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2022 United States Senate election in Arizona

Updated: Wikipedia source

2022 United States Senate election in Arizona

The 2022 United States Senate election in Arizona was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Arizona. The seat was previously held by Republican John McCain, who won his final term in 2016 and died from glioblastoma on August 25, 2018. Governor Doug Ducey appointed former U.S. Senator Jon Kyl to fill the seat. Kyl resigned at the end of that year and Ducey replaced him with Martha McSally, who then lost to Democrat Mark Kelly in 2020. Primaries in Arizona took place on August 2, 2022. Kelly won renomination without opposition, while venture capitalist Blake Masters won the Republican nomination against a large field of candidates. Although Arizona typically leans Republican, Kelly led Masters by low single digits in aggregate polling. Kelly held a significant fundraising advantage until many Republican-aligned groups began spending to assist Masters in the final weeks of the campaign. On November 1, Libertarian nominee Marc Victor dropped out of the race and endorsed Masters. Kelly won re-election, defeating Masters by a comfortable margin of about 5 points. This was the first time Democrats won a full term to this seat since 1962. The 2022 race was competitive and seen as crucial to determining party control of the U.S. Senate; with Kelly's victory in Arizona and a Democratic victory in Nevada, in addition to a Democratic gain in Pennsylvania, it was projected on November 12 that the Democratic caucus would retain control of the Senate in the 118th United States Congress. Masters conceded the race to Kelly on November 15, 2022.

Infobox

Nominee
Mark Kelly
Party
Democratic
Popular vote
1,322,027
Percentage
51.39%

Tables

Democratic primary results[24][25] · Democratic primary › Results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
589,400
Candidate
100.0%
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Democratic
Mark Kelly (incumbent)
589,400
100.0%
Total votes
589,400
100.0%
· Republican primary › Polling
Real Clear Politics
Real Clear Politics
Source of pollaggregation
Real Clear Politics
Datesadministered
July 27 – August 1, 2022
Datesupdated
August 2, 2022
MarkBrnovich
14.5%
JimLamon
22.0%
BlakeMasters
37.0%
MichaelMcGuire
8.5%
JustinOlson
3.3%
Undecided
17.7%
Margin
Masters +15.0
Source of pollaggregation
Datesadministered
Datesupdated
MarkBrnovich
JimLamon
BlakeMasters
MichaelMcGuire
JustinOlson
Undecided
Margin
Real Clear Politics
July 27 – August 1, 2022
August 2, 2022
14.5%
22.0%
37.0%
8.5%
3.3%
17.7%
Masters +15.0
· Republican primary › Polling
The Trafalgar Group (R)
The Trafalgar Group (R)
Poll source
The Trafalgar Group (R)
Date(s)administered
July 30 – August 1, 2022
Samplesize
1,064 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.9%
MarkBrnovich
16%
JimLamon
24%
BlakeMasters
39%
MichaelMcGuire
7%
JustinOlson
4%
Other
–
Undecided
9%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
July 28–30, 2022
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.9%
MarkBrnovich
14%
JimLamon
22%
BlakeMasters
40%
MichaelMcGuire
12%
JustinOlson
3%
Other
–
Undecided
9%
Rasmussen Reports
Rasmussen Reports
Poll source
Rasmussen Reports
Date(s)administered
July 27–28, 2022
Samplesize
710 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
MarkBrnovich
16%
JimLamon
19%
BlakeMasters
31%
MichaelMcGuire
10%
JustinOlson
3%
Other
6%
Undecided
15%
OH Predictive Insights
OH Predictive Insights
Poll source
OH Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
July 27, 2022
Samplesize
502 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
MarkBrnovich
12%
JimLamon
21%
BlakeMasters
36%
MichaelMcGuire
5%
JustinOlson
3%
Other
–
Undecided
22%
Battleground Connect (R)
Battleground Connect (R)
Poll source
Battleground Connect (R)
Date(s)administered
July 26–27, 2022
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.7%
MarkBrnovich
16%
JimLamon
30%
BlakeMasters
28%
MichaelMcGuire
8%
JustinOlson
6%
Other
–
Undecided
12%
The Trafalgar Group (R)
The Trafalgar Group (R)
Poll source
The Trafalgar Group (R)
Date(s)administered
July 25–27, 2022
Samplesize
1,071 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.9%
MarkBrnovich
15%
JimLamon
27%
BlakeMasters
35%
MichaelMcGuire
8%
JustinOlson
6%
Other
–
Undecided
10%
Battleground Connect (R)
Battleground Connect (R)
Poll source
Battleground Connect (R)
Date(s)administered
July 17–18, 2022
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.7%
MarkBrnovich
16%
JimLamon
33%
BlakeMasters
28%
MichaelMcGuire
7%
JustinOlson
2%
Other
–
Undecided
14%
Cygnal (R)
Cygnal (R)
Poll source
Cygnal (R)
Date(s)administered
July 12–13, 2022
Samplesize
419 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.8%
MarkBrnovich
18%
JimLamon
20%
BlakeMasters
30%
MichaelMcGuire
5%
JustinOlson
2%
Other
–
Undecided
25%
Battleground Connect (R)
Battleground Connect (R)
Poll source
Battleground Connect (R)
Date(s)administered
July 7–9, 2022
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.7%
MarkBrnovich
16%
JimLamon
29%
BlakeMasters
27%
MichaelMcGuire
4%
JustinOlson
–
Other
–
Undecided
24%
HighGround Public Affairs (R)
HighGround Public Affairs (R)
Poll source
HighGround Public Affairs (R)
Date(s)administered
July 2–7, 2022
Samplesize
400 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.9%
MarkBrnovich
13%
JimLamon
14%
BlakeMasters
23%
MichaelMcGuire
5%
JustinOlson
2%
Other
–
Undecided
44%
Alloy Analytics (R)/J.L. Partners
Alloy Analytics (R)/J.L. Partners
Poll source
Alloy Analytics (R)/J.L. Partners
Date(s)administered
July 5–6, 2022
Samplesize
500 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
MarkBrnovich
10%
JimLamon
14%
BlakeMasters
26%
MichaelMcGuire
5%
JustinOlson
0%
Other
–
Undecided
45%
OH Predictive Insights
OH Predictive Insights
Poll source
OH Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
June 30 – July 2, 2022
Samplesize
515 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.3%
MarkBrnovich
14%
JimLamon
18%
BlakeMasters
25%
MichaelMcGuire
6%
JustinOlson
2%
Other
–
Undecided
35%
Public Policy Polling (D)
Public Policy Polling (D)
Poll source
Public Policy Polling (D)
Date(s)administered
June 28, 2022
Samplesize
595 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
MarkBrnovich
15%
JimLamon
10%
BlakeMasters
29%
MichaelMcGuire
5%
JustinOlson
–
Other
–
Undecided
41%
The Trafalgar Group (R)
The Trafalgar Group (R)
Poll source
The Trafalgar Group (R)
Date(s)administered
June 7–9, 2022
Samplesize
1,077 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.9%
MarkBrnovich
24%
JimLamon
17%
BlakeMasters
29%
MichaelMcGuire
4%
JustinOlson
4%
Other
–
Undecided
22%
Data Orbital (R)
Data Orbital (R)
Poll source
Data Orbital (R)
Date(s)administered
June 1–3, 2022
Samplesize
550 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.3%
MarkBrnovich
18%
JimLamon
20%
BlakeMasters
15%
MichaelMcGuire
–
JustinOlson
–
Other
12%
Undecided
36%
Fabrizio Lee (R)
Fabrizio Lee (R)
Poll source
Fabrizio Lee (R)
Date(s)administered
May 17–18, 2022
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
MarkBrnovich
18%
JimLamon
18%
BlakeMasters
22%
MichaelMcGuire
7%
JustinOlson
2%
Other
–
Undecided
34%
Cygnal (R)
Cygnal (R)
Poll source
Cygnal (R)
Date(s)administered
April 28–30, 2022
Samplesize
– (LV)
Marginof error
–
MarkBrnovich
19%
JimLamon
20%
BlakeMasters
19%
MichaelMcGuire
7%
JustinOlson
2%
Other
–
Undecided
33%
The Trafalgar Group (R)
The Trafalgar Group (R)
Poll source
The Trafalgar Group (R)
Date(s)administered
April 25–28, 2022
Samplesize
1,064 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
MarkBrnovich
24%
JimLamon
25%
BlakeMasters
19%
MichaelMcGuire
8%
JustinOlson
3%
Other
–
Undecided
21%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
Poll source
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
Date(s)administered
April 21–24, 2022
Samplesize
– (LV)
Marginof error
–
MarkBrnovich
22%
JimLamon
25%
BlakeMasters
16%
MichaelMcGuire
6%
JustinOlson
–
Other
–
Undecided
31%
OH Predictive Insights
OH Predictive Insights
Poll source
OH Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
April 4–5, 2022
Samplesize
500 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
MarkBrnovich
21%
JimLamon
16%
BlakeMasters
9%
MichaelMcGuire
6%
JustinOlson
3%
Other
–
Undecided
45%
Data Orbital (R)
Data Orbital (R)
Poll source
Data Orbital (R)
Date(s)administered
April 1–3, 2022
Samplesize
550 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.3%
MarkBrnovich
20%
JimLamon
26%
BlakeMasters
10%
MichaelMcGuire
7%
JustinOlson
4%
Other
–
Undecided
33%
HighGround Public Affairs (R)
HighGround Public Affairs (R)
Poll source
HighGround Public Affairs (R)
Date(s)administered
March 26–27, 2022
Samplesize
264 (LV)
Marginof error
± 6.0%
MarkBrnovich
11%
JimLamon
10%
BlakeMasters
6%
MichaelMcGuire
4%
JustinOlson
–
Other
8%
Undecided
61%
Fabrizio Lee (R)
Fabrizio Lee (R)
Poll source
Fabrizio Lee (R)
Date(s)administered
March 13–14, 2022
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
MarkBrnovich
14%
JimLamon
14%
BlakeMasters
16%
MichaelMcGuire
3%
JustinOlson
1%
Other
–
Undecided
52%
Alloy Analytics (R)/J.L. Partners
Alloy Analytics (R)/J.L. Partners
Poll source
Alloy Analytics (R)/J.L. Partners
Date(s)administered
March 9–12, 2022
Samplesize
433 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.7%
MarkBrnovich
20%
JimLamon
15%
BlakeMasters
15%
MichaelMcGuire
3%
JustinOlson
1%
Other
–
Undecided
45%
Data Orbital (R)
Data Orbital (R)
Poll source
Data Orbital (R)
Date(s)administered
March 2022
Samplesize
– (LV)
Marginof error
–
MarkBrnovich
23%
JimLamon
17%
BlakeMasters
14%
MichaelMcGuire
4%
JustinOlson
5%
Other
–
Undecided
37%
Data Orbital (R)
Data Orbital (R)
Poll source
Data Orbital (R)
Date(s)administered
February 11–13, 2022
Samplesize
300 (LV)
Marginof error
± 5.7%
MarkBrnovich
22%
JimLamon
17%
BlakeMasters
15%
MichaelMcGuire
5%
JustinOlson
5%
Other
–
Undecided
37%
co/efficient (R)
co/efficient (R)
Poll source
co/efficient (R)
Date(s)administered
February 6–8, 2022
Samplesize
755 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.6%
MarkBrnovich
17%
JimLamon
13%
BlakeMasters
12%
MichaelMcGuire
3%
JustinOlson
1%
Other
11%
Undecided
44%
OH Predictive Insights
OH Predictive Insights
Poll source
OH Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
January 11–13, 2022
Samplesize
302 (RV)
Marginof error
± 5.6%
MarkBrnovich
25%
JimLamon
7%
BlakeMasters
6%
MichaelMcGuire
11%
JustinOlson
4%
Other
–
Undecided
47%
OH Predictive Insights
OH Predictive Insights
Poll source
OH Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
November 1–8, 2021
Samplesize
252 (RV)
Marginof error
± 6.2%
MarkBrnovich
27%
JimLamon
5%
BlakeMasters
9%
MichaelMcGuire
12%
JustinOlson
2%
Other
–
Undecided
46%
Fabrizio Lee (R)
