Topzle Topzle

2020 United States presidential election in Texas

Updated: Wikipedia source

2020 United States presidential election in Texas

The 2020 United States presidential election in Texas was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Texas has historically voted Republican, but recent demographic shifts have made the voter turnout more competitive. Texas voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate, Vice President Mike Pence, against the Democratic Party's nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate, California Senator Kamala Harris. The state of Texas had 38 electoral votes in the Electoral College. Although it was considered a vulnerable state for Trump by some pollsters and experts and a potential upset victory for Biden due to its recent demographic trends, Texas was again won by Trump with 52 % of the vote, roughly the same percentage he carried it with in 2016. Despite not winning the state, Biden improved on Hillary Clinton's 2016 vote share by 3 points, with his 46 % vote share the largest percentage in the state by a Democratic presidential candidate since Jimmy Carter carried the state in 1976. Trump's 5 % margin of victory was the narrowest for a Republican since 1996, when Southerner Bill Clinton was the Democratic nominee. Texas was the third-narrowest of Trump's state victories, behind only Florida and North Carolina, and the ninth-closest state overall. However, Trump made many of his largest gains in the country in South Texas in counties along the Mexico–United States border, flipping eight counties in the region. In 2024 Trump outright won a majority of Hispanics in Texas. Voter turnout in the state increased to its highest level since 1992, when two Texans, George H. W. Bush and Ross Perot, were on the ballot.

Infobox

Turnout
66 % (of registered voters) (7 pp) 52 % (of voting age population)
Nominee
Donald Trump
Party
Republican
Home state
Florida
Running mate
Mike Pence
Electoral vote
38
Popular vote
5,890,347
Percentage
52 %

Tables

Candidate
Candidate
2020 Texas Republican Party presidential primary
Candidate
2020 Texas Republican Party presidential primary
Popular vote
2020 Texas Republican Party presidential primary
Delegates
Count
Count
2020 Texas Republican Party presidential primary
Count
2020 Texas Republican Party presidential primary
Percentage
Donald Trump (incumbent)
Donald Trump (incumbent)
2020 Texas Republican Party presidential primary
Donald Trump (incumbent)
2020 Texas Republican Party presidential primary
1,898,664
2020 Texas Republican Party presidential primary
94 %
2020 Texas Republican Party presidential primary
117
Uncommitted
Uncommitted
2020 Texas Republican Party presidential primary
Uncommitted
2020 Texas Republican Party presidential primary
71,803
2020 Texas Republican Party presidential primary
3 %
2020 Texas Republican Party presidential primary
0
Bill Weld
Bill Weld
2020 Texas Republican Party presidential primary
Bill Weld
2020 Texas Republican Party presidential primary
15,739
2020 Texas Republican Party presidential primary
0 %
2020 Texas Republican Party presidential primary
0
Joe Walsh
Joe Walsh
2020 Texas Republican Party presidential primary
Joe Walsh
2020 Texas Republican Party presidential primary
15,824
2020 Texas Republican Party presidential primary
0 %
2020 Texas Republican Party presidential primary
0
Rocky De La Fuente
Rocky De La Fuente
2020 Texas Republican Party presidential primary
Rocky De La Fuente
2020 Texas Republican Party presidential primary
7,563
2020 Texas Republican Party presidential primary
0 %
2020 Texas Republican Party presidential primary
0
Bob Ely
Bob Ely
2020 Texas Republican Party presidential primary
Bob Ely
2020 Texas Republican Party presidential primary
3,582
2020 Texas Republican Party presidential primary
0 %
2020 Texas Republican Party presidential primary
0
Matthew Matern
Matthew Matern
2020 Texas Republican Party presidential primary
Matthew Matern
2020 Texas Republican Party presidential primary
3,525
2020 Texas Republican Party presidential primary
0 %
2020 Texas Republican Party presidential primary
0
Zoltan Istvan
Zoltan Istvan
2020 Texas Republican Party presidential primary
Zoltan Istvan
2020 Texas Republican Party presidential primary
1,447
2020 Texas Republican Party presidential primary
0 %
2020 Texas Republican Party presidential primary
0
Total:
Total:
2020 Texas Republican Party presidential primary
Total:
2020 Texas Republican Party presidential primary
2,017,167
2020 Texas Republican Party presidential primary
100%
2020 Texas Republican Party presidential primary
155
2020 Texas Republican Party presidential primary
Candidate
Popular vote
Delegates
Count
Percentage
Donald Trump (incumbent)
1,898,664
94 %
117
Uncommitted
71,803
3 %
0
Bill Weld
15,739
0 %
0
Joe Walsh
15,824
0 %
0
Rocky De La Fuente
7,563
0 %
0
Bob Ely
3,582
0 %
0
Matthew Matern
3,525
0 %
0
Zoltan Istvan
1,447
0 %
0
Total:
2,017,167
100%
155
2020 Texas Democratic presidential primary
Joe Biden
Joe Biden
Candidate
Joe Biden
Votes
725,562
%
34
Delegates
113
Bernie Sanders
Bernie Sanders
Candidate
Bernie Sanders
Votes
626,339
%
29
Delegates
99
Michael Bloomberg
