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2024 United States presidential election in Maine

Updated: Wikipedia source

2024 United States presidential election in Maine

The 2024 United States presidential election in Maine took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Maine voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Maine has four electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat. This election coincided with five referendum questions including a referendum to change the state flag, as well as a U.S. Senate election, U.S. House elections for the state's two congressional districts and various other state, county and local elections. The state uses ranked-choice voting. Unlike all other states except Nebraska, Maine awards two electoral votes based on the statewide vote, and one vote for each congressional district. The at-large votes were expected to be contested by both parties, but are favored to be carried by the Democratic presidential candidate, having last been won by a Republican in 1988. However, the two congressional districts were expected to be split between the Democratic and Republican candidates with ME-1 being a strongly blue district and ME-2 being a moderately to strongly red district, something that had occurred in both 2016 and 2020. Maine at large was potentially considered a secondary battleground during the 2024 election cycle. In 2016, Trump narrowly lost Maine at-large to Hillary Clinton by less than 3% and a margin of 22,142 votes. However, in 2020, Biden won the state by just over 9% and 74,302 votes, though Trump held Maine's 2nd congressional district. However, most polls and analysts accurately predicted Maine to remain in the Democratic camp at large in the 2024 election. Harris won Maine at-large by about 6.9%, worse than Biden but better than Clinton, and with the largest raw vote total of any presidential candidate in the state's history. Maine was the only state where Harris received the most raw votes of any candidate in the state's history up to 2024. Maine also had one of the smallest swings, swinging rightward by just 2%. As expected, Harris won Maine's 1st congressional district while Trump won Maine's 2nd congressional district. Ranked-choice tabulation was ultimately not used as Harris won a majority of the vote statewide and in the 1st district, while Trump won a majority of the vote in the 2nd district. Despite losing the state, Trump received the highest percentage of the total vote for a Republican since George H. W. Bush carried the state in 1988.

Infobox

Party
Democratic
Nominee
Kamala Harris
Turnout
74.2%
Percentage
52.40%
Home state
California
Popular vote
435,652
Running mate
Tim Walz
Electoral vote
3

Tables

Maine Democratic primary, March 5, 2024[3] · Primary elections › Democratic primary
Pledged
Pledged
Candidate
Pledged
Votes
Unpledged
Percentage
Total
Joe Biden (incumbent)
Joe Biden (incumbent)
Candidate
Joe Biden (incumbent)
Votes
60,018
Percentage
82.8%
Actual delegate count
24
Dean Phillips
Dean Phillips
Candidate
Dean Phillips
Votes
4,623
Percentage
6.4%
Other candidates
Other candidates
Candidate
Other candidates
Votes
480
Percentage
0.7%
Blank ballots
Blank ballots
Candidate
Blank ballots
Votes
7,359
Percentage
10.2%
Total:
Total:
Candidate
Total:
Votes
72,480
Percentage
100%
Actual delegate count
24
Actual delegate count
8
Actual delegate count
32
Candidate
Votes
Percentage
Actual delegate count
Pledged
Unpledged
Total
Joe Biden (incumbent)
60,018
82.8%
24
Dean Phillips
4,623
6.4%
Other candidates
480
0.7%
Blank ballots
7,359
10.2%
Total:
72,480
100%
24
8
32
Maine Republican primary, March 5, 2024[4] · Primary elections › Republican primary
Bound
Bound
Candidate
Bound
Votes
Unbound
Percentage
Total
Donald Trump
Donald Trump
Candidate
Donald Trump
Votes
79,034
Percentage
71.92%
Actual delegate count
20
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
20
Nikki Haley
Nikki Haley
Candidate
Nikki Haley
Votes
27,912
Percentage
25.40%
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)
Candidate
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)
Votes
1,191
Percentage
1.08%
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)
Candidate
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)
Votes
440
Percentage
0.40%
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Ryan Binkley (withdrawn)
