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2020 United States Senate election in North Carolina

Updated: Wikipedia source

2020 United States Senate election in North Carolina

The 2020 United States Senate election in North Carolina was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of North Carolina, concurrently with the 2020 United States presidential election as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. North Carolina was one of just five states holding presidential, gubernatorial, and senatorial elections concurrently in 2020. On March 3, 2020, Republican incumbent Thom Tillis and former Democratic state senator Cal Cunningham won their respective primaries. Cunningham led Tillis in the polls throughout much of the campaign. In early October 2020, it was reported that Cunningham had exchanged sexually suggestive messages with a married woman who was not his wife. Cunningham confirmed the texts were authentic and apologized for his behavior. The woman stated that she had a consensual physical relationship with Cunningham in 2020. Tillis was re-elected to a second and final term, outperforming pre-election polling to win a narrow victory, breaking the "one-term curse" that existed with this particular Senate seat for over twenty years; as no incumbent had been re-elected to this seat since 1996 when Jesse Helms won reelection. On November 10, 2020, a week after Election Day, Cunningham called Tillis to concede the race. Tillis won by a margin of 1.8% over Cunningham, slightly larger than his 1.5% victory in 2014. Tillis received a smaller vote share than Donald Trump's 49.93%, but slightly overperformed his margin of victory in North Carolina.

Infobox

Turnout
77.4%
Nominee
Thom Tillis
Party
Republican
Popular vote
2,665,598
Percentage
48.69%

Tables

· Republican primary › Polling
High Point University
High Point University
Poll source
High Point University
Date(s)administered
February 21–28, 2020
Samplesize
247 (LV)
Marginof error
SandySmith
ThomTillis
69%
GarlandTucker
MarkWalker
PaulWright
8%
Other
8%
Undecided
16%
444 (RV)
444 (RV)
Poll source
444 (RV)
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
58%
SandySmith
ThomTillis
GarlandTucker
7%
MarkWalker
10%
PaulWright
26%
Meredith College
Meredith College
Poll source
Meredith College
Date(s)administered
February 16–24, 2020
Samplesize
353 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
SandySmith
ThomTillis
53%
GarlandTucker
MarkWalker
PaulWright
5%
Other
6%
Undecided
36%
SurveyUSA
SurveyUSA
Poll source
SurveyUSA
Date(s)administered
February 13–16, 2020
Samplesize
501 (LV)
Marginof error
± 5.0%
SandySmith
ThomTillis
59%
GarlandTucker
MarkWalker
PaulWright
3%
Other
8%
Undecided
29%
High Point University
High Point University
Poll source
High Point University
Date(s)administered
January 31 – February 6, 2020
Samplesize
198 (LV)
Marginof error
SandySmith
ThomTillis
62%
GarlandTucker
MarkWalker
PaulWright
7%
Other
5%
Undecided
27%
400 (RV)
400 (RV)
Poll source
400 (RV)
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
52%
SandySmith
ThomTillis
GarlandTucker
6%
MarkWalker
5%
PaulWright
38%
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
Poll source
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
Date(s)administered
December 2–4, 2019
Samplesize
500 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.38%
SandySmith
11%
ThomTillis
63%
GarlandTucker
MarkWalker
PaulWright
Other
Undecided
25%
FOX News
FOX News
Poll source
FOX News
Date(s)administered
November 10–13, 2019
Samplesize
574 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
SandySmith
4%
ThomTillis
54%
GarlandTucker
11%
MarkWalker
PaulWright
Other
5%
Undecided
26%
Public Policy Polling
Public Policy Polling
Poll source
Public Policy Polling
Date(s)administered
August 19–20, 2019
Samplesize
564 (V)
Marginof error
SandySmith
ThomTillis
38%
GarlandTucker
31%
MarkWalker
PaulWright
Other
Undecided
31%
Diversified Research (R)
Diversified Research (R)
Poll source
Diversified Research (R)
Date(s)administered
July 8–9, 2019
Samplesize
500 (V)
Marginof error
SandySmith
ThomTillis
40%
GarlandTucker
30%
MarkWalker
PaulWright
Other
Undecided
30%
WPA Intelligence (R)
WPA Intelligence (R)
Poll source
WPA Intelligence (R)
Date(s)administered
May 19–21, 2019
Samplesize
502 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.5%
SandySmith
2%
ThomTillis
40%
GarlandTucker
11%
MarkWalker
17%
PaulWright
Other
Undecided
30%
2%
2%
Poll source
2%
Date(s)administered
18%
Samplesize
8%
Marginof error
56%
SandySmith
ThomTillis
GarlandTucker
16%
Diversified Research (R)
Diversified Research (R)
Poll source
Diversified Research (R)
Date(s)administered
Months before May, 2019
Samplesize
Marginof error
SandySmith
ThomTillis
63%
GarlandTucker
7%
MarkWalker
PaulWright
Other
Undecided
30%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
SandySmith
ThomTillis
GarlandTucker
MarkWalker
PaulWright
Other
Undecided
High Point University
February 21–28, 2020
247 (LV)
69%
8%
8%
16%
444 (RV)
58%
7%
10%
26%
Meredith College
February 16–24, 2020
353 (LV)
± 3.0%
53%
5%
6%
36%
SurveyUSA
February 13–16, 2020
501 (LV)
± 5.0%
59%
3%
8%
29%
High Point University
January 31 – February 6, 2020
198 (LV)
62%
7%
5%
27%
400 (RV)
52%
6%
5%
38%
December 20, 2019
Smith withdraws from the race; Wright announces his candidacy
December 16, 2019
Walker announces he will not run
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
December 2–4, 2019
500 (LV)
± 4.38%
11%
63%
25%
December 2, 2019
Tucker withdraws from the race
FOX News
November 10–13, 2019
574 (LV)
± 4.0%
4%
54%
11%
5%
26%
Public Policy Polling
August 19–20, 2019
564 (V)
38%
31%
31%
Diversified Research (R)
July 8–9, 2019
500 (V)
40%
30%
30%
WPA Intelligence (R)
May 19–21, 2019
502 (LV)
± 4.5%
2%
40%
11%
17%
30%
2%
18%
8%
56%
16%
May 6, 2019
Tucker announces his candidacy
Diversified Research (R)
Months before May, 2019
63%
7%
30%
WPA Intelligence (R)
WPA Intelligence (R)
Poll source
WPA Intelligence (R)
Date(s)administered
May 19–21, 2019
Samplesize
502 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.5%
ThomTillis
43%
MarkWalker
34%
Undecided
23%
28%
28%
Poll source
28%
Date(s)administered
64%
Samplesize
8%
21%
21%
Poll source
21%
Date(s)administered
69%
Samplesize
10%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
ThomTillis
MarkWalker
Undecided
WPA Intelligence (R)
May 19–21, 2019
502 (LV)
± 4.5%
43%
34%
23%
28%
64%
8%
21%
69%
10%
WPA Intelligence (R)
WPA Intelligence (R)
Poll source
WPA Intelligence (R)
Date(s)administered
May 19–21, 2019
Samplesize
502 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.5%
ThomTillis
17%
GenericRepublican
18%
Undecided
52%
7%
7%
Poll source
7%
Date(s)administered
32%
Samplesize
57%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
ThomTillis
GenericRepublican
Undecided
WPA Intelligence (R)
May 19–21, 2019
502 (LV)
± 4.5%
17%
18%
52%
7%
32%
57%
Republican primary results[1] · Republican primary › Results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
779,858
Candidate
100.00%
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Republican
Thom Tillis (incumbent)
608,943
78.08%
Republican
Paul Wright
58,908
7.55%
Republican
Larry Holmquist
57,356
7.35%
Republican
Sharon Y. Hudson
54,651
7.01%
Total votes
779,858
100.00%
· Democratic primary › Polling
High Point University
High Point University
Poll source
High Point University
Date(s)administered
February 21–28, 2020
Samplesize
274 (LV)
Marginof error
CalCunningham
50%
TrevorFuller
4%
AtulGoel
1%
EricaSmith
24%
SteveSwenson
3%
Undecided
18%
474 (RV)
474 (RV)
Poll source
474 (RV)
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
42%
Marginof error
5%
CalCunningham
1%
TrevorFuller
24%
AtulGoel
4%
EricaSmith
4%
Civitas Institute/Spry Strategies
Civitas Institute/Spry Strategies
Poll source
Civitas Institute/Spry Strategies
Date(s)administered
February 26–27, 2020
Samplesize
587 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.1%
CalCunningham
45%
TrevorFuller
2%
AtulGoel
1%
EricaSmith
23%
SteveSwenson
1%
Undecided
28%
NBC News/Marist
NBC News/Marist
Poll source
NBC News/Marist
Date(s)administered
February 23–27, 2020
Samplesize
568 (LV)
Marginof error
± 5.1%
CalCunningham
51%
TrevorFuller
3%
AtulGoel
1%
EricaSmith
18%
SteveSwenson
2%
Undecided
25%
Public Policy Polling
Public Policy Polling
Poll source
Public Policy Polling
Date(s)administered
February 23–24, 2020
Samplesize
852 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.4%
CalCunningham
45%
TrevorFuller
4%
AtulGoel
1%
EricaSmith
18%
SteveSwenson
2%
Undecided
30%
Meredith College
Meredith College
Poll source
Meredith College
Date(s)administered
February 16–24, 2020
Samplesize
429 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
CalCunningham
43%
TrevorFuller
2%
AtulGoel
1%
EricaSmith
14%
SteveSwenson
2%
Undecided
36%
Civitas Institute/Spry Strategies
Civitas Institute/Spry Strategies
Poll source
Civitas Institute/Spry Strategies
Date(s)administered
February 21–23, 2020
Samplesize
553 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.8%
CalCunningham
48%
TrevorFuller
1%
AtulGoel
0%
EricaSmith
21%
SteveSwenson
1%
Undecided
29%
SurveyUSA
SurveyUSA
Poll source
SurveyUSA
Date(s)administered
February 13–16, 2020
Samplesize
698 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.9%
CalCunningham
42%
TrevorFuller
3%
AtulGoel
1%
EricaSmith
17%
SteveSwenson
3%
Undecided
34%
High Point University
High Point University
Poll source
High Point University
Date(s)administered
January 31 – February 6, 2020
Samplesize
224 (LV)
Marginof error
CalCunningham
37%
TrevorFuller
4%
AtulGoel
0%
EricaSmith
11%
SteveSwenson
4%
Undecided
44%
397 (RV)
397 (RV)
Poll source
397 (RV)
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
29%
Marginof error
5%
CalCunningham
1%
TrevorFuller
10%
AtulGoel
5%
EricaSmith
50%
Public Policy Polling
Public Policy Polling
Poll source
Public Policy Polling
Date(s)administered
February 4–5, 2020
Samplesize
604 (LV)
Marginof error
CalCunningham
29%
TrevorFuller
3%
AtulGoel
2%
EricaSmith
10%
SteveSwenson
4%
Undecided
52%
Public Policy Polling
Public Policy Polling
Poll source
Public Policy Polling
Date(s)administered
January 10–12, 2020
Samplesize
509 (LV)
Marginof error
CalCunningham
22%
TrevorFuller
2%
AtulGoel
3%
EricaSmith
12%
SteveSwenson
1%
Undecided
60%
FOX News
FOX News
Poll source
FOX News
Date(s)administered
November 10–13, 2019
Samplesize
669 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
CalCunningham
13%
TrevorFuller
10%
AtulGoel
EricaSmith
18%
SteveSwenson
Undecided
49%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
CalCunningham
TrevorFuller
AtulGoel
EricaSmith
SteveSwenson
Undecided
High Point University
February 21–28, 2020
274 (LV)
50%
4%
1%
24%
3%
18%
474 (RV)
42%
5%
1%
24%
4%
4%
Civitas Institute/Spry Strategies
February 26–27, 2020
587 (LV)
± 4.1%
45%
2%
1%
23%
1%
28%
NBC News/Marist
February 23–27, 2020
568 (LV)
± 5.1%
51%
3%
1%
18%
2%
25%
Public Policy Polling
February 23–24, 2020
852 (LV)
± 3.4%
45%
4%
1%
18%
2%
30%
Meredith College
February 16–24, 2020
429 (LV)
± 3.0%
43%
2%
1%
14%
2%
36%
Civitas Institute/Spry Strategies
February 21–23, 2020
553 (LV)
± 3.8%
48%
1%
0%
21%
1%
29%
SurveyUSA
February 13–16, 2020
698 (LV)
± 4.9%
42%
3%
1%
17%
3%
34%
High Point University
January 31 – February 6, 2020
224 (LV)
37%
4%
0%
11%
4%
44%
397 (RV)
29%
5%
1%
10%
5%
50%
Public Policy Polling
February 4–5, 2020
604 (LV)
29%
3%
2%
10%
4%
52%
Public Policy Polling
January 10–12, 2020
509 (LV)
22%
2%
3%
12%
1%
60%
FOX News
November 10–13, 2019
669 (RV)
± 4.0%
13%
10%
18%
49%
Democratic primary results[1] · Democratic primary › Results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
1,261,045
Candidate
100.00%
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Democratic
Cal Cunningham
717,941
56.93%
Democratic
Erica D. Smith
438,969
34.81%
Democratic
Trevor M. Fuller
48,168
3.82%
Democratic
Steve Swenson
33,741
2.68%
Democratic
Atul Goel
22,226
1.76%
Total votes
1,261,045
100.00%
· General election › Predictions
Lean D (flip)
Lean D (flip)
Source
538
Ranking
Lean D (flip)
As of
November 2, 2020
Lean D (flip)
Lean D (flip)
Source
Economist
Ranking
Lean D (flip)
As of
November 2, 2020
Tossup
Tossup
Source
Daily Kos
Ranking
Tossup
As of
October 30, 2020
Lean D (flip)
Lean D (flip)
Source
DDHQ
Ranking
Lean D (flip)
As of
November 3, 2020
Tilt D (flip)
Tilt D (flip)
Source
Inside Elections
Ranking
Tilt D (flip)
As of
October 28, 2020
Lean D (flip)
Lean D (flip)
Source
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Ranking
Lean D (flip)
As of
November 2, 2020
Tossup
Tossup
Source
RCP
Ranking
Tossup
As of
October 23, 2020
Tossup
Tossup
Source
The Cook Political Report
Ranking
Tossup
As of
October 29, 2020
Tossup
Tossup
Source
Politico
Ranking
Tossup
As of
November 2, 2020
Source
Ranking
As of
538
Lean D (flip)
November 2, 2020
Economist
Lean D (flip)
November 2, 2020
Daily Kos
Tossup
October 30, 2020
DDHQ
Lean D (flip)
November 3, 2020
Inside Elections
Tilt D (flip)
October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Lean D (flip)
November 2, 2020
RCP
Tossup
October 23, 2020
The Cook Political Report
Tossup
October 29, 2020
Politico
Tossup
November 2, 2020
· General election › Polling › Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation
Source of poll aggregation
Cal Cunningham vs. Thom Tillis
Source of poll aggregation
Cal Cunningham vs. Thom Tillis
Dates administered
Cal Cunningham vs. Thom Tillis
Dates updated
Cal Cunningham vs. Thom Tillis
Cal Cunningham
Cal Cunningham vs. Thom Tillis
Thom Tillis
Cal Cunningham vs. Thom Tillis
Other/Undecided
Cal Cunningham vs. Thom Tillis
Margin
270 to Win
270 to Win
Cal Cunningham vs. Thom Tillis
270 to Win
Cal Cunningham vs. Thom Tillis
November 2, 2020
Cal Cunningham vs. Thom Tillis
November 3, 2020
Cal Cunningham vs. Thom Tillis
47.0%
Cal Cunningham vs. Thom Tillis
44.2%
Cal Cunningham vs. Thom Tillis
8.8%
Cal Cunningham vs. Thom Tillis
Cunningham +2.8%
Real Clear Politics
Real Clear Politics
Cal Cunningham vs. Thom Tillis
Real Clear Politics
Cal Cunningham vs. Thom Tillis
November 1, 2020
Cal Cunningham vs. Thom Tillis
November 3, 2020
Cal Cunningham vs. Thom Tillis
47.6%
Cal Cunningham vs. Thom Tillis
45.0%
Cal Cunningham vs. Thom Tillis
7.4%
Cal Cunningham vs. Thom Tillis
Cunningham +2.6%
Cal Cunningham vs. Thom Tillis
Source of poll aggregation
Dates administered
Dates updated
Cal Cunningham
Thom Tillis
Other/Undecided
Margin
270 to Win
November 2, 2020
November 3, 2020
47.0%
44.2%
8.8%
Cunningham +2.8%
Real Clear Politics
November 1, 2020
November 3, 2020
47.6%
45.0%
7.4%
Cunningham +2.6%
· General election › Polling › Tillis vs. Cunningham
Change Research/CNBC
Change Research/CNBC
Poll source
Change Research/CNBC
Date(s)administered
October 29 – November 1, 2020
Samplesize
473 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.51%
ThomTillis (R)
46%
CalCunningham (D)
50%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
5%
Swayable
Swayable
Poll source
Swayable
Date(s)administered
October 27 – November 1, 2020
Samplesize
619 (LV)
Marginof error
± 5.6%
ThomTillis (R)
47%
CalCunningham (D)
53%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
Ipsos/Reuters
Ipsos/Reuters
Poll source
Ipsos/Reuters
Date(s)administered
October 27 – November 1, 2020
Samplesize
707 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.2%
ThomTillis (R)
46%
CalCunningham (D)
48%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
6%
Data for Progress
Data for Progress
Poll source
Data for Progress
Date(s)administered
October 27 – November 1, 2020
Samplesize
908 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.3%
ThomTillis (R)
46%
CalCunningham (D)
51%
ShannonBray (L)
1%
Other /Undecided
1%
Frederick Polls
Frederick Polls
Poll source
Frederick Polls
Date(s)administered
October 30–31, 2020
Samplesize
676 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.7%
ThomTillis (R)
46%
CalCunningham (D)
50%
ShannonBray (L)
3%
Other /Undecided
2%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
October 29–31, 2020
Samplesize
855 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.3%
ThomTillis (R)
47%
CalCunningham (D)
50%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
2%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
October 22–31, 2020
Samplesize
1,982 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2%
ThomTillis (R)
43%
CalCunningham (D)
47%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
CNN/SSRS
CNN/SSRS
Poll source
CNN/SSRS
Date(s)administered
October 23–30, 2020
Samplesize
901 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4%
ThomTillis (R)
44%
CalCunningham (D)
47%
ShannonBray (L)
2%
Other /Undecided
5%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports
Poll source
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports
Date(s)administered
October 28–29, 2020
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
ThomTillis (R)
44%
CalCunningham (D)
47%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
9%
East Carolina University
East Carolina University
Poll source
East Carolina University
Date(s)administered
October 27–28, 2020
Samplesize
1,103 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.4%
