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2024 United States presidential election in New Hampshire

Updated: Wikipedia source

2024 United States presidential election in New Hampshire

The 2024 United States presidential election in New Hampshire took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. New Hampshire voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of New Hampshire has four electoral votes in the Electoral College. New Hampshire was considered a potential battleground state due to the closeness of previous elections. In recent years, the state has shown a much more pronounced Democratic lean at the federal level, as at the time of the 2024 election, New Hampshire's congressional delegation was entirely Democratic since 2017. As such, most news organizations generally considered the state to be leaning toward Kamala Harris. However, on election night, New Hampshire was seriously contested by both candidates, and was one of the last states called in favor of Harris. She won the state by about 2.8%, a significantly lower margin than Biden in 2020, though moderately better than Hillary Clinton in 2016. This was Harris' narrowest victory in any state. New Hampshire had the closest presidential race out of any state in terms of the margin of raw votes, although the state closest in difference of percentage was Wisconsin. Trump became the first Republican to win two terms in the White House without carrying New Hampshire at least once. Trump is also the first Republican president to have never won New Hampshire in any of their elections.

Infobox

Party
Democratic
Nominee
Kamala Harris
Turnout
76%
Percentage
50.65%
Home state
California
Popular vote
418,488
Running mate
Tim Walz
Electoral vote
4

Tables

New Hampshire Democratic primary, January 23, 2024[8] · Primary elections › Democratic primary
Joe Biden (incumbent; write-in)
Joe Biden (incumbent; write-in)
Candidate
Joe Biden (incumbent; write-in)
Votes
79,100
Percentage
63.8%
Dean Phillips
Dean Phillips
Candidate
Dean Phillips
Votes
24,377
Percentage
19.7%
Marianne Williamson
Marianne Williamson
Candidate
Marianne Williamson
Votes
5,016
Percentage
4.0%
Nikki Haley (write-in) (Republican)
Nikki Haley (write-in) (Republican)
Candidate
Nikki Haley (write-in) (Republican)
Votes
4,760
Percentage
3.8%
Donald Trump (write-in) (Republican)
Donald Trump (write-in) (Republican)
Candidate
Donald Trump (write-in) (Republican)
Votes
2,079
Percentage
1.7%
Derek Nadeau
Derek Nadeau
Candidate
Derek Nadeau
Votes
1,616
Percentage
1.3%
"Ceasefire" (write-in)
"Ceasefire" (write-in)
Candidate
"Ceasefire" (write-in)
Votes
1,512
Percentage
1.2%
Vermin Supreme
Vermin Supreme
Candidate
Vermin Supreme
Votes
912
Percentage
0.7%
John Vail
John Vail
Candidate
John Vail
Votes
685
Percentage
0.6%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (write-in) (Independent)
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (write-in) (Independent)
Candidate
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (write-in) (Independent)
Votes
439
Percentage
0.4%
Donald Picard
Donald Picard
Candidate
Donald Picard
Votes
371
Percentage
0.3%
Paperboy Prince
Paperboy Prince
Candidate
Paperboy Prince
Votes
326
Percentage
0.3%
Paul V. LaCava
Paul V. LaCava
Candidate
Paul V. LaCava
Votes
176
Percentage
0.1%
Jason Michael Palmer
Jason Michael Palmer
Candidate
Jason Michael Palmer
Votes
142
Percentage
0.1%
President R. Boddie
President R. Boddie
Candidate
President R. Boddie
Votes
136
Percentage
0.1%
Mark Stewart Greenstein
Mark Stewart Greenstein
Candidate
Mark Stewart Greenstein
Votes
133
Percentage
0.1%
Bernie Sanders (write-in) (Independent)
Bernie Sanders (write-in) (Independent)
Candidate
Bernie Sanders (write-in) (Independent)
Votes
125
Percentage
0.1%
Terrisa Bukovinac
Terrisa Bukovinac
Candidate
Terrisa Bukovinac
Votes
101
Percentage
<0.1%
Gabriel Cornejo
Gabriel Cornejo
Candidate
Gabriel Cornejo
Votes
86
Percentage
<0.1%
Stephen P. Lyons
Stephen P. Lyons
Candidate
Stephen P. Lyons
Votes
80
Percentage
<0.1%
Frankie Lozada
Frankie Lozada
Candidate
Frankie Lozada
Votes
73
Percentage
<0.1%
Tom Koos
Tom Koos
Candidate
Tom Koos
Votes
71
Percentage
<0.1%
Armando "Mando" Perez-Serrato
Armando "Mando" Perez-Serrato
Candidate
Armando "Mando" Perez-Serrato
Votes
68
Percentage
<0.1%
Star Locke
Star Locke
Candidate
Star Locke
Votes
59
Percentage
<0.1%
Raymond Michael Moroz
Raymond Michael Moroz
Candidate
Raymond Michael Moroz
Votes
52
Percentage
<0.1%
Eban Cambridge
Eban Cambridge
Candidate
Eban Cambridge
Votes
47
Percentage
<0.1%
Chris Christie (write-in) (Republican)
Chris Christie (write-in) (Republican)
Candidate
Chris Christie (write-in) (Republican)
Votes
41
Percentage
<0.1%
Richard Rist
Richard Rist
Candidate
Richard Rist
Votes
37
Percentage
<0.1%
Ron DeSantis (write-in) (Republican)
Ron DeSantis (write-in) (Republican)
Candidate
Ron DeSantis (write-in) (Republican)
Votes
33
Percentage
<0.1%
Vivek Ramaswamy (write-in) (Republican)
Vivek Ramaswamy (write-in) (Republican)
Candidate
Vivek Ramaswamy (write-in) (Republican)
Votes
2
Percentage
<0.1%
Other write-ins, reported as "scatter".
Other write-ins, reported as "scatter".
Candidate
Other write-ins, reported as "scatter".
Votes
1,341
Percentage
1.1%
Total:
Total:
Candidate
Total:
Votes
123,996
Percentage
100.00%
Candidate
Votes
Percentage
Joe Biden (incumbent; write-in)
79,100
63.8%
Dean Phillips
24,377
19.7%
Marianne Williamson
5,016
4.0%
Nikki Haley (write-in) (Republican)
4,760
3.8%
Donald Trump (write-in) (Republican)
2,079
1.7%
Derek Nadeau
1,616
1.3%
"Ceasefire" (write-in)
1,512
1.2%
Vermin Supreme
912
0.7%
John Vail
685
0.6%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (write-in) (Independent)
439
0.4%
Donald Picard
371
0.3%
Paperboy Prince
326
0.3%
Paul V. LaCava
176
0.1%
Jason Michael Palmer
142
0.1%
President R. Boddie
136
0.1%
Mark Stewart Greenstein
133
0.1%
Bernie Sanders (write-in) (Independent)
125
0.1%
Terrisa Bukovinac
101
<0.1%
Gabriel Cornejo
86
<0.1%
Stephen P. Lyons
80
<0.1%
Frankie Lozada
73
<0.1%
Tom Koos
71
<0.1%
Armando "Mando" Perez-Serrato
68
<0.1%
Star Locke
59
<0.1%
Raymond Michael Moroz
52
<0.1%
Eban Cambridge
47
<0.1%
Chris Christie (write-in) (Republican)
41
<0.1%
Richard Rist
37
<0.1%
Ron DeSantis (write-in) (Republican)
33
<0.1%
Vivek Ramaswamy (write-in) (Republican)
2
<0.1%
Other write-ins, reported as "scatter".
