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2024 Moldovan presidential election

Updated: Wikipedia source

2024 Moldovan presidential election

Presidential elections were held in Moldova on 20 October 2024, with a runoff held on 3 November. Incumbent president Maia Sandu, who won the first round, and former Prosecutor General Alexandr Stoianoglo, who was the runner-up, contested the runoff, with Sandu winning a majority of votes and being re-elected for a second and final term. The Guardian described the election as a choice between the West and Russia, with Sandu representing the pro-European side and Stoianoglo the Russian-friendly side. Renato Usatîi, who finished third in the first round, declined to back either candidate in the runoff. Romanian Insider described Victoria Furtună and Vasile Tarlev, who came in fifth and sixth, as backed by the pro-Russian oligarch Ilan Shor. On the same day as the first round of the election, a narrow majority of Moldovans voted "yes" to add the desire for EU membership to the country's constitution. This was seen as a victory for Sandu who campaigned for the "yes" side, although the result was closer than expected, a fact Sandu blamed on alleged Russian-sponsored interference on the election, including vote buying organised by Russian-trained groups. OSCE described international observers as assessing the first round's conduct "overwhelmingly positively", although OSCE also noted misuse of administrative resources and unbalanced media coverage in favor of the incumbent. Analysts stated Sandu's runoff victory was seen as a major relief for the current government, which strongly backed her candidacy, her push for closer ties with the West, and her support for Moldova's path toward the European Union.

Infobox

Turnout
51.74% (first round) 6.06 pp54.29% (second round) 1.53 pp
Candidate
Maia Sandu
Party
Independent
Alliance
PAS[a]
Popular vote
930,139
Percentage
55.35%

Tables

· Candidates
Maia Sandu
Maia Sandu
Name
Maia Sandu
Born
24 May 1972 (53)Risipeni, Fălești
Campaign
(website)
Experience
President of Moldova (2020–present)Prime Minister of Moldova (2019)Minister of Education (2012–2015)
Party
Independent
Status
Registered
Alexandr Stoianoglo
Alexandr Stoianoglo
Name
Alexandr Stoianoglo
Born
3 June 1967 (58)Comrat, Gagauzia
Campaign
Experience
Prosecutor General of Moldova (2019–2021)Vice President of the Parliament (2009–2010)
Party
Independent
Status
Registered
Renato Usatîi
Renato Usatîi
Name
Renato Usatîi
Born
4 November 1978 (47)Fălești
Campaign
(website)
Experience
Mayor of Bălți (2015–2018, 2019–2021)
Party
Our Party
Status
Registered
Vasile Tarlev
Vasile Tarlev
Name
Vasile Tarlev
Born
9 October 1963 (62)Bașcalia, Basarabeasca
Campaign
(website)
Experience
Prime Minister of Moldova (2001–2008)
Party
Future of Moldova Partyendorsed by the Party of Communists
Status
Registered
Irina Vlah
Irina Vlah
Name
Irina Vlah
Born
26 February 1974 (51)Comrat, Gagauzia
Campaign
(website)
Experience
Governor of Gagauzia (2015–2023)
Party
Independent
Status
Registered
Ion Chicu
Ion Chicu
Name
Ion Chicu
Born
28 February 1972 (53)Pîrjolteni, Călărași
Campaign
Experience
Prime Minister of Moldova (2019–2020)Minister of Finance (2018–2019)
Party
Party of Developmentand Consolidation
Status
Registered
Andrei Năstase
Andrei Năstase
Name
Andrei Năstase
Born
6 August 1975 (50)Mîndrești, Telenești
Campaign
(website)
Experience
Deputy Prime Minister, Minister of Internal Affairs (2019)
Party
Independent
Status
Registered
Octavian Țîcu
Octavian Țîcu
Name
Octavian Țîcu
Born
21 August 1972 (53)Costuleni, Ungheni
Campaign
Experience
Member of Parliament (2019–2021)Minister of Youth and Sport (2013)
Party
Together
Status
Registered
Victoria Furtună
Victoria Furtună
Name
Victoria Furtună
Born
24 February 1981 (44)Hîncești
Campaign
(website)
Experience
Anti-corruption prosecutor
Party
Independent
Status
Registered
Tudor Ulianovschi
Tudor Ulianovschi
Name
Tudor Ulianovschi
Born
25 May 1983 (42)Florești
Campaign
(website)
Experience
Minister of Foreign Affairs and European Integration (2018–2019)Ambassador to Switzerland and Liechtenstein (2016–2018)Permanent Representative to the United Nations (2016–2018)
Party
Independent
Status
Registered
Natalia Morari
Natalia Morari
Name
Natalia Morari
Born
12 January 1984 (41)Hîncești
Campaign
(website)
Experience
JournalistHost of Morari.live
Party
Independent
Status
Registered
Name
Born
Campaign
