Topzle Topzle

2024 United States presidential election in Arizona

Updated: Wikipedia source

2024 United States presidential election in Arizona

Arizona participated in the 2024 United States presidential election, alongside the other 49 states and Washington, D.C., on November 5, 2024. Arizona voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Arizona has 11 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat. Arizona was considered a crucial swing state in 2024. Donald Trump won by 5.5 percent. The Republican nominee was former president Donald Trump. Formerly a moderately red state, Trump won Arizona in 2016 by 3.5%, a reduced margin of Republican victory compared to previous cycles, despite a more favorable presidential election year for the GOP nationwide. Biden narrowly won in Arizona in 2020 by 0.3%. Due to the diversification of Maricopa County, a traditionally Republican stronghold that holds 61.6% of the state's population, the state was now considered a purple state. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. had gathered enough signatures to appear on the ballot, but his petition was eventually withdrawn. Donald Trump won Arizona by 5.5%, surpassing the margins predicted by most polls. This was the largest margin of victory since 2012 for a Republican presidential candidate, as well as the first time since 2012 that a presidential candidate won the state with an absolute majority of the vote. It was Trump's largest margin of victory in the seven swing states he won, and Trump's strongest performance in a state won by Biden in 2020.

Infobox

Party
Republican
Nominee
Donald Trump
Turnout
78.49% (of registered voters) 1.4 pp
Percentage
52.22%
Home state
Florida
Popular vote
1,770,242
Running mate
JD Vance
Electoral vote
11

Tables

Arizona Democratic primary, March 19, 2024[9] · Primary elections › Democratic primary
Bound
Bound
Candidate
Bound
Votes
Unbound
Percentage
Total
Joe Biden (incumbent)
Joe Biden (incumbent)
Candidate
Joe Biden (incumbent)
Votes
375,110
Percentage
89.3%
Actual delegate count
72
Actual delegate count
72
Marianne Williamson
Marianne Williamson
Candidate
Marianne Williamson
Votes
15,844
Percentage
3.8%
Dean Phillips (withdrawn)
Dean Phillips (withdrawn)
Candidate
Dean Phillips (withdrawn)
Votes
11,611
Percentage
2.8%
Gabriel Cornejo (withdrawn)
Gabriel Cornejo (withdrawn)
Candidate
Gabriel Cornejo (withdrawn)
Votes
6,128
Percentage
1.5%
Frankie Lozada (withdrawn)
Frankie Lozada (withdrawn)
Candidate
Frankie Lozada (withdrawn)
Votes
4,976
Percentage
1.2%
Jason Palmer
Jason Palmer
Candidate
Jason Palmer
Votes
3,752
Percentage
0.9%
Stephen Lyons (withdrawn)
Stephen Lyons (withdrawn)
Candidate
Stephen Lyons (withdrawn)
Votes
2,753
Percentage
0.7%
Total:
Total:
Candidate
Total:
Votes
420,174
Percentage
100.0%
Actual delegate count
72
Actual delegate count
13
Actual delegate count
85
Candidate
Votes
Percentage
Actual delegate count
Bound
Unbound
Total
Joe Biden (incumbent)
375,110
89.3%
72
72
Marianne Williamson
15,844
3.8%
Dean Phillips (withdrawn)
11,611
2.8%
Gabriel Cornejo (withdrawn)
6,128
1.5%
Frankie Lozada (withdrawn)
4,976
1.2%
Jason Palmer
3,752
0.9%
Stephen Lyons (withdrawn)
2,753
0.7%
Total:
420,174
100.0%
72
13
85
Arizona Republican primary, March 19, 2024[10] · Primary elections › Republican primary
Bound
Bound
Candidate
Bound
Votes
Unbound
Percentage
Total
Donald Trump
Donald Trump
Candidate
Donald Trump
Votes
492,299
Percentage
78.84%
Actual delegate count
43
Actual delegate count
43
Nikki Haley (withdrawn)
Nikki Haley (withdrawn)
Candidate
Nikki Haley (withdrawn)
Votes
110,966
Percentage
17.77%
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)
Candidate
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)
Votes
10,131
Percentage
1.62%
Chris Christie (withdrawn)
Chris Christie (withdrawn)
Candidate
Chris Christie (withdrawn)
Votes
5,078
Percentage
0.81%
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)
Candidate
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)
Votes
2,479
Percentage
0.40%
David Stuckenberg
David Stuckenberg
Candidate
David Stuckenberg
Votes
1,367
Percentage
0.22%
Ryan Binkley (withdrawn)
Ryan Binkley (withdrawn)
Candidate
Ryan Binkley (withdrawn)
Votes
891
Percentage
0.14%
Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn)
Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn)
Candidate
Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn)
Votes
714
Percentage
0.11%
John Anthony Castro
John Anthony Castro
Candidate
John Anthony Castro
Votes
505
Percentage
0.08%
Total:
Total:
Candidate
Total:
Votes
624,430
Percentage
100.00%
Actual delegate count
43
Actual delegate count
43
Candidate
Votes
Percentage
Actual delegate count
Bound
Unbound
Total
Donald Trump
492,299
78.84%
43
43
Nikki Haley (withdrawn)
110,966
17.77%
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)
10,131
1.62%
Chris Christie (withdrawn)
5,078
0.81%
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)
2,479
0.40%
David Stuckenberg
1,367
0.22%
Ryan Binkley (withdrawn)
891
0.14%
Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn)
714
0.11%
John Anthony Castro
505
0.08%
Total:
624,430
100.00%
43
43
· General election › Predictions
Tossup
Tossup
Source
The Cook Political Report
Ranking
Tossup
As of
November 4, 2024
Lean R (flip)
Lean R (flip)
Source
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Ranking
Lean R (flip)
As of
November 4, 2024
Tossup
Tossup
Source
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill
Ranking
Tossup
As of
November 4, 2024
Tossup
Tossup
Source
CNN
Ranking
Tossup
As of
November 4, 2024
Tilt R (flip)
Tilt R (flip)
Source
CNalysis
Ranking
Tilt R (flip)
As of
November 4, 2024
Lean R (flip)
Lean R (flip)
Source
The Economist
Ranking
Lean R (flip)
As of
November 4, 2024
Lean R (flip)
Lean R (flip)
Source
538
Ranking
Lean R (flip)
As of
November 4, 2024
Tossup
Tossup
Source
Inside Elections
Ranking
Tossup
As of
November 3, 2024
Tossup
Tossup
Source
NBC News
Ranking
Tossup
As of
November 4, 2024
Source
Ranking
As of
The Cook Political Report
Tossup
November 4, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Lean R (flip)
November 4, 2024
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill
Tossup
November 4, 2024
CNN
Tossup
November 4, 2024
CNalysis
Tilt R (flip)
November 4, 2024
The Economist
Lean R (flip)
November 4, 2024
538
Lean R (flip)
November 4, 2024
Inside Elections
Tossup
November 3, 2024
NBC News
Tossup
November 4, 2024
· General election › Polling
270ToWin
270ToWin
Source of pollaggregation
270ToWin
Datesadministered
October 22 – November 4, 2024
Datesupdated
November 5, 2024
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
46.8%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48.4%
Other /Undecided
4.8%
Margin
Trump +1.6%
538
538
Source of pollaggregation
538
Datesadministered
through November 4, 2024
Datesupdated
November 5, 2024
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
46.8%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48.9%
Other /Undecided
4.3%
Margin
Trump +2.1%
Silver Bulletin
Silver Bulletin
Source of pollaggregation
Silver Bulletin
Datesadministered
through November 4, 2024
Datesupdated
November 5, 2024
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
46.9%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49.3%
Other /Undecided
3.8%
Margin
Trump +2.4%
The Hill/DDHQ
The Hill/DDHQ
Source of pollaggregation
The Hill/DDHQ
Datesadministered
through November 4, 2024
Datesupdated
November 5, 2024
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47.3%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49.9%
Other /Undecided
2.8%
Margin
Trump +2.6%
Average
Average
Source of pollaggregation
Average
Datesadministered
47.0%
Datesupdated
49.1%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
3.9%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Trump +2.1%
Source of pollaggregation
Datesadministered
Datesupdated
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Other /Undecided
Margin
270ToWin
October 22 – November 4, 2024
November 5, 2024
46.8%
48.4%
4.8%
Trump +1.6%
538
through November 4, 2024
November 5, 2024
46.8%
48.9%
4.3%
Trump +2.1%
Silver Bulletin
through November 4, 2024
November 5, 2024
46.9%
49.3%
3.8%
Trump +2.4%
The Hill/DDHQ
through November 4, 2024
November 5, 2024
47.3%
49.9%
2.8%
Trump +2.6%
Average
47.0%
49.1%
3.9%
Trump +2.1%
· General election › Polling
HarrisX
HarrisX
Poll source
HarrisX
Date(s)administered
November 3–5, 2024
Samplesize
1,636 (RV)
Marginof error
± 2.4%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
7%
49%
49%
Poll source
49%
Date(s)administered
51%
Samplesize
–
1,468 (LV)
1,468 (LV)
Poll source
1,468 (LV)
Date(s)administered
47%
Samplesize
49%
Marginof error
4%
49%
49%
Poll source
49%
Date(s)administered
51%
Samplesize
–
AtlasIntel
AtlasIntel
Poll source
AtlasIntel
Date(s)administered
November 3–4, 2024
Samplesize
875 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
52%
Other /Undecided
1%
Victory Insights
Victory Insights
Poll source
Victory Insights
Date(s)administered
November 2–3, 2024
Samplesize
750 (LV)
Marginof error
–
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
3%
Trafalgar Group (R)
Trafalgar Group (R)
Poll source
Trafalgar Group (R)
Date(s)administered
November 1–3, 2024
Samplesize
1,090 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.9%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
4%
Patriot Polling
Patriot Polling
Poll source
Patriot Polling
Date(s)administered
November 1–3, 2024
Samplesize
801 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
51%
Other /Undecided
1%
InsiderAdvantage (R)
InsiderAdvantage (R)
Poll source
InsiderAdvantage (R)
Date(s)administered
November 1–2, 2024
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
5%
AtlasIntel
AtlasIntel
Poll source
AtlasIntel
Date(s)administered
November 1–2, 2024
Samplesize
967 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
52%
Other /Undecided
2%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
October 30 – November 2, 2024
Samplesize
900 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.3%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
50%
Other /Undecided
2%
48%
48%
Poll source
48%
Date(s)administered
51%
Samplesize
1%
The New York Times/Siena College
The New York Times/Siena College
Poll source
The New York Times/Siena College
Date(s)administered
October 25 – November 2, 2024
Samplesize
1,025 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
44%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
8%
1,025 (LV)
1,025 (LV)
Poll source
1,025 (LV)
Date(s)administered
45%
Samplesize
49%
Marginof error
6%
ActiVote
ActiVote
Poll source
ActiVote
Date(s)administered
October 8 – November 1, 2024
Samplesize
400 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.9%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
51%
Other /Undecided
–
SoCal Strategies (R)
SoCal Strategies (R)
Poll source
SoCal Strategies (R)
Date(s)administered
October 30–31, 2024
Samplesize
750 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
50%
Other /Undecided
1%
AtlasIntel
AtlasIntel
Poll source
AtlasIntel
Date(s)administered
October 30–31, 2024
Samplesize
1,005 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
51%
Other /Undecided
2%
OnMessage Inc. (R)
OnMessage Inc. (R)
Poll source
OnMessage Inc. (R)
Date(s)administered
October 29–31, 2024
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
–
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
50%
Other /Undecided
3%
YouGov
YouGov
Poll source
YouGov
Date(s)administered
October 25–31, 2024
Samplesize
880 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
50%
Other /Undecided
1%
856 (LV)
856 (LV)
Poll source
856 (LV)
Date(s)administered
49%
Samplesize
50%
Marginof error
1%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
October 21−30, 2024
Samplesize
666 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
4%
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Poll source
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Date(s)administered
October 25–29, 2024
Samplesize
803 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
6%
AtlasIntel
AtlasIntel
Poll source
AtlasIntel
Date(s)administered
October 25–29, 2024
Samplesize
1,458 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
51%
Other /Undecided
2%
Mitchell Research & Communications
Mitchell Research & Communications
Poll source
Mitchell Research & Communications
Date(s)administered
October 28, 2024
Samplesize
610 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
50%
Other /Undecided
2%
RABA Research
RABA Research
Poll source
RABA Research
Date(s)administered
October 25–27, 2024
Samplesize
589 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
45%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
Other /Undecided
12%
Trafalgar Group (R)
Trafalgar Group (R)
Poll source
Trafalgar Group (R)
Date(s)administered
October 24–26, 2024
Samplesize
1,094 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.9%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
6%
CES/YouGov
CES/YouGov
Poll source
CES/YouGov
Date(s)administered
October 1–25, 2024
Samplesize
2,077 (A)
Marginof error
–
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
2%
2,066 (LV)
2,066 (LV)
Poll source
2,066 (LV)
Date(s)administered
47%
Samplesize
51%
Marginof error
2%
Marist College
Marist College
Poll source
Marist College
Date(s)administered
October 17–22, 2024
Samplesize
1,329 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
2%
1,193 (LV)
1,193 (LV)
Poll source
1,193 (LV)
Date(s)administered
± 3.7%
Samplesize
49%
Marginof error
50%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
1%
InsiderAdvantage (R)
InsiderAdvantage (R)
Poll source
InsiderAdvantage (R)
Date(s)administered
October 20–21, 2024
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
50%
Other /Undecided
3%
HighGround
HighGround
Poll source
HighGround
Date(s)administered
October 19–20, 2024
Samplesize
400 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.9%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
7%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
October 16–20, 2024
Samplesize
915 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
2%
861 (LV)
861 (LV)
Poll source
861 (LV)
Date(s)administered
49%
Samplesize
49%
Marginof error
2%
University of Arizona/Truedot
University of Arizona/Truedot
Poll source
University of Arizona/Truedot
Date(s)administered
October 12–20, 2024
Samplesize
846 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.4%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
Other /Undecided
9%
AtlasIntel
AtlasIntel
Poll source
AtlasIntel
Date(s)administered
October 12–17, 2024
Samplesize
1,440 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
2%
CBS News/YouGov
CBS News/YouGov
Poll source
CBS News/YouGov
Date(s)administered
October 11−16, 2024
Samplesize
1,435 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.3%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
51%
Other /Undecided
1%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
October 6−15, 2024
Samplesize
653 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
3%
The Washington Post/Schar School
The Washington Post/Schar School
Poll source
The Washington Post/Schar School
Date(s)administered
September 30 – October 15, 2024
Samplesize
580 (RV)
Marginof error
± 5.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
44%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
50%
Other /Undecided
6%
580 (LV)
580 (LV)
Poll source
580 (LV)
Date(s)administered
46%
Samplesize
49%
Marginof error
5%
Trafalgar Group (R)
Trafalgar Group (R)
Poll source
Trafalgar Group (R)
Date(s)administered
October 10–13, 2024
Samplesize
1,090 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.9%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
6%
The New York Times/Siena College
The New York Times/Siena College
Poll source
The New York Times/Siena College
Date(s)administered
October 7–10, 2024
Samplesize
808 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
45%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
51%
Other /Undecided
4%
808 (LV)
808 (LV)
Poll source
808 (LV)
Date(s)administered
46%
Samplesize
51%
Marginof error
3%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/McLaughlin & Associates (R)
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/McLaughlin & Associates (R)
Poll source
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/McLaughlin & Associates (R)
Date(s)administered
October 6–9, 2024
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
5%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
October 5–8, 2024
Samplesize
1,000 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
4%
48%
48%
Poll source
48%
Date(s)administered
51%
Samplesize
1%
The Wall Street Journal
The Wall Street Journal
Poll source
The Wall Street Journal
Date(s)administered
September 28 – October 8, 2024
Samplesize
600 (RV)
Marginof error
± 5.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Other /Undecided
6%
ActiVote
ActiVote
Poll source
ActiVote
Date(s)administered
September 6 – October 8, 2024
Samplesize
400 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.9%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
51%
Other /Undecided
–
SoCal Strategies (R)
SoCal Strategies (R)
Poll source
SoCal Strategies (R)
Date(s)administered
October 5–7, 2024
Samplesize
735 (LV)
Marginof error
–
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
3%
RMG Research
RMG Research
Poll source
RMG Research
Date(s)administered
September 30 – October 2, 2024
Samplesize
783 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
50%
Other /Undecided
4%
46%
46%
Poll source
46%
Date(s)administered
50%
Samplesize
4%
OnMessage Inc. (R)
OnMessage Inc. (R)
Poll source
OnMessage Inc. (R)
Date(s)administered
September 24 – October 2, 2024
Samplesize
500 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
45%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
8%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
Poll source
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
Date(s)administered
September 24 – October 1, 2024
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
50%
Other /Undecided
2%
InsiderAdvantage (R)
InsiderAdvantage (R)
Poll source
InsiderAdvantage (R)
Date(s)administered
September 29–30, 2024
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
1%
HighGround
HighGround
Poll source
HighGround
Date(s)administered
September 26–29, 2024
Samplesize
500 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Other /Undecided
6%
National Research
National Research
Poll source
National Research
Date(s)administered
