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2024 United States Senate election in Arizona

Updated: Wikipedia source

2024 United States Senate election in Arizona

The 2024 United States Senate election in Arizona was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Arizona. Democratic Congressman Ruben Gallego won his first term in office, defeating Republican former news anchor Kari Lake. He succeeded independent incumbent Kyrsten Sinema, who did not seek a second term. Sinema, who was elected as a Democrat, was considered vulnerable to a primary challenge due to frequently opposing her party's legislative agenda. After preparing a re-election bid as an independent, Sinema announced she would retire from the Senate. Gallego ran unopposed in the Democratic primary. Lake, the Republican nominee in the 2022 Arizona gubernatorial election, won her party's nomination with 55% of the vote against Pinal County sheriff Mark Lamb. The election was considered among the most competitive Senate races in 2024. Most polls and ratings had Gallego as the favorite to win. Gallego defeated Lake by 2.41 percentage points, a closer race than polls had projected for most of the campaign. Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump's wider-than-expected victory in the state likely contributed to this, but there was also a significant amount of ticket splitting between the presidential and senatorial races. Gallego outperformed Kamala Harris by the fourth-largest margin among Democratic Senate candidates in 2024, and the largest margin for a non-incumbent. Gallego particularly benefitted from ticket splitting among Hispanics, who according to exit polls gave Gallego 60% of their votes, compared to 54% for Harris. Specifically, Gallego received 93,475 more votes than Harris, while Lake received 174,481 fewer votes than Donald Trump. This election marked the fourth consecutive election cycle in which Democrats won a Senate election in Arizona. This was the first time that Arizona voted for candidates of different political parties for U.S. senator and president since Democrat Dennis DeConcini was reelected as Republican George H. W. Bush carried the state in 1988. Gallego also became the first Latino elected to the Senate from Arizona, a state with a large Latino population. This was the first time since 2006 that any candidate won a majority of the vote in this seat.

Infobox

Party
Democratic
Nominee
Ruben Gallego
Percentage
50.06%
Popular vote
1,676,335

Tables

Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
August 2–4, 2023
Samplesize
571 (LV)
Marginof error
–
RubenGallego
48%
AlexanderKeller
6%
Other
6%
Undecided
40%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
RubenGallego
AlexanderKeller
Other
Undecided
Emerson College
August 2–4, 2023
571 (LV)
–
48%
6%
6%
40%
Data for Progress (D)
Data for Progress (D)
Poll source
Data for Progress (D)
Date(s)administered
January 21–24, 2022
Samplesize
673 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
KateGallego
–
RubenGallego
74%
KathyHoffman
–
ReginaRomero
–
KyrstenSinema
16%
GregStanton
–
Undecided
10%
–
–
Poll source
–
Date(s)administered
66%
Samplesize
–
Marginof error
–
KateGallego
17%
RubenGallego
–
KathyHoffman
17%
Noble Predictive Insights
Noble Predictive Insights
Poll source
Noble Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
November 1–8, 2021
Samplesize
229 (RV)
Marginof error
± 6.5%
KateGallego
–
RubenGallego
47%
KathyHoffman
–
ReginaRomero
–
KyrstenSinema
24%
GregStanton
–
Undecided
29%
–
–
Poll source
–
Date(s)administered
–
Samplesize
44%
Marginof error
–
KateGallego
24%
RubenGallego
–
KathyHoffman
32%
–
–
Poll source
–
Date(s)administered
–
Samplesize
–
Marginof error
–
KateGallego
25%
RubenGallego
47%
KathyHoffman
28%
Data for Progress (D)
Data for Progress (D)
Poll source
Data for Progress (D)
Date(s)administered
October 8–10, 2021
Samplesize
467 (LV)
Marginof error
± 5.0%
KateGallego
9%
RubenGallego
23%
KathyHoffman
–
ReginaRomero
9%
KyrstenSinema
19%
GregStanton
13%
Undecided
26%
60%
60%
Poll source
60%
Date(s)administered
–
Samplesize
–
Marginof error
–
KateGallego
25%
RubenGallego
–
KathyHoffman
15%
–
–
Poll source
–
Date(s)administered
62%
Samplesize
–
Marginof error
–
KateGallego
23%
RubenGallego
–
KathyHoffman
15%
–
–
Poll source
–
Date(s)administered
–
Samplesize
–
Marginof error
55%
KateGallego
26%
RubenGallego
–
KathyHoffman
19%
–
–
Poll source
–
Date(s)administered
–
Samplesize
–
Marginof error
–
KateGallego
24%
RubenGallego
59%
KathyHoffman
17%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
KateGallego
RubenGallego
KathyHoffman
ReginaRomero
KyrstenSinema
GregStanton
Undecided
Data for Progress (D)
January 21–24, 2022
673 (LV)
± 4.0%
–
74%
–
–
16%
–
10%
–
66%
–
–
17%
–
17%
Noble Predictive Insights
November 1–8, 2021
229 (RV)
± 6.5%
–
47%
–
–
24%
–
29%
–
–
44%
–
24%
–
32%
–
–
–
–
25%
47%
28%
Data for Progress (D)
October 8–10, 2021
467 (LV)
± 5.0%
9%
23%
–
9%
19%
13%
26%
60%
–
–
–
25%
–
15%
–
62%
–
–
23%
–
15%
–
–
–
55%
26%
–
19%
–
–
–
–
24%
59%
17%
Democratic primary results[73] · Democratic primary › Results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
498,927
Candidate
100.0%
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Democratic
Ruben Gallego
498,927
100.0%
Total votes
498,927
100.0%
· Republican primary › Fundraising
Candidate
Candidate
Campaign finance reports as of July 10, 2024
Candidate
Campaign finance reports as of July 10, 2024
Raised
Campaign finance reports as of July 10, 2024
Spent
Campaign finance reports as of July 10, 2024
Cash on hand
Kari Lake
Kari Lake
Campaign finance reports as of July 10, 2024
Kari Lake
Campaign finance reports as of July 10, 2024
$10,352,741
Campaign finance reports as of July 10, 2024
$8,290,053
Campaign finance reports as of July 10, 2024
$2,062,687
Mark Lamb
Mark Lamb
Campaign finance reports as of July 10, 2024
Mark Lamb
Campaign finance reports as of July 10, 2024
$2,059,130
Campaign finance reports as of July 10, 2024
$1,795,730
Campaign finance reports as of July 10, 2024
$263,400
Source: Federal Election Commission
Source: Federal Election Commission
Campaign finance reports as of July 10, 2024
Source: Federal Election Commission
Campaign finance reports as of July 10, 2024
Candidate
Raised
Spent
Cash on hand
Kari Lake
$10,352,741
$8,290,053
$2,062,687
Mark Lamb
$2,059,130
$1,795,730
$263,400
Source: Federal Election Commission
· Republican primary › Polling
Noble Predictive Insights
Noble Predictive Insights
Poll source
Noble Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
July 22–23, 2024
Samplesize
438 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.7%
KariLake
49%
MarkLamb
38%
Other
7%
Undecided
2%
Noble Predictive Insights
Noble Predictive Insights
Poll source
Noble Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
May 7–14, 2024
Samplesize
364 (RV)
Marginof error
± 5.1%
KariLake
46%
MarkLamb
21%
Other
9%
Undecided
25%
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Poll source
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Date(s)administered
February 21–26, 2024
Samplesize
469 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
KariLake
55%
MarkLamb
26%
Other
7%
Undecided
12%
Noble Predictive Insights
Noble Predictive Insights
Poll source
Noble Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
February 6–13, 2024
Samplesize
384 (RV)
Marginof error
± 5.0%
KariLake
54%
MarkLamb
21%
Other
9%
Undecided
17%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
KariLake
MarkLamb
Other
Undecided
Noble Predictive Insights
July 22–23, 2024
438 (LV)
± 4.7%
49%
38%
7%
2%
Noble Predictive Insights
May 7–14, 2024
364 (RV)
± 5.1%
46%
21%
9%
25%
Rasmussen Reports (R)
February 21–26, 2024
469 (LV)
± 3.0%
55%
26%
7%
12%
Noble Predictive Insights
February 6–13, 2024
384 (RV)
± 5.0%
54%
21%
9%
17%
Noble Predictive Insights
Noble Predictive Insights
Poll source
Noble Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
October 25–31, 2023
Samplesize
1,010 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
AbeHamadeh
–
KariLake
40%
MarkLamb
14%
JimLamon
–
BlakeMasters
10%
Karrin TaylorRobson
–
BrianWright
4%
Other
–
Undecided
33%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
August 2–4, 2023
Samplesize
667 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.7%
AbeHamadeh
–
KariLake
42%
MarkLamb
11%
JimLamon
2%
BlakeMasters
7%
Karrin TaylorRobson
–
BrianWright
2%
Other
–
Undecided
28%
J.L. Partners
J.L. Partners
Poll source
J.L. Partners
Date(s)administered
April 10–12, 2023
Samplesize
550 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.2%
AbeHamadeh
4%
KariLake
38%
MarkLamb
8%
JimLamon
3%
BlakeMasters
7%
Karrin TaylorRobson
10%
BrianWright
–
Other
2%
Undecided
29%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
AbeHamadeh
KariLake
MarkLamb
JimLamon
BlakeMasters
Karrin TaylorRobson
BrianWright
Other
Undecided
Noble Predictive Insights
October 25–31, 2023
1,010 (RV)
± 3.1%
–
40%
14%
–
10%
–
4%
–
33%
Emerson College
August 2–4, 2023
667 (LV)
± 3.7%
–
42%
11%
2%
7%
–
2%
–
28%
Partners
April 10–12, 2023
550 (LV)
± 4.2%
4%
38%
8%
3%
7%
10%
–
2%
29%
Republican primary results[73] · Republican primary › Results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
740,435
Candidate
100.0%
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Republican
Kari Lake
409,339
55.28%
Republican
Mark Lamb
292,888
39.56%
Republican
Elizabeth Jean Reye
38,208
5.16%
Total votes
740,435
100.0%
· Green primary › Fundraising
Candidate
Candidate
Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
Candidate
Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
Raised
Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
Spent
Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
Cash on hand
Mike Norton
Mike Norton
Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
Mike Norton
Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
$84,401
Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
$76,692
Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
$7,708
Source: Federal Election Commission
Source: Federal Election Commission
Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
Source: Federal Election Commission
Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
Candidate
Raised
Spent
Cash on hand
Mike Norton
$84,401
$76,692
$7,708
Source: Federal Election Commission
Green primary results[73] · Green primary › Results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
570
Candidate
100.0%
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Green
Eduardo Heredia Quintana (write-in)
282
49.47%
Green
Mike Norton
180
31.58%
Green
Arturo Hernandez
108
18.95%
Total votes
570
100.0%
· Independents › Fundraising
Candidate
Candidate
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024
Candidate
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024
Raised
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024
Spent
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024
Cash on hand
Kyrsten Sinema
Kyrsten Sinema
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024
Kyrsten Sinema
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024
$17,047,387
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024
$7,065,565
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024
$10,153,343
Source: Federal Election Commission
Source: Federal Election Commission
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024
Source: Federal Election Commission
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024
Candidate
Raised
Spent
Cash on hand
Kyrsten Sinema
$17,047,387
$7,065,565
$10,153,343
Source: Federal Election Commission
· General election › Predictions
Likely D (flip)
Likely D (flip)
Source
Elections Daily
Ranking
Likely D (flip)
As of
October 9, 2024
Likely D (flip)
Likely D (flip)
Source
CNalysis
Ranking
Likely D (flip)
As of
October 15, 2024
Lean D (flip)
Lean D (flip)
Source
RealClearPolitics
Ranking
Lean D (flip)
As of
October 3, 2024
Lean D (flip)
Lean D (flip)
Source
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Ranking
Lean D (flip)
As of
September 6, 2024
Lean D (flip)
Lean D (flip)
Source
Inside Elections
Ranking
Lean D (flip)
As of
October 10, 2024
Lean D (flip)
Lean D (flip)
Source
The Cook Political Report
Ranking
Lean D (flip)
As of
September 12, 2024
Lean D (flip)
Lean D (flip)
Source
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill
Ranking
Lean D (flip)
As of
September 20, 2024
Lean D (flip)
Lean D (flip)
Source
Split Ticket
Ranking
Lean D (flip)
As of
October 23, 2024
Likely D (flip)
Likely D (flip)
Source
538
Ranking
Likely D (flip)
As of
October 23, 2024
Source
Ranking
As of
Elections Daily
Likely D (flip)
October 9, 2024
CNalysis
Likely D (flip)
October 15, 2024
RealClearPolitics
Lean D (flip)
October 3, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Lean D (flip)
September 6, 2024
Inside Elections
Lean D (flip)
October 10, 2024
The Cook Political Report
Lean D (flip)
September 12, 2024
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill
Lean D (flip)
September 20, 2024
Split Ticket
Lean D (flip)
October 23, 2024
538
Likely D (flip)
October 23, 2024
2024 Arizona U.S. Senate election debate · General election › Debates
Key: P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Key: P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
No.
Key: P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Gallego
Gallego
No.
Gallego
Date
Lake
1
1
No.
1
Date
October 10, 2024
Host
Clean Elections
Moderators
Steve GoldsteinNohelani Graf
Democratic
P
Republican
P
No.