Ryan Binkley (withdrawn)
Candidate
Ryan Binkley (withdrawn)
Votes
299
Percentage
0.27%
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Blank ballots
Blank ballots
Candidate
Blank ballots
Votes
1,022
Percentage
0.93%
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Total:
Total:
Candidate
Total:
Votes
109,898
Percentage
100.00%
Actual delegate count
20
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
20
Candidate
Votes
Percentage
Actual delegate count
Bound
Unbound
Total
Donald Trump
79,034
71.92%
20
0
20
Nikki Haley
27,912
25.40%
0
0
0
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)
1,191
1.08%
0
0
0
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)
440
0.40%
0
0
0
Ryan Binkley (withdrawn)
299
0.27%
0
0
0
Blank ballots
1,022
0.93%
0
0
0
Total:
109,898
100.00%
20
0
20
· General election › Predictions
Safe D
Safe D
Source
The Economist
Ranking (1st)
Safe D
Ranking (2nd)
Likely R
Ranking (statewide)
Likely D
As of
September 5, 2024
Safe D
Safe D
Source
Cook Political Report
Ranking (1st)
Safe D
Ranking (2nd)
Likely R
Ranking (statewide)
Likely D
As of
August 27, 2024
Safe D
Safe D
Source
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill
Ranking (1st)
Safe D
Ranking (2nd)
Likely R
Ranking (statewide)
Safe D
As of
November 4, 2024
Safe D
Safe D
Source
CNalysis
Ranking (1st)
Safe D
Ranking (2nd)
Very Likely R
Ranking (statewide)
Solid D
As of
November 4, 2024
Safe D
Safe D
Source
538
Ranking (1st)
Safe D
Ranking (2nd)
Likely R
Ranking (statewide)
Likely D
As of
July 15, 2024
Safe D
Safe D
Source
CNN
Ranking (1st)
Safe D
Ranking (2nd)
Lean R
Ranking (statewide)
Safe D
As of
January 14, 2024
Safe D
Safe D
Source
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Ranking (1st)
Safe D
Ranking (2nd)
Likely R
Ranking (statewide)
Likely D
As of
June 29, 2023
Safe D
Safe D
Source
Inside Elections
Ranking (1st)
Safe D
Ranking (2nd)
Lean R
Ranking (statewide)
Likely D
As of
April 26, 2023
Safe D
Safe D
Source
NBC News
Ranking (1st)
Safe D
Ranking (2nd)
Likely R
Ranking (statewide)
Likely D
As of
October 6, 2024
Safe D
Safe D
Source
YouGov
Ranking (1st)
Safe D
Ranking (2nd)
Tossup
Ranking (statewide)
Safe D
As of
November 1, 2024
Safe D
Safe D
Source
Split Ticket
Ranking (1st)
Safe D
Ranking (2nd)
Likely R
Ranking (statewide)
Likely D
As of
November 1, 2024
Source
Ranking (1st)
Ranking (2nd)
Ranking (statewide)
As of
The Economist
Safe D
Likely R
Likely D
September 5, 2024
Cook Political Report
Safe D
Likely R
Likely D
August 27, 2024
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill
Safe D
Likely R
Safe D
November 4, 2024
CNalysis
Safe D
Very Likely R
Solid D
November 4, 2024
538
Safe D
Likely R
Likely D
July 15, 2024
CNN
Safe D
Lean R
Safe D
January 14, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Safe D
Likely R
Likely D
June 29, 2023
Inside Elections
Safe D
Lean R
Likely D
April 26, 2023
NBC News
Safe D
Likely R
Likely D
October 6, 2024
YouGov
Safe D
Tossup
Safe D
November 1, 2024
Split Ticket
Safe D
Likely R
Likely D
November 1, 2024
· General election › Polling › Statewide
University of New Hampshire
University of New Hampshire
Poll source
University of New Hampshire
Date(s)administered
August 15–19, 2024
Samplesize
951 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.2%
KamalaHarris Democratic
58%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
41%
Other /Undecided
1%
University of New Hampshire
University of New Hampshire
Poll source
University of New Hampshire
Date(s)administered
July 23–25, 2024
Samplesize
1,445 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.6%
KamalaHarris Democratic
54%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
Other /Undecided
1%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
KamalaHarris Democratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Other /Undecided
University of New Hampshire
August 15–19, 2024
951 (LV)
± 3.2%
58%
41%
1%
University of New Hampshire
July 23–25, 2024
1,445 (LV)
± 2.6%
54%
45%
1%
· General election › Polling › Statewide
University of New Hampshire
University of New Hampshire
Poll source
University of New Hampshire
Date(s)administered
October 29 – November 2, 2024
Samplesize
1,485 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.4%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
52%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
