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2022 United States House of Representatives election in Wyoming

Updated: Wikipedia source

2022 United States House of Representatives election in Wyoming

The 2022 United States House of Representatives election in Wyoming was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the U.S. representative for Wyoming's at-large congressional district. The election coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. Although incumbent Republican Liz Cheney had been reelected with 68.6% of the vote in 2020, she faced backlash from her party for her opposition to Donald Trump, vocal support of Trump's second impeachment, and vote in favor and service on the January 6th Committee. She was defeated by pro-Trump candidate Harriet Hageman in the Republican primary on August 16, 2022, with a landslide 66.3% of the vote going to Hageman. Cheney's margin of defeat marked the second-worst for a House incumbent in the last 60 years, behind that of South Carolina Republican Bob Inglis in a 2010 primary runoff. Democrats nominated nonprofit founder Lynnette Grey Bull, who was also their nominee in 2020. As expected in the solidly Republican state of Wyoming, Hageman won in a landslide. However, Grey Bull did manage to flip Albany County, which she had lost in 2020.

Infobox

Turnout
66.6%
Nominee
Harriet Hageman
Party
Republican
Popular vote
132,206
Percentage
68.18%

Tables

2022 Wyoming Republican U.S. Representative primary debates · Republican primary › Debates and forums
P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee   W  Withdrawn
P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee   W  Withdrawn
No.
P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee   W  Withdrawn
Liz Cheney
Liz Cheney
No.
Liz Cheney
Date
Robyn Belinskey
Host
Anthony Bouchard
Moderator
Harriet Hageman
Link
Denton Knapp
Participants
Chuck Gray
Participants
Bryan Miller
Participants
Darin Smith
1
1
No.
1
Date
June 30, 2022
Host
Wyoming PBS
Moderator
Bob Beck Steve Peck Craig Blumenshine Steven Dahl
Participants
P
Participants
P
Participants
P
Participants
P
Participants
P
Participants
W
Participants
W
Participants
W
No.
Date
Host
Moderator
Link
Participants
P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn
Liz Cheney
Robyn Belinskey
Anthony Bouchard
Harriet Hageman
Denton Knapp
Chuck Gray
Bryan Miller
Darin Smith
1
June 30, 2022
Wyoming PBS
Bob Beck Steve Peck Craig Blumenshine Steven Dahl
P
P
P
P
P
W
W
W
· Republican primary › Polling
RealClearPolitics
RealClearPolitics
Source of pollaggregation
RealClearPolitics
Datesadministered
July 7 – August 6, 2022
Datesupdated
August 12, 2022
AnthonyBouchard
3.5%
LizCheney
29.0%
HarrietHageman
54.5%
Undecided
13.0%
Margin
Hageman +25.5
Source of pollaggregation
Datesadministered
Datesupdated
AnthonyBouchard
LizCheney
HarrietHageman
Undecided
Margin
RealClearPolitics
July 7 – August 6, 2022
August 12, 2022
3.5%
29.0%
54.5%
13.0%
Hageman +25.5
· Republican primary › Polling
University of Wyoming
University of Wyoming
Poll source
University of Wyoming
Date(s)administered
July 25 – August 6, 2022
Samplesize
562 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.1%
AnthonyBouchard
2%
LizCheney
28%
ChuckGray
–
HarrietHageman
57%
DarinSmith
–
Other
1%
Undecided
12%
WPA Intelligence (R)
WPA Intelligence (R)
Poll source
WPA Intelligence (R)
Date(s)administered
July 12–14, 2022
Samplesize
400 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.9%
AnthonyBouchard
5%
LizCheney
31%
ChuckGray
–
HarrietHageman
59%
DarinSmith
–
Other
–
Undecided
5%
5%
5%
Poll source
5%
Date(s)administered
36%
Samplesize
–
Marginof error
54%
AnthonyBouchard
–
LizCheney
–
ChuckGray
5%
5%
5%
Poll source
5%
Date(s)administered
39%
Samplesize
–
Marginof error
51%
AnthonyBouchard
–
LizCheney
–
ChuckGray
5%
Mason-Dixon
Mason-Dixon
Poll source
Mason-Dixon
Date(s)administered
July 7–11, 2022
Samplesize
1,100 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
AnthonyBouchard
5%
LizCheney
30%
ChuckGray
–
HarrietHageman
52%
DarinSmith
–
Other
2%
Undecided
11%
Fabrizio Lee (R)