Fabrizio Lee (R)
Poll source
Fabrizio Lee (R)
Date(s)administered
October 26–28, 2021
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
MarkBrnovich
26%
JimLamon
4%
BlakeMasters
14%
MichaelMcGuire
2%
JustinOlson
2%
Other
<1%
Undecided
52%
OnMessage Inc. (R)
OnMessage Inc. (R)
Poll source
OnMessage Inc. (R)
Date(s)administered
September 9–12, 2021
Samplesize
500 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
MarkBrnovich
41%
JimLamon
5%
BlakeMasters
7%
MichaelMcGuire
4%
JustinOlson
–
Other
–
Undecided
43%
OH Predictive Insights
OH Predictive Insights
Poll source
OH Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
September 7–12, 2021
Samplesize
311 (RV)
Marginof error
± 5.6%
MarkBrnovich
27%
JimLamon
3%
BlakeMasters
6%
MichaelMcGuire
14%
JustinOlson
–
Other
–
Undecided
51%
Fabrizio Lee (R)
Fabrizio Lee (R)
Poll source
Fabrizio Lee (R)
Date(s)administered
August 4–8, 2021
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
MarkBrnovich
29%
JimLamon
7%
BlakeMasters
5%
MichaelMcGuire
3%
JustinOlson
–
Other
<1%
Undecided
56%
HighGround Public Affairs (R)
HighGround Public Affairs (R)
Poll source
HighGround Public Affairs (R)
Date(s)administered
May 3–5, 2021
Samplesize
400 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.9%
MarkBrnovich
28%
JimLamon
–
BlakeMasters
1%
MichaelMcGuire
1%
JustinOlson
–
Other
–
Undecided
61%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
MarkBrnovich
JimLamon
BlakeMasters
MichaelMcGuire
JustinOlson
Other
Undecided
The Trafalgar Group (R)
July 30 – August 1, 2022
1,064 (LV)
± 2.9%
16%
24%
39%
7%
4%
–
9%
Emerson College
July 28–30, 2022
600 (LV)
± 3.9%
14%
22%
40%
12%
3%
–
9%
Rasmussen Reports
July 27–28, 2022
710 (LV)
± 4.0%
16%
19%
31%
10%
3%
6%
15%
OH Predictive Insights
July 27, 2022
502 (LV)
± 4.4%
12%
21%
36%
5%
3%
–
22%
Battleground Connect (R)
July 26–27, 2022
800 (LV)
± 3.7%
16%
30%
28%
8%
6%
–
12%
The Trafalgar Group (R)
July 25–27, 2022
1,071 (LV)
± 2.9%
15%
27%
35%
8%
6%
–
10%
Battleground Connect (R)
July 17–18, 2022
800 (LV)
± 3.7%
16%
33%
28%
7%
2%
–
14%
Cygnal (R)
July 12–13, 2022
419 (LV)
± 4.8%
18%
20%
30%
5%
2%
–
25%
Battleground Connect (R)
July 7–9, 2022
800 (LV)
± 3.7%
16%
29%
27%
4%
–
–
24%
HighGround Public Affairs (R)
July 2–7, 2022
400 (LV)
± 4.9%
13%
14%
23%
5%
2%
–
44%
Alloy Analytics (R)/J.L. Partners
July 5–6, 2022
500 (LV)
± 4.4%
10%
14%
26%
5%
0%
–
45%
OH Predictive Insights
June 30 – July 2, 2022
515 (LV)
± 4.3%
14%
18%
25%
6%
2%
–
35%
Public Policy Polling (D)
June 28, 2022
595 (LV)
± 4.0%
15%
10%
29%
5%
–
–
41%
The Trafalgar Group (R)
June 7–9, 2022
1,077 (LV)
± 2.9%
24%
17%
29%
4%
4%
–
22%
Data Orbital (R)
June 1–3, 2022
550 (LV)
± 4.3%
18%
20%
15%
–
–
12%
36%
Fabrizio Lee (R)
May 17–18, 2022
800 (LV)
± 3.5%
18%
18%
22%
7%
2%
–
34%
Cygnal (R)
April 28–30, 2022
– (LV)
–
19%
20%
19%
7%
2%
–
33%
The Trafalgar Group (R)
April 25–28, 2022
1,064 (LV)
± 3.0%
24%
25%
19%
8%
3%
–
21%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
April 21–24, 2022
– (LV)
–
22%
25%
16%
6%
–
–
31%
OH Predictive Insights
April 4–5, 2022
500 (LV)
± 4.4%
21%
16%
9%
6%
3%
–
45%
Data Orbital (R)
April 1–3, 2022
550 (LV)
± 4.3%
20%
26%
10%
7%
4%
–
33%
HighGround Public Affairs (R)
March 26–27, 2022
264 (LV)
± 6.0%
11%
10%
6%
4%
–
8%
61%
Fabrizio Lee (R)
March 13–14, 2022
800 (LV)
± 3.5%
14%
14%
16%
3%
1%
–
52%
Alloy Analytics (R)/J.L. Partners
March 9–12, 2022
433 (LV)
± 4.7%
20%
15%
15%
3%
1%
–
45%
Data Orbital (R)
March 2022
– (LV)
–
23%
17%
14%
4%
5%
–
37%
Data Orbital (R)
February 11–13, 2022
300 (LV)
± 5.7%
22%
17%
15%
5%
5%
–
37%
co/efficient (R)
February 6–8, 2022
755 (LV)
± 3.6%
17%
13%
12%
3%
1%
11%
44%
OH Predictive Insights
January 11–13, 2022
302 (RV)
± 5.6%
25%
7%
6%
11%
4%
–
47%
OH Predictive Insights
November 1–8, 2021
252 (RV)
± 6.2%
27%
5%
9%
12%
2%
–
46%
Fabrizio Lee (R)
October 26–28, 2021
800 (LV)
± 3.5%
26%
4%
14%
2%
2%
<1%
52%
OnMessage Inc. (R)
September 9–12, 2021
500 (LV)
± 4.4%
41%
5%
7%
4%
–
–
43%
OH Predictive Insights
September 7–12, 2021
311 (RV)
± 5.6%
27%
3%
6%
14%
–
–
51%
Fabrizio Lee (R)
August 4–8, 2021
800 (LV)
± 3.5%
29%
7%
5%
3%
–
<1%
56%
HighGround Public Affairs (R)
May 3–5, 2021
400 (LV)
± 4.9%
28%
–
1%
1%
–
–
61%
co/efficient (R)
co/efficient (R)
Poll source
co/efficient (R)
Date(s)administered
February 6–8, 2022
Samplesize
755 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.6%
KirkAdams
–
AndyBiggs
–
MarkBrnovich
14%
DougDucey
13%
JimLamon
11%
BlakeMasters
11%
MichaelMcGuire
3%
JustinOlson
1%
Other
9%
Undecided
38%
OH Predictive Insights
OH Predictive Insights
Poll source
OH Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
January 11–13, 2022
Samplesize
302 (RV)
Marginof error
± 5.6%
KirkAdams
–
AndyBiggs
–
MarkBrnovich
13%
DougDucey
35%
JimLamon
4%
BlakeMasters
4%
MichaelMcGuire
9%
JustinOlson
2%
Other
–
Undecided
34%
WPA Intelligence (R)
WPA Intelligence (R)
Poll source
WPA Intelligence (R)
Date(s)administered
April 5–6, 2021
Samplesize
505 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
KirkAdams
–
AndyBiggs
46%
MarkBrnovich
–
DougDucey
45%
JimLamon
–
BlakeMasters
–
MichaelMcGuire
–
JustinOlson
–
Other
–
Undecided
9%
OH Predictive Insights
OH Predictive Insights
Poll source
OH Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
March 8–12, 2021
Samplesize
690 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.7%
KirkAdams
2%
AndyBiggs
27%
MarkBrnovich
–
DougDucey
–
JimLamon
–
BlakeMasters
2%
MichaelMcGuire
3%
JustinOlson
–
Other
–
Undecided
67%
6%
6%
Poll source
6%
Date(s)administered
26%
Samplesize
–
Marginof error
–
KirkAdams
–
AndyBiggs
2%
MarkBrnovich
10%
DougDucey
–
JimLamon
–
BlakeMasters
56%
Data Orbital (R)
Data Orbital (R)
Poll source
Data Orbital (R)
Date(s)administered
February 17–19, 2021
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
KirkAdams
2%
AndyBiggs
36%
MarkBrnovich
–
DougDucey
–
JimLamon
1%
BlakeMasters
1%
MichaelMcGuire
3%
JustinOlson
–
Other
4%
Undecided
53%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
KirkAdams
AndyBiggs
MarkBrnovich
DougDucey
JimLamon
BlakeMasters
MichaelMcGuire
JustinOlson
Other
Undecided
co/efficient (R)
February 6–8, 2022
755 (LV)
± 3.6%
–
–
14%
13%
11%
11%
3%
1%
9%
38%
OH Predictive Insights
January 11–13, 2022
302 (RV)
± 5.6%
–
–
13%
35%
4%
4%
9%
2%
–
34%
WPA Intelligence (R)
April 5–6, 2021
505 (LV)
± 4.4%
–
46%
–
45%
–
–
–
–
–
9%
OH Predictive Insights
March 8–12, 2021
690 (RV)
± 3.7%
2%
27%
–
–
–
2%
3%
–
–
67%
6%
26%
–
–
–
2%
10%
–
–
56%
Data Orbital (R)
February 17–19, 2021
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
2%
36%
–
–
1%
1%
3%
–
4%
53%
Republican primary results[24][25] · Republican primary › Results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
813,068
Candidate
100.0%
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Republican
Blake Masters
327,198
40.24%
Republican
Jim Lamon
228,467
28.10%
Republican
Mark Brnovich
144,092
17.72%
Republican
Michael McGuire
71,100
8.75%
Republican
Justin Olson
41,985
5.16%
Write-in
226
0.03%
Total votes
813,068
100.0%
Libertarian primary results[24][102][25] · Libertarian primary › Results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
3,065
Candidate
100.0%
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Libertarian
Marc Victor
3,065
100.0%
Total votes
3,065
100.0%
· General election › Predictions
Tossup
Tossup
Source
The Cook Political Report
Ranking
Tossup
As of
October 27, 2022
Tilt D
Tilt D
Source
Inside Elections
Ranking
Tilt D
As of
October 21, 2022
Lean D
Lean D
Source
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Ranking
Lean D
As of
October 19, 2022
Tossup
Tossup
Source
Politico
Ranking
Tossup
As of
October 27, 2022
Tossup
Tossup
Source
RCP
Ranking
Tossup
As of
October 25, 2022
Tossup
Tossup
Source
Fox News
Ranking
Tossup
As of
October 25, 2022
Lean D
Lean D
Source
DDHQ
Ranking
Lean D
As of
October 25, 2022
Lean D
Lean D
Source
FiveThirtyEight
Ranking
Lean D
As of
October 25, 2022
Lean D
Lean D
Source
The Economist
Ranking
Lean D
As of
November 1, 2022
Source
Ranking
As of
The Cook Political Report
Tossup
October 27, 2022
Inside Elections
Tilt D
October 21, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Lean D
October 19, 2022
Politico
Tossup
October 27, 2022
RCP
Tossup
October 25, 2022
Fox News
Tossup
October 25, 2022
DDHQ
Lean D
October 25, 2022
FiveThirtyEight
Lean D
October 25, 2022
The Economist
Lean D
November 1, 2022
2022 United States Senate general election in Arizona debates · General election › Debates
P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn
P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn
No.
P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn
Mark Kelly
Mark Kelly
No.
Mark Kelly
Date
Blake Masters
Host
Marc Victor
1
1
No.
1
Date
October 6, 2022
Host
Arizona PBS
Moderator
Ted Simons
Democratic
P
Republican
P
Libertarian
P
No.
Date
Host
Moderator
Link
Democratic
Republican
Libertarian
P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn
Mark Kelly
Blake Masters
Marc Victor
1
October 6, 2022
Arizona PBS
Ted Simons
P
P
P
· General election › Polling
RealClearPolitics
RealClearPolitics
Source of pollaggregation
RealClearPolitics
Datesadministered
October 30 – November 7, 2022
Datesupdated
November 7, 2022
MarkKelly (D)
48.0%
BlakeMasters (R)
48.3%
Undecided
3.7%
Margin
Masters +0.3
FiveThirtyEight
FiveThirtyEight
Source of pollaggregation
FiveThirtyEight
Datesadministered
September 7, 2021 – November 7, 2022
Datesupdated
November 7, 2022
MarkKelly (D)
48.6%
BlakeMasters (R)
47.1%
Undecided
4.3%
Margin
Kelly +1.5
270ToWin
270ToWin
Source of pollaggregation
270ToWin
Datesadministered
November 3–7, 2022
Datesupdated
November 7, 2022
MarkKelly (D)
47.9%
BlakeMasters (R)
46.6%
Undecided
5.5%
Margin
Kelly +1.3
Average
Average
Source of pollaggregation
Average
Datesadministered
48.3%
Datesupdated
47.2%
MarkKelly (D)
4.5%
BlakeMasters (R)
Kelly +1.1
Source of pollaggregation
Datesadministered
Datesupdated
MarkKelly (D)
BlakeMasters (R)
Undecided
Margin
RealClearPolitics
October 30 – November 7, 2022
November 7, 2022
48.0%
48.3%
3.7%
Masters +0.3
FiveThirtyEight
September 7, 2021 – November 7, 2022
November 7, 2022
48.6%
47.1%
4.3%
Kelly +1.5
270ToWin
November 3–7, 2022
November 7, 2022
47.9%
46.6%
5.5%
Kelly +1.3
Average
48.3%
47.2%
4.5%
Kelly +1.1
· General election › Polling
The Trafalgar Group (R)
The Trafalgar Group (R)
Poll source
The Trafalgar Group (R)
Date(s)administered
November 5–7, 2022
Samplesize
1,094 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.9%
MarkKelly (D)
47%
BlakeMasters (R)
48%
MarcVictor (L)
1%
Other
–
Undecided
4%
Data Orbital (R)
Data Orbital (R)
Poll source
Data Orbital (R)
Date(s)administered
November 4–6, 2022
Samplesize
550 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.3%
MarkKelly (D)
48%
BlakeMasters (R)
47%
MarcVictor (L)
2%
Other
1%
Undecided
3%
Research Co.
