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2020 United States presidential election in Maine

Updated: Wikipedia source

2020 United States presidential election in Maine

The 2020 United States presidential election in Maine was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Maine voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Maine has four electoral votes in the Electoral College. Unlike all other states except Nebraska, Maine awards two electoral votes based on the statewide vote, and one vote for each congressional district. On election day, Biden carried Maine at-large by nine percentage points and the 1st congressional district by 23 percentage points, garnering three electoral votes. However, the rural 2nd district backed Trump by more than seven percentage points, giving him one electoral vote. This was the same result as 2016, and as such marked only the second time since 1828 that Maine split its electoral votes. Also this is the first time since 1828 where the candidate who win of election and the national popular at the same time didn't receive all Maine electoral votes. Finally, it's also the first election where ME-2 didn't vote for the winner of election and the winner of the national popular at the same time while ME-1 and Maine at large did the opposite. Maine became the first state to use ranked-choice voting for a presidential general election, with voters able to rank their preferred candidates on the ballot. Majorities were reached in the first round of voting statewide and in each congressional district, so ranked-choice voting tabulation was not required. Biden performed strongly with college-educated voters to win Maine. Maine weighed in for this election as 5% more Democratic than the national average.

Infobox

Party
Democratic
Nominee
Joe Biden
Turnout
78% (5.47 pp)
Percentage
53.09%
First round
435,072
Home state
Delaware
Running mate
Kamala Harris
Electoral vote
3

Tables

2020 Maine Republican presidential primary[9] · Primary elections › Republican primary
Donald Trump (incumbent)
Donald Trump (incumbent)
Candidate
Donald Trump (incumbent)
Votes
95,360
%
83.85
Delegates
22
Blank ballots
Blank ballots
Candidate
Blank ballots
Votes
18,368
%
16.15
Delegates
0
Total
Total
Candidate
Total
Votes
113,728
%
100%
Delegates
22
Candidate
Votes
%
Delegates
Donald Trump (incumbent)
95,360
83.85
22
Blank ballots
18,368
16.15
0
Total
113,728
100%
22
2020 Maine Democratic presidential primary[11]
Joe Biden
Joe Biden
Candidate
Joe Biden
Votes
68,729
%
33.37
Delegates
11
Bernie Sanders
Bernie Sanders
Candidate
Bernie Sanders
Votes
66,826
%
32.45
Delegates
9
Elizabeth Warren
Elizabeth Warren
Candidate
Elizabeth Warren
Votes
32,055
%
15.57
Delegates
4
Michael Bloomberg
Michael Bloomberg
Candidate
Michael Bloomberg
Votes
24,294
%
11.80
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)
Candidate
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)
Votes
4,364
%
2.12
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn)
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn)
Candidate
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn)
Votes
2,826
%
1.37
Tulsi Gabbard
Tulsi Gabbard
Candidate
Tulsi Gabbard
Votes
1,815
%
0.88
Andrew Yang (withdrawn)
Andrew Yang (withdrawn)
Candidate
Andrew Yang (withdrawn)
Votes
696
%
0.34
Tom Steyer (withdrawn)
Tom Steyer (withdrawn)
Candidate
Tom Steyer (withdrawn)
Votes
313
%
0.15
Deval Patrick (withdrawn)
Deval Patrick (withdrawn)
Candidate
Deval Patrick (withdrawn)
Votes
218
%
0.11
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn)
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn)
Candidate
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn)
Votes
201
%
0.10
Cory Booker (withdrawn)
Cory Booker (withdrawn)
Candidate
Cory Booker (withdrawn)
Votes
183
%
0.09
Blank ballots
Blank ballots
Candidate
Blank ballots
Votes
3,417
%
1.66
Total
Total
Candidate
Total
Votes
205,937
%
100%
Delegates
24
Candidate
Votes
%
Delegates
Joe Biden
68,729
33.37
11
Bernie Sanders
66,826
32.45
9
Elizabeth Warren
32,055
15.57
4
Michael Bloomberg
24,294
11.80
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)
4,364
2.12
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn)
2,826
1.37
Tulsi Gabbard
1,815
0.88
Andrew Yang (withdrawn)
696
0.34
Tom Steyer (withdrawn)
313
0.15
Deval Patrick (withdrawn)
218
0.11
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn)
201
0.10
Cory Booker (withdrawn)
183
0.09
Blank ballots
3,417
1.66
Total
205,937
100%
24
· General election › Final predictions
Likely D
Likely D
Source
The Cook Political Report
Ranking (statewide)
Likely D
Ranking (1st)
Solid D
Ranking (2nd)
Tossup
Solid D
Solid D
Source
Inside Elections
Ranking (statewide)
Solid D
Ranking (1st)
Solid D
Ranking (2nd)
Tossup
Likely D
Likely D
Source
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Ranking (statewide)
Likely D
Ranking (1st)
Safe D
Ranking (2nd)
Lean R
Likely D
Likely D
Source
Politico
Ranking (statewide)
Likely D
Ranking (1st)
Solid D
Ranking (2nd)
Tossup
Lean D
Lean D
Source
RCP
Ranking (statewide)
Lean D
Ranking (1st)
Likely D
Ranking (2nd)
Tossup
Safe D
Safe D
Source
Niskanen
Ranking (statewide)
Safe D
Ranking (1st)
Safe D
Ranking (2nd)
Likely R
Solid D
Solid D
Source
CNN
Ranking (statewide)
Solid D
Ranking (1st)
Solid D
Ranking (2nd)
Tossup
Safe D
Safe D
Source
The Economist
Ranking (statewide)
Safe D
Ranking (1st)
Not given
Ranking (2nd)
Not given
Likely D
Likely D
Source
CBS News
Ranking (statewide)
Likely D
Ranking (1st)
Likely D
Ranking (2nd)
Tossup
Likely D
Likely D
Source
270towin
Ranking (statewide)
Likely D
Ranking (1st)
Safe D
Ranking (2nd)
Tossup
Solid D
Solid D
Source
ABC News
Ranking (statewide)
Solid D
Ranking (1st)
Solid D
Ranking (2nd)
Tossup
Likely D
Likely D
Source
NPR
Ranking (statewide)
Likely D
Ranking (1st)
Likely D
Ranking (2nd)
Tossup
Likely D
Likely D
Source
NBC News
Ranking (statewide)
Likely D
Ranking (1st)
Solid D
Ranking (2nd)
Tossup
Likely D
Likely D
Source
538
Ranking (statewide)
Likely D
Ranking (1st)
Solid D
Ranking (2nd)
Tossup
Source
Ranking (statewide)
Ranking (1st)
Ranking (2nd)
The Cook Political Report
Likely D
Solid D
Tossup
Inside Elections
Solid D
Solid D
Tossup
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Likely D
Safe D
Lean R
Politico
Likely D
Solid D
Tossup
RCP
Lean D
Likely D
Tossup
Niskanen
Safe D
Safe D
Likely R
CNN
Solid D
Solid D
Tossup
The Economist
Safe D
Not given
Not given
CBS News
Likely D
Likely D
Tossup
270towin
Likely D
Safe D
Tossup
ABC News
Solid D
Solid D
Tossup
NPR
Likely D
Likely D
Tossup
NBC News
Likely D
Solid D
Tossup
538
Likely D
Solid D
Tossup
· General election › Polling
270 to Win
270 to Win
Source of pollaggregation
270 to Win
Dates administered
October 6 – November 1, 2020
Dates updated
November 3, 2020
JoeBiden Democratic
51.8%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
40.2%
Other/Undecided
8.0%
Margin
Biden +11.6
FiveThirtyEight
FiveThirtyEight
Source of pollaggregation
FiveThirtyEight
Dates administered
until November 2, 2020
Dates updated
November 3, 2020
JoeBiden Democratic
53.3%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
40.3%
Other/Undecided
6.4%
Margin
Biden +13.0
Average
Average
Source of pollaggregation
Average
Dates administered
53.1%
Dates updated
40.3%
JoeBiden Democratic
7.2%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Biden +12.3
Source of pollaggregation
Dates administered
Dates updated
JoeBiden Democratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Other/Undecided
Margin
270 to Win
October 6 – November 1, 2020
November 3, 2020
51.8%
40.2%
8.0%
Biden +11.6
FiveThirtyEight
until November 2, 2020
November 3, 2020
53.3%
40.3%
6.4%
Biden +13.0
Average
53.1%
40.3%
7.2%
Biden +12.3
· General election › Polling
Change Research
Change Research
Poll source
Change Research
Date(s)administered
Oct 29 – Nov 2, 2020
Samplesize
1,024 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
40%
JoeBidenDemocratic
52%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
4%
HowieHawkinsGreen
2%
Other
1%
Undecided
1%
SurveyMonkey/Axios
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Poll source
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Date(s)administered
Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020
Samplesize
1,274 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
42%
JoeBidenDemocratic
56%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
HowieHawkinsGreen
Other
Undecided
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
Oct 29–31, 2020
Samplesize
611 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.9%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
JoeBidenDemocratic
54%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
HowieHawkinsGreen
Other
2%
Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Poll source
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Date(s)administered
Oct 1–28, 2020
Samplesize
1,995 (LV)
Marginof error
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
JoeBidenDemocratic
