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2024 United States presidential election in New Hampshire

Updated: Wikipedia source

2024 United States presidential election in New Hampshire

The 2024 United States presidential election in New Hampshire took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. New Hampshire voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of New Hampshire has four electoral votes in the Electoral College. New Hampshire was considered a potential battleground state due to the closeness of previous elections. In recent years, the state has shown a much more pronounced Democratic lean at the federal level, as at the time of the 2024 election, New Hampshire's congressional delegation was entirely Democratic since 2017. As such, most news organizations generally considered the state to be leaning toward Kamala Harris. However, on election night, New Hampshire was seriously contested by both candidates, and was one of the last states called in favor of Harris. She won the state by about 2 %, a significantly lower margin than Biden in 2020, though moderately better than Hillary Clinton in 2016. This was Harris' narrowest victory in any state. New Hampshire had the closest presidential race out of any state in terms of the margin of raw votes, although the state closest in difference of percentage was Wisconsin. This also marked the second of only two times that a non-incumbent Republican won the White House without carrying New Hampshire (along with 2016), and the third of only three times overall (along with 2004 and 2016) in which any Republican won without carrying the state. It is also the second time that a Republican has won the popular vote without carrying New Hampshire, with the first time being in 2004. Trump is the only Republican to win two terms without ever carrying the state at least once.

Infobox

Turnout
76%
Nominee
Kamala Harris
Party
Democratic
Home state
California
Running mate
Tim Walz
Electoral vote
4
Popular vote
418,488
Percentage
50 %