41%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
4%
SurveyUSA
SurveyUSA
Poll source
SurveyUSA
Date(s)administered
October 24–29, 2024
Samplesize
1,079 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.6%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
51%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
3%
Pan Atlantic Research
Pan Atlantic Research
Poll source
Pan Atlantic Research
Date(s)administered
September 5–15, 2024
Samplesize
812 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
50%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
41%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
6%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
ChaseOliverLibertarian
Other /Undecided
University of New Hampshire
October 29 – November 2, 2024
1,485 (LV)
± 2.4%
52%
41%
1%
1%
1%
4%
SurveyUSA
October 24–29, 2024
1,079 (LV)
± 3.6%
51%
43%
1%
1%
1%
3%
Pan Atlantic Research
September 5–15, 2024
812 (LV)
± 3.5%
50%
41%
1%
1%
1%
6%
University of New Hampshire
University of New Hampshire
Poll source
University of New Hampshire
Date(s)administered
August 15–19, 2024
Samplesize
951 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.2%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
55%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
38%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
2%
CornelWestIndependent
0%
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
3%
University of New Hampshire
University of New Hampshire
Poll source
University of New Hampshire
Date(s)administered
July 23–25, 2024
Samplesize
1,445 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.6%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
40%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
4%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
5%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
ChaseOliverLibertarian
Other /Undecided
University of New Hampshire
August 15–19, 2024
951 (LV)
± 3.2%
55%
38%
2%
0%
1%
1%
3%
University of New Hampshire
July 23–25, 2024
1,445 (LV)
± 2.6%
48%
40%
4%
1%
1%
1%
5%
John Zogby Strategies
John Zogby Strategies
Poll source
John Zogby Strategies
Date(s)administered
April 13–21, 2024
Samplesize
350 (LV)
Marginof error
–
JoeBidenDemocratic
45%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Other /Undecided
9%
Pan Atlantic Research
Pan Atlantic Research
Poll source
Pan Atlantic Research
Date(s)administered
February 6–14, 2024
Samplesize
791 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
JoeBidenDemocratic
32%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
38%
Other /Undecided
30%
Digital Research
Digital Research
Poll source
Digital Research
Date(s)administered
October 3 – November 2, 2023
Samplesize
614 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.9%
JoeBidenDemocratic
36%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
35%
Other /Undecided
29%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
September 19–20, 2022
Samplesize
1,164 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.8%
JoeBidenDemocratic
51%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
40%
Other /Undecided
9%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Other /Undecided
John Zogby Strategies
April 13–21, 2024
350 (LV)
–
45%
46%
9%
Pan Atlantic Research
February 6–14, 2024
791 (LV)
± 3.5%
32%
38%
30%
Digital Research
October 3 – November 2, 2023
614 (RV)
± 3.9%
36%
35%
29%
Emerson College
September 19–20, 2022
1,164 (LV)
± 2.8%
51%
40%
9%
Digital Research
Digital Research
Poll source
Digital Research
Date(s)administered
April 8–30, 2024
Samplesize
609 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
RCVcount
1
JoeBidenDemocratic
40%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
41%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
10%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
6%
Other /Undecided
2%
2
2
Poll source
2
Date(s)administered
41%
Samplesize
41%
Marginof error
11%
RCVcount
1%
JoeBidenDemocratic
6%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Elim
3
3
Poll source
3
Date(s)administered
41%
Samplesize
42%
Marginof error
11%
RCVcount
Elim
JoeBidenDemocratic
6%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Elim
4
4
Poll source
4
Date(s)administered
42%
Samplesize
43%
Marginof error
15%
RCVcount
Elim
JoeBidenDemocratic
Elim
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Elim
5
5
Poll source
