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2020 United States presidential election in Virginia

Updated: Wikipedia source

2020 United States presidential election in Virginia

The 2020 United States presidential election in Virginia was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Virginia voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Virginia has 13 electoral votes in the Electoral College. Prior to the election, most news organizations considered this a state Biden would win, or a likely blue state. On the day of the election, Biden won Virginia with 54 % of the vote, and by a margin of 10 %, the best performance for a Democratic presidential candidate since Franklin D. Roosevelt in 1944. Trump became the first Republican incumbent to consecutively lose Virginia since William Howard Taft and Biden became the first Democratic nominee to win Chesterfield County and Lynchburg City since 1948, Virginia Beach City since 1964, James City County since 1968, and Stafford County since 1976. He also flipped Chesapeake City back to the Democratic Party. Trump flipped no counties or independent cities in the state. Nevertheless, Biden became the first Democrat since 1960 to win without Westmoreland County, a notable bellwether. He was the first Democrat to ever win without Caroline County, Nelson County, or Covington. The rapid growth of Northern Virginia as well as sliding suburban support for Republicans allowed Biden to win the once-key battleground state without actively campaigning in it. Biden won Henrico County, Loudoun County, Prince William County, and Fairfax County with 63 %, 61 %, 63 %, and 69 %, respectively; all four were former suburban bastions of the Republican Party in Virginia, the first outside Richmond and the others in Northern Virginia. All four had voted Republican in every election from 1968 through 2000. In Arlington County, a closer DC-area suburban county that had turned Democratic several decades earlier, Biden won with 80 % of the vote, becoming the first nominee of either party in more than a century to do so. Biden's combined margin in Fairfax, Prince William, Loudoun, and Arlington Counties was greater than his statewide margin of victory. Crucially for his performance in Northern Virginia, Biden carried government workers by 18%.

Infobox

Turnout
75 % (2 pp)
Nominee
Joe Biden
Party
Democratic
Home state
Delaware
Running mate
Kamala Harris
Electoral vote
13
Popular vote
2,413,568
Percentage
54 %

Tables

2020 Virginia Democratic presidential primary
Joe Biden
Joe Biden
Candidate
Joe Biden
Votes
705,501
%
53
Delegates
67
Bernie Sanders
Bernie Sanders
Candidate
Bernie Sanders
Votes
306,388
%
23
Delegates
31
Elizabeth Warren
Elizabeth Warren
Candidate
Elizabeth Warren
Votes
142,546
%
10
Delegates
1
Michael Bloomberg
Michael Bloomberg
Candidate
Michael Bloomberg
Votes
128,030
%
9
Tulsi Gabbard
Tulsi Gabbard
Candidate
Tulsi Gabbard
Votes
11,288
%
0
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)
Candidate
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)
Votes
11,199
%
0
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn)
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn)
Candidate
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn)
Votes
8,414
%
0
Andrew Yang (withdrawn)
Andrew Yang (withdrawn)
Candidate
Andrew Yang (withdrawn)
Votes
3,361
%
0
Cory Booker (withdrawn)
Cory Booker (withdrawn)
Candidate
Cory Booker (withdrawn)
Votes
1,910
%
0
Tom Steyer (withdrawn)
Tom Steyer (withdrawn)
Candidate
Tom Steyer (withdrawn)
Votes
1,472
%
0
Michael Bennet (withdrawn)
Michael Bennet (withdrawn)
Candidate
Michael Bennet (withdrawn)
Votes
1,437
%
0
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn)
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn)
Candidate
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn)
Votes
902
%
0
Julian Castro (withdrawn)
Julian Castro (withdrawn)
Candidate
Julian Castro (withdrawn)
Votes
691
%
0
Deval Patrick (withdrawn)
Deval Patrick (withdrawn)
Candidate