Research Co.
Poll source
Research Co.
Date(s)administered
November 4–6, 2022
Samplesize
450 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.6%
MarkKelly (D)
49%
BlakeMasters (R)
46%
MarcVictor (L)
2%
Other
–
Undecided
3%
Data for Progress (D)
Data for Progress (D)
Poll source
Data for Progress (D)
Date(s)administered
November 2–6, 2022
Samplesize
1,359 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
MarkKelly (D)
49%
BlakeMasters (R)
50%
MarcVictor (L)
2%
Other
–
Undecided
–
Targoz Market Research
Targoz Market Research
Poll source
Targoz Market Research
Date(s)administered
November 2–6, 2022
Samplesize
560 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.1%
MarkKelly (D)
50%
BlakeMasters (R)
47%
MarcVictor (L)
2%
Other
–
Undecided
–
KAConsulting (R)
KAConsulting (R)
Poll source
KAConsulting (R)
Date(s)administered
November 2–3, 2022
Samplesize
501 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
MarkKelly (D)
47%
BlakeMasters (R)
46%
MarcVictor (L)
–
Other
1%
Undecided
6%
InsiderAdvantage (R)
InsiderAdvantage (R)
Poll source
InsiderAdvantage (R)
Date(s)administered
November 2, 2022
Samplesize
550 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.2%
MarkKelly (D)
48%
BlakeMasters (R)
48%
MarcVictor (L)
2%
Other
–
Undecided
2%
HighGround Inc.
HighGround Inc.
Poll source
HighGround Inc.
Date(s)administered
November 1–2, 2022
Samplesize
500 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
MarkKelly (D)
46%
BlakeMasters (R)
45%
MarcVictor (L)
–
Other
2%
Undecided
6%
Remington Research Group (R)
Remington Research Group (R)
Poll source
Remington Research Group (R)
Date(s)administered
November 1–2, 2022
Samplesize
1,075 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.9%
MarkKelly (D)
48%
BlakeMasters (R)
47%
MarcVictor (L)
2%
Other
–
Undecided
3%
Marist College
Marist College
Poll source
Marist College
Date(s)administered
October 31 – November 2, 2022
Samplesize
1,157 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.1%
MarkKelly (D)
49%
BlakeMasters (R)
45%
MarcVictor (L)
–
Other
1%
Undecided
8%
1,015 (LV)
1,015 (LV)
Poll source
1,015 (LV)
Date(s)administered
± 4.3%
Samplesize
50%
Marginof error
47%
MarkKelly (D)
–
BlakeMasters (R)
1%
MarcVictor (L)
2%
Big Data Poll (R)
Big Data Poll (R)
Poll source
Big Data Poll (R)
Date(s)administered
October 31 – November 2, 2022
Samplesize
1,051 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
MarkKelly (D)
48%
BlakeMasters (R)
49%
MarcVictor (L)
–
Other
–
Undecided
4%
Patriot Polling (R)
Patriot Polling (R)
Poll source
Patriot Polling (R)
Date(s)administered
October 30 – November 2, 2022
Samplesize
814 (RV)
Marginof error
–
MarkKelly (D)
49%
BlakeMasters (R)
48%
MarcVictor (L)
–
Other
–
Undecided
4%
Civiqs
Civiqs
Poll source
Civiqs
Date(s)administered
October 29 – November 2, 2022
Samplesize
852 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.2%
MarkKelly (D)
49%
BlakeMasters (R)
49%
MarcVictor (L)
–
Other
2%
Undecided
1%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
October 30 – November 1, 2022
Samplesize
1,000 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
MarkKelly (D)
47%
BlakeMasters (R)
48%
MarcVictor (L)
3%
Other
1%
Undecided
1%
48%
48%
Poll source
48%
Date(s)administered
48%
Samplesize
3%
Marginof error
1%
MarkKelly (D)
–
The Phillips Academy
The Phillips Academy
Poll source
The Phillips Academy
Date(s)administered
October 29–30, 2022
Samplesize
985 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
MarkKelly (D)
47%
BlakeMasters (R)
47%
MarcVictor (L)
2%
Other
–
Undecided
5%
Fox News
Fox News
Poll source
Fox News
Date(s)administered
October 26–30, 2022
Samplesize
1,003 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
MarkKelly (D)
47%
BlakeMasters (R)
45%
MarcVictor (L)
–
Other
4%
Undecided
5%
Wick Insights (R)
Wick Insights (R)
Poll source
Wick Insights (R)
Date(s)administered
October 26–30, 2022
Samplesize
1,122 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.2%
MarkKelly (D)
49%
BlakeMasters (R)
47%
MarcVictor (L)
–
Other
3%
Undecided
1%
Fabrizio, Lee and Associates (R)
Fabrizio, Lee and Associates (R)
Poll source
Fabrizio, Lee and Associates (R)
Date(s)administered
October 24–26, 2022
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
MarkKelly (D)
47%
BlakeMasters (R)
46%
MarcVictor (L)
3%
Other
–
Undecided
–
OH Predictive Insights
OH Predictive Insights
Poll source
OH Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
October 24–26, 2022
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
MarkKelly (D)
48%
BlakeMasters (R)
46%
MarcVictor (L)
3%
Other
–
Undecided
3%
Siena College/NYT
Siena College/NYT
Poll source
Siena College/NYT
Date(s)administered
October 24–26, 2022
Samplesize
604 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
MarkKelly (D)
51%
BlakeMasters (R)
45%
MarcVictor (L)
1%
Other
–
Undecided
3%
BSP Research/Shaw & Co.
BSP Research/Shaw & Co.
Poll source
BSP Research/Shaw & Co.
Date(s)administered
October 19–26, 2022
Samplesize
1,000 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
MarkKelly (D)
44%
BlakeMasters (R)
40%
MarcVictor (L)
–
Other
5%
Undecided
11%
InsiderAdvantage (R)
InsiderAdvantage (R)
Poll source
InsiderAdvantage (R)
Date(s)administered
October 24–25, 2022
Samplesize
550 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.2%
MarkKelly (D)
45%
BlakeMasters (R)
43%
MarcVictor (L)
6%
Other
–
Undecided
6%
co/efficient (R)
co/efficient (R)
Poll source
co/efficient (R)
Date(s)administered
October 20–21, 2022
Samplesize
1,111 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
MarkKelly (D)
47%
BlakeMasters (R)
45%
MarcVictor (L)
4%
Other
–
Undecided
4%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)
Poll source
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)
Date(s)administered
October 14–18, 2022
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
MarkKelly (D)
48%
BlakeMasters (R)
45%
MarcVictor (L)
2%
Other
<1%
Undecided
6%
The Trafalgar Group (R)
The Trafalgar Group (R)
Poll source
The Trafalgar Group (R)
Date(s)administered
October 16–17, 2022
Samplesize
1,078 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.9%
MarkKelly (D)
47%
BlakeMasters (R)
46%
MarcVictor (L)
3%
Other
–
Undecided
4%
Data for Progress (D)
Data for Progress (D)
Poll source
Data for Progress (D)
Date(s)administered
October 11–17, 2022
Samplesize
893 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
MarkKelly (D)
47%
BlakeMasters (R)
47%
MarcVictor (L)
3%
Other
–
Undecided
4%
Wick Insights (R)
Wick Insights (R)
Poll source
Wick Insights (R)
Date(s)administered
October 8–14, 2022
Samplesize
1,058 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
MarkKelly (D)
49%
BlakeMasters (R)
46%
MarcVictor (L)
–
Other
2%
Undecided
3%
HighGround Inc.
HighGround Inc.
Poll source
HighGround Inc.
Date(s)administered
October 12–13, 2022
Samplesize
500 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.3%
MarkKelly (D)
42%
BlakeMasters (R)
40%
MarcVictor (L)
5%
Other
3%
Undecided
10%
InsiderAdvantage (R)
InsiderAdvantage (R)
Poll source
InsiderAdvantage (R)
Date(s)administered
October 11, 2022
Samplesize
550 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.2%
MarkKelly (D)
46%
BlakeMasters (R)
42%
MarcVictor (L)
5%
Other
–
Undecided
7%
Kurt Jetta (D)
Kurt Jetta (D)
Poll source
Kurt Jetta (D)
Date(s)administered
October 9–10, 2022
Samplesize
894 (RV)
Marginof error
–
MarkKelly (D)
54%
BlakeMasters (R)
32%
MarcVictor (L)
–
Other
–
Undecided
15%
551 (LV)
551 (LV)
Poll source
551 (LV)
Date(s)administered
55%
Samplesize
38%
Marginof error
–
MarkKelly (D)
–
BlakeMasters (R)
7%
Ascend Action (R)
Ascend Action (R)
Poll source
Ascend Action (R)
Date(s)administered
October 8–10, 2022
Samplesize
954 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.2%
MarkKelly (D)
48%
BlakeMasters (R)
44%
MarcVictor (L)
–
Other
5%
Undecided
2%
OnMessage Inc. (R)
OnMessage Inc. (R)
Poll source
OnMessage Inc. (R)
Date(s)administered
October 8–10, 2022
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
MarkKelly (D)
46%
BlakeMasters (R)
43%
MarcVictor (L)
4%
Other
–
Undecided
7%
OH Predictive Insights
OH Predictive Insights
Poll source
OH Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
October 4–6, 2022
Samplesize
674 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.8%
MarkKelly (D)
46%
BlakeMasters (R)
33%
MarcVictor (L)
15%
Other
–
Undecided
7%
Big Data Poll (R)
Big Data Poll (R)
Poll source
Big Data Poll (R)
Date(s)administered
October 2–5, 2022
Samplesize
970 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
MarkKelly (D)
46%
BlakeMasters (R)
45%
MarcVictor (L)
2%
Other
–
Undecided
7%
YouGov/CBS News
YouGov/CBS News
Poll source
YouGov/CBS News
Date(s)administered
September 30 – October 4, 2022
Samplesize
1,164 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.8%
MarkKelly (D)
51%
BlakeMasters (R)
48%
MarcVictor (L)
–
Other
–
Undecided
1%
CNN/SSRS
CNN/SSRS
Poll source
CNN/SSRS
Date(s)administered
September 26 – October 2, 2022
Samplesize
900 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