Date
Host
Moderators
Link
Democratic
Republican
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn
Gallego
Lake
1
October 10, 2024
Clean Elections
Steve GoldsteinNohelani Graf
P
P
· General election › Post-primary fundraising
Candidate
Candidate
Campaign finance reports as of October 16, 2024
Candidate
Campaign finance reports as of October 16, 2024
Raised
Campaign finance reports as of October 16, 2024
Spent
Campaign finance reports as of October 16, 2024
Cash on hand
Ruben Gallego (D)
Ruben Gallego (D)
Campaign finance reports as of October 16, 2024
Ruben Gallego (D)
Campaign finance reports as of October 16, 2024
$56,843,786
Campaign finance reports as of October 16, 2024
$55,360,823
Campaign finance reports as of October 16, 2024
$2,759,538
Kari Lake (R)
Kari Lake (R)
Campaign finance reports as of October 16, 2024
Kari Lake (R)
Campaign finance reports as of October 16, 2024
$21,396,539
Campaign finance reports as of October 16, 2024
$18,239,291
Campaign finance reports as of October 16, 2024
$3,157,247
Source: Federal Election Commission
Source: Federal Election Commission
Campaign finance reports as of October 16, 2024
Source: Federal Election Commission
Campaign finance reports as of October 16, 2024
Candidate
Raised
Spent
Cash on hand
Ruben Gallego (D)
$56,843,786
$55,360,823
$2,759,538
Kari Lake (R)
$21,396,539
$18,239,291
$3,157,247
Source: Federal Election Commission
· General election › Polling
FiveThirtyEight
FiveThirtyEight
Source of pollaggregation
FiveThirtyEight
Datesadministered
through November 4, 2024
Datesupdated
November 4, 2024
RubenGallego (D)
49.4%
KariLake (R)
45.3%
Undecided
5.3%
Margin
Gallego +4.1%
RealClearPolitics
RealClearPolitics
Source of pollaggregation
RealClearPolitics
Datesadministered
October 20 – November 4, 2024
Datesupdated
November 4, 2024
RubenGallego (D)
48.8%
KariLake (R)
45.6%
Undecided
5.4%
Margin
Gallego +3.2%
270toWin
270toWin
Source of pollaggregation
270toWin
Datesadministered
October 22 – November 4, 2024
Datesupdated
November 4, 2024
RubenGallego (D)
49.5%
KariLake (R)
44.3%
Undecided
6.2%
Margin
Gallego +5.2%
TheHill/DDHQ
TheHill/DDHQ
Source of pollaggregation
TheHill/DDHQ
Datesadministered
through November 4, 2024
Datesupdated
November 4, 2024
RubenGallego (D)
49.3%
KariLake (R)
45.8%
Undecided
4.9%
Margin
Gallego +3.5%
Average
Average
Source of pollaggregation
Average
Datesadministered
49.3%
Datesupdated
45.3%
RubenGallego (D)
5.4%
KariLake (R)
Gallego +4.0%
Source of pollaggregation
Datesadministered
Datesupdated
RubenGallego (D)
KariLake (R)
Undecided
Margin
FiveThirtyEight
through November 4, 2024
November 4, 2024
49.4%
45.3%
5.3%
Gallego +4.1%
RealClearPolitics
October 20 – November 4, 2024
November 4, 2024
48.8%
45.6%
5.4%
Gallego +3.2%
270toWin
October 22 – November 4, 2024
November 4, 2024
49.5%
44.3%
6.2%
Gallego +5.2%
TheHill/DDHQ
through November 4, 2024
November 4, 2024
49.3%
45.8%
4.9%
Gallego +3.5%
Average
49.3%
45.3%
5.4%
Gallego +4.0%
· General election › Polling
AtlasIntel
AtlasIntel
Poll source
AtlasIntel
Date(s)administered
November 3–4, 2024
Samplesize
875 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
RubenGallego (D)
48%
KariLake (R)
48%
Other
2%
Undecided
2%
Victory Insights (R)
Victory Insights (R)
Poll source
Victory Insights (R)
Date(s)administered
November 2–3, 2024
Samplesize
750 (LV)
Marginof error
–
RubenGallego (D)
50%
KariLake (R)
47%
Other
–
Undecided
3%
The Trafalgar Group (R)
The Trafalgar Group (R)
Poll source
The Trafalgar Group (R)
Date(s)administered
November 1–3, 2024
Samplesize
1,090 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.9%
RubenGallego (D)
49%
KariLake (R)
49%
Other
–
Undecided
2%
Patriot Polling (R)
Patriot Polling (R)
Poll source
Patriot Polling (R)
Date(s)administered
November 1–3, 2024
Samplesize
801 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
RubenGallego (D)
51%
KariLake (R)
48%
Other
–
Undecided
–
InsiderAdvantage (R)
InsiderAdvantage (R)
Poll source
InsiderAdvantage (R)
Date(s)administered
November 1–2, 2024
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
RubenGallego (D)
49%
KariLake (R)
47%
Other
1%
Undecided
3%
AtlasIntel
AtlasIntel
Poll source
AtlasIntel
Date(s)administered
November 1–2, 2024
Samplesize
967 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
RubenGallego (D)
47%
KariLake (R)
49%
Other
2%
Undecided
2%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
October 30 – November 2, 2024
Samplesize
900 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.2%
RubenGallego (D)
50%
KariLake (R)
45%
Other
–
Undecided
5%
New York Times/Siena College
New York Times/Siena College
Poll source
New York Times/Siena College
Date(s)administered
October 25 – November 2, 2024
Samplesize
1,025 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.4%
RubenGallego (D)
50%
KariLake (R)
45%
Other
–
Undecided
4%
1,025 (RV)
1,025 (RV)
Poll source
1,025 (RV)
Date(s)administered
± 3.4%
Samplesize
51%
Marginof error
43%
RubenGallego (D)
–
KariLake (R)
6%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
October 23 – November 1, 2024
Samplesize
666 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
RubenGallego (D)
50%
KariLake (R)
42%
Other
–
Undecided
8%
AtlasIntel
AtlasIntel
Poll source
AtlasIntel
Date(s)administered
October 30–31, 2024
Samplesize
1,005 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
RubenGallego (D)
48%
KariLake (R)
49%
Other
2%
Undecided
1%
OnMessage (R)
OnMessage (R)
Poll source
OnMessage (R)
Date(s)administered
October 29–31, 2024
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
–
RubenGallego (D)
48%
KariLake (R)
48%
Other
–
Undecided
4%
YouGov
YouGov
Poll source
YouGov
Date(s)administered
October 25–31, 2024
Samplesize
856 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
RubenGallego (D)
49%
KariLake (R)
45%
Other
–
Undecided
6%
880 (RV)
880 (RV)
Poll source
880 (RV)
Date(s)administered
49%
Samplesize
44%
Marginof error
–
RubenGallego (D)
7%
ActiVote
ActiVote
Poll source
ActiVote
Date(s)administered
October 5–31, 2024
Samplesize
400 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.9%
RubenGallego (D)
54%
KariLake (R)
46%
Other
–
Undecided
–
Noble Predictive Insights
Noble Predictive Insights
Poll source
Noble Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
October 28–30, 2024
Samplesize
775 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
RubenGallego (D)
48%
KariLake (R)
44%
Other
4%
Undecided
3%
Data for Progress (D)
Data for Progress (D)
Poll source
Data for Progress (D)
Date(s)administered
October 25–30, 2024
Samplesize
1,079 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
RubenGallego (D)
50%
KariLake (R)
45%
Other
2%
Undecided
4%
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Poll source
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Date(s)administered
October 25–29, 2024
Samplesize
803 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
RubenGallego (D)
48%
KariLake (R)
44%
Other
4%
Undecided
4%
AtlasIntel
AtlasIntel
Poll source
AtlasIntel
Date(s)administered
October 25–29, 2024
Samplesize
1,458 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
RubenGallego (D)
48%
KariLake (R)
48%
Other
2%
Undecided
2%
Mitchell Research & Communications
Mitchell Research & Communications
Poll source
Mitchell Research & Communications
Date(s)administered
October 28, 2024
Samplesize
610 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
RubenGallego (D)
50%
KariLake (R)
46%
Other
3%
Undecided
5%
50%
50%
Poll source
50%
Date(s)administered
47%
Samplesize
–
Marginof error
3%
Data Orbital (R)
Data Orbital (R)
Poll source
Data Orbital (R)
Date(s)administered
October 26–28, 2024
Samplesize
550 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.3%
RubenGallego (D)
45%
KariLake (R)
45%
Other
5%
Undecided
6%
RABA Research
RABA Research
Poll source
RABA Research
Date(s)administered
October 25–27, 2024
Samplesize
589 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
RubenGallego (D)
49%
KariLake (R)
34%
Other
8%
Undecided
9%
The Trafalgar Group (R)
The Trafalgar Group (R)
Poll source
The Trafalgar Group (R)
Date(s)administered
October 24–26, 2024
Samplesize
1,094 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.9%
RubenGallego (D)
50%
KariLake (R)
46%
Other
–
Undecided
4%
CNN/SRSS
CNN/SRSS
Poll source
CNN/SRSS
Date(s)administered
October 21–26, 2024
Samplesize
781 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
RubenGallego (D)
51%
KariLake (R)
43%
Other
6%
Undecided
1%
Marist College
Marist College
Poll source
Marist College
Date(s)administered
October 17–22, 2024
Samplesize
1,193 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.7%
RubenGallego (D)
53%
KariLake (R)
45%
Other
–
Undecided
2%
1,329 (RV)
1,329 (RV)
Poll source
1,329 (RV)
Date(s)administered
± 3.5%
Samplesize
53%
Marginof error
45%
RubenGallego (D)
–
KariLake (R)
1%
HighGround Public Affairs
HighGround Public Affairs
Poll source
HighGround Public Affairs
Date(s)administered
October 19–20, 2024
Samplesize
400 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.9%
RubenGallego (D)
52%
KariLake (R)
42%
Other
2%
Undecided
4%
InsiderAdvantage (R)
InsiderAdvantage (R)
Poll source
InsiderAdvantage (R)
Date(s)administered
October 19–20, 2024
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
RubenGallego (D)
50%
KariLake (R)
46%
Other
1%
Undecided
3%
University of Arizona/Truedot
University of Arizona/Truedot
Poll source
University of Arizona/Truedot
Date(s)administered
October 12–20, 2024
Samplesize
846 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.4%
RubenGallego (D)
51%
KariLake (R)
36%
Other
2%
Undecided
11%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
October 16–18, 2024
Samplesize
691 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
RubenGallego (D)
48%
KariLake (R)
41%
Other
5%
Undecided
7%
AtlasIntel
AtlasIntel
Poll source
AtlasIntel
Date(s)administered
October 12–17, 2024
Samplesize
1,440 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
RubenGallego (D)
50%
KariLake (R)
46%
Other
2%
Undecided
2%
CBS News/YouGov
CBS News/YouGov
Poll source
CBS News/YouGov
Date(s)administered
October 11–16, 2024
Samplesize
1,403 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.3%
RubenGallego (D)
54%
KariLake (R)
45%
Other
1%
Undecided
–
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
October 6–15, 2024
Samplesize
653 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
RubenGallego (D)
52%
KariLake (R)
40%
Other
3%
Undecided
5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
October 12–14, 2024
Samplesize
1,141 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.7%
RubenGallego (D)
47%
KariLake (R)
42%
Other
4%
Undecided
7%
The Trafalgar Group (R)
The Trafalgar Group (R)
Poll source
The Trafalgar Group (R)
Date(s)administered
October 10–13, 2024
Samplesize
1,090 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.9%
RubenGallego (D)
48%
KariLake (R)
44%
Other
3%
Undecided
6%
New York Times/Siena College
New York Times/Siena College
Poll source
New York Times/Siena College
Date(s)administered
October 7–10, 2024
Samplesize
808 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.8%
RubenGallego (D)
48%
KariLake (R)
41%
Other
–
Undecided
10%
808 (RV)
808 (RV)
Poll source
808 (RV)
Date(s)administered
± 3.8%
Samplesize
48%
Marginof error
39%
RubenGallego (D)
–
KariLake (R)
12%
ActiVote
ActiVote
Poll source
ActiVote
Date(s)administered
September 8 – October 10, 2024
Samplesize
400 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.9%
RubenGallego (D)
53%
KariLake (R)
47%
Other
–
Undecided
–
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
October 5–8, 2024
Samplesize
1,000 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
RubenGallego (D)
50%
KariLake (R)
43%
Other
–
Undecided
7%
SoCal Strategies (R)
SoCal Strategies (R)
Poll source
SoCal Strategies (R)
Date(s)administered
October 5–7, 2024
Samplesize
735 (LV)
Marginof error
–
RubenGallego (D)
51%
KariLake (R)
39%
Other
–
Undecided
10%
RMG Research
RMG Research
Poll source
RMG Research
Date(s)administered
September 30 – October 2, 2024
Samplesize
783 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
RubenGallego (D)
50%
KariLake (R)
41%
Other
4%
Undecided
5%
52%
52%
Poll source
52%
Date(s)administered
42%
Samplesize
1%
Marginof error
5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
September 27 – October 2, 2024
Samplesize
555 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.9%
RubenGallego (D)
48%
KariLake (R)
42%
Other
3%
Undecided
7%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
Poll source
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
Date(s)administered
September 24 – October 1, 2024
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
RubenGallego (D)
51%
KariLake (R)
44%
Other
1%
Undecided
4%
InsiderAdvantage (R)
InsiderAdvantage (R)
Poll source
InsiderAdvantage (R)
Date(s)administered
September 29–30, 2024
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
RubenGallego (D)
50%
KariLake (R)
43%
Other
1%
Undecided
6%
HighGround Public Affairs
HighGround Public Affairs
Poll source
HighGround Public Affairs
Date(s)administered
September 26–29, 2024
Samplesize
500 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
RubenGallego (D)
51%
KariLake (R)
41%
Other
2%
Undecided
5%
National Research Inc.
National Research Inc.
Poll source
National Research Inc.
