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2024 United States presidential election in Kentucky

Updated: Wikipedia source

2024 United States presidential election in Kentucky

The 2024 United States presidential election in Kentucky took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Kentucky voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Kentucky has 8 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat. Prior to the election, all major news organizations once again considered Kentucky a safe red state; the state has voted Republican and by double-digit margins in every presidential election since 2000. On election night, Kentucky voted Republican for former president Donald Trump by a wide margin for the third time in a row, with him winning the state by 30 %, a considerable increase from his 25 % victory in 2020 and to a lesser extent his 29 % victory in 2016. He received about 1 million Kentucky votes which was a record for votes cast for any candidate in state history. This is the best performance by a Republican presidential candidate in the state's history, surpassing Richard Nixon's 1972 performance. Trump's vote share of 64 % is also the third-highest in state history, behind only 1864 and 1868.

Infobox

Turnout
58 %
Nominee
Donald Trump
Party
Republican
Home state
Florida
Running mate
JD Vance
Electoral vote
8
Popular vote
1,337,494
Percentage
64 %

Tables

Kentucky Democratic primary, May 21, 2024 · Primary elections › Democratic primary
Pledged
Pledged
Candidate
Pledged
Votes
Unpledged
Percentage
Total
Joe Biden (incumbent)
Joe Biden (incumbent)
Candidate
Joe Biden (incumbent)
Votes
131,449
Percentage
71 %
Actual delegate count
45
Actual delegate count
45
Uncommitted
Uncommitted
Candidate
Uncommitted
Votes
32,908
Percentage
17 %
Actual delegate count
8
Actual delegate count
8
Marianne Williamson
Marianne Williamson
Candidate
Marianne Williamson
Votes
11,190
Percentage
6 %
Actual delegate count
0
Dean Phillips (withdrawn)
Dean Phillips (withdrawn)
Candidate
Dean Phillips (withdrawn)
Votes
8,744
Percentage
4 %
Actual delegate count
0
Total:
Total:
Candidate
Total:
Votes
184,291
Percentage
100 %
Actual delegate count
53
Actual delegate count
6
Actual delegate count
59
Candidate
Votes
Percentage
Actual delegate count
Pledged
Unpledged
Total
Joe Biden (incumbent)
131,449
71 %
45
45
Uncommitted
32,908
17 %
8
8
Marianne Williamson
11,190
6 %
0
Dean Phillips (withdrawn)
8,744
4 %
0
Total:
184,291
100 %
53
6
59
Kentucky Republican primary, May 21, 2024 · Primary elections › Republican primary
Bound
Bound
Candidate
Bound
Votes
Unbound
Percentage
Total
Donald Trump
Donald Trump
Candidate
Donald Trump
Votes
215,044
Percentage
85 %
Actual delegate count
46
Actual delegate count
46
Nikki Haley (withdrawn)
Nikki Haley (withdrawn)
Candidate
Nikki Haley (withdrawn)
Votes
16,232
Percentage
6 %
Uncommitted
Uncommitted
Candidate
Uncommitted
Votes
8,984
Percentage
3 %
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)
Candidate
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)
Votes
7,803
Percentage
3 %
Chris Christie (withdrawn)
Chris Christie (withdrawn)
Candidate
Chris Christie (withdrawn)
Votes
2,461
Percentage
1 %
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)
Candidate
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)
Votes
1,640
Percentage
0 %
Ryan Binkley (withdrawn)
Ryan Binkley (withdrawn)
Candidate
Ryan Binkley (withdrawn)
Votes
900
Percentage
0 %
Total:
Total:
Candidate
Total:
Votes
253,064
Percentage
100 %
Actual delegate count
46
Actual delegate count
46
Candidate
Votes
Percentage
Actual delegate count
Bound
Unbound
Total
Donald Trump
215,044
85 %
46
46
Nikki Haley (withdrawn)
16,232
6 %
Uncommitted
8,984
3 %
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)
7,803
3 %
Chris Christie (withdrawn)
2,461
1 %
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)
1,640
0 %
Ryan Binkley (withdrawn)
900
0 %
Total:
253,064
100 %
46
46
· General election › Predictions
Solid R
Solid R
Source
Cook Political Report
Ranking
Solid R
As of
December 19, 2023
Solid R
Solid R
Source
Inside Elections
Ranking
Solid R
As of
April 26, 2023
Safe R
Safe R
Source
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Ranking
Safe R
As of
June 29, 2023
Safe R
Safe R
Source
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill
Ranking
Safe R
As of
December 14, 2023
Solid R
Solid R
Source
CNalysis
Ranking
Solid R
As of
December 30, 2023
Solid R
Solid R
Source
CNN
Ranking
Solid R
As of
January 14, 2024
Safe R
Safe R
Source
The Economist
Ranking
Safe R
As of
June 12, 2024
Solid R
Solid R
Source
538
Ranking
Solid R
As of
June 11, 2024
Solid R
Solid R
Source
RCP
Ranking
Solid R
As of
June 26, 2024
Safe R
Safe R
Source
NBC News
Ranking
Safe R
As of
October 6, 2024
Source
Ranking
As of
Cook Political Report
Solid R
December 19, 2023
Inside Elections
Solid R
April 26, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Safe R
June 29, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill
Safe R
December 14, 2023
CNalysis
Solid R
December 30, 2023
CNN
Solid R
January 14, 2024
The Economist
Safe R
June 12, 2024
538
Solid R
June 11, 2024
RCP
Solid R
June 26, 2024
NBC News
Safe R
October 6, 2024
John Zogby Strategies
John Zogby Strategies
Poll source
John Zogby Strategies
Date(s) administered
April 13–21, 2024
Sample size
402 (LV)
Margin of error
Donald Trump Republican
60%
Joe Biden Democratic
35%
Other / Undecided
5%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s) administered
October 1–3, 2023
Sample size
450 (RV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Donald Trump Republican
55%
Joe Biden Democratic
26%
Other / Undecided
19%
Public Policy Polling (D)
Public Policy Polling (D)
Poll source
Public Policy Polling (D)
Date(s) administered
August 9–10, 2023
Sample size
737 (V)
Margin of error
Donald Trump Republican
55%
Joe Biden Democratic
34%
Other / Undecided
11%
co/efficient (R)
co/efficient (R)
Poll source
co/efficient (R)
Date(s) administered
May 18–19, 2023
Sample size
987 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
57%
Joe Biden Democratic
33%
Other / Undecided
10%
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Donald Trump Republican
Joe Biden Democratic
Other / Undecided
John Zogby Strategies
April 13–21, 2024
402 (LV)
60%
35%
5%
Emerson College
October 1–3, 2023
450 (RV)
± 4 %
55%
26%
19%
Public Policy Polling (D)
August 9–10, 2023
737 (V)
55%
34%
11%
co/efficient (R)
May 18–19, 2023
987 (LV)
± 3 %
57%
33%
10%
John Zogby Strategies
John Zogby Strategies
Poll source
John Zogby Strategies
Date(s) administered
April 13–21, 2024
Sample size
402 (LV)
Margin of error
Donald Trump Republican
52%
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent
35%
Other / Undecided
13%
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Donald Trump Republican
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent
Other / Undecided
John Zogby Strategies
April 13–21, 2024
402 (LV)
52%
35%
13%

