Topzle Topzle

2020 United States presidential election in Wisconsin

Updated: Wikipedia source

2020 United States presidential election in Wisconsin

The 2020 United States presidential election in Wisconsin was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Wisconsin voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Wisconsin has 10 electoral votes in the Electoral College. The 2020 Democratic National Convention was scheduled to be held at the Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, but it was moved to the nearby Wisconsin Center due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Polls of Wisconsin in the lead-up to election day showed a clear Biden lead, averaging in the high single digits. Prior to election day, most news organizations considered that the state was leaning towards Biden. Wisconsin was ultimately won by Biden by a narrow 0 % margin over Trump, a far closer margin than expected and the closest margin since 2004. Trump had won the state in 2016 by 0 % against Hillary Clinton and he would do so again in 2024 by 0 % against Kamala Harris; however, Biden carried the state with a slightly larger margin than Al Gore did in 2000 by 0 % or John Kerry did in 2004 by 0 %, both times against George W. Bush. Once again, Trump significantly outperformed his polling average, which had Biden up 8 points in the state, but not enough to win the state. Trump held his own in counties in northern Wisconsin and in the WOW counties. Biden won the highest vote share for a Democrat in Waukesha County, at 38 %, since Jimmy Carter in 1976. Trump carried Brown County, which is Republican-leaning but competitive, though Biden won the city of Green Bay and improved on Clinton's margin in the county at large by about 3 points. Biden won back Sauk County, a county in the driftless region of southwestern Wisconsin; Biden also flipped Door County, which has voted for the winning candidate in each election since 1980, excluding both the 1992 and 2024 elections. On November 18, Trump announced that he would request a recount in Milwaukee County and Dane County. On November 29, both counties re-affirmed Biden's victory, giving him a net gain of 87 votes over Trump. With Ohio, Florida, and Iowa backing the losing candidate for the first time since 1960, 1992, and 2000 respectively, this election established Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania as the states with the longest bellwether streak still in effect today. The last time any of them voted against the winning candidate was 2004, when all three voted for losing Democrat John Kerry. Wisconsin voted 3 % more Republican than the nation in general. This is the first time since 2004 that Wisconsin did not vote for the same candidate as neighboring Iowa.

Infobox

Turnout
72 %
Nominee
Joe Biden
Party
Democratic
Home state
Delaware
Running mate
Kamala Harris
Electoral vote
10
Popular vote
1,630,866
Percentage
49 %

Tables

2020 Wisconsin Democratic presidential primary · Primary elections › Democratic primary
Joe Biden
Joe Biden
Candidate
Joe Biden
Votes
581,463
%
62
Delegates
56
Bernie Sanders
Bernie Sanders
Candidate
Bernie Sanders
Votes
293,441
%
31
Delegates
28
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn)
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn)
Candidate
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn)
Votes
14,060
%
1
Michael Bloomberg (withdrawn)
Michael Bloomberg (withdrawn)
Candidate
Michael Bloomberg (withdrawn)
Votes
8,846
%
0
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn)
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn)
Candidate
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn)
Votes
6,079
%
0
Tulsi Gabbard (withdrawn)
Tulsi Gabbard (withdrawn)
Candidate
Tulsi Gabbard (withdrawn)
Votes
5,565
%
0
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)
Candidate
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)
Votes
4,946
%
0
Andrew Yang (withdrawn)
Andrew Yang (withdrawn)
Candidate
Andrew Yang (withdrawn)
Votes
3,349
%
0
Tom Steyer (withdrawn)
Tom Steyer (withdrawn)
Candidate
Tom Steyer (withdrawn)
Votes
836
%
0
John Delaney (withdrawn)
John Delaney (withdrawn)
Candidate
John Delaney (withdrawn)
Votes
529
%
0
Michael Bennet (withdrawn)
Michael Bennet (withdrawn)
Candidate
Michael Bennet (withdrawn)
Votes
475
%
0
Deval Patrick (withdrawn)
Deval Patrick (withdrawn)
Candidate
Deval Patrick (withdrawn)
Votes
311
%
0
Write-in votes
Write-in votes
Candidate
Write-in votes
Votes
1,575
%
0
Uninstructed Delegate
