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2020 United States presidential election in Maine

Updated: Wikipedia source

2020 United States presidential election in Maine

The 2020 United States presidential election in Maine was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Maine voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Maine has four electoral votes in the Electoral College. Unlike all other states except Nebraska, Maine awards two electoral votes based on the statewide vote, and one vote for each congressional district. On election day, Biden carried Maine at-large by nine percentage points and the 1st congressional district by 23 percentage points, garnering three electoral votes. However, the rural 2nd district backed Trump by more than seven percentage points, giving him one electoral vote. This was the same result as 2016, and as such marked only the second time since 1828 that Maine split its electoral votes. Also this is the first time since 1828 where the candidate who win of election and the national popular at the same time didn't receive all Maine electoral votes. Finally, it's also the first election where ME-2 didn't vote for the winner of election and the winner of the national popular at the same time while ME-1 and Maine at large did the opposite. Maine became the first state to use ranked-choice voting for a presidential general election, with voters able to rank their preferred candidates on the ballot. Majorities were reached in the first round of voting statewide and in each congressional district, so ranked-choice voting tabulation was not required. Biden performed strongly with college-educated voters to win Maine. Maine weighed in for this election as 5% more Democratic than the national average. This is the only state that his running mate Kamala Harris won in 2024 where she received a larger vote total than Biden in 2020.

Infobox

Turnout
78% (5 pp)
Nominee
Joe Biden
Party
Democratic
Home state
Delaware
Running mate
Kamala Harris
Electoral vote
3
First round
435,072
Percentage
53 %