1,341
1.1%
Total:
123,996
100.00%
New Hampshire Republican primary, January 23, 2024[10][11] · Primary elections › Republican primary
Donald Trump
Donald Trump
Candidate
Donald Trump
Votes
176,391
Percentage
54.35%
Delegate count
13
Nikki Haley
Nikki Haley
Candidate
Nikki Haley
Votes
140,491
Percentage
43.28%
Delegate count
9
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)
Candidate
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)
Votes
2,241
Percentage
0.69%
Chris Christie (withdrawn)
Chris Christie (withdrawn)
Candidate
Chris Christie (withdrawn)
Votes
1,493
Percentage
0.46%
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)
Candidate
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)
Votes
833
Percentage
0.26%
Joe Biden (write-in) (Democrat)
Joe Biden (write-in) (Democrat)
Candidate
Joe Biden (write-in) (Democrat)
Votes
497
Percentage
0.15%
Mike Pence (withdrawn)
Mike Pence (withdrawn)
Candidate
Mike Pence (withdrawn)
Votes
404
Percentage
0.12%
Ryan Binkley
Ryan Binkley
Candidate
Ryan Binkley
Votes
315
Percentage
0.10%
Mary Maxwell
Mary Maxwell
Candidate
Mary Maxwell
Votes
287
Percentage
0.09%
Robert F. Kennedy (write-in) (Independent)
Robert F. Kennedy (write-in) (Independent)
Candidate
Robert F. Kennedy (write-in) (Independent)
Votes
205
Percentage
0.06%
Tim Scott (withdrawn)
Tim Scott (withdrawn)
Candidate
Tim Scott (withdrawn)
Votes
196
Percentage
0.06%
Doug Burgum (withdrawn)
Doug Burgum (withdrawn)
Candidate
Doug Burgum (withdrawn)
Votes
180
Percentage
0.06%
Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn)
Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn)
Candidate
Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn)
Votes
108
Percentage
0.03%
Rachel Swift
Rachel Swift
Candidate
Rachel Swift
Votes
105
Percentage
0.03%
Scott Ayers
Scott Ayers
Candidate
Scott Ayers
Votes
80
Percentage
0.02%
Dean Phillips (write-in) (Democrat)
Dean Phillips (write-in) (Democrat)
Candidate
Dean Phillips (write-in) (Democrat)
Votes
79
Percentage
0.02%
Darius Mitchell
Darius Mitchell
Candidate
Darius Mitchell
Votes
74
Percentage
0.02%
Glenn McPeters
Glenn McPeters
Candidate
Glenn McPeters
Votes
49
Percentage
0.02%
"Ceasefire" (write-in)
"Ceasefire" (write-in)
Candidate
"Ceasefire" (write-in)
Votes
34
Percentage
0.01%
Perry Johnson (withdrawn)
Perry Johnson (withdrawn)
Candidate
Perry Johnson (withdrawn)
Votes
26
Percentage
0.01%
Peter Jedick
Peter Jedick
Candidate
Peter Jedick
Votes
25
Percentage
0.01%
David Stuckenberg
David Stuckenberg
Candidate
David Stuckenberg
Votes
25
Percentage
0.01%
Donald Kjornes
Donald Kjornes
Candidate
Donald Kjornes
Votes
23
Percentage
0.01%
Scott Merrell
Scott Merrell
Candidate
Scott Merrell
Votes
21
Percentage
0.01%
John Anthony Castro
John Anthony Castro
Candidate
John Anthony Castro
Votes
19
Percentage
0.01%
Robert Carney
Robert Carney
Candidate
Robert Carney
Votes
15
Percentage
<0.01%
Marianne Williamson (write-in) (Democrat)
Marianne Williamson (write-in) (Democrat)
Candidate
Marianne Williamson (write-in) (Democrat)
Votes
14
Percentage
<0.01%
Hirsh Singh (withdrawn)
Hirsh Singh (withdrawn)
Candidate
Hirsh Singh (withdrawn)
Votes
9
Percentage
<0.01%
Sam Sloan
Sam Sloan
Candidate
Sam Sloan
Votes
7
Percentage
<0.01%
Vermin Supreme (write-in) (Democrat)
Vermin Supreme (write-in) (Democrat)
Candidate
Vermin Supreme (write-in) (Democrat)
Votes
3
Percentage
<0.01%
Mark Steward Greenstein (write-in) (Democrat)
Mark Steward Greenstein (write-in) (Democrat)
Candidate
Mark Steward Greenstein (write-in) (Democrat)
Votes
1
Percentage
<0.01%
Other write-in votes
Other write-in votes
Candidate
Other write-in votes
Votes
325
Percentage
0.10%
Total:
Total:
Candidate
Total:
Votes
324,575
Percentage
100.00%
Delegate count
22
Candidate
Votes
Percentage
Delegate count
Donald Trump
176,391
54.35%
13
Nikki Haley
140,491
43.28%
9
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)
2,241
0.69%
Chris Christie (withdrawn)
1,493
0.46%
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)
833
0.26%
Joe Biden (write-in) (Democrat)
497
0.15%
Mike Pence (withdrawn)
404
0.12%
Ryan Binkley
315
0.10%
Mary Maxwell
287
0.09%
Robert F. Kennedy (write-in) (Independent)
205
0.06%
Tim Scott (withdrawn)
196
0.06%
Doug Burgum (withdrawn)
180
0.06%
Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn)
108
0.03%
Rachel Swift
105
0.03%
Scott Ayers
80
0.02%
Dean Phillips (write-in) (Democrat)
79
0.02%
Darius Mitchell
74
0.02%
Glenn McPeters
49
0.02%
"Ceasefire" (write-in)
34
0.01%
Perry Johnson (withdrawn)
26
0.01%
Peter Jedick
25
0.01%
David Stuckenberg
25
0.01%
Donald Kjornes
23
0.01%
Scott Merrell
21
0.01%
John Anthony Castro
19
0.01%
Robert Carney
15
<0.01%
Marianne Williamson (write-in) (Democrat)
14
<0.01%
Hirsh Singh (withdrawn)
9
<0.01%
Sam Sloan
7
<0.01%
Vermin Supreme (write-in) (Democrat)
3
<0.01%
Mark Steward Greenstein (write-in) (Democrat)
1
<0.01%
Other write-in votes
325
0.10%
Total:
324,575
100.00%
22
· General election › Predictions
Likely D
Likely D
Source
Cook Political Report
Ranking
Likely D
As of
August 27, 2024
Lean D
Lean D
Source
Inside Elections
Ranking
Lean D
As of
May 8, 2024
Likely D
Likely D
Source
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Ranking
Likely D
As of
August 20, 2024
Likely D
Likely D
Source
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill
Ranking
Likely D
As of
November 5, 2024
Solid D
Solid D
Source
CNalysis
Ranking
Solid D
As of
November 4, 2024
Lean D
Lean D
Source
CNN
Ranking
Lean D
As of
August 27, 2024
Likely D
Likely D
Source
The Economist
Ranking
Likely D
As of
October 21, 2024
Likely D
Likely D
Source
538
Ranking
Likely D
As of
September 12, 2024
Safe D
Safe D
Source
YouGov
Ranking
Safe D
As of
November 1, 2024
Likely D
Likely D
Source
Split Ticket
Ranking
Likely D
As of
November 1, 2024
Source
Ranking
As of
Cook Political Report
Likely D
August 27, 2024
Inside Elections
Lean D
