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2024 United States presidential election in New Mexico

Updated: Wikipedia source

2024 United States presidential election in New Mexico

The 2024 United States presidential election in New Mexico took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. New Mexico voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of New Mexico has five electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat. Before President Joe Biden withdrew, it was considered a battleground state by some. However, after incumbent Vice President Kamala Harris replaced Biden as the Democratic presidential candidate, she was favored to keep New Mexico in the blue column. Although Harris carried New Mexico, her 6-point margin of victory was the worst for a Democratic presidential candidate in the state since John Kerry, who narrowly lost the state to George W. Bush in 2004. This is the second consecutive election where the state voted to the right of neighboring Colorado, after doing so for the first time since 1968 the previous cycle. This was also the second time in its history that it did not vote for the winner of the national popular vote, after 1976 (in 2000 and 2016, it voted for the candidate who won the popular vote but not the electoral vote). Despite Harris losing significant support among Hispanic voters, she held her own quite well in New Mexico, which has the highest percentage of Hispanics of any state. This was the first time that New Mexico voted for a Democrat who lost the popular vote, and the first time since statehood that any candidate won two terms to the presidency without ever carrying the state. This was also the first time ever in the state's history that a Republican presidential candidate received over 80% of the vote in any county, as Trump received 80.14% of the vote in Lea County, the state's southeasternmost county.

Infobox

Party
Democratic
Nominee
Kamala Harris
Turnout
66.78% (of eligible voters) ( 1.89 pp)
Percentage
51.85%
Home state
California
Popular vote
478,802
Running mate
Tim Walz
Electoral vote
5

Tables

New Mexico Democratic primary, June 4, 2024[7] · Primary elections › Democratic primary
Pledged
Pledged
Candidate
Pledged
Votes
Unpledged
Percentage
Total
Joe Biden (incumbent)
Joe Biden (incumbent)
Candidate
Joe Biden (incumbent)
Votes
111,049
Percentage
83.5%
Actual delegate count
34
Actual delegate count
34
Uncommitted
Uncommitted
Candidate
Uncommitted
Votes
12,938
Percentage
9.7%
Marianne Williamson
Marianne Williamson
Candidate
Marianne Williamson
Votes
8,935
Percentage
6.7%
Total:
Total:
Candidate
Total:
Votes
132,922
Percentage
100.0%
Actual delegate count
34
Actual delegate count
11
Actual delegate count
45
Candidate
Votes
Percentage
Actual delegate count
Pledged
Unpledged
Total
Joe Biden (incumbent)
111,049
83.5%
34
34
Uncommitted
12,938
9.7%
Marianne Williamson
8,935
6.7%
Total:
132,922
100.0%
34
11
45
New Mexico Republican primary, June 4, 2024[8] · Primary elections › Republican primary
Bound
Bound
Candidate
Bound
Votes
Unbound
Percentage
Total
Donald Trump
Donald Trump
Candidate
Donald Trump
Votes
78,999
Percentage
84.5%
Actual delegate count
22
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
22
Nikki Haley (withdrawn)
Nikki Haley (withdrawn)
Candidate
Nikki Haley (withdrawn)
Votes
8,054
Percentage
8.6%
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Uncommitted
Uncommitted
Candidate
Uncommitted
Votes
3,130
Percentage
3.3%
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Chris Christie (withdrawn)
Chris Christie (withdrawn)
Candidate
Chris Christie (withdrawn)
Votes
2,428
Percentage
2.6%
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)
Candidate
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)
Votes
886
Percentage
0.9%
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Total:
Total:
Candidate
Total:
Votes
93,497
Percentage
100.00%
Actual delegate count
22
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
22
Candidate
Votes
Percentage
Actual delegate count
Bound
Unbound
Total
Donald Trump
78,999
84.5%
22
0
22
Nikki Haley (withdrawn)
8,054
8.6%
0
0
0
Uncommitted
3,130
3.3%
0
0
0
Chris Christie (withdrawn)
2,428
2.6%
0
0
0
