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2024 United States presidential election in Colorado

Updated: Wikipedia source

2024 United States presidential election in Colorado

The 2024 United States presidential election in Colorado took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Colorado voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Colorado has 10 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained a seat. Notably, despite following the nationwide trend toward the Republicans, Colorado did not see as large of a shift rightward compared to other safe blue states, but Republicans did flip one seat in Colorado's congressional delegation. Harris won by 11%, only 2 % down from Biden in 2020, significantly better than Hillary Clinton's margin of 4 % in 2016 and exceeding Barack Obama's margins in both 2008 and 2012. For the second presidential election in a row, Colorado voted to the left of neighboring New Mexico. This was the first time Colorado voted for a Democratic nominee who lost the popular vote since 1908. This was also only the second time the Democratic nominee won Colorado by double digits since 1964, after 2020. Grand County was the closest Harris came to flipping a county Trump had won in 2020, in terms of margin percentage, with her only losing the county by a mere 79 votes out of the 9,884 total votes cast in the county. This was also the only state where Trump earned a smaller percentage of the vote than his first run in 2016.

Infobox

Turnout
79 % ( 7 pp)
Nominee
Kamala Harris
Party
Democratic
Home state
California
Running mate
Tim Walz
Electoral vote
10
Popular vote
1,728,159
Percentage
54 %

