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2024 United States presidential election in Nevada

Updated: Wikipedia source

2024 United States presidential election in Nevada

The 2024 United States presidential election in Nevada took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states, plus the District of Columbia, participated. Nevada voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Nevada has six electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census, in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat. Despite Donald Trump, who was running under the Republican banner a third consecutive time, not carrying Nevada in either of his past two presidential campaigns, polling in the state showed him in a strong position to win the state against Joe Biden, with Trump leading Biden in all major polls on Nevada's voting intention from October 2023 until Biden's withdrawal in July 2024. Nevada also elected a Republican governor in 2022. However, Kamala Harris, from neighboring California, had polled somewhat better since becoming the Democratic nominee. The state was rated as a tossup by nearly all major news organizations. Despite more competitive polling after Harris entered the race, Trump won Nevada, defeating Harris by over 3.10% and becoming the first Republican to win the state since George W. Bush in 2004. Trump's gains with Latino and Filipino voters were crucial to him flipping the state, and his 751,205 votes set a new record for votes cast for any candidate in state history. Nevada was the only state to vote for Trump in 2024 after failing to back him in either of his two previous runs in 2016 and 2020, and the only state that voted differently from 2016 to 2024 (though Nebraska's second congressional district, with one electoral vote, voted for Trump in 2016 and for Harris in 2024). Never before in American history have two presidential elections differed by only a single state, with the closest previous instance coming between 1884 and 1888, when only New York and Indiana changed their vote, and more recently between 2008 and 2012, when only North Carolina and again Indiana changed their vote, along with Nebraska’s second congressional district. This is also the first time in the state's history that it voted Republican while Colorado voted Democratic, as well as the first time since 1996 that the swing county of Washoe (Reno) backed the statewide loser in a presidential election.

Infobox

Party
Republican
Nominee
Donald Trump
Turnout
72.84% ( 5.38%)
Percentage
50.59%
Home state
Florida
Popular vote
751,205
Running mate
JD Vance
Electoral vote
6

Tables

Nevada Democratic primary, February 6, 2024[7] · Primary elections › Democratic primary
Pledged
Pledged
Candidate
Pledged
Votes
Unpledged
Percentage
Total
Joe Biden (incumbent)
Joe Biden (incumbent)
Candidate
Joe Biden (incumbent)
Votes
119,758
Percentage
89.3%
Actual delegate count
36
Actual delegate count
36
None of These Candidates
None of These Candidates
Candidate
None of These Candidates
Votes
7,448
Percentage
5.6%
Marianne Williamson
Marianne Williamson
Candidate
Marianne Williamson
Votes
4,101
Percentage
3.1%
Gabriel Cornejo
Gabriel Cornejo
Candidate
Gabriel Cornejo
Votes
811
Percentage
0.6%
Jason Palmer
Jason Palmer
Candidate
Jason Palmer
Votes
530
Percentage
0.4%
Frankie Lozada
Frankie Lozada
Candidate
Frankie Lozada
Votes
315
Percentage
0.2%
Armando Perez-Serrato
Armando Perez-Serrato
Candidate
Armando Perez-Serrato
Votes
264
Percentage
0.2%
John Haywood
John Haywood
Candidate
John Haywood
Votes
241
Percentage
0.2%
Stephen Lyons
Stephen Lyons
Candidate
Stephen Lyons
Votes
147
Percentage
0.1%
Superpayaseria Crystalroc
Superpayaseria Crystalroc
Candidate
Superpayaseria Crystalroc
Votes
133
Percentage
0.1%
Donald Picard
Donald Picard
Candidate
Donald Picard
Votes
124
Percentage
0.1%
Brent Foutz
Brent Foutz
Candidate
Brent Foutz
Votes
93
Percentage
0.1%
Stephen Alan Leon
Stephen Alan Leon
Candidate
Stephen Alan Leon
Votes
89
Percentage
0.1%
Mark R. Prascak
Mark R. Prascak
Candidate
Mark R. Prascak
Votes
33
Percentage
<0.1%
Total:
Total:
Candidate
Total:
Votes
134,087
Percentage
100%
Actual delegate count
36
Actual delegate count
13
Actual delegate count
49
Candidate
Votes
Percentage
Actual delegate count
Pledged
Unpledged
Total
Joe Biden (incumbent)
119,758
89.3%
36
36
None of These Candidates
7,448
5.6%
Marianne Williamson
4,101
3.1%
Gabriel Cornejo
811
0.6%
Jason Palmer
530
0.4%
Frankie Lozada
315
0.2%
Armando Perez-Serrato
264
0.2%
John Haywood
241
0.2%
Stephen Lyons
147
0.1%
Superpayaseria Crystalroc
133
0.1%
Donald Picard
124
0.1%
Brent Foutz
93
0.1%
Stephen Alan Leon
89
0.1%
Mark R. Prascak
33
<0.1%
Total:
134,087
100%
36
13
49
Nevada Republican primary, February 6, 2024[8] · Primary elections › Republican nominating contests
None of These Candidates
None of These Candidates
Candidate
None of These Candidates
Votes
50,763
Percentage
63.26%
Nikki Haley
Nikki Haley
Candidate
Nikki Haley
Votes
24,583
Percentage
30.63%
Mike Pence (withdrawn)
Mike Pence (withdrawn)
Candidate
Mike Pence (withdrawn)
Votes
3,091
Percentage
3.85%
Tim Scott (withdrawn)
Tim Scott (withdrawn)
Candidate
Tim Scott (withdrawn)
Votes
1,081
Percentage
1.35%
John Anthony Castro
John Anthony Castro
Candidate
John Anthony Castro
Votes
270
Percentage
0.34%
Hirsh V. Singh (withdrawn)
Hirsh V. Singh (withdrawn)
Candidate
Hirsh V. Singh (withdrawn)
Votes
200
Percentage
0.25%
Donald Kjornes
Donald Kjornes
Candidate
Donald Kjornes
Votes
166
Percentage
0.21%
Heath V. Fulkerson
Heath V. Fulkerson
Candidate
Heath V. Fulkerson
Votes
95
Percentage
0.12%
Total:
Total:
Candidate
Total:
Votes
80,249
Percentage
100.00%
Candidate
Votes
Percentage
None of These Candidates
50,763
63.26%
Nikki Haley
24,583
30.63%
Mike Pence (withdrawn)
3,091
3.85%
Tim Scott (withdrawn)
1,081
1.35%
John Anthony Castro
270
0.34%
Hirsh V. Singh (withdrawn)
200
0.25%
Donald Kjornes
166
0.21%
Heath V. Fulkerson
95
0.12%
Total:
80,249
100.00%
Nevada Republican caucus, February 8, 2024[10] · Primary elections › Republican nominating contests
Bound
Bound
Candidate
Bound
Votes
Unbound
Percentage
Total
Donald Trump
Donald Trump
Candidate
Donald Trump
Votes
59,982
Percentage
99.11%
Actual delegate count
25
Actual delegate count
1
Actual delegate count
26
Ryan Binkley
Ryan Binkley
Candidate
Ryan Binkley
Votes
540
Percentage
0.89%
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Total
Total
Candidate
Total
Votes
60,522
Percentage
100.00%
Actual delegate count
25
Actual delegate count
1
Actual delegate count
26
Candidate
Votes
Percentage
Actual delegate count
Bound
Unbound
Total
Donald Trump
59,982
99.11%
25
1
26
Ryan Binkley
540
0.89%
0
0
0
Total
60,522
100.00%
25
1
26
· General election › Predictions
Tossup
Tossup
Source
The Cook Political Report
Ranking
Tossup
As of
November 4, 2024
Lean D
Lean D
Source
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Ranking
Lean D
As of
November 4, 2024
Tossup
Tossup
Source
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill
Ranking
Tossup
As of
November 4, 2024
Tossup
Tossup
Source
CNN
Ranking
Tossup
As of
November 4, 2024
Tilt D
Tilt D
Source
CNalysis
Ranking
Tilt D
As of
November 4, 2024
Tossup
Tossup
Source
The Economist
Ranking
Tossup
As of
November 4, 2024
Tossup
Tossup
Source
538
Ranking
Tossup
As of
November 4, 2024
Tossup
Tossup
Source
Inside Elections
Ranking
Tossup
As of
November 3, 2024
Tossup
Tossup
Source
NBC News
Ranking
Tossup
As of
November 4, 2024
Source
Ranking
As of
The Cook Political Report
Tossup
November 4, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Lean D
November 4, 2024
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill
Tossup
November 4, 2024
CNN
Tossup
November 4, 2024
CNalysis
Tilt D
November 4, 2024
The Economist
Tossup
November 4, 2024
538
Tossup
November 4, 2024
Inside Elections
Tossup
November 3, 2024
NBC News
Tossup
November 4, 2024
· General election › Polling
270ToWin
270ToWin
Source of pollaggregation
270ToWin
Datesadministered
October 22 – November 4, 2024
Datesupdated
November 4, 2024
KamalaHarris Democratic
47.6%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48.2%
Other /Undecided
4.2%
Margin
Trump +0.6%
538
538
Source of pollaggregation
538
Datesadministered
through November 4, 2024
Datesupdated
November 4, 2024
KamalaHarris Democratic
47.4%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47.7%
Other /Undecided
4.8%
Margin
Trump +0.3%
Silver Bulletin
Silver Bulletin
Source of pollaggregation
Silver Bulletin
Datesadministered
through November 4, 2024
Datesupdated
November 5, 2024
KamalaHarris Democratic
47.9%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48.5%
Other /Undecided
3.6%
Margin
Trump +0.6%
The Hill/DDHQ
The Hill/DDHQ
Source of pollaggregation
The Hill/DDHQ
Datesadministered
through November 4, 2024
Datesupdated
November 5, 2024
KamalaHarris Democratic
47.5%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49.2%
Other /Undecided
3.3%
Margin
Trump +1.7%
Average
Average
Source of pollaggregation
Average
Datesadministered
47.6%
Datesupdated
48.3%
KamalaHarris Democratic
4.1%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Trump +0.7%
Source of pollaggregation
Datesadministered
Datesupdated
KamalaHarris Democratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Other /Undecided
Margin
270ToWin
October 22 – November 4, 2024
November 4, 2024
47.6%
48.2%
4.2%
Trump +0.6%
538
through November 4, 2024
November 4, 2024
47.4%
47.7%
4.8%
Trump +0.3%
Silver Bulletin
through November 4, 2024
November 5, 2024
47.9%
48.5%
3.6%
Trump +0.6%
The Hill/DDHQ
through November 4, 2024
November 5, 2024
47.5%
49.2%
3.3%
Trump +1.7%
Average
47.6%
48.3%
4.1%
Trump +0.7%
· General election › Polling
HarrisX
HarrisX
Poll source
HarrisX
Date(s)administered
November 3–5, 2024
Samplesize
1,260 (RV)
Marginof error
± 2.8%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Other /Undecided
7%
51.6%
51.6%
Poll source
51.6%
Date(s)administered
48.5%
Samplesize
–
1,125 (LV)
1,125 (LV)
Poll source
1,125 (LV)
Date(s)administered
48%
Samplesize
48%
Marginof error
4%
50.5%
50.5%
Poll source
50.5%
Date(s)administered
49.5%
Samplesize
–
AtlasIntel
AtlasIntel
Poll source
AtlasIntel
Date(s)administered
November 3–4, 2024
Samplesize
707 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
50%
Other /Undecided
3%
47%
47%
Poll source
47%
Date(s)administered
50%
Samplesize
3%
Patriot Polling
Patriot Polling
Poll source
Patriot Polling
Date(s)administered
November 1–3, 2024
Samplesize
792 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
50%
Other /Undecided
1%
AtlasIntel
AtlasIntel
Poll source
AtlasIntel
Date(s)administered
November 1–2, 2024
Samplesize
782 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
52%
Other /Undecided
2%
46%
46%
Poll source
46%
Date(s)administered
51%
Samplesize
3%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
October 30 – November 2, 2024
Samplesize
840 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.3%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
4%
49%
49%
Poll source
49%
Date(s)administered
49%
Samplesize
1%
The New York Times/Siena College
The New York Times/Siena College
Poll source
The New York Times/Siena College
Date(s)administered
October 24 – November 2, 2024
Samplesize
1,010 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Other /Undecided
6%
1,010 (LV)
1,010 (LV)
Poll source
1,010 (LV)
Date(s)administered
49%
Samplesize
46%
Marginof error
5%
AtlasIntel
AtlasIntel
Poll source
AtlasIntel
Date(s)administered
October 30–31, 2024
Samplesize
845 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
51%
Other /Undecided
2%
47%
47%
Poll source
47%
Date(s)administered
51%
Samplesize
2%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
October 29–31, 2024
Samplesize
700 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.6%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
5%
49%
49%
Poll source
49%
Date(s)administered
48%
Samplesize
3%
Noble Predictive Insights
Noble Predictive Insights
Poll source
Noble Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
October 28–31, 2024
Samplesize
593 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
3%
Susquehanna Polling & Research
Susquehanna Polling & Research
Poll source
Susquehanna Polling & Research
Date(s)administered
October 28–31, 2024
Samplesize
400 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.9%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
44%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
50%
Other /Undecided
6%
YouGov
YouGov
Poll source
YouGov
Date(s)administered
October 25–31, 2024
Samplesize
790 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.6%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
50%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
1%
773 (LV)
773 (LV)
Poll source
773 (LV)
Date(s)administered
50%
Samplesize
49%
Marginof error
1%
Data for Progress (D)
Data for Progress (D)
Poll source
Data for Progress (D)
Date(s)administered
October 25–30, 2024
Samplesize
721 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
4%
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Poll source
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Date(s)administered
October 25–30, 2024
Samplesize
767 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
4%
AtlasIntel
AtlasIntel
Poll source
AtlasIntel
Date(s)administered
October 25–29, 2024
Samplesize
1,083 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
3%
48%
48%
Poll source
48%
Date(s)administered
48%
Samplesize
4%
Trafalgar Group (R)
Trafalgar Group (R)
Poll source
Trafalgar Group (R)
Date(s)administered
October 25–28, 2024
Samplesize
1,082 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.9%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
4%
CES/YouGov
CES/YouGov
Poll source
CES/YouGov
Date(s)administered
October 1–25, 2024
Samplesize
940 (A)
Marginof error
–
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
53%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
Other /Undecided
3%
933 (LV)
933 (LV)
Poll source
933 (LV)
Date(s)administered
51%
Samplesize
47%
Marginof error
2%
InsiderAdvantage (R)
InsiderAdvantage (R)
Poll source
InsiderAdvantage (R)
Date(s)administered
October 20–21, 2024
