-
In December 2018, McSally was appointed by Governor Doug Ducey to fill the vacancy caused by the death of Senator John M
-
Key:A – all adultsRV – registered votersLV – likely votersV – unclear
-
"Some other candidate" with 3%; would not vote with 0%; "Undecided/Refused" with 1%
-
"Refused" and Undecided with 1%; Did not vote with 0%
-
"Other" and Undecided with 1%
-
"Other candidate or write-in" with 0%
-
"Someone else" with 2%
-
"Refused" with 4%; "Other" with 1%; Undecided with 2%
-
"Someone else" and would not vote with 0%; "Undecided/Refused" with 6%
-
"Some other" with 3.5%; "Other" with 7.5%; Undecided with 2%
-
"None of these" and Undecided with 2%; "Other" with 1%
-
"Some other candidate" with 4%; Undecided with 5%
-
Undecided with 6%
-
"Some other candidate" with 2%; would not vote with 0%; Undecided with 3%
-
Undecided with 10%
-
"Refused" with 1%; Undecided with 3%
-
"Someone else" and would not vote with 2%; Undecided with 6%
-
Undecided with 2%
-
"Other" and "Refused" with 0%; Undecided with 3%
-
"Some other candidate" with 3%; would not vote with 0%; "Undecided/Refused" with 2%
-
"Some other candidate" and Undecided with 5%
-
Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
-
Standard VI response
-
"Some other candidate" with 6%; Undecided with 9%
-
Results generated with high Democratic turnout model
-
Results generated with high Republican turnout model
-
"Refused" with 3%; "Other" with 2%; Undecided with 5%
-
"Someone else" with 2%; Undecided with 5%
-
"Some other candidate" and Undecided with 4%; would not vote with 0%
-
"No one" with 1%; "Other" with 0%; Undecided with 4%
-
With a likely voter turnout model featuring higher turnout than in the 2016 presidential election
-
With a likely voter turnout model featuring lower turnout than in the 2016 presidential election
-
"Other" with 3%; Undecided with 4%
-
"Refused" with 0%; Undecided with 5%
-
"Some other candidate" with 4%; would not vote with 0%; "Undecided/Prefer not to answer" with 4%
-
Undecided with 7%
-
Undecided with 4%
-
"Refused" with 2%; "Other" with 1%; Undecided with 4%
-
"Some other candidate" with 1%; "Undecided/Refused" with 6%
-
Would not vote and Undecided with 3%
-
Would not vote with 1%; "Someone else" with 0%; "Undecided/Refused" with 10%
-
Undecided with 5%
-
Overlapping sample with the previous Morning Consult poll, but more information available regarding sample size
-
"Someone else" with 4%; Undecided with 6%
-
"Other" and "Refused" with 2%; Undecided with 7%
-
"Someone else" and Undecided with 5%
-
Undecided with 15%
-
Would not vote with 1%; Undecided with 5%
-
"Neither" with 2%; would not vote with 0%; "other" with no voters; Undecided with 1%
-
Overlapping sample with the previous and subsequent Morning Consult polls, but more information available regarding samp
-
"Not sure/prefer not to answer" with 4%; "Some other candidate" with 3%; would not vote with 1%
-
"Another Third Party/Write-in" with 2%; Undecided with 11%
-
"Other" with 0%; Undecided with 4%
-
Would not vote with 1%; "Someone else" with 0%; "Undecided/Refused" with 7%
-
"Someone else" with 4%; Undecided with 9%
-
"Neither/Another Party" with 4%; "Undecided/Don't know/Refused" with 16%
-
Undecided with 9%
-
"Someone else" with 3%; Undecided with 6%
-
"Refused" with 1%; Undecided with 6%
-
"Someone else" with 0%; Undecided with 7%
-
Would not vote with 1%; Undecided with 3%
-
"Another Third Party/Write-in" with 1%; Undecided with 7%
-
"Someone else" with 4%; Undecided with 7%
-
"Other" and would not vote with 1%; Undecided with 3%
-
"Other" and would not vote with 1%; Undecided with 4%
-
"Third party/write-in" with 1%; Undecided with 11%
-
Would not vote with 2%; Undecided with 6%
-
"Someone else" with 5%; Undecided with 8%
-
"Refused" with 1%; Undecided with 8%
-
"No one" with 10%
-
"None of the above/neither" with 3%; "other" with 0%; Undecided with 4%
-
"Third party/write-in" with 3%; Undecided with 10%
-
