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2020 United States presidential election in Arizona

Updated: Wikipedia source

2020 United States presidential election in Arizona

The 2020 United States presidential election in Arizona was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election, in which all 50 states and the District of Columbia participated. Arizona voters chose 11 electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting incumbent Republican President Donald Trump of Florida and his running mate, incumbent Vice President Mike Pence of Indiana, against Democratic challenger and former Vice President Joe Biden of Delaware and his running mate, United States Senator Kamala Harris of California. The Libertarian nominees were also on the ballot. This is the closest presidential election in Arizona history, surpassing the previous closest of 1964, in which Barry Goldwater won the state by just under a single percentage point. Trump carried Arizona in 2016 by 3.5%, and it was considered a vital battleground in this election. The state's bitterly competitive nature was attributed to the rapid growth of Maricopa County, a traditionally Republican stronghold that holds 61.6% of the state's population. Biden became the first Democrat to win Arizona since Bill Clinton in 1996, and only the second since Harry S. Truman in 1948. He is also the first Democrat to win Maricopa County since Truman, with a margin of 2.2%, or 45,109 votes. High turnout among Hispanic/Latino and Native American voters was also seen as vital. Polls of the state throughout the campaign generally showed a Biden lead, albeit by a slender margin. Prior to election day, 11 of the 16 news organizations considered that Arizona was leaning towards Biden; the other five considered it a toss-up. Arizona was the second-closest state in 2020, the only closer state being Georgia, marking the first time since 1948 that the Democratic nominee won both Sun Belt states in the same presidential election (Clinton won each state in separate elections). This was also the first time since 1932 that a non-incumbent Democrat carried Arizona in a presidential election, or that an incumbent Republican lost the state. Arizona weighed in as 4.15 percentage points more Republican than the nation in 2020. Arizona is also one of only two states that backed Biden that didn't back Barack Obama in either of his runs for president in 2008 and 2012, the other being Georgia. After the election, the Republican-majority Arizona Senate launched a Maricopa County-based publicly-funded investigation into the election fraud alleged by Trump and his supporters. The controversial audit, completed in September 2021, found no evidence to support claims of significant election irregularities. Additionally, the audit found a 360 vote larger margin for Biden than what the earlier, certified results had given. On April 24, 2024, Arizona Attorney General Kris Mayes announced that a grand jury has indicted eleven fake electors and seven Trump allies, including Rudy Giuliani and Mark Meadows, for their roles in attempting to overturn the results for Trump.

Infobox

Party
Democratic
Nominee
Joe Biden
Turnout
79.9% (of registered voters)
Percentage
49.36%
Home state
Delaware
Popular vote
1,672,143
Running mate
Kamala Harris
Electoral vote
11

Tables

2020 Arizona Democratic presidential primary[14] · Primary elections › Democratic primary
Joe Biden
Joe Biden
Candidate
Joe Biden
Votes
268,029
%
43.7%
Delegates
38
Bernie Sanders
Bernie Sanders
Candidate
Bernie Sanders
Votes
200,456
%
32.7%
Delegates
29
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn†)
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn†)
Candidate
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn†)
Votes
35,537
%
5.8%
Delegates
0
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn†)
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn†)
Candidate
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn†)
Votes
24,868
%
4.1%
Delegates
0
Tulsi Gabbard
Tulsi Gabbard
Candidate
Tulsi Gabbard
Votes
3,014
%
0.5%
Delegates
0
Andrew Yang (withdrawn)
Andrew Yang (withdrawn)
Candidate
Andrew Yang (withdrawn)
Votes
1,921
%
0.3%
Delegates
0
Julian Castro (withdrawn)
Julian Castro (withdrawn)
Candidate
Julian Castro (withdrawn)
Votes
754
%
0.1%
Delegates
0
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn)
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn)
Candidate
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn)
Votes
668
%
0.1%
Delegates
0
Roque De La Fuente III
Roque De La Fuente III
Candidate
Roque De La Fuente III
Votes
628
%
0.1%
Delegates
0
Deval Patrick (withdrawn)
Deval Patrick (withdrawn)
Candidate
Deval Patrick (withdrawn)
Votes
242
%
0.0%
Delegates
0
Henry Hewes
Henry Hewes
Candidate
Henry Hewes
Votes
208
%
0.0%
Delegates
0
Michael A. Ellinger
Michael A. Ellinger
Candidate
Michael A. Ellinger
Votes
184
%
0.0%
Delegates
0
Total
Total
Candidate
Total
Votes
536,509
%
86.7%
Delegates
67
Candidate
Votes
%
Delegates
Joe Biden
268,029
43.7%
38
Bernie Sanders
200,456
32.7%
29
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn†)
35,537
5.8%
0
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn†)
24,868
4.1%
0
Tulsi Gabbard
3,014
0.5%
0
Andrew Yang (withdrawn)
1,921
0.3%
0
Julian Castro (withdrawn)
754
0.1%
0
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn)
668
0.1%
0
Roque De La Fuente III
628
0.1%
0
Deval Patrick (withdrawn)
242
0.0%
0
Henry Hewes
208
0.0%
0
Michael A. Ellinger
184
0.0%
0
Total
536,509
86.7%
67
· General election › Final predictions
Lean D (flip)
Lean D (flip)
Source
The Cook Political Report
Ranking
Lean D (flip)
Tilt D (flip)
Tilt D (flip)
Source
Inside Elections
Ranking
Tilt D (flip)
Lean D (flip)
Lean D (flip)
Source
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Ranking
Lean D (flip)
Tossup
Tossup
Source
Politico
Ranking
Tossup
Tossup
Tossup
Source
RCP
Ranking
Tossup
Tossup
Tossup
Source
CNN
Ranking
Tossup
Lean D (flip)
Lean D (flip)
Source
The Economist
Ranking
Lean D (flip)
Tossup
Tossup
Source
CBS News
Ranking
Tossup
Tossup
Tossup
Source
270towin
Ranking
Tossup
Lean D (flip)
Lean D (flip)
Source
ABC News
Ranking
Lean D (flip)
Tossup
Tossup
Source
NPR
Ranking
Tossup
Tossup
Tossup
Source
NBC News
Ranking
Tossup
Lean D (flip)
Lean D (flip)
Source
538
Ranking
Lean D (flip)
Source
Ranking
The Cook Political Report
Lean D (flip)
Inside Elections
Tilt D (flip)
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Lean D (flip)
Politico
Tossup
RCP
Tossup
CNN
Tossup
The Economist
Lean D (flip)
CBS News
Tossup
270towin
Tossup
ABC News
Lean D (flip)
NPR
Tossup
NBC News
Tossup
538
Lean D (flip)
· General election › Polling
270 to Win
270 to Win
Source of pollaggregation
270 to Win
Dates administered
October 22 – November 2, 2020
Dates updated
November 3, 2020
JoeBidenDemocratic
48.0%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45.8%
Other/Undecided
6.2%
Margin
Biden +2.2
Real Clear Politics
Real Clear Politics
Source of pollaggregation
Real Clear Politics
Dates administered
October 25 – November 1, 2020
Dates updated
November 3, 2020
JoeBidenDemocratic
47.9%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47.0%
Other/Undecided
5.1%
Margin
Biden +0.9
FiveThirtyEight
FiveThirtyEight
Source of pollaggregation
FiveThirtyEight
Dates administered
until November 2, 2020
Dates updated
November 3, 2020
JoeBidenDemocratic
48.7%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46.1%
Other/Undecided
5.2%
Margin
Biden +2.6
Average
Average
Source of pollaggregation
Average
Dates administered
48.2%
Dates updated
46.3%
JoeBidenDemocratic
5.5%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Biden +1.9
Source of pollaggregation
Dates administered
Dates updated
JoeBidenDemocratic
DonaldTrumpRepublican
Other/Undecided
Margin
270 to Win
October 22 – November 2, 2020
November 3, 2020
48.0%
45.8%
6.2%
Biden +2.2
Real Clear Politics
October 25 – November 1, 2020
November 3, 2020
47.9%
47.0%
5.1%
Biden +0.9
FiveThirtyEight
until November 2, 2020
November 3, 2020
48.7%
46.1%
5.2%
Biden +2.6
Average
48.2%
46.3%
5.5%
Biden +1.9
· General election › Polling
Ipsos/Reuters
Ipsos/Reuters
Poll source
Ipsos/Reuters
Date(s)administered
Oct 27 – Nov 2
Samplesize
610 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.5%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
JoeBidenDemocratic
50%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
1%
HowieHawkinsGreen
0%
Other
2%
Undecided
–
47%
47%
Poll source
47%
Date(s)administered
49%
Samplesize
-
Marginof error
-
DonaldTrumpRepublican
2%
JoeBidenDemocratic
1%
48%
48%
Poll source
48%
Date(s)administered
50%
Samplesize
-
Marginof error
-
DonaldTrumpRepublican
2%
JoeBidenDemocratic
–
SurveyMonkey/Axios
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Poll source
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Date(s)administered
Oct 20 – Nov 2
Samplesize
4,278 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.5%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
JoeBidenDemocratic
52%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
–
Undecided
–
Change Research/CNBC
Change Research/CNBC
Poll source
Change Research/CNBC
Date(s)administered
Oct 29 – Nov 1
Samplesize
409 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.9%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
JoeBidenDemocratic
50%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
2%
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
–
Undecided
1%
Marist College/NBC
Marist College/NBC
Poll source
Marist College/NBC
Date(s)administered
Oct 29 – Nov 1
Samplesize
717 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.5%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
JoeBidenDemocratic
48%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
3%
Undecided
1%
Swayable
Swayable
Poll source
Swayable
Date(s)administered
Oct 27 – Nov 1
Samplesize
360 (LV)
Marginof error
± 7.1%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
JoeBidenDemocratic
51%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
4%
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
–
Undecided
–
Data for Progress
Data for Progress
Poll source
Data for Progress
Date(s)administered
Oct 27 – Nov 1
Samplesize
1,195 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.8%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
JoeBidenDemocratic
50%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
2%
HowieHawkinsGreen
1%
Other
0%
Undecided
–
AtlasIntel
AtlasIntel
Poll source
AtlasIntel
Date(s)administered
Oct 30–31
Samplesize
641 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
50.4%
JoeBidenDemocratic
48.1%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
1.5%
Undecided
–
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
Oct 29–31
Samplesize
732 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.6%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
JoeBidenDemocratic
48%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
6%
Undecided
–
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
Oct 22–31
Samplesize
1,059 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
JoeBidenDemocratic
48%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
–
Undecided
–
Data Orbital
Data Orbital
Poll source
Data Orbital
Date(s)administered
Oct 28–30
Samplesize
550 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.2%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45.3%
JoeBidenDemocratic
45.9%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
3%
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
6%
Undecided
5%
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Poll source
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Date(s)administered
Oct 26–30
Samplesize
1,253 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
JoeBidenDemocratic
49%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
3%
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
1%
Undecided
5%
Grand Canyon Battleground Poll
Grand Canyon Battleground Poll
Poll source
Grand Canyon Battleground Poll
Date(s)administered
Oct 25–30
Samplesize
910 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
JoeBidenDemocratic
45%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
3%
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Undecided
4%
CNN/SSRS
CNN/SSRS
Poll source
CNN/SSRS
Date(s)administered
Oct 23–30
Samplesize
892 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
JoeBidenDemocratic
50%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
3%
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
1%
Undecided
1%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports
Poll source
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports
Date(s)administered
Oct 27–29
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
JoeBidenDemocratic
45%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
3%
Undecided
–
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
Oct 26–29
Samplesize
889 (LV)
Marginof error
–
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
JoeBidenDemocratic
50%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
2%
HowieHawkinsGreen
0%
Other
1%
Undecided
2%
Gravis Marketing
Gravis Marketing
Poll source
Gravis Marketing
Date(s)administered
Oct 26–28
Samplesize
704 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.7%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
JoeBidenDemocratic
48%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
–
Undecided
8%
Trafalgar Group
Trafalgar Group
Poll source
Trafalgar Group
Date(s)administered
Oct 25–28
Samplesize
1,002 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
JoeBidenDemocratic
46.5%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
2.1%
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
1.7%
Undecided
0.7%
SurveyMonkey/Axios
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Poll source
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Date(s)administered
Oct 1–28
Samplesize
5,687 (LV)
Marginof error
–
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
JoeBidenDemocratic
52%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
–
Undecided
–
Ipsos/Reuters
Ipsos/Reuters
Poll source
Ipsos/Reuters
Date(s)administered
Oct 21–27
Samplesize
714 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.2%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
JoeBidenDemocratic
47%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
2%
HowieHawkinsGreen
0%
Other
3%
Undecided
–
46%
46%
Poll source
46%
Date(s)administered
48%
Samplesize
-
Marginof error
-
DonaldTrumpRepublican
3%
JoeBidenDemocratic
2%
Swayable
Swayable
Poll source
Swayable
Date(s)administered
Oct 23–26
Samplesize
304 (LV)
Marginof error
± 7.2%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
JoeBidenDemocratic
52%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
3%
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
–
Undecided
–
Justice Collaborative Project
Justice Collaborative Project
Poll source
Justice Collaborative Project
Date(s)administered
Oct 22–25
Samplesize
874 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
JoeBidenDemocratic
49%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
–
Undecided
5%
OH Predictive Insights
OH Predictive Insights
Poll source
OH Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
Oct 22–25
Samplesize
716 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.7%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
JoeBidenDemocratic
49%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
3%
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
1%
Undecided
1%
Univision/University of Houston/LatinoDecisions/North Star Opinion Research
