4%
Other /Undecided
6%
Susquehanna Polling and Research (R)
Susquehanna Polling and Research (R)
Poll source
Susquehanna Polling and Research (R)
Date(s)administered
July 22–28, 2024
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
3%
Other /Undecided
7%
Civiqs
Civiqs
Poll source
Civiqs
Date(s)administered
July 13–16, 2024
Samplesize
536 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.7%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
44%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
5%
Other /Undecided
5%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
Other /Undecided
Z to A Research (D)
August 23–26, 2024
613 (LV)
46%
46%
5%
3%
Fabrizio Ward (R)
August 19–21, 2024
400 (LV)
± 4.9%
43%
43%
3%
11%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)
July 29 – August 1, 2024
600 (LV)
45%
45%
4%
6%
Susquehanna Polling and Research (R)
July 22–28, 2024
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
47%
43%
3%
7%
July 21, 2024
Joe Biden announces his withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
Civiqs
July 13–16, 2024
536 (RV)
± 4.7%
44%
46%
5%
5%
SoCal Strategies (R)
SoCal Strategies (R)
Poll source
SoCal Strategies (R)
Date(s)administered
August 23, 2024
Samplesize
713 (LV)
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
43%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
10%
800 (RV)
800 (RV)
Poll source
800 (RV)
Date(s)administered
41%
Samplesize
46%
Marginof error
13%
SoCal Strategies (R)
SoCal Strategies (R)
Poll source
SoCal Strategies (R)
Date(s)administered
July 20–21, 2024
Samplesize
500 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
JoeBidenDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
50%
Other /Undecided
4%
Public Policy Polling (D)
Public Policy Polling (D)
Poll source
Public Policy Polling (D)
Date(s)administered
July 17–18, 2024
Samplesize
624 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.8%
JoeBidenDemocratic
44%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
7%
InsiderAdvantage (R)
InsiderAdvantage (R)
Poll source
InsiderAdvantage (R)
Date(s)administered
July 15–16, 2024
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
JoeBidenDemocratic
45%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
6%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
July 15–16, 2024
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
43%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
9%
Public Policy Polling (D)
Public Policy Polling (D)
Poll source
Public Policy Polling (D)
Date(s)administered
July 11–12, 2024
Samplesize
537 (RV)
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
44%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
9%
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Poll source
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Date(s)administered
July 5–12, 2024
Samplesize
1,041 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
44%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
9%
The New York Times/Siena College
The New York Times/Siena College
Poll source
The New York Times/Siena College
Date(s)administered
July 9–11, 2024
Samplesize
872 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.7%
JoeBidenDemocratic
44%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
8%
872 (LV)
872 (LV)
Poll source
872 (LV)
Date(s)administered
45%
Samplesize
48%
Marginof error
7%
Echelon Insights
Echelon Insights
Poll source
Echelon Insights
Date(s)administered
July 1–8, 2024
Samplesize
612 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.9%
JoeBidenDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
7%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
July 1–5, 2024
Samplesize
794 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
44%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
51%
Other /Undecided
5%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
June 30 – July 2, 2024
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
43%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
9%
Cygnal (R)
Cygnal (R)
Poll source
Cygnal (R)
Date(s)administered
June 27–28, 2024
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
JoeBidenDemocratic
44%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
8%
The Bullfinch Group
The Bullfinch Group
Poll source
The Bullfinch Group
Date(s)administered
June 14–19, 2024
Samplesize
800 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.46%
JoeBidenDemocratic
45%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
Other /Undecided
12%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
June 13–18, 2024
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
45%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
8%
49%
49%
Poll source
49%
Date(s)administered
51%
Samplesize
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University
Poll source
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University
Date(s)administered
May 30–31, 2024
Samplesize
1,012 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
JoeBidenDemocratic
43%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
Other /Undecided
12%
923 (LV)
923 (LV)
Poll source
923 (LV)
Date(s)administered
45%
Samplesize
47%
Marginof error
8%
KAConsulting (R)
KAConsulting (R)
Poll source
KAConsulting (R)
Date(s)administered
May 15–19, 2024
Samplesize
600 (RV)
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
44%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
Other /Undecided
12%
Prime Group
Prime Group
Poll source
Prime Group
Date(s)administered
May 9–16, 2024
Samplesize
487 (RV)
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
51%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
May 7–13, 2024
Samplesize
812 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
6%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
Poll source
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
Date(s)administered
May 6–13, 2024
Samplesize
730 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.6%
JoeBidenDemocratic
45%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
7%
The New York Times/Siena College/The Philadelphia Inquirer
The New York Times/Siena College/The Philadelphia Inquirer
Poll source
The New York Times/Siena College/The Philadelphia Inquirer
Date(s)administered
April 28 – May 9, 2024
Samplesize
1,023 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.6%
JoeBidenDemocratic
44%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
9%
1,023 (LV)
1,023 (LV)
Poll source
1,023 (LV)
Date(s)administered
45%
Samplesize
48%
Marginof error
7%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
Poll source
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
Date(s)administered
April 24–30, 2024
Samplesize
1,398 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
45%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
6%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
April 25–29, 2024
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
45%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
8%
49%
49%
Poll source
49%
Date(s)administered
51%
Samplesize
CBS News/YouGov
CBS News/YouGov
Poll source
CBS News/YouGov
Date(s)administered
April 19–25, 2024
Samplesize
1,288 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
JoeBidenDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
50%
Other /Undecided
1%
Muhlenberg College
Muhlenberg College
Poll source
Muhlenberg College
Date(s)administered
April 15–25, 2024
Samplesize
417 (RV)
Marginof error
± 6.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
41%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
Other /Undecided
15%
John Zogby Strategies
John Zogby Strategies
Poll source
John Zogby Strategies
Date(s)administered
April 13–21, 2024
Samplesize
628 (LV)
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
50%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
Other /Undecided
5%
Kaplan Strategies
Kaplan Strategies
Poll source
Kaplan Strategies
Date(s)administered
April 20–21, 2024
Samplesize
802 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
JoeBidenDemocratic
41%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Other /Undecided
13%
Fox News
Fox News
Poll source
Fox News
Date(s)administered
April 11–16, 2024
Samplesize
1,141 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
April 8–15, 2024
Samplesize
803 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
7%
The Bullfinch Group
The Bullfinch Group
Poll source
The Bullfinch Group
Date(s)administered
March 29 – April 3, 2024
Samplesize
600 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
38%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
Other /Undecided
18%
Franklin & Marshall College
Franklin & Marshall College
Poll source
Franklin & Marshall College
Date(s)administered
March 20–31, 2024
Samplesize
870 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
38%
Other /Undecided
14%
Big Data Poll (R)
Big Data Poll (R)
Poll source
Big Data Poll (R)
Date(s)administered
March 26–30, 2024
Samplesize
1,305 (RV)
Marginof error
± 2.6%
JoeBidenDemocratic
40%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Other /Undecided
14%
42%
42%
Poll source
42%
Date(s)administered
44%
Samplesize
14%
49%
49%
Poll source
49%
Date(s)administered
51%
Samplesize
The Wall Street Journal
The Wall Street Journal
Poll source
The Wall Street Journal
Date(s)administered
March 17–24, 2024
Samplesize
600 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
44%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
9%
Echelon Insights
Echelon Insights
Poll source
Echelon Insights
Date(s)administered
March 12–19, 2024
Samplesize
400 (LV)
Marginof error
± 5.5%
JoeBidenDemocratic
45%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
6%
CNN/SSRS
CNN/SSRS
Poll source
CNN/SSRS
Date(s)administered
March 13–18, 2024
Samplesize
1,132 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.8%
JoeBidenDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Other /Undecided
8%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
March 10–13, 2024
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
43%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
10%
48%
48%
Poll source
48%
Date(s)administered
52%
Samplesize
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
March 8–12, 2024
Samplesize
807 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
45%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
Other /Undecided
10%
Fox News
Fox News
Poll source
Fox News
Date(s)administered
March 7–11, 2024
Samplesize
1,149 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
4%
Susquehanna Polling & Research
Susquehanna Polling & Research
Poll source
Susquehanna Polling & Research
Date(s)administered
February 27 – March 7, 2024
Samplesize
450 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.6%
JoeBidenDemocratic
50%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
Other /Undecided
5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
February 12–20, 2024
Samplesize
803 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
43%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
8%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
February 14–16, 2024
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
43%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
Other /Undecided
12%
Chism Strategies
Chism Strategies
Poll source
Chism Strategies
Date(s)administered
February 6–8, 2024
Samplesize
500 (RV)
Marginof error
± 5.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
32%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
40%
Other /Undecided
28%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Poll source
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Date(s)administered
January 22–25, 2024
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
JoeBidenDemocratic
42%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
10%
Franklin & Marshall College
Franklin & Marshall College
Poll source
Franklin & Marshall College
Date(s)administered
January 17–28, 2024
Samplesize
507 (RV)
Marginof error
± 5.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
43%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
42%
Other /Undecided
15%
Focaldata
Focaldata
Poll source
Focaldata
Date(s)administered
January 17–23, 2024
Samplesize
834 (A)
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
38%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Other /Undecided
16%
– (LV)
– (LV)
Poll source
– (LV)
Date(s)administered
42%
Samplesize
47%
Marginof error
11%
– (LV)
– (LV)
Poll source
– (LV)
Date(s)administered
49%
Samplesize
51%
Marginof error
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
January 16–21, 2024
Samplesize
795 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
45%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
7%
Susquehanna Polling & Research
Susquehanna Polling & Research
Poll source
Susquehanna Polling & Research
Date(s)administered
January 15–21, 2024
Samplesize
745 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.7%
JoeBidenDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
39%
Other /Undecided
14%
Quinnipiac University
Quinnipiac University
Poll source
Quinnipiac University
Date(s)administered
January 4–8, 2024
Samplesize
1,680 (RV)
Marginof error
± 2.4%
JoeBidenDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Other /Undecided
5%
The Bullfinch Group
The Bullfinch Group
Poll source
The Bullfinch Group
Date(s)administered
December 14–18, 2023
Samplesize
600 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
45%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
Other /Undecided
10%
Change Research/Future Majority (D)
Change Research/Future Majority (D)
Poll source
Change Research/Future Majority (D)
Date(s)administered
December 3–7, 2023
Samplesize
(RVs)
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
40%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Other /Undecided
14%
Muhlenberg College
Muhlenberg College
Poll source
Muhlenberg College
Date(s)administered
November 20 – December 13, 2023
Samplesize
421 (RV)
Marginof error
± 6.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
42%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
41%
Other /Undecided
17%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
November 27 – December 6, 2023
Samplesize
799 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
44%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Other /Undecided
10%
Big Data Poll (R)
Big Data Poll (R)
Poll source
Big Data Poll (R)
Date(s)administered
November 16–19, 2023
Samplesize
1,382 (RV)
Marginof error
± 2.6%
JoeBidenDemocratic
37%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
41%
Other /Undecided
22%
1,284 (LV)
1,284 (LV)
Poll source
1,284 (LV)
Date(s)administered
39%
Samplesize
41%
Marginof error
20%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
October 30 – November 7, 2023
Samplesize
805 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
44%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
9%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
October 30 – November 4, 2023
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
43%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Other /Undecided
11%
816 (LV)
816 (LV)
Poll source
816 (LV)
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
45%
Marginof error
49%
JoeBidenDemocratic
6%
The New York Times/Siena College
The New York Times/Siena College
Poll source
The New York Times/Siena College
Date(s)administered
October 22 – November 3, 2023
Samplesize
600 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.6%
JoeBidenDemocratic
44%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
8%
(600 LV)
(600 LV)
Poll source
(600 LV)
Date(s)administered
44%
Samplesize
49%
Marginof error
7%
Franklin & Marshall College
Franklin & Marshall College
Poll source
Franklin & Marshall College
Date(s)administered
October 11–22, 2023
Samplesize
873 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.1%
JoeBidenDemocratic
44%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
42%
Other /Undecided
14%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
October 5–10, 2023
Samplesize
807 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
45%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Other /Undecided
9%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
October 7–9, 2023
Samplesize
900 (LV)
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
43%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
42%
Other /Undecided
15%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
October 1–4, 2023
Samplesize
430 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.7%
JoeBidenDemocratic
36%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
Other /Undecided
19%
Quinnipiac University
Quinnipiac University
Poll source
Quinnipiac University
Date(s)administered
September 28 – October 2, 2023
Samplesize
1,725 (RV)
Marginof error
± 2.4%
JoeBidenDemocratic
45%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
8%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)
Poll source
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)
Date(s)administered
September 19–28, 2023
Samplesize
700 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.7%
JoeBidenDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
Other /Undecided
8%
Public Policy Polling (D)
Public Policy Polling (D)
Poll source
Public Policy Polling (D)
Date(s)administered
September 25–26, 2023
Samplesize
673 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.8%
JoeBidenDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
Other /Undecided
7%
National Public Affairs
National Public Affairs
Poll source
National Public Affairs
Date(s)administered
September 14–17, 2023
Samplesize
622 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.9%
JoeBidenDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
Other /Undecided
8%
Franklin & Marshall College
Franklin & Marshall College
Poll source
Franklin & Marshall College
Date(s)administered
August 9–20, 2023
Samplesize
723 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.5%
JoeBidenDemocratic
42%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
40%
Other /Undecided
18%
Prime Group
Prime Group
Poll source
Prime Group
Date(s)administered
June 14–28, 2023
Samplesize
500 (RV)
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
50%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
50%
Other /Undecided
38%
38%
Poll source
38%
Date(s)administered
43%
Samplesize
19%
Quinnipiac University
Quinnipiac University
Poll source
Quinnipiac University
Date(s)administered
June 22–26, 2023
Samplesize
1,584 (RV)
Marginof error
± 2.5%
JoeBidenDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
7%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Poll source
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Date(s)administered
June 17–19, 2023
Samplesize
500 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
JoeBidenDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
Other /Undecided
7%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Poll source
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Date(s)administered
April 11–13, 2023
Samplesize
500 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
JoeBidenDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
42%
Other /Undecided
12%
Franklin & Marshall College
Franklin & Marshall College
Poll source
Franklin & Marshall College
Date(s)administered
March 27 – April 7, 2023
Samplesize
643 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.9%
JoeBidenDemocratic
36%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
35%
Other /Undecided
29%
Susquehanna Polling & Research
Susquehanna Polling & Research
Poll source
Susquehanna Polling & Research
Date(s)administered
February 19–26, 2023
Samplesize
800 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.2%
JoeBidenDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
41%
Other /Undecided
11%
Targoz Market Research
Targoz Market Research
Poll source
Targoz Market Research
Date(s)administered
November 2–6, 2022
Samplesize
904 (RV)
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
4%
631 (LV)
631 (LV)
Poll source
631 (LV)
Date(s)administered
± 3.8%
Samplesize
46%
Marginof error
52%
JoeBidenDemocratic
2%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
October 28–31, 2022
Samplesize
1,000 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
44%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
