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2020 United States presidential election in Ohio

Updated: Wikipedia source

2020 United States presidential election in Ohio

The 2020 United States presidential election in Ohio was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Ohio voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden and his running mate, California Senator Kamala Harris against the Republican Party's nominee—incumbent President Donald Trump and his running mate, Vice President Mike Pence. Ohio had 18 electoral votes in the Electoral College. Despite polling showing a very narrow Trump lead, Trump won Ohio with 53 % of the vote, defeating Biden who received 45 % of the vote, a margin of 8 %. Trump won by nearly the same margin that he defeated Hillary Clinton by in 2016. This marked the first time since 1960 that Ohio voted for the losing candidate, breaking a streak of the state voting for 14 consecutive winning candidates that began in 1964. This is the second consecutive election in which the state voted over 10 points to the right of the nation as a whole, evidencing the state's trend towards the Republican Party. With Trump's win in Ohio in 2024, this is the only election between the years of 1964 and 2024 in which Ohio voted for the losing candidate. Biden became the first Democrat since John F. Kennedy in 1960 to win the White House without carrying Ohio and the first since Franklin D. Roosevelt in 1932 to win the White House without carrying the heavily unionized carmaking counties of Mahoning and Trumbull, the first Democrat since Harry S. Truman in 1948 to win the White House without carrying Lorain County, the first Democrat since JFK in 1960 to win the White House without Ashtabula, Ottawa, or Portage Counties, and the first since Jimmy Carter in 1976 to win without Erie, Stark, or Wood Counties. Furthermore, this is the first time since 1976 that Ohio voted to the right of Texas - a state that last voted Democratic that year. Additionally, this is the first time since 1892 that an incumbent president carried the state while losing reelection nationally. Trump won 81 of Ohio's 88 counties compared to 80 in 2016, the most since Ronald Reagan won 82 in 1984. Ohio is one of only three states that voted twice for Barack Obama and thrice for Trump, the other two being Florida and Iowa.

Infobox

Turnout
73 %
Nominee
Donald Trump
Party
Republican
Home state
Florida
Running mate
Mike Pence
Electoral vote
18
Popular vote
3,154,834
Percentage
53 %

Tables

2020 Ohio Republican primary · Primary elections › Republican primary
Donald Trump
Donald Trump
Candidate
Donald Trump
Votes
713,546
%
100
Delegates
82
Total
Total
Candidate
Total
Votes
713,546
%
100%
Delegates
82
Candidate
Votes
%
Delegates
Donald Trump
713,546
100
82
Total
713,546
100%
82
2020 Ohio Democratic presidential primary · Primary elections › Democratic primary
Joe Biden
Joe Biden
Candidate
Joe Biden
Votes
647,284
%
72
Delegates
115
Bernie Sanders (withdrawn)
Bernie Sanders (withdrawn)
Candidate
Bernie Sanders (withdrawn)
Votes
149,683
%
16
Delegates
21
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn)
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn)
Candidate
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn)
Votes
30,985
%
3
Michael Bloomberg (withdrawn)
Michael Bloomberg (withdrawn)
Candidate
Michael Bloomberg (withdrawn)
Votes
28,704
%
3
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)
Candidate
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)
Votes
15,113
%
1
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn)
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn)
Candidate
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn)
Votes
11,899
%
1
Tulsi Gabbard (withdrawn)
Tulsi Gabbard (withdrawn)
Candidate
Tulsi Gabbard (withdrawn)
Votes
4,560
%
0
Tom Steyer (withdrawn)
Tom Steyer (withdrawn)
Candidate
Tom Steyer (withdrawn)
Votes
2,801
%
0
Michael Bennet (withdrawn)