Fabrizio Lee (R)
Poll source
Fabrizio Lee (R)
Date(s)administered
June 1–2, 2022
Samplesize
400 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.9%
AnthonyBouchard
8%
LizCheney
28%
ChuckGray
–
HarrietHageman
56%
DarinSmith
–
Other
<1%
Undecided
7%
WPA Intelligence (R)
WPA Intelligence (R)
Poll source
WPA Intelligence (R)
Date(s)administered
May 24–25, 2022
Samplesize
400 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.9%
AnthonyBouchard
12%
LizCheney
26%
ChuckGray
–
HarrietHageman
56%
DarinSmith
–
Other
–
Undecided
6%
Fabrizio Lee (R)
Fabrizio Lee (R)
Poll source
Fabrizio Lee (R)
Date(s)administered
December 14–15, 2021
Samplesize
400 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.9%
AnthonyBouchard
13%
LizCheney
26%
ChuckGray
–
HarrietHageman
34%
DarinSmith
–
Other
2%
Undecided
26%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
Poll source
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
Date(s)administered
July 26, 2021
Samplesize
300 (LV)
Marginof error
± 5.6%
AnthonyBouchard
17%
LizCheney
23%
ChuckGray
18%
HarrietHageman
–
DarinSmith
7%
Other
5%
Undecided
30%
–
–
Poll source
–
Date(s)administered
23%
Samplesize
25%
Marginof error
–
AnthonyBouchard
14%
LizCheney
–
ChuckGray
39%
–
–
Poll source
–
Date(s)administered
24%
Samplesize
63%
Marginof error
–
AnthonyBouchard
–
LizCheney
–
ChuckGray
14%
Remington Research Group (R)
Remington Research Group (R)
Poll source
Remington Research Group (R)
Date(s)administered
July 25–26, 2021
Samplesize
766 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.3%
AnthonyBouchard
18%
LizCheney
19%
ChuckGray
14%
HarrietHageman
–
DarinSmith
24%
Other
–
Undecided
25%
–
–
Poll source
–
Date(s)administered
20%
Samplesize
–
Marginof error
–
AnthonyBouchard
70%
LizCheney
–
ChuckGray
10%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
Poll source
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
Date(s)administered
January 25–26, 2021
Samplesize
– (LV)
Marginof error
–
AnthonyBouchard
28%
LizCheney
21%
ChuckGray
17%
HarrietHageman
–
DarinSmith
–
Other
–
Undecided
34%
50%
50%
Poll source
50%
Date(s)administered
23%
Samplesize
–
Marginof error
–
AnthonyBouchard
–
LizCheney
–
ChuckGray
27%
–
–
Poll source
–
Date(s)administered
23%
Samplesize
50%
Marginof error
–
AnthonyBouchard
–
LizCheney
–
ChuckGray
27%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
AnthonyBouchard
LizCheney
ChuckGray
HarrietHageman
DarinSmith
Other
Undecided
University of Wyoming
July 25 – August 6, 2022
562 (LV)
± 4.1%
2%
28%
–
57%
–
1%
12%
WPA Intelligence (R)
July 12–14, 2022
400 (LV)
± 4.9%
5%
31%
–
59%
–
–
5%
5%
36%
–
54%
–
–
5%
5%
39%
–
51%
–
–
5%
Mason-Dixon
July 7–11, 2022
1,100 (LV)
± 3.0%
5%
30%
–
52%
–
2%
11%
Fabrizio Lee (R)
June 1–2, 2022
400 (LV)
± 4.9%
8%
28%
–
56%
–
<1%
7%
WPA Intelligence (R)
May 24–25, 2022
400 (LV)
± 4.9%
12%
26%
–
56%
–
–
6%
Fabrizio Lee (R)
December 14–15, 2021
400 (LV)
± 4.9%
13%
26%
–
34%
–
2%
26%
September 14, 2021
Gray suspends his campaign
September 9, 2021
Smith withdraws and endorses Hageman
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
July 26, 2021
300 (LV)
± 5.6%
17%
23%
18%
–
7%
5%
30%
–
23%
25%
–
14%
–
39%
–
24%
63%
–
–
–
14%
Remington Research Group (R)
July 25–26, 2021
766 (LV)
± 3.3%
18%
19%
14%
–
24%
–
25%
–
20%
–
–
70%
–
10%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
January 25–26, 2021
– (LV)
–
28%
21%
17%
–
–
–
34%
50%
23%
–
–
–
–
27%
–
23%
50%
–
–
–
27%
Republican primary results August 16, 2022[83] · Republican primary › Results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
170,490
Candidate
100.0
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Republican
Harriet Hageman
113,079
66.3%
Republican
Liz Cheney (incumbent)
49,339
28.9%
Republican
Anthony Bouchard
4,508
2.6%
Republican
Denton Knapp
2,258
1.3%
Republican
Robyn Belinskey
1,306
0.8%
Total votes
170,490
100.0
2022 Wyoming Democratic U.S. Representative primary debates · Democratic primary › Debates and forums
P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee   W  Withdrawn
P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee   W  Withdrawn
No.