Other /Undecided
12%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
September 23–26, 2022
Samplesize
1,000 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
45%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Other /Undecided
9%
Echelon Insights
Echelon Insights
Poll source
Echelon Insights
Date(s)administered
August 31 – September 7, 2022
Samplesize
828 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
JoeBidenDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
Other /Undecided
9%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
August 22–23, 2022
Samplesize
1,034 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
42%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
11%
PEM Management Corporation (R)
PEM Management Corporation (R)
Poll source
PEM Management Corporation (R)
Date(s)administered
July 22–24, 2022
Samplesize
300 (LV)
Marginof error
± 5.7%
JoeBidenDemocratic
42%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
Other /Undecided
14%
Blueprint Polling (D)
Blueprint Polling (D)
Poll source
Blueprint Polling (D)
Date(s)administered
July 19–21, 2022
Samplesize
712 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.7%
JoeBidenDemocratic
42%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
41%
Other /Undecided
17%
Blueprint Polling (D)
Blueprint Polling (D)
Poll source
Blueprint Polling (D)
Date(s)administered
February 15–16, 2022
Samplesize
635 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.9%
JoeBidenDemocratic
45%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
40%
Other /Undecided
15%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)
Poll source
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)
Date(s)administered
November 11–16, 2021
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
45%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
51%
Other /Undecided
4%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Other /Undecided
SoCal Strategies (R)
August 23, 2024
713 (LV)
43%
47%
10%
800 (RV)
41%
46%
13%
SoCal Strategies (R)
July 20–21, 2024
500 (LV)
± 4.4%
46%
50%
4%
Public Policy Polling (D)
July 17–18, 2024
624 (RV)
± 3.8%
44%
49%
7%
InsiderAdvantage (R)
July 15–16, 2024
800 (LV)
± 3.5%
45%
49%
6%
Emerson College
July 15–16, 2024
1,000 (RV)
± 3.0%
43%
48%
9%
Public Policy Polling (D)
July 11–12, 2024
537 (RV)
44%
47%
9%
Rasmussen Reports (R)
July 5–12, 2024
1,041 (LV)
± 3.0%
44%
47%
9%
The New York Times/Siena College
July 9–11, 2024
872 (RV)
± 3.7%
44%
48%
8%
872 (LV)
45%
48%
7%
Echelon Insights
July 1–8, 2024
612 (LV)
± 4.9%
48%
47%
7%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
July 1–5, 2024
794 (RV)
± 3.0%
44%
51%
5%
Emerson College
June 30 – July 2, 2024
1,000 (RV)
± 3.0%
43%
48%
9%
Cygnal (R)
June 27–28, 2024
800 (LV)
± 3.5%
44%
48%
8%
The Bullfinch Group
June 14–19, 2024
800 (RV)
± 3.46%
45%
44%
12%
Emerson College
June 13–18, 2024
1,000 (RV)
± 3.0%
45%
47%
8%
49%
51%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University
May 30–31, 2024
1,012 (RV)
± 3.1%
43%
45%
12%
923 (LV)
45%
47%
8%
KAConsulting (R)
May 15–19, 2024
600 (RV)
44%
44%
12%
Prime Group
May 9–16, 2024
487 (RV)
51%
49%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
May 7–13, 2024
812 (RV)
± 3.0%
46%
48%
6%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
May 6–13, 2024
730 (LV)
± 3.6%
45%
48%
7%
The New York Times/Siena College/The Philadelphia Inquirer
April 28 – May 9, 2024
1,023 (RV)
± 3.6%
44%
47%
9%
1,023 (LV)
45%
48%
7%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
April 24–30, 2024
1,398 (LV)
± 3.0%
45%
49%
6%
Emerson College
April 25–29, 2024
1,000 (RV)
± 3.0%
45%
47%
8%
49%
51%
CBS News/YouGov
April 19–25, 2024
1,288 (LV)
± 3.1%
49%
50%
1%
Muhlenberg College
April 15–25, 2024
417 (RV)
± 6.0%
41%
44%
15%
John Zogby Strategies
April 13–21, 2024
628 (LV)
50%
45%
5%
Kaplan Strategies
April 20–21, 2024
802 (RV)
± 3.5%
41%
46%
13%
Fox News
April 11–16, 2024
1,141 (RV)
± 3.0%
48%
48%
4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
April 8–15, 2024
803 (RV)
± 3.0%
46%
47%
7%
The Bullfinch Group
March 29 – April 3, 2024
600 (RV)
± 4.0%
38%
44%
18%
Franklin & Marshall College
March 20–31, 2024
870 (RV)
± 4.0%
48%
38%
14%
Big Data Poll (R)
March 26–30, 2024
1,305 (RV)
± 2.6%
40%
46%
14%
42%
44%
14%
49%
51%
The Wall Street Journal
March 17–24, 2024
600 (RV)
± 4.0%
44%
47%
9%
Echelon Insights
March 12–19, 2024
400 (LV)
± 5.5%
45%
49%
6%
CNN/SSRS
March 13–18, 2024
1,132 (RV)
± 3.8%
46%
46%
8%
Emerson College
March 10–13, 2024
1,000 (RV)
± 3.0%
43%
47%
10%
48%
52%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
March 8–12, 2024
807 (RV)
± 3.0%
45%
45%
10%
Fox News
March 7–11, 2024
1,149 (RV)
± 3.0%
47%
49%
4%
Susquehanna Polling & Research
February 27 – March 7, 2024
450 (LV)
± 4.6%
50%
45%
5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
February 12–20, 2024
803 (RV)
± 3.0%
43%
49%
8%
Emerson College
February 14–16, 2024
1,000 (RV)
± 3.0%
43%
45%
12%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
July 15–16, 2024
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
40%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
4%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
1%
Other /Undecided
8%
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Poll source
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Date(s)administered
July 5–12, 2024
Samplesize
1,041 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
42%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
6%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
2%
Other /Undecided
3%
YouGov
YouGov
Poll source
YouGov
Date(s)administered
July 4–12, 2024
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.4%
JoeBidenDemocratic
40%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
3%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
1%
Other /Undecided
12%
The New York Times/Siena College
The New York Times/Siena College
Poll source
The New York Times/Siena College
Date(s)administered
July 9–11, 2024
Samplesize
872 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.7%
JoeBidenDemocratic
38%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
41%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
8%
CornelWestIndependent
0%
JillSteinGreen
2%
Other /Undecided
11%
872 (LV)
872 (LV)
Poll source
872 (LV)
Date(s)administered
40%
Samplesize
42%
Marginof error
7%
JoeBidenDemocratic
0%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
2%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
9%
Echelon Insights
Echelon Insights
Poll source
Echelon Insights
Date(s)administered
July 1–8, 2024
Samplesize
612 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.9%
JoeBidenDemocratic
44%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
42%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
6%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
2%
Other /Undecided
5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
July 1–5, 2024
Samplesize
794 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
41%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
7%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
1%
Other /Undecided
6%
Cygnal (R)
Cygnal (R)
Poll source
Cygnal (R)
Date(s)administered
June 27–28, 2024
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
JoeBidenDemocratic
38%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
42%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
9%
CornelWestIndependent
2%
JillSteinGreen
2%
Other /Undecided
7%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
June 13–18, 2024
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
42%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
5%
CornelWestIndependent
0%
JillSteinGreen
1%
Other /Undecided
12%
Marist College
Marist College
Poll source
Marist College
Date(s)administered
June 3–6, 2024
Samplesize
1,181 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.6%
JoeBidenDemocratic
45%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
3%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
1%
Other /Undecided
3%
KAConsulting (R)
KAConsulting (R)
Poll source
KAConsulting (R)
Date(s)administered
May 15–19, 2024
Samplesize
600 (RV)
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
39%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
41%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
9%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
3%
Other /Undecided
7%
Prime Group
Prime Group
Poll source
Prime Group
Date(s)administered
May 9–16, 2024
Samplesize
487 (RV)
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
45%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
42%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
9%
CornelWestIndependent
2%
JillSteinGreen
2%
Other /Undecided
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
May 7–13, 2024
Samplesize
812 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
42%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
7%
CornelWestIndependent
2%
JillSteinGreen
1%
Other /Undecided
3%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
Poll source
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
Date(s)administered
May 6–13, 2024
Samplesize
730 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.6%
JoeBidenDemocratic
40%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
7%
CornelWestIndependent
2%
JillSteinGreen
2%
Other /Undecided
6%
The New York Times/Siena College/The Philadelphia Inquirer
The New York Times/Siena College/The Philadelphia Inquirer
Poll source
The New York Times/Siena College/The Philadelphia Inquirer
Date(s)administered
April 28 – May 9, 2024
Samplesize
1,023 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.6%
JoeBidenDemocratic
36%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
40%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
10%
CornelWestIndependent
0%
JillSteinGreen
1%
Other /Undecided
13%
1,023 (LV)
1,023 (LV)
Poll source
1,023 (LV)
Date(s)administered
37%
Samplesize
41%
Marginof error
9%
JoeBidenDemocratic
0%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
1%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
12%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
April 25–29, 2024
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
41%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
6%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
1%
Other /Undecided
7%
Fox News
Fox News
Poll source
Fox News
Date(s)administered
April 11–16, 2024
Samplesize
1,141 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
42%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
8%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
2%
Other /Undecided
3%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
April 8–15, 2024
Samplesize
803 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
42%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
8%
CornelWestIndependent
0%
JillSteinGreen
1%
Other /Undecided
6%
The Wall Street Journal
The Wall Street Journal
Poll source
The Wall Street Journal
Date(s)administered
March 17–24, 2024
Samplesize
600 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
38%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
41%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
7%
CornelWestIndependent
3%
JillSteinGreen
1%
Other /Undecided
10%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
March 10–13, 2024
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
40%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
5%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
1%
Other /Undecided
9%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
March 8–12, 2024
Samplesize
807 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
38%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
7%
CornelWestIndependent
0%
JillSteinGreen
1%
Other /Undecided
10%
Fox News
Fox News
Poll source
Fox News
Date(s)administered
March 7–11, 2024
Samplesize
1,149 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
42%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
42%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
9%
CornelWestIndependent
2%
JillSteinGreen
2%
Other /Undecided
3%
Axis Research
Axis Research
Poll source
Axis Research
Date(s)administered
February 25–27, 2024
Samplesize
601 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.1%
JoeBidenDemocratic
40%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
39%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
8%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
2%
Other /Undecided
20%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
February 12–20, 2024
Samplesize
803 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
36%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
8%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
1%
Other /Undecided
9%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
February 14–16, 2024
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
37%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
42%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
8%
CornelWestIndependent
2%
JillSteinGreen
1%
Other /Undecided
10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
January 16–21, 2024
Samplesize
795 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
40%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
7%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
1%
Other /Undecided
8%
Quinnipiac University
Quinnipiac University
Poll source
Quinnipiac University
Date(s)administered
January 4–8, 2023
Samplesize
1,680 (RV)
Marginof error
± 2.4%
JoeBidenDemocratic
41%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
39%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
11%
CornelWestIndependent
2%
JillSteinGreen
4%
Other /Undecided
3%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
November 27 – December 6, 2023
Samplesize
799 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
38%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
39%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
9%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
1%
Other /Undecided
12%
Big Data Poll (R)
Big Data Poll (R)
Poll source
Big Data Poll (R)
Date(s)administered
November 16–19, 2023
Samplesize
1,382 (RV)
Marginof error
± 2.6%
JoeBidenDemocratic
35%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
40%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
9%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
1%
Other /Undecided
14%
1,284 (LV)
1,284 (LV)
Poll source
1,284 (LV)
Date(s)administered
37%
Samplesize
41%
Marginof error
9%
JoeBidenDemocratic
1%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
1%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
11%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
Other /Undecided
Emerson College
July 15–16, 2024
1,000 (RV)
± 3.0%
40%
46%
4%
1%
1%
8%
Rasmussen Reports (R)
July 5–12, 2024
1,041 (LV)
± 3.0%
42%
46%
6%
1%
2%
3%
YouGov
July 4–12, 2024
1,000 (RV)
± 3.4%
40%
43%
3%
1%
1%
12%
The New York Times/Siena College
July 9–11, 2024
872 (RV)
± 3.7%
38%
41%
8%
0%
2%
11%
872 (LV)
40%
42%
7%
0%
2%
9%
Echelon Insights
July 1–8, 2024
612 (LV)
± 4.9%
44%
42%
6%
1%
2%
5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
July 1–5, 2024
794 (RV)
± 3.0%
41%
44%
7%
1%
1%
6%
Cygnal (R)
June 27–28, 2024
800 (LV)
± 3.5%
38%
42%
9%
2%
2%
7%
Emerson College
June 13–18, 2024
1,000 (RV)
± 3.0%
42%
45%
5%
0%
1%
12%
Marist College
June 3–6, 2024
1,181 (RV)
± 3.6%
45%
47%
3%
1%
1%
3%
KAConsulting (R)
May 15–19, 2024
600 (RV)
39%
41%
9%
1%
3%
7%
Prime Group
May 9–16, 2024
487 (RV)
45%
42%
9%
2%
2%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
May 7–13, 2024
812 (RV)
± 3.0%
42%
45%
7%
2%
1%
3%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
May 6–13, 2024
730 (LV)
± 3.6%
40%
43%
7%
2%
2%
6%
The New York Times/Siena College/The Philadelphia Inquirer
April 28 – May 9, 2024
1,023 (RV)
± 3.6%
36%
40%
10%
0%
1%
13%
1,023 (LV)
37%
41%
9%
0%
1%
12%
Emerson College
April 25–29, 2024
1,000 (RV)
± 3.0%
41%
45%
6%
1%
1%
7%
Fox News
April 11–16, 2024
1,141 (RV)
± 3.0%
42%
44%
8%
1%
2%
3%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
April 8–15, 2024
803 (RV)
± 3.0%
42%
43%
8%
0%
1%
6%
The Wall Street Journal
March 17–24, 2024
600 (RV)
± 4.0%
38%
41%
7%
3%
1%
10%
Emerson College
March 10–13, 2024
1,000 (RV)
± 3.0%
40%
44%
5%
1%
1%
9%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
March 8–12, 2024
807 (RV)
± 3.0%
38%
44%
7%
0%
1%
10%
Fox News
March 7–11, 2024
1,149 (RV)
± 3.0%
42%
42%
9%
2%
2%
3%
Axis Research
February 25–27, 2024
601 (RV)
± 4.1%
40%
39%
8%
1%
2%
20%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
February 12–20, 2024
803 (RV)
± 3.0%
36%
45%
8%
1%
1%
9%
Emerson College
February 14–16, 2024
1,000 (RV)
± 3.0%
37%
42%
8%
2%
1%
10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
January 16–21, 2024
795 (RV)
± 3.0%
40%
43%
7%
1%
1%
8%
Quinnipiac University
January 4–8, 2023
1,680 (RV)
± 2.4%
41%
39%
11%
2%
4%
3%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
November 27 – December 6, 2023
799 (RV)
± 3.0%
38%
39%
9%
1%
1%
12%
Big Data Poll (R)
November 16–19, 2023
1,382 (RV)
± 2.6%
35%
40%
9%
1%
1%
14%
1,284 (LV)
37%
41%
9%
1%
1%
11%
Public Policy Polling (D)
Public Policy Polling (D)
Poll source
Public Policy Polling (D)
Date(s)administered
July 17–18, 2024
Samplesize
624 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.8%
JoeBidenDemocratic
42%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
4%
JillSteinGreen
2%
Other /Undecided
6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
July 16–18, 2024
Samplesize
688 (LV)
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
41%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
4%
JillSteinGreen
1%
Other /Undecided
9%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
July 8–10, 2024
Samplesize
719 (LV)
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
40%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
6%
JillSteinGreen
1%
Other /Undecided
8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
June 8–11, 2024
Samplesize
456 (LV)
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
42%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
5%
JillSteinGreen
1%
Other /Undecided
8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
May 2–4, 2024
Samplesize
635 (LV)
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
41%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
7%
JillSteinGreen
0%
Other /Undecided
9%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
Poll source
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
Date(s)administered
April 24–30, 2024
Samplesize
1,398 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
41%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
JillSteinGreen
5%
Other /Undecided
9%
Franklin & Marshall College
Franklin & Marshall College
Poll source
Franklin & Marshall College
Date(s)administered
March 20–31, 2024
Samplesize
870 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
42%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
40%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
9%
JillSteinGreen
3%
Other /Undecided
8%
Big Data Poll (R)
Big Data Poll (R)
Poll source
Big Data Poll (R)
Date(s)administered
March 26–30, 2024
Samplesize
1,305 (RV)
Marginof error
± 2.6%
JoeBidenDemocratic
40%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
8%
JillSteinGreen
2%
Other /Undecided
6%
42%
42%
Poll source
42%
Date(s)administered
46%
Samplesize
9%
Marginof error
3%
JoeBidenDemocratic
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
March 14–17, 2024
Samplesize
775 (LV)
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
41%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
7%
JillSteinGreen
1%
Other /Undecided
7%
Franklin & Marshall College
Franklin & Marshall College
Poll source
Franklin & Marshall College
Date(s)administered
January 17–28, 2024
Samplesize
494 (RV)
Marginof error
± 5.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
42%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
37%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
8%
JillSteinGreen
2%
Other /Undecided
11%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
JillSteinGreen
Other /Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)
July 17–18, 2024
624 (RV)
± 3.8%
42%
46%
4%
2%
6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
July 16–18, 2024
688 (LV)
