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2024 United States Senate election in Nevada

Updated: Wikipedia source

2024 United States Senate election in Nevada

The 2024 United States Senate election in Nevada was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Nevada. Incumbent Democratic Senator Jacky Rosen narrowly won re-election to a second term, defeating Republican nominee Sam Brown. Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump carried Nevada on the same ballot. Primary elections took place on June 11, 2024. Incumbent Democratic senator Jacky Rosen was running for reelection to a second term in office, facing a strong challenge from Republican author and U . Army veteran Sam Brown. Brown was endorsed by Donald Trump, who was running for the presidency up the ballot. Given Nevada's status as a crucial swing state at the federal level, a competitive race was anticipated; although, Rosen led most all of preelection polling, and almost all major news organizations and firms predicted that she was likely to win, albeit by varying levels of confidence. Come Election Day, Rosen was reelected by a narrow margin of around 1 %, an advantage of around 24,000 votes among over 1 million cast statewide. This result reflected a somewhat more competitive result than expected, according to final polling averages, and was down from her 2018 margin of around 5 points against then-incumbent Republican senator Dean Heller. Rosen received 47 % of the statewide vote to Brown's 46 %. Rosen's victory came on the same ballot in which Democrat Kamala Harris lost the state of Nevada in the concurrent presidential election by 3 %, becoming the first Democrat to do so since 2004. To compare to the presidential race, Rosen ultimately overperformed Harris by around 4 percentage points. Rosen carried two of Nevada's seventeen counties – Clark County, home to Las Vegas and its suburbs, and Washoe County, home to Reno and its suburbs – which is somewhat of a traditional result in the state, as Harris did the same in the presidential election; however, their margins differed notably. Rosen carried Clark and Washoe counties by margins of 7 % and 5 % respectively, while Harris only carried them by 2 % and 1 % respectively. Rosen received around 4,000 less raw votes than Harris, while Brown received over 74,000 less raw votes than Trump.