"Someone else" with 4%; Undecided with 8%
-
"Other" with 1%; Undecided with 5%
-
"Another candidate" with 6%; Undecided with 5%
-
Undecided with 2%; would not vote with 1%
-
Undecided with 9%; "Someone else" with 3%; would not vote with 0%
-
Undecided with 5%; "Refused" with 1%
-
Undecided with 5.2%; "Other" with 1.8%; "refused" with 0.4%
-
Undecided with 12%
-
Undecided with 3%; "Would not vote" with 0%
-
Undecided with 14%; "Third party/write-in" with 3%
-
Undecided with 14%; "Another candidate" and would not vote with 1%
-
"Someone else" with 4%; unsure with 3%
-
Undecided with 8%; "Other" with 3%; would not vote with 2%
-
"Undecided/refused" with 5.8%; "some other candidate" with 1.8%
-
"Refused" with 1%; Undecided with 7%
-
"Refused" with 0%; Undecided with 9%
-
"Refused" with 0%; Undecided with 13%
-
Undecided with 9%; "Would not vote/would not vote for US Senate" with 2%
-
"Refused" with 1%; Undecided with 10%
-
Undecided with 14%, refused with 2%
-
"Other" with 6%; "Refused" with 0%; Undecided with 4%
-
"Another candidate" with 5%; Undecided with 9%
-
"Undecided/Refused" with 6%
-
Undecided with 13%
-
Undecided with 14%
-
"Neither candidate or other candidate" with 12%
-
"Undecided/Don't know/Refused" with 6%
-
"Other" with 5%; "Refused" with 0%; Undecided with 6%
-
"Undecided/Don't know/Refused" with 14%
-
"Other" with 10%; "Refused" with 0%; Undecided with 7%
-
The Justice Collaborative Project is an affiliate of the Tides Centre, a liberal fiscal sponsorship provider
-
The American Greatness PAC, this poll's sponsor, is pro-Trump.
-
This poll's sponsor, Democrats for Education Reform, exclusively supports Democratic candidates.
-
Poll sponsored by the American Action Network, a conservative advocacy group.
-
Poll sponsored by the Defend Students Action Fund.
-
Poll sponsored by the Human Rights Campaign which has endorsed Biden prior to this poll's sampling period.
-
Poll sponsored by the McSally campaign
-
Poll sponsored by AARP.
-
Heritage Action is the sister organization of the Heritage Foundation, which exclusively endorses Republican candidates
-
This poll's sponsor is the American Principles Project, a 501 that supports the Republican Party.
-
Polling was sponsored by OANN.
-
This poll's sponsor, 314 Action, had endorsed Kelly prior to the sampling period
-
Poll sponsored by the Defend Students Action Fund.
-
Politico
https://www.politico.com/story/2018/08/25/john-mccain-senate-seat-arizona-what-happens-796163 -
Vox
https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2018/8/25/17781526/john-mccain-replacement-arizona-governor-doug-ducey -
Arizona Republic
https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/arizona/2018/12/14/jon-kyl-resign-senate-seat-arizona-john-mccain/2309788002/ -
Arizona Republic
https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/arizona/2018/12/18/martha-mcsally-named-doug-ducey-kyl-mccain-arizona-senate-seat-lost-sinema/2277884002/ -
Sinema defeats McSally in Arizona Senate race – CNN Video
https://www.cnn.com/videos/politics/2018/11/13/arizona-senate-race-kyrsten-sinema-wins-martha-mcsally-concedes-ac360-vpx.cnn -
The Washington Post
https://web.archive.org/web/20200916193232/https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2020/09/16/senate-seats-most-likely-flip-november/ -
ballotpedia.org
https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_Senate_special_election_in_Arizona,_2020_(August_4_Democratic_primary) -
www.ourcampaigns.com
https://www.ourcampaigns.com/ContainerHistory.html?ContainerID=198 -
Fox News
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/jon-kyl-named-to-succeed-john-mccain-in-the-senate/ -
Politico
https://www.politico.com/story/2018/12/18/arizona-governor-to-appoint-mcsally-to-senate-1067921 -
azcentral
https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/arizona/2018/08/24/john-mccain-senate-seat-replacement/954586001 -
"She's Mavericky! What If Jan Brewer Took Over McCain's Senate Seat?"