MarkKelly (D)
52%
BlakeMasters (R)
42%
MarcVictor (L)
–
Other
7%
Undecided
–
795 (LV)
795 (LV)
Poll source
795 (LV)
Date(s)administered
± 4.6%
Samplesize
51%
Marginof error
45%
MarkKelly (D)
–
BlakeMasters (R)
4%
MarcVictor (L)
–
Fox News
Fox News
Poll source
Fox News
Date(s)administered
September 22–26, 2022
Samplesize
1,008 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
MarkKelly (D)
46%
BlakeMasters (R)
40%
MarcVictor (L)
–
Other
6%
Undecided
9%
Suffolk University
Suffolk University
Poll source
Suffolk University
Date(s)administered
September 21–25, 2022
Samplesize
500 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
MarkKelly (D)
49%
BlakeMasters (R)
42%
MarcVictor (L)
2%
Other
–
Undecided
7%
Marist College
Marist College
Poll source
Marist College
Date(s)administered
September 19–22, 2022
Samplesize
1,260 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.6%
MarkKelly (D)
51%
BlakeMasters (R)
41%
MarcVictor (L)
–
Other
–
Undecided
8%
1,076 (LV)
1,076 (LV)
Poll source
1,076 (LV)
Date(s)administered
± 3.9%
Samplesize
50%
Marginof error
45%
MarkKelly (D)
–
BlakeMasters (R)
–
MarcVictor (L)
5%
Data for Progress (D)
Data for Progress (D)
Poll source
Data for Progress (D)
Date(s)administered
September 15–19, 2022
Samplesize
768 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
MarkKelly (D)
48%
BlakeMasters (R)
47%
MarcVictor (L)
2%
Other
–
Undecided
3%
The Trafalgar Group (R)
The Trafalgar Group (R)
Poll source
The Trafalgar Group (R)
Date(s)administered
September 14–17, 2022
Samplesize
1080 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.9%
MarkKelly (D)
47%
BlakeMasters (R)
45%
MarcVictor (L)
3%
Other
–
Undecided
5%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
Poll source
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
Date(s)administered
September 8–15, 2022
Samplesize
500 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
MarkKelly (D)
50%
BlakeMasters (R)
42%
MarcVictor (L)
4%
Other
–
Undecided
4%
52%
52%
Poll source
52%
Date(s)administered
45%
Samplesize
–
Marginof error
–
MarkKelly (D)
3%
OnMessage Inc. (R)
OnMessage Inc. (R)
Poll source
OnMessage Inc. (R)
Date(s)administered
September 6–11, 2022
Samplesize
400 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.9%
MarkKelly (D)
50%
BlakeMasters (R)
40%
MarcVictor (L)
6%
Other
–
Undecided
5%
Kurt Jetta (D)
Kurt Jetta (D)
Poll source
Kurt Jetta (D)
Date(s)administered
September 9–10, 2022
Samplesize
972 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
MarkKelly (D)
53%
BlakeMasters (R)
32%
MarcVictor (L)
–
Other
–
Undecided
15%
563 (LV)
563 (LV)
Poll source
563 (LV)
Date(s)administered
55%
Samplesize
35%
Marginof error
–
MarkKelly (D)
–
BlakeMasters (R)
9%
OH Predictive Insights
OH Predictive Insights
Poll source
OH Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
September 6–9, 2022
Samplesize
654 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.8%
MarkKelly (D)
47%
BlakeMasters (R)
35%
MarcVictor (L)
6%
Other
–
Undecided
12%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
September 6–7, 2022
Samplesize
627 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.9%
MarkKelly (D)
47%
BlakeMasters (R)
45%
MarcVictor (L)
–
Other
3%
Undecided
5%
InsiderAdvantage (R)
InsiderAdvantage (R)
Poll source
InsiderAdvantage (R)
Date(s)administered
September 6–7, 2022
Samplesize
550 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.2%
MarkKelly (D)
45%
BlakeMasters (R)
39%
MarcVictor (L)
4%
Other
–
Undecided
12%
Echelon Insights
Echelon Insights
Poll source
Echelon Insights
Date(s)administered
August 31 – September 7, 2022
Samplesize
773 (RV)
Marginof error
±4.5%
MarkKelly (D)
52%
BlakeMasters (R)
37%
MarcVictor (L)
–
Other
–
Undecided
11%
The Trafalgar Group (R)
The Trafalgar Group (R)
Poll source
The Trafalgar Group (R)
Date(s)administered
August 24–27, 2022
Samplesize
1,074 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.9%
MarkKelly (D)
48%
BlakeMasters (R)
44%
MarcVictor (L)
4%
Other
–
Undecided
4%
RMG Research
RMG Research
Poll source
RMG Research
Date(s)administered
August 16–22, 2022
Samplesize
750 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.6%
MarkKelly (D)
50%
BlakeMasters (R)
43%
MarcVictor (L)
–
Other
–
Undecided
7%
Fox News
Fox News
Poll source
Fox News
Date(s)administered
August 12–16, 2022
Samplesize
1,012 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
MarkKelly (D)
50%
BlakeMasters (R)
42%
MarcVictor (L)
–
Other
2%
Undecided
6%
Kurt Jetta (D)
Kurt Jetta (D)
Poll source
Kurt Jetta (D)
Date(s)administered
August 4–8, 2022
Samplesize
1,107 (A)
Marginof error
± 2.9%
MarkKelly (D)
48%
BlakeMasters (R)
34%
MarcVictor (L)
–
Other
–
Undecided
19%
877 (RV)
877 (RV)
Poll source
877 (RV)
Date(s)administered
± 3.3%
Samplesize
50%
Marginof error
34%
MarkKelly (D)
–
BlakeMasters (R)
–
MarcVictor (L)
16%
512 (LV)
512 (LV)
Poll source
512 (LV)
Date(s)administered
± 4.3%
Samplesize
54%
Marginof error
40%
MarkKelly (D)
–
BlakeMasters (R)
–
MarcVictor (L)
7%
OnMessage Inc. (R)
OnMessage Inc. (R)
Poll source
OnMessage Inc. (R)
Date(s)administered
August 1–2, 2022
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
MarkKelly (D)
49%
BlakeMasters (R)
44%
MarcVictor (L)
–
Other
–
Undecided
7%
Beacon Research (D)
Beacon Research (D)
Poll source
Beacon Research (D)
Date(s)administered
July 5–20, 2022
Samplesize
802 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
MarkKelly (D)
49%
BlakeMasters (R)
34%
MarcVictor (L)
–
Other
1%
Undecided
13%
504 (LV)
504 (LV)
Poll source
504 (LV)
Date(s)administered
± 4.4%
Samplesize
51%
Marginof error
39%
MarkKelly (D)
–
BlakeMasters (R)
2%
MarcVictor (L)
8%
Fabrizio Lee (R)
Fabrizio Lee (R)
Poll source
Fabrizio Lee (R)
Date(s)administered
July 13–14, 2022
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
MarkKelly (D)
49%
BlakeMasters (R)
44%
MarcVictor (L)
–
Other
–
Undecided
7%
Change Research (D)
Change Research (D)
Poll source
Change Research (D)
Date(s)administered
June 24–27, 2022
Samplesize
705 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.7%
MarkKelly (D)
48%
BlakeMasters (R)
39%
MarcVictor (L)
–
Other
–
Undecided
13%
Blueprint Polling (D)
Blueprint Polling (D)
Poll source
Blueprint Polling (D)
Date(s)administered
May 12–16, 2022
Samplesize
608 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
MarkKelly (D)
49%
BlakeMasters (R)
32%
MarcVictor (L)
–
Other
–
Undecided
19%
OH Predictive Insights
OH Predictive Insights
Poll source
OH Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
September 7–12, 2021
Samplesize
882 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.3%
MarkKelly (D)
44%
BlakeMasters (R)
35%
MarcVictor (L)
–
Other
–
Undecided
21%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
MarkKelly (D)
BlakeMasters (R)
MarcVictor (L)
Other
Undecided
The Trafalgar Group (R)
November 5–7, 2022
1,094 (LV)
± 2.9%
47%
48%
1%
–
4%
Data Orbital (R)
November 4–6, 2022
550 (LV)
± 4.3%
48%
47%
2%
1%
3%
Research Co.
November 4–6, 2022
450 (LV)
± 4.6%
49%
46%
2%
–
3%
Data for Progress (D)
November 2–6, 2022
1,359 (LV)
± 3.0%
49%
50%
2%
–
–
Targoz Market Research
November 2–6, 2022
560 (LV)
± 4.1%
50%
47%
2%
–
–
KAConsulting (R)
November 2–3, 2022
501 (LV)
± 4.4%
47%
46%
–
1%
6%
InsiderAdvantage (R)
November 2, 2022
550 (LV)
± 4.2%
48%
48%
2%
–
2%
HighGround Inc.
November 1–2, 2022
500 (LV)
± 4.4%
46%
45%
–
2%
6%
Remington Research Group (R)
November 1–2, 2022
1,075 (LV)
± 2.9%
48%
47%
2%
–
3%
Marist College
October 31 – November 2, 2022
1,157 (RV)
± 4.1%
49%
45%
–
1%
8%
1,015 (LV)
± 4.3%
50%
47%
–
1%
2%
Big Data Poll (R)
October 31 – November 2, 2022
1,051 (LV)
± 3.0%
48%
49%
–
–
4%
Patriot Polling (R)
October 30 – November 2, 2022
814 (RV)
–
49%
48%
–
–
4%
Civiqs
October 29 – November 2, 2022
852 (LV)
± 4.2%
49%
49%
–
2%
1%
November 1, 2022
Victor withdraws from the race and endorses Masters
Emerson College
October 30 – November 1, 2022
1,000 (LV)
± 3.0%
47%
48%
3%
1%
1%
48%
48%
3%
1%
–
The Phillips Academy
October 29–30, 2022
985 (LV)
± 3.1%
47%
47%
2%
–
5%
Fox News
October 26–30, 2022
1,003 (RV)
± 3.0%
47%
45%
–
4%
5%
Wick Insights (R)
October 26–30, 2022
1,122 (LV)
± 3.2%
49%
47%
–
3%
1%
Fabrizio, Lee and Associates (R)
October 24–26, 2022
800 (LV)
± 3.5%
47%
46%
3%
–
–
OH Predictive Insights
October 24–26, 2022
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
48%
46%
3%
–
3%
Siena College/NYT
October 24–26, 2022
604 (LV)
± 4.4%
51%
45%
1%
–
3%
BSP Research/Shaw & Co.
October 19–26, 2022
1,000 (RV)
± 3.1%
44%
40%
–
5%
11%
InsiderAdvantage (R)
October 24–25, 2022
550 (LV)
± 4.2%
45%
43%
6%
–
6%
co/efficient (R)
October 20–21, 2022
1,111 (LV)
± 3.1%
47%
45%
4%
–
4%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)
October 14–18, 2022
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
48%
45%
2%
<1%
6%
The Trafalgar Group (R)
October 16–17, 2022
1,078 (LV)
± 2.9%
47%
46%
3%
–
4%
Data for Progress (D)
October 11–17, 2022
893 (LV)
± 3.0%
47%
47%
3%
–
4%
Wick Insights (R)
October 8–14, 2022
1,058 (LV)
± 3.1%
49%
46%
–
2%
3%
HighGround Inc.