Deval Patrick (withdrawn)
Votes
370
%
0
Write-in votes
Write-in votes
Candidate
Write-in votes
Votes
184
%
0
Total
Total
Candidate
Total
Votes
1,323,693
%
100%
Delegates
99
Candidate
Votes
%
Delegates
Joe Biden
705,501
53
67
Bernie Sanders
306,388
23
31
Elizabeth Warren
142,546
10
1
Michael Bloomberg
128,030
9
Tulsi Gabbard
11,288
0
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)
11,199
0
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn)
8,414
0
Andrew Yang (withdrawn)
3,361
0
Cory Booker (withdrawn)
1,910
0
Tom Steyer (withdrawn)
1,472
0
Michael Bennet (withdrawn)
1,437
0
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn)
902
0
Julian Castro (withdrawn)
691
0
Deval Patrick (withdrawn)
370
0
Write-in votes
184
0
Total
1,323,693
100%
99
· Primary elections › Green primary
Candidate
Candidate
2020 Green Party of Virginia primary
Candidate
2020 Green Party of Virginia primary
Round 1
2020 Green Party of Virginia primary
Round 2
2020 Green Party of Virginia primary
Round 3
2020 Green Party of Virginia primary
Round 4
Votes
Votes
2020 Green Party of Virginia primary
Votes
2020 Green Party of Virginia primary
%
2020 Green Party of Virginia primary
Votes
2020 Green Party of Virginia primary
%
2020 Green Party of Virginia primary
Votes
2020 Green Party of Virginia primary
%
2020 Green Party of Virginia primary
Votes
2020 Green Party of Virginia primary
%
Howie Hawkins
Howie Hawkins
2020 Green Party of Virginia primary
Howie Hawkins
2020 Green Party of Virginia primary
42
2020 Green Party of Virginia primary
62 %
2020 Green Party of Virginia primary
42
2020 Green Party of Virginia primary
62 %
2020 Green Party of Virginia primary
43
2020 Green Party of Virginia primary
64 %
2020 Green Party of Virginia primary
44
2020 Green Party of Virginia primary
65 %
Dario Hunter
Dario Hunter
2020 Green Party of Virginia primary
Dario Hunter
2020 Green Party of Virginia primary
17
2020 Green Party of Virginia primary
25 %
2020 Green Party of Virginia primary
18
2020 Green Party of Virginia primary
26 %
2020 Green Party of Virginia primary
21
2020 Green Party of Virginia primary
31 %
2020 Green Party of Virginia primary
23
2020 Green Party of Virginia primary
34 %
Kent Mesplay
Kent Mesplay
2020 Green Party of Virginia primary
Kent Mesplay
2020 Green Party of Virginia primary
3
2020 Green Party of Virginia primary
4 %
2020 Green Party of Virginia primary
3
2020 Green Party of Virginia primary
4 %
2020 Green Party of Virginia primary
3
2020 Green Party of Virginia primary
4 %
2020 Green Party of Virginia primary
Eliminated
Sedinam Moyowasiza-Curry
Sedinam Moyowasiza-Curry
2020 Green Party of Virginia primary
Sedinam Moyowasiza-Curry
2020 Green Party of Virginia primary
2
2020 Green Party of Virginia primary
3 %
2020 Green Party of Virginia primary
2
2020 Green Party of Virginia primary
3 %
2020 Green Party of Virginia primary
Eliminated
Jill Stein (write-in)
Jill Stein (write-in)
2020 Green Party of Virginia primary
Jill Stein (write-in)
2020 Green Party of Virginia primary
2
2020 Green Party of Virginia primary
3 %
2020 Green Party of Virginia primary
Eliminated
Jesse Ventura (write-in)
Jesse Ventura (write-in)
2020 Green Party of Virginia primary
Jesse Ventura (write-in)
2020 Green Party of Virginia primary
1
2020 Green Party of Virginia primary
1 %
2020 Green Party of Virginia primary
Eliminated
Total votes
Total votes
2020 Green Party of Virginia primary
Total votes
2020 Green Party of Virginia primary
67
2020 Green Party of Virginia primary
100 %
2020 Green Party of Virginia primary
Candidate
Round 1
Round 2
Round 3
Round 4
Votes
%
Votes
%
Votes
%
Votes
%
Howie Hawkins
42
62 %
42
62 %
43
64 %
44
65 %
Dario Hunter
17
25 %
18
26 %
21
31 %
23
34 %
Kent Mesplay
3
4 %
3
4 %
3
4 %
Eliminated
Sedinam Moyowasiza-Curry
2
3 %
2
3 %
Eliminated
Jill Stein (write-in)
2
3 %
Eliminated
Jesse Ventura (write-in)
1
1 %
Eliminated
Total votes
67
100 %
· General election › Predictions
Likely D
Likely D
Source
The Cook Political Report
Ranking
Likely D
As of
November 3, 2020
Solid D
Solid D