May 8, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Likely D
August 20, 2024
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill
Likely D
November 5, 2024
CNalysis
Solid D
November 4, 2024
CNN
Lean D
August 27, 2024
The Economist
Likely D
October 21, 2024
538
Likely D
September 12, 2024
YouGov
Safe D
November 1, 2024
Split Ticket
Likely D
November 1, 2024
· General election › Polling
270ToWin
270ToWin
Source of pollaggregation
270ToWin
Datesadministered
October 24 – November 3, 2024
Datesupdated
November 3, 2024
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
50.5%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45.5%
Undecided
4.0%
Margin
Harris +5.0%
538
538
Source of pollaggregation
538
Datesadministered
through November 4, 2024
Datesupdated
November 4, 2024
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
50.3%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45.4%
Undecided
4.3%
Margin
Harris +4.9%
Silver Bulletin
Silver Bulletin
Source of pollaggregation
Silver Bulletin
Datesadministered
through November 4, 2024
Datesupdated
November 4, 2024
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
50.9%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46.3%
Undecided
2.8%
Margin
Harris +4.6%
The Hill/DDHQ
The Hill/DDHQ
Source of pollaggregation
The Hill/DDHQ
Datesadministered
through November 4, 2024
Datesupdated
November 4, 2024
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
53.3%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
42.5%
Undecided
4.2%
Margin
Harris +10.8%
Average
Average
Source of pollaggregation
Average
Datesadministered
51.3%
Datesupdated
44.9%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
3.8%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Harris +6.4%
Source of pollaggregation
Datesadministered
Datesupdated
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Undecided
Margin
270ToWin
October 24 – November 3, 2024
November 3, 2024
50.5%
45.5%
4.0%
Harris +5.0%
538
through November 4, 2024
November 4, 2024
50.3%
45.4%
4.3%
Harris +4.9%
Silver Bulletin
through November 4, 2024
November 4, 2024
50.9%
46.3%
2.8%
Harris +4.6%
The Hill/DDHQ
through November 4, 2024
November 4, 2024
53.3%
42.5%
4.2%
Harris +10.8%
Average
51.3%
44.9%
3.8%
Harris +6.4%
· General election › Polling
Dartmouth College
Dartmouth College
Poll source
Dartmouth College
Date(s)administered
November 1–3, 2024
Samplesize
587 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
62%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
34%
Other /Undecided
4%
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Poll source
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Date(s)administered
October 24–28, 2024
Samplesize
901 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
5%
Praecones Analytica/NHJournal
Praecones Analytica/NHJournal
Poll source
Praecones Analytica/NHJournal
Date(s)administered
October 24–26, 2024
Samplesize
622 (RV)
Marginof error
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
50%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
50%
Other /Undecided
CES/YouGov
CES/YouGov
Poll source
CES/YouGov
Date(s)administered
October 1–25, 2024
Samplesize
380 (A)
Marginof error
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
52%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
Other /Undecided
3%
375 (LV)
375 (LV)
Poll source
375 (LV)
Date(s)administered
52%
Samplesize
45%
Marginof error
3%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
October 21–23, 2024
Samplesize
915 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.2%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
50%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
3%
51%
51%
Poll source
51%
Date(s)administered
47%
Samplesize
2%
Dartmouth College
Dartmouth College
Poll source
Dartmouth College
Date(s)administered
October 5–18, 2024
Samplesize
2,211 (RV)
Marginof error
± 2.1%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
59%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
38%
Other /Undecided
3%
University of New Hampshire
University of New Hampshire
Poll source
University of New Hampshire
Date(s)administered
August 15–19, 2024
Samplesize
2,048 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.2%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
52%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
1%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
July 26–28, 2024
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
50%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Other /Undecided
4%
52%
52%
Poll source
52%
Date(s)administered
48%
Samplesize
University of New Hampshire
University of New Hampshire
Poll source
University of New Hampshire
Date(s)administered
July 23–25, 2024
Samplesize
2,875 (LV)
Marginof error
± 1.8%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
53%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Other /Undecided
1%
Trafalgar Group (R)
Trafalgar Group (R)
Poll source
Trafalgar Group (R)
Date(s)administered
December 10–12, 2021
Samplesize
1,041 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
6%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Other /Undecided
Dartmouth College
November 1–3, 2024
587 (LV)
± 4.0%
62%
34%
4%
Rasmussen Reports (R)
October 24–28, 2024
901 (LV)
± 3.0%
48%
47%
5%
Praecones Analytica/NHJournal
October 24–26, 2024
622 (RV)
50%
50%
CES/YouGov
October 1–25, 2024
380 (A)
52%
45%
3%
375 (LV)
52%
45%
3%
Emerson College
October 21–23, 2024
915 (LV)
± 3.2%
50%
47%
3%
51%
47%
2%
Dartmouth College
October 5–18, 2024
2,211 (RV)
± 2.1%
59%
38%
3%
August 23, 2024
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
August 22, 2024
Democratic National Convention concludes
University of New Hampshire
August 15–19, 2024
2,048 (LV)
± 2.2%
52%
47%
1%
August 19, 2024
Democratic National Convention begins
August 6, 2024
Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate.
