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2024 United States presidential election in New Jersey

Updated: Wikipedia source

2024 United States presidential election in New Jersey

The 2024 United States presidential election in New Jersey took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. New Jersey voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of New Jersey has 14 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat. New Jersey has backed the Democratic candidate in every presidential election since 1992. Kamala Harris was widely expected to win the state, which she did by a 5.91% margin, marking the first single-digit margin of victory for a Democrat in the state since 2004. This is the closest a Republican has come to winning in New Jersey since 1992. While Trump gained nearly 100,000 votes from 2020, Harris received nearly 400,000 fewer votes than Biden. Trump received the most votes in New Jersey of any Republican presidential nominee, surpassing Ronald Reagan’s 1984 raw vote total. New Jersey had the second-largest swing to the right from the 2020 election after neighboring New York. New Jersey joined most other blue and blue-leaning states such as New York and California in seeing significant rightward shifts in 2024.

Infobox

Party
Democratic
Nominee
Kamala Harris
Turnout
64.67% (of registered voters)
Percentage
51.97%
Home state
California
Popular vote
2,220,713
Running mate
Tim Walz
Electoral vote
14

Tables

New Jersey Democratic primary, June 4, 2024[10] · Primary elections › Democratic primary
Pledged
Pledged
Candidate
Pledged
Votes
Unpledged
Percentage
Total
Joe Biden (incumbent)
Joe Biden (incumbent)
Candidate
Joe Biden (incumbent)
Votes
458,281
Percentage
88.2%
Actual delegate count
124
Uncommitted
Uncommitted
Candidate
Uncommitted
Votes
46,988
Percentage
9.1%
Actual delegate count
2
Terrisa Bukovinac
Terrisa Bukovinac
Candidate
Terrisa Bukovinac
Votes
14,179
Percentage
2.7%
Write-in votes
Write-in votes
Candidate
Write-in votes
Votes
1,269
Percentage
0.2%
Total:
Total:
Candidate
Total:
Votes
520,717
Percentage
100.0%
Actual delegate count
126
Actual delegate count
20
Actual delegate count
146
Candidate
Votes
Percentage
Actual delegate count
Pledged
Unpledged
Total
Joe Biden (incumbent)
458,281
88.2%
124
Uncommitted
46,988
9.1%
2
Terrisa Bukovinac
14,179
2.7%
Write-in votes
1,269
0.2%
Total:
520,717
100.0%
126
20
146
New Jersey Republican primary, June 4, 2024[11] · Primary elections › Republican primary
Bound
Bound
Candidate
Bound
Votes
Unbound
Percentage
Total
Donald Trump
Donald Trump
Candidate
Donald Trump
Votes
294,658
Percentage
96.7%
Actual delegate count
12
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
12
Write-in votes
Write-in votes
Candidate
Write-in votes
Votes
9,915
Percentage
3.3%
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Total:
Total:
Candidate
Total:
Votes
304,573
Percentage
100.00%
Actual delegate count
12
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
12
Candidate
Votes
Percentage
Actual delegate count
Bound
Unbound
Total
Donald Trump
294,658
96.7%
12
0
12
Write-in votes
9,915
3.3%
0
0
0
Total:
304,573
100.00%
12
0
12
· General election › Predictions
Solid D
Solid D
Source
Cook Political Report
Ranking
Solid D
As of
November 1, 2024
Solid D
Solid D
Source
Inside Elections
Ranking
Solid D
As of
October 31, 2024
Safe D
Safe D
Source
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Ranking
Safe D
As of
September 25, 2024
Safe D
Safe D
Source
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill
Ranking
Safe D
As of
August 26, 2024
Solid D
Solid D
Source
CNalysis
Ranking
Solid D
As of
December 30, 2023
Solid D
Solid D
Source
CNN
Ranking
Solid D
As of
January 14, 2024
Safe D
Safe D
Source
The Economist
Ranking
Safe D
As of
October 27, 2024
Solid D
Solid D
Source
538
Ranking
Solid D
As of
October 21, 2024
Safe D
Safe D
Source
NBC News
Ranking
Safe D
As of
October 6, 2024
Source
Ranking
As of
Cook Political Report
Solid D
November 1, 2024
Inside Elections
Solid D
October 31, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Safe D
September 25, 2024
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill
Safe D
August 26, 2024
CNalysis
Solid D
December 30, 2023
CNN
Solid D
January 14, 2024
The Economist
Safe D
October 27, 2024
538
Solid D
October 21, 2024
NBC News
Safe D
October 6, 2024
· General election › Polling
Research Co.