September 25–29, 2024
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
5%
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)
Poll source
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)
Date(s)administered
September 23–29, 2024
Samplesize
400 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.9%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
5%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
September 27–28, 2024
Samplesize
920 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.2%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
50%
Other /Undecided
3%
48%
48%
Poll source
48%
Date(s)administered
52%
Samplesize
–
AtlasIntel
AtlasIntel
Poll source
AtlasIntel
Date(s)administered
September 20–25, 2024
Samplesize
946 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
50%
Other /Undecided
1%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
Poll source
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
Date(s)administered
September 19–25, 2024
Samplesize
409 (LV)
Marginof error
–
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
50%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
2%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
September 19–25, 2024
Samplesize
977 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
50%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
3%
926 (LV)
926 (LV)
Poll source
926 (LV)
Date(s)administered
50%
Samplesize
47%
Marginof error
3%
Fox News
Fox News
Poll source
Fox News
Date(s)administered
September 20−24, 2024
Samplesize
1,021 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
50%
Other /Undecided
2%
764 (LV)
764 (LV)
Poll source
764 (LV)
Date(s)administered
± 3.5%
Samplesize
48%
Marginof error
51%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
1%
Marist College
Marist College
Poll source
Marist College
Date(s)administered
September 19−24, 2024
Samplesize
1,416 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.6%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
50%
Other /Undecided
2%
1,264 (LV)
1,264 (LV)
Poll source
1,264 (LV)
Date(s)administered
± 3.8%
Samplesize
49%
Marginof error
50%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
1%
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Poll source
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Date(s)administered
September 19–22, 2024
Samplesize
1,030 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
4%
The New York Times/Siena College
The New York Times/Siena College
Poll source
The New York Times/Siena College
Date(s)administered
September 17–21, 2024
Samplesize
713 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
45%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
6%
713 (LV)
713 (LV)
Poll source
713 (LV)
Date(s)administered
45%
Samplesize
50%
Marginof error
5%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
September 15–18, 2024
Samplesize
868 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.3%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
3%
49%
49%
Poll source
49%
Date(s)administered
50%
Samplesize
1%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
September 9−18, 2024
Samplesize
862 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
5%
Trafalgar Group (R)
Trafalgar Group (R)
Poll source
Trafalgar Group (R)
Date(s)administered
September 11–12, 2024
Samplesize
1,088 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.9%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
7%
Data Orbital
Data Orbital
Poll source
Data Orbital
Date(s)administered
September 7–9, 2024
Samplesize
550 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.9%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Other /Undecided
8%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
August 30 – September 8, 2024
Samplesize
901 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
4%
TIPP Insights
TIPP Insights
Poll source
TIPP Insights
Date(s)administered
September 3–5, 2024
Samplesize
1,015 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.2%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Other /Undecided
8%
949 (LV)
949 (LV)
Poll source
949 (LV)
Date(s)administered
47%
Samplesize
47%
Marginof error
6%
Patriot Polling
Patriot Polling
Poll source
Patriot Polling
Date(s)administered
September 1–3, 2024
Samplesize
804 (RV)
Marginof error
–
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
4%
InsiderAdvantage (R)
InsiderAdvantage (R)
Poll source
InsiderAdvantage (R)
Date(s)administered
August 29–31, 2024
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
3%
University of Arizona/Truedot
University of Arizona/Truedot
Poll source
University of Arizona/Truedot
Date(s)administered
August 28–31, 2024
Samplesize
1,155 (RV)
Marginof error
–
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
42%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Other /Undecided
12%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
August 25–28, 2024
Samplesize
720 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.6%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
50%
Other /Undecided
7%
48%
48%
Poll source
48%
Date(s)administered
51%
Samplesize
1%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
August 23–26, 2024
Samplesize
776 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
4%
758 (RV)
758 (RV)
Poll source
758 (RV)
Date(s)administered
± 3.0%
Samplesize
48%
Marginof error
48%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
4%
Fox News
Fox News
Poll source
Fox News
Date(s)administered
August 23–26, 2024
Samplesize
1,014 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
50%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
1%
Spry Strategies (R)
Spry Strategies (R)
Poll source
Spry Strategies (R)
Date(s)administered
August 14–20, 2024
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
3%
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Poll source
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Date(s)administered
August 13–17, 2024
Samplesize
1,187 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
45%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
8%
Noble Predictive Insights
Noble Predictive Insights
Poll source
Noble Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
August 12–16, 2024
Samplesize
1,003 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
44%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
9%
Focaldata
Focaldata
Poll source
Focaldata
Date(s)administered
August 6–16, 2024
Samplesize
702 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.7%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
51%
Other /Undecided
–
Strategies 360
Strategies 360
Poll source
Strategies 360
Date(s)administered
August 7–14, 2024
Samplesize
400 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.9%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Other /Undecided
7%
The New York Times/Siena College
The New York Times/Siena College
Poll source
The New York Times/Siena College
Date(s)administered
August 8–15, 2024
Samplesize
677 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
Other /Undecided
7%
677 (LV)
677 (LV)
Poll source
677 (LV)
Date(s)administered
50%
Samplesize
45%
Marginof error
5%
Trafalgar Group (R)
Trafalgar Group (R)
Poll source
Trafalgar Group (R)
Date(s)administered
August 6–8, 2024
Samplesize
1,092 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.9%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
5%
Navigator Research (D)
Navigator Research (D)
Poll source
Navigator Research (D)
Date(s)administered
July 31 – August 8, 2024
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
5%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
Poll source
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
Date(s)administered
July 26 – August 8, 2024
Samplesize
435 (LV)
Marginof error
–
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Other /Undecided
6%
HighGround
HighGround
Poll source
HighGround
Date(s)administered
July 30 – August 5, 2024
Samplesize
500 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
44%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
42%
Other /Undecided
14%
Public Policy Polling (D)
Public Policy Polling (D)
Poll source
Public Policy Polling (D)
Date(s)administered
July 29–30, 2024
Samplesize
618 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.9%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
4%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Poll source
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Date(s)administered
July 23–29, 2024
Samplesize
400 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.9%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
43%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
9%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
July 24–28, 2024
Samplesize
804 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
4%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
July 22–23, 2024
Samplesize
800 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.4%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
44%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
7%
47%
47%
Poll source
47%
Date(s)administered
53%
Samplesize
–
InsiderAdvantage (R)
InsiderAdvantage (R)
Poll source
InsiderAdvantage (R)
Date(s)administered
July 15–16, 2024
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
42%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
10%
Public Policy Polling (D)
Public Policy Polling (D)
Poll source
Public Policy Polling (D)
Date(s)administered
July 10–11, 2024
Samplesize
596 (RV)
Marginof error
–
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
44%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
52%
Other /Undecided
4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
May 7–13, 2024
Samplesize
795 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
42%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
51%
Other /Undecided
7%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
February 16–19, 2024
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
40%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
12%
The New York Times/Siena College
The New York Times/Siena College
Poll source
The New York Times/Siena College
Date(s)administered
October 22 – November 3, 2023
Samplesize
603 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
43%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
9%
603 (LV)
603 (LV)
Poll source
603 (LV)
Date(s)administered
43%
Samplesize
48%
Marginof error
9%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Other /Undecided
HarrisX
November 3–5, 2024
1,636 (RV)
± 2.4%
46%
47%
7%
49%
51%
–
1,468 (LV)
47%
49%
4%
49%
51%
–
AtlasIntel
November 3–4, 2024
875 (LV)
± 3.0%
47%
52%
1%
Victory Insights
November 2–3, 2024
750 (LV)
–
48%
49%
3%
Trafalgar Group (R)
November 1–3, 2024
1,090 (LV)
± 2.9%
47%
49%
4%
Patriot Polling
November 1–3, 2024
801 (RV)
± 3.0%
48%
51%
1%
InsiderAdvantage (R)
November 1–2, 2024
800 (LV)
± 3.0%
46%
49%
5%
AtlasIntel
November 1–2, 2024
967 (LV)
± 3.0%
46%
52%
2%
Emerson College
October 30 – November 2, 2024
900 (LV)
± 3.3%
48%
50%
2%
48%
51%
1%
The New York Times/Siena College
October 25 – November 2, 2024
1,025 (RV)
± 3.5%
44%
48%
8%
1,025 (LV)
45%
49%
6%
ActiVote
October 8 – November 1, 2024
400 (LV)
± 4.9%
49%
51%
–
SoCal Strategies (R)
October 30–31, 2024
750 (LV)
± 4.0%
49%
50%
1%
AtlasIntel
October 30–31, 2024
1,005 (LV)
± 3.0%
47%
51%
2%
OnMessage Inc. (R)
October 29–31, 2024
800 (LV)
–
47%
50%
3%
YouGov
October 25–31, 2024
880 (RV)
± 4.4%
49%
50%
1%
856 (LV)
49%
50%
1%
Morning Consult
October 21−30, 2024
666 (LV)
± 4.0%
48%
48%
4%
Rasmussen Reports (R)
October 25–29, 2024
803 (LV)
± 3.0%
46%
48%
6%
AtlasIntel
October 25–29, 2024
1,458 (LV)
± 3.0%
47%
51%
2%
Mitchell Research & Communications
October 28, 2024
610 (LV)
± 4.0%
48%
50%
2%
RABA Research
October 25–27, 2024
589 (RV)
± 4.0%
45%
43%
12%
Trafalgar Group (R)
October 24–26, 2024
1,094 (LV)
± 2.9%
46%
48%
6%
CES/YouGov
October 1–25, 2024
2,077 (A)
–
49%
49%
2%
2,066 (LV)
47%
51%
2%
Marist College
October 17–22, 2024
1,329 (RV)
± 3.5%
49%
49%
2%
1,193 (LV)
± 3.7%
49%
50%
1%
InsiderAdvantage (R)
October 20–21, 2024
800 (LV)
± 3.0%
47%
50%
3%
HighGround
October 19–20, 2024
400 (LV)
± 4.9%
46%
47%
7%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
October 16–20, 2024
915 (RV)
± 3.0%
49%
49%
2%
861 (LV)
49%
49%
2%
University of Arizona/Truedot
October 12–20, 2024
846 (RV)
± 3.4%
46%
45%
9%
AtlasIntel
October 12–17, 2024
1,440 (LV)
± 3.0%
49%
49%
2%
CBS News/YouGov
October 11−16, 2024
1,435 (LV)
± 3.3%
48%
51%
1%
Morning Consult
October 6−15, 2024
653 (LV)
± 3.0%
49%
48%
3%
The Washington Post/Schar School
September 30 – October 15, 2024
580 (RV)
± 5.0%
44%
50%
6%
580 (LV)
46%
49%
5%
Trafalgar Group (R)
October 10–13, 2024
1,090 (LV)
± 2.9%
46%
48%
6%
The New York Times/Siena College
October 7–10, 2024
808 (RV)
± 4.0%
45%
51%
4%
808 (LV)
46%
51%
3%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/McLaughlin & Associates (R)
October 6–9, 2024
800 (LV)
± 3.5%
46%
49%
5%
Emerson College
October 5–8, 2024
1,000 (LV)
± 3.0%
47%
49%
4%
48%
51%
1%
The Wall Street Journal
September 28 – October 8, 2024
600 (RV)
± 5.0%
48%
46%
6%
ActiVote
September 6 – October 8, 2024
400 (LV)
± 4.9%
49%
51%
–
SoCal Strategies (R)
October 5–7, 2024
735 (LV)
–
49%
48%
3%
· General election › Polling
Race to the WH
Race to the WH
Source of pollaggregation
Race to the WH
Datesadministered
through October 10, 2024
Datesupdated
October 15, 2024
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
46.4%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48.8%
JillSteinGreen
1.0%
CornelWestIndependent
—
ChaseOliverLibertarian
0.8%
Others/Undecided
3.0%
Margin
Trump +2.4%
270toWin
270toWin
Source of pollaggregation
270toWin
Datesadministered
October 2 – 12, 2024
Datesupdated
October 12, 2024
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
47.4%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47.6%
JillSteinGreen
1.0%
CornelWestIndependent
0.0%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
0.5%
Others/Undecided
3.5%
Margin
Trump +0.2%
Average
Average
Source of pollaggregation
Average
Datesadministered
46.9%
Datesupdated
48.1%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
1.0%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
0.0%
JillSteinGreen
0.8%
CornelWestIndependent
3.2%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
Trump +1.2%
Source of pollaggregation
Datesadministered
Datesupdated
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
JillSteinGreen
CornelWestIndependent
ChaseOliverLibertarian
Others/Undecided
Margin
Race to the WH
through October 10, 2024
October 15, 2024
46.4%
48.8%
1.0%
—
0.8%
3.0%
Trump +2.4%
270toWin
October 2 – 12, 2024
October 12, 2024
47.4%
47.6%
1.0%
0.0%
0.5%
3.5%
Trump +0.2%
Average
46.9%
48.1%
1.0%
0.0%
0.8%
3.2%
Trump +1.2%
· General election › Polling
HarrisX
HarrisX
Poll source
HarrisX
Date(s)administered
November 3–5, 2024
Samplesize
1,636 (RV)
Marginof error
± 2.4%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
44%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
–
Other /Undecided
7%
46%
46%
Poll source
46%
Date(s)administered
50%
Samplesize
2%
Marginof error
2%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
–
DonaldTrumpRepublican
–
1,468 (LV)
1,468 (LV)
Poll source
1,468 (LV)
Date(s)administered
46%
Samplesize
49%
Marginof error
1%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
1%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
–
CornelWestIndependent
3%
47%
47%
Poll source
47%
Date(s)administered
50%
Samplesize
2%
Marginof error
1%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
–
DonaldTrumpRepublican
–
AtlasIntel
AtlasIntel
Poll source
AtlasIntel
Date(s)administered
November 3–4, 2024
Samplesize
875 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
51%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
0%
Other /Undecided
2%
AtlasIntel
AtlasIntel
Poll source
AtlasIntel
Date(s)administered
November 1–2, 2024
Samplesize
967 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
45%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
52%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
1%
The New York Times/Siena College
The New York Times/Siena College
Poll source
The New York Times/Siena College
Date(s)administered
October 25 – November 2, 2024
Samplesize
1,025 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
42%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
3%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
2%
Other /Undecided
6%
1,025 (LV)
1,025 (LV)
Poll source
1,025 (LV)
Date(s)administered
44%
Samplesize
48%
Marginof error
–
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
2%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
1%
CornelWestIndependent
5%
Focaldata
Focaldata
Poll source
Focaldata
Date(s)administered
October 3 – November 1, 2024
Samplesize
1,779 (LV)
Marginof error
–
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
1%
1,603 (RV)
1,603 (RV)
Poll source
1,603 (RV)
Date(s)administered
± 2.3%
Samplesize
49%
Marginof error
47%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
–
DonaldTrumpRepublican
2%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
1%
1,779 (A)
1,779 (A)
Poll source
1,779 (A)
Date(s)administered
–
Samplesize
49%
Marginof error
47%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
–
DonaldTrumpRepublican
2%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
1%
AtlasIntel
AtlasIntel
Poll source
AtlasIntel
Date(s)administered
October 30–31, 2024
Samplesize
1,005 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
51%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
October 28–31, 2024
Samplesize
652 (LV)
Marginof error
–
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
3%
YouGov
YouGov
Poll source
YouGov
Date(s)administered
October 25–31, 2024
Samplesize
880 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
CornelWestIndependent
0%
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
–
Other /Undecided
4%
856 (LV)
856 (LV)
Poll source
856 (LV)
Date(s)administered
48%
Samplesize
48%
Marginof error
0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
0%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
–
CornelWestIndependent
4%
Noble Predictive Insights
Noble Predictive Insights
Poll source
Noble Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
October 28–30, 2024
Samplesize
775 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
2%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
0%
Other /Undecided
3%
Data for Progress (D)
Data for Progress (D)
Poll source
Data for Progress (D)
Date(s)administered
October 25–30, 2024