Emerson College
July 26–28, 2024
1,000 (RV)
± 3.0%
50%
46%
4%
52%
48%
University of New Hampshire
July 23–25, 2024
2,875 (LV)
± 1.8%
53%
46%
1%
July 21, 2024
Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
July 15–19, 2024
Republican National Convention
July 13, 2024
attempted assassination of Donald Trump
Trafalgar Group (R)
December 10–12, 2021
1,041 (LV)
± 3.0%
46%
48%
6%
· General election › Polling
University of New Hampshire
University of New Hampshire
Poll source
University of New Hampshire
Date(s)administered
October 29 – November 2, 2024
Samplesize
2,814 (LV)
Marginof error
± 1.9%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
51%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
0%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
2%
Saint Anselm College
Saint Anselm College
Poll source
Saint Anselm College
Date(s)administered
October 28–29, 2024
Samplesize
2,791 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.6%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
51%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
CornelWestIndependent
0%
JillSteinGreen
0%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
2%
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov
Poll source
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov
Date(s)administered
October 10–23, 2024
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
50%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
5%
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov
Poll source
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov
Date(s)administered
October 2–10, 2024
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.8%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
50%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
41%
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
7%
Saint Anselm College
Saint Anselm College
Poll source
Saint Anselm College
Date(s)administered
October 1–2, 2024
Samplesize
2,104 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.1%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
51%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
CornelWestIndependent
0%
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
3%
University of New Hampshire
University of New Hampshire
Poll source
University of New Hampshire
Date(s)administered
September 12–16, 2024
Samplesize
1,695 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.4%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
54%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
0%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
2%
Saint Anselm College
Saint Anselm College
Poll source
Saint Anselm College
Date(s)administered
September 11–12, 2024
Samplesize
2,241 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.1%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
51%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
CornelWestIndependent
0%
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
4%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
ChaseOliverLibertarian
Other /Undecided
University of New Hampshire
October 29 – November 2, 2024
2,814 (LV)
± 1.9%
51%
46%
0%
1%
2%
Saint Anselm College
October 28–29, 2024
2,791 (LV)
± 2.6%
51%
46%
0%
0%
1%
2%
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov
October 10–23, 2024
600 (LV)
± 4.4%
50%
43%
1%
1%
5%
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov
October 2–10, 2024
600 (LV)
± 4.8%
50%
41%
1%
1%
7%
Saint Anselm College
October 1–2, 2024
2,104 (LV)
± 2.1%
51%
44%
0%
1%
1%
3%
University of New Hampshire
September 12–16, 2024
1,695 (LV)
± 2.4%
54%
43%
0%
1%
2%
Saint Anselm College
September 11–12, 2024
2,241 (LV)
± 2.1%
51%
43%
0%
1%
1%
4%
University of New Hampshire
University of New Hampshire
Poll source
University of New Hampshire
Date(s)administered
August 15–19, 2024
Samplesize
2,048 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.2%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
50%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
4%
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
0%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
0%
Other /Undecided
3%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
July 26–28, 2024
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
41%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
6%
CornelWestIndependent
0%
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
Other /Undecided
4%
Saint Anselm College
Saint Anselm College
Poll source
Saint Anselm College
Date(s)administered
July 24–25, 2024
Samplesize
2,083 (RV)
Marginof error
± 2.1%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
50%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
3%
CornelWestIndependent
0%
JillSteinGreen
0%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
0%
Other /Undecided
3%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
ChaseOliverLibertarian
Other /Undecided
University of New Hampshire
August 15–19, 2024
2,048 (LV)
± 2.2%
50%
43%
4%
0%
0%
3%
Emerson College
July 26–28, 2024
1,000 (RV)
± 3.0%
48%
41%
6%
0%
1%
4%
Saint Anselm College
July 24–25, 2024
2,083 (RV)
± 2.1%
50%
44%
3%
0%
0%
0%
3%
University of New Hampshire
University of New Hampshire
Poll source
University of New Hampshire
Date(s)administered
July 23–25, 2024
Samplesize
2,875 (LV)
Marginof error
± 1.8%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
4%
Other /Undecided
8%
Praecones Analytica/NHJournal
Praecones Analytica/NHJournal
Poll source
Praecones Analytica/NHJournal
Date(s)administered
July 19–21, 2024
Samplesize
601 (V)
Marginof error
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
39%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
40%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
21%
Other /Undecided
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
Other /Undecided
University of New Hampshire
July 23–25, 2024
2,875 (LV)
± 1.8%
49%
43%
4%
8%
July 21, 2024
Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
Praecones Analytica/NHJournal
July 19–21, 2024
601 (V)
39%
40%
21%
University of New Hampshire
University of New Hampshire
Poll source
University of New Hampshire
Date(s)administered
May 16–20, 2024
Samplesize
1,140 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.9%
JoeBidenDemocratic
52%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other/Undecided
John Zogby Strategies
John Zogby Strategies
Poll source
John Zogby Strategies
Date(s)administered
April 13–21, 2024
Samplesize
515 (LV)
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
Other/Undecided
8%
Marist College
Marist College
Poll source
Marist College
Date(s)administered
January 15–17, 2024
Samplesize
1,157 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.8%
JoeBidenDemocratic
52%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
Other/Undecided
3%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
November 10–13, 2023
Samplesize
917 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.3%
JoeBidenDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
42%
Other/Undecided
11%
University of New Hampshire/CNN
University of New Hampshire/CNN
Poll source
University of New Hampshire/CNN
Date(s)administered
September 14–18, 2023
Samplesize
2,108 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.2%
JoeBidenDemocratic
52%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
40%
Other/Undecided
8%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
August 9–11, 2023
Samplesize
837 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.4%
JoeBidenDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
41%
Other/Undecided
11%
American Pulse Research & Polling
American Pulse Research & Polling
Poll source
American Pulse Research & Polling
Date(s)administered
July 5−11, 2023
Samplesize
895 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.2%
JoeBidenDemocratic
52%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
40%
Other/Undecided
8%
Saint Anselm College
Saint Anselm College