Date(s)administered
September 25–29, 2024
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
RubenGallego (D)
48%
KariLake (R)
42%
Other
2%
Undecided
8%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
September 27–28, 2024
Samplesize
920 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.2%
RubenGallego (D)
52%
KariLake (R)
41%
Other
–
Undecided
7%
AtlasIntel
AtlasIntel
Poll source
AtlasIntel
Date(s)administered
September 20–25, 2024
Samplesize
946 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
RubenGallego (D)
50%
KariLake (R)
46%
Other
2%
Undecided
2%
BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
Poll source
BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
Date(s)administered
September 19–25, 2024
Samplesize
409 (LV)
Marginof error
–
RubenGallego (D)
51%
KariLake (R)
39%
Other
4%
Undecided
6%
54%
54%
Poll source
54%
Date(s)administered
41%
Samplesize
–
Marginof error
5%
Fox News
Fox News
Poll source
Fox News
Date(s)administered
September 20–24, 2024
Samplesize
764 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
RubenGallego (D)
55%
KariLake (R)
42%
Other
1%
Undecided
1%
1,021 (RV)
1,021 (RV)
Poll source
1,021 (RV)
Date(s)administered
± 3.0%
Samplesize
56%
Marginof error
42%
RubenGallego (D)
1%
KariLake (R)
1%
Suffolk University
Suffolk University
Poll source
Suffolk University
Date(s)administered
September 19–24, 2024
Samplesize
500 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
RubenGallego (D)
47%
KariLake (R)
41%
Other
5%
Undecided
8%
Marist College
Marist College
Poll source
Marist College
Date(s)administered
September 19–24, 2024
Samplesize
1,264 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.8%
RubenGallego (D)
54%
KariLake (R)
44%
Other
–
Undecided
1%
1,416 (RV)
1,416 (RV)
Poll source
1,416 (RV)
Date(s)administered
± 3.6%
Samplesize
53%
Marginof error
44%
RubenGallego (D)
–
KariLake (R)
2%
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Poll source
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Date(s)administered
September 19–22, 2024
Samplesize
1,030 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
RubenGallego (D)
47%
KariLake (R)
45%
Other
4%
Undecided
4%
New York Times/Siena College
New York Times/Siena College
Poll source
New York Times/Siena College
Date(s)administered
September 17–21, 2024
Samplesize
713 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.1%
RubenGallego (D)
49%
KariLake (R)
43%
Other
–
Undecided
8%
713 (RV)
713 (RV)
Poll source
713 (RV)
Date(s)administered
± 4.1%
Samplesize
50%
Marginof error
41%
RubenGallego (D)
–
KariLake (R)
9%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
September 16–19, 2024
Samplesize
789 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.2%
RubenGallego (D)
46%
KariLake (R)
41%
Other
3%
Undecided
9%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
September 15–18, 2024
Samplesize
868 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.3%
RubenGallego (D)
48%
KariLake (R)
42%
Other
–
Undecided
10%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
September 9–18, 2024
Samplesize
862 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
RubenGallego (D)
53%
KariLake (R)
39%
Other
–
Undecided
8%
The Trafalgar Group (R)
The Trafalgar Group (R)
Poll source
The Trafalgar Group (R)
Date(s)administered
September 11–12, 2024
Samplesize
1,088 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.9%
RubenGallego (D)
47%
KariLake (R)
43%
Other
4%
Undecided
5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
September 6–9, 2024
Samplesize
765 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.3%
RubenGallego (D)
48%
KariLake (R)
42%
Other
2%
Undecided
8%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
August 30 – September 8, 2024
Samplesize
901 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
RubenGallego (D)
49%
KariLake (R)
41%
Other
3%
Undecided
7%
YouGov
YouGov
Poll source
YouGov
Date(s)administered
August 23 – September 3, 2024
Samplesize
900 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.2%
RubenGallego (D)
50%
KariLake (R)
42%
Other
–
Undecided
9%
InsiderAdvantage (R)
InsiderAdvantage (R)
Poll source
InsiderAdvantage (R)
Date(s)administered
August 29–31, 2024
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
RubenGallego (D)
49%
KariLake (R)
45%
Other
2%
Undecided
4%
University of Arizona/Truedot
University of Arizona/Truedot
Poll source
University of Arizona/Truedot
Date(s)administered
August 28–31, 2024
Samplesize
1,155 (RV)
Marginof error
–
RubenGallego (D)
47%
KariLake (R)
36%
Other
4%
Undecided
13%
CNN/SRSS
CNN/SRSS
Poll source
CNN/SRSS
Date(s)administered
August 23–29, 2024
Samplesize
682 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.7%
RubenGallego (D)
47%
KariLake (R)
44%
Other
8%
Undecided
–
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
August 25–28, 2024
Samplesize
530 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
RubenGallego (D)
42%
KariLake (R)
37%
Other
3%
Undecided
17%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
August 25–28, 2024
Samplesize
720 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.6%
RubenGallego (D)
49%
KariLake (R)
42%
Other
–
Undecided
9%
Fox News
Fox News
Poll source
Fox News
Date(s)administered
August 23–26, 2024
Samplesize
1,014 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
RubenGallego (D)
56%
KariLake (R)
41%
Other
2%
Undecided
1%
Noble Predictive Insights
Noble Predictive Insights
Poll source
Noble Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
August 12–16, 2024
Samplesize
1,003 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
RubenGallego (D)
47%
KariLake (R)
40%
Other
–
Undecided
13%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
August 12–15, 2024
Samplesize
592 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.7%
RubenGallego (D)
44%
KariLake (R)
39%
Other
4%
Undecided
13%
New York Times/Siena College
New York Times/Siena College
Poll source
New York Times/Siena College
Date(s)administered
August 8–15, 2024
Samplesize
677 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.1%
RubenGallego (D)
49%
KariLake (R)
41%
Other
–
Undecided
10%
677 (LV)
677 (LV)
Poll source
677 (LV)
Date(s)administered
± 4.4%
Samplesize
51%
Marginof error
42%
RubenGallego (D)
–
KariLake (R)
8%
WPA Intelligence (R)
WPA Intelligence (R)
Poll source
WPA Intelligence (R)
Date(s)administered
August 11–13, 2014
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
RubenGallego (D)
48%
KariLake (R)
46%
Other
3%
Undecided
3%
Peak Insights (R)
Peak Insights (R)
Poll source
Peak Insights (R)
Date(s)administered
July 31 – August 5, 2024
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
RubenGallego (D)
46%
KariLake (R)
46%
Other
–
Undecided
8%
HighGround Public Affairs
HighGround Public Affairs
Poll source
HighGround Public Affairs
Date(s)administered
July 30 – August 5, 2024
Samplesize
500 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
RubenGallego (D)
50%
KariLake (R)
39%
Other
3%
Undecided
9%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
July 31 – August 3, 2024
Samplesize
567 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.8%
RubenGallego (D)
42%
KariLake (R)
36%
Other
–
Undecided
22%
BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
Poll source
BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
Date(s)administered
July 26 – August 2, 2024
Samplesize
435 (LV)
Marginof error
–
RubenGallego (D)
51%
KariLake (R)
42%
Other
–
Undecided
7%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
July 22–23, 2024
Samplesize
800 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.4%
RubenGallego (D)
46%
KariLake (R)
42%
Other
–
Undecided
12%
Public Policy Polling (D)
Public Policy Polling (D)
Poll source
Public Policy Polling (D)
Date(s)administered
July 19–20, 2024
Samplesize
736 (RV)
Marginof error
–
RubenGallego (D)
49%
KariLake (R)
42%
Other
–
Undecided
9%
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Poll source
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Date(s)administered
July 5–12, 2024
Samplesize
1,101 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
RubenGallego (D)
44%
KariLake (R)
41%
Other
7%
Undecided
8%
Public Policy Polling (D)
Public Policy Polling (D)
Poll source
Public Policy Polling (D)
Date(s)administered
July 10–11, 2024
Samplesize
596 (RV)
Marginof error
–
RubenGallego (D)
50%
KariLake (R)
47%
Other
–
Undecided
4%
J.L. Partners (R)
J.L. Partners (R)
Poll source
J.L. Partners (R)
Date(s)administered
July 10–11, 2024
Samplesize
513 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.3%
RubenGallego (D)
43%
KariLake (R)
44%
Other
–
Undecided
3%
YouGov
YouGov
Poll source
YouGov
Date(s)administered
July 4–12, 2024
Samplesize
900 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.9%
RubenGallego (D)
48%
KariLake (R)
41%
Other
2%
Undecided
9%
793 (LV)
793 (LV)
Poll source
793 (LV)
Date(s)administered
–
Samplesize
49%
Marginof error
42%
RubenGallego (D)
2%
KariLake (R)
8%
Expedition Strategies
Expedition Strategies
Poll source
Expedition Strategies
Date(s)administered
June 24 – July 8, 2024
Samplesize
268 (LV)
Marginof error
–
RubenGallego (D)
49%
KariLake (R)
45%
Other
–
Undecided
7%
Remington Research Group (R)
Remington Research Group (R)
Poll source
Remington Research Group (R)
Date(s)administered
June 29 – July 1, 2024
Samplesize
638 (LV)
Marginof error
–
RubenGallego (D)
47%
KariLake (R)
47%
Other
–
Undecided
6%
North Star Opinion Research (R)
North Star Opinion Research (R)
Poll source
North Star Opinion Research (R)
Date(s)administered
June 17–20, 2024
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
RubenGallego (D)
39%
KariLake (R)
38%
Other
9%
Undecided
13%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
June 13–18, 2024
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
RubenGallego (D)
45%
KariLake (R)
41%
Other
–
Undecided
14%
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Poll source
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Date(s)administered
June 11–13, 2024
Samplesize
750 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
RubenGallego (D)
44%
KariLake (R)
41%
Other
5%
Undecided
10%
40%
40%
Poll source
40%
Date(s)administered
39%
Samplesize
7%
Marginof error
14%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
Poll source
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
Date(s)administered
May 28 – June 4, 2024
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
RubenGallego (D)
48%
KariLake (R)
45%
Other
–
Undecided
7%
Mainstreet Research/FAU
Mainstreet Research/FAU
Poll source
Mainstreet Research/FAU
Date(s)administered
May 19–21, 2024
Samplesize
609 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
RubenGallego (D)
44%
KariLake (R)
38%
Other
–
Undecided
18%
501 (LV)
501 (LV)
Poll source
501 (LV)
Date(s)administered
± 4.0%
Samplesize
48%
Marginof error
39%
RubenGallego (D)
–
KariLake (R)
13%
CBS News/YouGov
CBS News/YouGov
Poll source
CBS News/YouGov
Date(s)administered
May 10–16, 2024
Samplesize
1,214 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
RubenGallego (D)
49%
KariLake (R)
36%
Other
–
Undecided
15%
Noble Predictive Insights
Noble Predictive Insights
Poll source
Noble Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
May 7–14, 2024
Samplesize
1,003 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
RubenGallego (D)
46%
KariLake (R)
36%
Other
–
Undecided
18%
BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
Poll source
BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
Date(s)administered
May 6–13, 2024
Samplesize
527 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.3%
RubenGallego (D)
46%
KariLake (R)
41%
Other
–
Undecided
13%
New York Times/Siena College
New York Times/Siena College
Poll source
New York Times/Siena College
Date(s)administered
April 28 – May 9, 2024
Samplesize
626 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
RubenGallego (D)
45%
KariLake (R)
41%
Other
–
Undecided
14%
626 (LV)
626 (LV)
Poll source
626 (LV)
Date(s)administered
± 4.0%
Samplesize
46%
Marginof error
43%
RubenGallego (D)
–
KariLake (R)
11%
Data Orbital (R)
Data Orbital (R)
Poll source
Data Orbital (R)
Date(s)administered
April 27–29, 2024
Samplesize
550 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.3%
RubenGallego (D)
48%
KariLake (R)
44%
Other
–
Undecided
8%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
April 25–29, 2024
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
RubenGallego (D)
45%
KariLake (R)
43%
Other
–
Undecided
12%
RABA Research
RABA Research
Poll source
RABA Research
Date(s)administered
March 28–31, 2024
Samplesize
503 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
RubenGallego (D)
36%
KariLake (R)
28%
Other
13%
Undecided
23%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
March 12–15, 2024
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
RubenGallego (D)
44%
KariLake (R)
40%
Other
–
Undecided
16%
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Poll source
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Date(s)administered
