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2024 United States Senate election in West Virginia

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2024 United States Senate election in West Virginia

The 2024 United States Senate election in West Virginia was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of West Virginia. Republican governor Jim Justice won his first term in office, defeating Democratic Wheeling mayor Glenn Elliott. He succeeded independent incumbent Joe Manchin, who did not seek a third full term. Manchin, a Democrat until his final year in the Senate, announced he would not run for re-election shortly before switching to independent. He endorsed Elliott, who won the Democratic nomination with 45% of the vote against political activist Zach Shrewsbury and businessman Don Blankenship. Justice won the Republican nomination with 62% of the vote against Congressman Alex Mooney. Due to West Virginia's heavy Republican lean, the absence of Manchin, Justice's personal popularity, and being held concurrently with a presidential race in a state in which Donald Trump was expected to win in a landslide, a Republican pickup for this seat was considered a foregone conclusion in 2024. Justice was sworn in as a Senator on January 14, 2025, giving elected Republicans control of both of West Virginia’s Senate seats for the first time since 1931 and giving the state an entirely Republican congressional delegation for the first time since 1923. This was the first time since the 1956 special election that a Republican won West Virginia's Class I Senate Seat.

Infobox

Nominee
Jim Justice
Party
Republican
Popular vote
514,079
Percentage
68 %

Tables

· Democratic primary › Fundraising
Candidate
Candidate
Campaign finance reports as of April 24, 2024
Candidate
Campaign finance reports as of April 24, 2024
Raised
Campaign finance reports as of April 24, 2024
Spent
Campaign finance reports as of April 24, 2024
Cash on hand
Zachary Shrewsbury (D)
Zachary Shrewsbury (D)
Campaign finance reports as of April 24, 2024
Zachary Shrewsbury (D)
Campaign finance reports as of April 24, 2024
$295,678
Campaign finance reports as of April 24, 2024
$238,895
Campaign finance reports as of April 24, 2024
$56,782
Glenn Elliott (D)
Glenn Elliott (D)
Campaign finance reports as of April 24, 2024
Glenn Elliott (D)
Campaign finance reports as of April 24, 2024
$125,407
Campaign finance reports as of April 24, 2024
$60,071
Campaign finance reports as of April 24, 2024
$65,335
Don Blankenship (D)
Don Blankenship (D)
Campaign finance reports as of April 24, 2024
Don Blankenship (D)
Campaign finance reports as of April 24, 2024
$1,000
Campaign finance reports as of April 24, 2024
$0
Campaign finance reports as of April 24, 2024
$1,085
Source: Federal Election Commission
Source: Federal Election Commission
Campaign finance reports as of April 24, 2024
Source: Federal Election Commission
Campaign finance reports as of April 24, 2024
Candidate
Raised
Spent
Cash on hand
Zachary Shrewsbury (D)
$295,678
$238,895
$56,782
Glenn Elliott (D)
$125,407
$60,071
$65,335
Don Blankenship (D)
$1,000
$0
$1,085
Source: Federal Election Commission
Democratic primary results · Democratic primary › Results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
101,708
Candidate
100 %
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Democratic
Glenn Elliott
46,176
45 %
Democratic
Zach Shrewsbury
36,754
36 %
Democratic
Don Blankenship
18,778
18 %
Total votes
101,708
100 %
· Republican primary › Fundraising
Candidate
Candidate
Campaign finance reports as of April 24, 2024
Candidate
Campaign finance reports as of April 24, 2024
Raised
Campaign finance reports as of April 24, 2024
Spent
Campaign finance reports as of April 24, 2024
Cash on hand
Jim Justice (R)
Jim Justice (R)
Campaign finance reports as of April 24, 2024
Jim Justice (R)
Campaign finance reports as of April 24, 2024
$2,956,027
Campaign finance reports as of April 24, 2024
$2,024,749
Campaign finance reports as of April 24, 2024
$931,451
Alex Mooney (R)
Alex Mooney (R)
Campaign finance reports as of April 24, 2024
Alex Mooney (R)
Campaign finance reports as of April 24, 2024
$3,266,887
Campaign finance reports as of April 24, 2024
$2,629,525
Campaign finance reports as of April 24, 2024
$637,362
Source: Federal Election Commission
Source: Federal Election Commission
Campaign finance reports as of April 24, 2024
Source: Federal Election Commission
Campaign finance reports as of April 24, 2024
Candidate
Raised
Spent
Cash on hand
Jim Justice (R)
$2,956,027
$2,024,749
$931,451
Alex Mooney (R)
$3,266,887
$2,629,525
$637,362
Source: Federal Election Commission
· Republican primary › Polling
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s) administered
May 2–5, 2024
Sample size
558 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Jim Justice
60%
Alex Mooney
30%
Other
10%
Undecided
Research America
Research America
Poll source
Research America
Date(s) administered
April 24 – May 1, 2024
Sample size
407 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Jim Justice
67%
Alex Mooney
23%
Other
7%
Undecided
3%
Osage Research (R)
Osage Research (R)
Poll source
Osage Research (R)
Date(s) administered
April 22–24, 2024
Sample size
400(LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Jim Justice
49%
Alex Mooney
35%
Other
5%
Undecided
11%
NMB Research (R)
NMB Research (R)
Poll source
NMB Research (R)
Date(s) administered
April 20–22, 2024
Sample size
500(LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Jim Justice
60%
Alex Mooney
24%
Other
Undecided
16%
Research America
Research America
Poll source
Research America
Date(s) administered
April 3–9, 2024
Sample size
400 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Jim Justice
66%
Alex Mooney
24%
Other
4%
Undecided
6%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s) administered
March 19–21, 2024
Sample size
735 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Jim Justice
54%
Alex Mooney
17%
Other
1%
Undecided
22%
American Pulse Research & Polling (R)
American Pulse Research & Polling (R)
Poll source
American Pulse Research & Polling (R)
Date(s) administered
November 13–14, 2023
Sample size
414 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Jim Justice
56%
Alex Mooney
20%
Other
3%
Undecided
22%
Fabrizio, Lee and Associates (R)
Fabrizio, Lee and Associates (R)
Poll source
Fabrizio, Lee and Associates (R)
Date(s) administered
September 11–13, 2023
Sample size
600 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Jim Justice
62%
Alex Mooney
23%
Other
Undecided
15%
Research America
Research America
Poll source
Research America
Date(s) administered
August 16–26, 2023
Sample size
402 (RV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Jim Justice
58%
Alex Mooney
26%
Other
Undecided
16%
Orion Strategies
Orion Strategies
Poll source
Orion Strategies
Date(s) administered
June 17–20, 2023
Sample size
651 (LV)
Margin of error
± 6 %
Jim Justice
56%
Alex Mooney
19%
Other
9%
Undecided
16%
East Carolina University
East Carolina University
Poll source
East Carolina University
Date(s) administered
May 22–23, 2023
Sample size
796 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Jim Justice
53%
Alex Mooney
12%
Other
Undecided
35%
co/efficient (R)
co/efficient (R)
Poll source
co/efficient (R)
Date(s) administered
April 24–25, 2023
Sample size
753 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Jim Justice
45%
Alex Mooney
17%
Other
Undecided
38%
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Jim Justice
Alex Mooney
Other
Undecided
Emerson College
May 2–5, 2024
558 (LV)
± 4 %
60%
30%
10%
Research America
April 24 – May 1, 2024
407 (LV)
± 4 %
67%
23%
7%
3%
Osage Research (R)
April 22–24, 2024
400(LV)
± 4 %
49%
35%
5%
11%
NMB Research (R)
April 20–22, 2024
500(LV)
± 4 %
60%
24%
16%
Research America
April 3–9, 2024
400 (LV)
± 4 %
66%
24%
4%
6%
Emerson College
March 19–21, 2024
735 (LV)
± 3 %
54%
17%
1%
22%
American Pulse Research & Polling (R)
November 13–14, 2023
414 (LV)
± 4 %
56%
20%
3%
22%
Fabrizio, Lee and Associates (R)
September 11–13, 2023
600 (LV)
± 4 %
62%
23%
15%
Research America
August 16–26, 2023
402 (RV)
± 4 %
58%
26%
16%
Orion Strategies
June 17–20, 2023
651 (LV)
± 6 %
56%
19%
9%
16%
East Carolina University
May 22–23, 2023
796 (RV)
± 3 %
53%
12%
35%
co/efficient (R)
April 24–25, 2023
753 (LV)
± 3 %
45%
17%
38%
National Public Affairs (R)
National Public Affairs (R)
Poll source
National Public Affairs (R)
Date(s) administered
March 14–17, 2023
Sample size
360 (LV)
Margin of error
± 5 %
Jim Justice
43%
Alex Mooney
21%
Patrick Morrisey
10%
Undecided
24%
Tarrance Group (R)
Tarrance Group (R)
Poll source
Tarrance Group (R)
Date(s) administered
February 5–7, 2023
Sample size
609 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Jim Justice
53%
Alex Mooney
16%
Patrick Morrisey
21%
Undecided
8%
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Jim Justice
Alex Mooney
Patrick Morrisey
Undecided
National Public Affairs (R)
March 14–17, 2023
360 (LV)
± 5 %
43%
21%
10%
24%
Tarrance Group (R)
February 5–7, 2023
609 (LV)
± 4 %
53%
16%
21%
8%