Uninstructed Delegate
Candidate
Uninstructed Delegate
Votes
3,590
%
0
Total
Total
Candidate
Total
Votes
925,065
%
100%
Delegates
84
Candidate
Votes
%
Delegates
Joe Biden
581,463
62
56
Bernie Sanders
293,441
31
28
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn)
14,060
1
Michael Bloomberg (withdrawn)
8,846
0
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn)
6,079
0
Tulsi Gabbard (withdrawn)
5,565
0
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)
4,946
0
Andrew Yang (withdrawn)
3,349
0
Tom Steyer (withdrawn)
836
0
John Delaney (withdrawn)
529
0
Michael Bennet (withdrawn)
475
0
Deval Patrick (withdrawn)
311
0
Write-in votes
1,575
0
Uninstructed Delegate
3,590
0
Total
925,065
100%
84
2020 Wisconsin Republican primary · Primary elections › Republican primary
Donald Trump
Donald Trump
Candidate
Donald Trump
Votes
616,780
%
97 %
Delegates
52
Adam Nicholas Paul (write-in)
Adam Nicholas Paul (write-in)
Candidate
Adam Nicholas Paul (write-in)
Votes
246
%
0 %
Uninstructed
Uninstructed
Candidate
Uninstructed
Votes
11,246
%
1 %
Scattering
Scattering
Candidate
Scattering
Votes
1,924
%
0 %
Total
Total
Candidate
Total
Votes
630,196
%
100%
Delegates
52
Candidate
Votes
%
Delegates
Donald Trump
616,780
97 %
52
Adam Nicholas Paul (write-in)
246
0 %
Uninstructed
11,246
1 %
Scattering
1,924
0 %
Total
630,196
100%
52
· General election › Final predictions
Lean D (flip)
Lean D (flip)
Source
The Cook Political Report
Ranking
Lean D (flip)
Lean D (flip)
Lean D (flip)
Source
Inside Elections
Ranking
Lean D (flip)
Lean D (flip)
Lean D (flip)
Source
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Ranking
Lean D (flip)
Lean D (flip)
Lean D (flip)
Source
Politico
Ranking
Lean D (flip)
Tossup
Tossup
Source
RCP
Ranking
Tossup
Likely D (flip)
Likely D (flip)
Source
Niskanen
Ranking
Likely D (flip)
Lean D (flip)
Lean D (flip)
Source
CNN
Ranking
Lean D (flip)
Likely D (flip)
Likely D (flip)
Source
The Economist
Ranking
Likely D (flip)
Lean D (flip)
Lean D (flip)
Source
CBS News
Ranking
Lean D (flip)
Lean D (flip)
Lean D (flip)
Source
270towin
Ranking
Lean D (flip)
Lean D (flip)
Lean D (flip)
Source
ABC News
Ranking
Lean D (flip)
Lean D (flip)
Lean D (flip)
Source
NPR
Ranking
Lean D (flip)
Lean D (flip)
Lean D (flip)
Source
NBC News
Ranking
Lean D (flip)
Likely D (flip)
Likely D (flip)
Source
538
Ranking
Likely D (flip)
Source
Ranking
The Cook Political Report
Lean D (flip)
Inside Elections
Lean D (flip)
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Lean D (flip)
Politico
Lean D (flip)
RCP
Tossup
Niskanen
Likely D (flip)
CNN
Lean D (flip)
The Economist
Likely D (flip)
CBS News
Lean D (flip)
270towin
Lean D (flip)
ABC News
Lean D (flip)
NPR
Lean D (flip)
NBC News
Lean D (flip)
538
Likely D (flip)
· General election › Polling › Aggregate polls
270 to Win
270 to Win
Source of poll aggregation
270 to Win
Dates administered
November 1–2, 2020
Dates updated
November 3, 2020
Donald Trump Republican
42 %
Joe Biden Democratic
52 %
Other/ Undecided
5 %
Margin
Biden +9
Real Clear Politics
Real Clear Politics
Source of poll aggregation
Real Clear Politics
Dates administered
October 21 – November 1, 2020
Dates updated
November 3, 2020
Donald Trump Republican
44 %
Joe Biden Democratic
51 %
Other/ Undecided
4 %
Margin
Biden +6
FiveThirtyEight
FiveThirtyEight
Source of poll aggregation
FiveThirtyEight
Dates administered
until November 2, 2020
Dates updated
November 3, 2020
Donald Trump Republican
43 %
Joe Biden Democratic
52 %
Other/ Undecided
4 %
Margin
Biden +8
Average
Average
Source of poll aggregation
Average
Dates administered
43 %
Dates updated
51 %
Donald Trump Republican
4 %
Joe Biden Democratic
Biden +8
Source of poll aggregation
Dates administered
Dates updated
Donald Trump Republican
Joe Biden Democratic
Other/ Undecided
Margin
270 to Win
November 1–2, 2020
November 3, 2020
42 %
52 %
5 %
Biden +9
Real Clear Politics
October 21 – November 1, 2020
November 3, 2020
44 %
51 %
4 %
Biden +6
FiveThirtyEight
until November 2, 2020
November 3, 2020
43 %
52 %
4 %
Biden +8
Average
43 %
51 %
4 %
Biden +8
· General election › Polling › 2020 polls
SurveyMonkey/Axios
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Poll source
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Date(s) administered
Oct 20 – Nov 2
Sample size
2,814 (LV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Donald Trump Republican
44%
Joe Biden Democratic
54%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
Undecided
Research Co.
Research Co.
Poll source
Research Co.
Date(s) administered
Oct 31 – Nov 1
Sample size