Tables

New Hampshire Democratic primary, January 23, 2024 · Primary elections › Democratic primary
Joe Biden (incumbent; write-in)
Joe Biden (incumbent; write-in)
Candidate
Joe Biden (incumbent; write-in)
Votes
79,100
Percentage
63 %
Dean Phillips
Dean Phillips
Candidate
Dean Phillips
Votes
24,377
Percentage
19 %
Marianne Williamson
Marianne Williamson
Candidate
Marianne Williamson
Votes
5,016
Percentage
4 %
Nikki Haley (write-in) (Republican)
Nikki Haley (write-in) (Republican)
Candidate
Nikki Haley (write-in) (Republican)
Votes
4,760
Percentage
3 %
Donald Trump (write-in) (Republican)
Donald Trump (write-in) (Republican)
Candidate
Donald Trump (write-in) (Republican)
Votes
2,079
Percentage
1 %
Derek Nadeau
Derek Nadeau
Candidate
Derek Nadeau
Votes
1,616
Percentage
1 %
"Ceasefire" (write-in)
"Ceasefire" (write-in)
Candidate
"Ceasefire" (write-in)
Votes
1,512
Percentage
1 %
Vermin Supreme
Vermin Supreme
Candidate
Vermin Supreme
Votes
912
Percentage
0 %
John Vail
John Vail
Candidate
John Vail
Votes
685
Percentage
0 %
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (write-in) (Independent)
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (write-in) (Independent)
Candidate
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (write-in) (Independent)
Votes
439
Percentage
0 %
Donald Picard
Donald Picard
Candidate
Donald Picard
Votes
371
Percentage
0 %
Paperboy Prince
Paperboy Prince
Candidate
Paperboy Prince
Votes
326
Percentage
0 %
Paul V. LaCava
Paul V. LaCava
Candidate
Paul V. LaCava
Votes
176
Percentage
0 %
Jason Michael Palmer
Jason Michael Palmer
Candidate
Jason Michael Palmer
Votes
142
Percentage
0 %
President R. Boddie
President R. Boddie
Candidate
President R. Boddie
Votes
136
Percentage
0 %
Mark Stewart Greenstein
Mark Stewart Greenstein
Candidate
Mark Stewart Greenstein
Votes
133
Percentage
0 %
Bernie Sanders (write-in) (Independent)
Bernie Sanders (write-in) (Independent)
Candidate
Bernie Sanders (write-in) (Independent)
Votes
125
Percentage
0 %
Terrisa Bukovinac
Terrisa Bukovinac
Candidate
Terrisa Bukovinac
Votes
101
Percentage
<0 %
Gabriel Cornejo
Gabriel Cornejo
Candidate
Gabriel Cornejo
Votes
86
Percentage
<0 %
Stephen P. Lyons
Stephen P. Lyons
Candidate
Stephen P. Lyons
Votes
80
Percentage
<0 %
Frankie Lozada
Frankie Lozada
Candidate
Frankie Lozada
Votes
73
Percentage
<0 %
Tom Koos
Tom Koos
Candidate
Tom Koos
Votes
71
Percentage
<0 %
Armando "Mando" Perez-Serrato
Armando "Mando" Perez-Serrato
Candidate
Armando "Mando" Perez-Serrato
Votes
68
Percentage
<0 %
Star Locke
Star Locke
Candidate
Star Locke
Votes
59
Percentage
<0 %
Raymond Michael Moroz
Raymond Michael Moroz
Candidate
Raymond Michael Moroz
Votes
52
Percentage
<0 %
Eban Cambridge
Eban Cambridge
Candidate
Eban Cambridge
Votes
47
Percentage
<0 %
Chris Christie (write-in) (Republican)
Chris Christie (write-in) (Republican)
Candidate
Chris Christie (write-in) (Republican)
Votes
41
Percentage
<0 %
Richard Rist
Richard Rist
Candidate
Richard Rist
Votes
37
Percentage
<0 %
Ron DeSantis (write-in) (Republican)
Ron DeSantis (write-in) (Republican)
Candidate
Ron DeSantis (write-in) (Republican)
Votes
33
Percentage
<0 %
Vivek Ramaswamy (write-in) (Republican)
Vivek Ramaswamy (write-in) (Republican)
Candidate
Vivek Ramaswamy (write-in) (Republican)
Votes
2
Percentage
<0 %
Other write-ins, reported as "scatter".
Other write-ins, reported as "scatter".
Candidate
Other write-ins, reported as "scatter".
Votes
1,341
Percentage
1 %
Total:
Total:
Candidate
Total:
Votes
123,996
Percentage
100 %
Candidate
Votes
Percentage
Joe Biden (incumbent; write-in)
79,100
63 %
Dean Phillips
24,377
19 %
Marianne Williamson
5,016
4 %
Nikki Haley (write-in) (Republican)
4,760
3 %
Donald Trump (write-in) (Republican)
2,079
1 %
Derek Nadeau
1,616
1 %
"Ceasefire" (write-in)
1,512
1 %
Vermin Supreme
912
0 %
John Vail
685
0 %
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (write-in) (Independent)
439
0 %
Donald Picard
371
0 %
Paperboy Prince
326
0 %
Paul V. LaCava
176
0 %
Jason Michael Palmer
142
0 %
President R. Boddie
136
0 %
Mark Stewart Greenstein
133
0 %
Bernie Sanders (write-in) (Independent)
125
0 %
Terrisa Bukovinac
101
<0 %
Gabriel Cornejo
86
<0 %
Stephen P. Lyons
80
<0 %
Frankie Lozada
73
<0 %
Tom Koos
71
<0 %
Armando "Mando" Perez-Serrato
68
<0 %
Star Locke
59
<0 %