Michael Bennet (withdrawn)
Candidate
Michael Bennet (withdrawn)
Votes
2,030
%
0
Deval Patrick (withdrawn)
Deval Patrick (withdrawn)
Candidate
Deval Patrick (withdrawn)
Votes
822
%
0
Andrew Yang (write-in; withdrawn)
Andrew Yang (write-in; withdrawn)
Candidate
Andrew Yang (write-in; withdrawn)
Votes
502
%
0
Total
Total
Candidate
Total
Votes
894,383
%
100%
Delegates
136
Candidate
Votes
%
Delegates
Joe Biden
647,284
72
115
Bernie Sanders (withdrawn)
149,683
16
21
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn)
30,985
3
Michael Bloomberg (withdrawn)
28,704
3
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)
15,113
1
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn)
11,899
1
Tulsi Gabbard (withdrawn)
4,560
0
Tom Steyer (withdrawn)
2,801
0
Michael Bennet (withdrawn)
2,030
0
Deval Patrick (withdrawn)
822
0
Andrew Yang (write-in; withdrawn)
502
0
Total
894,383
100%
136
· General election › Final predictions
Tossup
Tossup
Source
The Cook Political Report
Ranking
Tossup
Tossup
Tossup
Source
Inside Elections
Ranking
Tossup
Lean R
Lean R
Source
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Ranking
Lean R
Tossup
Tossup
Source
Politico
Ranking
Tossup
Tossup
Tossup
Source
RCP
Ranking
Tossup
Tossup
Tossup
Source
Niskanen
Ranking
Tossup
Tossup
Tossup
Source
CNN
Ranking
Tossup
Tossup
Tossup
Source
The Economist
Ranking
Tossup
Tossup
Tossup
Source
CBS News
Ranking
Tossup
Tossup
Tossup
Source
270towin
Ranking
Tossup
Tossup
Tossup
Source
ABC News
Ranking
Tossup
Tossup
Tossup
Source
NPR
Ranking
Tossup
Tossup
Tossup
Source
NBC News
Ranking
Tossup
Tossup
Tossup
Source
538
Ranking
Tossup
Source
Ranking
The Cook Political Report
Tossup
Inside Elections
Tossup
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Lean R
Politico
Tossup
RCP
Tossup
Niskanen
Tossup
CNN
Tossup
The Economist
Tossup
CBS News
Tossup
270towin
Tossup
ABC News
Tossup
NPR
Tossup
NBC News
Tossup
538
Tossup
· General election › Polling
270 to Win
270 to Win
Source of poll aggregation
270 to Win
Dates administered
November 1–2, 2020
Dates updated
November 3, 2020
Joe Biden Democratic
46 %
Donald Trump Republican
47 %
Other/ Undecided
5 %
Margin
Trump +0
Real Clear Politics
Real Clear Politics
Source of poll aggregation
Real Clear Politics
Dates administered
October 28, 2020 – November 1, 2020
Dates updated
November 3, 2020
Joe Biden Democratic
46 %
Donald Trump Republican
47 %
Other/ Undecided
6 %
Margin
Trump +1
FiveThirtyEight
FiveThirtyEight
Source of poll aggregation
FiveThirtyEight
Dates administered
until November 2, 2020
Dates updated
November 3, 2020
Joe Biden Democratic
46 %
Donald Trump Republican
47 %
Other/ Undecided
5 %
Margin
Trump +0
Average
Average
Source of poll aggregation
Average
Dates administered
46 %
Dates updated
47 %
Joe Biden Democratic
5 %
Donald Trump Republican
Trump +0
Source of poll aggregation
Dates administered
Dates updated
Joe Biden Democratic
Donald Trump Republican
Other/ Undecided
Margin
270 to Win
November 1–2, 2020
November 3, 2020
46 %
47 %
5 %
Trump +0
Real Clear Politics
October 28, 2020 – November 1, 2020
November 3, 2020
46 %
47 %
6 %
Trump +1
FiveThirtyEight
until November 2, 2020
November 3, 2020
46 %
47 %
5 %
Trump +0
Average
46 %
47 %
5 %
Trump +0
· General election › Polling
SurveyMonkey/Axios
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Poll source
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Date(s) administered
Oct 20 – Nov 2
Sample size
6,025 (LV)
Margin of error
± 2%
Donald Trump Republican
51%
Joe Biden Democratic
47%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
Undecided
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports
Poll source
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports
Date(s) administered
Oct 31 – Nov 1
Sample size
800 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
49%
Joe Biden Democratic
45%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
3%
Undecided
Research Co.
Research Co.
Poll source
Research Co.