450 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Donald Trump Republican
45%
Joe Biden Democratic
54%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
1%
Undecided
7%
Change Research/CNBC
Change Research/CNBC
Poll source
Change Research/CNBC
Date(s) administered
Oct 29 – Nov 1
Sample size
553 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Donald Trump Republican
45%
Joe Biden Democratic
53%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
2%
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
Undecided
0%
Civiqs/Daily Kos
Civiqs/Daily Kos
Poll source
Civiqs/Daily Kos
Date(s) administered
Oct 29 – Nov 1
Sample size
789 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
47%
Joe Biden Democratic
51%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
1%
Undecided
0%
Swayable
Swayable
Poll source
Swayable
Date(s) administered
Oct 27 – Nov 1
Sample size
253 (LV)
Margin of error
± 8 %
Donald Trump Republican
45%
Joe Biden Democratic
55%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
1%
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
Undecided
Ipsos/Reuters
Ipsos/Reuters
Poll source
Ipsos/Reuters
Date(s) administered
Oct 27 – Nov 1
Sample size
696 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Donald Trump Republican
43%
Joe Biden Democratic
53%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
2%
Howie Hawkins Green
0%
Other
2%
Undecided
43%
43%
Poll source
43%
Date(s) administered
53%
Sample size
-
Margin of error
-
Donald Trump Republican
2%
Joe Biden Democratic
2%
45%
45%
Poll source
45%
Date(s) administered
53%
Sample size
-
Margin of error
-
Donald Trump Republican
2%
Joe Biden Democratic
AtlasIntel
AtlasIntel
Poll source
AtlasIntel
Date(s) administered
Oct 30–31
Sample size
781 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3%
Donald Trump Republican
49%
Joe Biden Democratic
51%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
Undecided
1%
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc./Center for American Greatness
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc./Center for American Greatness
Poll source
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc./Center for American Greatness
Date(s) administered
Oct 29–31
Sample size
450 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Donald Trump Republican
46%
Joe Biden Democratic
49%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
2%
Undecided
1%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s) administered
Oct 22–31
Sample size
1,002 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3%
Donald Trump Republican
41%
Joe Biden Democratic
54%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
Undecided
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s) administered
Oct 29–30
Sample size
751 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
45%
Joe Biden Democratic
52%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
2%
Undecided
AtlasIntel
AtlasIntel
Poll source
AtlasIntel
Date(s) administered
Oct 29–30
Sample size
672 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4%
Donald Trump Republican
50%
Joe Biden Democratic
49%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
2%
Undecided
CNN/SSRS
CNN/SSRS
Poll source
CNN/SSRS
Date(s) administered
Oct 29–30
Sample size
873 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
44%
Joe Biden Democratic
52%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
3%
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
0%
Undecided
2%
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Poll source
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Date(s) administered
Oct 26–30
Sample size
1,253 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
41%
Joe Biden Democratic
52%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
2%
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
1%
Undecided
4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s) administered
Oct 26–29
Sample size
800 (LV)
Margin of error
Donald Trump Republican
41%
Joe Biden Democratic
53%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
2%
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
1%
Undecided
2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Poll source
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Date(s) administered
Oct 1–28
Sample size
4,569 (LV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Donald Trump Republican
43%
Joe Biden Democratic
55%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
Undecided
Swayable
Swayable
Poll source
Swayable