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
October 16–20, 2024
Samplesize
449 (RV)
Marginof error
± 5.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
3%
420 (LV)
420 (LV)
Poll source
420 (LV)
Date(s)administered
49%
Samplesize
48%
Marginof error
3%
AtlasIntel
AtlasIntel
Poll source
AtlasIntel
Date(s)administered
October 12–17, 2024
Samplesize
1,171 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
4%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
Poll source
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
Date(s)administered
October 8−15, 2024
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
4%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
October 6−15, 2024
Samplesize
496 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
Other /Undecided
6%
Revere Solutions/Providence
Revere Solutions/Providence
Poll source
Revere Solutions/Providence
Date(s)administered
October 22-23, 2024
Samplesize
538 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
46.8%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
50.6%
Other /Undecided
2.6%
The Washington Post/Schar School
The Washington Post/Schar School
Poll source
The Washington Post/Schar School
Date(s)administered
September 30 – October 15, 2024
Samplesize
652 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.8%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
Other /Undecided
9%
652 (LV)
652 (LV)
Poll source
652 (LV)
Date(s)administered
48%
Samplesize
48%
Marginof error
4%
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Poll source
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Date(s)administered
October 9–14, 2024
Samplesize
748 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
4%
Trafalgar Group (R)
Trafalgar Group (R)
Poll source
Trafalgar Group (R)
Date(s)administered
October 10–13, 2024
Samplesize
1,088 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.9%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
Other /Undecided
9%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/McLaughlin & Associates (R)
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/McLaughlin & Associates (R)
Poll source
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/McLaughlin & Associates (R)
Date(s)administered
October 6–9, 2024
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
50%
Other /Undecided
3%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
October 5–8, 2024
Samplesize
900 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.2%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
5%
49%
49%
Poll source
49%
Date(s)administered
48%
Samplesize
3%
The Wall Street Journal
The Wall Street Journal
Poll source
The Wall Street Journal
Date(s)administered
September 28 – October 8, 2024
Samplesize
600 (RV)
Marginof error
± 5.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
43%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
8%
RMG Research
RMG Research
Poll source
RMG Research
Date(s)administered
September 30 – October 3, 2024
Samplesize
782 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
4%
49%
49%
Poll source
49%
Date(s)administered
49%
Samplesize
2%
OnMessage Inc. (R)
OnMessage Inc. (R)
Poll source
OnMessage Inc. (R)
Date(s)administered
September 24 – October 2, 2024
Samplesize
500 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
45%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
8%
InsiderAdvantage (R)
InsiderAdvantage (R)
Poll source
InsiderAdvantage (R)
Date(s)administered
September 29–30, 2024
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
1%
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)
Poll source
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)
Date(s)administered
September 23–29, 2024
Samplesize
407 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.9%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
5%
TIPP Insights
TIPP Insights
Poll source
TIPP Insights
Date(s)administered
September 23−25, 2024
Samplesize
1,044 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.7%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
Other /Undecided
8%
736 (LV)
736 (LV)
Poll source
736 (LV)
Date(s)administered
49%
Samplesize
48%
Marginof error
3%
Quantus Insights (R)
Quantus Insights (R)
Poll source
Quantus Insights (R)
Date(s)administered
September 23−25, 2024
Samplesize
628 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
3%
AtlasIntel
AtlasIntel
Poll source
AtlasIntel
Date(s)administered
September 20–25, 2024
Samplesize
858 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
51%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
1%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
Poll source
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
Date(s)administered
September 19–25, 2024
Samplesize
409 (LV)
Marginof error
–
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
September 19–25, 2024
Samplesize
574 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
Other /Undecided
6%
516 (LV)
516 (LV)
Poll source
516 (LV)
Date(s)administered
52%
Samplesize
45%
Marginof error
3%
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Poll source
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Date(s)administered
September 19−22, 2024
Samplesize
738 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
3%
Remington Research Group (R)
Remington Research Group (R)
Poll source
Remington Research Group (R)
Date(s)administered
September 16–20, 2024
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
3%
The Tarrance Group (R)
The Tarrance Group (R)
Poll source
The Tarrance Group (R)
Date(s)administered
September 16–19, 2024
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.1%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
Other /Undecided
9%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
September 15–18, 2024
Samplesize
895 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.2%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
4%
49%
49%
Poll source
49%
Date(s)administered
49%
Samplesize
2%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
September 9−18, 2024
Samplesize
474 (LV)
Marginof error
± 5.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
51%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
2%
Noble Predictive Insights
Noble Predictive Insights
Poll source
Noble Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
September 9−16, 2024
Samplesize
812 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.4%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
Other /Undecided
7%
692 (LV)
692 (LV)
Poll source
692 (LV)
Date(s)administered
± 3.7%
Samplesize
48%
Marginof error
47%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
5%
Trafalgar Group (R)
Trafalgar Group (R)
Poll source
Trafalgar Group (R)
Date(s)administered
September 11–13, 2024
Samplesize
1,079 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.9%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
45%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
Other /Undecided
11%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
August 30 – September 8, 2024
Samplesize
516 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
4%
Patriot Polling
Patriot Polling
Poll source
Patriot Polling
Date(s)administered
September 1–3, 2024
Samplesize
788 (RV)
Marginof error
–
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
6%
InsiderAdvantage (R)
InsiderAdvantage (R)
Poll source
InsiderAdvantage (R)
Date(s)administered
August 29–31, 2024
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
5%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
August 25–28, 2024
Samplesize
1,168 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.8%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
3%
49%
49%
Poll source
49%
Date(s)administered
49%
Samplesize
1%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
August 23–26, 2024
Samplesize
416 (LV)
Marginof error
± 5.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
50%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Other /Undecided
4%
450 (RV)
450 (RV)
Poll source
450 (RV)
Date(s)administered
49%
Samplesize
45%
Marginof error
6%
Fox News
Fox News
Poll source
Fox News
Date(s)administered
August 23–26, 2024
Samplesize
1,026 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
50%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
2%
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Poll source
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Date(s)administered
August 13–18, 2024
Samplesize
980 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
6%
Focaldata
Focaldata
Poll source
Focaldata
Date(s)administered
August 6–16, 2024
Samplesize
678 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.8%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
54%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Other /Undecided
–
The New York Times/Siena College
The New York Times/Siena College
Poll source
The New York Times/Siena College
Date(s)administered
August 12–15, 2024
Samplesize
677 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
6%
677 (LV)
677 (LV)
Poll source
677 (LV)
Date(s)administered
47%
Samplesize
48%
Marginof error
5%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
Poll source
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
Date(s)administered
July 26 – August 8, 2024
Samplesize
403 (LV)
Marginof error
–
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
45%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
7%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Poll source
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Date(s)administered
July 23–29, 2024
Samplesize
400 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.9%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
45%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Other /Undecided
9%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
July 24–28, 2024
Samplesize
454 (RV)
Marginof error
± 5.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
Other /Undecided
7%
InsiderAdvantage (R)
InsiderAdvantage (R)
Poll source
InsiderAdvantage (R)
Date(s)administered
July 15–16, 2024
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
40%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
50%
Other /Undecided
10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
May 7–13, 2024
Samplesize
459 (RV)
Marginof error
± 5.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
44%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
9%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
February 16–19, 2024
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
39%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
13%
The New York Times/Siena College
The New York Times/Siena College
Poll source
The New York Times/Siena College
Date(s)administered
October 22 – November 3, 2023
Samplesize
611 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
42%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
10%
611 (LV)
611 (LV)
Poll source
611 (LV)
Date(s)administered
42%
Samplesize
50%
Marginof error
8%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Other /Undecided
HarrisX
November 3–5, 2024
1,260 (RV)
± 2.8%
47%
46%
7%
51.6%
48.5%
–
1,125 (LV)
48%
48%
4%
50.5%
49.5%
–
AtlasIntel
November 3–4, 2024
707 (LV)
± 4.0%
47%
50%
3%
47%
50%
3%
Patriot Polling
November 1–3, 2024
792 (RV)
± 3.0%
49%
50%
1%
AtlasIntel
November 1–2, 2024
782 (LV)
± 4.0%
46%
52%
2%
46%
51%
3%
Emerson College
October 30 – November 2, 2024
840 (LV)
± 3.3%
48%
48%
4%
49%
49%
1%
The New York Times/Siena College
October 24 – November 2, 2024
1,010 (RV)
± 3.5%
48%
46%
6%
1,010 (LV)
49%
46%
5%
AtlasIntel
October 30–31, 2024
845 (LV)
± 3.0%
47%
51%
2%
47%
51%
2%
Emerson College
October 29–31, 2024
700 (LV)
± 3.6%
48%
47%
5%
49%
48%
3%
Noble Predictive Insights
October 28–31, 2024
593 (LV)
± 4.0%
49%
48%
3%
Susquehanna Polling & Research
October 28–31, 2024
400 (LV)
± 4.9%
44%
50%
6%
YouGov
October 25–31, 2024
790 (RV)
± 4.6%
50%
49%
1%
773 (LV)
50%
49%
1%
Data for Progress (D)
October 25–30, 2024
721 (LV)
± 4.0%
49%
47%
4%
Rasmussen Reports (R)
October 25–30, 2024
767 (LV)
± 3.0%
47%
49%
4%
AtlasIntel
October 25–29, 2024
1,083 (LV)
± 3.0%
48%
49%
3%
48%
48%
4%
Trafalgar Group (R)
October 25–28, 2024
1,082 (LV)
± 2.9%
48%
48%
4%
CES/YouGov
October 1–25, 2024
940 (A)
–
53%
44%
3%
933 (LV)
51%
47%
2%
InsiderAdvantage (R)
October 20–21, 2024
800 (LV)
± 3.5%
48%
48%
4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
October 16–20, 2024
449 (RV)
± 5.0%
49%
48%
3%
420 (LV)
49%
48%
3%
AtlasIntel
October 12–17, 2024
1,171 (LV)
± 3.0%
48%
48%
4%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
October 8−15, 2024
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
47%
49%
4%
Morning Consult
October 6−15, 2024
496 (LV)
± 4.0%
49%
45%
6%
Revere Solutions/Providence
October 22-23, 2024
538 (LV)
± 4.0%
46.8%
50.6%
2.6%
The Washington Post/Schar School
September 30 – October 15, 2024
652 (RV)
± 4.8%
47%
44%
9%
652 (LV)
48%
48%
4%
Rasmussen Reports (R)
October 9–14, 2024
748 (LV)
± 3.0%
47%
49%
4%
Trafalgar Group (R)
October 10–13, 2024
1,088 (LV)
± 2.9%
46%
45%
9%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/McLaughlin & Associates (R)
October 6–9, 2024
800 (LV)
± 3.5%
47%
50%
3%
Emerson College
October 5–8, 2024
900 (LV)
± 3.2%
48%
47%
5%
49%
48%
3%
The Wall Street Journal
September 28 – October 8, 2024
600 (RV)
± 5.0%
43%
49%
8%
RMG Research
September 30 – October 3, 2024
782 (LV)
± 3.5%
49%
47%
4%
49%
49%
2%
OnMessage Inc. (R)
September 24 – October 2, 2024
500 (LV)
± 4.4%
45%
47%
8%
InsiderAdvantage (R)
September 29–30, 2024
800 (LV)
± 3.0%
48%
49%
1%
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)
September 23–29, 2024
407 (LV)
± 4.9%
48%
47%
5%
TIPP Insights
September 23−25, 2024
1,044 (RV)
± 3.7%
48%
44%
8%
· General election › Polling
Race to the WH
Race to the WH
Source of pollaggregation
Race to the WH
Datesadministered
through November 2, 2024
Datesupdated
November 3, 2024
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
47.9%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47.3%
JillSteinGreen
—
CornelWestIndependent
—
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1.2%
Other/Undecided
3.6%
Margin