Univision/University of Houston/LatinoDecisions/North Star Opinion Research
Poll source
Univision/University of Houston/LatinoDecisions/North Star Opinion Research
Date(s)administered
Oct 17–25
Samplesize
725 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.6%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
JoeBidenDemocratic
50%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
2%
Undecided
3%
Patinkin Research Strategies/Patinkin Research Strategies/Arizona Research Consortium (D)
Patinkin Research Strategies/Patinkin Research Strategies/Arizona Research Consortium (D)
Poll source
Patinkin Research Strategies/Patinkin Research Strategies/Arizona Research Consortium (D)
Date(s)administered
Oct 21–24
Samplesize
729 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.6%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
JoeBidenDemocratic
52%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
2%
Undecided
1%
Y2 Analytics/Salt Lake Tribune
Y2 Analytics/Salt Lake Tribune
Poll source
Y2 Analytics/Salt Lake Tribune
Date(s)administered
Oct 15–24
Samplesize
700 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.7%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
JoeBidenDemocratic
50%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
–
Undecided
–
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc./Center for American Greatness
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc./Center for American Greatness
Poll source
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc./Center for American Greatness
Date(s)administered
Oct 19–22
Samplesize
504 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
JoeBidenDemocratic
46%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
4%
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
2%
Undecided
1%
Ipsos/Reuters
Ipsos/Reuters
Poll source
Ipsos/Reuters
Date(s)administered
Oct 14–21
Samplesize
658 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
JoeBidenDemocratic
50%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
1%
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
2%
Undecided
–
46%
46%
Poll source
46%
Date(s)administered
49%
Samplesize
-
Marginof error
-
DonaldTrumpRepublican
3%
JoeBidenDemocratic
2%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
Oct 11–20
Samplesize
1,066 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
JoeBidenDemocratic
47%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
–
Undecided
–
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports
Poll source
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports
Date(s)administered
Oct 18–19
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
JoeBidenDemocratic
48%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
3%
Undecided
3%
Change Research/CNBC
Change Research/CNBC
Poll source
Change Research/CNBC
Date(s)administered
Oct 16–19
Samplesize
232 (LV)
Marginof error
–
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
JoeBidenDemocratic
51%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
–
Undecided
–
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ
Poll source
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ
Date(s)administered
Oct 14–19
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
JoeBidenDemocratic
47%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
3%
Undecided
5%
44%
44%
Poll source
44%
Date(s)administered
49%
Samplesize
-
Marginof error
-
DonaldTrumpRepublican
3%
JoeBidenDemocratic
5%
47%
47%
Poll source
47%
Date(s)administered
45%
Samplesize
-
Marginof error
-
DonaldTrumpRepublican
3%
JoeBidenDemocratic
5%
Data Orbital
Data Orbital
Poll source
Data Orbital
Date(s)administered
Oct 16–18
Samplesize
550 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.2%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
42%
JoeBidenDemocratic
47%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
3%
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
5%
Undecided
2%
YouGov/CBS
YouGov/CBS
Poll source
YouGov/CBS
Date(s)administered
Oct 13–16
Samplesize
1,074 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.1%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
JoeBidenDemocratic
49%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
3%
Undecided
3%
Ipsos/Reuters
Ipsos/Reuters
Poll source
Ipsos/Reuters
Date(s)administered
Oct 7–14
Samplesize
667 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.3%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
JoeBidenDemocratic
49%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
1%
HowieHawkinsGreen
0%
Other
2%
Undecided
–
46%
46%
Poll source
46%
Date(s)administered
50%
Samplesize
-
Marginof error
-
DonaldTrumpRepublican
2%
JoeBidenDemocratic
3%
Monmouth University
Monmouth University
Poll source
Monmouth University
Date(s)administered
Oct 11–13
Samplesize
502 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
JoeBidenDemocratic
50%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
2%
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
1%
Undecided
4%
502 (LV)
502 (LV)
Poll source
502 (LV)
Date(s)administered
44%
Samplesize
51%
Marginof error
-
DonaldTrumpRepublican
-
JoeBidenDemocratic
2%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
–
47%
47%
Poll source
47%
Date(s)administered
49%
Samplesize
-
Marginof error
-
DonaldTrumpRepublican
1%
JoeBidenDemocratic
–
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
Oct 10–13
Samplesize
750 (LV)
Marginof error
–
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
JoeBidenDemocratic
48%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
1%
HowieHawkinsGreen
0%
Other
–
Undecided
–
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
Oct 2–11
Samplesize
1,144 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.9%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
JoeBidenDemocratic
49%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
–
Undecided
–
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
Oct 9–10
Samplesize
720 (LV)
Marginof error
–
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
JoeBidenDemocratic
48%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
1%
HowieHawkinsGreen
0%
Other
–
Undecided
–
Trafalgar Group
Trafalgar Group
Poll source
Trafalgar Group
Date(s)administered
Oct 6–8
Samplesize
1,087 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.9%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
JoeBidenDemocratic
44%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
2%
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
2%
Undecided
5%
OH Predictive Insights
OH Predictive Insights
Poll source
OH Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
Oct 4–8
Samplesize
608 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
JoeBidenDemocratic
49%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
4%
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
0%
Undecided
3%
47%
47%
Poll source
47%
Date(s)administered
50%
Samplesize
-
Marginof error
-
DonaldTrumpRepublican
0%
JoeBidenDemocratic
3%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies
Redfield and Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield and Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
Oct 4–7
Samplesize
727 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.6%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
JoeBidenDemocratic
49%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
1%
HowieHawkinsGreen
1%
Other
1%
Undecided
6%
Ipsos/Reuters
Ipsos/Reuters
Poll source
Ipsos/Reuters
Date(s)administered
Sep 29 – Oct 7
Samplesize
633 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.3%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
JoeBidenDemocratic
48%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
2%
Undecided
4%
Latino Decisions/Democrats for Education Reform
Latino Decisions/Democrats for Education Reform
Poll source
Latino Decisions/Democrats for Education Reform
Date(s)administered
Sep 28 – Oct 6
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
JoeBidenDemocratic
48%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
–
Undecided
5%
Basswood Research/American Action Forum
Basswood Research/American Action Forum
Poll source
Basswood Research/American Action Forum
Date(s)administered
Oct 3–5
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
JoeBidenDemocratic
48%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
2%
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
–
Undecided
3%
Data Orbital
Data Orbital
Poll source
Data Orbital
Date(s)administered
Oct 3–5
Samplesize
550 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.2%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
JoeBidenDemocratic
48%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
3%
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
3%
Undecided
4%
HighGround Inc.
HighGround Inc.
Poll source
HighGround Inc.
Date(s)administered
Sep 28 – Oct 5
Samplesize
400 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.9%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
JoeBidenDemocratic
46%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
4%
Undecided
5%
Change Research/CNBC
Change Research/CNBC
Poll source
Change Research/CNBC
Date(s)administered
Oct 2–4
Samplesize
296 (LV)
Marginof error
–
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
JoeBidenDemocratic
51%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
–
Undecided
–
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Poll source
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Date(s)administered
Oct 1–3
Samplesize
655 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.2%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
41%
JoeBidenDemocratic
49%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
3%
HowieHawkinsGreen
–
Other
1%
Undecided
6%
Patinkin Research Strategies/Patinkin Research Strategies/Arizona Research Consortium (D)
Patinkin Research Strategies/Patinkin Research Strategies/Arizona Research Consortium (D)
Poll source
Patinkin Research Strategies/Patinkin Research Strategies/Arizona Research Consortium (D)
Date(s)administered
Oct 1–3
Samplesize
604 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.8%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
JoeBidenDemocratic
50%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
3%
Undecided
1%
Targoz Market Research/PollSmart
Targoz Market Research/PollSmart
Poll source
Targoz Market Research/PollSmart
Date(s)administered
Sep 23 – Oct 2
Samplesize
1,045 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
JoeBidenDemocratic
45%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
10%
Undecided
–
Suffolk University
Suffolk University
Poll source
Suffolk University
Date(s)administered
Sep 26–30
Samplesize
500 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
JoeBidenDemocratic
50%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
1%
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
1%
Undecided
2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Poll source
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Date(s)administered
Sep 1–30
Samplesize
7,100 (LV)
Marginof error
–
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
JoeBidenDemocratic
51%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
–
Undecided
2%
Strategies 360/Smart and Safe Arizona
Strategies 360/Smart and Safe Arizona
Poll source
Strategies 360/Smart and Safe Arizona
Date(s)administered
Sep 24–29
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
JoeBidenDemocratic
49%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
2%
Undecided
4%
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc/Center for American Greatness
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc/Center for American Greatness
Poll source
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc/Center for American Greatness
Date(s)administered
Sep 25–28
Samplesize
500 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.3%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
JoeBidenDemocratic
47%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
–
Undecided
–
Data for Progress (D)
Data for Progress (D)
Poll source
Data for Progress (D)
Date(s)administered
Sep 23–28
Samplesize
808 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.4%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
JoeBidenDemocratic
49%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
1%
HowieHawkinsGreen
0%
Other
–
Undecided
4%
46%
46%
Poll source
46%
Date(s)administered
50%
Samplesize
-
Marginof error
-
DonaldTrumpRepublican
–
JoeBidenDemocratic
4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
Sep 23–26
Samplesize
871 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.3%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
JoeBidenDemocratic
47%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
1%
HowieHawkinsGreen
1%
Other
1%
Undecided
6%
Data For Progress
Data For Progress
Poll source
Data For Progress
Date(s)administered
Sep 15–22
Samplesize
481 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
JoeBidenDemocratic
45%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
–
Undecided
10%
Change Research/CNBC
Change Research/CNBC
Poll source
Change Research/CNBC
Date(s)administered
Sep 18–20
Samplesize
262 (LV)
Marginof error
–
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
JoeBidenDemocratic
49%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
–
Undecided
–
ABC/The Washington Post
ABC/The Washington Post
Poll source
ABC/The Washington Post
Date(s)administered
Sep 15–20
Samplesize
579 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.5%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
JoeBidenDemocratic
48%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
2%
Undecided
1%
Data Orbital
Data Orbital
Poll source
Data Orbital
Date(s)administered
Sep 14–17
Samplesize
550 (LV)
Marginof error
–
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
JoeBidenDemocratic
49%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
–
Undecided
–
Ipsos/Reuters
Ipsos/Reuters
Poll source
Ipsos/Reuters
Date(s)administered
Sep 11–17
Samplesize
565 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.7%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
JoeBidenDemocratic
47%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
2%
Undecided
5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
Sep 12–16
Samplesize
855 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.4%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
42%
JoeBidenDemocratic
47%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
1%
HowieHawkinsGreen
0%
Other
1%
Undecided
8%
Monmouth University
Monmouth University
Poll source
Monmouth University
Date(s)administered
Sep 11–15
Samplesize
420 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.8%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
JoeBidenDemocratic
48%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
4%
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
1%
Undecided
3%
420 (LV)
420 (LV)
Poll source
420 (LV)
Date(s)administered
46%
Samplesize
48%
Marginof error
-
DonaldTrumpRepublican
-
JoeBidenDemocratic
3%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
3%
47%
47%
Poll source
47%
Date(s)administered
47%
Samplesize
-
Marginof error
-
DonaldTrumpRepublican
3%
JoeBidenDemocratic
3%
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Poll source
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Date(s)administered
Sep 10–15
Samplesize
653 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.1%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
40%
JoeBidenDemocratic
49%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
4%
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
1%
Undecided
6%