56%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
HowieHawkinsGreen
Other
Undecided
SurveyUSA/FairVote
SurveyUSA/FairVote
Poll source
SurveyUSA/FairVote
Date(s)administered
Oct 23–27, 2020
Samplesize
1,007 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.7%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
40%
JoeBidenDemocratic
53%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
2%
HowieHawkinsGreen
2%
Other
1%
Undecided
2%
42%
42%
Poll source
42%
Date(s)administered
55%
Samplesize
Marginof error
DonaldTrumpRepublican
1%
JoeBidenDemocratic
2%
Colby College
Colby College
Poll source
Colby College
Date(s)administered
Oct 21–25, 2020
Samplesize
879 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.3%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
38%
JoeBidenDemocratic
51%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
HowieHawkinsGreen
Other
4%
Undecided
8%
Pan Atlantic Research
Pan Atlantic Research
Poll source
Pan Atlantic Research
Date(s)administered
Oct 2–6, 2020
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.5%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
40%
JoeBidenDemocratic
50%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
HowieHawkinsGreen
Other
6%
Undecided
4%
Critical Insights/Digital Research/Bangor Daily News
Critical Insights/Digital Research/Bangor Daily News
Poll source
Critical Insights/Digital Research/Bangor Daily News
Date(s)administered
Sep 25 – Oct 4, 2020
Samplesize
466 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
40%
JoeBidenDemocratic
51%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
3%
HowieHawkinsGreen
1%
Other
2%
Undecided
3%
40%
40%
Poll source
40%
Date(s)administered
52%
Samplesize
Marginof error
DonaldTrumpRepublican
5%
JoeBidenDemocratic
3%
SurveyMonkey/Axios
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Poll source
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Date(s)administered
Sep 1–30, 2020
Samplesize
729 (LV)
Marginof error
DonaldTrumpRepublican
38%
JoeBidenDemocratic
60%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
HowieHawkinsGreen
Other
Undecided
2%
Data for Progress (D)
Data for Progress (D)
Poll source
Data for Progress (D)
Date(s)administered
Sep 23–28, 2020
Samplesize
718 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.7%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
39%
JoeBidenDemocratic
53%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
2%
HowieHawkinsGreen
1%
Other
Undecided
5%
41%
41%
Poll source
41%
Date(s)administered
55%
Samplesize
Marginof error
DonaldTrumpRepublican
JoeBidenDemocratic
4%
Colby College
Colby College
Poll source
Colby College
Date(s)administered
Sep 17–23, 2020
Samplesize
847 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.4%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
39%
JoeBidenDemocratic
50%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
HowieHawkinsGreen
Other
4%
Undecided
6%
Suffolk University/Boston Globe
Suffolk University/Boston Globe
Poll source
Suffolk University/Boston Globe
Date(s)administered
Sep 17–20, 2020
Samplesize
500 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
39%
JoeBidenDemocratic
51%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
1%
HowieHawkinsGreen
0%
Other
1%
Undecided
7%
39%
39%
Poll source
39%
Date(s)administered
51%
Samplesize
Marginof error
DonaldTrumpRepublican
2%
JoeBidenDemocratic
8%
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Poll source
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Date(s)administered
Sep 11–16, 2020
Samplesize
663 (LV)
Marginof error
± 5.1%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
38%
JoeBidenDemocratic
55%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
0%
HowieHawkinsGreen
0%
Other
1%
Undecided
6%
Quinnipiac University
Quinnipiac University
Poll source
Quinnipiac University
Date(s)administered
Sep 10–14, 2020
Samplesize
1,183 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.9%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
38%
JoeBidenDemocratic
59%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
HowieHawkinsGreen
Other
0%
Undecided
3%
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates/AARP
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates/AARP
Poll source
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates/AARP
Date(s)administered
Aug 30 – Sep 5, 2020
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
40%
JoeBidenDemocratic
54%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
HowieHawkinsGreen
Other
1%
Undecided
5%
SurveyMonkey/Axios
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Poll source
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Date(s)administered
Aug 1–31, 2020
Samplesize
502 (LV)
Marginof error
DonaldTrumpRepublican
37%
JoeBidenDemocratic
61%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
HowieHawkinsGreen
Other
Undecided
1%
Critical Insights/Digital Research/Bangor Daily News
Critical Insights/Digital Research/Bangor Daily News
Poll source
Critical Insights/Digital Research/Bangor Daily News
Date(s)administered
Jul 28 – Aug 9, 2020
Samplesize
453 (LV)
Marginof error
DonaldTrumpRepublican
38%
JoeBidenDemocratic
45%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
HowieHawkinsGreen
Other
11%
Undecided
6%
Quinnipiac University
Quinnipiac University
Poll source
Quinnipiac University
Date(s)administered
Jul 30 – Aug 3, 2020
Samplesize
805 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.7%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
37%
JoeBidenDemocratic
52%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
HowieHawkinsGreen
Other
6%
Undecided
4%
RMG Research
RMG Research
Poll source
RMG Research
Date(s)administered
Jul 27 – Aug 2, 2020
Samplesize
500 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.5%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
39%
JoeBidenDemocratic
50%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
HowieHawkinsGreen
Other
7%
Undecided
4%
Data for Progress
Data for Progress
Poll source
Data for Progress
Date(s)administered
Jul 24 – Aug 2, 2020
Samplesize
866 (LV)
Marginof error
DonaldTrumpRepublican
42%
JoeBidenDemocratic
49%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
1%
HowieHawkinsGreen
1%
Other
Undecided
7%
43%
43%
Poll source
43%
Date(s)administered
53%
Samplesize
Marginof error
DonaldTrumpRepublican
JoeBidenDemocratic
4%
SurveyMonkey/Axios
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Poll source
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Date(s)administered
Jul 1–31, 2020
Samplesize
733 (LV)
Marginof error
DonaldTrumpRepublican
41%
JoeBidenDemocratic
57%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
HowieHawkinsGreen
Other
Undecided
1%
Public Policy Polling/AFSCME
Public Policy Polling/AFSCME
Poll source
Public Policy Polling/AFSCME
Date(s)administered
Jul 23–24, 2020
Samplesize
962 (V)
Marginof error
DonaldTrumpRepublican
42%
JoeBidenDemocratic
53%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
HowieHawkinsGreen
Other
Undecided
5%
Colby College/SocialSphere
Colby College/SocialSphere
Poll source
Colby College/SocialSphere
Date(s)administered
Jul 18–24, 2020
Samplesize
888 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.9%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
38%
JoeBidenDemocratic
50%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
HowieHawkinsGreen
Other
5%
Undecided
7%
Public Policy Polling
Public Policy Polling
Poll source
Public Policy Polling
Date(s)administered
Jul 2–3, 2020
Samplesize
1,022 (V)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
42%
JoeBidenDemocratic
53%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
HowieHawkinsGreen
Other
Undecided
5%
SurveyMonkey/Axios
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Poll source
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Date(s)administered
Jun 8–30, 2020
Samplesize
202 (LV)
Marginof error
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
JoeBidenDemocratic
51%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
HowieHawkinsGreen
Other
Undecided
3%
Public Policy Polling
Public Policy Polling
Poll source
Public Policy Polling
Date(s)administered
Mar 2–3, 2020
Samplesize
872 (V)
Marginof error
± 3.3%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
42%
JoeBidenDemocratic
52%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
HowieHawkinsGreen
Other
Undecided
6%
Public Policy Polling
Public Policy Polling
Poll source
Public Policy Polling
Date(s)administered
Oct 11–13, 2019
Samplesize
939 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.2%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
42%
JoeBidenDemocratic
54%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
HowieHawkinsGreen
Other
Undecided
4%
Fabrizio Ward/AARP
Fabrizio Ward/AARP
Poll source
Fabrizio Ward/AARP
Date(s)administered
Jul 29–31, 2019
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
JoeBidenDemocratic
50%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
HowieHawkinsGreen