Harris +0.6%
270toWin
270toWin
Source of pollaggregation
270toWin
Datesadministered
October 22 – November 3, 2024
Datesupdated
November 3, 2024
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
47.8%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47.4%
JillSteinGreen
0.0%
CornelWestIndependent
0.0%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1.0%
Other/Undecided
3.8%
Margin
Harris +0.4%
Average
Average
Source of pollaggregation
Average
Datesadministered
47.9%
Datesupdated
47.4%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
0.0%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
0.0%
JillSteinGreen
1.1%
CornelWestIndependent
3.7%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
Harris +0.5%
Source of pollaggregation
Datesadministered
Datesupdated
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
JillSteinGreen
CornelWestIndependent
ChaseOliverLibertarian
Other/Undecided
Margin
Race to the WH
through November 2, 2024
November 3, 2024
47.9%
47.3%
—
—
1.2%
3.6%
Harris +0.6%
270toWin
October 22 – November 3, 2024
November 3, 2024
47.8%
47.4%
0.0%
0.0%
1.0%
3.8%
Harris +0.4%
Average
47.9%
47.4%
0.0%
0.0%
1.1%
3.7%
Harris +0.5%
· General election › Polling
HarrisX
HarrisX
Poll source
HarrisX
Date(s)administered
November 3–5, 2024
Samplesize
1,260 (RV)
Marginof error
± 2.8%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
CornelWestIndependent
2%
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
–
Other /Undecided
6%
50%
50%
Poll source
50%
Date(s)administered
46%
Samplesize
3%
Marginof error
1%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
–
DonaldTrumpRepublican
–
1,125 (LV)
1,125 (LV)
Poll source
1,125 (LV)
Date(s)administered
48%
Samplesize
47%
Marginof error
2%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
1%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
–
CornelWestIndependent
2%
49%
49%
Poll source
49%
Date(s)administered
48%
Samplesize
2%
Marginof error
1%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
–
DonaldTrumpRepublican
–
The New York Times/Siena College
The New York Times/Siena College
Poll source
The New York Times/Siena College
Date(s)administered
October 24 – November 2, 2024
Samplesize
1,010 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
–
ChaseOliverLibertarian
3%
Other /Undecided
6%
1,010 (LV)
1,010 (LV)
Poll source
1,010 (LV)
Date(s)administered
48%
Samplesize
46%
Marginof error
–
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
–
DonaldTrumpRepublican
2%
CornelWestIndependent
4%
Focaldata
Focaldata
Poll source
Focaldata
Date(s)administered
October 3 – November 1, 2024
Samplesize
1,324 (LV)
Marginof error
–
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
0%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
4%
1,197 (RV)
1,197 (RV)
Poll source
1,197 (RV)
Date(s)administered
± 2.7%
Samplesize
49%
Marginof error
45%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
–
DonaldTrumpRepublican
0%
CornelWestIndependent
2%
JillSteinGreen
4%
1,324 (A)
1,324 (A)
Poll source
1,324 (A)
Date(s)administered
–
Samplesize
48%
Marginof error
44%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
–
DonaldTrumpRepublican
0%
CornelWestIndependent
2%
JillSteinGreen
1%
Noble Predictive Insights
Noble Predictive Insights
Poll source
Noble Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
October 28–31, 2024
Samplesize
593 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
–
ChaseOliverLibertarian
0%
Other /Undecided
3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
October 28–31, 2024
Samplesize
690 (LV)
Marginof error
–
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
0%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
4%
YouGov
YouGov
Poll source
YouGov
Date(s)administered
October 25–31, 2024
Samplesize
790 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.6%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
CornelWestIndependent
0%
JillSteinGreen
0%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
–
Other /Undecided
5%
773 (LV)
773 (LV)
Poll source
773 (LV)
Date(s)administered
48%
Samplesize
47%
Marginof error
0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
0%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
–
CornelWestIndependent
5%
Data for Progress (D)
Data for Progress (D)
Poll source
Data for Progress (D)
Date(s)administered
October 25–30, 2024
Samplesize
721 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
–
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
October 25–27, 2024
Samplesize
531 (LV)
Marginof error
–
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
–
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
6%
CNN/SSRS
CNN/SSRS
Poll source
CNN/SSRS
Date(s)administered
October 21–26, 2024
Samplesize
683 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.6%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
–
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
October 20–22, 2024
Samplesize
540 (LV)
Marginof error
–
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
0%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
0%
Other /Undecided
7%
OnMessage Inc. (R)
OnMessage Inc. (R)
Poll source
OnMessage Inc. (R)
Date(s)administered
October 19–22, 2024
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
50%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
–
ChaseOliverLibertarian
0%
Other /Undecided
3%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
October 16–20, 2024
Samplesize
449 (RV)
Marginof error
± 5.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
0%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
2%
Other /Undecided
3%
420 (LV)
420 (LV)
Poll source
420 (LV)
Date(s)administered
48%
Samplesize
48%
Marginof error
–
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
0%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
1%
CornelWestIndependent
3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
October 16–18, 2024
Samplesize
529 (LV)
Marginof error
–
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
5%
AtlasIntel
AtlasIntel
Poll source
AtlasIntel
Date(s)administered
October 12–17, 2024
Samplesize
1,171 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
2%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
0%
Other /Undecided
2%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
Poll source
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
Date(s)administered
October 8−15, 2024
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
–
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
October 12–14, 2024
Samplesize
838 (LV)
Marginof error
–
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
0%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
September 27 – October 2, 2024
Samplesize
514 (LV)
Marginof error
–
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
3%
TIPP Insights
TIPP Insights
Poll source
TIPP Insights
Date(s)administered
September 23−25, 2024
Samplesize
1,044 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.7%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
0%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
−
Other /Undecided
9%
736 (LV)
736 (LV)
Poll source
736 (LV)
Date(s)administered
50%
Samplesize
49%
Marginof error
0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
0%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
−
CornelWestIndependent
1%
AtlasIntel
AtlasIntel
Poll source
AtlasIntel
Date(s)administered
September 20–25, 2024
Samplesize
858 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
51%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
–
Other /Undecided
–
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
September 19–25, 2024
Samplesize
574 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
3%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
4%
Other /Undecided
3%
516 (LV)
516 (LV)
Poll source
516 (LV)
Date(s)administered
50%
Samplesize
44%
Marginof error
–
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
2%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
2%
CornelWestIndependent
2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
September 16–19, 2024
Samplesize
652 (LV)
Marginof error
–
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
45%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
0%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
9%
Noble Predictive Insights
Noble Predictive Insights
Poll source
Noble Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
September 9−16, 2024
Samplesize
812 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.4%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
0%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
10%
692 (LV)
692 (LV)
Poll source
692 (LV)
Date(s)administered
± 3.7%
Samplesize
47%
Marginof error
47%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
–
DonaldTrumpRepublican
0%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
September 6–9, 2024
Samplesize
698 (LV)
Marginof error
–
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
45%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
7%
YouGov
YouGov
Poll source
YouGov
Date(s)administered
August 23 – September 3, 2024
Samplesize
800 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.7%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
CornelWestIndependent
0%
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
–
Other /Undecided
4%
CNN/SSRS
CNN/SSRS
Poll source
CNN/SSRS
Date(s)administered
August 23–29, 2024
Samplesize
976 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
August 25–28, 2024
Samplesize
490 (LV)
Marginof error
–
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
0%
Other /Undecided
5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
August 23–26, 2024
Samplesize
416 (LV)
Marginof error
± 5.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
2%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
3%
Other /Undecided
1%
450 (RV)
450 (RV)
Poll source
450 (RV)
Date(s)administered
48%
Samplesize
45%
Marginof error
–
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
2%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
4%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
Fox News
Fox News
Poll source
Fox News
Date(s)administered
August 23–26, 2024
Samplesize
1,026 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
CornelWestIndependent
2%
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
2%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
ChaseOliverLibertarian
Other /Undecided
HarrisX
November 3–5, 2024
1,260 (RV)
± 2.8%
46%
45%
2%
1%
–
6%
50%
46%
3%
1%
–
–
1,125 (LV)
48%
47%
2%
1%
–
2%
49%
48%
2%
1%
–
–
The New York Times/Siena College
October 24 – November 2, 2024
1,010 (RV)
± 3.5%
47%
44%
–
–
3%
6%
1,010 (LV)
48%
46%
–
–
2%
4%
Focaldata
October 3 – November 1, 2024
1,324 (LV)
–
48%
47%
–
0%
1%
4%
1,197 (RV)
± 2.7%
49%
45%
–
0%
2%
4%
1,324 (A)
–
48%
44%
–
0%
2%
1%
Noble Predictive Insights
October 28–31, 2024
593 (LV)
± 4.0%
49%
48%
–
–
0%
3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
October 28–31, 2024
690 (LV)
–
47%
48%
–
0%
1%
4%
YouGov
October 25–31, 2024
790 (RV)
± 4.6%
48%
47%
0%
0%
–
5%
773 (LV)
48%
47%
0%
0%
–
5%
Data for Progress (D)
October 25–30, 2024
721 (LV)
± 4.0%
49%
47%
–
–
1%
3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
October 25–27, 2024
531 (LV)
–
47%
47%
–
–
1%
6%
CNN/SSRS
October 21–26, 2024
683 (LV)
± 4.6%
47%
48%
–
–
1%
4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
October 20–22, 2024
540 (LV)
–
46%
47%
–
0%
0%
7%
OnMessage Inc. (R)
October 19–22, 2024
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
47%
50%
–
–
0%
3%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
October 16–20, 2024
449 (RV)
± 5.0%
48%
47%
–
0%
2%
3%
420 (LV)
48%
48%
–
0%
1%
3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
October 16–18, 2024
529 (LV)
–
46%
47%
–
1%
1%
5%
AtlasIntel
October 12–17, 2024
1,171 (LV)
± 3.0%
48%
48%
–
2%
0%
2%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
October 8−15, 2024
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
46%
47%
–
–
1%
6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
October 12–14, 2024
838 (LV)
–
47%
47%
–
0%
1%
5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
September 27 – October 2, 2024
514 (LV)
–
48%
47%
–
1%
1%
3%
TIPP Insights
September 23−25, 2024
1,044 (RV)
± 3.7%
48%
43%
1%
0%
−
9%
736 (LV)
50%
49%
0%
0%
−
1%
AtlasIntel
September 20–25, 2024
858 (LV)
± 3.0%
51%
48%
–
1%
–
–
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
September 19–25, 2024
574 (RV)
± 4.0%
46%
44%
–
3%
4%
3%
516 (LV)
50%
44%
–
2%
2%
2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
September 16–19, 2024
652 (LV)
–
45%
45%
–
0%
1%
9%
Noble Predictive Insights
September 9−16, 2024
812 (RV)
± 3.4%
46%
43%
–
0%
1%
10%
692 (LV)
± 3.7%
47%
47%
–
0%
1%
5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
September 6–9, 2024
698 (LV)
–
45%
46%
–
1%
1%
7%
YouGov
August 23 – September 3, 2024
800 (RV)
± 4.7%
49%
46%
0%
1%
–
4%
CNN/SSRS
August 23–29, 2024
976 (LV)
± 4.4%
48%
47%
–
1%
1%
3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
August 25–28, 2024
490 (LV)
–
47%
47%
–
1%
0%
5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
August 23–26, 2024
416 (LV)
± 5.0%
48%
46%
–
2%
3%
1%
450 (RV)
48%
45%
–
2%
4%
1%
Fox News
August 23–26, 2024
1,026 (RV)
± 3.0%
48%
46%
2%
1%
1%
2%
The Wall Street Journal
The Wall Street Journal
Poll source
The Wall Street Journal
Date(s)administered
September 28 – October 8, 2024
Samplesize
600 (RV)
Marginof error
± 5.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
42%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
0%
CornelWestIndependent
0%
JillSteinGreen
0%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
3%
Other /Undecided
8%
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)
Poll source
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)
Date(s)administered
September 23–29, 2024
Samplesize
407 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.9%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
0%
CornelWestIndependent
0%
JillSteinGreen
0%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
2%
Other /Undecided
4%
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Poll source