February 21–26, 2024
Samplesize
1,000 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
RubenGallego (D)
42%
KariLake (R)
45%
Other
4%
Undecided
9%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
February 16–19, 2024
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
RubenGallego (D)
46%
KariLake (R)
39%
Other
–
Undecided
15%
Noble Predictive Insights
Noble Predictive Insights
Poll source
Noble Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
February 6–13, 2024
Samplesize
1,002 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
RubenGallego (D)
47%
KariLake (R)
37%
Other
–
Undecided
16%
J.L. Partners (R)
J.L. Partners (R)
Poll source
J.L. Partners (R)
Date(s)administered
January 29 – February 1, 2024
Samplesize
500 (RV)
Marginof error
–
RubenGallego (D)
44%
KariLake (R)
46%
Other
–
Undecided
10%
Public Policy Polling (D)
Public Policy Polling (D)
Poll source
Public Policy Polling (D)
Date(s)administered
January 5–6, 2024
Samplesize
590 (V)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
RubenGallego (D)
45%
KariLake (R)
46%
Other
–
Undecided
9%
Cygnal (R)
Cygnal (R)
Poll source
Cygnal (R)
Date(s)administered
October 24–25, 2023
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
RubenGallego (D)
46%
KariLake (R)
43%
Other
–
Undecided
11%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
Poll source
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
Date(s)administered
October 24, 2023
Samplesize
–
Marginof error
± 4.4%
RubenGallego (D)
49%
KariLake (R)
44%
Other
–
Undecided
7%
National Research Inc. (R)
National Research Inc. (R)
Poll source
National Research Inc. (R)
Date(s)administered
October 8–9, 2023
Samplesize
400 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.9%
RubenGallego (D)
44%
KariLake (R)
44%
Other
–
Undecided
12%
Public Policy Polling (D)
Public Policy Polling (D)
Poll source
Public Policy Polling (D)
Date(s)administered
October 6–7, 2023
Samplesize
522 (V)
Marginof error
± 4.3%
RubenGallego (D)
48%
KariLake (R)
43%
Other
–
Undecided
9%
Noble Predictive Insights
Noble Predictive Insights
Poll source
Noble Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
July 13–17, 2023
Samplesize
1000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
RubenGallego (D)
45%
KariLake (R)
35%
Other
–
Undecided
20%
Noble Predictive Insights
Noble Predictive Insights
Poll source
Noble Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
January 31 – February 9, 2023
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
RubenGallego (D)
43%
KariLake (R)
33%
Other
–
Undecided
24%
Normington Petts (D)
Normington Petts (D)
Poll source
Normington Petts (D)
Date(s)administered
January 18–23, 2023
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
RubenGallego (D)
50%
KariLake (R)
45%
Other
–
Undecided
5%
Public Policy Polling (D)
Public Policy Polling (D)
Poll source
Public Policy Polling (D)
Date(s)administered
December 21, 2022
Samplesize
650 (V)
Marginof error
± 3.8%
RubenGallego (D)
48%
KariLake (R)
47%
Other
–
Undecided
5%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
RubenGallego (D)
KariLake (R)
Other
Undecided
AtlasIntel
November 3–4, 2024
875 (LV)
± 3.0%
48%
48%
2%
2%
Victory Insights (R)
November 2–3, 2024
750 (LV)
–
50%
47%
–
3%
The Trafalgar Group (R)
November 1–3, 2024
1,090 (LV)
± 2.9%
49%
49%
–
2%
Patriot Polling (R)
November 1–3, 2024
801 (RV)
± 3.0%
51%
48%
–
–
InsiderAdvantage (R)
November 1–2, 2024
800 (LV)
± 3.0%
49%
47%
1%
3%
AtlasIntel
November 1–2, 2024
967 (LV)
± 3.0%
47%
49%
2%
2%
Emerson College
October 30 – November 2, 2024
900 (LV)
± 3.2%
50%
45%
–
5%
New York Times/Siena College
October 25 – November 2, 2024
1,025 (LV)
± 3.4%
50%
45%
–
4%
1,025 (RV)
± 3.4%
51%
43%
–
6%
Morning Consult
October 23 – November 1, 2024
666 (LV)
± 4.0%
50%
42%
–
8%
AtlasIntel
October 30–31, 2024
1,005 (LV)
± 3.0%
48%
49%
2%
1%
OnMessage (R)
October 29–31, 2024
800 (LV)
–
48%
48%
–
4%
YouGov
October 25–31, 2024
856 (LV)
± 4.4%
49%
45%
–
6%
880 (RV)
49%
44%
–
7%
ActiVote
October 5–31, 2024
400 (LV)
± 4.9%
54%
46%
–
–
Noble Predictive Insights
October 28–30, 2024
775 (LV)
± 3.5%
48%
44%
4%
3%
Data for Progress (D)
October 25–30, 2024
1,079 (LV)
± 3.0%
50%
45%
2%
4%
Rasmussen Reports (R)
October 25–29, 2024
803 (LV)
± 3.0%
48%
44%
4%
4%
AtlasIntel
October 25–29, 2024
1,458 (LV)
± 3.0%
48%
48%
2%
2%
Mitchell Research & Communications
October 28, 2024
610 (LV)
± 4.0%
50%
46%
3%
5%
50%
47%
–
3%
Data Orbital (R)
October 26–28, 2024
550 (LV)
± 4.3%
45%
45%
5%
6%
RABA Research
October 25–27, 2024
589 (RV)
± 4.0%
49%
34%
8%
9%
The Trafalgar Group (R)
October 24–26, 2024
1,094 (LV)
± 2.9%
50%
46%
–
4%
CNN/SRSS
October 21–26, 2024
781 (LV)
± 4.4%
51%
43%
6%
1%
Marist College
October 17–22, 2024
1,193 (LV)
± 3.7%
53%
45%
–
2%
1,329 (RV)
± 3.5%
53%
45%
–
1%
HighGround Public Affairs
October 19–20, 2024
400 (LV)
± 4.9%
52%
42%
2%
4%
InsiderAdvantage (R)
October 19–20, 2024
800 (LV)
± 3.0%
50%
46%
1%
3%
University of Arizona/Truedot
October 12–20, 2024
846 (RV)
± 3.4%
51%
36%
2%
11%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
October 16–18, 2024
691 (LV)
± 3.5%
48%
41%
5%
7%
AtlasIntel
October 12–17, 2024
1,440 (LV)
± 3.0%
50%
46%
2%
2%
CBS News/YouGov
October 11–16, 2024
1,403 (LV)
± 3.3%
54%
45%
1%
–
Morning Consult
October 6–15, 2024
653 (LV)
± 3.0%
52%
40%
3%
5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
October 12–14, 2024
1,141 (LV)
± 2.7%
47%
42%
4%
7%
The Trafalgar Group (R)
October 10–13, 2024
1,090 (LV)
± 2.9%
48%
44%
3%
6%
New York Times/Siena College
October 7–10, 2024
808 (LV)
± 3.8%
48%
41%
–
10%
808 (RV)
± 3.8%
48%
39%
–
12%
ActiVote
September 8 – October 10, 2024
400 (LV)
± 4.9%
53%
47%
–
–
Emerson College
October 5–8, 2024
1,000 (LV)
± 3.0%
50%
43%
–
7%
SoCal Strategies (R)
October 5–7, 2024
735 (LV)
–
51%
39%
–
10%
RMG Research
September 30 – October 2, 2024
783 (LV)
± 3.5%
50%
41%
4%
5%
52%
42%
1%
5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
September 27 – October 2, 2024
555 (LV)
± 3.9%
48%
42%
3%
7%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
September 24 – October 1, 2024
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
51%
44%
1%
4%
InsiderAdvantage (R)
September 29–30, 2024
800 (LV)
± 3.0%
50%
43%
1%
6%
HighGround Public Affairs
September 26–29, 2024
500 (LV)
± 4.4%
51%
41%
2%
5%
National Research Inc.
September 25–29, 2024
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
48%
42%
2%
8%
Emerson College
September 27–28, 2024
920 (LV)
± 3.2%
52%
41%
–
7%
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Poll source
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Date(s)administered
February 21–26, 2024
Samplesize
1,000 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
RubenGallego (D)
33%
KariLake (R)
37%
KyrstenSinema (I)
21%
Other
2%
Undecided
7%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
February 16–19, 2024
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
RubenGallego (D)
36%
KariLake (R)
30%
KyrstenSinema (I)
21%
Other
–
Undecided
13%
Noble Predictive Insights
Noble Predictive Insights
Poll source
Noble Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
February 6–13, 2024
Samplesize
1,002 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
RubenGallego (D)
34%
KariLake (R)
31%
KyrstenSinema (I)
23%
Other
–
Undecided
12%
J.L. Partners (R)
J.L. Partners (R)
Poll source
J.L. Partners (R)
Date(s)administered
January 29 – February 1, 2024
Samplesize
500 (RV)
Marginof error
–
RubenGallego (D)
39%
KariLake (R)
40%
KyrstenSinema (I)
13%
Other
–
Undecided
8%
Public Policy Polling (D)
Public Policy Polling (D)
Poll source
Public Policy Polling (D)
Date(s)administered
January 5–6, 2024
Samplesize
590 (V)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
RubenGallego (D)
36%
KariLake (R)
35%
KyrstenSinema (I)
17%
Other
–
Undecided
12%
VCreek/AMG (R)
VCreek/AMG (R)
Poll source
VCreek/AMG (R)
Date(s)administered
December 1–8, 2023
Samplesize
694 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.7%
RubenGallego (D)
35%
KariLake (R)
41%
KyrstenSinema (I)
16%
Other
1%
Undecided
7%
Tulchin Research (D)
Tulchin Research (D)
Poll source
Tulchin Research (D)
Date(s)administered
November 13–20, 2023
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
RubenGallego (D)
39%
KariLake (R)
34%
KyrstenSinema (I)
17%
Other
6%
Undecided
4%
Noble Predictive Insights
Noble Predictive Insights
Poll source
Noble Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
October 25–31, 2023
Samplesize
1,010 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
RubenGallego (D)
39%
KariLake (R)
33%
KyrstenSinema (I)
29%
Other
–
Undecided
–
Cygnal (R)
Cygnal (R)
Poll source
Cygnal (R)
Date(s)administered
October 24–25, 2023
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
RubenGallego (D)
36%
KariLake (R)
37%
KyrstenSinema (I)
15%
Other
–
Undecided
11%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
Poll source
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
Date(s)administered
October 24, 2023
Samplesize
–
Marginof error
± 4.4%
RubenGallego (D)
41%
KariLake (R)
37%
KyrstenSinema (I)
17%
Other
–
Undecided
5%
National Research Inc. (R)
National Research Inc. (R)
Poll source
National Research Inc. (R)
Date(s)administered
October 8–9, 2023
Samplesize
400 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.9%
RubenGallego (D)
33%
KariLake (R)
37%
KyrstenSinema (I)
19%
Other
–
Undecided
10%
Public Policy Polling (D)
Public Policy Polling (D)
Poll source
Public Policy Polling (D)
Date(s)administered
October 6–7, 2023
Samplesize
522 (V)
Marginof error
± 4.3%
RubenGallego (D)
41%
KariLake (R)
36%
KyrstenSinema (I)
15%
Other
–
Undecided
8%
Noble Predictive Insights
Noble Predictive Insights
Poll source
Noble Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
July 13–17, 2023
Samplesize
1000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
RubenGallego (D)
34%
KariLake (R)
25%
KyrstenSinema (I)
26%
Other
–
Undecided
15%
Public Policy Polling (D)
Public Policy Polling (D)
Poll source
Public Policy Polling (D)
Date(s)administered
April 18–19, 2023
Samplesize
559 (V)
Marginof error
–
RubenGallego (D)
42%
KariLake (R)
35%
KyrstenSinema (I)
14%
Other
–
Undecided
9%
Noble Predictive Insights
Noble Predictive Insights
Poll source
Noble Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
January 31 – February 9, 2023
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
RubenGallego (D)
34%
KariLake (R)
26%
KyrstenSinema (I)
19%
Other
–
Undecided
21%
Normington Petts (D)
Normington Petts (D)
Poll source
Normington Petts (D)
Date(s)administered
January 18–23, 2023
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
RubenGallego (D)
36%
KariLake (R)
36%
KyrstenSinema (I)
24%
Other
–
Undecided
–
Blueprint Polling (D)
Blueprint Polling (D)
Poll source
Blueprint Polling (D)
Date(s)administered
January 5–8, 2023
Samplesize
618 (V)
Marginof error
± 3.9%
RubenGallego (D)
32%
KariLake (R)
36%
KyrstenSinema (I)
14%
Other
–
Undecided
19%
Public Policy Polling (D)
Public Policy Polling (D)
Poll source
Public Policy Polling (D)
Date(s)administered
December 21, 2022
Samplesize
678 (V)
Marginof error
± 3.8%
RubenGallego (D)
40%
KariLake (R)
41%
KyrstenSinema (I)
13%
Other
–
Undecided
6%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
RubenGallego (D)
KariLake (R)
KyrstenSinema (I)
Other
Undecided
Rasmussen Reports (R)
February 21–26, 2024
1,000 (LV)
± 3.0%
33%
37%
21%
2%
7%
Emerson College
February 16–19, 2024
1,000 (RV)
± 3.0%
36%
30%
21%
–
13%
Noble Predictive Insights
February 6–13, 2024
1,002 (RV)
± 3.1%
34%
31%
23%
–
12%
Partners (R)
January 29 – February 1, 2024
500 (RV)
–
39%
40%
13%
–
8%
Public Policy Polling (D)
January 5–6, 2024
590 (V)
± 4.0%
36%
35%
17%
–
12%
VCreek/AMG (R)
December 1–8, 2023
694 (LV)
± 3.7%
35%
41%
16%
1%
7%
Tulchin Research (D)
November 13–20, 2023
800 (LV)
± 3.5%
39%
34%
17%
6%
4%
Noble Predictive Insights
October 25–31, 2023
1,010 (RV)
± 3.1%
39%
33%
29%
–
–
Cygnal (R)
October 24–25, 2023
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
36%
37%
15%
–
11%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
October 24, 2023
–
± 4.4%
41%
37%
17%
–
5%
National Research Inc. (R)
October 8–9, 2023
400 (LV)
± 4.9%
33%
37%
19%
–
10%
Public Policy Polling (D)
October 6–7, 2023
522 (V)
± 4.3%
41%
36%
15%
–
8%
Noble Predictive Insights
July 13–17, 2023
1000 (RV)
± 3.1%
34%
25%
26%
–
15%
Public Policy Polling (D)
April 18–19, 2023
559 (V)
–
42%
35%
14%
–
9%
Noble Predictive Insights
January 31 – February 9, 2023
1,000 (RV)
± 3.1%
34%
26%
19%
–
21%
Normington Petts (D)
January 18–23, 2023
800 (LV)
± 3.5%
36%
36%
24%
–
–
Blueprint Polling (D)
January 5–8, 2023
618 (V)
± 3.9%
32%
36%
14%
–
19%
Public Policy Polling (D)
December 21, 2022
678 (V)
± 3.8%
40%
41%
13%
–
6%
The Bullfinch Group
The Bullfinch Group
Poll source
The Bullfinch Group
Date(s)administered
March 29 – April 3, 2024
Samplesize
600 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
RubenGallego (D)
41%
KariLake (R)
41%
Genericindependent
10%