41%
45%
4%
1%
9%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
July 8–10, 2024
719 (LV)
40%
45%
6%
1%
8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
June 8–11, 2024
456 (LV)
42%
44%
5%
1%
8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
May 2–4, 2024
635 (LV)
41%
43%
7%
0%
9%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
April 24–30, 2024
1,398 (LV)
± 3.0%
41%
46%
5%
9%
Franklin & Marshall College
March 20–31, 2024
870 (RV)
± 4.0%
42%
40%
9%
3%
8%
Big Data Poll (R)
March 26–30, 2024
1,305 (RV)
± 2.6%
40%
44%
8%
2%
6%
42%
46%
9%
3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
March 14–17, 2024
775 (LV)
41%
44%
7%
1%
7%
Franklin & Marshall College
January 17–28, 2024
494 (RV)
± 5.0%
42%
37%
8%
2%
11%
Civiqs
Civiqs
Poll source
Civiqs
Date(s)administered
July 13–16, 2024
Samplesize
536 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.7%
JoeBidenDemocratic
42%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
6%
Other /Undecided
6%
1983 Labs
1983 Labs
Poll source
1983 Labs
Date(s)administered
June 28–30, 2024
Samplesize
741 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.6%
JoeBidenDemocratic
41%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
3%
Other /Undecided
10%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University
Poll source
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University
Date(s)administered
May 30–31, 2024
Samplesize
1,012 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
JoeBidenDemocratic
41%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
39%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
8%
Other /Undecided
12%
923 (LV)
923 (LV)
Poll source
923 (LV)
Date(s)administered
43%
Samplesize
42%
Marginof error
7%
JoeBidenDemocratic
8%
Muhlenberg College
Muhlenberg College
Poll source
Muhlenberg College
Date(s)administered
April 15–25, 2024
Samplesize
417 (RV)
Marginof error
± 6.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
35%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
35%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
18%
Other /Undecided
12%
Big Data Poll (R)
Big Data Poll (R)
Poll source
Big Data Poll (R)
Date(s)administered
March 26–30, 2024
Samplesize
1,305 (RV)
Marginof error
± 2.6%
JoeBidenDemocratic
39%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
7%
Other /Undecided
6%
40%
40%
Poll source
40%
Date(s)administered
45%
Samplesize
8%
Marginof error
7%
The Bullfinch Group
The Bullfinch Group
Poll source
The Bullfinch Group
Date(s)administered
March 22–26, 2024
Samplesize
800 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
JoeBidenDemocratic
44%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
41%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
7%
Other /Undecided
8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
December 28–30, 2023
Samplesize
1,069 (LV)
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
39%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
40%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
9%
Other /Undecided
12%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
November 27–29, 2023
Samplesize
887 (LV)
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
37%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
7%
Other /Undecided
10%
Big Data Poll (R)
Big Data Poll (R)
Poll source
Big Data Poll (R)
Date(s)administered
November 16–19, 2023
Samplesize
1,382 (RV)
Marginof error
± 2.6%
JoeBidenDemocratic
36%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
40%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
8%
Other /Undecided
16%
1,284 (LV)
1,284 (LV)
Poll source
1,284 (LV)
Date(s)administered
38%
Samplesize
41%
Marginof error
8%
JoeBidenDemocratic
13%
The New York Times/Siena College
The New York Times/Siena College
Poll source
The New York Times/Siena College
Date(s)administered
October 22 – November 3, 2023
Samplesize
600 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.6
JoeBidenDemocratic
35%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
35%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
23%
Other /Undecided
7%
600 (LV)
600 (LV)
Poll source
600 (LV)
Date(s)administered
36%
Samplesize
36%
Marginof error
21%
JoeBidenDemocratic
7%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
October 7–9, 2023
Samplesize
900 (LV)
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
39%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
39%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
9%
Other /Undecided
13%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
Other /Undecided
Civiqs
July 13–16, 2024
536 (RV)
± 4.7%
42%
46%
6%
6%
1983 Labs
June 28–30, 2024
741 (LV)
± 3.6%
41%
46%
3%
10%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University
May 30–31, 2024
1,012 (RV)
± 3.1%
41%
39%
8%
12%
923 (LV)
43%
42%
7%
8%
Muhlenberg College
April 15–25, 2024
417 (RV)
± 6.0%
35%
35%
18%
12%
Big Data Poll (R)
March 26–30, 2024
1,305 (RV)
± 2.6%
39%
45%
7%
6%
40%
45%
8%
7%
The Bullfinch Group
March 22–26, 2024
800 (RV)
± 3.5%
44%
41%
7%
8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
December 28–30, 2023
1,069 (LV)
39%
40%
9%
12%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
November 27–29, 2023
887 (LV)
37%
44%
7%
10%
Big Data Poll (R)
November 16–19, 2023
1,382 (RV)
± 2.6%
36%
40%
8%
16%
1,284 (LV)
38%
41%
8%
13%
The New York Times/Siena College
October 22 – November 3, 2023
600 (RV)
± 4.6
35%
35%
23%
7%
600 (LV)
36%
36%
21%
7%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
October 7–9, 2023
900 (LV)
39%
39%
9%
13%
CNN/SSRS
CNN/SSRS
Poll source
CNN/SSRS
Date(s)administered
March 13–18, 2024
Samplesize
1,132 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.8%
JoeBidenDemocratic
38%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
40%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
16%
CornelWestIndependent
4%
Other /Undecided
4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
October 30 – November 7, 2023
Samplesize
805 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
38%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
41%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
8%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
Other /Undecided
12%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
CornelWestIndependent
Other /Undecided
CNN/SSRS
March 13–18, 2024
1,132 (RV)
± 3.8%
38%
40%
16%
4%
4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
October 30 – November 7, 2023
805 (RV)
± 3.0%
38%
41%
8%
1%
12%
John Zogby Strategies
John Zogby Strategies
Poll source
John Zogby Strategies
Date(s)administered
April 13–21, 2024
Samplesize
628 (LV)
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
47%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
42%
Other /Undecided
11%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
Other /Undecided
John Zogby Strategies
April 13–21, 2024
628 (LV)
47%
42%
11%
John Zogby Strategies
John Zogby Strategies
Poll source
John Zogby Strategies
Date(s)administered
April 13–21, 2024
Samplesize
628 (LV)
Marginof error
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
40%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
41%
Other /Undecided
19%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Other /Undecided
John Zogby Strategies
April 13–21, 2024
628 (LV)
40%
41%
19%
Public Policy Polling (D)
Public Policy Polling (D)
Poll source
Public Policy Polling (D)
Date(s)administered
July 11–12, 2024
Samplesize
537 (RV)
Marginof error
GavinNewsomDemocratic
42%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
51%
Other /Undecided
7%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
February 14–16, 2024
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
GavinNewsomDemocratic
33%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
19%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
GavinNewsomDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Other /Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)
July 11–12, 2024
537 (RV)
42%
51%
7%
Emerson College
February 14–16, 2024
1,000 (RV)
± 3.0%
33%
48%
19%
Fox News
Fox News
Poll source
Fox News
Date(s)administered
July 22–24, 2024
Samplesize
1,034 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
GretchenWhitmerDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
3%
Public Policy Polling (D)
Public Policy Polling (D)
Poll source
Public Policy Polling (D)
Date(s)administered
July 11–12, 2024
Samplesize
537 (RV)
Marginof error
GretchenWhitmerDemocratic
42%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
50%
Other /Undecided
8%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
GretchenWhitmerDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Other /Undecided
Fox News
July 22–24, 2024
1,034 (RV)
± 3.0%
48%
49%
3%
Public Policy Polling (D)
July 11–12, 2024
537 (RV)
42%
50%
8%
Public Policy Polling (D)
Public Policy Polling (D)
Poll source
Public Policy Polling (D)
Date(s)administered
July 11–12, 2024
Samplesize
537 (RV)
Marginof error
JBPritzkerDemocratic
37%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
50%
Other /Undecided
13%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
JBPritzkerDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Other /Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)
July 11–12, 2024
537 (RV)
37%
50%
13%
Fox News
Fox News
Poll source
Fox News
Date(s)administered
July 22–24, 2024
Samplesize
1,034 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoshShapiroDemocratic
54%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
Other /Undecided
2%
Public Policy Polling (D)
Public Policy Polling (D)
Poll source
Public Policy Polling (D)
Date(s)administered
July 11–12, 2024
Samplesize
537 (RV)
Marginof error
JoshShapiroDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Other /Undecided
7%
Muhlenberg College
Muhlenberg College
Poll source
Muhlenberg College
Date(s)administered
November 20 – December 13, 2023
Samplesize
421 (RV)
Marginof error
± 6.0%
JoshShapiroDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
37%
Other /Undecided
15%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
JoshShapiroDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Other /Undecided
Fox News
July 22–24, 2024
1,034 (RV)
± 3.0%
54%
44%
2%
Public Policy Polling (D)
July 11–12, 2024
537 (RV)
47%
46%
7%
Muhlenberg College
November 20 – December 13, 2023
421 (RV)
± 6.0%
48%
37%
15%
Public Policy Polling (D)
Public Policy Polling (D)
Poll source
Public Policy Polling (D)
Date(s)administered
July 17–18, 2024
Samplesize
624 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.8%
JoshShapiroDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
3%
JillSteinGreen
1%
Other /Undecided
6%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
JoshShapiroDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
JillSteinGreen
Other /Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)
July 17–18, 2024
624 (RV)
± 3.8%
47%
43%
3%
1%
6%
Public Policy Polling (D)
Public Policy Polling (D)
Poll source
Public Policy Polling (D)
Date(s)administered
July 11–12, 2024
Samplesize
537 (RV)
Marginof error
PeteButtigiegDemocratic
41%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
50%
Other /Undecided
9%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
PeteButtigiegDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Other /Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)
July 11–12, 2024
537 (RV)
41%
50%
9%
Muhlenberg College
Muhlenberg College
Poll source
Muhlenberg College
Date(s)administered
November 20 – December 13, 2023
Samplesize
421 (RV)
Marginof error
± 6.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
33%
NikkiHaleyRepublican
38%
Other /Undecided
29%
The New York Times/Siena College
The New York Times/Siena College
Poll source
The New York Times/Siena College
Date(s)administered
October 22 – November 3, 2023
Samplesize
600 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.6%
JoeBidenDemocratic
38%
NikkiHaleyRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
14%
600 (LV)
600 (LV)
Poll source
600 (LV)
Date(s)administered
39%
Samplesize
49%
Marginof error
12%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)
Poll source
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)
Date(s)administered
September 19–28, 2023
Samplesize
700 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.7%
JoeBidenDemocratic
44%
NikkiHaleyRepublican
45%
Other /Undecided
11%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
NikkiHaleyRepublican
Other /Undecided
Muhlenberg College
November 20 – December 13, 2023
421 (RV)
± 6.0%
33%
38%
29%
The New York Times/Siena College
October 22 – November 3, 2023
600 (RV)
± 4.6%
38%
48%
14%
600 (LV)
39%
49%
12%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)
September 19–28, 2023
700 (RV)
± 3.7%
44%
45%
11%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
November 27–29, 2023
Samplesize
887 (LV)
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
36%
NikkiHaleyRepublican
26%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
18%
Other /Undecided
20%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
NikkiHaleyRepublican
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
Other /Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
November 27–29, 2023
887 (LV)
36%
26%
18%
20%
Axis Research
Axis Research
Poll source
Axis Research
Date(s)administered
February 25–27, 2024
Samplesize
601 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.1%
JoeBidenDemocratic
39%
NikkiHaleyRepublican
19%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
13%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
1%
Other /Undecided
27%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
NikkiHaleyRepublican
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
Other /Undecided
Axis Research
February 25–27, 2024
601 (RV)
± 4.1%
39%
19%
13%
1%
1%
27%
Muhlenberg College
Muhlenberg College
Poll source
Muhlenberg College
Date(s)administered
November 20 – December 13, 2023
Samplesize
421 (RV)
Marginof error
± 6.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
41%
RonDeSantisRepublican
39%
Other /Undecided
20%
The New York Times/Siena College
The New York Times/Siena College
Poll source
The New York Times/Siena College
Date(s)administered
October 22 – November 3, 2023
Samplesize
600 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.6%
JoeBidenDemocratic
43%
RonDeSantisRepublican
45%
Other /Undecided
12%
600 (LV)
600 (LV)
Poll source
600 (LV)
Date(s)administered
43%
Samplesize
47%
Marginof error
10%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)
Poll source
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)
Date(s)administered
May 2–8, 2023
Samplesize
700 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.7%
JoeBidenDemocratic
48%
RonDeSantisRepublican
39%
Other /Undecided
12%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Poll source
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Date(s)administered
June 17–19, 2023
Samplesize
500 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
JoeBidenDemocratic
45%
RonDeSantisRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
7%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Poll source
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Date(s)administered
April 11–13, 2023
Samplesize
500 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
JoeBidenDemocratic
42%
RonDeSantisRepublican
45%
Other /Undecided
13%
Echelon Insights
Echelon Insights
Poll source
Echelon Insights
Date(s)administered
August 31 – September 7, 2022
Samplesize
828 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
JoeBidenDemocratic
46%
RonDeSantisRepublican
42%
Other /Undecided
12%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
RonDeSantisRepublican
Other /Undecided
Muhlenberg College
November 20 – December 13, 2023
421 (RV)
± 6.0%
41%
39%
20%
The New York Times/Siena College
October 22 – November 3, 2023
600 (RV)
± 4.6%
43%
45%
12%
600 (LV)
43%
47%
10%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)
May 2–8, 2023
700 (LV)
± 3.7%
48%
39%
12%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
June 17–19, 2023
500 (RV)
± 4.4%
45%
48%
7%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
April 11–13, 2023
500 (RV)
± 4.4%
42%
45%
13%
Echelon Insights
August 31 – September 7, 2022
828 (LV)
± 3.5%
46%
42%
12%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
November 27–29, 2023
Samplesize
887 (LV)
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
37%
RonDeSantisRepublican
34%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
13%
Other /Undecided
12%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
RonDeSantisRepublican
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
Other /Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
November 27–29, 2023
887 (LV)
37%
34%
13%
12%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)
Poll source
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)
Date(s)administered
May 2–8, 2023
Samplesize
700 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.7%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Democratic
42%
RonDeSantisRepublican
38%
Other /Undecided
20%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Democratic
RonDeSantisRepublican
Other /Undecided
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)
May 2–8, 2023
700 (LV)
± 3.7%
42%
38%
20%
2024 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania[265][266] · General election › Results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
7,034,206
Candidate
100.00
Votes
N/A
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
mw- ±%
Republican
mw- Donald TrumpJD Vance
3,543,308
50.37
+1.53
Democratic
Kamala HarrisTim Walz
3,423,042
48.66
−1.35
Green
Jill SteinButch Ware
34,538
0.49
+0.47
Libertarian
Chase OliverMike ter Maat
33,318
0.47
−0.67
Total votes
7,034,206
100.00
N/A
· General election › Results › By county
#
#
County
#
Donald TrumpRepublican
%
Donald TrumpRepublican
#
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
#
Various candidatesOther parties
%
Various candidatesOther parties
#
Margin
%
Adams
Adams
County
Adams
Donald TrumpRepublican
40,248
Donald TrumpRepublican
66.12%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
19,842
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
32.60%
Various candidatesOther parties
781
Various candidatesOther parties
1.28%
Margin
20,406
Margin
33.52%
Total votes cast
60,871
Allegheny
Allegheny
County
Allegheny
Donald TrumpRepublican
283,595
Donald TrumpRepublican
39.18%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
429,916
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
59.40%
Various candidatesOther parties
10,288
Various candidatesOther parties
1.42%
Margin
-146,321
Margin
-20.22%
Total votes cast
723,799
Armstrong
Armstrong
County
Armstrong
Donald TrumpRepublican
28,296
Donald TrumpRepublican
76.05%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
8,553
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
22.99%
Various candidatesOther parties
360
Various candidatesOther parties
0.96%
Margin
19,743
Margin
53.06%
Total votes cast
37,209
Beaver
Beaver
County
Beaver
Donald TrumpRepublican
56,837
Donald TrumpRepublican
59.71%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
37,196
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
39.07%
Various candidatesOther parties
1,161
Various candidatesOther parties
1.22%
Margin
19,641
Margin
20.64%
Total votes cast
95,194
Bedford
Bedford
County
Bedford
Donald TrumpRepublican
23,658
Donald TrumpRepublican
83.84%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
4,336
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
15.37%
Various candidatesOther parties
224
Various candidatesOther parties
0.79%
Margin
19,322
Margin
68.47%
Total votes cast
28,218
Berks
Berks
County
Berks
Donald TrumpRepublican
116,677
Donald TrumpRepublican
55.45%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
91,125
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
43.31%
Various candidatesOther parties
2,624
Various candidatesOther parties
1.24%
Margin
25,552
Margin
12.14%
Total votes cast
210,426
Blair
Blair
County
Blair
Donald TrumpRepublican
46,352
Donald TrumpRepublican
71.16%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
18,127
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
27.83%
Various candidatesOther parties
661
Various candidatesOther parties
1.01%
Margin
28,225
Margin
43.33%
