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2020 United States Senate election in Massachusetts

Updated: Wikipedia source

2020 United States Senate election in Massachusetts

The 2020 United States Senate election in Massachusetts was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the Commonwealth of Massachusetts, concurrently with the 2020 U . presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate in other states, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. On September 1, incumbent Senator Ed Markey defeated U . Representative Joe Kennedy III in a competitive primary for the Democratic nomination, and Kevin O'Connor defeated Shiva Ayyadurai for the Republican nomination. Markey went on to win the general election with 66 %.

Infobox

Nominee
Ed Markey
Party
Democratic
Popular vote
2,357,809
Percentage
66 %

Tables

· Democratic primary › Fundraising
Candidate
Candidate
Campaign finance reports as of August 12, 2020
Candidate
Campaign finance reports as of August 12, 2020
Raised
Campaign finance reports as of August 12, 2020
Spent
Campaign finance reports as of August 12, 2020
Cash on hand
Ed Markey (D)
Ed Markey (D)
Campaign finance reports as of August 12, 2020
Ed Markey (D)
Campaign finance reports as of August 12, 2020
$11,083,613
Campaign finance reports as of August 12, 2020
$10,402,461
Campaign finance reports as of August 12, 2020
$3,535,316
Joe Kennedy III (D)
Joe Kennedy III (D)
Campaign finance reports as of August 12, 2020
Joe Kennedy III (D)
Campaign finance reports as of August 12, 2020
$8,542,661
Campaign finance reports as of August 12, 2020
$11,661,569
Campaign finance reports as of August 12, 2020
$1,378,349
Source: Federal Election Commission
Source: Federal Election Commission
Campaign finance reports as of August 12, 2020
Source: Federal Election Commission
Campaign finance reports as of August 12, 2020
Candidate
Raised
Spent
Cash on hand
Ed Markey (D)
$11,083,613
$10,402,461
$3,535,316
Joe Kennedy III (D)
$8,542,661
$11,661,569
$1,378,349
Source: Federal Election Commission
· Democratic primary › Polling
Source of poll aggregation
Source of poll aggregation
Joe Kennedy III vs. Ed Markey
Source of poll aggregation
Joe Kennedy III vs. Ed Markey
Dates administered
Joe Kennedy III vs. Ed Markey
Date updated
Joe Kennedy III vs. Ed Markey
Joe Kennedy III
Joe Kennedy III vs. Ed Markey
Ed Markey
Joe Kennedy III vs. Ed Markey
Undecided
Joe Kennedy III vs. Ed Markey
Margin
RealClearPolitics
RealClearPolitics
Joe Kennedy III vs. Ed Markey
RealClearPolitics
Joe Kennedy III vs. Ed Markey
July 31 – August 27, 2020
Joe Kennedy III vs. Ed Markey
August 27, 2020
Joe Kennedy III vs. Ed Markey
40 %
Joe Kennedy III vs. Ed Markey
52 %
Joe Kennedy III vs. Ed Markey
7 %
Joe Kennedy III vs. Ed Markey
Markey +11
Joe Kennedy III vs. Ed Markey
Source of poll aggregation
Dates administered
Date updated
Joe Kennedy III
Ed Markey
Undecided
Margin
RealClearPolitics
July 31 – August 27, 2020
August 27, 2020
40 %
52 %
7 %
Markey +11
· Democratic primary › Polling
Emerson College/WHDH
Emerson College/WHDH
Poll source
Emerson College/WHDH
Date(s) administered
August 25–27, 2020
Sample size
453 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Ed Markey
56%
Maura Healey
–
Shannon Liss-Riordan
–
Joe Kennedy III
44%
Seth Moulton
–
Steve Pemberton
–
Allen Waters
–
Other
–
Data for Progress
Data for Progress
Poll source
Data for Progress
Date(s) administered
August 24–25, 2020
Sample size
731 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4%
Ed Markey
50%
Maura Healey
–
Shannon Liss-Riordan
–
Joe Kennedy III
43%
Seth Moulton
–
Steve Pemberton
–
Allen Waters
–
Other
–
Suffolk University
Suffolk University
Poll source
Suffolk University
Date(s) administered
August 23–25, 2020
Sample size
500 (LV)
Margin of error
–
Ed Markey
51%
Maura Healey
–
Shannon Liss-Riordan
–
Joe Kennedy III
41%
Seth Moulton
–
Steve Pemberton
–
Allen Waters
–
Other
0%
UMass Lowell
UMass Lowell
Poll source
UMass Lowell