P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee   W  Withdrawn
Lynnette Grey Bull
Lynnette Grey Bull
No.
Lynnette Grey Bull
Date
Meghan Jensen
Host
Steve Helling
1
1
No.
1
Date
August 4, 2022
Host
Wyoming PBS
Moderators
Bob Beck Steve Peck Craig Blumenshine
Participants
P
Participants
P
Participants
P
No.
Date
Host
Moderators
Link
Participants
P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn
Lynnette Grey Bull
Meghan Jensen
Steve Helling
1
August 4, 2022
Wyoming PBS
Bob Beck Steve Peck Craig Blumenshine
P
P
P
Democratic primary results August 16, 2022[83] · Democratic primary › Results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
7,237
Candidate
100.0
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Democratic
Lynnette Grey Bull
4,507
62.3
Democratic
Meghan Jensen
1,833
25.3
Democratic
Steve Helling
897
12.4
Total votes
7,237
100.0
· General election › Predictions
Solid R
Solid R
Source
The Cook Political Report
Ranking
Solid R
As of
October 25, 2022
Solid R
Solid R
Source
Inside Elections
Ranking
Solid R
As of
October 11, 2021
Safe R
Safe R
Source
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Ranking
Safe R
As of
October 5, 2021
Solid R
Solid R
Source
Politico
Ranking
Solid R
As of
April 5, 2022
Safe R
Safe R
Source
RCP
Ranking
Safe R
As of
June 9, 2022
Solid R
Solid R
Source
Fox News
Ranking
Solid R
As of
July 11, 2022
Solid R
Solid R
Source
DDHQ
Ranking
Solid R
As of
July 20, 2022
Solid R
Solid R
Source
538
Ranking
Solid R
As of
June 30, 2022
Source
Ranking
As of
The Cook Political Report
Solid R
October 25, 2022
Inside Elections
Solid R
October 11, 2021
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Safe R
October 5, 2021
Politico
Solid R
April 5, 2022
RCP
Safe R
June 9, 2022
Fox News
Solid R
July 11, 2022
DDHQ
Solid R
July 20, 2022
538
Solid R
June 30, 2022
2022 Wyoming U.S. House of Representatives debate · General election › Debate
Key: P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Key: P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
No.
Key: P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Harriet Hageman
Harriet Hageman
No.
Harriet Hageman
Date
Lynette Grey Bull
Host
Richard Brubaker
Moderator
Marissa Selvig
1
1
No.
1
Date
Oct. 13, 2022
Host
Central Wyoming CollegeWyoming PBSWyoming Public Media
Moderator
Craig Blumenshine
Republican
A
Democratic
P
Libertarian
P
Constitution
P
No.