Samplesize
1,079 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
0%
Other /Undecided
4%
AtlasIntel
AtlasIntel
Poll source
AtlasIntel
Date(s)administered
October 25–29, 2024
Samplesize
1,458 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
51%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
0%
Other /Undecided
2%
Mitchell Research & Communications
Mitchell Research & Communications
Poll source
Mitchell Research & Communications
Date(s)administered
October 28, 2024
Samplesize
610 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
50%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
0%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
1%
Data Orbital
Data Orbital
Poll source
Data Orbital
Date(s)administered
October 26–28, 2024
Samplesize
550 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.3%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
42%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
50%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
October 25–27, 2024
Samplesize
901 (LV)
Marginof error
–
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
2%
J.L. Partners
J.L. Partners
Poll source
J.L. Partners
Date(s)administered
October 24–26, 2024
Samplesize
500 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
0%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
2%
CNN/SSRS
CNN/SSRS
Poll source
CNN/SSRS
Date(s)administered
October 21–26, 2024
Samplesize
781 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
2%
Other /Undecided
2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
October 20–22, 2024
Samplesize
710 (LV)
Marginof error
–
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
October 16–20, 2024
Samplesize
915 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
2%
Other /Undecided
1%
861 (LV)
861 (LV)
Poll source
861 (LV)
Date(s)administered
48%
Samplesize
48%
Marginof error
–
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
1%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
2%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
October 16–18, 2024
Samplesize
691 (LV)
Marginof error
–
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
3%
AtlasIntel
AtlasIntel
Poll source
AtlasIntel
Date(s)administered
October 12–17, 2024
Samplesize
1,440 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
0%
Other /Undecided
1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
October 12–14, 2024
Samplesize
1,141 (LV)
Marginof error
–
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
4%
The New York Times/Siena College
The New York Times/Siena College
Poll source
The New York Times/Siena College
Date(s)administered
October 7–10, 2024
Samplesize
808 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
44%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
2%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
4%
808 (LV)
808 (LV)
Poll source
808 (LV)
Date(s)administered
45%
Samplesize
50%
Marginof error
–
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
1%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
0%
CornelWestIndependent
4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
September 27 – October 2, 2024
Samplesize
555 (LV)
Marginof error
–
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
3%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
Poll source
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
Date(s)administered
September 24 – October 1, 2024
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
0%
Other /Undecided
3%
AtlasIntel
AtlasIntel
Poll source
AtlasIntel
Date(s)administered
September 20–25, 2024
Samplesize
946 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
50%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
0%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
–
Other /Undecided
1%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
Poll source
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
Date(s)administered
September 19–25, 2024
Samplesize
409 (LV)
Marginof error
–
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
50%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
–
Other /Undecided
2%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
September 19–25, 2024
Samplesize
977 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
2%
Other /Undecided
2%
926 (LV)
926 (LV)
Poll source
926 (LV)
Date(s)administered
49%
Samplesize
46%
Marginof error
–
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
1%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
2%
CornelWestIndependent
2%
Fox News
Fox News
Poll source
Fox News
Date(s)administered
September 20−24, 2024
Samplesize
1,021 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
2%
Other /Undecided
−
764 (LV)
764 (LV)
Poll source
764 (LV)
Date(s)administered
± 3.5%
Samplesize
47%
Marginof error
50%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
0%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
1%
CornelWestIndependent
2%
JillSteinGreen
−
Suffolk University/USA Today
Suffolk University/USA Today
Poll source
Suffolk University/USA Today
Date(s)administered
September 19−24, 2024
Samplesize
500 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
42%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
8%
The New York Times/Siena College
The New York Times/Siena College
Poll source
The New York Times/Siena College
Date(s)administered
September 17–21, 2024
Samplesize
713 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
42%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
2%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
3%
Other /Undecided
6%
713 (LV)
713 (LV)
Poll source
713 (LV)
Date(s)administered
43%
Samplesize
48%
Marginof error
–
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
2%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
2%
CornelWestIndependent
5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
September 16–19, 2024
Samplesize
789 (LV)
Marginof error
–
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
September 6–9, 2024
Samplesize
765 (LV)
Marginof error
–
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
5%
TIPP Insights
TIPP Insights
Poll source
TIPP Insights
Date(s)administered
September 3–5, 2024
Samplesize
1,015 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.2%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
–
Other /Undecided
6%
949 (LV)
949 (LV)
Poll source
949 (LV)
Date(s)administered
48%
Samplesize
48%
Marginof error
1%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
1%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
–
CornelWestIndependent
2%
YouGov
YouGov
Poll source
YouGov
Date(s)administered
August 23 – September 3, 2024
Samplesize
900 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.2%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
45%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
–
Other /Undecided
6%
CNN/SSRS
CNN/SSRS
Poll source
CNN/SSRS
Date(s)administered
August 23–29, 2024
Samplesize
682 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.7%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
44%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
2%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
August 25–28, 2024
Samplesize
530 (LV)
Marginof error
–
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
45%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
7%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
August 23–26, 2024
Samplesize
776 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
0%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
2%
Other /Undecided
2%
758 (RV)
758 (RV)
Poll source
758 (RV)
Date(s)administered
± 3.0%
Samplesize
49%
Marginof error
47%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
–
DonaldTrumpRepublican
0%
CornelWestIndependent
2%
JillSteinGreen
2%
Fox News
Fox News
Poll source
Fox News
Date(s)administered
August 23–26, 2024
Samplesize
1,014 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
2%
Other /Undecided
1%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
ChaseOliverLibertarian
Other /Undecided
HarrisX
November 3–5, 2024
1,636 (RV)
± 2.4%
44%
47%
1%
1%
–
7%
46%
50%
2%
2%
–
–
1,468 (LV)
46%
49%
1%
1%
–
3%
47%
50%
2%
1%
–
–
AtlasIntel
November 3–4, 2024
875 (LV)
± 3.0%
46%
51%
–
1%
0%
2%
AtlasIntel
November 1–2, 2024
967 (LV)
± 3.0%
45%
52%
–
1%
1%
1%
The New York Times/Siena College
October 25 – November 2, 2024
1,025 (RV)
± 3.5%
42%
47%
–
3%
2%
6%
1,025 (LV)
44%
48%
–
2%
1%
5%
Focaldata
October 3 – November 1, 2024
1,779 (LV)
–
48%
49%
–
1%
1%
1%
1,603 (RV)
± 2.3%
49%
47%
–
2%
1%
1%
1,779 (A)
–
49%
47%
–
2%
1%
1%
AtlasIntel
October 30–31, 2024
1,005 (LV)
± 3.0%
46%
51%
–
1%
1%
1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
October 28–31, 2024
652 (LV)
–
47%
48%
–
1%
1%
3%
YouGov
October 25–31, 2024
880 (RV)
± 4.4%
47%
48%
0%
1%
–
4%
856 (LV)
48%
48%
0%
0%
–
4%
Noble Predictive Insights
October 28–30, 2024
775 (LV)
± 3.5%
47%
48%
–
2%
0%
3%
Data for Progress (D)
October 25–30, 2024
1,079 (LV)
± 3.0%
47%
48%
–
1%
0%
4%
AtlasIntel
October 25–29, 2024
1,458 (LV)
± 3.0%
46%
51%
–
1%
0%
2%
Mitchell Research & Communications
October 28, 2024
610 (LV)
± 4.0%
48%
50%
–
0%
1%
1%
Data Orbital
October 26–28, 2024
550 (LV)
± 4.3%
42%
50%
–
1%
1%
6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
October 25–27, 2024
901 (LV)
–
47%
49%
–
1%
1%
2%
Partners
October 24–26, 2024
500 (LV)
± 4.4%
48%
49%
–
0%
1%
2%
CNN/SSRS
October 21–26, 2024
781 (LV)
± 4.4%
48%
47%
–
1%
2%
2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
October 20–22, 2024
710 (LV)
–
46%
48%
–
1%
1%
4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
October 16–20, 2024
915 (RV)
± 3.0%
48%
48%
–
1%
2%
1%
861 (LV)
48%
48%
–
1%
2%
1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
October 16–18, 2024
691 (LV)
–
46%
49%
–
1%
1%
3%
AtlasIntel
October 12–17, 2024
1,440 (LV)
± 3.0%
49%
49%
–
1%
0%
1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
October 12–14, 2024
1,141 (LV)
–
46%
48%
–
1%
1%
4%
The New York Times/Siena College
October 7–10, 2024
808 (RV)
± 4.0%
44%
49%
–
2%
1%
4%
808 (LV)
45%
50%
–
1%
0%
4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
September 27 – October 2, 2024
555 (LV)
–
47%
48%
–
1%
1%
3%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
September 24 – October 1, 2024
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
47%
49%
–
1%
0%
3%
AtlasIntel
September 20–25, 2024
946 (LV)
± 3.0%
49%
50%
–
0%
–
1%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
September 19–25, 2024
409 (LV)
–
50%
47%
–
1%
–
2%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
September 19–25, 2024
977 (RV)
± 3.0%
49%
46%
–
1%
2%
2%
926 (LV)
49%
46%
–
1%
2%
2%
Fox News
September 20−24, 2024
1,021 (RV)
± 3.0%
47%
49%
1%
1%
2%
−
764 (LV)
± 3.5%
47%
50%
0%
1%
2%
−
Suffolk University/USA Today
September 19−24, 2024
500 (LV)
± 4.4%
42%
48%
–
1%
1%
8%
The New York Times/Siena College
September 17–21, 2024
713 (RV)
± 4.4%
42%
47%
–
2%
3%
6%
713 (LV)
43%
48%
–
2%
2%
5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
September 16–19, 2024
789 (LV)
–
47%
47%
–
1%
1%
4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
September 6–9, 2024
765 (LV)
–
46%
47%
–
1%
1%
5%
TIPP Insights
September 3–5, 2024
1,015 (RV)
± 3.2%
46%
46%
1%
1%
–
6%
949 (LV)
48%
48%
1%
1%
–
2%
YouGov
August 23 – September 3, 2024
900 (RV)
± 4.2%
45%
47%
1%
1%
–
6%
CNN/SSRS
August 23–29, 2024
682 (LV)
± 4.7%
44%
49%
–
2%
1%
4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
August 25–28, 2024
530 (LV)
–
45%
46%
–
1%
1%
7%
The Wall Street Journal
The Wall Street Journal
Poll source
The Wall Street Journal
Date(s)administered
September 28 – October 8, 2024
Samplesize
600 (RV)
Marginof error
± 5.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
0%
CornelWestIndependent
0%
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
6%
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)
Poll source
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)
Date(s)administered
September 23–29, 2024
Samplesize
400 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.9%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
0%
CornelWestIndependent
0%
JillSteinGreen
2%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
3%
Spry Strategies (R)
Spry Strategies (R)
Poll source
Spry Strategies (R)
Date(s)administered
August 14–20, 2024
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
2%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
–
Other /Undecided
5%
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Poll source
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Date(s)administered
August 13–17, 2024
Samplesize
1,187 (LV)
Marginof error
–
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
44%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
7%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
0%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
–
Other /Undecided
3%
Focaldata
Focaldata
Poll source
Focaldata
Date(s)administered
August 6–16, 2024
Samplesize
702 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.7%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
45%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
7%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
0%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
0%
Other /Undecided
2%
702 (RV)
702 (RV)
Poll source
702 (RV)
Date(s)administered
45%
Samplesize
45%
Marginof error
9%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
–
DonaldTrumpRepublican
0%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
0%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
702 (A)
702 (A)
Poll source
702 (A)
Date(s)administered
42%
Samplesize
46%
Marginof error
9%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
–
DonaldTrumpRepublican
0%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
0%
CornelWestIndependent
3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
August 12–15, 2024
Samplesize
592 (LV)
Marginof error
–
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
43%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
5%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
6%
The New York Times/Siena College
The New York Times/Siena College
Poll source
The New York Times/Siena College
Date(s)administered
August 8–15, 2024
Samplesize
677 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
45%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
42%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
6%
CornelWestIndependent
0%
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
2%
Other /Undecided
4%
677 (LV)
677 (LV)
Poll source
677 (LV)
Date(s)administered
47%
Samplesize
43%
Marginof error
5%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
0%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
0%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
1%
CornelWestIndependent
4%
Navigator Research (D)
Navigator Research (D)
Poll source
Navigator Research (D)
Date(s)administered
July 31 – August 8, 2024
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
45%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
5%
CornelWestIndependent
0%
JillSteinGreen
0%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
0%
Other /Undecided
4%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
Poll source
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
Date(s)administered
July 26 – August 8, 2024
Samplesize
435 (LV)
Marginof error
–
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
42%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
7%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
0%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
July 31 – August 3, 2024
Samplesize
567 (LV)
Marginof error
–
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
44%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
4%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
0%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
0%
Other /Undecided
9%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
July 24–28, 2024
Samplesize
804 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
5%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
0%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
2%
Other /Undecided
1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
July 22–24, 2024
Samplesize
510 (LV)
Marginof error
–
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
43%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
4%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
0%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
6%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
July 22–23, 2024
Samplesize
800 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.4%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
40%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
5%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
1%
ChaseOliverLibertarian
1%
Other /Undecided
4%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
ChaseOliverLibertarian
Other /Undecided
The Wall Street Journal
September 28 – October 8, 2024
600 (RV)
± 5.0%
47%
45%
0%
0%
1%
1%
6%
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)
September 23–29, 2024
400 (LV)
± 4.9%
47%
47%
0%
0%
2%
1%
3%
August 23, 2024
Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
Spry Strategies (R)
August 14–20, 2024
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
46%
46%
2%
–
1%
–
5%
Rasmussen Reports (R)
August 13–17, 2024
1,187 (LV)
–
44%
45%
7%
1%
0%
–
3%
Focaldata
August 6–16, 2024
702 (LV)
± 3.7%
45%
46%
7%
–
0%
0%
2%
702 (RV)
45%
45%
9%
–
0%
0%
1%
702 (A)
42%
46%
9%
–
0%
0%
3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
August 12–15, 2024
592 (LV)
–
43%
44%
5%
–
1%
1%
6%
The New York Times/Siena College
August 8–15, 2024
677 (RV)
± 4.4%
45%
42%
6%
0%
1%
2%
4%
677 (LV)
47%
43%
5%
0%
0%
1%
4%
Navigator Research (D)
July 31 – August 8, 2024
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
45%
46%
5%
0%
0%
0%
4%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
July 26 – August 8, 2024
435 (LV)
–
46%
42%
7%
1%
0%
4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
July 31 – August 3, 2024
567 (LV)
–
44%
43%
4%
–
0%
0%
9%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
July 24–28, 2024
804 (RV)
± 3.0%
48%
44%
5%
–
0%
2%
1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
July 22–24, 2024
510 (LV)
–
43%
46%
4%
–
0%
1%
6%
Emerson College
July 22–23, 2024
800 (RV)
± 3.4%
40%
48%
5%
1%
1%
1%
4%
Public Policy Polling (D)
Public Policy Polling (D)
Poll source
Public Policy Polling (D)
Date(s)administered
July 17–20, 2024
Samplesize
738 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.6%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