Date(s) administered
Oct 23–26
Sample size
313 (LV)
Margin of error
± 7 %
Donald Trump Republican
45%
Joe Biden Democratic
54%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
1%
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
Undecided
Ipsos/Reuters
Ipsos/Reuters
Poll source
Ipsos/Reuters
Date(s) administered
Oct 20–26
Sample size
664 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Donald Trump Republican
44%
Joe Biden Democratic
53%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
2%
Howie Hawkins Green
1%
Other
3%
Undecided
44%
44%
Poll source
44%
Date(s) administered
53%
Sample size
-
Margin of error
-
Donald Trump Republican
2%
Joe Biden Democratic
2%
Trafalgar Group
Trafalgar Group
Poll source
Trafalgar Group
Date(s) administered
Oct 24–25
Sample size
1,082 (LV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Donald Trump Republican
47%
Joe Biden Democratic
47%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
3%
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
1%
Undecided
1%
Marquette Law School
Marquette Law School
Poll source
Marquette Law School
Date(s) administered
Oct 21–25
Sample size
749 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Donald Trump Republican
43%
Joe Biden Democratic
48%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
2%
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
7%
Undecided
0%
ABC/Washington Post
ABC/Washington Post
Poll source
ABC/Washington Post
Date(s) administered
Oct 20–25
Sample size
809 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4%
Donald Trump Republican
40%
Joe Biden Democratic
57%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
2%
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
1%
Undecided
1%
Gravis Marketing
Gravis Marketing
Poll source
Gravis Marketing
Date(s) administered
Oct 23
Sample size
677 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
43%
Joe Biden Democratic
54%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
Undecided
3%
YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison
YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison
Poll source
YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison
Date(s) administered
Oct 13–21
Sample size
647 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Donald Trump Republican
44%
Joe Biden Democratic
53%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
3%
Undecided
Fox News
Fox News
Poll source
Fox News
Date(s) administered
Oct 17–20
Sample size
1,037 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3%
Donald Trump Republican
44%
Joe Biden Democratic
49%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
2%
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
1%
Undecided
4%
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ
Poll source
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ
Date(s) administered
Oct 14–20
Sample size
800 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
44%
Joe Biden Democratic
50%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
3%
Undecided
4%
42%
42%
Poll source
42%
Date(s) administered
52%
Sample size
-
Margin of error
-
Donald Trump Republican
3%
Joe Biden Democratic
4%
45%
45%
Poll source
45%
Date(s) administered
48%
Sample size
-
Margin of error
-
Donald Trump Republican
3%
Joe Biden Democratic
4%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s) administered
Oct 11–20
Sample size
1,038 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3%
Donald Trump Republican
42%
Joe Biden Democratic
54%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
Undecided
Susquehanna Polling and Research Inc./Center for American Greatness
Susquehanna Polling and Research Inc./Center for American Greatness
Poll source
Susquehanna Polling and Research Inc./Center for American Greatness
Date(s) administered
Oct 16–19
Sample size
500 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Donald Trump Republican
45%
Joe Biden Democratic
45%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
5%
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
3%
Undecided
3%
Change Research/CNBC
Change Research/CNBC
Poll source
Change Research/CNBC
Date(s) administered
Oct 16–19
Sample size
447 (LV)
Margin of error
Donald Trump Republican
44%
Joe Biden Democratic
52%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
Undecided
Latino Decisions/DFER
Latino Decisions/DFER
Poll source
Latino Decisions/DFER
Date(s) administered
Oct 14–19
Sample size
400 (LV)
Margin of error
± 5%
Donald Trump Republican
45%
Joe Biden Democratic