October 12–13, 2022
500 (LV)
± 4.3%
42%
40%
5%
3%
10%
InsiderAdvantage (R)
October 11, 2022
550 (LV)
± 4.2%
46%
42%
5%
–
7%
Kurt Jetta (D)
October 9–10, 2022
894 (RV)
–
54%
32%
–
–
15%
551 (LV)
55%
38%
–
–
7%
Ascend Action (R)
October 8–10, 2022
954 (LV)
± 3.2%
48%
44%
–
5%
2%
OnMessage Inc. (R)
October 8–10, 2022
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
46%
43%
4%
–
7%
OH Predictive Insights
October 4–6, 2022
674 (LV)
± 3.8%
46%
33%
15%
–
7%
Big Data Poll (R)
October 2–5, 2022
970 (LV)
± 3.1%
46%
45%
2%
–
7%
YouGov/CBS News
September 30 – October 4, 2022
1,164 (RV)
± 3.8%
51%
48%
–
–
1%
CNN/SSRS
September 26 – October 2, 2022
900 (RV)
± 4.4%
52%
42%
–
7%
–
795 (LV)
± 4.6%
51%
45%
–
4%
–
Fox News
September 22–26, 2022
1,008 (RV)
± 3.0%
46%
40%
–
6%
9%
Suffolk University
September 21–25, 2022
500 (LV)
± 4.4%
49%
42%
2%
–
7%
Marist College
September 19–22, 2022
1,260 (RV)
± 3.6%
51%
41%
–
–
8%
1,076 (LV)
± 3.9%
50%
45%
–
–
5%
Data for Progress (D)
September 15–19, 2022
768 (LV)
± 4.0%
48%
47%
2%
–
3%
The Trafalgar Group (R)
September 14–17, 2022
1080 (LV)
± 2.9%
47%
45%
3%
–
5%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
September 8–15, 2022
500 (LV)
± 4.4%
50%
42%
4%
–
4%
52%
45%
–
–
3%
Beacon Research (D)
Beacon Research (D)
Poll source
Beacon Research (D)
Date(s)administered
July 5–20, 2022
Samplesize
802 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
MarkKelly (D)
49%
MarkBrnovich (R)
35%
Other
1%
Undecided
11%
504 (LV)
504 (LV)
Poll source
504 (LV)
Date(s)administered
± 4.4%
Samplesize
51%
Marginof error
40%
MarkKelly (D)
2%
MarkBrnovich (R)
7%
Blueprint Polling (D)
Blueprint Polling (D)
Poll source
Blueprint Polling (D)
Date(s)administered
May 12–16, 2022
Samplesize
608 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
MarkKelly (D)
50%
MarkBrnovich (R)
33%
Other
–
Undecided
18%
Data for Progress (D)
Data for Progress (D)
Poll source
Data for Progress (D)
Date(s)administered
January 21–24, 2022
Samplesize
1,469 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
MarkKelly (D)
49%
MarkBrnovich (R)
47%
Other
–
Undecided
4%
OH Predictive Insights
OH Predictive Insights
Poll source
OH Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
September 7–12, 2021
Samplesize
882 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.3%
MarkKelly (D)
43%
MarkBrnovich (R)
39%
Other
–
Undecided
18%
OH Predictive Insights
OH Predictive Insights
Poll source
OH Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
May 3–5, 2021
Samplesize
935 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.2%
MarkKelly (D)
46%
MarkBrnovich (R)
36%
Other
–
Undecided
18%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
MarkKelly (D)
MarkBrnovich (R)
Other
Undecided
Beacon Research (D)
July 5–20, 2022
802 (RV)
± 3.5%
49%
35%
1%
11%
504 (LV)
± 4.4%
51%
40%
2%
7%
Blueprint Polling (D)
May 12–16, 2022
608 (LV)
± 4.0%
50%
33%
–
18%
Data for Progress (D)
January 21–24, 2022
1,469 (LV)
± 3.0%
49%
47%
–
4%
OH Predictive Insights
September 7–12, 2021
882 (RV)
± 3.3%
43%
39%
–
18%
OH Predictive Insights
May 3–5, 2021
935 (RV)
± 3.2%
46%
36%
–
18%
Beacon Research (D)
Beacon Research (D)
Poll source
Beacon Research (D)
Date(s)administered
July 5–20, 2022
Samplesize
802 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
MarkKelly (D)
48%
JimLamon (R)
34%
Other
2%
Undecided
14%
504 (LV)
504 (LV)
Poll source
504 (LV)
Date(s)administered
± 4.4%
Samplesize
50%
Marginof error
40%
MarkKelly (D)
2%
JimLamon (R)
9%
Change Research (D)
Change Research (D)
Poll source
Change Research (D)
Date(s)administered
June 24–27, 2022
Samplesize
705 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.7%
MarkKelly (D)
47%
JimLamon (R)
41%
Other
–
Undecided
12%
Blueprint Polling (D)
Blueprint Polling (D)
Poll source
Blueprint Polling (D)
Date(s)administered
May 12–16, 2022
Samplesize
608 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
MarkKelly (D)
48%
JimLamon (R)
34%
Other
–
Undecided
18%
OH Predictive Insights
OH Predictive Insights
Poll source
OH Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
September 7–12, 2021
Samplesize
882 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.3%
MarkKelly (D)
43%
JimLamon (R)
36%
Other
–
Undecided
21%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
MarkKelly (D)
JimLamon (R)
Other
Undecided
Beacon Research (D)
July 5–20, 2022
802 (RV)
± 3.5%
48%
34%
2%
14%
504 (LV)
± 4.4%
50%
40%
2%
9%
Change Research (D)
June 24–27, 2022
705 (LV)
± 3.7%
47%
41%
–
12%
Blueprint Polling (D)
May 12–16, 2022
608 (LV)
± 4.0%
48%
34%
–
18%
OH Predictive Insights
September 7–12, 2021
882 (RV)
± 3.3%
43%
36%
–
21%
OH Predictive Insights
OH Predictive Insights
Poll source
OH Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
September 7–12, 2021
Samplesize
882 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.3%
MarkKelly (D)
44%
MichaelMcGuire (R)
37%
Undecided
19%
OH Predictive Insights
OH Predictive Insights
Poll source
OH Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
May 3–5, 2021
Samplesize
935 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.2%
MarkKelly (D)
44%
MichaelMcGuire (R)
35%
Undecided
21%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
MarkKelly (D)
MichaelMcGuire (R)
Undecided
OH Predictive Insights
September 7–12, 2021
882 (RV)
± 3.3%
44%
37%
19%
OH Predictive Insights
May 3–5, 2021
935 (RV)
± 3.2%
44%
35%
21%
OH Predictive Insights
OH Predictive Insights
Poll source
OH Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
May 3–5, 2021
Samplesize
935 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.2%
MarkKelly (D)
47%
AndyBiggs (R)
36%
Undecided
18%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
MarkKelly (D)
AndyBiggs (R)
Undecided
OH Predictive Insights
May 3–5, 2021
935 (RV)
± 3.2%
47%
36%
18%
Data for Progress (D)
Data for Progress (D)
Poll source
Data for Progress (D)
Date(s)administered
January 21–24, 2022
Samplesize
1,469 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
MarkKelly (D)
50%
DougDucey (R)
47%
Undecided
4%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
MarkKelly (D)
DougDucey (R)
Undecided
Data for Progress (D)
January 21–24, 2022
1,469 (LV)
± 3.0%
50%
47%
4%
OH Predictive Insights
OH Predictive Insights
Poll source
OH Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
May 3–5, 2021
Samplesize
935 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.2%
MarkKelly (D)
47%
KelliWard (R)
36%
Undecided
18%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
MarkKelly (D)
KelliWard (R)
Undecided
OH Predictive Insights
May 3–5, 2021
935 (RV)
± 3.2%
47%
36%
18%
OH Predictive Insights
OH Predictive Insights
Poll source
OH Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
May 3–5, 2021
Samplesize
935 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.2%
MarkKelly (D)
46%
KariLake (R)
35%
Undecided
19%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
MarkKelly (D)
KariLake (R)
Undecided
OH Predictive Insights
May 3–5, 2021
935 (RV)
± 3.2%
46%
35%
19%
OH Predictive Insights
OH Predictive Insights
Poll source
OH Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
May 3–5, 2021
Samplesize
935 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.2%
MarkKelly (D)
43%
JackMcCain (R)
29%
Undecided
28%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
MarkKelly (D)
JackMcCain (R)
Undecided
OH Predictive Insights
May 3–5, 2021
935 (RV)
± 3.2%
43%
29%
28%
OH Predictive Insights
OH Predictive Insights
Poll source
OH Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
May 3–5, 2021
Samplesize
935 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.2%
MarkKelly (D)
45%
KimberlyYee (R)
35%
Undecided
19%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
MarkKelly (D)
KimberlyYee (R)
Undecided
OH Predictive Insights
May 3–5, 2021
935 (RV)
± 3.2%
45%
35%
19%
OH Predictive Insights
OH Predictive Insights
Poll source
OH Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
May 9–16, 2022
Samplesize
938 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.3%
MarkKelly (D)
40%
GenericRepublican
39%
Other
–
Undecided
21%
HighGround Public Affairs (R)
HighGround Public Affairs (R)
Poll source
HighGround Public Affairs (R)
Date(s)administered
March 26–27, 2022
Samplesize
400 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.9%
MarkKelly (D)
45%
GenericRepublican
41%
Other
2%
Undecided
12%
OH Predictive Insights
OH Predictive Insights
Poll source
OH Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
March 7–15, 2022
Samplesize
753 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.6%
MarkKelly (D)
37%
GenericRepublican
39%
Other
–
Undecided
24%
Change Research (D)
Change Research (D)
Poll source
Change Research (D)
Date(s)administered
March 2022
Samplesize
– (LV)
Marginof error
–
MarkKelly (D)
43%
GenericRepublican
46%
Other
–
Undecided
11%
OH Predictive Insights
OH Predictive Insights
Poll source
OH Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
January 11–13, 2022
Samplesize
855 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.4%
MarkKelly (D)
42%
GenericRepublican
38%
Other
–
Undecided
19%
OH Predictive Insights
OH Predictive Insights
Poll source
