Topzle Topzle

2024 United States Senate election in Ohio

Updated: Wikipedia source

2024 United States Senate election in Ohio

The 2024 United States Senate election in Ohio was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Ohio. Republican businessman Bernie Moreno defeated Democratic three-term incumbent Sherrod Brown. Primary elections took place on March 19, 2024. This was the first U . Senate race in Ohio where the incumbent was defeated since 2006, when Brown defeated Mike DeWine. This race was one of two 2024 U . Senate races in which Democratic senators sought re-election in states where Republican Donald Trump won in both the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections (the other being Montana). This was the most expensive U . Senate election of 2024, with a record-breaking $483 million spent in total. Brown's reelection was considered essential for Democrats' chances to retain the Senate majority in 2024. Moreno won 8 counties that Brown won in 2018, all of them located in northern Ohio: Ashtabula, Erie, Lake, Mahoning, Ottawa, Portage, Trumbull, and Wood. His campaign was aided by Republican nominee Donald Trump's 11 % margin of victory in Ohio, helping secure an outright majority for Senate Republicans for the first time since 2021, with a net gain of four seats in the 2024 elections. Although Brown outperformed Kamala Harris in the concurrent presidential election by 7 percentage points, it was not enough to win. Brown received about 120,000 more votes than Harris, while Moreno received about 320,000 fewer votes than Trump. Libertarian candidate Don Kissick received around 195,000 votes, approximately 3% of the vote. This was the first time since 1954 that a Republican defeated an incumbent Democrat senator in Ohio. Along with Bob Casey Jr. in Pennsylvania and Jon Tester in Montana, Brown was one of three incumbent senators to lose re-election in 2024. Notably, all three were first elected in 2006, defeating Republican incumbents, and won re-election in 2012 and 2018. To date, this is Brown's second general election loss of his political career, having previously lost re-election in 1990 as Ohio's Secretary of State to Robert Taft. Brown would later run for the Senate again in 2026. Moreno's swearing in on January 3, 2025 gave Republicans control of both of Ohio's U . Senate seats for the first time since 2007. As Ohio's other U . senator, JD Vance, was elected vice president of the United States, Moreno became Ohio's senior senator upon Vance's resignation.

Infobox

Turnout
71 % (registered voters) 15 pp
Nominee
Bernie Moreno
Party
Republican
Popular vote
2,857,383
Percentage
50 %