Poll source
Saint Anselm College
Date(s)administered
June 21–23, 2023
Samplesize
1,065 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
40%
Other/Undecided
11%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
March 3–5, 2023
Samplesize
1,025 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
42%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
38%
Other/Undecided
20%
co/efficient (R)
co/efficient (R)
Poll source
co/efficient (R)
Date(s)administered
January 25–26, 2023
Samplesize
1,179 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.2%
JoeBidenDemocratic
40%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
39%
Other/Undecided
21%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
October 30 – November 1, 2022
Samplesize
850 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.3%
JoeBidenDemocratic
45%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
41%
Other/Undecided
14%
University of Massachusetts Lowell
University of Massachusetts Lowell
Poll source
University of Massachusetts Lowell
Date(s)administered
October 14–25, 2022
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 5.1%
JoeBidenDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
Other/Undecided
8%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
October 18–19, 2022
Samplesize
727 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.6%
JoeBidenDemocratic
44%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
Other/Undecided
13%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
September 14–15, 2022
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.4%
JoeBidenDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
Other/Undecided
11%
University of New Hampshire
University of New Hampshire
Poll source
University of New Hampshire
Date(s)administered
June 16–20, 2022
Samplesize
845 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.2%
JoeBidenDemocratic
50%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
Other/Undecided
8%
The Trafalgar Group (R)
The Trafalgar Group (R)
Poll source
The Trafalgar Group (R)
Date(s)administered
December 10–12, 2021
Samplesize
1,041 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other/Undecided
6%
Saint Anselm College
Saint Anselm College
Poll source
Saint Anselm College
Date(s)administered
May 7–10, 2021
Samplesize
1,267 (RV)
Marginof error
± 2.8%
JoeBidenDemocratic
50%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
Other/Undecided
7%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Other/Undecided
University of New Hampshire
May 16–20, 2024
1,140 (LV)
± 2.9%
52%
48%
John Zogby Strategies
April 13–21, 2024
515 (LV)
48%
44%
8%
Marist College
January 15–17, 2024
1,157 (RV)
± 3.8%
52%
45%
3%
Emerson College
November 10–13, 2023
917 (RV)
± 3.3%
47%
42%
11%
University of New Hampshire/CNN
September 14–18, 2023
2,108 (LV)
± 2.2%
52%
40%
8%
Emerson College
August 9–11, 2023
837 (RV)
± 3.4%
48%
41%
11%
American Pulse Research & Polling
July 5−11, 2023
895 (LV)
± 3.2%
52%
40%
8%
Saint Anselm College
June 21–23, 2023
1,065 (RV)
± 3.0%
49%
40%
11%
Emerson College
March 3–5, 2023
1,025 (RV)
± 3.0%
42%
38%
20%
co/efficient (R)
January 25–26, 2023
1,179 (LV)
± 3.2%
40%
39%
21%
Emerson College
October 30 – November 1, 2022
850 (LV)
± 3.3%
45%
41%
14%
University of Massachusetts Lowell
October 14–25, 2022
600 (LV)
± 5.1%
49%
43%
8%
Emerson College
October 18–19, 2022
727 (LV)
± 3.6%
44%
43%
13%
Emerson College
September 14–15, 2022
800 (LV)
± 3.4%
46%
43%
11%
University of New Hampshire
June 16–20, 2022
845 (LV)
± 3.2%
50%
43%
8%
The Trafalgar Group (R)
December 10–12, 2021
1,041 (LV)
± 3.0%
46%
48%
6%
Saint Anselm College
May 7–10, 2021
1,267 (RV)
± 2.8%
50%
43%
7%
Saint Anselm College
Saint Anselm College
Poll source
Saint Anselm College
Date(s)administered
June 28–29, 2024
Samplesize
1,746 (RV)
Marginof error
± 2.3%
JoeBidenDemocratic
42%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
4%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
1%
Other /Undecided
8%
University of New Hampshire
University of New Hampshire
Poll source
University of New Hampshire
Date(s)administered
May 16–20, 2024
Samplesize
1,140 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.9%
JoeBidenDemocratic
44%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
41%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
3%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
2%
Other /Undecided
9%
Suffolk University/USA Today/Boston Globe
Suffolk University/USA Today/Boston Globe
Poll source
Suffolk University/USA Today/Boston Globe
Date(s)administered
January 3–7, 2024
Samplesize
1,000 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
JoeBidenDemocratic
42%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
34%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
8%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
1%
Other /Undecided
14%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
Other /Undecided
Saint Anselm College
June 28–29, 2024
1,746 (RV)
± 2.3%
42%
44%
4%
1%
1%
8%
University of New Hampshire
May 16–20, 2024
1,140 (LV)
± 2.9%
44%
41%
3%
1%
2%
9%
Suffolk University/USA Today/Boston Globe
January 3–7, 2024
1,000 (LV)
± 3.1%
42%
34%
8%
1%
1%
14%
Praecones Analytica/NHJournal
Praecones Analytica/NHJournal
Poll source
Praecones Analytica/NHJournal
Date(s)administered
July 19–21, 2024
Samplesize
601 (V)
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
39%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
40%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
21%
Other /Undecided
Praecones Analytica/NHJournal
Praecones Analytica/NHJournal
Poll source
Praecones Analytica/NHJournal
Date(s)administered
May 15–20, 2024
Samplesize
862 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.3%
JoeBidenDemocratic
37%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
37%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
15%
Other /Undecided
11%
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov
Poll source
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov
Date(s)administered
May 6–14, 2024
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 5.2%
JoeBidenDemocratic
42%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
36%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
11%
Other /Undecided
11%
Marist College
Marist College
Poll source
Marist College
Date(s)administered
January 15–17, 2024
Samplesize
1,157 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.8%
JoeBidenDemocratic
44%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
41%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
12%
Other /Undecided
3%
Saint Anselm College
Saint Anselm College
Poll source
Saint Anselm College
Date(s)administered
December 18–19, 2023
Samplesize
1,711 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.9%
JoeBidenDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
39%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
8%
Other /Undecided
4%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
Other /Undecided
Praecones Analytica/NHJournal
July 19–21, 2024
601 (V)
39%
40%
21%
Praecones Analytica/NHJournal
May 15–20, 2024
862 (RV)
± 3.3%
37%
37%
15%
11%
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov
May 6–14, 2024
600 (LV)
± 5.2%
42%
36%
11%
11%
Marist College
January 15–17, 2024
1,157 (RV)
± 3.8%
44%
41%
12%
3%
Saint Anselm College
December 18–19, 2023
1,711 (LV)
± 3.9%
49%
39%
8%
4%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
November 10–13, 2023
Samplesize
917 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.3%
JoeBidenDemocratic
40%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
37%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
8%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
Other /Undecided
14%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
CornelWestIndependent
Other /Undecided
Emerson College
November 10–13, 2023
917 (RV)
± 3.3%
40%
37%
8%
1%
14%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
