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2022 United States Senate election in Florida

Updated: Wikipedia source

2022 United States Senate election in Florida

The 2022 United States Senate election in Florida was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Florida. Incumbent Republican Senator Marco Rubio won re-election to a third term, defeating Democratic nominee Val Demings in a landslide victory. Rubio was first elected in 2010, filling the seat of appointed Senator George LeMieux. Rubio won re-election to a third term, becoming the first Republican to do so in Florida history. Rubio was sworn in for what would be his last term in the Senate, serving from January 3, 2023, to January 21, 2025, when he assumed the office of United States Secretary of State in the second Trump administration. The primary elections for Republicans and Democrats took place on August 23 to finalize candidates for the November election. Rubio won the uncontested Republican primary, while incumbent U . Representative Val Demings won the Democratic nomination. Despite some predicting a close race early, Rubio went on to win by a comfortable 16 %, improving upon his 2016 performance by 8 %. According to exit polls, Rubio won 64% of White voters, 56% of Latino voters, and 9% of African American voters (down from 17% from 2016). Demings' 41 % share of the vote was the worst performance for a Democrat in a Senate race in Florida since 1994. Despite this, she was still the best performing statewide Democrat in the 2022 Florida election cycle.

Infobox

Nominee
Marco Rubio
Party
Republican
Popular vote
4,474,847
Percentage
57 %

Tables

· Democratic primary › Polling
University of North Florida
University of North Florida
Poll source
University of North Florida
Date(s) administered
August 8–12, 2022
Sample size
529 (LV)
Margin of error
± 6 %
Ricardo De La Fuente
2%
Val Demings
80%
Brian Rush
4%
William Sanchez
4%
Undecided
10%
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Ricardo De La Fuente
Val Demings
Brian Rush
William Sanchez
Undecided
University of North Florida
August 8–12, 2022
529 (LV)
± 6 %
2%
80%
4%
4%
10%
Democratic primary results · Democratic primary › Results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
1,499,216
Candidate
100
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Democratic
Val Demings
1,263,706
84
Democratic
Brian Rush
94,185
6
Democratic
William Sanchez
84,576
5
Democratic
Ricardo De La Fuente
56,749
3
Total votes
1,499,216
100
· General election › Predictions
Likely R
Likely R
Source
The Cook Political Report
Ranking
Likely R
As of
October 18, 2022
Likely R
Likely R
Source
Inside Elections
Ranking
Likely R
As of
August 25, 2022
Likely R
Likely R
Source
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Ranking
Likely R
As of
August 24, 2022
Likely R
Likely R
Source
Politico
Ranking
Likely R
As of
November 3, 2022
Lean R
Lean R
Source
RCP
Ranking
Lean R
As of
February 24, 2022
Lean R
Lean R
Source
Fox News
Ranking
Lean R
As of
May 12, 2022
Likely R
Likely R
Source
DDHQ
Ranking
Likely R
As of
July 20, 2022
Solid R
Solid R
Source
538
Ranking
Solid R
As of
November 4, 2022
Likely R
Likely R
Source
The Economist
Ranking
Likely R
As of
September 7, 2022
Source
Ranking
As of
The Cook Political Report
Likely R
October 18, 2022
Inside Elections
Likely R
August 25, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Likely R
August 24, 2022
Politico
Likely R
November 3, 2022
RCP
Lean R
February 24, 2022
Fox News
Lean R
May 12, 2022
DDHQ
Likely R
July 20, 2022
538
Solid R
November 4, 2022
The Economist
Likely R
September 7, 2022
· General election › Polling
Real Clear Politics
Real Clear Politics
Source of poll aggregation
Real Clear Politics
Dates administered
October 17, 2022 – November 6, 2022
Dates updated
November 8, 2022
Marco Rubio (R)
52 %
Val Demings (D)
43 %
Undecided
4 %
Margin
Rubio +8
FiveThirtyEight
FiveThirtyEight
Source of poll aggregation
FiveThirtyEight
Dates administered
September 18, 2022 – November 4, 2022
Dates updated
November 8, 2022
Marco Rubio (R)
52 %
Val Demings (D)
43 %
Undecided
4 %
Margin
Rubio +8
270towin
270towin
Source of poll aggregation
270towin
Dates administered
November 4–7, 2022
Dates updated
November 8, 2022
Marco Rubio (R)
51 %
Val Demings (D)
42 %
Undecided
6 %
Margin
Rubio +9
Average
Average
Source of poll aggregation
Average
Dates administered
52 %
Dates updated
43 %
Marco Rubio (R)
4 %
Val Demings (D)
Rubio +8
Source of poll aggregation
Dates administered
Dates updated
Marco Rubio (R)
Val Demings (D)
Undecided
Margin
Real Clear Politics
October 17, 2022 – November 6, 2022
November 8, 2022
52 %
43 %
4 %
Rubio +8
FiveThirtyEight
September 18, 2022 – November 4, 2022
November 8, 2022
52 %
43 %
4 %
Rubio +8
270towin
November 4–7, 2022
November 8, 2022
51 %
42 %
6 %
Rubio +9
Average
52 %
43 %
4 %
Rubio +8
· General election › Polling
Research Co.
