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2024 United States presidential election in Nevada

Updated: Wikipedia source

2024 United States presidential election in Nevada

The 2024 United States presidential election in Nevada took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states, plus the District of Columbia, participated. Nevada voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Nevada has six electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census, in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat. Donald Trump ran under the Republican banner a third consecutive time. Despite not carrying Nevada in either of his past two presidential campaigns, polling in the state showed him in a strong position to win the state against Joe Biden. Trump led Biden in all major polls on Nevada's voting intention from October 2023 until Biden's withdrawal in July 2024. Nevada also elected a Republican governor in 2022. However, Kamala Harris, from neighboring California, had polled somewhat better since becoming the Democratic nominee. The state was rated as a tossup by nearly all major news organizations. Despite more competitive polling after Harris entered the race, Trump won Nevada, defeating Harris by 3 % and becoming the first Republican to win the state since George W. Bush in 2004. Trump's gains with Latino and Filipino voters were crucial to him flipping the state, and his 751,205 votes set a new record for votes cast for any candidate in state history. Nevada was the only state that voted Democratic in both 2016 and 2020 but flipped to Trump in 2024, and the only state that voted differently from 2016 to 2024 (though Nebraska's second congressional district, with one electoral vote, voted for Trump in 2016 and for Harris in 2024). Never before in American history have two presidential elections differed by only a single state, with the closest previous instance coming between 1884 and 1888, when only New York and Indiana changed their vote, and more recently between 2008 and 2012, when only North Carolina and again Indiana changed their vote, along with Nebraska’s second congressional district. Trump is also the only US president to win the White House without Nevada and then carry it upon winning re-election.

Infobox

Turnout
72 % ( 5 %)
Nominee
Donald Trump
Party
Republican
Home state
Florida
Running mate
JD Vance
Electoral vote
6
Popular vote
751,205
Percentage
50 %