Date
Host
Moderator
Link
Republican
Democratic
Libertarian
Constitution
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn
Harriet Hageman
Lynette Grey Bull
Richard Brubaker
Marissa Selvig
1
Oct. 13, 2022
Central Wyoming CollegeWyoming PBSWyoming Public Media
Craig Blumenshine
A
P
P
P
· General election › Polling
University of Wyoming
University of Wyoming
Poll source
University of Wyoming
Date(s)administered
October 22 – November 3, 2022
Samplesize
436 (LV)
Marginof error
–
HarrietHageman (R)
62%
LynnetteGrey Bull (D)
23%
Others
4%
Undecided
11%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
HarrietHageman (R)
LynnetteGrey Bull (D)
Others
Undecided
University of Wyoming
October 22 – November 3, 2022
436 (LV)
–
62%
23%
4%
11%
2022 Wyoming's at-large congressional district election[103] · General election › Results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
193,902
Candidate
100.00%
Votes
N/A
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
mw- ±%
Republican
Harriet Hageman
132,206
68.18%
−0.37
Democratic
Lynnette Grey Bull
47,250
24.37%
−0.22
Libertarian
Richard Brubaker
5,420
2.80%
−0.95
Write-in
4,521
2.33%
+2.14
Constitution
Marissa Selvig
4,505
2.32%
−0.60
Total votes
193,902
100.00%
N/A
Republican hold
#
#
County
#
Harriet HagemanRepublican
%
Harriet HagemanRepublican
#
Lynnette Grey BullDemocratic
%
Lynnette Grey BullDemocratic
#
Richard BrubakerLibertarian
%
Richard BrubakerLibertarian
#
Marissa SelvigConstitution
%
Marissa SelvigConstitution
#
Write-in
%
Write-in
#
Margin
%
Albany
Albany
County
Albany
Harriet HagemanRepublican
5,699
Harriet HagemanRepublican
45.17
Lynnette Grey BullDemocratic
6,085
Lynnette Grey BullDemocratic
48.23
Richard BrubakerLibertarian
306
Richard BrubakerLibertarian
2.43
Marissa SelvigConstitution
214
Marissa SelvigConstitution
1.70
Write-in
313
Write-in
2.48
Margin
-386
Margin
3.06
Total votes
12,617
Big Horn
Big Horn
County
Big Horn
Harriet HagemanRepublican
3,449
Harriet HagemanRepublican
81.46
Lynnette Grey BullDemocratic
504
Lynnette Grey BullDemocratic
11.90
Richard BrubakerLibertarian
97
Richard BrubakerLibertarian
2.29
Marissa SelvigConstitution
108
Marissa SelvigConstitution
2.55
Write-in
76
Write-in
1.79
Margin
2,945
Margin
69.56
Total votes
4,234
Campbell
Campbell
County
Campbell
Harriet HagemanRepublican
10,446
Harriet HagemanRepublican
84.07
Lynnette Grey BullDemocratic
1,215
Lynnette Grey BullDemocratic
9.78
Richard BrubakerLibertarian
320
Richard BrubakerLibertarian
2.58
Marissa SelvigConstitution
268
Marissa SelvigConstitution
2.16
Write-in
177
Write-in
1.42
Margin
9,231
Margin
74.29
Total votes
12,426
Carbon
Carbon
County
Carbon
Harriet HagemanRepublican
3,434
Harriet HagemanRepublican
73.33
Lynnette Grey BullDemocratic
892
Lynnette Grey BullDemocratic
19.05
Richard BrubakerLibertarian
170
Richard BrubakerLibertarian
3.63
Marissa SelvigConstitution
126
Marissa SelvigConstitution
2.69
Write-in
61
Write-in
1.30
Margin
2,542
Margin
54.28
Total votes
4,683
Converse
Converse
County
Converse
Harriet HagemanRepublican
4,044
Harriet HagemanRepublican
80.00
Lynnette Grey BullDemocratic
602
Lynnette Grey BullDemocratic
11.91
Richard BrubakerLibertarian
129
Richard BrubakerLibertarian
2.55
Marissa SelvigConstitution
209
Marissa SelvigConstitution
4.13
Write-in
71
Write-in
1.40
Margin
3,442
Margin
68.09
Total votes
5,055
Crook
Crook
County
Crook
Harriet HagemanRepublican
2,814
Harriet HagemanRepublican
85.82
Lynnette Grey BullDemocratic
306
Lynnette Grey BullDemocratic