Experience
Party
Status
Maia Sandu
24 May 1972 (53)Risipeni, Fălești
(website)
President of Moldova (2020–present)Prime Minister of Moldova (2019)Minister of Education (2012–2015)
Independent
Registered
Alexandr Stoianoglo
3 June 1967 (58)Comrat, Gagauzia
Prosecutor General of Moldova (2019–2021)Vice President of the Parliament (2009–2010)
Independent
Registered
Renato Usatîi
4 November 1978 (47)Fălești
(website)
Mayor of Bălți (2015–2018, 2019–2021)
Our Party
Registered
Vasile Tarlev
9 October 1963 (62)Bașcalia, Basarabeasca
(website)
Prime Minister of Moldova (2001–2008)
Future of Moldova Partyendorsed by the Party of Communists
Registered
Irina Vlah
26 February 1974 (51)Comrat, Gagauzia
(website)
Governor of Gagauzia (2015–2023)
Independent
Registered
Ion Chicu
28 February 1972 (53)Pîrjolteni, Călărași
Prime Minister of Moldova (2019–2020)Minister of Finance (2018–2019)
Party of Developmentand Consolidation
Registered
Andrei Năstase
6 August 1975 (50)Mîndrești, Telenești
(website)
Deputy Prime Minister, Minister of Internal Affairs (2019)
Independent
Registered
Octavian Țîcu
21 August 1972 (53)Costuleni, Ungheni
Member of Parliament (2019–2021)Minister of Youth and Sport (2013)
Together
Registered
Victoria Furtună
24 February 1981 (44)Hîncești
(website)
Anti-corruption prosecutor
Independent
Registered
Tudor Ulianovschi
25 May 1983 (42)Florești
(website)
Minister of Foreign Affairs and European Integration (2018–2019)Ambassador to Switzerland and Liechtenstein (2016–2018)Permanent Representative to the United Nations (2016–2018)
Independent
Registered
Natalia Morari
12 January 1984 (41)Hîncești
(website)
JournalistHost of Morari.live
Independent
Registered
· Opinion polls › Registered candidates
Sandu
Sandu
Fieldworkdate
Sandu
Polling firm/Commissioner
Stoianoglo
Sample size
Usatîi
Col 4
Tarlev
Col 5
Vlah
Col 6
Chicu
Col 7
Năstase
Col 8
Țîcu
Col 9
Furtună
Col 10
Ulianovschi
Col 11
Morari
'"`UNIQ--templatestyles-00000077-QINU`"'Ind./PAS
'"`UNIQ--templatestyles-00000077-QINU`"'Ind./PAS
Fieldworkdate
'"`UNIQ--templatestyles-00000077-QINU`"'Ind./PAS
Polling firm/Commissioner
Ind./PSRM
Sample size
PN
Col 4
PVM
Col 5
Independent
Col 6
PDCM
Col 7
Independent
Col 8
Col 9
Independent
Col 10
Independent
Col 11
Independent
11–16 Oct 2024
11–16 Oct 2024
Fieldworkdate
11–16 Oct 2024
Polling firm/Commissioner
WatchDog
Sample size
1,034
Col 4
35.8%
Col 5
9.0%
Col 6
6.4%
Col 7
1.3%
Col 8
2.2%
Col 9
1.2%
Col 10
0.8%
Col 11
0.4%
Col 12
1.4%
Col 13
0.1%
Col 14
0.5%
Undecided/Abstention/None/Other
40.9%
19 Sep–10 Oct 2024
19 Sep–10 Oct 2024
Fieldworkdate
19 Sep–10 Oct 2024
Polling firm/Commissioner
iData–IPP
Sample size
1,100
Col 4
29.5%
Col 5
11.6%
Col 6
13.3%
Col 7
6.1%
Col 8
4.5%
Col 9
3.4%
Col 10
1.1%
Col 11
1.3%
Col 12
5.5%
Col 13
4.3%
Col 14
0.4%
Undecided/Abstention/None/Other
18.9%
13–22 Sep 2024
13–22 Sep 2024
Fieldworkdate
13–22 Sep 2024
Polling firm/Commissioner
ASPEN–APEC–WatchDog
Sample size
1,021
Col 4
36.1%
Col 5
10.1%
Col 6
7.5%
Col 7
1.8%
Col 8
4.1%
Col 9
2.5%
Col 10
0.6%
Col 11
0.8%
Col 12
0.5%
Col 13
0.8%
Col 14
0.6%
Undecided/Abstention/None/Other
34.6%
13–18 Sep 2024
13–18 Sep 2024
Fieldworkdate
13–18 Sep 2024
Polling firm/Commissioner
iData
Sample size
1,021
Col 4
26.8%
Col 5
11.2%
Col 6
12.7%
Col 7
6.3%
Col 8
6.1%
Col 9
4.1%
Col 10
0.9%
Col 11
0.7%
Col 12
0.1%
Col 13
3.5%
Col 14
1.8%
Undecided/Abstention/None/Other
25.8%
30 Aug–2 Sep 2024
30 Aug–2 Sep 2024
Fieldworkdate
30 Aug–2 Sep 2024
Polling firm/Commissioner
Intellect Group
Sample size
596
Col 4
24.5%
Col 5
12.0%
Col 6
6.2%
Col 7
4.7%
Col 8
5.0%
Col 9
1.5%
Col 10
3.5%
Col 11
Col 12
Col 13
Col 14
2.0%
Undecided/Abstention/None/Other
40.6%
19–25 Aug 2024
19–25 Aug 2024
Fieldworkdate
19–25 Aug 2024
Polling firm/Commissioner
iData
Sample size
1,004
Col 4
27.5%
Col 5
11.4%
Col 6
11.6%
Col 7
5.8%
Col 8
3.3%
Col 9
2.8%
Col 10
1.2%
Col 11
Col 12
Col 13
Col 14
Undecided/Abstention/None/Other
36.4%
20–23 Aug 2024
20–23 Aug 2024
Fieldworkdate
20–23 Aug 2024
Polling firm/Commissioner
CBS Research–WatchDog
Sample size
1,011
Col 4
35.5%
Col 5
9.9%
Col 6
6.8%
Col 7
1.8%
Col 8
5.8%
Col 9
3.0%
Col 10
1.2%
Col 11
1.3%
Col 12
0.3%
Col 13
0.2%
Col 14
0.2%
Undecided/Abstention/None/Other
34.0%
8–21 Jul 2024
8–21 Jul 2024
Fieldworkdate
8–21 Jul 2024
Polling firm/Commissioner
IMAS
Sample size
1,093
Col 4
33.7%
Col 5
11.5%
Col 6
10.8%
Col 7
1.2%
Col 8
8.9%
Col 9
6.0%
Col 10
1.4%
Col 11
0.9%
Col 12
Col 13
0.1%
Col 14