Patinkin Research Strategies/Patinkin Research Strategies/Arizona Research Consortium (D)
Patinkin Research Strategies/Patinkin Research Strategies/Arizona Research Consortium (D)
Poll source
Patinkin Research Strategies/Patinkin Research Strategies/Arizona Research Consortium (D)
Date(s)administered
Sep 10–13
Samplesize
679 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.8%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
JoeBidenDemocratic
49%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
4%
Undecided
2%
Kaiser Family Foundation/Cook Political Report
Kaiser Family Foundation/Cook Political Report
Poll source
Kaiser Family Foundation/Cook Political Report
Date(s)administered
Aug 29 – Sep 13
Samplesize
1,298 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
40%
JoeBidenDemocratic
45%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
4%
Undecided
11%
Gravis Marketing
Gravis Marketing
Poll source
Gravis Marketing
Date(s)administered
Sep 10–11
Samplesize
684 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.8%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
JoeBidenDemocratic
50%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
–
Undecided
2%
YouGov/CBS
YouGov/CBS
Poll source
YouGov/CBS
Date(s)administered
Sep 9–11
Samplesize
1,106 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.9%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
JoeBidenDemocratic
47%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
3%
Undecided
6%
OH Predictive Insights
OH Predictive Insights
Poll source
OH Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
Sep 8–10
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
42%
JoeBidenDemocratic
52%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
–
Undecided
5%
Benenson Strategy Group/GS Strategy Group/AARP
Benenson Strategy Group/GS Strategy Group/AARP
Poll source
Benenson Strategy Group/GS Strategy Group/AARP
Date(s)administered
Aug 28 – Sep 8
Samplesize
1,600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.5%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
JoeBidenDemocratic
48%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
1%
Undecided
4%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
Aug 29 – Sep 7
Samplesize
901 (LV)
Marginof error
± (2–4%)
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
JoeBidenDemocratic
49%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
–
Undecided
–
Change Research/CNBC
Change Research/CNBC
Poll source
Change Research/CNBC
Date(s)administered
Sep 4–6
Samplesize
470 (LV)
Marginof error
–
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
JoeBidenDemocratic
49%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
6%
Undecided
–
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
Aug 30 – Sep 4
Samplesize
830 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.4%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
JoeBidenDemocratic
48%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
0%
HowieHawkinsGreen
1%
Other
0%
Undecided
6%
FOX News
FOX News
Poll source
FOX News
Date(s)administered
Aug 29 – Sep 1
Samplesize
772 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
40%
JoeBidenDemocratic
49%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
3%
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
1%
Undecided
6%
858 (RV)
858 (RV)
Poll source
858 (RV)
Date(s)administered
± 3.0%
Samplesize
39%
Marginof error
49%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
3%
JoeBidenDemocratic
-
JoJorgensenLibertarian
3%
HowieHawkinsGreen
6%
Basswood Research/American Action Forum
Basswood Research/American Action Forum
Poll source
Basswood Research/American Action Forum
Date(s)administered
Aug 29–31, 2020
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
48%
JoeBidenDemocratic
47%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
1%
HowieHawkinsGreen
2%
Other
–
Undecided
2%
49%
49%
Poll source
49%
Date(s)administered
48%
Samplesize
-
Marginof error
-
DonaldTrumpRepublican
–
JoeBidenDemocratic
3%
SurveyMonkey/Axios
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Poll source
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Date(s)administered
Aug 1–31
Samplesize
6,456 (LV)
Marginof error
–
DonaldTrumpRepublican
52%
JoeBidenDemocratic
47%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
–
Undecided
2%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
Aug 21–30
Samplesize
943 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
42%
JoeBidenDemocratic
52%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
–
Undecided
–
Change Research/CNBC
Change Research/CNBC
Poll source
Change Research/CNBC
Date(s)administered
Aug 21–23
Samplesize
344 (LV)
Marginof error
–
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
JoeBidenDemocratic
49%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
–
Undecided
–
Redfield and Wilton Strategies
Redfield and Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield and Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
Aug 16–18
Samplesize
856 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.4%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
38%
JoeBidenDemocratic
47%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
1%
HowieHawkinsGreen
1%
Other
3%
Undecided
10%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
Aug 7–16
Samplesize
947 (LV)
Marginof error
± (2–4%)
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
JoeBidenDemocratic
45%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
–
Undecided
–
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
Aug 8–10
Samplesize
661 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.8%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
JoeBidenDemocratic
53%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
–
Undecided
–
Change Research/CNBC
Change Research/CNBC
Poll source
Change Research/CNBC
Date(s)administered
Aug 7–9
Samplesize
428 (LV)
Marginof error
–
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
JoeBidenDemocratic
45%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
–
Undecided
–
Trafalgar Group
Trafalgar Group
Poll source
Trafalgar Group
Date(s)administered
Aug 5–8
Samplesize
1,013 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.9%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
JoeBidenDemocratic
45%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
3%
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
1%
Undecided
4%
OH Predictive Insights
OH Predictive Insights
Poll source
OH Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
Aug 3–4
Samplesize
603 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
JoeBidenDemocratic
49%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
–
Undecided
–
OnMessage Inc./Heritage Action
OnMessage Inc./Heritage Action
Poll source
OnMessage Inc./Heritage Action
Date(s)administered
Aug 2–4
Samplesize
400 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.9%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
51%
JoeBidenDemocratic
48%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
–
Undecided
2%
Data for Progress
Data for Progress
Poll source
Data for Progress
Date(s)administered
Jul 24 – Aug 2
Samplesize
1,215 (LV)
Marginof error
–
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
JoeBidenDemocratic
45%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
2%
HowieHawkinsGreen
1%
Other
–
Undecided
10%
44%
44%
Poll source
44%
Date(s)administered
47%
Samplesize
-
Marginof error
-
DonaldTrumpRepublican
–
JoeBidenDemocratic
8%
SurveyMonkey/Axios
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Poll source
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Date(s)administered
Jul 1–31
Samplesize
4,995 (LV)
Marginof error
–
DonaldTrumpRepublican
51%
JoeBidenDemocratic
47%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
–
Undecided
2%
Change Research/CNBC
Change Research/CNBC
Poll source
Change Research/CNBC
Date(s)administered
Jul 24–26
Samplesize
365 (LV)
Marginof error
–
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
JoeBidenDemocratic
47%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
–
Undecided
–
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
Jul 17–26
Samplesize
908 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.3%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
42%
JoeBidenDemocratic
49%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
–
Undecided
–
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
Jul 16–25
Samplesize
– (LV)
Marginof error
–
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
JoeBidenDemocratic
49%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
–
Undecided
–
CNN/SSRS
CNN/SSRS
Poll source
CNN/SSRS
Date(s)administered
Jul 18–24
Samplesize
873 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.8%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
JoeBidenDemocratic
49%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
4%
Undecided
2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
Jul 19–23
Samplesize
858 (LV)
Marginof error
–
DonaldTrumpRepublican
38%
JoeBidenDemocratic
46%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
2%
HowieHawkinsGreen
1%
Other
3%
Undecided
11%
NBC News/Marist College
NBC News/Marist College
Poll source
NBC News/Marist College
Date(s)administered
Jul 14–22
Samplesize
826 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.1%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
JoeBidenDemocratic
50%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
1%
Undecided
3%
Public Policy Polling/AFSCME
Public Policy Polling/AFSCME
Poll source
Public Policy Polling/AFSCME
Date(s)administered
Jul 17–18
Samplesize
960 (RV)
Marginof error
–
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
JoeBidenDemocratic
49%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
–
Undecided
6%
Spry Strategies/American Principles Project
Spry Strategies/American Principles Project
Poll source
Spry Strategies/American Principles Project
Date(s)administered
Jul 11–16
Samplesize
700 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.7%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
JoeBidenDemocratic
49%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
–
Undecided
6%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
Jul 6–15
Samplesize
– (LV)
Marginof error
–
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
JoeBidenDemocratic
47%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
–
Undecided
–
Change Research/CNBC
Change Research/CNBC
Poll source
Change Research/CNBC
Date(s)administered
Jul 10–12
Samplesize
345 (LV)
Marginof error
–
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
JoeBidenDemocratic
51%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
–
Undecided
–
YouGov/CBS
YouGov/CBS
Poll source
YouGov/CBS
Date(s)administered
Jul 7–10
Samplesize
1,087 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.8%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
JoeBidenDemocratic
46%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
4%
Undecided
4%
OH Predictive Insights
OH Predictive Insights
Poll source
OH Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
Jul 6–7
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
JoeBidenDemocratic
49%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
0%
Undecided
7%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
Jun 26 – Jul 5
Samplesize
– (LV)
Marginof error
–
DonaldTrumpRepublican
42%
JoeBidenDemocratic
48%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
–
Undecided
–
SurveyMonkey/Axios
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Poll source
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Date(s)administered
Jun 8–30
Samplesize
2,365 (LV)
Marginof error
–
DonaldTrumpRepublican
52%
JoeBidenDemocratic
46%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
–
Undecided
2%
Data Orbital
Data Orbital
Poll source
Data Orbital
Date(s)administered
Jun 27–29
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
JoeBidenDemocratic
47%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
3.3%
Undecided
4.2%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
Jun 16–25
Samplesize
– (LV)
Marginof error
–
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
JoeBidenDemocratic
47%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
–
Undecided
–
Change Research/CNBC
Change Research/CNBC
Poll source
Change Research/CNBC
Date(s)administered
Jun 26–28
Samplesize
311 (LV)
Marginof error
–
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
JoeBidenDemocratic
51%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
–
Undecided
–
Gravis Marketing/OANN
Gravis Marketing/OANN
Poll source
Gravis Marketing/OANN
Date(s)administered
Jun 27
Samplesize
527 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.3%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
49%
JoeBidenDemocratic
45%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
–
Undecided
7%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
Jun 14–17
Samplesize
865 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.3%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
39%
JoeBidenDemocratic
43%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
2%
HowieHawkinsGreen
1%
Other
2%
Undecided
13%
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Poll source
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Date(s)administered
Jun 8–16
Samplesize
650 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.3%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
41%
JoeBidenDemocratic
48%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
4%
Undecided
8%
Civiqs/Daily Kos
Civiqs/Daily Kos
Poll source
Civiqs/Daily Kos
Date(s)administered
Jun 13–15
Samplesize
1,368 (RV)
Marginof error
± 2.9%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
JoeBidenDemocratic
49%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
5%
Undecided
1%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
Jun 6–15
Samplesize
– (LV)
Marginof error
–
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
JoeBidenDemocratic
47%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
–
Undecided
–
Change Research/CNBC
Change Research/CNBC
Poll source
Change Research/CNBC
Date(s)administered
Jun 12–14
Samplesize
201 (LV)
Marginof error
–
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
JoeBidenDemocratic
45%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
5%
Undecided
–
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
May 27 – Jun 5
Samplesize
– (LV)
Marginof error
–
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
JoeBidenDemocratic
45%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
–
Undecided
–
FOX News
FOX News
Poll source
FOX News
Date(s)administered
May 30 – Jun 2
Samplesize
1,002 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
42%
JoeBidenDemocratic
46%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
6%
Undecided
5%
Change Research/CNBC
Change Research/CNBC
Poll source
Change Research/CNBC
Date(s)administered
May 29–31
Samplesize
329 (LV)
Marginof error
–
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
JoeBidenDemocratic
44%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
9%
Undecided
2%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
May 17–26
Samplesize
784 (LV)
Marginof error
–
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
JoeBidenDemocratic
45%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
–
Undecided
–
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
May 16–25
Samplesize
– (LV)
Marginof error
–
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
JoeBidenDemocratic
46%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
–
Undecided
–
HighGround Inc.
HighGround Inc.
Poll source
HighGround Inc.