OH Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
November 1–8, 2021
Samplesize
713 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.7%
MarkKelly (D)
40%
GenericRepublican
39%
Other
–
Undecided
21%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
MarkKelly (D)
GenericRepublican
Other
Undecided
OH Predictive Insights
May 9–16, 2022
938 (RV)
± 3.3%
40%
39%
–
21%
HighGround Public Affairs (R)
March 26–27, 2022
400 (LV)
± 4.9%
45%
41%
2%
12%
OH Predictive Insights
March 7–15, 2022
753 (RV)
± 3.6%
37%
39%
–
24%
Change Research (D)
March 2022
– (LV)
–
43%
46%
–
11%
OH Predictive Insights
January 11–13, 2022
855 (RV)
± 3.4%
42%
38%
–
19%
OH Predictive Insights
November 1–8, 2021
713 (RV)
± 3.7%
40%
39%
–
21%
Fabrizio Lee (R)
Fabrizio Lee (R)
Poll source
Fabrizio Lee (R)
Date(s)administered
July 13–14, 2022
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
MarkKelly (D)
45%
GenericOpponent
48%
Undecided
7%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
MarkKelly (D)
GenericOpponent
Undecided
Fabrizio Lee (R)
July 13–14, 2022
800 (LV)
± 3.5%
45%
48%
7%
Fabrizio Lee (R)
Fabrizio Lee (R)
Poll source
Fabrizio Lee (R)
Date(s)administered
July 13–14, 2022
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
GenericDemocrat
46%
GenericRepublican
46%
Undecided
8%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
GenericDemocrat
GenericRepublican
Undecided
Fabrizio Lee (R)
July 13–14, 2022
800 (LV)
± 3.5%
46%
46%
8%
2022 United States Senate election in Arizona[226] · General election › Results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
2,572,294
Candidate
100.0%
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
mw- ±%
Democratic
Mark Kelly (incumbent)
1,322,027
51.39%
+0.23%
Republican
Blake Masters
1,196,308
46.51%
−2.30%
Libertarian
Marc Victor (withdrawn)
53,762
2.09%
N/A
Write-in
197
0.01%
–0.02%
Total votes
2,572,294
100.0%
Democratic hold
#
#
County
#
Mark KellyDemocratic
%
Mark KellyDemocratic
#
Blake MastersRepublican
%
Blake MastersRepublican
#
Marc VictorLibertarian
%
Marc VictorLibertarian
#
Write-in
%
Write-in
#
Margin
%
Apache
Apache
County
Apache
Mark KellyDemocratic
18,005
Mark KellyDemocratic
67.39
Blake MastersRepublican
8,163
Blake MastersRepublican
30.55
Marc VictorLibertarian
549
Marc VictorLibertarian
2.05
Write-in
2
Write-in
0.01
Margin
9,842
Margin
36.84
Totalvotes
26,719
Cochise
Cochise
County
Cochise
Mark KellyDemocratic
20,002
Mark KellyDemocratic
42.57
Blake MastersRepublican
25,539
Blake MastersRepublican
54.35
Marc VictorLibertarian
1,383
Marc VictorLibertarian
2.94
Write-in
67
Write-in
0.14
Margin
-5,537
Margin
-11.78
Totalvotes
46,991
Coconino
Coconino
County
Coconino
Mark KellyDemocratic
35,149
Mark KellyDemocratic
63.84
Blake MastersRepublican
18,697
Blake MastersRepublican
33.96
Marc VictorLibertarian
1,199
Marc VictorLibertarian
2.18
Write-in
13
Write-in
0.02
Margin
16,452
Margin
29.88
Totalvotes
55,058
Gila
Gila
County
Gila
Mark KellyDemocratic
7,984
Mark KellyDemocratic
35.42
Blake MastersRepublican
13,958
Blake MastersRepublican
61.91
Marc VictorLibertarian
601
Marc VictorLibertarian
2.67
Write-in
1
Write-in
0.00
Margin
-5,974
Margin
-26.50
Totalvotes
22,544
Graham
Graham
County
Graham
Mark KellyDemocratic
3,243
Mark KellyDemocratic
29.79
Blake MastersRepublican
7,388
Blake MastersRepublican
67.87
Marc VictorLibertarian
255
Marc VictorLibertarian
2.34
Write-in
0
Write-in
0.00
Margin
-4,145
Margin
-38.08
Totalvotes
10,886
Greenlee
Greenlee
County
Greenlee
Mark KellyDemocratic
970
Mark KellyDemocratic
39.40
Blake MastersRepublican
1,392
Blake MastersRepublican
56.54
Marc VictorLibertarian
100
Marc VictorLibertarian
4.06
Write-in
0
Write-in
0.00
Margin
-422
Margin
-17.14
Totalvotes
2,462
La Paz
La Paz
County
La Paz
Mark KellyDemocratic
1,711
Mark KellyDemocratic
30.94
Blake MastersRepublican
3,656
Blake MastersRepublican
66.11
Marc VictorLibertarian
160
Marc VictorLibertarian
2.89
Write-in
3
Write-in
0.05
Margin
-1,945
Margin
-35.17
Totalvotes
5,530
Maricopa
Maricopa
County
Maricopa
Mark KellyDemocratic
809,573
Mark KellyDemocratic
52.19
Blake MastersRepublican
710,491
Blake MastersRepublican
45.80
Marc VictorLibertarian
31,099
Marc VictorLibertarian
2.00
Write-in
63
Write-in
0.00
Margin
99,082
Margin
6.39
Totalvotes
1,551,226
Mohave
Mohave
County
Mohave
Mark KellyDemocratic
21,040
Mark KellyDemocratic
25.69
Blake MastersRepublican
58,737
Blake MastersRepublican
71.72
Marc VictorLibertarian
2,117
Marc VictorLibertarian
2.58
Write-in
5
Write-in
0.01
Margin
-37,697
Margin
-46.03
Totalvotes
81,899
Navajo
Navajo
County
Navajo
Mark KellyDemocratic
18,724
Mark KellyDemocratic
46.08
Blake MastersRepublican
20,970
Blake MastersRepublican
51.61
Marc VictorLibertarian
927
Marc VictorLibertarian
2.28
Write-in
9
Write-in
0.02
Margin
-2,246
Margin
-5.53
Totalvotes
40,630
Pima
Pima
County
Pima
Mark KellyDemocratic
248,230
Mark KellyDemocratic
61.95
Blake MastersRepublican
144,936
Blake MastersRepublican
36.17
Marc VictorLibertarian
7,544
Marc VictorLibertarian
1.88
Write-in
15
Write-in
0.00
Margin
103,294
Margin
25.78
Totalvotes
400,725
Pinal
Pinal
County
Pinal
Mark KellyDemocratic
62,009
Mark KellyDemocratic
42.92
Blake MastersRepublican
78,820
Blake MastersRepublican
54.55
Marc VictorLibertarian
3,650
Marc VictorLibertarian
2.53
Write-in
7
Write-in
0.00
Margin
-16,811
Margin
-11.64
Totalvotes
144,486
Santa Cruz
Santa Cruz
County
Santa Cruz
Mark KellyDemocratic
8,988
Mark KellyDemocratic
68.16
Blake MastersRepublican
3,892
Blake MastersRepublican
29.52
Marc VictorLibertarian
304
Marc VictorLibertarian
2.31
Write-in
2
Write-in
0.02
Margin
5,096
Margin
38.65
Totalvotes
13,186
Yavapai
Yavapai
County
Yavapai
Mark KellyDemocratic
45,258
Mark KellyDemocratic
36.60
Blake MastersRepublican
75,752
Blake MastersRepublican
61.26
Marc VictorLibertarian
2,633
Marc VictorLibertarian
2.13
Write-in
8
Write-in
0.01
Margin
-30,494
Margin
-24.66
Totalvotes
123,651
Yuma
Yuma
County
Yuma
Mark KellyDemocratic
21,141
Mark KellyDemocratic
45.66
Blake MastersRepublican
23,917
Blake MastersRepublican
51.66
Marc VictorLibertarian
1,241
Marc VictorLibertarian
2.68
Write-in
2
Write-in
0.00
Margin
-2,776
Margin
-6.00
Totalvotes
46,301
Totals
Totals
County
Totals
Mark KellyDemocratic
1,322,027
Mark KellyDemocratic
51.39
Blake MastersRepublican
1,196,308
Blake MastersRepublican
46.51
Marc VictorLibertarian
53,762
Marc VictorLibertarian
2.09
Write-in
197
Write-in
0.01
Margin
125,719
Margin
4.89
Totalvotes
2,572,294
County
Mark KellyDemocratic
Blake MastersRepublican
Marc VictorLibertarian
Write-in
Margin
Totalvotes
#
%
#
%
#
%
#
%
#
%
Apache
18,005
67.39
8,163
30.55
549
2.05
2
0.01
9,842
36.84
26,719
Cochise
20,002
42.57
25,539
54.35
1,383
2.94
67
0.14
-5,537
-11.78
46,991
Coconino
35,149
63.84
18,697
33.96
1,199
2.18
13
0.02
16,452
29.88
55,058
Gila
7,984
35.42
13,958
61.91
601
2.67
1
0.00
-5,974
-26.50
22,544
Graham
3,243
29.79
7,388
67.87
255
2.34
0
0.00
-4,145
-38.08
10,886
Greenlee
970
39.40
1,392
56.54
100
4.06
0
0.00
-422
-17.14
2,462
La Paz
1,711
30.94
3,656
66.11
160
2.89
3
0.05
-1,945
-35.17
5,530
Maricopa
809,573
52.19
710,491
45.80
31,099
2.00
63
0.00
99,082
6.39
1,551,226
Mohave
21,040
25.69
58,737
71.72
2,117
2.58
5
0.01
-37,697
-46.03
81,899
Navajo
18,724
46.08
20,970
51.61
927
2.28
9
0.02
-2,246
-5.53
40,630
Pima
248,230
61.95
144,936
36.17
7,544
1.88
15
0.00
103,294
25.78
400,725
Pinal
62,009
42.92
78,820
54.55
3,650
2.53
7
0.00
-16,811
-11.64
144,486
Santa Cruz
8,988
68.16
3,892
29.52
304
2.31
2
0.02
5,096
38.65
13,186
Yavapai
45,258
36.60
75,752
61.26
2,633
2.13
8
0.01
-30,494
-24.66
123,651
Yuma
21,141
45.66
23,917
51.66
1,241
2.68
2
0.00
-2,776
-6.00
46,301
Totals
1,322,027
51.39
1,196,308
46.51
53,762
2.09
197
0.01
125,719
4.89
2,572,294
· General election › Results › By congressional district
1st
1st
District
1st
Kelly
52%
Masters
46%
Representative
David Schweikert
2nd
2nd
District
2nd
Kelly
46%
Masters
51%
Representative
Tom O'Halleran (117th Congress)
Eli Crane (118th Congress)
Eli Crane (118th Congress)
District
Eli Crane (118th Congress)
3rd
3rd
District
3rd
Kelly
76%
Masters
21%
Representative
Ruben Gallego
4th
4th
District
4th
Kelly
57%
Masters
41%
Representative
Greg Stanton
5th
5th
District
5th
Kelly
44%
Masters
54%
Representative
Andy Biggs
6th
6th
District
6th
Kelly
54%
Masters
44%
Representative
Ann Kirkpatrick (117th Congress)
Juan Ciscomani (118th Congress)
Juan Ciscomani (118th Congress)
District
Juan Ciscomani (118th Congress)
7th
7th
District
7th
Kelly
68%
Masters
30%
Representative
Raúl Grijalva
8th
8th
District
8th
Kelly
46%
Masters
52%
Representative
Debbie Lesko
9th
9th
District
9th
Kelly
38%
Masters
60%
Representative
Paul Gosar
District
Kelly
Masters
Representative
1st
52%
46%
David Schweikert
2nd
46%
51%
Tom O'Halleran (117th Congress)
Eli Crane (118th Congress)
3rd
76%
21%
Ruben Gallego
4th
57%
41%
Greg Stanton
5th
44%
54%
Andy Biggs
6th
54%
44%
Ann Kirkpatrick (117th Congress)
Juan Ciscomani (118th Congress)
7th
68%
30%
Raúl Grijalva
8th
46%
52%
Debbie Lesko
9th
38%
60%
Paul Gosar

References

  1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. Key:A – all adultsRV – registered votersLV – likely votersV – unclear