Date(s) administered
August 13–21, 2020
Sample size
800 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Ed Markey
52%
Maura Healey
–
Shannon Liss-Riordan
–
Joe Kennedy III
40%
Seth Moulton
–
Steve Pemberton
–
Allen Waters
–
Other
2%
SurveyUSA/Priorities for Progress
SurveyUSA/Priorities for Progress
Poll source
SurveyUSA/Priorities for Progress
Date(s) administered
August 12–16, 2020
Sample size
558 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Ed Markey
44%
Maura Healey
–
Shannon Liss-Riordan
–
Joe Kennedy III
42%
Seth Moulton
–
Steve Pemberton
–
Allen Waters
–
Other
–
UMassAmherst/WCVB
UMassAmherst/WCVB
Poll source
UMassAmherst/WCVB
Date(s) administered
July 31 – August 7, 2020
Sample size
362 (LV)
Margin of error
± 7 %
Ed Markey
51%
Maura Healey
–
Shannon Liss-Riordan
–
Joe Kennedy III
36%
Seth Moulton
–
Steve Pemberton
–
Allen Waters
–
Other
1%
JMC Analytics and Polling
JMC Analytics and Polling
Poll source
JMC Analytics and Polling
Date(s) administered
July 29–30, 2020
Sample size
500 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Ed Markey
44%
Maura Healey
–
Shannon Liss-Riordan
–
Joe Kennedy III
41%
Seth Moulton
–
Steve Pemberton
–
Allen Waters
–
Other
–
Emerson College
Emerson College
Poll source
Emerson College
Date(s) administered
May 5–6, 2020
Sample size
620 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Ed Markey
42%
Maura Healey
–
Shannon Liss-Riordan
–
Joe Kennedy III
58%
Seth Moulton
–
Steve Pemberton
–
Allen Waters
–
Other
–
University of Massachusetts Lowell
University of Massachusetts Lowell
Poll source
University of Massachusetts Lowell
Date(s) administered
April 27 – May 1, 2020
Sample size
531 (LV)
Margin of error
± 7 %
Ed Markey
42%
Maura Healey
–
Shannon Liss-Riordan
–
Joe Kennedy III
44%
Seth Moulton
–
Steve Pemberton
–
Allen Waters
–
Other
4%
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBZ
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBZ
Poll source
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBZ
Date(s) administered
February 26–28, 2020
Sample size
465 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Ed Markey
36%
Maura Healey
–
Shannon Liss-Riordan
–
Joe Kennedy III
42%
Seth Moulton
–
Steve Pemberton
–
Allen Waters
–
Other
1%
UMass Amherst/WCVB
UMass Amherst/WCVB
Poll source
UMass Amherst/WCVB
Date(s) administered
February 18–24, 2020
Sample size
400 (LV)
Margin of error
± 5 %
Ed Markey
43%
Maura Healey
–
Shannon Liss-Riordan
–
Joe Kennedy III
40%
Seth Moulton
–
Steve Pemberton
–
Allen Waters
–
Other
4%
UMass Lowell/YouGov
UMass Lowell/YouGov
Poll source
UMass Lowell/YouGov
Date(s) administered
February 12–19, 2020
Sample size
450 (LV)
Margin of error
± 6 %
Ed Markey
34%
Maura Healey
–
Shannon Liss-Riordan
–
Joe Kennedy III
35%
Seth Moulton
–
Steve Pemberton
–
Allen Waters
–
Other
–
Suffolk University/Boston Globe
Suffolk University/Boston Globe
Poll source
Suffolk University/Boston Globe
Date(s) administered
September 3–5, 2019
Sample size
500 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Ed Markey
28%
Maura Healey
–
Shannon Liss-Riordan
–
Joe Kennedy III
42%
Seth Moulton
–
Steve Pemberton
–
Allen Waters
–
Other
–
26%
26%
Poll source
26%
Date(s) administered
–
Sample size
<1%
Margin of error
35%
Ed Markey
–
Maura Healey
1%
Shannon Liss-Riordan
0%
Joe Kennedy III
–
Seth Moulton
36%
Change Research
Change Research
Poll source
Change Research
Date(s) administered
August 23–25, 2019
Sample size
808 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Ed Markey
25%
Maura Healey
–
Shannon Liss-Riordan
5%
Joe Kennedy III
42%
Seth Moulton
–
Steve Pemberton
7%
Allen Waters
–
Other
–
Suffolk University
Suffolk University
Poll source
Suffolk University
Date(s) administered
June 5–9, 2019
Sample size
370 (LV)
Margin of error
± 5 %
Ed Markey
44%
Maura Healey
–
Shannon Liss-Riordan
5%
Joe Kennedy III
–
Seth Moulton
–
Steve Pemberton
5%
Allen Waters
–
Other
–
YouGov/UMass Amherst
YouGov/UMass Amherst
Poll source
YouGov/UMass Amherst