Date(s)administered
May 18–22
Samplesize
400 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.9%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
45%
JoeBidenDemocratic
47%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
4%
Undecided
4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
May 10–14
Samplesize
946 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.2%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
41%
JoeBidenDemocratic
45%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
3%
Undecided
10%
OH Predictive Insights
OH Predictive Insights
Poll source
OH Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
May 9–11
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
JoeBidenDemocratic
50%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
1%
Undecided
6%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
May 6–15
Samplesize
– (LV)
Marginof error
–
DonaldTrumpRepublican
47%
JoeBidenDemocratic
45%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
–
Undecided
–
GBAO Strategies/PLUS Paid Family Leave
GBAO Strategies/PLUS Paid Family Leave
Poll source
GBAO Strategies/PLUS Paid Family Leave
Date(s)administered
Apr 13–16
Samplesize
500 (LV)
Marginof error
–
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
JoeBidenDemocratic
47%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
2%
Undecided
5%
OH Predictive Insights
OH Predictive Insights
Poll source
OH Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
Apr 7–8
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
JoeBidenDemocratic
52%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
–
Undecided
–
NBC News/The Wall Street Journal/Marist College
NBC News/The Wall Street Journal/Marist College
Poll source
NBC News/The Wall Street Journal/Marist College
Date(s)administered
Mar 10–15
Samplesize
2,523 (RV)
Marginof error
± 2.7%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
JoeBidenDemocratic
47%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
1%
Undecided
5%
Monmouth University
Monmouth University
Poll source
Monmouth University
Date(s)administered
Mar 11–14
Samplesize
847 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.4%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
JoeBidenDemocratic
46%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
2%
Undecided
6%
Univision
Univision
Poll source
Univision
Date(s)administered
Mar 6–11
Samplesize
1,036 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
42%
JoeBidenDemocratic
50%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
–
Undecided
8%
OH Predictive Insights
OH Predictive Insights
Poll source
OH Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
Mar 3–4
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
JoeBidenDemocratic
49%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
–
Undecided
8%
Public Policy Polling
Public Policy Polling
Poll source
Public Policy Polling
Date(s)administered
Mar 2–3
Samplesize
666 (V)
Marginof error
–
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
JoeBidenDemocratic
47%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
–
Undecided
6%
Climate Nexus
Climate Nexus
Poll source
Climate Nexus
Date(s)administered
Feb 11–15
Samplesize
539 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.3%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
JoeBidenDemocratic
42%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
–
Undecided
13%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Team McSally/Politico
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Team McSally/Politico
Poll source
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Team McSally/Politico
Date(s)administered
Jan 22–24
Samplesize
1,000 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
50%
JoeBidenDemocratic
45%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
–
Undecided
6%
Public Policy Polling
Public Policy Polling
Poll source
Public Policy Polling
Date(s)administered
Jan 2–4
Samplesize
760 (V)
Marginof error
–
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
JoeBidenDemocratic
46%
JoJorgensenLibertarian
-
HowieHawkinsGreen
-
Other
–
Undecided
8%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
DonaldTrumpRepublican
JoeBidenDemocratic
JoJorgensenLibertarian
HowieHawkinsGreen
Other
Undecided
Ipsos/Reuters
Oct 27 – Nov 2
610 (LV)
± 4.5%
47%
50%
1%
0%
2%
–
47%
49%
-
-
2%
1%
48%
50%
-
-
2%
–
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Oct 20 – Nov 2
4,278 (LV)
± 2.5%
46%
52%
-
-
–
–
Change Research/CNBC
Oct 29 – Nov 1
409 (LV)
± 4.9%
47%
50%
2%
-
–
1%
Marist College/NBC
Oct 29 – Nov 1
717 (LV)
± 4.5%
48%
48%
-
-
3%
1%
Swayable
Oct 27 – Nov 1
360 (LV)
± 7.1%
46%
51%
4%
-
–
–
Data for Progress
Oct 27 – Nov 1
1,195 (LV)
± 2.8%
47%
50%
2%
1%
0%
–
AtlasIntel
Oct 30–31
641 (LV)
± 4%
50.4%
48.1%
-
-
1.5%
–
Emerson College
Oct 29–31
732 (LV)
± 3.6%
46%
48%
-
-
6%
–
Morning Consult
Oct 22–31
1,059 (LV)
± 3%
46%
48%
-
-
–
–
Data Orbital
Oct 28–30
550 (LV)
± 4.2%
45.3%
45.9%
3%
-
6%
5%
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Oct 26–30
1,253 (LV)
± 3%
43%
49%
3%
-
1%
5%
Grand Canyon Battleground Poll
Oct 25–30
910 (LV)
± 3.1%
48%
45%
3%
-
4%
CNN/SSRS
Oct 23–30
892 (LV)
± 4.0%
46%
50%
3%
-
1%
1%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports
Oct 27–29
800 (LV)
± 3.5%
49%
45%
-
-
3%
–
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Oct 26–29
889 (LV)
–
46%
50%
2%
0%
1%
2%
Gravis Marketing
Oct 26–28
704 (LV)
± 3.7%
44%
48%
-
-
–
8%
Trafalgar Group
Oct 25–28
1,002 (LV)
± 3%
49%
46.5%
2.1%
-
1.7%
0.7%
SurveyMonkey/Axios
Oct 1–28
5,687 (LV)
–
46%
52%
-
-
–
–
Ipsos/Reuters
Oct 21–27
714 (LV)
± 4.2%
47%
47%
2%
0%
3%
–
46%
48%
-
-
3%
2%
Swayable
Oct 23–26
304 (LV)
± 7.2%
44%
52%
3%
-
–
–
Justice Collaborative Project
Oct 22–25
874 (LV)
± 3.1%
43%
49%
-
-
–
5%
OH Predictive Insights
Oct 22–25
716 (LV)
± 3.7%
46%
49%
3%
-
1%
1%
Univision/University of Houston/LatinoDecisions/North Star Opinion Research
Oct 17–25
725 (RV)
± 3.6%
45%
50%
-
-
2%
3%
Patinkin Research Strategies/Patinkin Research Strategies/Arizona Research Consortium (D)
Oct 21–24
729 (LV)
± 3.6%
45%
52%
-
-
2%
1%
Y2 Analytics/Salt Lake Tribune
Oct 15–24
700 (LV)
± 3.7%
47%
50%
-
-
–
–
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc./Center for American Greatness
Oct 19–22
504 (LV)
± 4.4%
46%
46%
4%
-
2%
1%
Ipsos/Reuters
Oct 14–21
658 (LV)
± 4.4%
46%
50%
1%
-
2%
–
46%
49%
-
-
3%
2%
Morning Consult
Oct 11–20
1,066 (LV)
± 3%
48%
47%
-
-
–
–
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports
Oct 18–19
800 (LV)
± 3.5%
46%
48%
-
-
3%
3%
Change Research/CNBC
Oct 16–19
232 (LV)
–
45%
51%
-
-
–
–
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ
Oct 14–19
800 (LV)
± 3.5%
46%
47%
-
-
3%
5%
44%
49%
-
-
3%
5%
47%
45%
-
-
3%
5%
Data Orbital
Oct 16–18
550 (LV)
± 4.2%
42%
47%
3%
-
5%
2%
YouGov/CBS
Oct 13–16
1,074 (LV)
± 4.1%
45%
49%
-
-
3%
3%
Ipsos/Reuters
Oct 7–14
667 (LV)
± 4.3%
47%
49%
1%
0%
2%
–
46%
50%
-
-
2%
3%
Monmouth University
Oct 11–13
502 (RV)
± 4.4%
44%
50%
2%
-
1%
4%
502 (LV)
44%
51%
-
-
2%
–
47%
49%
-
-
1%
–
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Oct 10–13
750 (LV)
–
45%
48%
1%
0%
–
–
Morning Consult
Oct 2–11
1,144 (LV)
± 2.9%
46%
49%
-
-
–
–
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Oct 9–10
720 (LV)
–
46%
48%
1%
0%
–
–
Trafalgar Group
Oct 6–8
1,087 (LV)
± 2.9%
48%
44%
2%
-
2%
5%
OH Predictive Insights
Oct 4–8
608 (LV)
± 4.0%
45%
49%
4%
-
0%
3%
· General election › Polling
OH Predictive Insights
OH Predictive Insights
Poll source
OH Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
Dec 3–4
Samplesize
628 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.9%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
JoeBidenDemocratic
44%
Other
0%
Undecided
10%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
Oct 25–28
Samplesize
901 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.2%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
50%
JoeBidenDemocratic
50%
Other
–
Undecided
–
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Poll source
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Date(s)administered
Oct 13–23
Samplesize
652 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
JoeBidenDemocratic
49%
Other
–
Undecided
–
Bendixen & Amandi International
Bendixen & Amandi International
Poll source
Bendixen & Amandi International
Date(s)administered
Sep 9–12
Samplesize
520 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.3%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
JoeBidenDemocratic
42%
Other
12%
Undecided
3%
OH Predictive Insights
OH Predictive Insights
Poll source
OH Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
Aug 13–14
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
43%
JoeBidenDemocratic
45%
Other
–
Undecided
12%
Fabrizio Ward LLC
Fabrizio Ward LLC
Poll source
Fabrizio Ward LLC
Date(s)administered
Jul 29–31
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
50%
JoeBidenDemocratic
45%
Other
–
Undecided
4%
OH Predictive Insights
OH Predictive Insights
Poll source
OH Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
May 1–2
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
44%
JoeBidenDemocratic
49%
Other
–
Undecided
7%
OH Predictive Insights
OH Predictive Insights
Poll source
OH Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
Feb 12–13
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
DonaldTrumpRepublican
46%
JoeBidenDemocratic
46%
Other
–
Undecided
7%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
DonaldTrumpRepublican
JoeBidenDemocratic
Other
Undecided
OH Predictive Insights
Dec 3–4
628 (LV)
± 3.9%
46%
44%
0%
10%
Emerson College
Oct 25–28
901 (RV)
± 3.2%
50%
50%
–
–
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Oct 13–23
652 (LV)
± 4.4%
46%
49%
–
–
Bendixen & Amandi International
Sep 9–12
520 (RV)
± 4.3%
43%
42%
12%
3%
OH Predictive Insights
Aug 13–14
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
43%
45%
–
12%
Fabrizio Ward LLC
Jul 29–31
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
50%
45%
–
4%
OH Predictive Insights
May 1–2
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
44%
49%
–
7%
OH Predictive Insights
Feb 12–13
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
46%
46%
–
7%
Climate Nexus
Climate Nexus
Poll source
Climate Nexus
Date(s)administered
Feb 11–15, 2020
Samplesize
539 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.3%
DonaldTrump (R)
44%
MichaelBloomberg (D)
45%
Other
–
Undecided
11%
OH Predictive Insights
OH Predictive Insights
Poll source
OH Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
Dec 3–4, 2019
Samplesize
628 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.9%
DonaldTrump (R)
47%
MichaelBloomberg (D)
40%
Other
0%
Undecided
10%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
DonaldTrump (R)
MichaelBloomberg (D)
Other
Undecided
Climate Nexus
Feb 11–15, 2020
539 (RV)
± 4.3%
44%
45%
–
11%
OH Predictive Insights
Dec 3–4, 2019
628 (LV)
± 3.9%
47%
40%
0%
10%
Climate Nexus
Climate Nexus
Poll source
Climate Nexus
Date(s)administered
Feb 11–15, 2020
Samplesize
539 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.3%
DonaldTrump (R)
44%
PeteButtigieg (D)
44%
Other
–
Undecided
12%
Public Policy Polling
Public Policy Polling
Poll source
Public Policy Polling
Date(s)administered
Jan 2–4, 2020
Samplesize
760 (V)
Marginof error
–
DonaldTrump (R)
47%
PeteButtigieg (D)
44%
Other
–
Undecided
9%
OH Predictive Insights
OH Predictive Insights
Poll source
OH Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
Dec 3–4, 2019
Samplesize
628 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.9%
DonaldTrump (R)
45%
PeteButtigieg (D)
43%
Other
0%
Undecided
12%
OH Predictive Insights
OH Predictive Insights
Poll source
OH Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
Aug 13–14, 2019
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
DonaldTrump (R)
43%
PeteButtigieg (D)
38%
Other
–
Undecided
18%
OH Predictive Insights
OH Predictive Insights
Poll source
OH Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
May 1–2, 2019
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
DonaldTrump (R)
46%
PeteButtigieg (D)
37%
Other
–
Undecided
16%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
DonaldTrump (R)
PeteButtigieg (D)
Other
Undecided
Climate Nexus
Feb 11–15, 2020
539 (RV)
± 4.3%
44%
44%
–
12%
Public Policy Polling
Jan 2–4, 2020
760 (V)
–
47%
44%
–
9%
OH Predictive Insights
Dec 3–4, 2019
628 (LV)
± 3.9%
45%
43%
0%
12%
OH Predictive Insights
Aug 13–14, 2019
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
43%
38%
–
18%
OH Predictive Insights
May 1–2, 2019
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
46%
37%
–
16%
Bendixen & Amandi International
Bendixen & Amandi International
Poll source
Bendixen & Amandi International
Date(s)administered
Sep 9–12, 2019
Samplesize
520 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.3%
DonaldTrump (R)
42%
KamalaHarris (D)
38%
Other
17%
Undecided
1%
OH Predictive Insights
OH Predictive Insights
Poll source
OH Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
Aug 13–14, 2019
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
DonaldTrump (R)
45%
KamalaHarris (D)
36%
Other
–
Undecided
18%
OH Predictive Insights
OH Predictive Insights
Poll source
OH Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
May 1–2, 2019
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
DonaldTrump (R)
48%
KamalaHarris (D)
39%
Other
–
Undecided
13%
OH Predictive Insights
OH Predictive Insights
Poll source
OH Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
Feb 12–13, 2019
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
DonaldTrump (R)
49%
KamalaHarris (D)
40%
Other
–
Undecided
11%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
DonaldTrump (R)
KamalaHarris (D)
Other
Undecided
Bendixen & Amandi International
Sep 9–12, 2019
520 (RV)
± 4.3%
42%
38%
17%
1%
OH Predictive Insights
Aug 13–14, 2019
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
45%
36%
–
18%
OH Predictive Insights
May 1–2, 2019
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
48%
39%
–
13%
OH Predictive Insights
Feb 12–13, 2019
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
49%
40%
–
11%
Climate Nexus
Climate Nexus
Poll source
Climate Nexus
Date(s)administered
Feb 11–15, 2020
Samplesize
539 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.3%
DonaldTrump (R)
46%
AmyKlobuchar (D)
39%
Undecided
15%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
DonaldTrump (R)
AmyKlobuchar (D)
Undecided
Climate Nexus
Feb 11–15, 2020
539 (RV)
± 4.3%
46%
39%
15%
OH Predictive Insights
OH Predictive Insights
Poll source
OH Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
May 1–2, 2019
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
DonaldTrump (R)
46%
BetoO'Rourke (D)
40%
Undecided
14%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
DonaldTrump (R)
BetoO'Rourke (D)
Undecided
OH Predictive Insights
May 1–2, 2019
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
46%
40%
14%
NBC News/The Wall Street Journal/Marist College
NBC News/The Wall Street Journal/Marist College
Poll source
NBC News/The Wall Street Journal/Marist College
Date(s)administered
Mar 10–15, 2020
Samplesize
2,523 (RV)
Marginof error
± 2.7%
DonaldTrump (R)
48%
BernieSanders (D)
45%
Other
2%
Undecided
6%
Monmouth University
Monmouth University
Poll source
Monmouth University
Date(s)administered
Mar 11–14, 2020
Samplesize
847 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.4%
DonaldTrump (R)
44%
BernieSanders (D)
43%
Other
4%
Undecided
6%
Univision
Univision
Poll source
Univision
Date(s)administered
Mar 6–11, 2020
Samplesize
1,036 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
DonaldTrump (R)
43%
BernieSanders (D)
48%
Other
–
Undecided
10%
OH Predictive Insights
OH Predictive Insights
Poll source
OH Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
Mar 3–4, 2020
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
DonaldTrump (R)
45%
BernieSanders (D)
38%
Other
–
Undecided
16%
Public Policy Polling
Public Policy Polling
Poll source
Public Policy Polling
Date(s)administered
Mar 2–3, 2020
Samplesize
666 (V)
Marginof error
–
DonaldTrump (R)
47%
BernieSanders (D)
46%
Other
–
Undecided
7%
Climate Nexus
Climate Nexus
Poll source
Climate Nexus
Date(s)administered
Feb 11–15, 2020
Samplesize
539 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.3%
DonaldTrump (R)
46%
BernieSanders (D)
44%
Other
–
Undecided
10%
Public Policy Polling
Public Policy Polling
Poll source
Public Policy Polling
Date(s)administered
Jan 2–4, 2020
Samplesize
760 (V)
Marginof error
–
DonaldTrump (R)
47%
BernieSanders (D)
46%
Other
–
Undecided
7%
OH Predictive Insights
OH Predictive Insights
Poll source
OH Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
Dec 3–4, 2019
Samplesize
628 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.9%
DonaldTrump (R)
47%
BernieSanders (D)
34%
Other
1%
Undecided
18%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
Oct 25–28, 2019
Samplesize
901 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.2%
DonaldTrump (R)
51%
BernieSanders (D)
49%
Other
–
Undecided
–
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Poll source
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Date(s)administered
Oct 13–23, 2019
Samplesize
652 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
DonaldTrump (R)
49%
BernieSanders (D)
45%
Other
–
Undecided
–
Bendixen & Amandi International
Bendixen & Amandi International
Poll source
Bendixen & Amandi International
Date(s)administered
Sep 9–12, 2019
Samplesize
520 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.3%
DonaldTrump (R)
45%
BernieSanders (D)
37%
Other
15%
Undecided
1%
OH Predictive Insights
OH Predictive Insights
Poll source
OH Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
Aug 13–14, 2019
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
DonaldTrump (R)
44%
BernieSanders (D)
34%
Other
–
Undecided
22%
OH Predictive Insights
OH Predictive Insights
Poll source
OH Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
May 1–2, 2019
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
DonaldTrump (R)
46%
BernieSanders (D)
37%
Other
–
Undecided
16%
OH Predictive Insights
OH Predictive Insights
Poll source
OH Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
Feb 12–13, 2019