Tables

2024 Colorado Democratic primary · Primary elections › Democratic primary
Joe Biden (incumbent)
Joe Biden (incumbent)
Candidate
Joe Biden (incumbent)
Votes
477,365
%
82
Delegates
72
Dean Phillips
Dean Phillips
Candidate
Dean Phillips
Votes
17,936
%
3
Marianne Williamson
Marianne Williamson
Candidate
Marianne Williamson
Votes
16,761
%
2
Gabriel Cornejo
Gabriel Cornejo
Candidate
Gabriel Cornejo
Votes
4,313
%
0
Jason Palmer
Jason Palmer
Candidate
Jason Palmer
Votes
3,986
%
0
Armando Perez-Serrato
Armando Perez-Serrato
Candidate
Armando Perez-Serrato
Votes
2,591
%
0
Frankie Lozada
Frankie Lozada
Candidate
Frankie Lozada
Votes
2,402
%
0
Stephen Lyons
Stephen Lyons
Candidate
Stephen Lyons
Votes
1,481
%
0
Noncommitted Delegate
Noncommitted Delegate
Candidate
Noncommitted Delegate
Votes
52,122
%
9
Total
Total
Candidate
Total
Votes
578,957
%
100%
Delegates
72
Candidate
Votes
%
Delegates
Joe Biden (incumbent)
477,365
82
72
Dean Phillips
17,936
3
Marianne Williamson
16,761
2
Gabriel Cornejo
4,313
0
Jason Palmer
3,986
0
Armando Perez-Serrato
2,591
0
Frankie Lozada
2,402
0
Stephen Lyons
1,481
0
Noncommitted Delegate
52,122
9
Total
578,957
100%
72
Colorado Republican primary, March 5, 2024 · Primary elections › Republican primary
Bound
Bound
Candidate
Bound
Votes
Unbound
Percentage
Total
Donald Trump
Donald Trump
Candidate
Donald Trump
Votes
555,863
Percentage
63 %
Actual delegate count
24
Nikki Haley
Nikki Haley
Candidate
Nikki Haley
Votes
291,615
Percentage
33 %
Actual delegate count
12
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)
Candidate
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)
Votes
12,672
Percentage
1 %
Chris Christie (withdrawn)
Chris Christie (withdrawn)
Candidate
Chris Christie (withdrawn)
Votes
7,188
Percentage
0 %
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)
Candidate
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)
Votes
5,113
Percentage
0 %
Ryan Binkley (withdrawn)
Ryan Binkley (withdrawn)
Candidate
Ryan Binkley (withdrawn)
Votes
2,220
Percentage
0 %
Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn)
Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn)
Candidate
Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn)
Votes
1,269
Percentage
0 %
Total:
Total:
Candidate
Total:
Votes
875,940
Percentage
100 %
Actual delegate count
36
Actual delegate count
1
Actual delegate count
37
Candidate
Votes
Percentage
Actual delegate count
Bound
Unbound
Total
Donald Trump
555,863
63 %
24
Nikki Haley
291,615
33 %
12
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)
12,672
1 %
Chris Christie (withdrawn)
7,188
0 %
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)
5,113
0 %
Ryan Binkley (withdrawn)
2,220
0 %
Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn)
1,269
0 %
Total:
875,940
100 %
36
1
37
· General election › Predictions
Solid D
Solid D
Source
Cook Political Report
Ranking
Solid D
As of
December 19, 2023
Solid D
Solid D
Source
Inside Elections
Ranking
Solid D
As of
April 26, 2023
Safe D
Safe D
Source
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Ranking
Safe D
As of
June 29, 2023
Likely D
Likely D
Source
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill
Ranking
Likely D
As of
November 1, 2024
Solid D
Solid D
Source
CNalysis
Ranking
Solid D
As of
December 30, 2023
Lean D
Lean D
Source
CNN
Ranking
Lean D
As of
August 25, 2024
Safe D
Safe D
Source
The Economist
Ranking
Safe D
As of
October 21, 2024
Solid D
Solid D
Source
538
Ranking
Solid D
As of
October 30, 2024
Safe D
Safe D
Source
NBC News
Ranking
Safe D
As of
October 6, 2024
Safe D
Safe D
Source
YouGov
Ranking
Safe D
As of
October 16, 2024
Likely D
Likely D
Source
Split Ticket
Ranking
Likely D
As of
November 1, 2024
Source
Ranking
As of
Cook Political Report
Solid D
December 19, 2023
Inside Elections
Solid D
April 26, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Safe D
June 29, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill
Likely D
November 1, 2024
CNalysis
Solid D
December 30, 2023
CNN
Lean D
August 25, 2024
The Economist
Safe D
October 21, 2024
538
Solid D
October 30, 2024
NBC News
Safe D
October 6, 2024
YouGov
Safe D
October 16, 2024
Split Ticket
Likely D
November 1, 2024
· General election › Polling
Keating Research
Keating Research
Poll source
Keating Research
Date(s) administered
October 28−30, 2024
Sample size
600 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
53%
Donald Trump Republican
41%
Other / Undecided
7%
YouGov
YouGov
Poll source
YouGov
Date(s) administered
October 18−30, 2024
Sample size
754 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
55%
Donald Trump Republican
41%
Other / Undecided
4%
ActiVote
ActiVote
Poll source
ActiVote
Date(s) administered
October 1−30, 2024
Sample size
400 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
57%
Donald Trump Republican
43%
Other / Undecided
ActiVote
ActiVote
Poll source
ActiVote
Date(s) administered
September 15 − October 19, 2024
Sample size
400 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
59%
Donald Trump Republican
41%
Other / Undecided
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s) administered
September 9−18, 2024
Sample size
512 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
53%
Donald Trump Republican
42%
Other / Undecided
5%
Keating Research
Keating Research
Poll source
Keating Research
Date(s) administered
September 11–14, 2024
Sample size
500 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
53%
Donald Trump Republican
42%
Other / Undecided
5%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s) administered
August 30 – September 8, 2024
Sample size
498 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Kamala Harris Democratic
55%
Donald Trump Republican
