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2020 United States presidential election in Kansas

Updated: Wikipedia source

2020 United States presidential election in Kansas

The 2020 United States presidential election in Kansas was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Kansas voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump of Florida, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence of Indiana against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden of Delaware, and his running mate Senator Kamala Harris of California. Kansas has six electoral votes in the Electoral College. Although Trump won the state, Biden's 41 percent vote share represented the highest for a Democratic presidential nominee since Barack Obama's performance in 2008 and among the strongest swings to Biden, relative to Hillary Clinton's performance in 2016, in the nation. His 14 defeat represented the first time since 1916, and only the second time ever, that Kansas voted more Democratic than neighboring Missouri, where his margin of defeat was 15 points. This trend repeated in 2024, with Kamala Harris's 16 point defeat in Kansas less than her 18 point defeat in Missouri. Per exit polls by the Associated Press, Trump's strength in Kansas came from white voters, who supported Trump by 59%–38%; white voters with college degrees, however, were tied. This result included a 64% showing for Trump among Protestants and a 74% showing among other Christians. Trump's best margin was 72% in rural areas, while Biden's was 52% in suburban counties.

Infobox

Turnout
65 %
Nominee
Donald Trump
Party
Republican
Home state
Florida
Running mate
Mike Pence
Electoral vote
6
Popular vote
771,406
Percentage
56 %

