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2020 United States presidential election in Nevada

Updated: Wikipedia source

2020 United States presidential election in Nevada

The 2020 United States presidential election in Nevada was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Nevada voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Nevada has six votes in the Electoral College. Throughout the campaign, polls of the state generally showed a Biden lead, albeit with a sometimes slender margin. Before polling day, most news organizations considered that Nevada was leaning towards Biden. Biden carried Nevada by 2 %, a slightly smaller margin than Hillary Clinton's 2 % in 2016, making it one of six states (along with Washington DC) in which Trump improved on his 2016 margin, likely due to Trump's improvements with Hispanic voters in 2020 compared to 2016. Biden's somewhat narrow victory in Nevada also made it his weakest victory in a state that Hillary Clinton had won in 2016, as he carried all other such states by more than 7%. Most counties in the state of Nevada are rural and sparsely populated, and voted heavily for Trump. However, Biden won the two most populous counties, Clark and Washoe, which make up almost 89% of Nevada's population. The state's three largest cities are located in these counties: Las Vegas and Henderson in the former, and Reno in the latter. His strength in these areas was likely due to high presence of minority and union voters: Biden's strength came from heavy turnout among culinary unions in populous Clark County, anchored by Las Vegas. Biden had the backing of Culinary Union Local 226, based on right-to-work standards. Additionally, Biden was able to win about 43% and 34% of votes in the tourism-heavy Lake Tahoe areas of Carson City and Douglas County respectively, sealing his victory in the state. Nevada weighed in for this election as 2 % more Republican than the nation-at-large.

Infobox

Turnout
78 %
Nominee
Joe Biden
Party
Democratic
Home state
Delaware
Running mate
Kamala Harris
Electoral vote
6
Popular vote
703,486
Percentage
50 %

Tables

2020 Nevada Democratic presidential caucuses
Votes
Votes
Candidate
Votes
First alignment
%
First alignment
Votes
Final alignment
%
Final alignment
Number
County convention delegates
%
Bernie Sanders
Bernie Sanders
Candidate
Bernie Sanders
First alignment
35,652
First alignment
33
Final alignment
41,075
Final alignment
40
County convention delegates
6,788
County convention delegates
46
Pledged national convention delegates
24
Joe Biden
Joe Biden
Candidate
Joe Biden
First alignment
18,424
First alignment
17
Final alignment
19,179
Final alignment
18
County convention delegates
2,927
County convention delegates
20
Pledged national convention delegates
9
Pete Buttigieg
Pete Buttigieg
Candidate
Pete Buttigieg
First alignment
16,102
First alignment
15
Final alignment
17,598
Final alignment
17
County convention delegates
2,073
County convention delegates
14
Pledged national convention delegates
3
Elizabeth Warren
Elizabeth Warren
Candidate
Elizabeth Warren
First alignment
13,438
First alignment
12
Final alignment
11,703
Final alignment
11
County convention delegates
1,406
County convention delegates
9
Tom Steyer
Tom Steyer
Candidate
Tom Steyer
First alignment
9,503
First alignment
9
Final alignment
4,120
Final alignment
4
County convention delegates
682
County convention delegates
4
Amy Klobuchar
Amy Klobuchar
Candidate
Amy Klobuchar
First alignment
10,100
First alignment
9
Final alignment
7,376
Final alignment
7
County convention delegates
603
County convention delegates
4
Tulsi Gabbard
Tulsi Gabbard
Candidate
Tulsi Gabbard
First alignment
353
First alignment
0
Final alignment
32
Final alignment
0
County convention delegates
4
County convention delegates
0
Andrew Yang (withdrawn)
Andrew Yang (withdrawn)
Candidate
Andrew Yang (withdrawn)
First alignment
612
First alignment
0
Final alignment
