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2024 United States presidential election in North Carolina

Updated: Wikipedia source

2024 United States presidential election in North Carolina

The 2024 United States presidential election in North Carolina took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. North Carolina voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of North Carolina has 16 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained a seat. While Republican presidential candidates won close victories in 2012, 2016, and 2020, even as polls indicated a narrow win by Democrat Joe Biden in 2020, at the state level, Democrat Roy Cooper won the 2016 and 2020 gubernatorial elections. Because of these results, the presidential election was expected to be competitive. Today a purple to slightly red state, North Carolina was targeted by both parties in 2024, with major news organizations marking the state as a tossup or slightly leaning towards the Republican candidate, Donald Trump, who carried the state with a margin similar to his 2016 result. Incumbent president Biden was initially poised to run for re-election but withdrew on July 21 and endorsed his vice president, Kamala Harris. Despite North Carolina Republicans struggling down-ballot, especially due to controversial Republican gubernatorial nominee Mark Robinson, Trump won the state by 3 %, keeping it in the Republican column for the fourth election cycle in a row. Trump won the state himself for the third straight election. North Carolina remains the only battleground state that Trump won all three times. With 50 percent of the vote, Trump won the highest percentage of the vote for any presidential candidate since 2004. Harris did outperform Hillary Clinton in 2016, losing by a 3 % margin compared to Clinton's 3 % margin of defeat. However, 2024 had less of a 3rd party vote compared to 2016. North Carolina and Georgia were the only two battleground states where Harris did better than Clinton but worse than Biden. They were some of the few states in the country to have many counties shift significantly leftward, particularly counties in the Piedmont Atlantic megaregion. North Carolina is the only state that Trump won in both 2016 and 2020 that did not vote for him by double digits in 2024. This presidential election marks the first time since 2012 that the winning candidate won the election with an absolute majority of the vote.

Infobox

Turnout
73 % 1 pp
Nominee
Donald Trump
Party
Republican
Home state
Florida
Running mate
JD Vance
Electoral vote
16
Popular vote
2,898,423
Percentage
50 %