Tables

2020 Maine Republican presidential primary · Primary elections › Republican primary
Donald Trump (incumbent)
Donald Trump (incumbent)
Candidate
Donald Trump (incumbent)
Votes
95,360
%
83
Delegates
22
Blank ballots
Blank ballots
Candidate
Blank ballots
Votes
18,368
%
16
Delegates
0
Total
Total
Candidate
Total
Votes
113,728
%
100%
Delegates
22
Candidate
Votes
%
Delegates
Donald Trump (incumbent)
95,360
83
22
Blank ballots
18,368
16
0
Total
113,728
100%
22
2020 Maine Democratic presidential primary
Joe Biden
Joe Biden
Candidate
Joe Biden
Votes
68,729
%
33
Delegates
11
Bernie Sanders
Bernie Sanders
Candidate
Bernie Sanders
Votes
66,826
%
32
Delegates
9
Elizabeth Warren
Elizabeth Warren
Candidate
Elizabeth Warren
Votes
32,055
%
15
Delegates
4
Michael Bloomberg
Michael Bloomberg
Candidate
Michael Bloomberg
Votes
24,294
%
11
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)
Candidate
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)
Votes
4,364
%
2
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn)
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn)
Candidate
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn)
Votes
2,826
%
1
Tulsi Gabbard
Tulsi Gabbard
Candidate
Tulsi Gabbard
Votes
1,815
%
0
Andrew Yang (withdrawn)
Andrew Yang (withdrawn)
Candidate
Andrew Yang (withdrawn)
Votes
696
%
0
Tom Steyer (withdrawn)
Tom Steyer (withdrawn)
Candidate
Tom Steyer (withdrawn)
Votes
313
%
0
Deval Patrick (withdrawn)
Deval Patrick (withdrawn)
Candidate
Deval Patrick (withdrawn)
Votes
218
%
0
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn)
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn)
Candidate
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn)
Votes
201
%
0
Cory Booker (withdrawn)
Cory Booker (withdrawn)
Candidate
Cory Booker (withdrawn)
Votes
183
%
0
Blank ballots
Blank ballots
Candidate
Blank ballots
Votes
3,417
%
1
Total
Total
Candidate
Total
Votes
205,937
%
100%
Delegates
24
Candidate
Votes
%
Delegates
Joe Biden
68,729
33
11
Bernie Sanders
66,826
32
9
Elizabeth Warren
32,055
15
4
Michael Bloomberg
24,294
11
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)
4,364
2
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn)
2,826
1
Tulsi Gabbard
1,815
0
Andrew Yang (withdrawn)
696
0
Tom Steyer (withdrawn)
313
0
Deval Patrick (withdrawn)
218
0
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn)
201
0
Cory Booker (withdrawn)
183
0
Blank ballots
3,417
1
Total
205,937
100%
24
· General election › Final predictions
The Cook Political Report
The Cook Political Report
Source
The Cook Political Report
Statewide
Likely D
1st district
Solid D
2nd district
Tossup
Inside Elections
Inside Elections
Source
Inside Elections
Statewide
Solid D
1st district
Solid D
2nd district
Tossup
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Source
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Statewide
Likely D
1st district
Safe D
2nd district
Lean R
Politico
Politico
Source
Politico
Statewide
Likely D
1st district
Solid D
2nd district
Tossup
RCP
RCP
Source
RCP
Statewide
Lean D
1st district
Likely D
2nd district
Tossup
Niskanen
Niskanen
Source
Niskanen
Statewide
Safe D
1st district
Safe D
2nd district
Likely R
CNN
CNN
Source
CNN
Statewide
Solid D
1st district
Solid D
2nd district
Tossup
The Economist
The Economist
Source
The Economist
Statewide
Safe D
1st district
Not given
2nd district
Not given
CBS News
CBS News
Source
CBS News
Statewide
Likely D
1st district
Likely D
2nd district
Tossup
270towin
270towin
Source
270towin
Statewide
Likely D
1st district
Safe D
2nd district
Tossup
ABC News
ABC News
Source
ABC News
Statewide
Solid D
1st district
Solid D
2nd district
Tossup
NPR
NPR
Source
NPR
Statewide
Likely D
1st district
Likely D
2nd district
Tossup
NBC News
NBC News
Source
NBC News
Statewide
Likely D
1st district
Solid D
2nd district
Tossup
538
538
Source
538
Statewide
Likely D
1st district
Solid D
2nd district
Tossup
Source
Statewide
1st district
2nd district
The Cook Political Report
Likely D
Solid D
Tossup
Inside Elections
Solid D
Solid D
Tossup
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Likely D
Safe D
Lean R
Politico
Likely D
Solid D
Tossup
RCP
Lean D
Likely D
Tossup
Niskanen
Safe D
Safe D
Likely R
CNN
Solid D
Solid D
Tossup
The Economist
Safe D
Not given
Not given
CBS News
Likely D
Likely D
Tossup
270towin
Likely D
Safe D
Tossup
ABC News
Solid D
Solid D
Tossup
NPR
Likely D
Likely D
Tossup
NBC News
Likely D
Solid D
Tossup
538
Likely D
Solid D
Tossup
· General election › Polling
270 to Win
270 to Win
Source of poll aggregation
270 to Win
Dates administered
October 6 – November 1, 2020
Dates updated
November 3, 2020
Joe Biden Democratic
51 %
Donald Trump Republican
40 %
Other/ Undecided
8 %
Margin
Biden +11
