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2024 United States presidential election in Michigan

Updated: Wikipedia source

2024 United States presidential election in Michigan

The 2024 United States presidential election in Michigan took place that November 5 as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Michigan voters chose electors for Donald Trump and JD Vance to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Michigan has 15 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state lost a seat. Due to the state's nearly even partisan lean and the close margins by which it was decided in 2016 and 2020, it was considered to be one of the seven crucial swing states in 2024, though many viewed it as the most difficult of the seven for Trump to regain, even harder than Nevada, the only one of seven Trump never won in 2016 and 2020. However, contrary to polling data, Trump flipped Michigan back into the Republican column, defeating Kamala Harris by 1 %. This made the state 0 % to the left of the nation at-large, making it the closest state to the national results. Michigan shares with Pennsylvania and Wisconsin the longest active streak of voting for the winning presidential candidate, having done so in the last five presidential elections. Altogether, the three states have voted for the same candidate in nine consecutive elections, dating to 1992. This was the first election since 2012 where Michigan voted to the left of the nation as a whole. It was also the first election since 1988 that Michigan voted more Republican than neighboring Wisconsin.

Infobox

Turnout
77 % 6 % pp
Nominee
Donald Trump
Party
Republican
Home state
Florida
Running mate
JD Vance
Electoral vote
15
Popular vote
2,816,636
Percentage
49 %