Research Co.
Poll source
Research Co.
Date(s)administered
November 2–3, 2024
Samplesize
450 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.6%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
57%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
40%
Other /Undecided
3%
Rutgers-Eagleton
Rutgers-Eagleton
Poll source
Rutgers-Eagleton
Date(s)administered
October 15–22, 2024
Samplesize
451 (RV)
Marginof error
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
55%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
35%
Other /Undecided
10%
478 (RV)
478 (RV)
Poll source
478 (RV)
Date(s)administered
51%
Samplesize
37%
Marginof error
12%
ActiVote
ActiVote
Poll source
ActiVote
Date(s)administered
October 2–28, 2024
Samplesize
400 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.9%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
57%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
Other /Undecided
Cygnal (R)
Cygnal (R)
Poll source
Cygnal (R)
Date(s)administered
October 23–24, 2024
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
52%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
40%
Other /Undecided
8%
ActiVote
ActiVote
Poll source
ActiVote
Date(s)administered
September 4 – October 2, 2024
Samplesize
400 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.9%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
56%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
Other /Undecided
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Other /Undecided
Research Co.
November 2–3, 2024
450 (LV)
± 4.6%
57%
40%
3%
Rutgers-Eagleton
October 15–22, 2024
451 (RV)
55%
35%
10%
478 (RV)
51%
37%
12%
ActiVote
October 2–28, 2024
400 (LV)
± 4.9%
57%
43%
Cygnal (R)
October 23–24, 2024
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
52%
40%
8%
ActiVote
September 4 – October 2, 2024
400 (LV)
± 4.9%
56%
44%
United 2024 (R)
United 2024 (R)
Poll source
United 2024 (R)
Date(s)administered
July 1–2, 2024
Samplesize
477 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.5%
JoeBidenDemocratic
41%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
Other /Undecided
16%
John Zogby Strategies
John Zogby Strategies
Poll source
John Zogby Strategies
Date(s)administered
April 13–21, 2024
Samplesize
530 (LV)
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
51%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
42%
Other /Undecided
7%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
March 26–29, 2024
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
39%
Other /Undecided
15%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Other /Undecided
United 2024 (R)
July 1–2, 2024
477 (RV)
± 4.5%
41%
43%
16%
John Zogby Strategies
April 13–21, 2024
530 (LV)
51%
42%
7%
Emerson College
March 26–29, 2024
1,000 (RV)
± 3.0%
46%
39%
15%
United 2024 (R)
United 2024 (R)
Poll source
United 2024 (R)
Date(s)administered
July 1–2, 2024
Samplesize
477 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.5%
JoeBidenDemocratic
43%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
8%
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
3%
Other /Undecided
3%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
March 26–29, 2024
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
41%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
36%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
8%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
1%
Other /Undecided
13%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
Other /Undecided
United 2024 (R)
July 1–2, 2024
477 (RV)
± 4.5%
43%
43%
8%
3%
3%
Emerson College
March 26–29, 2024
1,000 (RV)
± 3.0%
41%
36%
8%
1%
1%
13%
co/efficient (R)
co/efficient (R)
Poll source
co/efficient (R)
Date(s)administered
June 26–27, 2024
Samplesize
810 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.4%
JoeBidenDemocratic
40%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
41%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