Tables

2024 Nevada Democratic primary · Primary elections › Democratic primary
Joe Biden (incumbent)
Joe Biden (incumbent)
Candidate
Joe Biden (incumbent)
Votes
119,758
%
89
Delegates
36
Marianne Williamson
Marianne Williamson
Candidate
Marianne Williamson
Votes
4,101
%
3
Gabriel Cornejo
Gabriel Cornejo
Candidate
Gabriel Cornejo
Votes
811
%
0
Jason Palmer
Jason Palmer
Candidate
Jason Palmer
Votes
530
%
0
Frankie Lozada
Frankie Lozada
Candidate
Frankie Lozada
Votes
315
%
0
Armando Perez-Serrato
Armando Perez-Serrato
Candidate
Armando Perez-Serrato
Votes
264
%
0
John Haywood
John Haywood
Candidate
John Haywood
Votes
241
%
0
Stephen Lyons
Stephen Lyons
Candidate
Stephen Lyons
Votes
147
%
0
Superpayaseria Crystalroc
Superpayaseria Crystalroc
Candidate
Superpayaseria Crystalroc
Votes
133
%
0
Donald Picard
Donald Picard
Candidate
Donald Picard
Votes
124
%
0
Brent Foutz
Brent Foutz
Candidate
Brent Foutz
Votes
93
%
0
Stephen Alan Leon
Stephen Alan Leon
Candidate
Stephen Alan Leon
Votes
89
%
0
Mark R. Prascak
Mark R. Prascak
Candidate
Mark R. Prascak
Votes
33
%
0
None of These Candidates
None of These Candidates
Candidate
None of These Candidates
Votes
7,448
%
5
Total
Total
Candidate
Total
Votes
134,087
%
100%
Delegates
36
Candidate
Votes
%
Delegates
Joe Biden (incumbent)
119,758
89
36
Marianne Williamson
4,101
3
Gabriel Cornejo
811
0
Jason Palmer
530
0
Frankie Lozada
315
0
Armando Perez-Serrato
264
0
John Haywood
241
0
Stephen Lyons
147
0
Superpayaseria Crystalroc
133
0
Donald Picard
124
0
Brent Foutz
93
0
Stephen Alan Leon
89
0
Mark R. Prascak
33
0
None of These Candidates
7,448
5
Total
134,087
100%
36
Nevada Republican primary, February 6, 2024 · Primary elections › Republican nominating contests
None of These Candidates
None of These Candidates
Candidate
None of These Candidates
Votes
50,763
Percentage
63 %
Nikki Haley
Nikki Haley
Candidate
Nikki Haley
Votes
24,583
Percentage
30 %
Mike Pence (withdrawn)
Mike Pence (withdrawn)
Candidate
Mike Pence (withdrawn)
Votes
3,091
Percentage
3 %
Tim Scott (withdrawn)
Tim Scott (withdrawn)
Candidate
Tim Scott (withdrawn)
Votes
1,081
Percentage
1 %
John Anthony Castro
John Anthony Castro
Candidate
John Anthony Castro
Votes
270
Percentage
0 %
Hirsh V. Singh (withdrawn)
Hirsh V. Singh (withdrawn)
Candidate
Hirsh V. Singh (withdrawn)
Votes
200
Percentage
0 %
Donald Kjornes
Donald Kjornes
Candidate
Donald Kjornes
Votes
166
Percentage
0 %
Heath V. Fulkerson
Heath V. Fulkerson
Candidate
Heath V. Fulkerson
Votes
95
Percentage
0 %
Total:
Total:
Candidate
Total:
Votes
80,249
Percentage
100 %
Candidate
Votes
Percentage
None of These Candidates
50,763
63 %
Nikki Haley
24,583
30 %
Mike Pence (withdrawn)
3,091
3 %
Tim Scott (withdrawn)
1,081
1 %
John Anthony Castro
270
0 %
Hirsh V. Singh (withdrawn)
200
0 %
Donald Kjornes
166
0 %
Heath V. Fulkerson
95
0 %
Total:
80,249
100 %
Nevada Republican caucus, February 8, 2024 · Primary elections › Republican nominating contests
Bound
Bound
Candidate
Bound
Votes
Unbound
Percentage
Total
Donald Trump
Donald Trump
Candidate
Donald Trump
Votes
59,982
Percentage
99 %
Actual delegate count
25
Actual delegate count
1
Actual delegate count
26
Ryan Binkley
Ryan Binkley
Candidate
Ryan Binkley
Votes
540
Percentage
0 %
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Total
Total
Candidate
Total
Votes
60,522
Percentage
100 %
Actual delegate count
25
Actual delegate count
1
Actual delegate count
26
Candidate
Votes
Percentage
Actual delegate count
Bound
Unbound
Total
Donald Trump
59,982
99 %
25
1
26
Ryan Binkley
540
0 %
0
0
0
Total
60,522
100 %
25
1
26
· General election › Predictions
Tossup
Tossup
Source
The Cook Political Report
Ranking
Tossup
As of
November 4, 2024
Lean D
Lean D
Source
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Ranking
Lean D
As of
November 4, 2024
Tossup
Tossup
Source
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill
Ranking
Tossup
As of
November 4, 2024
Tossup
Tossup
Source
CNN
Ranking
Tossup
As of
November 4, 2024
Tilt D
Tilt D
Source
CNalysis
Ranking
Tilt D
As of
November 4, 2024
Tossup
Tossup
Source
The Economist
Ranking
Tossup
As of
November 4, 2024
Tossup
Tossup
Source
538
Ranking
Tossup
As of
November 4, 2024
Tossup
Tossup
Source
Inside Elections
Ranking
Tossup
As of
November 3, 2024
Tossup
Tossup
Source
NBC News
Ranking
Tossup
As of
November 4, 2024
Source
Ranking
As of
The Cook Political Report
Tossup
November 4, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Lean D
November 4, 2024
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill
Tossup
November 4, 2024
CNN
Tossup
November 4, 2024
CNalysis
Tilt D
November 4, 2024
The Economist
Tossup
November 4, 2024
538
Tossup
November 4, 2024
Inside Elections
Tossup
November 3, 2024
NBC News
Tossup
November 4, 2024
· General election › Polling
270ToWin
270ToWin
Source of poll aggregation
270ToWin
Dates administered
October 22 – November 4, 2024
Dates updated
November 4, 2024
Kamala Harris Democratic
47 %
Donald Trump Republican
48 %
Other / Undecided
4 %
Margin
Trump +0 %
538
538
Source of poll aggregation
538
Dates administered
through November 4, 2024
Dates updated
November 4, 2024
Kamala Harris Democratic
47 %
Donald Trump Republican
47 %
Other / Undecided
4 %
Margin
Trump +0 %
Silver Bulletin
Silver Bulletin
Source of poll aggregation
Silver Bulletin
Dates administered
through November 4, 2024
Dates updated
November 5, 2024
Kamala Harris Democratic
47 %
Donald Trump Republican
48 %
Other / Undecided
3 %
Margin
Trump +0 %
The Hill/DDHQ
The Hill/DDHQ
Source of poll aggregation
The Hill/DDHQ
Dates administered
through November 4, 2024
Dates updated
November 5, 2024
Kamala Harris Democratic
47 %
Donald Trump Republican
49 %
Other / Undecided
3 %
Margin
Trump +1 %
Average
Average
Source of poll aggregation
Average
Dates administered
47 %
Dates updated
48 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
4 %
Donald Trump Republican
Trump +0 %
Source of poll aggregation
Dates administered
Dates updated
Kamala Harris Democratic
Donald Trump Republican
Other / Undecided
Margin
270ToWin
October 22 – November 4, 2024
November 4, 2024
47 %
48 %
4 %
Trump +0 %
538
through November 4, 2024
November 4, 2024
47 %
47 %
4 %
Trump +0 %
Silver Bulletin
through November 4, 2024
November 5, 2024
47 %
48 %
3 %
Trump +0 %
The Hill/DDHQ
through November 4, 2024
November 5, 2024
47 %
49 %
3 %
Trump +1 %
Average
47 %
48 %
4 %
Trump +0 %

References

  1. If a candidate wins all of Nevada's delegates, the NRP chair is automatically unbound. He pledged his support to Trump.
  2. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  3. Key: A – all adults RV – registered voters LV – likely voters V – unclear
  4. With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  5. "Blank / null / won't vote" with 1%
  6. "Someone else" & None of these candidates with 1% each
  7. "Other" with 1%
  8. "Someone else" with 2%; None of these candidates with 1%
  9. "Other" with 2%
  10. None of these candidates with 2%
  11. "Other" with 4%
  12. None of these candidates & "Someone else" with 1% each
  13. None of these candidates with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
  14. "Some other candidate" with 1%
  15. "Would not vote" with 2%
  16. "Some other candidate" with 4%
  17. "None of the above" with 4%; "Others" with 1%
  18. "Someone else" with 2%
  19. "Other" with 8%
  20. "Another candidate" with 2%
Image
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