1.1%
Undecided/Abstention/None/Other
24.4%
Fieldworkdate
Polling firm/Commissioner
Sample size
Undecided/Abstention/None/Other
Sandu
Stoianoglo
Usatîi
Tarlev
Vlah
Chicu
Năstase
Țîcu
Furtună
Ulianovschi
Morari
 `UNIQ--templatestyles-00000077-QINU` Ind./PAS
Ind./PSRM
PN
PVM
Independent
PDCM
Independent
Independent
Independent
Independent
11–16 Oct 2024
WatchDog
1,034
35.8%
9.0%
6.4%
1.3%
2.2%
1.2%
0.8%
0.4%
1.4%
0.1%
0.5%
40.9%
19 Sep–10 Oct 2024
iData–IPP
1,100
29.5%
11.6%
13.3%
6.1%
4.5%
3.4%
1.1%
1.3%
5.5%
4.3%
0.4%
18.9%
13–22 Sep 2024
ASPEN–APEC–WatchDog
1,021
36.1%
10.1%
7.5%
1.8%
4.1%
2.5%
0.6%
0.8%
0.5%
0.8%
0.6%
34.6%
13–18 Sep 2024
iData
1,021
26.8%
11.2%
12.7%
6.3%
6.1%
4.1%
0.9%
0.7%
0.1%
3.5%
1.8%
25.8%
30 Aug–2 Sep 2024
Intellect Group
596
24.5%
12.0%
6.2%
4.7%
5.0%
1.5%
3.5%
2.0%
40.6%
19–25 Aug 2024
iData
1,004
27.5%
11.4%
11.6%
5.8%
3.3%
2.8%
1.2%
36.4%
20–23 Aug 2024
CBS Research–WatchDog
1,011
35.5%
9.9%
6.8%
1.8%
5.8%
3.0%
1.2%
1.3%
0.3%
0.2%
0.2%
34.0%
8–21 Jul 2024
IMAS
1,093
33.7%
11.5%
10.8%
1.2%
8.9%
6.0%
1.4%
0.9%
0.1%
1.1%
24.4%
· Opinion polls › Second round › Sandu vs. Stoianoglo
Sandu
Sandu
Fieldworkdate
Sandu
Polling firm/Commissioner
Stoianoglo
Ind./PAS
Ind./PAS
Fieldworkdate
Ind./PAS
Polling firm/Commissioner
Ind./PSRM
19 Sep–10 Oct 2024
19 Sep–10 Oct 2024
Fieldworkdate
19 Sep–10 Oct 2024
Polling firm/Commissioner
iData
Sample size
1,100
Col 4
40.6%
Col 5
36.4%
None/Undecided/Abstention
23%
Fieldworkdate
Polling firm/Commissioner
Sample size
None/Undecided/Abstention
Sandu
Stoianoglo
Ind./PAS
Ind./PSRM
19 Sep–10 Oct 2024
iData
1,100
40.6%
36.4%
23%
· Opinion polls › Hypothetical polling › Opinion polls before the start of the campaign
Sandu
Sandu
Fieldworkdate
Sandu
Polling firm/Commissioner
Dodon
Sample size
Stoianoglo
Col 4
Ceban
Col 5
Shor
Col 6
Voronin
Col 7
Chicu
Col 8
Tauber
Col 9
Usatîi
Col 10
Vlah
Ind./PAS
Ind./PAS
Fieldworkdate
Ind./PAS
Polling firm/Commissioner
PSRM
Sample size
Ind./PSRM
Col 4
MAN
Col 5
ȘOR
Col 6
PCRM
Col 7
PDCM
Col 8
ȘOR
Col 9
PN
Col 10
Independent
28 Jun–18 Jul 2024
28 Jun–18 Jul 2024
Fieldworkdate
28 Jun–18 Jul 2024
Polling firm/Commissioner
CBS-AXA-IPRE
Sample size
1,119
Col 4
30.3%
Col 5
13.0%
Col 6
1.0%
Col 7
5.4%
Col 8
2.5%
Col 9
3.4%
Col 10
3.2%
Col 11
Col 12
6.5%
Col 13
5.6%
Other
6.3%
None/Undecided/Abstention
23%
23 May–13 Jun 2024
23 May–13 Jun 2024
Fieldworkdate
23 May–13 Jun 2024
Polling firm/Commissioner
IRI
Sample size
1,225
Col 4
34%
Col 5
18%
Col 6
Col 7
4%
Col 8
4%
Col 9
Col 10
5%
Col 11
Col 12
5%
Col 13
4%
Other
3%
None/Undecided/Abstention
24%
22–27 May 2024
22–27 May 2024
Fieldworkdate
22–27 May 2024
Polling firm/Commissioner
iData
Sample size
1,022
Col 4
30.4%
Col 5
14.3%
Col 6
Col 7
3.0%
Col 8
Col 9
2.5%
Col 10
6.1%
Col 11
Col 12
3.9%
Col 13
1.6%
Other
6.1%
None/Undecided/Abstention
32.1%
2–19 May 2024
2–19 May 2024
Fieldworkdate
2–19 May 2024
Polling firm/Commissioner
IMAS
Sample size
1,088
Col 4
35.2%
Col 5
16.4%
Col 6
Col 7
5.9%
Col 8
Col 9
5.3%
Col 10
5.7%
Col 11
Col 12
4.7%
Col 13
4.1%
Other
7.8%
None/Undecided/Abstention
14.9%
6–13 Apr 2024
6–13 Apr 2024
Fieldworkdate
6–13 Apr 2024
Polling firm/Commissioner
CBS-AXA–WatchDog
Sample size
1,008
Col 4
35.1%
Col 5
15.8%
Col 6
Col 7
5.4%
Col 8
1.7%
Col 9
4.6%
Col 10
5.6%
Col 11
Col 12
3.9%
Col 13
4.5%
Other
5.3%
None/Undecided/Abstention
18.0%
18–24 Mar 2024
18–24 Mar 2024
Fieldworkdate
18–24 Mar 2024
Polling firm/Commissioner
iData
Sample size
1,131
Col 4
27.9%
Col 5
13.3%
Col 6
Col 7
4.4%
Col 8
Col 9
2.6%
Col 10
5.7%
Col 11
Col 12
3.0%
Col 13
4.3%
Other
6.5%
None/Undecided/Abstention
32.3%
27 Jan–22 Feb 2024
27 Jan–22 Feb 2024
Fieldworkdate
27 Jan–22 Feb 2024
Polling firm/Commissioner
IRI
Sample size
1,247
Col 4
30%
Col 5
24%
Col 6
Col 7
6%
Col 8
4%
Col 9
Col 10
5%
Col 11
Col 12
4%
Col 13
4%
Other
1%
None/Undecided/Abstention
22%
7–12 Feb 2024
7–12 Feb 2024
Fieldworkdate
7–12 Feb 2024
Polling firm/Commissioner
CBS Research
Sample size
1,104
Col 4
29.8%
Col 5
14.8%
Col 6
Col 7
4.5%
Col 8
8.5%
Col 9
1.6%
Col 10
5.0%
Col 11
Col 12
4.4%
Col 13
4.8%
Other
4.1%
None/Undecided/Abstention
22.4%
26–30 Jan 2024
26–30 Jan 2024
Fieldworkdate
26–30 Jan 2024
Polling firm/Commissioner
iData
Sample size
1,011
Col 4
24.1%
Col 5
29.7%
Col 6
46.2%
29 Nov–16 Dec 2023
29 Nov–16 Dec 2023
Fieldworkdate
29 Nov–16 Dec 2023
Polling firm/Commissioner
IMAS
Sample size
954
Col 4
30.1%
Col 5
24.0%
Col 6
Col 7
8.1%
Col 8
Col 9
2.7%
Col 10
6.1%
Col 11
Col 12