Date(s) administered
Oct 31 – Nov 1
Sample size
450 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Donald Trump Republican
47%
Joe Biden Democratic
47%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
2%
Undecided
4%
Swayable
Swayable
Poll source
Swayable
Date(s) administered
Oct 27 – Nov 1
Sample size
516 (LV)
Margin of error
± 5 %
Donald Trump Republican
52%
Joe Biden Democratic
47%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
1%
Howie Hawkins Green
0%
Other
Undecided
Civiqs/Daily Kos
Civiqs/Daily Kos
Poll source
Civiqs/Daily Kos
Date(s) administered
Oct 29 – Nov 1
Sample size
1,136 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3%
Donald Trump Republican
49%
Joe Biden Democratic
48%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
1%
Undecided
1%
Quinnipiac University
Quinnipiac University
Poll source
Quinnipiac University
Date(s) administered
Oct 28 – Nov 1
Sample size
1,440 (LV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Donald Trump Republican
43%
Joe Biden Democratic
47%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
2%
Undecided
8%
Survey Monkey/Tableau
Survey Monkey/Tableau
Poll source
Survey Monkey/Tableau
Date(s) administered
Oct 20 – Nov 1
Sample size
5,305 (LV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Donald Trump Republican
50%
Joe Biden Democratic
47%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Howie Hawkins Green
Undecided
Trafalgar Group
Trafalgar Group
Poll source
Trafalgar Group
Date(s) administered
Oct 30–31
Sample size
1,041 (LV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Donald Trump Republican
49%
Joe Biden Democratic
44%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
Undecided
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s) administered
Oct 29–31
Sample size
656 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
49%
Joe Biden Democratic
50%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
2%
Undecided
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s) administered
Oct 22–31
Sample size
2,179 (LV)
Margin of error
± 2%
Donald Trump Republican
49%
Joe Biden Democratic
47%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
Undecided
AtlasIntel
AtlasIntel
Poll source
AtlasIntel
Date(s) administered
Oct 29–30
Sample size
660 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4%
Donald Trump Republican
50%
Joe Biden Democratic
47%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
3%
Undecided
Gravis Marketing
Gravis Marketing
Poll source
Gravis Marketing
Date(s) administered
Oct 27–28
Sample size
613 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4%
Donald Trump Republican
49%
Joe Biden Democratic
47%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
Undecided
4%
SurveyMonkey/Axios
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Poll source
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Date(s) administered
Oct 1–28, 2020
Sample size
8,089 (LV)
Margin of error
Donald Trump Republican
51%
Joe Biden Democratic
47%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
Undecided
Quinnipiac University
Quinnipiac University
Poll source
Quinnipiac University
Date(s) administered
Oct 23–27
Sample size
1,186 (LV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Donald Trump Republican
43%
Joe Biden Democratic
48%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
1%
Undecided
8%
Swayable
Swayable
Poll source
Swayable
Date(s) administered
Oct 23–26
Sample size
440 (LV)
Margin of error
± 6 %
Donald Trump Republican
55%
Joe Biden Democratic
44%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
1%
Howie Hawkins Green
0%
Other
Undecided
Wick Surveys
Wick Surveys
Poll source
Wick Surveys
Date(s) administered
Oct 24–25
Sample size
1,000 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
49%
Joe Biden Democratic
47%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
Undecided
Citizen Data
Citizen Data
Poll source
Citizen Data
Date(s) administered
Oct 17–20
Sample size
1,000 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3%
Donald Trump Republican
44%
Joe Biden Democratic
43%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
2%
Howie Hawkins Green
1%
Other
2%
Undecided
8%
Fox News
Fox News
Poll source
Fox News
Date(s) administered
Oct 17–20
Sample size
1,018 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3%
Donald Trump Republican
48%
Joe Biden Democratic
45%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
3%
Howie Hawkins Green
1%
Other
1%
Undecided
3%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s) administered
Oct 11–20
Sample size
2,271 (LV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Donald Trump Republican
49%
Joe Biden Democratic
47%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
Undecided
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports
Poll source
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports
Date(s) administered
Oct 18–19
Sample size
800 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
47%
Joe Biden Democratic
48%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
2%
Undecided
4%
Quinnipiac University
Quinnipiac University