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)
886
0.9%
0
0
0
Total:
93,497
100.00%
22
0
22
New Mexico Libertarian primary, June 4, 2024 · Primary elections › Libertarian primary
Lars Mapstead
Lars Mapstead
Candidate
Lars Mapstead
Votes
432
Percentage
56.5%
None of the Above
None of the Above
Candidate
None of the Above
Votes
332
Percentage
43.5%
Total:
Total:
Candidate
Total:
Votes
764
Percentage
100.0%
Source:
Source:
Candidate
Source:
Candidate
Votes
Percentage
Lars Mapstead
432
56.5%
None of the Above
332
43.5%
Total:
764
100.0%
Source:
· General election › Predictions
Likely D
Likely D
Source
Cook Political Report
Ranking
Likely D
As of
June 12, 2024
Solid D
Solid D
Source
Inside Elections
Ranking
Solid D
As of
April 26, 2023
Likely D
Likely D
Source
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Ranking
Likely D
As of
June 29, 2023
Likely D
Likely D
Source
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill
Ranking
Likely D
As of
December 14, 2023
Very Likely D
Very Likely D
Source
CNalysis
Ranking
Very Likely D
As of
November 1, 2024
Lean D
Lean D
Source
CNN
Ranking
Lean D
As of
January 14, 2024
Likely D
Likely D
Source
The Economist
Ranking
Likely D
As of
August 20, 2024
Likely D
Likely D
Source
538
Ranking
Likely D
As of
June 11, 2024
Likely D
Likely D
Source
NBC News
Ranking
Likely D
As of
October 6, 2024
Safe D
Safe D
Source
YouGov
Ranking
Safe D
As of
October 16, 2024
Likely D
Likely D
Source
Split Ticket
Ranking
Likely D
As of
November 1, 2024
Source
Ranking
As of
Cook Political Report
Likely D
June 12, 2024
Inside Elections
Solid D
April 26, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Likely D
June 29, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill
Likely D
December 14, 2023
CNalysis
Very Likely D
November 1, 2024
CNN
Lean D
January 14, 2024
The Economist
Likely D
August 20, 2024
538
Likely D
June 11, 2024
NBC News
Likely D
October 6, 2024
YouGov
Safe D
October 16, 2024
Split Ticket
Likely D
November 1, 2024
· General election › Polling
Victory Insights
Victory Insights
Poll source
Victory Insights
Date(s)administered
November 1–3, 2024
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
–
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
49.6%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44.7%
Other /Undecided
5.7%
SurveyUSA
SurveyUSA
Poll source
SurveyUSA
Date(s)administered
October 28–31, 2024
Samplesize
632 (LV)
Marginof error
± 5.5%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
50%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
Other /Undecided
6%
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Poll source
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Date(s)administered
October 24–26, 2024
Samplesize
749 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
Other /Undecided
7%
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Poll source
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Date(s)administered
September 19−22, 2024
Samplesize
708 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
50%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
Other /Undecided
6%
SurveyUSA
SurveyUSA
Poll source
SurveyUSA
Date(s)administered
September 12–18, 2024
Samplesize
619 (LV)
Marginof error
± 5.4%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
50%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
42%
Other /Undecided
8%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
August 20–22, 2024
Samplesize
956 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
52%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
42%
Other /Undecided
6%
54%
54%
Poll source
54%
Date(s)administered
46%
Samplesize
–
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Other /Undecided
Victory Insights
November 1–3, 2024
600 (LV)
–
49.6%
44.7%
5.7%
SurveyUSA
October 28–31, 2024
632 (LV)
± 5.5%
50%
44%
6%
Rasmussen Reports (R)
October 24–26, 2024
749 (LV)
± 3.0%
49%
44%
7%
Rasmussen Reports (R)
September 19−22, 2024
708 (LV)
± 3.0%
50%
44%
6%
SurveyUSA
September 12–18, 2024
619 (LV)
± 5.4%
50%
42%
8%
September 10, 2024
The presidential debate between Harris and Trump hosted by ABC
August 23, 2024
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
August 22, 2024