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
DonaldTrump (R)
49%
BernieSanders (D)
37%
Other
–
Undecided
13%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
DonaldTrump (R)
BernieSanders (D)
Other
Undecided
NBC News/The Wall Street Journal/Marist College
Mar 10–15, 2020
2,523 (RV)
± 2.7%
48%
45%
2%
6%
Monmouth University
Mar 11–14, 2020
847 (RV)
± 3.4%
44%
43%
4%
6%
Univision
Mar 6–11, 2020
1,036 (RV)
± 3.0%
43%
48%
–
10%
OH Predictive Insights
Mar 3–4, 2020
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
45%
38%
–
16%
Public Policy Polling
Mar 2–3, 2020
666 (V)
–
47%
46%
–
7%
Climate Nexus
Feb 11–15, 2020
539 (RV)
± 4.3%
46%
44%
–
10%
Public Policy Polling
Jan 2–4, 2020
760 (V)
–
47%
46%
–
7%
OH Predictive Insights
Dec 3–4, 2019
628 (LV)
± 3.9%
47%
34%
1%
18%
Emerson College
Oct 25–28, 2019
901 (RV)
± 3.2%
51%
49%
–
–
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Oct 13–23, 2019
652 (LV)
± 4.4%
49%
45%
–
–
Bendixen & Amandi International
Sep 9–12, 2019
520 (RV)
± 4.3%
45%
37%
15%
1%
OH Predictive Insights
Aug 13–14, 2019
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
44%
34%
–
22%
OH Predictive Insights
May 1–2, 2019
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
46%
37%
–
16%
OH Predictive Insights
Feb 12–13, 2019
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
49%
37%
–
13%
Climate Nexus
Climate Nexus
Poll source
Climate Nexus
Date(s)administered
Feb 11–15, 2020
Samplesize
539 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.3%
DonaldTrump (R)
47%
ElizabethWarren (D)
40%
Other
–
Undecided
14%
Public Policy Polling
Public Policy Polling
Poll source
Public Policy Polling
Date(s)administered
Jan 2–4, 2020
Samplesize
760 (V)
Marginof error
–
DonaldTrump (R)
47%
ElizabethWarren (D)
45%
Other
–
Undecided
9%
OH Predictive Insights
OH Predictive Insights
Poll source
OH Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
Dec 3–4, 2019
Samplesize
628 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.9%
DonaldTrump (R)
47%
ElizabethWarren (D)
41%
Other
1%
Undecided
12%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
Oct 25–28, 2019
Samplesize
901 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.2%
DonaldTrump (R)
50%
ElizabethWarren (D)
50%
Other
–
Undecided
–
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Poll source
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Date(s)administered
Oct 13–23, 2019
Samplesize
652 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
DonaldTrump (R)
46%
ElizabethWarren (D)
47%
Other
–
Undecided
–
Bendixen & Amandi International
Bendixen & Amandi International
Poll source
Bendixen & Amandi International
Date(s)administered
Sep 9–12, 2019
Samplesize
520 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.3%
DonaldTrump (R)
42%
ElizabethWarren (D)
42%
Other
10%
Undecided
3%
OH Predictive Insights
OH Predictive Insights
Poll source
OH Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
Aug 13–14, 2019
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
DonaldTrump (R)
44%
ElizabethWarren (D)
43%
Other
–
Undecided
13%
OH Predictive Insights
OH Predictive Insights
Poll source
OH Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
May 1–2, 2019
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
DonaldTrump (R)
47%
ElizabethWarren (D)
42%
Other
–
Undecided
11%
OH Predictive Insights
OH Predictive Insights
Poll source
OH Predictive Insights
Date(s)administered
Feb 12–13, 2019
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
DonaldTrump (R)
49%
ElizabethWarren (D)
38%
Other
–
Undecided
12%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
DonaldTrump (R)
ElizabethWarren (D)
Other
Undecided
Climate Nexus
Feb 11–15, 2020
539 (RV)
± 4.3%
47%
40%
–
14%
Public Policy Polling
Jan 2–4, 2020
760 (V)
–
47%
45%
–
9%
OH Predictive Insights
Dec 3–4, 2019
628 (LV)
± 3.9%
47%
41%
1%
12%
Emerson College
Oct 25–28, 2019
901 (RV)
± 3.2%
50%
50%
–
–
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Oct 13–23, 2019
652 (LV)
± 4.4%
46%
47%
–
–
Bendixen & Amandi International
Sep 9–12, 2019
520 (RV)
± 4.3%
42%
42%
10%
3%
OH Predictive Insights
Aug 13–14, 2019
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
44%
43%
–
13%
OH Predictive Insights
May 1–2, 2019
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
47%
42%
–
11%
OH Predictive Insights
Feb 12–13, 2019
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
49%
38%
–
12%
Univision
Univision
Poll source
Univision
Date(s)administered
Mar 6–11, 2020
Samplesize
1,036 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
DonaldTrump (R)
41%
GenericDemocrat
51%
Undecided
7%
Public Policy Polling (D)
Public Policy Polling (D)
Poll source
Public Policy Polling (D)
Date(s)administered
Jan 24–25, 2019
Samplesize
682 (V)
Marginof error
± 3.8%
DonaldTrump (R)
46%
GenericDemocrat
50%
Undecided
4%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
DonaldTrump (R)
GenericDemocrat
Undecided
Univision
Mar 6–11, 2020
1,036 (RV)
± 3.0%
41%
51%
7%
Public Policy Polling (D)
Jan 24–25, 2019
682 (V)
± 3.8%
46%
50%
4%
· General election › Electoral slates
Steve GallardoLuis Alberto HerediaConstance JacksonSandra D. KennedyStephen Roe LewisJames McLaughlinJonathan NezNed NorrisRegina RomeroFelecia RotelliniFred Yamashita
Steve GallardoLuis Alberto HerediaConstance JacksonSandra D. KennedyStephen Roe LewisJames McLaughlinJonathan NezNed NorrisRegina RomeroFelecia RotelliniFred Yamashita
Joe Biden and Kamala HarrisDemocratic Party
Steve GallardoLuis Alberto HerediaConstance JacksonSandra D. KennedyStephen Roe LewisJames McLaughlinJonathan NezNed NorrisRegina RomeroFelecia RotelliniFred Yamashita
Donald Trump and Mike PenceRepublican Party
Tyler BowyerNancy CottleJake HoffmanAnthony T. KernJames LamonRobert MontgomerySamuel I. MoorheadLoraine B. PellegrinoGreg SafstenKelli WardMichael Ward
Jo Jorgensen and Spike CohenLibertarian Party
Timothy BenjaminHoward BlitzJeffery T. DanielsAlejandro FloresBarry HessMichael KielskyDoug MarksRobert A. Pepiton IIBrandon SlaytonScott StewardJonathan Winder
Howie Hawkins and Angela WalkerGreen Party
Cara BissellCeleste M. CastorenaCesario C. CastorenaAngela DixonAntonio MacíasLinda MacíasBetty J. McMurrinElisa OleaEduardo QuintanaRichard ScottAngel Torres
Jade Simmons and Claudeliah J. RozeIndependent
Celeslie L. BoyerSydney CurtisMaryann EhmannValerie GrapentineJared KorthJoAnna LangstonErica MartinKia McMurrayDennis McMurray Jr.Brittany SanchezVeronica Scheier
Gloria La Riva and Sunil FreemanSocialism and Liberation
Jahaziel FelixPedro GomezKealy HartleyAlexia IsaisDylan JacobsonSteven LevinDaniel LopezJoseph MuellerLuzette RomoMadison WestSkylar Wise
Daniel Clyde Cummings and Ryan HuberConstitution Party
Jake BeesonJaymie BeesonBecca HansenJacob HansenKaren HuberRyan HuberDeric PowellKristin PowellChad PriorDiana PriorLuis Ruiz
President R. Boddie and Eric StonehamIndependent
La Deysha BlackDonshadre DukesTravis FromanMaria GuevaraMaria Elena LechagaOmar LeyvaEma MaldonadoRebecca MartinezLynette TucciStephanie ValenzuelaAndrea Varela
Joe Biden and Kamala HarrisDemocratic Party
Donald Trump and Mike PenceRepublican Party
Jo Jorgensen and Spike CohenLibertarian Party
Howie Hawkins and Angela WalkerGreen Party
Jade Simmons and Claudeliah J. RozeIndependent
Gloria La Riva and Sunil FreemanSocialism and Liberation
Daniel Clyde Cummings and Ryan HuberConstitution Party
President R. Boddie and Eric StonehamIndependent
Steve GallardoLuis Alberto HerediaConstance JacksonSandra D. KennedyStephen Roe LewisJames McLaughlinJonathan NezNed NorrisRegina RomeroFelecia RotelliniFred Yamashita
Tyler BowyerNancy CottleJake HoffmanAnthony T. KernJames LamonRobert MontgomerySamuel I. MoorheadLoraine B. PellegrinoGreg SafstenKelli WardMichael Ward
Timothy BenjaminHoward BlitzJeffery T. DanielsAlejandro FloresBarry HessMichael KielskyDoug MarksRobert A. Pepiton IIBrandon SlaytonScott StewardJonathan Winder
Cara BissellCeleste M. CastorenaCesario C. CastorenaAngela DixonAntonio MacíasLinda MacíasBetty J. McMurrinElisa OleaEduardo QuintanaRichard ScottAngel Torres
Celeslie L. BoyerSydney CurtisMaryann EhmannValerie GrapentineJared KorthJoAnna LangstonErica MartinKia McMurrayDennis McMurray Jr.Brittany SanchezVeronica Scheier
Jahaziel FelixPedro GomezKealy HartleyAlexia IsaisDylan JacobsonSteven LevinDaniel LopezJoseph MuellerLuzette RomoMadison WestSkylar Wise
Jake BeesonJaymie BeesonBecca HansenJacob HansenKaren HuberRyan HuberDeric PowellKristin PowellChad PriorDiana PriorLuis Ruiz
La Deysha BlackDonshadre DukesTravis FromanMaria GuevaraMaria Elena LechagaOmar LeyvaEma MaldonadoRebecca MartinezLynette TucciStephanie ValenzuelaAndrea Varela
2020 United States presidential election in Arizona[168] · General election › Results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
3,387,326
Candidate
100.00%
Votes
N/A
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
mw- ±%
Democratic
Joe BidenKamala Harris
1,672,143
49.36%
+4.82%
Republican
Donald TrumpMike Pence
1,661,686
49.06%
+0.98%
Libertarian
Jo JorgensenSpike Cohen
51,465
1.52%
−2.56%
Green
Howie Hawkins (write-in)Angela Walker (write-in)
1,557
0.05%
−1.27%
Independent
Jade Simmons (write-in)Claudeliah Roze (write-in)
236
0.01%
N/A
Socialism and Liberation
Gloria La Riva (write-in)Sunil Freeman (write-in)
190
0.01%
N/A
Constitution
Daniel Clyde Cummings (write-in)Ryan Huber (write-in)
36
0.00%
−0.04%
Independent
President R. Boddie (write-in)Eric Stoneham (write-in)
13
0.00%
N/A
Total votes
3,387,326
100.00%
N/A
· General election › Results › By county
#
#
County
#
Joe BidenDemocratic
%
Joe BidenDemocratic
#
Donald TrumpRepublican
%
Donald TrumpRepublican
#
Various candidatesOther parties
%
Various candidatesOther parties
#
Margin
%
Apache
Apache
County
Apache
Joe BidenDemocratic
23,293
Joe BidenDemocratic
66.05%
Donald TrumpRepublican
11,442
Donald TrumpRepublican
32.44%
Various candidatesOther parties
533
Various candidatesOther parties
1.51%
Margin
11,851
Margin
33.61%
Total
35,268
Cochise
Cochise
County
Cochise
Joe BidenDemocratic
23,732
Joe BidenDemocratic
39.12%
Donald TrumpRepublican
35,557
Donald TrumpRepublican
58.61%
Various candidatesOther parties
1,376
Various candidatesOther parties
2.27%
Margin
−11,825
Margin
−19.49%
Total
60,665
Coconino
Coconino
County
Coconino
Joe BidenDemocratic
44,698
Joe BidenDemocratic
60.70%
Donald TrumpRepublican
27,052
Donald TrumpRepublican
36.74%
Various candidatesOther parties
1,882
Various candidatesOther parties
2.56%
Margin
17,646
Margin
23.96%
Total
73,632
Gila
Gila
County
Gila
Joe BidenDemocratic
8,943
Joe BidenDemocratic
32.24%
Donald TrumpRepublican
18,377
Donald TrumpRepublican
66.26%
Various candidatesOther parties
415
Various candidatesOther parties
1.50%
Margin
−9,434
Margin
−34.02%
Total
27,735
Graham
Graham
County
Graham
Joe BidenDemocratic
4,034
Joe BidenDemocratic
26.84%
Donald TrumpRepublican
10,749
Donald TrumpRepublican
71.52%
Various candidatesOther parties
246
Various candidatesOther parties
1.64%
Margin
−6,715
Margin
−44.68%
Total
15,029
Greenlee
Greenlee
County
Greenlee
Joe BidenDemocratic
1,182
Joe BidenDemocratic
31.98%
Donald TrumpRepublican
2,433
Donald TrumpRepublican
65.83%
Various candidatesOther parties
81
Various candidatesOther parties
2.19%
Margin
−1,251
Margin
−33.85%
Total
3,696
La Paz
La Paz
County
La Paz
Joe BidenDemocratic
2,236
Joe BidenDemocratic
29.93%
Donald TrumpRepublican
5,129
Donald TrumpRepublican
68.64%
Various candidatesOther parties
107
Various candidatesOther parties
1.43%
Margin
−2,893
Margin
−38.71%
Total
7,472
Maricopa
Maricopa
County
Maricopa
Joe BidenDemocratic
1,040,774
Joe BidenDemocratic
50.13%
Donald TrumpRepublican
995,665
Donald TrumpRepublican
47.96%
Various candidatesOther parties
39,647
Various candidatesOther parties
1.91%
Margin
45,109
Margin
2.17%
Total
2,076,086
Mohave
Mohave
County
Mohave
Joe BidenDemocratic
24,831
Joe BidenDemocratic
23.67%
Donald TrumpRepublican
78,535
Donald TrumpRepublican
74.88%
Various candidatesOther parties
1,517
Various candidatesOther parties
1.45%
Margin
−53,704
Margin
−51.21%
Total
104,883
Navajo
Navajo
County
Navajo
Joe BidenDemocratic
23,383
Joe BidenDemocratic
45.03%
Donald TrumpRepublican
27,657
Donald TrumpRepublican
53.26%
Various candidatesOther parties
890
Various candidatesOther parties
1.71%
Margin
−4,274
Margin
−8.23%
Total
51,930
Pima
Pima
County
Pima
Joe BidenDemocratic
304,981
Joe BidenDemocratic
58.41%
Donald TrumpRepublican
207,758
Donald TrumpRepublican
39.79%
Various candidatesOther parties
9,435
Various candidatesOther parties
1.81%
Margin
97,223
Margin
18.62%
Total
522,174
Pinal
Pinal
County
Pinal
Joe BidenDemocratic
75,106
Joe BidenDemocratic
40.48%
Donald TrumpRepublican
107,077
Donald TrumpRepublican
57.72%
Various candidatesOther parties
3,342
Various candidatesOther parties
1.80%
Margin
−31,971
Margin
−17.24%
Total
185,525
Santa Cruz
Santa Cruz
County
Santa Cruz
Joe BidenDemocratic
13,138
Joe BidenDemocratic
67.10%
Donald TrumpRepublican
6,194
Donald TrumpRepublican
31.63%
Various candidatesOther parties
249
Various candidatesOther parties
1.27%
Margin
6,944
Margin
35.47%
Total
19,581
Yavapai
Yavapai
County
Yavapai
Joe BidenDemocratic
49,602
Joe BidenDemocratic
34.53%
Donald TrumpRepublican
91,527
Donald TrumpRepublican
63.72%
Various candidatesOther parties
2,511
Various candidatesOther parties
1.75%
Margin
−41,925
Margin
−29.19%
Total
143,640
Yuma
Yuma
County
Yuma
Joe BidenDemocratic
32,210
Joe BidenDemocratic
45.97%
Donald TrumpRepublican
36,534
Donald TrumpRepublican
52.14%
Various candidatesOther parties
1,328
Various candidatesOther parties
1.90%
Margin
−4,324
Margin
−6.17%
Total
70,072
Totals
Totals
County
Totals
Joe BidenDemocratic
1,672,143
Joe BidenDemocratic
49.22%
Donald TrumpRepublican
1,661,686
Donald TrumpRepublican
48.91%
Various candidatesOther parties
63,559
Various candidatesOther parties
1.87%
Margin
10,457
Margin
0.31%
Total
3,397,388
County
Joe BidenDemocratic
Donald TrumpRepublican
Various candidatesOther parties
Margin
Total
#
%
#
%
#
%
#
%
Apache
23,293
66.05%
11,442
32.44%
533
1.51%
11,851
33.61%
35,268
Cochise
23,732
39.12%
35,557
58.61%
1,376
2.27%
−11,825
−19.49%
60,665
Coconino
44,698
60.70%
27,052
36.74%
1,882
2.56%
17,646
23.96%
73,632
Gila
8,943
32.24%
18,377
66.26%
415
1.50%
−9,434
−34.02%
27,735
Graham
4,034
26.84%
10,749
71.52%
246
1.64%
−6,715
−44.68%
15,029
Greenlee
1,182
31.98%
2,433
65.83%
81
2.19%
−1,251
−33.85%
3,696
La Paz
2,236
29.93%
5,129
68.64%
107
1.43%
−2,893
−38.71%
7,472
Maricopa
1,040,774
50.13%
995,665
47.96%
39,647
1.91%
45,109
2.17%
2,076,086
Mohave
24,831
23.67%
78,535
74.88%
1,517
1.45%
−53,704
−51.21%
104,883
Navajo
23,383
45.03%
27,657
53.26%
890
1.71%
−4,274
−8.23%
51,930
Pima
304,981
58.41%
207,758
39.79%
9,435
1.81%
97,223
18.62%
522,174
Pinal
75,106
40.48%
107,077
57.72%
3,342
1.80%
−31,971
−17.24%
185,525
Santa Cruz
13,138
67.10%
6,194
31.63%
249
1.27%
6,944
35.47%
19,581
Yavapai
49,602
34.53%
91,527
63.72%
2,511
1.75%
−41,925
−29.19%
143,640
Yuma
32,210
45.97%
36,534
52.14%
1,328
1.90%
−4,324
−6.17%
70,072
Totals
1,672,143
49.22%
1,661,686
48.91%
63,559
1.87%
10,457
0.31%
3,397,388
· General election › Results › By congressional district
1st
1st
District
1st
Joe BidenDemocratic
50%
Donald TrumpRepublican
48%
Representative
Tom O'Halleran
2nd
2nd
District
2nd
Joe BidenDemocratic
55%
Donald TrumpRepublican
44%
Representative
Ann Kirkpatrick
3rd
3rd
District
3rd
Joe BidenDemocratic
63%
Donald TrumpRepublican
36%
Representative
Raúl Grijalva
4th
4th
District
4th
Joe BidenDemocratic
31%
Donald TrumpRepublican
68%
Representative
Paul Gosar
5th
5th
District
5th
Joe BidenDemocratic
42%
Donald TrumpRepublican
56%
Representative
Andy Biggs
6th
6th
District
6th
Joe BidenDemocratic
47%
Donald TrumpRepublican
51%
Representative
David Schweikert
7th
7th
District
7th
Joe BidenDemocratic
74%
Donald TrumpRepublican
25%
Representative
Ruben Gallego
8th
8th
District
8th
Joe BidenDemocratic
41%
Donald TrumpRepublican
57%
Representative
Debbie Lesko
9th
9th
District
9th
Joe BidenDemocratic
61%
Donald TrumpRepublican
37%
Representative
Greg Stanton
District
Joe BidenDemocratic
Donald TrumpRepublican
Representative
1st
50%
48%
Tom O'Halleran
2nd
55%
44%
Ann Kirkpatrick
3rd
63%
36%
Raúl Grijalva
4th
31%
68%
Paul Gosar
5th
42%
56%
Andy Biggs
6th
47%
51%
David Schweikert
7th
74%
25%
Ruben Gallego
8th
41%
57%
Debbie Lesko
9th
61%
37%
Greg Stanton
· Analysis › Exit polls › Edison
Demographic subgroup
Demographic subgroup
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Demographic subgroup
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Biden
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Trump
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
% of total vote
Total vote
Total vote
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Total vote
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
49.36
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
49.06
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
99
Ideology
Ideology
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Ideology
Liberals
Liberals
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Liberals
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
93
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
6
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
22
Moderates
Moderates
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Moderates
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
67
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
32
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
36
Conservatives
Conservatives
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Conservatives
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
11
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
87
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
42
Party
Party
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Party
Democrats
Democrats
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Democrats
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
96
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
3
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
26
Republicans
Republicans
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Republicans
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