https://web.archive.org/web/20180830181618/https://www.weeklystandard.com/ethan-epstein/arizona-could-former-governor-jan-brewer-take-over-mccains-senate-seat -
The Hill
https://thehill.com/homenews/state-watch/403725-arizona-governor-faces-pressure-over-mccain-replacement/ -
Washington Examiner
https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/meghan-mccain-would-be-a-great-senate-replacement-for-her-father -
Time
https://time.com/5250551/what-happens-john-mccain-senate-seat/ -
The Hill
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/459152-mcsally-gets-new-primary-challenger/ -
"Kyl: No decision on how long to serve in Senate"
https://www.politico.com/story/2018/11/13/jon-kyl-senate-989697 -
"Martha McSally confirms 2020 Senate run, likely to face Democrat Mark Kelly"
http://ktar.com/story/2503502/martha-mcsally-confirms-2020-senate-run-likely-to-face-democrat-mark-kelly/ -
azsos.gov
https://apps.arizona.vote/electioninfo/elections/2020-primary-election/federal/2439/17/0 -
ABC 15
https://www.abc15.com/news/region-phoenix-metro/central-phoenix/martha-mcsally-picks-up-primary-challenge-from-daniel-mccarthy -
Arizona Capitol Times
https://azcapitoltimes.com/news/2019/09/09/u-s-senate-candidate-sends-racially-charged-texts-to-business-owner/ -
The Green Papers
http://www.thegreenpapers.com/G20/Senate.phtml?v=c&p=REP -
Elect 535
https://web.archive.org/web/20220118140330/https://www.elect535.org/2020/senate/AZSE/Pt-Burton -
FEC
https://docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/forms/S0AZ00392/1381412/ -
"Former Flagstaff teacher Ann Griffin challenges Sen. McSally in Republican primary"
https://azdailysun.com/news/former-flagstaff-teacher-ann-griffin-challenges-sen-mcsally-in-republican/article_8014a7e2-19cd-5e65-af76-b33998994ed0.html -
FEC
https://docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/fecimg/?C00689927 -
The Washington Post
https://www.washingtonpost.com/powerpost/for-arizona-governor-mcsallys-star-dims-as-possible-choice-for-senate-seat/2018/12/13/866f6cc0-ff0c-11e8-ad40-cdfd0e0dd65a_story.html -
"Arpaio sues New York Times, claims column damages 2020 Senate chances"
https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/arizona/2018/10/17/arpaio-sues-new-york-times-claims-column-hurts-2020-senate-chance/1667392002/ -
azcentral
https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/arizona/2019/08/25/joe-arpaio-announces-election-bid-maricopa-county-sheriff/2116916001/ -
"Arizona Gov. Ducey promises to finish term, won't run for Senate in 2020"
http://ktar.com/story/2338497/arizona-gov-ducey-promises-to-finish-term-wont-run-for-senate-in-2020/ -
"With Mark Kelly in the Senate race, will other candidates jump in?"
https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/arizona/2019/02/12/mark-kelly-arizona-senate-race-candidates-martha-mcsally-ruben-gallego/2848580002/ -
CBS News
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/jon-kyl-appointed-to-take-john-mccains-senate-seat-in-arizona/ -
"How Long Will Jon Kyl Serve in the Senate in John McCain's Seat?"
https://heavy.com/news/2018/09/jon-kyl-term-how-long-serve-2020-special-election/ -
Arizona Republic
https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/elections/2019/10/02/sen-martha-mcsally-may-draw-another-gop-primary-challenger-tucson-entrepreneur-blake-masters/3844508002/ -
"Martha McSally loses potential challenger with ties to Peter Thiel"
https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/elections/2020/01/02/martha-mcsally-loses-potential-challenger-ties-peter-thiel-blake-masters/2799870001/ -
HardballTalk
https://web.archive.org/web/20190914052534/https://hispolitica.com/2019/08/13/curt-schilling-flirts-with-2020-congressional-run-in-az/ -
"Fife Symington considering 2020 Senate run"
https://azcapitoltimes.com/news/2018/10/03/fife-symington-considering-2020-senate-run/ -
"Former Arizona Gov. Symington Considering 2020 Senate Run"
https://web.archive.org/web/20181007040048/https://news.azpm.org/p/news-articles/2018/10/5/138568-former-arizona-gov-symington-considering-2020-senate-run/ -
The Washington Post
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/george-w-bush-to-host-virtual-fundraiser-for-republican-senators/2020/06/17/197694e2-b0c5-11ea-856d-5054296735e5_story.html -
The Hill
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/450293-trump-endorses-mcsally-in-arizona-senate-race/ -