ThomTillis (R)
46%
CalCunningham (D)
48%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
5%
Cardinal Point Analytics (R)
Cardinal Point Analytics (R)
Poll source
Cardinal Point Analytics (R)
Date(s)administered
October 27–28, 2020
Samplesize
750 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.6%
ThomTillis (R)
46%
CalCunningham (D)
41%
ShannonBray (L)
6%
Other /Undecided
7%
Marist College/NBC
Marist College/NBC
Poll source
Marist College/NBC
Date(s)administered
October 25–28, 2020
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.7%
ThomTillis (R)
43%
CalCunningham (D)
53%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
4%
Gravis Marketing
Gravis Marketing
Poll source
Gravis Marketing
Date(s)administered
October 26–27, 2020
Samplesize
614 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4%
ThomTillis (R)
44%
CalCunningham (D)
46%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
9%
Public Policy Polling (D)
Public Policy Polling (D)
Poll source
Public Policy Polling (D)
Date(s)administered
October 26–27, 2020
Samplesize
937 (V)
Marginof error
± 3.2%
ThomTillis (R)
44%
CalCunningham (D)
47%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
9%
Meeting Street Insights/Carolina Partnership for Reform (R)
Meeting Street Insights/Carolina Partnership for Reform (R)
Poll source
Meeting Street Insights/Carolina Partnership for Reform (R)
Date(s)administered
October 24–27, 2020
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4%
ThomTillis (R)
43%
CalCunningham (D)
47%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Poll source
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Date(s)administered
October 23–27, 2020
Samplesize
1,034 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.4%
ThomTillis (R)
43%
CalCunningham (D)
46%
ShannonBray (L)
2%
Other /Undecided
9%
Ipsos/Reuters
Ipsos/Reuters
Poll source
Ipsos/Reuters
Date(s)administered
October 21–27, 2020
Samplesize
647 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
ThomTillis (R)
47%
CalCunningham (D)
48%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
4%
RMG Research
RMG Research
Poll source
RMG Research
Date(s)administered
October 24–26, 2020
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
ThomTillis (R)
42%
CalCunningham (D)
49%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
9%
40%
40%
Poll source
40%
Date(s)administered
51%
Samplesize
Marginof error
9%
43%
43%
Poll source
43%
Date(s)administered
48%
Samplesize
Marginof error
9%
Swayable
Swayable
Poll source
Swayable
Date(s)administered
October 23–26, 2020
Samplesize
363 (LV)
Marginof error
± 7.1%
ThomTillis (R)
50%
CalCunningham (D)
50%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
SurveyUSA
SurveyUSA
Poll source
SurveyUSA
Date(s)administered
October 23–26, 2020
Samplesize
627 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.9%
ThomTillis (R)
45%
CalCunningham (D)
48%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
7%
YouGov/UMass Lowell
YouGov/UMass Lowell
Poll source
YouGov/UMass Lowell
Date(s)administered
October 20–26, 2020
Samplesize
911 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.2%
ThomTillis (R)
45%
CalCunningham (D)
49%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
7%
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
Poll source
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
Date(s)administered
October 22–25, 2020
Samplesize
504 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.37%
ThomTillis (R)
43%
CalCunningham (D)
46%
ShannonBray (L)
2%
Other /Undecided
8%
YouGov/CBS
YouGov/CBS
Poll source
YouGov/CBS
Date(s)administered
October 20–23, 2020
Samplesize
1,022 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.1%
ThomTillis (R)
43%
CalCunningham (D)
49%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
8%
Trafalgar Group
Trafalgar Group
Poll source
Trafalgar Group
Date(s)administered
October 20–22, 2020
Samplesize
1,098 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.89%
ThomTillis (R)
49%
CalCunningham (D)
47%
ShannonBray (L)
2%
Other /Undecided
2%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports
Poll source
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports
Date(s)administered
October 20–21, 2020
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
ThomTillis (R)
45%
CalCunningham (D)
45%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
10%
Citizen Data
Citizen Data
Poll source
Citizen Data
Date(s)administered
October 17–20, 2020
Samplesize
1,000 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
ThomTillis (R)
42%
CalCunningham (D)
48%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
9%
Ipsos/Reuters
Ipsos/Reuters
Poll source
Ipsos/Reuters
Date(s)administered
October 14–20, 2020
Samplesize
660 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.3%
ThomTillis (R)
47%
CalCunningham (D)
47%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
6%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
October 11–20, 2020
Samplesize
1,904 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.2%
ThomTillis (R)
42%
CalCunningham (D)
48%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
Meredith College
Meredith College
Poll source
Meredith College
Date(s)administered
October 16–19, 2020
Samplesize
732 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
ThomTillis (R)
38%
CalCunningham (D)
43%
ShannonBray (L)
4%
Other /Undecided
15%
Change Research/CNBC
Change Research/CNBC
Poll source
Change Research/CNBC
Date(s)administered
October 16–19, 2020
Samplesize
521 (LV)
Marginof error
ThomTillis (R)
45%
CalCunningham (D)
51%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
Data for Progress (D)
Data for Progress (D)
Poll source
Data for Progress (D)
Date(s)administered
October 15–18, 2020
Samplesize
929 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.2%
ThomTillis (R)
42%
CalCunningham (D)
46%
ShannonBray (L)
1%
Other /Undecided
11%
East Carolina University
East Carolina University
Poll source
East Carolina University
Date(s)administered
October 15–18, 2020
Samplesize
1,155 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.4%
ThomTillis (R)
47%
CalCunningham (D)
48%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
5%
ABC/Washington Post
ABC/Washington Post
Poll source
ABC/Washington Post
Date(s)administered
October 12–17, 2020
Samplesize
646 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.5%
ThomTillis (R)
47%
CalCunningham (D)
49%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
4%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
October 13–14, 2020
Samplesize
721 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.6%
ThomTillis (R)
44%
CalCunningham (D)
45%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
12%
Civiqs/Daily Kos
Civiqs/Daily Kos
Poll source
Civiqs/Daily Kos
Date(s)administered
October 11–14, 2020
Samplesize
1,211 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.3%
ThomTillis (R)
45%
CalCunningham (D)
51%
ShannonBray (L)
2%
Other /Undecided
3%
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Poll source
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Date(s)administered
October 9–13, 2020
Samplesize
627 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.5%
ThomTillis (R)
37%
CalCunningham (D)
41%
ShannonBray (L)
4%
Other /Undecided
19%
Ipsos/Reuters
Ipsos/Reuters
Poll source
Ipsos/Reuters
Date(s)administered
October 7–13, 2020
Samplesize
660 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.3%
ThomTillis (R)
42%
CalCunningham (D)
46%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
12%
Monmouth University
Monmouth University
Poll source
Monmouth University
Date(s)administered
October 8–11, 2020
Samplesize
500 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
ThomTillis (R)
44%
CalCunningham (D)
48%
ShannonBray (L)
3%
Other /Undecided
4%
500 (LV)
500 (LV)
Poll source
500 (LV)
Date(s)administered
44%
Samplesize
49%
Marginof error
ThomTillis (R)
6%
500 (LV)
500 (LV)
Poll source
500 (LV)
Date(s)administered
47%
Samplesize
48%
Marginof error
ThomTillis (R)
4%
SurveyUSA
SurveyUSA
Poll source
SurveyUSA
Date(s)administered
October 8–11, 2020
Samplesize
669 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.8%
ThomTillis (R)
39%
CalCunningham (D)
49%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
11%
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. (R)
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. (R)
Poll source
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. (R)
Date(s)administered
October 7–11, 2020
Samplesize
500 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.3%
ThomTillis (R)
44%
CalCunningham (D)
46%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
9%
RMG Research
RMG Research
Poll source
RMG Research
Date(s)administered
October 7–11, 2020
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
ThomTillis (R)
36%
CalCunningham (D)
46%
ShannonBray (L)
4%
Other /Undecided
15%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
October 2–11, 2020
Samplesize
1,993 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.2%
ThomTillis (R)
41%
CalCunningham (D)
47%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
Ipsos/Reuters
Ipsos/Reuters
Poll source
Ipsos/Reuters
Date(s)administered
September 29 – October 6, 2020
Samplesize
693 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.2%
ThomTillis (R)
42%
CalCunningham (D)
47%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
11%
Public Policy Polling
Public Policy Polling
Poll source
Public Policy Polling
Date(s)administered
October 4–5, 2020
Samplesize
911 (V)
Marginof error
± 3.3%
ThomTillis (R)
42%
CalCunningham (D)
48%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
11%
Data For Progress (D)
Data For Progress (D)
Poll source
Data For Progress (D)
Date(s)administered
September 30 – October 5, 2020
Samplesize
1,285 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.7%
ThomTillis (R)
39%
CalCunningham (D)
50%
ShannonBray (L)
2%
Other /Undecided
9%
Change Research/CNBC
Change Research/CNBC
Poll source
Change Research/CNBC
Date(s)administered
October 2–4, 2020
Samplesize
396 (LV)
Marginof error
ThomTillis (R)
46%
CalCunningham (D)
50%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
4%
East Carolina University
East Carolina University
Poll source
East Carolina University
Date(s)administered
October 2–4, 2020
Samplesize
1,232 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.2%
ThomTillis (R)
47%
CalCunningham (D)
46%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
7%
ALG Research (D)
ALG Research (D)
Poll source
ALG Research (D)
Date(s)administered
September 22–28, 2020
Samplesize
822 (V)
Marginof error
ThomTillis (R)
41%
CalCunningham (D)
53%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
Hart Research Associates (D)
Hart Research Associates (D)
Poll source
Hart Research Associates (D)
Date(s)administered
September 24–27, 2020
Samplesize
400 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.9%
ThomTillis (R)
41%
CalCunningham (D)
54%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
YouGov/CBS
YouGov/CBS
Poll source
YouGov/CBS
Date(s)administered
September 22–25, 2020
Samplesize
1,213 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.6%
ThomTillis (R)
38%
CalCunningham (D)
48%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
14%
YouGov/UMass Lowell
YouGov/UMass Lowell
Poll source
YouGov/UMass Lowell
Date(s)administered
September 18–25, 2020
Samplesize
921 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.1%
ThomTillis (R)
43%
CalCunningham (D)
49%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
8%
Meredith College
Meredith College
Poll source
Meredith College
Date(s)administered
September 18–22, 2020
Samplesize
705 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
ThomTillis (R)
42%
CalCunningham (D)
43%
ShannonBray (L)
4%
Other /Undecided
13%
Change Research/CNBC
Change Research/CNBC
Poll source
Change Research/CNBC
Date(s)administered
September 18–20, 2020
Samplesize
579 (LV)
Marginof error
ThomTillis (R)
43%
CalCunningham (D)
48%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
9%
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
Poll source
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
Date(s)administered
September 17–20, 2020
Samplesize
612 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.96%
ThomTillis (R)
38%
CalCunningham (D)
44%
ShannonBray (L)
3%
Other /Undecided
15%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
September 11–20, 2020
Samplesize
1,604 (LV)
Marginof error
± (2% – 7%)
ThomTillis (R)
38%
CalCunningham (D)
47%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
September 16–18, 2020
Samplesize
717 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.6%
ThomTillis (R)
43%
CalCunningham (D)
49%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
8%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
September 8–17, 2020
Samplesize
1,664 (LV)
Marginof error
± (2% – 4%)
ThomTillis (R)
39%
CalCunningham (D)
46%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
Ipsos/Reuters
Ipsos/Reuters
Poll source
Ipsos/Reuters
Date(s)administered
September 11–16, 2020
Samplesize
586 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.6%
ThomTillis (R)
44%
CalCunningham (D)
48%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
9%
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Poll source
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Date(s)administered
September 11–16, 2020
Samplesize
653 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.3%
ThomTillis (R)
37%
CalCunningham (D)
42%
ShannonBray (L)
2%
Other /Undecided
19%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
September 12–15, 2020
Samplesize
1,092 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.97%
ThomTillis (R)
38%
CalCunningham (D)
49%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
13%
Suffolk University
Suffolk University
Poll source
Suffolk University
Date(s)administered
September 10–14, 2020
Samplesize
500 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
ThomTillis (R)
38%
CalCunningham (D)
42%
ShannonBray (L)
6%
Other /Undecided
15%
SurveyUSA
SurveyUSA
Poll source
SurveyUSA
Date(s)administered
September 10–13, 2020
Samplesize
596 (LV)
Marginof error
± 5.6%
ThomTillis (R)
40%
CalCunningham (D)
47%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
13%
CNN/SSRS
CNN/SSRS
Poll source
CNN/SSRS
Date(s)administered
September 9–13, 2020
Samplesize
787 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
ThomTillis (R)
46%
CalCunningham (D)
47%
ShannonBray (L)
3%
Other /Undecided
4%
893 (RV)
893 (RV)
Poll source
893 (RV)
Date(s)administered
± 4.1%
Samplesize
44%
Marginof error
46%
ThomTillis (R)
4%
CalCunningham (D)
6%
Kaiser Family Foundation/Cook Political Report
Kaiser Family Foundation/Cook Political Report
Poll source
Kaiser Family Foundation/Cook Political Report
Date(s)administered
August 29 – September 13, 2020
Samplesize
1,116 (RV)
Marginof error
ThomTillis (R)
37%
CalCunningham (D)
41%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
22%
The Trafalgar Group (R)
The Trafalgar Group (R)
Poll source
The Trafalgar Group (R)
Date(s)administered
September 9–11, 2020
Samplesize
1,046 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
ThomTillis (R)
45%
CalCunningham (D)
46%
ShannonBray (L)
3%
Other /Undecided
6%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research
Poll source
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research
Date(s)administered
September 7–8, 2020
Samplesize
1,000 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
ThomTillis (R)
44%
CalCunningham (D)
47%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
10%
Benenson Strategy Group/GS Strategy Group
Benenson Strategy Group/GS Strategy Group
Poll source
Benenson Strategy Group/GS Strategy Group
Date(s)administered
August 8 – September 8, 2020
Samplesize
1,600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.5%
ThomTillis (R)
39%
CalCunningham (D)
42%
ShannonBray (L)
5%
Other /Undecided
13%
Change Research/CNBC
Change Research/CNBC
Poll source
Change Research/CNBC
Date(s)administered
September 4–6, 2020
Samplesize
442 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.6%
ThomTillis (R)
44%
CalCunningham (D)
51%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
August 30 – September 3, 2020
Samplesize
951 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.2%
ThomTillis (R)
37%
CalCunningham (D)
47%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
16%
Monmouth University
Monmouth University
Poll source
Monmouth University
Date(s)administered
August 29 – September 1, 2020
Samplesize
401 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.9%
ThomTillis (R)
45%
CalCunningham (D)
46%
ShannonBray (L)
2%
Other /Undecided
7%
401 (LV)
401 (LV)
Poll source
401 (LV)
Date(s)administered
45%
Samplesize
47%
Marginof error
ThomTillis (R)
8%
401 (LV)
401 (LV)
Poll source
401 (LV)
Date(s)administered
46%
Samplesize
46%
Marginof error
ThomTillis (R)
8%
FOX News
FOX News
Poll source
FOX News
Date(s)administered
August 29 – September 1, 2020
Samplesize
722 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
ThomTillis (R)
42%
CalCunningham (D)
48%
ShannonBray (L)