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Date(s)administered
August 13–18, 2024
Samplesize
980 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
44%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
5%
CornelWestIndependent
0%
JillSteinGreen
0%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
4%
Focaldata
Focaldata
Poll source
Focaldata
Date(s)administered
August 6–16, 2024
Samplesize
678 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.8%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
42%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
7%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
0%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
2%
678 (RV)
678 (RV)
Poll source
678 (RV)
Date(s)administered
49%
Samplesize
39%
Marginof error
9%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
–
DonaldTrumpRepublican
0%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
1%
CornelWestIndependent
2%
678 (A)
678 (A)
Poll source
678 (A)
Date(s)administered
49%
Samplesize
39%
Marginof error
9%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
–
DonaldTrumpRepublican
0%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
1%
CornelWestIndependent
2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
August 12–15, 2024
Samplesize
536 (LV)
Marginof error
–
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
42%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
6%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
7%
The New York Times/Siena College
The New York Times/Siena College
Poll source
The New York Times/Siena College
Date(s)administered
August 12–15, 2024
Samplesize
677 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
42%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
6%
CornelWestIndependent
0%
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
6%
677 (LV)
677 (LV)
Poll source
677 (LV)
Date(s)administered
44%
Samplesize
46%
Marginof error
4%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
0%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
1%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
1%
CornelWestIndependent
4%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
Poll source
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
Date(s)administered
July 26 – August 8, 2024
Samplesize
403 (LV)
Marginof error
–
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
42%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
5%
CornelWestIndependent
0%
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
–
Other /Undecided
5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
July 31 – August 3, 2024
Samplesize
470 (LV)
Marginof error
–
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
40%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
40%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
5%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
0%
Other /Undecided
14%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
July 24–28, 2024
Samplesize
454 (RV)
Marginof error
± 5.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
43%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
7%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
3%
Other /Undecided
3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
July 22–24, 2024
Samplesize
435 (LV)
Marginof error
–
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
43%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
5%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
0%
Other /Undecided
6%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
ChaseOliverLibertarian
Other /Undecided
The Wall Street Journal
September 28 – October 8, 2024
600 (RV)
± 5.0%
42%
47%
0%
0%
0%
3%
8%
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)
September 23–29, 2024
407 (LV)
± 4.9%
47%
47%
0%
0%
0%
2%
4%
Rasmussen Reports (R)
August 13–18, 2024
980 (LV)
± 3.0%
44%
46%
5%
0%
0%
1%
4%
Focaldata
August 6–16, 2024
678 (LV)
± 3.8%
48%
42%
7%
–
0%
1%
2%
678 (RV)
49%
39%
9%
–
0%
1%
2%
678 (A)
49%
39%
9%
–
0%
1%
2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
August 12–15, 2024
536 (LV)
–
42%
43%
6%
–
1%
1%
7%
The New York Times/Siena College
August 12–15, 2024
677 (RV)
± 4.4%
42%
45%
6%
0%
1%
1%
6%
677 (LV)
44%
46%
4%
0%
1%
1%
4%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
July 26 – August 8, 2024
403 (LV)
–
42%
47%
5%
0%
1%
–
5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
July 31 – August 3, 2024
470 (LV)
–
40%
40%
5%
–
1%
0%
14%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
July 24–28, 2024
454 (RV)
± 5.0%
43%
43%
7%
–
1%
3%
3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
July 22–24, 2024
435 (LV)
–
43%
45%
5%
–
1%
0%
6%
Strategies 360
Strategies 360
Poll source
Strategies 360
Date(s)administered
August 7–14, 2024
Samplesize
350 (RV)
Marginof error
± 5.2%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
42%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
5%
Other /Undecided
5%
Trafalgar Group (R)
Trafalgar Group (R)
Poll source
Trafalgar Group (R)
Date(s)administered
August 6–8, 2024
Samplesize
1,087 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.9%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
45%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
3%
Other /Undecided
4%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
Other /Undecided
Strategies 360
August 7–14, 2024
350 (RV)
± 5.2%
48%
42%
5%
5%
Trafalgar Group (R)
August 6–8, 2024
1,087 (LV)
± 2.9%
45%
48%
3%
4%
InsiderAdvantage (R)
InsiderAdvantage (R)
Poll source
InsiderAdvantage (R)
Date(s)administered
July 15–16, 2024
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
JoeBidenDemocratic
42%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
9%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
July 15–16, 2024
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
41%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Other /Undecided
13%
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Poll source
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Date(s)administered
July 5–12, 2024
Samplesize
761 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
45%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
50%
Other /Undecided
5%
Echelon Insights
Echelon Insights
Poll source
Echelon Insights
Date(s)administered
July 1–8, 2024
Samplesize
402 (LV)
Marginof error
± 6.6%
JoeBidenDemocratic
41%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
50%
Other /Undecided
9%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
July 1–5, 2024
Samplesize
452 (RV)
Marginof error
± 5.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
43%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
9%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
June 30 – July 2, 2024
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
41%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
12%
National Public Affairs
National Public Affairs
Poll source
National Public Affairs
Date(s)administered
June 28 – July 1, 2024
Samplesize
817 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.4%
JoeBidenDemocratic
39%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
12%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
June 13–18, 2024
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
43%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Other /Undecided
11%
50%
50%
Poll source
50%
Date(s)administered
50%
Samplesize
–
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
Poll source
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
Date(s)administered
June 12–18, 2024
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
45%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
7%
Fox News
Fox News
Poll source
Fox News
Date(s)administered
June 1–4, 2024
Samplesize
1,069 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
45%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
50%
Other /Undecided
5%
The Tyson Group
The Tyson Group
Poll source
The Tyson Group
Date(s)administered
May 22–25, 2024
Samplesize
601 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
44%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
9%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University
Poll source
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University
Date(s)administered
May 19–21, 2024
Samplesize
522 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.3%
JoeBidenDemocratic
42%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
50%
Other /Undecided
8%
494 (LV)
494 (LV)
Poll source
494 (LV)
Date(s)administered
43%
Samplesize
51%
Marginof error
6%
Prime Group
Prime Group
Poll source
Prime Group
Date(s)administered
May 9–16, 2024
Samplesize
468 (RV)
Marginof error
–
JoeBidenDemocratic
50%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
50%
Other /Undecided
–
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
May 7–13, 2024
Samplesize
459 (RV)
Marginof error
± 5.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
6%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
Poll source
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
Date(s)administered
May 6–13, 2024
Samplesize
402 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.9%
JoeBidenDemocratic
40%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
11%
The New York Times/Siena College
The New York Times/Siena College
Poll source
The New York Times/Siena College
Date(s)administered
April 28 – May 9, 2024
Samplesize
614 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
38%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
50%
Other /Undecided
12%
614 (LV)
614 (LV)
Poll source
614 (LV)
Date(s)administered
38%
Samplesize
51%
Marginof error
11%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
April 25–29, 2024
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
44%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
Other /Undecided
11%
49%
49%
Poll source
49%
Date(s)administered
51%
Samplesize
–
John Zogby Strategies
John Zogby Strategies
Poll source
John Zogby Strategies
Date(s)administered
April 13–21, 2024
Samplesize
517 (LV)
Marginof error
–
JoeBidenDemocratic
44%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
50%
Other /Undecided
6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
April 8–15, 2024
Samplesize
450 (RV)
Marginof error
± 5.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
43%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
51%
Other /Undecided
6%
The Wall Street Journal
The Wall Street Journal
Poll source
The Wall Street Journal
Date(s)administered
March 17–24, 2024
Samplesize
600 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
44%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
8%
Echelon Insights
Echelon Insights
Poll source
Echelon Insights
Date(s)administered
March 12–19, 2024
Samplesize
400 (LV)
Marginof error
± 5.8%
JoeBidenDemocratic
44%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
51%
Other /Undecided
5%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
March 12–15, 2024
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
41%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
Other /Undecided
15%
49%
49%
Poll source
49%
Date(s)administered
51%
Samplesize
–
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
March 8–15, 2024
Samplesize
447 (RV)
Marginof error
± 5.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
44%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Other /Undecided
10%
Noble Predictive Insights
Noble Predictive Insights
Poll source
Noble Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
February 27 – March 5, 2024
Samplesize
829 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.4%
JoeBidenDemocratic
40%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
Other /Undecided
15%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
February 12–20, 2024
Samplesize
445 (RV)
Marginof error
± 5.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
42%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
10%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
February 16–19, 2024
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
40%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Other /Undecided
14%
Focaldata
Focaldata
Poll source
Focaldata
Date(s)administered
January 17–23, 2024
Samplesize
704 (A)
Marginof error
–
JoeBidenDemocratic
40%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
Other /Undecided
17%
– (LV)
– (LV)
Poll source
– (LV)
Date(s)administered
42%
Samplesize
44%
Marginof error
14%
– (LV)
– (LV)
Poll source
– (LV)
Date(s)administered
49%
Samplesize
51%
Marginof error
–
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
January 16–21, 2024
Samplesize
457 (RV)
Marginof error
± 5.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
40%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
12%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
January 5–8, 2024
Samplesize
1,294 (RV)
Marginof error
± 2.6%
JoeBidenDemocratic
45%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
8%
Change Research (D)/Future Majority (D)
Change Research (D)/Future Majority (D)
Poll source
Change Research (D)/Future Majority (D)
Date(s)administered
December 3–7, 2023
Samplesize
(RVs)
Marginof error
–
JoeBidenDemocratic
40%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
Other /Undecided
14%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
November 27 – December 6, 2023
Samplesize
451 (RV)
Marginof error
± 5.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
44%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
9%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
October 30 – November 7, 2023
Samplesize
437 (RV)
Marginof error
± 5.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
43%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Other /Undecided
11%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
October 30 – November 4, 2023
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
39%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Other /Undecided
14%
The New York Times/Siena College
The New York Times/Siena College
Poll source
The New York Times/Siena College
Date(s)administered
October 22 – November 3, 2023
Samplesize
611 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