FiveThirtyEight
FiveThirtyEight
Source of poll aggregation
FiveThirtyEight
Dates administered
until November 2, 2020
Dates updated
November 3, 2020
Joe Biden Democratic
53 %
Donald Trump Republican
40 %
Other/ Undecided
6 %
Margin
Biden +13
Average
Average
Source of poll aggregation
Average
Dates administered
53 %
Dates updated
40 %
Joe Biden Democratic
7 %
Donald Trump Republican
Biden +12
Source of poll aggregation
Dates administered
Dates updated
Joe Biden Democratic
Donald Trump Republican
Other/ Undecided
Margin
270 to Win
October 6 – November 1, 2020
November 3, 2020
51 %
40 %
8 %
Biden +11
FiveThirtyEight
until November 2, 2020
November 3, 2020
53 %
40 %
6 %
Biden +13
Average
53 %
40 %
7 %
Biden +12
· General election › Polling
Change Research
Change Research
Poll source
Change Research
Date(s) administered
Oct 29 – Nov 2, 2020
Sample size
1,024 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
40%
Joe Biden Democratic
52%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
4%
Howie Hawkins Green
2%
Other
1%
Undecided
1%
SurveyMonkey/Axios
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Poll source
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Date(s) administered
Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020
Sample size
1,274 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4%
Donald Trump Republican
42%
Joe Biden Democratic
56%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
Undecided
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s) administered
Oct 29–31, 2020
Sample size
611 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
43%
Joe Biden Democratic
54%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
2%
Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Poll source
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Date(s) administered
Oct 1–28, 2020
Sample size
1,995 (LV)
Margin of error
Donald Trump Republican
43%
Joe Biden Democratic
56%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
Undecided
SurveyUSA/FairVote
SurveyUSA/FairVote
Poll source
SurveyUSA/FairVote
Date(s) administered
Oct 23–27, 2020
Sample size
1,007 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
40%
Joe Biden Democratic
53%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
2%
Howie Hawkins Green
2%
Other
1%
Undecided
2%
42%
42%
Poll source
42%
Date(s) administered
55%
Sample size
Margin of error
Donald Trump Republican
1%
Joe Biden Democratic
2%
Colby College
Colby College
Poll source
Colby College
Date(s) administered
Oct 21–25, 2020
Sample size
879 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
38%
Joe Biden Democratic
51%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
4%
Undecided
8%
Pan Atlantic Research
Pan Atlantic Research
Poll source
Pan Atlantic Research
Date(s) administered
Oct 2–6, 2020
Sample size
600 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Donald Trump Republican
40%
Joe Biden Democratic
50%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
6%
Undecided
4%
Critical Insights/Digital Research/Bangor Daily News
Critical Insights/Digital Research/Bangor Daily News
Poll source
Critical Insights/Digital Research/Bangor Daily News
Date(s) administered
Sep 25 – Oct 4, 2020
Sample size
466 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Donald Trump Republican
40%
Joe Biden Democratic
51%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
3%
Howie Hawkins Green
1%
Other
2%
Undecided
3%
40%
40%
Poll source
40%
Date(s) administered
52%
Sample size
Margin of error
Donald Trump Republican
5%
Joe Biden Democratic
3%
SurveyMonkey/Axios
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Poll source
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Date(s) administered
Sep 1–30, 2020
Sample size
729 (LV)
Margin of error
Donald Trump Republican
38%
Joe Biden Democratic
60%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
Undecided
2%
Data for Progress (D)
Data for Progress (D)
Poll source
Data for Progress (D)
Date(s) administered
Sep 23–28, 2020
Sample size
718 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
39%
Joe Biden Democratic
53%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
2%
Howie Hawkins Green
1%
Other
Undecided
5%
41%
41%
Poll source
41%
Date(s) administered
55%
Sample size
Margin of error
Donald Trump Republican
Joe Biden Democratic
4%
Colby College
Colby College
Poll source
Colby College
Date(s) administered
Sep 17–23, 2020
Sample size
847 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
39%
Joe Biden Democratic
50%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
4%
Undecided
6%
Suffolk University/Boston Globe
Suffolk University/Boston Globe
Poll source
Suffolk University/Boston Globe
Date(s) administered
Sep 17–20, 2020