40%
Other / Undecided
5%
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Kamala Harris Democratic
Donald Trump Republican
Other / Undecided
Keating Research
October 28−30, 2024
600 (LV)
± 4 %
53%
41%
7%
YouGov
October 18−30, 2024
754 (LV)
± 4 %
55%
41%
4%
ActiVote
October 1−30, 2024
400 (LV)
± 4 %
57%
43%
ActiVote
September 15 − October 19, 2024
400 (LV)
± 4 %
59%
41%
Morning Consult
September 9−18, 2024
512 (LV)
± 4 %
53%
42%
5%
Keating Research
September 11–14, 2024
500 (LV)
± 4 %
53%
42%
5%
Morning Consult
August 30 – September 8, 2024
498 (LV)
± 4 %
55%
40%
5%
Global Strategy Group (D)
Global Strategy Group (D)
Poll source
Global Strategy Group (D)
Date(s) administered
June 17–24, 2024
Sample size
800 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Joe Biden Democratic
50%
Donald Trump Republican
40%
Other / Undecided
10%
John Zogby Strategies
John Zogby Strategies
Poll source
John Zogby Strategies
Date(s) administered
April 13–21, 2024
Sample size
529 (LV)
Margin of error
Joe Biden Democratic
49%
Donald Trump Republican
43%
Other / Undecided
8%
New Bridge Strategy (R)/Aspect Strategic (D)
New Bridge Strategy (R)/Aspect Strategic (D)
Poll source
New Bridge Strategy (R)/Aspect Strategic (D)
Date(s) administered
March 15–19, 2024
Sample size
632 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Joe Biden Democratic
49%
Donald Trump Republican
39%
Other / Undecided
12%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University
Poll source
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University
Date(s) administered
February 29 – March 3, 2024
Sample size
170 (LV)
Margin of error
Joe Biden Democratic
48%
Donald Trump Republican
44%
Other / Undecided
8%
179 (RV)
179 (RV)
Poll source
179 (RV)
Date(s) administered
48%
Sample size
43%
Margin of error
9%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s) administered
January 23–28, 2024
Sample size
1,856 (RV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Joe Biden Democratic
41%
Donald Trump Republican
35%
Other / Undecided
24%
Global Strategy Group (D)
Global Strategy Group (D)
Poll source
Global Strategy Group (D)
Date(s) administered
January 22–28, 2024
Sample size
801 (RV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Joe Biden Democratic
49%
Donald Trump Republican
41%
Other / Undecided
10%
YouGov/University of Colorado Boulder
YouGov/University of Colorado Boulder
Poll source
YouGov/University of Colorado Boulder
Date(s) administered
December 1–18, 2023
Sample size
800 (A)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Joe Biden Democratic
47%
Donald Trump Republican
40%
Other / Undecided
13%
Cygnal (R)/Aspect Strategies (D)
Cygnal (R)/Aspect Strategies (D)
Poll source
Cygnal (R)/Aspect Strategies (D)
Date(s) administered
November 26–27, 2023
Sample size
652 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Joe Biden Democratic
45%
Donald Trump Republican
36%
Other / Undecided
19%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s) administered
October 1–4, 2023
Sample size
477 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Joe Biden Democratic
42%
Donald Trump Republican
38%
Other / Undecided
20%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Poll source
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Date(s) administered
May 7–9, 2023
Sample size
500 (LV)
Margin of error
Joe Biden Democratic
49%
Donald Trump Republican
39%
Other / Undecided
12%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s) administered
October 26–29, 2022
Sample size
1,000 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Joe Biden Democratic
47%
Donald Trump Republican
39%
Other / Undecided
14%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s) administered
September 18–19, 2022
Sample size
1,000 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Joe Biden Democratic
46%
Donald Trump Republican
36%
Other / Undecided
18%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
Poll source
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
Date(s) administered
July 24–26, 2022
Sample size
500 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Joe Biden Democratic
50%
Donald Trump Republican
43%
Other / Undecided
6%
Blueprint Polling (D)
Blueprint Polling (D)
Poll source
Blueprint Polling (D)
Date(s) administered
April 6–8, 2022
Sample size
612 (V)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Joe Biden Democratic
43%
Donald Trump Republican
43%
Other / Undecided
14%
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Joe Biden Democratic
Donald Trump Republican
Other / Undecided
July 21, 2024
Joe Biden withdraws from the race.
Global Strategy Group (D)
June 17–24, 2024
800 (RV)
± 3 %
50%
40%
10%
John Zogby Strategies
April 13–21, 2024
529 (LV)
49%
43%
8%
New Bridge Strategy (R)/Aspect Strategic (D)
March 15–19, 2024
632 (LV)
± 4 %
49%
39%
12%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University
February 29 – March 3, 2024
170 (LV)
48%
44%
8%
179 (RV)
48%
43%
9%
Emerson College
January 23–28, 2024
1,856 (RV)
± 2 %
41%
35%
24%
Global Strategy Group (D)
January 22–28, 2024
801 (RV)
± 4 %
49%
41%
10%
YouGov/University of Colorado Boulder
December 1–18, 2023
800 (A)
± 4 %
47%
40%
13%
Cygnal (R)/Aspect Strategies (D)
November 26–27, 2023
652 (LV)
± 3 %
45%
36%
19%
Emerson College
October 1–4, 2023
477 (LV)
± 4 %
42%
38%
20%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
May 7–9, 2023
500 (LV)
49%
39%
12%
Emerson College
October 26–29, 2022
1,000 (LV)
± 3 %
47%
39%
14%
Emerson College
September 18–19, 2022
1,000 (LV)
± 3 %
46%
36%
18%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
July 24–26, 2022
500 (LV)
± 4 %
50%
43%
6%
Blueprint Polling (D)
April 6–8, 2022
612 (V)
± 4 %
43%
43%
14%

