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2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania

Updated: Wikipedia source

2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania

The 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania. Democratic lieutenant governor John Fetterman won his first term in office, defeating Republican surgeon Mehmet Oz. Fetterman succeeded Republican incumbent senator Pat Toomey, who did not seek re-election to a third term. This was the only U . Senate seat to flip parties in 2022 and one of the two Republican-held Senate seats up for election in a state that Joe Biden won in the 2020 presidential election. In the May 17 primary, Fetterman won the Democratic nomination with 59% of the vote over congressman Conor Lamb and state representative Malcolm Kenyatta. Oz finished with a 0 % margin ahead of businessman Dave McCormick in the Republican primary, triggering an automatic recount. McCormick conceded the nomination on June 3, making Oz the first Muslim candidate to be nominated by either major party for U . Senate. The general election was among the most competitive of the 2022 midterms and characterized as highly contentious. Fetterman framed Oz as an elitist carpetbagger with a radical anti-abortion stance in the wake of Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health Organization overturning Roe v. Wade, while Oz framed Fetterman as a socialist insufficiently committed to fighting crime. Fetterman's health was also a major issue due to him suffering a stroke days before his primary victory. Although Fetterman led most pre-election polls, concerns towards his health and a scrutinized debate performance helped Oz take a narrow lead before the election. Despite Oz's lead in final polls, Fetterman won by a 4 % margin, helping provide Senate Democrats a net gain of one seat and their first outright majority since 2015. With Fetterman's victory, elected Democrats held both U . Senate seats from Pennsylvania for the first time since 1947.