August 9–11, 2023
Samplesize
837 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.4%
JoeBidenDemocratic
44%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
39%
CornelWestGreen
5%
Other /Undecided
13%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
CornelWestGreen
Other /Undecided
Emerson College
August 9–11, 2023
837 (RV)
± 3.4%
44%
39%
5%
13%
John Zogby Strategies
John Zogby Strategies
Poll source
John Zogby Strategies
Date(s)administered
April 13–21, 2024
Samplesize
515 (LV)
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
41%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
47%
Other /Undecided
12%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
Other /Undecided
John Zogby Strategies
April 13–21, 2024
515 (LV)
41%
47%
12%
John Zogby Strategies
John Zogby Strategies
Poll source
John Zogby Strategies
Date(s)administered
April 13–21, 2024
Samplesize
515 (LV)
Marginof error
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
45%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
40%
Other /Undecided
15%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Other /Undecided
John Zogby Strategies
April 13–21, 2024
515 (LV)
45%
40%
15%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
November 10–13, 2023
Samplesize
917 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.3%
BernieSandersDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
Other/Undecided
9%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
BernieSandersDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Other/Undecided
Emerson College
November 10–13, 2023
917 (RV)
± 3.3%
48%
43%
9%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
November 10–13, 2023
Samplesize
917 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.3%
ElizabethWarrenDemocratic
45%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
Other/Undecided
12%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
ElizabethWarrenDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Other/Undecided
Emerson College
November 10–13, 2023
917 (RV)
± 3.3%
45%
43%
12%
Marist College
Marist College
Poll source
Marist College
Date(s)administered
January 15–17, 2024
Samplesize
1,157 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.8%
JoeBidenDemocratic
44%
NikkiHaleyRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
9%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
November 10–13, 2023
Samplesize
917 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.3%
JoeBidenDemocratic
39%
NikkiHaleyRepublican
45%
Other /Undecided
16%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
NikkiHaleyRepublican
Other /Undecided
Marist College
January 15–17, 2024
1,157 (RV)
± 3.8%
44%
47%
9%
Emerson College
November 10–13, 2023
917 (RV)
± 3.3%
39%
45%
16%
Marist College
Marist College
Poll source
Marist College
Date(s)administered
January 15–17, 2024
Samplesize
1,157 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.8%
JoeBidenDemocratic
51%
RonDeSantisRepublican
42%
Other /Undecided
7%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
November 10–13, 2023
Samplesize
917 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.3%
JoeBidenDemocratic
46%
RonDeSantisRepublican
38%
Other /Undecided
16%
University of New Hampshire/CNN
University of New Hampshire/CNN
Poll source
University of New Hampshire/CNN
Date(s)administered
September 14–18, 2023
Samplesize
2,108 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.2%
JoeBidenDemocratic
50%
RonDeSantisRepublican
33%
Other /Undecided
17%
Saint Anselm College
Saint Anselm College
Poll source
Saint Anselm College
Date(s)administered
June 21–23, 2023
Samplesize
1,065 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
49%
RonDeSantisRepublican
40%
Other /Undecided
11%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
March 3–5, 2023
Samplesize
1,025 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
42%
RonDeSantisRepublican
37%
Other /Undecided
7%
University of New Hampshire
University of New Hampshire
Poll source
University of New Hampshire
Date(s)administered
June 16–20, 2022
Samplesize
845 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.2%
JoeBidenDemocratic
46%
RonDeSantisRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
7%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
RonDeSantisRepublican
Other /Undecided
Marist College
January 15–17, 2024
1,157 (RV)
± 3.8%
51%
42%
7%
Emerson College
November 10–13, 2023
917 (RV)
± 3.3%
46%
38%
16%
University of New Hampshire/CNN
September 14–18, 2023
2,108 (LV)
± 2.2%
50%
33%
17%
Saint Anselm College
June 21–23, 2023
1,065 (RV)
± 3.0%
49%
40%
11%
Emerson College
March 3–5, 2023
1,025 (RV)
± 3.0%
42%
37%
7%
University of New Hampshire
June 16–20, 2022
845 (LV)
± 3.2%
46%
47%
7%
University of New Hampshire/CNN
University of New Hampshire/CNN
Poll source
University of New Hampshire/CNN
Date(s)administered
September 14–18, 2023
Samplesize
2,018 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.2%
JoeBidenDemocratic
49%
VivekRamaswamyRepublican
20%
Other/Undecided
31%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
VivekRamaswamyRepublican
Other/Undecided
University of New Hampshire/CNN
September 14–18, 2023
2,018 (LV)
± 2.2%
49%
20%
31%
University of New Hampshire/CNN
University of New Hampshire/CNN
Poll source
University of New Hampshire/CNN
Date(s)administered
September 14–18, 2023
Samplesize
2,018 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.2%
JoeBidenDemocratic
47%
TimScottRepublican
34%
Other/Undecided
19%
American Pulse Research & Polling
American Pulse Research & Polling
Poll source
American Pulse Research & Polling
Date(s)administered
July 5−11, 2023
Samplesize
895 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.2%
JoeBidenDemocratic
46%
TimScottRepublican
41%
Other/Undecided
13%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
TimScottRepublican
Other/Undecided
University of New Hampshire/CNN
September 14–18, 2023
2,018 (LV)
± 2.2%
47%
34%
19%
American Pulse Research & Polling
July 5−11, 2023
895 (LV)
± 3.2%
46%
41%
13%
University of New Hampshire/CNN
University of New Hampshire/CNN
Poll source
University of New Hampshire/CNN
Date(s)administered
September 14–18, 2023
Samplesize
2,018 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.2%
JoeBidenDemocratic
44%
ChrisChristieRepublican
20%
Other/Undecided
36%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
ChrisChristieRepublican
Other/Undecided
University of New Hampshire/CNN
September 14–18, 2023
2,018 (LV)
± 2.2%
44%
20%
36%
University of New Hampshire/CNN
University of New Hampshire/CNN
Poll source
University of New Hampshire/CNN
Date(s)administered
September 14–18, 2023
Samplesize
2,018 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.2%
JoeBidenDemocratic
49%
MikePenceRepublican
20%
Other/Undecided
31%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
MikePenceRepublican
Other/Undecided
University of New Hampshire/CNN
September 14–18, 2023
2,018 (LV)
± 2.2%
49%
20%
31%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
March 3–5, 2023
Samplesize
1,025 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
36%
ChrisSununuRepublican
44%
Other/Undecided
6%
co/efficient (R)
co/efficient (R)
Poll source
co/efficient (R)
Date(s)administered
January 25–26, 2023
Samplesize
1,179 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.15%
JoeBidenDemocratic
36%
ChrisSununuRepublican
48%
Other/Undecided
16%
Praecones Analytica/NHJournal
Praecones Analytica/NHJournal
Poll source
Praecones Analytica/NHJournal
Date(s)administered
April 14–16, 2022
Samplesize
503 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.6%
JoeBidenDemocratic
36%
ChrisSununuRepublican
53%
Other/Undecided
12%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
ChrisSununuRepublican
Other/Undecided
Emerson College
March 3–5, 2023
1,025 (RV)
± 3.0%
36%
44%
6%
co/efficient (R)
January 25–26, 2023
1,179 (LV)
± 3.15%
36%
48%
16%
Praecones Analytica/NHJournal
April 14–16, 2022
503 (RV)
± 4.6%
36%
53%