References

  1. Candidate has suspended campaign
  2. Key: A – all adults RV – registered voters LV – likely voters V – unclear
  3. Replacement for Butch Ware, Stein's vice presidential nominee.
  4. Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign
  5. "Voter Turnout Report For the 2024 General Election (11/5/2024)"
    https://elect.ky.gov/Resources/Documents/2024G%20Voter%20Turnout%20by%20County.pdf
  6. "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats"
    https://www.npr.org/2021/04/26/983082132/census-to-release-1st-results-that-shift-electoral-college-house-seats
  7. "Trump Breaks Republican Presidential Nominee Records in Three States"
    https://smartpolitics.lib.umn.edu/2024/11/06/trump-breaks-republican-presidential-nominee-records-in-three-states/
  8. "Kentucky Presidential Primary"
    https://apnews.com/projects/election-results-2024/kentucky/?r=18559
  9. www
    https://www.thegreenpapers.com/P24/KY-D
  10. "Kentucky Presidential Primary"
    https://apnews.com/projects/election-results-2024/kentucky/?r=18002
  11. Kentucky Secretary of State
    https://web.sos.ky.gov/CandidateFilings/default.aspx?elecid=85&id=1
  12. Kentucky Secretary of State
    https://web.sos.ky.gov/CandidateFilingDocuments/President_WriteIn.pdf
  13. cookpolitical
    https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/presidential-race-ratings
  14. insideelections
    https://insideelections.com/ratings/president
  15. centerforpolitics
    https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2024-president/
  16. elections2024 /
    https://elections2024.thehill.com/predictions/president
  17. projects /
    https://projects.cnalysis.com/23-24/president
  18. "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270"
    https://www.cnn.com/election/2024/electoral-college-map?game-id=2024-PG-CNN-ratings&game-view=map
  19. The Economist
    https://www.economist.com/interactive/us-2024-election/prediction-model/president
  20. FiveThirtyEight
    https://web.archive.org/web/20240611124423/https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/
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