3%
Other /Undecided
8%
804 (RV)
804 (RV)
Poll source
804 (RV)
Date(s)administered
40%
Samplesize
47%
Marginof error
3%
ThomTillis (R)
10%
East Carolina University
East Carolina University
Poll source
East Carolina University
Date(s)administered
August 29–30, 2020
Samplesize
1,101 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.4%
ThomTillis (R)
44%
CalCunningham (D)
44%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
12%
Change Research/CNBC
Change Research/CNBC
Poll source
Change Research/CNBC
Date(s)administered
August 21–23, 2020
Samplesize
560 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.6%
ThomTillis (R)
42%
CalCunningham (D)
52%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
6%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
August 14–23, 2020
Samplesize
1,541 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.0%
ThomTillis (R)
39%
CalCunningham (D)
47%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
14%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies
Redfield and Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield and Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
August 16–18, 2020
Samplesize
856 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.4%
ThomTillis (R)
38%
CalCunningham (D)
47%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
16%
East Carolina University
East Carolina University
Poll source
East Carolina University
Date(s)administered
August 12–13, 2020
Samplesize
1,255 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.2%
ThomTillis (R)
40%
CalCunningham (D)
44%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
16%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
August 8–10, 2020
Samplesize
673 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.8%
ThomTillis (R)
42%
CalCunningham (D)
44%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
14%
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
Poll source
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
Date(s)administered
August 6–10, 2020
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
ThomTillis (R)
38%
CalCunningham (D)
41%
ShannonBray (L)
2%
Other /Undecided
18%
Change Research/CNBC
Change Research/CNBC
Poll source
Change Research/CNBC
Date(s)administered
August 7–9, 2020
Samplesize
491 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
ThomTillis (R)
43%
CalCunningham (D)
48%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
10%
Public Policy Polling (D)
Public Policy Polling (D)
Poll source
Public Policy Polling (D)
Date(s)administered
July 30–31, 2020
Samplesize
934 (V)
Marginof error
± 3.2%
ThomTillis (R)
44%
CalCunningham (D)
48%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
8%
Data for Progress
Data for Progress
Poll source
Data for Progress
Date(s)administered
July 24 – August 2, 2020
Samplesize
1,170 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.2%
ThomTillis (R)
41%
CalCunningham (D)
49%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
10%
YouGov/CBS
YouGov/CBS
Poll source
YouGov/CBS
Date(s)administered
July 28–31, 2020
Samplesize
1,121 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.8%
ThomTillis (R)
39%
CalCunningham (D)
48%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
12%
HIT Strategies (D)
HIT Strategies (D)
Poll source
HIT Strategies (D)
Date(s)administered
July 23–31, 2020
Samplesize
400 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.9%
ThomTillis (R)
32%
CalCunningham (D)
48%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
21%
Change Research/CNBC
Change Research/CNBC
Poll source
Change Research/CNBC
Date(s)administered
July 24–26, 2020
Samplesize
284 (LV)
Marginof error
± 5.6%
ThomTillis (R)
40%
CalCunningham (D)
52%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
8%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
July 17–26, 2020
Samplesize
1,504 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
ThomTillis (R)
37%
CalCunningham (D)
46%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
17%
Cardinal Point Analytics (R)
Cardinal Point Analytics (R)
Poll source
Cardinal Point Analytics (R)
Date(s)administered
July 22–24, 2020
Samplesize
735 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.6%
ThomTillis (R)
43%
CalCunningham (D)
43%
ShannonBray (L)
1%
Other /Undecided
13%
Public Policy Polling
Public Policy Polling
Poll source
Public Policy Polling
Date(s)administered
July 22–23, 2020
Samplesize
939 (V)
Marginof error
± 3.2%
ThomTillis (R)
40%
CalCunningham (D)
48%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
13%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
July 19–23, 2020
Samplesize
919 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.2%
ThomTillis (R)
36%
CalCunningham (D)
47%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
16%
Marist College/NBC News
Marist College/NBC News
Poll source
Marist College/NBC News
Date(s)administered
July 14–22, 2020
Samplesize
882 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
ThomTillis (R)
41%
CalCunningham (D)
50%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
10%
Spry Strategies (R)
Spry Strategies (R)
Poll source
Spry Strategies (R)
Date(s)administered
July 11–16, 2020
Samplesize
750 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
ThomTillis (R)
40%
CalCunningham (D)
40%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
20%
Cardinal Point Analytics (R)
Cardinal Point Analytics (R)
Poll source
Cardinal Point Analytics (R)
Date(s)administered
July 13–15, 2020
Samplesize
547 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.2%
ThomTillis (R)
44%
CalCunningham (D)
47%
ShannonBray (L)
1%
Other /Undecided
7%
Change Research/CNBC
Change Research/CNBC
Poll source
Change Research/CNBC
Date(s)administered
July 10–12, 2020
Samplesize
655 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.8%
ThomTillis (R)
42%
CalCunningham (D)
49%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
9%
Public Policy Polling
Public Policy Polling
Poll source
Public Policy Polling
Date(s)administered
July 7–8, 2020
Samplesize
818 (V)
Marginof error
± 3.4%
ThomTillis (R)
39%
CalCunningham (D)
47%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
15%
Change Research/CNBC
Change Research/CNBC
Poll source
Change Research/CNBC
Date(s)administered
June 26–28, 2020
Samplesize
468 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.9%
ThomTillis (R)
41%
CalCunningham (D)
51%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
8%
East Carolina University
East Carolina University
Poll source
East Carolina University
Date(s)administered
June 22–25, 2020
Samplesize
1,149 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.4%
ThomTillis (R)
41%
CalCunningham (D)
41%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
18%
Public Policy Polling
Public Policy Polling
Poll source
Public Policy Polling
Date(s)administered
June 22–23, 2020
Samplesize
1,157 (V)
Marginof error
± 2.9%
ThomTillis (R)
40%
CalCunningham (D)
44%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
16%
FOX News
FOX News
Poll source
FOX News
Date(s)administered
June 20–23, 2020
Samplesize
1,012 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
ThomTillis (R)
37%
CalCunningham (D)
39%
ShannonBray (L)
3%
Other /Undecided
20%
NYT Upshot/Siena College
NYT Upshot/Siena College
Poll source
NYT Upshot/Siena College
Date(s)administered
June 8–18, 2020
Samplesize
653 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.1%
ThomTillis (R)
39%
CalCunningham (D)
42%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
19%
Gravis Marketing (R)
Gravis Marketing (R)
Poll source
Gravis Marketing (R)
Date(s)administered
June 17, 2020
Samplesize
631 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.9%
ThomTillis (R)
46%
CalCunningham (D)
45%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
9%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Poll source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Date(s)administered
June 14–17, 2020
Samplesize
902 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.3%
ThomTillis (R)
36%
CalCunningham (D)
45%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
19%
Public Policy Polling
Public Policy Polling
Poll source
Public Policy Polling
Date(s)administered
June 2–3, 2020
Samplesize
913 (V)
Marginof error
± 3.2%
ThomTillis (R)
41%
CalCunningham (D)
43%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
16%
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
Poll source
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
Date(s)administered
May 26–28, 2020
Samplesize
500 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
ThomTillis (R)
38%
CalCunningham (D)
36%
ShannonBray (L)
3%
Other /Undecided
24%
Meeting Street Insights (R)
Meeting Street Insights (R)
Poll source
Meeting Street Insights (R)
Date(s)administered
May 9–13, 2020
Samplesize
500 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.8%
ThomTillis (R)
44%
CalCunningham (D)
46%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
8%
East Carolina University
East Carolina University
Poll source
East Carolina University
Date(s)administered
May 7–9, 2020
Samplesize
1,111 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.4%
ThomTillis (R)
40%
CalCunningham (D)
41%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
19%
Civiqs/Daily Kos (D)
Civiqs/Daily Kos (D)
Poll source
Civiqs/Daily Kos (D)
Date(s)administered
May 2–4, 2020
Samplesize
1,362 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
ThomTillis (R)
41%
CalCunningham (D)
50%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
9%
Meredith College
Meredith College
Poll source
Meredith College
Date(s)administered
April 27–28, 2020
Samplesize
604 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
ThomTillis (R)
34%
CalCunningham (D)
44%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
22%
SurveyUSA
SurveyUSA
Poll source
SurveyUSA
Date(s)administered
April 23–26, 2020
Samplesize
580 (LV)
Marginof error
± 5.5%
ThomTillis (R)
39%
CalCunningham (D)
41%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
20%
Public Policy Polling
Public Policy Polling
Poll source
Public Policy Polling
Date(s)administered
April 14–15, 2020
Samplesize
1,318 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.4%
ThomTillis (R)
40%
CalCunningham (D)
47%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
13%
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
Poll source
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
Date(s)administered
April 5–7, 2020
Samplesize
500 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
ThomTillis (R)
38%
CalCunningham (D)
34%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
28%
East Carolina University
East Carolina University
Poll source
East Carolina University
Date(s)administered
February 27–28, 2020
Samplesize
1,288 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.2%
ThomTillis (R)
44%
CalCunningham (D)
42%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
14%
NBC News/Marist
NBC News/Marist
Poll source
NBC News/Marist
Date(s)administered
February 23–27, 2020
Samplesize
2,120 (RV)
Marginof error
± 2.6%
ThomTillis (R)
43%
CalCunningham (D)
48%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
9%
Public Policy Polling
Public Policy Polling
Poll source
Public Policy Polling
Date(s)administered
February 25–26, 2020
Samplesize
911 (RV)
Marginof error
ThomTillis (R)
41%
CalCunningham (D)
46%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
13%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Poll source
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Date(s)administered
January 11–15, 2020
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
ThomTillis (R)
48%
CalCunningham (D)
44%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
8%
ALG Research (D)
ALG Research (D)
Poll source
ALG Research (D)
Date(s)administered
January 8–13, 2020
Samplesize
700 (LV)
Marginof error
ThomTillis (R)
42%
CalCunningham (D)
44%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
13%
Meredith College
Meredith College
Poll source
Meredith College
Date(s)administered
September 29 – October 7, 2019
Samplesize
996 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3%
ThomTillis (R)
33%
CalCunningham (D)
33%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
32%
Public Policy Polling (D)
Public Policy Polling (D)
Poll source
Public Policy Polling (D)
Date(s)administered
September 16–17, 2019
Samplesize
628 (V)
Marginof error
± 3.9%
ThomTillis (R)
43%
CalCunningham (D)
45%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
12%
Fabrizio Ward
Fabrizio Ward
Poll source
Fabrizio Ward
Date(s)administered
July 29–31, 2019
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
ThomTillis (R)
41%
CalCunningham (D)
42%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
17%
Public Policy Polling
Public Policy Polling
Poll source
Public Policy Polling
Date(s)administered
June 17–18, 2019
Samplesize
610 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
ThomTillis (R)
40%
CalCunningham (D)
41%
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
19%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
ThomTillis (R)
CalCunningham (D)
ShannonBray (L)
Other /Undecided
Change Research/CNBC
October 29 – November 1, 2020
473 (LV)
± 4.51%
46%
50%
5%
Swayable
October 27 – November 1, 2020
619 (LV)
± 5.6%
47%
53%
Ipsos/Reuters
October 27 – November 1, 2020
707 (LV)
± 4.2%
46%
48%
6%
Data for Progress
October 27 – November 1, 2020
908 (LV)
± 3.3%
46%
51%
1%
1%
Frederick Polls
October 30–31, 2020
676 (LV)
± 3.7%
46%
50%
3%
2%
Emerson College
October 29–31, 2020
855 (LV)
± 3.3%
47%
50%
2%
Morning Consult
October 22–31, 2020
1,982 (LV)
± 2%
43%
47%
CNN/SSRS
October 23–30, 2020
901 (LV)
± 4%
44%
47%
2%
5%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports
October 28–29, 2020
800 (LV)
± 3.5%
44%
47%
9%
East Carolina University
October 27–28, 2020
1,103 (LV)
± 3.4%
46%
48%
5%
Cardinal Point Analytics (R)
October 27–28, 2020
750 (LV)
± 3.6%
46%
41%
6%
7%
Marist College/NBC
October 25–28, 2020
800 (LV)
± 4.7%
43%
53%
4%
Gravis Marketing
October 26–27, 2020
614 (LV)
± 4%
44%
46%
9%
Public Policy Polling (D)
October 26–27, 2020
937 (V)
± 3.2%
44%
47%
9%
Meeting Street Insights/Carolina Partnership for Reform (R)
October 24–27, 2020
600 (LV)
± 4%
43%
47%
Siena College/NYT Upshot
October 23–27, 2020
1,034 (LV)
± 3.4%
43%
46%
2%
9%
Ipsos/Reuters
October 21–27, 2020
647 (LV)
± 4.4%
47%
48%
4%
RMG Research
October 24–26, 2020
800 (LV)
± 3.5%
42%
49%
9%
40%
51%
9%
43%
48%
9%
Swayable
October 23–26, 2020
363 (LV)
± 7.1%
50%
50%
SurveyUSA
October 23–26, 2020
627 (LV)
± 4.9%
45%
48%
7%
YouGov/UMass Lowell
October 20–26, 2020
911 (LV)
± 4.2%
45%
49%
7%
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
October 22–25, 2020
504 (LV)
± 4.37%
43%
46%
2%
8%
YouGov/CBS
October 20–23, 2020
1,022 (LV)
± 4.1%
43%
49%
8%
Trafalgar Group
October 20–22, 2020
1,098 (LV)
± 2.89%
49%
47%
2%
2%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports
October 20–21, 2020
800 (LV)
± 3.5%
45%
45%
10%
Citizen Data
October 17–20, 2020
1,000 (LV)
± 3.1%
42%
48%
9%
Ipsos/Reuters
October 14–20, 2020
660 (LV)
± 4.3%
47%
47%
6%
Morning Consult
October 11–20, 2020
1,904 (LV)
± 2.2%
42%
48%
Meredith College
October 16–19, 2020
732 (LV)
± 3.5%
38%
43%
4%
15%
Change Research/CNBC
October 16–19, 2020
521 (LV)
45%
51%
Data for Progress (D)
October 15–18, 2020
929 (LV)
± 3.2%
42%
46%
1%
11%
East Carolina University
October 15–18, 2020
1,155 (LV)
± 3.4%
47%
48%
5%
ABC/Washington Post
October 12–17, 2020
646 (LV)
± 4.5%
47%
49%
4%
Emerson College
October 13–14, 2020
721 (LV)
± 3.6%
44%
45%
12%
Civiqs/Daily Kos
October 11–14, 2020
1,211 (LV)
± 3.3%
45%
51%
2%
3%
Siena College/NYT Upshot
October 9–13, 2020
627 (LV)
± 4.5%
37%
41%
4%
19%
Ipsos/Reuters
October 7–13, 2020
660 (LV)
± 4.3%
42%
46%
12%
Monmouth University
October 8–11, 2020
500 (RV)
± 4.4%
44%
48%
3%
4%
500 (LV)
44%
49%
6%
500 (LV)
47%
48%
4%
SurveyUSA
October 8–11, 2020
669 (LV)
± 4.8%
39%
49%
11%
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. (R)
October 7–11, 2020
500 (LV)
± 4.3%
44%
46%
9%
RMG Research
October 7–11, 2020
800 (LV)
36%
46%
4%
15%
Morning Consult
October 2–11, 2020
1,993 (LV)
± 2.2%
41%
47%
Ipsos/Reuters
September 29 – October 6, 2020
693 (LV)
± 4.2%
42%
47%
11%
Public Policy Polling
October 4–5, 2020
911 (V)
± 3.3%
42%
48%
11%
Data For Progress (D)
September 30 – October 5, 2020
1,285 (LV)
± 2.7%
39%
50%
2%
9%
Meredith College
Meredith College
Poll source
Meredith College
Date(s)administered
September 29 – October 7, 2019
Samplesize
996 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3%
ThomTillis (R)
33%
Erica D.Smith (D)
34%
Undecided
17%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
May 31 – June 3, 2019
Samplesize
932 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.1%
ThomTillis (R)
39%
Erica D.Smith (D)
46%
Undecided
15%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
ThomTillis (R)
Erica D.Smith (D)
Undecided
Meredith College
September 29 – October 7, 2019
996 (RV)
± 3%
33%
34%
17%
Emerson College
May 31 – June 3, 2019
932 (RV)
± 3.1%
39%
46%
15%
Public Policy Polling (D)
Public Policy Polling (D)
Poll source
Public Policy Polling (D)