50%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
Undecided
4%
Ipsos/Reuters
Ipsos/Reuters
Poll source
Ipsos/Reuters
Date(s) administered
Oct 13–19
Sample size
663 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Donald Trump Republican
45%
Joe Biden Democratic
51%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
2%
Howie Hawkins Green
0%
Other
3%
Undecided
43%
43%
Poll source
43%
Date(s) administered
51%
Sample size
-
Margin of error
-
Donald Trump Republican
3%
Joe Biden Democratic
3%
Trafalgar Group
Trafalgar Group
Poll source
Trafalgar Group
Date(s) administered
Oct 14–16
Sample size
1,051 (LV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Donald Trump Republican
46%
Joe Biden Democratic
48%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
2%
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
1%
Undecided
3%
YouGov/CBS
YouGov/CBS
Poll source
YouGov/CBS
Date(s) administered
Oct 13–16
Sample size
1,112 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
45%
Joe Biden Democratic
50%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
3%
Undecided
2%
Trafalgar Group/Restoration PAC
Trafalgar Group/Restoration PAC
Poll source
Trafalgar Group/Restoration PAC
Date(s) administered
Oct 11–13
Sample size
1,043 (LV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Donald Trump Republican
45%
Joe Biden Democratic
47%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
3%
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
2%
Undecided
3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s) administered
Oct 10–13
Sample size
691 (LV)
Margin of error
Donald Trump Republican
40%
Joe Biden Democratic
53%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
2%
Howie Hawkins Green
0%
Other
Undecided
David Binder Research/Focus on Rural America
David Binder Research/Focus on Rural America
Poll source
David Binder Research/Focus on Rural America
Date(s) administered
Oct 10–13
Sample size
200 (LV)
Margin of error
Donald Trump Republican
43%
Joe Biden Democratic
53%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
Undecided
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising
Poll source
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising
Date(s) administered
Oct 8–11
Sample size
560 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Donald Trump Republican
45%
Joe Biden Democratic
53%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
2%
Undecided
1%
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Poll source
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Date(s) administered
Oct 8–11
Sample size
789 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4%
Donald Trump Republican
41%
Joe Biden Democratic
51%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
3%
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
0%
Undecided
5%
Ipsos/Reuters
Ipsos/Reuters
Poll source
Ipsos/Reuters
Date(s) administered
Oct 6–11
Sample size
577 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Donald Trump Republican
45%
Joe Biden Democratic
51%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
2%
Howie Hawkins Green
0%
Other
1%
Undecided
44%
44%
Poll source
44%
Date(s) administered
51%
Sample size
-
Margin of error
-
Donald Trump Republican
3%
Joe Biden Democratic
2%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s) administered
Oct 2–11
Sample size
1,067 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3%
Donald Trump Republican
44%
Joe Biden Democratic
51%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s) administered
Oct 9–10
Sample size
613 (LV)
Margin of error
Donald Trump Republican
45%
Joe Biden Democratic
49%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
2%
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
Undecided
Baldwin Wallace University
Baldwin Wallace University
Poll source
Baldwin Wallace University
Date(s) administered
Sep 30 – Oct 8
Sample size
883 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
43%
Joe Biden Democratic
49%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
2%
Howie Hawkins Green
0%
Other
1%
Undecided
6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s) administered
Oct 4–7
Sample size
688 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
41%
Joe Biden Democratic
51%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
1%
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
1%
Undecided
6%
Ipsos/Reuters
Ipsos/Reuters
Poll source
Ipsos/Reuters
Date(s) administered
Sep 29 – Oct 5
Sample size
601 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Donald Trump Republican