Tables

2024 Michigan Democratic primary · Primary elections › Democratic primary
Joe Biden (incumbent)
Joe Biden (incumbent)
Candidate
Joe Biden (incumbent)
Votes
625,221
%
81
Delegates
115
Uncommitted
Uncommitted
Candidate
Uncommitted
Votes
101,623
%
13
Delegates
2
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn)
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn)
Candidate
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn)
Votes
22,865
%
2
Dean Phillips
Dean Phillips
Candidate
Dean Phillips
Votes
20,684
%
2
Write-in votes
Write-in votes
Candidate
Write-in votes
Votes
178
%
0
Total
Total
Candidate
Total
Votes
770,571
%
100%
Delegates
117
Candidate
Votes
%
Delegates
Joe Biden (incumbent)
625,221
81
115
Uncommitted
101,623
13
2
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn)
22,865
2
Dean Phillips
20,684
2
Write-in votes
178
0
Total
770,571
100%
117
Michigan Republican primary, February 27, 2024 · Primary elections › Republican primary
Bound
Bound
Candidate
Bound
Votes
Unbound
Percentage
Total
Donald Trump
Donald Trump
Candidate
Donald Trump
Votes
761,163
Percentage
68 %
Actual delegate count
12
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
12
Nikki Haley
Nikki Haley
Candidate
Nikki Haley
Votes
297,124
Percentage
26 %
Actual delegate count
4
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
4
Uncommitted
Uncommitted
Candidate
Uncommitted
Votes
33,649
Percentage
3 %
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)
Candidate
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)
Votes
13,456
Percentage
1 %
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Chris Christie (withdrawn)
Chris Christie (withdrawn)
Candidate
Chris Christie (withdrawn)
Votes
4,794
Percentage
0 %
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)
Candidate
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)
Votes
3,702
Percentage
0 %
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Ryan Binkley
Ryan Binkley
Candidate
Ryan Binkley
Votes
2,348
Percentage
0 %
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn)
Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn)
Candidate
Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn)
Votes
1,077
Percentage
0 %
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Total:
Total:
Candidate
Total:
Votes
1,117,313
Percentage
100 %
Actual delegate count
16
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
16
Candidate
Votes
Percentage
Actual delegate count
Bound
Unbound
Total
Donald Trump
761,163
68 %
12
0
12
Nikki Haley
297,124
26 %
4
0
4
Uncommitted
33,649
3 %
0
0
0
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)
13,456
1 %
0
0
0
Chris Christie (withdrawn)
4,794
0 %
0
0
0
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)
3,702
0 %
0
0
0
Ryan Binkley
2,348
0 %
0
0
0
Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn)
1,077
0 %
0
0
0
Total:
1,117,313
100 %
16
0
16
Michigan Republican caucus, March 2, 2024 · Primary elections › Republican primary
Bound
Bound
Candidate
Bound
Votes
Unbound
Percentage
Total
Donald Trump
Donald Trump
Candidate
Donald Trump
Votes
1,575
Percentage
97 %
Actual delegate count
39
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
39
Nikki Haley
Nikki Haley
Candidate
Nikki Haley
Votes
36
Percentage
2 %
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Total:
Total:
Candidate
Total:
Votes
1,611
Percentage
100 %
Actual delegate count
39
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
39
Source:
Source:
Candidate
Source:
Candidate
Votes
Percentage
Actual delegate count
Bound
Unbound
Total
Donald Trump
1,575
97 %
39
0
39
Nikki Haley
36
2 %
0
0
0
Total:
1,611
100 %
39
0
39
Source:
· General election › Predictions
Tossup
Tossup
Source
The Cook Political Report
Ranking
Tossup
As of
November 4, 2024
Lean D
Lean D
Source
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Ranking
Lean D
As of
November 4, 2024
Tossup
Tossup
Source
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill
Ranking
Tossup
As of
November 4, 2024
Tossup
Tossup
Source
CNN
Ranking
Tossup
As of
November 4, 2024
Likely D
Likely D
Source
CNalysis
Ranking
Likely D
As of
November 4, 2024
Lean D
Lean D
Source
The Economist
Ranking
Lean D
As of
November 5, 2024
Lean D
Lean D
Source
538
Ranking
Lean D
As of
November 4, 2024
Tossup
Tossup
Source
Inside Elections
Ranking
Tossup
As of
November 4, 2024
Tossup
Tossup
Source
NBC News
Ranking
Tossup
As of
November 4, 2024
Source
Ranking
As of
The Cook Political Report
Tossup
November 4, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Lean D
November 4, 2024
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill
Tossup
November 4, 2024
CNN
Tossup
November 4, 2024
CNalysis
Likely D
November 4, 2024
The Economist
Lean D
November 5, 2024
538
Lean D
November 4, 2024
Inside Elections
Tossup
November 4, 2024
NBC News
Tossup
November 4, 2024
· General election › Polling
270ToWin
270ToWin
Source of poll aggregation
270ToWin
Dates administered
October 23 – November 4, 2024
Dates updated
November 4, 2024
Kamala Harris Democratic
48 %
Donald Trump Republican
46 %
Other / Undecided
4 %
Margin
Harris +1 %
538
538
Source of poll aggregation
538
Dates administered
through November 4, 2024
Dates updated
November 4, 2024
Kamala Harris Democratic
48 %
Donald Trump Republican
47 %
Other / Undecided
5 %
Margin
Harris +1 %
Silver Bulletin
Silver Bulletin
Source of poll aggregation
Silver Bulletin
Dates administered
through November 4, 2024
Dates updated
November 4, 2024
Kamala Harris Democratic
48 %
Donald Trump Republican
47 %
Other / Undecided
4 %
Margin
Harris +1 %
The Hill/DDHQ
The Hill/DDHQ
Source of poll aggregation
The Hill/DDHQ
Dates administered
through November 4, 2024
Dates updated
November 4, 2024
Kamala Harris Democratic
48 %
Donald Trump Republican
48 %
Other / Undecided
3 %
Margin
Harris +0 %
Average
Average
Source of poll aggregation
Average
Dates administered
48 %
Dates updated
47 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
4 %
Donald Trump Republican
Harris 1 %
Source of poll aggregation
Dates administered
Dates updated
Kamala Harris Democratic
Donald Trump Republican
Other / Undecided
Margin
270ToWin
October 23 – November 4, 2024
November 4, 2024
48 %
46 %
4 %
Harris +1 %
538
through November 4, 2024
November 4, 2024
48 %
47 %
5 %
Harris +1 %
Silver Bulletin
through November 4, 2024
November 4, 2024
48 %
47 %
4 %
Harris +1 %
The Hill/DDHQ
through November 4, 2024
November 4, 2024
48 %
48 %
3 %
Harris +0 %
Average
48 %
47 %
4 %
Harris 1 %

References

  1. Candidate has suspended campaign, but remains on the ballot.
  2. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  3. Key: A – all adults RV – registered voters LV – likely voters V – unclear
  4. With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  5. "Other" with 2%
  6. "Other" with 4%
  7. "Someone else" with 1%
  8. "Another Candidate" with 3%
  9. "Another Candidate" with 2%
  10. Another Party's Candidate with 1%
  11. "Other" with 3%
  12. "A third party / Independent candidate" with 3%
  13. "Some other candidate" with 2%
  14. "Other" with 1%
  15. "Some other candidate" with 1%
  16. "Someone else" with 2%
  17. "Will not vote" with 4%
  18. Randall Terry (C) with 0%
  19. Kennedy suspended his campaign, but he remains on the ballot in Michigan.
  20. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
Image
Source:
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