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2020 United States presidential election in Missouri

Updated: Wikipedia source

2020 United States presidential election in Missouri

The 2020 United States presidential election in Missouri was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Missouri voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump of Florida, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence of Indiana against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden of Delaware, and his running mate Senator Kamala Harris of California. Missouri had 10 electoral votes in the Electoral College. Trump won Missouri again by a 15 % margin. This was 3 % lower than his 2016 margin, but still a better performance in the state than that of any other Republican nominee since Ronald Reagan in 1984. Prior to the election, most news organizations considered this a state Trump would win; during the 21st century Missouri has shifted away from being one of the most notable bellwether states towards becoming a reliably red state. Trump became the first incumbent president since Grover Cleveland in 1888 to win Missouri and lose re-election and the first-ever Republican incumbent to do so. This is also the first time since 1916 (and only the second time ever) that Missouri has voted more Republican than neighboring Kansas. In this election Missouri voted nearly 20% more Republican than the nation as a whole.

Infobox

Turnout
69 % 3 pp
Nominee
Donald Trump
Party
Republican
Home state
Florida
Running mate
Mike Pence
Electoral vote
10
Popular vote
1,718,736
Percentage
56 %

Tables

2020 Missouri Democratic presidential primary · Primary elections › Democratic primary
Joe Biden
Joe Biden
Candidate
Joe Biden
Votes
400,347
%
60
Delegates
44
Bernie Sanders
Bernie Sanders
Candidate
Bernie Sanders
Votes
230,374
%
34
Delegates
24
Michael Bloomberg (withdrawn)
Michael Bloomberg (withdrawn)
Candidate
Michael Bloomberg (withdrawn)
Votes
9,866
%
1
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn)
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn)
Candidate
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn)
Votes
8,156
%
1
Tulsi Gabbard
Tulsi Gabbard
Candidate
Tulsi Gabbard
Votes
4,887
%
0
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)
Candidate
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)
Votes
3,309
%
0
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn)
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn)
Candidate
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn)
Votes
2,682
%
0
Andrew Yang (withdrawn)
Andrew Yang (withdrawn)
Candidate
Andrew Yang (withdrawn)
Votes
953
%
0
Cory Booker (withdrawn)
Cory Booker (withdrawn)
Candidate
Cory Booker (withdrawn)
Votes
651
%
0
Tom Steyer (withdrawn)
Tom Steyer (withdrawn)
Candidate
Tom Steyer (withdrawn)
Votes
584
%
0
Michael Bennet (withdrawn)
Michael Bennet (withdrawn)
Candidate
Michael Bennet (withdrawn)
Votes
206
%
0
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn)
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn)
Candidate
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn)
Votes
170
%
0
John Delaney (withdrawn)
John Delaney (withdrawn)
Candidate
John Delaney (withdrawn)
Votes
159
%
0
Julian Castro (withdrawn)
Julian Castro (withdrawn)
Candidate
Julian Castro (withdrawn)
Votes
103
%
0
Henry Hewes
Henry Hewes
Candidate
Henry Hewes
Votes
94
%
0
Deval Patrick (withdrawn)
Deval Patrick (withdrawn)
Candidate
Deval Patrick (withdrawn)
Votes
52
%
0
Other candidates
Other candidates
Candidate
Other candidates
Votes
1,025
%
0
Uncommitted
Uncommitted
Candidate
Uncommitted
Votes
2,494
%
0
Total
Total
Candidate
Total
Votes
666,112
%
100%
Delegates
68
Candidate
Votes
%
Delegates
Joe Biden
400,347
60
44
Bernie Sanders
230,374
34
24
Michael Bloomberg (withdrawn)
9,866
1
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn)
8,156
1
Tulsi Gabbard
4,887
0
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)
3,309
0
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn)
2,682
0
Andrew Yang (withdrawn)
953
0
Cory Booker (withdrawn)
651
0
Tom Steyer (withdrawn)
584
0
Michael Bennet (withdrawn)
206
0
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn)
170
0
John Delaney (withdrawn)
159
0
Julian Castro (withdrawn)
103
0
Henry Hewes
94
0
Deval Patrick (withdrawn)
52
0
Other candidates
1,025
0
Uncommitted
2,494
0
Total
666,112
100%
68
2020 Missouri Republican presidential primary · Primary elections › Republican primary
Donald Trump (incumbent)
Donald Trump (incumbent)
Candidate
Donald Trump (incumbent)
Votes
301,953
%
96 %
Estimated delegates
54
Uncommitted
Uncommitted
Candidate
Uncommitted
Votes
4,216
%
1 %
Estimated delegates
0
Bill Weld
Bill Weld
Candidate
Bill Weld
Votes
2,171
%
0 %
Estimated delegates
0
Joe Walsh (withdrawn)
Joe Walsh (withdrawn)
Candidate
Joe Walsh (withdrawn)
Votes
2,015
%
0 %
Estimated delegates
0
Bob Ely
Bob Ely
Candidate
Bob Ely
Votes
844
%
0 %
Estimated delegates
0
Matthew John Matern
Matthew John Matern
Candidate
Matthew John Matern
Votes
594
%
0 %
Estimated delegates
0
Total
Total
Candidate
Total
Votes
311,793
%
100%
Estimated delegates
54
Candidate
Votes
%
Estimated delegates
Donald Trump (incumbent)
301,953
96 %
54
Uncommitted
4,216
1 %
0
Bill Weld
2,171
0 %
0
Joe Walsh (withdrawn)
2,015
0 %
0
Bob Ely
844
0 %
0
Matthew John Matern
594
0 %
0
Total
311,793
100%
54
Missouri Libertarian presidential primary, March 10, 2020 · Primary elections › Libertarian primary
Jacob Hornberger
Jacob Hornberger
Candidate
Jacob Hornberger
Votes
1,683
Percentage
74 %
Uncommitted
Uncommitted
Candidate
Uncommitted
Votes
573
Percentage
25 %
Total
Total
Candidate
Total
Votes
2,256
Percentage
100%
Candidate
Votes
Percentage
Jacob Hornberger
1,683
74 %
Uncommitted
573
25 %
Total
2,256
100%
2020 Missouri Green presidential primaries · Primary elections › Green primary
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
3,586
Candidate
100%
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Green
Howie Hawkins
2,733
76 %
Green
Dario Hunter
639
26 %
Green
David Rolde
214
10 %
Total votes
3,586
100%
· General election › Predictions
Likely R
Likely R
Source
The Cook Political Report
Ranking
Likely R
As of
September 10, 2020
Lean R
Lean R
Source
Inside Elections
Ranking
Lean R
As of
September 4, 2020
Likely R
Likely R
Source
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Ranking
Likely R
As of
July 14, 2020
Safe R
Safe R
Source
Politico
Ranking
Safe R
As of
September 8, 2020
Lean R
Lean R
Source
RCP
Ranking
Lean R
As of
August 3, 2020
Safe R
Safe R
Source
Niskanen
Ranking
Safe R
As of
July 26, 2020
Safe R
Safe R
Source
CNN
Ranking
Safe R
As of
August 3, 2020
Likely R
Likely R
Source
The Economist
Ranking
Likely R
As of
September 2, 2020
Likely R
Likely R
Source
CBS News
Ranking
Likely R
As of
August 16, 2020
Likely R
Likely R
Source
270towin
Ranking
Likely R
As of
August 2, 2020
Lean R
Lean R
Source
ABC News
Ranking
Lean R
As of
July 31, 2020
Likely R
Likely R
Source
NPR
Ranking
Likely R
As of
August 3, 2020
Likely R
Likely R
Source
NBC News
Ranking
Likely R
As of
August 6, 2020
Likely R
Likely R
Source
538
Ranking
Likely R
As of
September 9, 2020
Source
Ranking
As of
The Cook Political Report
Likely R
September 10, 2020
Inside Elections
Lean R
September 4, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Likely R
July 14, 2020
Politico
Safe R
September 8, 2020
RCP
Lean R
August 3, 2020
Niskanen
Safe R
July 26, 2020
CNN
Safe R
August 3, 2020
The Economist
Likely R
September 2, 2020
CBS News
Likely R
August 16, 2020
270towin
Likely R
August 2, 2020
ABC News
Lean R
July 31, 2020
NPR
Likely R
August 3, 2020
NBC News
Likely R
August 6, 2020
538
Likely R
September 9, 2020

