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2024 United States presidential election in Alaska

Updated: Wikipedia source

2024 United States presidential election in Alaska

The 2024 United States presidential election in Alaska took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Alaska voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Alaska has 3 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat. This was the first presidential election following the state's adoption of Measure 2, which institutes ranked-choice voting for all statewide general elections. While Republicans were still heavily favored to carry the state in 2024, Alaska was considered a moderately red state. Trump won Alaska by 13 %, an improvement from his 10 % win in 2020, though lower than his 14 % victory in 2016.

Infobox

Turnout
55 % 4 pp
Nominee
Donald Trump
Party
Republican
Home state
Florida
Running mate
JD Vance
Electoral vote
3
Popular vote
184,458
Percentage
54 %

Tables

Alaska Republican primary, March 5, 2024 · Primary elections › Republican caucus
Bound
Bound
Candidate
Bound
Votes
Unbound
Percentage
Total
Donald Trump
Donald Trump
Candidate
Donald Trump
Votes
9,243
Percentage
87 %
Actual delegate count
29
Actual delegate count
29
Nikki Haley
Nikki Haley
Candidate
Nikki Haley
Votes
1,266
Percentage
12 %
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)
Candidate
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)
Votes
45
Percentage
0 %
Total:
Total:
Candidate
Total:
Votes
10,554
Percentage
100 %
Actual delegate count
29
Actual delegate count
29
Candidate
Votes
Percentage
Actual delegate count
Bound
Unbound
Total
Donald Trump
9,243
87 %
29
29
Nikki Haley
1,266
12 %
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)
45
0 %
Total:
10,554
100 %
29
29
Alaska Democratic caucuses, April 13, 2024 · Primary elections › Democratic caucus
Bound
Bound
Candidate
Bound
Votes
Unbound
Percentage
Total
Joe Biden (incumbent)
Joe Biden (incumbent)
Candidate
Joe Biden (incumbent)
Votes
Voice vote
Percentage
15
Actual delegate count
15
Total:
Total:
Candidate
Total:
Votes
15
Actual delegate count
15
Candidate
Votes
Percentage
Actual delegate count
Bound
Unbound
Total
Joe Biden (incumbent)
Voice vote
15
15
Total:
15
15
· General election › Predictions
Solid R
Solid R
Source
The Cook Political Report
Ranking
Solid R
As of
December 19, 2023
Solid R
Solid R
Source
Inside Elections
Ranking
Solid R
As of
April 26, 2023
Safe R
Safe R
Source
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Ranking
Safe R
As of
June 13, 2024
Safe R
Safe R
Source
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill
Ranking
Safe R
As of
August 26, 2024
Very Likely R
Very Likely R
Source
CNalysis
Ranking
Very Likely R
As of
September 15, 2024
Solid R
Solid R
Source
CNN
Ranking
Solid R
As of
January 14, 2024
Safe R
Safe R
Source
The Economist
Ranking
Safe R
As of
November 3, 2024
Likely R
Likely R
Source
538
Ranking
Likely R
As of
June 11, 2024
Safe R
Safe R
Source
NBC News
Ranking
Safe R
As of
October 6, 2024
Solid R
Solid R
Source
YouGov
Ranking
Solid R
As of
November 1, 2024
Likely R
Likely R
Source
Split Ticket
Ranking
Likely R
As of
November 1, 2024
Source
Ranking
As of
The Cook Political Report
Solid R
December 19, 2023
Inside Elections
Solid R
April 26, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Safe R
June 13, 2024
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill
Safe R
August 26, 2024
CNalysis
Very Likely R
September 15, 2024
CNN
Solid R
January 14, 2024
The Economist
Safe R
November 3, 2024
538
Likely R
June 11, 2024
NBC News
Safe R
October 6, 2024
YouGov
Solid R
November 1, 2024
Split Ticket
Likely R
November 1, 2024
· General election › Polling
Alaska Survey Research
Alaska Survey Research
Poll source
Alaska Survey Research
Date(s) administered
October 20–22, 2024
Sample size
1,703 (LV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Donald Trump Republican
55%
Kamala Harris Democratic
45%
Other / Undecided
–
Alaska Survey Research
Alaska Survey Research
Poll source
Alaska Survey Research
Date(s) administered
October 8–9, 2024
Sample size
1,254 (LV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Donald Trump Republican
54%
Kamala Harris Democratic
46%
Other / Undecided
–
Cygnal (R)
Cygnal (R)
Poll source
Cygnal (R)
Date(s) administered
August 30 – September 1, 2024
Sample size
400 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Donald Trump Republican
53%
Kamala Harris Democratic
43%
Other / Undecided
4%
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Donald Trump Republican
Kamala Harris Democratic
Other / Undecided
Alaska Survey Research
October 20–22, 2024
1,703 (LV)
± 2 %
55%
45%
–
Alaska Survey Research
October 8–9, 2024
1,254 (LV)
± 2 %
54%
46%
–
Cygnal (R)
August 30 – September 1, 2024
400 (LV)
± 4 %
53%
43%
4%
· General election › Polling
Alaska Survey Research
Alaska Survey Research
Poll source
Alaska Survey Research
Date(s) administered
October 20–22, 2024
Sample size
1,703 (LV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Donald Trump Republican
51%
Kamala Harris Democratic
43%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent
7%
Other / Undecided
–
Alaska Survey Research
Alaska Survey Research
Poll source
Alaska Survey Research
Date(s) administered
October 8–9, 2024
Sample size
1,254 (LV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Donald Trump Republican
50%
Kamala Harris Democratic
43%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent
7%
Other / Undecided
–
Alaska Survey Research
Alaska Survey Research
Poll source
Alaska Survey Research
Date(s) administered
September 27–29, 2024
Sample size
1,182 (LV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Donald Trump Republican
52%
Kamala Harris Democratic
43%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent
6%
Other / Undecided
–
Alaska Survey Research
Alaska Survey Research
Poll source
Alaska Survey Research
Date(s) administered
September 11–12, 2024
Sample size
1,254 (LV)
Margin of error
–
Donald Trump Republican
47%
Kamala Harris Democratic
42%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent
5%
Other / Undecided
6%
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Donald Trump Republican
Kamala Harris Democratic
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent
Other / Undecided
Alaska Survey Research
October 20–22, 2024
1,703 (LV)
± 2 %
51%
43%
7%
–
Alaska Survey Research
October 8–9, 2024
1,254 (LV)
± 2 %
50%
43%
7%
–
Alaska Survey Research
September 27–29, 2024
1,182 (LV)
± 2 %
52%
43%
6%
–
Alaska Survey Research
September 11–12, 2024
1,254 (LV)
–
47%
42%
5%
6%

