Topzle Topzle

2020 United States presidential election in New Mexico

Updated: Wikipedia source

2020 United States presidential election in New Mexico

The 2020 United States presidential election in New Mexico was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. New Mexico voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. New Mexico has five electoral votes in the Electoral College. New Mexico was won by Biden by a 10 % margin of victory. Prior to the election, most news organizations making election predictions considered New Mexico as a state Biden would win, or a safe blue state. Biden scored victories in all of the state's three largest counties: Bernalillo, Doña Ana, and Santa Fe counties, home to Albuquerque, Las Cruces, and Santa Fe, respectively; all of them voted for Biden in margins greater than ten points. Aggregate polling correctly showed Biden ahead by double-digits in the state. Per exit polls by the Associated Press, much of Biden's strength in New Mexico came from Latino voters, from whom he garnered 61% of the vote. These included 54% of Latinos of Mexican heritage and 70% of Spanish-Americans. Biden also carried a plurality of Caucasian/white voters in the state (49% to Trump's 48%). He also won over Native Americans, garnering over 60% of the vote. 53% of voters believed the Trump administration was doing too little to help Native American reservations in New Mexico during the COVID-19 pandemic, and these voters broke for Biden by 75%–23%. This was the first election since 1968 in which New Mexico voted more Republican than neighboring Colorado. Biden became the first Democrat to win the White House without carrying Colfax County, or Hidalgo County since 1920, when it was created. This was the first election since 1948 in which Valencia County voted for the losing candidate. Although New Mexico is no longer classified as a critical swing state, Trump became the first ever Republican incumbent to consecutively lose New Mexico in an election and only the second ever U . president after Jimmy Carter to consecutively lose New Mexico in the state's history.

Infobox

Turnout
68 % (of eligible voters) (6 pp)
Nominee
Joe Biden
Party
Democratic
Home state
Delaware
Running mate
Kamala Harris
Electoral vote
5
Popular vote
501,614
Percentage
54 %