7%
Other /Undecided
12%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
Other /Undecided
co/efficient (R)
June 26–27, 2024
810 (LV)
± 3.4%
40%
41%
7%
12%
John Zogby Strategies
John Zogby Strategies
Poll source
John Zogby Strategies
Date(s)administered
April 13–21, 2024
Samplesize
530 (LV)
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
48%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
41%
Other /Undecided
11%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
Other /Undecided
John Zogby Strategies
April 13–21, 2024
530 (LV)
48%
41%
11%
John Zogby Strategies
John Zogby Strategies
Poll source
John Zogby Strategies
Date(s)administered
April 13–21, 2024
Samplesize
530 (LV)
Marginof error
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
42%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
40%
Other /Undecided
18%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Other /Undecided
John Zogby Strategies
April 13–21, 2024
530 (LV)
42%
40%
18%
2024 United States presidential election in New Jersey[30] · General election › Results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
4,272,725
Candidate
100.0%
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
mw- ±%
Democratic
Kamala HarrisTim Walz
2,220,713
51.97%
−5.37%
Republican
Donald TrumpJD Vance
1,968,215
46.06%
+4.66%
Green
Jill SteinButch Ware
39,041
0.91%
+0.60%
Independent
mw- Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (withdrawn)Nicole Shanahan (withdrawn)
23,479
0.55%
N/A
Libertarian
Chase OliverMike ter Maat
10,500
0.25%
−0.45%
Socialism and Liberation
Claudia De la CruzKarina Garcia
5,105
0.12%
+0.06%
Constitution
Randall TerryStephen Broden
3,024
0.07%
+0.01%
Socialist Equality
Joseph KishoreJerome White
1,371
0.03%
N/A
Socialist Workers
Rachele FruitMargaret Trowe
1,277
0.03%
N/A
Total votes
4,272,725
100.0%
Democratic hold
· General election › Results › By county
#
#
County
#
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
#
Donald TrumpRepublican
%
Donald TrumpRepublican
#
Various candidatesOther parties
%
Various candidatesOther parties
#
Margin
%
Atlantic
Atlantic
County
Atlantic
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
61,879
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
47.52%
Donald TrumpRepublican
65,817
Donald TrumpRepublican
50.55%
Various candidatesOther parties
2,513
Various candidatesOther parties
1.93%
Margin
-3,938
Margin
-3.03%
Total
130,209
Bergen
Bergen
County
Bergen
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
232,660
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
50.50%
Donald TrumpRepublican
217,096
Donald TrumpRepublican
47.12%
Various candidatesOther parties
10,929
Various candidatesOther parties
2.38%
Margin
15,564
Margin
3.38%
Total
460,685
Burlington
Burlington
County
Burlington
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
132,275
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
57.47%
Donald TrumpRepublican
94,116
Donald TrumpRepublican
40.89%
Various candidatesOther parties
3,792
Various candidatesOther parties
1.64%
Margin
38,159
Margin
16.58%
Total
230,183
Camden
Camden
County
Camden
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
155,522
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
62.76%
Donald TrumpRepublican
87,767
Donald TrumpRepublican
35.42%
Various candidatesOther parties
4,497
Various candidatesOther parties
1.82%
Margin
67,755
Margin
27.34%
Total
247,786
Cape May
Cape May
County
Cape May
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
21,648
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
39.51%
Donald TrumpRepublican
32,151
Donald TrumpRepublican
58.68%
Various candidatesOther parties
987
Various candidatesOther parties
1.81%
Margin
-10,503
Margin
-19.17%
Total
54,786
Cumberland
Cumberland
County
Cumberland
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
26,577
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
47.50%
Donald TrumpRepublican