Research Co.
Poll source
Research Co.
Date(s) administered
November 4–6, 2022
Sample size
450 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Marco Rubio (R)
52%
Val Demings (D)
42%
Other
2%
Undecided
4%
Data for Progress (D)
Data for Progress (D)
Poll source
Data for Progress (D)
Date(s) administered
November 2–6, 2022
Sample size
1,436 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Marco Rubio (R)
55%
Val Demings (D)
43%
Other
2%
Undecided
–
Amber Integrated (R)
Amber Integrated (R)
Poll source
Amber Integrated (R)
Date(s) administered
November 1–2, 2022
Sample size
600 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Marco Rubio (R)
49%
Val Demings (D)
40%
Other
4%
Undecided
7%
Civiqs
Civiqs
Poll source
Civiqs
Date(s) administered
October 29 – November 2, 2022
Sample size
772 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Marco Rubio (R)
52%
Val Demings (D)
45%
Other
2%
Undecided
1%
InsiderAdvantage (R)
InsiderAdvantage (R)
Poll source
InsiderAdvantage (R)
Date(s) administered
November 1, 2022
Sample size
550 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Marco Rubio (R)
51%
Val Demings (D)
45%
Other
1%
Undecided
3%
Siena College
Siena College
Poll source
Siena College
Date(s) administered
October 30 – November 1, 2022
Sample size
659 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Marco Rubio (R)
51%
Val Demings (D)
43%
Other
2%
Undecided
4%
Victory Insights
Victory Insights
Poll source
Victory Insights
Date(s) administered
October 30 – November 1, 2022
Sample size
500 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Marco Rubio (R)
50%
Val Demings (D)
46%
Other
–
Undecided
5%
Florida State University/YouGov
Florida State University/YouGov
Poll source
Florida State University/YouGov
Date(s) administered
October 20–31, 2022
Sample size
1,117 (RV)
Margin of error
–
Marco Rubio (R)
51%
Val Demings (D)
44%
Other
–
Undecided
–
University of North Florida
University of North Florida
Poll source
University of North Florida
Date(s) administered
October 17–24, 2022
Sample size
622 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Marco Rubio (R)
54%
Val Demings (D)
43%
Other
<1%
Undecided
3%
Data for Progress (D)
Data for Progress (D)
Poll source
Data for Progress (D)
Date(s) administered
October 19–23, 2022
Sample size
1,251 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Marco Rubio (R)
51%
Val Demings (D)
44%
Other
2%
Undecided
2%
Florida Atlantic University
Florida Atlantic University
Poll source
Florida Atlantic University
Date(s) administered
October 12–16, 2022
Sample size
719 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Marco Rubio (R)
48%
Val Demings (D)
42%
Other
3%
Undecided
7%
RMG Research (R)
RMG Research (R)
Poll source
RMG Research (R)
Date(s) administered
October 10–13, 2022
Sample size
685 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Marco Rubio (R)
50%
Val Demings (D)
45%
Other
–
Undecided
5%
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy
Poll source
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy
Date(s) administered
September 26–28, 2022
Sample size
800 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Marco Rubio (R)
47%
Val Demings (D)
41%
Other
2%
Undecided
10%
Siena College
Siena College
Poll source
Siena College
Date(s) administered
September 18–25, 2022
Sample size
669 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Marco Rubio (R)
48%
Val Demings (D)
41%
Other
2%
Undecided
9%
Civiqs
Civiqs
Poll source
Civiqs