Other
Undecided
5%
Gravis Marketing
Gravis Marketing
Poll source
Gravis Marketing
Date(s)administered
Jun 24, 2019
Samplesize
767 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
JoeBidenDemocratic
54%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
HowieHawkinsGreen
Other
Undecided
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
DonaldTrumpRepublican
JoeBidenDemocratic
JoJorgensenLibertarian
HowieHawkinsGreen
Other
Undecided
Change Research
Oct 29 – Nov 2, 2020
1,024 (LV)
± 3.5%
40%
52%
4%
2%
1%
1%
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020
1,274 (LV)
± 4%
42%
56%
Emerson College
Oct 29–31, 2020
611 (LV)
± 3.9%
43%
54%
2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Oct 1–28, 2020
1,995 (LV)
43%
56%
SurveyUSA/FairVote
Oct 23–27, 2020
1,007 (LV)
± 3.7%
40%
53%
2%
2%
1%
2%
42%
55%
1%
2%
Colby College
Oct 21–25, 2020
879 (LV)
± 3.3%
38%
51%
4%
8%
Pan Atlantic Research
Oct 2–6, 2020
600 (LV)
± 4.5%
40%
50%
6%
4%
Critical Insights/Digital Research/Bangor Daily News
Sep 25 – Oct 4, 2020
466 (LV)
± 4.4%
40%
51%
3%
1%
2%
3%
40%
52%
5%
3%
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Sep 1–30, 2020
729 (LV)
38%
60%
2%
Data for Progress (D)
Sep 23–28, 2020
718 (LV)
± 3.7%
39%
53%
2%
1%
5%
41%
55%
4%
Colby College
Sep 17–23, 2020
847 (LV)
± 3.4%
39%
50%
4%
6%
Suffolk University/Boston Globe
Sep 17–20, 2020
500 (LV)
± 4.4%
39%
51%
1%
0%
1%
7%
39%
51%
2%
8%
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Sep 11–16, 2020
663 (LV)
± 5.1%
38%
55%
0%
0%
1%
6%
Quinnipiac University
Sep 10–14, 2020
1,183 (LV)
± 2.9%
38%
59%
0%
3%
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates/AARP
Aug 30 – Sep 5, 2020
800 (LV)
± 3.5%
40%
54%
1%
5%
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Aug 1–31, 2020
502 (LV)
37%
61%
1%
Critical Insights/Digital Research/Bangor Daily News
Jul 28 – Aug 9, 2020
453 (LV)
38%
45%
11%
6%
Quinnipiac University
Jul 30 – Aug 3, 2020
805 (RV)
± 3.7%
37%
52%
6%
4%
RMG Research
Jul 27 – Aug 2, 2020
500 (RV)
± 4.5%
39%
50%
7%
4%
Data for Progress
Jul 24 – Aug 2, 2020
866 (LV)
42%
49%
1%
1%
7%
43%
53%
4%
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Jul 1–31, 2020
733 (LV)
41%
57%
1%
Public Policy Polling/AFSCME
Jul 23–24, 2020
962 (V)
42%
53%
5%
Colby College/SocialSphere
Jul 18–24, 2020
888 (RV)
± 3.9%
38%
50%
5%
7%
Public Policy Polling
Jul 2–3, 2020
1,022 (V)
± 3.1%
42%
53%
5%
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Jun 8–30, 2020
202 (LV)
46%
51%
3%
Public Policy Polling
Mar 2–3, 2020
872 (V)
± 3.3%
42%
52%
6%
Public Policy Polling
Oct 11–13, 2019
939 (LV)
± 3.2%
42%
54%
4%
Fabrizio Ward/AARP
Jul 29–31, 2019
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
44%
50%
5%
Gravis Marketing
Jun 24, 2019
767 (RV)
± 3.5%
46%
54%
· General election › Polling › Graphical summary (Maine's 1st congressional district)
270 to Win
270 to Win
Source of pollaggregation
270 to Win
Dates administered
October 6 – November 1, 2020
Dates updated
November 3, 2020
JoeBidenDemocratic
57.8%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
35.0%
Other/Undecided
7.2%
Margin
Biden +22.8
Real Clear Politics
Real Clear Politics
Source of pollaggregation
Real Clear Politics
Dates administered
September 17 – October 6, 2020
Dates updated
October 30, 2020
JoeBidenDemocratic
56.7%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
34.3%
Other/Undecided
9.0%
Margin
Biden +22.4
Source of pollaggregation
Dates administered
Dates updated
JoeBidenDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Other/Undecided
Margin
270 to Win
October 6 – November 1, 2020
November 3, 2020
57.8%
35.0%
7.2%
Biden +22.8
Real Clear Politics
September 17 – October 6, 2020
October 30, 2020
56.7%
34.3%
9.0%
Biden +22.4
· General election › Polling › Graphical summary (Maine's 1st congressional district)
Change Research
Change Research
Poll source
Change Research
Date(s)administered
Oct 29 – Nov 2, 2020
Samplesize
549 (LV)
Marginof error
DonaldTrumpRepublican
35%
JoeBidenDemocratic
56%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
4%
HowieHawkinsGreen
3%
Other
Undecided
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
Oct 29–31, 2020
Samplesize
310 (LV)
Marginof error
DonaldTrumpRepublican
39%
JoeBidenDemocratic
58%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
HowieHawkinsGreen
Other
3%
Undecided
1%
SurveyUSA/FairVote
SurveyUSA/FairVote
Poll source
SurveyUSA/FairVote
Date(s)administered
Oct 23–27, 2020
Samplesize
498 (LV)
Marginof error
DonaldTrumpRepublican
35%
JoeBidenDemocratic
59%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
2%
HowieHawkinsGreen
2%
Other
1%
Undecided
2%
36%
36%
Poll source
36%
Date(s)administered
61%
Samplesize
Marginof error
DonaldTrumpRepublican
1%
JoeBidenDemocratic
2%
Colby College
Colby College
Poll source
Colby College
Date(s)administered
Oct 21–25, 2020
Samplesize
426 (LV)
Marginof error
DonaldTrumpRepublican
34%
JoeBidenDemocratic
56%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
HowieHawkinsGreen
Other
4%
Undecided
7%
Pan Atlantic Research
Pan Atlantic Research
Poll source
Pan Atlantic Research
Date(s)administered
Oct 2–6, 2020
Samplesize
300 (LV)
Marginof error
± 6.4%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
37%
JoeBidenDemocratic
54%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
HowieHawkinsGreen
Other
7%
Undecided
Critical Insights/Digital Research/Bangor Daily News
Critical Insights/Digital Research/Bangor Daily News
Poll source
Critical Insights/Digital Research/Bangor Daily News
Date(s)administered
Sep 25 – Oct 4, 2020
Samplesize
232 (LV)
Marginof error
DonaldTrumpRepublican
30%
JoeBidenDemocratic
62%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
3%
HowieHawkinsGreen
1%
Other
2%
Undecided
3%
Colby College
Colby College
Poll source
Colby College
Date(s)administered
Sep 17–23, 2020
Samplesize
416 (LV)
Marginof error
DonaldTrumpRepublican
36%
JoeBidenDemocratic
54%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
HowieHawkinsGreen
Other
5%
Undecided
5%
Suffolk University/Boston Globe
Suffolk University/Boston Globe
Poll source
Suffolk University/Boston Globe
Date(s)administered
Sep 17–20, 2020
Samplesize
267 (LV)
Marginof error
DonaldTrumpRepublican
33%
JoeBidenDemocratic
54%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
2%
HowieHawkinsGreen
0%
Other
1%
Undecided
9%
34%
34%
Poll source
34%
Date(s)administered
55%
Samplesize
0%
Marginof error
0%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
2%
JoeBidenDemocratic
9%
Quinnipiac University
Quinnipiac University
Poll source
Quinnipiac University
Date(s)administered
Sep 10–14, 2020
Samplesize
707 (LV)
Marginof error
DonaldTrumpRepublican
32%
JoeBidenDemocratic
64%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
HowieHawkinsGreen
Other
1%
Undecided
3%
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates/AARP
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates/AARP
Poll source
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates/AARP
Date(s)administered
Aug 30 – Sep 5, 2020
Samplesize
433 (LV)
Marginof error
DonaldTrumpRepublican
35%
JoeBidenDemocratic
58%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
HowieHawkinsGreen
Other
Undecided
Critical Insights/Digital Research/Bangor Daily News
Critical Insights/Digital Research/Bangor Daily News
Poll source
Critical Insights/Digital Research/Bangor Daily News
Date(s)administered
Jul 28 – Aug 9, 2020
Samplesize
250 (LV)
Marginof error
DonaldTrumpRepublican
33%
JoeBidenDemocratic
49%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
HowieHawkinsGreen
Other
11%
Undecided
6%
Quinnipiac University
Quinnipiac University
Poll source
Quinnipiac University
Date(s)administered
Jul 30 – Aug 3, 2020
Samplesize
392 (LV)
Marginof error
DonaldTrumpRepublican
30%
JoeBidenDemocratic
61%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
HowieHawkinsGreen
Other
6%
Undecided
3%
Colby College/SocialSphere
Colby College/SocialSphere
Poll source
Colby College/SocialSphere
Date(s)administered
Jul 18–24, 2020
Samplesize
425 (LV)
Marginof error
DonaldTrumpRepublican
35%
JoeBidenDemocratic
55%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
HowieHawkinsGreen
Other
6%
Undecided
5%
Public Policy Polling
Public Policy Polling
Poll source
Public Policy Polling
Date(s)administered
Oct 11–13, 2019
Samplesize
478 (LV)
Marginof error
DonaldTrumpRepublican
38%
JoeBidenDemocratic
58%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
HowieHawkinsGreen
Other
Undecided
3%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
DonaldTrumpRepublican
JoeBidenDemocratic
JoJorgensenLibertarian
HowieHawkinsGreen
Other
Undecided
Change Research
Oct 29 – Nov 2, 2020
549 (LV)
35%
56%
4%
3%
Emerson College
Oct 29–31, 2020
310 (LV)
39%
58%
3%
1%
SurveyUSA/FairVote
Oct 23–27, 2020
498 (LV)
35%
59%
2%
2%
1%
2%
36%
61%
1%
2%
Colby College
Oct 21–25, 2020
426 (LV)
34%
56%
4%
7%
Pan Atlantic Research
Oct 2–6, 2020
300 (LV)
± 6.4%
37%
54%
7%
Critical Insights/Digital Research/Bangor Daily News
Sep 25 – Oct 4, 2020
232 (LV)
30%
62%
3%
1%
2%
3%