JoeBidenDemocratic
41%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
52%
Other /Undecided
7%
611 (LV)
611 (LV)
Poll source
611 (LV)
Date(s)administered
41%
Samplesize
52%
Marginof error
7%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
October 5–10, 2023
Samplesize
503 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
Other /Undecided
11%
CNN
CNN
Poll source
CNN
Date(s)administered
September 29 – October 3, 2023
Samplesize
1,251 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.6%
JoeBidenDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
Other /Undecided
9%
Vote TXT
Vote TXT
Poll source
Vote TXT
Date(s)administered
May 15–19, 2023
Samplesize
412 (RV)
Marginof error
–
JoeBidenDemocratic
41%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
11%
Prime Group
Prime Group
Poll source
Prime Group
Date(s)administered
June 14–28, 2023
Samplesize
500 (RV)
Marginof error
–
JoeBidenDemocratic
51%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
–
39%
39%
Poll source
39%
Date(s)administered
39%
Samplesize
22%
Noble Predictive Insights
Noble Predictive Insights
Poll source
Noble Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
April 18–26, 2023
Samplesize
613 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
40%
Other /Undecided
12%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Poll source
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Date(s)administered
April 17–20, 2023
Samplesize
500 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
JoeBidenDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
Other /Undecided
9%
OH Predictive Insights
OH Predictive Insights
Poll source
OH Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
January 30 – February 6, 2023
Samplesize
800 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
JoeBidenDemocratic
40%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
42%
Other /Undecided
18%
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Poll source
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Date(s)administered
November 8–9, 2022
Samplesize
679 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
41%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
Other /Undecided
14%
Susquehanna Polling & Research
Susquehanna Polling & Research
Poll source
Susquehanna Polling & Research
Date(s)administered
October 24–27, 2022
Samplesize
500 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.3%
JoeBidenDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
5%
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Poll source
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Date(s)administered
October 13–17, 2022
Samplesize
707 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
37%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
14%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
September 8–10, 2022
Samplesize
1,000 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
40%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
Other /Undecided
17%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
July 7–10, 2022
Samplesize
2,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 2.1%
JoeBidenDemocratic
40%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
Other /Undecided
17%
Blueprint Polling (D)
Blueprint Polling (D)
Poll source
Blueprint Polling (D)
Date(s)administered
March 21–24, 2022
Samplesize
671 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.8%
JoeBidenDemocratic
34%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
Other /Undecided
22%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Other /Undecided
July 21, 2024
Joe Biden announces his withdrawal; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
InsiderAdvantage (R)
July 15–16, 2024
800 (LV)
± 3.5%
42%
49%
9%
Emerson College
July 15–16, 2024
1,000 (RV)
± 3.0%
41%
46%
13%
Rasmussen Reports (R)
July 5–12, 2024
761 (LV)
± 3.0%
45%
50%
5%
Echelon Insights
July 1–8, 2024
402 (LV)
± 6.6%
41%
50%
9%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
July 1–5, 2024
452 (RV)
± 5.0%
43%
48%
9%
Emerson College
June 30 – July 2, 2024
1,000 (RV)
± 3.0%
41%
47%
12%
National Public Affairs
June 28 – July 1, 2024
817 (LV)
± 3.4%
39%
49%
12%
Emerson College
June 13–18, 2024
1,000 (RV)
± 3.0%
43%
46%
11%
50%
50%
–
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
June 12–18, 2024
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
45%
48%
7%
Fox News
June 1–4, 2024
1,069 (RV)
± 3.0%
45%
50%
5%
The Tyson Group
May 22–25, 2024
601 (LV)
± 4.0%
44%
47%
9%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University
May 19–21, 2024
522 (RV)
± 4.3%
42%
50%
8%
494 (LV)
43%
51%
6%
Prime Group
May 9–16, 2024
468 (RV)
–
50%
50%
–
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
May 7–13, 2024
459 (RV)
± 5.0%
47%
47%
6%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
May 6–13, 2024
402 (LV)
± 4.9%
40%
49%
11%
The New York Times/Siena College
April 28 – May 9, 2024
614 (RV)
± 4.0%
38%
50%
12%
614 (LV)
38%
51%
11%
Emerson College
April 25–29, 2024
1,000 (RV)
± 3.0%
44%
45%
11%
49%
51%
–
John Zogby Strategies
April 13–21, 2024
517 (LV)
–
44%
50%
6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
April 8–15, 2024
450 (RV)
± 5.0%
43%
51%
6%
The Wall Street Journal
March 17–24, 2024
600 (RV)
± 4.0%
44%
48%
8%
Echelon Insights
March 12–19, 2024
400 (LV)
± 5.8%
44%
51%
5%
Emerson College
March 12–15, 2024
1,000 (RV)
± 3.0%
41%
44%
15%
49%
51%
–
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
March 8–15, 2024
447 (RV)
± 5.0%
44%
46%
10%
Noble Predictive Insights
February 27 – March 5, 2024
829 (RV)
± 3.4%
40%
45%
15%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
February 12–20, 2024
445 (RV)
± 5.0%
42%
48%
10%
Emerson College
February 16–19, 2024
1,000 (RV)
± 3.0%
40%
46%
14%
Focaldata
January 17–23, 2024
704 (A)
–
40%
43%
17%
– (LV)
42%
44%
14%
– (LV)
49%
51%
–
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
January 16–21, 2024
457 (RV)
± 5.0%
40%
48%
12%
Emerson College
January 5–8, 2024
1,294 (RV)
± 2.6%
45%
47%
8%
Change Research (D)/Future Majority (D)
December 3–7, 2023
(RVs)
–
40%
44%
14%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
November 27 – December 6, 2023
451 (RV)
± 5.0%
44%
47%
9%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
October 30 – November 7, 2023
437 (RV)
± 5.0%
43%
46%
11%
Emerson College
October 30 – November 4, 2023
1,000 (RV)
± 3.0%
39%
46%
14%
The New York Times/Siena College
October 22 – November 3, 2023
611 (RV)
± 4.4%
41%
52%
7%
611 (LV)
41%
52%
7%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
October 5–10, 2023
503 (RV)
± 4.0%
46%
43%
11%
CNN
September 29 – October 3, 2023
1,251 (RV)
± 4.6%
46%
45%
9%
Vote TXT
May 15–19, 2023
412 (RV)
–
41%
48%
11%
Prime Group
June 14–28, 2023
500 (RV)
–
51%
49%
–
39%
39%
22%
Noble Predictive Insights
April 18–26, 2023
613 (RV)
± 4.0%
48%
40%
12%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
July 16–18, 2024
Samplesize
412 (LV)
Marginof error
–
JoeBidenDemocratic
41%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
7%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
1%
Other /Undecided
7%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
July 15–16, 2024
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
40%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
7%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
1%
Other /Undecided
8%
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Poll source
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Date(s)administered
July 5–12, 2024
Samplesize
761 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
39%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
8%
CornelWestIndependent
2%
JillSteinGreen
1%
Other /Undecided
3%
YouGov
YouGov
Poll source
YouGov
Date(s)administered
July 4–12, 2024
Samplesize
800 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.7%
JoeBidenDemocratic
42%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
3%
CornelWestIndependent
0%
JillSteinGreen
1%
Other /Undecided
8%
Echelon Insights
Echelon Insights
Poll source
Echelon Insights
Date(s)administered
July 1–8, 2024
Samplesize
402 (LV)
Marginof error
± 6.6%
JoeBidenDemocratic
35%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
9%
CornelWestIndependent
2%
JillSteinGreen
2%
Other /Undecided
7%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
July 1–5, 2024
Samplesize
452 (RV)
Marginof error
± 5.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
39%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
6%
CornelWestIndependent
2%
JillSteinGreen
0%
Other /Undecided
8%
National Public Affairs
National Public Affairs
Poll source
National Public Affairs
Date(s)administered
June 28 – July 1, 2024
Samplesize
817 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.4%
JoeBidenDemocratic
33%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
42%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
12%
CornelWestIndependent
3%
JillSteinGreen
2%
Other /Undecided
8%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
June 13–18, 2024
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
39%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
42%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
7%
CornelWestIndependent
2%
JillSteinGreen
2%
Other /Undecided
8%
Fox News
Fox News
Poll source
Fox News
Date(s)administered
June 1–4, 2024
Samplesize
1,069 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
40%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
7%
CornelWestIndependent
2%
JillSteinGreen
2%
Other /Undecided
4%
The Tyson Group
The Tyson Group
Poll source
The Tyson Group
Date(s)administered
May 22–25, 2024
Samplesize
601 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
37%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
40%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
9%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
2%
Other /Undecided
11%
Prime Group
Prime Group
Poll source
Prime Group
Date(s)administered
May 9–16, 2024
Samplesize
468 (RV)
Marginof error
–
JoeBidenDemocratic
43%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
10%
CornelWestIndependent
3%
JillSteinGreen
0%
Other /Undecided
–
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
May 7–13, 2024
Samplesize
459 (RV)
Marginof error
± 5.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
39%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
7%
CornelWestIndependent
2%
JillSteinGreen
1%
Other /Undecided
7%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
Poll source
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
Date(s)administered
May 6–13, 2024
Samplesize
402 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.9%
JoeBidenDemocratic
35%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
10%
CornelWestIndependent
2%
JillSteinGreen
3%
Other /Undecided
7%
The New York Times/Siena College
The New York Times/Siena College
Poll source
The New York Times/Siena College
Date(s)administered
April 28 – May 9, 2024
Samplesize
614 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
27%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
41%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
12%
CornelWestIndependent
0%
JillSteinGreen
2%
Other /Undecided
18%
614 (LV)
614 (LV)
Poll source
614 (LV)
Date(s)administered
30%
Samplesize
44%
Marginof error
11%
JoeBidenDemocratic
0%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
1%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
14%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
April 25–29, 2024
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
37%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
42%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
8%
CornelWestIndependent
2%
JillSteinGreen
1%
Other /Undecided
11%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
April 8–15, 2024
Samplesize
450 (RV)
Marginof error
± 5.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
34%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
7%
CornelWestIndependent
2%
JillSteinGreen
3%
Other /Undecided
6%
The Wall Street Journal
The Wall Street Journal
Poll source
The Wall Street Journal
Date(s)administered
March 17–24, 2024
Samplesize
600 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
33%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
37%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
15%
CornelWestIndependent
2%
JillSteinGreen
2%
Other /Undecided
11%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
March 12–15, 2024
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
36%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
41%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
9%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
2%
Other /Undecided
11%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
March 8–15, 2024
Samplesize
447 (RV)
Marginof error
± 5.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
36%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
42%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
11%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
1%
Other /Undecided
11%
Noble Predictive Insights
Noble Predictive Insights
Poll source
Noble Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
February 27 – March 5, 2024
Samplesize
829 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.4%
JoeBidenDemocratic
33%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
40%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
11%
CornelWestIndependent
4%
JillSteinGreen
2%
Other /Undecided
10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
February 12–20, 2024
Samplesize
445 (RV)
Marginof error
± 5.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
37%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
9%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
0%
Other /Undecided
9%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
February 16–19, 2024
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
34%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
6%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
1%
Other /Undecided
14%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
January 16–21, 2024
Samplesize
457 (RV)
Marginof error
± 5.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