Date(s) administered
September 17–20, 2022
Sample size
617 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Marco Rubio (R)
49%
Val Demings (D)
47%
Other
3%
Undecided
2%
Suffolk University
Suffolk University
Poll source
Suffolk University
Date(s) administered
September 15–18, 2022
Sample size
500 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Marco Rubio (R)
45%
Val Demings (D)
41%
Other
4%
Undecided
9%
Sachs Media
Sachs Media
Poll source
Sachs Media
Date(s) administered
September 10, 2022
Sample size
600 (LV)
Margin of error
–
Marco Rubio (R)
49%
Val Demings (D)
46%
Other
–
Undecided
5%
Kurt Jetta (D)
Kurt Jetta (D)
Poll source
Kurt Jetta (D)
Date(s) administered
September 9–10, 2022
Sample size
999 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Marco Rubio (R)
48%
Val Demings (D)
40%
Other
–
Undecided
12%
563 (LV)
563 (LV)
Poll source
563 (LV)
Date(s) administered
50%
Sample size
45%
Margin of error
–
Marco Rubio (R)
5%
Echelon Insights
Echelon Insights
Poll source
Echelon Insights
Date(s) administered
August 31 – September 7, 2022
Sample size
815 (RV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Marco Rubio (R)
50%
Val Demings (D)
41%
Other
–
Undecided
9%
InsiderAdvantage (R)
InsiderAdvantage (R)
Poll source
InsiderAdvantage (R)
Date(s) administered
September 5–6, 2022
Sample size
550 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Marco Rubio (R)
46%
Val Demings (D)
44%
Other
–
Undecided
10%
Susquehanna Polling and Research (R)
Susquehanna Polling and Research (R)
Poll source
Susquehanna Polling and Research (R)
Date(s) administered
August 29 – September 4, 2022
Sample size
500 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Marco Rubio (R)
47%
Val Demings (D)
44%
Other
–
Undecided
9%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
Poll source
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
Date(s) administered
August 24–31, 2022
Sample size
500 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Marco Rubio (R)
49%
Val Demings (D)
47%
Other
–
Undecided
4%
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)
Poll source
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)
Date(s) administered
August 25–30, 2022
Sample size
3,017 (LV)
Margin of error
± 1 %
Marco Rubio (R)
46%
Val Demings (D)
45%
Other
–
Undecided
9%
Impact Research (D)
Impact Research (D)
Poll source
Impact Research (D)
Date(s) administered
August 12–18, 2022
Sample size
800 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Marco Rubio (R)
49%
Val Demings (D)
46%
Other
–
Undecided
5%
Kurt Jetta (D)
Kurt Jetta (D)
Poll source
Kurt Jetta (D)
Date(s) administered
August 12–14, 2022
Sample size
996 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Marco Rubio (R)
46%
Val Demings (D)
39%
Other
–
Undecided
14%
610 (LV)
610 (LV)
Poll source
610 (LV)
Date(s) administered
± 4 %
Sample size
52%
Margin of error
41%
Marco Rubio (R)
–
Val Demings (D)
7%
University of North Florida
University of North Florida
Poll source
University of North Florida
Date(s) administered
August 8–12, 2022
Sample size
1,624 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Marco Rubio (R)
44%
Val Demings (D)
48%
Other
7%
Undecided
2%
Change Research (D)
Change Research (D)
Poll source
Change Research (D)
Date(s) administered
August 2–5, 2022
Sample size
1,031 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Marco Rubio (R)
46%
Val Demings (D)
46%
Other
–
Undecided
7%
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)
