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2020 United States presidential election in Indiana

Updated: Wikipedia source

2020 United States presidential election in Indiana

A presidential election was held in Indiana on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Indiana voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former vice president Joe Biden, and his running mate California senator Kamala Harris. Indiana has 11 electoral votes in the Electoral College. Indiana was the home state of Pence, who served as Governor of Indiana from 2013 to 2017. Pence retained a 59% approval among voters in his home state. On the day of the election, most news organizations considered Indiana a state Trump would win, or a likely red state. Trump won Indiana by 57% to Biden's 41%, a slight increase in his vote share from 2016, but a reduction in his margin of victory. This election marked the first time since 1952 and only the third time since 1888 that Vigo County, home to Terre Haute and a significant bellwether county, voted for the losing candidate in a presidential election. Biden subsequently became the first presidential nominee of either party since Dwight D. Eisenhower in 1952, and the first Democrat since Grover Cleveland in 1884 to win the presidency without carrying Vigo County. Biden flipped Tippecanoe County, home to Lafayette and Purdue University, from Republican to Democratic, marking the first time since 1936 that the county voted against Indiana's statewide winner. Biden also became the first Democrat since FDR in 1944 to win without carrying traditionally Democratic Perry County in Southern Indiana. Biden was also the first Democrat to win without LaPorte County since 1976.

Infobox

Turnout
64 %
Nominee
Donald Trump
Party
Republican
Home state
Florida
Running mate
Mike Pence
Electoral vote
11
Popular vote
1,729,857
Percentage
57 %