31%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
12%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
2%
Other /Undecided
11%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
January 5–8, 2024
Samplesize
1,294 (RV)
Marginof error
± 2.6%
JoeBidenDemocratic
39%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
42%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
5%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
1%
Other /Undecided
12%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
November 27 – December 6, 2023
Samplesize
451 (RV)
Marginof error
± 5.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
37%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
42%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
11%
CornelWestIndependent
2%
JillSteinGreen
1%
Other /Undecided
7%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
Other /Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
July 16–18, 2024
412 (LV)
–
41%
44%
7%
–
1%
7%
Emerson College
July 15–16, 2024
1,000 (RV)
± 3.0%
40%
43%
7%
1%
1%
8%
Rasmussen Reports (R)
July 5–12, 2024
761 (LV)
± 3.0%
39%
47%
8%
2%
1%
3%
YouGov
July 4–12, 2024
800 (RV)
± 4.7%
42%
46%
3%
0%
1%
8%
Echelon Insights
July 1–8, 2024
402 (LV)
± 6.6%
35%
45%
9%
2%
2%
7%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
July 1–5, 2024
452 (RV)
± 5.0%
39%
45%
6%
2%
0%
8%
National Public Affairs
June 28 – July 1, 2024
817 (LV)
± 3.4%
33%
42%
12%
3%
2%
8%
Emerson College
June 13–18, 2024
1,000 (RV)
± 3.0%
39%
42%
7%
2%
2%
8%
Fox News
June 1–4, 2024
1,069 (RV)
± 3.0%
40%
45%
7%
2%
2%
4%
The Tyson Group
May 22–25, 2024
601 (LV)
± 4.0%
37%
40%
9%
1%
2%
11%
Prime Group
May 9–16, 2024
468 (RV)
–
43%
44%
10%
3%
0%
–
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
May 7–13, 2024
459 (RV)
± 5.0%
39%
44%
7%
2%
1%
7%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
May 6–13, 2024
402 (LV)
± 4.9%
35%
43%
10%
2%
3%
7%
The New York Times/Siena College
April 28 – May 9, 2024
614 (RV)
± 4.0%
27%
41%
12%
0%
2%
18%
614 (LV)
30%
44%
11%
0%
1%
14%
Emerson College
April 25–29, 2024
1,000 (RV)
± 3.0%
37%
42%
8%
2%
1%
11%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
April 8–15, 2024
450 (RV)
± 5.0%
34%
48%
7%
2%
3%
6%
The Wall Street Journal
March 17–24, 2024
600 (RV)
± 4.0%
33%
37%
15%
2%
2%
11%
Emerson College
March 12–15, 2024
1,000 (RV)
± 3.0%
36%
41%
9%
1%
2%
11%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
March 8–15, 2024
447 (RV)
± 5.0%
36%
42%
11%
1%
1%
11%
Noble Predictive Insights
February 27 – March 5, 2024
829 (RV)
± 3.4%
33%
40%
11%
4%
2%
10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
February 12–20, 2024
445 (RV)
± 5.0%
37%
44%
9%
1%
0%
9%
Emerson College
February 16–19, 2024
1,000 (RV)
± 3.0%
34%
44%
6%
1%
1%
14%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
January 16–21, 2024
457 (RV)
± 5.0%
31%
43%
12%
1%
2%
11%
Emerson College
January 5–8, 2024
1,294 (RV)
± 2.6%
39%
42%
5%
1%
1%
12%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
November 27 – December 6, 2023
451 (RV)
± 5.0%
37%
42%
11%
2%
1%
7%
P2 Insights
P2 Insights
Poll source
P2 Insights
Date(s)administered
June 11–20, 2024
Samplesize
650 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.8%
JoeBidenDemocratic
37%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
40%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
8%
Other /Undecided
15%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
Poll source
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
Date(s)administered
June 12–18, 2024
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
37%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
10%
Other /Undecided
9%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University
Poll source
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University
Date(s)administered
May 19–21, 2024
Samplesize
522 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.3%
JoeBidenDemocratic
40%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
9%
Other /Undecided
7%
494 (LV)
494 (LV)
Poll source
494 (LV)
Date(s)administered
40%
Samplesize
46%
Marginof error
8%
JoeBidenDemocratic
6%
Iron Light Intelligence
Iron Light Intelligence
Poll source
Iron Light Intelligence
Date(s)administered
May 17–21, 2024
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
34%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
37%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
15%
Other /Undecided
14%
P2 Insights
P2 Insights
Poll source
P2 Insights
Date(s)administered
May 13−21, 2024
Samplesize
650 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.8%
JoeBidenDemocratic
40%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
41%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
9%
Other /Undecided
10%
The New York Times/Siena College
The New York Times/Siena College
Poll source
The New York Times/Siena College
Date(s)administered
October 22 – November 3, 2023
Samplesize
611 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
JoeBidenDemocratic
31%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
38%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
23%
Other /Undecided
8%
611 (LV)
611 (LV)
Poll source
611 (LV)
Date(s)administered
34%
Samplesize
40%
Marginof error
19%
JoeBidenDemocratic
7%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
Other /Undecided
P2 Insights
June 11–20, 2024
650 (LV)
± 3.8%
37%
40%
8%
15%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
June 12–18, 2024
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
37%
44%
10%
9%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University
May 19–21, 2024
522 (RV)
± 4.3%
40%
44%
9%
7%
494 (LV)
40%
46%
8%
6%
Iron Light Intelligence
May 17–21, 2024
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
34%
37%
15%
14%
P2 Insights
May 13−21, 2024
650 (LV)
± 3.8%
40%
41%
9%
10%
The New York Times/Siena College
October 22 – November 3, 2023
611 (RV)
± 4.4%
31%
38%
23%
8%
611 (LV)
34%
40%
19%
7%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
October 30 – November 7, 2023
Samplesize
437 (RV)
Marginof error
± 5.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
35%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
39%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
11%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
Other /Undecided
14%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
CornelWestIndependent
Other /Undecided
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
October 30 – November 7, 2023
437 (RV)
± 5.0%
35%
39%
11%
1%
14%
John Zogby Strategies
John Zogby Strategies
Poll source
John Zogby Strategies
Date(s)administered
April 13–21, 2024
Samplesize
517 (LV)
Marginof error
–
JoeBidenDemocratic
39%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
51%
Other /Undecided
10%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
Other /Undecided
John Zogby Strategies
April 13–21, 2024
517 (LV)
–
39%
51%
10%
John Zogby Strategies
John Zogby Strategies
Poll source
John Zogby Strategies
Date(s)administered
April 13–21, 2024
Samplesize
517 (LV)
Marginof error
–
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
40%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Other /Undecided
14%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Other /Undecided
John Zogby Strategies
April 13–21, 2024
517 (LV)
–
40%
46%
14%
The New York Times/Siena College
The New York Times/Siena College
Poll source
The New York Times/Siena College
Date(s)administered
October 22 – November 3, 2023
Samplesize
611 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
JoeBidenDemocratic
38%
NikkiHaleyRepublican
44%
Other /Undecided
18%
611 (LV)
611 (LV)
Poll source
611 (LV)
Date(s)administered
37%
Samplesize
46%
Marginof error
17%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
NikkiHaleyRepublican
Other /Undecided
The New York Times/Siena College
October 22 – November 3, 2023
611 (RV)
± 4.4%
38%
44%
18%
611 (LV)
37%
46%
17%
The New York Times/Siena College
The New York Times/Siena College
Poll source
The New York Times/Siena College
Date(s)administered
October 22 – November 3, 2023
Samplesize
611 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
JoeBidenDemocratic
42%
RonDeSantisRepublican
43%
Other /Undecided
15%
611 (LV)
611 (LV)
Poll source
611 (LV)
Date(s)administered
41%
Samplesize
45%
Marginof error
14%
Vote TXT
Vote TXT
Poll source
Vote TXT
Date(s)administered
May 15–19, 2023
Samplesize
412 (RV)
Marginof error
–
JoeBidenDemocratic
36%
RonDeSantisRepublican
46%
Other /Undecided
17%
Noble Predictive Insights
Noble Predictive Insights
Poll source
Noble Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
April 18–26, 2023
Samplesize
613 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
43%
RonDeSantisRepublican
42%
Other /Undecided
15%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Poll source
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Date(s)administered
April 17–20, 2023
Samplesize
500 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
JoeBidenDemocratic
41%
RonDeSantisRepublican
44%
Other /Undecided
10%
OH Predictive Insights
OH Predictive Insights
Poll source
OH Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
January 30 – February 6, 2023
Samplesize
800 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
JoeBidenDemocratic
36%
RonDeSantisRepublican
42%
Other /Undecided
22%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
July 7–10, 2022
Samplesize
2,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 2.1%
JoeBidenDemocratic
38%
RonDeSantisRepublican
43%
Other /Undecided
19%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
RonDeSantisRepublican
Other /Undecided
The New York Times/Siena College
October 22 – November 3, 2023
611 (RV)
± 4.4%
42%
43%
15%
611 (LV)
41%
45%
14%
Vote TXT
May 15–19, 2023
412 (RV)
–
36%
46%
17%
Noble Predictive Insights
April 18–26, 2023
613 (RV)
± 4.0%
43%
42%
15%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
April 17–20, 2023
500 (RV)
± 4.4%
41%
44%
10%
OH Predictive Insights
January 30 – February 6, 2023
800 (RV)
± 3.5%
36%
42%
22%
Emerson College
July 7–10, 2022
2,000 (RV)
± 2.1%
38%
43%
19%
Susquehanna Polling & Research
Susquehanna Polling & Research
Poll source
Susquehanna Polling & Research
Date(s)administered
October 24–27, 2022
Samplesize
500 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.3%
GavinNewsomDemocratic
42%
RonDeSantisRepublican
46%
Other /Undecided
12%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
GavinNewsomDemocratic
RonDeSantisRepublican
Other /Undecided
Susquehanna Polling & Research
October 24–27, 2022
500 (LV)
± 4.3%
42%
46%
12%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
February 16–19, 2024
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
GavinNewsomDemocratic
32%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
19%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
GavinNewsomDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Other /Undecided
Emerson College
February 16–19, 2024
1,000 (RV)
± 3.0%
32%
49%
19%
2024 United States presidential election in Nevada[156] · General election › Results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
1,484,840
Candidate
100.00%
Votes
N/A
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
mw- ±%
Republican
mw- Donald TrumpJD Vance
751,205
50.59%
2.92%
Democratic
Kamala HarrisTim Walz
705,197
47.49%
2.57%
None of These Candidates
19,625
1.32%
0.32%
Libertarian
Chase OliverMike ter Maat
6,059
0.41%
0.64%
Independent American
Joel SkousenRik Combs
2,754
0.19%
0.03%
Total votes
1,484,840
100.00%
N/A
· General election › Results › By county
#
#
County
#
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
#
Donald TrumpRepublican
%
Donald TrumpRepublican
#
Various candidatesOther parties
%
Various candidatesOther parties
#
Margin
%
Carson City
Carson City
County
Carson City
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
13,375
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
43.05%
Donald TrumpRepublican
16,873
Donald TrumpRepublican
54.31%
Various candidatesOther parties
820
Various candidatesOther parties
2.64%
Margin
3,498
Margin
11.26%
Total
31,068
Churchill
Churchill
County
Churchill
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
3,179
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
23.54%
Donald TrumpRepublican
9,962
Donald TrumpRepublican
73.78%
Various candidatesOther parties
362
Various candidatesOther parties
2.68%
Margin
6,783
Margin
50.23%
Total
13,503
Clark
Clark
County
Clark
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
520,187
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
50.44%
Donald TrumpRepublican
493,052
Donald TrumpRepublican
47.81%
Various candidatesOther parties
17,984
Various candidatesOther parties
1.74%
Margin
-27,135
Margin
-2.63%
Total
1,031,223
Douglas
Douglas
County
Douglas
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
11,553
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
32.49%
Donald TrumpRepublican
23,237
Donald TrumpRepublican
65.35%
Various candidatesOther parties
766
Various candidatesOther parties
2.15%
Margin
11,684
Margin
32.86%
Total
35,556
Elko
Elko
County
Elko
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
4,632
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
20.62%
Donald TrumpRepublican
17,352
Donald TrumpRepublican
77.24%
Various candidatesOther parties
481
Various candidatesOther parties
2.14%
Margin
12,720
Margin
56.62%
Total
22,465
Esmeralda
Esmeralda
County
Esmeralda
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
73
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
15.84%
Donald TrumpRepublican
376
Donald TrumpRepublican
81.56%
Various candidatesOther parties
12
Various candidatesOther parties
2.60%
Margin
303
Margin
65.73%
Total
461
Eureka
Eureka
County
Eureka
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
104
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
10.04%
Donald TrumpRepublican
910
Donald TrumpRepublican
87.84%
Various candidatesOther parties
22
Various candidatesOther parties
2.12%
Margin
806
Margin
77.80%
Total
1,036
Humboldt
Humboldt
County
Humboldt
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
1,711