Source
Inside Elections
Ranking
Solid D
As of
November 3, 2020
Likely D
Likely D
Source
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Ranking
Likely D
As of
November 3, 2020
Likely D
Likely D
Source
Politico
Ranking
Likely D
As of
November 3, 2020
Lean D
Lean D
Source
RCP
Ranking
Lean D
As of
November 3, 2020
Safe D
Safe D
Source
Niskanen
Ranking
Safe D
As of
November 3, 2020
Solid D
Solid D
Source
CNN
Ranking
Solid D
As of
November 3, 2020
Likely D
Likely D
Source
The Economist
Ranking
Likely D
As of
November 3, 2020
Likely D
Likely D
Source
CBS News
Ranking
Likely D
As of
November 3, 2020
Likely D
Likely D
Source
270towin
Ranking
Likely D
As of
November 3, 2020
Solid D
Solid D
Source
ABC News
Ranking
Solid D
As of
November 3, 2020
Likely D
Likely D
Source
NPR
Ranking
Likely D
As of
September 16, 2020
Likely D
Likely D
Source
NBC News
Ranking
Likely D
As of
November 3, 2020
Solid D
Solid D
Source
538
Ranking
Solid D
As of
November 3, 2020
Source
Ranking
As of
The Cook Political Report
Likely D
November 3, 2020
Inside Elections
Solid D
November 3, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Likely D
November 3, 2020
Politico
Likely D
November 3, 2020
RCP
Lean D
November 3, 2020
Niskanen
Safe D
November 3, 2020
CNN
Solid D
November 3, 2020
The Economist
Likely D
November 3, 2020
CBS News
Likely D
November 3, 2020
270towin
Likely D
November 3, 2020
ABC News
Solid D
November 3, 2020
NPR
Likely D
September 16, 2020
NBC News
Likely D
November 3, 2020
538
Solid D
November 3, 2020
· General election › Polling
270 to Win
270 to Win
Source of poll aggregation
270 to Win
Dates administered
October 15–31, 2020
Dates updated
November 3, 2020
Joe Biden Democratic
52 %
Donald Trump Republican
41 %
Other/ Undecided
6 %
Margin
Biden +11
FiveThirtyEight
FiveThirtyEight
Source of poll aggregation
FiveThirtyEight
Dates administered
until November 2, 2020
Dates updated
November 3, 2020
Joe Biden Democratic
53 %
Donald Trump Republican
41 %
Other/ Undecided
4 %
Margin
Biden +11
Average
Average
Source of poll aggregation
Average
Dates administered
53 %
Dates updated
41 %
Joe Biden Democratic
5 %
Donald Trump Republican
Biden +11
Source of poll aggregation
Dates administered
Dates updated
Joe Biden Democratic
Donald Trump Republican
Other/ Undecided
Margin
270 to Win
October 15–31, 2020
November 3, 2020
52 %
41 %
6 %
Biden +11
FiveThirtyEight
until November 2, 2020
November 3, 2020
53 %
41 %
4 %
Biden +11
Average
53 %
41 %
5 %
Biden +11
· General election › Polling
SurveyMonkey/Axios
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Poll source
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Date(s) administered
Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020
Sample size
4,550 (LV)
Margin of error
± 2%
Donald Trump Republican
41%
Joe Biden Democratic
57%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
Undecided
Swayable
Swayable
Poll source
Swayable
Date(s) administered
Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020
Sample size
467 (LV)
Margin of error
± 6 %
Donald Trump Republican
39%
Joe Biden Democratic
59%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
2%
Howie Hawkins Green
1%
Other
Undecided
Data for Progress
Data for Progress
Poll source
Data for Progress
Date(s) administered
Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020
Sample size
690 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
43%
Joe Biden Democratic
54%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
1%
Howie Hawkins Green
0%
Other
1%
Undecided
Roanoke College
Roanoke College
Poll source
Roanoke College
Date(s) administered
Oct 23–29, 2020
Sample size
802 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
42%
Joe Biden Democratic
53%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
2%
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
1%
Undecided
2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Poll source
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Date(s) administered
Oct 1–28, 2020
Sample size
7,663 (LV)
Margin of error