Infobox

Nominee
Jacky Rosen
Party
Democratic
Popular vote
701,105
Percentage
47 %

Tables

· Democratic primary › Fundraising
Candidate
Candidate
Campaign finance reports as of May 22, 2024
Candidate
Campaign finance reports as of May 22, 2024
Raised
Campaign finance reports as of May 22, 2024
Spent
Campaign finance reports as of May 22, 2024
Cash on hand
Jacky Rosen (D)
Jacky Rosen (D)
Campaign finance reports as of May 22, 2024
Jacky Rosen (D)
Campaign finance reports as of May 22, 2024
$27,387,983
Campaign finance reports as of May 22, 2024
$17,316,743
Campaign finance reports as of May 22, 2024
$10,249,429
Troy Walker (D)
Troy Walker (D)
Campaign finance reports as of May 22, 2024
Troy Walker (D)
Campaign finance reports as of May 22, 2024
$705
Campaign finance reports as of May 22, 2024
$675
Campaign finance reports as of May 22, 2024
$0
Source: Federal Election Commission
Source: Federal Election Commission
Campaign finance reports as of May 22, 2024
Source: Federal Election Commission
Campaign finance reports as of May 22, 2024
Candidate
Raised
Spent
Cash on hand
Jacky Rosen (D)
$27,387,983
$17,316,743
$10,249,429
Troy Walker (D)
$705
$675
$0
Source: Federal Election Commission
Democratic primary results · Democratic primary › Results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
157,461
Candidate
100 %
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Democratic
Jacky Rosen (incumbent)
144,090
91 %
Democratic
Troy Zakari Walker
5,899
3 %
Democratic
None of These Candidates
3,951
2 %
Democratic
Mike Schaefer
3,521
2 %
Total votes
157,461
100 %
· Republican primary › Polling
Noble Predictive Insights
Noble Predictive Insights
Poll source
Noble Predictive Insights
Date(s) administered
June 4–5, 2024
Sample size
424 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Sam Brown
50%
Tony Grady
4%
Jeff Gunter
15%
Jim Marchant
8%
Other
12%
Undecided
12%
Kaplan Strategies
Kaplan Strategies
Poll source
Kaplan Strategies
Date(s) administered
May 30, 2024
Sample size
802 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Sam Brown
30%
Tony Grady
4%
Jeff Gunter
31%
Jim Marchant
7%
Other
1%
Undecided
27%
Tarrance Group (R)
Tarrance Group (R)
Poll source
Tarrance Group (R)
Date(s) administered
May 13–16, 2024
Sample size
500 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Sam Brown
52%
Tony Grady
Jeff Gunter
14%
Jim Marchant
7%
Other
Undecided
27%
Tarrance Group (R)
Tarrance Group (R)
Poll source
Tarrance Group (R)
Date(s) administered
April 7–10, 2024
Sample size
500 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Sam Brown
58%
Tony Grady
3%
Jeff Gunter
3%
Jim Marchant
6%
Other
Undecided
29%
Noble Predictive Insights
Noble Predictive Insights
Poll source
Noble Predictive Insights
Date(s) administered
February 27 – March 5, 2024
Sample size
296 (RV)
Margin of error
± 5 %
Sam Brown
39%
Tony Grady
Jeff Gunter
Jim Marchant
26%
Other
Undecided
35%
Tarrance Group (R)
Tarrance Group (R)
Poll source
Tarrance Group (R)
Date(s) administered
October 23–26, 2023
Sample size
600 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Sam Brown
24%
Tony Grady
5%
Jeff Gunter
1%
Jim Marchant
9%
Other
Undecided
41%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Poll source
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Date(s) administered
August 15–17, 2023
Sample size
500 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Sam Brown
33%
Tony Grady
2%
Jeff Gunter
1%
Jim Marchant
15%
Other
3%
Undecided
44%
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Sam Brown
Tony Grady
Jeff Gunter
Jim Marchant
Other
Undecided
Noble Predictive Insights
June 4–5, 2024
424 (LV)
± 4 %
50%
4%
15%
8%
12%
12%
Kaplan Strategies
May 30, 2024
802 (LV)
± 3 %
30%
4%
31%
7%
1%
27%
Tarrance Group (R)
May 13–16, 2024
500 (LV)
± 4 %
52%
14%
7%
27%
Tarrance Group (R)
April 7–10, 2024
500 (LV)
± 4 %
58%
3%
3%
6%
29%
Noble Predictive Insights
February 27 – March 5, 2024
296 (RV)
± 5 %
39%
26%
35%
Tarrance Group (R)
October 23–26, 2023
600 (LV)
± 4 %
24%
5%
1%
9%
41%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
August 15–17, 2023
500 (LV)
± 4 %
33%
2%
1%
15%
3%
44%
· Republican primary › Fundraising
Candidate
Candidate
Campaign finance reports as of May 22, 2024
Candidate
Campaign finance reports as of May 22, 2024
Raised
Campaign finance reports as of May 22, 2024
Spent
Campaign finance reports as of May 22, 2024
Cash on hand
Sam Brown (R)
Sam Brown (R)
Campaign finance reports as of May 22, 2024