Infobox

Nominee
John Fetterman
Party
Democratic
Popular vote
2,751,012
Percentage
51 %

Tables

2022 Pennsylvania Senate election Republican primary debates · Republican primary › Debates and forums
Key:  P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn
Key:  P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn
No.
Key:  P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn
Kathy Barnette
Kathy Barnette
No.
Kathy Barnette
Date
George Bochetto
Host
Jeff Bartos
Moderator
Sean Gale
Link
David McCormick
Participants
Mehmet Oz
Participants
Carla Sands
Participants
Everett Stern
1
1
No.
1
Date
Feb. 22, 2022
Host
BroadandLiberty Pennsylvania Chamber of Business & Industry
Moderator
Becky Corbin
Link
Video
Participants
P
Participants
P
Participants
P
Participants
N
Participants
A
Participants
A
Participants
A
2
2
No.
2
Date
Apr. 25, 2022
Host
Nexstar/WHTM-TV; WPXI
Moderator
Dennis Owens Lisa Sylvester
Link
Video
Participants
P
Participants
N
Participants
P
Participants
N
Participants
P
Participants
P
Participants
P
3
3
No.
3
Date
May 4, 2022
Host
Newsmax TV
Moderator
Greta Van Susteren Rick Dayton
Participants
P
Participants
N
Participants
P
Participants
N
Participants
P
Participants
P
Participants
P
No.
Date
Host
Moderator
Link
Participants
Key: P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn
Kathy Barnette
George Bochetto
Jeff Bartos
Sean Gale
David McCormick
Mehmet Oz
Carla Sands
Everett Stern
1
Feb. 22, 2022
BroadandLiberty Pennsylvania Chamber of Business & Industry
Becky Corbin
Video
P
P
P
N
A
A
A
2
Apr. 25, 2022
Nexstar/WHTM-TV; WPXI
Dennis Owens Lisa Sylvester
Video
P
N
P
N
P
P
P
3
May 4, 2022
Newsmax TV
Greta Van Susteren Rick Dayton
P
N
P
N
P
P
P
· Republican primary › Polling
Real Clear Politics
Real Clear Politics
Source of poll aggregation
Real Clear Politics
Dates administered
May 3–16, 2022
Dates updated
May 17, 2022
Kathy Barnette
24 %
Jeff Bartos
5 %
Dave McCormick
19 %
Mehmet Oz
26 %
Carla Sands
6 %
Other
18 %
Margin
Oz +2
Source of poll aggregation
Dates administered
Dates updated
Kathy Barnette
Jeff Bartos
Dave McCormick
Mehmet Oz
Carla Sands
Other
Margin
Real Clear Politics
May 3–16, 2022
May 17, 2022
24 %
5 %
19 %
26 %
6 %
18 %
Oz +2
· Republican primary › Polling
The Trafalgar Group (R)
The Trafalgar Group (R)
Poll source
The Trafalgar Group (R)
Date(s) administered
May 14–16, 2022
Sample size
1,195 (LV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Kathy Barnette
27%
Jeff Bartos
7%
Dave McCormick
22%
Mehmet Oz
29%
Sean Parnell
Carla Sands
7%
Other
4%
Undecided
6%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s) administered
May 14–15, 2022
Sample size
1,000 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Kathy Barnette
24%
Jeff Bartos
5%
Dave McCormick
21%
Mehmet Oz
28%
Sean Parnell
Carla Sands
6%
Other
1%
Undecided
15%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)
Poll source
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)
Date(s) administered
May 12–15, 2022
Sample size
400 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Kathy Barnette
27%
Jeff Bartos
2%
Dave McCormick
11%
Mehmet Oz
28%
Sean Parnell
Carla Sands
3%
Other
3%
Undecided
26%
Osage Research (R)
Osage Research (R)
Poll source
Osage Research (R)
Date(s) administered
May 12–13, 2022
Sample size
1,000 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Kathy Barnette
24%
Jeff Bartos
6%
Dave McCormick
25%
Mehmet Oz
24%
Sean Parnell
Carla Sands
7%
Other
1%
Undecided
13%
InsiderAdvantage (R)
InsiderAdvantage (R)
Poll source
InsiderAdvantage (R)
Date(s) administered
May 7–9, 2022
Sample size
750 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Kathy Barnette
21%
Jeff Bartos
5%
Dave McCormick
19%
Mehmet Oz
23%
Sean Parnell
Carla Sands
5%
Other
3%
Undecided
26%
The Trafalgar Group (R)
The Trafalgar Group (R)
Poll source
The Trafalgar Group (R)
Date(s) administered
May 6–8, 2022
Sample size
1,080 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Kathy Barnette
23%
Jeff Bartos
7%
Dave McCormick
22%
Mehmet Oz
25%
Sean Parnell
Carla Sands
7%
Other
2%
Undecided
15%
Fox News
Fox News
Poll source