Donald Trump Republican
43%
Joe Biden Democratic
55%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
Undecided
Christopher Newport University
Christopher Newport University
Poll source
Christopher Newport University
Date(s) administered
Oct 15–27, 2020
Sample size
908 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
41%
Joe Biden Democratic
53%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
2%
Undecided
4%
Swayable
Swayable
Poll source
Swayable
Date(s) administered
Oct 23–26, 2020
Sample size
351 (LV)
Margin of error
± 5 %
Donald Trump Republican
44%
Joe Biden Democratic
55%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
1%
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
Undecided
Virginia Commonwealth University
Virginia Commonwealth University
Poll source
Virginia Commonwealth University
Date(s) administered
Oct 13–22, 2020
Sample size
709 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Donald Trump Republican
39%
Joe Biden Democratic
51%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
2%
Undecided
8%
Schar School/Washington Post
Schar School/Washington Post
Poll source
Schar School/Washington Post
Date(s) administered
Oct 13–19, 2020
Sample size
908 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4%
Donald Trump Republican
41%
Joe Biden Democratic
52%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
3%
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
0%
Undecided
4%
Civiqs/Daily Kos
Civiqs/Daily Kos
Poll source
Civiqs/Daily Kos
Date(s) administered
Oct 11–14, 2020
Sample size
1,231 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
42%
Joe Biden Democratic
55%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
3%
Undecided
1%
Reconnect Research/Roanoke College
Reconnect Research/Roanoke College
Poll source
Reconnect Research/Roanoke College
Date(s) administered
Sep 30 – Oct 12, 2020
Sample size
602 (LV)
Margin of error
Donald Trump Republican
39%
Joe Biden Democratic
54%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
4%
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
-
Undecided
4%
Survey Monkey/Tableau
Survey Monkey/Tableau
Poll source
Survey Monkey/Tableau
Date(s) administered
Sep 15 – Oct 12, 2020
Sample size
4,248 (LV)
Margin of error
Donald Trump Republican
43%
Joe Biden Democratic
55%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
Undecided
2%
Cygnal/Gade for Virginia
Cygnal/Gade for Virginia
Poll source
Cygnal/Gade for Virginia
Date(s) administered
Oct 9–11, 2020
Sample size
607 (LV)
Margin of error
Donald Trump Republican
42%
Joe Biden Democratic
51%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Poll source
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Date(s) administered
Sep 1–30, 2020
Sample size
2,882 (LV)
Margin of error
Donald Trump Republican
42%
Joe Biden Democratic
56%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
Undecided
2%
Cygnal/Gade for Virginia
Cygnal/Gade for Virginia
Poll source
Cygnal/Gade for Virginia
Date(s) administered
Sep 22–25, 2020
Sample size
600 (LV)
Margin of error
Donald Trump Republican
41%
Joe Biden Democratic
52%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
Undecided
Christopher Newport University
Christopher Newport University
Poll source
Christopher Newport University
Date(s) administered
Sep 9–21, 2020
Sample size
796 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
43%
Joe Biden Democratic
48%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
2%
Undecided
7%
Virginia Commonwealth University
Virginia Commonwealth University
Poll source
Virginia Commonwealth University
Date(s) administered
Aug 28 – Sep 7, 2020
Sample size
693 (LV)
Margin of error
± 6 %
Donald Trump Republican
39%
Joe Biden Democratic
52%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
1%
Undecided
8%
SurveyMonkey/Axios
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Poll source
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Date(s) administered
Aug 1–31, 2020
Sample size
2,626 (LV)
Margin of error
Donald Trump Republican