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
21.31%
Donald TrumpRepublican
6,141
Donald TrumpRepublican
76.48%
Various candidatesOther parties
178
Various candidatesOther parties
2.22%
Margin
4,430
Margin
55.17%
Total
8,030
Lander
Lander
County
Lander
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
482
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
17.69%
Donald TrumpRepublican
2,180
Donald TrumpRepublican
80.00%
Various candidatesOther parties
63
Various candidatesOther parties
2.31%
Margin
1,698
Margin
62.31%
Total
2,725
Lincoln
Lincoln
County
Lincoln
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
314
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
12.70%
Donald TrumpRepublican
2,108
Donald TrumpRepublican
85.28%
Various candidatesOther parties
50
Various candidatesOther parties
2.02%
Margin
1,794
Margin
72.57%
Total
2,472
Lyon
Lyon
County
Lyon
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
8,954
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
26.70%
Donald TrumpRepublican
23,861
Donald TrumpRepublican
71.14%
Various candidatesOther parties
726
Various candidatesOther parties
2.16%
Margin
14,907
Margin
44.44%
Total
33,541
Mineral
Mineral
County
Mineral
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
711
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
30.98%
Donald TrumpRepublican
1,528
Donald TrumpRepublican
66.58%
Various candidatesOther parties
56
Various candidatesOther parties
2.44%
Margin
817
Margin
35.60%
Total
2,295
Nye
Nye
County
Nye
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
7,559
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
28.00%
Donald TrumpRepublican
18,946
Donald TrumpRepublican
70.18%
Various candidatesOther parties
492
Various candidatesOther parties
1.82%
Margin
11,387
Margin
42.18%
Total
26,997
Pershing
Pershing
County
Pershing
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
496
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
21.49%
Donald TrumpRepublican
1,764
Donald TrumpRepublican
76.43%
Various candidatesOther parties
48
Various candidatesOther parties
2.08%
Margin
1,268
Margin
54.94%
Total
2,308
Storey
Storey
County
Storey
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
913
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
29.69%
Donald TrumpRepublican
2,108
Donald TrumpRepublican
68.55%
Various candidatesOther parties
54
Various candidatesOther parties
1.76%
Margin
1,195
Margin
38.86%
Total
3,075
Washoe
Washoe
County
Washoe
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
130,071
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
49.32%
Donald TrumpRepublican
127,443
Donald TrumpRepublican
48.32%
Various candidatesOther parties
6,220
Various candidatesOther parties
2.36%
Margin
-2,628
Margin
-1.00%
Total
263,734
White Pine
White Pine
County
White Pine
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
883
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
20.29%
Donald TrumpRepublican
3,364
Donald TrumpRepublican
77.32%
Various candidatesOther parties
104
Various candidatesOther parties
2.39%
Margin
2,481
Margin
57.02%
Total
4,351
Totals
Totals
County
Totals
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
705,197
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
47.49%
Donald TrumpRepublican
751,205
Donald TrumpRepublican
50.59%
Various candidatesOther parties
28,438
Various candidatesOther parties
1.92%
Margin
46,008
Margin
3.10%
Total
1,484,840
County
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
Donald TrumpRepublican
Various candidatesOther parties
Margin
Total
#
%
#
%
#
%
#
%
Carson City
13,375
43.05%
16,873
54.31%
820
2.64%
3,498
11.26%
31,068
Churchill
3,179
23.54%
9,962
73.78%
362
2.68%
6,783
50.23%
13,503
Clark
520,187
50.44%
493,052
47.81%
17,984
1.74%
-27,135
-2.63%
1,031,223
Douglas
11,553
32.49%
23,237
65.35%
766
2.15%
11,684
32.86%
35,556
Elko
4,632
20.62%
17,352
77.24%
481
2.14%
12,720
56.62%
22,465
Esmeralda
73
15.84%
376
81.56%
12
2.60%
303
65.73%
461
Eureka
104
10.04%
910
87.84%
22
2.12%
806
77.80%
1,036
Humboldt
1,711
21.31%
6,141
76.48%
178
2.22%
4,430
55.17%
8,030
Lander
482
17.69%
2,180
80.00%
63
2.31%
1,698
62.31%
2,725
Lincoln
314
12.70%
2,108
85.28%
50
2.02%
1,794
72.57%
2,472
Lyon
8,954
26.70%
23,861
71.14%
726
2.16%
14,907
44.44%
33,541
Mineral
711
30.98%
1,528
66.58%
56
2.44%
817
35.60%
2,295
Nye
7,559
28.00%
18,946
70.18%
492
1.82%
11,387
42.18%
26,997
Pershing
496
21.49%
1,764
76.43%
48
2.08%
1,268
54.94%
2,308
Storey
913
29.69%
2,108
68.55%
54
1.76%
1,195
38.86%
3,075
Washoe
130,071
49.32%
127,443
48.32%
6,220
2.36%
-2,628
-1.00%
263,734
White Pine
883
20.29%
3,364
77.32%
104
2.39%
2,481
57.02%
4,351
Totals
705,197
47.49%
751,205
50.59%
28,438
1.92%
46,008
3.10%
1,484,840
· General election › Results › By congressional district
1st
1st
District
1st
Harris
50.24%
Trump
47.98%
Representative
Dina Titus
2nd
2nd
District
2nd
Harris
41.86%
Trump
55.80%
Representative
Mark Amodei
3rd
3rd
District
3rd
Harris
48.81%
Trump
49.54%
Representative
Susie Lee
4th
4th
District
4th
Harris
50.24%
Trump
47.92%
Representative
Steven Horsford
District
Harris
Trump
Representative
1st
50.24%
47.98%
Dina Titus
2nd
41.86%
55.80%
Mark Amodei
3rd
48.81%
49.54%
Susie Lee
4th
50.24%
47.92%
Steven Horsford

References

  1. If a candidate wins all of Nevada's delegates, the NRP chair is automatically unbound. He pledged his support to Trump.
  2. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  3. Key:A – all adultsRV – registered votersLV – likely votersV – unclear
  4. With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  5. "Blank / null / won't vote" with 1%
  6. "Someone else" & None of these candidates with 1% each
  7. "Other" with 1%
  8. "Someone else" with 2%; None of these candidates with 1%
  9. "Other" with 2%
  10. None of these candidates with 2%
  11. "Other" with 4%
  12. None of these candidates & "Someone else" with 1% each
  13. None of these candidates with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
  14. "Some other candidate" with 1%
  15. "Would not vote" with 2%
  16. "Some other candidate" with 4%
  17. "None of the above" with 4%; "Others" with 1%
  18. "Someone else" with 2%
  19. "Other" with 8%
  20. "Another candidate" with 2%
  21. "Someone else" with 1%
  22. "Someone else" with 1%; None of these candidates with 1%
  23. Not on the ballot.
  24. Joel Skousen (C) with 0%
  25. None of these candidates with 3%
  26. None of these candidates with 1%
  27. "Others" with 2%
  28. Chase Oliver (L) with 0%
  29. "Another candidate" with 10%
  30. "Another candidate" with 7%
  31. No Labels candidate
  32. Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
  33. Lars Mapstead (L) with 2%
  34. Randall Terry was nominated by the national Constitution Party, though the state party nominated Joel Skousen.
  35. Poll sponsored by RealClearWorld
  36. Poll conducted for The Times, Stanford University, Arizona State University, and Yale University
  37. Poll sponsored by American Thinker
  38. Poll commissioned by AARP
  39. Poll sponsored by Trump's campaign
  40. Poll sponsored by the Napolitan Institute
  41. Poll conducted for the Article III Project
  42. Poll sponsored by the Peter G. Peterson Foundation
  43. Poll sponsored by American Greatness
  44. Poll sponsored by TrendingPolitics
  45. Poll sponsored by American Fuel & Petrochemical Manufacturers, a group that supports Republican candidates
  46. Poll conducted for the Democracy Defense Project
  47. Poll sponsored by NumbersUSA
  48. Poll conducted for Competitiveness Coalition
  49. Poll sponsored by the Senate Opportunity Fund
  50. Poll sponsored by Democrats for the Next Generation PAC
  51. Poll sponsored by The Heartland Institute
  52. Poll sponsored by NetChoice
  53. Poll sponsored by Breaking Battlegrounds
  54. Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC, which opposes Trump and third party candidates
  55. Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign
  56. Poll sponsored by The Heritage Foundation
  57. Poll sponsored by BUSR
  58. Poll sponsored by Capitol Resource Institute
  59. Poll sponsored by Breaking Battlegrounds
  60. Poll sponsored by Building America's Future, which supports Republican candidates
  61. Poll commissioned by League of American Workers
  62. Nevada Secretary of State
    https://silverstateelection.nv.gov/vote-turnout/
  63. "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats"
    https://www.npr.org/2021/04/26/983082132/census-to-release-1st-results-that-shift-electoral-college-house-seats
  64. "Nevada Polls"
    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/nevada/
  65. CNN
    https://www.cnn.com/2024/09/17/politics/nevada-hispanic-voters-trump-harris/index.html
  66. The Diplomat
    https://thediplomat.com/2024/12/did-filipino-americans-help-trump-win-nevada
  67. 270toWin.com
    https://www.270towin.com/historical-presidential-elections/
  68. Secretary of State of Nevada
    https://silverstateelection.nv.gov/nvother/index.shtml
  69. "Silver State 2024 Presidential Preference Primary Election Results"
    https://silverstateelection.nv.gov/nvother/index.shtml
  70. The Nevada Current
    https://www.nevadacurrent.com/2024/01/21/nikki-haley-second-to-none/
  71. Nevada Republican Party
    https://nevadagop.org/2024-presidential-caucus/
  72. NPR
    https://www.npr.org/2022/10/23/1130843150/nevadas-changing-election-laws
  73. "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings"
    https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/presidential-race-ratings
  74. "2024 Electoral College ratings"
    https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2024-president/
  75. The Hill
    https://elections2024.thehill.com/predictions/president
  76. "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270"
    https://www.cnn.com/election/2024/electoral-college-map?game-id=2024-PG-CNN-ratings&game-view=map
  77. projects.cnalysis.com
    https://projects.cnalysis.com/23-24/president
  78. The Economist
    https://www.economist.com/interactive/us-2024-election/prediction-model/president
  79. FiveThirtyEight
    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/
  80. "Presidential Ratings"
    https://insideelections.com/ratings/president
  81. "Presidential Election Preview 2024"
    https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-elections/president-electoral-college-battleground-states
  82. 270ToWin
    https://www.270towin.com/2024-presidential-election-polls/nevada
  83. 538
    https://web.archive.org/web/20220604185311/https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/nevada/
  84. Silver Bulletin
    https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model
  85. The Hill/DDHQ
    https://elections2024.thehill.com/nevada/harris-trump-nevada/
  86. HarrisX
    https://elections.harrisx.com/public/BG_STATE_POLLS_NV.html
  87. AtlasIntel
    https://cdn.atlasintel.org/616d82d3-e782-4d6e-b690-9eed1523fe75.pdf
  88. Patriot Polling
    https://patriotpolling.com/our-polls/f/final-2024-presidential-poll
  89. AtlasIntel
    https://cdn.atlasintel.org/f41e83be-de61-4d59-9c46-f5f91cbf00fa.pdf
  90. Emerson College Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/november-2024-final-swing-state-polls-too-close-to-call-election-for-president/
  91. The New York Times
    https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/03/us/politics/harris-trump-times-siena-poll.html
  92. AtlasIntel
    https://cdn.atlasintel.org/ff8a5b86-e293-44f4-8162-166002248f55.pdf
  93. Emerson College Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/october-2024-nevada-poll-harris-48-trump-47/
  94. Noble Predictive Insights
    https://www.noblepredictiveinsights.com/post/nevada-poll-of-record-harris-1-rosen-2
  95. Susquehanna Polling & Research
    https://mcusercontent.com/fadb7f1420fadfe09cc9d0f9c/files/2781c19c-ac72-9bad-afe1-9de841f0908d/Topline_NVStatewide_Track_Oct2024.pdf
  96. YouGov
    https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/Times_SAY24_20241101.pdf
  97. Data for Progress
    https://www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2024/11/1/final-data-for-progress-swing-state-polls
  98. Rasmussen Reports
    https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/partner_surveys/election_2024_trump_leads_in_pennsylvania_nevada_north_carolina
  99. AtlasIntel
    https://cdn.atlasintel.org/12bd169b-6db5-44be-9429-90f44ba0d845.pdf
  100. The Trafalgar Group
    https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/NV-24-General-1029_Report.pdf
  101. Cooperative Election Study
    https://cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/stateprezapp2024/
  102. InsiderAdvantage
    https://insideradvantage.com/insideradvantage-surveys-trump-leads-by-three-points-in-arizona-nevada-is-tied/
  103. Bloomberg
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2024-10-23/new-poll-has-trump-harris-tied-in-key-states-just-12-days-to-election
  104. AtlasIntel
    https://cdn.atlasintel.org/023fa4e7-4d28-4903-b4cd-57241a0f5e08.pdf
  105. AARP
    https://www.aarp.org/content/dam/aarp/research/topics/voter-opinion-research/politics/nevada-older-voter-survey-october-2024.doi.10.26419-2fres.00813.051.pdf
  106. Morning Consult
    https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-election-state-polls
  107. Washington Examiner
    https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/campaigns/presidential/3202596/nevada-trump-harris-contend-protest-vote-2024/
  108. The Washington Post
    https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/10/21/harris-trump-post-schar-school-poll/
  109. Rasmussen Reports
    https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/partner_surveys/election_2024_trump_49_harris_47_in_nevada
  110. The Trafalgar Group
    https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/NV-24-General-1015_Report.pdf
  111. Mediaite
    https://www.mediaite.com/news/trump-releases-internal-poll-showing-himself-ahead-in-every-swing-state-all-but-one-are-within-the-margin-of-error/
  112. Emerson College Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/october-2024-state-polls-mixed-movement-across-swing-states-shows-dead-heat/