Date(s)administered
June 30 – July 1, 2017
Samplesize
1,102 (V)
Marginof error
± 3.6%
ThomTillis (R)
44%
GenericDemocrat
48%
Undecided
8%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
ThomTillis (R)
GenericDemocrat
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)
June 30 – July 1, 2017
1,102 (V)
± 3.6%
44%
48%
8%
Fabrizio Ward
Fabrizio Ward
Poll source
Fabrizio Ward
Date(s)administered
July 29–31, 2019
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
ThomTillis (R)
26%
GenericOpponent
52%
Other
3%
Undecided
19%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
ThomTillis (R)
GenericOpponent
Other
Undecided
Fabrizio Ward
July 29–31, 2019
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
26%
52%
3%
19%
Ipsos/Reuters
Ipsos/Reuters
Poll source
Ipsos/Reuters
Date(s)administered
September 11–16, 2020
Samplesize
586 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.6%
GenericRepublican
47%
GenericDemocrat
48%
Other/Undecided
5%
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Poll source
Siena College/NYT Upshot
Date(s)administered
September 11–16, 2020
Samplesize
653 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.3%
GenericRepublican
48%
GenericDemocrat
44%
Other/Undecided
8%
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s)administered
August 8–10, 2020
Samplesize
673 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.8%
GenericRepublican
45%
GenericDemocrat
44%
Other/Undecided
11%
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
Poll source
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
Date(s)administered
August 6–10, 2020
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4%
GenericRepublican
42%
GenericDemocrat
43%
Other/Undecided
16%
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
Poll source
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
Date(s)administered
May 26–28, 2020
Samplesize
500 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.38%
GenericRepublican
43%
GenericDemocrat
40%
Other/Undecided
17%
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
Poll source
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
Date(s)administered
April 5–7, 2020
Samplesize
500 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.4%
GenericRepublican
41%
GenericDemocrat
42%
Other/Undecided
17%
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
Poll source
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
Date(s)administered
Released March 17, 2020
Samplesize
Marginof error
GenericRepublican
44%
GenericDemocrat
41%
Other/Undecided
15%
Climate Nexus
Climate Nexus
Poll source
Climate Nexus
Date(s)administered
Feb 11–15, 2020
Samplesize
675 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.9%
GenericRepublican
43%
GenericDemocrat
46%
Other/Undecided
11%
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
Poll source
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
Date(s)administered
Released October 17, 2019
Samplesize
Marginof error
GenericRepublican
40%
GenericDemocrat
41%
Other/Undecided
20%
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
Poll source
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
Date(s)administered
Released September 11, 2019
Samplesize
Marginof error
GenericRepublican
37%
GenericDemocrat
42%
Other/Undecided
21%
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
Poll source
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
Date(s)administered
Released August 4, 2019
Samplesize
Marginof error
GenericRepublican
39%
GenericDemocrat
37%
Other/Undecided
24%
Fabrizio Ward
Fabrizio Ward
Poll source
Fabrizio Ward
Date(s)administered
July 29–31, 2019
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
GenericRepublican
44%
GenericDemocrat
44%
Other/Undecided
11%
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
Poll source
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
Date(s)administered
Released June 10, 2019
Samplesize
Marginof error
GenericRepublican
38%
GenericDemocrat
38%
Other/Undecided
24%
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
Poll source
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
Date(s)administered
Released May 5, 2019
Samplesize
Marginof error
GenericRepublican
39%
GenericDemocrat
39%
Other/Undecided
22%
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
Poll source
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
Date(s)administered
Released March 17, 2019
Samplesize
Marginof error
GenericRepublican
37%
GenericDemocrat
40%
Other/Undecided
22%
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
Poll source
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
Date(s)administered
Released February 13, 2019
Samplesize
Marginof error
GenericRepublican
37%
GenericDemocrat
38%
Other/Undecided
25%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
GenericRepublican
GenericDemocrat
Other/Undecided
Ipsos/Reuters
September 11–16, 2020
586 (LV)
± 4.6%
47%
48%
5%
Siena College/NYT Upshot
September 11–16, 2020
653 (LV)
± 4.3%
48%
44%
8%
Emerson College
August 8–10, 2020
673 (LV)
± 3.8%
45%
44%
11%
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
August 6–10, 2020
600 (LV)
± 4%
42%
43%
16%
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
May 26–28, 2020
500 (LV)
± 4.38%
43%
40%
17%
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
April 5–7, 2020
500 (LV)
± 4.4%
41%
42%
17%
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
Released March 17, 2020
44%
41%
15%
Climate Nexus
Feb 11–15, 2020
675 (RV)
± 3.9%
43%
46%
11%
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
Released October 17, 2019
40%
41%
20%
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
Released September 11, 2019
37%
42%
21%
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
Released August 4, 2019
39%
37%
24%
Fabrizio Ward
July 29–31, 2019
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
44%
44%
11%
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
Released June 10, 2019
38%
38%
24%
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
Released May 5, 2019
39%
39%
22%
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
Released March 17, 2019
37%
40%
22%
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
Released February 13, 2019
37%
38%
25%
2020 United States Senate election in North Carolina[258] · General election › Results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
5,474,952
Candidate
100.00%
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
mw- ±%
Republican
Thom Tillis (incumbent)
2,665,598
48.69%
−0.13%
Democratic
Cal Cunningham
2,569,965
46.94%
−0.32%
Libertarian
Shannon Bray
171,571
3.13%
−0.61%
Constitution
Kevin E. Hayes
67,818
1.24%
N/A
Total votes
5,474,952
100.00%
Republican hold
#
#
County
#
Thom TillisRepublican
%
Thom TillisRepublican
#
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
%
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
#
Shannon BrayLibertarian
%
Shannon BrayLibertarian
#
Kevin HayesConstitution
%
Kevin HayesConstitution
#
Margin
%
Alamance
Alamance
County
Alamance
Thom TillisRepublican
44,246
Thom TillisRepublican
51.74
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
38,038
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
44.49
Shannon BrayLibertarian
2,302
Shannon BrayLibertarian
2.69
Kevin HayesConstitution
922
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.08
Margin
6,208
Margin
7.26
Totalvotes
85,508
Alexander
Alexander
County
Alexander
Thom TillisRepublican
14,739
Thom TillisRepublican
73.53
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
4,287
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
21.39
Shannon BrayLibertarian
563
Shannon BrayLibertarian
2.81
Kevin HayesConstitution
455
Kevin HayesConstitution
2.27
Margin
10,452
Margin
52.15
Totalvotes
20,044
Alleghany
Alleghany
County
Alleghany
Thom TillisRepublican
4,082
Thom TillisRepublican
67.95
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
1,587
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
26.42
Shannon BrayLibertarian
192
Shannon BrayLibertarian
3.20
Kevin HayesConstitution
146
Kevin HayesConstitution
2.43
Margin
2,495
Margin
41.53
Totalvotes
6,007
Anson
Anson
County
Anson
Thom TillisRepublican
4,981
Thom TillisRepublican
44.84
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
5,756
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
51.82
Shannon BrayLibertarian
204
Shannon BrayLibertarian
1.84
Kevin HayesConstitution
167
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.50
Margin
-775
Margin
-6.98
Totalvotes
11,108
Ashe
Ashe
County
Ashe
Thom TillisRepublican
10,619
Thom TillisRepublican
67.91
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
4,279
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
27.37
Shannon BrayLibertarian
457
Shannon BrayLibertarian
2.92
Kevin HayesConstitution
281
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.80
Margin
6,340
Margin
40.55
Totalvotes
15,636
Avery
Avery
County
Avery
Thom TillisRepublican
6,865
Thom TillisRepublican
73.65
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
2,079
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
22.30
Shannon BrayLibertarian
246
Shannon BrayLibertarian
2.64
Kevin HayesConstitution
131
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.41
Margin
4,786
Margin
51.35
Totalvotes
9,321
Beaufort
Beaufort
County
Beaufort
Thom TillisRepublican
15,448
Thom TillisRepublican
59.31
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
9,439
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
36.24
Shannon BrayLibertarian
706
Shannon BrayLibertarian
2.71
Kevin HayesConstitution
453
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.74
Margin
6,009
Margin
23.07
Totalvotes
26,046
Bertie
Bertie
County
Bertie
Thom TillisRepublican
3,597
Thom TillisRepublican
37.11
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
5,825
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
60.09
Shannon BrayLibertarian
158
Shannon BrayLibertarian
1.63
Kevin HayesConstitution
114
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.18
Margin
-2,228
Margin
-22.98
Totalvotes
9,694
Bladen
Bladen
County
Bladen
Thom TillisRepublican
8,967
Thom TillisRepublican
53.12
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
7,280
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
43.13
Shannon BrayLibertarian
399
Shannon BrayLibertarian
2.36
Kevin HayesConstitution
235
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.39
Margin
1,687
Margin
9.99
Totalvotes
16,881
Brunswick
Brunswick
County
Brunswick
Thom TillisRepublican
52,971
Thom TillisRepublican
59.38
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
32,180
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
36.08
Shannon BrayLibertarian
2,881
Shannon BrayLibertarian
3.23
Kevin HayesConstitution
1,170
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.31
Margin
20,791
Margin
23.31
Totalvotes
89,202
Buncombe
Buncombe
County
Buncombe
Thom TillisRepublican
60,688
Thom TillisRepublican
37.92
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
92,664
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
57.90
Shannon BrayLibertarian
5,054
Shannon BrayLibertarian
3.16
Kevin HayesConstitution
1,636
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.02
Margin
-31,976
Margin
-19.98
Totalvotes
160,042
Burke
Burke
County
Burke
Thom TillisRepublican
28,934
Thom TillisRepublican
65.51
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
13,108
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
29.68
Shannon BrayLibertarian
1,309
Shannon BrayLibertarian
2.96
Kevin HayesConstitution
819
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.85
Margin
15,826
Margin
35.83
Totalvotes
44,170
Cabarrus
Cabarrus
County
Cabarrus
Thom TillisRepublican
61,231
Thom TillisRepublican
52.74
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
48,886
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
42.11
Shannon BrayLibertarian
4,261
Shannon BrayLibertarian
3.67
Kevin HayesConstitution
1,724
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.48
Margin
12,345
Margin
10.63
Totalvotes
116,102
Caldwell
Caldwell
County
Caldwell
Thom TillisRepublican
29,971
Thom TillisRepublican
70.76
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
10,288
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
24.29
Shannon BrayLibertarian
1,299
Shannon BrayLibertarian
3.07
Kevin HayesConstitution
799
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.89
Margin
19,683
Margin
46.47
Totalvotes
42,357
Camden
Camden
County
Camden
Thom TillisRepublican
4,181
Thom TillisRepublican
71.62
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
1,403
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
24.03
Shannon BrayLibertarian
183
Shannon BrayLibertarian
3.13
Kevin HayesConstitution
71
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.22
Margin
2,778
Margin
47.59
Totalvotes
5,838
Carteret
Carteret
County
Carteret
Thom TillisRepublican
28,492
Thom TillisRepublican
67.47
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
11,823
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
28.00
Shannon BrayLibertarian
1,312
Shannon BrayLibertarian
3.11
Kevin HayesConstitution
601
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.42
Margin
16,669
Margin
39.47
Totalvotes
42,228
Caswell
Caswell
County
Caswell
Thom TillisRepublican
6,643
Thom TillisRepublican
55.54
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
4,916
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
41.10
Shannon BrayLibertarian
278
Shannon BrayLibertarian
2.32
Kevin HayesConstitution
124
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.04
Margin
1,727
Margin
14.44
Totalvotes
11,961
Catawba
Catawba
County
Catawba
Thom TillisRepublican
54,004
Thom TillisRepublican
65.16
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
24,845
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
29.98
Shannon BrayLibertarian
2,550
Shannon BrayLibertarian
3.08
Kevin HayesConstitution
1,484
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.79
Margin
29,159
Margin
35.18
Totalvotes
82,883
Chatham
Chatham
County
Chatham
Thom TillisRepublican
21,039
Thom TillisRepublican
43.52
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
25,697
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
53.16
Shannon BrayLibertarian
1,171
Shannon BrayLibertarian
2.42
Kevin HayesConstitution
431
Kevin HayesConstitution
0.89
Margin
-4,658
Margin
-9.64
Totalvotes
48,338
Cherokee
Cherokee
County
Cherokee
Thom TillisRepublican
12,048
Thom TillisRepublican
73.98
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
3,589
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
22.04
Shannon BrayLibertarian
408
Shannon BrayLibertarian
2.50
Kevin HayesConstitution
241
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.48
Margin
8,459
Margin
51.94
Totalvotes
16,286
Chowan
Chowan
County
Chowan
Thom TillisRepublican
4,353
Thom TillisRepublican
56.61
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
3,124
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
40.63
Shannon BrayLibertarian
139
Shannon BrayLibertarian
1.81
Kevin HayesConstitution
73
Kevin HayesConstitution
0.95
Margin
1,229
Margin
15.98
Totalvotes
7,689
Clay
Clay
County
Clay
Thom TillisRepublican
4,897
Thom TillisRepublican
71.90
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
1,676
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
24.61
Shannon BrayLibertarian
140
Shannon BrayLibertarian
2.05
Kevin HayesConstitution
98
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.44
Margin
3,221
Margin
47.29
Totalvotes
6,811
Cleveland
Cleveland
County
Cleveland
Thom TillisRepublican
32,022
Thom TillisRepublican
63.06
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
16,752
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
32.99
Shannon BrayLibertarian
1,235
Shannon BrayLibertarian
2.43
Kevin HayesConstitution
768
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.51
Margin
15,270
Margin
30.07
Totalvotes
50,777
Columbus
Columbus
County
Columbus
Thom TillisRepublican
15,563
Thom TillisRepublican
59.62
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
9,599
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
36.77
Shannon BrayLibertarian
516
Shannon BrayLibertarian
1.98
Kevin HayesConstitution
424
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.62
Margin
5,964
Margin
22.85
Totalvotes
26,102
Craven
Craven
County
Craven
Thom TillisRepublican
29,542
Thom TillisRepublican
56.25
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
20,416
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
38.87
Shannon BrayLibertarian
1,772
Shannon BrayLibertarian
3.37
Kevin HayesConstitution
791
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.51
Margin
9,126
Margin
17.38
Totalvotes
52,521
Cumberland
Cumberland
County
Cumberland
Thom TillisRepublican
57,121
Thom TillisRepublican
39.20
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
81,001
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
55.59
Shannon BrayLibertarian
5,379
Shannon BrayLibertarian
3.69
Kevin HayesConstitution
2,218
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.52
Margin
-23,880
Margin
-16.39
Totalvotes
145,719
Currituck
Currituck
County
Currituck