40%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
7%
JillSteinGreen
1%
Other /Undecided
6%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
JillSteinGreen
Other /Undecided
August 23, 2024
Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
Public Policy Polling (D)
July 17–20, 2024
738 (RV)
± 3.6%
40%
46%
7%
1%
6%
Peak Insights (R)
Peak Insights (R)
Poll source
Peak Insights (R)
Date(s)administered
July 31 – August 5, 2024
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
42%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
11%
Other /Undecided
3%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
KamalaHarrisDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
Other /Undecided
August 23, 2024
Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
Peak Insights (R)
July 31 – August 5, 2024
800 (LV)
± 3.0%
42%
44%
11%
3%
Public Policy Polling (D)
Public Policy Polling (D)
Poll source
Public Policy Polling (D)
Date(s)administered
July 17–20, 2024
Samplesize
738 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.6%
JoeBidenDemocratic
44%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
50%
Other /Undecided
6%
InsiderAdvantage (R)
InsiderAdvantage (R)
Poll source
InsiderAdvantage (R)
Date(s)administered
July 15–16, 2024
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
JoeBidenDemocratic
44%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
7%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
July 15–16, 2024
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
40%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
13%
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Poll source
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Date(s)administered
July 5–12, 2024
Samplesize
1,101 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
41%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
50%
Other /Undecided
9%
Public Policy Polling (D)
Public Policy Polling (D)
Poll source
Public Policy Polling (D)
Date(s)administered
July 10–11, 2024
Samplesize
596 (RV)
Marginof error
–
JoeBidenDemocratic
43%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
51%
Other /Undecided
6%
Echelon Insights
Echelon Insights
Poll source
Echelon Insights
Date(s)administered
July 1–8, 2024
Samplesize
601 (LV)
Marginof error
± 5.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
44%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
8%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
July 1–5, 2024
Samplesize
781 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
45%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
7%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
June 30 – July 2, 2024
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
42%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Other /Undecided
12%
North Star Opinion Research (R)
North Star Opinion Research (R)
Poll source
North Star Opinion Research (R)
Date(s)administered
June 17–20, 2024
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
42%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
10%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
June 13–18, 2024
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
43%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
10%
48%
48%
Poll source
48%
Date(s)administered
52%
Samplesize
–
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Poll source
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Date(s)administered
June 11–13, 2024
Samplesize
750 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
40%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
13%
Fox News
Fox News
Poll source
Fox News
Date(s)administered
June 1–4, 2024
Samplesize
1,095 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
51%
Other /Undecided
3%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
Poll source
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
Date(s)administered
May 28 – June 4, 2024
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
44%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
50%
Other /Undecided
6%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University
Poll source
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University
Date(s)administered
May 19–21, 2024
Samplesize
609 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
41%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
41%
Other /Undecided
18%
501 (LV)
501 (LV)
Poll source
501 (LV)
Date(s)administered
45%
Samplesize
43%
Marginof error
12%
CBS News/YouGov
CBS News/YouGov
Poll source
CBS News/YouGov
Date(s)administered
May 10–16, 2024
Samplesize
1,214 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
JoeBidenDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
52%
Other /Undecided
1%
Prime Group
Prime Group
Poll source
Prime Group
Date(s)administered
May 9–16, 2024
Samplesize
490 (RV)
Marginof error
–
JoeBidenDemocratic
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
51%
Other /Undecided
–
Noble Predictive Insights
Noble Predictive Insights
Poll source
Noble Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
May 7–14, 2024
Samplesize
1,003 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
JoeBidenDemocratic
41%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
Other /Undecided
15%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
May 7–13, 2024
Samplesize
795 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
44%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
7%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
Poll source
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
Date(s)administered
May 6–13, 2024
Samplesize
527 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.3%
JoeBidenDemocratic
44%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
Other /Undecided
11%
The New York Times/Siena College
The New York Times/Siena College
Poll source
The New York Times/Siena College
Date(s)administered
April 28 – May 9, 2024
Samplesize
626 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
42%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
9%
626 (LV)
626 (LV)
Poll source
626 (LV)
Date(s)administered
43%
Samplesize
49%
Marginof error
8%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
April 25–29, 2024
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
44%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
8%
48%
48%
Poll source
48%
Date(s)administered
52%
Samplesize
–
Kaplan Strategies
Kaplan Strategies
Poll source
Kaplan Strategies
Date(s)administered
April 20–21, 2024
Samplesize
874 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.3%
JoeBidenDemocratic
43%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
10%
John Zogby Strategies
John Zogby Strategies
Poll source
John Zogby Strategies
Date(s)administered
April 13–21, 2024
Samplesize
630 (LV)
Marginof error
–
JoeBidenDemocratic
40%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
51%
Other /Undecided
9%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
April 8–15, 2024
Samplesize
801 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
42%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
9%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)
Poll source
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)
Date(s)administered
April 7–11, 2024
Samplesize
400 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.9%
JoeBidenDemocratic
44%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
8%
The Bullfinch Group
The Bullfinch Group
Poll source
The Bullfinch Group
Date(s)administered
March 29 – April 3, 2024
Samplesize
600 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
38%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
Other /Undecided
18%
RABA Research
RABA Research
Poll source
RABA Research
Date(s)administered
March 28–31, 2024
Samplesize
503 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
JoeBidenDemocratic
36%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
39%
Other /Undecided
25%
The Wall Street Journal
The Wall Street Journal
Poll source
The Wall Street Journal
Date(s)administered
March 17–24, 2024
Samplesize
600 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
42%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
11%
Echelon Insights
Echelon Insights
Poll source
Echelon Insights
Date(s)administered
March 12–19, 2024
Samplesize
401 (LV)
Marginof error
± 5.7%
JoeBidenDemocratic
45%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
51%
Other /Undecided
4%
North Star Opinion Research (R)
North Star Opinion Research (R)
Poll source
North Star Opinion Research (R)
Date(s)administered
March 14–17, 2024
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
42%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Other /Undecided
12%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
March 12–15, 2024
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
44%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
8%
48%
48%
Poll source
48%
Date(s)administered
52%
Samplesize
–
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
March 8–14, 2024
Samplesize
796 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
43%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
9%
Fox News
Fox News
Poll source
Fox News
Date(s)administered
March 7–11, 2024
Samplesize
1,121 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
45%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
6%
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Poll source
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Date(s)administered
February 21–26, 2024
Samplesize
1,001 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
40%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
13%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
February 12–20, 2024
Samplesize
798 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
43%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
8%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
February 16–19, 2024
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
43%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Other /Undecided
11%
J.L. Partners
J.L. Partners
Poll source
J.L. Partners
Date(s)administered
January 29 – February 1, 2024
Samplesize
500 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
JoeBidenDemocratic
41%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
Other /Undecided
14%
Focaldata
Focaldata
Poll source
Focaldata
Date(s)administered
January 17–23, 2024
Samplesize
783 (A)
Marginof error
–
JoeBidenDemocratic
39%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
Other /Undecided
18%
– (LV)
– (LV)
Poll source
– (LV)
Date(s)administered
41%
Samplesize
45%
Marginof error
14%
– (LV)
– (LV)
Poll source
– (LV)
Date(s)administered
50%
Samplesize
50%
Marginof error
–
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
January 16–21, 2024
Samplesize
800 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
44%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
9%
The Bullfinch Group
The Bullfinch Group
Poll source
The Bullfinch Group
Date(s)administered
December 14–18, 2023
Samplesize
600 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
40%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
50%
Other /Undecided
10%
VCreek/AMG (R)
VCreek/AMG (R)
Poll source
VCreek/AMG (R)
Date(s)administered
December 1–8, 2023
Samplesize
694 (RV)
Marginof error
–
JoeBidenDemocratic
41%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Other /Undecided
13%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
November 27 – December 6, 2023
Samplesize
796 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
42%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Other /Undecided
12%
J.L. Partners
J.L. Partners
Poll source
J.L. Partners
Date(s)administered
November 27 – December 1, 2023
Samplesize
550 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
JoeBidenDemocratic
43%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
9%
Tulchin Research (D)
Tulchin Research (D)
Poll source
Tulchin Research (D)
Date(s)administered
November 13–20, 2023
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
JoeBidenDemocratic
42%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
42%
Other /Undecided
16%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
October 30 – November 7, 2023
Samplesize
800 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
42%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Other /Undecided
12%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
October 30 – November 4, 2023
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
41%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
Other /Undecided
16%
The New York Times/Siena College
The New York Times/Siena College
Poll source
The New York Times/Siena College
Date(s)administered
October 22 – November 3, 2023
Samplesize
603 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
JoeBidenDemocratic
44%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
7%
603 (LV)
603 (LV)
Poll source
603 (LV)
Date(s)administered
44%
Samplesize
49%
Marginof error
7%
Noble Predictive Insights
Noble Predictive Insights
Poll source
Noble Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
October 25–31, 2023
Samplesize
1,010 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
JoeBidenDemocratic
38%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Other /Undecided
16%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
October 5–10, 2023
Samplesize
804 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
43%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
10%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
October 7–9, 2023
Samplesize
627 (RV)
Marginof error
–
JoeBidenDemocratic
39%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
Other /Undecided
16%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
August 2–4, 2023
Samplesize
1,337 (RV)
Marginof error
± 2.6%
JoeBidenDemocratic
43%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
Other /Undecided
13%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Poll source
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Date(s)administered
July 22–24, 2023
Samplesize
500 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
JoeBidenDemocratic
45%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
Other /Undecided
8%
Prime Group
Prime Group
Poll source
Prime Group
Date(s)administered
June 14–28, 2023
Samplesize
500 (RV)
Marginof error
–
JoeBidenDemocratic
48%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
52%
Other /Undecided
–
31%
31%
Poll source
31%
Date(s)administered
41%
Samplesize
28%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Poll source
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Date(s)administered
June 17–19, 2023
Samplesize
500 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
JoeBidenDemocratic
44%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
41%
Other /Undecided
11%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Poll source
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Date(s)administered
May 15–17, 2023
Samplesize
500 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
JoeBidenDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
Other /Undecided
10%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Poll source
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Date(s)administered
April 11–13, 2023
Samplesize
500 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
JoeBidenDemocratic
45%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
Other /Undecided
11%
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Poll source
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Date(s)administered
March 13–14, 2023
Samplesize
1,001 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
39%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
50%
Other /Undecided
11%
OH Predictive Insights
OH Predictive Insights
Poll source
OH Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
January 31 – February 9, 2023
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
JoeBidenDemocratic
39%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
37%
Other /Undecided
24%
Blueprint Polling (D)
Blueprint Polling (D)
Poll source
Blueprint Polling (D)
Date(s)administered
January 5–8, 2023
Samplesize
618 (V)
Marginof error
± 3.9%
JoeBidenDemocratic
35%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
38%
Other /Undecided
27%
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Poll source
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Date(s)administered
November 8–9, 2022
Samplesize
874 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
47%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
Other /Undecided
8%
Targoz Market Research
Targoz Market Research
Poll source
Targoz Market Research
Date(s)administered
November 2–6, 2022
Samplesize
560 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.1%
JoeBidenDemocratic
45%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
53%
Other /Undecided
2%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
October 30 – November 1, 2022
Samplesize
1,000 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
42%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Other /Undecided
12%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
September 6–7, 2022
Samplesize
627 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.9%
JoeBidenDemocratic
41%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
Other /Undecided
15%
Echelon Insights
Echelon Insights
Poll source
Echelon Insights
Date(s)administered
August 31 – September 7, 2022
Samplesize
773 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.5%
JoeBidenDemocratic
43%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
10%
Blueprint Polling (D)
Blueprint Polling (D)
Poll source
Blueprint Polling (D)
Date(s)administered
May 12–16, 2022
Samplesize
608 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
41%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
41%
Other /Undecided
18%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)
Poll source
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)
Date(s)administered
November 11–16, 2021
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
43%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
51%
Other /Undecided
6%
Bendixen/Amandi International
Bendixen/Amandi International
Poll source
Bendixen/Amandi International
Date(s)administered
June 17–23, 2021
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
51%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
Other /Undecided
5%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Other /Undecided
July 21, 2024
Joe Biden withdraws from the race.