Tables

2020 New Mexico Republican presidential primary · Primary elections › Republican primary
Donald Trump (incumbent)
Donald Trump (incumbent)
Candidate
Donald Trump (incumbent)
Votes
144,067
%
91
Estimated delegates
22
Uncommitted
Uncommitted
Candidate
Uncommitted
Votes
13,809
%
8
Estimated delegates
0
Total
Total
Candidate
Total
Votes
157,876
%
100%
Estimated delegates
22
Candidate
Votes
%
Estimated delegates
Donald Trump (incumbent)
144,067
91
22
Uncommitted
13,809
8
0
Total
157,876
100%
22
2020 New Mexico Democratic presidential primary
Joe Biden
Joe Biden
Candidate
Joe Biden
Votes
181,700
%
73
Delegates
30
Bernie Sanders (withdrawn)
Bernie Sanders (withdrawn)
Candidate
Bernie Sanders (withdrawn)
Votes
37,435
%
15
Delegates
4
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn)
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn)
Candidate
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn)
Votes
14,552
%
5
Andrew Yang (withdrawn)
Andrew Yang (withdrawn)
Candidate
Andrew Yang (withdrawn)
Votes
4,026
%
1
Tulsi Gabbard (withdrawn)
Tulsi Gabbard (withdrawn)
Candidate
Tulsi Gabbard (withdrawn)
Votes
2,735
%
1
Deval Patrick (withdrawn)
Deval Patrick (withdrawn)
Candidate
Deval Patrick (withdrawn)
Votes
971
%
0
Uncommitted Delegate
Uncommitted Delegate
Candidate
Uncommitted Delegate
Votes
6,461
%
2
Total
Total
Candidate
Total
Votes
247,880
%
100%
Delegates
34
Candidate
Votes
%
Delegates
Joe Biden
181,700
73
30
Bernie Sanders (withdrawn)
37,435
15
4
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn)
14,552
5
Andrew Yang (withdrawn)
4,026
1
Tulsi Gabbard (withdrawn)
2,735
1
Deval Patrick (withdrawn)
971
0
Uncommitted Delegate
6,461
2
Total
247,880
100%
34
New Mexico Libertarian presidential primary, June 2, 2020 · Primary elections › Libertarian primary
Jo Jorgensen (nominee)
Jo Jorgensen (nominee)
Candidate
Jo Jorgensen (nominee)
Votes
520
Percentage
33 %
Uncommitted
Uncommitted
Candidate
Uncommitted
Votes
330
Percentage
21 %
Lincoln Chafee (withdrawn)
Lincoln Chafee (withdrawn)
Candidate
Lincoln Chafee (withdrawn)
Votes
158
Percentage
10 %
Jacob Hornberger (lost)
Jacob Hornberger (lost)
Candidate
Jacob Hornberger (lost)
Votes
154
Percentage
9 %
Adam Kokesh (lost)
Adam Kokesh (lost)
Candidate
Adam Kokesh (lost)
Votes
124
Percentage
7 %
Sam Robb (lost)
Sam Robb (lost)
Candidate
Sam Robb (lost)
Votes
90
Percentage
5 %
John Monds (lost)
John Monds (lost)
Candidate
John Monds (lost)
Votes
63
Percentage
4 %
Dan Behrman (lost)
Dan Behrman (lost)
Candidate
Dan Behrman (lost)
Votes
58
Percentage
3 %
Arvin Vohra (lost)
Arvin Vohra (lost)
Candidate
Arvin Vohra (lost)
Votes
39
Percentage
2 %
James Ogle (lost)
James Ogle (lost)
Candidate
James Ogle (lost)
Votes
34
Percentage
2 %
Total
Total
Candidate
Total
Votes
1,557
Percentage
100%
Candidate
Votes
Percentage
Jo Jorgensen (nominee)
520
33 %
Uncommitted
330
21 %
Lincoln Chafee (withdrawn)
158
10 %
Jacob Hornberger (lost)
154
9 %
Adam Kokesh (lost)
124
7 %
Sam Robb (lost)
90
5 %
John Monds (lost)
63
4 %
Dan Behrman (lost)
58
3 %
Arvin Vohra (lost)
39
2 %
James Ogle (lost)
34
2 %
Total
1,557
100%
· General election › Final predictions
Solid D
Solid D
Source
The Cook Political Report
Ranking
Solid D
Solid D
Solid D
Source
Inside Elections
Ranking
Solid D
Likely D
Likely D
Source
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Ranking
Likely D
Likely D
Likely D
Source
Politico
Ranking
Likely D
Lean D
Lean D
Source
RCP
Ranking
Lean D
Safe D
Safe D
Source
Niskanen
Ranking
Safe D
Solid D
Solid D
Source
CNN
Ranking
Solid D
Safe D
Safe D
Source
The Economist
Ranking
Safe D
Likely D
Likely D
Source
CBS News
Ranking
Likely D
Likely D
Likely D
Source
270towin
Ranking
Likely D
Solid D
Solid D
Source
ABC News
Ranking
Solid D
Likely D
Likely D
Source
NPR
Ranking
Likely D
Likely D
Likely D
Source
NBC News
Ranking
Likely D
Solid D
Solid D
Source
538
Ranking
Solid D
Source
Ranking
The Cook Political Report
Solid D
Inside Elections
Solid D
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Likely D
Politico
Likely D
RCP
Lean D
Niskanen
Safe D
CNN
Solid D
The Economist
Safe D
CBS News
Likely D
270towin
Likely D
ABC News
Solid D
NPR
Likely D
NBC News
Likely D
538
Solid D
· General election › Polling › Aggregate polls
270 to Win
270 to Win
Source of poll aggregation
270 to Win
Dates administered
October 6 – November 1, 2020
Dates updated
November 3, 2020
Joe Biden Democratic
53 %
Donald Trump Republican
40 %
Other/ Undecided
6 %
Margin
Biden +13
FiveThirtyEight
FiveThirtyEight
Source of poll aggregation
FiveThirtyEight
Dates administered
until November 2, 2020
Dates updated
November 3, 2020
Joe Biden Democratic
53 %
Donald Trump Republican
42 %
Other/ Undecided
3 %
Margin
Biden +11
Average
Average
Source of poll aggregation
Average
Dates administered
53 %
Dates updated
41 %
Joe Biden Democratic
4 %
Donald Trump Republican
Biden +12
Source of poll aggregation
Dates administered
Dates updated
Joe Biden Democratic
Donald Trump Republican
Other/ Undecided
Margin
270 to Win
October 6 – November 1, 2020
November 3, 2020
53 %
40 %
6 %
Biden +13
FiveThirtyEight
until November 2, 2020
November 3, 2020
53 %
42 %
3 %
Biden +11
Average
53 %
41 %
4 %
Biden +12

References

  1. Jorgensen was nominated at the 2020 Libertarian National Convention on May 23, ten days before the New Mexico primary, w
  2. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  3. Key: A – all adults RV – registered voters LV – likely voters V – unclear
  4. Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  5. "Other candidate" with 3%
  6. "other" with 2%
  7. The national Constitution Party nominated Don Blankenship for President with William Mohr as his running mate, but the N
  8. Poll sponsored by Ben Ray Luján's campaign for the 2020 United States Senate election in New Mexico
  9. This poll was sponsored by the Majority Institute, a communications firm which supports the Democratic Party
  10. The Independent
    https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-elections-key-dates-midterms-2020-presidential-house-congress-senate-a8472821.html
  11. National Archives and Records Administration
    https://www.archives.gov/federal-register/electoral-college/allocation.html
  12. The New York Times
    https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/results-new-mexico.html
  13. 270toWin
    https://www.270towin.com/2020-polls-biden-trump/new-mexico/
  14. FiveThirtyEight
    https://web.archive.org/web/20200910121719/https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/new-mexico/
  15. The New York Times
    https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/ap-polls-new-mexico.html
  16. USA TODAY
    https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/factcheck/2020/11/11/fact-check-navajo-voters-backed-biden-but-not-broadly-claimed/6223660002/
  17. Navajo Times
    https://navajotimes.com/rezpolitics/election-2020/dzil-yizhiin-stays-true-blue-defying-national-rural-trend/
  18. politicalgraveyard
    http://politicalgraveyard.com/geo/NM/CO-votes.html
  19. politicalgraveyard
    http://politicalgraveyard.com/geo/NM/HI-votes.html
  20. www
    https://www.abqjournal.com/1520747/valencia-countys-17-presidential-elections-streak-comes-to-an-end.html
Image
Source:
Tip: Wheel or +/− to zoom, drag to pan, Esc to close.