5
Date(s)administered
51%
Samplesize
49%
Marginof error
Elim
RCVcount
Elim
JoeBidenDemocratic
Elim
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Elim
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
RCVcount
JoeBidenDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
Other /Undecided
Digital Research
April 8–30, 2024
609 (RV)
± 4.0%
1
40%
41%
10%
1%
6%
2%
2
41%
41%
11%
1%
6%
Elim
3
41%
42%
11%
Elim
6%
Elim
4
42%
43%
15%
Elim
Elim
Elim
5
51%
49%
Elim
Elim
Elim
Elim
John Zogby Strategies
John Zogby Strategies
Poll source
John Zogby Strategies
Date(s)administered
April 13–21, 2024
Samplesize
350 (LV)
Marginof error
–
JoeBidenDemocratic
35%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
53%
Other /Undecided
12%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
Other /Undecided
John Zogby Strategies
April 13–21, 2024
350 (LV)
–
35%
53%
12%
John Zogby Strategies
John Zogby Strategies
Poll source
John Zogby Strategies
Date(s)administered
April 13–21, 2024
Samplesize
350 (LV)
Marginof error
–
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
43%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
37%
Other /Undecided
20%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Other /Undecided
John Zogby Strategies
April 13–21, 2024
350 (LV)
–
43%
37%
20%
· General election › Polling › Maine's 1st congressional district
Pan Atlantic Research
Pan Atlantic Research
Poll source
Pan Atlantic Research
Date(s)administered
September 5–15, 2024
Samplesize
414 (LV)
Marginof error
–
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
58%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
32%
Other /Undecided
10%
University of New Hampshire
University of New Hampshire
Poll source
University of New Hampshire
Date(s)administered
August 15–19, 2024
Samplesize
476 (LV)
Marginof error
–
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
64%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
36%
Other /Undecided
–
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Other /Undecided
Pan Atlantic Research
September 5–15, 2024
414 (LV)
–
58%
32%
10%
University of New Hampshire
August 15–19, 2024
476 (LV)
–
64%
36%
–
· General election › Polling › Maine's 1st congressional district
University of New Hampshire
University of New Hampshire
Poll source
University of New Hampshire
Date(s)administered
October 29 – November 2, 2024
Samplesize
801 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
60%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
36%
CornelWestIndependent
0%
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
2%
SurveyUSA
SurveyUSA
Poll source
SurveyUSA
Date(s)administered
October 24–29, 2024
Samplesize
482 (LV)
Marginof error
–
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
58%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
37%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
0%
Other /Undecided
3%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
ChaseOliverLibertarian
Other /Undecided
University of New Hampshire
October 29 – November 2, 2024
801 (LV)
± 3.5%
60%
36%
0%
1%
1%
2%
SurveyUSA
October 24–29, 2024
482 (LV)
–
58%
37%
1%
1%
0%
3%
University of New Hampshire
University of New Hampshire
Poll source
University of New Hampshire
Date(s)administered
August 15–19, 2024
Samplesize
476 (LV)
Marginof error
–
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
62%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
33%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
2%
CornelWestIndependent
0%
JillSteinGreen
0%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
2%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
ChaseOliverLibertarian
Other /Undecided
University of New Hampshire
August 15–19, 2024
476 (LV)
–
62%
33%
2%
0%
0%
1%
2%
Pan Atlantic Research
Pan Atlantic Research
Poll source
Pan Atlantic Research
Date(s)administered
February 6–14, 2024
Samplesize
791 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
JoeBidenDemocratic
39%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
31%
Other /Undecided
31%
Digital Research
Digital Research
Poll source
Digital Research
Date(s)administered
October 3 – November 2, 2023
Samplesize
307 (RV)
Marginof error
–
JoeBidenDemocratic
43%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
27%
Other /Undecided
30%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Other /Undecided
Pan Atlantic Research