49
Final alignment
0
County convention delegates
1
County convention delegates
0
Michael Bennet (withdrawn)
Michael Bennet (withdrawn)
Candidate
Michael Bennet (withdrawn)
First alignment
140
First alignment
0
Final alignment
36
Final alignment
0
County convention delegates
0
County convention delegates
0
Deval Patrick (withdrawn)
Deval Patrick (withdrawn)
Candidate
Deval Patrick (withdrawn)
First alignment
86
First alignment
0
Final alignment
8
Final alignment
0
County convention delegates
0
County convention delegates
0
John Delaney (withdrawn; not on the ballot)
John Delaney (withdrawn; not on the ballot)
Candidate
John Delaney (withdrawn; not on the ballot)
First alignment
1
First alignment
0
Final alignment
0
Final alignment
0
County convention delegates
0
County convention delegates
0
Uncommitted
Uncommitted
Candidate
Uncommitted
First alignment
472
First alignment
0
Final alignment
367
Final alignment
0
County convention delegates
7
County convention delegates
0
Total
Total
Candidate
Total
First alignment
104,883
First alignment
100%
Final alignment
101,543
Final alignment
100%
County convention delegates
14,491
County convention delegates
100%
Pledged national convention delegates
36
Candidate
First alignment
Final alignment
County convention delegates
Pledged national convention delegates
Votes
%
Votes
%
Number
%
Bernie Sanders
35,652
33
41,075
40
6,788
46
24
Joe Biden
18,424
17
19,179
18
2,927
20
9
Pete Buttigieg
16,102
15
17,598
17
2,073
14
3
Elizabeth Warren
13,438
12
11,703
11
1,406
9
Tom Steyer
9,503
9
4,120
4
682
4
Amy Klobuchar
10,100
9
7,376
7
603
4
Tulsi Gabbard
353
0
32
0
4
0
Andrew Yang (withdrawn)
612
0
49
0
1
0
Michael Bennet (withdrawn)
140
0
36
0
0
0
Deval Patrick (withdrawn)
86
0
8
0
0
0
John Delaney (withdrawn; not on the ballot)
1
0
0
0
0
0
Uncommitted
472
0
367
0
7
0
Total
104,883
100%
101,543
100%
14,491
100%
36
· General election › Final predictions
Lean D
Lean D
Source
The Cook Political Report
Ranking
Lean D
Likely D
Likely D
Source
Inside Elections
Ranking
Likely D
Lean D
Lean D
Source
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Ranking
Lean D
Lean D
Lean D
Source
Politico
Ranking
Lean D
Tossup
Tossup
Source
RCP
Ranking
Tossup
Safe D
Safe D
Source
Niskanen
Ranking
Safe D
Lean D
Lean D
Source
CNN
Ranking
Lean D
Likely D
Likely D
Source
The Economist
Ranking
Likely D
Lean D
Lean D
Source
CBS News
Ranking
Lean D
Lean D
Lean D
Source
270towin
Ranking
Lean D
Lean D
Lean D
Source
ABC News
Ranking
Lean D
Lean D
Lean D
Source
NPR
Ranking
Lean D
Lean D
Lean D
Source
NBC News
Ranking
Lean D
Likely D
Likely D
Source
538
Ranking
Likely D
Source
Ranking
The Cook Political Report
Lean D
Inside Elections
Likely D
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Lean D
Politico
Lean D
RCP
Tossup
Niskanen
Safe D
CNN
Lean D
The Economist
Likely D
CBS News
Lean D
270towin
Lean D
ABC News
Lean D
NPR
Lean D
NBC News
Lean D
538
Likely D
· General election › Polling › Aggregate polls
270 to Win
270 to Win
Source of poll aggregation
270 to Win
Dates administered
October 16–31, 2020
Dates updated
November 1, 2020
Joe Biden Democratic
49 %
Donald Trump Republican
44 %
Other/ Undecided
6 %
Margin
Biden +5
Real Clear Politics
Real Clear Politics
Source of poll aggregation
Real Clear Politics
Dates administered
October 23 – November 2, 2020
Dates updated
November 1, 2020
Joe Biden Democratic
48 %
Donald Trump Republican
46 %
Other/ Undecided
5 %
Margin
Biden +2
FiveThirtyEight
FiveThirtyEight
Source of poll aggregation
FiveThirtyEight
Dates administered
until November 2, 2020
Dates updated
November 3, 2020
Joe Biden Democratic
49 %
Donald Trump Republican
44 %
Other/ Undecided
5 %
Margin
Biden +5
Average
Average
Source of poll aggregation
Average
Dates administered
49 %
Dates updated
45 %
Joe Biden Democratic
5 %
Donald Trump Republican
Biden +4
Source of poll aggregation
Dates administered
Dates updated
Joe Biden Democratic
Donald Trump Republican