Poll source
Quinnipiac University
Date(s) administered
Oct 8–12
Sample size
1,160 (LV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Donald Trump Republican
47%
Joe Biden Democratic
48%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
2%
Undecided
4%
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising
Poll source
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising
Date(s) administered
Oct 8–11
Sample size
586 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Donald Trump Republican
50%
Joe Biden Democratic
47%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
2%
Undecided
1%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s) administered
Oct 2–11
Sample size
2,283 (LV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Donald Trump Republican
49%
Joe Biden Democratic
46%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
Undecided
Baldwin Wallace University
Baldwin Wallace University
Poll source
Baldwin Wallace University
Date(s) administered
Sep 30 – Oct 8
Sample size
1,009 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
47%
Joe Biden Democratic
45%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
1%
Howie Hawkins Green
0%
Other
1%
Undecided
5%
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Poll source
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Date(s) administered
Oct 2–6
Sample size
661 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Donald Trump Republican
44%
Joe Biden Democratic
45%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
2%
Howie Hawkins Green
1%
Other
0%
Undecided
7%
Trafalgar Group
Trafalgar Group
Poll source
Trafalgar Group
Date(s) administered
Oct 1–3
Sample size
1,035 (LV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Donald Trump Republican
48%
Joe Biden Democratic
44%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
3%
Howie Hawkins Green
1%
Other
1%
Undecided
4%
YouGov/CBS
YouGov/CBS
Poll source
YouGov/CBS
Date(s) administered
Sep 30 – Oct 2
Sample size
1,114 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
47%
Joe Biden Democratic
47%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
1%
Undecided
5%
OnMessage Inc./American Action Forum
OnMessage Inc./American Action Forum
Poll source
OnMessage Inc./American Action Forum
Date(s) administered
Sep 28 – Oct 1
Sample size
800 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
48%
Joe Biden Democratic
47%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
2%
Howie Hawkins Green
1%
Other
0%
Undecided
3%
SurveyMonkey/Axios
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Poll source
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Date(s) administered
Sep 1–30
Sample size
4,012 (LV)
Margin of error
Donald Trump Republican
51%
Joe Biden Democratic
47%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
Undecided
2%
Hart Research Associates/Human Rights Campaign
Hart Research Associates/Human Rights Campaign
Poll source
Hart Research Associates/Human Rights Campaign
Date(s) administered
Sep 24–27
Sample size
400 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Donald Trump Republican
49%
Joe Biden Democratic
47%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
Undecided
Fox News
Fox News
Poll source
Fox News
Date(s) administered
Sep 20–23
Sample size
830 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3%
Donald Trump Republican
45%
Joe Biden Democratic
50%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
1%
Howie Hawkins Green
1%
Other
0%
Undecided
2%
907 (RV)
907 (RV)
Poll source
907 (RV)
Date(s) administered
± 3%
Sample size
44%
Margin of error
49%
Donald Trump Republican
1%
Joe Biden Democratic
2%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
2%
Howie Hawkins Green
3%
Quinnipiac University
Quinnipiac University
Poll source
Quinnipiac University
Date(s) administered
Sep 17–21
Sample size
1,078 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3%
Donald Trump Republican
47%
Joe Biden Democratic
48%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
2%
Undecided
4%
Baldwin Wallace University
Baldwin Wallace University
Poll source
Baldwin Wallace University
Date(s) administered
Sep 9–22
Sample size
1,011 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
44%
Joe Biden Democratic
45%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
2%
Howie Hawkins Green
0%
Other
1%
Undecided
7%
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising
Poll source
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising
Date(s) administered
Sep 11–15
Sample size
556 (RV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Donald Trump Republican
48%
Joe Biden Democratic
45%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
5%
Undecided
1%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s) administered
Aug 29 – Sep 7
Sample size
1,963 (LV)
Margin of error
± (2%–4%)
Donald Trump Republican
50%
Joe Biden Democratic
45%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
Undecided
OnMessage Inc./American Action Forum
OnMessage Inc./American Action Forum
Poll source
OnMessage Inc./American Action Forum
Date(s) administered
Aug 31 – Sep 3
Sample size