Undecided
8%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
RubenGallego (D)
KariLake (R)
Genericindependent
Undecided
The Bullfinch Group
March 29 – April 3, 2024
600 (RV)
± 4.0%
41%
41%
10%
8%
Noble Predictive Insights
Noble Predictive Insights
Poll source
Noble Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
January 31 – February 9, 2023
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
RubenGallego (D)
38%
DougDucey (R)
34%
KyrstenSinema (I)
–
Undecided
28%
32%
32%
Poll source
32%
Date(s)administered
27%
Samplesize
17%
Marginof error
23%
Normington Petts (D)
Normington Petts (D)
Poll source
Normington Petts (D)
Date(s)administered
January 18–23, 2023
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
RubenGallego (D)
37%
DougDucey (R)
31%
KyrstenSinema (I)
27%
Undecided
5%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
RubenGallego (D)
DougDucey (R)
KyrstenSinema (I)
Undecided
Noble Predictive Insights
January 31 – February 9, 2023
1,000 (RV)
± 3.1%
38%
34%
–
28%
32%
27%
17%
23%
Normington Petts (D)
January 18–23, 2023
800 (LV)
± 3.5%
37%
31%
27%
5%
Public Policy Polling (D)
Public Policy Polling (D)
Poll source
Public Policy Polling (D)
Date(s)administered
October 6–7, 2023
Samplesize
522 (V)
Marginof error
± 4.3%
RubenGallego (D)
41%
BlakeMasters (R)
31%
KyrstenSinema (I)
17%
Undecided
11%
Noble Predictive Insights
Noble Predictive Insights
Poll source
Noble Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
July 13–17, 2023
Samplesize
1000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
RubenGallego (D)
44%
BlakeMasters (R)
36%
KyrstenSinema (I)
–
Undecided
20%
32%
32%
Poll source
32%
Date(s)administered
24%
Samplesize
28%
Marginof error
16%
Noble Predictive Insights
Noble Predictive Insights
Poll source
Noble Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
January 31 – February 9, 2023
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
RubenGallego (D)
43%
BlakeMasters (R)
32%
KyrstenSinema (I)
–
Undecided
26%
33%
33%
Poll source
33%
Date(s)administered
24%
Samplesize
22%
Marginof error
21%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
RubenGallego (D)
BlakeMasters (R)
KyrstenSinema (I)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)
October 6–7, 2023
522 (V)
± 4.3%
41%
31%
17%
11%
Noble Predictive Insights
July 13–17, 2023
1000 (RV)
± 3.1%
44%
36%
–
20%
32%
24%
28%
16%
Noble Predictive Insights
January 31 – February 9, 2023
1,000 (RV)
± 3.1%
43%
32%
–
26%
33%
24%
22%
21%
Noble Predictive Insights
Noble Predictive Insights
Poll source
Noble Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
January 31 – February 9, 2023
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
RubenGallego (D)
36%
Karrin TaylorRobson (R)
32%
KyrstenSinema (I)
–
Undecided
32%
31%
31%
Poll source
31%
Date(s)administered
24%
Samplesize
21%
Marginof error
25%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
RubenGallego (D)
Karrin TaylorRobson (R)
KyrstenSinema (I)
Undecided
Noble Predictive Insights
January 31 – February 9, 2023
1,000 (RV)
± 3.1%
36%
32%
–
32%
31%
24%
21%
25%
Noble Predictive Insights
Noble Predictive Insights
Poll source
Noble Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
October 25–31, 2023
Samplesize
1,010 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
RubenGallego (D)
36%
MarkLamb (R)
32%
KyrstenSinema (I)
32%
Undecided
0%
Public Policy Polling (D)
Public Policy Polling (D)
Poll source
Public Policy Polling (D)
Date(s)administered
October 6–7, 2023
Samplesize
522 (V)
Marginof error
± 4.3%
RubenGallego (D)
40%
MarkLamb (R)
31%
KyrstenSinema (I)
16%
Undecided
13%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
August 2–4, 2023
Samplesize
1,337 (RV)
Marginof error
± 2.6%
RubenGallego (D)
42%
MarkLamb (R)
42%
KyrstenSinema (I)
–
Undecided
16%
36%
36%
Poll source
36%
Date(s)administered
29%
Samplesize
21%
Marginof error
15%
Noble Predictive Insights
Noble Predictive Insights
Poll source
Noble Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
July 13–17, 2023
Samplesize
1000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
RubenGallego (D)
40%
MarkLamb (R)
36%
KyrstenSinema (I)
–
Undecided
24%
33%
33%
Poll source
33%
Date(s)administered
25%
Samplesize
24%
Marginof error
18%
Public Policy Polling (D)
Public Policy Polling (D)
Poll source
Public Policy Polling (D)
Date(s)administered
April 18–19, 2023
Samplesize
559 (V)
Marginof error
–
RubenGallego (D)
43%
MarkLamb (R)
33%
KyrstenSinema (I)
15%
Undecided
9%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
RubenGallego (D)
MarkLamb (R)
KyrstenSinema (I)
Undecided
Noble Predictive Insights
October 25–31, 2023
1,010 (RV)
± 3.1%
36%
32%
32%
0%
Public Policy Polling (D)
October 6–7, 2023
522 (V)
± 4.3%
40%
31%
16%
13%
Emerson College
August 2–4, 2023
1,337 (RV)
± 2.6%
42%
42%
–
16%
36%
29%
21%
15%
Noble Predictive Insights
July 13–17, 2023
1000 (RV)
± 3.1%
40%
36%
–
24%
33%
25%
24%
18%
Public Policy Polling (D)
April 18–19, 2023
559 (V)
–
43%
33%
15%
9%
Public Policy Polling (D)
Public Policy Polling (D)
Poll source
Public Policy Polling (D)
Date(s)administered
April 18–19, 2023
Samplesize
559 (V)
Marginof error
–
RubenGallego (D)
43%
JimLamon (R)
27%
KyrstenSinema (I)
16%
Undecided
14%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
RubenGallego (D)
JimLamon (R)
KyrstenSinema (I)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)
April 18–19, 2023
559 (V)
–
43%
27%
16%
14%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
August 2–4, 2023
Samplesize
1,337 (RV)
Marginof error
± 2.6%
RubenGallego (D)
41%
BrianWright (R)
38%
KyrstenSinema (I)
–
Undecided
21%
37%
37%
Poll source
37%
Date(s)administered
25%
Samplesize
26%
Marginof error
12%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
RubenGallego (D)
BrianWright (R)
KyrstenSinema (I)
Undecided
Emerson College
August 2–4, 2023
1,337 (RV)
± 2.6%
41%
38%
–
21%
37%
25%
26%
12%
2024 United States Senate election in Arizona[265] · General election › Results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
3,348,814
Candidate
100.0%
Votes
N/A
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
mw- ±%
Democratic
Ruben Gallego
1,676,335
50.06%
+0.10%
Republican
Kari Lake
1,595,761
47.65%
+0.04%
Green
Eduardo Heredia Quintana
75,868
2.27%
–0.14%
Write-in
850
0.02%
–
Total votes
3,348,814
100.0%
N/A
Democratic gain from Independent
· General election › Results › By congressional district
1st
1st
District
1st
Gallego
52%
Lake
47%
Representative elected
David Schweikert
2nd
2nd
District
2nd
Gallego
45%
Lake
53%
Representative elected
Eli Crane
3rd
3rd
District
3rd
Gallego
73%
Lake
24%
Representative elected
Ruben Gallego (118th Congress)
Yassamin Ansari (119th Congress)
Yassamin Ansari (119th Congress)
District
Yassamin Ansari (119th Congress)
4th
4th
District
4th
Gallego
56%
Lake
41%
Representative elected
Greg Stanton
5th
5th
District
5th
Gallego
43%
Lake
55%
Representative elected
Andy Biggs
6th
6th
District
6th
Gallego
51%
Lake
46%
Representative elected
Juan Ciscomani
7th
7th
District
7th
Gallego
63%
Lake
33%
Representative elected
Raúl Grijalva
8th
8th
District
8th
Gallego
45%
Lake
53%
Representative elected
Debbie Lesko (118th Congress)
Abraham Hamadeh (119th Congress)
Abraham Hamadeh (119th Congress)
District
Abraham Hamadeh (119th Congress)
9th
9th
District
9th
Gallego
38%
Lake
60%
Representative elected
Paul Gosar
District
Gallego
Lake
Representative elected
1st
52%
47%
David Schweikert
2nd
45%
53%
Eli Crane
3rd
73%
24%
Ruben Gallego (118th Congress)
Yassamin Ansari (119th Congress)
4th
56%
41%
Greg Stanton
5th
43%
55%
Andy Biggs
6th
51%
46%
Juan Ciscomani
7th
63%
33%
Raúl Grijalva
8th
45%
53%
Debbie Lesko (118th Congress)
Abraham Hamadeh (119th Congress)
9th
38%
60%
Paul Gosar
· General election › Results › By county
#
#
County
#
Ruben GallegoDemocratic
%
Ruben GallegoDemocratic
#
Kari LakeRepublican
%
Kari LakeRepublican
#
Various candidatesOther parties
%
Various candidatesOther parties
#
Margin
%
Apache
Apache
County
Apache
Ruben GallegoDemocratic
19,901
Ruben GallegoDemocratic
62.46%
Kari LakeRepublican
11,283
Kari LakeRepublican
35.41%
Various candidatesOther parties
679
Various candidatesOther parties
2.13%
Margin
8,618
Margin
27.05%
Total
31,863
Cochise
Cochise
County
Cochise
Ruben GallegoDemocratic
23,347
Ruben GallegoDemocratic
40.17%
Kari LakeRepublican
33,184
Kari LakeRepublican
57.10%
Various candidatesOther parties
1,585
Various candidatesOther parties
2.73%
Margin
−9,837
Margin
−16.93%
Total
58,116
Coconino
Coconino
County
Coconino
Ruben GallegoDemocratic
42,924
Ruben GallegoDemocratic
61.77%
Kari LakeRepublican
24,825
Kari LakeRepublican
35.73%
Various candidatesOther parties
1,736
Various candidatesOther parties
2.50%
Margin
18,099
Margin
26.05%
Total
69,485
Gila
Gila
County
Gila
Ruben GallegoDemocratic
9,330
Ruben GallegoDemocratic
34.14%
Kari LakeRepublican
17,433
Kari LakeRepublican
63.79%
Various candidatesOther parties
565
Various candidatesOther parties
2.07%
Margin
−8,103
Margin
−29.65%
Total
27,328
Graham
Graham
County
Graham
Ruben GallegoDemocratic
4,235
Ruben GallegoDemocratic
28.15%
Kari LakeRepublican
10,385
Kari LakeRepublican
69.27%
Various candidatesOther parties
373
Various candidatesOther parties
3.59%
Margin
−6,150
Margin
−41.02%
Total
14,993
Greenlee
Greenlee
County
Greenlee
Ruben GallegoDemocratic
1,102
Ruben GallegoDemocratic
33.56%
Kari LakeRepublican
2,078
Kari LakeRepublican
63.28%
Various candidatesOther parties
373
Various candidatesOther parties
3.17%
Margin
−976
Margin
−29.72%
Total
3,284
La Paz
La Paz
County
La Paz
Ruben GallegoDemocratic
2,292
Ruben GallegoDemocratic
30.52%
Kari LakeRepublican
4,998
Kari LakeRepublican
66.56%
Various candidatesOther parties
219
Various candidatesOther parties
2.92%
Margin
−2,706
Margin
−36.04%
Total
7,509
Maricopa
Maricopa
County
Maricopa
Ruben GallegoDemocratic
1,045,766
Ruben GallegoDemocratic
51.50%
Kari LakeRepublican
940,465
Kari LakeRepublican
46.31%
Various candidatesOther parties
44,417
Various candidatesOther parties
2.19%
Margin
105,301
Margin
5.19%
Total
2,030,648
Mohave
Mohave
County
Mohave
Ruben GallegoDemocratic
26,578
Ruben GallegoDemocratic
24.50%
Kari LakeRepublican
79,494
Kari LakeRepublican
73.28%
Various candidatesOther parties
2,415
Various candidatesOther parties
2.23%
Margin
−52,916
Margin
−48.78%
Total
108,487
Navajo
Navajo
County
Navajo
Ruben GallegoDemocratic
22,173
Ruben GallegoDemocratic
43.93%
Kari LakeRepublican
27,218
Kari LakeRepublican
53.92%
Various candidatesOther parties
1,085
Various candidatesOther parties
2.15%
Margin
−5,045
Margin
−9.99%
Total
50,476
Pima
Pima
County
Pima
Ruben GallegoDemocratic
298,751
Ruben GallegoDemocratic
59.07%
Kari LakeRepublican
193,021
Kari LakeRepublican
38.17%
Various candidatesOther parties
13,970
Various candidatesOther parties
2.76%
Margin
105,730
Margin
20.91%
Total
505,742
Pinal
Pinal
County
Pinal
Ruben GallegoDemocratic
86,674
Ruben GallegoDemocratic
41.88%
Kari LakeRepublican
115,595
Kari LakeRepublican
55.86%
Various candidatesOther parties
4,672
Various candidatesOther parties
2.26%
Margin
−28,921
Margin
−13.98%
Total
206,941
Santa Cruz
Santa Cruz
County
Santa Cruz
Ruben GallegoDemocratic
11,986
Ruben GallegoDemocratic
63.23%
Kari LakeRepublican
6,370
Kari LakeRepublican
33.61%
Various candidatesOther parties
599
Various candidatesOther parties
3.16%
Margin
5,616
Margin
29.62%
Total
18,955
Yavapai
Yavapai
County
Yavapai
Ruben GallegoDemocratic
52,077
Ruben GallegoDemocratic
35.22%
Kari LakeRepublican
93,200
Kari LakeRepublican
63.03%
Various candidatesOther parties
2,592
Various candidatesOther parties
1.75%
Margin
−41,123
Margin
−27.81%
Total
147,869
Yuma
Yuma
County
Yuma
Ruben GallegoDemocratic
29,199
Ruben GallegoDemocratic
43.50%
Kari LakeRepublican
36,212
Kari LakeRepublican
53.95%
Various candidatesOther parties
1,707
Various candidatesOther parties
2.54%
Margin
−7,013
Margin
−10.45%
Total
67,118
Totals
Totals
County
Totals
Ruben GallegoDemocratic
1,676,335
Ruben GallegoDemocratic
50.06%
Kari LakeRepublican
1,595,761
Kari LakeRepublican
47.65%
Various candidatesOther parties
76,618
Various candidatesOther parties
2.29%
Margin
80,574
Margin
2.41%
Total
3,348,814
County
Ruben GallegoDemocratic
Kari LakeRepublican
Various candidatesOther parties
Margin
Total
#
%
#
%
#
%
#
%
Apache
19,901
62.46%
11,283
35.41%
679
2.13%
8,618
27.05%
31,863
Cochise
23,347
40.17%
33,184
57.10%
1,585
2.73%
−9,837
−16.93%
58,116
Coconino
42,924
61.77%
24,825
35.73%
1,736
2.50%
18,099
26.05%
69,485
Gila
9,330
34.14%
17,433
63.79%
565
2.07%
−8,103
−29.65%
27,328
Graham
4,235
28.15%
10,385
69.27%
373
3.59%
−6,150
−41.02%
14,993
Greenlee
1,102
33.56%
2,078
63.28%
373
3.17%
−976
−29.72%
3,284
La Paz
2,292
30.52%
4,998
66.56%
219
2.92%
−2,706
−36.04%
7,509
Maricopa
1,045,766
51.50%
940,465
46.31%
44,417
2.19%
105,301
5.19%
2,030,648
Mohave
26,578
24.50%
79,494
73.28%
2,415
2.23%
−52,916
−48.78%
108,487
Navajo
22,173
43.93%
27,218
53.92%
1,085
2.15%
−5,045
−9.99%
50,476
Pima
298,751
59.07%
193,021
38.17%
13,970
2.76%
105,730
20.91%