Poll source
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)
Date(s) administered
July 26–31, 2022
Sample size
2,244 (LV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Marco Rubio (R)
45%
Val Demings (D)
45%
Other
–
Undecided
10%
Kurt Jetta (D)
Kurt Jetta (D)
Poll source
Kurt Jetta (D)
Date(s) administered
July 9, 2022
Sample size
906 (A)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Marco Rubio (R)
46%
Val Demings (D)
38%
Other
–
Undecided
16%
732 (RV)
732 (RV)
Poll source
732 (RV)
Date(s) administered
± 3 %
Sample size
45%
Margin of error
40%
Marco Rubio (R)
–
Val Demings (D)
16%
428 (LV)
428 (LV)
Poll source
428 (LV)
Date(s) administered
± 4 %
Sample size
50%
Margin of error
42%
Marco Rubio (R)
–
Val Demings (D)
8%
Public Policy Polling (D)
Public Policy Polling (D)
Poll source
Public Policy Polling (D)
Date(s) administered
May 26–27, 2022
Sample size
655 (V)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Marco Rubio (R)
47%
Val Demings (D)
41%
Other
–
Undecided
12%
Phillips Academy
Phillips Academy
Poll source
Phillips Academy
Date(s) administered
May 7–9, 2022
Sample size
543 (RV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Marco Rubio (R)
34%
Val Demings (D)
36%
Other
–
Undecided
30%
Moore Information Group (R)
Moore Information Group (R)
Poll source
Moore Information Group (R)
Date(s) administered
March 14–19, 2022
Sample size
600 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Marco Rubio (R)
47%
Val Demings (D)
32%
Other
8%
Undecided
12%
Saint Leo University
Saint Leo University
Poll source
Saint Leo University
Date(s) administered
February 28 – March 12, 2022
Sample size
500 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Marco Rubio (R)
45%
Val Demings (D)
27%
Other
–
Undecided
28%
Kurt Jetta (D)
Kurt Jetta (D)
Poll source
Kurt Jetta (D)
Date(s) administered
March 4, 2022
Sample size
1,098 (A)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Marco Rubio (R)
45%
Val Demings (D)
26%
Other
–
Undecided
29%
893 (RV)
893 (RV)
Poll source
893 (RV)
Date(s) administered
± 3 %
Sample size
45%
Margin of error
27%
Marco Rubio (R)
–
Val Demings (D)
28%
446 (LV)
446 (LV)
Poll source
446 (LV)
Date(s) administered
± 4 %
Sample size
49%
Margin of error
35%
Marco Rubio (R)
–
Val Demings (D)
16%
University of North Florida
University of North Florida
Poll source
University of North Florida
Date(s) administered
February 7–20, 2022
Sample size
685 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Marco Rubio (R)
46%
Val Demings (D)
34%
Other
–
Undecided
20%
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy
Poll source
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy
Date(s) administered
February 7–10, 2022
Sample size
625 (RV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Marco Rubio (R)
49%
Val Demings (D)
42%
Other
–
Undecided
9%
Suffolk University
Suffolk University
Poll source
Suffolk University
Date(s) administered
January 26–29, 2022
Sample size
500 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Marco Rubio (R)
49%
Val Demings (D)
41%
Other
0%
Undecided
10%
St. Pete Polls
St. Pete Polls
Poll source
St. Pete Polls
Date(s) administered
November 18–19, 2021
Sample size
2,896 (LV)
Margin of error
± 1 %
Marco Rubio (R)
51%
Val Demings (D)
44%
Other
–
Undecided
5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s) administered
November 9, 2021
Sample size
867 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Marco Rubio (R)
45%
Val Demings (D)