Total votes cast
65,140
Bradford
Bradford
County
Bradford
Donald TrumpRepublican
22,937
Donald TrumpRepublican
73.53%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
7,990
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
25.62%
Various candidatesOther parties
265
Various candidatesOther parties
0.85%
Margin
14,947
Margin
47.91%
Total votes cast
31,192
Bucks
Bucks
County
Bucks
Donald TrumpRepublican
198,722
Donald TrumpRepublican
49.39%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
198,431
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
49.32%
Various candidatesOther parties
5,196
Various candidatesOther parties
1.29%
Margin
291
Margin
0.07%
Total votes cast
402,349
Butler
Butler
County
Butler
Donald TrumpRepublican
79,773
Donald TrumpRepublican
65.45%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
40,661
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
33.36%
Various candidatesOther parties
1,444
Various candidatesOther parties
1.19%
Margin
39,112
Margin
32.09%
Total votes cast
121,878
Cambria
Cambria
County
Cambria
Donald TrumpRepublican
49,408
Donald TrumpRepublican
69.25%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
21,177
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
29.68%
Various candidatesOther parties
760
Various candidatesOther parties
1.07%
Margin
28,231
Margin
39.57%
Total votes cast
71,345
Cameron
Cameron
County
Cameron
Donald TrumpRepublican
1,654
Donald TrumpRepublican
74.27%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
538
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
24.16%
Various candidatesOther parties
35
Various candidatesOther parties
1.57%
Margin
1,116
Margin
50.11%
Total votes cast
2,227
Carbon
Carbon
County
Carbon
Donald TrumpRepublican
23,708
Donald TrumpRepublican
66.90%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
11,394
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
32.15%
Various candidatesOther parties
334
Various candidatesOther parties
0.95%
Margin
12,314
Margin
34.75%
Total votes cast
35,436
Centre
Centre
County
Centre
Donald TrumpRepublican
38,829
Donald TrumpRepublican
47.85%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
41,119
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
50.67%
Various candidatesOther parties
1,205
Various candidatesOther parties
1.48%
Margin
-2,290
Margin
-2.82%
Total votes cast
81,153
Chester
Chester
County
Chester
Donald TrumpRepublican
137,299
Donald TrumpRepublican
42.06%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
184,281
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
56.45%
Various candidatesOther parties
4,849
Various candidatesOther parties
1.49%
Margin
-46,982
Margin
-14.39%
Total votes cast
326,429
Clarion
Clarion
County
Clarion
Donald TrumpRepublican
15,036
Donald TrumpRepublican
76.00%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
4,562
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
23.06%
Various candidatesOther parties
185
Various candidatesOther parties
0.94%
Margin
10,474
Margin
52.94%
Total votes cast
19,783
Clearfield
Clearfield
County
Clearfield
Donald TrumpRepublican
30,481
Donald TrumpRepublican
75.23%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
9,647
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
23.81%
Various candidatesOther parties
387
Various candidatesOther parties
0.96%
Margin
20,834
Margin
51.42%
Total votes cast
40,515
Clinton
Clinton
County
Clinton
Donald TrumpRepublican
12,965
Donald TrumpRepublican
69.83%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
5,395
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
29.06%
Various candidatesOther parties
207
Various candidatesOther parties
1.11%
Margin
7,570
Margin
40.77%
Total votes cast
18,567
Columbia
Columbia
County
Columbia
Donald TrumpRepublican
21,190
Donald TrumpRepublican
64.78%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
11,083
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
33.88%
Various candidatesOther parties
436
Various candidatesOther parties
1.34%
Margin
10,107
Margin
30.90%
Total votes cast
32,709
Crawford
Crawford
County
Crawford
Donald TrumpRepublican
29,685
Donald TrumpRepublican
69.04%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
12,858
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
29.90%
Various candidatesOther parties
456
Various candidatesOther parties
1.06%
Margin
16,827
Margin
39.14%
Total votes cast
42,999
Cumberland
Cumberland
County
Cumberland
Donald TrumpRepublican
80,267
Donald TrumpRepublican
53.85%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
66,255
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
44.45%
Various candidatesOther parties
2,546
Various candidatesOther parties
1.70%
Margin
14,012
Margin
9.40%
Total votes cast
149,068
Dauphin
Dauphin
County
Dauphin
Donald TrumpRepublican
69,474
Donald TrumpRepublican
46.29%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
78,327
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
52.19%
Various candidatesOther parties
2,280
Various candidatesOther parties
1.52%
Margin
-8,853
Margin
-5.90%
Total votes cast
150,081
Delaware
Delaware
County
Delaware
Donald TrumpRepublican
123,421
Donald TrumpRepublican
37.49%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
201,324
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
61.15%
Various candidatesOther parties
4,470
Various candidatesOther parties
1.36%
Margin
-77,903
Margin
-23.66%
Total votes cast
329,215
Elk
Elk
County
Elk
Donald TrumpRepublican
12,543
Donald TrumpRepublican
72.87%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
4,483
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
26.04%
Various candidatesOther parties
187
Various candidatesOther parties
1.09%
Margin
8,060
Margin
46.83%
Total votes cast
17,213
Erie
Erie
County
Erie
Donald TrumpRepublican
68,866
Donald TrumpRepublican
49.91%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
67,456
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
48.89%
Various candidatesOther parties
1,657
Various candidatesOther parties
1.20%
Margin
1,410
Margin
1.02%
Total votes cast
137,979
Fayette
Fayette
County
Fayette
Donald TrumpRepublican
43,633
Donald TrumpRepublican
68.67%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
19,548
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
30.76%
Various candidatesOther parties
362
Various candidatesOther parties
0.57%
Margin
24,085
Margin
37.91%
Total votes cast
63,543
Forest
Forest
County
Forest
Donald TrumpRepublican
1,902
Donald TrumpRepublican
71.50%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
724
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
27.22%
Various candidatesOther parties
34
Various candidatesOther parties
1.28%
Margin
1,178
Margin
44.28%
Total votes cast
2,660
Franklin
Franklin
County
Franklin
Donald TrumpRepublican
59,604
Donald TrumpRepublican
70.82%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
23,543
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
27.97%
Various candidatesOther parties
1,016
Various candidatesOther parties
1.21%
Margin
36,061
Margin
42.85%
Total votes cast
84,163
Fulton
Fulton
County
Fulton
Donald TrumpRepublican
7,039
Donald TrumpRepublican
86.03%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
1,102
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
13.47%
Various candidatesOther parties
41
Various candidatesOther parties
0.50%
Margin
5,937
Margin
72.56%
Total votes cast
8,182
Greene
Greene
County
Greene
Donald TrumpRepublican
12,319
Donald TrumpRepublican
71.47%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
4,592
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
26.64%
Various candidatesOther parties
325
Various candidatesOther parties
1.89%
Margin
7,727
Margin
44.83%
Total votes cast
17,236
Huntingdon
Huntingdon
County
Huntingdon
Donald TrumpRepublican
17,627
Donald TrumpRepublican
75.96%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
5,368
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
23.13%
Various candidatesOther parties
211
Various candidatesOther parties
0.91%
Margin
12,259
Margin
52.83%
Total votes cast
23,206
Indiana
Indiana
County
Indiana
Donald TrumpRepublican
29,215
Donald TrumpRepublican
69.01%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
12,697
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
29.99%
Various candidatesOther parties
425
Various candidatesOther parties
1.00%
Margin
16,518
Margin
39.02%
Total votes cast
42,337
Jefferson
Jefferson
County
Jefferson
Donald TrumpRepublican
18,235
Donald TrumpRepublican
78.66%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
4,707
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
20.30%
Various candidatesOther parties
241
Various candidatesOther parties
1.04%
Margin
13,528
Margin
58.36%
Total votes cast
23,183
Juniata
Juniata
County
Juniata
Donald TrumpRepublican
9,721
Donald TrumpRepublican
80.08%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
2,290
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
18.86%
Various candidatesOther parties
128
Various candidatesOther parties
1.06%
Margin
7,431
Margin
61.22%
Total votes cast
12,139
Lackawanna
Lackawanna
County
Lackawanna
Donald TrumpRepublican
56,261
Donald TrumpRepublican
48.12%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
59,510
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
50.90%
Various candidatesOther parties
1,154
Various candidatesOther parties
0.98%
Margin
-3,249
Margin
-2.78%
Total votes cast
116,925
Lancaster
Lancaster
County
Lancaster
Donald TrumpRepublican
166,261
Donald TrumpRepublican
57.20%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
120,119
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
41.32%
Various candidatesOther parties
4,292
Various candidatesOther parties
1.48%
Margin
46,142
Margin
15.88%
Total votes cast
290,672
Lawrence
Lawrence
County
Lawrence
Donald TrumpRepublican
31,347
Donald TrumpRepublican
66.34%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
15,440
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
32.67%
Various candidatesOther parties
468
Various candidatesOther parties
0.99%
Margin
15,907
Margin
33.67%
Total votes cast
47,255
Lebanon
Lebanon
County
Lebanon
Donald TrumpRepublican
48,282
Donald TrumpRepublican
65.26%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
24,734
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
33.43%
Various candidatesOther parties
970
Various candidatesOther parties
1.31%
Margin
23,548
Margin
31.83%
Total votes cast
73,986
Lehigh
Lehigh
County
Lehigh
Donald TrumpRepublican
91,207
Donald TrumpRepublican
47.91%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
96,317
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
50.60%
Various candidatesOther parties
2,844
Various candidatesOther parties
1.49%
Margin
-5,110
Margin
-2.69%
Total votes cast
190,368
Luzerne
Luzerne
County
Luzerne
Donald TrumpRepublican
92,444
Donald TrumpRepublican
59.10%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
62,504
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
39.96%
Various candidatesOther parties
1,484
Various candidatesOther parties
0.94%
Margin
29,940
Margin
19.14%
Total votes cast
156,432
Lycoming
Lycoming
County
Lycoming
Donald TrumpRepublican
41,961
Donald TrumpRepublican
70.11%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
17,216
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
28.77%
Various candidatesOther parties
669
Various candidatesOther parties
1.12%
Margin
24,745
Margin
41.34%
Total votes cast
59,846
McKean
McKean
County
McKean
Donald TrumpRepublican
14,401
Donald TrumpRepublican
72.92%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
5,115
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
25.90%
Various candidatesOther parties
234
Various candidatesOther parties
1.18%
Margin
9,286
Margin
47.02%
Total votes cast
19,750
Mercer
Mercer
County
Mercer
Donald TrumpRepublican
37,761
Donald TrumpRepublican
64.45%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
20,145
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
34.38%
Various candidatesOther parties
685
Various candidatesOther parties
1.17%
Margin
17,616
Margin
30.07%
Total votes cast
58,591
Mifflin
Mifflin
County
Mifflin
Donald TrumpRepublican
17,184
Donald TrumpRepublican
77.69%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
4,735
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
21.41%
Various candidatesOther parties
201
Various candidatesOther parties
0.90%
Margin
12,449
Margin
56.28%
Total votes cast
22,120
Monroe
Monroe
County
Monroe
Donald TrumpRepublican
42,676
Donald TrumpRepublican
49.77%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
42,007
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
48.99%
Various candidatesOther parties
1,069
Various candidatesOther parties
1.24%
Margin
669
Margin
0.78%
Total votes cast
85,752
Montgomery
Montgomery
County
Montgomery
Donald TrumpRepublican
198,311
Donald TrumpRepublican
37.91%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
317,103
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
60.62%
Various candidatesOther parties
7,724
Various candidatesOther parties
1.47%
Margin
-118,792
Margin
-22.71%
Total votes cast
523,138
Montour
Montour
County
Montour
Donald TrumpRepublican
5,944
Donald TrumpRepublican
59.76%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
3,862
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
38.83%
Various candidatesOther parties
141
Various candidatesOther parties
1.41%
Margin
2,082
Margin
20.93%
Total votes cast
9,947
Northampton
Northampton
County
Northampton
Donald TrumpRepublican
89,817
Donald TrumpRepublican
50.26%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
86,655
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
48.49%
Various candidatesOther parties
2,223
Various candidatesOther parties
1.25%
Margin
3,162
Margin
1.77%
Total votes cast
178,695
Northumberland
Northumberland
County
Northumberland
Donald TrumpRepublican
30,240
Donald TrumpRepublican
69.30%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
12,863
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
29.48%
Various candidatesOther parties
532
Various candidatesOther parties
1.22%
Margin
17,377
Margin
39.82%
Total votes cast
43,635
Perry
Perry
County
Perry
Donald TrumpRepublican
19,073
Donald TrumpRepublican
73.87%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
6,385
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
24.73%
Various candidatesOther parties
361
Various candidatesOther parties
1.40%
Margin
12,688
Margin
49.14%
Total votes cast
25,819
Philadelphia
Philadelphia
County
Philadelphia
Donald TrumpRepublican
144,311
Donald TrumpRepublican
19.94%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
568,571
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
78.57%
Various candidatesOther parties
10,728
Various candidatesOther parties
1.49%
Margin
-424,260
Margin
-58.63%
Total votes cast
723,610
Pike
Pike
County
Pike
Donald TrumpRepublican
21,537
Donald TrumpRepublican
61.48%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
13,132
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
37.49%
Various candidatesOther parties
362
Various candidatesOther parties
1.03%
Margin
8,405
Margin
23.99%
Total votes cast
35,031
Potter
Potter
County
Potter
Donald TrumpRepublican
7,334
Donald TrumpRepublican
80.43%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
1,675
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
18.37%
Various candidatesOther parties
109
Various candidatesOther parties
1.20%
Margin
5,659
Margin
62.06%
Total votes cast
9,118
Schuylkill
Schuylkill
County
Schuylkill
Donald TrumpRepublican
51,665
Donald TrumpRepublican
70.43%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
20,882
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
28.46%
Various candidatesOther parties
814
Various candidatesOther parties
1.11%
Margin
30,783
Margin
41.97%
Total votes cast
73,361
Snyder
Snyder
County
Snyder
Donald TrumpRepublican
14,664
Donald TrumpRepublican
73.02%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
5,239
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
26.09%
Various candidatesOther parties
178
Various candidatesOther parties
0.89%
Margin
9,425
Margin
46.93%
Total votes cast
20,081
Somerset
Somerset
County
Somerset
Donald TrumpRepublican
31,993
Donald TrumpRepublican
78.06%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
8,596
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
20.97%
Various candidatesOther parties
398
Various candidatesOther parties
0.97%
Margin
23,397
Margin
57.09%
Total votes cast
40,987
Sullivan
Sullivan
County
Sullivan
Donald TrumpRepublican
2,721
Donald TrumpRepublican
72.95%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
976
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
26.17%
Various candidatesOther parties
33
Various candidatesOther parties
0.88%
Margin
1,745
Margin
46.78%
Total votes cast
3,730
Susquehanna
Susquehanna
County
Susquehanna
Donald TrumpRepublican
16,114
Donald TrumpRepublican
71.71%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
6,093
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
27.11%
Various candidatesOther parties
264
Various candidatesOther parties
1.18%
Margin
10,021
Margin
44.60%
Total votes cast
22,471
Tioga
Tioga
County
Tioga
Donald TrumpRepublican
16,272
Donald TrumpRepublican
75.17%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
5,100
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
23.56%
Various candidatesOther parties
274
Various candidatesOther parties
1.27%
Margin
11,172
Margin
51.61%
Total votes cast
21,646
Union
Union
County
Union
Donald TrumpRepublican
12,969
Donald TrumpRepublican
61.01%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
8,015
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
37.71%
Various candidatesOther parties
273
Various candidatesOther parties
1.28%
Margin
4,954
Margin
23.30%
Total votes cast
21,257
Venango
Venango
County
Venango
Donald TrumpRepublican
18,883
Donald TrumpRepublican
70.44%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
7,624
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
28.44%
Various candidatesOther parties
302
Various candidatesOther parties
1.12%
Margin
11,259
Margin
42.00%
Total votes cast
26,809
Warren
Warren
County
Warren
Donald TrumpRepublican
14,345
Donald TrumpRepublican
68.99%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
6,212
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
29.88%
Various candidatesOther parties
235
Various candidatesOther parties
1.13%
Margin
8,133
Margin
39.11%
Total votes cast
20,792
Washington
Washington
County
Washington
Donald TrumpRepublican
75,929
Donald TrumpRepublican
62.26%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
44,910
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
36.82%
Various candidatesOther parties
1,117
Various candidatesOther parties
0.92%
Margin
31,019
Margin
25.44%
Total votes cast
121,956
Wayne
Wayne
County
Wayne
Donald TrumpRepublican
20,071
Donald TrumpRepublican
68.00%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
9,150
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
31.00%
Various candidatesOther parties
295
Various candidatesOther parties
1.00%
Margin
10,921
Margin
37.00%
Total votes cast
29,516
Westmoreland
Westmoreland
County
Westmoreland
Donald TrumpRepublican
135,008
Donald TrumpRepublican
63.65%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
74,904
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
35.32%
Various candidatesOther parties
2,186
Various candidatesOther parties
1.03%
Margin
60,104
Margin
28.33%
Total votes cast
212,098
Wyoming
Wyoming
County
Wyoming
Donald TrumpRepublican
10,222
Donald TrumpRepublican
67.72%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
4,680
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
31.00%
Various candidatesOther parties
193
Various candidatesOther parties
1.28%
Margin
5,542
Margin
36.72%
Total votes cast
15,095
York
York
County
York
Donald TrumpRepublican
154,884
Donald TrumpRepublican
61.92%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
91,926
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
36.75%
Various candidatesOther parties
3,326
Various candidatesOther parties
1.33%
Margin
62,958
Margin
25.17%
Total votes cast
250,136
Totals
Totals
County
Totals
Donald TrumpRepublican
3,543,308