Public Policy Polling (D)
July 17–20, 2024
738 (RV)
± 3.6%
44%
50%
6%
InsiderAdvantage (R)
July 15–16, 2024
800 (LV)
± 3.5%
44%
49%
7%
Emerson College
July 15–16, 2024
1,000 (RV)
± 3.0%
40%
47%
13%
Rasmussen Reports (R)
July 5–12, 2024
1,101 (LV)
± 3.0%
41%
50%
9%
Public Policy Polling (D)
July 10–11, 2024
596 (RV)
–
43%
51%
6%
Echelon Insights
July 1–8, 2024
601 (LV)
± 5.0%
44%
48%
8%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
July 1–5, 2024
781 (RV)
± 4.0%
45%
48%
7%
Emerson College
June 30 – July 2, 2024
1,000 (RV)
± 3.0%
42%
46%
12%
North Star Opinion Research (R)
June 17–20, 2024
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
42%
48%
10%
Emerson College
June 13–18, 2024
1,000 (RV)
± 3.0%
43%
47%
10%
48%
52%
–
Rasmussen Reports (R)
June 11–13, 2024
750 (RV)
± 4.0%
40%
47%
13%
Fox News
June 1–4, 2024
1,095 (RV)
± 3.0%
46%
51%
3%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
May 28 – June 4, 2024
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
44%
50%
6%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University
May 19–21, 2024
609 (RV)
± 4.0%
41%
41%
18%
501 (LV)
45%
43%
12%
CBS News/YouGov
May 10–16, 2024
1,214 (RV)
± 3.5%
47%
52%
1%
Prime Group
May 9–16, 2024
490 (RV)
–
49%
51%
–
Noble Predictive Insights
May 7–14, 2024
1,003 (RV)
± 3.1%
41%
44%
15%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
May 7–13, 2024
795 (RV)
± 3.0%
44%
49%
7%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
May 6–13, 2024
527 (LV)
± 4.3%
44%
45%
11%
The New York Times/Siena College
April 28 – May 9, 2024
626 (RV)
± 4.0%
42%
49%
9%
626 (LV)
43%
49%
8%
Emerson College
April 25–29, 2024
1,000 (RV)
± 3.0%
44%
48%
8%
48%
52%
–
Kaplan Strategies
April 20–21, 2024
874 (RV)
± 3.3%
43%
47%
10%
John Zogby Strategies
April 13–21, 2024
630 (LV)
–
40%
51%
9%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
April 8–15, 2024
801 (RV)
± 3.0%
42%
49%
9%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)
April 7–11, 2024
400 (LV)
± 4.9%
44%
48%
8%
The Bullfinch Group
March 29 – April 3, 2024
600 (RV)
± 4.0%
38%
44%
18%
RABA Research
March 28–31, 2024
503 (RV)
± 4.4%
36%
39%
25%
The Wall Street Journal
March 17–24, 2024
600 (RV)
± 4.0%
42%
47%
11%
Echelon Insights
March 12–19, 2024
401 (LV)
± 5.7%
45%
51%
4%
North Star Opinion Research (R)
March 14–17, 2024
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
42%
46%
12%
Emerson College
March 12–15, 2024
1,000 (RV)
± 3.0%
44%
48%
8%
48%
52%
–
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
March 8–14, 2024
796 (RV)
± 3.0%
43%
48%
9%
Fox News
March 7–11, 2024
1,121 (RV)
± 3.0%
45%
49%
6%
Rasmussen Reports (R)
February 21–26, 2024
1,001 (RV)
± 3.0%
40%
47%
13%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
February 12–20, 2024
798 (RV)
± 3.0%
43%
49%
8%
Emerson College
February 16–19, 2024
1,000 (RV)
± 3.0%
43%
46%
11%
Partners
January 29 – February 1, 2024
500 (RV)
± 4.4%
41%
45%
14%
Focaldata
January 17–23, 2024
783 (A)
–
39%
43%
18%
– (LV)
41%
45%
14%
– (LV)
50%
50%
–
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
January 16–21, 2024
800 (RV)
± 3.0%
44%
47%
9%
The Bullfinch Group
December 14–18, 2023
600 (RV)
± 4.0%
40%
50%
10%
VCreek/AMG (R)
December 1–8, 2023
694 (RV)
–
41%
46%
13%
Public Policy Polling (D)
Public Policy Polling (D)
Poll source
Public Policy Polling (D)
Date(s)administered
July 17–20, 2024
Samplesize
738 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.6%
JoeBidenDemocratic
40%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
7%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
2%
Other /Undecided
6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
July 16–18, 2024
Samplesize
456 (LV)
Marginof error
–
JoeBidenDemocratic
40%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
7%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
1%
Other /Undecided
8%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
July 15–16, 2024
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
36%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
6%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
1%
Other /Undecided
10%
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Poll source
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Date(s)administered
July 5–12, 2024
Samplesize
1,101 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
37%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
9%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
1%
Other /Undecided
6%
YouGov
YouGov
Poll source
YouGov
Date(s)administered
July 4–12, 2024
Samplesize
900 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.9%
JoeBidenDemocratic
37%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
5%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
2%
Other /Undecided
11%
J.L. Partners
J.L. Partners
Poll source
J.L. Partners
Date(s)administered
July 10–11, 2024
Samplesize
513 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.3%
JoeBidenDemocratic
40%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
4%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
2%
Other /Undecided
8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
July 8–10, 2024
Samplesize
419 (LV)
Marginof error
–
JoeBidenDemocratic
39%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
7%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
1%
Other /Undecided
10%
Echelon Insights
Echelon Insights
Poll source
Echelon Insights
Date(s)administered
July 1–8, 2024
Samplesize
601 (LV)
Marginof error
± 5.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
39%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
41%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
11%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
0%
Other /Undecided
8%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
July 1–5, 2024
Samplesize
781 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
38%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
9%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
0%
Other /Undecided
7%
North Star Opinion Research (R)
North Star Opinion Research (R)
Poll source
North Star Opinion Research (R)
Date(s)administered
June 17–20, 2024
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
32%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
42%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
13%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
3%
Other /Undecided
10%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
June 13–18, 2024
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
39%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
8%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
1%
Other /Undecided
8%
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Poll source
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Date(s)administered
June 11–13, 2024
Samplesize
750 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
37%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
41%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
10%
CornelWestIndependent
2%
JillSteinGreen
1%
Other /Undecided
9%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
June 8–11, 2024
Samplesize
430 (LV)
Marginof error
–
JoeBidenDemocratic
38%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
40%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
6%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
1%
Other /Undecided
15%
Fox News
Fox News
Poll source
Fox News
Date(s)administered
June 1–4, 2024
Samplesize
1,095 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
41%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
8%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
1%
Other /Undecided
3%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
Poll source
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
Date(s)administered
May 28 – June 4, 2024
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
37%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
11%
CornelWestIndependent
0%
JillSteinGreen
3%
Other /Undecided
4%
Prime Group
Prime Group
Poll source
Prime Group
Date(s)administered
May 9–16, 2024
Samplesize
490 (RV)
Marginof error
–
JoeBidenDemocratic
40%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
11%
CornelWestIndependent
3%
JillSteinGreen
2%
Other /Undecided
–
Noble Predictive Insights
Noble Predictive Insights
Poll source
Noble Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
May 7–14, 2024
Samplesize
1,003 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
JoeBidenDemocratic
36%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
8%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
2%
Other /Undecided
10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
May 7–13, 2024
Samplesize
795 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
40%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
7%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
2%
Other /Undecided
5%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
Poll source
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
Date(s)administered
May 6–13, 2024
Samplesize
527 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.3%
JoeBidenDemocratic
37%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
41%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
10%
CornelWestIndependent
2%
JillSteinGreen
1%
Other /Undecided
9%
The New York Times/Siena College
The New York Times/Siena College
Poll source
The New York Times/Siena College
Date(s)administered
April 28 – May 9, 2024
Samplesize
626 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
33%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
42%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
10%
CornelWestIndependent
0%
JillSteinGreen
2%
Other /Undecided
13%
626 (LV)
626 (LV)
Poll source
626 (LV)
Date(s)administered
35%
Samplesize
44%
Marginof error
8%
JoeBidenDemocratic
0%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
2%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
11%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
April 25–29, 2024
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
40%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
9%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
1%
Other /Undecided
6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
April 8–15, 2024
Samplesize
801 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
40%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
7%
CornelWestIndependent
2%
JillSteinGreen
0%
Other /Undecided
5%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)
Poll source
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)
Date(s)administered
April 7–11, 2024
Samplesize
400 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.9%
JoeBidenDemocratic
37%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
42%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
10%
CornelWestIndependent
–
JillSteinGreen
2%
Other /Undecided
9%
The Wall Street Journal
The Wall Street Journal
Poll source
The Wall Street Journal
Date(s)administered
March 17–24, 2024
Samplesize
600 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
34%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
39%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
13%
CornelWestIndependent
2%
JillSteinGreen
1%
Other /Undecided
11%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
March 12–15, 2024
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
38%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
7%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
2%
Other /Undecided
6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
March 8–14, 2024
Samplesize
796 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
37%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
12%
CornelWestIndependent
2%
JillSteinGreen
1%
Other /Undecided
5%
Fox News
Fox News
Poll source
Fox News
Date(s)administered
March 7–11, 2024
Samplesize
1,121 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
39%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
10%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
2%
Other /Undecided
5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
February 12–20, 2024
Samplesize
798 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
36%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
9%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
1%
Other /Undecided
8%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
February 16–19, 2024
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
37%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
8%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
1%
Other /Undecided
10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
January 16–21, 2024
Samplesize
800 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
35%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
10%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
1%
Other /Undecided
10%
VCreek/AMG (R)
VCreek/AMG (R)
Poll source
VCreek/AMG (R)
Date(s)administered
December 1–8, 2023
Samplesize
694 (RV)
Marginof error
–
JoeBidenDemocratic
32%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
40%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
9%
CornelWestIndependent
3%
JillSteinGreen
2%
Other /Undecided
14%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
November 27 – December 6, 2023
Samplesize
796 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
37%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
40%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
10%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
1%
Other /Undecided
11%
J.L. Partners
J.L. Partners
Poll source
J.L. Partners
Date(s)administered
November 27 – December 1, 2023
Samplesize
550 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.2%
JoeBidenDemocratic
39%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
5%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
JillSteinGreen
0%
Other /Undecided
12%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
CornelWestIndependent
JillSteinGreen
Other /Undecided
July 21, 2024
Joe Biden withdraws from the race.
Public Policy Polling (D)
July 17–20, 2024
738 (RV)
± 3.6%
40%
45%
7%
–
2%
6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
July 16–18, 2024
456 (LV)
–
40%
44%
7%
–
1%
8%
Emerson College
July 15–16, 2024
1,000 (RV)
± 3.0%
36%
46%
6%
1%
1%
10%
Rasmussen Reports (R)
July 5–12, 2024
1,101 (LV)
± 3.0%
37%
46%
9%
1%
1%
6%
YouGov
July 4–12, 2024
900 (RV)
± 3.9%
37%
44%
5%
1%
2%
11%
Partners
July 10–11, 2024
513 (LV)
± 4.3%
40%
46%
4%
–
2%
8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
July 8–10, 2024
419 (LV)
–
39%
43%
7%
–
1%
10%
Echelon Insights
July 1–8, 2024
601 (LV)
± 5.0%
39%
41%
11%
1%
0%
8%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
July 1–5, 2024
781 (RV)
± 4.0%
38%
45%
9%
1%
0%
7%
North Star Opinion Research (R)
June 17–20, 2024
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
32%
42%
13%
–
3%
10%
Emerson College
June 13–18, 2024
1,000 (RV)
± 3.0%
39%
43%
8%
1%
1%
8%
Rasmussen Reports (R)
June 11–13, 2024
750 (RV)
± 4.0%
37%
41%
10%
2%
1%
9%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
June 8–11, 2024
430 (LV)
–
38%
40%
6%
–
1%
15%
Fox News
June 1–4, 2024
1,095 (RV)
± 3.0%
41%
46%
8%
1%
1%
3%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
May 28 – June 4, 2024
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
37%
45%
11%
0%
3%
4%
Prime Group
May 9–16, 2024
490 (RV)
–
40%
44%
11%
3%
2%
–
Noble Predictive Insights
May 7–14, 2024
1,003 (RV)
± 3.1%
36%
43%
8%
1%
2%
10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
May 7–13, 2024
795 (RV)
± 3.0%
40%
45%
7%
1%
2%
5%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
May 6–13, 2024
527 (LV)
± 4.3%
37%
41%
10%
2%
1%
9%
The New York Times/Siena College
April 28 – May 9, 2024
626 (RV)
± 4.0%
33%
42%
10%
0%
2%
13%
626 (LV)
35%
44%
8%
0%
2%
11%
Emerson College
April 25–29, 2024
1,000 (RV)
± 3.0%
40%
44%
9%
1%
1%
6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
April 8–15, 2024
801 (RV)
± 3.0%
40%
46%
7%
2%
0%
5%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)
April 7–11, 2024
400 (LV)
± 4.9%
37%
42%
10%
–
2%
9%
The Wall Street Journal
March 17–24, 2024
600 (RV)
± 4.0%
34%
39%
13%
2%
1%
11%
Emerson College
March 12–15, 2024
1,000 (RV)
± 3.0%
38%
46%
7%
1%
2%
6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
March 8–14, 2024
796 (RV)
± 3.0%
37%
43%
12%
2%
1%
5%
Fox News
March 7–11, 2024
1,121 (RV)
± 3.0%
39%
43%
10%
1%
2%
5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
February 12–20, 2024
798 (RV)
± 3.0%
36%
45%
9%
1%
1%
8%
Emerson College
February 16–19, 2024
1,000 (RV)
± 3.0%
37%
43%
8%
1%
1%
10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
January 16–21, 2024
800 (RV)
± 3.0%
35%
43%
10%
1%
1%
10%
VCreek/AMG (R)
December 1–8, 2023
694 (RV)
–
32%
40%
9%
3%
2%
14%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
November 27 – December 6, 2023
796 (RV)
± 3.0%
37%
40%
10%
1%
1%
11%
Partners
November 27 – December 1, 2023
550 (LV)
± 4.2%
39%
44%
5%
1%
0%
12%
1983 Labs
1983 Labs
Poll source
1983 Labs
Date(s)administered
June 28–30, 2024
Samplesize
492 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
JoeBidenDemocratic
33%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
8%
Other /Undecided
11%
P2 Insights
P2 Insights
Poll source
P2 Insights
Date(s)administered
June 11–20, 2024
Samplesize
650 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.8%
JoeBidenDemocratic
36%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
7%
Other /Undecided
10%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University
Poll source
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University
Date(s)administered
May 19–21, 2024
Samplesize
609 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
37%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
39%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
9%
Other /Undecided
15%
501 (LV)
501 (LV)
Poll source
501 (LV)
Date(s)administered
39%
Samplesize
43%
Marginof error
7%
JoeBidenDemocratic
11%
P2 Insights
P2 Insights
Poll source
P2 Insights
Date(s)administered
May 13–21, 2024
Samplesize
650 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.8%
JoeBidenDemocratic
38%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
41%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
9%
Other /Undecided
12%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
May 2–4, 2024
Samplesize
625 (LV)
Marginof error
–
JoeBidenDemocratic
42%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
7%
Other /Undecided
7%
Data Orbital
Data Orbital
Poll source
Data Orbital
Date(s)administered
April 27–29, 2024
Samplesize
550 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.3%
JoeBidenDemocratic
38.8%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
38.1%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
13.5%
Other /Undecided
9.6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
March 14–17, 2024
Samplesize
516 (LV)
Marginof error
–
JoeBidenDemocratic
41%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
7%
Other /Undecided
8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
December 28–30, 2023
Samplesize
808 (LV)
Marginof error
–
JoeBidenDemocratic
35%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
41%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
10%
Other /Undecided
14%
VCreek/AMG (R)
VCreek/AMG (R)
Poll source
VCreek/AMG (R)
Date(s)administered
December 1–8, 2023
Samplesize
694 (RV)
Marginof error
–
JoeBidenDemocratic
35%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
40%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
16%
Other /Undecided
9%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
November 27–29, 2023
Samplesize
1,103 (LV)
Marginof error
–
JoeBidenDemocratic
33%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
40%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
10%
Other /Undecided
17%
The New York Times/Siena College
The New York Times/Siena College
Poll source
The New York Times/Siena College
Date(s)administered
October 22 – November 3, 2023
Samplesize
603 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
JoeBidenDemocratic
33%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
33%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
26%
Other /Undecided
8%
603 (LV)
603 (LV)
Poll source
603 (LV)
Date(s)administered
34%
Samplesize
34%
Marginof error
24%
JoeBidenDemocratic
8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
October 7–9, 2023
Samplesize
627 (LV)
Marginof error
–
JoeBidenDemocratic
37%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
42%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
8%
Other /Undecided
12%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
Other /Undecided
July 21, 2024
Joe Biden withdraws from the race.
1983 Labs
June 28–30, 2024
492 (LV)
± 4.4%
33%
48%
8%
11%
P2 Insights
June 11–20, 2024
650 (LV)
± 3.8%
36%
47%
7%
10%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University
May 19–21, 2024
609 (RV)
± 4.0%
37%
39%
9%
15%
501 (LV)
39%
43%
7%
11%
P2 Insights
May 13–21, 2024
650 (LV)
± 3.8%
38%
41%
9%
12%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
May 2–4, 2024
625 (LV)
–
42%
44%
7%
7%
Data Orbital
April 27–29, 2024
550 (LV)
± 4.3%
38.8%
38.1%
13.5%
9.6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
March 14–17, 2024
516 (LV)
–
41%
44%
7%
8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
December 28–30, 2023
808 (LV)
–
35%
41%
10%
14%
VCreek/AMG (R)
December 1–8, 2023
694 (RV)
–
35%
40%
16%
9%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
November 27–29, 2023
1,103 (LV)
–
33%
40%
10%
17%
The New York Times/Siena College
October 22 – November 3, 2023
603 (RV)
± 4.4%
33%
33%
26%
8%
603 (LV)
34%
34%
24%
8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
October 7–9, 2023
627 (LV)
–
37%
42%
8%
12%
North Star Opinion Research
North Star Opinion Research
Poll source
North Star Opinion Research
Date(s)administered
March 14–17, 2024
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
33%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
37%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
18%
CornelWestIndependent
2%
Other /Undecided
10%
J.L. Partners
J.L. Partners
Poll source
J.L. Partners
Date(s)administered
November 27 – December 1, 2023
Samplesize
550 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
JoeBidenDemocratic
34%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
39%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
4%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
Other /Undecided
22%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Poll source
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
October 30 – November 7, 2023
Samplesize
800 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
36%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
40%
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
11%
CornelWestIndependent
1%
Other /Undecided
12%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
RobertKennedy JrIndependent
CornelWestIndependent
Other /Undecided
July 21, 2024
Joe Biden withdraws from the race.