Fox News
Date(s) administered
May 3–7, 2022
Sample size
1,001 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Kathy Barnette
19%
Jeff Bartos
7%
Dave McCormick
20%
Mehmet Oz
22%
Sean Parnell
Carla Sands
8%
Other
4%
Undecided
18%
Franklin & Marshall College
Franklin & Marshall College
Poll source
Franklin & Marshall College
Date(s) administered
April 20 – May 1, 2022
Sample size
325 (RV)
Margin of error
± 6 %
Kathy Barnette
12%
Jeff Bartos
2%
Dave McCormick
16%
Mehmet Oz
18%
Sean Parnell
Carla Sands
5%
Other
6%
Undecided
39%
The Trafalgar Group (R)
The Trafalgar Group (R)
Poll source
The Trafalgar Group (R)
Date(s) administered
April 11–13, 2022
Sample size
1,074 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Kathy Barnette
18%
Jeff Bartos
8%
Dave McCormick
20%
Mehmet Oz
23%
Sean Parnell
Carla Sands
11%
Other
3%
Undecided
17%
Franklin & Marshall College
Franklin & Marshall College
Poll source
Franklin & Marshall College
Date(s) administered
March 30 – April 10, 2022
Sample size
317 (RV)
Margin of error
± 6 %
Kathy Barnette
7%
Jeff Bartos
6%
Dave McCormick
15%
Mehmet Oz
16%
Sean Parnell
Carla Sands
5%
Other
8%
Undecided
43%
Eagle Consulting Group (R)
Eagle Consulting Group (R)
Poll source
Eagle Consulting Group (R)
Date(s) administered
April 7–9, 2022
Sample size
502 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Kathy Barnette
9%
Jeff Bartos
6%
Dave McCormick
18%
Mehmet Oz
11%
Sean Parnell
Carla Sands
9%
Other
2%
Undecided
45%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s) administered
April 3–4, 2022
Sample size
1,000 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Kathy Barnette
10%
Jeff Bartos
9%
Dave McCormick
18%
Mehmet Oz
17%
Sean Parnell
Carla Sands
8%
Other
6%
Undecided
33%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Poll source
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Date(s) administered
March 29 – April 3, 2022
Sample size
600 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Kathy Barnette
13%
Jeff Bartos
8%
Dave McCormick
22%
Mehmet Oz
16%
Sean Parnell
Carla Sands
11%
Other
1%
Undecided
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s) administered
March 26–28, 2022
Sample size
372 (LV)
Margin of error
± 5 %
Kathy Barnette
6%
Jeff Bartos
5%
Dave McCormick
14%
Mehmet Oz
14%
Sean Parnell
Carla Sands
6%
Other
3%
Undecided
51%
Basswood Research (R)
Basswood Research (R)
Poll source
Basswood Research (R)
Date(s) administered
March 19–21, 2022
Sample size
800 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Kathy Barnette
11%
Jeff Bartos
5%
Dave McCormick
22%
Mehmet Oz
25%
Sean Parnell
Carla Sands
13%
Other
1%
Undecided
23%
Fox News
Fox News
Poll source
Fox News
Date(s) administered
March 2–6, 2022
Sample size
960 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Kathy Barnette
9%
Jeff Bartos
9%
Dave McCormick
24%
Mehmet Oz
15%
Sean Parnell
Carla Sands
6%
Other
3%
Undecided
31%
Franklin & Marshall College
Franklin & Marshall College
Poll source
Franklin & Marshall College
Date(s) administered
February 21–27, 2022
Sample size
178 (LV)
Margin of error
± 10 %
Kathy Barnette
6%
Jeff Bartos
4%
Dave McCormick
13%
Mehmet Oz
10%
Sean Parnell
Carla Sands
11%
Other
3%
Undecided
53%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Poll source
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Date(s) administered
~February 23, 2022
Sample size
– (LV)
Margin of error
Kathy Barnette
9%
Jeff Bartos
5%
Dave McCormick
24%
Mehmet Oz
18%
Sean Parnell
Carla Sands
11%
Other
1%
Undecided
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
Poll source
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
Date(s) administered
February 16–18, 2022
Sample size
600 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Kathy Barnette
Jeff Bartos
Dave McCormick
24%
Mehmet Oz
18%
Sean Parnell
Carla Sands
Other
31%
Undecided
27%
Osage Research (R)
Osage Research (R)
Poll source
Osage Research (R)
Date(s) administered
February 13–16, 2022
Sample size
825 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Kathy Barnette
7%
Jeff Bartos
6%
Dave McCormick
24%
Mehmet Oz