  113. The Wall Street Journal
    https://www.wsj.com/politics/elections/trump-harris-swing-state-poll-october-2024-c3ca9414
  114. Napolitan Institute
    https://napolitaninstitute.org/2024/10/08/nevada-harris-49-trump-49/
  115. OnMessage Inc
    https://cdn.sanity.io/files/ifn0l6bs/production/1466ccb9011fe2f2fe272e13261c967325759db3.pdf
  116. InsiderAdvantage
    https://insideradvantage.com/insideradvantage-sunbelt-battleground-surveys-trump-enjoys-slim-lead-in-arizona-nevada-and-north-carolina-georgia-tied/
  117. Peter G. Peterson Foundation
    https://www.pgpf.org/sites/default/files/PGPF-Battleground-Poll-Topline-Results-by-State.pdf
  118. American Greatness
    https://amgreatness.com/2024/09/26/nevada-nearly-tied-kamala-harris-with-a-slight-lead-but-voters-reject-california-model/
  119. Quantus Insights
    https://quantusinsights.org/f/quantus-insights-trump-holds-a-slim-one-point-lead-over-harris
  120. AtlasIntel
    https://cdn.atlasintel.org/9e0da6ea-7e9c-498c-89e3-511bd7344cd0.pdf
  121. Cook Political Report
    https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/survey-research/2024-swing-state-project/swing-state-polling-finds-deadlocked-presidential
  122. Bloomberg
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2024-09-26/harris-holds-thin-lead-over-trump-in-swing-state-poll-election-2024
  123. Rasmussen Reports
    https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/partner_surveys/election_2024_trump_1_in_nevada_harris_3_in_minnesota_6_in_new_mexico
  124. American Fuel & Petrochemical Manufacturers
    https://www.afpm.org/sites/default/files/issue_resources/Sept24_RemingtonStatePollsEVMandate.pdf
  125. The Nevada Independent
    https://thenevadaindependent.com/article/majority-of-nevadans-support-voter-id-harris-gaining-over-trump
  126. Emerson College Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/september-2024-swing-state-polls-trump-and-harris-locked-in-tight-presidential-race/
  127. Noble Predictive Insights
    https://www.noblepredictiveinsights.com/post/presidential-race-tight-in-nevada
  128. The Trafalgar Group
    https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/09/NV-24-General-0913_Report.pdf
  129. Patriot Polling
    https://patriotpolling.com/our-polls/f/trump-and-harris-in-dead-heat
  130. InsiderAdvantage
    https://insideradvantage.com/nevada-trump-leads-by-one-point-rosen-holds-substantial-lead-in-senate-contest/
  131. Emerson Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/august-2024-swing-state-polls-toss-up-presidential-election-in-swing-states/
  132. Bloomberg
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-08-29/election-2024-poll-harris-leads-or-ties-with-trump-in-swing-states
  133. Fox News
    https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-harris-closes-gap-trump-sun-belt-states
  134. Rasmussen Reports
    https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/partner_surveys/toplines_2_nusa_august_2024_nevada
  135. Semafor
    https://www.semafor.com/article/08/18/2024/harris-leads-trump-in-five-of-seven-battlegrounds-poll
  136. The New York Times
    https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/08/17/us/elections/times-siena-poll-nevada-toplines.html
  137. Cook Political Report
    https://www.cookpolitical.com/survey-research/2024-swing-state-project/fight-redefine-2024-race-president
  138. Politico
    https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000191-0bfd-d871-af95-affdc1b80000
  139. Bloomberg
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2024-07-30/kamala-harris-erases-trump-s-swing-state-lead-in-2024-election-poll
  140. InsiderAdvantage
    https://insideradvantage.com/three-more-battleground-polls-trump-leads-in-pa-nv-az-no-post-shooting-bump-but-large-enthusiasm-gap-harris-trails-trump/
  141. Bloomberg
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-05-22/violence-around-2024-election-feared-by-half-of-swing-state-voters-poll
  142. Emerson Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/nevada-2024-poll-trump-46-biden-40/
  143. archive.ph
    https://archive.today/20231106013743/https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/05/us/politics/biden-trump-2024-poll.html
  144. Race to the WH
    https://www.racetothewh.com/president/polls
  145. 270toWin
    https://www.270towin.com/2024-presidential-election-polls/nevada
  146. Focaldata
    https://www.focaldata.com/blog/our-final-report-on-the-us-presidential-election
  147. Redfield & Wilton Strategies
    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/final-us-swing-states-voting-intention-28-31-october/
  148. Redfield & Wilton Strategies
    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-25-27-october-2024/
  149. CNN
    https://www.cnn.com/2024/10/29/politics/cnn-polls-arizona-nevada-trump-harris/index.html
  150. Redfield & Wilton Strategies
    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-20-22-october-2024/
  151. Senate Opportunity Fund
    https://senopportunity.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/2024-10-SOF-Battground-Polling-NV-OH-WI-Deck.pdf
  152. Redfield & Wilton Strategies
    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-16-18-october-2024/
  153. Redfield & Wilton Strategies
    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-12-14-october-2024/
  154. Redfield & Wilton Strategies
    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-27-september-2-october-2024/
  155. Redfield & Wilton Strategies
    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-16-19-september-2024/
  156. Redfield & Wilton Strategies
    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-6-9-september-2024/
  157. YouGov
    https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/Times_SAY24_20240904_state_poll_results_XTElWNX.pdf#page=126
  158. CNN
    https://www.cnn.com/2024/09/04/politics/cnn-polls-battleground-states/index.html
  159. Redfield & Wilton Strategies
    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-25-28-august-2024/
  160. Redfield & Wilton Strategies
    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-12-15-august-2024/
  161. Redfield & Wilton Strategies
    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-31-july-3-august-2024/
  162. Redfield & Wilton Strategies
    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-22-24-july-2024/
  163. Strategies 360
    https://www.strategies360.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/PUBLIC-RELEASE-S360-NV-Battleground-survey-Toplines.pdf
  164. The Trafalgar Group
    https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/NV-24-General-0809_Report.pdf
  165. Emerson Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/july-2024-swing-state-polls/
  166. Rasmussen Reports
    https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/partner_surveys/toplines_2_heartland_battleground_july_2024_all_race_data
  167. NetChoice
    https://netchoice.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/07/NetChoice-July-2024-Biden-Antitrust-Survey-Topline-1.pdf
  168. Bloomberg
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2024-07-06/biden-narrows-trump-s-election-lead-in-key-states-after-debate-poll
  169. The New York Post
    https://nypost.com/2024/07/08/us-news/biden-lags-behind-in-all-of-the-key-battleground-states-by-4-point-average-new-poll/
  170. National Public Affairs
    https://backend.natpublicaffairs.com/media/NPA%20NV%20Statewide%20General%20Election%20Topline%20062024.pdf
  171. Emerson Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/june-2024-state-polls-trump-maintains-edge-over-biden/
  172. AARP
    https://press.aarp.org/06-25-2024-New-AARP-Nevada-Poll-Extremely-Motivated-Voters-Ages-50-plus-Could-Decide-Both-Presidential-and-Senate-Contests
  173. Fox News
    https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-nevadans-trust-trump-over-biden-border-security-22-points
  174. Substack
    https://breakingbattlegrounds.substack.com/p/new-nevada-general-election-survey
  175. FAU Polling
    https://www.faupolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/Mainstreet_NV_May_2024_Public.pdf
  176. FiveThirtyEight
    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20240522_prime_CSOR.pdf
  177. Cook Political Report
    https://www.cookpolitical.com/survey-research/2024-swing-state-project/unique-election-driven-traditional-issue
  178. The New York Times
    https://www.nytimes.com/2024/05/13/us/politics/biden-trump-battleground-poll.html
  179. Emerson Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/trump-holds-edge-over-biden-in-seven-key-swing-state-polls/
  180. Kennedy24
    https://www.kennedy24.com/biden_real_spoiler_kennedy_only_candidate_who_can_beat_trump
  181. Bloomberg
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-24/biden-trails-trump-in-6-of-7-key-states-poll-shows-election-2024
  182. The Wall Street Journal
    https://s.wsj.net/public/resources/documents/WSJ_Swing_States_Partial_March_2024.pdf
  183. The Heritage Foundation
    https://first-heritage-foundation.s3.amazonaws.com/live_files/2024/04/Echelon-Insights-Survey.pdf
  184. Emerson Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/nevada-2024-poll-trump-44-biden-41/
  185. Bloomberg
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-03-26/election-2024-poll-biden-gains-on-trump-in-six-swing-states
  186. Noble Predictive Insights
    https://www.noblepredictiveinsights.com/post/trump-leads-biden-in-nevada-outperforms-down-ballot-republicans
  187. Bloomberg
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-02-29/biden-age-worries-swing-state-voters-trump-seen-as-dangerous-poll-shows
  188. Focaldata
    https://www.focaldata.com/blog/bi-focal-12-how-biden-can-still-beat-trump
  189. Bloomberg
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-01-31/trump-guilty-verdict-loses-half-of-key-state-voters-in-election-2024
  190. Emerson Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/nevada-2024-poll-trump-with-65-point-lead-in-republican-party-held-caucus/
  191. Future Majority
    https://futuremajority.org/wp-content/uploads/FM-NV-PA-NY-CDs-Report.pdf
  192. Bloomberg
    https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2024-us-election-key-state-voter-polling/december-2023-poll/
  193. Bloomberg
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-11-09/trump-leads-biden-with-key-state-voters-on-israel-hamas-war-immigration#xj4y7vzkg
  194. Emerson Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/swing-state-2024-polling-biden-trails-trump-in-arizona-georgia-and-pennsylvania-and-wisconsin-leads-trump-in-michigan/
  195. Bloomberg
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-10-19/trump-leads-biden-in-key-us-states-as-voters-worry-about-economy-poll
  196. CNN
    https://www.cnn.com/2023/10/10/politics/cnn-poll-nevada/index.html
  197. Nevada Newsmakers
    https://nevadanewsmakers.com/survey/
  198. Prime Group
    https://s3.documentcloud.org/documents/23872659/no-labels.pdf
  199. The Nevada Independent
    https://thenevadaindependent.com/article/biden-winning-hypothetical-matchups-against-trump-desantis-in-nevada
  200. The Las Vegas Review-Journal
    https://www.reviewjournal.com/news/politics-and-government/nevada/desantis-leads-trump-in-nevada-gop-poll-says-2767010/
  201. The Nevada Independent
    https://thenevadaindependent.com/article/poll-biden-remains-unpopular-in-nevada-as-2024-campaign-approaches
  202. Rasmussen Reports
    https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/partner_surveys/midterms_2022_consensus_emerges_to_bring_immigration_under_control
  203. BUSR
    https://www.busr.ag/nevada-statewide-poll
  204. Rasmussen Reports
    https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/partner_surveys/toplines_nv_q1_oct_13_17_2022
  205. Emerson College Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/nevada-2022-us-senate--gubernatorial-elections-in-statistical-dead-heat/
  206. Emerson College Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/nevada-2022-senator-cortez-masto-and-governor-sisolak-lead-competitive-general-election-matchups-33-of-voters-approve-of-biden%ef%bf%bc/
  207. Blueprint Polling
    https://web.archive.org/web/20220327051723/https://blueprintpolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/03/BPP-NV-Survey-2.pdf
  208. Redfield & Wilton Strategies
    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-16-18-july-2024/
  209. YouGov
    https://ygo-assets-websites-editorial-emea.yougov.net/documents/Times_SAY24_20240712_state_poll_results.pdf#page=135
  210. Morning Consult
    https://pro-assets.morningconsult.com/wp-uploads/2023/12/231206-Morning-Consult-Bloomberg-2024-Election-Swing-State-Polling.pdf#page=82
  211. The Washington Examiner
    https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/campaigns/presidential/3060935/age-and-economy-top-concerns-of-battleground-state-voters-in-pre-debate-poll/
  212. League of American Workers
    https://archive.today/20240529032157/https://www.amworkers.com/news
  213. Building America's Future
    https://buildingamericasfuture.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/Trumps-Lead-Expands-in-Battlegrounds-as-Voters-View-Biden-as-Too-Old.pdf
  214. The New York Times
    https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/07/us/politics/rfk-jr-trump-biden-poll.html
  215. Morning Consult
    https://pro-assets.morningconsult.com/wp-uploads/2023/11/231105-Morning-Consult-Bloomberg-2024-Election-Survey-All-States-Toplines.pdf#page=153
  216. The New York Times
    https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2023/11/06/us/elections/times-siena-battlegrounds-likely-electorate.html
  217. Secretary of State of Nevada
    https://www.nvsos.gov/SOSelectionPages/results/2024StateWideGeneral/ElectionSummary.aspx
  218. "The Downballot: Nevada 2024 pres-by-CD"
    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1uBwtJTltTdkMpkuIGQmN9D-QSCrf9mvC65FTG0Z6FLQ/edit?gid=425564704#gid=425564704
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