KNXV
https://www.abc15.com/news/region-phoenix-metro/central-phoenix/gov-ducey-i-endorsed-sen-mcsally-when-i-appointed-her-and-that-endorsement-stands -
Fox News
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/buzz-aldrin-martha-mcsally-arizona -
"Endorsed Candidates | CWF"
https://www.cwfpac.com/endorsedcandidates -
www.huckpac.com
https://www.huckpac.com/candidates -
"2020 Candidates"
http://maggieslist.org/candidates/2020-candidates -
RJC PAC
https://web.archive.org/web/20200611155035/https://rjcpac.com/ -
"Martha McSally"
https://web.archive.org/web/20200811183350/https://www.sba-list.org/candidate/martha-mcsally -
Arizona Secretary of State
https://web.archive.org/web/20200820011825/https://azsos.gov/sites/default/files/2020.08.17_Final_Signed_Primary_State_Canvass.pdf -
"NASA astronaut Mark Kelly launches Senate campaign"
https://www.cnn.com/2019/02/12/politics/mark-kelly-arizona-senate/index.html -
indiawest.com
https://web.archive.org/web/20190725143654/https://www.indiawest.com/news/global_indian/mohammad-arif-running-for-u-s-senate-seat-from-arizona/article_c70d2412-a72b-11e9-b47e-cbf4c5092196.html -
"Mohammad "Mike Obama" ARIF Candidate for U.S. Senate ARIZONA – 2020"
http://www.arif2020.com -
Ballotpedia
https://ballotpedia.org/Sheila_Bilyeu -
Ballotpedia
https://ballotpedia.org/Juan_Angel_Vasquez_(Arizona) -
azcentral
https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/arizona/2019/03/25/arizona-us-rep-ruben-gallego-wont-run-u-s-senate-seat/3271786002/ -
Daily Kos
https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2019/2/17/1832410/-Here-s-our-ultimate-Democratic-wishlist-for-Senate-in-2020-Who-s-on-yours -
Arizona Republic
https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/arizona/2019/02/08/grant-woods-says-he-wont-run-us-senate-2020/2812905002/ -
CNBC
https://www.cnbc.com/2020/09/25/barack-obama-announces-final-2020-candidate-endorsements.html -
"Kamala Harris Endorsements"
https://medium.com/@KamalaHarris/kamala-harris-endorsements-68f1711e105 -
Politico
https://www.politico.com/news/2020/05/01/amy-klobuchar-launches-campaign-to-aid-senate-house-dems-in-2020-228360 -
"Sen. Sinema joins Senate battle, blasts Sen. McSally as willing to 'say anything to get elected'"
https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/elections/2020/10/03/sinema-sides-mark-kelly-arizona-senate-race-blasts-mcsally/3598212001/ -
314 Action
https://web.archive.org/web/20200404021811/https://www.314actionfund.org/endorsed-candidates -
Brady
https://www.bradyunited.org/press-releases/brady-endorses-mark-kelly-for-us-senate -
"Coalition to Stop Gun Violence Endorses Gun Violence Survivors, Speaker Pelosi, Congressional Allies"
https://web.archive.org/web/20200611051257/https://www.csgv.org/2020-endorsements-press-release/ -
Council for a Livable World
https://livableworld.org/meet-the-candidates/senate-candidates/mark-kelly-for-senate-d-az/ -
Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee
https://www.dscc.org/press-release/dscc-endorses-mark-kelly-in-arizona-senate-campaign/ -
End Citizens United
https://endcitizensunited.org/press-releases/end-citizens-united-endorses-mark-kelly-u-s-senate/ -
Everytown
https://momsdemandaction.org/everytown-for-gun-safety-action-fund-endorses-mark-kelly-for-u-s-senate-in-arizona/ -
feministmajoritypac.org
https://feministmajoritypac.org/endorsements/2020/ -
"HSDA 2020 — High School Democrats of America"
https://web.archive.org/web/20200913084319/https://hsdems.org/hsda2020 -
Human Rights Campaign
https://www.hrc.org/news/hrc-announces-senate-endorsements-in-effort-to-achieve-pro-equality-majorit -
Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs
https://www.jacpac.org/story/18/07/09/meet-2020-candidatesJTA -
League of Conservation Voters
https://www.lcv.org/article/lcv-action-fund-endorses-mark-kelly-senate/ -
NARAL Pro-Choice America
https://www.prochoiceamerica.org/2019/07/15/naral-kelly-endorsement/ -
nowpac.org
https://www.nowpac.org/federal2020 -
The Hill
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/465134-planned-parenthood-backs-dozens-of-house-senate-candidates-in-first-wave-of/ -
Sierra Club
https://www.sierraclubindependentaction.org/endorsements -
"Arizona 2020 Primary Election Candidates"
http://stonewalldemsaz.org/2020primary.htm -
VoteVets.org
https://www.votevets.org/candidates -
The Green Papers