February 6–14, 2024
791 (LV)
± 3.5%
39%
31%
31%
Digital Research
October 3 – November 2, 2023
307 (RV)
–
43%
27%
30%
· General election › Polling › Maine's 2nd congressional district
Axis Research
Axis Research
Poll source
Axis Research
Date(s)administered
October 17–20, 2024
Samplesize
411 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.8%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
50%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
41%
Other /Undecided
8%
Pan Atlantic Research
Pan Atlantic Research
Poll source
Pan Atlantic Research
Date(s)administered
September 5–15, 2024
Samplesize
398 (LV)
Marginof error
–
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
42%
Other /Undecided
9%
University of New Hampshire
University of New Hampshire
Poll source
University of New Hampshire
Date(s)administered
August 15–19, 2024
Samplesize
432 (LV)
Marginof error
–
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
52%
Other /Undecided
1%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
DonaldTrumpRepublican
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
Other /Undecided
Axis Research
October 17–20, 2024
411 (LV)
± 4.8%
50%
41%
8%
Pan Atlantic Research
September 5–15, 2024
398 (LV)
–
49%
42%
9%
University of New Hampshire
August 15–19, 2024
432 (LV)
–
47%
52%
1%
· General election › Polling › Maine's 2nd congressional district
University of New Hampshire
University of New Hampshire
Poll source
University of New Hampshire
Date(s)administered
October 29 – November 2, 2024
Samplesize
683 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.7%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
44%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
5%
SurveyUSA
SurveyUSA
Poll source
SurveyUSA
Date(s)administered
October 24–29, 2024
Samplesize
484 (LV)
Marginof error
–
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
44%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
4%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
DonaldTrumpRepublican
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
ChaseOliverLibertarian
Other /Undecided
University of New Hampshire
October 29 – November 2, 2024
683 (LV)
± 3.7%
48%
44%
1%
1%
1%
5%
SurveyUSA
October 24–29, 2024
484 (LV)
–
49%
44%
1%
1%
1%
4%
University of New Hampshire
University of New Hampshire
Poll source
University of New Hampshire
Date(s)administered
August 15–19, 2024
Samplesize
432 (LV)
Marginof error
–
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
49%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
2%
CornelWestIndependent
0%
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
3%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
DonaldTrumpRepublican
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
ChaseOliverLibertarian
Other /Undecided
University of New Hampshire
August 15–19, 2024
432 (LV)
–
44%
49%
2%
0%
1%
1%
3%
Pan Atlantic Research
Pan Atlantic Research
Poll source
Pan Atlantic Research
Date(s)administered
February 6–14, 2024
Samplesize
791 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
JoeBidenDemocratic
25%
Other /Undecided
30%
Digital Research
Digital Research
Poll source
Digital Research
Date(s)administered
October 3 – November 2, 2023
Samplesize
307 (RV)
Marginof error
–
DonaldTrumpRepublican
42%
JoeBidenDemocratic
28%
Other /Undecided
30%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
DonaldTrumpRepublican
JoeBidenDemocratic
Other /Undecided
Pan Atlantic Research
February 6–14, 2024
791 (LV)
± 3.5%
45%
25%
30%
Digital Research
October 3 – November 2, 2023
307 (RV)
–
42%
28%
30%
2024 United States presidential election in Maine[34] · General election › Results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
831,375
Candidate
100.00%
Votes
N/A
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
mw- ±%
Democratic
mw- Kamala HarrisTim Walz
435,652
52.40%
−0.69%
Republican
Donald TrumpJD Vance
377,977
45.46%
+1.44%
Green
Jill SteinButch Ware
8,967
1.08%
+0.08%
Libertarian
Chase OliverMike ter Maat
5,286
0.64%
−1.09%
Justice For All
Cornel WestMelina Abdullah
2,912
0.35%
N/A
Write-in
581
0.07%
+0.06%
Total votes
831,375
100.00%
N/A
· General election › Results › By county
#
#
County
#
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
#
Donald TrumpRepublican
%
Donald TrumpRepublican
#
Various candidatesOther parties
%
Various candidatesOther parties