21%
Sean Parnell
Carla Sands
11%
Other
3%
Undecided
28%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Poll source
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Date(s) administered
~February 9, 2022
Sample size
– (LV)
Margin of error
Kathy Barnette
9%
Jeff Bartos
5%
Dave McCormick
17%
Mehmet Oz
23%
Sean Parnell
Carla Sands
17%
Other
1%
Undecided
The Trafalgar Group (R)
The Trafalgar Group (R)
Poll source
The Trafalgar Group (R)
Date(s) administered
February 1–4, 2022
Sample size
1,070 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Kathy Barnette
9%
Jeff Bartos
7%
Dave McCormick
16%
Mehmet Oz
27%
Sean Parnell
Carla Sands
15%
Other
6%
Undecided
22%
Osage Research (R)
Osage Research (R)
Poll source
Osage Research (R)
Date(s) administered
January 31 – February 2, 2022
Sample size
– (LV)
Margin of error
Kathy Barnette
Jeff Bartos
Dave McCormick
19%
Mehmet Oz
29%
Sean Parnell
Carla Sands
Other
Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Poll source
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Date(s) administered
~January 6, 2022
Sample size
– (LV)
Margin of error
Kathy Barnette
9%
Jeff Bartos
8%
Dave McCormick
13%
Mehmet Oz
31%
Sean Parnell
Carla Sands
12%
Other
Undecided
The Trafalgar Group (R)
The Trafalgar Group (R)
Poll source
The Trafalgar Group (R)
Date(s) administered
December 13–16, 2021
Sample size
1,062 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Kathy Barnette
8%
Jeff Bartos
3%
Dave McCormick
Mehmet Oz
19%
Sean Parnell
Carla Sands
7%
Other
12%
Undecided
51%
Echelon Insights (R)
Echelon Insights (R)
Poll source
Echelon Insights (R)
Date(s) administered
December 1–3, 2021
Sample size
200 (LV)
Margin of error
± 6 %
Kathy Barnette
7%
Jeff Bartos
4%
Dave McCormick
Mehmet Oz
11%
Sean Parnell
Carla Sands
5%
Other
10%
Undecided
63%
Civiqs (D)
Civiqs (D)
Poll source
Civiqs (D)
Date(s) administered
October 31 – November 5, 2021
Sample size
799 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Kathy Barnette
7%
Jeff Bartos
6%
Dave McCormick
Mehmet Oz
Sean Parnell
31%
Carla Sands
8%
Other
2%
Undecided
54%
Franklin & Marshall College
Franklin & Marshall College
Poll source
Franklin & Marshall College
Date(s) administered
October 18–24, 2021
Sample size
184 (RV)
Margin of error
± 8 %
Kathy Barnette
3%
Jeff Bartos
2%
Dave McCormick
Mehmet Oz
Sean Parnell
11%
Carla Sands
2%
Other
3%
Undecided
78%
OnMessage Inc. (R)
OnMessage Inc. (R)
Poll source
OnMessage Inc. (R)
Date(s) administered
October 11–14, 2021
Sample size
500 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Kathy Barnette
Jeff Bartos
7%
Dave McCormick
Mehmet Oz
Sean Parnell
27%
Carla Sands
4%
Other
5%
Undecided
57%
Franklin & Marshall College
Franklin & Marshall College
Poll source
Franklin & Marshall College
Date(s) administered
August 9–15, 2021
Sample size
154 (RV)
Margin of error
± 10 %
Kathy Barnette
6%
Jeff Bartos
4%
Dave McCormick
Mehmet Oz
Sean Parnell
14%
Carla Sands
1%
Other
10%
Undecided
66%
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Kathy Barnette
Jeff Bartos
Dave McCormick
Mehmet Oz
Sean Parnell
Carla Sands
Other
Undecided
The Trafalgar Group (R)
May 14–16, 2022
1,195 (LV)
± 2 %
27%
7%
22%
29%
7%
4%
6%
Emerson College
May 14–15, 2022
1,000 (LV)
± 3 %
24%
5%
21%
28%
6%
1%
15%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)
May 12–15, 2022
400 (LV)
± 4 %
27%
2%
11%
28%
3%
3%
26%
Osage Research (R)
May 12–13, 2022
1,000 (LV)
± 3 %
24%
6%
25%
24%
7%
1%
13%
InsiderAdvantage (R)
May 7–9, 2022
750 (LV)
± 3 %
21%
5%
19%
23%
5%
3%
26%
The Trafalgar Group (R)
May 6–8, 2022
1,080 (LV)
± 3 %
23%
7%
22%
25%
7%
2%
15%
Fox News
May 3–7, 2022
1,001 (LV)
± 3 %
19%
7%
20%
22%
8%
4%
18%
Franklin & Marshall College
April 20 – May 1, 2022
325 (RV)
± 6 %
12%
2%
16%
18%
5%
6%
39%
The Trafalgar Group (R)
April 11–13, 2022
1,074 (LV)
± 3 %
18%
8%
20%
23%
11%
3%
17%
Franklin & Marshall College
March 30 – April 10, 2022
317 (RV)
± 6 %
7%
6%
15%
16%
5%
8%
43%
Eagle Consulting Group (R)
April 7–9, 2022
502 (LV)
± 4 %
9%
6%
18%
11%
9%
2%
45%
Emerson College
April 3–4, 2022
1,000 (LV)
± 3 %
10%
9%
18%
17%
8%
6%