9
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
90
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
35
Independents
Independents
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Independents
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
53
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
44
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
39
Gender
Gender
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Gender
Men
Men
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Men
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
48
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
50
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
48
Women
Women
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Women
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
51
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
48
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
52
Race/ethnicity
Race/ethnicity
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Race/ethnicity
White
White
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
White
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
46
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
52
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
74
Black
Black
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Black
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
–
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
–
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
2
Latino
Latino
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Latino
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
61
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
37
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
19
Asian
Asian
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Asian
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
–
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
–
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
2
Other
Other
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Other
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
–
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
–
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
4
Age
Age
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Age
18–29 years old
18–29 years old
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
18–29 years old
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
63
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
32
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
16
30–44 years old
30–44 years old
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
30–44 years old
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
47
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
51
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
20
45–64 years old
45–64 years old
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
45–64 years old
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
44
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
55
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
32
65 and older
65 and older
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
65 and older
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
49
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
50
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
31
Sexual orientation
Sexual orientation
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Sexual orientation
LGBT
LGBT
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
LGBT
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
68
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
29
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
8
Heterosexual
Heterosexual
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Heterosexual
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
48
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
51
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
92
Education
Education
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Education
Never attended college
Never attended college
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Never attended college
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
49
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
51
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
16
Some college education
Some college education
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Some college education
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
46
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
51
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
28
Associate degree
Associate degree
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Associate degree
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
46
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
52
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
14
Bachelor's degree
Bachelor's degree
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Bachelor's degree
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
49
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
50
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
25
Postgraduate degree
Postgraduate degree
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Postgraduate degree
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
60
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
40
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
16
Issue regarded as most important
Issue regarded as most important
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Issue regarded as most important
Racial inequality
Racial inequality
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Racial inequality
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
93
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
6
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
12
Coronavirus
Coronavirus
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Coronavirus
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
95
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
4
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
21
Economy
Economy
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Economy
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
8
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
91
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
34
Crime and safety
Crime and safety
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Crime and safety
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
11
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
87
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
12
Health care
Health care
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Health care
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
78
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
20
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
14
Region
Region
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Region
Maricopa County
Maricopa County
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Maricopa County
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
50
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
48
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
61
Pima County
Pima County
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Pima County
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
59
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
40
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
15
Rest of state
Rest of state
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Rest of state
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
41
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
57
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
24
Area type
Area type
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Area type
Urban
Urban
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Urban
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
56
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
42
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
46
Suburban
Suburban
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Suburban
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
45
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
55
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
46
Rural
Rural
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Rural
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
41
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
55
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
9
Family's financial situation today
Family's financial situation today
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Family's financial situation today
Better than four years ago
Better than four years ago
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Better than four years ago
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
15
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
83
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
44
Worse than four years ago
Worse than four years ago
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Worse than four years ago
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
91
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
8
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
15
About the same
About the same
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
About the same
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
71
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
27
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
41
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Demographic subgroup
Biden
Trump
% of total vote
Total vote
49.36
49.06
99
Ideology
Liberals
93
6
22
Moderates
67
32
36
Conservatives
11
87
42
Party
Democrats
96
3
26
Republicans
9
90
35
Independents
53
44
39
Gender
Men
48
50
48
Women
51
48
52
Race/ethnicity
White
46
52
74
Black
–
–
2
Latino
61
37
19
Asian
–
–
2
Other
–
–
4
Age
18–29 years old
63
32
16
30–44 years old
47
51
20
45–64 years old
44
55
32
65 and older
49
50
31
Sexual orientation
LGBT
68
29
8
Heterosexual
48
51
92
Education
Never attended college
49
51
16
Some college education
46
51
28
Associate degree
46
52
14
Bachelor's degree
49
50
25
Postgraduate degree
60
40
16
Issue regarded as most important
Racial inequality
93
6
12
Coronavirus
95
4
21
Economy
8
91
34
Crime and safety
11
87
12
Health care
78
20
14
Region
Maricopa County
50
48
61
Pima County
59
40
15
Rest of state
41
57
24
Area type
Urban
56
42
46
Suburban
45
55
46
Rural
41
55
9
Family's financial situation today
Better than four years ago
15
83
44
· Analysis › Exit polls › Associated Press
Demographic subgroup
Demographic subgroup
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Demographic subgroup
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Biden
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Trump
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Jorgensen
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
% of total vote
Total vote
Total vote
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Total vote
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
49.36
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
49.06
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
1.52
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
100
Ideology
Ideology
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Ideology
Liberals
Liberals
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Liberals
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
92
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
8
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
<1
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
28
Moderates
Moderates
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Moderates
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
59
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
37
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
3
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
33
Conservatives
Conservatives
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Conservatives
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
10
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
89
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
1
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
39
Party
Party
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Party
Democrats or lean Democrat
Democrats or lean Democrat
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Democrats or lean Democrat
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
96
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
3
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
1
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
43
Republicans or lean Republican
Republicans or lean Republican
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Republicans or lean Republican
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
9
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
90
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
1
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
51
Independents
Independents
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Independents
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
58
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
33
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
8
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
6
Type of vote
Type of vote
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Type of vote
Election Day
Election Day
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Election Day
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
33
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
66
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
1
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
15
Early in-person
Early in-person
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Early in-person
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
38
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
61
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
1
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
20
Mail
Mail
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Mail
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
56
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
42
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
2
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
66
Vote in 2016
Vote in 2016
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Vote in 2016
Hillary Clinton
Hillary Clinton
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Hillary Clinton
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
95
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
5
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
<1
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
36
Donald Trump
Donald Trump
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Donald Trump
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
7
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
92
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
1
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
43
Someone else
Someone else
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Someone else
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
58
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
27
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
14
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
6
Did not vote
Did not vote
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Did not vote
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
57
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
41
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
1
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
15
Gender
Gender
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Gender
Men
Men
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Men
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
46
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
52
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
2
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
48
Women
Women
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Women
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
52
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
47
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
1
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
52
Race/ethnicity
Race/ethnicity
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Race/ethnicity
White
White
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
White
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
45
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
53
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
2
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
71
Black
Black
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Black
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
–
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
–
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
–
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
4
Latino
Latino
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Latino
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
59
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
40
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
1
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
18
Other
Other
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Other
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
49
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
49
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
2
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
8
Age
Age
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Age
18–24 years old
18–24 years old
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
18–24 years old
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
63
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
33
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