Donald TrumpRepublican
50.20%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
3,423,042
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
48.50%
Various candidatesOther parties
91,919
Various candidatesOther parties
1.30%
Margin
120,266
Margin
1.70%
Total votes cast
7,058,269
County
Donald TrumpRepublican
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
Various candidatesOther parties
Margin
Total votes cast
#
%
#
%
#
%
#
%
Adams
40,248
66.12%
19,842
32.60%
781
1.28%
20,406
33.52%
60,871
Allegheny
283,595
39.18%
429,916
59.40%
10,288
1.42%
-146,321
-20.22%
723,799
Armstrong
28,296
76.05%
8,553
22.99%
360
0.96%
19,743
53.06%
37,209
Beaver
56,837
59.71%
37,196
39.07%
1,161
1.22%
19,641
20.64%
95,194
Bedford
23,658
83.84%
4,336
15.37%
224
0.79%
19,322
68.47%
28,218
Berks
116,677
55.45%
91,125
43.31%
2,624
1.24%
25,552
12.14%
210,426
Blair
46,352
71.16%
18,127
27.83%
661
1.01%
28,225
43.33%
65,140
Bradford
22,937
73.53%
7,990
25.62%
265
0.85%
14,947
47.91%
31,192
Bucks
198,722
49.39%
198,431
49.32%
5,196
1.29%
291
0.07%
402,349
Butler
79,773
65.45%
40,661
33.36%
1,444
1.19%
39,112
32.09%
121,878
Cambria
49,408
69.25%
21,177
29.68%
760
1.07%
28,231
39.57%
71,345
Cameron
1,654
74.27%
538
24.16%
35
1.57%
1,116
50.11%
2,227
Carbon
23,708
66.90%
11,394
32.15%
334
0.95%
12,314
34.75%
35,436
Centre
38,829
47.85%
41,119
50.67%
1,205
1.48%
-2,290
-2.82%
81,153
Chester
137,299
42.06%
184,281
56.45%
4,849
1.49%
-46,982
-14.39%
326,429
Clarion
15,036
76.00%
4,562
23.06%
185
0.94%
10,474
52.94%
19,783
Clearfield
30,481
75.23%
9,647
23.81%
387
0.96%
20,834
51.42%
40,515
Clinton
12,965
69.83%
5,395
29.06%
207
1.11%
7,570
40.77%
18,567
Columbia
21,190
64.78%
11,083
33.88%
436
1.34%
10,107
30.90%
32,709
Crawford
29,685
69.04%
12,858
29.90%
456
1.06%
16,827
39.14%
42,999
Cumberland
80,267
53.85%
66,255
44.45%
2,546
1.70%
14,012
9.40%
149,068
Dauphin
69,474
46.29%
78,327
52.19%
2,280
1.52%
-8,853
-5.90%
150,081
Delaware
123,421
37.49%
201,324
61.15%
4,470
1.36%
-77,903
-23.66%
329,215
Elk
12,543
72.87%
4,483
26.04%
187
1.09%
8,060
46.83%
17,213
Erie
68,866
49.91%
67,456
48.89%
1,657
1.20%
1,410
1.02%
137,979
Fayette
43,633
68.67%
19,548
30.76%
362
0.57%
24,085
37.91%
63,543
Forest
1,902
71.50%
724
27.22%
34
1.28%
1,178
44.28%
2,660
Franklin
59,604
70.82%
23,543
27.97%
1,016
1.21%
36,061
42.85%
84,163
Fulton
7,039
86.03%
1,102
13.47%
41
0.50%
5,937
72.56%
8,182
Greene
12,319
71.47%
4,592
26.64%
325
1.89%
7,727
44.83%
17,236
Huntingdon
17,627
75.96%
5,368
23.13%
211
0.91%
12,259
52.83%
23,206
Indiana
29,215
69.01%
12,697
29.99%
425
1.00%
16,518
39.02%
42,337
Jefferson
18,235
78.66%
4,707
20.30%
241
1.04%
13,528
58.36%
23,183
Juniata
9,721
80.08%
2,290
18.86%
128
1.06%
7,431
61.22%
12,139
Lackawanna
56,261
48.12%
59,510
50.90%
1,154
0.98%
-3,249
-2.78%
116,925
Lancaster
166,261
57.20%
120,119
41.32%
4,292
1.48%
46,142
15.88%
290,672
Lawrence
31,347
66.34%
15,440
32.67%
468
0.99%
15,907
33.67%
47,255
Lebanon
48,282
65.26%
24,734
33.43%
970
1.31%
23,548
31.83%
73,986
Lehigh
91,207
47.91%
96,317
50.60%
2,844
1.49%
-5,110
-2.69%
190,368
Luzerne
92,444
59.10%
62,504
39.96%
1,484
0.94%
29,940
19.14%
156,432
Lycoming
41,961
70.11%
17,216
28.77%
669
1.12%
24,745
41.34%
59,846
McKean
14,401
72.92%
5,115
25.90%
234
1.18%
9,286
47.02%
19,750
Mercer
37,761
64.45%
20,145
34.38%
685
1.17%
17,616
30.07%
58,591
Mifflin
17,184
77.69%
4,735
21.41%
201
0.90%
12,449
56.28%
22,120
Monroe
42,676
49.77%
42,007
48.99%
1,069
1.24%
669
0.78%
85,752
Montgomery
198,311
37.91%
317,103
60.62%
7,724
1.47%
-118,792
-22.71%
523,138
Montour
5,944
59.76%
3,862
38.83%
141
1.41%
2,082
20.93%
9,947
Northampton
89,817
50.26%
86,655
48.49%
2,223
1.25%
3,162
1.77%
178,695
· General election › Results › By congressional district
1st
1st
District
1st
Harris
49.67%
Trump
49.35%
Representative
Brian Fitzpatrick
2nd
2nd
District
2nd
Harris
67.28%
Trump
31.54%
Representative
Brendan Boyle
3rd
3rd
District
3rd
Harris
88.06%
Trump
10.74%
Representative
Dwight Evans
4th
4th
District
4th
Harris
57.38%
Trump
41.58%
Representative
Madeleine Dean
5th
5th
District
5th
Harris
63.79%
Trump
35.16%
Representative
Mary Gay Scanlon
6th
6th
District
6th
Harris
55.19%
Trump
43.79%
Representative
Chrissy Houlahan
7th
7th
District
7th
Harris
47.86%
Trump
51.07%
Representative
Susan Wild (118th Congress)
Ryan Mackenzie (119th Congress)
Ryan Mackenzie (119th Congress)
District
Ryan Mackenzie (119th Congress)
8th
8th
District
8th
Harris
45.35%
Trump
53.85%
Representative
Matt Cartwright (118th Congress)
Rob Bresnahan (119th Congress)
Rob Bresnahan (119th Congress)
District
Rob Bresnahan (119th Congress)
9th
9th
District
9th
Harris
30.58%
Trump
68.52%
Representative
Dan Meuser
10th
10th
District
10th
Harris
46.81%
Trump
52.04%
Representative
Scott Perry
11th
11th
District
11th
Harris
38.83%
Trump
60.19%
Representative
Lloyd Smucker
12th
12th
District
12th
Harris
59.13%
Trump
39.94%
Representative
Summer Lee
13th
13th
District
13th
Harris
26.83%
Trump
72.37%
Representative
John Joyce
14th
14th
District
14th
Harris
32.97%
Trump
66.32%
Representative
Guy Reschenthaler
15th
15th
District
15th
Harris
30.60%
Trump
68.56%
Representative
Glenn Thompson
16th
16th
District
16th
Harris
38.20%
Trump
60.96%
Representative
Mike Kelly
17th
17th
District
17th
Harris
52.28%
Trump
46.77%
Representative
Chris Deluzio
District
Harris
Trump
Representative
1st
49.67%
49.35%
Brian Fitzpatrick
2nd
67.28%
31.54%
Brendan Boyle
3rd
88.06%
10.74%
Dwight Evans
4th
57.38%
41.58%
Madeleine Dean
5th
63.79%
35.16%
Mary Gay Scanlon
6th
55.19%
43.79%
Chrissy Houlahan
7th
47.86%
51.07%
Susan Wild (118th Congress)
Ryan Mackenzie (119th Congress)
8th
45.35%
53.85%
Matt Cartwright (118th Congress)
Rob Bresnahan (119th Congress)
9th
30.58%
68.52%
Dan Meuser
10th
46.81%
52.04%
Scott Perry
11th
38.83%
60.19%
Lloyd Smucker
12th
59.13%
39.94%
Summer Lee
13th
26.83%
72.37%
John Joyce
14th
32.97%
66.32%
Guy Reschenthaler
15th
30.60%
68.56%
Glenn Thompson
16th
38.20%
60.96%
Mike Kelly
17th
52.28%
46.77%
Chris Deluzio
· Analysis › Exit poll data
Demographic subgroup
Demographic subgroup
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Demographic subgroup
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Trump
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Harris
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
% oftotal vote
Ideology
Ideology
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Ideology
Liberals
Liberals
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Liberals
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
6
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
93
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
25
Moderates
Moderates
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Moderates
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
43
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
56
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
41
Conservatives
Conservatives
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Conservatives
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
91
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
8
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
34
Party
Party
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Party
Democrats
Democrats
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Democrats
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
5
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
95
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
36
Republicans
Republicans
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Republicans
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
91
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
9
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
40
Independents
Independents
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Independents
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
52
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
45
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
23
Gender
Gender
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Gender
Men
Men
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Men
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
58
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
41
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
48
Women
Women
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Women
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
44
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
56
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
52
Race/ethnicity
Race/ethnicity
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Race/ethnicity
White
White
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
White
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
56
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
44
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
83
Black
Black
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Black
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
10
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
89
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
8
Latino
Latino
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Latino
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
41
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
59
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
6
Asian
Asian
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Asian
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
n/a
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
n/a
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
1
All other races
All other races
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
All other races
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
n/a
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
n/a
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
2
Gender by race/ethnicity
Gender by race/ethnicity
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Gender by race/ethnicity
White men
White men
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
White men
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
60
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
39
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
41
White women
White women
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
White women
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
51
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
48
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
42
Black men
Black men
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Black men
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
24
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
72
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
3
Black women
Black women
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Black women
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
3
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
97
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
6
Latino men
Latino men
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Latino men
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
n/a
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
n/a
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
2
Latina women
Latina women
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Latina women
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
n/a
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
n/a
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
4
All other races
All other races
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
All other races
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
n/a
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
n/a
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
3
Age
Age
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Age
18–29 years old
18–29 years old
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
18–29 years old
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
44
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
55
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
12
30–44 years old
30–44 years old
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
30–44 years old
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
47
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
52
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
26
45–64 years old
45–64 years old
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
45–64 years old
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
54
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
45
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
36
65 and older
65 and older
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
65 and older
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
52
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
48
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
25
First time voter
First time voter
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
First time voter
Yes
Yes
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Yes
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
n/a
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
n/a
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
7
No
No
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
No
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
51
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
48
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
93
2020 presidential vote
2020 presidential vote
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
2020 presidential vote
Biden
Biden
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Biden
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
5
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
94
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
44
Trump
Trump
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Trump
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
97
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
3
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
44
Another candidate
Another candidate
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Another candidate
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
n/a
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
n/a
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
2
Did not vote
Did not vote
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Did not vote
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
54
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
45
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
8
Education
Education
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Education
No college degree
No college degree
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
No college degree
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
58
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
41
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
59
College graduate
College graduate
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
College graduate
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
39
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
60
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
41
Education by race
Education by race
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Education by race
White college graduates
White college graduates
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
White college graduates
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
42
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
58
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
35
White no college degree
White no college degree
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
White no college degree
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
65
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
34
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
47
Non-white college graduates
Non-white college graduates
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Non-white college graduates
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
24
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
74
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
6
Non-white no college degree
Non-white no college degree
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Non-white no college degree
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
26
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
73
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
11
Education by gender among White voters
Education by gender among White voters
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Education by gender among White voters
White college graduate women
White college graduate women
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
White college graduate women
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
38
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
62
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
18
White women no degree
White women no degree
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
White women no degree
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
60
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
39
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
24
White college graduate men
White college graduate men
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
White college graduate men
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
46
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
53
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
17
White men no degree
White men no degree
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
White men no degree
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
71
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
28
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
23
Voters of color
Voters of color
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Voters of color
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
26
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
73
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
17
Area type
Area type
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Area type
Urban
Urban
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Urban
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
30
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
69
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
21
Suburban
Suburban
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Suburban
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
51
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
47
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
58
Rural
Rural
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Rural
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
67
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
32
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
22
Biden job approval
Biden job approval
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Biden job approval
Strongly disapprove
Strongly disapprove
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Strongly disapprove
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
96
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
3
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
44
Somewhat disapprove
Somewhat disapprove
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Somewhat disapprove
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
40
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
57
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
12
Somewhat approve
Somewhat approve
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Somewhat approve
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
5
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
95
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
25
Strongly approve
Strongly approve
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Strongly approve
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
3
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
97
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
17
Feeling about the way things are going in U.S.