Tables

2020 Kansas Democratic presidential primary final results
Joe Biden
Joe Biden
Candidate
Joe Biden
Votes
110,041
%
74
Delegates
29
Bernie Sanders (withdrawn)
Bernie Sanders (withdrawn)
Candidate
Bernie Sanders (withdrawn)
Votes
33,142
%
22
Delegates
10
Inactive votes
Inactive votes
Candidate
Inactive votes
Votes
3,690
%
2
Total
Total
Candidate
Total
Votes
146,873
%
100%
Delegates
39
Candidate
Votes
%
Delegates
Joe Biden
110,041
74
29
Bernie Sanders (withdrawn)
33,142
22
10
Inactive votes
3,690
2
Total
146,873
100%
39
· General election › Predictions
Likely R
Likely R
Source
The Cook Political Report
Ranking
Likely R
As of
September 10, 2020
Lean R
Lean R
Source
Inside Elections
Ranking
Lean R
As of
September 4, 2020
Likely R
Likely R
Source
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Ranking
Likely R
As of
July 14, 2020
Likely R
Likely R
Source
Politico
Ranking
Likely R
As of
October 16, 2020
Safe R
Safe R
Source
RCP
Ranking
Safe R
As of
August 3, 2020
Safe R
Safe R
Source
Niskanen
Ranking
Safe R
As of
July 26, 2020
Safe R
Safe R
Source
CNN
Ranking
Safe R
As of
August 3, 2020
Safe R
Safe R
Source
The Economist
Ranking
Safe R
As of
September 2, 2020
Likely R
Likely R
Source
CBS News
Ranking
Likely R
As of
August 16, 2020
Safe R
Safe R
Source
270towin
Ranking
Safe R
As of
August 2, 2020
Safe R
Safe R
Source
ABC News
Ranking
Safe R
As of
July 31, 2020
Likely R
Likely R
Source
NPR
Ranking
Likely R
As of
August 3, 2020
Likely R
Likely R
Source
NBC News
Ranking
Likely R
As of
August 6, 2020
Safe R
Safe R
Source
538
Ranking
Safe R
As of
November 2, 2020
Source
Ranking
As of
The Cook Political Report
Likely R
September 10, 2020
Inside Elections
Lean R
September 4, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Likely R
July 14, 2020
Politico
Likely R
October 16, 2020
RCP
Safe R
August 3, 2020
Niskanen
Safe R
July 26, 2020
CNN
Safe R
August 3, 2020
The Economist
Safe R
September 2, 2020
CBS News
Likely R
August 16, 2020
270towin
Safe R
August 2, 2020
ABC News
Safe R
July 31, 2020
NPR
Likely R
August 3, 2020
NBC News
Likely R
August 6, 2020
538
Safe R
November 2, 2020
· General election › Polling › Aggregate polls
270 to Win
270 to Win
Source of poll aggregation
270 to Win
Dates administered
October 17–22, 2020
Dates updated
November 3, 2020
Joe Biden Democratic
43 %
Donald Trump Republican
51 %
Other/ Undecided
5 %
Margin
Trump +8
FiveThirtyEight
FiveThirtyEight
Source of poll aggregation
FiveThirtyEight
Dates administered
until November 2, 2020
Dates updated
November 3, 2020
Joe Biden Democratic
41 %
Donald Trump Republican
53 %
Other/ Undecided
5 %
Margin
Trump +12
Average
Average
Source of poll aggregation
Average
Dates administered
42 %
Dates updated
52 %
Joe Biden Democratic
5 %
Donald Trump Republican
Trump +10
Source of poll aggregation
Dates administered
Dates updated
Joe Biden Democratic
Donald Trump Republican
Other/ Undecided
Margin
270 to Win
October 17–22, 2020
November 3, 2020
43 %
51 %
5 %
Trump +8
FiveThirtyEight
until November 2, 2020
November 3, 2020
41 %
53 %
5 %
Trump +12
Average
42 %
52 %
5 %
Trump +10
· General election › Polling › Polls
SurveyMonkey/Axios
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Poll source
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Date(s) administered
Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020
Sample size
2,321 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3%
Donald Trump Republican
55%
Joe Biden Democratic
44%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Other
–
Undecided
–
Data For Progress
Data For Progress
Poll source
Data For Progress
Date(s) administered
Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020
Sample size
1,121 (LV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Donald Trump Republican
55%
Joe Biden Democratic
41%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
3%
Other
2%
Undecided
–
SurveyMonkey/Axios
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Poll source
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Date(s) administered
Oct 1–28, 2020
Sample size
3,442 (LV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Donald Trump Republican
51%
Joe Biden Democratic
47%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Other
–
Undecided
–
PPP/Protect Our Care
PPP/Protect Our Care
Poll source
PPP/Protect Our Care
Date(s) administered
Oct 19–20, 2020
Sample size
897 (V)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
54%
Joe Biden Democratic
42%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Other
–
Undecided
4%
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Poll source
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Date(s) administered
Oct 18–20, 2020
Sample size
755 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4%
Donald Trump Republican
48%
Joe Biden Democratic
41%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
4%
Other
2%
Undecided
6%
co/efficient/Keep Kansas Great PAC
co/efficient/Keep Kansas Great PAC
Poll source
co/efficient/Keep Kansas Great PAC
Date(s) administered
Oct 18–20, 2020
Sample size
2,453 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
56%
Joe Biden Democratic
39%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
2%
Other
–
Undecided
3%
Fort Hays State University
Fort Hays State University
Poll source
Fort Hays State University
Date(s) administered
Sep 21 – Oct 1, 2020
Sample size
306 (RV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Donald Trump Republican
52%
Joe Biden Democratic
38%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Other
11%
Undecided
–
SurveyMonkey/Axios
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Poll source
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Date(s) administered
Sep 1–30, 2020
Sample size
1,135 (LV)
Margin of error
–
Donald Trump Republican
52%
Joe Biden Democratic
47%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Other
–
Undecided
1%
Civiqs/Daily Kos
Civiqs/Daily Kos
Poll source
Civiqs/Daily Kos
Date(s) administered
Sep 26–29, 2020
Sample size
677 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Donald Trump Republican
52%
Joe Biden Democratic
42%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Other
4%
Undecided
1%
Data For Progress (D)
Data For Progress (D)
Poll source
Data For Progress (D)
Date(s) administered
Sep 14–19, 2020
Sample size
883 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
48%
Joe Biden Democratic
42%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