North Star Opinion Research
March 14–17, 2024
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
33%
37%
18%
2%
10%
Partners
November 27 – December 1, 2023
550 (LV)
± 4.4%
34%
39%
4%
1%
22%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult
October 30 – November 7, 2023
800 (RV)
± 3.0%
36%
40%
11%
1%
12%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
August 2–4, 2023
Samplesize
1,337 (RV)
Marginof error
± 2.6%
JoeBidenDemocratic
41%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
42%
CornelWestGreen
4%
Other /Undecided
13%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
CornelWestGreen
Other /Undecided
July 21, 2024
Joe Biden withdraws from the race.
Emerson College
August 2–4, 2023
1,337 (RV)
± 2.6%
41%
42%
4%
13%
John Zogby Strategies
John Zogby Strategies
Poll source
John Zogby Strategies
Date(s)administered
April 13–21, 2024
Samplesize
630 (LV)
Marginof error
–
JoeBidenDemocratic
34%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
52%
Other /Undecided
14%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
Other /Undecided
John Zogby Strategies
April 13–21, 2024
630 (LV)
–
34%
52%
14%
John Zogby Strategies
John Zogby Strategies
Poll source
John Zogby Strategies
Date(s)administered
April 13–21, 2024
Samplesize
630 (LV)
Marginof error
–
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
39%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Other /Undecided
15%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Other /Undecided
John Zogby Strategies
April 13–21, 2024
630 (LV)
–
39%
46%
15%
Public Policy Polling (D)
Public Policy Polling (D)
Poll source
Public Policy Polling (D)
Date(s)administered
July 10–11, 2024
Samplesize
596 (RV)
Marginof error
–
GavinNewsomDemocratic
44%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
51%
Other /Undecided
5%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
February 16–19, 2024
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
GavinNewsomDemocratic
34%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
19%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
GavinNewsomDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Other /Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)
July 10–11, 2024
596 (RV)
–
44%
51%
5%
Emerson College
February 16–19, 2024
1,000 (RV)
± 3.0%
34%
47%
19%
Public Policy Polling (D)
Public Policy Polling (D)
Poll source
Public Policy Polling (D)
Date(s)administered
July 10–11, 2024
Samplesize
596 (RV)
Marginof error
–
GretchenWhitmerDemocratic
45%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
6%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
GretchenWhitmerDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Other /Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)
July 10–11, 2024
596 (RV)
–
45%
49%
6%
Public Policy Polling (D)
Public Policy Polling (D)
Poll source
Public Policy Polling (D)
Date(s)administered
July 10–11, 2024
Samplesize
596 (RV)
Marginof error
–
JBPritzkerDemocratic
41%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
12%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
JBPritzkerDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Other /Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)
July 10–11, 2024
596 (RV)
–
41%
47%
12%
Public Policy Polling (D)
Public Policy Polling (D)
Poll source
Public Policy Polling (D)
Date(s)administered
July 10–11, 2024
Samplesize
596 (RV)
Marginof error
–
JoshShapiroDemocratic
43%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
Other /Undecided
11%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
JoshShapiroDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Other /Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)
July 10–11, 2024
596 (RV)
–
43%
46%
11%
Public Policy Polling (D)
Public Policy Polling (D)
Poll source
Public Policy Polling (D)
Date(s)administered
July 10–11, 2024
Samplesize
596 (RV)
Marginof error
–
PeteButtigiegDemocratic
46%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
Other /Undecided
5%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
PeteButtigiegDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Other /Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)
July 10–11, 2024
596 (RV)
–
46%
49%
5%
Public Policy Polling (D)
Public Policy Polling (D)
Poll source
Public Policy Polling (D)
Date(s)administered
July 17–20, 2024
Samplesize
738 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.6%
MarkKellyDemocratic
43%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
6%
JillSteinGreen
1%
Other /Undecided
5%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
MarkKellyDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
JillSteinGreen
Other /Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)
July 17–20, 2024
738 (RV)
± 3.6%
43%
45%
6%
1%
5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
November 27–29, 2023
Samplesize
1,103 (LV)
Marginof error
–
JoeBidenDemocratic
33%
NikkiHaleyRepublican
25%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
19%
Other /Undecided
23%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
NikkiHaleyRepublican
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
Other /Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
November 27–29, 2023
1,103 (LV)
–
33%
25%
19%
23%
VCreek/AMG (R)
VCreek/AMG (R)
Poll source
VCreek/AMG (R)
Date(s)administered
December 1–8, 2023
Samplesize
694 (RV)
Marginof error
–
JoeBidenDemocratic
30%
NikkiHaleyRepublican
37%
Other /Undecided
33%
The New York Times/Siena College
The New York Times/Siena College
Poll source
The New York Times/Siena College
Date(s)administered
October 22 – November 3, 2023
Samplesize
603 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
JoeBidenDemocratic
38%
NikkiHaleyRepublican
45%
Other /Undecided
17%
603 (LV)
603 (LV)
Poll source
603 (LV)
Date(s)administered
37%
Samplesize
46%
Marginof error
17%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
NikkiHaleyRepublican
Other /Undecided
VCreek/AMG (R)
December 1–8, 2023
694 (RV)
–
30%
37%
33%
The New York Times/Siena College
October 22 – November 3, 2023
603 (RV)
± 4.4%
38%
45%
17%
603 (LV)
37%
46%
17%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
November 27–29, 2023
Samplesize
1,103 (LV)
Marginof error
–
JoeBidenDemocratic
34%
RonDeSantisRepublican
27%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
17%
Other /Undecided
22%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
RonDeSantisRepublican
Robert F.Kennedy Jr.Independent
Other /Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
November 27–29, 2023
1,103 (LV)
–
34%
27%
17%
22%
The New York Times/Siena College
The New York Times/Siena College
Poll source
The New York Times/Siena College
Date(s)administered
October 22 – November 3, 2023
Samplesize
603 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
JoeBidenDemocratic
41%
RonDeSantisRepublican
46%
Other /Undecided
13%
603 (LV)
603 (LV)
Poll source
603 (LV)
Date(s)administered
42%
Samplesize
46%
Marginof error
12%
Noble Predictive Insights
Noble Predictive Insights
Poll source
Noble Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
October 25 – 31, 2023
Samplesize
1,010 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
JoeBidenDemocratic
37%
RonDeSantisRepublican
40%
Other /Undecided
23%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Poll source
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Date(s)administered
July 22–24, 2023
Samplesize
500 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
JoeBidenDemocratic
39%
RonDeSantisRepublican
46%
Other /Undecided
12%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Poll source
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Date(s)administered
June 17–19, 2023
Samplesize
500 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
JoeBidenDemocratic
40%
RonDeSantisRepublican
46%
Other /Undecided
12%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Poll source
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Date(s)administered
May 15–17, 2023
Samplesize
500 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
JoeBidenDemocratic
43%
RonDeSantisRepublican
47%
Other /Undecided
10%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Poll source
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Date(s)administered
April 11–13, 2023
Samplesize
500 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
JoeBidenDemocratic
42%
RonDeSantisRepublican
48%
Other /Undecided
10%
OH Predictive Insights
OH Predictive Insights
Poll source
OH Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
January 31 – February 9, 2023
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
JoeBidenDemocratic
35%
RonDeSantisRepublican
36%
Other /Undecided
29%
Blueprint Polling (D)
Blueprint Polling (D)
Poll source
Blueprint Polling (D)
Date(s)administered
January 5–8, 2023
Samplesize
618 (V)
Marginof error
± 3.9%
JoeBidenDemocratic
37%
RonDeSantisRepublican
43%
Other /Undecided
20%
Echelon Insights
Echelon Insights
Poll source
Echelon Insights
Date(s)administered
August 31 – September 7, 2022
Samplesize
773 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.5%
JoeBidenDemocratic
43%
RonDeSantisRepublican
43%
Other /Undecided
14%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
RonDeSantisRepublican
Other /Undecided
The New York Times/Siena College
October 22 – November 3, 2023
603 (RV)
± 4.4%
41%
46%
13%
603 (LV)
42%
46%
12%
Noble Predictive Insights
October 25 – 31, 2023
1,010 (RV)
± 3.1%
37%
40%
23%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
July 22–24, 2023
500 (RV)
± 4.4%
39%
46%
12%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
June 17–19, 2023
500 (RV)
± 4.4%
40%
46%
12%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
May 15–17, 2023
500 (RV)
± 4.4%
43%
47%
10%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
April 11–13, 2023
500 (RV)
± 4.4%
42%
48%
10%
OH Predictive Insights
January 31 – February 9, 2023
1,000 (RV)
± 3.1%
35%
36%
29%
Blueprint Polling (D)
January 5–8, 2023
618 (V)
± 3.9%
37%
43%
20%
Echelon Insights
August 31 – September 7, 2022
773 (LV)
± 4.5%
43%
43%
14%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Poll source
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Date(s)administered
May 15–17, 2023
Samplesize
500 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
JoeBidenDemocratic
45%
MikePenceRepublican
43%
Other /Undecided
12%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
JoeBidenDemocratic
MikePenceRepublican
Other /Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
May 15–17, 2023
500 (RV)
± 4.4%
45%
43%
12%
2024 United States presidential election in Arizona[213] · General election › Results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
3,390,161
Candidate
100.00%
Votes
N/A
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
mw- ±%
Republican
mw- Donald TrumpJD Vance
1,770,242
52.22%
3.16%
Democratic
Kamala HarrisTim Walz
1,582,860
46.69%
2.67%
Green
Jill SteinButch Ware
18,319
0.54%
0.49%
Libertarian
Chase OliverMike ter Maat
17,898
0.53%
0.99%
Socialism and Liberation
Claudia De la Cruz (write-in)Karina Garcia (write-in)
689
0.02%
0.01%
Independent
Shiva Ayyadurai (write-in)Crystal Ellis (write-in)
77
0.00%
N/A
Constitution
Joel Skousen (write-in)Rik Combs (write-in)
53
0.00%
Write-in
23
0.00%
N/A
Total votes
3,390,161
100.00%
N/A
· General election › Results › By county
#
#
County
#
Donald TrumpRepublican
%
Donald TrumpRepublican
#
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
#
Various candidatesOther parties
%
Various candidatesOther parties
#
Margin
%
Apache
Apache
County
Apache
Donald TrumpRepublican
12,795
Donald TrumpRepublican
39.86%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
18,872
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
58.79%
Various candidatesOther parties
434
Various candidatesOther parties
1.35%
Margin
-6,077
Margin
-18.93%
Total
32,101
Cochise
Cochise
County
Cochise
Donald TrumpRepublican
35,936
Donald TrumpRepublican
60.77%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
22,296
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
37.70%
Various candidatesOther parties
903
Various candidatesOther parties
1.53%
Margin
13,640
Margin
23.07%
Total
59,135
Coconino
Coconino
County
Coconino
Donald TrumpRepublican
27,576
Donald TrumpRepublican
39.18%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
41,504
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
58.98%
Various candidatesOther parties
1,294
Various candidatesOther parties
1.84%
Margin
-13,928
Margin
-19.80%
Total
70,374
Gila
Gila
County
Gila
Donald TrumpRepublican
18,901
Donald TrumpRepublican
68.24%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
8,504
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
30.70%
Various candidatesOther parties
293
Various candidatesOther parties
1.06%
Margin
10,397
Margin
37.54%
Total
27,698
Graham
Graham
County
Graham
Donald TrumpRepublican
11,177
Donald TrumpRepublican
73.46%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
3,867
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
25.42%
Various candidatesOther parties
171
Various candidatesOther parties
1.12%
Margin
7,310
Margin
48.04%
Total
15,215
Greenlee
Greenlee
County
Greenlee
Donald TrumpRepublican
2,308
Donald TrumpRepublican
69.60%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
954
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
28.77%
Various candidatesOther parties
54
Various candidatesOther parties
1.63%
Margin
1,354
Margin
40.83%
Total
3,316
La Paz
La Paz
County
La Paz
Donald TrumpRepublican
5,470
Donald TrumpRepublican
71.57%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
2,101
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
27.49%
Various candidatesOther parties
72
Various candidatesOther parties
0.94%
Margin
3,369
Margin
44.08%
Total
7,643
Maricopa
Maricopa
County
Maricopa
Donald TrumpRepublican
1,051,531
Donald TrumpRepublican
51.01%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
980,016
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
47.54%
Various candidatesOther parties
30,027
Various candidatesOther parties
1.46%
Margin
71,515
Margin
3.47%
Total
2,061,574
Mohave
Mohave
County
Mohave
Donald TrumpRepublican
85,683
Donald TrumpRepublican
77.41%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
24,081
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
21.75%
Various candidatesOther parties
929
Various candidatesOther parties
0.84%
Margin
61,602
Margin
55.66%
Total
110,693
Navajo
Navajo
County
Navajo
Donald TrumpRepublican
29,480
Donald TrumpRepublican
57.98%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
20,754
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
40.82%
Various candidatesOther parties
613
Various candidatesOther parties
1.21%
Margin
8,726
Margin
17.16%
Total
50,847
Pima
Pima
County
Pima
Donald TrumpRepublican
214,669
Donald TrumpRepublican
41.68%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
292,450
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
56.78%
Various candidatesOther parties
7,908
Various candidatesOther parties
1.54%
Margin
-77,781
Margin
-15.10%
Total
515,027
Pinal
Pinal
County
Pinal
Donald TrumpRepublican
126,926
Donald TrumpRepublican
60.39%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
80,656
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
38.38%
Various candidatesOther parties
2,591
Various candidatesOther parties
1.23%
Margin
46,270
Margin
22.01%
Total
210,173
Santa Cruz
Santa Cruz
County
Santa Cruz
Donald TrumpRepublican
7,699
Donald TrumpRepublican
40.17%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
11,265
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
58.77%
Various candidatesOther parties
203
Various candidatesOther parties
1.06%
Margin
-3,566
Margin
-18.60%
Total
19,167
Yavapai
Yavapai
County
Yavapai
Donald TrumpRepublican
99,346
Donald TrumpRepublican
66.48%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
48,717
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
32.60%
Various candidatesOther parties
1,365
Various candidatesOther parties
0.91%
Margin
50,629
Margin
33.88%
Total
149,428
Yuma
Yuma
County
Yuma
Donald TrumpRepublican
40,745
Donald TrumpRepublican
59.63%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
26,823
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
39.25%
Various candidatesOther parties
767
Various candidatesOther parties
1.12%
Margin
13,922
Margin
20.38%
Total
68,335
Totals
Totals
County
Totals
Donald TrumpRepublican
1,770,242
Donald TrumpRepublican
52.05%
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
1,582,860
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
46.54%
Various candidatesOther parties
47,624
Various candidatesOther parties
1.40%
Margin
187,382
Margin
5.51%
Total
3,400,726
County
Donald TrumpRepublican
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
Various candidatesOther parties
Margin
Total
#
%
#
%
#
%
#
%
Apache
12,795
39.86%
18,872
58.79%
434
1.35%
-6,077
-18.93%
32,101
Cochise
35,936
60.77%