33%
Other
3%
Undecided
12%
842 (LV)
842 (LV)
Poll source
842 (LV)
Date(s) administered
± 3 %
Sample size
48%
Margin of error
36%
Marco Rubio (R)
3%
Val Demings (D)
10%
Saint Leo University
Saint Leo University
Poll source
Saint Leo University
Date(s) administered
October 17–23, 2021
Sample size
500 (A)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Marco Rubio (R)
47%
Val Demings (D)
29%
Other
–
Undecided
25%
VCreek/AMG (R)
VCreek/AMG (R)
Poll source
VCreek/AMG (R)
Date(s) administered
September 23–27, 2021
Sample size
405 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Marco Rubio (R)
42%
Val Demings (D)
38%
Other
5%
Undecided
15%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s) administered
August 20–24, 2021
Sample size
1,000 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Marco Rubio (R)
46%
Val Demings (D)
34%
Other
3%
Undecided
11%
977 (LV)
977 (LV)
Poll source
977 (LV)
Date(s) administered
± 3 %
Sample size
48%
Margin of error
37%
Marco Rubio (R)
3%
Val Demings (D)
10%
Political Matrix/Listener Group (R)
Political Matrix/Listener Group (R)
Poll source
Political Matrix/Listener Group (R)
Date(s) administered
August 14–18, 2021
Sample size
1,000 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Marco Rubio (R)
55%
Val Demings (D)
45%
Other
–
Undecided
–
St. Pete Polls
St. Pete Polls
Poll source
St. Pete Polls
Date(s) administered
August 16–17, 2021
Sample size
2,068 (RV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Marco Rubio (R)
48%
Val Demings (D)
46%
Other
–
Undecided
6%
Change Research (D)
Change Research (D)
Poll source
Change Research (D)
Date(s) administered
August 14–17, 2021
Sample size
1,585 (LV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Marco Rubio (R)
47%
Val Demings (D)
44%
Other
–
Undecided
9%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)
Poll source
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)
Date(s) administered
August 4–10, 2021
Sample size
700 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Marco Rubio (R)
50%
Val Demings (D)
39%
Other
1%
Undecided
9%
Political Matrix/Listener Group (R)
Political Matrix/Listener Group (R)
Poll source
Political Matrix/Listener Group (R)
Date(s) administered
June 27, 2021
Sample size
681 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Marco Rubio (R)
60%
Val Demings (D)
40%
Other
–
Undecided
–
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Marco Rubio (R)
Val Demings (D)
Other
Undecided
Research Co.
November 4–6, 2022
450 (LV)
± 4 %
52%
42%
2%
4%
Data for Progress (D)
November 2–6, 2022
1,436 (LV)
± 3 %
55%
43%
2%
–
Amber Integrated (R)
November 1–2, 2022
600 (LV)
± 4 %
49%
40%
4%
7%
Civiqs
October 29 – November 2, 2022
772 (LV)
± 3 %
52%
45%
2%
1%
InsiderAdvantage (R)
November 1, 2022
550 (LV)
± 4 %
51%
45%
1%
3%
Siena College
October 30 – November 1, 2022
659 (LV)
± 4 %
51%
43%
2%
4%
Victory Insights
October 30 – November 1, 2022
500 (LV)
± 4 %
50%
46%
–
5%
Florida State University/YouGov
October 20–31, 2022
1,117 (RV)
–
51%
44%
–
–
University of North Florida
October 17–24, 2022
622 (LV)
± 4 %
54%
43%
<1%
3%
Data for Progress (D)
October 19–23, 2022
1,251 (LV)
± 3 %
51%
44%
2%
2%
Florida Atlantic University
October 12–16, 2022
719 (LV)
± 3 %
48%
42%
3%
7%
RMG Research (R)
October 10–13, 2022
685 (LV)
± 3 %
50%
45%
–
5%
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy
September 26–28, 2022
800 (LV)
± 3 %
47%
41%
2%
10%
Siena College
September 18–25, 2022
669 (LV)
± 4 %