  3. Paveza with <1%
  4. Response without candidates' job titles, besides 'Major General' for McGuire
  5. Response with candidates' job titles
  6. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  7. "Refused" with 1%
  8. "Some other candidate" with 2%
  9. "Another party's candidate" with 1%
  10. "Another party's candidate" with 1%
  11. "Someone else" with 2%
  12. "Someone else" with 1%
  13. "Someone else" with 1%
  14. "Other" with 3%; "Wouldn't vote" with 1%
  15. "Someone else" with 3%
  16. "Someone else" with 5%
  17. "Other" with <1%; "Refused" with <1%
  18. "Someone else" with 2%
  19. "Some other candidate" with 3%
  20. "Another candidate" with 5%
  21. "Neither" with 5%; "Other" with 2%
  22. "Neither" with 3%; "Other" with 1%
  23. "Other" with 3%; "Wouldn't vote" with 3%
  24. "Someone else" with 3%
  25. This poll was sponsored by Saving Arizona, which supports Blake Masters.
  26. This poll was sponsored by Kari Lake's campaign for governor.
  27. This poll was sponsored by Lamon's campaign.
  28. This poll was sponsored by Advancing Arizona Forward, which supports Mark Brnovich.
  29. This poll was sponsored by Club for Growth Action.
  30. This poll was sponsored by Andy Biggs's campaign committee.
  31. Poll conducted for Citizens United, a conservative non-profit organization.
  32. Poll conducted for Univision.
  33. Poll conducted for The Federalist, a conservative online magazine.
  34. This poll was sponsored by The Daily Wire.
  35. This poll was sponsored by Arizona's Family.
  36. This poll was sponsored by Center Street PAC, which opposes Masters.
  37. This poll was sponsored by the Sentinel Action Fund, which supports Masters.
  38. This poll was sponsored by America Next.
  39. This poll was sponsored by the Environmental Voter Project.
  40. This poll was sponsored by Future Majority and America's Future Majority Fund.
  41. CNBC
    https://www.cnbc.com/2022/09/20/gop-megadonor-peter-thiel-to-host-fundraiser-for-arizona-senate-candidate-blake-masters.html
  42. The New York Times
    https://www.nytimes.com/2022/11/01/us/politics/blake-masters-marc-victor-arizona.html
  43. Bloomberg.com
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  56. Forward Party
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  58. March On
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  59. Prochoiceamerica.org
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  60. Plannedparenthoodaction.org
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  67. The Arizona Republic
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  68. The Arizona Republic
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  70. Arizona Republic
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  71. "'Let's go, Brandon' becomes a campaign slogan in Arizona Republican's new ad"
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  72. "Statement of Candidacy Filing FEC-1498745"
    https://docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/forms/C00768556/1498745/
  73. The Hill
    https://thehill.com/homenews/house/541077-house-freedom-caucus-chair-weighs-arizona-senate-bid
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    https://thehill.com/homenews/house/541077-house-freedom-caucus-chair-weighs-arizona-senate-bid#.YD1eXSwj9ss.twitter
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    https://biggsforcongress.com/news/
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    https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/arizona/2022/03/03/arizona-gov-doug-ducey-not-run-u-s-senate-2022/9353249002/
  77. AZFamily (KPHO-TV/KTVK)
    https://www.azfamily.com/news/kari-lake-announces-run-for-arizona-governor/article_f7fa7ada-c30c-11eb-bce9-f70767ea88f5.html
  78. The Arizona Republic
    https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/elections/2020/06/10/jack-mccain-john-mccains-son-has-no-immediate-plans-seek-office/5331191002/
  79. The Arizona Republic
    https://www.azcentral.com/story/opinion/op-ed/laurieroberts/2020/12/11/doug-ducey-vs-kelli-ward-senate-would-epic-wont-happen/3888950001/
  80. 91.5 KJZZ Phoenix Radio
    https://kjzz.org/content/1653441/arizona-gov-ducey-i-wont-run-us-senate-2022
  81. KNXV
    https://www.abc15.com/news/state/kimberly-yee-announces-run-for-arizona-governor
  82. Washington Examiner
    https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/trump-endorses-strange-arizona-man-over-maga-star
  83. YouTube
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pHbQ1nHYKW8
  84. brnoforaz
    https://web.archive.org/web/20220720031517/https://www.brnoforaz.com/2021/09/mark-levin-endorses-mark-brnovich-for-u-s-senate-in-arizona-2/
  85. Casa Grande Dispatch
    https://www.pinalcentral.com/opinion/our_view/editorial-primary-election/article_527a574a-2946-5411-a97c-e458b264947c.html
  86. "Lamon Endorsements"
    https://web.archive.org/web/20220703185229/https://jimlamon.com/news/endorsements/
  87. "Arizona Police Association Endorses Jim Lamon - Jim Lamon for U.S. Senate AZ"
    https://web.archive.org/web/20211019035004/https://jimlamon.com/arizona-police-association-endorses-jim-lamon-for-united-states-senate-representing-the-great-state-of-arizona/
  88. Conservative.org
    https://www.conservative.org/2021/12/08/cpac-endorses-jim-lamon/
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  91. The Hill
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  92. Washington Examiner
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  93. The Hill
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  95. Roll Call
    https://www.rollcall.com/2021/10/21/at-the-races-quarterly-clues/
  96. "Congressman Madison Cawthorn Endorses Arizona GOP Senate Candidate Blake Masters"
    https://tennesseestar.com/2022/01/31/congressman-madison-cawthorn-endorses-arizona-gop-senate-candidate-blake-masters/
  97. "Marjorie Taylor Greene endorses Blake Masters in Arizona Senate race"
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  98. Politico
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  99. Politico
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  100. POLITICO
    https://www.politico.com/newsletters/playbook/2022/01/21/suspicious-trump-weighs-dual-endorsements-495803
  101. "Republicans for National Renewal Endorses Blake Masters for U.S. Senate"
    https://rnrenewal.org/statements/republicans-for-national-renewal-endorses-blake-masters-for-u-s-senate/
  102. "ELECTION ALERT: Tea Party Express Endorses Blake Masters for Senate in Arizona"
    https://teapartyexpress.org/11177/election-alert-tea-party-express-endorses-blake-masters-for-senate-in-arizona
  103. "Neo-Nazi publisher Andrew Anglin gives 'forceful endorsement' of Blake Masters' Senate bid"
    https://jewishinsider.com/2022/07/daily-stormer-andrew-anglin-blake-masters-arizona-senate-republican/
  104. "Trump-backed Senate candidate Blake Masters rejects endorsement of neo-Nazi site founder"
    https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/elections/2022/07/01/trump-backed-senate-candidate-blake-masters-rejects-endorsement-of-neo-nazi-site-founder/7792690001/
  105. "Justin Olson for Arizona US Senate | Stand for Health Freedom"
    https://standforhealthfreedom.com/vhf/olson/
  106. Real Clear Politics
    https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2022/senate/az/arizona_senate_republican_primary-7564.html
  107. The Trafalgar Group (R)
    https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/08/TRF-AZ-GOP-Primary-0801-Poll-Report.pdf
  108. Emerson College
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/arizona-2022-dead-heat-in-republican-gubernatorial-nomination-masters-with-18-point-lead-in-for-us-senate-nomination/
  109. Rasmussen Reports
    https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/partner_surveys/july_2022/toplines_arizona_republican_primary_july_27_28_2022
  110. OH Predictive Insights
    https://web.archive.org/web/20220729161721/https://blog.ohpredictive.com/press-releases/state-of-gop-voters-break-heavy-and-hard-for-lake
  111. Battleground Connect (R)
    https://drive.google.com/file/d/1jNjLqwaY9SmmZenBlbUobkUlokTbivbL/view
  112. The Trafalgar Group (R)
    https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/TRF-AZ-GOP-Gov-0727-Poll-Report.pdf
  113. Battleground Connect (R)
    https://drive.google.com/file/d/1SeEqKkqCM5Aibk8H9R62l8hja0aJyqRY/view
  114. Cygnal (R)
    https://www.scribd.com/document/582639708/The-Gateway-Pundit-Arizona-Poll
  115. Battleground Connect (R)
    https://drive.google.com/file/d/1Z1qxiDzSS_0xzkYt6_PqQQIXkTSdo2hc/view
  116. HighGround Public Affairs (R)
    https://azhighground.com/masters-leads-crowded-field-in-arizonas-republican-primary-for-united-states-senate/
  117. Alloy Analytics (R)/J.L. Partners
    https://www.alloyanalytics.org/post/senate2
  118. OH Predictive Insights
    https://web.archive.org/web/20220709145632/https://blog.ohpredictive.com/press-releases/az-gop-senate-race-masters-of-his-own-destiny
  119. Public Policy Polling (D)
    https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/ArizonaResults.pdf
  120. The Trafalgar Group (R)
    https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/TRF-AZ-GOP-0612-Poll-Report.pdf
  121. Data Orbital (R)
    https://www.azmirror.com/2022/06/06/internal-poll-gop-gubernatorial-frontrunners-in-statistical-tie/
  122. Fabrizio Lee (R)
    https://www.scribd.com/document/575488376/5-22-AZ-Senate-GOP-Primary-Memo-Final
  123. Cygnal (R)
    https://archive.today/20220513230057/https://twitter.com/politicoalex/status/1525241245576179712
  124. The Trafalgar Group (R)
    https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/TRF-AZ-GOP-0430-Full-Report.pdf
  125. McLaughlin & Associates (R)
    https://www.politico.com/news/2022/05/02/arizona-gop-senate-mark-brnovich-00029241
  126. OH Predictive Insights
    https://web.archive.org/web/20220413193819/https://blog.ohpredictive.com/press-releases/az-gop-gov-race-lake-leads-robson-climbing-salmon-stalls
  127. Data Orbital (R)
    https://archive.today/20220406195915/https://twitter.com/VaughnHillyard/status/1511794690953252876
  128. HighGround Public Affairs (R)
    https://azhighground.com/undecided-reigns-as-the-statewide-field-comes-into-focus/
  129. Fabrizio Lee (R)
    https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/campaigns/blake-masters-leads-in-arizona-senate-poll-conducted-for-his-super-pac
  130. Alloy Analytics (R)/J.L. Partners
    https://www.alloyanalytics.org/post/state-of-the-race-arizona-s-republican-primary-race-for-u-s-senate-march-2022
  131. co/efficient (R)
    https://coefficient.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/AZ-Republican-Senate-Primary-2.8.pdf
  132. OH Predictive Insights
    https://web.archive.org/web/20220201144308/https://blog.ohpredictive.com/press-releases/state-of-the-arizona-u.s.-senate-contest
  133. OH Predictive Insights
    https://web.archive.org/web/20211123171518/https://blog.ohpredictive.com/press-releases/state-of-arizona-governor-and-senate-primaries
  134. Fabrizio Lee (R)
    https://web.archive.org/web/20211107203459/https://twitter.com/natalie_allison/status/1457408220952137731
  135. OnMessage Inc. (R)
    https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/campaigns/mark-brnovich-leads-big-in-arizona-gop-senate-primary-poll
  136. OH Predictive Insights
    https://f.hubspotusercontent40.net/hubfs/7453540/AZPOP/210907_AZPOP/Arizona%20Public%20Opinion%20Pulse%20(AZPOP)%20Senate%20Toplines%20and%20Selected%20Crosstabs.pdf
  137. HighGround Public Affairs (R)
    https://www.scribd.com/document/508250040/AZ-Poll-R-Primary-Voters-DACA-and-Statewide-Races-2021-05
  138. WPA Intelligence (R)
    https://www.clubforgrowth.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/04/CfG_AZ-Sen_PollSummary_210408.pdf
  139. OH Predictive Insights
    https://twitter.com/OHPredictive/status/1381714743556239365
  140. Data Orbital (R)
    https://thehill.com/homenews/house/541077-house-freedom-caucus-chair-weighs-arizona-senate-bid
  141. apps.arizona.vote
    https://web.archive.org/web/20220402183228/https://apps.arizona.vote/info/soi/2022-primary-election/32/0
  142. Arizona Secretary of State
    https://results.arizona.vote/#/federal/32/0
  143. bizjournals.com
    https://www.bizjournals.com/phoenix/news/2022/10/18/mark-kelly-fundraising-dwarfs-blake-masters-senate.html
  144. Los Angeles Times
    https://www.latimes.com/politics/story/2022-09-01/midterm-election-arizona-senate-blake-masters-mark-kelly-candidate-quality-may-cost-republicans-control
  145. The New York Times
    https://www.nytimes.com/2022/11/12/us/politics/midterm-elections-officials.html
  146. Fox News
    https://www.foxnews.com/politics/fox-news-power-rankings-storm-clouds-gather-democrats-northeast
  147. "McCarthy's fall and Trump's rise reflect the same bet among Republicans"
    https://www.cnn.com/2023/10/10/politics/fault-lines-mccarthy-trump-speakership-2024/index.html
  148. The Cook Political Report
    https://cookpolitical.com/ratings/senate-race-ratings
  149. Inside Elections
    https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/senate
  150. Sabato's Crystal Ball
    https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2022-senate/
  151. "Senate Election Forecast 2022"
    https://www.politico.com/2022-election/race-forecasts-ratings-and-predictions/senate/
  152. "Battle for the Senate 2022"
    https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2022/senate/elections-map.html
  153. Fox News
    https://www.foxnews.com/politics/fox-news-power-rankings-storm-clouds-gather-democrats-northeast
  154. DDHQ
    https://forecast.decisiondeskhq.com/senate
  155. FiveThirtyEight
    https://web.archive.org/web/20220630143519/https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/senate/
  156. The Economist
    https://www.economist.com/interactive/us-midterms-2022/forecast/senate/
  157. Youtube
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VMrS0qeaSQA
  158. "Former President Barack Obama set to hold rally for Sen. Mark Kelly, Katie Hobbs in Phoenix"
    https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/arizona/2022/10/30/barack-obama-hold-phoenix-rally-mark-kelly-katie-hobbs/10648806002/
  159. Los Angeles Times
    https://www.latimes.com/politics/story/2022-10-27/california-sen-alex-padilla-campaign-focuses-on-others-but-not-himself
  160. Politico
    https://www.politico.com/news/2022/10/05/senate-dems-reelection-00060062
  161. "Mark Kelly holds campaign rally in Tucson"
    https://www.kgun9.com/news/local-news/mark-kelly-holds-campaign-rally-in-tucson
  162. "Multiple GOP mayors, business owners backing Democrat Sen. Mark Kelly"
    https://ktar.com/story/5157774/multiple-gop-mayors-business-owners-backing-democrat-sen-mark-kelly/
  163. "The Arizona Republic"
    https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/elections/2022/11/05/first-lady-jill-biden-comes-to-arizona-to-campaign-for-sen-mark-kelly/8262642001/
  164. "Celebrities campaign for Democratic candidates Kelly and Hobbs in Arizona"
    https://www.azcentral.com/picture-gallery/news/politics/elections/2022/11/05/celebrities-campaign-for-democratic-candidates-mark-kelly-katie-hobbs-in-arizona/8271081001/
  165. justfacts.votesmart.org
    https://justfacts.votesmart.org/candidate/evaluations/190594/mark-kelly
  166. "OUR RECOMMENDED CANDIDATES"
    https://educationvotes.nea.org/our-recommended-candidates/
  167. UMWA
    https://umwa.org/az-compac/
  168. Equality Arizona
    https://www.equalityarizona.org/endorsements
  169. Forward Party
    https://home.forwardparty.com/endorsements
  170. Human Rights Campaign
    https://www.hrc.org/press-releases/human-rights-campaign-proudly-endorses-arizona-sen-mark-kelly-for-reelection
  171. "LCV Action Fund Endorses Mark Kelly for Senate"
    https://www.lcv.org/article/lcv-action-fund-endorses-mark-kelly-for-senate/
  172. Sierra Club Independent Action
    https://www.sierraclubindependentaction.org/endorsements
  173. The Washington Post
    https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/09/19/trump-senate-masters-oz/
  174. The Hill
    https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/3683208-pence-backs-masters-in-arizona-senate-race-at-phoenix-event/
  175. "First Lady Jill Biden among top names in Arizona helping candidates campaign"
    https://www.12news.com/video/news/politics/elections/decision/first-lady-jill-biden-among-top-names-in-arizona-helping-candidates-campaign/75-c041d4ed-0099-42c6-a96c-303327e51ef6
  176. The Cincinnati Enquirer
    https://www.cincinnati.com/restricted/?return=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.cincinnati.com%2Fstory%2Fnews%2Fpolitics%2Felections%2F2022%2F10%2F06%2Fted-cruz-rallies-kari-lake-blake-masters-arizona%2F8186814001%2F
  177. "Endorsements"
    https://www.blakemasters.com/endorsements
  178. "Florida Sen. Rick Scott rallies for Republican Senate hopeful Blake Masters"
    https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/elections/2022/10/22/sen-rick-scott-rallies-republican-senate-hopeful-blake-masters/10563100002/
  179. "UNITY: Arizona Republican Congressional Delegation endorses @bgmasters for U.S. Senate"
    https://x.com/MastersPress/status/1569370691727917057
  180. "Tulsi Gabbard to campaign for Kari Lake, Blake Masters in Arizona"
    https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/3693646-tulsi-gabbard-to-campaign-for-kari-lake-blake-masters-in-arizona/
  181. "We need a solid leader like @bgmasters in the Senate if we are to save this country. He has my full support"
    https://x.com/DrPaulGosar/status/1565126957402132481
  182. "Does Blake Masters Have the 'Right Stuff' for Senate? With Guest...Blake Masters!"
    http://www.ronpaullibertyreport.com/archives/does-blake-masters-have-the-right-stuff-for-senate-with-guestblake-masters
  183. "Does Blake Masters Have the 'Right Stuff' for Senate? With Guest...Blake Masters!"
    https://rumble.com/v1plr35-title-does-blake-masters-have-the-right-stuff-for-senate-with-guest...blake.html
  184. "Will the Midterms Change Anything?"