Michael Bloomberg
Candidate
Michael Bloomberg
Votes
300,608
%
14
Delegates
11
Elizabeth Warren
Elizabeth Warren
Candidate
Elizabeth Warren
Votes
239,237
%
11
Delegates
5
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)
Candidate
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)
Votes
82,671
%
3
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn)
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn)
Candidate
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn)
Votes
43,291
%
2
Julian Castro (withdrawn)
Julian Castro (withdrawn)
Candidate
Julian Castro (withdrawn)
Votes
16,688
%
0
Tom Steyer (withdrawn)
Tom Steyer (withdrawn)
Candidate
Tom Steyer (withdrawn)
Votes
13,929
%
0
Michael Bennet (withdrawn)
Michael Bennet (withdrawn)
Candidate
Michael Bennet (withdrawn)
Votes
10,324
%
0
Tulsi Gabbard
Tulsi Gabbard
Candidate
Tulsi Gabbard
Votes
8,688
%
0
Andrew Yang (withdrawn)
Andrew Yang (withdrawn)
Candidate
Andrew Yang (withdrawn)
Votes
6,674
%
0
Cory Booker (withdrawn)
Cory Booker (withdrawn)
Candidate
Cory Booker (withdrawn)
Votes
4,941
%
0
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn)
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn)
Candidate
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn)
Votes
3,918
%
0
John Delaney (withdrawn)
John Delaney (withdrawn)
Candidate
John Delaney (withdrawn)
Votes
3,280
%
0
Deval Patrick (withdrawn)
Deval Patrick (withdrawn)
Candidate
Deval Patrick (withdrawn)
Votes
1,304
%
0
Other candidates
Other candidates
Candidate
Other candidates
Votes
6,974
%
0
Total
Total
Candidate
Total
Votes
2,094,428
%
100%
Delegates
228
Candidate
Votes
%
Delegates
Joe Biden
725,562
34
113
Bernie Sanders
626,339
29
99
Michael Bloomberg
300,608
14
11
Elizabeth Warren
239,237
11
5
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)
82,671
3
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn)
43,291
2
Julian Castro (withdrawn)
16,688
0
Tom Steyer (withdrawn)
13,929
0
Michael Bennet (withdrawn)
10,324
0
Tulsi Gabbard
8,688
0
Andrew Yang (withdrawn)
6,674
0
Cory Booker (withdrawn)
4,941
0
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn)
3,918
0
John Delaney (withdrawn)
3,280
0
Deval Patrick (withdrawn)
1,304
0
Other candidates
6,974
0
Total
2,094,428
100%
228
· General election › Final predictions
Tossup
Tossup
Source
The Cook Political Report
Ranking
Tossup
Tossup
Tossup
Source
Inside Elections
Ranking
Tossup
Lean R
Lean R
Source
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Ranking
Lean R
Lean R
Lean R
Source
Politico
Ranking
Lean R
Tossup
Tossup
Source
RCP
Ranking
Tossup
Tossup
Tossup
Source
Niskanen
Ranking
Tossup
Lean R
Lean R
Source
CNN
Ranking
Lean R
Lean R
Lean R
Source
The Economist
Ranking
Lean R
Lean R
Lean R
Source
CBS News
Ranking
Lean R
Lean R
Lean R
Source
270towin
Ranking
Lean R
Tossup
Tossup
Source
ABC News
Ranking
Tossup
Tossup
Tossup
Source
NPR
Ranking
Tossup
Tossup
Tossup
Source
NBC News
Ranking
Tossup
Lean R
Lean R
Source
538
Ranking
Lean R
Source
Ranking
The Cook Political Report
Tossup
Inside Elections
Tossup
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Lean R
Politico
Lean R
RCP
Tossup
Niskanen
Tossup
CNN
Lean R
The Economist
Lean R
CBS News
Lean R
270towin
Lean R
ABC News
Tossup
NPR
Tossup
NBC News
Tossup
538
Lean R
· General election › Polling › Aggregate polls
270 to Win
270 to Win
Source of poll aggregation
270 to Win
Dates administered
Oct 29, 2020 – November 2, 2020
Dates updated
November 3, 2020
Joe Biden Democratic
47 %
Donald Trump Republican
48 %
Other/ Undecided
3 %
Margin
Trump +1
Real Clear Politics
Real Clear Politics
Source of poll aggregation
Real Clear Politics
Dates administered
October 20–31, 2020
Dates updated
November 3, 2020
Joe Biden Democratic
46 %
Donald Trump Republican
47 %
Other/ Undecided
5 %
Margin
Trump +1
FiveThirtyEight
FiveThirtyEight
Source of poll aggregation
FiveThirtyEight
Dates administered
until November 2, 2020
Dates updated
November 3, 2020
Joe Biden Democratic
47 %
Donald Trump Republican
48 %
Other/ Undecided
4 %
Margin
Trump +1
Average
Average
Source of poll aggregation
Average
Dates administered
47 %
Dates updated
48 %
Joe Biden Democratic
4 %
Donald Trump Republican
Trump +1
Source of poll aggregation
Dates administered
Dates updated
Joe Biden Democratic
Donald Trump Republican
Other/ Undecided
Margin
270 to Win
Oct 29, 2020 – November 2, 2020
November 3, 2020
47 %
48 %
3 %
Trump +1
Real Clear Politics
October 20–31, 2020
November 3, 2020
46 %
47 %
5 %
Trump +1
FiveThirtyEight
until November 2, 2020
November 3, 2020
47 %
48 %
4 %
Trump +1
Average
47 %
48 %
4 %
Trump +1
· General election › Polling › Polls
SurveyMonkey/Axios
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Poll source
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Date(s) administered
Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020
Sample size
9,226 (LV)
Margin of error
± 1 %
Donald Trump Republican
51%
Joe Biden Democratic
47%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Howie Hawkins Green
–
Other
–
Undecided
–
Swayable
Swayable
Poll source
Swayable
Date(s) administered
Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020
Sample size