48%
41%
2%
9%
Civiqs
September 17–20, 2022
617 (LV)
± 4 %
49%
47%
3%
2%
Suffolk University
September 15–18, 2022
500 (LV)
± 4 %
45%
41%
4%
9%
Sachs Media
September 10, 2022
600 (LV)
–
49%
46%
–
5%
Kurt Jetta (D)
September 9–10, 2022
999 (RV)
± 3 %
48%
40%
–
12%
563 (LV)
50%
45%
–
5%
Echelon Insights
August 31 – September 7, 2022
815 (RV)
± 4 %
50%
41%
–
9%
InsiderAdvantage (R)
September 5–6, 2022
550 (LV)
± 4 %
46%
44%
–
10%
Susquehanna Polling and Research (R)
August 29 – September 4, 2022
500 (LV)
± 4 %
47%
44%
–
9%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
August 24–31, 2022
500 (LV)
± 4 %
49%
47%
–
4%
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)
August 25–30, 2022
3,017 (LV)
± 1 %
46%
45%
–
9%
Impact Research (D)
August 12–18, 2022
800 (LV)
± 3 %
49%
46%
–
5%
Kurt Jetta (D)
August 12–14, 2022
996 (RV)
± 3 %
46%
39%
–
14%
610 (LV)
± 4 %
52%
41%
–
7%
University of North Florida
August 8–12, 2022
1,624 (RV)
± 3 %
44%
48%
7%
2%
Change Research (D)
August 2–5, 2022
1,031 (LV)
± 3 %
46%
46%
–
7%
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)
July 26–31, 2022
2,244 (LV)
± 2 %
45%
45%
–
10%
Kurt Jetta (D)
July 9, 2022
906 (A)
± 3 %
46%
38%
–
16%
732 (RV)
± 3 %
45%
40%
–
16%
428 (LV)
± 4 %
50%
42%
–
8%
Public Policy Polling (D)
May 26–27, 2022
655 (V)
± 3 %
47%
41%
–
12%
Phillips Academy
May 7–9, 2022
543 (RV)
± 4 %
34%
36%
–
30%
Moore Information Group (R)
March 14–19, 2022
600 (LV)
± 4 %
47%
32%
8%
12%
Saint Leo University
February 28 – March 12, 2022
500 (LV)
± 4 %
45%
27%
–
28%
Kurt Jetta (D)
March 4, 2022
1,098 (A)
± 3 %
45%
26%
–
29%
893 (RV)
± 3 %
45%
27%
–
28%
446 (LV)
± 4 %
49%
35%
–
16%
University of North Florida
February 7–20, 2022
685 (RV)
± 3 %
46%
34%
–
20%
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy
February 7–10, 2022
625 (RV)
± 4 %
49%
42%
–
9%
Suffolk University
January 26–29, 2022
500 (LV)
± 4 %
49%
41%
0%
10%
St. Pete Polls
November 18–19, 2021
2,896 (LV)
± 1 %
51%
44%
–
5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
November 9, 2021
867 (RV)
± 3 %
45%
33%
3%
12%
842 (LV)
± 3 %
48%
36%
3%
10%
Saint Leo University
October 17–23, 2021
500 (A)
± 4 %
47%
29%
–
25%
VCreek/AMG (R)
September 23–27, 2021
405 (LV)
± 4 %
42%
38%
5%
15%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
August 20–24, 2021
1,000 (RV)
± 3 %
46%
34%
3%
11%

References

  1. Key: A – all adults RV – registered voters LV – likely voters V – unclear
  2. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  3. "Some other candidate" with 2%
  4. Misigoy (L) with 1%; "Another candidate" with 1%
  5. Misigoy (L) with 3%; "Other" with 1%
  6. "Someone else" with 2%
  7. "Another candidate" with 1%
  8. "Not going to vote" with 2%
  9. "Refused" with <1%
  10. Misigoy (L) with 1%; "Another candidate" with 1%
  11. "Someone else" with 3%
  12. "Not going to vote" with 2%
  13. "Someone else" with 3%
  14. Misigoy (L) with 1%; Grant (I) with 1%; Nguyen (I) with 1%; "Refused" with 1%
  15. Barberena with 5%, "None" with 3%
  16. Poll conducted for Tripp Scott, a law firm associated with the Florida Republican Party.
  17. This poll was sponsored by Center Street PAC, which opposes Rubio.
  18. This poll was sponsored by Progress Florida and Florida Watch.
  19. This poll was sponsored by the Democratic Governors Association.
  20. This poll was sponsored by EMILY's List.
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Source: —
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