Democratic National Convention concludes
Emerson College
August 20–22, 2024
956 (RV)
± 3.1%
52%
42%
6%
54%
46%
–
August 19, 2024
Democratic National Convention begins
· General election › Polling
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
October 12–14, 2024
Samplesize
382 (LV)
Marginof error
–
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
2%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
September 6–9, 2024
Samplesize
521 (LV)
Marginof error
–
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
5%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
ChaseOliverLibertarian
Other /Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
October 12–14, 2024
382 (LV)
–
49%
45%
–
2%
1%
3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
September 6–9, 2024
521 (LV)
–
49%
44%
–
1%
1%
5%
· General election › Polling
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
August 20–22, 2024
Samplesize
956 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
51%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
40%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
3%
CornelWestIndependent
0%
JillSteinGreen
0%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
0%
Other /Undecided
6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
August 12–15, 2024
Samplesize
592 (LV)
Marginof error
–
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
41%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
6%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
0%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
0%
Other /Undecided
6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
July 31 – August 3, 2024
Samplesize
493 (LV)
Marginof error
–
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
44%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
37%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
8%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
0%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
0%
Other /Undecided
11%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
ChaseOliverLibertarian
Other /Undecided
Emerson College
August 20–22, 2024
956 (RV)
± 3.1%
51%
40%
3%
0%
0%
0%
6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
August 12–15, 2024
592 (LV)
–
47%
41%
6%
–
0%
0%
6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
July 31 – August 3, 2024
493 (LV)
–
44%
37%
8%
–
0%
0%
11%
· General election › Polling
Research & Polling Inc.
Research & Polling Inc.
Poll source
Research & Polling Inc.
Date(s)administered
October 10–18, 2024
Samplesize
1,024 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
50%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
41%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
3%
Other /Undecided
6%
Research & Polling Inc.
Research & Polling Inc.
Poll source
Research & Polling Inc.
Date(s)administered
September 6–13, 2024
Samplesize
532 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.2%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
39%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
3%
Other /Undecided
9%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
Other /Undecided
Research & Polling Inc.
October 10–18, 2024
1,024 (LV)
± 3.1%
50%
41%
3%
6%
Research & Polling Inc.
September 6–13, 2024
532 (LV)
± 4.2%
49%
39%
3%
9%
1892 Polling (R)
1892 Polling (R)
Poll source
1892 Polling (R)
Date(s)administered
June 19–24, 2024
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
5%
Public Policy Polling (D)
Public Policy Polling (D)
Poll source
Public Policy Polling (D)
Date(s)administered
June 13–14, 2024
Samplesize
555 (V)
Marginof error
± 4.2%
JoeBidenDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
41%
Other /Undecided
11%
John Zogby Strategies
John Zogby Strategies
Poll source
John Zogby Strategies
Date(s)administered
April 13–21, 2024
Samplesize
505 (LV)
Marginof error
–
JoeBidenDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
42%
Other /Undecided
9%
Public Policy Polling (D)
Public Policy Polling (D)
Poll source
Public Policy Polling (D)
Date(s)administered
August 23–24, 2023
Samplesize
767 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
JoeBidenDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
41%