505,742
Pinal
86,674
41.88%
115,595
55.86%
4,672
2.26%
−28,921
−13.98%
206,941
Santa Cruz
11,986
63.23%
6,370
33.61%
599
3.16%
5,616
29.62%
18,955
Yavapai
52,077
35.22%
93,200
63.03%
2,592
1.75%
−41,123
−27.81%
147,869
Yuma
29,199
43.50%
36,212
53.95%
1,707
2.54%
−7,013
−10.45%
67,118
Totals
1,676,335
50.06%
1,595,761
47.65%
76,618
2.29%
80,574
2.41%
3,348,814

References

  1. Key:A – all adultsRV – registered votersLV – likely votersV – unclear
  2. "Someone else" with 6%
  3. Elizabeth Jean Reye with 3%
  4. Brian Wright with 6%; George Nicholson with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
  5. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  6. "Blank/Null/Won't vote" with 1%; "Other" with 1%
  7. Quintana (G) with 2%; "Refused" with 2%
  8. Quintana (G) with 2%
  9. "Other" with 4%
  10. Quintana (G) with 1%
  11. Quintana (G) with 2%; "Refused" with 2%; "I did not vote on US Senate" with 1%
  12. "Someone else" with 8%
  13. "Other" with 5%; "Neither" with 1%
  14. "Some other candidate" with 2%
  15. "Another candidate" with 1%
  16. "Someone Else" with 2%
  17. Quintana (G) with 2%; "Won't vote if these are the candidates" with 2%; "Other" with 1%
  18. "Someone else" with 1%
  19. "Won't vote if these are the candidates" with 2%, Quintana (G) with 1%; "Other" with 1%
  20. "Other" with 3%
  21. "Someone else" with 3%; "Would not vote" with 1%
  22. With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  23. "Won't vote if these are the candidates" with 2%, Quintana (G) with 1%
  24. "Other" with 1%
  25. "Wouldn't vote" with 1%
  26. Quintana (G) with 3%; "Refused" with 2%
  27. "Other" and Quintana (G) with 1%
  28. "Another candidate" with 2%
  29. "Someone Else" with 4%
  30. "Other" with 6%; "Neither" with 2%
  31. Quintana (G) with 2%; "Other (Another Third Party/Write-In)" with 1%
  32. "Other" with 1%; "Wouldn't vote" with 1%
  33. "Other (Another Third Party/Write-In)" with 3%; "Won't vote if these are the candidates" with 1%
  34. Norton (G) with 3%
  35. "Some other candidate" with 3%
  36. "Other" with 7%
  37. Quintana (G) with 9%
  38. "Other" with 5%
  39. Hernandez (G) with 4%; "Other" with 3%
  40. "Someone else" with 13%
  41. "Wouldn't vote" with 4%
  42. "Wouldn't vote" with 2%
  43. "Someone else" with 6%
  44. This poll was sponsored by Primary Sinema
  45. Poll sponsored by the Bull Moose Project.
  46. Poll sponsored by The Hill
  47. Poll conducted for The Times, Stanford University, Arizona State University, and Yale University
  48. Poll sponsored by American Thinker
  49. Poll sponsored by The Daily Telegraph
  50. Poll sponsored by On Point Politics
  51. Poll sponsored by the Napolitan Institute
  52. Poll commissioned by AARP
  53. Poll sponsored by Arizona's Family
  54. Poll sponsored by Democracy Defense Project
  55. Poll sponsored by RealClearWorld
  56. Poll sponsored by The Cook Political Report
  57. Poll sponsored by USA Today
  58. Poll sponsored by Club for Growth, which has endorsed Lake.
  59. Poll sponsored by the National Republican Senatorial Committee, which supports Lake's campaign.
  60. Poll sponsored by The Hill and Nexstar
  61. Poll sponsored by the Clean & Prosperous America PAC.
  62. Poll sponsored by The Heartland Institute
  63. Poll sponsored by the Progress Action Fund, which is a sponsor of the Democratic Party.
  64. Poll sponsored by Lake's campaign.
  65. Poll Sponsored by Progressive Policy Institute
  66. Poll sponsored by American Fuel & Petrochemical Manufacturers, a group that supports Republicans.
  67. Poll sponsored by American Greatness
  68. Poll sponsored by Replace Sinema PAC.
  69. Poll sponsored by NRSC.
  70. Poll sponsored by Gallego's campaign
  71. This poll was sponsored by Progress Arizona, LUCHA, and Replace Sinema PAC
  72. Poll sponsored by Americas PAC, which supports Republican candidates.
  73. Poll conducted for Stand for Children, a non-profit education advocacy group.
  74. CNN
    https://www.cnn.com/2024/03/05/politics/kyrsten-sinema-announces-retirement/index.html
  75. The Wall Street Journal
    https://www.wsj.com/articles/kyrsten-sinema-is-preparing-for-a-2024-re-election-campaign-23edb2fb
  76. CNN
    https://www.cnn.com/2024/07/20/politics/senate-race-rankings-july-2024/index.html
  77. "Senate Ratings"
    https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/senate
  78. Cook Political Report
    https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/senate-race-ratings
  79. www.natesilver.net
    https://www.natesilver.net/p/kamala-harris-was-a-replacement-level
  80. "Election 2024: Exit polls"
    https://www.cnn.com/election/2024/exit-polls/arizona/general/us-senate/0
  81. Associated Press
    https://apnews.com/article/arizona-senate-ruben-gallego-kari-lake-ea364326c93f9a8a32b7b9ca7ca696d4
  82. Los Angeles Times
    https://www.latimes.com/politics/story/2023-12-07/much-of-the-west-has-turned-blue-heres-why-texas-is-an-exception
  83. The Nation
    https://www.thenation.com/article/politics/arizona-swing-state-democrats/
  84. "2016 Presidential General Election Results - Arizona"
    https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?year=2016&fips=4&f=0&off=0&elect=0&minper=0
  85. WBAL
    https://www.wbaltv.com/article/arizona-certifies-president-elect-bidens-victory-over-president-trump/34823800
  86. "Poll: Kyrsten Sinema Poised to Lose Democratic Primary in 2024"
    https://www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2021/10/14/kyrsten-sinema-poised-to-lose-democratic-primary-in-2024
  87. NPR
    https://www.npr.org/2022/01/22/1075088298/kyrsten-sinema-censure-arizona-democrats-filibuster-vote
  88. "Sen. Kyrsten Sinema signs off on Democrats' big agenda bill, paving the way for Senate passage"
    https://www.cnbc.com/2022/08/05/sen-kyrsten-sinema-signs-off-on-democrats-big-agenda-bill-paving-the-way-for-senate-passage.html
  89. "Sinema faces conflicting pressures in Arizona on Democrats' big agenda bill"
    https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/congress/sinema-faces-conflicting-pressures-arizona-democrats-big-agenda-bill-rcna41239
  90. "Arizona Democrat Ruben Gallego announces Senate bid in challenge to Kyrsten Sinema"
    https://www.cnn.com/2023/01/23/politics/ruben-gallego-arizona-senate-kyrsten-sinema/index.html
  91. Axios
    https://www.axios.com/2023/01/20/gallego-sinema-arizona-senate-2024
  92. The Arizona Republic
    https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/elections/2023/12/18/phoenix-mayor-kate-gallego-endorses-ruben-gallego-for-senate/71955378007/
  93. Politico
    https://www.politico.com/minutes/congress/01-19-2023/stanton-passes-senate-arizona-gallego/
  94. Diamond Eye Candidate Report
    http://www.diamondeyecandidatereport.weebly.com/home/we-asked-every-member-of-the-house-if-theyre-running-in-2024-heres-what-they-said
  95. 2paragraphs
    https://2paragraphs.com/2024/03/kari-lake-trolls-hillary-clinton-for-endorsing-her-perfect-patsy/
  96. Arizona PBS
    https://azpbs.org/horizon/2023/01/journalists-roundtable-ruben-gallego-runs-for-senate/
  97. The Arizona Republic
    https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/03/06/ruben-gallego-endorsed-by-mark-kelly-us-senate-race/72866087007/
  98. The Arizona Republic
    https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/03/06/kari-lake-picks-up-support-from-sen-john-thune-and-other-gop-senators/72856913007/
  99. KGUN-TV 9
    https://www.kgun9.com/news/local-news/mayor-regina-romero-endorses-ruben-gallego-for-u-s-senate
  100. Giffords
    https://giffords.org/articles/giffords-pac-endorses-ruben-gallego-for-us-senate/
  101. KXAN
    https://www.kxan.com/hill-politics/rep-dan-goldman-endorses-gallego-for-senate/
  102. Meet the Press Blog
    https://www.nbcnews.com/meet-the-press/meetthepressblog/eyes-2024-mitch-daniels-weighs-life-senator-rcna67596
  103. CQ Roll Call
    https://rollcall.com/2023/02/02/at-the-races-cash-course/
  104. Roll Call
    https://www.rollcall.com/2023/03/02/at-the-races-back-to-the-future/
  105. NBC News
    https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/ex-speaker-pelosi-headline-fundraiser-democrat-seeking-sen-sinemas-sea-rcna91372
  106. KGET-TV 12
    https://www.kget.com/news/politics/hispanic-caucus-campaign-arm-formally-endorses-gallego-for-senate/
  107. KPNX
    https://ktar.com/story/5566487/arizona-gov-hobbs-endorses-rep-ruben-gallego-for-2024-us-senate-race/
  108. Tohono Oʼodham Nation Action News
    https://oan.srpmic-nsn.gov/salt-river-pima-maricopa-indian-community-endorses-ruben-gallego-for-u-s-senate/
  109. The New York Times
    https://www.nytimes.com/2023/02/03/us/politics/kari-lake-arizona-senate.html
  110. Maryland Matters
    https://marylandmatters.org/briefs/dunns-new-pac-backs-10-democratic-senate-candidates-including-alsobrooks/
  111. The Arizona Republic
    https://www.azcentral.com/story/opinion/op-ed/laurieroberts/2024/06/17/ruben-gallego-endorsement-mark-hamill-luke-skywalker/74126995007/
  112. The Hill
    https://thehill.com/latino/4618663-gallego-latino-endorsements-arizona-senate-sinema-kari-lake/
  113. NBC News
    https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/arizona-dems-back-ruben-gallego-donation-ahead-sinema-senate-race-rcna121144
  114. Retired Americans
    https://retiredamericans.org/retiree-group-endorses-ruben-gallego-for-the-u-s-senate/
  115. azaflcio.org
    https://azaflcio.org/2024-candidate-endorsements
  116. Association of Flight Attendants-CWA
    https://www.afacwa.org/afa_endorsed_candidates_for_2024_election
  117. "CWA Arizona State Council Endorses Rep. Ruben Gallego for U.S. Senate"
    https://cwa-union.org/news/releases/cwa-arizona-state-council-endorses-rep-ruben-gallego-us-senate
  118. Yahoo Finance
    https://finance.yahoo.com/news/teamsters-endorse-ruben-gallego-arizona-220100154.html
  119. "Our Recommended Candidates"
    https://educationvotes.nea.org/our-recommended-candidates/
  120. United Mine Workers of America
    https://umwa.org/az-compac/
  121. Brady PAC
    https://bradypac.org/brady-pac-endorses-ruben-gallego-for-u-s-senate/
  122. Climate Hawks Vote
    http://climatehawksvote.com/endorsements/endorsements-2023/
  123. Council for a Livable World
    https://livableworld.org/meet-the-candidates/senate-candidates/
  124. The Hill
    https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4006885-liberal-group-endorsing-gallego-after-backing-sinema/
  125. feministmajoritypac.org
    https://feministmajoritypac.org/endorsements/2024/
  126. "Human Rights Campaign PAC Endorses Ruben Gallego for U.S. Senate"
    https://www.hrc.org/press-releases/human-rights-campaign-pac-endorses-ruben-gallego-for-u-s-senate
  127. Indivisible
    https://indivisible.org/statements/indivisible-endorses-ruben-gallego-arizona-senate-race
  128. Jewish Democratic Council of America
    https://jewishdems.org/press_release/jewish-dems-endorse-in-key-house-and-senate-races-pledge-resources-to-mobilize-jewish-voters/
  129. Latino Victory
    https://latinovictory.org/latino-victory-fund-endorses-ruben-gallego-in-historic-election-to-the-u-s-senate/
  130. League of Conservation Voters
    https://web.archive.org/web/20230927151922/https://www.lcv.org/media-center/lcv-action-fund-endorses-ruben-gallego-for-senate/
  131. People for the American Way
    https://www.peoplefor.org/people-american-way-endorses-seven-new-and-incumbent-senate-candidates-defend-senate-campaign
  132. www.plannedparenthoodaction.org
    https://www.plannedparenthoodaction.org/pressroom/endorsement-alert-planned-parenthood-action-fund-backs-candidates-in-key-senate-races
  133. Population Connection Action Fund
    https://www.populationconnectionaction.org/vote/2024-endorsements/
  134. Daily Kos
    https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2023/4/10/2163126/-AZ-Sen-I-m-one-of-the-first-members-of-Congress-to-endorse-Ruben-Gallego-D-Here-s-why
  135. NBC News
    https://web.archive.org/web/20231004132604/https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/rep-ruben-gallego-snags-support-abortion-rights-group-backed-kyrsten-s-rcna118630
  136. www.sierraclubindependentaction.org
    https://www.sierraclubindependentaction.org/endorsements
  137. Stonewall Democrats of Arizona
    http://stonewalldemsaz.org/
  138. Swing Left
    https://swingleft.org/funds?funds_experiments=%257B%2522header-content%2522%253A%2522B%2522%252C%2522value-prop-graphic-placement%2522%253A%2522below%2522%257D
  139. UnidosUS Action Fund
    https://www.unidosusaf.org/endorsements2024
  140. VoteVets
    https://votevets.org/press-releases/votevets-pac-endorses-gallego-for-arizona-senate
  141. The Arizona Republic
    https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/arizona/2024/02/05/arizona-senate-race-ruben-gallego-endorsed-by-two-tribal-communities/72428729007/