https://www.thegreenpapers.com/G20/AZ -
Politics1
https://politics1.com/az.htm -
Arizona Secretary of State
https://apps.arizona.vote/electioninfo/elections/2020-general-election/federal/2442/18/0 -
FEC
https://www.fec.gov/data/candidate/S8AZ00338/?cycle=2020&election_full=false&tab=about-candidate -
Arizona Secretary of State
https://web.archive.org/web/20200411053613/https://apps.arizona.vote/info/SOI/2020-General-Election/18/0 -
The Cook Political Report
https://cookpolitical.com/ratings/senate-race-ratings/230641 -
Senate Ratings
https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/senate/2020-senate-ratings-october-28-2020 -
Sabato's Crystal Ball
https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2020-senate/ -
Daily Kos Elections
https://elections.dailykos.com/app/elections/2020/office/senate -
"2020 Election Forecast"
https://www.politico.com/2020-election/race-forecasts-and-predictions/senate/ -
"Battle for the Senate 2020"
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/senate/2020_elections_senate_map.html -
"2020 Senate Elections Model"
https://forecast.decisiondeskhq.com/senate -
FiveThirtyEight
https://web.archive.org/web/20200918120501/https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/senate/ -
"Forecasting the US elections"
https://projects.economist.com/us-2020-forecast/senate -
WinRed
https://secure.winred.com/martha-mcsally/nikki-haley -
"Editorial: Election endorsements"
https://www.pinalcentral.com/opinion/our_view/editorial-election-endorsements/article_807c3658-2682-51e4-928b-079ce9a85e10.html -
Serve America PAC
https://serveamericapac.com/serve-america-second-round-endorsements-press-release -
"2020 Endorsements"
https://centeractionfund.org/2020-endorsements/ -
Climate Hawks Vote
http://climatehawksvote.com/candidate/mark-kelly/ -
Equality Arizona
https://www.equalityarizona.org/vote -
J Street PAC
https://donate.jstreetpac.org/candidate/mark-kelly/ -
MoveOn.org
https://candidates.moveon.org/ -
educationvotes.nea.org
https://educationvotes.nea.org/us-senate/ -
nrdcactionfund.org
https://www.nrdcactionfund.org/news/nrdc-action-fund-endorses-14-for-house-senate/ -
uawendorsements.org
http://uawendorsements.org/map/arizona/ -
Arizona Daily Star
https://tucson.com/2020-star-opinion-mark-kelly-for-u-s-senate/article_aaeeddab-fc80-5ce8-939d-d4d7eea00cd8.html -
270 to Win
https://www.270towin.com/2020-senate-polls/arizona/ -
Real Clear Politics
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/senate/az/arizona_senate_mcsally_vs_kelly-6801.html -
Ipsos/Reuters
https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2020-11/topline_reuters_arizona_state_poll_w6_11_2_2020.pdf -
Change Research/CNBC
https://changeresearch.com/post/states-of-play-battleground-wave-17/ -
NBC News/Marist
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/meet-the-press/final-nbc-marist-state-polls-show-close-races-pennsylvania-arizona-n1245775 -
Swayable Archived November 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
https://www.swayable.com/polls/2020-11-02-large.html -
Data for Progress
https://filesforprogress.org/datasets/2020/11/2020-election-polls/toplines/dfp_az_11.1.20.pdf -
Emerson College
https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/super-poll-sunday-toss-ups-in-nevada-and-arizona -
Morning Consult
https://morningconsult.com/form/2020-u-s-election-tracker/ -
Data Orbital Archived November 21, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
https://www.dataorbital.com/the-blog/breaking-in-arizona-presidential-and-us-senate-races-shift-one-day-before-election-day -
Siena College/NYT Upshot
https://int.nyt.com/data/documenttools/az-fl-pa-wi/bc6b622f38350414/full.pdf -
Grand Canyon Battleground Poll
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1QRVDv35P6LM4AyC2CqHfP1ghsxVrN26c_j9yjM-juhE/edit#gid=945181278 -
CNN/SSRS Archived November 22, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
http://cdn.cnn.com/cnn/2020/images/10/31/rel2_az.pdf -
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports
https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2020/arizona_senate_kelly_d_48_mcsally_r_43 -
Gravis Marketing
https://gravismarketing.com/2020-arizona-poll-results/ -
Ipsos/Reutuers
https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2020-10/topline_reuters_arizona_state_poll_w5_10_28_2020.pdf -
Swayable