800 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
51%
Joe Biden Democratic
45%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
2%
Undecided
3%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports
Poll source
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports
Date(s) administered
Sep 1–2
Sample size
1,000 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3%
Donald Trump Republican
47%
Joe Biden Democratic
51%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
3%
Undecided
ALG Research/Progressive Policy Institute
ALG Research/Progressive Policy Institute
Poll source
ALG Research/Progressive Policy Institute
Date(s) administered
Aug 26 – Sep 1
Sample size
500 (LV)
Margin of error
Donald Trump Republican
46%
Joe Biden Democratic
48%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Poll source
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Date(s) administered
Aug 1–31
Sample size
3,220 (LV)
Margin of error
Donald Trump Republican
51%
Joe Biden Democratic
48%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
Undecided
2%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s) administered
Aug 21–30
Sample size
1,811 (LV)
Margin of error
± (2%–4%)
Donald Trump Republican
50%
Joe Biden Democratic
45%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
Undecided
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising
Poll source
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising
Date(s) administered
Aug 13–17
Sample size
631 (RV)
Margin of error
Donald Trump Republican
47%
Joe Biden Democratic
47%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
4%
Undecided
2%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s) administered
Aug 7–16
Sample size
1,744 (LV)
Margin of error
± (2%–4%)
Donald Trump Republican
49%
Joe Biden Democratic
45%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
Undecided
TargetSmart/Progress Ohio
TargetSmart/Progress Ohio
Poll source
TargetSmart/Progress Ohio
Date(s) administered
Jul 28 – Aug 3
Sample size
1,249 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
46%
Joe Biden Democratic
47%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
8%
Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Poll source
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Date(s) administered
Jul 1–31
Sample size
3,694 (LV)
Margin of error
Donald Trump Republican
52%
Joe Biden Democratic
46%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
Undecided
2%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s) administered
Jul 17–26
Sample size
1,741 (LV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Donald Trump Republican
48%
Joe Biden Democratic
45%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
Undecided
YouGov/CBS
YouGov/CBS
Poll source
YouGov/CBS
Date(s) administered
Jul 21–24
Sample size
1,211 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
46%
Joe Biden Democratic
45%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
2%
Undecided
7%
Zogby Analytics
Zogby Analytics
Poll source
Zogby Analytics
Date(s) administered
Jul 21–23
Sample size
805 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
41%
Joe Biden Democratic
43%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
4%
Howie Hawkins Green
1%
Other
Undecided
11%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports/AGPAC
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports/AGPAC
Poll source
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports/AGPAC
Date(s) administered
Jul 15–16
Sample size
750 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4%
Donald Trump Republican
46%
Joe Biden Democratic
50%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
2%
Undecided
2%
University of Akron
University of Akron
Poll source
University of Akron
Date(s) administered
Jun 24 – Jul 15
Sample size
1,037 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
42%
Joe Biden Democratic
46%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
6%
Undecided
6%
SurveyMonkey/Axios
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Poll source
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Date(s) administered
Jun 8–30
Sample size
1,610 (LV)
Margin of error
Donald Trump Republican
50%
Joe Biden Democratic
49%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
Undecided
1%
Quinnipiac
Quinnipiac
Poll source
Quinnipiac
Date(s) administered
Jun 18–22
Sample size
1,139 (RV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Donald Trump Republican
45%
Joe Biden Democratic
46%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
4%
Undecided
5%
Fox News
Fox News
Poll source
Fox News
Date(s) administered
May 30 – Jun 2
Sample size
803 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
43%
Joe Biden Democratic
45%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
6%
Undecided
6%
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Donald Trump Republican
Joe Biden Democratic
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Oct 20 – Nov 2
6,025 (LV)
± 2%
51%
47%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports
Oct 31 – Nov 1
800 (LV)
± 3 %
49%
45%
3%
Research Co.