44%
Joe Biden Democratic
50%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
2%
Undecided
4%
Change Research/CNBC
Change Research/CNBC
Poll source
Change Research/CNBC
Date(s) administered
Oct 2–4
Sample size
442 (LV)
Margin of error
Donald Trump Republican
44%
Joe Biden Democratic
51%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
Undecided
Marquette Law School
Marquette Law School
Poll source
Marquette Law School
Date(s) administered
Sep 30 – Oct 4
Sample size
805 (RV)
Margin of error
Donald Trump Republican
41%
Joe Biden Democratic
46%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
5%
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
7%
Undecided
2%
700 (LV)
700 (LV)
Poll source
700 (LV)
Date(s) administered
42%
Sample size
47%
Margin of error
4%
Donald Trump Republican
-
Joe Biden Democratic
2%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
1%
SurveyMonkey/Axios
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Poll source
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Date(s) administered
Sep 1–30
Sample size
3,806 (LV)
Margin of error
Donald Trump Republican
44%
Joe Biden Democratic
53%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
Undecided
2%
Trafalgar Group/Restoration PAC
Trafalgar Group/Restoration PAC
Poll source
Trafalgar Group/Restoration PAC
Date(s) administered
Sep 25–28
Sample size
1,084 (LV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Donald Trump Republican
44%
Joe Biden Democratic
47%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
3%
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
2%
Undecided
3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s) administered
Sep 23–27
Sample size
663 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
43%
Joe Biden Democratic
48%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
2%
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
0%
Undecided
7%
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc./Center for American Greatness
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc./Center for American Greatness
Poll source
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc./Center for American Greatness
Date(s) administered
Sep 23–26
Sample size
500 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Donald Trump Republican
46%
Joe Biden Democratic
48%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
Undecided
Trafalgar Group (R)
Trafalgar Group (R)
Poll source
Trafalgar Group (R)
Date(s) administered
Sep 22–24
Sample size
1,189 (LV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Donald Trump Republican
45%
Joe Biden Democratic
48%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
3%
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
2%
Undecided
3%
Marist College/NBC
Marist College/NBC
Poll source
Marist College/NBC
Date(s) administered
Sep 20–24
Sample size
727 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Donald Trump Republican
44%
Joe Biden Democratic
54%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
1%
Undecided
1%
Baldwin Wallace University
Baldwin Wallace University
Poll source
Baldwin Wallace University
Date(s) administered
Sep 9–22
Sample size
863 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
41%
Joe Biden Democratic
50%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
2%
Howie Hawkins Green
0%
Other
1%
Undecided
6%
YouGov/UW-Madison Elections Research Center/Wisconsin State Journal
YouGov/UW-Madison Elections Research Center/Wisconsin State Journal
Poll source
YouGov/UW-Madison Elections Research Center/Wisconsin State Journal
Date(s) administered
Sep 10–21
Sample size
664 (LV)
Margin of error
Donald Trump Republican
46%
Joe Biden Democratic
50%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
Undecided
Change Research/CNBC
Change Research/CNBC
Poll source
Change Research/CNBC
Date(s) administered
Sep 18–20
Sample size
571 (LV)
Margin of error
Donald Trump Republican
42%
Joe Biden Democratic
51%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
Undecided
Hart Research Associates/Human Rights Campaign
Hart Research Associates/Human Rights Campaign
Poll source
Hart Research Associates/Human Rights Campaign
Date(s) administered
Sep 17–19
Sample size
400 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Donald Trump Republican
44%
Joe Biden Democratic
51%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s) administered
Sep 12–16
Sample size
636 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
41%
Joe Biden Democratic
47%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