28,675
Donald TrumpRepublican
51.25%
Various candidatesOther parties
700
Various candidatesOther parties
1.25%
Margin
-2,098
Margin
-3.75%
Total
55,952
Essex
Essex
County
Essex
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
224,596
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
71.69%
Donald TrumpRepublican
83,908
Donald TrumpRepublican
26.78%
Various candidatesOther parties
4,779
Various candidatesOther parties
1.53%
Margin
140,688
Margin
44.91%
Total
313,283
Gloucester
Gloucester
County
Gloucester
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
78,708
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
47.63%
Donald TrumpRepublican
83,326
Donald TrumpRepublican
50.42%
Various candidatesOther parties
3,229
Various candidatesOther parties
1.95%
Margin
-4,618
Margin
-2.79%
Total
165,263
Hudson
Hudson
County
Hudson
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
144,765
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
62.34%
Donald TrumpRepublican
79,913
Donald TrumpRepublican
34.41%
Various candidatesOther parties
7,554
Various candidatesOther parties
3.25%
Margin
64,852
Margin
27.93%
Total
232,232
Hunterdon
Hunterdon
County
Hunterdon
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
36,995
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
45.52%
Donald TrumpRepublican
42,391
Donald TrumpRepublican
52.16%
Various candidatesOther parties
1,885
Various candidatesOther parties
2.32%
Margin
-5,396
Margin
-6.64%
Total
81,271
Mercer
Mercer
County
Mercer
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
107,558
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
65.67%
Donald TrumpRepublican
52,274
Donald TrumpRepublican
31.92%
Various candidatesOther parties
3,947
Various candidatesOther parties
2.41%
Margin
55,284
Margin
33.75%
Total
163,779
Middlesex
Middlesex
County
Middlesex
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
191,802
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
52.31%
Donald TrumpRepublican
162,459
Donald TrumpRepublican
44.31%
Various candidatesOther parties
12,378
Various candidatesOther parties
3.38%
Margin
29,343
Margin
8.00%
Total
366,639
Monmouth
Monmouth
County
Monmouth
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
156,382
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
43.25%
Donald TrumpRepublican
197,409
Donald TrumpRepublican
54.59%
Various candidatesOther parties
7,805
Various candidatesOther parties
2.16%
Margin
-41,027
Margin
-11.34%
Total
361,596
Morris
Morris
County
Morris
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
135,672
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
47.43%
Donald TrumpRepublican
143,439
Donald TrumpRepublican
50.14%
Various candidatesOther parties
6,955
Various candidatesOther parties
2.43%
Margin
-7,767
Margin
-2.71%
Total
286,066
Ocean
Ocean
County
Ocean
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
105,789
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
31.30%
Donald TrumpRepublican
227,232
Donald TrumpRepublican
67.22%
Various candidatesOther parties
5,014
Various candidatesOther parties
1.48%
Margin
-121,443
Margin
-35.92%
Total
338,035
Passaic
Passaic
County
Passaic
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
95,156
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
46.79%
Donald TrumpRepublican
100,954
Donald TrumpRepublican
49.65%
Various candidatesOther parties
7,241
Various candidatesOther parties
3.56%
Margin
-5,798
Margin
-2.86%
Total
203,351
Salem
Salem
County
Salem
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
12,275
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
39.49%
Donald TrumpRepublican
18,229
Donald TrumpRepublican
58.64%
Various candidatesOther parties
581
Various candidatesOther parties
1.87%
Margin
-5,954
Margin
-19.15%
Total
31,085
Somerset
Somerset
County
Somerset
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
98,790
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