41%
Joe Biden Democratic
57%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
Undecided
2%
Roanoke College
Roanoke College
Poll source
Roanoke College
Date(s) administered
Aug 9–22, 2020
Sample size
566 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Donald Trump Republican
39%
Joe Biden Democratic
53%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
3%
Undecided
5%
SurveyMonkey/Axios
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Poll source
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Date(s) administered
Jul 1–31, 2020
Sample size
3,178 (LV)
Margin of error
Donald Trump Republican
43%
Joe Biden Democratic
55%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
Undecided
2%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s) administered
Jul 17–26, 2020
Sample size
1,156 (LV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Donald Trump Republican
41%
Joe Biden Democratic
52%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
Undecided
Virginia Commonwealth University
Virginia Commonwealth University
Poll source
Virginia Commonwealth University
Date(s) administered
Jul 11–19, 2020
Sample size
725 (LV)
Margin of error
± 6 %
Donald Trump Republican
39%
Joe Biden Democratic
50%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
1%
Undecided
10%
SurveyMonkey/Axios
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Poll source
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Date(s) administered
Jun 8–30, 2020
Sample size
1,619 (LV)
Margin of error
Donald Trump Republican
42%
Joe Biden Democratic
57%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
Undecided
1%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s) administered
May 17–26, 2020
Sample size
1,148 (LV)
Margin of error
Donald Trump Republican
42%
Joe Biden Democratic
52%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
Undecided
Roanoke College
Roanoke College
Poll source
Roanoke College
Date(s) administered
May 3–16, 2020
Sample size
563 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Donald Trump Republican
39%
Joe Biden Democratic
51%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
Undecided
Virginia Commonwealth University
Virginia Commonwealth University
Poll source
Virginia Commonwealth University
Date(s) administered
Mar 25 – Apr 8, 2020
Sample size
812 (A)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Donald Trump Republican
41%
Joe Biden Democratic
51%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
Undecided
8%
Hampton University
Hampton University
Poll source
Hampton University
Date(s) administered
Feb 25–28, 2020
Sample size
768 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
38%
Joe Biden Democratic
45%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
Undecided
Roanoke College
Roanoke College
Poll source
Roanoke College
Date(s) administered
Feb 9–18, 2020
Sample size
520 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Donald Trump Republican
40%
Joe Biden Democratic
48%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
Undecided
Mason-Dixon
Mason-Dixon
Poll source
Mason-Dixon
Date(s) administered
Dec 12–16, 2019
Sample size
625 (RV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Donald Trump Republican
45%
Joe Biden Democratic
49%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
Undecided
6%
Virginia Commonwealth University
Virginia Commonwealth University
Poll source
Virginia Commonwealth University
Date(s) administered
Dec 2–13, 2019
Sample size
728 (LV)
Margin of error
± 5 %
Donald Trump Republican
46%
Joe Biden Democratic
49%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
Undecided
5%
Virginia Commonwealth University
Virginia Commonwealth University
Poll source
Virginia Commonwealth University
Date(s) administered
Sep 23 – Oct 4, 2019
Sample size
645 (LV)
Margin of error
± 5 %
Donald Trump Republican
44%
Joe Biden Democratic
52%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
Undecided
4%
University of Mary Washington/Research America
University of Mary Washington/Research America