9.33
Richard BrubakerLibertarian
69
Richard BrubakerLibertarian
2.10
Marissa SelvigConstitution
51
Marissa SelvigConstitution
1.56
Write-in
39
Write-in
1.19
Margin
2,508
Margin
76.49
Total votes
3,279
Fremont
Fremont
County
Fremont
Harriet HagemanRepublican
8,539
Harriet HagemanRepublican
63.66
Lynnette Grey BullDemocratic
3,519
Lynnette Grey BullDemocratic
26.23
Richard BrubakerLibertarian
420
Richard BrubakerLibertarian
3.13
Marissa SelvigConstitution
686
Marissa SelvigConstitution
5.11
Write-in
250
Write-in
1.86
Margin
5,020
Margin
37.43
Total votes
13,414
Goshen
Goshen
County
Goshen
Harriet HagemanRepublican
3,835
Harriet HagemanRepublican
79.04
Lynnette Grey BullDemocratic
766
Lynnette Grey BullDemocratic
15.79
Richard BrubakerLibertarian
86
Richard BrubakerLibertarian
1.77
Marissa SelvigConstitution
76
Marissa SelvigConstitution
1.57
Write-in
89
Write-in
1.83
Margin
3,069
Margin
63.25
Total votes
4,852
Hot Springs
Hot Springs
County
Hot Springs
Harriet HagemanRepublican
1,641
Harriet HagemanRepublican
75.31
Lynnette Grey BullDemocratic
367
Lynnette Grey BullDemocratic
16.84
Richard BrubakerLibertarian
55
Richard BrubakerLibertarian
2.52
Marissa SelvigConstitution
74
Marissa SelvigConstitution
3.40
Write-in
42
Write-in
1.93
Margin
1,274
Margin
58.47
Total votes
2,179
Johnson
Johnson
County
Johnson
Harriet HagemanRepublican
3,003
Harriet HagemanRepublican
77.82
Lynnette Grey BullDemocratic
601
Lynnette Grey BullDemocratic
15.57
Richard BrubakerLibertarian
100
Richard BrubakerLibertarian
2.59
Marissa SelvigConstitution
61
Marissa SelvigConstitution
1.58
Write-in
94
Write-in
2.44
Margin
2,402
Margin
62.25
Total votes
3,859
Laramie
Laramie
County
Laramie
Harriet HagemanRepublican
17,539
Harriet HagemanRepublican
58.91
Lynnette Grey BullDemocratic
9,572
Lynnette Grey BullDemocratic
32.15
Richard BrubakerLibertarian
914
Richard BrubakerLibertarian
3.07
Marissa SelvigConstitution
863
Marissa SelvigConstitution
2.90
Write-in
883
Write-in
2.97
Margin
7,967
Margin
26.76
Total votes
29,771
Lincoln
Lincoln
County
Lincoln
Harriet HagemanRepublican
6,118
Harriet HagemanRepublican
81.69
Lynnette Grey BullDemocratic
998
Lynnette Grey BullDemocratic
13.33
Richard BrubakerLibertarian
159
Richard BrubakerLibertarian
2.12
Marissa SelvigConstitution
112
Marissa SelvigConstitution
1.50
Write-in
102
Write-in
1.36
Margin
5,120
Margin
68.36
Total votes
7,489
Natrona
Natrona
County
Natrona
Harriet HagemanRepublican
15,399
Harriet HagemanRepublican
68.69
Lynnette Grey BullDemocratic
5,235
Lynnette Grey BullDemocratic
23.35
Richard BrubakerLibertarian
656
Richard BrubakerLibertarian
2.93
Marissa SelvigConstitution
478
Marissa SelvigConstitution
2.13
Write-in
649
Write-in
2.90
Margin
10,164
Margin
45.34
Total votes
22,417
Niobrara
Niobrara
County
Niobrara
Harriet HagemanRepublican
936
Harriet HagemanRepublican
86.43
Lynnette Grey BullDemocratic
75
Lynnette Grey BullDemocratic
6.93
Richard BrubakerLibertarian
16
Richard BrubakerLibertarian
1.48
Marissa SelvigConstitution
39
Marissa SelvigConstitution
3.60
Write-in
17
Write-in
1.57
Margin
861
Margin
79.50
Total votes
1,083
Park
Park
County
Park
Harriet HagemanRepublican
9,658
Harriet HagemanRepublican
76.22
Lynnette Grey BullDemocratic
1,922
Lynnette Grey BullDemocratic
15.17
Richard BrubakerLibertarian
313
Richard BrubakerLibertarian
2.47
Marissa SelvigConstitution
216
Marissa SelvigConstitution
1.70
Write-in
562
Write-in
4.44
Margin
7,736
Margin
61.05
Total votes
12,671
Platte
Platte
County
Platte