Sample size
500 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Donald Trump Republican
39%
Joe Biden Democratic
51%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
1%
Howie Hawkins Green
0%
Other
1%
Undecided
7%
39%
39%
Poll source
39%
Date(s) administered
51%
Sample size
Margin of error
Donald Trump Republican
2%
Joe Biden Democratic
8%
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Poll source
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Date(s) administered
Sep 11–16, 2020
Sample size
663 (LV)
Margin of error
± 5 %
Donald Trump Republican
38%
Joe Biden Democratic
55%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
0%
Howie Hawkins Green
0%
Other
1%
Undecided
6%
Quinnipiac University
Quinnipiac University
Poll source
Quinnipiac University
Date(s) administered
Sep 10–14, 2020
Sample size
1,183 (LV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Donald Trump Republican
38%
Joe Biden Democratic
59%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
0%
Undecided
3%
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates/AARP
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates/AARP
Poll source
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates/AARP
Date(s) administered
Aug 30 – Sep 5, 2020
Sample size
800 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
40%
Joe Biden Democratic
54%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
1%
Undecided
5%
SurveyMonkey/Axios
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Poll source
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Date(s) administered
Aug 1–31, 2020
Sample size
502 (LV)
Margin of error
Donald Trump Republican
37%
Joe Biden Democratic
61%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
Undecided
1%
Critical Insights/Digital Research/Bangor Daily News
Critical Insights/Digital Research/Bangor Daily News
Poll source
Critical Insights/Digital Research/Bangor Daily News
Date(s) administered
Jul 28 – Aug 9, 2020
Sample size
453 (LV)
Margin of error
Donald Trump Republican
38%
Joe Biden Democratic
45%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
11%
Undecided
6%
Quinnipiac University
Quinnipiac University
Poll source
Quinnipiac University
Date(s) administered
Jul 30 – Aug 3, 2020
Sample size
805 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
37%
Joe Biden Democratic
52%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
6%
Undecided
4%
RMG Research
RMG Research
Poll source
RMG Research
Date(s) administered
Jul 27 – Aug 2, 2020
Sample size
500 (RV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Donald Trump Republican
39%
Joe Biden Democratic
50%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
7%
Undecided
4%
Data for Progress
Data for Progress
Poll source
Data for Progress
Date(s) administered
Jul 24 – Aug 2, 2020
Sample size
866 (LV)
Margin of error
Donald Trump Republican
42%
Joe Biden Democratic
49%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
1%
Howie Hawkins Green
1%
Other
Undecided
7%
43%
43%
Poll source
43%
Date(s) administered
53%
Sample size
Margin of error
Donald Trump Republican
Joe Biden Democratic
4%
SurveyMonkey/Axios
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Poll source
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Date(s) administered
Jul 1–31, 2020
Sample size
733 (LV)
Margin of error
Donald Trump Republican
41%
Joe Biden Democratic
57%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
Undecided
1%
Public Policy Polling/AFSCME
Public Policy Polling/AFSCME
Poll source
Public Policy Polling/AFSCME
Date(s) administered
Jul 23–24, 2020
Sample size
962 (V)
Margin of error
Donald Trump Republican
42%
Joe Biden Democratic
53%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
Undecided
5%
Colby College/SocialSphere
Colby College/SocialSphere
Poll source
Colby College/SocialSphere
Date(s) administered
Jul 18–24, 2020
Sample size
888 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
38%
Joe Biden Democratic
50%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
5%
Undecided
7%
Public Policy Polling
Public Policy Polling
Poll source
Public Policy Polling
Date(s) administered
Jul 2–3, 2020
Sample size
1,022 (V)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
42%
Joe Biden Democratic
53%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
Undecided
5%
SurveyMonkey/Axios
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Poll source
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Date(s) administered
Jun 8–30, 2020
Sample size
202 (LV)
Margin of error
Donald Trump Republican
46%
Joe Biden Democratic
51%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
Undecided
3%
Public Policy Polling
Public Policy Polling
Poll source
Public Policy Polling