33%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
March 29 – April 3, 2022
600 (LV)
± 4 %
13%
8%
22%
16%
11%
1%
Emerson College
March 26–28, 2022
372 (LV)
± 5 %
6%
5%
14%
14%
6%
3%
51%
Basswood Research (R)
March 19–21, 2022
800 (LV)
± 3 %
11%
5%
22%
25%
13%
1%
23%
Fox News
March 2–6, 2022
960 (LV)
± 3 %
9%
9%
24%
15%
6%
3%
31%
Franklin & Marshall College
February 21–27, 2022
178 (LV)
± 10 %
6%
4%
13%
10%
11%
3%
53%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
~February 23, 2022
– (LV)
9%
5%
24%
18%
11%
1%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
February 16–18, 2022
600 (LV)
± 4 %
24%
18%
31%
27%
Osage Research (R)
February 13–16, 2022
825 (LV)
± 4 %
7%
6%
24%
21%
11%
3%
28%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
~February 9, 2022
– (LV)
9%
5%
17%
23%
17%
1%
The Trafalgar Group (R)
February 1–4, 2022
1,070 (LV)
± 3 %
9%
7%
16%
27%
15%
6%
22%
Osage Research (R)
January 31 – February 2, 2022
– (LV)
19%
29%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
~January 6, 2022
– (LV)
9%
8%
13%
31%
12%
The Trafalgar Group (R)
December 13–16, 2021
1,062 (LV)
± 3 %
8%
3%
19%
7%
12%
51%
Echelon Insights (R)
December 1–3, 2021
200 (LV)
± 6 %
7%
4%
11%
5%
10%
63%
November 22, 2021
Parnell withdraws from the race
Civiqs (D)
October 31 – November 5, 2021
799 (LV)
± 3 %
7%
6%
31%
8%
2%
54%
Franklin & Marshall College
October 18–24, 2021
184 (RV)
± 8 %
3%
2%
11%
2%
3%
78%
OnMessage Inc. (R)
October 11–14, 2021
500 (LV)
± 4 %
7%
27%
4%
5%
57%
Franklin & Marshall College
August 9–15, 2021
154 (RV)
± 10 %
6%
4%
14%
1%
10%
66%
Republican primary results · Republican primary › Results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
1,346,091
Candidate
100 %
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Republican
Mehmet Oz
420,168
31 %
Republican
Dave McCormick
419,218
31 %
Republican
Kathy Barnette
331,903
24 %
Republican
Carla Sands
73,360
5 %
Republican
Jeff Bartos
66,684
4 %
Republican
Sean Gale
20,266
1 %
Republican
George Bochetto
14,492
1 %
Total votes
1,346,091
100 %
2022 Pennsylvania Senate election Democratic primary debates · Democratic primary › Debates
Key:  P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn
Key:  P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn
No.
Key:  P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn
John Fetterman
John Fetterman
No.
John Fetterman
Date
Malcolm Kenyatta
Host
Conor Lamb
1
1
No.
1
Date
Apr. 3, 2022
Host
Muhlenberg College
Moderator
Becky Corbin Jenny DeHuff Ari Mittleman
Link
Video
Participants
A
Participants
P
Participants
P
2
2
No.
2
Date
Apr. 21, 2022
Host
Nexstar/WHTM-TV; WPXI
Moderator
Dennis Owens Lisa Sylvester
Link
Video
Participants
P
Participants
P
Participants
P
No.
Date
Host
Moderator
Link
Participants
Key: P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn
John Fetterman
Malcolm Kenyatta
Conor Lamb
1
Apr. 3, 2022
Muhlenberg College
Becky Corbin Jenny DeHuff Ari Mittleman
Video
A
P
P
2
Apr. 21, 2022
Nexstar/WHTM-TV; WPXI
Dennis Owens Lisa Sylvester
Video
P
P
P

References

  1. Democrats held both of Pennsylvania's Senate seats from 2009 to 2011 when Arlen Specter, who was elected as a Republican
  2. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  3. Key: A – all adults RV – registered voters LV – likely voters V – unclear
  4. Bochetto and Gale with 2%
  5. Bochetto with 1%, Gale with 0%
  6. Bochetto, Gale, and "Other" with 1%
  7. Bochetto with 1%
  8. Bochetto and Gale with 1%
  9. Gale with 2%, Bochetto and "Other" (volunteered response) with 1%
  10. "Someone else" with 5%, Gale with 1%, Bochetto with 0%
  11. Bochetto with 3%, Gale with 1%
  12. "Someone else" with 6%, Bochetto with 2%, Gale with 0%
  13. Bochetto and Gale with ≤1%
  14. Bochetto with 4%, Gale with 3%
  15. Bochetto with 2%, Gale with 1%
  16. Bochetto, Stern, and "Other" (volunteered response) with 1%
  17. Bochetto, Gale, and Stern with 2%
  18. "Another Candidate" with 11%, Gale with 1%
  19. Gale with 4%; Jeffries with 2%; Xu with 1%; Stern with 0%
  20. Gale with 2%
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