1,151 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
51%
Joe Biden Democratic
47%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
1%
Howie Hawkins Green
0%
Other
–
Undecided
–
Data For Progress
Data For Progress
Poll source
Data For Progress
Date(s) administered
Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020
Sample size
926 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
48%
Joe Biden Democratic
49%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
1%
Howie Hawkins Green
1%
Other
0%
Undecided
–
AtlasIntel
AtlasIntel
Poll source
AtlasIntel
Date(s) administered
Oct 30–31, 2020
Sample size
686 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4%
Donald Trump Republican
50%
Joe Biden Democratic
47%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Howie Hawkins Green
–
Other
3%
Undecided
–
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s) administered
Oct 29–31, 2020
Sample size
763 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
49%
Joe Biden Democratic
48%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Howie Hawkins Green
-
Other
2%
Undecided
–
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s) administered
Oct 22–31, 2020
Sample size
3,267 (LV)
Margin of error
± 2%
Donald Trump Republican
48%
Joe Biden Democratic
48%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Howie Hawkins Green
–
Other
–
Undecided
–
Public Policy Polling
Public Policy Polling
Poll source
Public Policy Polling
Date(s) administered
Oct 28–29, 2020
Sample size
775 (V)
Margin of error
–
Donald Trump Republican
48%
Joe Biden Democratic
50%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Howie Hawkins Green
–
Other
–
Undecided
2%
Gravis Marketing
Gravis Marketing
Poll source
Gravis Marketing
Date(s) administered
Oct 27–28, 2020
Sample size
670 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
50%
Joe Biden Democratic
45%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Howie Hawkins Green
–
Other
–
Undecided
5%
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ
Poll source
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ
Date(s) administered
Oct 27–28, 2020
Sample size
800 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
50%
Joe Biden Democratic
46%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Howie Hawkins Green
–
Other
2%
Undecided
2%
48%
48%
Poll source
48%
Date(s) administered
48%
Sample size
–
Margin of error
–
Donald Trump Republican
2%
Joe Biden Democratic
2%
52%
52%
Poll source
52%
Date(s) administered
44%
Sample size
–
Margin of error
–
Donald Trump Republican
2%
Joe Biden Democratic
2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Poll source
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Date(s) administered
Oct 1–28, 2020
Sample size
15,145 (LV)
Margin of error
–
Donald Trump Republican
51%
Joe Biden Democratic
47%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Howie Hawkins Green
–
Other
–
Undecided
–
Swayable
Swayable
Poll source
Swayable
Date(s) administered
Oct 23–26, 2020
Sample size
552 (LV)
Margin of error
± 5 %
Donald Trump Republican
49%
Joe Biden Democratic
48%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
3%
Howie Hawkins Green
1%
Other
–
Undecided
–
YouGov/UMass Amherst
YouGov/UMass Amherst
Poll source
YouGov/UMass Amherst
Date(s) administered
Oct 20–26, 2020
Sample size
873 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Donald Trump Republican
48%
Joe Biden Democratic
47%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
2%
Howie Hawkins Green
1%
Other
0%
Undecided
1%
Data for Progress (D)
Data for Progress (D)
Poll source
Data for Progress (D)
Date(s) administered
Oct 22–25, 2020
Sample size
1,018 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
48%
Joe Biden Democratic
49%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
1%
Howie Hawkins Green
0%
Other
–
Undecided
2%
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Poll source
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Date(s) administered
Oct 20–25, 2020
Sample size
802 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
47%
Joe Biden Democratic
43%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
3%
Howie Hawkins Green
0%
Other
2%
Undecided
5%
Univision/University of Houston/Latino Decisions/North Star Opinion Research
Univision/University of Houston/Latino Decisions/North Star Opinion Research
Poll source
Univision/University of Houston/Latino Decisions/North Star Opinion Research
Date(s) administered
Oct 17–25, 2020
Sample size
758 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
49%
Joe Biden Democratic
46%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Howie Hawkins Green
–
Other
3%
Undecided
2%
Citizen Data
Citizen Data
Poll source
Citizen Data
Date(s) administered
Oct 17–20, 2020
Sample size
1,000 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3%
Donald Trump Republican
45%
Joe Biden Democratic
49%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
1%
Howie Hawkins Green
0%
Other
1%
Undecided
4%
YouGov/University of Houston
YouGov/University of Houston
Poll source
YouGov/University of Houston
Date(s) administered
Oct 13–20, 2020
Sample size
1,000 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