Raymond Michael Moroz
52
<0 %
Eban Cambridge
47
<0 %
Chris Christie (write-in) (Republican)
41
<0 %
Richard Rist
37
<0 %
Ron DeSantis (write-in) (Republican)
33
<0 %
Vivek Ramaswamy (write-in) (Republican)
2
<0 %
Other write-ins, reported as "scatter".
1,341
1 %
Total:
123,996
100 %
New Hampshire Republican primary, January 23, 2024 · Primary elections › Republican primary
Donald Trump
Donald Trump
Candidate
Donald Trump
Votes
176,391
Percentage
54 %
Delegate count
13
Nikki Haley
Nikki Haley
Candidate
Nikki Haley
Votes
140,491
Percentage
43 %
Delegate count
9
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)
Candidate
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)
Votes
2,241
Percentage
0 %
Chris Christie (withdrawn)
Chris Christie (withdrawn)
Candidate
Chris Christie (withdrawn)
Votes
1,493
Percentage
0 %
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)
Candidate
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)
Votes
833
Percentage
0 %
Joe Biden (write-in) (Democrat)
Joe Biden (write-in) (Democrat)
Candidate
Joe Biden (write-in) (Democrat)
Votes
497
Percentage
0 %
Mike Pence (withdrawn)
Mike Pence (withdrawn)
Candidate
Mike Pence (withdrawn)
Votes
404
Percentage
0 %
Ryan Binkley
Ryan Binkley
Candidate
Ryan Binkley
Votes
315
Percentage
0 %
Mary Maxwell
Mary Maxwell
Candidate
Mary Maxwell
Votes
287
Percentage
0 %
Robert F. Kennedy (write-in) (Independent)
Robert F. Kennedy (write-in) (Independent)
Candidate
Robert F. Kennedy (write-in) (Independent)
Votes
205
Percentage
0 %
Tim Scott (withdrawn)
Tim Scott (withdrawn)
Candidate
Tim Scott (withdrawn)
Votes
196
Percentage
0 %
Doug Burgum (withdrawn)
Doug Burgum (withdrawn)
Candidate
Doug Burgum (withdrawn)
Votes
180
Percentage
0 %
Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn)
Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn)
Candidate
Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn)
Votes
108
Percentage
0 %
Rachel Swift
Rachel Swift
Candidate
Rachel Swift
Votes
105
Percentage
0 %
Scott Ayers
Scott Ayers
Candidate
Scott Ayers
Votes
80
Percentage
0 %
Dean Phillips (write-in) (Democrat)
Dean Phillips (write-in) (Democrat)
Candidate
Dean Phillips (write-in) (Democrat)
Votes
79
Percentage
0 %
Darius Mitchell
Darius Mitchell
Candidate
Darius Mitchell
Votes
74
Percentage
0 %
Glenn McPeters
Glenn McPeters
Candidate
Glenn McPeters
Votes
49
Percentage
0 %
"Ceasefire" (write-in)
"Ceasefire" (write-in)
Candidate
"Ceasefire" (write-in)
Votes
34
Percentage
0 %
Perry Johnson (withdrawn)
Perry Johnson (withdrawn)
Candidate
Perry Johnson (withdrawn)
Votes
26
Percentage
0 %
Peter Jedick
Peter Jedick
Candidate
Peter Jedick
Votes
25
Percentage
0 %
David Stuckenberg
David Stuckenberg
Candidate
David Stuckenberg
Votes
25
Percentage
0 %
Donald Kjornes
Donald Kjornes
Candidate
Donald Kjornes
Votes
23
Percentage
0 %
Scott Merrell
Scott Merrell
Candidate
Scott Merrell
Votes
21
Percentage
0 %
John Anthony Castro
John Anthony Castro
Candidate
John Anthony Castro
Votes
19
Percentage
0 %
Robert Carney
Robert Carney
Candidate
Robert Carney
Votes
15
Percentage
<0 %
Marianne Williamson (write-in) (Democrat)
Marianne Williamson (write-in) (Democrat)
Candidate
Marianne Williamson (write-in) (Democrat)
Votes
14
Percentage
<0 %
Hirsh Singh (withdrawn)
Hirsh Singh (withdrawn)
Candidate
Hirsh Singh (withdrawn)
Votes
9
Percentage
<0 %
Sam Sloan
Sam Sloan
Candidate
Sam Sloan
Votes
7
Percentage
<0 %
Vermin Supreme (write-in) (Democrat)
Vermin Supreme (write-in) (Democrat)
Candidate
Vermin Supreme (write-in) (Democrat)
Votes
3
Percentage
<0 %
Mark Steward Greenstein (write-in) (Democrat)
Mark Steward Greenstein (write-in) (Democrat)
Candidate
Mark Steward Greenstein (write-in) (Democrat)
Votes
1
Percentage
<0 %
Other write-in votes
Other write-in votes
Candidate
Other write-in votes
Votes
325
Percentage
0 %
Total:
Total:
Candidate
Total:
Votes
324,575
Percentage
100 %
Delegate count
22
Candidate
Votes
Percentage
Delegate count
Donald Trump
176,391
54 %
13
Nikki Haley
140,491
43 %
9
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)
2,241
0 %
Chris Christie (withdrawn)
1,493
0 %
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)
833
0 %
Joe Biden (write-in) (Democrat)
497
0 %
Mike Pence (withdrawn)
404
0 %
Ryan Binkley
315
0 %
Mary Maxwell
287
0 %
Robert F. Kennedy (write-in) (Independent)