4
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
7
25–29 years old
25–29 years old
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
25–29 years old
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
55
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
43
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
2
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
6
30–39 years old
30–39 years old
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
30–39 years old
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
56
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
43
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
1
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
14
40–49 years old
40–49 years old
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
40–49 years old
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
49
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
48
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
2
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
14
50–64 years old
50–64 years old
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
50–64 years old
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
45
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
54
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
1
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
29
65 and older
65 and older
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
65 and older
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
46
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
53
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
1
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
30
Religion
Religion
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Religion
Protestant
Protestant
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Protestant
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
35
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
64
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
1
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
21
Catholic
Catholic
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Catholic
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
51
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
48
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
1
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
22
Mormon
Mormon
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Mormon
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
18
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
80
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
2
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
4
Other Christian
Other Christian
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Other Christian
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
33
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
66
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
1
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
17
Jewish
Jewish
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Jewish
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
68
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
30
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
2
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
3
Muslim
Muslim
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Muslim
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
–
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
–
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
–
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
1
Something else
Something else
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Something else
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
58
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
38
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
3
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
7
None
None
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
None
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
71
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
27
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
2
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
26
Marital status
Marital status
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Marital status
Single or never married
Single or never married
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Single or never married
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
59
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
40
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
1
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
21
Married
Married
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Married
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
43
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
55
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
2
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
58
Separated
Separated
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Separated
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
–
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
–
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
–
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
<1
Divorced
Divorced
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Divorced
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
50
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
49
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
1
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
15
Widowed
Widowed
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Widowed
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
–
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
–
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
–
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
6
Sexual orientation
Sexual orientation
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Sexual orientation
LGBT
LGBT
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
LGBT
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
70
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
27
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
2
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
8
Heterosexual
Heterosexual
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Heterosexual
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
45
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
53
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
1
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
92
Education
Education
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Education
High school or less
High school or less
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
High school or less
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
49
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
50
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
1
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
24
Some college education or associate degree
Some college education or associate degree
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Some college education or associate degree
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
47
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
51
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
2
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
41
College graduate
College graduate
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
College graduate
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
52
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
46
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
1
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
23
Postgraduate degree
Postgraduate degree
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Postgraduate degree
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
54
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
45
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
1
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
13
Total household income (2019)
Total household income (2019)
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Total household income (2019)
Under $25,000
Under $25,000
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Under $25,000
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
50
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
48
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
2
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
13
$25,000–$49,999
$25,000–$49,999
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
$25,000–$49,999
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
52
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
46
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
1
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
25
$50,000–$74,999
$50,000–$74,999
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
$50,000–$74,999
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
54
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
45
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
1
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
21
$75,000–$99,999
$75,000–$99,999
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
$75,000–$99,999
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
47
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
52
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
1
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
17
Over $100,000
Over $100,000
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Over $100,000
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
44
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
53
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
2
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
24
Union households
Union households
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Union households
Yes
Yes
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Yes
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
52
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
46
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
1
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
10
No
No
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
No
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
49
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
50
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
1
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
90
Veteran households
Veteran households
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Veteran households
Veteran, self
Veteran, self
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Veteran, self
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
48
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
51
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
1
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
14
Veteran household
Veteran household
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Veteran household
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
46
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
54
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
<1
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
19
No
No
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
No
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
53
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
45
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
2
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
67
Issue regarded as most important
Issue regarded as most important
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Issue regarded as most important
Economy and jobs
Economy and jobs
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Economy and jobs
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
14
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
84
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
2
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
31
Healthcare
Healthcare
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Healthcare
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
64
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
34
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
2
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
8
Immigration
Immigration
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Immigration
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
13
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
85
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
2
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
5
Abortion
Abortion
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Abortion
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
–
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
–
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
–
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
2
Law enforcement
Law enforcement
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Law enforcement
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
17
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
82
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
1
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
5
Climate change
Climate change
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Climate change
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
86
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
10
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
3
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
5
Foreign policy
Foreign policy
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Foreign policy
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
–
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
–
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
–
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
1
COVID-19 pandemic
COVID-19 pandemic
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
COVID-19 pandemic
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
76
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
23
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
1
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
39
Racism
Racism
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Racism
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
85
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
15
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
<1
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
5
Area type
Area type
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Area type
Urban
Urban
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Urban
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
59
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
40
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
1
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
26
Suburban
Suburban
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Suburban
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
48
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
51
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
1
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
50
Small town
Small town
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Small town
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
41
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
58
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
1
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
13
Rural
Rural
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Rural
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
43
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
55
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
2
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
10
Family's financial situation today
Family's financial situation today
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Family's financial situation today
Getting ahead
Getting ahead
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Getting ahead
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
23
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
77
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
<1
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
13
Holding steady
Holding steady
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Holding steady
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
50
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
47
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
2
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
70
Falling behind
Falling behind
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Falling behind
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
64
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
33
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
2
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
17
2020 presidential election in Arizona by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)
Demographic subgroup
Biden
Trump
Jorgensen
% of total vote
Total vote
49.36
49.06
1.52
100
Ideology
Liberals
92
8
<1
28
Moderates
59
37
3
33
Conservatives
10
89
1
39
Party
Democrats or lean Democrat
96
3
1
43
Republicans or lean Republican
9
90
1
51
Independents
58
33
8
6
Type of vote
Election Day
33
66
1
15
Early in-person
38
61
1
20
Mail
56
42
2
66
Vote in 2016
Hillary Clinton
95
5
<1
36
Donald Trump
7
92
1
43
Someone else
58
27
14
6
Did not vote
57
41
1
15
Gender
Men
46
52
2
48
Women
52
47
1
52
Race/ethnicity
White
45
53
2
71
Black
–
–
–
4
Latino
59
40
1
18
Other
49
49
2
8
Age
18–24 years old
63
33
4
7
25–29 years old
55
43
2
6
30–39 years old
56
43
1
14
40–49 years old
49
48
2
14
50–64 years old
45
54
1
29
65 and older
46
53
1
30
Religion
Protestant
35
64
1
21
Catholic
51
48
1
22
Mormon
18
80
2
4
Other Christian
33
66
1
17
Jewish
68
30
2
3
Muslim
–
–
–
1
Something else
58
38
3
7
None
71
27
2
26
Marital status
Single or never married
59
40
1
21
Married
43
55
2
58
Separated
–
–
–
<1
Divorced
50
49
1
15
Widowed
–
–
–
6

References