22,296
37.70%
903
1.53%
13,640
23.07%
59,135
Coconino
27,576
39.18%
41,504
58.98%
1,294
1.84%
-13,928
-19.80%
70,374
Gila
18,901
68.24%
8,504
30.70%
293
1.06%
10,397
37.54%
27,698
Graham
11,177
73.46%
3,867
25.42%
171
1.12%
7,310
48.04%
15,215
Greenlee
2,308
69.60%
954
28.77%
54
1.63%
1,354
40.83%
3,316
La Paz
5,470
71.57%
2,101
27.49%
72
0.94%
3,369
44.08%
7,643
Maricopa
1,051,531
51.01%
980,016
47.54%
30,027
1.46%
71,515
3.47%
2,061,574
Mohave
85,683
77.41%
24,081
21.75%
929
0.84%
61,602
55.66%
110,693
Navajo
29,480
57.98%
20,754
40.82%
613
1.21%
8,726
17.16%
50,847
Pima
214,669
41.68%
292,450
56.78%
7,908
1.54%
-77,781
-15.10%
515,027
Pinal
126,926
60.39%
80,656
38.38%
2,591
1.23%
46,270
22.01%
210,173
Santa Cruz
7,699
40.17%
11,265
58.77%
203
1.06%
-3,566
-18.60%
19,167
Yavapai
99,346
66.48%
48,717
32.60%
1,365
0.91%
50,629
33.88%
149,428
Yuma
40,745
59.63%
26,823
39.25%
767
1.12%
13,922
20.38%
68,335
Totals
1,770,242
52.05%
1,582,860
46.54%
47,624
1.40%
187,382
5.51%
3,400,726
· General election › Results › By congressional district
1st
1st
District
1st
Harris
48%
Trump
51%
Representative elected
David Schweikert
2nd
2nd
District
2nd
Harris
42%
Trump
57%
Representative elected
Eli Crane
3rd
3rd
District
3rd
Harris
69%
Trump
29%
Representative elected
Ruben Gallego (118th Congress)
Yassamin Ansari (119th Congress)
Yassamin Ansari (119th Congress)
District
Yassamin Ansari (119th Congress)
4th
4th
District
4th
Harris
53%
Trump
46%
Representative elected
Greg Stanton
5th
5th
District
5th
Harris
39%
Trump
59%
Representative elected
Andy Biggs
6th
6th
District
6th
Harris
49%
Trump
50%
Representative elected
Juan Ciscomani
7th
7th
District
7th
Harris
60%
Trump
38%
Representative elected
Raúl Grijalva
8th
8th
District
8th
Harris
41%
Trump
58%
Representative elected
Debbie Lesko (118th Congress)
Abraham Hamadeh (119th Congress)
Abraham Hamadeh (119th Congress)
District
Abraham Hamadeh (119th Congress)
9th
9th
District
9th
Harris
34%
Trump
65%
Representative elected
Paul Gosar
District
Harris
Trump
Representative elected
1st
48%
51%
David Schweikert
2nd
42%
57%
Eli Crane
3rd
69%
29%
Ruben Gallego (118th Congress)
Yassamin Ansari (119th Congress)
4th
53%
46%
Greg Stanton
5th
39%
59%
Andy Biggs
6th
49%
50%
Juan Ciscomani
7th
60%
38%
Raúl Grijalva
8th
41%
58%
Debbie Lesko (118th Congress)
Abraham Hamadeh (119th Congress)
9th
34%
65%
Paul Gosar

References

  1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. Key:A – all adultsRV – registered votersLV – likely votersV – unclear
  3. With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  4. "Other" with 2%
  5. "Other" with 1%
  6. "Someone else" with 1%
  7. "Someone else" with 7%
  8. "Another party's candidates" with 1%
  9. "Someone else" with 3%
  10. "Other" with 3%
  11. "Some other candidate" with 2%
  12. "Someone else" with 2%
  13. "Someone else" with 5%
  14. "Some other candidate" with 5%
  15. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  16. Independent/Third party candidate with 13%
  17. "Someone else" with 15%
  18. "Another candidate" with 12%
  19. "Another candidate" with 11%
  20. No Labels candidate
  21. Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
  22. Chase Oliver (L) with 0%
  23. Chase Oliver (L) with 2%
  24. Lars Mapstead (L) with 3%
  25. Joe Manchin with 4%
  26. "Someone else" with 12%
  27. Chase Oliver (L) with 2%
  28. Jill Stein (G) with 2%
  29. "Other (L)" & "Other (G)" with 1%; "Other (Third Party/Write-In)" & "Would not vote" with 2%
  30. "Other (L)" & "Other (G)" with 1%; "Other (Third Party/Write-In)" & "Would not vote" with 2%
  31. The Constitution Party did not have ballot access in Arizona. Joel Skousen and Rik Combs registered as write-in candidat
  32. Poll sponsored by On Point Politics & Red Eagle Politics
  33. Poll conducted for The Times, Stanford University, Arizona State University, and Yale University
  34. Poll sponsored by American Thinker
  35. Poll sponsored by Trump's campaign
  36. Poll sponsored by the Napolitan Institute
  37. Poll conducted for the Article III Project
  38. Poll commissioned by AARP
  39. Poll sponsored by Arizona's Family
  40. Poll sponsored by the Democracy Defense Project and Echo Canyon Consulting
  41. Poll sponsored by the Peter G. Peterson Foundation
  42. Poll sponsored by RealClearWorld
  43. Poll sponsored by AZ Free News
  44. Poll sponsored by American Greatness
  45. Poll sponsored by the American Principles Project
  46. Poll sponsored by NumbersUSA
  47. Poll conducted for Progress Action Fund, which supports Democratic candidates
  48. Poll conducted for Competitiveness Coalition
  49. Poll commissioned by AARP
  50. Poll conducted for Clean and Prosperous America PAC
  51. Poll commissioned by the National Republican Senatorial Committee
  52. Poll sponsored by Democrats for the Next Generation PAC
  53. Poll sponsored by The Heartland Institute
  54. Poll sponsored by NetChoice
  55. Poll commissioned by AARP
  56. Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC, which opposes Trump and third party candidates
  57. Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign
  58. Poll sponsored by Independent Center
  59. Poll sponsored by The Heritage Foundation
  60. Poll sponsored by League of American Workers
  61. Poll sponsored by Americas PAC
  62. Poll conducted for The Daily Mail
  63. Poll sponsored by Stand for Children Arizona
  64. Poll conducted for the Citizen Awareness Project
  65. Poll sponsored by College Republicans United
  66. Poll commissioned by AARP
  67. Poll sponsored by Building America's Future, which supports Republican candidates
  68. "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats"
    https://www.npr.org/2021/04/26/983082132/census-to-release-1st-results-that-shift-electoral-college-house-seats
  69. The New York Times
    https://www.nytimes.com/2024/03/12/us/politics/trump-republican-nomination.html
  70. United States Census Bureau
    https://www.census.gov/data/datasets/time-series/demo/popest/2010s-counties-total.html
  71. The New York Times
    https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/09/us/arizona-election-battleground-state-counties.html
  72. CNN
    https://www.cnn.com/2024/02/27/politics/rfk-pac-signatures-ballot-arizona-georgia/index.html
  73. ABC News
    https://abcnews.go.com/US/rfk-jr-withdraws-petition-arizona-ballot-amid-plans/story?id=113081529
  74. Arizona Family
    https://www.azfamily.com/2024/11/10/trump-wins-arizona-final-state-called-2024-presidential-election/
  75. At a glance: March 19 US presidential primary states and delegate counts, Reuters, March 19, 2024
    https://www.reuters.com/world/us/glance-march-19-presidential-primary-states-delegate-counts-2024-03-16/
  76. The AP
    https://apnews.com/projects/election-results-2024/arizona/?r=3699
  77. "Arizona Presidential Primary"
    https://apnews.com/projects/election-results-2024/arizona/?r=3700
  78. Arizona Republic
    https://archive.today/20240218080431/https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/legislature/2024/02/15/arizona-bill-would-give-votes-to-gop-nominee-before-2024-election/72605621007/
  79. "H.C.R. 2055"
    https://www.azleg.gov/legtext/56leg/2R/proposed/H.HCR2055JONES%20SE2.pdf
  80. Arizona Secretary of State
    https://apps.arizona.vote/electioninfo/Election/47
  81. "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings"
    https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/presidential-race-ratings
  82. "2024 Electoral College ratings"
    https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2024-president/
  83. The Hill
    https://elections2024.thehill.com/predictions/president
  84. "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270"
    https://www.cnn.com/election/2024/electoral-college-map?game-id=2024-PG-CNN-ratings&game-view=map
  85. projects.cnalysis.com
    https://projects.cnalysis.com/23-24/president
  86. The Economist
    https://www.economist.com/interactive/us-2024-election/prediction-model/president
  87. FiveThirtyEight
    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/
  88. "Presidential Ratings"
    https://insideelections.com/ratings/president
  89. "Presidential Election Preview 2024"
    https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-elections/president-electoral-college-battleground-states
  90. NPR
    https://www.npr.org/2024/08/22/nx-s1-5084146/voter-registration-arizona-supreme-court-citizenship
  91. Vox
    https://www.vox.com/scotus/368310/supreme-court-rnc-mi-famila-vota
  92. 270ToWin
    https://www.270towin.com/2024-presidential-election-polls/arizona
  93. 538
    https://web.archive.org/web/20220604072147/https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/arizona/
  94. Silver Bulletin
    https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model
  95. The Hill/DDHQ
    https://elections2024.thehill.com/arizona/harris-trump-arizona/
  96. HarrisX
    https://elections.harrisx.com/public/BG_STATE_POLLS_AZ.html
  97. AtlasIntel
    https://cdn.atlasintel.org/616d82d3-e782-4d6e-b690-9eed1523fe75.pdf
  98. Victory Insights
    https://irp.cdn-website.com/07e08705/files/uploaded/PressRelease_AZ_11-04-2024.pdf
  99. The Trafalgar Group
    https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/AZ-24-General-1103_Report.pdf
  100. Patriot Polling
    https://patriotpolling.com/our-polls/f/final-2024-presidential-poll
  101. InsiderAdvantage
    https://insideradvantage.com/insideradvantage-surveys-az-mi-wi-pa-nc/
  102. AtlasIntel
    https://cdn.atlasintel.org/f41e83be-de61-4d59-9c46-f5f91cbf00fa.pdf
  103. Emerson College Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/november-2024-final-swing-state-polls-too-close-to-call-election-for-president/
  104. The New York Times
    https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/03/us/politics/harris-trump-times-siena-poll.html
  105. "Trump leads in Arizona"
    https://www.activote.net/trump-leads-in-arizona/
  106. Substack
    https://substack.com/inbox/post/151014002
  107. AtlasIntel
    https://cdn.atlasintel.org/ff8a5b86-e293-44f4-8162-166002248f55.pdf
  108. Semafor
    https://www.semafor.com/newsletter/11/01/2024/the-view-from-the-swing-states
  109. YouGov
    https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/Times_SAY24_20241101.pdf
  110. Morning Consult
    https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-election-state-polls
  111. Rasmussen Reports
    https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/partner_surveys/election_2024_trump_leads_in_georgia_arizona_harris_5_in_new_mexico
  112. AtlasIntel
    https://cdn.atlasintel.org/12bd169b-6db5-44be-9429-90f44ba0d845.pdf
  113. "MITCHELL POLL of ARIZONA"
    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20241102_AZ_Mitchell.pdf
  114. RABA Research
    https://www.rabaresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/RABA-Arizona-Survey.pdf
  115. The Trafalgar Group
    https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/AZ-24-General-1027_Report.pdf
  116. Cooperative Election Study
    https://cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/stateprezapp2024/
  117. Marist Poll
    https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/marist-arizona-poll-u-s-presidential-contest-in-arizona-october-2024/
  118. InsiderAdvantage
    https://insideradvantage.com/insideradvantage-surveys-trump-leads-by-three-points-in-arizona-nevada-is-tied/
  119. HighGround
    https://azhighground.com/trending-trump-takes-narrow-lead-in-arizona/
  120. Bloomberg
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2024-10-23/new-poll-has-trump-harris-tied-in-key-states-just-12-days-to-election
  121. University of Arizona
    https://policylab.arizona.edu/sites/default/files/2024-10/NEWS-RELEASE.pdf
  122. AtlasIntel
    https://cdn.atlasintel.org/023fa4e7-4d28-4903-b4cd-57241a0f5e08.pdf
  123. CBS News
    https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-harris-poll-arizona-10-17-2024/
  124. The Washington Post
    https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/10/21/harris-trump-post-schar-school-poll/
  125. The Trafalgar Group
    https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/AZ-24-General-1014_Report.pdf
  126. The New York Times
    https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/12/us/politics/times-siena-arizona-pennsylvania-polls.html
  127. Mediaite
    https://www.mediaite.com/news/trump-releases-internal-poll-showing-himself-ahead-in-every-swing-state-all-but-one-are-within-the-margin-of-error/
  128. Emerson College Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/october-2024-state-polls-mixed-movement-across-swing-states-shows-dead-heat/
  129. The Wall Street Journal
    https://www.wsj.com/politics/elections/trump-harris-swing-state-poll-october-2024-c3ca9414
  130. ActiVote
    https://www.activote.net/trump-has-small-lead-in-arizona/
  131. Substack
    https://substack.com/home/post/p-149951862
  132. Napolitan Institute
    https://napolitaninstitute.org/2024/10/07/arizona-trump-50-harris-46/
  133. OnMessage Inc
    https://cdn.sanity.io/files/ifn0l6bs/production/1466ccb9011fe2f2fe272e13261c967325759db3.pdf
  134. AARP
    https://www.aarp.org/content/dam/aarp/research/topics/voter-opinion-research/politics/arizona-older-voter-survey-report-october-2024.doi.10.26419-2fres.00813.044.pdf
  135. InsiderAdvantage
    https://insideradvantage.com/insideradvantage-sunbelt-battleground-surveys-trump-enjoys-slim-lead-in-arizona-nevada-and-north-carolina-georgia-tied/
  136. Arizona's Family
    https://www.azfamily.com/2024/10/02/poll-trump-harris-still-dead-heat-arizona-gop-winning-independents/
  137. National Research
    https://acrobat.adobe.com/id/urn:aaid:sc:US:e63bea37-72f3-4454-bd0d-df2174901fc3
  138. Peter G. Peterson Foundation
    https://www.pgpf.org/sites/default/files/PGPF-Battleground-Poll-Topline-Results-by-State.pdf
  139. Emerson College Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/september-2024-arizona-and-north-carolina-polls-harris-and-trump-neck-and-neck-in-key-swing-states/
  140. AtlasIntel
    https://cdn.atlasintel.org/9e0da6ea-7e9c-498c-89e3-511bd7344cd0.pdf
  141. Cook Political Report
    https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/survey-research/2024-swing-state-project/swing-state-polling-finds-deadlocked-presidential
  142. Bloomberg
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2024-09-26/harris-holds-thin-lead-over-trump-in-swing-state-poll-election-2024
  143. Fox News
    https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-voters-choice-flipped-arizona-since-last-month
  144. Marist Poll
    https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/u-s-presidential-contest-arizona-september-2024/
  145. Rasmussen Reports
    https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/partner_surveys/election_2024_trump_2_in_arizona_tied_with_harris_in_wisconsin
  146. The New York Times
    https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/23/us/politics/times-siena-polls-arizona-georgia-north-carolina.html
  147. Emerson College Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/september-2024-swing-state-polls-trump-and-harris-locked-in-tight-presidential-race/
  148. The Trafalgar Group
    https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/09/AZ-24-General-0914_Report.pdf
  149. Data Orbital
    https://dataorbital.com/2024/09/exclusive-az-free-news-poll-trump-holds-narrow-lead-in-arizona-as-economy-border-dominate/
  150. American Greatness
    https://amgreatness.com/2024/09/06/arizona-a-dead-heat-between-trump-harris-trump-leads-on-issues-and-authenticity/
  151. Patriot Polling
    https://patriotpolling.com/our-polls/f/trump-and-harris-in-dead-heat
  152. InsiderAdvantage
    https://insideradvantage.com/arizona-trump-leads-by-one-point-gallego-up-by-four/
  153. FiveThirtyEight
    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20241029_AZ_Truedot.pdf
  154. Emerson Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/august-2024-swing-state-polls-toss-up-presidential-election-in-swing-states/
  155. Bloomberg
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-08-29/election-2024-poll-harris-leads-or-ties-with-trump-in-swing-states
  156. Fox News
    https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-harris-closes-gap-trump-sun-belt-states
  157. American Principles Project
    https://americanprinciplesproject.org/elections/new-app-polling-trump-leads-3-of-5-swing-states-voters-reject-democrats-cultural-extremism/
  158. RealClearPolling
    https://www.realclearpolling.com/stories/analysis/no-frontrunner-in-swing-states-before-democratic-convention
  159. Noble Predictive Insights
    https://www.noblepredictiveinsights.com/post/harris-shakes-up-key-demographics-in-2024-presidential-race
  160. Semafor
    https://www.semafor.com/article/08/18/2024/harris-leads-trump-in-five-of-seven-battlegrounds-poll