50%
Joe Biden Democratic
45%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
2%
Howie Hawkins Green
0%
Other
–
Undecided
3%
University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas Morning News
University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas Morning News
Poll source
University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas Morning News
Date(s) administered
Oct 13–20, 2020
Sample size
925 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
47%
Joe Biden Democratic
49%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
3%
Howie Hawkins Green
1%
Other
–
Undecided
1%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s) administered
Oct 11–20, 2020
Sample size
3,347 (LV)
Margin of error
± 1 %
Donald Trump Republican
47%
Joe Biden Democratic
48%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Howie Hawkins Green
–
Other
–
Undecided
–
Quinnipiac University
Quinnipiac University
Poll source
Quinnipiac University
Date(s) administered
Oct 16–19, 2020
Sample size
1,145 (LV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Donald Trump Republican
47%
Joe Biden Democratic
47%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Howie Hawkins Green
–
Other
1%
Undecided
5%
Data for Progress (D)
Data for Progress (D)
Poll source
Data for Progress (D)
Date(s) administered
Oct 15–18, 2020
Sample size
933 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
46%
Joe Biden Democratic
47%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
2%
Howie Hawkins Green
1%
Other
–
Undecided
5%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s) administered
Oct 2–11, 2020
Sample size
3,455 (LV)
Margin of error
± 1 %
Donald Trump Republican
49%
Joe Biden Democratic
47%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Howie Hawkins Green
–
Other
–
Undecided
3%
Public Policy Polling/Texas Democrats
Public Policy Polling/Texas Democrats
Poll source
Public Policy Polling/Texas Democrats
Date(s) administered
Oct 7–8, 2020
Sample size
721 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
48%
Joe Biden Democratic
48%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Howie Hawkins Green
–
Other
–
Undecided
1%
YouGov/CCES
YouGov/CCES
Poll source
YouGov/CCES
Date(s) administered
Sep 29 – Oct 7, 2020
Sample size
2,947 (LV)
Margin of error
–
Donald Trump Republican
49%
Joe Biden Democratic
47%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Howie Hawkins Green
–
Other
–
Undecided
–
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s) administered
Sep 28 – Oct 7, 2020
Sample size
~2,700 (LV)
Margin of error
± 2%
Donald Trump Republican
49%
Joe Biden Democratic
46%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Howie Hawkins Green
–
Other
–
Undecided
–
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports/Crosswind PR
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports/Crosswind PR
Poll source
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports/Crosswind PR
Date(s) administered
Oct 5–6, 2020
Sample size
1,000 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3%
Donald Trump Republican
51%
Joe Biden Democratic
44%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Howie Hawkins Green
–
Other
–
Undecided
–
Civiqs/Daily Kos
Civiqs/Daily Kos
Poll source
Civiqs/Daily Kos
Date(s) administered
Oct 3–6, 2020
Sample size
895 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
48%
Joe Biden Democratic
48%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Howie Hawkins Green
–
Other
2%
Undecided
1%
Data For Progress (D)
Data For Progress (D)
Poll source
Data For Progress (D)
Date(s) administered
Sep 30 – Oct 5, 2020
Sample size
1,949 (LV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Donald Trump Republican
45%
Joe Biden Democratic
47%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
2%
Howie Hawkins Green
1%
Other
–
Undecided
5%
YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Tribune
YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Tribune
Poll source
YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Tribune
Date(s) administered
Sep 25 – Oct 4, 2020
Sample size
908 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
50%
Joe Biden Democratic
45%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
2%
Howie Hawkins Green
2%
Other
1%
Undecided
–
EMC Research/Blue Texas PAC
EMC Research/Blue Texas PAC
Poll source
EMC Research/Blue Texas PAC
Date(s) administered
Sep 27 – Oct 2, 2020
Sample size
848 (LV)
Margin of error
–
Donald Trump Republican
49%
Joe Biden Democratic
49%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Howie Hawkins Green
–
Other
–
Undecided
–
SurveyMonkey/Axios
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Poll source
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Date(s) administered
Sep 1–30, 2020
Sample size
13,395 (LV)
Margin of error
–
Donald Trump Republican
52%
Joe Biden Democratic
46%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Howie Hawkins Green
–
Other
–
Undecided
2%
Hart Research Associates/Human Rights Campaign
Hart Research Associates/Human Rights Campaign
Poll source
Hart Research Associates/Human Rights Campaign
Date(s) administered