Other/ Undecided
Margin
270 to Win
October 16–31, 2020
November 1, 2020
49 %
44 %
6 %
Biden +5
Real Clear Politics
October 23 – November 2, 2020
November 1, 2020
48 %
46 %
5 %
Biden +2
FiveThirtyEight
until November 2, 2020
November 3, 2020
49 %
44 %
5 %
Biden +5
Average
49 %
45 %
5 %
Biden +4
· General election › Polling › Polls
Trafalgar Group
Trafalgar Group
Poll source
Trafalgar Group
Date(s) administered
Oct 31 – Nov 2, 2020
Sample size
1,024 (LV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Donald Trump Republican
49%
Joe Biden Democratic
48%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
1%
Other
1%
Undecided
1%
SurveyMonkey/Axios
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Poll source
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Date(s) administered
Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020
Sample size
2,366 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3%
Donald Trump Republican
49%
Joe Biden Democratic
49%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Other
Undecided
Data for Progress
Data for Progress
Poll source
Data for Progress
Date(s) administered
Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020
Sample size
1,442 (LV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Donald Trump Republican
44%
Joe Biden Democratic
51%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
3%
Other
2%
Undecided
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s) administered
Oct 29–31, 2020
Sample size
720 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
47%
Joe Biden Democratic
49%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Other
4%
Undecided
Trafalgar Group
Trafalgar Group
Poll source
Trafalgar Group
Date(s) administered
Oct 28–29, 2020
Sample size
1,024 (LV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Donald Trump Republican
47%
Joe Biden Democratic
49%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
2%
Other
1%
Undecided
1%
Gravis Marketing
Gravis Marketing
Poll source
Gravis Marketing
Date(s) administered
Oct 27–28, 2020
Sample size
688 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
44%
Joe Biden Democratic
50%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Other
Undecided
6%
SurveyMonkey/Axios
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Poll source
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Date(s) administered
Oct 1–28, 2020
Sample size
3,333 (LV)
Margin of error
Donald Trump Republican
49%
Joe Biden Democratic
50%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Other
Undecided
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Poll source
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Date(s) administered
Oct 23–26, 2020
Sample size
809 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
43%
Joe Biden Democratic
49%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
3%
Other
2%
Undecided
4%
BUSR/University of Nevada
BUSR/University of Nevada
Poll source
BUSR/University of Nevada
Date(s) administered
Oct 16–21, Oct 23, 2020
Sample size
809 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4%
Donald Trump Republican
41%
Joe Biden Democratic
50%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Other
Undecided
Civiqs/Daily Kos
Civiqs/Daily Kos
Poll source
Civiqs/Daily Kos
Date(s) administered
Oct 17–20, 2020
Sample size
712 (LV)
Margin of error
± 5 %
Donald Trump Republican
43%
Joe Biden Democratic
52%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Other
3%
Undecided
1%
WPA Intelligence/Las Vegas Review-Journal/AARP
WPA Intelligence/Las Vegas Review-Journal/AARP
Poll source
WPA Intelligence/Las Vegas Review-Journal/AARP
Date(s) administered
Oct 7–11, 2020
Sample size
512 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Donald Trump Republican
42%
Joe Biden Democratic
44%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
3%
Other
5%
Undecided
6%
YouGov/CBS
YouGov/CBS
Poll source
YouGov/CBS
Date(s) administered