#
Margin
%
Androscoggin
Androscoggin
County
Androscoggin
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
27,019
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
45.91%
Donald TrumpRepublican
30,605
Donald TrumpRepublican
52.01%
Various candidatesOther parties
1,223
Various candidatesOther parties
2.08%
Margin
-3,586
Margin
-6.10%
Total
58,847
Aroostook
Aroostook
County
Aroostook
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
12,900
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
36.18%
Donald TrumpRepublican
22,246
Donald TrumpRepublican
62.40%
Various candidatesOther parties
507
Various candidatesOther parties
1.42%
Margin
-9,346
Margin
-26.22%
Total
35,653
Cumberland
Cumberland
County
Cumberland
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
127,971
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
66.42%
Donald TrumpRepublican
59,964
Donald TrumpRepublican
31.12%
Various candidatesOther parties
4,721
Various candidatesOther parties
2.46%
Margin
68,007
Margin
35.30%
Total
192,656
Franklin
Franklin
County
Franklin
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
7,990
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
44.80%
Donald TrumpRepublican
9,459
Donald TrumpRepublican
53.03%
Various candidatesOther parties
387
Various candidatesOther parties
2.17%
Margin
-1,469
Margin
-8.23%
Total
17,836
Hancock
Hancock
County
Hancock
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
19,817
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
54.66%
Donald TrumpRepublican
15,551
Donald TrumpRepublican
42.90%
Various candidatesOther parties
885
Various candidatesOther parties
2.44%
Margin
4,266
Margin
11.76%
Total
36,253
Kennebec
Kennebec
County
Kennebec
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
34,585
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
47.45%
Donald TrumpRepublican
36,589
Donald TrumpRepublican
50.20%
Various candidatesOther parties
1,712
Various candidatesOther parties
2.35%
Margin
-2,004
Margin
-2.75%
Total
72,886
Knox
Knox
County
Knox
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
15,076
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
58.22%
Donald TrumpRepublican
10,262
Donald TrumpRepublican
39.63%
Various candidatesOther parties
555
Various candidatesOther parties
2.15%
Margin
4,814
Margin
18.59%
Total
25,893
Lincoln
Lincoln
County
Lincoln
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
13,110
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
54.62%
Donald TrumpRepublican
10,409
Donald TrumpRepublican
43.37%
Various candidatesOther parties
484
Various candidatesOther parties
2.01%
Margin
2,701
Margin
11.25%
Total
24,003
Oxford
Oxford
County
Oxford
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
14,765
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
42.69%
Donald TrumpRepublican
19,228
Donald TrumpRepublican
55.59%
Various candidatesOther parties
597
Various candidatesOther parties
1.72%
Margin
-4,463
Margin
-12.90%
Total
34,590
Penobscot
Penobscot
County
Penobscot
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
37,945
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
43.58%
Donald TrumpRepublican
47,438
Donald TrumpRepublican
54.48%
Various candidatesOther parties
1,690
Various candidatesOther parties
1.94%
Margin
-9,493
Margin
-10.90%
Total
87,073
Piscataquis
Piscataquis
County
Piscataquis
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
3,510
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
34.39%
Donald TrumpRepublican
6,487
Donald TrumpRepublican
63.57%
Various candidatesOther parties
208
Various candidatesOther parties
2.04%
Margin
-2,977
Margin
-29.18%
Total
10,205
Sagadahoc
Sagadahoc
County
Sagadahoc
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
13,982
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
57.17%
Donald TrumpRepublican
9,917
Donald TrumpRepublican
40.55%
Various candidatesOther parties
557
Various candidatesOther parties
2.28%
Margin
4,065
Margin
16.62%
Total
24,456
Somerset
Somerset
County
Somerset
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
10,134
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
35.63%
Donald TrumpRepublican
17,826
Donald TrumpRepublican
62.68%
Various candidatesOther parties
481
Various candidatesOther parties
1.69%
Margin
-7,692
Margin
-27.05%
Total
28,441
Waldo
Waldo
County
Waldo
