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2020 United States presidential election in New Jersey

Updated: Wikipedia source

2020 United States presidential election in New Jersey

The 2020 United States presidential election in New Jersey was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. New Jersey voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. New Jersey has 14 electoral votes in the Electoral College. Prior to the election, New Jersey was considered to be a state Biden would easily win or a safe blue state. Biden carried New Jersey by 15 %, making the state 11 % more Democratic than the nation as a whole. Per exit polls by the Associated Press, Biden's victory came from a coalition of key Democratic constituencies, including 86% of Blacks, 76% of Asians, 72% of Hispanic and Latino Americans, and 50% of Whites. Biden's strength with Asian Americans was evident in New Jersey, where Asians constituted 10 % of the population in 2019. Biden flipped Gloucester County, which was reliably Democratic until Trump flipped it in 2016. He also became the first Democrat since Lyndon B. Johnson in 1964 to win Morris County, which Cory Booker won in the simultaneous senate election. This also became the first presidential election since 2000 in which Salem County did not vote for the national winner. Trump carried 255 of New Jersey's 565 municipalities, fewer than the 307 he carried in 2016, with Biden carrying the other 310. Biden's 2 million votes is the most received by any candidate of either party in a presidential election in the state's history.

Infobox

Turnout
72 % ( 4 %)
Nominee
Joe Biden
Party
Democratic
Home state
Delaware
Running mate
Kamala Harris
Electoral vote
14
Popular vote
2,608,400
Percentage
57 %