Feeling about the way things are going in U.S.
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Feeling about the way things are going in U.S.
Angry
Angry
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Angry
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
74
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
25
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
31
Dissatisfied
Dissatisfied
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Dissatisfied
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
55
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
44
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
40
Satisfied
Satisfied
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Satisfied
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
15
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
84
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
20
Enthusiastic
Enthusiastic
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Enthusiastic
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
n/a
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
n/a
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
6
Quality of candidate that mattered most
Quality of candidate that mattered most
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Quality of candidate that mattered most
Has ability to lead
Has ability to lead
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Has ability to lead
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
72
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
28
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
35
Can bring needed change
Can bring needed change
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Can bring needed change
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
64
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
35
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
23
Has good judgment
Has good judgment
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Has good judgment
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
20
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
79
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
20
Cares about people like me
Cares about people like me
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Cares about people like me
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
19
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
79
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
17
Vote for president mainly
Vote for president mainly
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Vote for president mainly
For your candidate
For your candidate
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
For your candidate
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
53
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
46
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
78
Against their opponent
Against their opponent
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Against their opponent
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
36
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
62
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
19
Issue regarded as most important
Issue regarded as most important
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Issue regarded as most important
Democracy
Democracy
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Democracy
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
23
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
77
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
31
Economy
Economy
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Economy
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
75
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
24
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
31
Abortion
Abortion
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Abortion
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
23
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
77
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
15
Immigration
Immigration
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Immigration
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
82
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
16
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
13
Foreign policy
Foreign policy
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Foreign policy
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
n/a
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
n/a
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
3
Democracy threatened in the United States
Democracy threatened in the United States
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Democracy threatened in the United States
Democracy in the U.S. very threatened
Democracy in the U.S. very threatened
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Democracy in the U.S. very threatened
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
60
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
39
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
39
Democracy in the U.S. somewhat threatened
Democracy in the U.S. somewhat threatened
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Democracy in the U.S. somewhat threatened
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
46
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
54
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
34
Democracy in the U.S. somewhat secure
Democracy in the U.S. somewhat secure
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Democracy in the U.S. somewhat secure
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
40
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
59
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
19
Democracy in the U.S. very secure
Democracy in the U.S. very secure
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Democracy in the U.S. very secure
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
n/a
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
n/a
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
6
Confident election being conducted fairly and accurately
Confident election being conducted fairly and accurately
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Confident election being conducted fairly and accurately
Very confident
Very confident
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Very confident
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
17
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
82
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
41
Somewhat confident
Somewhat confident
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Somewhat confident
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
64
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
34
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
33
Not very confident
Not very confident
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Not very confident
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
93
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
6
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
16
Not at all confident
Not at all confident
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Not at all confident
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
n/a
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
n/a
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
5
Condition of the nation's economy
Condition of the nation's economy
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Condition of the nation's economy
Poor
Poor
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Poor
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
92
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
7
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
31
Not so good
Not so good
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Not so good
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
50
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
49
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
36
Good
Good
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Good
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
7
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
92
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
27
Excellent
Excellent
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Excellent
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
n/a
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
n/a
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
4
Family's financial situation today
Family's financial situation today
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Family's financial situation today
Worse than four years ago
Worse than four years ago
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Worse than four years ago
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
83
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
16
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
48
About the same
About the same
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
About the same
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
22
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
78
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
29
Better than four years ago
Better than four years ago
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Better than four years ago
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
8
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
92
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
22
Abortion should be
Abortion should be
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Abortion should be
Legal in all cases
Legal in all cases
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Legal in all cases
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
17
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
82
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
32
Legal in most cases
Legal in most cases
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Legal in most cases
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
44
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
56
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
32
Illegal in most cases
Illegal in most cases
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Illegal in most cases
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
93
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
5
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
24
Illegal in all cases
Illegal in all cases
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Illegal in all cases
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
n/a
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
n/a
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
6
Union Household
Union Household
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Union Household
Yes
Yes
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Yes
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
44
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
56
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
20
No
No
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
No
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
50
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
49
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
80
View of fracking in your state
View of fracking in your state
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
View of fracking in your state
Favor
Favor
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Favor
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
69
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
30
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
54
Oppose
Oppose
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Oppose
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
18
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
81
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
37
2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics
Demographic subgroup
Trump
Harris
% oftotal vote
Ideology
Liberals
6
93
25
Moderates
43
56
41
Conservatives
91
8
34
Party
Democrats
5
95
36
Republicans
91
9
40
Independents
52
45
23
Gender
Men
58
41
48
Women
44
56
52
Race/ethnicity
White
56
44
83
Black
10
89
8
Latino
41
59
6
Asian
n/a
n/a
1
All other races
n/a
n/a
2
Gender by race/ethnicity
White men
60
39
41
White women
51
48
42
Black men
24
72
3
Black women
3
97
6
Latino men
n/a
n/a
2
Latina women
n/a
n/a
4
All other races
n/a
n/a
3
Age
18–29 years old
44
55
12
30–44 years old
47
52
26
45–64 years old
54
45
36
65 and older
52
48
25
First time voter
Yes
n/a
n/a
7
No
51
48
93
2020 presidential vote
Biden
5
94
44
Trump
97
3
44
Another candidate
n/a
n/a
2
Did not vote
54
45
8
Education
No college degree
58
41
59
College graduate
39
60
41
Education by race
White college graduates
42
58
35
White no college degree
65
34
47
Non-white college graduates
24
74
6
Non-white no college degree
26
73
11
Education by gender among White voters
White college graduate women
38
62
18

References

  1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. Key:A – all adultsRV – registered votersLV – likely votersV – unclear
  3. With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  4. "Other" with 3%
  5. "Other" with 2%
  6. "Someone else" with 1%
  7. "Another Candidate" with 2%
  8. "Another Candidate" with 1%
  9. "Neither/Other" with 2%
  10. "Another Party's Candidate" with 1%
  11. "Someone else/third party" with 1%
  12. "Other" with 5%
  13. "A third party / Independent candidate" with 2%
  14. "Other" with 6%
  15. "Other" with 1%
  16. "Some other candidate" with 1%
  17. "Another Candidate" with 3%
  18. "Someone else" with 2%
  19. "Some other candidate" with 3%
  20. "Would not vote" with 1%
  21. "Neither/Other" with 4%
  22. "Another Party's Candidate" with 2%
  23. "Will not vote" with 6%
  24. "Will not vote" with 1%
  25. "I am eligible to vote but would not" with 8%; "Other" with 7%; "I am not eligible to vote" with 1%
  26. Chase Oliver (L) with 2%
  27. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  28. "Will not vote" with 6%
  29. Independent/Third party candidate with 12%
  30. "Someone else / third party" with 8%
  31. "Another candidate" with 10%
  32. "Another candidate" with 7%
  33. "Undecided" & "Wouldn't vote" with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
  34. "Someone else / third party" with 11%; "Would not vote" with 3%
  35. "Someone else / third party" with 11%; "Would not vote" with 1%
  36. "Other" with 4%
  37. No Labels candidate
  38. Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
  39. Chase Oliver (L) with >1%
  40. Lars Mapstead with 1%
  41. Lars Mapstead (L) with 0%
  42. "Undecided" with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
  43. "Would not vote" with 3%
  44. Chase Oliver (L) with 0%
  45. "Someone else / third party" with 4%
  46. "Someone else / third party" with 7%
  47. "Another third party candidate" with 6%; "Would not vote" with 2%
  48. "Another third party candidate" with 6%; "Would not vote" with 1%
  49. "Other (Third Party/Write-In)" with 3%; "Won't vote" with 2%; "Other (L)" & "Other (G)" with 1% each
  50. "Other (Third Party/Write-In)", "Won't vote", & "Other (L)" with 1% each; "Other (G)" with 0%
  51. Poll sponsored by On Point Politics & Red Eagle Politics
  52. Poll conducted for The Times, Stanford University, Arizona State University, and Yale University
  53. Poll sponsored by American Thinker
  54. Poll sponsored by American Greatness
  55. Poll sponsored by RealClearPennsylvania
  56. Poll sponsored by La Torre Live
  57. Poll sponsored by TrendingPolitics
  58. Poll sponsored by Trump's campaign
  59. Poll conducted for the University of Austin
  60. Poll sponsored by Jacobin
  61. Poll conducted for the Article III Project
  62. Poll conducted for the Sentinel Action Fund PAC
  63. Poll sponsored by Commonwealth Foundation
  64. Poll sponsored by the Peter G. Peterson Foundation
  65. Poll commissioned by AARP
  66. Poll sponsored by Focus on Rural America
  67. Poll sponsored by the Napolitan Institute
  68. Poll sponsored by Spotlight PA
  69. Poll sponsored by 2WAY
  70. Poll conducted for the Cato Institute
  71. Poll conducted for the Pinpoint Policy Institute
  72. Poll sponsored by the American Principles Project
  73. Poll sponsored by NumbersUSA
  74. Poll conducted for The Independent Center
  75. Poll commissioned by Early Vote Action PAC
  76. Poll conducted for Progress Action Fund, which supports Democratic candidates
  77. Poll conducted for Competitiveness Coalition
  78. Poll sponsored by On Point Politics
  79. Poll sponsored by The Daily Mail
  80. Poll sponsored by American Fuel & Petrochemical Manufacturers, a group that supports Republican candidates
  81. Poll conducted for Clean and Prosperous America PAC
  82. Poll conducted for Rust Belt Rising, which supports Democratic candidates
  83. Poll sponsored by Democrats for the Next Generation PAC
  84. Poll sponsored by The Heartland Institute
  85. Poll sponsored by NetChoice
  86. Poll conducted for Vapor Technology Association
  87. Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC, which opposes Trump and third party candidates