Oct 6–9, 2020
Sample size
1,036 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Donald Trump Republican
46%
Joe Biden Democratic
52%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Other
2%
Undecided
0%
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Poll source
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Date(s) administered
Oct 2–6, 2020
Sample size
660 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Donald Trump Republican
42%
Joe Biden Democratic
48%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
3%
Other
1%
Undecided
6%
SurveyMonkey/Axios
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Poll source
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Date(s) administered
Sep 1–30, 2020
Sample size
1,239 (LV)
Margin of error
Donald Trump Republican
47%
Joe Biden Democratic
51%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Other
-
Undecided
2%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports/American Greatness PAC
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports/American Greatness PAC
Poll source
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports/American Greatness PAC
Date(s) administered
Sep 23–25, 2020
Sample size
750 (LV)
Margin of error
Donald Trump Republican
48%
Joe Biden Democratic
49%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Other
2%
Undecided
1%
Qualtrics/University of Nevada/BUSR
Qualtrics/University of Nevada/BUSR
Poll source
Qualtrics/University of Nevada/BUSR
Date(s) administered
Sep 10–25, 2020
Sample size
641 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4%
Donald Trump Republican
41%
Joe Biden Democratic
46%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Other
7%
Undecided
6%
Fox News
Fox News
Poll source
Fox News
Date(s) administered
Sep 20–23, 2020
Sample size
810 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3%
Donald Trump Republican
41%
Joe Biden Democratic
52%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
3%
Other
2%
Undecided
2%
911 (RV)
911 (RV)
Poll source
911 (RV)
Date(s) administered
± 3%
Sample size
40%
Margin of error
50%
Donald Trump Republican
3%
Joe Biden Democratic
3%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
4%
ALG Research/ALG Research/The Nevada Independent (D)
ALG Research/ALG Research/The Nevada Independent (D)
Poll source
ALG Research/ALG Research/The Nevada Independent (D)
Date(s) administered
Sep 15–21, 2020
Sample size
800 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
43%
Joe Biden Democratic
47%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Other
Undecided
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Poll source
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Date(s) administered
Sep 8–10, 2020
Sample size
462 (LV)
Margin of error
± 5 %
Donald Trump Republican
42%
Joe Biden Democratic
46%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
3%
Other
1%
Undecided
7%
SurveyMonkey/Axios
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Poll source
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Date(s) administered
Aug 1–31, 2020
Sample size
998 (LV)
Margin of error
Donald Trump Republican
49%
Joe Biden Democratic
50%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Other
Undecided
1%
Qualtrics/University of Nevada/BUSR
Qualtrics/University of Nevada/BUSR
Poll source
Qualtrics/University of Nevada/BUSR
Date(s) administered
Aug 20–30, 2020
Sample size
682 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4%
Donald Trump Republican
39%
Joe Biden Democratic
44%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Other
5%
Undecided
12%
SurveyMonkey/Axios
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Poll source
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Date(s) administered
Jul 1–31, 2020
Sample size
1,021 (LV)
Margin of error
Donald Trump Republican
52%
Joe Biden Democratic
47%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Other
-
Undecided