1%
Howie Hawkins Green
1%
Other
1%
Undecided
10%
Ipsos/Reuters
Ipsos/Reuters
Poll source
Ipsos/Reuters
Date(s) administered
Sep 11–16
Sample size
609 (LV)
Margin of error
Donald Trump Republican
43%
Joe Biden Democratic
48%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
2%
Undecided
6%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s) administered
Sep 7–16
Sample size
800 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
42%
Joe Biden Democratic
51%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
Undecided
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising
Poll source
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising
Date(s) administered
Sep 11–15
Sample size
549 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
44%
Joe Biden Democratic
51%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
2%
Undecided
2%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s) administered
Sep 6–15
Sample size
800 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
42%
Joe Biden Democratic
51%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
Undecided
CNN/SSRS
CNN/SSRS
Poll source
CNN/SSRS
Date(s) administered
Sep 9–13
Sample size
816 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Donald Trump Republican
42%
Joe Biden Democratic
52%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
3%
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
1%
Undecided
1%
ABC/Washington Post
ABC/Washington Post
Poll source
ABC/Washington Post
Date(s) administered
Sep 8–13
Sample size
605 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Donald Trump Republican
46%
Joe Biden Democratic
52%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
1%
Undecided
1%
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Poll source
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Date(s) administered
Sep 8–10
Sample size
760 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Donald Trump Republican
43%
Joe Biden Democratic
48%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
2%
Howie Hawkins Green
0%
Other
2%
Undecided
6%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s) administered
Sep 6–8
Sample size
823 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
45%
Joe Biden Democratic
52%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
4%
Undecided
Benenson Strategy Group/GS Group/AARP
Benenson Strategy Group/GS Group/AARP
Poll source
Benenson Strategy Group/GS Group/AARP
Date(s) administered
Aug 28 – Sep 8
Sample size
1,200 (LV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Donald Trump Republican
45%
Joe Biden Democratic
50%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
1%
Undecided
4%
Change Research/CNBC
Change Research/CNBC
Poll source
Change Research/CNBC
Date(s) administered
Sep 4–6
Sample size
501 (LV)
Margin of error
Donald Trump Republican
44%
Joe Biden Democratic
50%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
6%
Undecided
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s) administered
Aug 27 – Sep 5
Sample size
763 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
44%
Joe Biden Democratic
50%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
Undecided
YouGov/CBS
YouGov/CBS
Poll source
YouGov/CBS
Date(s) administered
Sep 2–4
Sample size
978 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
44%
Joe Biden Democratic
50%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
2%
Undecided
4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s) administered
Aug 30 – Sep 4
Sample size
670 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
41%
Joe Biden Democratic
50%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
2%
Howie Hawkins Green
0%
Other
0%
Undecided
6%
Marquette Law School
Marquette Law School
Poll source
Marquette Law School
Date(s) administered
Aug 30 – Sep 3
Sample size
688 (LV)
Margin of error
Donald Trump Republican
44%
Joe Biden Democratic
48%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
4%
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
2%
Undecided
2%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports
Poll source
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports
Date(s) administered
Sep 1–2
Sample size
1,000 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3%
Donald Trump Republican
43%
Joe Biden Democratic
51%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
3%
Undecided
2%
Fox News
Fox News
Poll source
Fox News
Date(s) administered
Aug 29 – Sep 1
Sample size
801 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