205
0 %
Tim Scott (withdrawn)
196
0 %
Doug Burgum (withdrawn)
180
0 %
Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn)
108
0 %
Rachel Swift
105
0 %
Scott Ayers
80
0 %
Dean Phillips (write-in) (Democrat)
79
0 %
Darius Mitchell
74
0 %
Glenn McPeters
49
0 %
"Ceasefire" (write-in)
34
0 %
Perry Johnson (withdrawn)
26
0 %
Peter Jedick
25
0 %
David Stuckenberg
25
0 %
Donald Kjornes
23
0 %
Scott Merrell
21
0 %
John Anthony Castro
19
0 %
Robert Carney
15
<0 %
Marianne Williamson (write-in) (Democrat)
14
<0 %
Hirsh Singh (withdrawn)
9
<0 %
Sam Sloan
7
<0 %
Vermin Supreme (write-in) (Democrat)
3
<0 %
Mark Steward Greenstein (write-in) (Democrat)
1
<0 %
Other write-in votes
325
0 %
Total:
324,575
100 %
22
· General election › Predictions
Likely D
Likely D
Source
Cook Political Report
Ranking
Likely D
As of
August 27, 2024
Lean D
Lean D
Source
Inside Elections
Ranking
Lean D
As of
May 8, 2024
Likely D
Likely D
Source
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Ranking
Likely D
As of
August 20, 2024
Likely D
Likely D
Source
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill
Ranking
Likely D
As of
November 5, 2024
Solid D
Solid D
Source
CNalysis
Ranking
Solid D
As of
November 4, 2024
Lean D
Lean D
Source
CNN
Ranking
Lean D
As of
August 27, 2024
Likely D
Likely D
Source
The Economist
Ranking
Likely D
As of
October 21, 2024
Likely D
Likely D
Source
538
Ranking
Likely D
As of
September 12, 2024
Safe D
Safe D
Source
YouGov
Ranking
Safe D
As of
November 1, 2024
Likely D
Likely D
Source
Split Ticket
Ranking
Likely D
As of
November 1, 2024
Source
Ranking
As of
Cook Political Report
Likely D
August 27, 2024
Inside Elections
Lean D
May 8, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Likely D
August 20, 2024
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill
Likely D
November 5, 2024
CNalysis
Solid D
November 4, 2024
CNN
Lean D
August 27, 2024
The Economist
Likely D
October 21, 2024
538
Likely D
September 12, 2024
YouGov
Safe D
November 1, 2024
Split Ticket
Likely D
November 1, 2024
· General election › Polling
270ToWin
270ToWin
Source of poll aggregation
270ToWin
Dates administered
October 24 – November 3, 2024
Dates updated
November 3, 2024
Kamala Harris Democratic
50 %
Donald Trump Republican
45 %
Undecided
4 %
Margin
Harris +5 %
538
538
Source of poll aggregation
538
Dates administered
through November 4, 2024
Dates updated
November 4, 2024
Kamala Harris Democratic
50 %
Donald Trump Republican
45 %
Undecided
4 %
Margin
Harris +4 %
Silver Bulletin
Silver Bulletin
Source of poll aggregation
Silver Bulletin
Dates administered
through November 4, 2024
Dates updated
November 4, 2024
Kamala Harris Democratic
50 %
Donald Trump Republican
46 %
Undecided
2 %
Margin
Harris +4 %
The Hill/DDHQ
The Hill/DDHQ
Source of poll aggregation
The Hill/DDHQ
Dates administered
through November 4, 2024
Dates updated
November 4, 2024
Kamala Harris Democratic
53 %
Donald Trump Republican
42 %
Undecided
4 %
Margin
Harris +10 %
Average
Average
Source of poll aggregation
Average
Dates administered
51 %
Dates updated
44 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
3 %
Donald Trump Republican
Harris +6 %
Source of poll aggregation
Dates administered
Dates updated
Kamala Harris Democratic
Donald Trump Republican
Undecided
Margin
270ToWin
October 24 – November 3, 2024
November 3, 2024
50 %
45 %
4 %
Harris +5 %
538
through November 4, 2024
November 4, 2024
50 %
45 %
4 %
Harris +4 %
Silver Bulletin
through November 4, 2024
November 4, 2024
50 %
46 %
2 %
Harris +4 %
The Hill/DDHQ
through November 4, 2024
November 4, 2024
53 %
42 %
4 %
Harris +10 %
Average
51 %
44 %
3 %
Harris +6 %
· General election › Polling
Dartmouth College
Dartmouth College
Poll source
Dartmouth College
Date(s) administered
November 1–3, 2024
Sample size
587 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
62%
Donald Trump Republican
34%
Other / Undecided
4%
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Poll source
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Date(s) administered
October 24–28, 2024
Sample size
901 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
48%
Donald Trump Republican
47%
Other / Undecided
5%
Praecones Analytica/NHJournal
Praecones Analytica/NHJournal
Poll source
Praecones Analytica/NHJournal
Date(s) administered
