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2022 United States House of Representatives election in Wyoming

Updated: Wikipedia source

2022 United States House of Representatives election in Wyoming

The 2022 United States House of Representatives election in Wyoming was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the U . representative for Wyoming's at-large congressional district. The election coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. Although incumbent Republican Liz Cheney had been reelected with 68 % of the vote in 2020, she faced backlash from her party for her opposition to Donald Trump, vocal support of Trump's second impeachment, and vote in favor and service on the January 6th Committee. She was defeated by pro-Trump candidate Harriet Hageman in the Republican primary on August 16, 2022, with a landslide 66 % of the vote going to Hageman. Cheney's margin of defeat marked the second-worst for a House incumbent in the last 60 years, behind that of South Carolina Republican Bob Inglis in a 2010 primary runoff. Democrats nominated nonprofit founder Lynnette Grey Bull, who was also their nominee in 2020. As expected in the solidly Republican state of Wyoming, Hageman won in a landslide. However, Grey Bull did manage to flip Albany County, which she had lost in 2020.

Infobox

Turnout
66 %
Nominee
Harriet Hageman
Party
Republican
Popular vote
132,206
Percentage
68 %

Tables

2022 Wyoming Republican U . Representative primary debates · Republican primary › Debates and forums
P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee   W  Withdrawn
P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee   W  Withdrawn
No.
P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee   W  Withdrawn
Liz Cheney
Liz Cheney
No.
Liz Cheney
Date
Robyn Belinskey
Host
Anthony Bouchard
Moderator
Harriet Hageman
Link
Denton Knapp
Participants
Chuck Gray
Participants
Bryan Miller
Participants
Darin Smith
1
1
No.
1
Date
June 30, 2022
Host
Wyoming PBS
Moderator
Bob Beck Steve Peck Craig Blumenshine Steven Dahl
Participants
P
Participants
P
Participants
P
Participants
P
Participants
P
Participants
W
Participants
W
No.
Date
Host
Moderator
Link
Participants
P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn
Liz Cheney
Robyn Belinskey
Anthony Bouchard
Harriet Hageman
Denton Knapp
Chuck Gray
Bryan Miller
Darin Smith
1
June 30, 2022
Wyoming PBS
Bob Beck Steve Peck Craig Blumenshine Steven Dahl
P
P
P
P
P
W
W
· Republican primary › Polling
RealClearPolitics
RealClearPolitics
Source of poll aggregation
RealClearPolitics
Dates administered
July 7 – August 6, 2022
Dates updated
August 12, 2022
Anthony Bouchard
3 %
Liz Cheney
29 %
Harriet Hageman
54 %
Undecided
13 %
Margin
Hageman +25
Source of poll aggregation
Dates administered
Dates updated
Anthony Bouchard
Liz Cheney
Harriet Hageman
Undecided
Margin
RealClearPolitics
July 7 – August 6, 2022
August 12, 2022
3 %
29 %
54 %
13 %
Hageman +25
· Republican primary › Polling
University of Wyoming
University of Wyoming
Poll source
University of Wyoming
Date(s) administered
July 25 – August 6, 2022
Sample size
562 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Anthony Bouchard
2%
Liz Cheney
28%
Chuck Gray
–
Harriet Hageman
57%
Darin Smith
–
Other
1%
Undecided
12%
WPA Intelligence (R)
WPA Intelligence (R)
Poll source
WPA Intelligence (R)
Date(s) administered
July 12–14, 2022
Sample size
400 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Anthony Bouchard
5%
Liz Cheney
31%
Chuck Gray
–
Harriet Hageman
59%
Darin Smith
–
Other
–
Undecided
5%
5%
5%
Poll source
5%
Date(s) administered
36%
Sample size
–
Margin of error
54%
Anthony Bouchard
–
Liz Cheney
–
Chuck Gray
5%
5%
5%
Poll source
5%
Date(s) administered
39%
Sample size
–
Margin of error
51%
Anthony Bouchard
–
Liz Cheney
–
Chuck Gray
5%
Mason-Dixon
Mason-Dixon
Poll source
Mason-Dixon
Date(s) administered
July 7–11, 2022
Sample size
1,100 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Anthony Bouchard
5%
Liz Cheney
30%
Chuck Gray
–
Harriet Hageman
52%
Darin Smith
–
Other
2%
Undecided
11%
Fabrizio Lee (R)
Fabrizio Lee (R)
Poll source
Fabrizio Lee (R)
Date(s) administered
June 1–2, 2022
Sample size
400 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Anthony Bouchard
8%
Liz Cheney
28%
Chuck Gray
–
Harriet Hageman
56%
Darin Smith
–
Other
<1%
Undecided
7%
WPA Intelligence (R)
WPA Intelligence (R)