4.1%
Col 13
5.6%
Other
6.0%
None/Undecided/Abstention
13.3%
2–24 Sep 2023
2–24 Sep 2023
Fieldworkdate
2–24 Sep 2023
Polling firm/Commissioner
IMAS
Sample size
822
Col 4
27.8%
Col 5
16.0%
Col 6
Col 7
6.0%
Col 8
Col 9
4.3%
Col 10
5.9%
Col 11
Col 12
6.0%
Col 13
4.9%
Other
4.7%
None/Undecided/Abstention
24.4%
9–23 Aug 2023
9–23 Aug 2023
Fieldworkdate
9–23 Aug 2023
Polling firm/Commissioner
CBS-AXA–IPP
Sample size
1,215
Col 4
29.4%
Col 5
18.1%
Col 6
Col 7
5.6%
Col 8
3.2%
Col 9
1.5%
Col 10
4.1%
Col 11
Col 12
5.1%
Col 13
Other
3.0%
None/Undecided/Abstention
30.1%
13–28 Jun 2023
13–28 Jun 2023
Fieldworkdate
13–28 Jun 2023
Polling firm/Commissioner
CBS-AXA–IPRE
Sample size
1,120
Col 4
32.6%
Col 5
17.8%
Col 6
Col 7
5.3%
Col 8
3.3%
Col 9
4.3%
Col 10
2.9%
Col 11
3.0%
Col 12
4.3%
Col 13
Other
1.5%
None/Undecided/Abstention
24.0%
10–19 Jun 2023
10–19 Jun 2023
Fieldworkdate
10–19 Jun 2023
Polling firm/Commissioner
CBS-AXA–WatchDog
Sample size
1,121
Col 4
37.9%
Col 5
14.2%
Col 6
Col 7
6.2%
Col 8
2.5%
Col 9
4.7%
Col 10
5.0%
Col 11
3.5%
Col 12
4.7%
Col 13
Other
3.0%
None/Undecided/Abstention
18.3%
2–19 May 2023
2–19 May 2023
Fieldworkdate
2–19 May 2023
Polling firm/Commissioner
IMAS
Sample size
1,112
Col 4
28.5%
Col 5
23.9%
Col 6
Col 7
8.3%
Col 8
Col 9
3.7%
Col 10
7.2%
Col 11
2.7%
Col 12
3.8%
Col 13
Other
4.1%
None/Undecided/Abstention
18.0%
27 Apr–8 May 2023
27 Apr–8 May 2023
Fieldworkdate
27 Apr–8 May 2023
Polling firm/Commissioner
iData
Sample size
1,049
Col 4
30.4%
Col 5
18.3%
Col 6
Col 7
6.7%
Col 8
12.2%
Col 9
Col 10
5.9%
Col 11
Col 12
4.5%
Col 13
2.8%
Other
1.5%
None/Undecided/Abstention
17.7%
4–13 Apr 2023
4–13 Apr 2023
Fieldworkdate
4–13 Apr 2023
Polling firm/Commissioner
CBS-AXA–WatchDog
Sample size
1,015
Col 4
38.3%
Col 5
18.4%
Col 6
Col 7
6.2%
Col 8
2.5%
Col 9
3.2%
Col 10
4.9%
Col 11
2.2%
Col 12
3.2%
Col 13
Other
1.9%
None/Undecided/Abstention
19.2%
15–26 Mar 2023
15–26 Mar 2023
Fieldworkdate
15–26 Mar 2023
Polling firm/Commissioner
iData
Sample size
1,065
Col 4
29.4%
Col 5
17.6%
Col 6
Col 7
7.2%
Col 8
9.2%
Col 9
0.9%
Col 10
5.4%
Col 11
Col 12
1.7%
Col 13
3.1%
Other
1.7%
None/Undecided/Abstention
23.9%
24 Feb–3 Mar 2023
24 Feb–3 Mar 2023
Fieldworkdate
24 Feb–3 Mar 2023
Polling firm/Commissioner
CBS-AXA–WatchDog
Sample size
1,000
Col 4
31.8%
Col 5
17.8%
Col 6
Col 7
4.7%
Col 8
2.0%
Col 9
3.5%
Col 10
3.3%
Col 11
1.8%
Col 12
2.0%
Col 13
2.1%
Other
2.1%
None/Undecided/Abstention
28.8%
6–23 Feb 2023
6–23 Feb 2023
Fieldworkdate
6–23 Feb 2023
Polling firm/Commissioner
IMAS
Sample size
1,100
Col 4
25.2%
Col 5
20.4%
Col 6
Col 7
8.2%
Col 8
Col 9
4.9%
Col 10
5.4%
Col 11
4.3%
Col 12
3.4%
Col 13
Other
3.8%
None/Undecided/Abstention
24.6%
17–26 Jan 2023
17–26 Jan 2023
Fieldworkdate
17–26 Jan 2023
Polling firm/Commissioner
CBS-AXA–WatchDog
Sample size
1,001
Col 4
28.2%
Col 5
17.6%
Col 6
Col 7
8.5%
Col 8
4.2%
Col 9
3.9%
Col 10
3.9%
Col 11
2.4%
Col 12
3.5%
Col 13
1.8%
Other
4.0%
None/Undecided/Abstention
21.8%
15–26 Dec 2022
15–26 Dec 2022
Fieldworkdate
15–26 Dec 2022
Polling firm/Commissioner
iData
Sample size
1,006
Col 4
27.2%
Col 5
24.1%
Col 6
Col 7
10.0%
Col 8
13.4%
Col 9
0.6%
Col 10
5.0%
Col 11
0.2%
Col 12
0.5%
Col 13
0.1%
Other
3.0%
None/Undecided/Abstention
16.0%
10–29 Nov 2022
10–29 Nov 2022
Fieldworkdate
10–29 Nov 2022
Polling firm/Commissioner
IMAS
Sample size
1,100
Col 4
26.9%
Col 5
19.6%
Col 6
Col 7
8.8%
Col 8
Col 9
4.0%
Col 10
7.1%
Col 11
2.8%
Col 12
2.2%
Col 13
Other
7.3%
None/Undecided/Abstention
21.3%
29 Oct–10 Nov 2022
29 Oct–10 Nov 2022
Fieldworkdate
29 Oct–10 Nov 2022
Polling firm/Commissioner
CBS Research/IPP
Sample size
1,134
Col 4
27.3%
Col 5
15.4%
Col 6
Col 7
7.1%
Col 8
9.1%
Col 9
4.3%
Col 10
Col 11
Col 12
2.9%
Col 13
Other
3.5%
None/Undecided/Abstention
30.5%
29 Sep–11 Oct 2022
29 Sep–11 Oct 2022
Fieldworkdate
29 Sep–11 Oct 2022
Polling firm/Commissioner
IDIS–CBS Research–IPRI
Sample size
1,066
Col 4
34.1%
Col 5
19.1%
Col 6
Col 7
7.1%
Col 8
6.3%
Col 9
5.2%
Col 10
2.5%
Col 11
Col 12
3.3%
Col 13
1.2%
Other
3.2%
None/Undecided/Abstention
18.1%
6–18 Jul 2022
6–18 Jul 2022
Fieldworkdate
6–18 Jul 2022
Polling firm/Commissioner
IMAS
Sample size
1,007
Col 4
24.4%
Col 5
25.4%
Col 6
Col 7
9.2%
Col 8
Col 9
7.1%
Col 10
5.2%
Col 11
3.6%
Col 12
2.8%
Col 13
Other
c. 5.4%
None/Undecided/Abstention
16.0%
Fieldworkdate
Polling firm/Commissioner
Sample size
Other
None/Undecided/Abstention
Sandu
Dodon
Stoianoglo
Ceban
Shor
Voronin
Chicu
Tauber
Usatîi
Vlah
Ind./PAS
PSRM
Ind./PSRM