  1. The Justice Collaborative Project is an affiliate of the Tides Centre, a liberal fiscal sponsorship provider
  2. The Center for American Greatness is a pro-Trump organization
  3. This poll's sponsor exclusively supports Democratic candidates
  4. The American Action Forum is a 501 organization which usually supports Republican candidates
  5. Smart and Safe Arizona endorsed Proposition 207 prior to this poll's sampling period
  6. Poll sponsored by the Defend Students Action Fund.
  7. Heritage Action is the sister organization of the Heritage Foundation, which exclusively endorses Republican candidates
  8. AFSCME endorsed Biden prior to this poll's sampling period
  9. This poll's sponsor is the American Principles Project, a 501(c)(4) organization that supports the Republican Party.
  10. Poll sponsored by the McSally campaign
  11. Poll sponsored by 314 Action
  12. Total of candidates officially reported, of 613,355 ballots cast.
  13. Percentages reported by the Arizona Secretary of State do not add up to 100. This may be due to the fact that candidates
  14. Arizona was John McCain's home state.
  15. CBS News' presidential election ratings uniquely do not contain a category for Safe/Solid races.
  16. NPR's presidential election ratings uniquely do not contain a category for Safe/Solid races.
  17. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  18. Key:A – all adultsRV – registered votersLV – likely votersV – unclear
  19. Standard VI response
  20. "Some other candidate" and West (B) with 1%; would not vote with 0%
  21. If only Biden, Trump and "some other candidate" were available
  22. "Some other candidate" with 2%; would not vote with 0%
  23. Results considering those who lean towards a given candidate among those initially predisposed towards abstention, indec
  24. "Some other candidate" with 2%
  25. Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  26. "Other candidate or write-in" with 0%
  27. "Other" with 1.5%
  28. "Someone else" with 6%
  29. "Refused" with 5%; "Other" with 1%
  30. "Someone else" with 1%; would not vote with 0%
  31. Includes "Refused"
  32. "None of these" with 1%; "Other" with no voters
  33. "Some other candidate" with 3%
  34. "Someone else" with 1.7%
  35. "Some other candidate" with 2%; West (B) with 1%; would not vote with 0%
  36. "Some other candidate" with 3%; would not vote with 0%
  37. "Refused" with 1%
  38. "Someone else" with 2%
  39. With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  40. "Other" with 1%; "Refused" with 0%
  41. "Some other candidate" with 2%; West (B) and would not vote with 0%
  42. Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
  43. Results generated with high Democratic turnout model
  44. Results generated with high Republican turnout model
  45. "Refused" with 4%; "Other" with 1%
  46. "Someone else/third party" with 3%
  47. "Some other candidate" and would not vote with 1%; West (B) with 0%
  48. "Other candidate" with 1%; "No one" with no voters
  49. With a likely voter turnout model featuring high turnout
  50. With a likely voter turnout model featuring low turnout
  51. "Refused" with 0%
  52. If the only candidates were Biden and Trump
  53. "Another Third Party/Write-in" with 1%
  54. "Refused" with 3%
  55. "Some other candidate" with 3%; "Refused" with 2%
  56. "Another candidate" with 2%
  57. "Neither" with 2%; "other" with 0%; would not vote with no voters
  58. "No one" with 1%; "Other candidate" with 0%
  59. With a likely voter turnout model featuring higher turnout than in the 2016 presidential election
  60. With a likely voter turnout model featuring lower turnout than in the 2016 presidential election
  61. "Someone else" with 2%; would not vote with 1%; "Refused" with 0%
  62. Would not vote with 1%
  63. Overlapping sample with the previous Morning Consult poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  64. "Other/not sure" with 6%
  65. West (B) and "Another Third Party/Write-in" with 0%
  66. "Other" with 1%
  67. "Other" with 2%; would not vote with 1%
  68. Listed as Jacob Hornberger (L)
  69. West (B) with 2%; "Another third party/write-in" with 1%
  70. "Another Party Candidate" with 1%
  71. Not yet released
  72. "Other" with 1%; "Neither" with 3%
  73. "Someone else/third party" with 4%; would not vote with 0%
  74. "Other" with 3.1%; "refused" with 0.2%
  75. "other" with 2%
  76. "Another candidate" and would not vote with 2%
  77. "Someone else" with 5%
  78. "Libertarian Party candidate/Green Party candidate" with 5%
  79. "Other" with 5%; would not vote with 1%
  80. "Some other candidate" with 4.3%
  81. "Third party/write-in" with 3%
  82. The Constitution Party did not have ballot access in Arizona. Daniel Clyde Cummings and Ryan Huber registered as write-i
  83. The Independent
    https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-elections-key-dates-midterms-2020-presidential-house-congress-senate-a8472821.html
  84. National Archives and Records Administration
    https://www.archives.gov/federal-register/electoral-college/allocation.html
  85. United States Census Bureau
    https://www.census.gov/data/datasets/time-series/demo/popest/2010s-counties-total.html
  86. The New York Times
    https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/09/us/arizona-election-battleground-state-counties.html
  87. Newsweek
    https://www.newsweek.com/arizona-joe-biden-donald-trump-truman-maricopa-county-1547143
  88. Arizona Secretary of State
    https://apps.azsos.gov/election/2020/2020_general_state_canvass.pdf
  89. Reuters
    https://www.reuters.com/world/us/arizona-republicans-release-findings-widely-panned-election-audit-2021-09-24/
  90. Associated Press News
    https://apnews.com/article/arizona-fake-electors-charges-2020-election-9da5a7e58814ed55ceea1ca55401af85
  91. "Arizona GOP won't hold 2020 presidential preference election"
    https://ktar.com/story/2734796/arizona-gop-wont-hold-2020-presidential-preference-election/
  92. The Green Papers
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  249. "Arizona Certificate of Ascertainment 2020"
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  250. Arizona Secretary of State
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  251. STATE OF ARIZONA OFFICIAL CANVASS: 2020 General Election - Nov 03, 2020
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  252. The Republican
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  253. "Dra 2020"
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  255. Justia Law
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  256. 270toWin
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  257. The Arizona Republic
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  258. The New York Times
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  259. Associated Press
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  260. NBC News
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  262. Business Insider
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  263. 12News
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  264. CNN
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  265. NPR
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  266. The New York Times
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  267. CNN
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  268. United States Census Bureau
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  269. United States Census Bureau
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  271. United States Census Bureau
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  272. Chicago Monitor
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  273. The New York Times
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  274. "Fox News Poll: Biden tops Trump among likely voters in key states"
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  275. "Senator Rankings"
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  276. The New York Times
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  277. "Arizona 2020 President exit polls"
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  278. The New York Times
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  279. Chicago Tribune
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  280. Twitter
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  281. Associated Press
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  282. Politico
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  283. The Arizona Republic
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  284. The New York Times
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  285. The Washington Post
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  286. Slate
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  287. NPR
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  288. Intelligencer
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  289. FiveThirtyEight
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  290. "We just got more than 70,000 votes in Maricopa County, Arizona, and Trump won them just 53% to 44%. We estimate there are about 171,000 ballots left to be counted in Arizona. If so, Trump would need to win 59% of them to overtake Biden"
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  291. Today Show
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  292. Forbes
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  293. "Decision Desk HQ Projects Biden (D) Has Won The State Of AZ And Its 11 Electoral Votes Race Called At 10:29 PM EST All Results"
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  294. "NBC News projects Joe Biden the winner of Arizona's 11 electoral votes. https://t.co/aU989NKymG"
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  295. "CNN Projection: President-elect Joe Biden wins Arizona, widening his electoral vote lead over Donald Trump"
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  296. "The New York Times and CNN have both called Arizona for Biden, bringing his total to 290 electoral votes. Georgia and North Carolina remain. https://t.co/IQINLGkvLs https://t.co/TjuSqfDMLT"
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  300. Office of the Clerk, U.S. House of Representatives
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  303. New York Daily News
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  304. CNN
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  305. The Hill
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  306. Arizona Republic
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  307. Arizona Republic
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  308. Metabunk
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  309. "Snell & Wilmer withdraws from election lawsuit as Trump contests Arizona results"
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  310. The Independent
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  311. Fox Business
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  312. CNBC
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  313. "Trump campaign drops Arizona lawsuit requesting review of ballots"
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  315. "MARICOPA COUNTY, ARIZONA GENERAL ELECTION – NOVEMBER 3, 2020 HAND COUNT/AUDIT REPORT"
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  316. Maricopa County, AZ
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  317. "QUARTERLY REPORT January 1 - March 31, 2021"
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  318. FOX 10 Phoenix
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  319. USA Today
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  321. Associated Press News
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  322. BBC News
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  323. "Arizona Republicans worry about consequences from election audit"
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  324. "Yes, a guy from the insurrection is handling your ballot. Thank the Arizona GOP for that"
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  325. Arizona Mirror
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  326. The New York Times
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  327. Associated Press News
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  328. "Inside Arizona's election audit, GOP fraud fantasies live on"
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  329. "Arizona audit: Everything you need to know"
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  332. Arizona Mirror
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  333. The Independent
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  334. "Backers of Maricopa County election audit claim they can overturn results"
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  335. "Arizona judge suspends Republican vote 'audit' being conducted by Cyber Ninjas, a Florida company led by a pro-Trump conspiracy theorist"
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  336. "Democrats won't put up $1M to pause Arizona election audit"
    https://www.fox10phoenix.com/news/democrats-wont-put-up-1m-to-pause-arizona-election-audit1
  337. "Arizona Democrats, GOP settle over 2020 ballot review, but audit will continue"
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  340. The Washington Post
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  342. "Justice Department raises concerns with Arizona 'audit'"
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  343. The New York Times
    https://www.nytimes.com/2021/05/09/us/arizona-vote-count-republicans.html
  344. "Audit update: Arizona Senate-ordered audit of Maricopa County's presidential election ballot will stop for a week"
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  345. "Arizona GOP-Led Election Audit by Cyber Ninjas Probed by Judge"
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  347. Star Tribune
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  348. The New York Times
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  349. The Washington Times
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  350. conservativetreehouse.com
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  353. Associated Press News
    https://apnews.com/article/donald-trump-arizona-election-recounts-elections-election-2020-316be3604cae983781e413d41253656d
  354. CNN
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  355. The Arizona Republic
    https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/elections/2021/05/19/arizona-audit-dominion-machines-maricopa-county-unusable-now/5063300001/?gnt-cfr=1
  356. The Washington Post
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  357. The Washington Post
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