Sep 24–27, 2020
Sample size
400 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Donald Trump Republican
49%
Joe Biden Democratic
47%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Howie Hawkins Green
–
Other
–
Undecided
–
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s) administered
Sep 18–27, 2020
Sample size
~2,700 (LV)
Margin of error
± 2%
Donald Trump Republican
48%
Joe Biden Democratic
47%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Howie Hawkins Green
–
Other
–
Undecided
–
Public Policy Polling/Texas Democrats Archived October 8, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
Public Policy Polling/Texas Democrats Archived October 8, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
Poll source
Public Policy Polling/Texas Democrats Archived October 8, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
Date(s) administered
Sep 25–26, 2020
Sample size
612 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
48%
Joe Biden Democratic
48%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Howie Hawkins Green
–
Other
–
Undecided
4%
YouGov/UMass Lowell
YouGov/UMass Lowell
Poll source
YouGov/UMass Lowell
Date(s) administered
Sep 18–25, 2020
Sample size
882 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Donald Trump Republican
49%
Joe Biden Democratic
46%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
2%
Howie Hawkins Green
1%
Other
1%
Undecided
1%
50%
50%
Poll source
50%
Date(s) administered
46%
Sample size
–
Margin of error
–
Donald Trump Republican
2%
Joe Biden Democratic
2%
Data For Progress
Data For Progress
Poll source
Data For Progress
Date(s) administered
Sep 18–22, 2020
Sample size
726 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
47%
Joe Biden Democratic
45%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Howie Hawkins Green
–
Other
–
Undecided
9%
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Poll source
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Date(s) administered
Sep 16–22, 2020
Sample size
653 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Donald Trump Republican
46%
Joe Biden Democratic
43%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
1%
Howie Hawkins Green
1%
Other
0%
Undecided
9%
Quinnipiac University
Quinnipiac University
Poll source
Quinnipiac University
Date(s) administered
Sep 17–21, 2020
Sample size
1,078 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3%
Donald Trump Republican
50%
Joe Biden Democratic
45%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Howie Hawkins Green
–
Other
No voters
Undecided
4%
YouGov/CBS
YouGov/CBS
Poll source
YouGov/CBS
Date(s) administered
Sep 15–18, 2020
Sample size
1,129 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
48%
Joe Biden Democratic
46%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Howie Hawkins Green
–
Other
2%
Undecided
4%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s) administered
Sep 8–17, 2020
Sample size
~2,700 (LV)
Margin of error
± 2%
Donald Trump Republican
47%
Joe Biden Democratic
47%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Howie Hawkins Green
–
Other
–
Undecided
–
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s) administered
Aug 29 – Sep 7, 2020
Sample size
2,829 (LV)
Margin of error
± 2%
Donald Trump Republican
46%
Joe Biden Democratic
46%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Howie Hawkins Green
–
Other
–
Undecided
–
Public Policy Polling/Giffords
Public Policy Polling/Giffords
Poll source
Public Policy Polling/Giffords
Date(s) administered
Sep 1–2, 2020
Sample size
743 (V)
Margin of error
–
Donald Trump Republican
48%
Joe Biden Democratic
47%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Howie Hawkins Green
–
Other
–
Undecided
5%
University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas Morning News
University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas Morning News
Poll source
University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas Morning News
Date(s) administered
Aug 28 – Sep 2, 2020
Sample size
901 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
49%
Joe Biden Democratic
47%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
1%
Howie Hawkins Green
1%
Other
1%
Undecided
–
SurveyMonkey/Axios
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Poll source
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Date(s) administered
Aug 1–31, 2020
Sample size
12,607 (LV)
Margin of error
–
Donald Trump Republican
52%
Joe Biden Democratic
46%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Howie Hawkins Green
–
Other
–
Undecided
2%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s) administered
Aug 21–30, 2020
Sample size
2,632 (LV)
Margin of error
± 2%
Donald Trump Republican
48%
Joe Biden Democratic
47%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Howie Hawkins Green
–
Other
–
Undecided
–
Tyson Group/Consumer Energy Alliance
Tyson Group/Consumer Energy Alliance
Poll source
Tyson Group/Consumer Energy Alliance
Date(s) administered
Aug 20–25, 2020
Sample size
906 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3%
Donald Trump Republican
44%
Joe Biden Democratic
48%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