MAN
ȘOR
PCRM
PDCM
ȘOR
PN
Independent
28 Jun–18 Jul 2024
CBS-AXA-IPRE
1,119
30.3%
13.0%
1.0%
5.4%
2.5%
3.4%
3.2%
6.5%
5.6%
6.3%
23%
23 May–13 Jun 2024
IRI
1,225
34%
18%
4%
4%
5%
5%
4%
3%
24%
22–27 May 2024
iData
1,022
30.4%
14.3%
3.0%
2.5%
6.1%
3.9%
1.6%
6.1%
32.1%
2–19 May 2024
IMAS
1,088
35.2%
16.4%
5.9%
5.3%
5.7%
4.7%
4.1%
7.8%
14.9%
6–13 Apr 2024
CBS-AXA–WatchDog
1,008
35.1%
15.8%
5.4%
1.7%
4.6%
5.6%
3.9%
4.5%
5.3%
18.0%
18–24 Mar 2024
iData
1,131
27.9%
13.3%
4.4%
2.6%
5.7%
3.0%
4.3%
6.5%
32.3%
27 Jan–22 Feb 2024
IRI
1,247
30%
24%
6%
4%
5%
4%
4%
1%
22%
7–12 Feb 2024
CBS Research
1,104
29.8%
14.8%
4.5%
8.5%
1.6%
5.0%
4.4%
4.8%
4.1%
22.4%
26–30 Jan 2024
iData
1,011
24.1%
29.7%
46.2%
29 Nov–16 Dec 2023
IMAS
954
30.1%
24.0%
8.1%
2.7%
6.1%
4.1%
5.6%
6.0%
13.3%
2–24 Sep 2023
IMAS
822
27.8%
16.0%
6.0%
4.3%
5.9%
6.0%
4.9%
4.7%
24.4%
9–23 Aug 2023
CBS-AXA–IPP
1,215
29.4%
18.1%
5.6%
3.2%
1.5%
4.1%
5.1%
3.0%
30.1%
13–28 Jun 2023
CBS-AXA–IPRE
1,120
32.6%
17.8%
5.3%
3.3%
4.3%
2.9%
3.0%
4.3%
1.5%
24.0%
10–19 Jun 2023
CBS-AXA–WatchDog
1,121
37.9%
14.2%
6.2%
2.5%
4.7%
5.0%
3.5%
4.7%
3.0%
18.3%
2–19 May 2023
IMAS
1,112
28.5%
23.9%
8.3%
3.7%
7.2%
2.7%
3.8%
4.1%
18.0%
27 Apr–8 May 2023
iData
1,049
30.4%
18.3%
6.7%
12.2%
5.9%
4.5%
2.8%
1.5%
17.7%
4–13 Apr 2023
CBS-AXA–WatchDog
1,015
38.3%
18.4%
6.2%
2.5%
3.2%
4.9%
2.2%
3.2%
1.9%
19.2%
15–26 Mar 2023
iData
1,065
29.4%
17.6%
7.2%
9.2%
0.9%
5.4%
1.7%
3.1%
1.7%
23.9%
24 Feb–3 Mar 2023
CBS-AXA–WatchDog
1,000
31.8%
17.8%
4.7%
2.0%
3.5%
3.3%
1.8%
2.0%
2.1%
2.1%
28.8%
6–23 Feb 2023
IMAS
1,100
25.2%
20.4%
8.2%
4.9%
5.4%
4.3%
3.4%
3.8%
24.6%
17–26 Jan 2023
CBS-AXA–WatchDog
1,001
28.2%
17.6%
8.5%
4.2%
3.9%
3.9%
2.4%
3.5%
1.8%
4.0%
21.8%
15–26 Dec 2022
iData
1,006
27.2%
24.1%
10.0%
13.4%
0.6%
5.0%
0.2%
0.5%
0.1%
3.0%
16.0%
10–29 Nov 2022
IMAS
1,100
26.9%
19.6%
8.8%
4.0%
7.1%
2.8%
2.2%
7.3%
21.3%
29 Oct–10 Nov 2022
CBS Research/IPP
1,134
27.3%
15.4%
7.1%
9.1%
4.3%
2.9%
3.5%
30.5%
29 Sep–11 Oct 2022
IDIS–CBS Research–IPRI
1,066
34.1%
19.1%
7.1%
6.3%
5.2%
2.5%
3.3%
1.2%
3.2%
18.1%
6–18 Jul 2022
IMAS
1,007
24.4%
25.4%
9.2%
7.1%
5.2%
3.6%
2.8%
c. 5.4%
16.0%
· Opinion polls › Hypothetical polling › Hypothetical second rounds › Sandu vs. Ceban
Sandu
Sandu
Fieldworkdate
Sandu
Polling firm/Commissioner
Ceban
Ind./PAS
Ind./PAS
Fieldworkdate
Ind./PAS
Polling firm/Commissioner
MAN
6–13 Apr 2024
6–13 Apr 2024
Fieldworkdate
6–13 Apr 2024
Polling firm/Commissioner
CBS-AXA–WatchDog
Sample size
1,008
Col 4
40.2%
Col 5
32.3%
None/Undecided/Abstention
27.4%
7–12 Feb 2024
7–12 Feb 2024
Fieldworkdate
7–12 Feb 2024
Polling firm/Commissioner
CBS Research
Sample size
1,104
Col 4
39.5%
Col 5
35%
None/Undecided/Abstention
25.8%
29 Nov–16 Dec 2023
29 Nov–16 Dec 2023
Fieldworkdate
29 Nov–16 Dec 2023
Polling firm/Commissioner
IMAS
Sample size
954
Col 4
34%
Col 5
42%
None/Undecided/Abstention
24%
Fieldworkdate
Polling firm/Commissioner
Sample size
None/Undecided/Abstention
Sandu
Ceban
Ind./PAS
MAN
6–13 Apr 2024
CBS-AXA–WatchDog
1,008
40.2%
32.3%
27.4%
7–12 Feb 2024
CBS Research
1,104
39.5%
35%
25.8%
29 Nov–16 Dec 2023
IMAS
954
34%
42%
24%
· Opinion polls › Hypothetical polling › Hypothetical second rounds › Sandu vs. Chicu
Sandu
Sandu
Fieldworkdate
Sandu
Polling firm/Commissioner
Chicu
Ind./PAS
Ind./PAS
Fieldworkdate
Ind./PAS
Polling firm/Commissioner
PDCM
19 Sep–10 Oct 2024
19 Sep–10 Oct 2024
Fieldworkdate
19 Sep–10 Oct 2024
Polling firm/Commissioner
iData
Sample size
1,100
Col 4
40.7%
Col 5
30.1%
None/Undecided/Abstention
29.2%
Fieldworkdate
Polling firm/Commissioner
Sample size
None/Undecided/Abstention
Sandu
Chicu
Ind./PAS
PDCM
19 Sep–10 Oct 2024
iData
1,100
40.7%
30.1%
29.2%
· Opinion polls › Hypothetical polling › Hypothetical second rounds › Sandu vs. Dodon
Sandu
Sandu
Fieldworkdate
Sandu
Polling firm/Commissioner
Dodon
Ind./PAS
Ind./PAS
Fieldworkdate
Ind./PAS
Polling firm/Commissioner
PSRM
2–19 May 2024
2–19 May 2024
Fieldworkdate
2–19 May 2024
Polling firm/Commissioner
IMAS
Sample size
1,088
Col 4
41.3%
Col 5
43.5%
None/Undecided/Abstention
15.3%
6–13 Apr 2024
6–13 Apr 2024
Fieldworkdate
6–13 Apr 2024
Polling firm/Commissioner
CBS-AXA–WatchDog
Sample size
1,008
Col 4
42.2%
Col 5
34.9%
None/Undecided/Abstention
22.9%
7–12 Feb 2024
7–12 Feb 2024
Fieldworkdate
7–12 Feb 2024
Polling firm/Commissioner
CBS Research
Sample size
1,104
Col 4
40.2%
Col 5
39.3%
None/Undecided/Abstention
20.4%
29 Nov–16 Dec 2023
29 Nov–16 Dec 2023
Fieldworkdate
29 Nov–16 Dec 2023