2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Poll source
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Date(s) administered
Jun 8–30, 2020
Sample size
609 (LV)
Margin of error
Donald Trump Republican
49%
Joe Biden Democratic
50%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
-
Other
-
Undecided
1%
ALG Research/ALG Research/The Nevada Independent (D)
ALG Research/ALG Research/The Nevada Independent (D)
Poll source
ALG Research/ALG Research/The Nevada Independent (D)
Date(s) administered
Apr 27–30, 2020
Sample size
763 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
45%
Joe Biden Democratic
49%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Other
Undecided
AtlasIntel
AtlasIntel
Poll source
AtlasIntel
Date(s) administered
Feb 19–21, 2020
Sample size
1,100 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
41%
Joe Biden Democratic
44%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Other
15%
Undecided
FOX News
FOX News
Poll source
FOX News
Date(s) administered
Jan 5–8, 2020
Sample size
1,505 (RV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Donald Trump Republican
39%
Joe Biden Democratic
47%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Other
9%
Undecided
4%
FOX News
FOX News
Poll source
FOX News
Date(s) administered
Nov 10–13, 2019
Sample size
1,506 (RV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Donald Trump Republican
40%
Joe Biden Democratic
47%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Other
9%
Undecided
4%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s) administered
Oct 31 – Nov 2, 2019
Sample size
1,089 (RV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Donald Trump Republican
51%
Joe Biden Democratic
49%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Other
Undecided
Gravis Marketing
Gravis Marketing
Poll source
Gravis Marketing
Date(s) administered
Aug 14–16, 2019
Sample size
926 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
43%
Joe Biden Democratic
49%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Other
Undecided
8%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s) administered
Mar 28–30, 2019
Sample size
719 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
48%
Joe Biden Democratic
52%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Other
Undecided
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Donald Trump Republican
Joe Biden Democratic
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Other
Undecided
Trafalgar Group
Oct 31 – Nov 2, 2020
1,024 (LV)
± 2 %
49%
48%
1%
1%
1%
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020
2,366 (LV)
± 3%
49%
49%
-
Data for Progress
Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020
1,442 (LV)
± 2 %
44%
51%
3%
2%
Emerson College
Oct 29–31, 2020
720 (LV)
± 3 %
47%
49%
-
4%
Trafalgar Group
Oct 28–29, 2020
1,024 (LV)
± 2 %
47%
49%
2%
1%
1%
Gravis Marketing
Oct 27–28, 2020
688 (LV)
± 3 %
44%
50%
6%
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Oct 1–28, 2020
3,333 (LV)
49%
50%
-
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Oct 23–26, 2020
809 (LV)
± 3 %
43%
49%
3%
2%
4%
BUSR/University of Nevada
Oct 16–21, Oct 23, 2020
809 (LV)
± 4%
41%
50%
Civiqs/Daily Kos
Oct 17–20, 2020
712 (LV)
± 5 %
43%
52%
-
3%
1%
WPA Intelligence/Las Vegas Review-Journal/AARP
Oct 7–11, 2020
512 (LV)
± 4 %
42%
44%
3%
5%
6%
YouGov/CBS
Oct 6–9, 2020
1,036 (LV)
± 4 %
46%
52%
-
2%
0%
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Oct 2–6, 2020
660 (LV)
± 4 %
42%
48%
3%
1%
6%
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Sep 1–30, 2020
1,239 (LV)
47%
51%
-
-
2%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports/American Greatness PAC
Sep 23–25, 2020
750 (LV)
48%
49%
-
2%
1%
Qualtrics/University of Nevada/BUSR
Sep 10–25, 2020
641 (LV)
± 4%
41%
46%
-
7%
6%
Fox News
Sep 20–23, 2020
810 (LV)
± 3%
41%
52%
3%
2%
2%
911 (RV)
± 3%
40%
50%
3%
3%
4%
ALG Research/ALG Research/The Nevada Independent (D)
Sep 15–21, 2020