Other /Undecided
10%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Poll source
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Date(s)administered
May 6–8, 2023
Samplesize
500 (LV)
Marginof error
–
JoeBidenDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
38%
Other /Undecided
13%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
October 25–28, 2022
Samplesize
1,000 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
38%
Other /Undecided
14%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
September 8–11, 2022
Samplesize
1,000 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
41%
Other /Undecided
12%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Other /Undecided
1892 Polling (R)
June 19–24, 2024
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
49%
47%
5%
Public Policy Polling (D)
June 13–14, 2024
555 (V)
± 4.2%
48%
41%
11%
John Zogby Strategies
April 13–21, 2024
505 (LV)
–
49%
42%
9%
Public Policy Polling (D)
August 23–24, 2023
767 (RV)
± 3.5%
49%
41%
10%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
May 6–8, 2023
500 (LV)
–
49%
38%
13%
Emerson College
October 25–28, 2022
1,000 (LV)
± 3.0%
48%
38%
14%
Emerson College
September 8–11, 2022
1,000 (LV)
± 3.0%
47%
41%
12%
1892 Polling (R)
1892 Polling (R)
Poll source
1892 Polling (R)
Date(s)administered
June 19–24, 2024
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
43%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
42%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
8%
JillSteinGreen
3%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
2%
RandallTerryConstitution
1%
Other /Undecided
3%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
JillSteinGreen
ChaseOliverLibertarian
RandallTerryConstitution
Other /Undecided
1892 Polling (R)
June 19–24, 2024
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
43%
42%
8%
3%
2%
1%
3%
John Zogby Strategies
John Zogby Strategies
Poll source
John Zogby Strategies
Date(s)administered
April 13–21, 2024
Samplesize
505 (LV)
Marginof error
–
JoeBidenDemocratic
41%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
46%
Other /Undecided
13%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
Other /Undecided
John Zogby Strategies
April 13–21, 2024
505 (LV)
–
41%
46%
13%
John Zogby Strategies
John Zogby Strategies
Poll source
John Zogby Strategies
Date(s)administered
April 13–21, 2024
Samplesize
505 (LV)
Marginof error
–
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
36%
Other /Undecided
18%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Other /Undecided
John Zogby Strategies
April 13–21, 2024
505 (LV)
–
46%
36%
18%
Public Policy Polling (D)
Public Policy Polling (D)
Poll source
Public Policy Polling (D)
Date(s)administered
August 23–24, 2023
Samplesize
767 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
JoeBidenDemocratic
48%
RonDeSantisRepublican
43%
Other /Undecided
9%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Poll source
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Date(s)administered
May 6–8, 2023
Samplesize
500 (LV)
Marginof error
–
JoeBidenDemocratic
45%
RonDeSantisRepublican
43%
Other /Undecided
12%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
RonDeSantisRepublican
Other /Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)
August 23–24, 2023
767 (LV)
± 3.5%
48%
43%
9%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
May 6–8, 2023
500 (LV)
–
45%
43%
12%
2024 United States presidential election in New Mexico[43] · General election › Results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
923,403
Candidate
100.00%
Votes
N/A
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
mw- ±%
Democratic
mw- Kamala HarrisTim Walz
478,802
51.85
−2.44
Republican
Donald TrumpJD Vance
423,391
45.85
+2.35
Independent
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (withdrawn)Nicole Shanahan (withdrawn)
9,553
1.04
N/A
Green
Jill SteinButch Ware
4,611
0.50
+0.02
Free New Mexico
Chase OliverMike ter Maat
3,745
0.41
−0.95
Socialism and Liberation
Claudia De la CruzKarina Garcia
2,442
0.26
+0.08
Liberal
Laura EbkeTricia Butler
859
0.09%
N/A
Total votes
923,403
100.00%
N/A
Democratic win
· General election › Results › By county
#
#
County