Oct 31 – Nov 1
450 (LV)
± 4 %
47%
47%
2%
4%
Swayable
Oct 27 – Nov 1
516 (LV)
± 5 %
52%
47%
1%
0%
Civiqs/Daily Kos
Oct 29 – Nov 1
1,136 (LV)
± 3%
49%
48%
1%
1%
Quinnipiac University
Oct 28 – Nov 1
1,440 (LV)
± 2 %
43%
47%
2%
8%
Survey Monkey/Tableau
Oct 20 – Nov 1
5,305 (LV)
± 2 %
50%
47%
Trafalgar Group
Oct 30–31
1,041 (LV)
± 2 %
49%
44%
Emerson College
Oct 29–31
656 (LV)
± 3 %
49%
50%
2%
Morning Consult
Oct 22–31
2,179 (LV)
± 2%
49%
47%
AtlasIntel
Oct 29–30
660 (LV)
± 4%
50%
47%
3%
Gravis Marketing
Oct 27–28
613 (LV)
± 4%
49%
47%
4%
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Oct 1–28, 2020
8,089 (LV)
51%
47%
Quinnipiac University
Oct 23–27
1,186 (LV)
± 2 %
43%
48%
1%
8%
Swayable
Oct 23–26
440 (LV)
± 6 %
55%
44%
1%
0%
Wick Surveys
Oct 24–25
1,000 (LV)
± 3 %
49%
47%
Citizen Data
Oct 17–20
1,000 (LV)
± 3%
44%
43%
2%
1%
2%
8%
Fox News
Oct 17–20
1,018 (LV)
± 3%
48%
45%
3%
1%
1%
3%
Morning Consult
Oct 11–20
2,271 (LV)
± 2 %
49%
47%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports
Oct 18–19
800 (LV)
± 3 %
47%
48%
2%
4%
Quinnipiac University
Oct 8–12
1,160 (LV)
± 2 %
47%
48%
2%
4%
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising
Oct 8–11
586 (LV)
± 4 %
50%
47%
2%
1%
Morning Consult
Oct 2–11
2,283 (LV)
± 2 %
49%
46%
Baldwin Wallace University
Sep 30 – Oct 8
1,009 (LV)
± 3 %
47%
45%
1%
0%
1%
5%
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Oct 2–6
661 (LV)
± 4 %
44%
45%
2%
1%
0%
7%
Trafalgar Group
Oct 1–3
1,035 (LV)
± 2 %
48%
44%
3%
1%
1%
4%
YouGov/CBS
Sep 30 – Oct 2
1,114 (LV)
± 3 %
47%
47%
1%
5%
OnMessage Inc./American Action Forum
Sep 28 – Oct 1
800 (LV)
± 3 %
48%
47%
2%
1%
0%
3%
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Sep 1–30
4,012 (LV)
51%
47%
2%
Hart Research Associates/Human Rights Campaign
Sep 24–27
400 (LV)
± 4 %
49%
47%
Fox News
Sep 20–23
830 (LV)
± 3%
45%
50%
1%
1%
0%
2%
907 (RV)
± 3%
44%
49%
1%
2%
2%
3%
Quinnipiac University
Sep 17–21
1,078 (LV)
± 3%
47%
48%
2%
4%
Baldwin Wallace University
Sep 9–22
1,011 (LV)
± 3 %
44%
45%
2%
0%
1%
7%
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising
Sep 11–15
556 (RV)
± 4 %
48%
45%
5%
1%
Morning Consult
Aug 29 – Sep 7
1,963 (LV)
± (2%–4%)
50%
45%
OnMessage Inc./American Action Forum
Aug 31 – Sep 3
800 (LV)
± 3 %
51%
45%
2%
3%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports
Sep 1–2
1,000 (LV)
± 3%
47%
51%
3%
ALG Research/Progressive Policy Institute
Aug 26 – Sep 1
500 (LV)
46%
48%
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Aug 1–31
3,220 (LV)
51%
48%
2%
Morning Consult
Aug 21–30
1,811 (LV)
± (2%–4%)
50%
45%
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising
Aug 13–17
631 (RV)
47%
47%
4%
2%
Morning Consult
Aug 7–16
1,744 (LV)
± (2%–4%)
49%
45%
TargetSmart/Progress Ohio
Jul 28 – Aug 3
1,249 (LV)
± 3 %
46%
47%
8%
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Jul 1–31
3,694 (LV)
52%
46%
2%
Morning Consult
Jul 17–26
1,741 (LV)
± 2 %
48%
45%
YouGov/CBS
Jul 21–24
1,211 (LV)
± 3 %
46%
45%
2%
7%
Zogby Analytics
Jul 21–23
805 (RV)
± 3 %
41%
43%
4%
1%
11%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports/AGPAC
Jul 15–16
750 (LV)
± 4%
46%
50%
2%
2%

References

  1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. Key: A – all adults RV – registered voters LV – likely voters V – unclear
  3. Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  4. "Some other candidate" with 3%
  5. "Someone else" with 2%
  6. "Someone else" with 1%
  7. With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  8. "Other" with 1%; would not vote with no voters
  9. "Some other candidate" with 2%
  10. "Another candidate" with 1%
  11. "Someone else" and would not vote with 0%
  12. Includes "Refused"
  13. "Someone else/third party" with 1%
  14. "Other" and would not vote with no voters
  15. "Other" with 0%; would not vote with no voters
  16. "Other" and would not vote with 1%
  17. Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
  18. "Someone else" with 5%
  19. Overlapping sample with the previous Morning Consult poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  20. "Someone else" with 4%
Image
Source:
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