Tables

2020 Indiana Democratic presidential primary
Joe Biden
Joe Biden
Candidate
Joe Biden
Votes
380,836
%
76
Delegates
80
Bernie Sanders (withdrawn)
Bernie Sanders (withdrawn)
Candidate
Bernie Sanders (withdrawn)
Votes
67,688
%
13
Delegates
2
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)
Candidate
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)
Votes
17,957
%
3
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn)
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn)
Candidate
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn)
Votes
14,344
%
2
Michael Bloomberg (withdrawn)
Michael Bloomberg (withdrawn)
Candidate
Michael Bloomberg (withdrawn)
Votes
4,783
%
0
Andrew Yang (withdrawn)
Andrew Yang (withdrawn)
Candidate
Andrew Yang (withdrawn)
Votes
4,426
%
0
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn)
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn)
Candidate
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn)
Votes
3,860
%
0
Tulsi Gabbard (withdrawn)
Tulsi Gabbard (withdrawn)
Candidate
Tulsi Gabbard (withdrawn)
Votes
2,657
%
0
Tom Steyer (withdrawn)
Tom Steyer (withdrawn)
Candidate
Tom Steyer (withdrawn)
Votes
1,376
%
0
Total
Total
Candidate
Total
Votes
497,927
%
100%
Delegates
82
Candidate
Votes
%
Delegates
Joe Biden
380,836
76
80
Bernie Sanders (withdrawn)
67,688
13
2
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)
17,957
3
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn)
14,344
2
Michael Bloomberg (withdrawn)
4,783
0
Andrew Yang (withdrawn)
4,426
0
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn)
3,860
0
Tulsi Gabbard (withdrawn)
2,657
0
Tom Steyer (withdrawn)
1,376
0
Total
497,927
100%
82
2020 Indiana Green presidential primary · Primary elections › Green primary
Howie Hawkins
Howie Hawkins
Candidate
Howie Hawkins
Votes
27
%
43
Delegates
1
Jesse Ventura (not a candidate)
Jesse Ventura (not a candidate)
Candidate
Jesse Ventura (not a candidate)
Votes
19
%
30
Delegates
1
Dario Hunter
Dario Hunter
Candidate
Dario Hunter
Votes
16
%
25
Delegates
1
Uncommitted
Uncommitted
Candidate
Uncommitted
Votes
40
%
44
Delegates
0
Total
Total
Candidate
Total
Votes
111
%
100
Delegates
4
Candidate
Votes
%
Delegates
Howie Hawkins
27
43
1
Jesse Ventura (not a candidate)
19
30
1
Dario Hunter
16
25
1
Uncommitted
40
44
0
Total
111
100
4
· General election › Predictions
Likely R
Likely R
Source
The Cook Political Report
Ranking
Likely R
As of
October 6, 2020
Safe R
Safe R
Source
Inside Elections
Ranking
Safe R
As of
October 6, 2020
Likely R
Likely R
Source
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Ranking
Likely R
As of
October 6, 2020
Safe R
Safe R
Source
Politico
Ranking
Safe R
As of
October 6, 2020
Lean R
Lean R
Source
RCP
Ranking
Lean R
As of
October 6, 2020
Safe R
Safe R
Source
Niskanen
Ranking
Safe R
As of
October 6, 2020
Safe R
Safe R
Source
CNN
Ranking
Safe R
As of
October 6, 2020
Safe R
Safe R
Source
The Economist
Ranking
Safe R
As of
October 6, 2020
Likely R
Likely R
Source
CBS News
Ranking
Likely R
As of
October 6, 2020
Safe R
Safe R
Source
270towin
Ranking
Safe R
As of
October 6, 2020
Safe R
Safe R
Source
ABC News
Ranking
Safe R
As of
October 6, 2020
Likely R
Likely R
Source
NPR
Ranking
Likely R
As of
October 6, 2020
Likely R
Likely R
Source
NBC News
Ranking
Likely R
As of
October 6, 2020
Safe R
Safe R
Source
538
Ranking
Safe R
As of
October 6, 2020
Source
Ranking
As of
The Cook Political Report
Likely R
October 6, 2020
Inside Elections
Safe R
October 6, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Likely R
October 6, 2020
Politico
Safe R
October 6, 2020
RCP
Lean R
October 6, 2020
Niskanen
Safe R
October 6, 2020
CNN
Safe R
October 6, 2020
The Economist
Safe R
October 6, 2020
CBS News
Likely R
October 6, 2020
270towin
Safe R
October 6, 2020
ABC News
Safe R
October 6, 2020
NPR
Likely R
October 6, 2020
NBC News
Likely R
October 6, 2020
538
Safe R
October 6, 2020
· General election › Polling › Aggregate polls
270 to Win
270 to Win
Source of poll aggregation
270 to Win
Dates administered
October 14 - November 2, 2020
Dates updated
November 3, 2020
Joe Biden Democratic
42 %
Donald Trump Republican
51 %
Other/ Undecided
7 %
Margin
Trump +9
FiveThirtyEight
FiveThirtyEight
Source of poll aggregation
FiveThirtyEight
Dates administered
until November 2, 2020
Dates updated
November 3, 2020
Joe Biden Democratic
42 %
Donald Trump Republican
52 %
Other/ Undecided
5 %
Margin
Trump +10
Source of poll aggregation
Dates administered
Dates updated
Joe Biden Democratic
Donald Trump Republican
Other/ Undecided
Margin
270 to Win
October 14 - November 2, 2020
November 3, 2020
42 %
51 %
7 %
Trump +9
FiveThirtyEight
until November 2, 2020
November 3, 2020
42 %
52 %
5 %
Trump +10
· General election › Polling › Polls
SurveyMonkey/Axios
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Poll source
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Date(s) administered
Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020
Sample size
2,729 (LV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Donald Trump Republican
54%
Joe Biden Democratic
44%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Other
–
Undecided
–
Swayable
Swayable
Poll source
Swayable
Date(s) administered
Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020
Sample size
264 (LV)
Margin of error
± 7 %
Donald Trump Republican
55%
Joe Biden Democratic
43%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
2%
Other
–
Undecided
–
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s) administered
Oct 22–31, 2020
Sample size
1,147 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3%
Donald Trump Republican
53%
Joe Biden Democratic
42%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Other
–
Undecided
–
SurveyMonkey/Axios
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Poll source
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Date(s) administered
Oct 1–28, 2020
Sample size
4,734 (LV)
Margin of error
–
Donald Trump Republican
55%
Joe Biden Democratic
43%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Other
–
Undecided
–
Swayable
Swayable
Poll source
Swayable
Date(s) administered
Oct 23–26, 2020
Sample size
301 (LV)
Margin of error
± 7 %
Donald Trump Republican
53%
Joe Biden Democratic
42%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
5%
Other
–
Undecided
–
Ragnar Research (R)
Ragnar Research (R)
Poll source
Ragnar Research (R)
Date(s) administered
Oct 18–21, 2020
Sample size
529 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4%
Donald Trump Republican
48%
Joe Biden Democratic
40%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
5%
Other
–
Undecided
7%
SurveyUSA/Election Twitter
SurveyUSA/Election Twitter
Poll source
SurveyUSA/Election Twitter
Date(s) administered
Oct 10–13, 2020
Sample size
527 (LV)
Margin of error
± 5 %
Donald Trump Republican
49%
Joe Biden Democratic
42%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Other
3%
Undecided
6%
SurveyMonkey/Axios
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Poll source
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Date(s) administered
Sep 1–30, 2020
Sample size
2,367 (LV)
Margin of error
–
Donald Trump Republican
53%
Joe Biden Democratic
45%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Other
–
Undecided
–
Change Research/IndyPolitics
Change Research/IndyPolitics
Poll source
Change Research/IndyPolitics
Date(s) administered
Sep 3–7, 2020
Sample size
1,033 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
53%
Joe Biden Democratic
39%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
5%
Other
–
Undecided
3%
SurveyMonkey/Axios
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Poll source
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Date(s) administered
Aug 1–31, 2020
Sample size
1,672 (LV)
Margin of error
–
Donald Trump Republican
55%
Joe Biden Democratic
43%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Other
–
Undecided
–
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s) administered
Jul 24 – Aug 2, 2020
Sample size
900 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
55%
Joe Biden Democratic
38%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Other
–
Undecided
–
SurveyMonkey/Axios
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Poll source
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Date(s) administered
Jul 1–31, 2020
Sample size
2,175 (LV)
Margin of error
–
Donald Trump Republican
56%
Joe Biden Democratic
43%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Other
–
Undecided
–
SurveyMonkey/Axios
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Poll source
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Date(s) administered
Jun 8–30, 2020
Sample size
929 (LV)
Margin of error
–
Donald Trump Republican
57%
Joe Biden Democratic
40%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Other
–
Undecided
–
Victoria Research/Tallian for Attorney General
Victoria Research/Tallian for Attorney General
Poll source
Victoria Research/Tallian for Attorney General
Date(s) administered
May 21–23, 2020
Sample size
894 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
49%
Joe Biden Democratic
39%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Other
–
Undecided
–
Indy Politics/Change Research
Indy Politics/Change Research
Poll source
Indy Politics/Change Research
Date(s) administered
Apr 10–13, 2020
Sample size
1,021 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Donald Trump Republican
52%
Joe Biden Democratic
39%
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
–
Other
5%
Undecided
3%
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Donald Trump Republican
Joe Biden Democratic
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Other
Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020
2,729 (LV)
± 2 %
54%
44%
–
–
–
Swayable
Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020
264 (LV)
± 7 %
55%
43%
2%
–
–
Morning Consult
Oct 22–31, 2020
1,147 (LV)
± 3%
53%
42%
–
–
–
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Oct 1–28, 2020
4,734 (LV)
–
55%
43%
–
–
–
Swayable
Oct 23–26, 2020
301 (LV)
± 7 %
53%
42%
5%
–
–
Ragnar Research (R)
Oct 18–21, 2020
529 (LV)
± 4%
48%
40%
5%
–
7%
SurveyUSA/Election Twitter
Oct 10–13, 2020
527 (LV)
± 5 %
49%
42%
–
3%
6%
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Sep 1–30, 2020
2,367 (LV)
–
53%
45%
–
–
–
Change Research/IndyPolitics
Sep 3–7, 2020
1,033 (LV)
± 3 %
53%
39%
5%
–
3%
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Aug 1–31, 2020
1,672 (LV)
–
55%
43%
–
–
–
Morning Consult
Jul 24 – Aug 2, 2020
900 (LV)
± 3 %
55%
38%
–
–
–
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Jul 1–31, 2020
2,175 (LV)
–
56%
43%
–
–
–
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Jun 8–30, 2020
929 (LV)
–
57%
40%
–
–
–
Victoria Research/Tallian for Attorney General
May 21–23, 2020
894 (LV)
± 3 %
49%
39%
–
–
–
Indy Politics/Change Research
Apr 10–13, 2020
1,021 (LV)
± 3 %
52%
39%
–
5%
3%