#
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
#
Donald TrumpRepublican
%
Donald TrumpRepublican
#
Various candidatesOther parties
%
Various candidatesOther parties
#
Margin
%
Bernalillo
Bernalillo
County
Bernalillo
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
184,117
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
59.23%
Donald TrumpRepublican
118,762
Donald TrumpRepublican
38.21%
Various candidatesOther parties
7,965
Various candidatesOther parties
2.56%
Margin
65,355
Margin
21.02%
Total
310,844
Catron
Catron
County
Catron
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
571
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
24.23%
Donald TrumpRepublican
1,752
Donald TrumpRepublican
74.33%
Various candidatesOther parties
34
Various candidatesOther parties
1.44%
Margin
-1,181
Margin
-50.10%
Total
2,357
Chaves
Chaves
County
Chaves
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
5,941
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
26.76%
Donald TrumpRepublican
15,894
Donald TrumpRepublican
71.59%
Various candidatesOther parties
365
Various candidatesOther parties
1.65%
Margin
-9,953
Margin
-44.83%
Total
22,200
Cibola
Cibola
County
Cibola
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
4,450
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
49.57%
Donald TrumpRepublican
4,311
Donald TrumpRepublican
48.02%
Various candidatesOther parties
216
Various candidatesOther parties
2.41%
Margin
139
Margin
1.55%
Total
8,977
Colfax
Colfax
County
Colfax
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
2,436
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
41.91%
Donald TrumpRepublican
3,252
Donald TrumpRepublican
55.94%
Various candidatesOther parties
125
Various candidatesOther parties
2.15%
Margin
-816
Margin
-14.03%
Total
5,813
Curry
Curry
County
Curry
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
4,230
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
27.79%
Donald TrumpRepublican
10,714
Donald TrumpRepublican
70.38%
Various candidatesOther parties
279
Various candidatesOther parties
1.83%
Margin
-6,484
Margin
-42.59%
Total
15,223
De Baca
De Baca
County
De Baca
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
206
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
23.57%
Donald TrumpRepublican
649
Donald TrumpRepublican
74.26%
Various candidatesOther parties
19
Various candidatesOther parties
2.17%
Margin
-443
Margin
-50.69%
Total
874
Doña Ana
Doña Ana
County
Doña Ana
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
45,937
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
53.79%
Donald TrumpRepublican
37,594
Donald TrumpRepublican
44.02%
Various candidatesOther parties
1,876
Various candidatesOther parties
2.19%
Margin
8,343
Margin
9.77%
Total
85,407
Eddy
Eddy
County
Eddy
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
5,032
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
21.44%
Donald TrumpRepublican
18,141
Donald TrumpRepublican
77.29%
Various candidatesOther parties
299
Various candidatesOther parties
1.27%
Margin
-13,109
Margin
-55.85%
Total
23,472
Grant
Grant
County
Grant
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
7,301
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
51.33%
Donald TrumpRepublican
6,580
Donald TrumpRepublican
46.26%
Various candidatesOther parties
343
Various candidatesOther parties
2.41%
Margin
721
Margin
5.07%
Total
14,224
Guadalupe
Guadalupe
County
Guadalupe
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
959
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
49.48%
Donald TrumpRepublican
945
Donald TrumpRepublican
48.76%
Various candidatesOther parties
34
Various candidatesOther parties
1.76%
Margin
14
Margin
0.72%
Total
1,938
Harding
Harding
County
Harding
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
128
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
29.70%
Donald TrumpRepublican
297
Donald TrumpRepublican
68.91%
Various candidatesOther parties
6
Various candidatesOther parties
1.39%
Margin
-169
Margin
-39.21%
Total
431
Hidalgo
Hidalgo
County
Hidalgo
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
705
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
37.86%
Donald TrumpRepublican
1,140