55.39%
Donald TrumpRepublican
74,101
Donald TrumpRepublican
41.55%
Various candidatesOther parties
5,452
Various candidatesOther parties
3.06%
Margin
24,689
Margin
13.84%
Total
178,343
Sussex
Sussex
County
Sussex
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
31,019
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
36.53%
Donald TrumpRepublican
52,123
Donald TrumpRepublican
61.38%
Various candidatesOther parties
1,775
Various candidatesOther parties
2.09%
Margin
-21,104
Margin
-24.85%
Total
84,917
Union
Union
County
Union
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
147,327
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
60.90%
Donald TrumpRepublican
89,063
Donald TrumpRepublican
36.81%
Various candidatesOther parties
5,533
Various candidatesOther parties
2.29%
Margin
58,264
Margin
24.09%
Total
241,923
Warren
Warren
County
Warren
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
23,318
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
38.63%
Donald TrumpRepublican
35,772
Donald TrumpRepublican
59.27%
Various candidatesOther parties
1,266
Various candidatesOther parties
2.10%
Margin
-12,454
Margin
-20.64%
Total
60,356
Totals
Totals
County
Totals
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
2,220,713
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
51.79%
Donald TrumpRepublican
1,968,215
Donald TrumpRepublican
45.90%
Various candidatesOther parties
98,812
Various candidatesOther parties
2.31%
Margin
252,498
Margin
5.89%
Total
4,287,740
County
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
Donald TrumpRepublican
Various candidatesOther parties
Margin
Total
#
%
#
%
#
%
#
%
Atlantic
61,879
47.52%
65,817
50.55%
2,513
1.93%
-3,938
-3.03%
130,209
Bergen
232,660
50.50%
217,096
47.12%
10,929
2.38%
15,564
3.38%
460,685
Burlington
132,275
57.47%
94,116
40.89%
3,792
1.64%
38,159
16.58%
230,183
Camden
155,522
62.76%
87,767
35.42%
4,497
1.82%
67,755
27.34%
247,786
Cape May
21,648
39.51%
32,151
58.68%
987
1.81%
-10,503
-19.17%
54,786
Cumberland
26,577
47.50%
28,675
51.25%
700
1.25%
-2,098
-3.75%
55,952
Essex
224,596
71.69%
83,908
26.78%
4,779
1.53%
140,688
44.91%
313,283
Gloucester
78,708
47.63%
83,326
50.42%
3,229
1.95%
-4,618
-2.79%
165,263
Hudson
144,765
62.34%
79,913
34.41%
7,554
3.25%
64,852
27.93%
232,232
Hunterdon
36,995
45.52%
42,391
52.16%
1,885
2.32%
-5,396
-6.64%
81,271
Mercer
107,558
65.67%
52,274
31.92%
3,947
2.41%
55,284
33.75%
163,779
Middlesex
191,802
52.31%
162,459
44.31%
12,378
3.38%
29,343
8.00%
366,639
Monmouth
156,382
43.25%
197,409
54.59%
7,805
2.16%
-41,027
-11.34%
361,596
Morris
135,672
47.43%
143,439
50.14%
6,955
2.43%
-7,767
-2.71%
286,066
Ocean
105,789
31.30%
227,232
67.22%
5,014
1.48%
-121,443
-35.92%
338,035
Passaic
95,156
46.79%
100,954
49.65%
7,241
3.56%
-5,798
-2.86%
203,351
Salem
12,275
39.49%
18,229
58.64%
581
1.87%
-5,954
-19.15%
31,085
Somerset
98,790
55.39%
74,101
41.55%
5,452
3.06%
24,689
13.84%
178,343
Sussex
31,019
36.53%
52,123
61.38%
1,775
2.09%
-21,104
-24.85%
84,917
Union
147,327
60.90%
89,063
36.81%
5,533
2.29%
58,264
24.09%
241,923
Warren
23,318
38.63%
35,772
59.27%
1,266
2.10%
-12,454
-20.64%
60,356
Totals
2,220,713
51.79%
1,968,215
45.90%
98,812
2.31%
252,498
5.89%
4,287,740
· General election › Results › By congressional district
1st
1st
District
1st
Harris
58.4%
Trump
39.7%
Representative
Donald Norcross
2nd
2nd
District
2nd
Harris
42.9%
Trump
55.4%
Representative
Jeff Van Drew
3rd
3rd
District
3rd
Harris
53.2%
Trump
44.9%
Representative
Andy Kim (118th Congress)
Herb Conaway (119th Congress)
Herb Conaway (119th Congress)
District
Herb Conaway (119th Congress)
4th
4th
District
4th
Harris
34.1%
Trump
64.2%
Representative
Chris Smith
5th
5th
District
5th
Harris
49.6%
Trump
48.1%
Representative
Josh Gottheimer
6th
6th
District
6th
Harris
51.7%
Trump
45.3%
Representative
Frank Pallone Jr.
7th
7th
District
7th
Harris
48.2%
Trump
49.4%
Representative
Tom Kean Jr.