Sam Brown (R)
Campaign finance reports as of May 22, 2024
$7,084,690
Campaign finance reports as of May 22, 2024
$4,605,289
Campaign finance reports as of May 22, 2024
$2,479,400
William Conrad (R)
William Conrad (R)
Campaign finance reports as of May 22, 2024
William Conrad (R)
Campaign finance reports as of May 22, 2024
$12,476
Campaign finance reports as of May 22, 2024
$7,098
Campaign finance reports as of May 22, 2024
$9,161
Tony Grady Jr. (R)
Tony Grady Jr. (R)
Campaign finance reports as of May 22, 2024
Tony Grady Jr. (R)
Campaign finance reports as of May 22, 2024
$278,061
Campaign finance reports as of May 22, 2024
$255,593
Campaign finance reports as of May 22, 2024
$22,467
Jeffrey Ross Gunter (R)
Jeffrey Ross Gunter (R)
Campaign finance reports as of May 22, 2024
Jeffrey Ross Gunter (R)
Campaign finance reports as of May 22, 2024
$3,317,546
Campaign finance reports as of May 22, 2024
$2,980,286
Campaign finance reports as of May 22, 2024
$337,260
Ronda Kennedy (R)
Ronda Kennedy (R)
Campaign finance reports as of May 22, 2024
Ronda Kennedy (R)
Campaign finance reports as of May 22, 2024
$27,786
Campaign finance reports as of May 22, 2024
$18,620
Campaign finance reports as of May 22, 2024
$9,165
Barry Lindemann (R)
Barry Lindemann (R)
Campaign finance reports as of May 22, 2024
Barry Lindemann (R)
Campaign finance reports as of May 22, 2024
$64,106
Campaign finance reports as of May 22, 2024
$63,947
Campaign finance reports as of May 22, 2024
$2,783
Jim Marchant (R)
Jim Marchant (R)
Campaign finance reports as of May 22, 2024
Jim Marchant (R)
Campaign finance reports as of May 22, 2024
$434,323
Campaign finance reports as of May 22, 2024
$374,665
Campaign finance reports as of May 22, 2024
$59,657
Stephanie Phillips (R)
Stephanie Phillips (R)
Campaign finance reports as of May 22, 2024
Stephanie Phillips (R)
Campaign finance reports as of May 22, 2024
$82,761
Campaign finance reports as of May 22, 2024
$81,427
Campaign finance reports as of May 22, 2024
$1,333
Source: Federal Election Commission
Source: Federal Election Commission
Campaign finance reports as of May 22, 2024
Source: Federal Election Commission
Campaign finance reports as of May 22, 2024
Candidate
Raised
Spent
Cash on hand
Sam Brown (R)
$7,084,690
$4,605,289
$2,479,400
William Conrad (R)
$12,476
$7,098
$9,161
Tony Grady Jr. (R)
$278,061
$255,593
$22,467
Jeffrey Ross Gunter (R)
$3,317,546
$2,980,286
$337,260
Ronda Kennedy (R)
$27,786
$18,620
$9,165
Barry Lindemann (R)
$64,106
$63,947
$2,783
Jim Marchant (R)
$434,323
$374,665
$59,657
Stephanie Phillips (R)
$82,761
$81,427
$1,333
Source: Federal Election Commission
Republican primary results · Republican primary › Results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
171,350
Candidate
100 %
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Republican
Sam Brown
103,102
60 %
Republican
Jeffrey Ross Gunter
24,987
14 %
Republican
Jim Marchant
11,190
6 %
Republican
Tony Grady Jr.
9,565
5 %
Republican
None of These Candidates
7,164
4 %
Republican
William Conrad
6,038
3 %
Republican
Stephanie Phillips
3,828
2 %
Republican
Garn Mabey
1,818
1 %
Republican
Ronda Kennedy
1,786
1 %
Republican
Barry Lindemann
852
0 %
Republican
Edward Hamilton
478
0 %
Republican
Vincent Rego
311
0 %
Republican
Gary Marinch
231
0 %
Total votes
171,350
100 %

References

  1. Key: A – all adults RV – registered voters LV – likely voters V – unclear
  2. "Another candidate not listed" with 7%; "Refused/Would not vote" with 5%
  3. Bill Conrad with 1%; Ronda Kennedy with 0%
  4. Bill Conrad, Ronda Kennedy, and Barry Lindemann with 1%
  5. $2,100 of this total was self-funded by Conrad
  6. $2,725,000 of this total was self-funded by Gunter
  7. $21,600 of this total was self-funded by Kennedy
  8. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  9. "Blank/Null/Won't vote" with 3%; "Other" with 1%
  10. "Blank/Null/Won't vote" with 4%; "Other" with 1%
  11. "None of these candidate" with 3%
  12. "None of these candidates" with 2%
  13. "None of these candidates" with 2%; Cunningham (L) and Hansen (IA) with 1%; "Refused" with 1%
  14. "Refuse" with 4%; "Other" with 1%
  15. "Other" with 3%
  16. Hansen (IA) with 2%; "None of these candidates" with 2%
  17. "Other" with 3%
  18. "Other" with 7%; "Neither" with 1%
  19. Cunningham (L) and Hansen (IA) with 1%
  20. "Another candidate" with 4%
Image
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