Date(s) administered
November 7–14, 2018
Sample size
635 (RV)
Margin of error
–
Ed Markey
26%
Maura Healey
27%
Shannon Liss-Riordan
–
Joe Kennedy III
–
Seth Moulton
–
Steve Pemberton
–
Allen Waters
–
Other
–
636 (RV)
636 (RV)
Poll source
636 (RV)
Date(s) administered
–
Sample size
29%
Margin of error
–
Ed Markey
–
Maura Healey
–
Shannon Liss-Riordan
25%
Joe Kennedy III
–
Seth Moulton
–
Steve Pemberton
–
Allen Waters
38%
Suffolk University
Suffolk University
Poll source
Suffolk University
Date(s) administered
September 13–17, 2018
Sample size
433 (LV)
Margin of error
–
Ed Markey
24%
Maura Healey
–
Shannon Liss-Riordan
–
Joe Kennedy III
–
Seth Moulton
18%
Steve Pemberton
–
Allen Waters
–
Other
–
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Ed Markey
Maura Healey
Shannon Liss-Riordan
Joe Kennedy III
Seth Moulton
Steve Pemberton
Allen Waters
Other
Emerson College/WHDH
August 25–27, 2020
453 (LV)
± 4 %
56%
–
–
44%
–
–
–
–
Data for Progress
August 24–25, 2020
731 (LV)
± 4%
50%
–
–
43%
–
–
–
–
Suffolk University
August 23–25, 2020
500 (LV)
–
51%
–
–
41%
–
–
–
0%
UMass Lowell
August 13–21, 2020
800 (LV)
± 4 %
52%
–
–
40%
–
–
–
2%
SurveyUSA/Priorities for Progress
August 12–16, 2020
558 (LV)
± 4 %
44%
–
–
42%
–
–
–
–
UMassAmherst/WCVB
July 31 – August 7, 2020
362 (LV)
± 7 %
51%
–
–
36%
–
–
–
1%
JMC Analytics and Polling
July 29–30, 2020
500 (LV)
± 4 %
44%
–
–
41%
–
–
–
–
Emerson College
May 5–6, 2020
620 (LV)
± 3 %
42%
–
–
58%
–
–
–
–
University of Massachusetts Lowell
April 27 – May 1, 2020
531 (LV)
± 7 %
42%
–
–
44%
–
–
–
4%
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBZ
February 26–28, 2020
465 (LV)
± 4 %
36%
–
–
42%
–
–
–
1%
UMass Amherst/WCVB
February 18–24, 2020
400 (LV)
± 5 %
43%
–
–
40%
–
–
–
4%
UMass Lowell/YouGov
February 12–19, 2020
450 (LV)
± 6 %
34%
–
–
35%
–
–
–
–
Jan 17, 2020
Liss-Riordan withdraws from the race
Dec 16, 2019
Waters withdraws from the race
Oct 14, 2019
Pemberton withdraws from the race
Sep 21, 2019
Kennedy announces his candidacy
Suffolk University/Boston Globe
September 3–5, 2019
500 (LV)
± 4 %
28%
–
–
42%
–
–
–
–
26%
–
<1%
35%
–
1%
0%
–
36%
Change Research
August 23–25, 2019
808 (RV)
± 3 %
25%
–
5%
42%
–
7%
–
–
Jul 23, 2019
Pemberton announces his candidacy
Suffolk University
June 5–9, 2019
370 (LV)
± 5 %
44%
–
5%
–
–
5%
–
–
May 20, 2019
Liss-Riordan announces her candidacy
May 19, 2019
Healey announces that she will not run
Apr 1, 2019
Waters announces his candidacy
Dec 14, 2018
Moulton announces that he will not run
YouGov/UMass Amherst
November 7–14, 2018
635 (RV)
–
26%
27%
–
–
–
–
–
–
636 (RV)
–
29%
–
–
–
25%
–
–
–
38%
Oct 5, 2018
Markey announces his candidacy
Suffolk University
September 13–17, 2018
433 (LV)
–
24%
–
–
–
18%
–
–
–
2020 United States Senate election in Massachusetts Democratic primary debate · Democratic primary › Debates
Key:  P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Key:  P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
No.
Key:  P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Ed Markey
Ed Markey
No.
Ed Markey
Date
Joe Kennedy III
1
1
No.
1
Date
February 18, 2020
Host
WGBH-TV
Moderator
Jim Braude Margery Eagan
Democratic
P
Democratic
P
2
2
No.
2
Date
February 18, 2020
Host
WBTS-CD
Moderator
Latoyia Edwards
Democratic
P
Democratic
P
3
3
No.
3
Date
August 11, 2020
Host
WBZ-TV
Moderator
Jon Keller
Democratic
P
Democratic
P
No.
Date
Host
Moderator
Link
Democratic
Democratic
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn
Ed Markey
Joe Kennedy III
1
February 18, 2020
WGBH-TV
Jim Braude Margery Eagan
P
P
2
February 18, 2020
WBTS-CD
Latoyia Edwards
P
P
3
August 11, 2020
WBZ-TV
Jon Keller
P
P
Democratic primary results · Democratic primary › Results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
1,413,988
Candidate
100 %
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Democratic
Ed Markey (incumbent)
782,694
55 %
Democratic
Joe Kennedy III
629,359
44 %
Democratic
Write-ins
1,935
0 %
Total votes
1,413,988
100 %