Polling firm/Commissioner
IMAS
Sample size
954
Col 4
35%
Col 5
46%
None/Undecided/Abstention
19%
2–19 May 2023
2–19 May 2023
Fieldworkdate
2–19 May 2023
Polling firm/Commissioner
IMAS
Sample size
1,112
Col 4
38%
Col 5
45%
None/Undecided/Abstention
17%
Fieldworkdate
Polling firm/Commissioner
Sample size
None/Undecided/Abstention
Sandu
Dodon
Ind./PAS
PSRM
2–19 May 2024
IMAS
1,088
41.3%
43.5%
15.3%
6–13 Apr 2024
CBS-AXA–WatchDog
1,008
42.2%
34.9%
22.9%
7–12 Feb 2024
CBS Research
1,104
40.2%
39.3%
20.4%
29 Nov–16 Dec 2023
IMAS
954
35%
46%
19%
2–19 May 2023
IMAS
1,112
38%
45%
17%
· Opinion polls › Hypothetical polling › Hypothetical second rounds › Sandu vs. Usatîi
Sandu
Sandu
Fieldworkdate
Sandu
Polling firm/Commissioner
Usatîi
Ind./PAS
Ind./PAS
Fieldworkdate
Ind./PAS
Polling firm/Commissioner
PN
19 Sep–10 Oct 2024
19 Sep–10 Oct 2024
Fieldworkdate
19 Sep–10 Oct 2024
Polling firm/Commissioner
iData
Sample size
1,100
Col 4
38.6%
Col 5
35.6%
None/Undecided/Abstention
25.8%
13–18 Sep 2024
13–18 Sep 2024
Fieldworkdate
13–18 Sep 2024
Polling firm/Commissioner
iData
Sample size
1,021
Col 4
35.1%
Col 5
32.2%
None/Undecided/Abstention
32.7%
29 Nov–16 Dec 2023
29 Nov–16 Dec 2023
Fieldworkdate
29 Nov–16 Dec 2023
Polling firm/Commissioner
IMAS
Sample size
954
Col 4
37%
Col 5
30%
None/Undecided/Abstention
33%
Fieldworkdate
Polling firm/Commissioner
Sample size
None/Undecided/Abstention
Sandu
Usatîi
Ind./PAS
PN
19 Sep–10 Oct 2024
iData
1,100
38.6%
35.6%
25.8%
13–18 Sep 2024
iData
1,021
35.1%
32.2%
32.7%
29 Nov–16 Dec 2023
IMAS
954
37%
30%
33%
· Opinion polls › Hypothetical polling › Hypothetical second rounds › Sandu vs. Vlah
Sandu
Sandu
Fieldworkdate
Sandu
Polling firm/Commissioner
Vlah
Ind./PAS
Ind./PAS
Fieldworkdate
Ind./PAS
Polling firm/Commissioner
Independent
19 Sep–10 Oct 2024
19 Sep–10 Oct 2024
Fieldworkdate
19 Sep–10 Oct 2024
Polling firm/Commissioner
iData
Sample size
1,100
Col 4
40.2%
Col 5
33.2%
None/Undecided/Abstention
26.6%
6–13 Apr 2024
6–13 Apr 2024
Fieldworkdate
6–13 Apr 2024
Polling firm/Commissioner
CBS-AXA–WatchDog
Sample size
1,008
Col 4
43.2%
Col 5
28.3%
None/Undecided/Abstention
28.5%
7–12 Feb 2024
7–12 Feb 2024
Fieldworkdate
7–12 Feb 2024
Polling firm/Commissioner
CBS Research
Sample size
1,104
Col 4
42.2%
Col 5
33%
None/Undecided/Abstention
24.7%
29 Nov–16 Dec 2023
29 Nov–16 Dec 2023
Fieldworkdate
29 Nov–16 Dec 2023
Polling firm/Commissioner
IMAS
Sample size
954
Col 4
38%
Col 5
35%
None/Undecided/Abstention
27%
Fieldworkdate
Polling firm/Commissioner
Sample size
None/Undecided/Abstention
Sandu
Vlah
Ind./PAS
Independent
19 Sep–10 Oct 2024
iData
1,100
40.2%
33.2%
26.6%
6–13 Apr 2024
CBS-AXA–WatchDog
1,008
43.2%
28.3%
28.5%
7–12 Feb 2024
CBS Research
1,104
42.2%
33%
24.7%
29 Nov–16 Dec 2023
IMAS
954
38%
35%
27%
· Endorsements › Party endorsements
Party/organization
Ideology
First round
Second round
Party of Action and Solidarity
Liberalism
Maia Sandu
Maia Sandu
Party of Socialists of the Republic of Moldova
Socialism
Alexandr Stoianoglo
Alexandr Stoianoglo
Common Action Party – Civil Congress
Socialist democracy
Alexandr Stoianoglo
Alexandr Stoianoglo
Our Party
Social conservatism
Renato Usatîi
No endorsement
Platform Moldova
Left-wing populism
Irina Vlah
Against Sandu
Future of Moldova Party
Left-wing nationalism
Vasile Tarlev
Against Sandu
Party of Communists of the Republic of Moldova
Communism
Vasile Tarlev
Alexandr Stoianoglo
Party of Development and Consolidation
Christian democracy
Ion Chicu
Against Sandu
Dignity and Truth Platform
Liberalism
Octavian Țîcu
Against Stoianoglo
Party of Change [ro]
Conservative liberalism
League of Cities and Communes
Localism
Maia Sandu
Victory
Russophilia
Against Sandu
Against Sandu
Alliance of Liberals and Democrats for Europe
Social liberalism
No candidate
Against Stoianoglo
Liberal Democratic Party of Moldova
Liberal conservatism
No candidate
Against Sandu
Ecologist Green Party
Green politics
No candidate
Maia Sandu
Liberal Party
Conservative liberalism
No candidate
Maia Sandu
Coalition for Unity and Welfare
Liberalism
No candidate
Participate without endorsement
· Endorsements › Second round candidate endorsements
Candidate
First round
Endorsement
Renato Usatîi
13.79%
No endorsement
Irina Vlah
5.38%
Against Sandu
Victoria Furtună
4.45%
Alexandr Stoianoglo
Vasile Tarlev
3.19%
Against Sandu
Ion Chicu
2.06%
Against Sandu
Octavian Țîcu
0.93%
Against Stoianoglo
Andrei Năstase
0.64%
No endorsement
Natalia Morari
0.61%