  161. Strategies 360
    https://www.strategies360.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/PUBLIC-RELEASE-S360-AZ-Battleground-survey-Toplines.pdf
  162. The New York Times
    https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/08/17/us/elections/times-siena-poll-arizona-toplines.html
  163. The Trafalgar Group
    https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/AZ-24-General-0809_Report.pdf
  164. Navigator Research
    https://navigatorresearch.org/navigating-the-vote-2024-presidential-battleground/
  165. Cook Political Report
    https://www.cookpolitical.com/survey-research/2024-swing-state-project/fight-redefine-2024-race-president
  166. HighGround
    https://azhighground.com/democrats-take-early-top-of-the-ticket-lead-following-arizonas-primary-election
  167. "Trump edges out Harris in Arizona, Pennsylvania but lags in Georgia in new polling"
    https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4801296-trump-harris-polls-arizona-pennsylvania-georgia/
  168. Politico
    https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000191-0bfd-d871-af95-affdc1b80000
  169. Bloomberg
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2024-07-30/kamala-harris-erases-trump-s-swing-state-lead-in-2024-election-poll
  170. Emerson Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/july-2024-swing-state-polls-harris-trails-trump-in-arizona-georgia-michigan-pennsylvania-tied-in-wisconsin/
  171. InsiderAdvantage
    https://insideradvantage.com/three-more-battleground-polls-trump-leads-in-pa-nv-az-no-post-shooting-bump-but-large-enthusiasm-gap-harris-trails-trump/
  172. Google Docs
    https://drive.google.com/file/d/1yS9Jqk2ZupZxw3VGK5UPDrG8AC4G7X06/view
  173. Bloomberg
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-05-22/violence-around-2024-election-feared-by-half-of-swing-state-voters-poll
  174. Emerson Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/arizona-2024-poll-trump-46-biden-43/
  175. archive.ph
    https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/05/us/politics/biden-trump-2024-poll.html
  176. Race to the WH
    https://www.racetothewh.com/president/polls
  177. 270toWin
    https://www.270towin.com/2024-presidential-election-polls/arizona
  178. Focaldata
    https://www.focaldata.com/blog/our-final-report-on-the-us-presidential-election
  179. Redfield & Wilton Strategies
    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/final-us-swing-states-voting-intention-28-31-october/
  180. Noble Predictive Insights
    https://www.noblepredictiveinsights.com/post/az-poll-of-record-trump-1-gallego-4
  181. Data for Progress
    https://www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2024/11/1/final-data-for-progress-swing-state-polls
  182. Data Orbital
    https://dataorbital.com/2024/10/new-data-orbital-arizona-2024-general-election-statewide-poll/
  183. Redfield & Wilton Strategies
    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-25-27-october-2024/
  184. J.L. Partners
    https://jlpartners.com/arizona-likely-voters-polling-
  185. CNN
    https://www.cnn.com/2024/10/29/politics/cnn-polls-arizona-nevada-trump-harris/index.html
  186. Redfield & Wilton Strategies
    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-20-22-october-2024/
  187. Redfield & Wilton Strategies
    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-16-18-october-2024/
  188. Redfield & Wilton Strategies
    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-12-14-october-2024/
  189. Redfield & Wilton Strategies
    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-27-september-2-october-2024/
  190. USA Today
    https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/09/27/exclusive-poll-arizona-trump-leads-harris/75385504007/
  191. Redfield & Wilton Strategies
    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-16-19-september-2024/
  192. Redfield & Wilton Strategies
    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-6-9-september-2024/
  193. YouGov
    https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/Times_SAY24_20240904_state_poll_results_XTElWNX.pdf#page=14
  194. CNN
    https://www.cnn.com/2024/09/04/politics/cnn-polls-battleground-states/index.html
  195. Redfield & Wilton Strategies
    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-25-28-august-2024/
  196. Redfield & Wilton Strategies
    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-12-15-august-2024/
  197. Redfield & Wilton Strategies
    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-31-july-3-august-2024/
  198. Redfield & Wilton Strategies
    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-22-24-july-2024/
  199. FiveThirtyEight
    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20240722_swing_PPP.pdf
  200. National Journal
    https://www.nationaljournal.com/s/725925/exclusive-gop-poll-finds-tied-arizona-senate-race/?unlock=4PB6RUXBTO0IOS46
  201. Emerson Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/july-2024-swing-state-polls/
  202. Rasmussen Reports
    https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/partner_surveys/toplines_2_heartland_battleground_july_2024_all_race_data
  203. NetChoice
    https://netchoice.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/07/NetChoice-July-2024-Biden-Antitrust-Survey-Topline-1.pdf
  204. Bloomberg
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2024-07-06/biden-narrows-trump-s-election-lead-in-key-states-after-debate-poll
  205. The New York Post
    https://nypost.com/2024/07/08/us-news/biden-lags-behind-in-all-of-the-key-battleground-states-by-4-point-average-new-poll/
  206. American Greatness
    https://cdn.amgreatness.com/app/uploads/2024/06/AZ-June-Toplines.pdf
  207. Emerson Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/june-2024-state-polls-trump-maintains-edge-over-biden/
  208. Rasmussen Reports
    https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/public_surveys/arizona_trump_47_biden_40
  209. Fox News
    https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-trump-hits-51-support-arizona-up-from-49-march
  210. AARP
    https://www.aarp.org/content/dam/aarp/research/topics/voter-opinion-research/politics/arizona-older-voter-survey-2024-report.doi.10.26419-2fres.00813.008.pdf
  211. FAU Polling
    https://www.faupolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/Mainstreet_AZ_May_2024_Public.pdf
  212. CBS News
    https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-biden-florida-arizona-poll-abortion-inflation-immigration-05-19-2024/
  213. FiveThirtyEight
    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20240522_prime_CSOR.pdf
  214. Noble Predictive Insights
    https://www.noblepredictiveinsights.com/post/biden-loses-support-in-arizona-as-trump-holds-steady
  215. Cook Political Report
    https://www.cookpolitical.com/survey-research/2024-swing-state-project/unique-election-driven-traditional-issue
  216. The New York Times
    https://www.nytimes.com/2024/05/13/us/politics/biden-trump-battleground-poll.html
  217. Emerson Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/trump-holds-edge-over-biden-in-seven-key-swing-state-polls/
  218. Kaplan Strategies
    https://kaplanstrategies.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/Kaplan-Release-4.26.24-.pdf
  219. Kennedy24
    https://www.kennedy24.com/biden_real_spoiler_kennedy_only_candidate_who_can_beat_trump
  220. Bloomberg
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-24/biden-trails-trump-in-6-of-7-key-states-poll-shows-election-2024
  221. Politico
    https://www.politico.com/f/?id=0000018e-dfa4-dd93-a19f-fffe83440000
  222. The Independent Center
    https://web.archive.org/web/20240415034350/https://independentcenter.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/Independent-Center-2024-Target-State-Survey-of-Registered-Voters-AZ-Toplines.pdf
  223. RABA Research
    https://www.rabaresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/RABA-Arizona-Survey.pdf
  224. The Wall Street Journal
    https://s.wsj.net/public/resources/documents/WSJ_Swing_States_Partial_March_2024.pdf
  225. The Heritage Foundation
    https://first-heritage-foundation.s3.amazonaws.com/live_files/2024/04/Echelon-Insights-Survey.pdf
  226. League of American Workers
    https://web.archive.org/web/20240319183724/https://www.amworkers.com/news
  227. Emerson Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/arizona-2024-poll-trump-48-biden-44/
  228. Bloomberg
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-03-26/election-2024-poll-biden-gains-on-trump-in-six-swing-states
  229. Fox News
    https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-trump-biden-arizona
  230. Rasmussen Reports
    https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/public_surveys/arizona_senate_kari_lake_leads_democrat_gallego
  231. Bloomberg
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-02-29/biden-age-worries-swing-state-voters-trump-seen-as-dangerous-poll-shows
  232. Punchbowl News
    https://punchbowl.news/wp-content/uploads/Arizona-Statewide-polling-memo-1.pdf
  233. Focaldata
    https://www.focaldata.com/blog/bi-focal-12-how-biden-can-still-beat-trump
  234. Bloomberg
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-01-31/trump-guilty-verdict-loses-half-of-key-state-voters-in-election-2024
  235. Google Docs
    https://docs.google.com/document/d/1TpdHyzBA1zWmV6q5UCyv1nM_mKDuNPjRNknla-HVyvE/edit
  236. VCreek/AMG LLC
    https://ca584ad2-76a2-4830-972b-901a6b8d23e4.usrfiles.com/ugd/ca584a_74a52c10f7064adba3cd49890d295999.pdf
  237. Bloomberg
    https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2024-us-election-key-state-voter-polling/december-2023-poll/
  238. J.L. Partners
    https://static1.squarespace.com/static/5db0ca668552dd5ab1168a91/t/656dd0c6e3c60854aac62062/1701695700908/DM_Swing_states+deck+120523.pdf
  239. Stand for Children
    https://stand.org/arizona/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2023/12/Stand-AZ-Nov-2023-survey-For-Release-final.pdf
  240. Bloomberg
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-11-09/trump-leads-biden-with-key-state-voters-on-israel-hamas-war-immigration#xj4y7vzkg
  241. Emerson Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/swing-state-2024-polling-biden-trails-trump-in-arizona-georgia-and-pennsylvania-and-wisconsin-leads-trump-in-michigan/
  242. Noble Predictive Insights
    https://www.noblepredictiveinsights.com/post/update-on-the-2024-presidential-election
  243. Bloomberg
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-10-19/trump-leads-biden-in-key-us-states-as-voters-worry-about-economy-poll
  244. Redfield & Wilton Strategies
    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-7-9-october-2023/
  245. Emerson Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/arizona-2024-senator-kyrsten-sinemas-independent-candidacy-could-help-democrats-for-u-s-senate/
  246. Citizen Awareness Project
    https://citizenawarenessproject.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/232034-Arizona-Statewide-Interview-Schedule.pdf
  247. Prime Group
    https://s3.documentcloud.org/documents/23872659/no-labels.pdf
  248. Citizen Awareness Project
    https://citizenawarenessproject.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/06/232024-Arizona-Statewide-Interview-Schedule.pdf
  249. Citizen Awareness Project
    https://citizenawarenessproject.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/AZ-PA-Memo.pdf
  250. McClatchyDC
    https://www.mcclatchydc.com/article274385065.html
  251. Rasmussen Reports
    https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/public_surveys/most_arizona_voters_believe_election_irregularities_affected_outcome
  252. OH Predictive Insights
    https://web.archive.org/web/20230316010359/https://blog.ohpredictive.com/press-releases/no-significant-leads-in-a-2024-presidential-election-among-az-voters
  253. Blueprint Polling
    https://web.archive.org/web/20230314163349/https://blueprintpolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/01/2024_AZ_election_preview.pdf
  254. Rasmussen Reports
    https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/partner_surveys/midterms_2022_consensus_emerges_to_bring_immigration_under_control
  255. PollSmart MR
    https://www.pollsmartmr.com/latest-polls-1/arizona-poll-close-races-in-arizona
  256. Emerson Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/arizona-2022-us-senate-and-gubernatorial-elections-in-dead-heat/
  257. Emerson Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/arizona-2022-mark-kelly-faces-tight-race-with-blake-masters-katie-hobbs-and-kari-lake-in-dead-heat-for-governorship/
  258. NetChoice
    https://netchoice.org/new-national-poll-89-of-americans-say-congress-should-focus-on-addressing-inflation-not-breaking-up-tech/
  259. Blueprint Polling
    https://web.archive.org/web/20220518173255/https://blueprintpolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/051822-BPP-AZ-Survey-1.pdf
  260. Politico
    https://www.politico.com/f/?id=0000017d-49fd-dddc-a77f-4dff81830000
  261. Politico
    https://www.politico.com/f/?id=0000017a-53b6-d92f-a1fe-d3f62f8b0000
  262. Redfield & Wilton Strategies
    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-16-18-july-2024/
  263. YouGov
    https://ygo-assets-websites-editorial-emea.yougov.net/documents/Times_SAY24_20240712_state_poll_results.pdf
  264. National Review
    https://www.nationalreview.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/07/Final-Toplines-General.pdf
  265. Redfield & Wilton Strategies
    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-8-10-july-2024/
  266. Redfield & Wilton Strategies
    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-8-11-june-2024/
  267. "Bloomberg/Morning Consult"
    https://pro-assets.morningconsult.com/wp-uploads/2024/01/2401055_Bloomberg_2024-Election-Tracking-Wave-4_Crosstabs_All-States-compressed-1.pdf
  268. Morning Consult
    https://pro-assets.morningconsult.com/wp-uploads/2023/12/231206-Morning-Consult-Bloomberg-2024-Election-Swing-State-Polling.pdf#page=16
  269. FiveThirtyEight
    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20240708_Swing_1983Labs.pdf
  270. The Washington Examiner
    https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/campaigns/presidential/3060935/age-and-economy-top-concerns-of-battleground-state-voters-in-pre-debate-poll/
  271. Building America's Future
    https://buildingamericasfuture.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/Trumps-Lead-Expands-in-Battlegrounds-as-Voters-View-Biden-as-Too-Old.pdf
  272. Redfield & Wilton Strategies
    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-2-4-may-2024/
  273. Data Orbital
    https://dataorbital.com/2024/05/az-general-election-poll-democrats-hold-slight-edge/
  274. Redfield & Wilton Strategies
    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-14-17-march-2024/
  275. Redfield & Wilton Strategies
    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-28-30-december-2023/
  276. Redfield & Wilton Strategies
    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-27-29-november-2023/
  277. The New York Times
    https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/07/us/politics/rfk-jr-trump-biden-poll.html
  278. Morning Consult
    https://pro-assets.morningconsult.com/wp-uploads/2023/11/231105-Morning-Consult-Bloomberg-2024-Election-Survey-All-States-Toplines.pdf#page=17
  279. The New York Times
    https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2023/11/07/us/elections/times-siena-battlegrounds-likely-electorate.html
  280. AZSOS
    http://apps.azsos.gov/election/2024/ge/canvass/20241105_GeneralCanvass_Signed.pdf
  281. "2024 Presidential General Election Results - Arizona"
    https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?year=2024&fips=4&f=1&off=0&elect=0
  282. "Dra 2020"
    https://davesredistricting.org/maps#viewmap::4ee8ecf2-14b7-4a8d-99bc-82fa633a9305
  283. "A Pro-Trump Group's Risky Bet on Infrequent Voters Seems to Have Paid Off"
    https://www.nytimes.com/2024/12/23/us/politics/trump-turning-point-arizona-2024-election.html
  284. ABC News
    https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/charlie-kirks-influence-younger-voters-helped-donald-trump/story?id=125518800
  285. The New Yorker
    https://www.newyorker.com/news/the-political-scene/inside-the-trump-campaigns-plan-to-win-arizona
  286. The Arizona Republic
    https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/11/23/arizona-presidential-election-2024-explained/76504307007/
  287. The Arizona Republic
    https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/11/12/donald-trump-made-gains-in-yuma-santa-cruz-cochise-and-pima-counties/76209590007/
Image
Source: —
Tip: Wheel or +/− to zoom, drag to pan, Esc to close.