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
12,661
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
50.38%
Donald TrumpRepublican
11,815
Donald TrumpRepublican
47.02%
Various candidatesOther parties
654
Various candidatesOther parties
2.60%
Margin
846
Margin
3.36%
Total
25,130
Washington
Washington
County
Washington
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
6,763
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
37.48%
Donald TrumpRepublican
11,001
Donald TrumpRepublican
60.96%
Various candidatesOther parties
282
Various candidatesOther parties
1.56%
Margin
-4,238
Margin
-23.48%
Total
18,046
York
York
County
York
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
71,813
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
54.22%
Donald TrumpRepublican
58,054
Donald TrumpRepublican
43.83%
Various candidatesOther parties
2,585
Various candidatesOther parties
1.95%
Margin
13,759
Margin
10.39%
Total
132,452
Totals
Totals
County
Totals
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
435,652
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
52.40%
Donald TrumpRepublican
377,977
Donald TrumpRepublican
45.46%
Various candidatesOther parties
17,746
Various candidatesOther parties
2.14%
Margin
57,675
Margin
6.94%
Total
831,375
County
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
Donald TrumpRepublican
Various candidatesOther parties
Margin
Total
#
%
#
%
#
%
#
%
Androscoggin
27,019
45.91%
30,605
52.01%
1,223
2.08%
-3,586
-6.10%
58,847
Aroostook
12,900
36.18%
22,246
62.40%
507
1.42%
-9,346
-26.22%
35,653
Cumberland
127,971
66.42%
59,964
31.12%
4,721
2.46%
68,007
35.30%
192,656
Franklin
7,990
44.80%
9,459
53.03%
387
2.17%
-1,469
-8.23%
17,836
Hancock
19,817
54.66%
15,551
42.90%
885
2.44%
4,266
11.76%
36,253
Kennebec
34,585
47.45%
36,589
50.20%
1,712
2.35%
-2,004
-2.75%
72,886
Knox
15,076
58.22%
10,262
39.63%
555
2.15%
4,814
18.59%
25,893
Lincoln
13,110
54.62%
10,409
43.37%
484
2.01%
2,701
11.25%
24,003
Oxford
14,765
42.69%
19,228
55.59%
597
1.72%
-4,463
-12.90%
34,590
Penobscot
37,945
43.58%
47,438
54.48%
1,690
1.94%
-9,493
-10.90%
87,073
Piscataquis
3,510
34.39%
6,487
63.57%
208
2.04%
-2,977
-29.18%
10,205
Sagadahoc
13,982
57.17%
9,917
40.55%
557
2.28%
4,065
16.62%
24,456
Somerset
10,134
35.63%
17,826
62.68%
481
1.69%
-7,692
-27.05%
28,441
Waldo
12,661
50.38%
11,815
47.02%
654
2.60%
846
3.36%
25,130
Washington
6,763
37.48%
11,001
60.96%
282
1.56%
-4,238
-23.48%
18,046
York
71,813
54.22%
58,054
43.83%
2,585
1.95%
13,759
10.39%
132,452
Totals
435,652
52.40%
377,977
45.46%
17,746
2.14%
57,675
6.94%
831,375
· General election › Results › By congressional district
#
#
District
#
Harris
%
Harris
#
Trump
%
Trump
#
Other
%
1st
1st
District
1st
Harris
258,863
Harris
59.69%
Trump
165,214
Trump
38.09%
Other
9,632
Other
2.22%
Representative
Chellie Pingree
2nd
2nd
District
2nd
Harris
176,789
Harris
44.46%
Trump
212,763
Trump
53.50%
Other
8,114
Other
2.04%
Representative
Jared Golden
District
Harris
Trump
Other
Representative
#
%
#
%
#
%
1st
258,863
59.69%
165,214
38.09%
9,632
2.22%
Chellie Pingree
2nd
176,789
44.46%
212,763
53.50%
8,114
2.04%
Jared Golden

References

  1. Key:A – all adultsRV – registered votersLV – likely votersV – unclear
  2. "Another Candidate" with 1%
  3. "Another Candidate" with 21%
  4. "Some other candidate" with 10%
  5. "Another Candidate" with 23%
  6. "Third-party candidate" with 3%
  7. "Another Candidate" with 19%
  8. Poll sponsored by Bangor Daily News & FairVote
  9. Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign
  10. Poll sponsored by the NRCC
  11. "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats"
    https://www.npr.org/2021/04/26/983082132/census-to-release-1st-results-that-shift-electoral-college-house-seats
  12. Sabato's Crystal Ball
    https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/how-the-states-vote-relative-to-the-nation-a-2024-update/
  13. Maine Secretary of State
    https://www.maine.gov/sos/cec/elec/results/results24.html
  14. Maine Secretary of State
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  17. newscentermaine.com
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  19. 601 U.S. 100 (2024)
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  32. "2024 Presidential Forecast"
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  38. Kennedy24
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