Poll source
WPA Intelligence (R)
Date(s) administered
May 24–25, 2022
Sample size
400 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Anthony Bouchard
12%
Liz Cheney
26%
Chuck Gray
–
Harriet Hageman
56%
Darin Smith
–
Other
–
Undecided
6%
Fabrizio Lee (R)
Fabrizio Lee (R)
Poll source
Fabrizio Lee (R)
Date(s) administered
December 14–15, 2021
Sample size
400 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Anthony Bouchard
13%
Liz Cheney
26%
Chuck Gray
–
Harriet Hageman
34%
Darin Smith
–
Other
2%
Undecided
26%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
Poll source
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
Date(s) administered
July 26, 2021
Sample size
300 (LV)
Margin of error
± 5 %
Anthony Bouchard
17%
Liz Cheney
23%
Chuck Gray
18%
Harriet Hageman
–
Darin Smith
7%
Other
5%
Undecided
30%
–
–
Poll source
–
Date(s) administered
23%
Sample size
25%
Margin of error
–
Anthony Bouchard
14%
Liz Cheney
–
Chuck Gray
39%
–
–
Poll source
–
Date(s) administered
24%
Sample size
63%
Margin of error
–
Anthony Bouchard
–
Liz Cheney
–
Chuck Gray
14%
Remington Research Group (R)
Remington Research Group (R)
Poll source
Remington Research Group (R)
Date(s) administered
July 25–26, 2021
Sample size
766 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Anthony Bouchard
18%
Liz Cheney
19%
Chuck Gray
14%
Harriet Hageman
–
Darin Smith
24%
Other
–
Undecided
25%
–
–
Poll source
–
Date(s) administered
20%
Sample size
–
Margin of error
–
Anthony Bouchard
70%
Liz Cheney
–
Chuck Gray
10%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
Poll source
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
Date(s) administered
January 25–26, 2021
Sample size
– (LV)
Margin of error
–
Anthony Bouchard
28%
Liz Cheney
21%
Chuck Gray
17%
Harriet Hageman
–
Darin Smith
–
Other
–
Undecided
34%
50%
50%
Poll source
50%
Date(s) administered
23%
Sample size
–
Margin of error
–
Anthony Bouchard
–
Liz Cheney
–
Chuck Gray
27%
–
–
Poll source
–
Date(s) administered
23%
Sample size
50%
Margin of error
–
Anthony Bouchard
–
Liz Cheney
–
Chuck Gray
27%
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Anthony Bouchard
Liz Cheney
Chuck Gray
Harriet Hageman
Darin Smith
Other
Undecided
University of Wyoming
July 25 – August 6, 2022
562 (LV)
± 4 %
2%
28%
–
57%
–
1%
12%
WPA Intelligence (R)
July 12–14, 2022
400 (LV)
± 4 %
5%
31%
–
59%
–
–
5%
5%
36%
–
54%
–
–
5%
5%
39%
–
51%
–
–
5%
Mason-Dixon
July 7–11, 2022
1,100 (LV)
± 3 %
5%
30%
–
52%
–
2%
11%
Fabrizio Lee (R)
June 1–2, 2022
400 (LV)
± 4 %
8%
28%
–
56%
–
<1%
7%
WPA Intelligence (R)
May 24–25, 2022
400 (LV)
± 4 %
12%
26%
–
56%
–
–
6%
Fabrizio Lee (R)
December 14–15, 2021
400 (LV)
± 4 %
13%
26%
–
34%
–
2%
26%
September 14, 2021
Gray suspends his campaign
September 9, 2021
Smith withdraws and endorses Hageman
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
July 26, 2021
300 (LV)
± 5 %
17%
23%
18%
–
7%
5%
30%
–
23%
25%
–
14%
–
39%
–
24%
63%
–
–
–
14%
Remington Research Group (R)
July 25–26, 2021
766 (LV)
± 3 %
18%
19%
14%
–
24%
–
25%
–
20%
–
–
70%
–
10%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
January 25–26, 2021
– (LV)
–
28%
21%
17%
–
–
–
34%
50%
23%
–
–
–
–
27%
–
23%
50%
–
–
–
27%
Republican primary results August 16, 2022 · Republican primary › Results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
170,490
Candidate
100
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Republican
Harriet Hageman
113,079
66 %
Republican
Liz Cheney (incumbent)
49,339
28 %
Republican
Anthony Bouchard
4,508
2 %
Republican
Denton Knapp
2,258
1 %
Republican
Robyn Belinskey
1,306
0 %
Total votes
170,490
100
2022 Wyoming Democratic U . Representative primary debates · Democratic primary › Debates and forums
P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee   W  Withdrawn
P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee   W  Withdrawn
No.
P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee   W  Withdrawn
Lynnette Grey Bull
Lynnette Grey Bull
No.
Lynnette Grey Bull
Date
Meghan Jensen
Host
Steve Helling
1
1
No.
1
Date
August 4, 2022
Host
Wyoming PBS
Moderators
Bob Beck Steve Peck Craig Blumenshine
Participants
P
Participants
P
Participants
P
No.
Date
Host
Moderators
Link
Participants
P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn
Lynnette Grey Bull
Meghan Jensen
Steve Helling
1
August 4, 2022
Wyoming PBS
Bob Beck Steve Peck Craig Blumenshine
P
P
P

