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2024 United States presidential election in Minnesota

Updated: Wikipedia source

2024 United States presidential election in Minnesota

The 2024 United States presidential election in Minnesota took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Minnesota voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Minnesota has 10 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat. Harris selected Minnesota Governor Tim Walz as her running mate. This decision was seen as a strategic effort to bolster support in the Midwest as well as among progressives. Walz's local popularity, progressive stances, and his record of addressing state-level issues were expected to positively influence voter turnout in Minnesota, and potentially secure the state for the Democratic ticket. Harris won the state by 4 points, marking the thirteenth consecutive Democratic presidential win in Minnesota, the longest active such streak of any U . state. Prior to the election, all major news organizations considered Minnesota a state Harris would win, or otherwise a lean to likely blue state. Although Harris won the state, the state still shifted rightward by 3% despite it being Walz's home state. Nearly all counties in the state shifted rightward, with the exceptions of Cook, Lake and Lincoln counties, which recorded minor shifts to the left. This was part of all 50 states and D . shifting rightward in this election, also including Harris’ home state of California. By contrast, Trump improved in his running mate's home state of Ohio and massively improved in his home state of Florida. Republican nominee Donald Trump was able to flip four counties that Joe Biden had won four years prior: Carlton, Blue Earth, Nicollet, and Winona. This was the first election since 1928 in which Carlton County voted Republican.

Infobox

Turnout
76 % ( 3 pp)
Nominee
Kamala Harris
Party
Democratic (DFL)
Home state
California
Running mate
Tim Walz
Electoral vote
10
Popular vote
1,656,979
Percentage
50 %