Thom TillisRepublican
11,368
Thom TillisRepublican
71.29
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
3,849
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
24.14
Shannon BrayLibertarian
554
Shannon BrayLibertarian
3.47
Kevin HayesConstitution
175
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.10
Margin
7,519
Margin
47.15
Totalvotes
15,946
Dare
Dare
County
Dare
Thom TillisRepublican
13,581
Thom TillisRepublican
56.98
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
9,284
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
38.95
Shannon BrayLibertarian
766
Shannon BrayLibertarian
3.21
Kevin HayesConstitution
204
Kevin HayesConstitution
0.86
Margin
4,297
Margin
18.03
Totalvotes
23,835
Davidson
Davidson
County
Davidson
Thom TillisRepublican
60,686
Thom TillisRepublican
68.81
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
23,660
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
26.83
Shannon BrayLibertarian
2,496
Shannon BrayLibertarian
2.83
Kevin HayesConstitution
1,346
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.53
Margin
37,026
Margin
41.99
Totalvotes
88,188
Davie
Davie
County
Davie
Thom TillisRepublican
17,415
Thom TillisRepublican
69.21
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
6,570
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
26.11
Shannon BrayLibertarian
781
Shannon BrayLibertarian
3.10
Kevin HayesConstitution
396
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.57
Margin
10,845
Margin
43.10
Totalvotes
25,162
Duplin
Duplin
County
Duplin
Thom TillisRepublican
12,954
Thom TillisRepublican
57.75
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
8,689
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
38.73
Shannon BrayLibertarian
477
Shannon BrayLibertarian
2.13
Kevin HayesConstitution
312
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.39
Margin
4,265
Margin
19.01
Totalvotes
22,432
Durham
Durham
County
Durham
Thom TillisRepublican
34,152
Thom TillisRepublican
19.20
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
138,429
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
77.40
Shannon BrayLibertarian
5,041
Shannon BrayLibertarian
2.82
Kevin HayesConstitution
1,224
Kevin HayesConstitution
0.68
Margin
-104,277
Margin
-58.30
Totalvotes
178,846
Edgecombe
Edgecombe
County
Edgecombe
Thom TillisRepublican
8,582
Thom TillisRepublican
33.90
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
15,952
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
63.01
Shannon BrayLibertarian
506
Shannon BrayLibertarian
2.00
Kevin HayesConstitution
278
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.10
Margin
-7,370
Margin
-29.11
Totalvotes
25,318
Forsyth
Forsyth
County
Forsyth
Thom TillisRepublican
83,228
Thom TillisRepublican
41.72
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
107,277
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
53.77
Shannon BrayLibertarian
6,533
Shannon BrayLibertarian
3.27
Kevin HayesConstitution
2,471
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.24
Margin
-24,049
Margin
-12.05
Totalvotes
199,509
Franklin
Franklin
County
Franklin
Thom TillisRepublican
19,654
Thom TillisRepublican
52.94
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
15,659
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
42.18
Shannon BrayLibertarian
1,246
Shannon BrayLibertarian
3.36
Kevin HayesConstitution
565
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.52
Margin
3,995
Margin
10.76
Totalvotes
37,124
Gaston
Gaston
County
Gaston
Thom TillisRepublican
69,398
Thom TillisRepublican
60.77
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
39,595
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
34.67
Shannon BrayLibertarian
3,548
Shannon BrayLibertarian
3.11
Kevin HayesConstitution
1,660
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.45
Margin
29,803
Margin
26.07
Totalvotes
114,201
Gates
Gates
County
Gates
Thom TillisRepublican
3,205
Thom TillisRepublican
54.46
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
2,474
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
42.04
Shannon BrayLibertarian
132
Shannon BrayLibertarian
2.24
Kevin HayesConstitution
74
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.26
Margin
731
Margin
12.42
Totalvotes
5,885
Graham
Graham
County
Graham
Thom TillisRepublican
3,355
Thom TillisRepublican
73.75
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
1,013
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
22.27
Shannon BrayLibertarian
94
Shannon BrayLibertarian
2.07
Kevin HayesConstitution
87
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.91
Margin
2,342
Margin
51.48
Totalvotes
4,549
Granville
Granville
County
Granville
Thom TillisRepublican
15,687
Thom TillisRepublican
50.02
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
14,368
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
45.82
Shannon BrayLibertarian
908
Shannon BrayLibertarian
2.90
Kevin HayesConstitution
396
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.26
Margin
1,319
Margin
4.21
Totalvotes
31,359
Greene
Greene
County
Greene
Thom TillisRepublican
4,591
Thom TillisRepublican
52.78
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
3,842
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
44.17
Shannon BrayLibertarian
189
Shannon BrayLibertarian
2.17
Kevin HayesConstitution
77
Kevin HayesConstitution
0.89
Margin
749
Margin
8.61
Totalvotes
8,699
Guilford
Guilford
County
Guilford
Thom TillisRepublican
104,908
Thom TillisRepublican
37.18
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
165,823
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
58.77
Shannon BrayLibertarian
8,587
Shannon BrayLibertarian
3.04
Kevin HayesConstitution
2,819
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.00
Margin
-60,915
Margin
-21.59
Totalvotes
282,137
Halifax
Halifax
County
Halifax
Thom TillisRepublican
9,446
Thom TillisRepublican
36.93
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
15,438
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
60.36
Shannon BrayLibertarian
456
Shannon BrayLibertarian
1.78
Kevin HayesConstitution
237
Kevin HayesConstitution
0.93
Margin
-5,992
Margin
-23.43
Totalvotes
25,577
Harnett
Harnett
County
Harnett
Thom TillisRepublican
33,321
Thom TillisRepublican
57.57
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
21,523
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
37.18
Shannon BrayLibertarian
2,128
Shannon BrayLibertarian
3.68
Kevin HayesConstitution
911
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.57
Margin
11,798
Margin
20.38
Totalvotes
57,883
Haywood
Haywood
County
Haywood
Thom TillisRepublican
21,502
Thom TillisRepublican
59.26
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
13,113
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
36.14
Shannon BrayLibertarian
1,081
Shannon BrayLibertarian
2.98
Kevin HayesConstitution
587
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.62
Margin
8,389
Margin
23.12
Totalvotes
36,283
Henderson
Henderson
County
Henderson
Thom TillisRepublican
39,359
Thom TillisRepublican
57.99
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
25,782
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
37.99
Shannon BrayLibertarian
1,964
Shannon BrayLibertarian
2.89
Kevin HayesConstitution
768
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.13
Margin
13,577
Margin
20.00
Totalvotes
67,873
Hertford
Hertford
County
Hertford
Thom TillisRepublican
3,305
Thom TillisRepublican
31.80
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
6,815
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
65.58
Shannon BrayLibertarian
154
Shannon BrayLibertarian
1.48
Kevin HayesConstitution
118
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.14
Margin
-3,510
Margin
-33.78
Totalvotes
10,392
Hoke
Hoke
County
Hoke
Thom TillisRepublican
8,638
Thom TillisRepublican
40.40
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
11,466
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
53.62
Shannon BrayLibertarian
909
Shannon BrayLibertarian
4.25
Kevin HayesConstitution
370
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.73
Margin
-2,828
Margin
-13.22
Totalvotes
21,383
Hyde
Hyde
County
Hyde
Thom TillisRepublican
1,315
Thom TillisRepublican
53.26
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
1,075
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
43.54
Shannon BrayLibertarian
53
Shannon BrayLibertarian
2.15
Kevin HayesConstitution
26
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.05
Margin
240
Margin
9.72
Totalvotes
2,469
Iredell
Iredell
County
Iredell
Thom TillisRepublican
64,319
Thom TillisRepublican
63.44
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
31,893
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
31.46
Shannon BrayLibertarian
3,487
Shannon BrayLibertarian
3.44
Kevin HayesConstitution
1,687
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.66
Margin
32,426
Margin
31.98
Totalvotes
101,386
Jackson
Jackson
County
Jackson
Thom TillisRepublican
10,763
Thom TillisRepublican
50.68
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
9,382
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
44.17
Shannon BrayLibertarian
788
Shannon BrayLibertarian
3.71
Kevin HayesConstitution
306
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.44
Margin
1,381
Margin
6.50
Totalvotes
21,239
Johnston
Johnston
County
Johnston
Thom TillisRepublican
64,822
Thom TillisRepublican
58.82
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
39,771
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
36.09
Shannon BrayLibertarian
3,953
Shannon BrayLibertarian
3.59
Kevin HayesConstitution
1,667
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.51
Margin
25,051
Margin
22.73
Totalvotes
110,213
Jones
Jones
County
Jones
Thom TillisRepublican
3,046
Thom TillisRepublican
55.85
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
2,124
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
38.94
Shannon BrayLibertarian
182
Shannon BrayLibertarian
3.34
Kevin HayesConstitution
102
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.87
Margin
922
Margin
16.91
Totalvotes
5,454
Lee
Lee
County
Lee
Thom TillisRepublican
15,419
Thom TillisRepublican
53.70
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
11,851
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
41.27
Shannon BrayLibertarian
979
Shannon BrayLibertarian
3.41
Kevin HayesConstitution
465
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.62
Margin
3,568
Margin
12.43
Totalvotes
28,714
Lenoir
Lenoir
County
Lenoir
Thom TillisRepublican
13,898
Thom TillisRepublican
49.43
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
13,284
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
47.24
Shannon BrayLibertarian
591
Shannon BrayLibertarian
2.10
Kevin HayesConstitution
346
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.23
Margin
614
Margin
2.18
Totalvotes
28,119
Lincoln
Lincoln
County
Lincoln
Thom TillisRepublican
34,673
Thom TillisRepublican
69.66
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
12,858
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
25.83
Shannon BrayLibertarian
1,482
Shannon BrayLibertarian
2.98
Kevin HayesConstitution
763
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.53
Margin
21,815
Margin
43.83
Totalvotes
49,776
Macon
Macon
County
Macon
Thom TillisRepublican
13,408
Thom TillisRepublican
65.35
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
6,248
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
30.45
Shannon BrayLibertarian
521
Shannon BrayLibertarian
2.54
Kevin HayesConstitution
340
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.66
Margin
7,160
Margin
34.90
Totalvotes
20,517
Madison
Madison
County
Madison
Thom TillisRepublican
7,399
Thom TillisRepublican
57.17
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
4,987
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
38.53
Shannon BrayLibertarian
362
Shannon BrayLibertarian
2.80
Kevin HayesConstitution
195
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.51
Margin
2,412
Margin
18.64
Totalvotes
12,943
Martin
Martin
County
Martin
Thom TillisRepublican
6,034
Thom TillisRepublican
48.57
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
5,973
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
48.08
Shannon BrayLibertarian
257
Shannon BrayLibertarian
2.07
Kevin HayesConstitution
160
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.29
Margin
61
Margin
0.49
Totalvotes
12,424
McDowell
McDowell
County
McDowell
Thom TillisRepublican
15,894
Thom TillisRepublican
69.87
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
5,934
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
26.09
Shannon BrayLibertarian
565
Shannon BrayLibertarian
2.48
Kevin HayesConstitution
354
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.56
Margin
9,960
Margin
43.79
Totalvotes
22,747
Mecklenburg
Mecklenburg
County
Mecklenburg
Thom TillisRepublican
186,693
Thom TillisRepublican
33.18
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
350,775
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
62.34
Shannon BrayLibertarian
19,764
Shannon BrayLibertarian
3.51
Kevin HayesConstitution
5,440
Kevin HayesConstitution
0.97
Margin
-164,082
Margin
-29.16
Totalvotes
562,672
Mitchell
Mitchell
County
Mitchell
Thom TillisRepublican
6,735
Thom TillisRepublican
75.32
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
1,919
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
21.46
Shannon BrayLibertarian
181
Shannon BrayLibertarian
2.02
Kevin HayesConstitution
107
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.20
Margin
4,816
Margin
53.86
Totalvotes
8,942
Montgomery
Montgomery
County
Montgomery
Thom TillisRepublican
7,741
Thom TillisRepublican
60.95
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
4,379
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
34.48
Shannon BrayLibertarian
324
Shannon BrayLibertarian
2.55
Kevin HayesConstitution
256
Kevin HayesConstitution
2.02
Margin
3,362
Margin
26.47
Totalvotes
12,700
Moore
Moore
County
Moore
Thom TillisRepublican
35,682
Thom TillisRepublican
61.71
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
19,633
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
33.95
Shannon BrayLibertarian
1,760
Shannon BrayLibertarian
3.04
Kevin HayesConstitution
748
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.29
Margin
16,049
Margin
27.76
Totalvotes
57,823
Nash
Nash
County
Nash
Thom TillisRepublican
24,719
Thom TillisRepublican
47.63
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
25,474
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
49.09
Shannon BrayLibertarian
1,117
Shannon BrayLibertarian
2.15
Kevin HayesConstitution
585
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.13
Margin
-755
Margin
-1.46
Totalvotes
51,895
New Hanover
New Hanover
County
New Hanover
Thom TillisRepublican
61,415
Thom TillisRepublican
47.13
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
61,702
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
47.35
Shannon BrayLibertarian
5,516
Shannon BrayLibertarian
4.23
Kevin HayesConstitution
1,685
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.29
Margin
-287
Margin
-0.22
Totalvotes
130,318
Northampton
Northampton
County
Northampton
Thom TillisRepublican
3,720
Thom TillisRepublican
37.16
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
6,005
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
59.98
Shannon BrayLibertarian
187
Shannon BrayLibertarian
1.87
Kevin HayesConstitution
99
Kevin HayesConstitution
0.99
Margin
-2,285
Margin
-22.82
Totalvotes
10,011
Onslow
Onslow
County
Onslow
Thom TillisRepublican
42,868
Thom TillisRepublican
60.21
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
23,344
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
32.79
Shannon BrayLibertarian
3,627
Shannon BrayLibertarian
5.09
Kevin HayesConstitution
1,363
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.91
Margin
19,524
Margin
27.42
Totalvotes
71,202
Orange
Orange
County
Orange
Thom TillisRepublican
20,862
Thom TillisRepublican
24.68
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
61,214
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
72.42
Shannon BrayLibertarian
1,961
Shannon BrayLibertarian
2.32
Kevin HayesConstitution
488
Kevin HayesConstitution
0.58
Margin
-40,352
Margin
-47.74
Totalvotes
84,525
Pamlico
Pamlico
County
Pamlico
Thom TillisRepublican
4,589
Thom TillisRepublican
60.53
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
2,681
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
35.36
Shannon BrayLibertarian
188
Shannon BrayLibertarian
2.48
Kevin HayesConstitution
123
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.62
Margin
1,908
Margin
25.17
Totalvotes
7,581
Pasquotank
Pasquotank
County
Pasquotank
Thom TillisRepublican
9,491
Thom TillisRepublican
48.31
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
9,421
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
47.95
Shannon BrayLibertarian
538
Shannon BrayLibertarian
2.74
Kevin HayesConstitution
198
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.01
Margin
70
Margin
0.36
Totalvotes
19,648
Pender
Pender
County
Pender
Thom TillisRepublican
20,660
Thom TillisRepublican