Donald TrumpRepublican
61.22%
Various candidatesOther parties
17
Various candidatesOther parties
0.92%
Margin
-435
Margin
-23.36%
Total
1,862
Lea
Lea
County
Lea
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
3,930
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
18.53%
Donald TrumpRepublican
16,997
Donald TrumpRepublican
80.14%
Various candidatesOther parties
282
Various candidatesOther parties
1.33%
Margin
-13,067
Margin
-61.61%
Total
21,209
Lincoln
Lincoln
County
Lincoln
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
3,033
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
29.84%
Donald TrumpRepublican
6,942
Donald TrumpRepublican
68.29%
Various candidatesOther parties
190
Various candidatesOther parties
1.87%
Margin
-3,909
Margin
-38.45%
Total
10,165
Los Alamos
Los Alamos
County
Los Alamos
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
7,726
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
63.40%
Donald TrumpRepublican
4,047
Donald TrumpRepublican
33.21%
Various candidatesOther parties
414
Various candidatesOther parties
3.39%
Margin
3,679
Margin
30.19%
Total
12,187
Luna
Luna
County
Luna
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
3,176
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
39.42%
Donald TrumpRepublican
4,698
Donald TrumpRepublican
58.32%
Various candidatesOther parties
182
Various candidatesOther parties
2.26%
Margin
-1,522
Margin
-18.90%
Total
8,056
McKinley
McKinley
County
McKinley
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
15,711
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
60.74%
Donald TrumpRepublican
9,364
Donald TrumpRepublican
36.20%
Various candidatesOther parties
792
Various candidatesOther parties
3.06%
Margin
6,347
Margin
24.54%
Total
25,867
Mora
Mora
County
Mora
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
1,439
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
57.86%
Donald TrumpRepublican
1,010
Donald TrumpRepublican
40.61%
Various candidatesOther parties
38
Various candidatesOther parties
1.53%
Margin
429
Margin
17.25%
Total
2,487
Otero
Otero
County
Otero
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
8,582
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
35.40%
Donald TrumpRepublican
15,117
Donald TrumpRepublican
62.36%
Various candidatesOther parties
543
Various candidatesOther parties
2.24%
Margin
-6,535
Margin
-26.96%
Total
24,242
Quay
Quay
County
Quay
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
1,055
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
28.48%
Donald TrumpRepublican
2,570
Donald TrumpRepublican
69.38%
Various candidatesOther parties
79
Various candidatesOther parties
2.14%
Margin
-1,515
Margin
-40.90%
Total
3,704
Rio Arriba
Rio Arriba
County
Rio Arriba
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
9,373
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
58.62%
Donald TrumpRepublican
6,268
Donald TrumpRepublican
39.20%
Various candidatesOther parties
348
Various candidatesOther parties
2.18%
Margin
3,105
Margin
19.42%
Total
15,989
Roosevelt
Roosevelt
County
Roosevelt
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
1,820
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
27.41%
Donald TrumpRepublican
4,687
Donald TrumpRepublican
70.60%
Various candidatesOther parties
132
Various candidatesOther parties
1.99%
Margin
-2,867
Margin
-43.19%
Total
6,639
San Juan
San Juan
County
San Juan
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
17,464
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
33.00%
Donald TrumpRepublican
34,264
Donald TrumpRepublican
64.74%
Various candidatesOther parties
1,198
Various candidatesOther parties
2.26%
Margin
-16,800
Margin
-31.74%
Total
52,926
San Miguel
San Miguel
County
San Miguel
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
6,985
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
62.88%
Donald TrumpRepublican
3,887
Donald TrumpRepublican
34.99%
Various candidatesOther parties
236
Various candidatesOther parties
2.13%
Margin
3,098
Margin
27.89%
Total
11,108
Sandoval
Sandoval
County
Sandoval
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
41,205
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
51.80%
Donald TrumpRepublican