Tables

Minnesota Republican primary, March 5, 2024 · Primary elections › Republican primary
Bound
Bound
Candidate
Bound
Votes
Unbound
Percentage
Total
Donald Trump
Donald Trump
Candidate
Donald Trump
Votes
232,846
Percentage
68 %
Actual delegate count
27
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
27
Nikki Haley
Nikki Haley
Candidate
Nikki Haley
Votes
97,182
Percentage
28 %
Actual delegate count
12
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
12
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)
Candidate
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)
Votes
4,085
Percentage
1 %
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)
Candidate
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)
Votes
1,470
Percentage
0 %
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Chris Christie (withdrawn)
Chris Christie (withdrawn)
Candidate
Chris Christie (withdrawn)
Votes
1,431
Percentage
0 %
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Write-ins
Write-ins
Candidate
Write-ins
Votes
720
Percentage
0 %
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Total:
Total:
Candidate
Total:
Votes
337,014
Percentage
100 %
Actual delegate count
39
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
39
Candidate
Votes
Percentage
Actual delegate count
Bound
Unbound
Total
Donald Trump
232,846
68 %
27
0
27
Nikki Haley
97,182
28 %
12
0
12
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)
4,085
1 %
0
0
0
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)
1,470
0 %
0
0
0
Chris Christie (withdrawn)
1,431
0 %
0
0
0
Write-ins
720
0 %
0
0
0
Total:
337,014
100 %
39
0
39
2024 Minnesota Democratic primary · Primary elections › Democratic primary
Joe Biden (incumbent)
Joe Biden (incumbent)
Candidate
Joe Biden (incumbent)
Votes
171,278
%
70
Delegates
64
Uncommitted
Uncommitted
Candidate
Uncommitted
Votes
45,914
%
18
Delegates
11
Dean Phillips
Dean Phillips
Candidate
Dean Phillips
Votes
18,960
%
7
Delegates
0
Marianne Williamson
Marianne Williamson
Candidate
Marianne Williamson
Votes
3,459
%
1
Delegates
0
Jason Palmer
Jason Palmer
Candidate
Jason Palmer
Votes
758
%
0
Delegates
0
Cenk Uygur
Cenk Uygur
Candidate
Cenk Uygur
Votes
692
%
0
Delegates
0
Armando Perez-Serrato
Armando Perez-Serrato
Candidate
Armando Perez-Serrato
Votes
372
%
0
Delegates
0
Gabriel Cornejo
Gabriel Cornejo
Candidate
Gabriel Cornejo
Votes
323
%
0
Delegates
0
Frankie Lozada
Frankie Lozada
Candidate
Frankie Lozada
Votes
290
%
0
Delegates
0
Eban Cambridge
Eban Cambridge
Candidate
Eban Cambridge
Votes
235
%
0
Delegates
0
Write-in votes
Write-in votes
Candidate
Write-in votes
Votes
2,000
%
0
Delegates
0
Total
Total
Candidate
Total
Votes
244,281
%
100%
Delegates
75
Candidate
Votes
%
Delegates
Joe Biden (incumbent)
171,278
70
64
Uncommitted
45,914
18
11
Dean Phillips
18,960
7
0
Marianne Williamson
3,459
1
0
Jason Palmer
758
0
0
Cenk Uygur
692
0
0
Armando Perez-Serrato
372
0
0
Gabriel Cornejo
323
0
0
Frankie Lozada
290
0
0
Eban Cambridge
235
0
0
Write-in votes
2,000
0
0
Total
244,281
100%
75
Minnesota Legal Marijuana Now primary, March 5, 2024 · Primary elections › Legal Marijuana Now primary
Krystal Gabel (withdrawn)
Krystal Gabel (withdrawn)
Candidate
Krystal Gabel (withdrawn)
Votes
759
Percentage
28 %
Delegates
Dennis Schuller
Dennis Schuller
Candidate
Dennis Schuller
Votes
459
Percentage
17 %
Delegates
7
Vermin Supreme
Vermin Supreme
Candidate
Vermin Supreme
Votes
397
Percentage
15 %
Delegates
6
Rudy Reyes
Rudy Reyes
Candidate
Rudy Reyes
Votes
365
Percentage
13 %
Delegates
5
Edward Forchion
Edward Forchion
Candidate
Edward Forchion
Votes
168
Percentage
6 %
Delegates
2
Willie Nelson (write-in)
Willie Nelson (write-in)
Candidate
Willie Nelson (write-in)
Votes
19
Percentage
0 %
Delegates
0
Other write-ins
Other write-ins
Candidate
Other write-ins
Votes
465
Percentage
17 %
Delegates
Total:
Total:
Candidate
Total:
Votes
2,632
Percentage
100 %
Delegates
20
Source:
Source:
Candidate
Source:
Candidate
Votes
Percentage
Delegates
Krystal Gabel (withdrawn)
759
28 %
Dennis Schuller
459
17 %
7
Vermin Supreme
397
15 %
6
Rudy Reyes
365
13 %
5
Edward Forchion
168
6 %
2
Willie Nelson (write-in)
19
0 %
0
Other write-ins
465
17 %
Total:
2,632
100 %
20
Source:
· General election › Predictions
Likely D
Likely D
Source
Cook Political Report
Ranking
Likely D
As of
August 27, 2024
Lean D
Lean D
Source
Inside Elections
Ranking
Lean D
As of
April 26, 2023
Likely D
Likely D
Source
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Ranking
Likely D
As of
August 6, 2024
Likely D
Likely D
Source
The Economist
Ranking
Likely D
As of
August 23, 2024
Solid D
Solid D
Source
CNalysis
Ranking
Solid D
As of
August 6, 2024
Lean D
Lean D
Source
CNN
Ranking
Lean D
As of
August 25, 2024
Likely D
Likely D
Source
538
Ranking
Likely D
As of
August 23, 2024
Likely D
Likely D
Source
NBC News
Ranking
Likely D
As of
October 6, 2024
Likely D
Likely D
Source
YouGov
Ranking
Likely D
As of
October 16, 2024
Likely D
Likely D
Source
Split Ticket
Ranking
Likely D
As of
November 1, 2024
Source
Ranking
As of
Cook Political Report
Likely D
August 27, 2024
Inside Elections
Lean D
April 26, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Likely D
August 6, 2024
The Economist
Likely D
August 23, 2024
CNalysis
Solid D
August 6, 2024
CNN
Lean D
August 25, 2024
538
Likely D
August 23, 2024
NBC News
Likely D
October 6, 2024
YouGov
Likely D
October 16, 2024
Split Ticket
Likely D
November 1, 2024
· General election › Polling
270ToWin
270ToWin
Source of poll aggregation
270ToWin
Dates administered
October 16 – November 4, 2024
Dates updated
November 4, 2024
Kamala Harris Democratic
49 %
Donald Trump Republican
43 %
Undecided
6 %
Margin
Harris +6 %
538
538
Source of poll aggregation
538
Dates administered
through November 4, 2024
Dates updated
November 4, 2024
Kamala Harris Democratic
50 %
Donald Trump Republican
44 %
Undecided
5 %
Margin
Harris +5 %
Silver Bulletin
Silver Bulletin
Source of poll aggregation
Silver Bulletin
Dates administered
through November 3, 2024
Dates updated
November 3, 2024
Kamala Harris Democratic
50 %
Donald Trump Republican
43 %
Undecided
5 %
Margin
Harris +6 %
The Hill/DDHQ
The Hill/DDHQ
Source of poll aggregation
The Hill/DDHQ
Dates administered
through November 3, 2024
Dates updated
November 3, 2024
Kamala Harris Democratic
49 %
Donald Trump Republican
45 %
Undecided
4 %
Margin
Harris +4 %
Average
Average
Source of poll aggregation
Average
Dates administered
50 %
Dates updated
44 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
5 %
Donald Trump Republican
Harris +5 %
Source of poll aggregation
Dates administered
Dates updated
Kamala Harris Democratic
Donald Trump Republican
Undecided
Margin
270ToWin
October 16 – November 4, 2024
November 4, 2024
49 %
43 %
6 %
Harris +6 %
538
through November 4, 2024
November 4, 2024
50 %
44 %
5 %
Harris +5 %
Silver Bulletin
through November 3, 2024
November 3, 2024
50 %
43 %
5 %
Harris +6 %
The Hill/DDHQ
through November 3, 2024
November 3, 2024
49 %
45 %
4 %
Harris +4 %
Average
50 %
44 %
5 %
Harris +5 %

References

  1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. Key: A – all adults RV – registered voters LV – likely voters V – unclear
  3. "Other" with 2%
  4. "Other" with 5%
  5. "Another candidate" with 4%
  6. "Other" with 4%
  7. "Other" with 1%
  8. "Someone else" with 2%
  9. With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  10. "Other" with 6%
  11. "Other" with 9%
  12. "Other" with 11%
  13. "Another third party candidate" with 12%; "Would not vote" with 3%
  14. "Another third party candidate" with 13%; "Would not vote" with 1%
  15. "Would not vote" with 3%
  16. "Another third party candidate" with 8%; "Would not vote" with 3%
  17. Placeholder for Butch Ware, Stein's vice presidential nominee.
  18. Poll sponsored by KSTP-TV, WDIO-TV, & KAAL-TV
  19. Poll sponsored by American Thinker
  20. Poll sponsored by KARE11, Minnesota Public Radio & the Star Tribune
Image
Source:
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