800 (LV)
± 3 %
43%
47%
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Sep 8–10, 2020
462 (LV)
± 5 %
42%
46%
3%
1%
7%
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Aug 1–31, 2020
998 (LV)
49%
50%
-
1%
Qualtrics/University of Nevada/BUSR
Aug 20–30, 2020
682 (LV)
± 4%
39%
44%
5%
12%
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Jul 1–31, 2020
1,021 (LV)
52%
47%
-
-
2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Jun 8–30, 2020
609 (LV)
49%
50%
-
-
1%
ALG Research/ALG Research/The Nevada Independent (D)
Apr 27–30, 2020
763 (LV)
± 3 %
45%
49%
AtlasIntel
Feb 19–21, 2020
1,100 (RV)
± 3 %
41%
44%
15%
FOX News
Jan 5–8, 2020
1,505 (RV)
± 2 %
39%
47%
9%
4%
FOX News
Nov 10–13, 2019
1,506 (RV)
± 2 %
40%
47%
9%
4%
Emerson College
Oct 31 – Nov 2, 2019
1,089 (RV)
± 2 %
51%
49%
Gravis Marketing
Aug 14–16, 2019
926 (RV)
± 3 %
43%
49%
8%
Emerson College
Mar 28–30, 2019
719 (RV)
± 3 %
48%
52%
AtlasIntel
AtlasIntel
Poll source
AtlasIntel
Date(s) administered
Feb 19–21, 2020
Sample size
1,100 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump (R)
41%
Bernie Sanders (D)
52%
Other
7%
Undecided
FOX News
FOX News
Poll source
FOX News
Date(s) administered
Jan 5–8, 2020
Sample size
1,505 (RV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Donald Trump (R)
41%
Bernie Sanders (D)
46%
Other
8%
Undecided
4%
FOX News
FOX News
Poll source
FOX News
Date(s) administered
Nov 10–13, 2019
Sample size
1,506 (RV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Donald Trump (R)
40%
Bernie Sanders (D)
47%
Other
9%
Undecided
4%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s) administered
Oct 31 – Nov 2, 2019
Sample size
1,089 (RV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Donald Trump (R)
50%
Bernie Sanders (D)
50%
Other
Undecided
Gravis Marketing
Gravis Marketing
Poll source
Gravis Marketing
Date(s) administered
Aug 14–16, 2019
Sample size
926 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump (R)
44%
Bernie Sanders (D)
47%
Other
Undecided
8%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s) administered
Mar 28–30, 2019
Sample size
719 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump (R)
51%
Bernie Sanders (D)
49%
Other
Undecided
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Donald Trump (R)
Bernie Sanders (D)
Other
Undecided
AtlasIntel
Feb 19–21, 2020
1,100 (RV)
± 3 %
41%
52%
7%
FOX News
Jan 5–8, 2020
1,505 (RV)
± 2 %
41%
46%
8%
4%
FOX News
Nov 10–13, 2019
1,506 (RV)
± 2 %
40%
47%
9%
4%
Emerson College
Oct 31 – Nov 2, 2019
1,089 (RV)
± 2 %
50%
50%
Gravis Marketing
Aug 14–16, 2019
926 (RV)
± 3 %
44%
47%
8%
Emerson College
Mar 28–30, 2019
719 (RV)
± 3 %
51%
49%

References

  1. Vote count after votes for candidates who did not get at least 15% of the vote in that precinct are reallocated to the v
  2. County convention delegates (CCDs) are used to calculate how many pledged national convention delegates each candidate w
  3. The number of pledged national convention delegates is determined by the number of CCDs won. However, a candidate must g
  4. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  5. Key: A – all adults RV – registered voters LV – likely voters V – unclear
  6. "Someone else" with 1%
  7. Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  8. "Other candidate or write-in" with 2%; Undecided with 0%
  9. "Someone else" with 4%
  10. "Someone else" and would not vote with 1%
  11. Includes "Refused"
  12. "Someone else" with 3%
  13. "None of these candidates" with 4%; Blankenship (C) with 1%
  14. "Other third party" with 2%
  15. "Someone else" with 1%; would not vote with 0%
  16. "Some other candidate" with 2%
  17. "Another candidate" with 4%; "None of the candidates" with 3%
  18. "Other" with 2%; would not vote with no voters
  19. "Other" with 2%; would not vote with 1%
  20. "Someone else" with 1%; would not vote and Hawkins (G) with 0%
Image
Source:
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