  88. Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign
  89. Poll sponsored by The Heritage Foundation
  90. Poll commissioned by Save My Country Action Fund
  91. Poll conducted for the Citizen Awareness Project
  92. Poll conducted for the John Bolton Super PAC
  93. Poll sponsored by the Pennsylvania Energy Infrastructure Alliance
  94. "Voting & Election Statistics"
    https://www.pa.gov/en/agencies/dos/resources/voting-and-elections-resources/voting-and-election-statistics.html
  95. "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats"
    https://www.npr.org/2021/04/26/983082132/census-to-release-1st-results-that-shift-electoral-college-house-seats
  96. www.natesilver.net
    https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model
  97. 270toWin.com
    https://www.270towin.com/
  98. ABC News
    https://abcnews.go.com/538/2024-presidential-election-close-landslide/story?id=116240898
  99. AP News
    https://apnews.com/article/pennsylvania-democrats-trump-harris-bob-casey-election-fe194ab48323c645c5909e12b5fb3720
  100. "Pennsylvania Presidential Primary Election Results 2024"
    https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-primary-elections/pennsylvania-president-results
  101. "Pennsylvania Presidential Primary Election Results 2024"
    https://www.electionreturns.pa.gov/Home/CountyBreakdownResultsVM?officeId=1&districtId=1&ElectionID=105&ElectionType=P&IsActive=0
  102. Spotlight PA
    https://www.spotlightpa.org/news/2022/08/pa-mail-voting-law-uphelp-state-supreme-court/
  103. WHYY
    https://whyy.org/articles/governor-shapiro-voter-registration-changes-anger-trump-and-gop/
  104. CNN
    https://www.cnn.com/2024/07/13/politics/trump-injured-pennsylvania-rally/index.html
  105. CNN
    https://www.cnn.com/2024/07/14/politics/corey-comperatore-trump-shooting-victim/index.html
  106. "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings"
    https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/presidential-race-ratings
  107. "2024 Electoral College ratings"
    https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2024-president/
  108. The Hill
    https://elections2024.thehill.com/predictions/president
  109. "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270"
    https://www.cnn.com/election/2024/electoral-college-map?game-id=2024-PG-CNN-ratings&game-view=map
  110. projects.cnalysis.com
    https://projects.cnalysis.com/23-24/president
  111. The Economist
    https://www.economist.com/interactive/us-2024-election/prediction-model/president
  112. FiveThirtyEight
    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/
  113. "Presidential Ratings"
    https://insideelections.com/ratings/president
  114. "Presidential Election Preview 2024"
    https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-elections/president-electoral-college-battleground-states
  115. 270toWin.com
    https://www.270towin.com/2024-presidential-election-polls/pennsylvania
  116. "Pennsylvania : President: general election : 2024 Polls"
    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/pennsylvania/
  117. www.natesilver.net
    https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model
  118. www.realclearpolling.com
    https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/pennsylvania/trump-vs-harris
  119. The Hill
    https://elections2024.thehill.com/pennsylvania/harris-trump-pennsylvania/
  120. HarrisX
    https://elections.harrisx.com/public/BG_STATE_POLLS_PA.html
  121. AtlasIntel
    https://cdn.atlasintel.org/616d82d3-e782-4d6e-b690-9eed1523fe75.pdf
  122. Research Co
    https://researchco.ca/2024/11/04/states-us-2024/
  123. The Trafalgar Group
    https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/PA-24-General-1103-Poll-Report.pdf
  124. Patriot Polling
    https://patriotpolling.com/our-polls/f/final-2024-presidential-poll
  125. InsiderAdvantage
    https://insideradvantage.com/insideradvantage-surveys-az-mi-wi-pa-nc/
  126. AtlasIntel
    https://cdn.atlasintel.org/f41e83be-de61-4d59-9c46-f5f91cbf00fa.pdf
  127. Emerson College Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/november-2024-final-swing-state-polls-too-close-to-call-election-for-president/
  128. The New York Times
    https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/03/us/politics/harris-trump-times-siena-poll.html
  129. FAU Polling
    https://www.faupolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/Mainstreet_PA_Oct_2024_Public.pdf
  130. ActiVote
    https://www.activote.net/harris-stays-ahead-in-keystone-state/
  131. Substack
    https://substack.com/inbox/post/151014002
  132. AtlasIntel
    https://cdn.atlasintel.org/ff8a5b86-e293-44f4-8162-166002248f55.pdf
  133. Semafor
    https://www.semafor.com/newsletter/11/01/2024/the-view-from-the-swing-states
  134. YouGov
    https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/Times_SAY24_20241101.pdf
  135. Morning Consult
    https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-election-state-polls
  136. Muhlenberg College
    https://www.muhlenberg.edu/media/contentassets/pdf/about/polling/PA_Elec_Oct24_Report_Final.pdf
  137. Marist Poll
    https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/marist-pennsylvania-poll-u-s-presidential-contest-in-pennsylvania-november-2024/
  138. Echelon Insights
    https://echeloninsights.com/in-the-news/oct2024-pa-poll/
  139. AtlasIntel
    https://cdn.atlasintel.org/12bd169b-6db5-44be-9429-90f44ba0d845.pdf
  140. Rasmussen Reports
    https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/partner_surveys/election_2024_trump_leads_in_pennsylvania_nevada_north_carolina
  141. Fox News
    https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-its-neck-and-neck-pennsylvania-presidential-race
  142. Quinnipiac University Poll
    https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3916
  143. CBS News
    https://www.cbsnews.com/news/harris-trump-poll-pennsylvania-29-10-2024/
  144. InsiderAdvantage
    https://insideradvantage.com/insideradvantage-pennsylvania-survey-trump-leads-by-one-point-casey-jr-and-mccormick-tied-in-senate-contest/
  145. Redfield & Wilton Strategies
    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-25-27-october-2024/
  146. American Greatness
    https://amgreatness.com/2024/10/28/pennsylvania-headed-for-a-photo-finish-new-american-greatness-polling/
  147. Cooperative Election Study
    https://cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/stateprezapp2024/
  148. Emerson College Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/october-2024-pennsylvania-poll-trump-49-harris-48/
  149. Redfield & Wilton Strategies
    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-20-22-october-2024/
  150. Susquehanna Polling and Research
    https://mcusercontent.com/fadb7f1420fadfe09cc9d0f9c/files/a54b534a-f99a-9018-aae9-ae8a1b683189/PAStatewide_Toplines_LaTorre_Oct2024.01.pdf
  151. Quantus Insights
    https://quantusinsights.org/f/quantus-insights-pennsylvania-2024-election-survey-analysis
  152. Bloomberg
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2024-10-23/new-poll-has-trump-harris-tied-in-key-states-just-12-days-to-election
  153. Franklin & Marshall College Poll
    https://www.fandmpoll.org/franklin-marshall-poll-release-october-2024/
  154. The Trafalgar Group
    https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/PA-24-General-1020-Poll-Report.pdf
  155. The Bullfinch Group
    https://www.thebullfinchgroup.com/post/your-election-guide-for-the-midrust-battlegrounds
  156. AtlasIntel
    https://cdn.atlasintel.org/023fa4e7-4d28-4903-b4cd-57241a0f5e08.pdf
  157. Claremont McKenna College Rose Institute of State and Local Government
    https://s10294.pcdn.co/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/PA_CMC-Rose-State-Poll-Fact-Sheet_RFR.pdf
  158. The Washington Post
    https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/10/21/harris-trump-post-schar-school-poll/
  159. Rasmussen Reports
    https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/partner_surveys/election_2024_trump_now_3_in_pennsylvania
  160. The New York Times
    https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/12/us/politics/times-siena-arizona-pennsylvania-polls.html
  161. American Pulse Research & Polling
    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20241015_PA_AmericanPulse.pdf
  162. American Greatness
    https://amgreatness.com/2024/10/10/trump-leads-in-pennsylvania-dave-mccormick-charges/
  163. Mediaite
    https://www.mediaite.com/news/trump-releases-internal-poll-showing-himself-ahead-in-every-swing-state-all-but-one-are-within-the-margin-of-error/
  164. InsiderAdvantage
    https://insideradvantage.com/insideradvantage-pennsylvania-survey-trump-leads-by-two-points/
  165. Emerson College Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/october-2024-state-polls-mixed-movement-across-swing-states-shows-dead-heat/
  166. The Wall Street Journal
    https://www.wsj.com/politics/elections/trump-harris-swing-state-poll-october-2024-c3ca9414
  167. Research Co
    https://researchco.ca/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/Release_USStates_08Oct2024.pdf
  168. Quinnipiac University Poll
    https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3913
  169. FiveThirtyEight
    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20241010_PA_UATXmemo.pdf
  170. Jacobin
    https://jacobin.com/2024/10/harris-trump-pa-workers-election-poll
  171. OnMessage Inc
    https://cdn.sanity.io/files/ifn0l6bs/production/1466ccb9011fe2f2fe272e13261c967325759db3.pdf
  172. Sentinel Action Fund
    https://cdn.sentinelactionfund.com/production/assets/surveys/2024/SAF-PA-Statewide-Survey-Memo.pdf
  173. Patriot Polling
    https://patriotpolling.com/our-polls/f/trump-and-casey-lead-narrowly-in-pennsylvania
  174. Commonwealth Foundation
    https://www.commonwealthfoundation.org/2024/10/08/poll-pa-voters/
  175. The Trafalgar Group
    https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/09/PA-24-General-0929-Poll-Report.pdf
  176. Peter G. Peterson Foundation
    https://www.pgpf.org/sites/default/files/PGPF-Battleground-Poll-Topline-Results-by-State.pdf
  177. Emerson College Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/september-2024-pennsylvania-poll-trump-48-harris-48/
  178. AtlasIntel
    https://cdn.atlasintel.org/9e0da6ea-7e9c-498c-89e3-511bd7344cd0.pdf
  179. Cook Political Report
    https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/survey-research/2024-swing-state-project/swing-state-polling-finds-deadlocked-presidential
  180. Bloomberg
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2024-09-26/harris-holds-thin-lead-over-trump-in-swing-state-poll-election-2024
  181. ActiVote
    https://www.activote.net/harris-maintains-narrow-lead-in-keystone-swing-state-pennsylvania/
  182. Fox News
    https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-harris-trump-locked-tight-race-battleground-pennsylvania
  183. AARP
    https://www.aarp.org/content/dam/aarp/research/topics/voter-opinion-research/politics/pennsylvania-older-voter-survey-2024-report-september.doi.10.26419-2fres.00813.040.pdf
  184. Focus on Rural America
    https://www.focusonruralamerica.com/2024/10/02/focus-on-rural-america-new-polling-shows-harris-leading-in-michigan-and-wisconsin-tied-with-trump-in-pennsylvania/
  185. Rasmussen Reports
    https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/partner_surveys/election_2024_trump_3_in_georgia_tied_with_harris_in_pennsylvania
  186. Susquehanna Polling and Research
    https://mcusercontent.com/fadb7f1420fadfe09cc9d0f9c/files/a5dbf8d6-8ad8-c97f-7e78-5c75cbd98c8f/Toplines_PAStatewide_Omnibus_SP_amp_R_LaTorre_Sept2024.pdf
  187. Napolitan Institute
    https://napolitaninstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/09/GCM24-PA09-Mini-Crosstabs-Pres.pdf
  188. Muhlenberg College
    https://www.muhlenberg.edu/media/contentassets/pdf/about/polling/PA_Elec_Sep24_FinalVersion.pdf
  189. Emerson College Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/september-2024-swing-state-polls-trump-and-harris-locked-in-tight-presidential-race/
  190. SpotlightPA
    https://www.spotlightpa.org/news/2024/09/kamala-harris-donald-trump-pennsylvania-poll-results-economy-jobs/
  191. Marist Poll
    https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/marist-pennsylvania-poll-u-s-presidential-contest-pennsylvania-september-2024/
  192. The Washington Post
    https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/09/19/polling-harris-trump-pennsylvania-debate/
  193. Quinnipiac University Poll
    https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3905
  194. The New York Times
    https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/09/19/us/politics/times-siena-inquirer-poll-pennsylvania-toplines.html
  195. USA Today
    https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/09/16/harris-trump-pennsylvania-poll/75236006007/
  196. InsiderAdvantage
    https://insideradvantage.com/pennsylvania-survey-trump-leads-50-48-casey-ahead-of-mccormick-by-four-points/
  197. co/efficient
    https://coefficient.org/ivf-pa/
  198. CBS News
    https://www.cbsnews.com/news/harris-trump-poll-pennsylvania-michigan-wisconsin-debate/
  199. Patriot Polling
    https://patriotpolling.com/our-polls/f/trump-and-harris-in-dead-heat
  200. The Trafalgar Group
    https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/PA-24-General-0830-Poll-Report.pdf
  201. YouTube
    https://www.youtube.com/live/X773PMNqjsw
  202. Emerson Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/august-2024-swing-state-polls-toss-up-presidential-election-in-swing-states/
  203. Bloomberg
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-08-29/election-2024-poll-harris-leads-or-ties-with-trump-in-swing-states
  204. Substack
    https://substack.com/@socaldata/p-148067056
  205. Cato Institute
    https://www.cato.org/blog/new-poll-wi-pa-mi-voters-believe-us-too-involved-foreign-wars-world-affairs-most-worry-were
  206. Institute for Global Affairs
    https://instituteforglobalaffairs.org/2024/09/vox-populi-battlegrounds/
  207. ActiVote
    https://www.activote.net/harris-has-narrow-lead-in-keystone-swing-state-pennsylvania/
  208. Pinpoint Policy Institute
    https://pinpointpolicyinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/Blue-Wall-States-Survey-Slides.pdf
  209. American Principles Project
    https://americanprinciplesproject.org/elections/new-app-polling-trump-leads-3-of-5-swing-states-voters-reject-democrats-cultural-extremism/
  210. PollingPlus
    https://pollingplus.com/news/pollingplus-exclusive-insideradvantage-survey-of-pennsylvania/
  211. RealClearPolling
    https://www.realclearpolling.com/stories/analysis/no-frontrunner-in-swing-states-before-democratic-convention
  212. Semafor
    https://www.semafor.com/article/08/18/2024/harris-leads-trump-in-five-of-seven-battlegrounds-poll
  213. Cygnal
    https://www.cygn.al/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/Cygnal-PA-Statewide-Deck-Public-AUG24.pdf
  214. Emerson College Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/pennsylvania-2024-poll-trump-49-harris-48/
  215. Quinnipiac University Poll
    https://poll.qu.edu/images/polling/pa/pa08142024_ppuf30.pdf
  216. The Independent Center
    https://cdn.prod.website-files.com/65fc824cf835683ce2d3549b/66ba4069b73a13894a56414d_Independent%20Center%20-%20Battleground%20States%20Poll%202024.pdf
  217. The New York Times
    https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/08/10/us/elections/times-siena-poll-pennsylvania-toplines.html
  218. The Trafalgar Group
    https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/PA-24-General-0808_Report.pdf
  219. Navigator Research
    https://navigatorresearch.org/navigating-the-vote-2024-presidential-battleground/
  220. Cook Political Report
    https://www.cookpolitical.com/survey-research/2024-swing-state-project/fight-redefine-2024-race-president
  221. X
    https://x.com/ScottPresler/status/1820442862393114966
  222. "Trump edges out Harris in Arizona, Pennsylvania but lags in Georgia in new polling"
    https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4801296-trump-harris-polls-arizona-pennsylvania-georgia/
  223. Scribd
    https://www.scribd.com/document/756269660/Kenyatta-Public-Memo-08012024-proofed
  224. Politico
    https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000191-0bfd-d871-af95-affdc1b80000
  225. Quantus Polls and News
    https://quantus.substack.com/p/trump-leads-harris-with-small-lead
  226. Bloomberg
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2024-07-30/kamala-harris-erases-trump-s-swing-state-lead-in-2024-election-poll
  227. Commonwealth Foundation
    https://www.commonwealthfoundation.org/2024/07/26/swing-state-poll-pa-voters/
  228. Fox News
    https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-harris-trump-dead-heat-pennsylvania
  229. Emerson Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/july-2024-swing-state-polls-harris-trails-trump-in-arizona-georgia-michigan-pennsylvania-tied-in-wisconsin/
  230. American Greatness
    https://cdn.amgreatness.com/app/uploads/2024/07/PA-July-Toplines.pdf
  231. Google Docs