36,605
Donald TrumpRepublican
46.02%
Various candidatesOther parties
1,730
Various candidatesOther parties
2.18%
Margin
4,600
Margin
5.78%
Total
79,540
Santa Fe
Santa Fe
County
Santa Fe
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
61,405
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
73.35%
Donald TrumpRepublican
20,457
Donald TrumpRepublican
24.44%
Various candidatesOther parties
1,857
Various candidatesOther parties
2.21%
Margin
40,948
Margin
48.91%
Total
83,719
Sierra
Sierra
County
Sierra
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
2,332
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
39.17%
Donald TrumpRepublican
3,473
Donald TrumpRepublican
58.34%
Various candidatesOther parties
148
Various candidatesOther parties
2.49%
Margin
-1,141
Margin
-19.17%
Total
5,953
Socorro
Socorro
County
Socorro
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
3,384
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
46.79%
Donald TrumpRepublican
3,651
Donald TrumpRepublican
50.48%
Various candidatesOther parties
198
Various candidatesOther parties
2.73%
Margin
-267
Margin
-3.69%
Total
7,233
Taos
Taos
County
Taos
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
12,038
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
72.36%
Donald TrumpRepublican
4,139
Donald TrumpRepublican
24.88%
Various candidatesOther parties
459
Various candidatesOther parties
2.76%
Margin
7,899
Margin
47.48%
Total
16,636
Torrance
Torrance
County
Torrance
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
2,144
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
29.86%
Donald TrumpRepublican
4,880
Donald TrumpRepublican
67.98%
Various candidatesOther parties
155
Various candidatesOther parties
2.16%
Margin
-2,736
Margin
-38.12%
Total
7,179
Union
Union
County
Union
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
378
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
22.70%
Donald TrumpRepublican
1,247
Donald TrumpRepublican
74.89%
Various candidatesOther parties
40
Various candidatesOther parties
2.41%
Margin
-869
Margin
-52.19%
Total
1,665
Valencia
Valencia
County
Valencia
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
13,609
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
40.90%
Donald TrumpRepublican
19,057
Donald TrumpRepublican
57.27%
Various candidatesOther parties
611
Various candidatesOther parties
1.83%
Margin
-5,448
Margin
-16.37%
Total
33,277
Totals
Totals
County
Totals
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
478,802
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
51.85%
Donald TrumpRepublican
423,391
Donald TrumpRepublican
45.85%
Various candidatesOther parties
21,210
Various candidatesOther parties
2.30%
Margin
55,411
Margin
6.00%
Total
923,403
County
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
Donald TrumpRepublican
Various candidatesOther parties
Margin
Total
#
%
#
%
#
%
#
%
Bernalillo
184,117
59.23%
118,762
38.21%
7,965
2.56%
65,355
21.02%
310,844
Catron
571
24.23%
1,752
74.33%
34
1.44%
-1,181
-50.10%
2,357
Chaves
5,941
26.76%
15,894
71.59%
365
1.65%
-9,953
-44.83%
22,200
Cibola
4,450
49.57%
4,311
48.02%
216
2.41%
139
1.55%
8,977
Colfax
2,436
41.91%
3,252
55.94%
125
2.15%
-816
-14.03%
5,813
Curry
4,230
27.79%
10,714
70.38%
279
1.83%
-6,484
-42.59%
15,223
De Baca
206
23.57%
649
74.26%
19
2.17%
-443
-50.69%
874
Doña Ana
45,937
53.79%
37,594
44.02%
1,876
2.19%
8,343
9.77%
85,407
Eddy
5,032
21.44%
18,141
77.29%
299
1.27%
-13,109
-55.85%
23,472
Grant
7,301
51.33%
6,580
46.26%
343
2.41%
721
5.07%
14,224
Guadalupe
959
49.48%
945
48.76%
34
1.76%
14
0.72%
1,938
Harding
128
29.70%
297
68.91%
6
1.39%
-169
-39.21%
431
Hidalgo
705
37.86%
1,140
61.22%
17
0.92%
-435
-23.36%
1,862
Lea
3,930
18.53%
16,997
80.14%
282
1.33%
-13,067
-61.61%
21,209
Lincoln
3,033
29.84%
6,942
68.29%
190
1.87%
-3,909
-38.45%
10,165
Los Alamos
7,726
63.40%
4,047
33.21%
414
3.39%
3,679
30.19%
12,187
Luna
3,176
39.42%
4,698
58.32%
182
2.26%
-1,522
-18.90%
8,056
McKinley
15,711
60.74%
9,364
36.20%
792
3.06%
6,347
24.54%
25,867
Mora
1,439
57.86%
1,010
40.61%
38
1.53%
429
17.25%
2,487
Otero
8,582
35.40%
15,117
62.36%
543
2.24%
-6,535
-26.96%
24,242
Quay
1,055
28.48%
2,570
69.38%
79
2.14%
-1,515
-40.90%
3,704