Date(s) administered
Mar 2–3, 2020
Sample size
872 (V)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
42%
Joe Biden Democratic
52%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
Undecided
6%
Public Policy Polling
Public Policy Polling
Poll source
Public Policy Polling
Date(s) administered
Oct 11–13, 2019
Sample size
939 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
42%
Joe Biden Democratic
54%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
Undecided
4%
Fabrizio Ward/AARP
Fabrizio Ward/AARP
Poll source
Fabrizio Ward/AARP
Date(s) administered
Jul 29–31, 2019
Sample size
600 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Donald Trump Republican
44%
Joe Biden Democratic
50%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
Undecided
5%
Gravis Marketing
Gravis Marketing
Poll source
Gravis Marketing
Date(s) administered
Jun 24, 2019
Sample size
767 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
46%
Joe Biden Democratic
54%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
Undecided
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Donald Trump Republican
Joe Biden Democratic
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
Undecided
Change Research
Oct 29 – Nov 2, 2020
1,024 (LV)
± 3 %
40%
52%
4%
2%
1%
1%
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020
1,274 (LV)
± 4%
42%
56%
Emerson College
Oct 29–31, 2020
611 (LV)
± 3 %
43%
54%
2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Oct 1–28, 2020
1,995 (LV)
43%
56%
SurveyUSA/FairVote
Oct 23–27, 2020
1,007 (LV)
± 3 %
40%
53%
2%
2%
1%
2%
42%
55%
1%
2%
Colby College
Oct 21–25, 2020
879 (LV)
± 3 %
38%
51%
4%
8%
Pan Atlantic Research
Oct 2–6, 2020
600 (LV)
± 4 %
40%
50%
6%
4%
Critical Insights/Digital Research/Bangor Daily News
Sep 25 – Oct 4, 2020
466 (LV)
± 4 %
40%
51%
3%
1%
2%
3%
40%
52%
5%
3%
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Sep 1–30, 2020
729 (LV)
38%
60%
2%
Data for Progress (D)
Sep 23–28, 2020
718 (LV)
± 3 %
39%
53%
2%
1%
5%
41%
55%
4%
Colby College
Sep 17–23, 2020
847 (LV)
± 3 %
39%
50%
4%
6%
Suffolk University/Boston Globe
Sep 17–20, 2020
500 (LV)
± 4 %
39%
51%
1%
0%
1%
7%
39%
51%
2%
8%
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Sep 11–16, 2020
663 (LV)
± 5 %
38%
55%
0%
0%
1%
6%
Quinnipiac University
Sep 10–14, 2020
1,183 (LV)
± 2 %
38%
59%
0%
3%
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates/AARP
Aug 30 – Sep 5, 2020
800 (LV)
± 3 %
40%
54%
1%
5%
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Aug 1–31, 2020
502 (LV)
37%
61%
1%
Critical Insights/Digital Research/Bangor Daily News
Jul 28 – Aug 9, 2020
453 (LV)
38%
45%
11%
6%
Quinnipiac University
Jul 30 – Aug 3, 2020
805 (RV)
± 3 %
37%
52%
6%
4%
RMG Research
Jul 27 – Aug 2, 2020
500 (RV)
± 4 %
39%
50%
7%
4%
Data for Progress
Jul 24 – Aug 2, 2020
866 (LV)
42%
49%
1%
1%
7%
43%
53%
4%
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Jul 1–31, 2020
733 (LV)
41%
57%
1%
Public Policy Polling/AFSCME
Jul 23–24, 2020
962 (V)
42%
53%
5%
Colby College/SocialSphere
Jul 18–24, 2020
888 (RV)
± 3 %
38%
50%
5%
7%
Public Policy Polling
Jul 2–3, 2020
1,022 (V)
± 3 %
42%
53%
5%
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Jun 8–30, 2020
202 (LV)
46%
51%
3%
Public Policy Polling
Mar 2–3, 2020
872 (V)
± 3 %
42%
52%
6%
Public Policy Polling
Oct 11–13, 2019
939 (LV)
± 3 %
42%
54%
4%
Fabrizio Ward/AARP
Jul 29–31, 2019
600 (LV)
± 4 %
44%
50%
5%
Gravis Marketing
Jun 24, 2019
767 (RV)
± 3 %
46%
54%

References

  1. Candidate withdrew during absentee voting, shortly before the date of the election.
  2. Candidate withdrew following the New Hampshire primary, when absentee voting had already begun.
  3. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  4. Key: A – all adults RV – registered voters LV – likely voters V – unclear
  5. Did not vote with 1%; "Don't recall" and would not vote with 0%
  6. Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  7. With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  8. "Someone else" with 2%
  9. Standard VI response
  10. De La Fuente (A) with 1%
  11. Reassigning the second and third preferences of non-Biden/Trump voters
  12. "No second choice"/"no third choice" with 1%
  13. "One of the minor party candidates" with 4%
  14. "All other candidates" with 6%
  15. "Refused" with 2%; De La Fuente (A) with no voters
  16. Ressigning the second preferences of Hawkins and Jorgensen voters
  17. "Refused" with 2%; De La Fuente (A), "No second preference" and "Someone else" with 1%; Hawkins (G) with 0%; Jorgensen (
  18. If the only candidates were Biden and Trump
  19. "A minor party candidate" with 4%
  20. "Refused" with 1%; Fuente (A) and "Other" with 0%
Image
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