Against Sandu
Tudor Ulianovschi
0.52%
No endorsement
· Results › Second round
Votes
Votes
Candidate
Votes
Candidate
%
Party
Votes
First round
%
Total
Total
Candidate
Total
Candidate
1,546,031
Party
100.00
First round
1,680,569
First round
100.00
Valid votes
Valid votes
Candidate
Valid votes
Candidate
1,546,031
Party
98.82
First round
1,680,569
First round
98.78
Invalid/blank votes
Invalid/blank votes
Candidate
Invalid/blank votes
Candidate
18,464
Party
1.18
First round
20,715
First round
1.22
Total votes
Total votes
Candidate
Total votes
Candidate
1,564,495
Party
100.00
First round
1,701,284
First round
100.00
Registered voters/turnout
Registered voters/turnout
Candidate
Registered voters/turnout
Candidate
3,023,506
Party
51.74
First round
3,133,687
First round
54.29
Source: Central Electoral Commission
Source: Central Electoral Commission
Candidate
Source: Central Electoral Commission
Candidate
Party
First round
Second round
Votes
%
Votes
%
Maia Sandu
Independent (PAS)
656,852
42.49
930,139
55.35
Alexandr Stoianoglo
Independent (Party of Socialists)
401,215
25.95
750,430
44.65
Renato Usatîi
Our Party
213,169
13.79
Irina Vlah
Independent
83,193
5.38
Victoria Furtună
Independent
68,778
4.45
Vasile Tarlev
Future of Moldova Party
49,316
3.19
Ion Chicu
Party of Development and Consolidation
31,797
2.06
Octavian Țîcu
Together
14,326
0.93
Andrei Năstase
Independent
9,946
0.64
Natalia Morari
Independent
9,444
0.61
Tudor Ulianovschi
Independent
7,995
0.52
Total
1,546,031
100.00
1,680,569
100.00
Valid votes
1,546,031
98.82
1,680,569
98.78
Invalid/blank votes
18,464
1.18
20,715
1.22
Total votes
1,564,495
100.00
1,701,284
100.00
Registered voters/turnout
3,023,506
51.74
3,133,687
54.29
Source: Central Electoral Commission

References

  1. The President of Moldova traditionally resigns from party membership after taking office. Although Sandu was officially
  2. Although Stoianoglo was officially an independent, his campaign was endorsed and funded by Party of Socialists of the Re
  3. Munteanu, and the Coalition for Unity and Welfare, were a member of the bloc Together, and helped nominate and initially
  4. Political organization, not a party, led by Irina Vlah
  5. Member party of the bloc Together
  6. Political bloc, not a party, led by Ilan Shor
  7. Allegedly supported Victoria Furtună
  8. Endorsed by the Party of Communists
  9. a.cec.md
    https://a.cec.md/ro/modelul-buletinelor-de-vot-17015.html
  10. TVP World
    https://tvpworld.com/77035891/moldova-announces-presidential-elections-eu-accession-referendum-for-october
  11. "Moldovans cast votes to choose president and decide on EU path as Russian interference claims spike"
    https://apnews.com/article/moldova-elections-referendum-eu-russia-sandu-9411ab04ffb3230a83a4f8751c4e2414
  12. Reuters
    https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/moldova-holds-presidential-runoff-election-amid-claims-russian-meddling-2024-11-03/
  13. amp.theguardian.com
    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/oct/19/moldova-presidential-election-eu-referendum-future-russia-west
  14. BBC
    https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cq6lyzj9dddo
  15. Romania Insider
    https://www.romania-insider.com/moldova-referendum-presidential-elections-october-2024
  16. Reuters
    https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/early-results-show-50-moldovans-vote-yes-referendum-eu-aspirations-2024-10-21/
  17. www.osce.org
    https://www.osce.org/odihr/elections/moldova/578815
  18. Associated Press
    https://apnews.com/article/moldova-elections-referendum-eu-russia-sandu-9411ab04ffb3230a83a4f8751c4e2414
  19. The Kyiv Independent
    https://kyivindependent.com/moldova-to-hold-referendum-on-joining-eu-in-october/
  20. "Moldova To Hold Presidential Vote, EU Referendum In October"
    https://www.rferl.org/a/moldova-referendum-sandu-eu/32951121.html
  21. constituteproject.org
    https://www.constituteproject.org/constitution/Moldova_2016
  22. old.cec.md
    http://old.cec.md/files/files/Legi/tabel_regulamente/Regulament%20privind%20modul%20de%20%C3%AEntocmire%2C%20prezentare%20si%20verificare%20a%20listelor%20de%20subscriptie.pdf
  23. #diez
    https://diez.md/2024/10/18/tot-ce-trebuie-sa-stii-despre-alegerile-prezidentiale-din-20-octombrie-2024/
  24. www.presedinte.md
    http://www.presedinte.md/rom/statutul-si-atributiile