  142. Emerson College Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/arizona-2024-senator-kyrsten-sinemas-independent-candidacy-could-help-democrats-for-u-s-senate/
  143. Data for Progress
    https://www.filesforprogress.org/datasets/2022/1/dfp_az_sen_p2024_tabs.pdf
  144. Noble Predictive Insights
    https://web.archive.org/web/20211122193852/https://blog.ohpredictive.com/press-releases/democrats-support-ousting-sinema-in-2024-primary
  145. Data for Progress
    https://www.filesforprogress.org/datasets/2021/10/dfp-az-sen-dem-primary-2024-tabs.pdf
  146. Arizona Secretary of State
    https://azsos.gov/sites/default/files/docs/2024_Primary_Election_Official_Canvass_0815b.pdf
  147. ABC News
    https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/kari-lake-set-announce-arizona-senate-campaign-after/story?id=103831117
  148. Arizona Mirror
    https://www.azmirror.com/2023/04/11/pinal-county-sheriff-mark-lamb-enters-u-s-senate-race-to-challenge-kyrsten-sinema/
  149. Arizona Secretary of State
    https://azsos.gov/elections/results-data/election-information/2024-election-information
  150. The Arizona Republic
    https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/arizona/2023/03/26/arizona-republicans-eye-2024-senate-race-from-the-sidelines/70046981007/
  151. The Hill
    https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/3778598-why-the-gop-has-ducey-at-the-top-of-its-senate-candidate-wish-list/
  152. CNN Politics
    https://www.cnn.com/2023/04/10/politics/senate-republicans-primary-challenges-trump/index.html
  153. "Arizona Rep. Debbie Lesko says she won't seek reelection, Abe Hamadeh to run for her seat"
    https://www.azfamily.com/2023/10/17/arizona-congresswoman-debbie-lesko-says-she-wont-seek-reelection-2024/
  154. The Wall Street Journal
    https://www.wsj.com/politics/elections/blake-masters-plans-to-enter-race-for-kyrsten-sinemas-senate-seat-886280ac
  155. The Arizona Republic
    https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/elections/2023/10/26/blake-masters-announces-run-for-congress-in-phoenix-area-district/71330819007/
  156. The Hill
    https://thehill.com/homenews/ap/ap-politics/ap-republican-karrin-taylor-robson-says-she-wont-run-for-sinemas-senate-seat-in-arizona/
  157. KTVK
    https://www.azfamily.com/2024/07/31/kari-lake-wins-gop-primary-senate-race-other-state-races-too-close-call/
  158. Politico
    https://www.politico.com/news/2023/02/01/arizona-republican-senate-candidates-00080519
  159. The New York Times
    https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/10/us/politics/trump-kari-lake-senate.html
  160. Politico
    https://web.archive.org/web/20231016125909/https://www.politico.com/news/2023/10/16/kari-lake-key-establishment-endorsement-00121659
  161. The Hill
    https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4502203-lake-endorsements-ernst-risch-cornyn-arizona-senate-race/
  162. Washington Examiner
    https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/2927183/gop-senators-back-kari-lake-ted-budd-endorsement/
  163. Fox News
    https://www.foxnews.com/politics/key-mcconnell-ally-makes-endorsement-crucial-swing-state-race-flip-senate-red
  164. The Arizona Republic
    https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/03/26/kari-lake-endorsements-heres-who-supports-her-in-arizona-senate-race/72898661007/
  165. NRSC
    https://www.nrsc.org/uncategorized/nrsc-chair-daines-endorses-kari-lake-2024-02-13/
  166. Deseret News
    https://www.deseret.com/politics/2024/03/07/sen-mike-lee-endorses-kari-lake-for-us-senate-in-arizona/
  167. "Rand Paul, Gaetz endorse Kari Lake in Arizona Senate race"
    https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4463385-rand-paul-matt-gaetz-endorse-kari-lake-arizona-senate-race/
  168. townhall.com
    https://townhall.com/tipsheet/rebeccadowns/2024/03/01/kari-lakes-next-endorsement-comes-from-senate-foreign-relations-committee-ranking-member-risch-n2635958
  169. "Kari Lake pulls in more support with Eric Schmitt as latest endorsement - Washington Examiner"
    https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/campaigns/2915445/kari-lake-pulls-more-support-eric-schmitt-latest-endorsement/
  170. "Tim Scott endorses Kari Lake in Arizona Senate race - Washington Examiner"
    https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/campaigns/congressional/3068851/tim-scott-endorses-kari-lake-arizona-senate-race/
  171. Fox News
    https://www.foxnews.com/politics/sens-tuberville-and-marshall-endorse-trump-backed-arizona-republican-kari-lake-for-senate
  172. The Hill
    https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4492142-vance-endorses-lake-in-arizona-senate-race/
  173. Fox News
    https://web.archive.org/web/20231102181938/https://www.foxnews.com/politics/kari-lake-builds-momentum-more-big-name-backing-race-flip-arizona-senate-seat
  174. Washington Examiner
    https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/campaigns/2805838/kari-lake-nabs-another-endorsement-from-house-conservative-in-pivotal-senate-race/
  175. Deseret News
    https://www.deseret.com/2023/10/24/23930800/rep-burgess-owens-endorses-arizonas-kari-lake-for-senate
  176. The Arizona Republic
    https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/elections/2023/11/15/elise-stefanik-backs-kari-lake-for-senate-in-sign-gop-is-closing-ranks/71595647007/
  177. Breitbart
    https://syfeed.com/us/news-details/exclusive-wesley-hunt-endorses-kari-lake-for-us-senate_87163059.html
  178. The Hill
    https://thehill.com/homenews/4684533-doug-burgum-kari-lake-endorsement-arizona-senate-race/
  179. The Arizona Republic
    https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/arizona/2023/11/01/kari-lake-touts-endorsement-from-scandal-plagued-texas-ag-ken-paxton/71401460007/
  180. The Arizona Republic
    https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/elections/2023/10/10/kari-lake-to-enter-arizonas-u-s-senate-race-after-months-of-hinting/71122693007/
  181. Citizens United Political Victory Fund
    https://www.cupvf.org/david-n-bossie-and-citizens-united-political-victory-fund-endorse-kari-lake-for-u-s-senate-from-arizona/
  182. "College Republicans of America is proud to announce our official endorsement of Kari Lake for U.S. Senate in Arizona!"
    https://www.instagram.com/uscollegegop/p/C5rBjTMu4g5/?img_index=1
  183. Republicans for National Renewal
    https://web.archive.org/web/20231026183726/https://rnrenewal.org/statements/republicans-for-national-renewal-endorses-kari-lake-for-u-s-senate/
  184. X.com
    https://x.com/OfficialRNHA/status/1759642181436932393
  185. Politico
    https://www.politico.com/news/2024/02/13/kari-lake-nrsc-endorsement-00141107
  186. www.senateconservatives.com
    https://www.senateconservatives.com/#candidates
  187. Turning Point Action
    https://www.tpaction.com/endorsements/
  188. KTAR
    https://ktar.com/story/5546176/blake-masters-says-he-shifted-2024-focus-from-senate-to-house-after-talking-to-donald-trump-kari-lake/
  189. Latinos for America First
    https://web.archive.org/web/20230915132622/https://latinosforamericafirst.com/2022-campaign-corner
  190. fec.gov
    https://www.fec.gov/data/elections/senate/AZ/2024/
  191. Noble Predictive Insights
    https://www.noblepredictiveinsights.com/post/az-poll-of-record-lake-outpaces-lamb-in-gop-senate-primary
  192. Noble Predictive Insights
    https://www.noblepredictiveinsights.com/post/lake-still-leading-gop-senate-primary-but-losing-ground
  193. Rasmussen Reports
    https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/public_surveys/crosstabs_2_arizona_bull_moose_feb_2024
  194. Noble Predictive Insights
    https://www.noblepredictiveinsights.com/post/arizona-s-electorate-allergic-to-maga-brand-in-2024-us-senate-race
  195. Noble Predictive Insights
    https://7453540.fs1.hubspotusercontent-na1.net/hubfs/7453540/AZPOP/2023/231024_AZPOP/231025_AZPOP_Senate%20poll%20report.pdf
  196. J.L. Partners
    https://static1.squarespace.com/static/5db0ca668552dd5ab1168a91/t/643cafb0d7c69d50a640ab1a/1681698736351/Arizona+Poll+-+April+2023+-+Toplines.pdf
  197. Arizona Green Party
    https://www.azgp.org/candidates
  198. gp.org
    https://www.gp.org/azgp_candidates_draw_suspicion_of_being_plants
  199. Daily Independent
    https://www.yourvalley.net/stories/arizona-race-for-us-senate-seat-features-highly-watch-candidates,504888
  200. CNN Politics
    https://www.cnn.com/2023/02/17/politics/senate-2024-map-retirements/index.html
  201. NBC News
    https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/sinema-2024-meghan-mccain-blasts-kari-lake-rcna139903
  202. Jewish Insider
    https://jewishinsider.com/2023/03/aipac-2024-congressional-endorsements-elections/
  203. Elections Daily
    https://elections-daily.com/election-ratings/
  204. CNalysis
    https://projects.cnalysis.com/23-24/senate
  205. RealClearPolitics
    https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/senate/general/2024/arizona/lake-vs-gallego
  206. "2024 Senate"
    https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2024-senate/
  207. The Hill
    https://elections2024.thehill.com/predictions/senate/
  208. Split Ticket
    https://split-ticket.org/senate-2024-ratings/
  209. FiveThirtyEight
    https://web.archive.org/web/20241101082245/https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/senate/
  210. The New York Times
    https://www.nytimes.com/2024/04/10/us/politics/ruben-gallego-arizona-senate.html
  211. Alpha Democrat Research
    https://alphademocrat.com/ruben-gallego-arizona-senate-veteran-democrat-strategy/
  212. The New York Times
    https://www.nytimes.com/2024/04/10/us/politics/ruben-gallego-arizona-senate.html
  213. The White House
    https://bidenwhitehouse.archives.gov/briefing-room/speeches-remarks/2024/08/09/remarks-by-vice-president-harris-and-governor-tim-walz-at-a-campaign-event-glendale-az/
  214. Fight Like Hell PAC
    https://fightlikehellpac.org/
  215. Maryland Matters
    https://marylandmatters.org/2024/09/05/munoz-quits-house-huntley-steps-up-to-council-boafo-launches-federal-pac-more-moves/
  216. KJZZ
    https://www.kjzz.org/kjzz-news/2024-08-05/harris-and-gallego-boast-endorsements-from-across-the-aisle
  217. The Arizona Republic
    https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/08/05/arizona-us-rep-ruben-gallego-shows-bipartisan-backing-list-gop-backers-us-senate-race/74667784007/
  218. KJZZ
    https://www.kjzz.org/kjzz-news/2024-08-26/arizona-police-association-endorses-ruben-gallego-for-u-s-senate
  219. Democratic Majority for Israel [@DemMaj4Israel]
    https://x.com/DemMaj4Israel/status/1833130484768887163
  220. Everytown
    https://www.everytown.org/press/everytown-for-gun-safety-action-fund-announces-first-major-round-of-federal-endorsements-2/
  221. The Arizona Republic
    https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/10/22/national-latino-group-gives-rare-endorsement-to-ruben-gallego-in-arizona/75798385007/
  222. March For Our Lives
    https://marchforourlives.org/march-for-our-lives-announces-first-endorsements-in-races-nationwide-starting-in-arizona/
  223. "Marco Rubio 'proud to endorse' Kari Lake in Arizona Senate race: Report"
    https://floridapolitics.com/archives/689064-marco-rubio-proud-to-endorse-kari-lake-in-arizona-senate-race-report/
  224. "Doug Ducey ditches his dignity to endorse Donald Trump and Kari Lake"
    https://www.azcentral.com/story/opinion/op-ed/laurieroberts/2024/08/13/kari-lake-donald-trump-ducey-republican-endorsement/74786478007/
  225. Politico
    https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2024/10/13/kari-lake-abortion-trump-arizona-00183464
  226. Club for Growth
    https://www.clubforgrowth.org/elections/pac-endorsed-candidates/
  227. YouTube
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hJ9dMBlNLGM
  228. FiveThirtyEight
    https://web.archive.org/web/20241107173631/https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/senate/2024/arizona/general/
  229. RealClearPolitics
    https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/senate/general/2024/arizona/lake-vs-gallego
  230. 270toWin
    https://www.270towin.com/2024-senate-polls/arizona
  231. The Hill
    https://elections2024.thehill.com/arizona/arizona-senate-gallego-lake/
  232. AtlasIntel
    https://cdn.atlasintel.org/616d82d3-e782-4d6e-b690-9eed1523fe75.pdf#page=13
  233. Victory Insights
    https://irp.cdn-website.com/07e08705/files/uploaded/PressRelease_AZ_11-04-2024.pdf
  234. The Trafalgar Group
    https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/AZ-24-General-1103_Report.pdf
  235. Patriot Polling
    https://patriotpolling.com/our-polls/f/final-2024-presidential-poll
  236. InsiderAdvantage
    https://insideradvantage.com/insideradvantage-surveys-az-mi-wi-pa-nc/
  237. AtlasIntel
    https://cdn.atlasintel.org/f41e83be-de61-4d59-9c46-f5f91cbf00fa.pdf#page=12