Colby College
Sep 17–23, 2020
416 (LV)
36%
54%
5%
5%
Suffolk University/Boston Globe
Sep 17–20, 2020
267 (LV)
33%
54%
2%
0%
1%
9%
34%
55%
0%
0%
2%
9%
Quinnipiac University
Sep 10–14, 2020
707 (LV)
32%
64%
1%
3%
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates/AARP
Aug 30 – Sep 5, 2020
433 (LV)
35%
58%
Critical Insights/Digital Research/Bangor Daily News
Jul 28 – Aug 9, 2020
250 (LV)
33%
49%
11%
6%
Quinnipiac University
Jul 30 – Aug 3, 2020
392 (LV)
30%
61%
6%
3%
Colby College/SocialSphere
Jul 18–24, 2020
425 (LV)
35%
55%
6%
5%
Public Policy Polling
Oct 11–13, 2019
478 (LV)
38%
58%
3%
· General election › Polling › Graphical summary (Maine's 2nd congressional district)
270 to Win
270 to Win
Source of pollaggregation
270 to Win
Dates administered
October 6 – November 1, 2020
Dates updated
November 3, 2020
JoeBidenDemocratic
46.4%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45.2%
Other/Undecided
8.4%
Margin
Biden +1.2
Real Clear Politics
Real Clear Politics
Source of pollaggregation
Real Clear Politics
Dates administered
September 17 – October 6, 2020
Dates updated
October 27, 2020
JoeBidenDemocratic
44.7%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45.0%
Other/Undecided
10.3%
Margin
Trump +0.3
Source of pollaggregation
Dates administered
Dates updated
JoeBidenDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Other/Undecided
Margin
270 to Win
October 6 – November 1, 2020
November 3, 2020
46.4%
45.2%
8.4%
Biden +1.2
Real Clear Politics
September 17 – October 6, 2020
October 27, 2020
44.7%
45.0%
10.3%
Trump +0.3
· General election › Polling › Graphical summary (Maine's 2nd congressional district)
Change Research
Change Research
Poll source
Change Research
Date(s)administered
Oct 29 – Nov 2, 2020
Samplesize
475 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.6%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
JoeBidenDemocratic
47%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
4%
HowieHawkinsGreen
1%
Other
0%
Undecided
1%
50%
50%
Poll source
50%
Date(s)administered
50%
Samplesize
Marginof error
DonaldTrumpRepublican
JoeBidenDemocratic
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
Oct 29–31, 2020
Samplesize
301 (LV)
Marginof error
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
JoeBidenDemocratic
50%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
HowieHawkinsGreen
Other
3%
Undecided
0%
SurveyUSA/FairVote
SurveyUSA/FairVote
Poll source
SurveyUSA/FairVote
Date(s)administered
Oct 23–27, 2020
Samplesize
509 (LV)
Marginof error
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
JoeBidenDemocratic
48%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
2%
HowieHawkinsGreen
2%
Other
1%
Undecided
2%
49%
49%
Poll source
49%
Date(s)administered
51%
Samplesize
Marginof error
DonaldTrumpRepublican
JoeBidenDemocratic
Colby College
Colby College
Poll source
Colby College
Date(s)administered
Oct 21–25, 2020
Samplesize
453 (LV)
Marginof error
DonaldTrumpRepublican
42%
JoeBidenDemocratic
46%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
HowieHawkinsGreen
Other
4%
Undecided
9%
Pan Atlantic Research
Pan Atlantic Research
Poll source
Pan Atlantic Research
Date(s)administered
Oct 2–6, 2020
Samplesize
300 (LV)
Marginof error
± 6.4%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
JoeBidenDemocratic
47%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
HowieHawkinsGreen
Other
6%
Undecided
Critical Insights/Digital Research/Bangor Daily News
Critical Insights/Digital Research/Bangor Daily News
Poll source
Critical Insights/Digital Research/Bangor Daily News
Date(s)administered
Sep 25 – Oct 4, 2020
Samplesize
234 (LV)
Marginof error
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
JoeBidenDemocratic
41%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
2%
HowieHawkinsGreen
1%
Other
1%
Undecided
3%
Colby College
Colby College
Poll source
Colby College
Date(s)administered
Sep 17–23, 2020
Samplesize
425 (LV)
Marginof error
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
JoeBidenDemocratic
46%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
HowieHawkinsGreen
Other
3%
Undecided
8%
Suffolk University/Boston Globe
Suffolk University/Boston Globe
Poll source
Suffolk University/Boston Globe
Date(s)administered
Sep 17–20, 2020
Samplesize
233 (LV)
Marginof error
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
JoeBidenDemocratic
47%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
0%
HowieHawkinsGreen
0%
Other
1%
Undecided
6%
45%
45%
Poll source
45%
Date(s)administered
47%
Samplesize
0%
Marginof error
0%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
1%
JoeBidenDemocratic
6%
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Poll source
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Date(s)administered
Sep 11–16, 2020
Samplesize
440 (LV)
Marginof error
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
JoeBidenDemocratic
47%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
HowieHawkinsGreen
Other
Undecided
Quinnipiac University
Quinnipiac University
Poll source
Quinnipiac University
Date(s)administered
Sep 10–14, 2020
Samplesize
476 (LV)
Marginof error
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
JoeBidenDemocratic
53%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
HowieHawkinsGreen
Other
0%
Undecided
3%
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates/AARP
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates/AARP
Poll source
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates/AARP
Date(s)administered
Aug 30 – Sep 5, 2020
Samplesize
367 (LV)
Marginof error
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
JoeBidenDemocratic
49%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
HowieHawkinsGreen
Other
Undecided
Left of Centre PAC
Left of Centre PAC
Poll source
Left of Centre PAC
Date(s)administered
Aug 25–28, 2020
Samplesize
400 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.9%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
JoeBidenDemocratic
48%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
HowieHawkinsGreen
Other
Undecided
3%
Critical Insights/Digital Research/Bangor Daily News
Critical Insights/Digital Research/Bangor Daily News
Poll source
Critical Insights/Digital Research/Bangor Daily News
Date(s)administered
Jul 28 – Aug 9, 2020
Samplesize
249 (LV)
Marginof error
DonaldTrumpRepublican
38%
JoeBidenDemocratic
39%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
HowieHawkinsGreen
Other
12%
Undecided
11%
Quinnipiac University
Quinnipiac University
Poll source
Quinnipiac University
Date(s)administered
Jul 30 – Aug 3, 2020
Samplesize
382 (RV)
Marginof error
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
JoeBidenDemocratic
44%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
HowieHawkinsGreen
Other
6%
Undecided
5%
Colby College/SocialSphere
Colby College/SocialSphere
Poll source
Colby College/SocialSphere
Date(s)administered
Jul 18–24, 2020
Samplesize
449 (LV)
Marginof error
DonaldTrumpRepublican
42%
JoeBidenDemocratic
45%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
HowieHawkinsGreen
Other
4%
Undecided
9%
Public Policy Polling
Public Policy Polling
Poll source
Public Policy Polling
Date(s)administered
Oct 11–13, 2019
Samplesize
461 (LV)
Marginof error
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
JoeBidenDemocratic
49%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
HowieHawkinsGreen
Other
Undecided
4%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
DonaldTrumpRepublican
JoeBidenDemocratic
JoJorgensenLibertarian
HowieHawkinsGreen
Other
Undecided
Change Research
Oct 29 – Nov 2, 2020
475 (LV)
± 4.6%
46%
47%
4%
1%
0%
1%
50%
50%
Emerson College
Oct 29–31, 2020
301 (LV)
47%
50%
3%
0%
SurveyUSA/FairVote
Oct 23–27, 2020
509 (LV)
45%
48%
2%
2%
1%
2%
49%
51%
Colby College
Oct 21–25, 2020
453 (LV)
42%
46%
4%
9%
Pan Atlantic Research
Oct 2–6, 2020
300 (LV)
± 6.4%
43%
47%
6%
Critical Insights/Digital Research/Bangor Daily News
Sep 25 – Oct 4, 2020
234 (LV)
49%
41%
2%
1%
1%
3%
Colby College
Sep 17–23, 2020
425 (LV)
43%
46%
3%
8%
Suffolk University/Boston Globe
Sep 17–20, 2020
233 (LV)
45%
47%
0%
0%
1%
6%
45%
47%
0%
0%
1%
6%
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Sep 11–16, 2020
440 (LV)
45%
47%
Quinnipiac University
Sep 10–14, 2020
476 (LV)
44%
53%
0%
3%
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates/AARP
Aug 30 – Sep 5, 2020
367 (LV)
45%
49%
Left of Centre PAC
Aug 25–28, 2020
400 (LV)
± 4.9%
49%
48%
3%
Critical Insights/Digital Research/Bangor Daily News
Jul 28 – Aug 9, 2020
249 (LV)
38%
39%
12%
11%
Quinnipiac University
Jul 30 – Aug 3, 2020
382 (RV)
45%
44%
6%
5%
Colby College/SocialSphere
Jul 18–24, 2020
449 (LV)
42%
45%
4%
9%
Public Policy Polling
Oct 11–13, 2019
461 (LV)
46%
49%
4%
Public Policy Polling
Public Policy Polling
Poll source
Public Policy Polling
Date(s)administered
Oct 11–13, 2019
Samplesize
939 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.2%
DonaldTrump (R)
43%
PeteButtigieg (D)
52%
Undecided
5%
Gravis Marketing
Gravis Marketing