https://www.swayable.com/polls/2020-10-28.html -
Justice Collaborative Project (D) Archived November 30, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
https://tjcinstitute.com/research/from-president-and-senate-to-county-attorney-and-sheriff-democrats-lead-up-and-down-the-ballot-in-arizona/ -
OH Predictive Insights
https://f.hubspotusercontent40.net/hubfs/7453540/Arizona%20Public%20Opinion%20Pulse%20(AZPOP)%20Toplines%20and%20Crosstabs%20(2).pdf -
Univision/University of Houston/LatinoDecisions/North Star Opinion Research
https://st1.uvnimg.com/33/8f/ed1016da4a5fb16ec7e34cd5568a/univision-crosstabs-october-final.pdf -
Patinkin Research Strategies (D)
https://drive.google.com/file/d/1g6Ib0jZws3rW63PNt0BBr7bOkK9brpZQ/view -
Y2 Analytics
https://www.sltrib.com/news/politics/2020/10/31/trump-up-over-biden-new/ -
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. (R)
https://amgreatness.com/2020/10/23/trump-takes-the-lead-in-az-in-new-poll/ -
Ipsos/Reuters
https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2020-10/topline_reuters_arizona_state_poll_w4_10_21_2020.pdf -
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports
https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2020/arizona_senate_kelly_d_46_mcsally_r_44 -
Change Research/CNBC
https://www.cnbc.com/2020/10/20/voters-want-senate-to-choose-coronavirus-stimulus-over-supreme-court.html -
RMG Research Archived October 22, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
http://politicaliq.com/2020/10/21/az-senate-race-kelly-d-46-mcsally-r-39/ -
Data Orbital Archived October 31, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
https://www.dataorbital.com/the-blog/breaking-in-arizona-presidential-and-us-races-still-tight-two-weeks-out-from-election-day -
YouGov/CBS
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/biden-trump-wisconsin-arizona-opinion-poll-2020-10-17/ -
Ipsos/Reuters
https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2020-10/topline_reuters_arizona_state_poll_w3_10_14_2020_1.pdf -
Monmouth University
https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/documents/monmouthpoll_az_101520.pdf/ -
Trafalgar Group
https://drive.google.com/file/d/1Wi8S4iVv3og1J-ril-RG3uZYlDHTz8gx/view -
OH Predictive Insights
https://f.hubspotusercontent40.net/hubfs/7453540/201005_AZPOP/PR_Arizona%20Public%20Opinion%20Pulse%20Toplines%20and%20Crosstabs%20(1).pdf -
Ipsos/Reuters
https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2020-10/topline_reuters_arizona_state_poll_w2_10_07_2020.pdf -
Latino Decisions (D)
http://dfer.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/ERNA-Memo-Latino-Decisions-10.8.20.pdf -
Basswood Research (R)
https://www.americanactionforum.org/insight/arizona-policy-priorities-and-the-election-october-update/ -
Data Orbital Archived October 21, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
https://www.dataorbital.com/the-blog/breaking-in-az-us-senate-race-tightens-and-president-trump-down-45 -
HighGround Inc.
https://web.archive.org/web/20201009013234/https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20201007_AZ_HighGround.pdf -
Change Research/CNBC
https://changeresearch.com/post/states-of-play-battleground-wave-15/ -
Siena College/NYT Upshot
https://int.nyt.com/data/documenttools/az100120-crosstabs/a77605c32cd8f31e/full.pdf -
Patinkin Research Strategies/Arizona Research Consortium (D)
https://drive.google.com/file/d/1g6Ib0jZws3rW63PNt0BBr7bOkK9brpZQ/view -
Targoz Market Research
https://www.pollsmartmr.com/latest-polls-1/trump-kelly-lead-in-arizona -
Morning Consult
https://morningconsult.com/2020/10/05/arizona-senate-polling-martha-mcsally-mark-kelly/ -
Suffolk University
https://www.suffolk.edu/-/media/suffolk/documents/academics/research-at-suffolk/suprc/polls/other-states/2020/10_2_2020_tables_pdftxt.pdf -
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. (R)
https://amgreatness.com/2020/09/29/trump-and-biden-tied-in-new-arizona-poll/ -
Data for Progress (D)
https://filesforprogress.org/memos/2020-senate-project/week-2/dfp_psp_AZ_Senate_week2.pdf -
Morning Consult
https://assets.morningconsult.com/wp-uploads/2020/10/05153150/201005_Arizona-Senate-Polling-Trend_FULLWIDTH1.png -
Data For Progress
https://filesforprogress.org/memos/student-debt-project-electoral.pdf -
Change Research/CNBC
https://changeresearch.com/post/states-of-play-battleground-wave-14/ -
ABC News/Washington Post