Harriet HagemanRepublican
3,107
Harriet HagemanRepublican
78.18
Lynnette Grey BullDemocratic
603
Lynnette Grey BullDemocratic
15.17
Richard BrubakerLibertarian
81
Richard BrubakerLibertarian
2.04
Marissa SelvigConstitution
118
Marissa SelvigConstitution
2.97
Write-in
65
Write-in
1.64
Margin
2,504
Margin
63.01
Total votes
3,974
Sheridan
Sheridan
County
Sheridan
Harriet HagemanRepublican
8,497
Harriet HagemanRepublican
70.33
Lynnette Grey BullDemocratic
2,704
Lynnette Grey BullDemocratic
22.38
Richard BrubakerLibertarian
312
Richard BrubakerLibertarian
2.58
Marissa SelvigConstitution
218
Marissa SelvigConstitution
1.80
Write-in
351
Write-in
2.91
Margin
5,793
Margin
47.95
Total votes
12,082
Sublette
Sublette
County
Sublette
Harriet HagemanRepublican
2,768
Harriet HagemanRepublican
77.97
Lynnette Grey BullDemocratic
604
Lynnette Grey BullDemocratic
17.01
Richard BrubakerLibertarian
71
Richard BrubakerLibertarian
2.00
Marissa SelvigConstitution
48
Marissa SelvigConstitution
1.35
Write-in
59
Write-in
1.66
Margin
2,164
Margin
60.96
Total votes
3,550
Sweetwater
Sweetwater
County
Sweetwater
Harriet HagemanRepublican
8,362
Harriet HagemanRepublican
70.71
Lynnette Grey BullDemocratic
2,555
Lynnette Grey BullDemocratic
21.60
Richard BrubakerLibertarian
493
Richard BrubakerLibertarian
4.17
Marissa SelvigConstitution
225
Marissa SelvigConstitution
1.90
Write-in
191
Write-in
1.62
Margin
5,807
Margin
49.11
Total votes
11,826
Teton
Teton
County
Teton
Harriet HagemanRepublican
2,957
Harriet HagemanRepublican
29.38
Lynnette Grey BullDemocratic
6,447
Lynnette Grey BullDemocratic
64.05
Richard BrubakerLibertarian
335
Richard BrubakerLibertarian
3.33
Marissa SelvigConstitution
67
Marissa SelvigConstitution
0.67
Write-in
259
Write-in
2.57
Margin
-3,490
Margin
-34.67
Total votes
10,065
Uinta
Uinta
County
Uinta
Harriet HagemanRepublican
5,119
Harriet HagemanRepublican
78.18
Lynnette Grey BullDemocratic
987
Lynnette Grey BullDemocratic
15.07
Richard BrubakerLibertarian
178
Richard BrubakerLibertarian
2.72
Marissa SelvigConstitution
161
Marissa SelvigConstitution
2.46
Write-in
103
Write-in
1.57
Margin
5,260
Margin
57.76
Total votes
9,107
Washakie
Washakie
County
Washakie
Harriet HagemanRepublican
2,430
Harriet HagemanRepublican
80.04
Lynnette Grey BullDemocratic
435
Lynnette Grey BullDemocratic
14.33
Richard BrubakerLibertarian
93
Richard BrubakerLibertarian
3.06
Marissa SelvigConstitution
43
Marissa SelvigConstitution
1.42
Write-in
35
Write-in
1.15
Margin
1,995
Margin
65.71
Total votes
3,036
Weston
Weston
County
Weston
Harriet HagemanRepublican
2,412
Harriet HagemanRepublican
86.39
Lynnette Grey BullDemocratic
256
Lynnette Grey BullDemocratic
9.17
Richard BrubakerLibertarian
47
Richard BrubakerLibertarian
1.68
Marissa SelvigConstitution
44
Marissa SelvigConstitution
1.58
Write-in
33
Write-in
1.18
Margin
2,156
Margin
77.22
Total votes
2,792
Totals
Totals
County
Totals
Harriet HagemanRepublican
132,206
Harriet HagemanRepublican
68.18
Lynnette Grey BullDemocratic
47,250
Lynnette Grey BullDemocratic
24.37
Richard BrubakerLibertarian
5,420
Richard BrubakerLibertarian
2.80
Marissa SelvigConstitution
4,505
Marissa SelvigConstitution
2.32
Write-in
4,521
Write-in
2.33
Margin
84,956
Margin
43.81
Total votes
193,902
County
Harriet HagemanRepublican
Lynnette Grey BullDemocratic
Richard BrubakerLibertarian
Marissa SelvigConstitution
Write-in
Margin
Total votes
#
%
#
%
#
%
#
%
#
%
#
%
Albany
5,699
45.17
6,085
48.23
306
2.43
214
1.70
313
2.48
-386
3.06
12,617
Big Horn
3,449