Poll source
Gravis Marketing
Date(s)administered
Jun 24, 2019
Samplesize
767 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
DonaldTrump (R)
49%
PeteButtigieg (D)
51%
Undecided
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
DonaldTrump (R)
PeteButtigieg (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling
Oct 11–13, 2019
939 (LV)
± 3.2%
43%
52%
5%
Gravis Marketing
Jun 24, 2019
767 (RV)
± 3.5%
49%
51%
Public Policy Polling
Public Policy Polling
Poll source
Public Policy Polling
Date(s)administered
Oct 11–13, 2019
Samplesize
939 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.2%
DonaldTrump (R)
44%
KamalaHarris (D)
50%
Undecided
6%
Gravis Marketing
Gravis Marketing
Poll source
Gravis Marketing
Date(s)administered
Jun 24, 2019
Samplesize
767 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
DonaldTrump (R)
48%
KamalaHarris (D)
52%
Undecided
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
DonaldTrump (R)
KamalaHarris (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling
Oct 11–13, 2019
939 (LV)
± 3.2%
44%
50%
6%
Gravis Marketing
Jun 24, 2019
767 (RV)
± 3.5%
48%
52%
Public Policy Polling
Public Policy Polling
Poll source
Public Policy Polling
Date(s)administered
Mar 2–3, 2020
Samplesize
872 (V)
Marginof error
± 3.3%
DonaldTrump (R)
42%
BernieSanders (D)
52%
Undecided
7%
Public Policy Polling
Public Policy Polling
Poll source
Public Policy Polling
Date(s)administered
Oct 11–13, 2019
Samplesize
939 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.2%
DonaldTrump (R)
43%
BernieSanders (D)
53%
Undecided
4%
Gravis Marketing
Gravis Marketing
Poll source
Gravis Marketing
Date(s)administered
Jun 24, 2019
Samplesize
767 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
DonaldTrump (R)
47%
BernieSanders (D)
53%
Undecided
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
DonaldTrump (R)
BernieSanders (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling
Mar 2–3, 2020
872 (V)
± 3.3%
42%
52%
7%
Public Policy Polling
Oct 11–13, 2019
939 (LV)
± 3.2%
43%
53%
4%
Gravis Marketing
Jun 24, 2019
767 (RV)
± 3.5%
47%
53%
Public Policy Polling
Public Policy Polling
Poll source
Public Policy Polling
Date(s)administered
Oct 11–13, 2019
Samplesize
939 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.2%
DonaldTrump (R)
43%
ElizabethWarren (D)
53%
Undecided
4%
Gravis Marketing
Gravis Marketing
Poll source
Gravis Marketing
Date(s)administered
Jun 24, 2019
Samplesize
767 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
DonaldTrump (R)
48%
ElizabethWarren (D)
52%
Undecided
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
DonaldTrump (R)
ElizabethWarren (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling
Oct 11–13, 2019
939 (LV)
± 3.2%
43%
53%
4%
Gravis Marketing
Jun 24, 2019
767 (RV)
± 3.5%
48%
52%
Public Policy Polling
Public Policy Polling
Poll source
Public Policy Polling
Date(s)administered
Oct 11–13, 2019
Samplesize
478 (LV)
Marginof error
DonaldTrump (R)
38%
PeteButtigieg (D)
58%
Undecided
3%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
DonaldTrump (R)
PeteButtigieg (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling
Oct 11–13, 2019
478 (LV)
38%
58%
3%
Public Policy Polling
Public Policy Polling
Poll source
Public Policy Polling
Date(s)administered
Oct 11–13, 2019
Samplesize
478 (LV)
Marginof error
DonaldTrump (R)
39%
KamalaHarris (D)
57%
Undecided
4%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
DonaldTrump (R)
KamalaHarris (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling
Oct 11–13, 2019
478 (LV)
39%
57%
4%
Public Policy Polling
Public Policy Polling
Poll source
Public Policy Polling
Date(s)administered
Oct 11–13, 2019
Samplesize
478 (LV)
Marginof error
DonaldTrump (R)
39%
BernieSanders (D)
57%
Undecided
4%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
DonaldTrump (R)
BernieSanders (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling
Oct 11–13, 2019
478 (LV)
39%
57%
4%
Public Policy Polling
Public Policy Polling
Poll source
Public Policy Polling
Date(s)administered
Oct 11–13, 2019
Samplesize
478 (LV)
Marginof error
DonaldTrump (R)
39%
ElizabethWarren (D)
57%
Undecided
3%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
DonaldTrump (R)
ElizabethWarren (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling
Oct 11–13, 2019
478 (LV)
39%
57%
3%
Public Policy Polling
Public Policy Polling
Poll source
Public Policy Polling
Date(s)administered
Oct 11–13, 2019
Samplesize
461 (LV)
Marginof error
DonaldTrump (R)
49%
PeteButtigieg (D)
44%
Undecided
7%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
DonaldTrump (R)
PeteButtigieg (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling
Oct 11–13, 2019
461 (LV)
49%
44%
7%
Public Policy Polling
Public Policy Polling
Poll source
Public Policy Polling
Date(s)administered
Oct 11–13, 2019
Samplesize
461 (LV)
Marginof error
DonaldTrump (R)
49%
KamalaHarris (D)
43%
Undecided
8%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
DonaldTrump (R)
KamalaHarris (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling
Oct 11–13, 2019
461 (LV)
49%
43%
8%
Public Policy Polling
Public Policy Polling
Poll source
Public Policy Polling
Date(s)administered
Oct 11–13, 2019
Samplesize
461 (LV)
Marginof error
DonaldTrump (R)
47%
BernieSanders (D)
49%
Undecided
4%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
DonaldTrump (R)
BernieSanders (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling
Oct 11–13, 2019
461 (LV)
47%
49%
4%
Public Policy Polling
Public Policy Polling
Poll source
Public Policy Polling
Date(s)administered
Oct 11–13, 2019
Samplesize
461 (LV)
Marginof error
DonaldTrump (R)
48%
ElizabethWarren (D)
47%
Undecided
5%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
DonaldTrump (R)
ElizabethWarren (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling
Oct 11–13, 2019
461 (LV)
48%
47%
5%
Colby College/SocialSphere
Colby College/SocialSphere
Poll source
Colby College/SocialSphere
Date(s)administered
Feb 10–13, 2020
Samplesize
1,008 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
DonaldTrump (R)
34%
GenericDemocrat (D)
37%
Undecided
30%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
DonaldTrump (R)
GenericDemocrat (D)
Undecided
Colby College/SocialSphere
Feb 10–13, 2020
1,008 (LV)
± 3.1%
34%
37%
30%
Pan Atlantic Research
Pan Atlantic Research
Poll source
Pan Atlantic Research
Date(s)administered
Mar 4–13, 2019
Samplesize
500 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
DonaldTrump (R)
27%
GenericOpponent
53%
Undecided
19%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
DonaldTrump (R)
GenericOpponent
Undecided
Pan Atlantic Research
Mar 4–13, 2019
500 (LV)
± 4.4%
27%
53%
19%
Colby College/SocialSphere
Colby College/SocialSphere
Poll source
Colby College/SocialSphere
Date(s)administered
Feb 10–13, 2020
Samplesize
515 (LV)
Marginof error
DonaldTrump (R)
28%
GenericDemocrat (D)
41%
Undecided
31%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
DonaldTrump (R)
GenericDemocrat (D)
Undecided
Colby College/SocialSphere
Feb 10–13, 2020
515 (LV)
28%
41%
31%
Colby College/SocialSphere
Colby College/SocialSphere
Poll source
Colby College/SocialSphere
Date(s)administered
Feb 10–13, 2020
Samplesize
493 (LV)
Marginof error
DonaldTrump (R)
41%
GenericDemocrat (D)
34%
Undecided
28%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
DonaldTrump (R)
GenericDemocrat (D)
Undecided
Colby College/SocialSphere
Feb 10–13, 2020
493 (LV)
41%
34%
28%
2020 United States presidential election in Maine[63] · General election › Results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
819,461
Candidate
100.00%
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
mw- ±%
Democratic
Joe BidenKamala Harris
435,072
53.09%
+5.26%
Republican
Donald J. TrumpMichael R. Pence
360,737
44.02%
−0.85%
Libertarian
Jo JorgensenSpike Cohen
14,152
1.73%
−3.36%
Green
Howie HawkinsAngela Walker
8,230
1.00%
−0.91%
Alliance
Rocky De La FuenteDarcy Richardson
1,183
0.15%
N/A
Write-in
87
0.01%
N/A
Total votes
819,461
100.00%
Democratic win
· General election › Results › By county
#
#
County
#
Joe BidenDemocratic
%
Joe BidenDemocratic
#
Donald TrumpRepublican
%
Donald TrumpRepublican
#
Various candidatesOther parties
%
Various candidatesOther parties
#
Margin
%
Androscoggin
Androscoggin
County
Androscoggin
Joe BidenDemocratic
27,617
Joe BidenDemocratic
47.04%
Donald TrumpRepublican
29,268
Donald TrumpRepublican
49.85%
Various candidatesOther parties
1,822
Various candidatesOther parties
3.11%
Margin
-1,651
Margin
-2.81%
Total votes cast
58,707
Aroostook
Aroostook
County
Aroostook
Joe BidenDemocratic
13,956
Joe BidenDemocratic
39.04%
Donald TrumpRepublican
21,113
Donald TrumpRepublican
59.06%
Various candidatesOther parties
677
Various candidatesOther parties
1.90%
Margin
-7,157
Margin
-20.02%
Total votes cast
35,746
Cumberland
Cumberland
County
Cumberland
Joe BidenDemocratic
128,759
Joe BidenDemocratic
66.45%
Donald TrumpRepublican
59,584
Donald TrumpRepublican
30.75%
Various candidatesOther parties
5,422
Various candidatesOther parties