References

  1. Kennedy suspended his campaign on August 23, after the deadline for independent candidates had passed, and thus remained
  2. The national Green Party nominated Stein and Ware for their presidential ticket. The Green Party of Alaska, a separate e
  3. Key: A – all adults RV – registered voters LV – likely voters V – unclear
  4. Poll sponsored by Nick Begich's campaign for U . House and the National Republican Congressional Committee
  5. Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign
  6. "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats"
    https://www.npr.org/2021/04/26/983082132/census-to-release-1st-results-that-shift-electoral-college-house-seats
  7. Alaska Public Media
    https://alaskapublic.org/2024/06/19/want-to-run-for-president-in-alaska-youll-need-a-few-thousand-friends/
  8. "Trump or Haley? Alaska Republicans vote Tuesday"
    https://alaskapublic.org/2024/03/04/trump-or-haley-alaska-republicans-vote-tuesday/
  9. "Biden wins more delegates in Wyoming and Alaska as he heads toward Democratic nomination"
    https://apnews.com/article/democrat-primary-voting-alaska-wyoming-nomination-8605e7ed6b700c62066763eeea9fb14c
  10. "With one candidate left, Alaska Democrats' plan is to set presidential preference by voice vote"
    https://alaskabeacon.com/briefs/with-one-candidate-left-alaska-democrats-plan-is-to-set-presidential-preference-by-voice-vote/
  11. Ballotpedia
    https://ballotpedia.org/Presidential_election_in_Alaska,_2024
  12. Alaska Division of Elections
    https://www.elections.alaska.gov/candidates/?election=24genr
  13. Alaska Beacon
    https://alaskabeacon.com/briefs/alaskas-presidential-election-allows-voters-to-rank-up-to-eight-candidates/
  14. Must Read Alaska
    https://mustreadalaska.com/cornel-west-independent-candidate-says-he-will-be-on-alaska-ballot-for-president-in-2024/
  15. cookpolitical
    https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/presidential-race-ratings
  16. insideelections
    https://insideelections.com/ratings/president
  17. centerforpolitics
    https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2024-president/
  18. elections2024 /
    https://elections2024.thehill.com/predictions/president
  19. projects /
    https://projects.cnalysis.com/23-24/president
  20. "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270"
    https://www.cnn.com/election/2024/electoral-college-map?game-id=2024-PG-CNN-ratings&game-view=map
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