References

  1. Republicans held both of West Virginia's Senate seats in 1958 when Republican John Hoblitzell was appointed to continue
  2. Key: A – all adults RV – registered voters LV – likely voters V – unclear
  3. Zane Lawhorn with 3%; Bryan Bird, Bryan McKinney, and Janet McNulty with 2%; Don Lindsay with 1%
  4. Bryan McKinney with 2%; Zane Lawhorn with 1%
  5. Oversample of 100 likely Republican primary voters
  6. "Someone else" with 5%
  7. Poll sponsored by West Virginia MetroNews and The Health Plan
  8. Poll sponsored by Mooney's campaign
  9. Poll sponsored by WOWK-TV
  10. Poll sponsored by WMOV
  11. Poll sponsored by Justice's campaign
  12. Poll sponsored by the West Virginia Chamber of Commerce
  13. Poll sponsored by the Senate Leadership Fund, which supports Republican candidates
  14. Poll sponsored by West Virginia MetroNews
  15. The Hill
    https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/4302658-manchin-wont-seek-reelection-in-west-virginia/
  16. CBS News
    https://www.cbsnews.com/news/democrat-joe-manchin-registers-independent/
  17. The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter
    https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/senate/west-virginia-senate/manchin-retirement-democratic-held-seat-moves-solid-republican
  18. "Senate Ratings"
    https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/senate
  19. elections2024 /
    https://elections2024.thehill.com/predictions/senate/
  20. "2024 Senate"
    https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2024-senate/
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