Tables

2024 North Carolina Democratic primary · Primary elections › Democratic primary
Joe Biden (incumbent)
Joe Biden (incumbent)
Candidate
Joe Biden (incumbent)
Votes
609,680
%
87
Delegates
116
No Preference
No Preference
Candidate
No Preference
Votes
88,900
%
12
Delegates
0
Total
Total
Candidate
Total
Votes
698,580
%
100%
Delegates
116
Candidate
Votes
%
Delegates
Joe Biden (incumbent)
609,680
87
116
No Preference
88,900
12
0
Total
698,580
100%
116
North Carolina Republican primary, March 5, 2024 · Primary elections › Republican primary
Bound
Bound
Candidate
Bound
Votes
Unbound
Percentage
Total
Donald Trump
Donald Trump
Candidate
Donald Trump
Votes
793,978
Percentage
73 %
Actual delegate count
62
Actual delegate count
62
Nikki Haley
Nikki Haley
Candidate
Nikki Haley
Votes
250,838
Percentage
23 %
Actual delegate count
12
Actual delegate count
12
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)
Candidate
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)
Votes
14,740
Percentage
1 %
No Preference
No Preference
Candidate
No Preference
Votes
7,448
Percentage
0 %
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)
Candidate
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)
Votes
3,418
Percentage
0 %
Chris Christie (withdrawn)
Chris Christie (withdrawn)
Candidate
Chris Christie (withdrawn)
Votes
3,166
Percentage
0 %
Ryan Binkley (withdrawn)
Ryan Binkley (withdrawn)
Candidate
Ryan Binkley (withdrawn)
Votes
916
Percentage
0 %
Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn)
Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn)
Candidate
Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn)
Votes
727
Percentage
0 %
Total:
Total:
Candidate
Total:
Votes
1,075,231
Percentage
100 %
Actual delegate count
74
Actual delegate count
74
Candidate
Votes
Percentage
Actual delegate count
Bound
Unbound
Total
Donald Trump
793,978
73 %
62
62
Nikki Haley
250,838
23 %
12
12
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)
14,740
1 %
No Preference
7,448
0 %
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)
3,418
0 %
Chris Christie (withdrawn)
3,166
0 %
Ryan Binkley (withdrawn)
916
0 %
Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn)
727
0 %
Total:
1,075,231
100 %
74
74
North Carolina Libertarian primary, March 5, 2024 · Primary elections › Libertarian primary
None of the Above
None of the Above
Candidate
None of the Above
Votes
2,058
Percentage
40 %
Chase Oliver
Chase Oliver
Candidate
Chase Oliver
Votes
676
Percentage
13 %
Jacob Hornberger
Jacob Hornberger
Candidate
Jacob Hornberger
Votes
357
Percentage
7 %
Joshua Smith
Joshua Smith
Candidate
Joshua Smith
Votes
354
Percentage
7 %
Michael Rectenwald
Michael Rectenwald
Candidate
Michael Rectenwald
Votes
195
Percentage
3 %
Charles Ballay
Charles Ballay
Candidate
Charles Ballay
Votes
183
Percentage
3 %
Lars Mapstead
Lars Mapstead
Candidate
Lars Mapstead
Votes
176
Percentage
3 %
Mike ter Maat
Mike ter Maat
Candidate
Mike ter Maat
Votes
137
Percentage
2 %
Other
Other
Candidate
Other
Votes
946
Percentage
18 %
Total:
Total:
Candidate
Total:
Votes
5,082
Percentage
100 %
Source:
Source:
Candidate
Source:
Candidate
Votes
Percentage
None of the Above
2,058
40 %
Chase Oliver
676
13 %
Jacob Hornberger
357
7 %
Joshua Smith
354
7 %
Michael Rectenwald
195
3 %
Charles Ballay
183
3 %
Lars Mapstead
176
3 %
Mike ter Maat
137
2 %
Other
946
18 %
Total:
5,082
100 %
Source:
· General election › Predictions
Tossup
Tossup
Source
The Cook Political Report
Ranking
Tossup
As of
November 4, 2024
Lean R
Lean R
Source
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Ranking
Lean R
As of
November 4, 2024
Tossup
Tossup
Source
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill
Ranking
Tossup
As of
November 4, 2024
Tossup
Tossup
Source
CNN
Ranking
Tossup
As of
November 4, 2024
Tilt D (flip)
Tilt D (flip)
Source
CNalysis
Ranking
Tilt D (flip)
As of
November 4, 2024
Tossup
Tossup
Source
The Economist
Ranking
Tossup
As of
November 4, 2024
Tossup
Tossup
Source
538
Ranking
Tossup
As of
November 4, 2024
Tossup
Tossup
Source
Inside Elections
Ranking
Tossup
As of
November 4, 2024
Tossup
Tossup
Source
NBC News
Ranking
Tossup
As of
November 4, 2024
Source
Ranking
As of
The Cook Political Report
Tossup
November 4, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Lean R
November 4, 2024
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill
Tossup
November 4, 2024
CNN
Tossup
November 4, 2024
CNalysis
Tilt D (flip)
November 4, 2024
The Economist
Tossup
November 4, 2024
538
Tossup
November 4, 2024
Inside Elections
Tossup
November 4, 2024
NBC News
Tossup
November 4, 2024
· General election › Polling
270ToWin
270ToWin
Source of poll aggregation
270ToWin
Dates administered
October 23 – November 4, 2024
Dates updated
November 5, 2024
Kamala Harris Democratic
47 %
Donald Trump Republican
48 %
Other / Undecided
4 %
Margin
Trump +1 %
538
538
Source of poll aggregation
538
Dates administered
through November 4, 2024
Dates updated
November 5, 2024
Kamala Harris Democratic
47 %
Donald Trump Republican
48 %
Other / Undecided
4 %
Margin
Trump +0 %
Silver Bulletin
Silver Bulletin
Source of poll aggregation
Silver Bulletin
Dates administered
through November 4, 2024
Dates updated
November 5, 2024
Kamala Harris Democratic
47 %
Donald Trump Republican
48 %
Other / Undecided
3 %
Margin
Trump +1 %
The Hill/DDHQ
The Hill/DDHQ
Source of poll aggregation
The Hill/DDHQ
Dates administered
through November 4, 2024
Dates updated
November 5, 2024
Kamala Harris Democratic
47 %
Donald Trump Republican
49 %
Other / Undecided
2 %
Margin
Trump +1 %
Average
Average
Source of poll aggregation
Average
Dates administered
47 %
Dates updated
48 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
3 %
Donald Trump Republican
Trump +1 %
Source of poll aggregation
Dates administered
Dates updated
Kamala Harris Democratic
Donald Trump Republican
Other / Undecided
Margin
270ToWin
October 23 – November 4, 2024
November 5, 2024
47 %
48 %
4 %
Trump +1 %
538
through November 4, 2024
November 5, 2024
47 %
48 %
4 %
Trump +0 %
Silver Bulletin
through November 4, 2024
November 5, 2024
47 %
48 %
3 %
Trump +1 %
The Hill/DDHQ
through November 4, 2024
November 5, 2024
47 %
49 %
2 %
Trump +1 %
Average
47 %
48 %
3 %
Trump +1 %

References

  1. 464 votes (9 %) for David (TrimeTaveler) Dunlap, 320 votes (6 %) for Beau Lindsey, 162 votes (3 %) for Josh "Toad" Ander
  2. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  3. Key: A – all adults RV – registered voters LV – likely voters V – unclear
  4. With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  5. "Other" with 2%
  6. "Someone else" with 1%
  7. "Other" with 1%
  8. "Someone else" with 2%
  9. "Another party's candidates" with 2%
  10. "Another party's candidates" with 1%
  11. "Another candidate" with 4%
  12. "Other" with 4%
  13. "Some other candidate" with 2%
  14. "Some other candidate" with 1%
  15. "Third party candidates" & "Undecided" with 2%
  16. "Another candidate" with 3%
  17. "Some other candidate" with 3%
  18. "Would not vote" with 2%
  19. "Another candidate" with 2%
  20. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
Image
Source:
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