0%
Howie Hawkins Green
–
Other
0%
Undecided
5%
Data for Progress/Texas Youth Power Alliance
Data for Progress/Texas Youth Power Alliance
Poll source
Data for Progress/Texas Youth Power Alliance
Date(s) administered
Aug 20–25, 2020
Sample size
2,295 (LV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Donald Trump Republican
45%
Joe Biden Democratic
48%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Howie Hawkins Green
–
Other
–
Undecided
8%
Public Policy Polling/Texas Democrats
Public Policy Polling/Texas Democrats
Poll source
Public Policy Polling/Texas Democrats
Date(s) administered
Aug 21–22, 2020
Sample size
764 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
47%
Joe Biden Democratic
48%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Howie Hawkins Green
–
Other
–
Undecided
5%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s) administered
Aug 13–22, 2020
Sample size
~2,700 (LV)
Margin of error
± 2%
Donald Trump Republican
48%
Joe Biden Democratic
47%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Howie Hawkins Green
–
Other
–
Undecided
–
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s) administered
Aug 7–16, 2020
Sample size
2,559 (LV)
Margin of error
± 2%
Donald Trump Republican
47%
Joe Biden Democratic
46%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Howie Hawkins Green
–
Other
–
Undecided
–
Global Strategy Group/Chrysta for Texas
Global Strategy Group/Chrysta for Texas
Poll source
Global Strategy Group/Chrysta for Texas
Date(s) administered
Aug 11–13, 2020
Sample size
700 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
45%
Joe Biden Democratic
47%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Howie Hawkins Green
–
Other
–
Undecided
–
YouGov/Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation/Rice University's Baker Institute
YouGov/Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation/Rice University's Baker Institute
Poll source
YouGov/Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation/Rice University's Baker Institute
Date(s) administered
Aug 4–13, 2020
Sample size
846 (RV)
Margin of error
–
Donald Trump Republican
48%
Joe Biden Democratic
41%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
1%
Howie Hawkins Green
1%
Other
–
Undecided
10 %
– (LV)
– (LV)
Poll source
– (LV)
Date(s) administered
50%
Sample size
44%
Margin of error
1%
Donald Trump Republican
0%
Joe Biden Democratic
–
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
5%
Trafalgar Group (R)
Trafalgar Group (R)
Poll source
Trafalgar Group (R)
Date(s) administered
Aug 1–5, 2020
Sample size
1,015 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
49%
Joe Biden Democratic
43%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
2%
Howie Hawkins Green
–
Other
2%
Undecided
3%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s) administered
Aug 3–12, 2020
Sample size
~2,700 (LV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Donald Trump Republican
47%
Joe Biden Democratic
46%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Howie Hawkins Green
–
Other
–
Undecided
–
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s) administered
Jul 24 – Aug 2, 2020
Sample size
2,576 (LV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Donald Trump Republican
46%
Joe Biden Democratic
47%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Howie Hawkins Green
–
Other
2%
Undecided
5%
SurveyMonkey/Axios
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Poll source
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Date(s) administered
Jul 1–31, 2020
Sample size
13,721 (LV)
Margin of error
–
Donald Trump Republican
52%
Joe Biden Democratic
46%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Howie Hawkins Green
–
Other
–
Undecided
2%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s) administered
Jul 17–26, 2020
Sample size
2,685 (LV)
Margin of error
± 1 %
Donald Trump Republican
45%
Joe Biden Democratic
47%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Howie Hawkins Green
–
Other
–
Undecided
–
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s) administered
Jul 16–25, 2020
Sample size
≈2,700 (LV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Donald Trump Republican
45%
Joe Biden Democratic
47%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Howie Hawkins Green
–
Other
–
Undecided
–
Spry Strategies/American Principles Project
Spry Strategies/American Principles Project
Poll source
Spry Strategies/American Principles Project
Date(s) administered
Jul 16–20, 2020
Sample size
750 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
49%
Joe Biden Democratic
45%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Howie Hawkins Green
–
Other
–
Undecided
6%
Quinnipiac University
Quinnipiac University
Poll source
Quinnipiac University
Date(s) administered
Jul 16–20, 2020
Sample size
880 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
44%
Joe Biden Democratic
45%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Howie Hawkins Green
–
Other
7%
Undecided
4%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s) administered
Jul 6–15, 2020
Sample size
– (LV)
Margin of error
–
Donald Trump Republican