References

  1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. Key: A – all adults RV – registered voters LV – likely voters V – unclear
  3. Knapp with 1%; Belinskey with 0%
  4. Turnout scenario with registered Democrats as 13% of primary voters
  5. Turnout scenario with registered Democrats as 20% of primary voters
  6. Turnout scenario with registered Democrats as 25% of primary voters
  7. Belinskey and Knapp with 1%
  8. Belinskey and Knapp with <1%
  9. Belinskey and Knapp with 1%
  10. Buchanan with 3%, Biteman with 2%
  11. Republican primary subsample of a poll of 500 likely general election voters (margin of error ± 4 %)
  12. Richard Brubaker (L) with 3%; Marissa Selvig (C) with 1%
  13. This poll was sponsored by Club for Growth Action, which opposes Cheney
  14. This poll was sponsored by Wyoming Values PAC, which supports Hageman
  15. This poll was sponsored by Gray's campaign
  16. This poll was sponsored by Smith's campaign
  17. This poll was sponsored by Save America PAC
  18. Wyoming Secretary of State
    https://sos.wyo.gov/Elections/Docs/2020/Results/General/2020_General_Statewide_Candidates_Summary.pdf
  19. Wyoming Secretary of State
    https://sos.wyo.gov/Elections/Docs/2022/2022_Key_Election_Dates.pdf
  20. "Cheney's loss may be the second worst for a House incumbent in 60 years"
    https://www.cnn.com/2022/08/17/politics/liz-cheney-worst-defeat-house-incumbent/index.html
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