References

  1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. Key: A – all adults RV – registered voters LV – likely voters V – unclear
  3. Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  4. Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
  5. This poll is sponsored by Karen Tallian's campaign (D)
  6. "Indiana Election Results"
    https://enr.indianavoters.in.gov/archive/2020General/index.html
  7. The New York Times
    https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/results-indiana.html
  8. The Independent
    https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-elections-key-dates-midterms-2020-presidential-house-congress-senate-a8472821.html
  9. National Archives and Records Administration
    https://www.archives.gov/federal-register/electoral-college/allocation.html
  10. The New York Times
    https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/ap-polls-indiana.html
  11. Google Docs
    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1ZmDRzvm83BYurKX7LsrET-C7tcIsE5Em42Wt-gTydXk/edit?usp=embed_facebook
  12. The Republican
    https://www.masslive.com/politics/2021/03/counties-that-flipped-from-donald-trump-to-joe-biden-in-the-2020-presidential-election.html
  13. "Indiana Republican Delegation 2020"
    https://www.thegreenpapers.com/P20/IN-R
  14. "Past Election Results"
    https://www.in.gov/sos/elections/2400.htm
  15. Reuters
    https://graphics.reuters.com/USA-ELECTION/RESULTS-LIVE-JUNE-2/yzdvxdqxkvx/index.html?state=IN
  16. "2020 Presidential Primary Voting"
    https://www.greenpartyin.com/resources/2020-presidential-primary-voting
  17. YouTube
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0Kg077On6oo
  18. Green Party of the United States
    https://gpus.org/committees/credentials/credentials-status-2020/
  19. The Cook Political Report
    https://cookpolitical.com/sites/default/files/2020-03/EC%20030920.4.pdf
  20. insideelections
    https://insideelections.com/ratings/president
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