Poll source
University of Mary Washington/Research America
Date(s) administered
Sep 3–15, 2019
Sample size
1,009 (A)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
37%
Joe Biden Democratic
55%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
1%
Undecided
4%
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Donald Trump Republican
Joe Biden Democratic
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020
4,550 (LV)
± 2%
41%
57%
-
-
Swayable
Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020
467 (LV)
± 6 %
39%
59%
2%
1%
Data for Progress
Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020
690 (LV)
± 3 %
43%
54%
1%
0%
1%
Roanoke College
Oct 23–29, 2020
802 (LV)
± 3 %
42%
53%
2%
-
1%
2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Oct 1–28, 2020
7,663 (LV)
43%
55%
-
-
Christopher Newport University
Oct 15–27, 2020
908 (LV)
± 3 %
41%
53%
-
-
2%
4%
Swayable
Oct 23–26, 2020
351 (LV)
± 5 %
44%
55%
1%
-
Virginia Commonwealth University
Oct 13–22, 2020
709 (LV)
± 4 %
39%
51%
-
-
2%
8%
Schar School/Washington Post
Oct 13–19, 2020
908 (LV)
± 4%
41%
52%
3%
-
0%
4%
Civiqs/Daily Kos
Oct 11–14, 2020
1,231 (LV)
± 3 %
42%
55%
-
-
3%
1%
Reconnect Research/Roanoke College
Sep 30 – Oct 12, 2020
602 (LV)
39%
54%
4%
-
-
4%
Survey Monkey/Tableau
Sep 15 – Oct 12, 2020
4,248 (LV)
43%
55%
-
-
2%
Cygnal/Gade for Virginia
Oct 9–11, 2020
607 (LV)
42%
51%
-
-
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Sep 1–30, 2020
2,882 (LV)
42%
56%
-
-
2%
Cygnal/Gade for Virginia
Sep 22–25, 2020
600 (LV)
41%
52%
-
-
Christopher Newport University
Sep 9–21, 2020
796 (LV)
± 3 %
43%
48%
-
-
2%
7%
Virginia Commonwealth University
Aug 28 – Sep 7, 2020
693 (LV)
± 6 %
39%
52%
-
-
1%
8%
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Aug 1–31, 2020
2,626 (LV)
41%
57%
-
-
2%
Roanoke College
Aug 9–22, 2020
566 (LV)
± 4 %
39%
53%
-
-
3%
5%
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Jul 1–31, 2020
3,178 (LV)
43%
55%
-
-
2%
Morning Consult
Jul 17–26, 2020
1,156 (LV)
± 2 %
41%
52%
-
-
Virginia Commonwealth University
Jul 11–19, 2020
725 (LV)
± 6 %
39%
50%
-
-
1%
10%
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Jun 8–30, 2020
1,619 (LV)
42%
57%
-
-
1%
Morning Consult
May 17–26, 2020
1,148 (LV)
42%
52%
-
-
Roanoke College
May 3–16, 2020
563 (LV)
± 4 %
39%
51%
-
-
Virginia Commonwealth University
Mar 25 – Apr 8, 2020
812 (A)
± 4 %
41%
51%
-
-
8%
Hampton University
Feb 25–28, 2020
768 (RV)
± 3 %
38%
45%
-
-
Roanoke College
Feb 9–18, 2020
520 (LV)
± 4 %
40%
48%
-
-
Mason-Dixon
Dec 12–16, 2019
625 (RV)
± 4 %
45%
49%
-
-
6%
Virginia Commonwealth University
Dec 2–13, 2019
728 (LV)
± 5 %
46%
49%
-
-
5%
Virginia Commonwealth University
Sep 23 – Oct 4, 2019
645 (LV)
± 5 %
44%
52%
-
-
4%
University of Mary Washington/Research America
Sep 3–15, 2019
1,009 (A)
± 3 %
37%
55%
-
-
1%
4%

References

  1. The "2020 March Democratic Presidential Primary" website published by the Virginia Department of Elections does not incl
  2. Candidate withdrew during absentee voting, shortly before the primary.
  3. Candidate withdrew following the New Hampshire primary, when absentee voting had already begun.
  4. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  5. Key: A – all adults RV – registered voters LV – likely voters V – unclear
  6. Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  7. "Other candidate or write-in" with 1%
  8. "Someone else" with 2%
  9. "Third party candidate" with 2%
  10. Includes "refused"
  11. "Other", "None of these" and would not vote with 0%
  12. "Someone else" with 3%
  13. With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  14. "Another candidate" with 2%
  15. "Third party candidate" with 1%
  16. "Some other candidate" with 3%
  17. Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
  18. "Would vote for a third party candidate" with 6%
  19. "It is time to have someone else in office" as opposed to "Trump should be re-elected" with 59%
  20. "Refused" with 0%
Image
Source:
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