Tables

· Democratic primary › Fundraising
Candidate
Candidate
Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate
Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Raised
Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Spent
Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Cash on hand
Sherrod Brown (D)
Sherrod Brown (D)
Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Sherrod Brown (D)
Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
$27,838,244
Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
$14,594,991
Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
$14,614,497
Source: Federal Election Commission
Source: Federal Election Commission
Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Source: Federal Election Commission
Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate
Raised
Spent
Cash on hand
Sherrod Brown (D)
$27,838,244
$14,594,991
$14,614,497
Source: Federal Election Commission
Ohio Northern University
Ohio Northern University
Poll source
Ohio Northern University
Date(s) administered
October 16–19, 2023
Sample size
256 (LV)
Margin of error
± 8 %
Sherrod Brown
58%
Shontel Brown
6%
Tim Ryan
15%
Undecided
21%
Ohio Northern University
Ohio Northern University
Poll source
Ohio Northern University
Date(s) administered
July 17–26, 2023
Sample size
675 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Sherrod Brown
59%
Shontel Brown
7%
Tim Ryan
17%
Undecided
17%
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Sherrod Brown
Shontel Brown
Tim Ryan
Undecided
Ohio Northern University
October 16–19, 2023
256 (LV)
± 8 %
58%
6%
15%
21%
Ohio Northern University
July 17–26, 2023
675 (RV)
± 3 %
59%
7%
17%
17%
Democratic primary results · Democratic primary › Results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
535,305
Candidate
100 %
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Democratic
Sherrod Brown (incumbent)
535,305
100 %
Total votes
535,305
100 %
· Republican primary › Debates
Key:  P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn
Key:  P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn
No.
Key:  P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn
Matt Dolan
Matt Dolan
No.
Matt Dolan
Date
Frank LaRose
Host
Bernie Moreno
1
1
No.
1
Date
January 22, 2024
Host
FOX 8
Moderator
Colleen Marshall Joe Toohey
Link
FOX 8
Candidates
P
Candidates
P
Candidates
P
2
2
No.
2
Date
February 19, 2024
Host
Spectrum News
Moderator
Mike Kallmeyer
Link
Spectrum News
Candidates
P
Candidates
P
Candidates
P
3
3
No.
3
Date
March 6, 2024
Host
WLWT
Moderator
Sheree Paolello
Link
YouTube
Candidates
P
Candidates
P
Candidates
P
No.
Date
Host
Moderator
Link
Candidates
Key: P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn
Matt Dolan
Frank LaRose
Bernie Moreno
1
January 22, 2024
FOX 8
Colleen Marshall Joe Toohey
FOX 8
P
P
P
2
February 19, 2024
Spectrum News
Mike Kallmeyer
Spectrum News
P
P
P
3
March 6, 2024
WLWT
Sheree Paolello
YouTube
P
P
P
· Republican primary › Fundraising
Candidate
Candidate
Campaign finance reports as of February 28, 2024
Candidate
Campaign finance reports as of February 28, 2024
Raised
Campaign finance reports as of February 28, 2024
Spent
Campaign finance reports as of February 28, 2024
Cash on hand
Matt Dolan (R)
Matt Dolan (R)
Campaign finance reports as of February 28, 2024
Matt Dolan (R)
Campaign finance reports as of February 28, 2024
$11,425,814
Campaign finance reports as of February 28, 2024
$9,089,493
Campaign finance reports as of February 28, 2024
$2,383,077
Bernie Moreno (R)
Bernie Moreno (R)
Campaign finance reports as of February 28, 2024
Bernie Moreno (R)
Campaign finance reports as of February 28, 2024
$9,735,460
Campaign finance reports as of February 28, 2024
$7,338,751
Campaign finance reports as of February 28, 2024
$2,396,709
Frank LaRose (R)
Frank LaRose (R)
Campaign finance reports as of February 28, 2024
Frank LaRose (R)
Campaign finance reports as of February 28, 2024
$2,217,016
Campaign finance reports as of February 28, 2024
$1,625,972
Campaign finance reports as of February 28, 2024
$591,043
Source: Federal Election Commission
Source: Federal Election Commission
Campaign finance reports as of February 28, 2024
Source: Federal Election Commission
Campaign finance reports as of February 28, 2024
Candidate
Raised
Spent
Cash on hand
Matt Dolan (R)
$11,425,814
$9,089,493
$2,383,077
Bernie Moreno (R)
$9,735,460
$7,338,751
$2,396,709
Frank LaRose (R)
$2,217,016
$1,625,972
$591,043
Source: Federal Election Commission

References

  1. Key: A – all adults RV – registered voters LV – likely voters V – unclear
  2. A subset of poll respondents who said they planned to vote in the Democratic primary
  3. $9,000,000 of this total was self-funded by Dolan.
  4. $4,200,000 of this total was self-funded by Moreno.
  5. $250,000 of this total was self-funded by LaRose.
  6. Joel Mutchler with 1%
  7. "Someone else" with 29%; Joel Mutchler with 3%
  8. Joel Mutchler with 0%
  9. A subset of poll respondents who said they planned to vote in the Republican primary
  10. $4,500,838 of this total was self-funded by Moreno.
  11. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  12. "Blank/Null/Won't vote" with 2%; "Other" with 1%
  13. With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  14. Kissick (L) with 3%;"Other" with <1%
  15. Kissick (L) with 2%; "Other" with 1%
  16. "Did not vote for Senator" with 1%
  17. "Wouldn't Vote" with 1%
  18. "Wouldn't Vote" with 1%
  19. "Another party's candidate" with 1%
  20. "Won't Vote" with 5%
Image
Source:
Tip: Wheel or +/− to zoom, drag to pan, Esc to close.