61.20
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
11,272
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
33.39
Shannon BrayLibertarian
1,274
Shannon BrayLibertarian
3.77
Kevin HayesConstitution
553
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.64
Margin
9,388
Margin
27.81
Totalvotes
33,759
Perquimans
Perquimans
County
Perquimans
Thom TillisRepublican
4,817
Thom TillisRepublican
64.87
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
2,382
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
32.08
Shannon BrayLibertarian
139
Shannon BrayLibertarian
1.87
Kevin HayesConstitution
88
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.19
Margin
2,435
Margin
32.79
Totalvotes
7,426
Person
Person
County
Person
Thom TillisRepublican
12,192
Thom TillisRepublican
56.49
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
8,475
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
39.27
Shannon BrayLibertarian
600
Shannon BrayLibertarian
2.78
Kevin HayesConstitution
315
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.46
Margin
3,717
Margin
17.22
Totalvotes
21,582
Pitt
Pitt
County
Pitt
Thom TillisRepublican
37,947
Thom TillisRepublican
43.67
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
45,598
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
52.47
Shannon BrayLibertarian
2,510
Shannon BrayLibertarian
2.89
Kevin HayesConstitution
846
Kevin HayesConstitution
0.97
Margin
-7,651
Margin
-8.80
Totalvotes
86,901
Polk
Polk
County
Polk
Thom TillisRepublican
7,394
Thom TillisRepublican
60.35
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
4,436
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
36.21
Shannon BrayLibertarian
286
Shannon BrayLibertarian
2.33
Kevin HayesConstitution
136
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.11
Margin
2,958
Margin
24.14
Totalvotes
12,252
Randolph
Randolph
County
Randolph
Thom TillisRepublican
53,357
Thom TillisRepublican
73.52
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
15,973
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
22.01
Shannon BrayLibertarian
2,097
Shannon BrayLibertarian
2.89
Kevin HayesConstitution
1,143
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.58
Margin
37,384
Margin
51.51
Totalvotes
72,570
Richmond
Richmond
County
Richmond
Thom TillisRepublican
11,002
Thom TillisRepublican
53.85
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
8,510
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
41.65
Shannon BrayLibertarian
566
Shannon BrayLibertarian
2.77
Kevin HayesConstitution
352
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.72
Margin
2,492
Margin
12.20
Totalvotes
20,430
Robeson
Robeson
County
Robeson
Thom TillisRepublican
25,211
Thom TillisRepublican
54.87
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
19,135
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
41.64
Shannon BrayLibertarian
955
Shannon BrayLibertarian
2.08
Kevin HayesConstitution
648
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.41
Margin
6,076
Margin
13.22
Totalvotes
45,949
Rockingham
Rockingham
County
Rockingham
Thom TillisRepublican
28,971
Thom TillisRepublican
61.23
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
16,189
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
34.22
Shannon BrayLibertarian
1,473
Shannon BrayLibertarian
3.11
Kevin HayesConstitution
680
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.44
Margin
12,782
Margin
27.02
Totalvotes
47,313
Rowan
Rowan
County
Rowan
Thom TillisRepublican
46,446
Thom TillisRepublican
63.84
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
22,615
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
31.09
Shannon BrayLibertarian
2,254
Shannon BrayLibertarian
3.10
Kevin HayesConstitution
1,433
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.97
Margin
23,831
Margin
32.76
Totalvotes
72,748
Rutherford
Rutherford
County
Rutherford
Thom TillisRepublican
23,596
Thom TillisRepublican
69.26
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
9,136
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
26.82
Shannon BrayLibertarian
781
Shannon BrayLibertarian
2.29
Kevin HayesConstitution
554
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.63
Margin
14,460
Margin
42.45
Totalvotes
34,067
Sampson
Sampson
County
Sampson
Thom TillisRepublican
16,521
Thom TillisRepublican
58.25
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
10,818
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
38.15
Shannon BrayLibertarian
636
Shannon BrayLibertarian
2.24
Kevin HayesConstitution
385
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.36
Margin
5,703
Margin
20.11
Totalvotes
28,360
Scotland
Scotland
County
Scotland
Thom TillisRepublican
7,066
Thom TillisRepublican
48.86
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
6,850
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
47.37
Shannon BrayLibertarian
322
Shannon BrayLibertarian
2.23
Kevin HayesConstitution
223
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.54
Margin
216
Margin
1.49
Totalvotes
14,461
Stanly
Stanly
County
Stanly
Thom TillisRepublican
23,891
Thom TillisRepublican
71.17
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
8,045
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
23.96
Shannon BrayLibertarian
961
Shannon BrayLibertarian
2.86
Kevin HayesConstitution
674
Kevin HayesConstitution
2.01
Margin
15,846
Margin
47.20
Totalvotes
33,571
Stokes
Stokes
County
Stokes
Thom TillisRepublican
18,599
Thom TillisRepublican
72.99
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
5,611
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
22.02
Shannon BrayLibertarian
812
Shannon BrayLibertarian
3.19
Kevin HayesConstitution
458
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.80
Margin
12,988
Margin
50.97
Totalvotes
25,480
Surry
Surry
County
Surry
Thom TillisRepublican
25,475
Thom TillisRepublican
70.17
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
9,267
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
25.53
Shannon BrayLibertarian
1,030
Shannon BrayLibertarian
2.84
Kevin HayesConstitution
531
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.46
Margin
16,208
Margin
44.65
Totalvotes
36,303
Swain
Swain
County
Swain
Thom TillisRepublican
3,846
Thom TillisRepublican
55.17
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
2,696
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
38.67
Shannon BrayLibertarian
298
Shannon BrayLibertarian
4.27
Kevin HayesConstitution
131
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.88
Margin
1,150
Margin
16.50
Totalvotes
6,971
Transylvania
Transylvania
County
Transylvania
Thom TillisRepublican
11,209
Thom TillisRepublican
55.48
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
8,158
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
40.38
Shannon BrayLibertarian
552
Shannon BrayLibertarian
2.73
Kevin HayesConstitution
286
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.42
Margin
3,051
Margin
15.10
Totalvotes
20,205
Tyrrell
Tyrrell
County
Tyrrell
Thom TillisRepublican
945
Thom TillisRepublican
52.97
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
778
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
43.61
Shannon BrayLibertarian
37
Shannon BrayLibertarian
2.07
Kevin HayesConstitution
24
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.35
Margin
167
Margin
9.36
Totalvotes
1,784
Union
Union
County
Union
Thom TillisRepublican
79,645
Thom TillisRepublican
61.34
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
45,096
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
34.73
Shannon BrayLibertarian
3,765
Shannon BrayLibertarian
2.90
Kevin HayesConstitution
1,338
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.03
Margin
34,549
Margin
26.61
Totalvotes
129,844
Vance
Vance
County
Vance
Thom TillisRepublican
7,876
Thom TillisRepublican
37.84
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
12,247
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
58.84
Shannon BrayLibertarian
455
Shannon BrayLibertarian
2.19
Kevin HayesConstitution
237
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.14
Margin
-4,371
Margin
-21.00
Totalvotes
20,815
Wake
Wake
County
Wake
Thom TillisRepublican
232,388
Thom TillisRepublican
37.05
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
367,718
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
58.63
Shannon BrayLibertarian
22,230
Shannon BrayLibertarian
3.54
Kevin HayesConstitution
4,893
Kevin HayesConstitution
0.78
Margin
-135,330
Margin
-21.58
Totalvotes
627,229
Warren
Warren
County
Warren
Thom TillisRepublican
3,520
Thom TillisRepublican
34.30
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
6,437
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
62.72
Shannon BrayLibertarian
194
Shannon BrayLibertarian
1.89
Kevin HayesConstitution
112
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.09
Margin
-2,917
Margin
-28.42
Totalvotes
10,263
Washington
Washington
County
Washington
Thom TillisRepublican
2,584
Thom TillisRepublican
42.05
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
3,329
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
54.17
Shannon BrayLibertarian
128
Shannon BrayLibertarian
2.08
Kevin HayesConstitution
104
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.69
Margin
-745
Margin
-12.12
Totalvotes
6,145
Watauga
Watauga
County
Watauga
Thom TillisRepublican
14,216
Thom TillisRepublican
44.59
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
16,193
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
50.80
Shannon BrayLibertarian
1,138
Shannon BrayLibertarian
3.57
Kevin HayesConstitution
331
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.04
Margin
-1,977
Margin
-6.20
Totalvotes
31,878
Wayne
Wayne
County
Wayne
Thom TillisRepublican
29,174
Thom TillisRepublican
53.10
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
23,528
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
42.82
Shannon BrayLibertarian
1,419
Shannon BrayLibertarian
2.58
Kevin HayesConstitution
823
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.50
Margin
5,646
Margin
10.28
Totalvotes
54,944
Wilkes
Wilkes
County
Wilkes
Thom TillisRepublican
25,488
Thom TillisRepublican
72.67
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
8,074
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
23.02
Shannon BrayLibertarian
924
Shannon BrayLibertarian
2.64
Kevin HayesConstitution
587
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.67
Margin
17,414
Margin
49.65
Totalvotes
35,073
Wilson
Wilson
County
Wilson
Thom TillisRepublican
18,642
Thom TillisRepublican
46.13
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
20,445
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
50.59
Shannon BrayLibertarian
885
Shannon BrayLibertarian
2.19
Kevin HayesConstitution
439
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.09
Margin
-1,803
Margin
-4.46
Totalvotes
40,411
Yadkin
Yadkin
County
Yadkin
Thom TillisRepublican
14,798
Thom TillisRepublican
74.86
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
4,036
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
20.42
Shannon BrayLibertarian
553
Shannon BrayLibertarian
2.80
Kevin HayesConstitution
381
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.93
Margin
10,762
Margin
54.44
Totalvotes
19,768
Yancey
Yancey
County
Yancey
Thom TillisRepublican
7,038
Thom TillisRepublican
62.39
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
3,833
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
33.98
Shannon BrayLibertarian
250
Shannon BrayLibertarian
2.22
Kevin HayesConstitution
159
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.41
Margin
3,205
Margin
28.41
Totalvotes
11,280
Totals
Totals
County
Totals
Thom TillisRepublican
2,665,598
Thom TillisRepublican
48.69
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
2,569,965
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
46.94
Shannon BrayLibertarian
171,571
Shannon BrayLibertarian
3.13
Kevin HayesConstitution
67,818
Kevin HayesConstitution
1.24
Margin
95,633
Margin
1.75
Totalvotes
5,474,952
County
Thom TillisRepublican
Cal CunninghamDemocratic
Shannon BrayLibertarian
Kevin HayesConstitution
Margin
Totalvotes
#
%
#
%
#
%
#
%
#
%
Alamance
44,246
51.74
38,038
44.49
2,302
2.69
922
1.08
6,208
7.26
85,508
Alexander
14,739
73.53
4,287
21.39
563
2.81
455
2.27
10,452
52.15
20,044
Alleghany
4,082
67.95
1,587
26.42
192
3.20
146
2.43
2,495
41.53
6,007
Anson
4,981
44.84
5,756
51.82
204
1.84
167
1.50
-775
-6.98
11,108
Ashe
10,619
67.91
4,279
27.37
457
2.92
281
1.80
6,340
40.55
15,636
Avery
6,865
73.65
2,079
22.30
246
2.64
131
1.41
4,786
51.35
9,321
Beaufort
15,448
59.31
9,439
36.24
706
2.71
453
1.74
6,009
23.07
26,046
Bertie
3,597
37.11
5,825
60.09
158
1.63
114
1.18
-2,228
-22.98
9,694
Bladen
8,967
53.12
7,280
43.13
399
2.36
235
1.39
1,687
9.99
16,881
Brunswick
52,971
59.38
32,180
36.08
2,881
3.23
1,170
1.31
20,791
23.31
89,202
Buncombe
60,688
37.92
92,664
57.90
5,054
3.16
1,636
1.02
-31,976
-19.98
160,042
Burke
28,934
65.51
13,108
29.68
1,309
2.96
819
1.85
15,826
35.83
44,170
Cabarrus
61,231
52.74
48,886
42.11
4,261
3.67
1,724
1.48
12,345
10.63
116,102
Caldwell
29,971
70.76
10,288
24.29
1,299
3.07
799
1.89
19,683
46.47
42,357
Camden
4,181
71.62
1,403
24.03
183
3.13
71
1.22
2,778
47.59
5,838
Carteret
28,492
67.47
11,823
28.00
1,312
3.11
601
1.42
16,669
39.47
42,228
Caswell
6,643
55.54
4,916
41.10
278
2.32
124
1.04
1,727
14.44
11,961
Catawba
54,004
65.16
24,845
29.98
2,550
3.08
1,484
1.79
29,159
35.18
82,883
Chatham
21,039
43.52
25,697
53.16
1,171
2.42
431
0.89
-4,658
-9.64
48,338
Cherokee
12,048
73.98
3,589
22.04
408
2.50
241
1.48
8,459
51.94
16,286
Chowan
4,353
56.61
3,124
40.63
139
1.81
73
0.95
1,229
15.98
7,689
Clay
4,897
71.90
1,676
24.61
140
2.05
98
1.44
3,221
47.29
6,811
Cleveland
32,022
63.06
16,752
32.99
1,235
2.43
768
1.51
15,270
30.07
50,777
Columbus
15,563
59.62
9,599
36.77
516
1.98
424
1.62
5,964
22.85
26,102
Craven
29,542
56.25
20,416
38.87
1,772
3.37
791
1.51
9,126
17.38
52,521
Cumberland
57,121
39.20
81,001
55.59
5,379
3.69
2,218
1.52
-23,880
-16.39
145,719
Currituck
11,368
71.29
3,849
24.14
554
3.47
175
1.10
7,519
47.15
15,946
Dare
13,581
56.98
9,284
38.95
766
3.21
204
0.86
4,297
18.03
23,835
Davidson
60,686
68.81
23,660
26.83
2,496
2.83
1,346
1.53
37,026
41.99
88,188
Davie
17,415
69.21
6,570
26.11
781
3.10
396
1.57
10,845
43.10
25,162
Duplin
12,954
57.75
8,689
38.73
477
2.13
312
1.39
4,265
19.01
22,432
Durham
34,152
19.20
138,429
77.40
5,041
2.82
1,224
0.68
-104,277
-58.30
178,846
Edgecombe
8,582
33.90
15,952
63.01
506
2.00
278
1.10
-7,370
-29.11
25,318
Forsyth
83,228
41.72
107,277
53.77
6,533
3.27
2,471
1.24
-24,049
-12.05
199,509
Franklin
19,654
52.94
15,659
42.18
1,246
3.36
565
1.52
3,995
10.76
37,124
Gaston
69,398
60.77
39,595
34.67
3,548
3.11
1,660
1.45
29,803
26.07
114,201
Gates
3,205
54.46
2,474
42.04
132
2.24
74
1.26
731
12.42
5,885
Graham
3,355
73.75
1,013
22.27
94
2.07
87
1.91
2,342
51.48
4,549
Granville
15,687
50.02
14,368
45.82
908
2.90
396
1.26
1,319
4.21
31,359
Greene
4,591
52.78
3,842
44.17
189
2.17
77
0.89
749
8.61
8,699
Guilford
104,908
37.18
165,823
58.77
8,587
3.04
2,819
1.00
-60,915
-21.59
282,137
Halifax
9,446
36.93
15,438
60.36
456
1.78
237
0.93
-5,992
-23.43
25,577
Harnett
33,321
57.57
21,523
37.18
2,128
3.68
911
1.57
11,798
20.38
57,883
Haywood
21,502
59.26
13,113
36.14
1,081
2.98
587
1.62
8,389
23.12
36,283
Henderson
39,359
57.99
25,782
37.99
1,964
2.89
768
1.13
13,577
20.00
67,873
Hertford
3,305
31.80
6,815
65.58
154
1.48
118
1.14
-3,510
-33.78
10,392
Hoke
8,638
40.40
11,466
53.62
909
4.25
370
1.73
-2,828
-13.22
21,383
Hyde
1,315
53.26
1,075
43.54
53
2.15
26
1.05
240
9.72
2,469
· General election › Results › By congressional district
1st
1st
District
1st
Tillis
43%
Cunningham
53%
Representative
G. K. Butterfield
2nd
2nd
District
2nd
Tillis
35%
Cunningham
60%
Representative
George Holding
Deborah K. Ross
Deborah K. Ross
District
Deborah K. Ross
3rd
3rd
District
3rd
Tillis
59%
Cunningham
37%
Representative
Greg Murphy
4th
4th
District
4th
Tillis
32%
Cunningham
64%
Representative
David Price
5th
5th
District
5th
Tillis
64%
Cunningham
31%
Representative
Virginia Foxx
6th
6th
District
6th
Tillis
37%
Cunningham
59%
Representative
Mark Walker
Kathy Manning
Kathy Manning
District
Kathy Manning
7th
7th
District
7th
Tillis
56%
Cunningham
39%
Representative
David Rouzer
8th
8th
District
8th
Tillis
50%
Cunningham
44%
Representative
Richard Hudson
9th
9th
District
9th
Tillis
53%
Cunningham
43%
Representative
Dan Bishop
10th
10th
District
10th
Tillis
64%
Cunningham
31%
Representative
Patrick McHenry
11th
11th
District
11th
Tillis
53%
Cunningham
42%
Representative
Madison Cawthorn
12th
12th
District
12th
Tillis
29%
Cunningham
66%
Representative
Alma Adams
13th
13th
District
13th
Tillis
64%
Cunningham
32%
Representative
Ted Budd
District
Tillis
Cunningham
Representative
1st
43%
53%
G. K. Butterfield
2nd
35%
60%
George Holding
Deborah K. Ross
3rd
59%
37%
Greg Murphy
4th
32%
64%
David Price
5th
64%
31%
Virginia Foxx
6th
37%
59%
Mark Walker
Kathy Manning
7th
56%
39%
David Rouzer
8th
50%
44%
Richard Hudson
9th
53%
43%
Dan Bishop
10th
64%
31%
Patrick McHenry
11th
53%
42%
Madison Cawthorn
12th
29%
66%
Alma Adams
13th
64%
32%
Ted Budd

References