3%
Other
1%
Undecided
7%
49%
49%
Poll source
49%
Date(s) administered
45%
Sample size
–
Margin of error
–
Donald Trump Republican
6%
co/efficient/Keep Kansas Great PAC
co/efficient/Keep Kansas Great PAC
Poll source
co/efficient/Keep Kansas Great PAC
Date(s) administered
Sep 15–16, 2020
Sample size
794 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
53%
Joe Biden Democratic
41%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Other
–
Undecided
–
SurveyMonkey/Axios
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Poll source
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Date(s) administered
Aug 1–31, 2020
Sample size
922 (LV)
Margin of error
–
Donald Trump Republican
54%
Joe Biden Democratic
45%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Other
–
Undecided
1%
SurveyUSA
SurveyUSA
Poll source
SurveyUSA
Date(s) administered
Aug 5–9, 2020
Sample size
1,202 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
48%
Joe Biden Democratic
41%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Other
5%
Undecided
6%
Public Policy Polling
Public Policy Polling
Poll source
Public Policy Polling
Date(s) administered
Aug 5–6, 2020
Sample size
864 (V)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
50%
Joe Biden Democratic
43%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Other
–
Undecided
7%
SurveyMonkey/Axios
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Poll source
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Date(s) administered
Jul 1–31, 2020
Sample size
1,295 (LV)
Margin of error
–
Donald Trump Republican
51%
Joe Biden Democratic
47%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Other
–
Undecided
2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Poll source
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Date(s) administered
Jun 8–30, 2020
Sample size
466 (LV)
Margin of error
–
Donald Trump Republican
53%
Joe Biden Democratic
45%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Other
–
Undecided
2%
Civiqs/Daily Kos
Civiqs/Daily Kos
Poll source
Civiqs/Daily Kos
Date(s) administered
May 30 – Jun 1, 2020
Sample size
699 (RV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Donald Trump Republican
52%
Joe Biden Democratic
40%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Other
6%
Undecided
2%
The Progress Campaign (D)
The Progress Campaign (D)
Poll source
The Progress Campaign (D)
Date(s) administered
Apr 15–22, 2020
Sample size
1,632 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Donald Trump Republican
51%
Joe Biden Democratic
41%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Other
–
Undecided
8%
Public Policy Polling
Public Policy Polling
Poll source
Public Policy Polling
Date(s) administered
Mar 10–11, 2020
Sample size
1,567 (V)
Margin of error
–
Donald Trump Republican
52%
Joe Biden Democratic
40%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Other
–
Undecided
8%
DFM Research
DFM Research
Poll source
DFM Research
Date(s) administered
Jan 30 – Feb 6, 2020
Sample size
600 (A)
Margin of error
±4%
Donald Trump Republican
51%
Joe Biden Democratic
43%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Other
3%
Undecided
3%
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Donald Trump Republican
Joe Biden Democratic
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Other
Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020
2,321 (LV)
± 3%
55%
44%
–
–
–
Data For Progress
Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020
1,121 (LV)
± 2 %
55%
41%
3%
2%
–
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Oct 1–28, 2020
3,442 (LV)
± 2 %
51%
47%
–
–
–
PPP/Protect Our Care
Oct 19–20, 2020
897 (V)
± 3 %
54%
42%
–
–
4%
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Oct 18–20, 2020
755 (LV)
± 4%
48%
41%
4%
2%
6%
co/efficient/Keep Kansas Great PAC
Oct 18–20, 2020
2,453 (LV)
± 3 %
56%
39%
2%
–
3%
Fort Hays State University
Sep 21 – Oct 1, 2020
306 (RV)
± 4 %
52%
38%
–
11%
–
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Sep 1–30, 2020
1,135 (LV)
–
52%
47%
–
–
1%
Civiqs/Daily Kos
Sep 26–29, 2020
677 (LV)
± 4 %
52%
42%
–
4%
1%
Data For Progress (D)
Sep 14–19, 2020
883 (LV)
± 3 %
48%
42%
3%
1%
7%
49%
45%
–
–
6%
co/efficient/Keep Kansas Great PAC
Sep 15–16, 2020
794 (LV)
± 3 %
53%
41%
–
–
–
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Aug 1–31, 2020
922 (LV)
–
54%
45%
–
–
1%
SurveyUSA
Aug 5–9, 2020
1,202 (LV)
± 3 %
48%
41%
–
5%
6%
Public Policy Polling
Aug 5–6, 2020
864 (V)
± 3 %
50%
43%
–
–
7%
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Jul 1–31, 2020
1,295 (LV)
–
51%
47%
–
–
2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Jun 8–30, 2020
466 (LV)
–
53%
45%
–
–
2%
Civiqs/Daily Kos
May 30 – Jun 1, 2020
699 (RV)
± 4 %
52%
40%
–
6%
2%
The Progress Campaign (D)
Apr 15–22, 2020
1,632 (LV)
± 4 %
51%
41%
–
–
8%
Public Policy Polling
Mar 10–11, 2020
1,567 (V)
–
52%
40%
–
–
8%
DFM Research
Jan 30 – Feb 6, 2020
600 (A)
±4%
51%
43%
–
3%
3%
DFM Research
DFM Research
Poll source
DFM Research
Date(s) administered
Jan 30 – Feb 6, 2020
Sample size
600 (A)
Margin of error
±4%
Donald Trump (R)
50%
Michael Bloomberg (D)
43%
Other
2%
Undecided
4%
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Donald Trump (R)
Michael Bloomberg (D)
Other
Undecided
DFM Research
Jan 30 – Feb 6, 2020
600 (A)
±4%
50%
43%
2%
4%

References

  1. Votes which had all its 5 ranked vote-choices allocated towards eliminated candidates who did not reach the threshold of
  2. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  3. Key: A – all adults RV – registered voters LV – likely voters V – unclear
  4. Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  5. Hawkins (G) and "Other candidate/write-in" with 1%
  6. "Someone else" and would not vote with 1%
  7. Includes "Refused"
  8. "Neither of the two candidates" with 11%
  9. "Someone else" with 4%
  10. Standard VI response
  11. Hawkins (G) with 1%
  12. If only Trump and Biden were candidates
  13. "Some other candidate" with 5%
  14. "Someone else" with 6%
  15. "Someone else" with 3%
  16. "Someone else" with 2%
  17. Protect Our Care is a pro-Affordable Care Act organization
  18. Keep Kansas Great PAC endorsed Marshall prior to this poll's sampling period
  19. Poll for EMILY's List, a Democratic PAC which seeks to elect pro-choice Democratic women to office
  20. Ballotpedia
    https://ballotpedia.org/Voter_turnout_in_United_States_elections
Image
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