12%
2024 United States presidential election in New Hampshire[68] · General election › Results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
826,189
Candidate
100.00%
Votes
N/A
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
mw- ±%
Democratic
mw- Kamala HarrisTim Walz
418,488
50.65%
−2.13%
Republican
Donald TrumpJD Vance
395,523
47.87%
+2.45%
Libertarian
Chase OliverMike ter Maat
4,425
0.54%
−1.10%
Green
Jill SteinButch Ware
3,680
0.45%
+0.42%
Write-in
4,073
0.49%
+0.37%
Total votes
826,189
100.00%
N/A
· General election › Results › By county
#
#
County
#
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
#
Donald TrumpRepublican
%
Donald TrumpRepublican
#
Various candidatesOther parties
%
Various candidatesOther parties
#
Margin
%
Belknap
Belknap
County
Belknap
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
17,469
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
42.95%
Donald TrumpRepublican
22,765
Donald TrumpRepublican
55.97%
Various candidatesOther parties
442
Various candidatesOther parties
1.09%
Margin
-5,296
Margin
-13.02%
Total
40,676
Carroll
Carroll
County
Carroll
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
16,822
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
48.54%
Donald TrumpRepublican
17,426
Donald TrumpRepublican
50.28%
Various candidatesOther parties
410
Various candidatesOther parties
1.18%
Margin
-604
Margin
-1.74%
Total
34,658
Cheshire
Cheshire
County
Cheshire
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
24,579
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
54.15%
Donald TrumpRepublican
20,083
Donald TrumpRepublican
44.25%
Various candidatesOther parties
727
Various candidatesOther parties
1.60%
Margin
4,496
Margin
9.90%
Total
45,389
Coos
Coos
County
Coos
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
7,367
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
42.53%
Donald TrumpRepublican
9,734
Donald TrumpRepublican
56.19%
Various candidatesOther parties
221
Various candidatesOther parties
1.28%
Margin
-2,367
Margin
-13.66%
Total
17,322
Grafton
Grafton
County
Grafton
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
32,993
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
59.03%
Donald TrumpRepublican
21,909
Donald TrumpRepublican
39.20%
Various candidatesOther parties
993
Various candidatesOther parties
1.78%
Margin
11,084
Margin
19.83%
Total
55,895
Hillsborough
Hillsborough
County
Hillsborough
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
118,776
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
50.66%
Donald TrumpRepublican
112,057
Donald TrumpRepublican
47.80%
Various candidatesOther parties
3,607
Various candidatesOther parties
1.54%
Margin
6,719
Margin
2.86%
Total
234,440
Merrimack
Merrimack
County
Merrimack
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
48,181
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
51.82%
Donald TrumpRepublican
43,364
Donald TrumpRepublican
46.64%
Various candidatesOther parties
1,433
Various candidatesOther parties
1.54%
Margin
4,817
Margin
5.18%
Total
92,978
Rockingham
Rockingham
County
Rockingham
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
97,611
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
48.10%
Donald TrumpRepublican
102,539
Donald TrumpRepublican
50.53%
Various candidatesOther parties
2,772
Various candidatesOther parties
1.37%
Margin
-4,928
Margin
-2.43%
Total
202,922
Strafford
Strafford
County
Strafford
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
42,373
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
55.25%
Donald TrumpRepublican
33,162
Donald TrumpRepublican
43.24%
Various candidatesOther parties
1,153
Various candidatesOther parties
1.50%
Margin
9,211
Margin
12.01%
Total
76,688
Sullivan
Sullivan
County
Sullivan
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
12,317
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
48.84%
Donald TrumpRepublican
12,484
Donald TrumpRepublican
49.50%
Various candidatesOther parties
420
Various candidatesOther parties
1.67%
Margin
-167
Margin
-0.66%
Total
25,221
Totals
Totals
County
Totals
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
418,488
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
50.65%
Donald TrumpRepublican
395,523
Donald TrumpRepublican
47.87%
Various candidatesOther parties
12,178
Various candidatesOther parties
1.47%
Margin
22,965
Margin
2.78%
Total
826,189
County
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
Donald TrumpRepublican
Various candidatesOther parties
Margin
Total
#
%
#
%
#
%
#
%
Belknap
17,469
42.95%
22,765
55.97%
442
1.09%
-5,296
-13.02%
40,676
Carroll
16,822
48.54%
17,426
50.28%
410
1.18%
-604
-1.74%
34,658
Cheshire
24,579
54.15%
20,083
44.25%
727
1.60%
4,496
9.90%
45,389
Coos
7,367
42.53%
9,734
56.19%
221
1.28%
-2,367
-13.66%
17,322
Grafton
32,993
59.03%
21,909
39.20%
993
1.78%
11,084
19.83%
55,895
Hillsborough
118,776
50.66%
112,057
47.80%
3,607
1.54%
6,719
2.86%
234,440
Merrimack
48,181
51.82%
43,364
46.64%
1,433
1.54%
4,817
5.18%
92,978
Rockingham
97,611
48.10%
102,539
50.53%
2,772
1.37%
-4,928
-2.43%
202,922
Strafford
42,373
55.25%
33,162
43.24%
1,153
1.50%
9,211
12.01%
76,688
Sullivan
12,317
48.84%
12,484
49.50%
420
1.67%
-167
-0.66%
25,221
Totals
418,488
50.65%
395,523
47.87%
12,178
1.47%
22,965
2.78%
826,189
· General election › Results › By congressional district
1st
1st
District
1st
Harris
50%
Trump
48%
Representative
Chris Pappas
2nd
2nd
District
2nd
Harris
51%
Trump
47%
Representative
Maggie Goodlander
District
Harris
Trump
Representative
1st
50%
48%
Chris Pappas
2nd
51%
47%
Maggie Goodlander

References

  1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. Key:A – all adultsRV – registered votersLV – likely votersV – unclear
  3. "Other" with 3%
  4. "Someone else" with 2%
  5. With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  6. "Another candidate" with 1%
  7. "Someone else" with 1%
  8. "Someone else" with 16%
  9. Joe Manchin (I) with 2%; Lars Mapstead (L) with 1%
  10. Donald Trump with 10%; "Another candidate" with 5%
  11. "Other" with 10%
  12. "Someone else" with 14%
  13. Donald Trump with 9%; "Another candidate" with 6%
  14. Donald Trump with 10%; "Another candidate" with 4%
  15. Donald Trump with 16%; "Another candidate" with 11%
  16. Donald Trump with 15%; "Another candidate" with 10%
  17. The Libertarian Party of New Hampshire released a statement acknowledging the nomination of Oliver by the national Liber
  18. Poll sponsored by American Thinker
  19. Poll sponsored by WHDH
  20. Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign
  21. Poll conducted for the New Hampshire Journal
  22. Poll conducted for the John Bolton Super PAC
  23. 270toWin.com
    https://www.270towin.com/
  24. HuffPost
    https://www.huffpost.com/entry/new-hampshire-primary-2024_n_65552d3fe4b05723e4bb9ae4
  25. CBS News
    https://www.cbsnews.com/news/new-hampshire-primary-dnc-calendar-changes/
  26. Politico
    https://www.politico.com/news/2023/04/30/new-hampshire-primary-biden-shaheen-00094566
  27. WMUR.com
    https://www.wmur.com/article/hassan-new-hampshire-primary-dnc-72922/40758183
  28. Politico
    https://www.politico.com/news/2023/10/24/biden-wont-appear-new-hampshire-primary-ballot-00123342
  29. Politico
    https://www.politico.com/news/2023/10/30/biden-new-hampshire-democrats-write-in-campaign-00124217
  30. NH SOS
    https://www.sos.nh.gov/2024-democratic-presidential-primary-election-results
  31. HuffPost.com
    https://www.huffpost.com/entry/joe-biden-new-hampshire-palestine-cease-fire_n_65aeba59e4b0d65b024d74fc
  32. New Hampshire Secretary of State
    https://www.sos.nh.gov/sites/g/files/ehbemt561/files/inline-documents/sonh/2024-pp-republican-summary_4.xlsx
  33. New Hampshire Secretary of State
    https://www.sos.nh.gov/sites/g/files/ehbemt561/files/inline-documents/sonh/2024-pp-write-ins-republican-summary_3.xlsx
  34. AP
    https://apnews.com/hub/ap-new-hampshire-election-2024-results