8th
8th
District
8th
Harris
60.6%
Trump
36.5%
Representative
Rob Menendez
9th
9th
District
9th
Harris
47.9%
Trump
49.0%
Representative
Nellie Pou
10th
10th
District
10th
Harris
74.4%
Trump
23.7%
Representative
LaMonica McIver
11th
11th
District
11th
Harris
53.2%
Trump
44.5%
Representative
Mikie Sherrill
12th
12th
District
12th
Harris
60.3%
Trump
36.6%
Representative
Bonnie Watson Coleman
District
Harris
Trump
Representative
1st
58.4%
39.7%
Donald Norcross
2nd
42.9%
55.4%
Jeff Van Drew
3rd
53.2%
44.9%
Andy Kim (118th Congress)
Herb Conaway (119th Congress)
4th
34.1%
64.2%
Chris Smith
5th
49.6%
48.1%
Josh Gottheimer
6th
51.7%
45.3%
Frank Pallone Jr.
7th
48.2%
49.4%
Tom Kean Jr.
8th
60.6%
36.5%
Rob Menendez
9th
47.9%
49.0%
Nellie Pou
10th
74.4%
23.7%
LaMonica McIver
11th
53.2%
44.5%
Mikie Sherrill
12th
60.3%
36.6%
Bonnie Watson Coleman
· General election › Results › By state legislative district
1st
1st
District
1st
Harris
44%
Trump
55%
State senator
Mike Testa
2nd
2nd
District
2nd
Harris
50%
Trump
48%
State senator
Vincent J. Polistina
3rd
3rd
District
3rd
Harris
45%
Trump
53%
State senator
John Burzichelli
4th
4th
District
4th
Harris
50%
Trump
48%
State senator
Paul D. Moriarty
5th
5th
District
5th
Harris
64%
Trump
35%
State senator
Nilsa Cruz-Perez
6th
6th
District
6th
Harris
63%
Trump
35%
State senator
James Beach
7th
7th
District
7th
Harris
64%
Trump
35%
State senator
Troy Singleton
8th
8th
District
8th
Harris
50%
Trump
49%
State senator
Latham Tiver
9th
9th
District
9th
Harris
35%
Trump
64%
State senator
Carmen Amato
10th
10th
District
10th
Harris
35%
Trump
63%
State senator
James W. Holzapfel
11th
11th
District
11th
Harris
51%
Trump
47%
State senator
Vin Gopal
12th
12th
District
12th
Harris
36%
Trump
61%
State senator
Owen Henry
13th
13th
District
13th
Harris
41%
Trump
57%
State senator
Declan O'Scanlon
14th
14th
District
14th
Harris
54%
Trump
43%
State senator
Linda R. Greenstein
15th
15th
District
15th
Harris
70%
Trump
28%
State senator
Shirley Turner
16th
16th
District
16th
Harris
55%
Trump
41%
State senator
Andrew Zwicker
17th
17th
District
17th
Harris
64%
Trump
32%
State senator
Bob Smith
18th
18th
District
18th
Harris
53%
Trump
43%
State senator
Patrick J. Diegnan
19th
19th
District
19th
Harris
49%
Trump
48%
State senator
Joe F. Vitale
20th
20th
District
20th
Harris
61%
Trump
37%
State senator
Joseph Cryan
21st
21st
District
21st
Harris
55%
Trump
43%
State senator
Jon Bramnick
22nd
22nd
District
22nd
Harris
61%
Trump
37%
State senator
Nicholas Scutari