81.46
504
11.90
97
2.29
108
2.55
76
1.79
2,945
69.56
4,234
Campbell
10,446
84.07
1,215
9.78
320
2.58
268
2.16
177
1.42
9,231
74.29
12,426
Carbon
3,434
73.33
892
19.05
170
3.63
126
2.69
61
1.30
2,542
54.28
4,683
Converse
4,044
80.00
602
11.91
129
2.55
209
4.13
71
1.40
3,442
68.09
5,055
Crook
2,814
85.82
306
9.33
69
2.10
51
1.56
39
1.19
2,508
76.49
3,279
Fremont
8,539
63.66
3,519
26.23
420
3.13
686
5.11
250
1.86
5,020
37.43
13,414
Goshen
3,835
79.04
766
15.79
86
1.77
76
1.57
89
1.83
3,069
63.25
4,852
Hot Springs
1,641
75.31
367
16.84
55
2.52
74
3.40
42
1.93
1,274
58.47
2,179
Johnson
3,003
77.82
601
15.57
100
2.59
61
1.58
94
2.44
2,402
62.25
3,859
Laramie
17,539
58.91
9,572
32.15
914
3.07
863
2.90
883
2.97
7,967
26.76
29,771
Lincoln
6,118
81.69
998
13.33
159
2.12
112
1.50
102
1.36
5,120
68.36
7,489
Natrona
15,399
68.69
5,235
23.35
656
2.93
478
2.13
649
2.90
10,164
45.34
22,417
Niobrara
936
86.43
75
6.93
16
1.48
39
3.60
17
1.57
861
79.50
1,083
Park
9,658
76.22
1,922
15.17
313
2.47
216
1.70
562
4.44
7,736
61.05
12,671
Platte
3,107
78.18
603
15.17
81
2.04
118
2.97
65
1.64
2,504
63.01
3,974
Sheridan
8,497
70.33
2,704
22.38
312
2.58
218
1.80
351
2.91
5,793
47.95
12,082
Sublette
2,768
77.97
604
17.01
71
2.00
48
1.35
59
1.66
2,164
60.96
3,550
Sweetwater
8,362
70.71
2,555
21.60
493
4.17
225
1.90
191
1.62
5,807
49.11
11,826
Teton
2,957
29.38
6,447
64.05
335
3.33
67
0.67
259
2.57
-3,490
-34.67
10,065
Uinta
5,119
78.18
987
15.07
178
2.72
161
2.46
103
1.57
5,260
57.76
9,107
Washakie
2,430
80.04
435
14.33
93
3.06
43
1.42
35
1.15
1,995
65.71
3,036
Weston
2,412
86.39
256
9.17
47
1.68
44
1.58
33
1.18
2,156
77.22
2,792
Totals
132,206
68.18
47,250
24.37
5,420
2.80
4,505
2.32
4,521
2.33
84,956
43.81
193,902

References

  1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. Key:A – all adultsRV – registered votersLV – likely votersV – unclear
  3. Knapp with 1%; Belinskey with 0%
  4. Turnout scenario with registered Democrats as 13% of primary voters
  5. Turnout scenario with registered Democrats as 20% of primary voters
  6. Turnout scenario with registered Democrats as 25% of primary voters
  7. Belinskey and Knapp with 1%
  8. Belinskey and Knapp with <1%
  9. Belinskey and Knapp with 1%
  10. Buchanan with 3%, Biteman with 2%
  11. Republican primary subsample of a poll of 500 likely general election voters (margin of error ± 4.4%)
  12. Richard Brubaker (L) with 3%; Marissa Selvig (C) with 1%
  13. This poll was sponsored by Club for Growth Action, which opposes Cheney
  14. This poll was sponsored by Wyoming Values PAC, which supports Hageman
  15. This poll was sponsored by Gray's campaign
  16. This poll was sponsored by Smith's campaign
  17. This poll was sponsored by Save America PAC
  18. Wyoming Secretary of State
    https://sos.wyo.gov/Elections/Docs/2020/Results/General/2020_General_Statewide_Candidates_Summary.pdf
  19. Wyoming Secretary of State
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  42. Casper Star-Tribune
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  56. NBC News
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  58. The Hill
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  59. The Hill
    https://news.yahoo.com/two-house-democrats-cut-ads-220328270.html
  60. The Hill
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  61. Patch
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  62. Cowboy State Daily
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  63. "Cheney touts endorsement by Kevin Costner: 'Real men put country over party'"