  35. "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings"
    https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/presidential-race-ratings
  36. "Presidential Ratings"
    https://insideelections.com/ratings/president
  37. centerforpolitics.org
    https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2024-president/
  38. elections2024.thehill.com/
    https://elections2024.thehill.com/predictions/president
  39. projects.cnalysis.com/
    https://projects.cnalysis.com/23-24/president
  40. "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270"
    https://www.cnn.com/election/2024/electoral-college-map?game-id=2024-PG-CNN-ratings&game-view=map
  41. The Economist
    https://www.economist.com/interactive/us-2024-election/prediction-model/president
  42. FiveThirtyEight
    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/
  43. "2024 Presidential Election Polls"
    https://today.yougov.com/elections/us/2024
  44. "2024 Presidential Forecast"
    https://split-ticket.org/2024-presidential-ratings/
  45. 270toWin.com
    https://www.270towin.com/2024-presidential-election-polls/new-hampshire
  46. FiveThirtyEight
    https://web.archive.org/web/20220604072009/https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/new-hampshire/
  47. www.natesilver.net
    https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model
  48. The Hill
    https://elections2024.thehill.com/new-hampshire/harris-trump-new-hampshire/
  49. Dartmouth College
    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20241104_NH_Dartmouth.pdf
  50. Rasmussen Reports
    https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/partner_surveys/election_2024_harris_1_in_new_hampshire_3_in_minnesota
  51. New Hampshire Journal
    https://nhjournal.com/poll-shocker-trump-leads-harris-in-new-hampshire/
  52. Cooperative Election Study
    https://cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/stateprezapp2024/
  53. Emerson College Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/october-2024-new-hampshire-poll-harris-50-trump-47/
  54. Dartmouth College
    https://rockefeller.dartmouth.edu/sites/rockefeller.prod/files/rockefeller/wysiwyg/thedartmouthpoll_toplinesurveyresults_10-24-2024.pdf
  55. University of New Hampshire Scholars' Repository
    https://scholars.unh.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1807&context=survey_center_polls
  56. Emerson Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/new-hampshire-2024-poll-harris-50-trump-46/
  57. University of New Hampshire Scholars' Repository
    https://scholars.unh.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1805&context=survey_center_polls
  58. The Trafalgar Group
    https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/12/TRF-NH-22-Gen-1213-Poll-Report.pdf
  59. University of New Hampshire Scholars' Repository
    https://scholars.unh.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1831&context=survey_center_polls
  60. Saint Anselm College
    https://www.anselm.edu/about/anselmian-hub/news/new-poll-saint-anselm-college-survey-center-shows-kamala-harris-holding-solid-lead-new-hampshire
  61. University of Massachusetts Lowell
    https://www.uml.edu/docs/2024-Oct31-NH-Topline_tcm18-392296.pdf
  62. University of Massachusetts Lowell
    https://www.uml.edu/docs/2024-October-NH-Topline_tcm18-391824.pdf
  63. Saint Anselm College
    https://www.anselm.edu/sites/default/files/2024-10/SACSC_NHLV_1024.pdf
  64. University of New Hampshire Scholars' Repository
    https://scholars.unh.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1831&context=survey_center_polls
  65. Saint Anselm College
    https://www.anselm.edu/about/anselmian-hub/news/saint-anselm-college-survey-center-new-poll-partisan-intensity-drives-harriss-ballot-strength
  66. Saint Anselm College
    https://www.anselm.edu/about/anselmian-hub/news/saint-anselm-college-survey-center-july-poll-finds-harris-currently-leading-trump-6-points-among-new-hampshire-registered-voters
  67. New Hampshire Journal
    https://nhjournal.com/exclusive-poll-trump-harris-neck-and-neck-in-new-hampshire/
  68. University of New Hampshire Scholars' Repository
    https://scholars.unh.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1793&context=survey_center_polls
  69. Kennedy24
    https://www.kennedy24.com/biden_real_spoiler_kennedy_only_candidate_who_can_beat_trump
  70. Marist Poll
    https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/the-presidential-contest-in-new-hampshire/
  71. Emerson Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/new-hampshire-2024-haley-surges-to-second-place-while-trump-maintains-lead/
  72. University of New Hampshire Scholars' Repository
    https://scholars.unh.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1762&context=survey_center_polls
  73. Emerson Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/new-hampshire-2024-desantis-fades-trump-maintains-lead-in-primary/
  74. American Pulse Research & Polling
    https://www.americanpulse.us/NHPresidentialPoll-July2023
  75. Saint Anselm College
    https://www.anselm.edu/about/anselmian-hub/news/sacsc-june-poll-shows-voters-believe-bidentrump-matchup-would-be-clear-sign-broken-party-system
  76. Emerson Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/new-hampshire-2024-trump-holds-41-point-lead-for-republican-nomination/
  77. co/efficient
    https://app.displayr.com/Dashboard?id=b2e921c3-a208-4cd9-be28-f29c45d95c5b#page=9bb3c05b-eda7-453a-8a9a-ff291d445687
  78. Emerson Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/new-hampshire-hassan-maintains-narrow-lead-over-bolduc/
  79. University of Massachusetts Lowell
    https://www.uml.edu/docs/NH-Midterms-Topline_tcm18-359143.pdf
  80. Emerson Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/bolduc-gains-on-hassan-in-us-senate-election/
  81. Emerson Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/new-hampshire-2022-senator-hassan-leads-freshley-nominated-bolduc-by-11/
  82. University of New Hampshire Scholars' Repository
    https://scholars.unh.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1696&context=survey_center_polls
  83. Bolton Super PAC
    https://web.archive.org/web/20210612011035/https://boltonsuperpac.com/pdfs/summary.pdf
  84. Saint Anselm College
    https://www.anselm.edu/sites/default/files/2024-07/SACSC_Debate_0624.pdf
  85. USA Today
    https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/01/09/poll-democracy-top-issue-new-hampshire/72150266007/
  86. New Hampshire Journal
    https://nhjournal.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/NH-Biden-Trump-May-20.pdf
  87. University of Massachusetts Lowell
    https://www.uml.edu/docs/2024-May-NH-Topline_tcm18-383676.pdf
  88. Saint Anselm College
    https://www.anselm.edu/about/anselmian-hub/news/new-poll-saint-anselm-college-survey-center-finds-nikki-haley-clear-choice-voters-have-unfavorable-opinion-former-president-donald-trump
  89. New Hampshire Journal
    https://nhjournal.com/poll-shocker-sununu-beats-biden-for-prez-in-head-to-head/
  90. New Hampshire Secretary of State David M. Scanlan
    https://www.sos.nh.gov/2024-general-election-results
  91. Boston Globe
    https://www.bostonglobe.com/2024/11/01/metro/chase-oliver-libertarian-new-hampshire-lgbtq-maga-trump/
  92. "Dra 2020"
    https://davesredistricting.org/maps#viewmap::a1a2b285-f862-402c-9e89-b45791a46473
  93. The Center for Election Innovation & Research
    https://electioninnovation.org/research/expansion-voting-before-election-day/
  94. "New Hampshire President Results 2024"
    https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-elections/new-hampshire-president-results
  95. New Hampshire Secretary of State
    https://www.sos.nh.gov/2024-general-election-results
  96. New Hampshire Secretary of State
    https://www.sos.nh.gov/elections/2020-election-results
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