46%
Joe Biden Democratic
46%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Howie Hawkins Green
–
Other
–
Undecided
–
YouGov/CBS
YouGov/CBS
Poll source
YouGov/CBS
Date(s) administered
Jul 7–10, 2020
Sample size
1,185 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
46%
Joe Biden Democratic
45%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Howie Hawkins Green
–
Other
4%
Undecided
6%
Gravis Marketing/OANN
Gravis Marketing/OANN
Poll source
Gravis Marketing/OANN
Date(s) administered
Jul 7, 2020
Sample size
591 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Donald Trump Republican
46%
Joe Biden Democratic
44%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Howie Hawkins Green
–
Other
–
Undecided
–
Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler
Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler
Poll source
Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler
Date(s) administered
Jun 29 – Jul 7, 2020
Sample size
1,677 (LV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Donald Trump Republican
43%
Joe Biden Democratic
48%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Howie Hawkins Green
–
Other
4%
Undecided
5%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s) administered
Jun 26 – Jul 5, 2020
Sample size
– (LV)
Margin of error
–
Donald Trump Republican
46%
Joe Biden Democratic
45%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Howie Hawkins Green
–
Other
–
Undecided
–
SurveyMonkey/Axios
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Poll source
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Date(s) administered
Jun 8–30, 2020
Sample size
6,669 (LV)
Margin of error
–
Donald Trump Republican
51%
Joe Biden Democratic
46%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Howie Hawkins Green
–
Other
–
Undecided
2%
YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Politics Project
YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Politics Project
Poll source
YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Politics Project
Date(s) administered
Jun 19–29, 2020
Sample size
1,200 (RV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Donald Trump Republican
48%
Joe Biden Democratic
44%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Howie Hawkins Green
–
Other
–
Undecided
8%
Public Policy Polling
Public Policy Polling
Poll source
Public Policy Polling
Date(s) administered
Jun 24–25, 2020
Sample size
729 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
46%
Joe Biden Democratic
48%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Howie Hawkins Green
–
Other
–
Undecided
5%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s) administered
Jun 16–25, 2020
Sample size
– (LV)
Margin of error
–
Donald Trump Republican
47%
Joe Biden Democratic
44%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Howie Hawkins Green
–
Other
–
Undecided
–
Fox News
Fox News
Poll source
Fox News
Date(s) administered
Jun 20–23, 2020
Sample size
1,001 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3%
Donald Trump Republican
44%
Joe Biden Democratic
45%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Howie Hawkins Green
–
Other
5%
Undecided
5%
Public Policy Polling/Progress Texas
Public Policy Polling/Progress Texas
Poll source
Public Policy Polling/Progress Texas
Date(s) administered
Jun 18–19, 2020
Sample size
907 (V)
Margin of error
± 3%
Donald Trump Republican
48%
Joe Biden Democratic
46%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Howie Hawkins Green
–
Other
–
Undecided
6%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s) administered
Jun 6–15, 2020
Sample size
– (LV)
Margin of error
–
Donald Trump Republican
48%
Joe Biden Democratic
45%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Howie Hawkins Green
–
Other
–
Undecided
–
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s) administered
May 27 – Jun 5, 2020
Sample size
– (LV)
Margin of error
–
Donald Trump Republican
48%
Joe Biden Democratic
43%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Howie Hawkins Green
–
Other
–
Undecided
–
Public Policy Polling/Texas Democrats
Public Policy Polling/Texas Democrats
Poll source
Public Policy Polling/Texas Democrats
Date(s) administered
Jun 2–3, 2020
Sample size
683 (V)
Margin of error
–
Donald Trump Republican
48%
Joe Biden Democratic
48%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Howie Hawkins Green
–
Other
–
Undecided
4%
Quinnipiac
Quinnipiac
Poll source
Quinnipiac
Date(s) administered
May 28 – Jun 1, 2020
Sample size
1,166 (RV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Donald Trump Republican
44%
Joe Biden Democratic
43%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Howie Hawkins Green
–
Other
6%
Undecided
7%
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Donald Trump Republican
Joe Biden Democratic
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020
9,226 (LV)
± 1 %
51%
47%
–
–
–
–
Swayable
Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020
1,151 (LV)
± 3 %
51%
47%
1%
0%
–
–
Data For Progress
Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020
926 (LV)
± 3 %
48%
49%
1%
1%
0%
–
AtlasIntel
Oct 30–31, 2020
686 (LV)
± 4%
50%
47%
–
–
3%
–