  25. The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/oct/21/moldova-election-maia-sandu
  26. Reuters
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  29. Government of Canada
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  30. Reuters
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  32. The Kyiv Independent
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  62. "Renato Usatyi and Vasile Tarlev officially registered as presidential candidates"
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  131. "Conferința de presă al Partidul Verde Ecologist din Moldova privitor la al doilea tur electoral"
    https://www.facebook.com/PartidulVerdeEcologist/posts/pfbid02tXskdQbqsQGK3WiYVN1uphEovgentsxCngrimgB7Vzz78PKZNxdEtLAcAdzGC9NAl
  132. "Astăzi a avut loc ședința Consiliului Republican al Partidului Liberal"
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  133. Telegraph – Agenție de presă
    https://telegraph.md/cub-indeamna-cetatenii-la-un-vot-rational-in-turul-ii-viitorul-presedinte-trebuie-sa-fie-garantul-bunastarii-si-unitatii-nationale/
  134. IPN
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  135. noi.md
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  136. "Dragi concetățeni, În turul II votăm NU Maia Sandu!" – Morari campaign Facebook page[better source needed]
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  137. tv8.md
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  138. AP News
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  139. "Gagauzia votes overwhelmingly against EU integration"
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  140. jamestown.org
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  141. "DISINFORMATION: The government in Chisinau is undermining Gagauzia's autonomy"
    https://www.veridica.ro/en/fake-news-disinformation-propaganda/disinformation-the-government-in-chisinau-is-undermining-gagauzias-autonomy
  142. "Moldova Leader Slams 'Attack on Democracy' as Presidential Polls Go to Run-Off"
    https://balkaninsight.com/2024/10/21/moldova-leader-slams-attack-on-democracy-as-presidential-polls-go-to-run-off/
  143. Comisia Electorală Centrală a Republicii Moldova
    https://pv.cec.md/cec-presidential-results-tour2.html
  144. Associated Press
    https://apnews.com/article/moldova-election-president-russia-europe-diaspora-sandu-40b98d140fefd92a2bd06d5db8b5d82f
  145. Al Jazeera
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  146. BBC
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  147. Associated Press
    https://apnews.com/article/moldova-elections-eu-referendum-russia-325cb2c13beb1d76565a6e2aadef971a
  148. NBC News
    https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/moldova-leader-decries-vote-meddling-slim-majority-backs-joining-eu-rcna176348
  149. "Sute de alegători din Moldova sunt anchetați pentru că și-ar fi vândut votul Moscovei. Riscă o amendă uriașă"
    https://stirileprotv.ro/stiri/international/sute-de-alegatori-din-moldova-sunt-anchetati-pentru-cumpararea-voturilor-z15-milioane-de-dolari-catre-acesti-oameni.html
  150. NewsMaker
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  151. Știri.md
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  152. Anticoruptie.md
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  153. www.osce.org
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  154. "De ce nu au fost anulate alegerile din Republica Moldova, în ciuda fraudelor masive. Explicațiile oferite de Maia Sandu"
    https://stirileprotv.ro/stiri/international/de-ce-nu-au-fost-anulate-alegerile-din-republica-moldova-in-ciuda-fraudelor-masive-explicatiile-oferite-de-maia-sandu.html
  155. France 24
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  156. The Kyiv Independent
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  157. www.digi24.ro
    https://www.digi24.ro/stiri/externe/rezultate-alegeri-moldova-turul-2-2992523
  158. France 24
    https://www.france24.com/en/europe/20241104-moldova-sandu
  159. U.S. Embassy in Moldova
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  160. barrons
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  161. The Moscow Times
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  162. "Moldovan diaspora in Moscow showed record turnout for Moldovan election"
    https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2024/11/4/7482845/
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