  1. Poll sponsored by the Garland Tucker campaign
  2. Poll conducted by the Club for Growth, a pro-Republican PAC
  3. Compete Everywhere primarily supports Democratic candidates
  4. Poll sponsored by Protect Our Care, a pro-Affordable Care Act organization.
  5. Poll sponsored by The American Greatness PAC, which is pro-Trump.
  6. Poll sponsored by Piedmont Rising, a pro-Affordable Care Act organization.
  7. Poll sponsored by The Human Rights Campaign, which has endorsed Biden prior to this poll's sampling period.
  8. Poll sponsored by AARP.
  9. This poll's sponsor had endorsed Cunningham prior to the sampling period
  10. This poll’s sponsor, DFER, primarily supports Democratic candidates
  11. This poll's sponsor is the American Principles Project, a 501 that supports the Republican Party.
  12. Polling was sponsored by OANN.
  13. Poll sponsored by private client
  14. Internal poll
  15. Poll sponsored by End Citizens United, an organization that has exclusively endorsed Democratic candidates
  16. Poll sponsored by VoteVets.org
  17. Poll sponsored by Save My Care, a pro-Affordable Care Act organization
  18. Key:A – all adultsRV – registered votersLV – likely votersV – unclear
  19. Hudson with 8%; Holmquist with 5%
  20. Holmquist and Hudson with 5%
  21. Holmquist and Hudson with 3%
  22. Holmquist and Hudson with 4%
  23. Holmquist with 3%; Hudson with 2%
  24. Hudson with 3%; Holmquist with 2%
  25. If the only candidates were Smith and Tillis
  26. "None of the above" with 5%; "other" with 0%
  27. If the only candidates were Tillis and Tucker
  28. Standard VI response
  29. Response after pollster addresses respondents with talking points about Tillis
  30. Not yet released
  31. Response after pollster addresses respondents with short biographies for Tillis and Walker
  32. Response after short biographies and talking points about Tillis
  33. Listed as "would consider another candidate in a Republican primary"
  34. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  35. "Refused" with 2%; Did not vote, would not vote and Undecided with 1%
  36. "Some other candidate" with 4%; would not vote with 0%; "Undecided/Refused" with 2%
  37. Hayes (C) with 1%; "Other candidate or write-in" with 0%
  38. Hayes (C) with 2%
  39. With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  40. "Someone else" with 2%
  41. Hayes (C) and Undecided with 2%; "None of these" with 1%; "Other" with 0%
  42. "Some other candidate" with 3%; Undecided with 6%
  43. "Some other candidate" with 3%; "Refused" with 2%; Did/would not vote with 0%; Undecided with no voters
  44. Hayes (C) with 2%; Undecided with 6%
  45. "Other" and Undecided with 2%
  46. Undecided with 9%
  47. Would not vote with 2%; Hayes (C) with 1%; "Someone else" with 0%; "Undecided/Refused" with 6%
  48. "Some other candidate" with 3%; would not vote with 0%; "Undecided/Refused" with 1%
  49. Archived November 1, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
    https://web.archive.org/web/20201101030515/https://politicaliq.com/2020/10/28/nc-senate-cunningham-d-49-tillis-r-42/
  50. "Someoene else" with 4%; Undecided with 5%
  51. Results generated with high Democratic turnout model
  52. Results generated with high Republican turnout model
  53. "Other" with 3%; Undecided with 4%
  54. Did not vote with 1%; "Another candidate" with no voters; Undecided with 6%
  55. Hays (C) with 1%; Undecided with 7%
  56. "Someone else" with 3%; Undecided with 5%
  57. Hayes (C) with 1%; Undecided with 2%
  58. "Some other candidate" with 4%; Undecided with 6%
  59. "Other" with 3%; Undecided with 6%
  60. "Some other candidate" and "Undecided/Refused" with 3%; would not vote with 0%
  61. Hayes (C) with 1%; Undecided with 14%
  62. Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
  63. Hayes (C) with 1%; Undecided with 10%
  64. Did/would not vote and "Some other candidate" with 1%; "Refused" with 0%; Undecided with 3%
  65. "Neither" with 1%; "Other" and would not vote with 0%; Undecided with 3%
  66. Undecided with 12%
  67. Hayes (C) with 1%; "Someone else" with 0%; Undecided with 2%
  68. Hayes (C) with 3%; would not vote with 1%; "Someone else" with 0%; "Undecided/Refused" with 15%
  69. "Some other candidate" with 5%; would not vote with 0%; "Undecided/Refused" with 7%
  70. "No one" with 1%; Hayes (C) with 0%; "Other candidate" with no voters; Undecided with 3%
  71. With a likely voter turnout model featuring high turnout
  72. "Other" and Undecided with 3%
  73. With a likely voter turnout model featuring low turnout
  74. "Some other candidate" with 3%; Undecided with 8%
  75. "Other" and "Refused" with 1%; Undecided with 7%
  76. Archived October 14, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
    https://web.archive.org/web/20201014165222/http://politicaliq.com/2020/10/13/dems-leading-north-carolina-u-s-senate-and-governor-races/
  77. "Some other candidate" with 3%; Undecided with 12%
  78. "Some other candidate" with 4%; would not vote with 0%; "Undecided/Refused" with 7%
  79. Undecided with 11%
  80. Hayes (C) with 1%; Undecided with 8%
  81. Would not vote with 1%; Undecided with 3%
  82. "Some other candidate" with 3%; "Refused" and would not vote with 1%; Undecided with 2%
  83. "Someone else" with 3%; Undecided with 11%
  84. "Another candidate" with 1%; Undecided with 7%
  85. Hayes (C) with 1%; Undecided with 12%
  86. Would not vote with 2%; "Don't recall" with 0%; Undecided with 7%
  87. Bray (L) with 2%; Undecided with 13%
  88. Overlapping sample with the previous Morning Consult poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  89. Undecided with 8%
  90. "Some other candidate" with 2%; would not vote with 1%; Undecided with 6%
  91. Hayes (C), "Someone else" and would not vote with 1%; "Undecided/Refused" with 16%
  92. "Another Third Party/Write-in" with 4%; Undecided with 9%
  93. Bray (L) with 6%; Hayes (C) and "Other" with 2%; "Refused" with 0%; Undecided with 11%
  94. "Another candidate" with 3%; Undecided with 10%
  95. Hayes (C) with 1%; "None of these" and "Other" with no voters; Undecided with 3%
  96. Hayes (C) with 1%; "None of these" and "Other" with 0%; Undecided with 5%
  97. "Neither/Another Party" with 3%; "Undecided/Don't know/Refused" with 19%
  98. Hayes (C) with 1%; Undecided with 5%
  99. "Another candidate" with 3%; Undecided with 7%
  100. Hayes with 1%; "Someone else" with 0%; Undecided with 12%
  101. Would not vote with 1%; Undecided with 4%
  102. "Another Third Party/Write-in" with 3%; Undecided with 13%
  103. Hayes (C) and "No one" with 1%; "Other candidate" with <1%; Undecided with 5%
  104. With a likely voter turnout model featuring higher turnout than in the 2016 presidential election
  105. "Other" and Undecided with 4%
  106. With a likely voter turnout model featuring lower turnout than in the 2016 presidential election
  107. Hayes (C), "Other" and would not vote with 1%; Undecided with 5%
  108. Hayes (C) with 2%; "Other" and would not vote with 1%; Undecided with 6%
  109. "Some other candidate" with 3%; Would not vote with 0%; Undecided with 9%
  110. Would not vote with 1%; Undecided with 5%
  111. "Third party/write-in" with 3%; Undecided with 13%
  112. "Some other candidate" with 5%; would not vote with 1%; Undecided with 10%
  113. Undecided with 14%
  114. Hayes (C) with 2%; Undecided with 16%
  115. Would not vote with 2%; Undecided with 8%
  116. "No one" with 10%
  117. "Someone else" with 3%; Undecided with 9%
  118. "Third party candidate" with 4%; would not vote with 2%; Undecided with 15%
  119. Archived July 30, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
    https://web.archive.org/web/20200730203013/https://cpapolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/07/NC_Poll_Results_2020-07-29.pdf
  120. Hayes (C) with 2%; Undecided with 11%
  121. Undecided with 13%
  122. "Third party/write-in" with 2%; Undecided with 14%
  123. "Other" with 1%; Undecided with 9%
  124. "Another candidate" with 6%; Undecided with 13%
  125. Hayes (C) with 1%; Undecided with 6%
  126. Undecided with 7%; would not vote with 2%
  127. Undecided with 15%
  128. Undecided with 7%; would not vote with 1%
  129. Undecided with 10%; "Some other candidate" with 8%
  130. Undecided with 16%
  131. Undecided with 15%; Hayes (C) with 3%; "other" and would not vote with 1%
  132. Undecided with 17%; "Another candidate" and would not vote with 1%
  133. Undecided with 16%; "Another third party/write in" with 3%
  134. Hayes (C) with 2%; Undecided with 21%
  135. Archived June 5, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
    https://web.archive.org/web/20200605005444/https://cprnc.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/05/NC-Statewide-Survey-May-2020-Crosstabs-For-Release-v4.pdf
  136. Undecided with 11%; "other candidate" with 8%
  137. Undecided with 5%; "Someone else" with 4%
  138. Undecided with 20%
  139. "It is time to give a new person a chance to do better" with 50% as opposed to "Thillis has performed his job as U.S. Se
  140. "Refused" with 3%
  141. "Prefer not to answer/Refused" with 4%; "Candidate from another political party" with 1%; "Will not vote/not sure" with
  142. "Undecided/Refused" with 8%
  143. "Neither" and "Other Party" with 1%; Undecided with 14%
  144. Undecided with 14%; "Neither/other/independent" with 3%
  145. Undecided with 11%; "Neither/other/independent" with 4%
  146. Undecided with 17%; "Neither/other/independent" with 3%
  147. Undecided with 16%; "Neither/other/independent" with 5%
  148. Undecided with 19%; "Neither/other/independent" with 5%
  149. "Undecided" with 8%; "don't know/refused" with 3%
  150. Undecided with 18%; "Neither/other/independent" with 6%
  151. Undecided with 17%; "Neither/other/independent" with 5%
  152. Undecided with 15%; "Neither/other/independent" with 7%
  153. Undecided with 21%; "Neither/other/independent" with 4%
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    https://web.archive.org/web/20201111175654/https://ericaforus.com/endorsements
  218. Equality NC
    https://equalitync.org/news/equality_north_carolina_endorsed_candidates_2020/
  219. Civitas Institute/Spry Strategies
    https://mcusercontent.com/259a50ef0a1608ab2bc2cf891/files/a58dc4e6-e2c2-49f5-9a17-84fdc61bc9f3/Civitas_Democratic_Presidential_Tracking_RD_2_Toplines.pdf
  220. NBC News/Marist
    http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/NBC-News_Marist-Poll-NC-NOS-and-Tables_2002281453.pdf
  221. Public Policy Polling
    https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/NorthCarolinaResultsFebruary2020.pdf
  222. Civitas Institute/Spry Strategies
    https://mcusercontent.com/259a50ef0a1608ab2bc2cf891/files/0f490596-e46a-4d58-b52d-2c8a9a53d084/DemocraticPrimaryPoll_Civitas_0225.pdf
  223. Public Policy Polling
    https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/NCDemPollFebruary2020.pdf
  224. Public Policy Polling
    https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/01/NCDemResultsJanuary2020.pdf
  225. FEC
    https://docquery.fec.gov/pdf/398/201907169151385398/201907169151385398.pdf
  226. "NC State Board of Elections: Candidate List Grouped by Contest"
    https://s3.amazonaws.com/dl.ncsbe.gov/Elections/2020/Candidate%20Filing/2020%20state%20candidate%20list_by%20contest.pdf
  227. The Green Papers
    https://www.thegreenpapers.com/G20/NC
  228. Forsyth Board of Elections
    https://www.forsyth.cc/Admin/Uploads/Elections/2020_General_Election.pdf
  229. North Carolina Board of Elections
    https://vt.ncsbe.gov/PetLkup/PetitionResult/?CountyID=0&PetitionName=All%20Statewide%20Petitions
  230. "'More successful than we could have imagined.' GOP group funds ads for Dem in NC race"
    https://www.newsobserver.com/news/politics-government/article240509336.html
  231. InsideClimate News
    https://insideclimatenews.org/news/04092020/senate-2020-north-carolina-climate-change-election-thom-tillis-cal-cunningham
  232. www.charlotteobserver.com
    https://www.charlotteobserver.com/news/politics-government/article245731475.html
  233. www.newsobserver.com
    https://www.newsobserver.com/news/politics-government/article245929000.html
  234. www.newsobserver.com
    https://www.newsobserver.com/news/politics-government/article246141280.html
  235. PolitiFact
    https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/aug/19/thom-tillis/no-cunningham-has-not-been-silent-defunding-police/
  236. WRAL.com
    https://www.wral.com/army-reserve-investigating-cunningham-after-woman-confirms-affair-more-texts-emerge/19323479/
  237. The Washington Post
    https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/senate-north-carolina-cunningham-democrats/2020/10/09/0be9765c-0a6e-11eb-9be6-cf25fb429f1a_story.html
  238. WRAL.com
    https://www.wral.com/asked-four-times-whether-there-are-more-affairs-not-yet-known-cunningham-declined-to-say-yes-or-no/19328515/
  239. WSOC
    https://www.wsoctv.com/news/local/cal-cunningham-publicly-answers-questions-about-sexting-scandal-first-time/RCPG4D2ZEZE7RCJ4IUMUJCNMKU/
  240. TheHill
    https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/520396-cunningham-dodges-questions-about-affair-amid-text-message-scandal
  241. The New York Times
    https://www.nytimes.com/2020/10/03/us/politics/coronavirus-thom-tillis-cal-cunningham-north-carolina.html
  242. The Atlantic
    https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2020/10/supreme-court-trump-covid/616608/
  243. FiveThirtyEight
    https://web.archive.org/web/20200918120501/https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/senate/
  244. "Forecasting the US elections"
    https://projects.economist.com/us-2020-forecast/senate
  245. Daily Kos Elections
    https://elections.dailykos.com/app/elections/2020/office/senate
  246. "2020 Senate Elections Model"
    https://forecast.decisiondeskhq.com/senate
  247. Senate Ratings
    https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/senate/2020-senate-ratings-october-28-2020
  248. Sabato's Crystal Ball
    https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2020-senate/
  249. "Battle for the Senate 2020"
    https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/senate/2020_elections_senate_map.html
  250. The Cook Political Report
    https://cookpolitical.com/ratings/senate-race-ratings/230641
  251. "2020 Election Forecast"
    https://www.politico.com/2020-election/race-forecasts-and-predictions/senate/
  252. WinRed
    https://secure.winred.com/thom-tillis/nikki-haley-for-tillis
  253. Vote Smart
    http://votesmart.org/
  254. www.huckpac.com
    https://web.archive.org/web/20200611163504/https://www.huckpac.com/candidates
  255. The Johnson County Report
    https://jocoreport.com/national-right-to-life-and-nc-right-to-life-inc-endorse-thom-tillis-for-us-senate/
  256. nrapvf.org
    https://web.archive.org/web/20201103183945/https://www.nrapvf.org/grades/north-carolina
  257. www.rjchq.org
    https://www.rjchq.org/rjc_enewsletter_20200312
  258. The News & Observer
    https://www.newsobserver.com/news/politics-government/election/article244686082.html
  259. "North Carolina Democratic Congressional Delegation Endorses Cal Cunningham"
    https://web.archive.org/web/20200508193154/https://www.calfornc.com/news/north-carolina-democratic-congressional-delegation-endorses-cal-cunningham/
  260. Serve America PAC
    https://serveamericapac.com/serve-america-second-round-endorsements-press-release
  261. Associated Press
    https://apnews.com/557e1b7bca4ab9413eed1c8786a286fc
  262. "Cal Earns Additional North Carolina Endorsements Following Decisive Primary Victory"
    https://web.archive.org/web/20200508193047/https://www.calfornc.com/news/cal-earns-additional-north-carolina-endorsements-following-decisive-primary-victory/
  263. Daily KOS
    https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2020/4/23/1939787/-NC-Sen-Mayor-Pete-Buttigieg-D-IN-Helps-Cal-Cunningham-D-End-Moscow-Mitch-s-Reign-Of-Terror
  264. "Buttigieg highlights importance of local officials in first post-campaign endorsements"
    https://edition.cnn.com/2020/05/13/politics/buttigieg-endorsements-super-pac/index.html
  265. Bend the Arc: Jewish Action
    https://www.bendthearc.us/pac
  266. Black Economic Alliance
    https://web.archive.org/web/20210505021259/https://pac.blackeconomicalliance.org/candidate/cal-cunningham/
  267. "2020 Endorsements"
    https://centeractionfund.org/2020-endorsements/
  268. Calfornc
    https://web.archive.org/web/20200916042219/https://www.calfornc.com/news/communications-workers-of-america-local-3611-endorse-cal-cunningham-for-his-commitment-to-economic-justice/
  269. End Citizens United
    https://endcitizensunited.org/latest-news/press-releases/end-citizens-united-endorses-cal-cunningham-u-s-senate/
  270. Equality NC
    https://equalitync.org/news/equality_north_carolina_releases_final_round_of_2020_electoral_endorsements/
  271. Everytown
    https://momsdemandaction.org/everytown-for-gun-safety-action-fund-endorses-cal-cunningham-for-u-s-senate-in-north-carolina/
  272. feministmajoritypac.org
    https://feministmajoritypac.org/endorsements/2020/
  273. Giffords
    https://giffords.org/press-release/2020/04/senate-incumbent-endorsement/
  274. Human Rights Campaign
    https://www.hrc.org/news/human-rights-campaign-endorses-40-house-5-senate-pro-equality-leaders
  275. Indivisible NC District 9
    https://www.indivisiblencdistrict9.com/
  276. Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs
    https://www.jacpac.org/story/18/07/09/meet-2020-candidatesJTA
  277. "LCV Action Fund Endorses Cal Cunningham For Senate"
    https://www.lcv.org/article/lcv-action-fund-endorses-cal-cunningham-senate/
  278. replacementsltdpac
    https://www.prochoiceamerica.org/2020/03/05/naral-endorses-cal-cunningham/
  279. educationvotes.nea.org
    https://educationvotes.nea.org/us-senate/
  280. nowpac.org
    https://www.nowpac.org/federal2020
  281. Natural Resources Defense Council
    https://www.nrdcactionfund.org/who-we-support/
  282. "NC Labor 2020 Voter Guide"
    https://aflcionc.org/nc-labor-2020-voter-guide/
  283. patrioticmillionaires.org
    https://patrioticmillionaires.org/endorsements/
  284. replacementsltdpac
    https://www.plannedparenthoodaction.org/pressroom/planned-parenthood-action-fund-endorses-cal-cunningham-and-deborah-ross-to-fight-for-north-carolinians-in-congress
  285. Calfornc