    https://ronpaulinstitute.org/archives/featured-articles/2022/october/31/will-the-midterms-change-anything/
  185. The Arizona Republic
    https://www.azcentral.com/story/opinion/op-ed/laurieroberts/2022/09/09/masters-got-gop-governors-but-all-eyes-pima-county-judge/8036033001/
  186. Fox News
    https://www.foxnews.com/politics/desantis-hit-campaign-trail-rally-support-trump-endorsed-candidates-unite-win
  187. Pinal Central
    https://www.pinalcentral.com/florence_reminder_blade_tribune/news/masters-travels-to-pinal-to-receive-lambs-endorsement/article_ba600af8-da26-593c-865b-c7a40e786c26.html
  188. AZMIRROR
    https://www.azmirror.com/blog/az-republicans-plead-with-mitch-mcconnell-to-spend-millions-of-dollars-to-help-blake-masters/
  189. Vanity Fair
    https://www.vanityfair.com/news/2022/08/white-extremists-senate-blake-masters
  190. Apple Podcasts
    https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/meet-blake-masters-september-13th-hour-2/id1112194905?i=1000579402759
  191. Twitter
    https://twitter.com/masterspress/status/1588537273876090881
  192. Reason.com
    https://reason.com/2022/10/14/in-arizona-libertarian-party-senate-candidate-polls-at-15-percent/
  193. "LAW ENFORCEMENT BACKS REPUBLICAN CANDIDATES"
    https://gop.com/rapid-response/law-enforcement-backs-republican-candidates/
  194. Campaign for Working Families
    https://www.cwfpac.com/endorsedcandidates
  195. Center for Arizona Policy Action
    https://www.azaction.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/2022-GE-CAP-Actions-Endorsements-1.pdf
  196. The Conservative Caucus
    https://web.archive.org/web/20220927051806/https://www.theconservativecaucus.org/pledge-to-vote-az
  197. "FreedomWorks for America Endorses Blake Masters in Arizona U.S. Senate Race"
    https://web.archive.org/web/20220808054211/https://freedomworksforamerica.org/press-releases/freedomworks-for-america-endorses-blake-masters-in-arizona-u-s-senate-race/
  198. "Arizona's Small Businesses Endorse Blake Masters for U.S. Senate"
    https://www.nfib.com/content/news/arizona/arizonas-small-businesses-endorse-blake-masters-for-u-s-senate/
  199. "National Right to Life Endorses Blake Masters in Arizona Senate Race"
    https://www.nrlc.org/communications/nrlc-endorses-blake-masters-in-arizona-senate-race/
  200. nrapvf.org
    https://web.archive.org/web/20221108112420/https://www.nrapvf.org/grades/arizona
  201. NRA-PVF
    https://www.nrapvf.org/campaigns/2022/defeat-mark-kelly/
  202. Turning Point Action
    https://tpaction.com/endorsements
  203. RealClearPolitics
    https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2022/senate/az/arizona-senate-masters-vs-kelly-7390.html
  204. FiveThirtyEight
    https://web.archive.org/web/20220418102153/https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/senate/2022/arizona/
  205. 270ToWin
    https://www.270towin.com/2022-senate-polls/arizona
  206. The Trafalgar Group (R)
    https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/11/AZ-Gen-Poll-Report-1107.pdf
  207. Data Orbital (R)
    https://mcusercontent.com/5a280d25318f2afe3f311adb6/files/9a3be087-d24e-65c4-6460-7b66d2fba540/PR_Nov_Toplines_110722.pdf
  208. Research Co.
    https://researchco.ca/wp-content/uploads/2022/11/Tables_StateRaces_USA_07Nov2022.pdf#page=1
  209. Data for Progress (D)
    https://www.filesforprogress.org/datasets/2022/11/dfp_az_final_midterm_tabs.pdf
  210. Targoz Market Research
    https://www.pollsmartmr.com/latest-polls-1/arizona-poll-close-races-in-arizona
  211. KAConsulting (R)
    https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000184-4361-d3eb-adef-7b63fac30000
  212. InsiderAdvantage (R)
    https://www.fox10phoenix.com/news/2022-arizona-election-poll-lake-leads-governors-race-senate-race-tightens
  213. HighGround Inc.
    https://web.archive.org/web/20221103191457/https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20221103_AZ_HighGroundMemo.pdf
  214. Remington Research Group (R)
    https://remingtonrg.wpenginepowered.com/wp-content/uploads/AZ-Statewide-General-Election-Survey-110222.pdf
  215. Marist College
    https://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/uploads/2022/11/Marist-Poll_AZ-NOS-and-Tables_202211031029.pdf
  216. Big Data Poll (R)
    https://application.marketsight.com/app/ItemView.aspx?SharedFor=public%40bigdatapoll.com&SharedBy=34090&id=cbb3bec7-3bd2-4783-8cc8-af43012f99ec
  217. Patriot Polling (R)
    https://patriotpolling.com/patriot-polling/f/mark-kelly-in-dead-heat-with-blake-masters-in-arizona-senate-race
  218. Civiqs
    https://civiqs.com/documents/Civiqs_AZ_banner_book_2022_11_4t7yks.pdf
  219. Emerson College
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/arizona-2022-us-senate-and-gubernatorial-elections-in-dead-heat/
  220. The Phillips Academy
    https://andoverpoll.com/2022/11/01/arizona-decides-kelly-and-masters-locked-in-tight-battle-kari-lake-dominates-hobbs/
  221. Fox News
    https://static.foxnews.com/foxnews.com/content/uploads/2022/11/AZ-topline_Sen-Gov-General_conducted-October-26-30_released-November-1-2022.pdf
  222. Wick Insights (R)
    https://my.wick.io/analysis/shared/item/A86F5943-DB83-4C1E-9FFE-20E7559CBFDB/view
  223. Fabrizio, Lee and Associates (R)
    https://www.nbcnews.com/meet-the-press/meetthepressblog/ariz-senate-governor-races-tight-ahead-obama-visit-gop-poll-rcna54779
  224. OH Predictive Insights
    https://web.archive.org/web/20221031122916/https://blog.ohpredictive.com/press-releases/ohpi-poll-of-record-close-races-up-and-down-the-ticket-in-arizona
  225. Siena College/NYT
    https://scri.siena.edu/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/AZ1022-Crosstabs.pdf
  226. BSP Research/Shaw & Co.
    https://static.univision.com/especiales/noticias/infografias/2022/elecciones/encuestas/Univision%20Arizona%20Crosstab%20October%202022%20Final.pdf
  227. co/efficient (R)
    https://coefficient.org/arizonastatewide/
  228. Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)
    https://www.scribd.com/document/602578830/Toplines-AZStatewide-Oct2022
  229. The Trafalgar Group (R)
    https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/AZ-Gen-1017-Poll-Report.pdf
  230. Data for Progress (D)
    https://www.filesforprogress.org/datasets/2022/10/dfp_az_midterm_tabs.pdf
  231. Wick Insights (R)
    https://my.wick.io/analysis/shared/item/80D7E9AA-40BF-49F3-9B6C-1DB2D32FA00B/view
  232. HighGround Inc.
    https://azhighground.com/latest-polling-numbers-in-arizona-governor-and-united-states-senate-races/
  233. InsiderAdvantage (R)
    https://www.fox10phoenix.com/news/2022-election-lake-leads-arizona-governors-race-kelly-remains-ahead-in-senate-race.amp
  234. Kurt Jetta (D)
    https://centerstreetpac.com/poll-voters-prefer-kelly-over-masters-55-to-38-as-kellys-favorability-soars%ef%bf%bc/
  235. Ascend Action (R)
    https://www.ascendaction.com/_files/ugd/8e917f_9eb6b6b87ed848f8a5eedeceb0cb949b.pdf
  236. OnMessage Inc. (R)
    https://sentinelactionfund.nyc3.digitaloceanspaces.com/Sentinel-Action-AZ-Memo-10-22-Final-Draft.docx.pdf
  237. OH Predictive Insights
    https://web.archive.org/web/20221012223758/https://blog.ohpredictive.com/press-releases/u.s.-senate-race-kelly-holds-the-lead-over-masters?hss_channel=tw-804770917846876160
  238. Big Data Poll (R)
    https://creativedestructionmedia.com/news/politics/2022/10/06/cdmedia-big-data-poll-mark-kelly-blake-masters-neck-and-neck-for-arizona-senate/
  239. YouGov/CBS News
    https://www.cbsnews.com/news/mark-kelly-opinion-poll-arizona-senate-economy-abortion-immigration-2022-10-05/
  240. CNN/SSRS
    https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/23126492-cnn-poll-arizona-october-2022
  241. Fox News
    https://static.foxnews.com/foxnews.com/content/uploads/2022/09/AZ-topline_Sen-Gov-General_conducted-September-22-26_released-Sep-29-2022.pdf
  242. Suffolk University
    https://www.suffolk.edu/-/media/suffolk/documents/academics/research-at-suffolk/suprc/polls/other-states/2022/9_27_2022_marginals.pdf
  243. Marist College
    https://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/Marist-Poll_AZ-NOS-and-Tables_202209260853.pdf
  244. Data for Progress (D)
    https://www.filesforprogress.org/datasets/2022/9/dfp_az_midterm_toplines.pdf
  245. The Trafalgar Group (R)
    https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/AZ-Gen-0918-Poll-Report.pdf
  246. Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
    https://www.aarp.org/content/dam/aarp/research/surveys_statistics/politics/2022/aarp-arizona-2022-elections-voter-survey-governor.doi.10.26419-2Fres.00550.011.pdf
  247. Kurt Jetta (D)
    https://centerstreetpac.com/senate-polls-extremist-candidates-trail-democrats-in-arizona-georgia-and-pennsylvania-rubio-lee-maintain-leads-in-florida-and-utah/
  248. OH Predictive Insights
    https://web.archive.org/web/20220921112228/https://blog.ohpredictive.com/press-releases/us-senate-race-kelly-takes-a-double-digit-lead-over-masters
  249. Emerson College
    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/arizona-2022-mark-kelly-faces-tight-race-with-blake-masters-katie-hobbs-and-kari-lake-in-dead-heat-for-governorship/
  250. InsiderAdvantage (R)
    https://www.fox10phoenix.com/news/2022-elections-arizona-governors-election-neck-and-neck-kelly-ahead-of-masters-in-senate-race
  251. Echelon Insights
    https://netchoice.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/NetChoice-August-2022-Polling-Echelon-Insights.pdf
  252. The Trafalgar Group (R)
    https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/08/AZ-Gen-0829-Poll-Report.pdf
  253. RMG Research
    https://www.thecentersquare.com/arizona/poll-az-voters-divided-on-abortion-energy-subsidies-united-against-higher-taxes-and-bad-economy/article_5f59ac06-254e-11ed-afb6-d77a76fe5437.html
  254. Fox News
    https://static.foxnews.com/foxnews.com/content/uploads/2022/08/AZ-topline_Sen-Gov-General_conducted-August-12-16_released-Aug-18-2022.pdf
  255. Kurt Jetta (D)
    https://centerstreetpac.com/poll-mark-kelly-leads-blake-masters-54-to-40-in-arizona/
  256. OnMessage Inc. (R)
    https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000182-64db-de24-abe3-7ddbb5d70000
  257. Beacon Research (D)
    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1dpEVLGBylSShNPmNmirGz_w35jckVRbj/edit#gid=1688304518
  258. Fabrizio Lee (R)
    https://web.archive.org/web/20220809234801/https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20220804_AZ_Fabrizio.pdf
  259. Change Research (D)
    https://futuremajority.org/wp-content/uploads/FM-Memo-June-30-2022-Swing-States-Poll-Toplines.pdf
  260. Blueprint Polling (D)
    https://blueprintpolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/051822-BPP-AZ-Survey-1.pdf
  261. Data for Progress (D)
    https://www.filesforprogress.org/datasets/2022/1/dfp_az_sen_g2022_toplines.pdf
  262. OH Predictive Insights
    https://f.hubspotusercontent40.net/hubfs/7453540/AZPOP/210503_AZPOP/Arizona%20Public%20Opinion%20Pulse%20(AZPOP)%20-%20Arizona%20Senate.pdf
  263. OH Predictive Insights
    https://web.archive.org/web/20220602202128/https://blog.ohpredictive.com/press-releases/biden-remains-underwater-as-midterms-approach
  264. HighGround Public Affairs (R)
    https://azhighground.com/senator-mark-kelly-maintains-four-point-advantage-over-unnamed-republican-opponent/
  265. OH Predictive Insights
    https://web.archive.org/web/20220325174228/https://blog.ohpredictive.com/press-releases/midterm-check-in-everything-is-tight
  266. Arizona Secretary of State
    https://web.archive.org/web/20230116042343/https://azsos.gov/sites/default/files/2022Dec05_General_Election_Canvass_Web.pdf
  267. Dave's Redistricting
    https://davesredistricting.org/maps#viewmap::4ee8ecf2-14b7-4a8d-99bc-82fa633a9305
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