42%
Joe Biden Democratic
50%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
2%
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
1%
Undecided
5%
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Donald Trump Republican
Joe Biden Democratic
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Oct 20 – Nov 2
2,814 (LV)
± 2 %
44%
54%
-
-
Research Co.
Oct 31 – Nov 1
450 (LV)
± 4 %
45%
54%
-
-
1%
7%
Change Research/CNBC
Oct 29 – Nov 1
553 (LV)
± 4 %
45%
53%
2%
-
0%
Civiqs/Daily Kos
Oct 29 – Nov 1
789 (LV)
± 3 %
47%
51%
-
-
1%
0%
Swayable
Oct 27 – Nov 1
253 (LV)
± 8 %
45%
55%
1%
-
Ipsos/Reuters
Oct 27 – Nov 1
696 (LV)
± 4 %
43%
53%
2%
0%
2%
43%
53%
-
-
2%
2%
45%
53%
-
-
2%
AtlasIntel
Oct 30–31
781 (LV)
± 3%
49%
51%
-
-
1%
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc./Center for American Greatness
Oct 29–31
450 (LV)
± 4 %
46%
49%
-
-
2%
1%
Morning Consult
Oct 22–31
1,002 (LV)
± 3%
41%
54%
-
-
Emerson College
Oct 29–30
751 (LV)
± 3 %
45%
52%
-
-
2%
AtlasIntel
Oct 29–30
672 (LV)
± 4%
50%
49%
-
-
2%
CNN/SSRS
Oct 29–30
873 (LV)
± 3 %
44%
52%
3%
-
0%
2%
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Oct 26–30
1,253 (LV)
± 3 %
41%
52%
2%
-
1%
4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Oct 26–29
800 (LV)
41%
53%
2%
-
1%
2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Oct 1–28
4,569 (LV)
± 2 %
43%
55%
-
-
Swayable
Oct 23–26
313 (LV)
± 7 %
45%
54%
1%
-
Ipsos/Reuters
Oct 20–26
664 (LV)
± 4 %
44%
53%
2%
1%
3%
44%
53%
-
-
2%
2%
Trafalgar Group
Oct 24–25
1,082 (LV)
± 2 %
47%
47%
3%
-
1%
1%
Marquette Law School
Oct 21–25
749 (LV)
± 4 %
43%
48%
2%
-
7%
0%
ABC/Washington Post
Oct 20–25
809 (LV)
± 4%
40%
57%
2%
-
1%
1%
Gravis Marketing
Oct 23
677 (LV)
± 3 %
43%
54%
-
-
3%
YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison
Oct 13–21
647 (LV)
± 4 %
44%
53%
-
-
3%
Fox News
Oct 17–20
1,037 (LV)
± 3%
44%
49%
2%
-
1%
4%
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ
Oct 14–20
800 (LV)
± 3 %
44%
50%
-
-
3%
4%
42%
52%
-
-
3%
4%
45%
48%
-
-
3%
4%
Morning Consult
Oct 11–20
1,038 (LV)
± 3%
42%
54%
-
-
Susquehanna Polling and Research Inc./Center for American Greatness
Oct 16–19
500 (LV)
± 4 %
45%
45%
5%
-
3%
3%
Change Research/CNBC
Oct 16–19
447 (LV)
44%
52%
-
-
Latino Decisions/DFER
Oct 14–19
400 (LV)
± 5%
45%
50%
-
-
4%
Ipsos/Reuters
Oct 13–19
663 (LV)
± 4 %
45%
51%
2%
0%
3%
43%
51%
-
-
3%
3%
Trafalgar Group
Oct 14–16
1,051 (LV)
± 2 %
46%
48%
2%
-
1%
3%
YouGov/CBS
Oct 13–16
1,112 (LV)
± 3 %
45%
50%
-
-
3%
2%
Trafalgar Group/Restoration PAC
Oct 11–13
1,043 (LV)
± 2 %
45%
47%
3%
2%
3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Oct 10–13
691 (LV)
40%
53%
2%
0%
David Binder Research/Focus on Rural America
Oct 10–13
200 (LV)
43%
53%
-
-
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising
Oct 8–11
560 (LV)
± 4 %
45%
53%
-
-
2%
1%
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Oct 8–11
789 (LV)
± 4%
41%
51%
3%
-
0%
5%
Ipsos/Reuters
Oct 6–11
577 (LV)
± 4 %
45%
51%
2%
0%
1%
44%
51%
-
-
3%
2%
Morning Consult
Oct 2–11
1,067 (LV)
± 3%
44%
51%
-
-
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Oct 9–10
613 (LV)
45%
49%
2%
-
Baldwin Wallace University
Sep 30 – Oct 8
883 (LV)
± 3 %
43%
49%
2%
0%
1%
6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Oct 4–7
688 (LV)
± 3 %
41%
51%
1%
-
1%
6%
Ipsos/Reuters
Sep 29 – Oct 5
601 (LV)
± 4 %
44%
50%
-
-
2%
4%

References

  1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. Key: A – all adults RV – registered voters LV – likely voters V – unclear
  3. Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  4. "Someone else" with 1%
  5. Standard VI response
  6. "Some other candidate" with 2%; West (B) and would not vote with 0%
  7. If only Biden, Trump and "some other candidate" were available
  8. "Some other candidate" with 2%; would not vote with 0%
  9. Results considering those who lean towards a given candidate among those initially predisposed towards abstention, indec
  10. "Some other candidate" with 2%
  11. "Other" and "Refused/would not vote" with 1%
  12. With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  13. "Someone else" with 2%
  14. "None of these" and "Other" with 0%
  15. "Someone else" with 1%; would not vote with 0%
  16. Includes "Refused"
  17. "Some other candidate" with 1%; West (B) and would not vote with 0%
  18. "Refused" with 6%; "None/other" with 1%; Did not vote with 0%
  19. "None of these" with 1%; "Other" with 0%; would not vote with no voters
  20. Includes Undecided
Image
Source:
Tip: Wheel or +/− to zoom, drag to pan, Esc to close.