    https://drive.google.com/file/d/1BTopd55Mr-uiOfZ_0booFKcstbNry-Ku/view
  232. InsiderAdvantage
    https://insideradvantage.com/three-more-battleground-polls-trump-leads-in-pa-nv-az-no-post-shooting-bump-but-large-enthusiasm-gap-harris-trails-trump/
  233. Google Docs
    https://drive.google.com/file/d/1yS9Jqk2ZupZxw3VGK5UPDrG8AC4G7X06/view
  234. The New York Times
    https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/15/us/politics/pennsylvania-virginia-polls-biden-trump.html
  235. Bloomberg
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-05-22/violence-around-2024-election-feared-by-half-of-swing-state-voters-poll
  236. Emerson Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/pennsylvania-2024-poll-trump-at-45-biden-at-43/
  237. The New York Times
    https://archive.today/20231106013743/https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/05/us/politics/biden-trump-2024-poll.html
  238. Race to the WH
    https://www.racetothewh.com/president/polls
  239. Survation
    https://www.survation.com/harris-narrowly-ahead-in-pennsylvania/
  240. Focaldata
    https://www.focaldata.com/blog/our-final-report-on-the-us-presidential-election
  241. Data for Progress
    https://www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2024/11/1/final-data-for-progress-swing-state-polls
  242. Redfield & Wilton Strategies
    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/final-us-swing-states-voting-intention-28-31-october/
  243. USA Today
    https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/11/01/pennsylvania-poll-harris-trump/75939000007/
  244. The Washington Post
    https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/11/01/harris-trump-pennsylvania-post-poll/
  245. CNN
    https://www.cnn.com/2024/10/30/politics/cnn-polls-michigan-wisconsin-pennsylvania-blue-wall/index.html
  246. University of Massachusetts Lowell
    https://www.uml.edu/docs/2024-Oct31-PA-Topline_tcm18-392293.pdf
  247. Redfield & Wilton Strategies
    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-20-22-october-2024/
  248. Redfield & Wilton Strategies
    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-16-18-october-2024/
  249. Redfield & Wilton Strategies
    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-12-14-october-2024/
  250. Redfield & Wilton Strategies
    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/pennsylvania-and-georgia-voting-intention-8-9-october-2024/
  251. University of Massachusetts Lowell
    https://www.uml.edu/docs/2024-October-PA-Topline_tcm18-391827.pdf
  252. J.L. Partners
    https://jlpartners.com/pennsylvania-likely-voters-polling
  253. Redfield & Wilton Strategies
    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-27-september-2-october-2024/
  254. Redfield & Wilton Strategies
    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-16-19-september-2024/
  255. University of Massachusetts Lowell
    https://www.uml.edu/news/press-releases/2024/cpo-fall-2024-pennsylvania.aspx
  256. Franklin & Marshall College Poll
    https://www.fandmpoll.org/franklin-marshall-poll-release-september-2024/
  257. Redfield & Wilton Strategies
    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-6-9-september-2024/
  258. YouGov
    https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/Times_SAY24_20240904_state_poll_results_XTElWNX.pdf#page=155
  259. CNN
    https://www.cnn.com/2024/09/04/politics/cnn-polls-battleground-states/index.html
  260. Redfield & Wilton Strategies
    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-25-28-august-2024/
  261. American Fuel & Petrochemical Manufacturers
    https://www.afpm.org/sites/default/files/issue_resources/Sept24_RemingtonStatePollsEVMandate.pdf
  262. "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (12 – 15 August 2024)"
    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-12-15-august-2024/
  263. Franklin & Marshall College Poll
    https://s3.documentcloud.org/documents/25042734/fm-august-poll.pdf
  264. "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (31 July – 3 August 2024)"
    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-31-july-3-august-2024/
  265. "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (22-24 July 2024)"
    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-22-24-july-2024/
  266. Politico
    https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000190-c7b2-d90b-a5fc-d7bf7a790000
  267. The Well News
    https://www.thewellnews.com/opinion-polls/post-dnc-polls-shows-harris-trump-tied-in-three-battleground-states/
  268. RealClearPolitics
    https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2024/Susquehanna_Statewide_July_28_2024.pdf
  269. FiveThirtyEight
    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20240719_PA_Civiqs.pdf
  270. Emerson Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/july-2024-swing-state-polls/
  271. Rasmussen Reports
    https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/partner_surveys/toplines_2_heartland_battleground_july_2024_all_race_data
  272. NetChoice
    https://netchoice.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/07/NetChoice-July-2024-Biden-Antitrust-Survey-Topline-1.pdf
  273. Bloomberg
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2024-07-06/biden-narrows-trump-s-election-lead-in-key-states-after-debate-poll
  274. The New York Post
    https://nypost.com/2024/07/08/us-news/biden-lags-behind-in-all-of-the-key-battleground-states-by-4-point-average-new-poll/
  275. Cygnal
    https://www.cygn.al/pennsylvania-poll-first-fielded-straddling-the-debate-trump-with-strong-lead-and-mccormick-within-striking-distance-of-casey/
  276. Commonwealth Foundation
    https://www.commonwealthfoundation.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/Common-Ground-Q2-2024-toplines.pdf
  277. Emerson Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/june-2024-state-polls-trump-maintains-edge-over-biden/
  278. FAU Polling
    https://www.faupolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/mainstreet_PA_June_2024_Public.pdf
  279. Vapor Technology Association
    https://vaportechnology.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/07/PA-Banners.pdf
  280. FiveThirtyEight
    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20240522_prime_CSOR.pdf
  281. Cook Political Report
    https://www.cookpolitical.com/survey-research/2024-swing-state-project/unique-election-driven-traditional-issue
  282. The New York Times
    https://www.nytimes.com/2024/05/13/us/politics/biden-trump-battleground-poll.html
  283. AARP
    https://www.aarp.org/content/dam/aarp/research/topics/voter-opinion-research/politics/pennsylvania-older-voter-survey-2024-report.doi.10.26419-2fres.00813.001.pdf
  284. Emerson Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/trump-holds-edge-over-biden-in-seven-key-swing-state-polls/
  285. CBS News
    https://www.cbsnews.com/news/biden-trump-poll-michigan-pennyslvania-wisconsin/
  286. Muhlenberg College
    https://www.muhlenberg.edu/media/contentassets/pdf/about/polling/surveys/pennsylvania/FINAL_PA_ELEC_2024_APRIL_REPORT%20(1).pdf
  287. Kennedy24
    https://www.kennedy24.com/biden_real_spoiler_kennedy_only_candidate_who_can_beat_trump
  288. Kaplan Strategies
    https://kaplanstrategies.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/Kaplan-Release-4.26.24-.pdf
  289. Fox News
    https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-biden-trump-2024-pennsylvania-rematch
  290. Bloomberg
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-24/biden-trails-trump-in-6-of-7-key-states-poll-shows-election-2024
  291. The Independent Center
    https://web.archive.org/web/20240420021003/https://www.independentcenter.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/Independent-Center-Target-State-Poll-2024-Pennsylvania.pdf
  292. Politics PA
    https://www.politicspa.com/fm-poll-pennsylvania-moving-in-more-positive-direction/133348/
  293. Big Data Poll
    https://www.bigdatapoll.com/blog/rust-belt-poll-keystone-battleground-for-april-2024/
  294. The Wall Street Journal
    https://s.wsj.net/public/resources/documents/WSJ_Swing_States_Partial_March_2024.pdf
  295. The Heritage Foundation
    https://first-heritage-foundation.s3.amazonaws.com/live_files/2024/04/Echelon-Insights-Survey.pdf
  296. CNN
    https://www.cnn.com/2024/03/22/politics/cnn-poll-michigan-pennsylvania/index.html
  297. Emerson Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/pennsylvania-2024-poll-trump-47-biden-43/
  298. Bloomberg
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-03-26/election-2024-poll-biden-gains-on-trump-in-six-swing-states
  299. Fox News
    https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-pennsylvania-looks-headed-another-tight-race-2024
  300. RealClearPolitics
    https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2024/Toplines-PAStatewide-Omnibus-March2024-Public.pdf
  301. Bloomberg
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-02-29/biden-age-worries-swing-state-voters-trump-seen-as-dangerous-poll-shows
  302. Chism Strategies
    https://chismstrategies.com/would-a-taylor-swift-endorsement-help-biden/
  303. Politics PA
    https://www.politicspa.com/memo-mccormick-down-to-casey-but-far-from-out/132043/
  304. Franklin & Marshall College Poll
    https://www.fandmpoll.org/content/files/2024/01/KEYFEB24_TOPLINE-2.pdf
  305. Focaldata
    https://www.focaldata.com/blog/bi-focal-12-how-biden-can-still-beat-trump
  306. Bloomberg
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-01-31/trump-guilty-verdict-loses-half-of-key-state-voters-in-election-2024
  307. RealClearPolitics
    https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2024/Topllines-PAStatewide-Public-Jan2024.pdf
  308. Quinnipiac University
    https://poll.qu.edu/images/polling/pa/pa01102024_pidf24.pdf
  309. Google Docs
    https://docs.google.com/document/d/1TpdHyzBA1zWmV6q5UCyv1nM_mKDuNPjRNknla-HVyvE/edit
  310. Future Majority
    https://futuremajority.org/wp-content/uploads/FM-NV-PA-NY-CDs-Report.pdf
  311. Muhlenberg College
    https://www.muhlenberg.edu/aboutus/polling/politicselectionssurveys/archivedpolls/2023-decemberpapresidentialelectionsurvey/
  312. Bloomberg
    https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2024-us-election-key-state-voter-polling/december-2023-poll/
  313. Big Data Poll
    https://www.bigdatapoll.com/blog/rust-belt-poll-trump-leads-biden-in-pennsylvania-trounces-primary-opponents/
  314. Bloomberg
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-11-09/trump-leads-biden-with-key-state-voters-on-israel-hamas-war-immigration#xj4y7vzkg
  315. Emerson Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/swing-state-2024-polling-biden-trails-trump-in-arizona-georgia-and-pennsylvania-and-wisconsin-leads-trump-in-michigan/
  316. Franklin & Marshall College Poll
    https://www.fandmpoll.org/franklin-marshall-poll-release-october-2023/
  317. Bloomberg
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-10-19/trump-leads-biden-in-key-us-states-as-voters-worry-about-economy-poll
  318. Redfield & Wilton Strategies
    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-7-9-october-2023/
  319. Emerson Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/pennsylvania-2024-poll-young-voters-hesitant-to-support-biden-but-stick-with-sen-casey/
  320. Quinnipiac University
    https://poll.qu.edu/images/polling/pa/pa10042023_pthi25.pdf
  321. Google Drive
    https://drive.google.com/file/d/16H3_ouz5dJ8O8tg8_s_YasCDq6JFG5bu/view?pli=1
  322. Save My Country Action Fund
    https://savemycountryactionfund.org/2023/09/28/new-polling-biden-leading-trump-in-michigan-pennsylvania-and-wisconsin-impeachment-of-biden-unpopular-with-voters/
  323. National Public Affairs
    https://backend.natpublicaffairs.com/media/PA-General-Election-Polling-Memo-092123.pdf
  324. Franklin & Marshall College Poll
    https://www.fandmpoll.org/poll-release-august-2023/
  325. Prime Group
    https://s3.documentcloud.org/documents/23872659/no-labels.pdf
  326. Quinnipiac University Poll
    https://poll.qu.edu/Poll-Release?releaseid=3875
  327. Citizen Awareness Project
    https://citizenawarenessproject.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/06/232026-Pennsylvania-Statewide-Interview-Schedule.pdf
  328. McClatchyDC
    https://www.mcclatchydc.com/article274385065.html
  329. Franklin & Marshall College Poll
    https://www.fandmpoll.org/franklin-marshall-college-poll-april-2023/
  330. The Patriot-News
    https://www.pennlive.com/elections/2023/03/early-2024-poll-shows-desantis-leading-trump-among-pa-republican-voters.html
  331. PollSmart MR
    https://www.pollsmartmr.com/latest-polls-1/pennsylvania-poll-oz-leads-fetterman
  332. Emerson Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/pennsylvania-2022-oz-and-fetterman-in-two-point-race-half-of-voters-say-senate-debate-worsened-their-opinion-of-fetterman/
  333. Emerson Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/pennsylvania-2022-fettermans-lead-shrinks-in-us-senate-race-shapiros-lead-expands-for-governors-seat/
  334. NetChoice
    https://netchoice.org/new-national-poll-89-of-americans-say-congress-should-focus-on-addressing-inflation-not-breaking-up-tech/
  335. Emerson Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/pennsylvania-2022-fetterman-holds-four-point-lead-over-oz-for-us-senate-shapiro-leads-mastriano-by-three/
  336. Bolton Super PAC
    https://web.archive.org/web/20220728223724/http://boltonsuperpac.com/pdfs/crostabs_07282022.pdf
  337. Blueprint Polling
    https://web.archive.org/web/20220726195513/https://blueprintpolling.com/2022/07/26/democratic-nominees-for-pa-governor-and-senate-enjoy-early-lead-while-biden-fades/
  338. Blueprint Polling
    https://web.archive.org/web/20220223202424/https://blueprintpolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/BP-Polling-PA-Survey.pdf
  339. Politico
    https://www.politico.com/f/?id=0000017d-49fd-dddc-a77f-4dff81830000
  340. YouGov
    https://ygo-assets-websites-editorial-emea.yougov.net/documents/Times_SAY24_20240712_state_poll_results.pdf#page=169
  341. Marist Poll
    https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/the-2024-elections-in-pennsylvania/
  342. The Washington Examiner
    https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/columnists/2900823/poll-pennsylvania-voters-reject-biden-lng-pause/
  343. Morning Consult
    https://pro-assets.morningconsult.com/wp-uploads/2024/01/2401055_Bloomberg_2024-Election-Tracking-Wave-4_Crosstabs_All-States-compressed-1.pdf
  344. Morning Consult
    https://pro-assets.morningconsult.com/wp-uploads/2023/12/231206-Morning-Consult-Bloomberg-2024-Election-Swing-State-Polling.pdf#page=126
  345. Redfield & Wilton Strategies
    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-16-18-july-2024/
  346. Redfield & Wilton Strategies
    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-8-10-july-2024/
  347. Redfield & Wilton Strategies
    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-8-11-june-2024/
  348. Redfield & Wilton Strategies
    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-2-4-may-2024/
  349. Redfield & Wilton Strategies
    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-14-17-march-2024/
  350. FiveThirtyEight
    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20240708_Swing_1983Labs.pdf
  351. Commonwealth Foundation
    https://www.commonwealthfoundation.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/Common-Ground-in-the-Commonwealth-Q1-2024-Survey-Analysis-Updated.pdf
  352. Redfield & Wilton Strategies
    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-28-30-december-2023/
  353. Redfield & Wilton Strategies
    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-27-29-november-2023/
  354. The New York Times
    https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/07/us/politics/rfk-jr-trump-biden-poll.html
  355. Morning Consult
    https://pro-assets.morningconsult.com/wp-uploads/2023/11/231105-Morning-Consult-Bloomberg-2024-Election-Survey-All-States-Toplines.pdf#page=109
  356. The New York Times
    https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2023/11/07/us/elections/times-siena-battlegrounds-likely-electorate.html
  357. RealClearPolitics
    https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2023/Toplines-PUBLIC-PAStatewide-SPR-May2023.pdf
  358. Commonwealth of Pennsylvania Election Results
    https://www.electionreturns.pa.gov/General/SummaryResults?ElectionID=105&ElectionType=G&IsActive=0
  359. "Official 2024 Presidential General Election Results"
    https://www.fec.gov/documents/5644/2024presgeresults.pdf
  360. uselectionatlas.org
    https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?fips=42&year=2024&f=1&off=0
  361. States Newsroom
    https://www.masslive.com/politics/2021/03/counties-that-flipped-from-donald-trump-to-joe-biden-in-the-2020-presidential-election.html
  362. docs.google.com
    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/12moE8J_splytOqb5cfTl-bBAbDnfv2ULJdSXY96ODj0/edit?gid=569390567#gid=569390567
  363. "Exit poll results 2024"
    https://edition.cnn.com/election/2024/exit-polls/pennsylvania/general/president/0
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