Tables

2020 New Jersey Republican primary · Primary elections › Republican primary
Donald Trump (incumbent)
Donald Trump (incumbent)
Candidate
Donald Trump (incumbent)
Votes
457,212
%
100
Delegates
49
Total
Total
Candidate
Total
Votes
457,212
%
100
Delegates
49
Candidate
Votes
%
Delegates
Donald Trump (incumbent)
457,212
100
49
Total
457,212
100
49
2020 New Jersey Democratic presidential primary
Joe Biden
Joe Biden
Candidate
Joe Biden
Votes
814,188
%
84
Delegates
121
Bernie Sanders (withdrawn)
Bernie Sanders (withdrawn)
Candidate
Bernie Sanders (withdrawn)
Votes
140,412
%
14
Delegates
5
Uncommitted
Uncommitted
Candidate
Uncommitted
Votes
4,162
%
0
Total
Total
Candidate
Total
Votes
958,762
%
100%
Delegates
126
Candidate
Votes
%
Delegates
Joe Biden
814,188
84
121
Bernie Sanders (withdrawn)
140,412
14
5
Uncommitted
4,162
0
Total
958,762
100%
126
New Jersey Green Party presidential primary, May 2, 2020 · Primary elections › Green primary
Howie Hawkins
Howie Hawkins
Candidate
Howie Hawkins
Votes
44
Percentage
78 %
National delegates
5
Dario Hunter
Dario Hunter
Candidate
Dario Hunter
Votes
4
Percentage
7 %
National delegates
0
Jesse Ventura
Jesse Ventura
Candidate
Jesse Ventura
Votes
3
Percentage
5 %
National delegates
0
Sedinam Moyowasifza-Curry
Sedinam Moyowasifza-Curry
Candidate
Sedinam Moyowasifza-Curry
Votes
2
Percentage
3 %
National delegates
0
Bernie Sanders
Bernie Sanders
Candidate
Bernie Sanders
Votes
2
Percentage
3 %
National delegates
0
Kent Mesplay
Kent Mesplay
Candidate
Kent Mesplay
Votes
1
Percentage
1 %
National delegates
0
Susan Buchser-Lochocki
Susan Buchser-Lochocki
Candidate
Susan Buchser-Lochocki
Votes
0
Percentage
0%
National delegates
0
Dennis Lambert
Dennis Lambert
Candidate
Dennis Lambert
Votes
0
Percentage
0%
National delegates
0
Chad Wilson
Chad Wilson
Candidate
Chad Wilson
Votes
0
Percentage
0%
National delegates
0
David Rolde
David Rolde
Candidate
David Rolde
Votes
0
Percentage
0%
National delegates
0
Total
Total
Candidate
Total
Votes
56
Percentage
100 %
National delegates
5
Candidate
Votes
Percentage
National delegates
Howie Hawkins
44
78 %
5
Dario Hunter
4
7 %
0
Jesse Ventura
3
5 %
0
Sedinam Moyowasifza-Curry
2
3 %
0
Bernie Sanders
2
3 %
0
Kent Mesplay
1
1 %
0
Susan Buchser-Lochocki
0
0%
0
Dennis Lambert
0
0%
0
Chad Wilson
0
0%
0
David Rolde
0
0%
0
Total
56
100 %
5
· General election › Predictions
Solid D
Solid D
Source
The Cook Political Report
Ranking
Solid D
As of
October 28, 2020
Safe D
Safe D
Source
Inside Elections
Ranking
Safe D
As of
October 16, 2020
Safe D
Safe D
Source
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Ranking
Safe D
As of
October 8, 2020
Safe D
Safe D
Source
Politico
Ranking
Safe D
As of
September 8, 2020
Likely D
Likely D
Source
RCP
Ranking
Likely D
As of
August 3, 2020
Safe D
Safe D
Source
Niskanen
Ranking
Safe D
As of
July 26, 2020
Safe D
Safe D
Source
CNN
Ranking
Safe D
As of
August 3, 2020
Safe D
Safe D
Source
The Economist
Ranking
Safe D
As of
September 2, 2020
Likely D
Likely D
Source
CBS News
Ranking
Likely D
As of
September 27, 2020
Safe D
Safe D
Source
270towin
Ranking
Safe D
As of
August 2, 2020
Safe D
Safe D
Source
ABC News
Ranking
Safe D
As of
July 31, 2020
Likely D
Likely D
Source
NPR
Ranking
Likely D
As of
October 30, 2020
Likely D
Likely D
Source
NBC News
Ranking
Likely D
As of
August 6, 2020
Solid D
Solid D
Source
538
Ranking
Solid D
As of
September 27, 2020
Likely D
Likely D
Source
Fox News
Ranking
Likely D
As of
November 2, 2020
Source
Ranking
As of
The Cook Political Report
Solid D
October 28, 2020
Inside Elections
Safe D
October 16, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Safe D
October 8, 2020
Politico
Safe D
September 8, 2020
RCP
Likely D
August 3, 2020
Niskanen
Safe D
July 26, 2020
CNN
Safe D
August 3, 2020
The Economist
Safe D
September 2, 2020
CBS News
Likely D
September 27, 2020
270towin
Safe D
August 2, 2020
ABC News
Safe D
July 31, 2020
NPR
Likely D
October 30, 2020
NBC News
Likely D
August 6, 2020
538
Solid D
September 27, 2020
Fox News
Likely D
November 2, 2020
· General election › Polling › Aggregate polls
270 to Win
270 to Win
Source of poll aggregation
270 to Win
Dates administered
October 9 – November 2, 2020
Dates updated
November 3, 2020
Joe Biden Democratic
56 %
Donald Trump Republican
37 %
Other/ Undecided
6 %
Margin
Biden +19
Real Clear Politics
Real Clear Politics
Source of poll aggregation
Real Clear Politics
Dates administered
September 4 – October 13, 2020
Dates updated
November 3, 2020
Joe Biden Democratic
54 %
Donald Trump Republican
37 %
Other/ Undecided
8 %
Margin
Biden +17
FiveThirtyEight
FiveThirtyEight
Source of poll aggregation
FiveThirtyEight
Dates administered
until November 2, 2020
Dates updated
November 3, 2020
Joe Biden Democratic
58 %
Donald Trump Republican
37 %
Other/ Undecided
3 %
Margin
Biden +20
Average
Average
Source of poll aggregation
Average
Dates administered
56 %
Dates updated
37 %
Joe Biden Democratic
7 %
Donald Trump Republican
Biden +19
Source of poll aggregation
Dates administered
Dates updated
Joe Biden Democratic
Donald Trump Republican
Other/ Undecided
Margin
270 to Win
October 9 – November 2, 2020
November 3, 2020
56 %
37 %
6 %
Biden +19
Real Clear Politics
September 4 – October 13, 2020
November 3, 2020
54 %
37 %
8 %
Biden +17
FiveThirtyEight
until November 2, 2020
November 3, 2020
58 %
37 %
3 %
Biden +20
Average
56 %
37 %
7 %
Biden +19

References

  1. This primary was conducted under a system in which each person could cast a vote for more than one candidate, therefore
  2. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  3. Key: A – all adults RV – registered voters LV – likely voters V – unclear
  4. Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  5. "Someone else" with 1%
  6. "Neither" with 1%; "Someone else" with 0%
  7. "Another candidate or unsure" with 10%
  8. "Refused" with 4%; "Someone else" with 1%
  9. With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  10. "Someone else" with 2%
  11. "Another candidate or unsure" with 15%
  12. "For another candidate" with 7%
  13. "Someone else" with 2%; would not vote with 1%
  14. "Neither" with 4%; "someone else" with 1%
  15. NJ
    https://nj.gov/state/elections/assets/pdf/election-results/other/2022-1925-general-election-data.pdf
  16. The Independent
    https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-elections-key-dates-midterms-2020-presidential-house-congress-senate-a8472821.html
  17. National Archives and Records Administration
    https://www.archives.gov/federal-register/electoral-college/allocation.html
  18. The New York Times
    https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/ap-polls-new-jersey.html
  19. FiveThirtyEight
    https://web.archive.org/web/20200919195102/https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-asian-americans-are-thinking-about-the-2020-election/
  20. United States Census Bureau
    https://www.census.gov/quickfacts/NJ
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