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  64. "E.J. Dionne endorses Liz Cheney"
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    https://candidates.aipacpac.org/page/featured
  67. The Hill
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    https://www.politico.com/news/2021/09/10/trump-aides-cheney-challenger-511083
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  70. Fox News
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  72. "Rand Paul Endorses Hageman for Congress"
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  73. KPVI
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  74. CBS News
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  75. Axios
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  76. GETTR
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  77. Oil City News
    https://oilcity.news/community/2022/05/28/speakers-prime-ford-wyoming-center-for-trump-appearance/
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  95. Fabrizio Lee (R)
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  96. WPA Intelligence (R)
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  97. McLaughlin & Associates (R)
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  98. Remington Research Group (R)
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  99. McLaughlin & Associates (R)
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  100. "Primary Election Candidate Roster"
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    https://www.latimes.com/politics/story/2022-08-16/rep-liz-cheney-concedes-wyoming-gop-primary-to-trump-backed-challenger
  107. Secretary of State of Wyoming
    https://sos.wyo.gov/Elections/Docs/VRStats/2021/21DecVR_stats.pdf
  108. The Cook Political Report
    https://cookpolitical.com/ratings/house-race-ratings
  109. "House Ratings"
    http://insideelections.com/ratings/house
  110. Sabato's Crystal Ball
    https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2022-house/
  111. "2022 Election Forecast"
    https://www.politico.com/2022-election/race-forecasts-ratings-and-predictions/house/
  112. "Battle for the House 2022"
    https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2022/house/elections-map.html
  113. Fox News
    https://www.foxnews.com/politics/fox-news-power-rankings-gop-expected-take-control-house
  114. DDHQ
    https://forecast.decisiondeskhq.com/house
  115. FiveThirtyEight
    https://web.archive.org/web/20220801005929/https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/
  116. "Hageman declines to debate Grey Bull"
    https://trib.com/news/state-and-regional/govt-and-politics/hageman-declines-to-debate-grey-bull/article_5ff2cecc-3390-11ed-b702-1fff596a4404.html
  117. YouTube
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Mhlm6uJssZ4
  118. "Cheney says she won't vote for Trump-backed Hageman after primary loss"
    https://thehill.com/homenews/house/3659929-cheney-says-she-wont-vote-for-trump-backed-hageman-after-primary-loss/
  119. University of Wyoming
    https://web.archive.org/web/20221105163651/https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20221105_WY_UWyoming.pdf
  120. "Statewide Candidates Unofficial Summary Wyoming General Election - November 8, 2022"
    https://sos.wyo.gov/Elections/Docs/2022/Results/General/2022_General_Statewide_Candidates_Summary.pdf
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