23rd
23rd
District
23rd
Harris
44%
Trump
54%
State senator
Doug Steinhardt
24th
24th
District
24th
Harris
39%
Trump
59%
State senator
Parker Space
25th
25th
District
25th
Harris
49%
Trump
49%
State senator
Anthony M. Bucco
26th
26th
District
26th
Harris
44%
Trump
53%
State senator
Joseph Pennacchio
27th
27th
District
27th
Harris
64%
Trump
33%
State senator
John F. McKeon
28th
28th
District
28th
Harris
88%
Trump
11%
State senator
Renee Burgess
29th
29th
District
29th
Harris
70%
Trump
29%
State senator
Teresa Ruiz
30th
30th
District
30th
Harris
26%
Trump
72%
State senator
Robert W. Singer
31st
31st
District
31st
Harris
62%
Trump
35%
State senator
Angela V. McKnight
32nd
32nd
District
32nd
Harris
70%
Trump
27%
State senator
Raj Mukherji
33rd
33rd
District
33rd
Harris
55%
Trump
42%
State senator
Brian P. Stack
34th
34th
District
34th
Harris
69%
Trump
29%
State senator
Britnee Timberlake
35th
35th
District
35th
Harris
54%
Trump
42%
State senator
Nellie Pou
36th
36th
District
36th
Harris
47%
Trump
51%
State senator
Paul Sarlo
37th
37th
District
37th
Harris
60%
Trump
37%
State senator
Gordon M. Johnson
38th
38th
District
38th
Harris
49%
Trump
49%
State senator
Joseph Lagana
39th
39th
District
39th
Harris
48%
Trump
50%
State senator
Holly Schepisi
40th
40th
District
40th
Harris
45%
Trump
52%
State senator
Kristin Corrado
District
Harris
Trump
State senator
1st
44%
55%
Mike Testa
2nd
50%
48%
Vincent J. Polistina
3rd
45%
53%
John Burzichelli
4th
50%
48%
Paul D. Moriarty
5th
64%
35%
Nilsa Cruz-Perez
6th
63%
35%
James Beach
7th
64%
35%
Troy Singleton
8th
50%
49%
Latham Tiver
9th
35%
64%
Carmen Amato
10th
35%
63%
James W. Holzapfel
11th
51%
47%
Vin Gopal
12th
36%
61%
Owen Henry
13th
41%
57%
Declan O'Scanlon
14th
54%
43%
Linda R. Greenstein
15th
70%
28%
Shirley Turner
16th
55%
41%
Andrew Zwicker
17th
64%
32%
Bob Smith
18th
53%
43%
Patrick J. Diegnan
19th
49%
48%
Joe F. Vitale
20th
61%
37%
Joseph Cryan
21st
55%
43%
Jon Bramnick
22nd
61%
37%
Nicholas Scutari
23rd
44%
54%
Doug Steinhardt
24th
39%
59%
Parker Space
25th
49%
49%
Anthony M. Bucco
26th
44%
53%
Joseph Pennacchio
27th
64%
33%
John F. McKeon
28th
88%
11%
Renee Burgess
29th
70%
29%
Teresa Ruiz
30th
26%
72%
Robert W. Singer
31st
62%
35%
Angela V. McKnight
32nd
70%
27%
Raj Mukherji
33rd
55%
42%
Brian P. Stack
34th
69%
29%
Britnee Timberlake
35th
54%
42%
Nellie Pou
36th
47%
51%
Paul Sarlo
37th
60%
37%
Gordon M. Johnson
38th
49%
49%
Joseph Lagana
39th
48%
50%
Holly Schepisi
40th
45%
52%
Kristin Corrado

References