2.80%
Margin
69,175
Margin
35.70%
Total votes cast
193,765
Franklin
Franklin
County
Franklin
Joe BidenDemocratic
8,069
Joe BidenDemocratic
46.40%
Donald TrumpRepublican
8,754
Donald TrumpRepublican
50.34%
Various candidatesOther parties
567
Various candidatesOther parties
3.26%
Margin
-685
Margin
-3.94%
Total votes cast
17,390
Hancock
Hancock
County
Hancock
Joe BidenDemocratic
19,369
Joe BidenDemocratic
54.83%
Donald TrumpRepublican
14,982
Donald TrumpRepublican
42.41%
Various candidatesOther parties
974
Various candidatesOther parties
2.76%
Margin
4,387
Margin
12.42%
Total votes cast
35,325
Kennebec
Kennebec
County
Kennebec
Joe BidenDemocratic
34,902
Joe BidenDemocratic
48.57%
Donald TrumpRepublican
34,721
Donald TrumpRepublican
48.32%
Various candidatesOther parties
2,235
Various candidatesOther parties
3.11%
Margin
181
Margin
0.25%
Total votes cast
71,858
Knox
Knox
County
Knox
Joe BidenDemocratic
15,110
Joe BidenDemocratic
58.72%
Donald TrumpRepublican
9,982
Donald TrumpRepublican
38.79%
Various candidatesOther parties
642
Various candidatesOther parties
2.49%
Margin
5,128
Margin
19.93%
Total votes cast
25,734
Lincoln
Lincoln
County
Lincoln
Joe BidenDemocratic
12,684
Joe BidenDemocratic
53.76%
Donald TrumpRepublican
10,256
Donald TrumpRepublican
43.47%
Various candidatesOther parties
654
Various candidatesOther parties
2.77%
Margin
2,428
Margin
10.29%
Total votes cast
23,594
Oxford
Oxford
County
Oxford
Joe BidenDemocratic
14,755
Joe BidenDemocratic
44.06%
Donald TrumpRepublican
17,698
Donald TrumpRepublican
52.84%
Various candidatesOther parties
1,039
Various candidatesOther parties
3.10%
Margin
-2,943
Margin
-8.78%
Total votes cast
33,492
Penobscot
Penobscot
County
Penobscot
Joe BidenDemocratic
37,713
Joe BidenDemocratic
44.23%
Donald TrumpRepublican
44,825
Donald TrumpRepublican
52.57%
Various candidatesOther parties
2,731
Various candidatesOther parties
3.20%
Margin
-7,112
Margin
-8.34%
Total votes cast
85,269
Piscataquis
Piscataquis
County
Piscataquis
Joe BidenDemocratic
3,517
Joe BidenDemocratic
35.50%
Donald TrumpRepublican
6,143
Donald TrumpRepublican
62.00%
Various candidatesOther parties
248
Various candidatesOther parties
2.50%
Margin
-2,626
Margin
-26.50%
Total votes cast
9,908
Sagadahoc
Sagadahoc
County
Sagadahoc
Joe BidenDemocratic
13,528
Joe BidenDemocratic
56.28%
Donald TrumpRepublican
9,755
Donald TrumpRepublican
40.58%
Various candidatesOther parties
755
Various candidatesOther parties
3.14%
Margin
3,773
Margin
15.70%
Total votes cast
24,038
Somerset
Somerset
County
Somerset
Joe BidenDemocratic
10,199
Joe BidenDemocratic
36.98%
Donald TrumpRepublican
16,644
Donald TrumpRepublican
60.35%
Various candidatesOther parties
735
Various candidatesOther parties
2.67%
Margin
-6,445
Margin
-23.37%
Total votes cast
27,578
Waldo
Waldo
County
Waldo
Joe BidenDemocratic
12,345
Joe BidenDemocratic
50.76%
Donald TrumpRepublican
11,196
Donald TrumpRepublican
46.03%
Various candidatesOther parties
781
Various candidatesOther parties
3.21%
Margin
1,149
Margin
4.73%
Total votes cast
24,322
Washington
Washington
County
Washington
Joe BidenDemocratic
6,761
Joe BidenDemocratic
38.95%
Donald TrumpRepublican
10,194
Donald TrumpRepublican
58.73%
Various candidatesOther parties
402
Various candidatesOther parties
2.32%
Margin
-3,433
Margin
-19.78%
Total votes cast
17,357
York
York
County
York
Joe BidenDemocratic
71,189
Joe BidenDemocratic
54.90%
Donald TrumpRepublican
54,817
Donald TrumpRepublican
42.28%
Various candidatesOther parties
3,653
Various candidatesOther parties
2.82%
Margin
16,372
Margin
12.62%
Total votes cast
129,659
Totals
Totals
County
Totals
Joe BidenDemocratic
435,072
Joe BidenDemocratic
53.09%
Donald TrumpRepublican
360,770
Donald TrumpRepublican
44.03%
Various candidatesOther parties
23,619
Various candidatesOther parties
2.88%
Margin
74,302
Margin
9.06%
Total votes cast
819,461
County
Joe BidenDemocratic
Donald TrumpRepublican
Various candidatesOther parties
Margin
Total votes cast
#
%
#
%
#
%
#
%
Androscoggin
27,617
47.04%
29,268
49.85%
1,822
3.11%
-1,651
-2.81%
58,707
Aroostook
13,956
39.04%
21,113
59.06%
677
1.90%
-7,157
-20.02%
35,746
Cumberland
128,759
66.45%
59,584
30.75%
5,422
2.80%
69,175
35.70%
193,765
Franklin
8,069
46.40%
8,754
50.34%
567
3.26%
-685
-3.94%
17,390
Hancock
19,369
54.83%
14,982
42.41%
974
2.76%
4,387
12.42%
35,325
Kennebec
34,902
48.57%
34,721
48.32%
2,235
3.11%
181
0.25%
71,858
Knox
15,110
58.72%
9,982
38.79%
642
2.49%
5,128
19.93%
25,734
Lincoln
12,684
53.76%
10,256
43.47%
654
2.77%
2,428
10.29%
23,594
Oxford
14,755
44.06%
17,698
52.84%
1,039
3.10%
-2,943
-8.78%
33,492
Penobscot
37,713
44.23%
44,825
52.57%
2,731
3.20%
-7,112
-8.34%
85,269
Piscataquis
3,517
35.50%
6,143
62.00%
248
2.50%
-2,626
-26.50%
9,908
Sagadahoc
13,528
56.28%
9,755
40.58%
755
3.14%
3,773
15.70%
24,038
Somerset
10,199
36.98%
16,644
60.35%
735
2.67%
-6,445
-23.37%
27,578
Waldo
12,345
50.76%
11,196
46.03%
781
3.21%
1,149
4.73%
24,322
Washington
6,761
38.95%
10,194
58.73%
402
2.32%
-3,433
-19.78%
17,357
York
71,189
54.90%
54,817
42.28%
3,653
2.82%
16,372
12.62%
129,659
Totals
435,072
53.09%
360,770
44.03%
23,619
2.88%
74,302
9.06%
819,461
· General election › Results › By congressional district
#
#
District
#
Biden
%
Biden
#
Trump
%
Trump
#
Other
%
1st
1st
District
1st
Biden
266,376
Biden
60.11%
Trump
164,045
Trump
37.02%
Other
12,691
Other
2.86%
Representative
Chellie Pingree
2nd
2nd
District
2nd
Biden
168,696
Biden
44.82%
Trump
196,692
Trump
52.26%
Other
10,961
Other
2.91%
Representative
Jared Golden
District
Biden
Trump
Other
Representative
#
%
#
%
#
%
1st
266,376
60.11%
164,045
37.02%
12,691
2.86%
Chellie Pingree
2nd
168,696
44.82%
196,692
52.26%
10,961
2.91%
Jared Golden
· Analysis › Edison exit polls
Demographic subgroup
Demographic subgroup
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Demographic subgroup
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Biden
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Trump
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
% of total vote
Total vote
Total vote
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Total vote
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
53.09
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
44.02
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
100
Ideology
Ideology
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Ideology
Liberals
Liberals
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Liberals
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
93
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
4
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
28
Moderates
Moderates
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Moderates
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
61
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
37
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
42
Conservatives
Conservatives
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Conservatives
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
9
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
89
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
30
Party
Party
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Party
Democrats
Democrats
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Democrats
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
94
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
5
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
28
Republicans
Republicans
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Republicans
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
9
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
89
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
31
Independents
Independents
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Independents
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
59
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
35
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
41
Gender
Gender
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Gender
Men
Men
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Men
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
42
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
52
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
41
Women
Women
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Women
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
61
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
38
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
59
Race/ethnicity
Race/ethnicity
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Race/ethnicity
White
White
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
White
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
53
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
44
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
95
Non-white
Non-white
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Non-white
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