https://www.langerresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/1216a22020StateBattlegrounds-FLAZ.pdf -
Morning Consult
https://morningconsult.com/2020/09/22/majority-makers-south-carolina-senate-harrison-graham/ -
Hart Research Associates (D) [permanent dead link]
https://www.hrc.org/parts/HRC-Poll-917-202020.pdf -
Ipsos/Reuters
https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2020-09/topline_reuters_arizona_state_poll_w1_09_23_2020.pdf -
Morning Consult
https://morningconsult.com/2020/10/13/senate-graham-harrison-supreme-court-polling/ -
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)
https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000174-b2e8-d59c-a174-f6fc6db30000 -
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/US-Swing-State-Polls-Mid-September-Cover-Sheet.pdf -
Monmouth University
https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/documents/monmouthpoll_az_091720.pdf/ -
Siena College/NYT Upshot
https://int.nyt.com/data/documenttools/az-me-nc-0920-crosstabs/72d074246b272695/full.pdf -
Kaiser Family Foundation/Cook Political Report
https://www.kff.org/other/report/sun-belt-voices-project/ -
Gravis Marketing
https://gravismarketing.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/Arizona-September-11-2020.pdf -
YouGov/CBS
https://drive.google.com/file/d/1hr0WLAZhvP2k_BOL7sRwEifQgu2JAOTU/view -
OH Predictive Insights
https://f.hubspotusercontent40.net/hubfs/7453540/200908%20AZPOP/AZPOP%20Crosstabs%20-%20Senate.pdf -
Benenson Strategy Group/GS Strategy Group
https://www.aarp.org/research/topics/politics/info-2020/2020-election-battleground-state-surveys.html -
Change Research/CNBC
https://changeresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/CNBC-CR_Battleground_Toplines_Wave-13_Sept-4-6-Wave-13_-9_4-9_6.pdf -
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/US-Swing-State-Polls-September-Cover-Sheet.pdf -
FOX News
https://static.foxnews.com/foxnews.com/content/uploads/2020/09/Arizona.pdf -
Basswood Research (R)
https://www.americanactionforum.org/insight/arizona-policy-priorities-and-the-election/ -
Redfield and Wilton Strategies
https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-usa-swing-state-senate-and-governor-voting-intention-16-to-19-august/ -
Emerson College
https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/north-carolina-pennsylvania-and-arizona-2020-tight-races-in-battleground-states-leading-into-party-conventions -
Change Research/CNBC
https://9b1b5e59-cb8d-4d7b-8493-111f8aa90329.usrfiles.com/ugd/9b1b5e_41d9f1b0245c4c138aa26d496625d005.pdf -
OH Predictive Insights
https://f.hubspotusercontent40.net/hubfs/7453540/200803_AZPOP/Arizona%20Public%20Opinion%20Pulse%20--%20Senate.pdf -
OnMessage Inc. (R)
https://s3.amazonaws.com/hafa/Heritage-Action-August-2020-Battleground-Survey.pdf -
Data for Progress
http://filesforprogress.org/datasets/2020/8/progressive-senate-project/DFP_Arizona_8_20_xtabs.pdf -
Change Research/CNBC
https://9b1b5e59-cb8d-4d7b-8493-111f8aa90329.usrfiles.com/ugd/9b1b5e_fc12dbc2fc1c488b888f57a584a75217.pdf -
Morning Consult
https://morningconsult.com/2020/07/28/senate-presidential-polling-political-intelligence/ -
CNN/SSRS
https://cdn.cnn.com/cnn/2020/images/07/26/rel1_az.pdf -
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-usa-swing-state-senate-and-governor-voting-intention-19-to-24-july/ -
Public Policy Polling
https://drive.google.com/file/d/1bovYI6yeunK2kGDEqKrz0UWBi2AlRNZz/view -
NBC News/Marist
http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/uploads/2020/07/NBC-News_Marist-Poll-AZ-NOS-and-Tables_202007231249.pdf -
Spry Strategies (R)
https://americanprinciplesproject.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/07/APP.Arizona.pdf -
Change Research/CNBC
https://www.changeresearch.com/post/states-of-play-battleground-wave-9 -
CBS News/YouGov
https://drive.google.com/file/d/1NdvAi60uPh_3x7OMA1S_ZtFCMBB7y8X_/view -
OH Predictive Insights
https://f.hubspotusercontent40.net/hubfs/7453540/200706_AZPOP/Arizona%20Public%20Opinion%20Pulse%20(AZPOP)%20--%20Senate%20Toplines.pdf -
Data Orbital
https://mcusercontent.com/5a280d25318f2afe3f311adb6/files/189fa6eb-fa30-4dc7-8305-646a398e155c/AZ_Statewide_Live_LV_Toplines_Public_063020.pdf -
Gravis Marketing (R)
https://d2pggiv3o55wnc.cloudfront.net/oann/wp-content/uploads/2020/07/Arizona-OANN-June-28-2020-v3.pdf -
Change Research/CNBC