  1. Key:A – all adultsRV – registered votersLV – likely votersV – unclear
  2. "Neither/Someone else" with 6%
  3. With each candidate's party affiliation excluded
  4. "Neither/Someone else" with 7%
  5. "A third-party candidate" with 4%
  6. Grouped with "Other Third Party Candidate"
  7. Replaced by Dennis Richter.
  8. Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign
  9. NJ.gov
    https://www.nj.gov/state/elections/assets/pdf/election-results/2024/2024-official-general-voter-turnout.pdf
  10. "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats"
    https://www.npr.org/2021/04/26/983082132/census-to-release-1st-results-that-shift-electoral-college-house-seats
  11. AP News
    https://apnews.com/article/new-jersey-decision-notes-president-senate-menendez-87429ca9f49e68008cede0a98b0053b4
  12. Opinion by Rubin
    https://bloustein.rutgers.edu/opinion-is-new-jersey-now-a-swing-state/
  13. New Jersey Almanac
    https://www.newjerseyalmanac.com/elections.html
  14. New Jersey 101.5
    https://nj1015.com/these-7-nj-counties-flip-for-trump-as-harris-does-worse-than-biden/
  15. The New York Times
    https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/07/nyregion/trump-nj-votes-election.html
  16. Newsweek
    https://www.newsweek.com/kamala-harris-donald-trump-2024-election-states-1981422
  17. USA Today
    https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/06/04/june-4-2024-primaries-iowa-new-mexico-new-jersey/73969602007/
  18. "New Jersey Presidential Election Results 2024"
    https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-primary-elections/new-jersey-president-results
  19. "New Jersey Presidential Election Results 2024"
    https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-primary-elections/new-jersey-president-results
  20. cookpolitical.com
    https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/presidential-race-ratings
  21. insideelections.com
    https://insideelections.com/ratings/president
  22. centerforpolitics.org
    https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2024-president/
  23. elections2024.thehill.com/
    https://elections2024.thehill.com/predictions/president
  24. projects.cnalysis.com/
    https://projects.cnalysis.com/23-24/president
  25. "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270"
    https://www.cnn.com/election/2024/electoral-college-map?game-id=2024-PG-CNN-ratings&game-view=map
  26. The Economist
    https://www.economist.com/interactive/us-2024-election/prediction-model/president
  27. FiveThirtyEight
    https://archive.today/20240611181726/https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/
  28. "Presidential Election Preview 2024"
    https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-elections/president-electoral-college-battleground-states
  29. Research Co
    https://researchco.ca/2024/11/04/states-us-2024/
  30. Rutgers-Eagleton
    https://eagletonpoll.rutgers.edu/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/Rutgers-Eagleton-Poll-2024-Election-US-Ratings-10.30.24-FINAL-PUBLIC-PDF.pdf
  31. ActiVote
    https://www.activote.net/harris-leads-in-new-jersey/
  32. "New Jersey Statewide Poll: Harris Underperforms Compared to Past Democratic Nominees"
    https://web.archive.org/web/20241029084824/https://www.cygn.al/new-jersey-statewide-poll-harris-underperforms-compared-to-past-democratic-nominees/
  33. "Harris leads by double digits in New Jersey"
    https://www.activote.net/harris-leads-by-double-digits-in-new-jersey/
  34. New Jersey Globe
    https://newjerseyglobe.com/fr/gop-super-pac-poll-in-n-j-shows-biden-vs-trump-kim-vs-bashaw-statistically-tied/
  35. Kennedy24
    https://www.kennedy24.com/biden_real_spoiler_kennedy_only_candidate_who_can_beat_trump
  36. Emerson Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/new-jersey-2024-poll-majority-of-democrats-support-kim-for-u-s-senate-nomination/
  37. co/efficient
    https://www.coefficient.org/njsenate
  38. nj.gov
    https://www.nj.gov/state/elections/assets/pdf/election-results/2024/2024-official-general-results-president.pdf
  39. The Militant – A socialist newsweekly published in the interests of working people
    https://themilitant.com/2024/05/04/dennis-richter-swp-candidate-for-vice-president/
  40. New Jersey Globe
    https://newjerseyglobe.com/presidential-election/maps-of-the-2024-presidential-race-by-every-congressional-legislative-district/
  41. New Jersey Globe
    https://newjerseyglobe.com/fr/141678/
  42. Insider NJ
    https://www.insidernj.com/united-we-stand-why-the-top-two-democratic-primary-finishers-must-team-up-to-defeat-the-trump-agenda-in-new-jersey/
  43. WKXW
    https://nj1015.com/the-61-towns-in-nj-that-flipped-for-trump-over-harris-in-staggering-shift/
  44. WWLP
    https://www.wwlp.com/news/which-new-york-new-jersey-counties-flipped-to-trump-in-the-2024-presidential-election/
  45. New Jersey Globe
    https://newjerseyglobe.com/presidential-election/new-jerseys-new-swing-voter-bloc-hispanic-voters/
  46. Politico
    https://www.politico.com/news/2024/11/06/new-jersey-swing-state-red-00187965
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