October 24–26, 2024
Sample size
622 (RV)
Margin of error
–
Kamala Harris Democratic
50%
Donald Trump Republican
50%
Other / Undecided
–
CES/YouGov
CES/YouGov
Poll source
CES/YouGov
Date(s) administered
October 1–25, 2024
Sample size
380 (A)
Margin of error
–
Kamala Harris Democratic
52%
Donald Trump Republican
45%
Other / Undecided
3%
375 (LV)
375 (LV)
Poll source
375 (LV)
Date(s) administered
52%
Sample size
45%
Margin of error
3%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s) administered
October 21–23, 2024
Sample size
915 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
50%
Donald Trump Republican
47%
Other / Undecided
3%
51%
51%
Poll source
51%
Date(s) administered
47%
Sample size
2%
Dartmouth College
Dartmouth College
Poll source
Dartmouth College
Date(s) administered
October 5–18, 2024
Sample size
2,211 (RV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
59%
Donald Trump Republican
38%
Other / Undecided
3%
University of New Hampshire
University of New Hampshire
Poll source
University of New Hampshire
Date(s) administered
August 15–19, 2024
Sample size
2,048 (LV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
52%
Donald Trump Republican
47%
Other / Undecided
1%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s) administered
July 26–28, 2024
Sample size
1,000 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
50%
Donald Trump Republican
46%
Other / Undecided
4%
52%
52%
Poll source
52%
Date(s) administered
48%
Sample size
–
University of New Hampshire
University of New Hampshire
Poll source
University of New Hampshire
Date(s) administered
July 23–25, 2024
Sample size
2,875 (LV)
Margin of error
± 1 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
53%
Donald Trump Republican
46%
Other / Undecided
1%
Trafalgar Group (R)
Trafalgar Group (R)
Poll source
Trafalgar Group (R)
Date(s) administered
December 10–12, 2021
Sample size
1,041 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
46%
Donald Trump Republican
48%
Other / Undecided
6%
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Kamala Harris Democratic
Donald Trump Republican
Other / Undecided
Dartmouth College
November 1–3, 2024
587 (LV)
± 4 %
62%
34%
4%
Rasmussen Reports (R)
October 24–28, 2024
901 (LV)
± 3 %
48%
47%
5%
Praecones Analytica/NHJournal
October 24–26, 2024
622 (RV)
–
50%
50%
–
CES/YouGov
October 1–25, 2024
380 (A)
–
52%
45%
3%
375 (LV)
52%
45%
3%
Emerson College
October 21–23, 2024
915 (LV)
± 3 %
50%
47%
3%
51%
47%
2%
Dartmouth College
October 5–18, 2024
2,211 (RV)
± 2 %
59%
38%
3%
August 23, 2024
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
August 22, 2024
Democratic National Convention concludes
University of New Hampshire
August 15–19, 2024
2,048 (LV)
± 2 %
52%
47%
1%
August 19, 2024
Democratic National Convention begins
August 6, 2024
Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate.
Emerson College
July 26–28, 2024
1,000 (RV)
± 3 %
50%
46%
4%
52%
48%
–
University of New Hampshire
July 23–25, 2024
2,875 (LV)
± 1 %
53%
46%
1%
July 21, 2024
Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
July 15–19, 2024
Republican National Convention
July 13, 2024
attempted assassination of Donald Trump
Trafalgar Group (R)
December 10–12, 2021
1,041 (LV)
± 3 %
46%
48%
6%

References

  1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. Key: A – all adults RV – registered voters LV – likely voters V – unclear
  3. "Other" with 3%
  4. "Someone else" with 2%
  5. With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  6. "Another candidate" with 1%
  7. "Someone else" with 1%
  8. "Someone else" with 16%
  9. Joe Manchin (I) with 2%; Lars Mapstead (L) with 1%
  10. Donald Trump with 10%; "Another candidate" with 5%
  11. "Other" with 10%
  12. "Someone else" with 14%
  13. Donald Trump with 9%; "Another candidate" with 6%
  14. Donald Trump with 10%; "Another candidate" with 4%
  15. Donald Trump with 16%; "Another candidate" with 11%
  16. Donald Trump with 15%; "Another candidate" with 10%
  17. The Libertarian Party of New Hampshire released a statement acknowledging the nomination of Oliver by the national Liber
  18. Poll sponsored by American Thinker
  19. Poll sponsored by WHDH
  20. Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign
Image
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