Emerson College
Oct 29–31, 2020
763 (LV)
± 3 %
49%
48%
-
-
2%
–
Morning Consult
Oct 22–31, 2020
3,267 (LV)
± 2%
48%
48%
–
–
–
–
Public Policy Polling
Oct 28–29, 2020
775 (V)
–
48%
50%
–
–
–
2%
Gravis Marketing
Oct 27–28, 2020
670 (LV)
± 3 %
50%
45%
–
–
–
5%
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ
Oct 27–28, 2020
800 (LV)
± 3 %
50%
46%
–
–
2%
2%
48%
48%
–
–
2%
2%
52%
44%
–
–
2%
2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Oct 1–28, 2020
15,145 (LV)
–
51%
47%
–
–
–
–
Swayable
Oct 23–26, 2020
552 (LV)
± 5 %
49%
48%
3%
1%
–
–
YouGov/UMass Amherst
Oct 20–26, 2020
873 (LV)
± 4 %
48%
47%
2%
1%
0%
1%
Data for Progress (D)
Oct 22–25, 2020
1,018 (LV)
± 3 %
48%
49%
1%
0%
–
2%
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Oct 20–25, 2020
802 (LV)
± 3 %
47%
43%
3%
0%
2%
5%
Univision/University of Houston/Latino Decisions/North Star Opinion Research
Oct 17–25, 2020
758 (RV)
± 3 %
49%
46%
–
–
3%
2%
Citizen Data
Oct 17–20, 2020
1,000 (LV)
± 3%
45%
49%
1%
0%
1%
4%
YouGov/University of Houston
Oct 13–20, 2020
1,000 (LV)
± 3 %
50%
45%
2%
0%
–
3%
University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas Morning News
Oct 13–20, 2020
925 (LV)
± 3 %
47%
49%
3%
1%
–
1%
Morning Consult
Oct 11–20, 2020
3,347 (LV)
± 1 %
47%
48%
–
–
–
–
Quinnipiac University
Oct 16–19, 2020
1,145 (LV)
± 2 %
47%
47%
–
–
1%
5%
Data for Progress (D)
Oct 15–18, 2020
933 (LV)
± 3 %
46%
47%
2%
1%
–
5%
Morning Consult
Oct 2–11, 2020
3,455 (LV)
± 1 %
49%
47%
–
–
–
3%
Public Policy Polling/Texas Democrats
Oct 7–8, 2020
721 (LV)
± 3 %
48%
48%
–
–
–
1%
YouGov/CCES
Sep 29 – Oct 7, 2020
2,947 (LV)
–
49%
47%
–
–
–
–
Morning Consult
Sep 28 – Oct 7, 2020
~2,700 (LV)
± 2%
49%
46%
–
–
–
–
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports/Crosswind PR
Oct 5–6, 2020
1,000 (LV)
± 3%
51%
44%
–
–
–
–
Civiqs/Daily Kos
Oct 3–6, 2020
895 (LV)
± 3 %
48%
48%
–
–
2%
1%
Data For Progress (D)
Sep 30 – Oct 5, 2020
1,949 (LV)
± 2 %
45%
47%
2%
1%
–
5%
YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Tribune
Sep 25 – Oct 4, 2020
908 (LV)
± 3 %
50%
45%
2%
2%
1%
–
EMC Research/Blue Texas PAC
Sep 27 – Oct 2, 2020
848 (LV)
–
49%
49%
–
–
–
–
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Sep 1–30, 2020
13,395 (LV)
–
52%
46%
–
–
–
2%
Hart Research Associates/Human Rights Campaign
Sep 24–27, 2020
400 (LV)
± 4 %
49%
47%
–
–
–
–
Morning Consult
Sep 18–27, 2020
~2,700 (LV)
± 2%
48%
47%
–
–
–
–
Public Policy Polling/Texas Democrats Archived October 8, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
Sep 25–26, 2020
612 (LV)
± 3 %
48%
48%
–
–
–
4%
YouGov/UMass Lowell
Sep 18–25, 2020
882 (LV)
± 4 %
49%
46%
2%
1%
1%
1%
50%
46%
–
–
2%
2%
Data For Progress
Sep 18–22, 2020
726 (LV)
± 3 %
47%
45%
–
–
–
9%
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Sep 16–22, 2020
653 (LV)
± 4 %
46%
43%
1%
1%
0%
9%
Quinnipiac University
Sep 17–21, 2020
1,078 (LV)
± 3%
50%
45%
–
–
No voters
4%
YouGov/CBS
Sep 15–18, 2020
1,129 (LV)
± 3 %
48%
46%
–
–
2%
4%
Morning Consult
Sep 8–17, 2020
~2,700 (LV)
± 2%
47%
47%
–
–
–
–
Morning Consult
Aug 29 – Sep 7, 2020
2,829 (LV)
± 2%
46%
46%
–
–
–
–
Public Policy Polling/Giffords
Sep 1–2, 2020
743 (V)
–
48%
47%
–
–
–
5%
University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas Morning News
Aug 28 – Sep 2, 2020
901 (LV)
± 3 %
49%
47%
1%
1%
1%
–
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Aug 1–31, 2020
12,607 (LV)
–
52%
46%
–
–
–
2%
Morning Consult
Aug 21–30, 2020
2,632 (LV)
± 2%
48%
47%
–
–
–
–
Tyson Group/Consumer Energy Alliance
Aug 20–25, 2020
906 (LV)
± 3%
44%
48%
0%
–
0%
5%

References

  1. Poll sponsored by the Texas arm of the party which nominated Biden prior to this poll's sampling period
  2. The Blue Texas PAC exclusively supports Democratic candidates
  3. The Human Rights Campaign endorsed Biden prior to this poll's sampling period
  4. Poll sponsored by the Texas arm of the party which nominated Biden prior to this poll's sampling period
  5. Poll sponsored by the Defend Students Action Fund.
  6. Giffords' founder, Gabby Giffords, endorsed Biden prior to this poll's sampling period
  7. The Consumer Energy Alliance is a pro-Keystone XL lobbying group
  8. The Texas Democratic Party exclusively supports Democratic candidates
  9. Poll sponsored by Chrysta Castañeda's campaign
  10. Size of "extremely likely to vote" sample not yet released
  11. This poll's sponsor is the American Principles Project, a 501(c)(4) organization that supports the Republican Party.
  12. Poll sponsored by Progress Texas, an organization promoting progressive policies
  13. Poll sponsored by the Texas Democratic Party
  14. By the time of this poll, Data for Progress, which has worked with both the Sanders and Warren campaigns, had endorsed W
  15. Poll sponsored by Democracy Toolbox
  16. Poll sponsored by Courageous Conservatives PAC
  17. Candidate withdrew shortly before the primary after early voting had already started.
  18. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  19. Key: A – all adults RV – registered voters LV – likely voters V – unclear
  20. Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
Image
Source: —
Tip: Wheel or +/− to zoom, drag to pan, Esc to close.