References

  1. Key: A – all adults RV – registered voters LV – likely voters V – unclear
  2. "Someone else" with 2%
  3. Poll sponsored by ProgressNow Colorado
  4. Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign
  5. Poll sponsored by the Colorado Polling Institute
  6. "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats"
    https://www.npr.org/2021/04/26/983082132/census-to-release-1st-results-that-shift-electoral-college-house-seats
  7. Axios Denver
    https://www.axios.com/local/denver/2024/11/15/colorado-democrat-2024-election-polls
  8. "2024 Abstract of Votes Cast, Presidential Primary Election Results - March 5, 2024 Democratic Party Ballot"
    https://www.coloradosos.gov/pubs/elections/Results/2024/2024BiennialAbstract.pdf
  9. Colorado Secretary of State Election Results
    https://web.archive.org/web/20240313231428/https://results.enr.clarityelections.com/CO/119943/web.317647/#/summary
  10. AP News
    https://apnews.com/projects/election-results-2024/delegate-tracker/
  11. See Fourteenth Amendment to the United States Constitution
  12. Forbes
    https://www.forbes.com/sites/alisondurkee/2023/10/30/trump-faces-first-hearing-over-whether-he-can-run-for-president-today-what-to-watch-for-in-14th-amendment-case/
  13. CNN
    https://www.cnn.com/2023/11/17/politics/trump-colorado-ballot-14th-amendment-insurrection/index.html
  14. Politico
    https://www.politico.com/news/2023/11/17/colorado-judge-rules-trump-engaged-in-insurrection-but-can-still-run-for-president-00127909
  15. The New York Times
    https://www.nytimes.com/2023/12/19/us/politics/trump-colorado-ballot-14th-amendment.html
  16. "Colorado Supreme Court removes Trump from 2024 ballot based on 14th Amendment's 'insurrectionist ban'"
    https://www.cnn.com/2023/12/19/politics/trump-colorado-supreme-court-14th-amendment/index.html
  17. "Colorado Supreme Court kicks Trump off the state's 2024 ballot for violating the U . Constitution"
    https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/donald-trump/colorado-supreme-court-kicks-trump-states-2024-ballot-violating-us-con-rcna130484
  18. The New York Times
    https://www.nytimes.com/2024/01/18/us/trump-supreme-court-ballot-eligibility.html
  19. ABC News
    https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/despite-us-supreme-court-appeal-trump-certified-candidate/story?id=106138501
  20. Sky News
    https://news.sky.com/story/donald-trump-restored-to-colorado-ballot-after-supreme-court-rejects-he-was-accountable-for-capitol-riots-13087233
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