Rio Arriba
9,373
58.62%
6,268
39.20%
348
2.18%
3,105
19.42%
15,989
Roosevelt
1,820
27.41%
4,687
70.60%
132
1.99%
-2,867
-43.19%
6,639
San Juan
17,464
33.00%
34,264
64.74%
1,198
2.26%
-16,800
-31.74%
52,926
San Miguel
6,985
62.88%
3,887
34.99%
236
2.13%
3,098
27.89%
11,108
Sandoval
41,205
51.80%
36,605
46.02%
1,730
2.18%
4,600
5.78%
79,540
Santa Fe
61,405
73.35%
20,457
24.44%
1,857
2.21%
40,948
48.91%
83,719
Sierra
2,332
39.17%
3,473
58.34%
148
2.49%
-1,141
-19.17%
5,953
Socorro
3,384
46.79%
3,651
50.48%
198
2.73%
-267
-3.69%
7,233
Taos
12,038
72.36%
4,139
24.88%
459
2.76%
7,899
47.48%
16,636
Torrance
2,144
29.86%
4,880
67.98%
155
2.16%
-2,736
-38.12%
7,179
Union
378
22.70%
1,247
74.89%
40
2.41%
-869
-52.19%
1,665
Valencia
13,609
40.90%
19,057
57.27%
611
1.83%
-5,448
-16.37%
33,277
Totals
478,802
51.85%
423,391
45.85%
21,210
2.30%
55,411
6.00%
923,403
· General election › Results › By congressional district
1st
1st
District
1st
Harris
55%
Trump
42%
Representative
Melanie Stansbury
Cook PVI
D+7
2nd
2nd
District
2nd
Harris
48%
Trump
50%
Representative
Gabe Vasquez
Cook PVI
EVEN
3rd
3rd
District
3rd
Harris
51%
Trump
46%
Representative
Teresa Leger Fernandez
Cook PVI
D+3
District
Harris
Trump
Representative
Cook PVI
1st
55%
42%
Melanie Stansbury
D+7
2nd
48%
50%
Gabe Vasquez
EVEN
3rd
51%
46%
Teresa Leger Fernandez
D+3

References

  1. Key:A – all adultsRV – registered votersLV – likely votersV – unclear
  2. "Other" with 5.7%
  3. "Other" with 3%
  4. "Other" with 4%
  5. With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  6. The Free New Mexico Party is the state affiliate of the national Libertarian Party, which nominated Oliver and ter Maat.
  7. Poll sponsored by KOB-TV
  8. Poll sponsored by American Thinker
  9. Poll conducted for the Albuquerque Journal
  10. Poll commissioned by the National Republican Senatorial Committee
  11. Poll commissioned by the New Mexico Political Report
  12. Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign
  13. "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats"
    https://www.npr.org/2021/04/26/983082132/census-to-release-1st-results-that-shift-electoral-college-house-seats
  14. "Joe Biden's Lead Wiped Out in Critical Battleground States"
    https://www.newsweek.com/joe-biden-polls-latest-key-states-1920619
  15. "2022 Cook PVI℠: District Map and List"
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  16. "New Mexico political battleground shifts with Biden exit"
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  17. "2024 New Mexico: Multi-Candidate"
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  18. 270toWin.com
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  20. "New Mexico Republican Primary Election Results"
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  21. 2024 Libertarian National Convention
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  22. New Mexico Secretary of State
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  23. www.thegreenpapers.com
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  31. FiveThirtyEight
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  32. "Presidential Election Preview 2024"
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  34. "2024 Presidential Forecast"
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  35. "HARRIS LEADS TRUMP BY 4.8% IN FINAL NEW MEXICO POLL OF 2024"
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  36. SurveyUSA
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  39. SurveyUSA
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  47. The Albuquerque Journal
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  48. National Journal
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  52. X
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  55. Secretary of State of New Mexico
    https://klvg4oyd4j.execute-api.us-west-2.amazonaws.com/prod/PublicFiles/ee3072ab0d43456cb15a51f7d82c77a2/c7e73a30-8a5e-4a1b-bb76-669da1347713/2024%20General%20Summary%20Results%20Report.pdf
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    https://davesredistricting.org/maps#viewmap::ec1c76cd-f59f-445b-8f24-fbffb0e8bdf5
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