    https://web.archive.org/web/20200508192455/https://www.calfornc.com/news/sierra-club-endorses-cal-cunningham/
  286. uawendorsements.org
    http://uawendorsements.org/map/northcarolina/
  287. VoteVets.org
    https://web.archive.org/web/20201001140142/https://www.votevets.org/candidates/cal-cunningham-for-senate
  288. ncpolicywatch.com
    http://www.ncpolicywatch.com/2020/04/23/with-first-quarter-fundraising-surge-cunningham-outraises-tillis-for-the-first-time/
  289. 270 to Win
    https://www.270towin.com/2020-senate-polls/north-carolina/
  290. Real Clear Politics
    https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/senate/nc/north_carolina_senate_tillis_vs_cunningham-6908.html
  291. Change Research/CNBC
    https://changeresearch.com/post/states-of-play-battleground-wave-17/
  292. Swayable Archived November 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
    https://www.swayable.com/polls/2020-11-02-large.html
  293. Ipsos/Reuters
    https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2020-11/topline_reuters_north_carolina_state_poll_w6_11_02_2020_.pdf
  294. Data for Progress
    https://filesforprogress.org/datasets/2020/11/2020-election-polls/toplines/dfp_nc_11.1.20.pdf
  295. Frederick Polls
    https://competeeverywhere.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/11/Poll-Report-NORTH-CAROLINA-nov-1-2020.pdf
  296. Emerson College
    https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/super-poll-sunday-democrats-within-striking-distance-in-key-southern-states
  297. Morning Consult
    https://morningconsult.com/form/2020-u-s-election-tracker/
  298. CNN/SSRS Archived October 31, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
    http://cdn.cnn.com/cnn/2020/images/10/31/rel2_mi.pdf
  299. Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports
    https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2020/north_carolina_senate_cunningham_d_47_tillis_r_442
  300. East Carolina University
    https://surveyresearch-ecu.reportablenews.com/pr/ecu-poll-biden-and-cunningham-hold-slim-leads-in-north-carolina-cooper-remains-ahead-as-election-day-nears
  301. Cardinal Point Analytics (R)
    https://nsjonline.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/NSJ-CPA-2020-10-29-POLL_Results.pdf
  302. Marist College/NBC
    https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/7279122-Xyz-NBCNews-Marist-Poll-NC-Annotated.html
  303. Gravis Marketing
    https://gravismarketing.com/nc-2020-poll-results/
  304. Public Policy Polling (D)
    https://www.protectourcare.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/Protect-Our-CarePPP-North-Carolina-Poll.pdf
  305. Meeting Street Insights/Carolina Partnership for Reform (R) Archived October 31, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
    https://cprnc.org/2020/10/30/democrats-lead-court-contests-council-of-state-races-close/
  306. Siena College/NYT Upshot
    https://int.nyt.com/data/documenttools/nc102320-crosstabs/226c0cc3df5049e0/full.pdf
  307. Ipsos/Reuters
    https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2020-10/topline_reuters_north_carolina_state_poll_w5_10_27_2020.pdf
  308. RMG Research Archived November 1, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
    http://politicaliq.com/2020/10/28/nc-senate-cunningham-d-49-tillis-r-42/
  309. Swayable
    https://www.swayable.com/polls/2020-10-28.html
  310. SurveyUSA
    https://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=4d33a5bf-6d75-4813-b96b-47f306098643
  311. YouGov/UMass Lowell
    https://www.uml.edu/docs/2020-NC-Oct-Topline_tcm18-331629.pdf
  312. Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
    https://www.nccivitas.org/polling/biden-razor-thin-lead-trump/
  313. YouGov/CBS
    https://drive.google.com/file/d/120niJzXNDssyJDgqzt-EgHEqarQgnY_8/view
  314. Trafalgar Group
    https://drive.google.com/file/d/1KlUo8ALSBbk7BgkJ3Qqd3NXp3Hbi-4PB/view
  315. Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports
    https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2020/north_carolina_senate_tillis_r_45_cunningham_d_45
  316. Citizen Data
    https://github.com/GetCitizenData/VoteByMail/blob/master/VoteByMail-North%20Carolina/Modeling/October/North%20Carolina%20VBM%20Toplines%2010_23_2020.pdf
  317. Ipsos/Reuters
    https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2020-10/topline_reuters_north_carolina_state_poll_w4_10_20_20.pdf
  318. Meredith College
    https://www.meredith.edu/assets/images/content/Meredith_College_Poll_Report_October_2020.pdf
  319. Change Research/CNBC
    https://www.cnbc.com/2020/10/20/voters-want-senate-to-choose-coronavirus-stimulus-over-supreme-court.html
  320. Data for Progress (D)
    https://filesforprogress.org/memos/2020%20Senate%20project/Week%205/Toplines/dfp_psp_nc_10.23.pdf
  321. East Carolina University
    https://surveyresearch-ecu.reportablenews.com/pr/ecu-poll-biden-leads-trump-by-three-points-among-likely-voters-in-north-carolina-senate-election-remains-a-toss-up-cooper-ahead-of-forest-by-nine-points-other-statewide-contests-show-small-leads-for-robinson-stein-and-folwell
  322. ABC/Washington Post
    https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/coronavirus-concerns-factor-tied-north-carolina-poll/story?id=73670800
  323. Emerson College
    https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/north-carolina-2020-biden-and-trump-neck-and-neck-as-republicans-close-gap-in-u-s-senate-and-governor-races
  324. Civiqs/Daily Kos
    https://civiqs.com/documents/Civiqs_DailyKos_NC_banner_book_2020_10_g32na7.pdf
  325. Siena College/NYT Upshot
    https://int.nyt.com/data/documenttools/nc100920-crosstabs/3bf558d7ca17e9de/full.pdf
  326. Ipsos/Reuters
    https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2020-10/topline_reuters_north_carolina_state_poll_w3_10_13_20.pdf
  327. Monmouth University
    https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/documents/monmouthpoll_nc_101320.pdf/
  328. SurveyUSA
    https://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=d7540caf-04f1-4d23-8d94-578a53ff8d70
  329. Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. (R)
    https://amgreatness.com/2020/10/14/north-carolina-race-tightens-according-to-new-poll/
  330. RMG Research Archived October 14, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
    http://politicaliq.com/2020/10/13/dems-leading-north-carolina-u-s-senate-and-governor-races/
  331. Morning Consult
    https://morningconsult.com/form/2020-u-s-election-tracker/#section-5
  332. Ipsos/Reuters
    https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2020-10/topline-reuters-north-carolina-state-poll-wave-2-100620_0.pdf
  333. Public Policy Polling
    https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/NorthCarolinaResultsOctober2020.pdf
  334. Data For Progress (D)
    https://filesforprogress.org/memos/2020-senate-project/week-3/NC.pdf
  335. Change Research/CNBC
    https://changeresearch.com/post/states-of-play-battleground-wave-15/
  336. East Carolina University
    https://surveyresearch-ecu.reportablenews.com/pr/ecu-poll-of-likely-voters-in-north-carolina-biden-leads-trump-by-four-points-tillis-leads-cunningham-by-one-cooper-leads-forest-by-thirteen-points-other-statewide-races-competitive
  337. ALG Research (D)
    https://04acb8ce-8717-494a-8b55-56f4a82a107c.usrfiles.com/ugd/04acb8_121df148ec7b4053b105c08f0221a51a.pdf
  338. Hart Research Associates (D)
    https://hrc-prod-requests.s3-us-west-2.amazonaws.com/ME-13067-HRC-Issues-10-State-1.pdf
  339. YouGov/CBS
    https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-biden-opinion-poll-georgia-north-carolina-supreme-court-09-27-2020/
  340. YouGov/UMass Lowell
    https://www.uml.edu/docs/2020-NC-Sept-Topline_tcm18-330590.pdf
  341. Meredith College
    https://www.meredith.edu/assets/images/content/Meredith_College_Poll_Report_September_2020.pdf
  342. Change Research/CNBC
    https://changeresearch.com/post/states-of-play-battleground-wave-14/
  343. Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
    https://www.nccivitas.org/polling/cunninghams-lead-tillis-grows-election-nears/
  344. Morning Consult
    https://morningconsult.com/2020/09/22/majority-makers-south-carolina-senate-harrison-graham/
  345. Emerson College
    https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/north-carolina-2020-biden-and-trump-in-dead-heat
  346. Morning Consult
    https://morningconsult.com/2020/10/13/senate-graham-harrison-supreme-court-polling/
  347. Ipsos/Reuters
    https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2020-09/topline_reuters_north_carolina_state_poll_w1_09_22_2020.pdf
  348. Siena College/NYT Upshot
    https://int.nyt.com/data/documenttools/az-me-nc-0920-crosstabs/72d074246b272695/full.pdf
  349. Redfield & Wilton Strategies
    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/US-Swing-State-Polls-Mid-September-Cover-Sheet.pdf
  350. Suffolk University
    https://www.suffolk.edu/-/media/suffolk/documents/academics/research-at-suffolk/suprc/polls/other-states/2020/9_17_2020_final_marginals_pdftxt.pdf
  351. SurveyUSA
    https://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=a2f5b7cf-37da-40e4-9dad-921d655242b8
  352. CNN/SSRS
    https://cdn.cnn.com/cnn/2020/images/09/15/rel1_nc.pdf
  353. Kaiser Family Foundation/Cook Political Report
    https://www.kff.org/report-section/sun-belt-voices-project-north-carolina-crosstabs/
  354. The Trafalgar Group (R)
    https://drive.google.com/file/d/1PIe4nvZYQ2UZ5e30NenDolEgi1QlYl8_/view
  355. Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research
    https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2020/north_carolina_senate_cunningham_d_47_tillis_r_44
  356. Benenson Strategy Group/GS Strategy Group
    https://www.aarp.org/research/topics/politics/info-2020/2020-election-battleground-state-surveys.html
  357. Change Research/CNBC
    https://changeresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/CNBC-CR_Battleground_Toplines_Wave-13_Sept-4-6-Wave-13_-9_4-9_6.pdf
  358. Redfield & Wilton Strategies
    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/US-Swing-State-Polls-September-Cover-Sheet.pdf
  359. Monmouth University
    http://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/monmouthpoll_NC_090320/
  360. FOX News
    https://static.foxnews.com/foxnews.com/content/uploads/2020/09/North-Carolina.pdf
  361. East Carolina University
    https://surveyresearch-ecu.reportablenews.com/pr/ecu-poll-of-likely-voters-in-north-carolina-trump-leads-biden-by-two-points-tillis-and-cunningham-tied-cooper-leads-forest-by-ten-points-other-statewide-races-competitive
  362. Change Research/CNBC
    https://changeresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/08/CNBC-CR_Battleground-Toplines_Wave-12_August-21-23-Wave-12_-8_21-8_23.pdf
  363. Morning Consult
    https://morningconsult.com/2020/08/24/majority-makers-north-carolina-senate-cunningham-tillis/
  364. Redfield and Wilton Strategies
    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-usa-swing-state-senate-and-governor-voting-intention-16-to-19-august/
  365. East Carolina University
    https://surveyresearch-ecu.reportablenews.com/pr/latest-ecu-poll-shows-trump-and-biden-tied-in-north-carolina-democrats-leading-in-contests-for-governor-and-u-s-senate-kamala-harris-selection-draws-mixed-reaction
  366. Emerson College
    https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/north-carolina-pennsylvania-and-arizona-2020-tight-races-in-battleground-states-leading-into-party-conventions
  367. Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
    https://www.nccivitas.org/polling/biden-cunningham-slim-leads/
  368. Change Research/CNBC
    https://9b1b5e59-cb8d-4d7b-8493-111f8aa90329.usrfiles.com/ugd/9b1b5e_41d9f1b0245c4c138aa26d496625d005.pdf
  369. Public Policy Polling (D)
    https://giffords.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/08/NCResults1.pdf
  370. Data for Progress
    http://filesforprogress.org/datasets/2020/8/progressive-senate-project/DFP_North%20Carolina_8_20_xtabs.pdf
  371. YouGov/CBS
    https://drive.google.com/file/d/1jDu_IMRdUTbdmA-VfpP-neMT3-lYw969/view
  372. HIT Strategies (D)
    http://dfer.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/08/HIT-Strategies-Polling-8.10.20.pdf
  373. Change Research/CNBC
    https://9b1b5e59-cb8d-4d7b-8493-111f8aa90329.usrfiles.com/ugd/9b1b5e_fc12dbc2fc1c488b888f57a584a75217.pdf
  374. Morning Consult
    https://morningconsult.com/2020/07/28/senate-presidential-polling-political-intelligence/
  375. Cardinal Point Analytics (R) Archived July 30, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
    https://cpapolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/07/NC_Poll_Results_2020-07-29.pdf
  376. Public Policy Polling
    https://drive.google.com/file/d/1Aj_jOKH2jEB3fi3JdW0snX5rVIhN1nna/view
  377. Redfield & Wilton Strategies
    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-usa-swing-state-senate-and-governor-voting-intention-19-to-24-july/
  378. Marist College/NBC News
    http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/uploads/2020/07/NBC-News_Marist-Poll-NC-NOS-and-Tables_202007231148.pdf
  379. Spry Strategies (R)
    https://americanprinciplesproject.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/07/APP_North_Carolina.pdf
  380. Cardinal Point Analytics (R)
    https://cpapolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/07/NC_Poll_Results_2020-07-20.pdf
  381. Change Research/CNBC
    https://9b1b5e59-cb8d-4d7b-8493-111f8aa90329.usrfiles.com/ugd/9b1b5e_8750b229eb1545548fc1b05f107e8da3.pdf
  382. Public Policy Polling
    https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/07/NorthCarolinaResults7920.pdf
  383. Change Research/CNBC
    https://www.changeresearch.com/post/states-of-play-battleground-wave-8
  384. East Carolina University
    https://surveyresearch-ecu.reportablenews.com/pr/presidential-and-senate-elections-remain-highly-competitive-in-battleground-north-carolina-cooper-continues-to-lead-forest-in-race-for-governor
  385. Public Policy Polling
    https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/06/NC62420Results.pdf
  386. FOX News
    https://static.foxnews.com/foxnews.com/content/uploads/2020/06/Fox_June-20-23-2020_Complete_North-Carolina_Topline_June-25-Release.pdf
  387. NYT Upshot/Siena College
    https://int.nyt.com/data/documenttools/senate-crosstabs-0625/31e96b895ce3921b/full.pdf
  388. Gravis Marketing (R)
    https://d2pggiv3o55wnc.cloudfront.net/oann/wp-content/uploads/2020/06/President-Trump-Leads-in-North-Carolina-OAN-Gravis-Poll.pdf
  389. Redfield & Wilton Strategies
    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-usa-swing-state-voting-intention-14-to-19-june/
  390. Public Policy Polling
    https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/06/NCResultsJune2020.pdf
  391. Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
    https://mcusercontent.com/259a50ef0a1608ab2bc2cf891/files/d3c91077-4747-49b5-9fe6-88ce0e274a38/20.05_Civitas_NC_Statewide_Toplines.pdf
  392. Meeting Street Insights (R) Archived June 5, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
    https://cprnc.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/05/NC-Statewide-Survey-May-2020-Crosstabs-For-Release-v4.pdf
  393. East Carolina University
    https://surveyresearch-ecu.reportablenews.com/pr/presidential-and-senate-races-remain-close-in-north-carolina-cooper-leads-forest-and-earns-high-approval-for-state-s-coronavirus-response
  394. Civiqs/Daily Kos (D)
    https://civiqs.com/documents/Civiqs_DailyKos_NC_banner_book_2020_05_kld8fh.pdf
  395. Meredith College
    https://www.meredith.edu/assets/images/content/Meredith_College_Poll_Report_April_2020_-_COVID-19.pdf
  396. SurveyUSA
    http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=8e72c24e-b823-4a36-b5d6-984918df4ef9
  397. Public Policy Polling
    https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/NCResultsApril2020.pdf
  398. Harper Polling/Civitas (R) Archived April 23, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
    https://1ttd918ylvt17775r1u6ng1adc-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/20.04-Civitas-NC-Statewide-Toplines-2.pdf
  399. East Carolina University
    https://surveyresearch-ecu.reportablenews.com/pr/biden-and-sanders-in-close-race-in-north-carolina-presidential-primary-potential-general-election-matchups-competitive
  400. Public Policy Polling
    https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/polls/democrats-lead-by-at-least-4-in-4-gop-held-senate-seats/
  401. Public Opinion Strategies (R)
    https://www.thomtillis.com/the-state-of-play/
  402. ALG Research (D)
    https://www.politico.com/f/?id=0000016f-cac3-d4c8-ad7f-ebf73a070000
  403. Meredith College
    https://www.meredith.edu/assets/images/content/meredith_college_poll_report_oct_2019.pdf#page=16
  404. Public Policy Polling (D)
    https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/461979-tillis-trails-democratic-senate-challenger-by-2-points-poll
  405. Fabrizio Ward
    https://www.aarp.org/content/dam/aarp/research/surveys_statistics/politics/2019/five-state-prescription-drug-survey-annotated-questionnaire-NC.doi.10.26419-2Fres.00335.005.pdf
  406. Public Policy Polling
    https://drive.google.com/file/d/10gXP0nzIrhwWNkMn5tHByU5vuB2BcROI/view
  407. Emerson College Archived June 4, 2019, at the Wayback Machine
    http://emersonpolling.com/2019/06/04/north-carolina-2020-biden-with-early-lead-on-trump-and-democratic-primary-field/
  408. Public Policy Polling (D)
    https://static.politico.com/3e/86/e3bf575445e9bd0e3c777a5916a0/ppp-save-my-care-poll-of-north-carolina.pdf
  409. Climate Nexus
    https://climatenexus.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/09/North-Carolina-Poll-Climate-Change-Toplines.pdf
  410. The Nation
    https://www.thenation.com/article/politics/cal-cunningham-north-carolina/
  411. North Carolina State Board of Elections
    https://s3.amazonaws.com/dl.ncsbe.gov/State_Board_Meeting_Docs/2020-11-24/Canvass/State%20Composite%20Abstract%20Report%20-%20Contest.pdf
  412. National Election Pool
    https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-elections/north-carolina-senate-results
  413. Daves Redistricting
    https://davesredistricting.org/maps#viewmap::87c865df-abda-40b4-aabb-59f9c388c3a0
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