References

  1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. Key: A – all adults RV – registered voters LV – likely voters V – unclear
  3. "Refused" with 0%
  4. "Another candidate" with 2%
  5. "Another candidate" with 4%
  6. "Refused" with 1%
  7. "Some other candidate" with 3%; "Refused" with 2%; would not vote with 1%
  8. "Other" with 2%; would not vote with 0%
  9. Poll conducted for the O'Connor campaign.
  10. www
    https://www.sec.state.ma.us/CalendarWeb/Pages/MonthWeekCalendar.aspx
  11. FiveThirtyEight
    https://web.archive.org/web/20190925001916/https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/joe-kennedy-wants-to-unseat-a-senator-hes-not-your-usual-primary-challenger/
  12. "Markey vs. Kennedy: Welcome to the most unusual Senate primary in decades – Sabato's Crystal Ball"
    https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/markey-vs-kennedy-welcome-to-the-most-unusual-senate-primary-in-decades/
  13. The New York Times
    https://www.nytimes.com/2019/08/17/us/politics/joseph-kennedy-edward-markey-senate.html
  14. Vanity Fair
    https://www.vanityfair.com/news/2019/09/joe-kennedy-iii-ed-markey-primary
  15. Vox
    https://www.vox.com/2019/9/21/20873487/joe-kennedy-ed-markey-massachusetts-senate-primary
  16. Politico
    https://www.politico.com/news/2019/09/29/ed-markey-joe-kennedy-massachusetts-senate-race-008599
  17. Boston Magazine
    https://www.bostonmagazine.com/news/2020/05/13/joe-kennedy-iii-profile/
  18. The Boston Globe
    https://www.bostonglobe.com/metro/2019/09/23/key-piece-joe-kennedy-strategy-appealing-people-margins/aP1Q4epa0hjVmNkDxtMAxL/story.html
  19. The Atlantic
    https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2020/09/ed-markey-defeats-joe-kennedy-massachusetts-senate/615937/
  20. CNN
    https://www.cnn.com/2020/08/20/politics/pelosi-kennedy-endorsement-massachusetts-senate-race/index.html
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