47
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
46
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
5
Age
Age
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Age
18–24 years old
18–24 years old
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
18–24 years old
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
66
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
31
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
8
25–29 years old
25–29 years old
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
25–29 years old
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
53
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
37
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
7
30–39 years old
30–39 years old
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
30–39 years old
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
59
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
38
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
13
40–49 years old
40–49 years old
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
40–49 years old
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
38
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
56
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
13
50–64 years old
50–64 years old
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
50–64 years old
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
49
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
50
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
31
65 and older
65 and older
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
65 and older
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
59
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
40
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
28
Sexual orientation
Sexual orientation
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Sexual orientation
LGBT
LGBT
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
LGBT
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
6
Not LGBT
Not LGBT
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Not LGBT
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
54
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
43
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
94
Education
Education
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Education
High school or less
High school or less
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
High school or less
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
35
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
62
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
21
Some college education
Some college education
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Some college education
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
50
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
47
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
28
Associate degree
Associate degree
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Associate degree
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
47
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
49
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
12
Bachelor's degree
Bachelor's degree
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Bachelor's degree
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
67
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
32
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
22
Postgraduate degree
Postgraduate degree
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Postgraduate degree
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
66
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
30
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
17
Issue regarded as most important
Issue regarded as most important
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Issue regarded as most important
Racial inequality
Racial inequality
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Racial inequality
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
96
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
3
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
15
Coronavirus
Coronavirus
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Coronavirus
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
88
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
10
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
21
Economy
Economy
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Economy
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
6
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
92
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
35
Crime and safety
Crime and safety
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Crime and safety
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
8
Health care
Health care
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Health care
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
11
Region
Region
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Region
Portland area
Portland area
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Portland area
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
73
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
23
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
17
Southern Maine
Southern Maine
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Southern Maine
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
54
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
43
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
36
Bangor/Auburn
Bangor/Auburn
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Bangor/Auburn
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
48
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
48
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
18
Downeast/Upcountry
Downeast/Upcountry
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Downeast/Upcountry
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
43
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
55
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
29
Area type
Area type
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Area type
Urban
Urban
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Urban
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
5
Suburban
Suburban
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Suburban
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
55
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
42
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
45
Rural
Rural
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Rural
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
50
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
48
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
51
Family's financial situation today
Family's financial situation today
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Family's financial situation today
Better than four years ago
Better than four years ago
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Better than four years ago
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
16
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
80
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
38
Worse than four years ago
Worse than four years ago
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Worse than four years ago
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
91
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
8
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
21
About the same
About the same
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
About the same
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
66
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
32
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
38
2020 presidential election in Maine by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Demographic subgroup
Biden
Trump
% of total vote
Total vote
53.09
44.02
100
Ideology
Liberals
93
4
28
Moderates
61
37
42
Conservatives
9
89
30
Party
Democrats
94
5
28
Republicans
9
89
31
Independents
59
35
41
Gender
Men
42
52
41
Women
61
38
59
Race/ethnicity
White
53
44
95
Non-white
47
46
5
Age
18–24 years old
66
31
8
25–29 years old
53
37
7
30–39 years old
59
38
13
40–49 years old
38
56
13
50–64 years old
49
50
31
65 and older
59
40
28
Sexual orientation
LGBT
6
Not LGBT
54
43
94
Education
High school or less
35
62
21
Some college education
50
47
28
Associate degree
47
49
12
Bachelor's degree
67
32
22
Postgraduate degree
66
30
17
Issue regarded as most important
Racial inequality
96
3
15
Coronavirus
88
10
21
Economy
6
92
35
Crime and safety
8
Health care
11
Region
Portland area
73
23
17
Southern Maine
54
43
36
Bangor/Auburn
48
48
18
Downeast/Upcountry
43
55
29
Area type
Urban
5
Suburban
55
42
45
Rural
50
48
51
Family's financial situation today
Better than four years ago
16
80
38

References