  238. Emerson College Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/november-2024-final-swing-state-polls-too-close-to-call-election-for-president/
  239. The New York Times
    https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/11/03/us/elections/times-siena-arizona-poll-toplines.html
  240. Morning Consult
    https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-election-state-polls
  241. AtlasIntel
    https://cdn.atlasintel.org/ff8a5b86-e293-44f4-8162-166002248f55.pdf
  242. "We also polled the Senate races in these key states. @OnMessageInc PA: 46 McCormick / 46 Casey MI: 46 Rogers / 47 Slotkin WI: 47 Hovde / 48 Baldwin AZ: 48 Lake / 48 Gallego"
    https://x.com/NYCSamKay/status/1852415641007075796
  243. YouGov
    https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/Times_SAY24_20241101.pdf#page=71
  244. ActiVote
    https://www.activote.net/gallego-extends-lead-in-arizona-senate-race/
  245. Noble Predictive Insights
    https://www.noblepredictiveinsights.com/post/az-poll-of-record-trump-1-gallego-4
  246. Data for Progress
    https://www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2024/11/1/final-data-for-progress-swing-state-polls
  247. Rasmussen Reports
    https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/partner_surveys/election_2024_trump_leads_in_georgia_arizona_harris_5_in_new_mexico
  248. AtlasIntel
    https://cdn.atlasintel.org/12bd169b-6db5-44be-9429-90f44ba0d845.pdf
  249. Mitchell Research
    https://web.archive.org/web/20241204144742/https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20241102_AZ_Mitchell.pdf
  250. Data Orbital
    https://dataorbital.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/PR_Release_DOC_Toplines_102924.pdf
  251. RABA Research
    https://www.rabaresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/RABA-Arizona-Survey.pdf
  252. The Trafalgar Group
    https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/AZ-24-General-1027_Report.pdf
  253. DocumentCloud
    https://s3.documentcloud.org/documents/25257085/cnn-polls-harris-and-trump-locked-in-close-races-in-arizona-and-nevada-as-pool-of-persuadable-voters-shrinks.pdf
  254. Marist Poll
    https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/marist-arizona-poll-u-s-presidential-contest-in-arizona-october-2024/
  255. HighGround
    https://azhighground.com/trending-trump-takes-narrow-lead-in-arizona/
  256. InsiderAdvantage
    https://insideradvantage.com/arizona-top-line-tabs-2/
  257. University of Arizona
    https://policylab.arizona.edu/sites/default/files/2024-10/NEWS-RELEASE.pdf
  258. Redfield & Wilton Strategies
    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-16-18-october-2024/
  259. AtlasIntel
    https://cdn.atlasintel.org/023fa4e7-4d28-4903-b4cd-57241a0f5e08.pdf
  260. CBS News
    https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-harris-poll-arizona-10-17-2024/
  261. Redfield & Wilton Strategies
    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-12-14-october-2024/
  262. The Trafalgar Group
    https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/AZ-24-General-1014_Report.pdf
  263. The New York Times
    https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/12/us/politics/times-siena-arizona-pennsylvania-polls.html
  264. ActiVote
    https://www.activote.net/gallego-leads-in-arizona-senate-race/
  265. Emerson College Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/october-2024-state-polls-mixed-movement-across-swing-states-shows-dead-heat/
  266. Substack
    https://substack.com/home/post/p-149951862
  267. Napolitan Institute
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  268. Redfield & Wilton Strategies
    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-27-september-2-october-2024/
  269. AARP
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  270. InsiderAdvantage
    https://insideradvantage.com/arizona-top-line-tabs/
  271. Arizona's Family
    https://www.azfamily.com/2024/10/03/poll-arizona-congressman-gallego-holds-double-digit-lead-over-lake-us-senate-race/
  272. National Research
    https://acrobat.adobe.com/id/urn:aaid:sc:US:e63bea37-72f3-4454-bd0d-df2174901fc3
  273. Emerson College Polling
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  274. AtlasIntel
    https://cdn.atlasintel.org/9e0da6ea-7e9c-498c-89e3-511bd7344cd0.pdf
  275. Cook Political Report
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  276. FOX News
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  277. USA Today
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  278. Marist Poll
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  279. Rasmussen Reports
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  280. The New York Times
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  281. Redfield & Wilton Strategies
    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-16-19-september-2024/
  282. Emerson College Polling
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  283. The Trafalgar Group
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  284. Redfield & Wilton Strategies
    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-6-9-september-2024/
  285. YouGov
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  286. InsiderAdvantage
    https://insideradvantage.com/arizona-trump-leads-by-one-point-gallego-up-by-four/
  287. University of Arizona
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  288. DocumentCloud
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  289. Redfield & Wilton Strategies
    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-25-28-august-2024/
  290. Emerson College Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/august-2024-swing-state-polls-toss-up-presidential-election-in-swing-states/
  291. FOX News
    https://static.foxnews.com/foxnews.com/content/uploads/2024/08/Fox_August-23-26-2024_Arizona_Topline_August-28-Release.pdf
  292. Noble Predictive Insights
    https://www.noblepredictiveinsights.com/post/gallego-leads-lake-in-u-s-senate-race
  293. Redfield & Wilton Strategies
    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-12-15-august-2024/
  294. The York Times
    https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/08/17/us/elections/times-siena-poll-arizona-toplines.html
  295. Arizona Central
    https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/08/16/gallego-leading-lake-polls-arizona-us-senate-race/74785439007/
  296. National Journal
    https://archive.today/20240815222826/https://www.nationaljournal.com/s/725925/exclusive-gop-poll-finds-tied-arizona-senate-race/?unlock=4PB6RUXBTO0IOS46
  297. HighGround
    https://azhighground.com/democrats-take-early-top-of-the-ticket-lead-following-arizonas-primary-election
  298. Redfield & Wilton Strategies
    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-31-july-3-august-2024/
  299. Cook Political Report
    https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/survey-research/2024-swing-state-project/democrats-maintain-edge-new-senate-polls-nevada
  300. Emerson College Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/july-2024-swing-state-polls-harris-trails-trump-in-arizona-georgia-michigan-pennsylvania-tied-in-wisconsin/
  301. FiveThirtyEight
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  302. Rasmussen Reports
    https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/partner_surveys/toplines_2_heartland_battleground_july_2024_all_race_data
  303. Google Docs
    https://drive.google.com/file/d/1yS9Jqk2ZupZxw3VGK5UPDrG8AC4G7X06/view
  304. National Review
    https://www.nationalreview.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/07/Final-Toplines-General.pdf
  305. YouGov
    https://ygo-assets-websites-editorial-emea.yougov.net/documents/Times_SAY24_20240712_state_poll_results.pdf
  306. Progressive Policy Institute
    https://www.progressivepolicy.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/07/PPI-National-Healthcare-Poll-July-2024-Toplines-vFIN.pdf
  307. American Fuel and Petrochemical Manufacturers
    https://www.afpm.org/sites/default/files/issue_resources/AFPM%208%20States%20Survey%20Memo-FINAL.pdf
  308. American Greatness
    https://amgreatness.com/2024/06/21/new-american-greatness-poll-trump-surges-in-battleground-arizona/
  309. Emerson College Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/june-2024-state-polls-trump-maintains-edge-over-biden/
  310. Rasmussen Reports
    https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/public_surveys/arizona_trump_47_biden_40
  311. AARP
    https://www.aarp.org/content/dam/aarp/research/topics/voter-opinion-research/politics/arizona-older-voter-survey-2024-report.doi.10.26419-2fres.00813.008.pdf
  312. FAU Polling
    https://www.faupolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/Mainstreet_AZ_May_2024_Public.pdf
  313. CBS News
    https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-biden-florida-arizona-poll-abortion-inflation-immigration-05-19-2024/
  314. Cook Political Report
    https://www.cookpolitical.com/survey-research/2024-swing-state-project/why-senate-democrats-are-running-strong-even
  315. The New York Times
    https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/05/13/us/elections/times-siena-poll-registered-voter-crosstabs.html
  316. Data Orbital
    https://dataorbital.com/2024/05/az-general-election-poll-democrats-hold-slight-edge/
  317. Emerson College Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/trump-holds-edge-over-biden-in-seven-key-swing-state-polls/
  318. RABA Research
    https://www.rabaresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/RABA-Arizona-Survey.pdf
  319. Emerson College Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/arizona-2024-poll-trump-48-biden-44/
  320. Rasmussen Reports
    https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/public_surveys/arizona_senate_kari_lake_leads_democrat_gallego
  321. Emerson College Polling
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/arizona-2024-poll-trump-46-biden-43/
  322. Punchbowl News
    https://punchbowl.news/wp-content/uploads/Arizona-Statewide-polling-memo-1.pdf
  323. The Messenger
    https://web.archive.org/web/20240110171328/https://themessenger.com/politics/new-arizona-poll-finds-sinema-trails-gallego-lake-in-three-way-matchup-exclusive
  324. The Messenger
    https://web.archive.org/web/20231107182618/https://themessenger.com/politics/internal-gop-arizona-senate-poll-finds-lake-ahead-in-three-way-race-gallego-beating-lake-head-to-head-exclusive
  325. Punchbowl News
    https://punchbowl.news/article/sinema-polls-distant-third-2024-election/
  326. Scribd
    https://www.scribd.com/embeds/676635401/content
  327. The Hill
    https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4246848-gallego-leads-lake-sinema-in-arizona-senate-race-poll/
  328. Noble Predictive Insights
    https://www.noblepredictiveinsights.com/post/the-sinema-situation-gallego-s-edge-and-the-enigma-of-sinema-s-independent-run
  329. Noble Predictive Insights
    https://www.noblepredictiveinsights.com/post/az-senate-gallego-leads-in-all-head-to-head-matchups/
  330. Replace Sinema PAC
    https://mailchi.mp/7c91695aef1c/sinemanytbookexcerpts-9291611?e=e136ea90a6
  331. Public Policy Polling
    https://mailchi.mp/802647d37bde/new-poll-ruben-gallego-strongest-candidate-for-2024-az-senate-race
  332. VCreek/AMG LLC
    https://ca584ad2-76a2-4830-972b-901a6b8d23e4.usrfiles.com/ugd/ca584a_74a52c10f7064adba3cd49890d295999.pdf
  333. Stand for Children
    https://stand.org/arizona/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2023/12/Stand-AZ-Nov-2023-survey-For-Release-final.pdf
  334. Noble Predictive Insights
    https://www.noblepredictiveinsights.com/post/a-night-at-the-sinema-update-on-the-2024-senate-race-in-arizona
  335. Jezebel
    https://jezebel.com/kyrsten-sinema-has-a-net-favorability-of-negative-23-p-1850367190
  336. Blueprint Polling
    https://web.archive.org/web/20230314163349/https://blueprintpolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/01/2024_AZ_election_preview.pdf
  337. The Independent Center
    https://web.archive.org/web/20240415034350/https://independentcenter.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/Independent-Center-2024-Target-State-Survey-of-Registered-Voters-AZ-Toplines.pdf
  338. Arizona Secretary of State
    https://apps.azsos.gov/election/2024/ge/canvass/20241105_GeneralCanvass_Signed.pdf#page=5
  339. The Hill
    https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4969256-ruben-gallego-defeats-kari-lake/
  340. https://davesredistricting.org/maps#viewmap::4ee8ecf2-14b7-4a8d-99bc-82fa633a9305
    https://davesredistricting.org/maps#viewmap::4ee8ecf2-14b7-4a8d-99bc-82fa633a9305
  341. www.ourcampaigns.com
    https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-elections/arizona-senate-results
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