References

  1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. Key: A – all adults RV – registered voters LV – likely voters V – unclear
  3. Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  4. "Someone else" with 5%
  5. "Another Party Candidate" with 1%
  6. "Someone else" with 3%
  7. Poll sponsored by Galloway's campaign for governor
  8. Uniting Missouri is a PAC supporting Governor Mike Parson (R) in the 2020 Missouri gubernatorial election.
  9. The Independent
    https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-elections-key-dates-midterms-2020-presidential-house-congress-senate-a8472821.html
  10. National Archives and Records Administration
    https://www.archives.gov/federal-register/electoral-college/allocation.html
  11. Missouri Secretary of State
    https://www.sos.mo.gov/CMSImages/ElectionResultsStatistics/2020_Presidential_Preference_Primary_All_Results.pdf
  12. "Associated Press Election Services - Delegate Tracker"
    https://interactives.ap.org/delegate-tracker/
  13. "2020_Presidential_Preference_Primary_All_Results "
    https://www.sos.mo.gov/CMSImages/ElectionResultsStatistics/2020_Presidential_Preference_Primary_All_Results.pdf
  14. KMBC
    https://www.kmbc.com/article/missouri-primary-joe-biden-donald-trump-win-presidental-preferential-primary/31357212
  15. "Candidate List — March 2020 Presidential Preference Primary"
    https://www.sos.mo.gov/elections/candidates/2020/presidential
  16. The Cook Political Report
    https://cookpolitical.com/sites/default/files/2020-03/EC%20030920.4.pdf
  17. insideelections
    https://insideelections.com/ratings/president
  18. crystalball
    http://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2020-president/
  19. "2020 Election Forecast"
    https://www.politico.com/2020-election/race-forecasts-and-predictions/president/
  20. "Battle for White House"
    https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/2020_elections_electoral_college_map.html
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