  1. Candidate withdrew during absentee voting, shortly before the date of the election.
  2. Candidate withdrew following the New Hampshire primary, when absentee voting had already begun.
  3. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  4. Key:A – all adultsRV – registered votersLV – likely votersV – unclear
  5. Did not vote with 1%; "Don't recall" and would not vote with 0%
  6. Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  7. With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  8. "Someone else" with 2%
  9. Standard VI response
  10. De La Fuente (A) with 1%
  11. Reassigning the second and third preferences of non-Biden/Trump voters
  12. "No second choice"/"no third choice" with 1%
  13. "One of the minor party candidates" with 4%
  14. "All other candidates" with 6%
  15. "Refused" with 2%; De La Fuente (A) with no voters
  16. Ressigning the second preferences of Hawkins and Jorgensen voters
  17. "Refused" with 2%; De La Fuente (A), "No second preference" and "Someone else" with 1%; Hawkins (G) with 0%; Jorgensen (
  18. If the only candidates were Biden and Trump
  19. "A minor party candidate" with 4%
  20. "Refused" with 1%; Fuente (A) and "Other" with 0%
  21. "Refused" with 1%; Fuente (A) and Hawkins (G) with 0%; Jorgensen (L) and "Other" with no voters
  22. Topline after Ranked-Choice Voting is used
  23. "Someone else" with 0%; would not vote with 1%
  24. Includes "Refused"
  25. "Someone else" with 0%
  26. Would not vote with 1%
  27. "Someone else" with 8%; "Prefer not to say" and would not vote with 1%
  28. "Someone else" and would not vote with 3%
  29. "Some other candidate" with 7%
  30. If only Biden and Trump were candidates
  31. "One of the minor party candidates" with 5%
  32. "Someone else" with 3%
  33. "Refused" and "Someone else" with 1%; De La Fuente (A) with no voters
  34. "A minor party candidate" with 5%
  35. "Refused" with 2%; Fuente (A) with 0%; "Other" with no voters
  36. "Someone else" with 1%
  37. "Someone else" with 9%; "Prefer not to say" with 2%; Would not vote with 1%
  38. Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
  39. "Someone else" with 2%; would not vote with 4%
  40. "One of the minor party candidates" with 6%
  41. Did not vote, "Don't recall" and would not vote with 0%
  42. After three rounds of ranked choice voting
  43. With Ranked Choice Voting
  44. "Refused" with 1%; "Someone else" with 0%; De La Fuente (A) with no voters
  45. "A minor party candidate" with 3%
  46. "Refused" with 1%; "Other" with 0%; Fuente (A) with no voters
  47. "Refused" with 1%; Fuente (A) and "Other" with no voters
  48. "Someone else" with 8%; "Prefer not to say" and would not vote with 2%
  49. "It depends on who the Democratic candidate is" and "Undecided at this time" with 15%
  50. "Consider voting for Trump" with 15%; Undecided with 5%
  51. "It depends on who the Democratic candidate is" with 15%; "Undecided at this time" with 16%
  52. "It depends on who the Democratic candidate is" with 14%; "Undecided at this time" with 14%
  53. AFSCME endorsed Biden prior to this poll's sampling period
  54. The pollster exclusively supports Democratic candidates
  55. The Independent
    https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-elections-key-dates-midterms-2020-presidential-house-congress-senate-a8472821.html
  56. National Archives and Records Administration
    https://www.archives.gov/federal-register/electoral-college/allocation.html
  57. "Bureau of Corporations, Elections & Commissions, Elections and Voting, Results, 2014 Tabulations"
    http://www.state.me.us/sos/cec/elec/results/results16-17.html#tally
  58. Press Herald
    https://www.pressherald.com/2019/09/06/governor-mills-allows-ranked-choice-voting-in-maines-presidential-elections/
  59. "A Timeline of Ranked-choice Voting in Maine"
    https://www.maine.gov/sos/cec/elec/upcoming/pdf/RCVpowerpointtimeline.UpdateJAN2021.pdf
  60. www.cnn.com
    https://www.cnn.com/election/2020/exit-polls/president/maine
  61. NPR
    https://www.npr.org/2020/11/03/927794790/maine-live-election-results-2020
  62. "Maine Republican Delegation 2020"
    https://www.thegreenpapers.com/P20/ME-R
  63. maine.gov
    https://www.maine.gov/sos/cec/elec/results/results20.html#pres20
  64. PBS NewsHour
    https://www.pbs.org/newshour/elections-2020/maine
  65. "March 3, 2020 Presidential Primary Election: Tabulation of Votes"
    https://www.maine.gov/sos/cec/elec/results/2020/demprim320.xlsx
  66. The Green Papers
    https://www.thegreenpapers.com/P20/TN-D
  67. Bangor Daily News
    https://bangordailynews.com/2020/07/31/politics/libertarian-presidential-candidate-sues-maine-in-bid-to-loosen-ballot-access-rules/
  68. The Cook Political Report
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  69. insideelections.com
    https://insideelections.com/ratings/president
  70. crystalball.centerforpolitics.org
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  71. "2020 Election Forecast"
    https://www.politico.com/2020-election/race-forecasts-and-predictions/president/
  72. "Battle for White House"
    https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/2020_elections_electoral_college_map.html
  73. 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions Archived April 23, 2020, at the Wayback Machine, Niskanen Center, Mar
    https://www.niskanencenter.org/bitecofer-post-primary-update/
  74. CNN
    https://www.cnn.com/2020/06/11/politics/electoral-college-2020-election/index.html
  75. The Economist
    https://projects.economist.com/us-2020-forecast/president
  76. CBS News
    https://www.cbsnews.com/2020-us-election-battleground-tracker/
  77. 270 to Win
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  78. CBS News
    https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/2020-Electoral-Interactive-Map?basemap=71662160&promoref=brandpromo
  79. NPR.org
    https://www.npr.org/2020/08/03/897202359/2020-electoral-map-ratings-trump-slides-biden-advantage-expands-over-270-votes
  80. NBC News
    https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/meet-the-press/biden-dominates-electoral-map-here-s-how-race-could-tighten-n1236001
  81. FiveThirtyEight
    https://archive.today/20200812114512/https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/
  82. 270toWin.com
    https://www.270towin.com/2020-polls-biden-trump/maine/
  83. FiveThirtyEight
    https://web.archive.org/web/20180628203257/https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/
  84. "x.com"
    https://twitter.com/ChangePolls/status/1323482742814724098
  85. www.tableau.com
    https://www.tableau.com/data-insights/us-election-2020/candidate-preference
  86. emersonpolling.reportablenews.com
    https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/super-poll-sunday-biden-with-slight-lead-over-trump-in-pennsylvania-maine-s-second-district-competitive
  87. Bangor Daily News
    http://www.bangordailynews.com/2020/10/29/politics/sara-gideon-susan-collins-nearly-tied-in-poll-finding-ranked-choice-voting-helps-democrats/
  88. Google Docs
    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1JcpvID4F9MyFxovFcWd_Mm8oP4W4OKi-w2kGyCxZaVU/edit?usp=embed_facebook
  89. Google Docs
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  90. Google Docs
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  92. "Government | Colby College"
    http://www.colby.edu/government/2020-polling/
  93. BostonGlobe.com
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  94. "Siena College/NYT Upshot"
    https://int.nyt.com/data/documenttools/az-me-nc-0920-crosstabs/72d074246b272695/full.pdf
  95. "Poll Results | Quinnipiac University Poll"
    https://poll.qu.edu/kentucky/release-detail?ReleaseID=3673
  96. "Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates/AARP"
    https://web.archive.org/web/20200911025842/https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20200910_ME0102.pdf
  97. "Critical Insights/Digital Research/Bangor Daily News"
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  98. "Quinnipiac University"
    https://web.archive.org/web/20200807034309/https://poll.qu.edu/2020-presidential-swing-state-polls/release-detail?ReleaseID=3670
  99. "RMG Research"
    https://www.termlimits.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/08/Maine-Toplines-July-2020.pdf
  100. "Data for Progress"
    http://filesforprogress.org/datasets/2020/8/progressive-senate-project/DFP_Maine_8_20_xtabs.pdf
  101. "Public Policy Polling/AFSCME"
    https://www.afscme.org/press/reports/polling/MaineResults.pdf
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    https://www.colby.edu/government/wp-content/uploads/sites/66/2020/07/Wave2Results_Corrected.pdf
  103. "Public Policy Polling"
    https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/07/MaineJuly2020Poll.pdf
  104. "Public Policy Polling"
    https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/MaineResults.pdf
  105. "Public Policy Polling"
    https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/10/PPP_Release_ME_101519.pdf
  106. "Fabrizio Ward/AARP"
    https://www.aarp.org/content/dam/aarp/research/surveys_statistics/politics/2019/five-state-prescription-drug-survey-annotated-questionnaire-ME.doi.10.26419-2Fres.00335.004.pdf
  107. "Gravis Marketing"
    http://orlando-politics.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/06/Maine-Jun-26-2019.pdf
  108. www.realclearpolling.com
    https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2020/maine/biden-vs-trump-cd1
  109. Google Docs
    https://drive.google.com/file/d/1QvLIr-Xi1OsOA_Ulz6jtWJnCZSN-1JyH/view?usp=embed_facebook
  110. "Quinnipiac University"
    https://poll.qu.edu/images/polling/me/me08062020_crosstabs_bgxe21.pdf
  111. www.realclearpolling.com
    https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2020/maine/trump-vs-biden-cd2
  112. "x.com"
    https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1306898180055937024
  113. "Left of Centre PAC"
    https://web.archive.org/web/20200910001243/https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20200908_ME.pdf
  114. Colby College/SocialSphere
    http://www.colby.edu/government/2020-polling/
  115. Google Docs
    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1J_sj0VbK1zPUcErKBWIvCc5d6wFvwhKr_zageM2-I_I/edit?usp=embed_facebook
  116. Google Docs
    https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B_W8V6ab5O57VlZHQ1NsR0ZIb0JBM20zU2xkbDktWThwUFow/view?usp=embed_facebook
  117. Maine Department of the Secretary of State
    https://www.maine.gov/sos/cec/elec/results/2020/presandvice1120.xlsx
  118. The Republican
    https://www.masslive.com/politics/2021/03/counties-that-flipped-from-donald-trump-to-joe-biden-in-the-2020-presidential-election.html
  119. www.nbcnews.com
    https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-elections/maine-president-results
  120. The New York Times
    https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/ap-polls-maine.html
  121. www.cnn.com
    https://www.cnn.com/election/2020/exit-polls/president/maine
  122. The New York Times
    https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/exit-polls-maine.html
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