https://www.changeresearch.com/post/states-of-play-battleground-wave-8 -
Global Strategy Group (D)
https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000173-2701-d3c8-abf7-67f5fa840000 -
Change Research (D)
https://314action.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/07/Arizona-Senate-Survey-Memo.pdf -
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-usa-swing-state-voting-intention-14-to-19-june/ -
NYT Upshot/Siena College
https://int.nyt.com/data/documenttools/senate-crosstabs-0625/31e96b895ce3921b/full.pdf -
Civiqs/Daily Kos
https://civiqs.com/documents/Civiqs_DailyKos_AZ_banner_book_2020_06_gh368w.pdf -
FOX News
https://static.foxnews.com/foxnews.com/content/uploads/2020/06/35199d36-Fox_May-30-June-2-2020_Complete_Arizona_Topline_June-3-Release.pdf -
HighGround Public Affairs Archived June 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
https://www.azhighground.com/blog/post/astronaut-kelly-soaring-over-incumbent-mcsally-in-latest-az-survey -
OH Predictive Insights
https://eu.azcentral.com/story/opinion/op-ed/laurieroberts/2020/05/19/sen-martha-mcsally-slides-new-poll-and-thats-not-even-bad-news/5218402002/ -
OH Predictive Insights
https://www.dropbox.com/s/363wfkrzsxs6e8t/Arizona%20Public%20Opinion%20Pulse%20-%20Senate.pdf?dl=0 -
NBC News/Marist
http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/NBC-News_Marist-Poll_AZ-NOS-and-Tables_2003160825.pdf -
Monmouth University
https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/documents/monmouthpoll_az_031620.pdf/ -
Univision/Arizona State University
https://st1.uvnimg.com/07/2e/d0d9a91c4000996d8bcc95b85319/univisionpolling-march-arizona.pdf -
OH Predictive Insights
https://web.archive.org/web/20200916184231/https://ohpredictive.com/press-releases/march-senate-2020/ -
Public Policy Polling
https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/ArizonaResults.pdf -
HighGround Public Affairs Archived February 19, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
https://www.azhighground.com/blog/post/breaking--mcsally-trailing-as-trump-comes-to-town -
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)
https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000170-bd26-ddcc-a9fe-bdbe57bd0000 -
Public Policy Polling
https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/01/ArizonaJanuary2020.pdf -
OH Predictive Insights
https://www.dropbox.com/s/4mbv7c2auwqck54/Senate_Report.pdf?dl=0 -
Emerson College
https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/arizona-2020-toss-ups-in-presidential-and-senate-races -
Change Research (D)
https://docs.google.com/document/d/1pZhyn8uJIaj2lIDQ25bEHdoP8LXkXOWfq-5CHqjaV3k/edit -
Bendixen & Amandi International
https://www.politico.com/f/?id=0000016d-410e-d547-a36f-67df39db0001 -
OH Predictive Insights
https://www.dropbox.com/s/s32wg0zl0zz882y/AZPOPQ3%20Senate%20PR%20Report.pdf?dl=0 -
Fabrizio Ward/AARP
https://www.aarp.org/content/dam/aarp/research/surveys_statistics/politics/2019/five-state-prescription-drug-survey-annotated-questionnaire-AZ.doi.10.26419-2Fres.00335.001.pdf -
OH Predictive Insights
https://web.archive.org/web/20190513165633/https://ohpredictive.com/press-releases/poll-former-astronaut-mark-kelly-hot-on-sen-mcsallys-six/ -
OH Predictive Insights
https://ohpredictive.wpengine.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/02/2020_Election_Insights.pdf -
Change Research
https://314action.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/07/Arizona-Senate-Survey-Memo.pdf -
Public Policy Polling
https://static1.squarespace.com/static/577d34d137c58194f7d3f055/t/5c5350fafa0d606e87774032/1548964090476/ArizonaResults.pdf -
Targoz Market Research/PollSmart
https://www.pollsmartmr.com/latest-polls-1/trump-kelly-lead-in-arizona -
Climate Nexus
https://climatenexus.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/09/Arizona-Poll-Toplines.pdf -
OH Predictive Insights
https://web.archive.org/web/20200920142559/https://ohpredictive.com/press-releases/poll-arizonans-support-the-legalization-of-marijuana/ -
Arizona Secretary of State
https://web.archive.org/web/20201231012346/https://azsos.gov/sites/default/files/2020_General_State_Canvass.pdf -
The New York Times
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/results-arizona-senate-special.html -
Daves Redistricting
https://davesredistricting.org/maps#viewmap::283ef00f-9b80-4547-984f-74c25f554eef
