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2020 United States Senate election in Kentucky

Updated: Wikipedia source

2020 United States Senate election in Kentucky

The 2020 United States Senate election in Kentucky was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the Commonwealth of Kentucky, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Senator Mitch McConnell, who had been Senate Majority Leader since 2015 and senator from Kentucky since 1985, won reelection to a seventh, and ultimately last, term in office. He faced off against former U.S. Marine fighter pilot Amy McGrath and Libertarian Brad Barron. The Democratic and Republican primaries took place on June 23, 2020. As the primaries neared, the president of the National Bar Association accused officials of carrying out voter suppression. Compared to typical numbers of 3,700, the number of polling stations was reduced to 200 with only one in Louisville. Because a large number of voters voted by mail, absentee ballots were not counted until June 30. In the primary, over 937,000 people requested absentee ballots or voted early, a far greater number than usual. Despite much speculation about this race being potentially competitive and large amounts of money being poured in to try to defeat McConnell, he wound up winning his final term with his largest margin of victory since 2002, defeating McGrath by nearly 20 percentage points. He also won Elliott and Wolfe Counties for the first time, solidifying rural Kentucky's hard swing towards the GOP. This was the only election in which McConnell attained more than 1 million votes.

Infobox

Turnout
59.7%
Nominee
Mitch McConnell
Party
Republican
Popular vote
1,233,315
Percentage
57.76%

Tables

Republican primary results[10] · Republican primary › Results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
413,820
Candidate
100.0%
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Republican
Mitch McConnell (incumbent)
342,660
82.80%
Republican
C. Wesley Morgan
25,588
6.18%
Republican
Louis Grider
13,771
3.33%
Republican
Paul John Frangedakis
11,957
2.89%
Republican
Neren James
10,693
2.58%
Republican
Kenneth Lowndes
5,548
1.34%
Republican
Nicholas Alsager
3,603
0.87%
Total votes
413,820
100.0%
· Democratic primary › Campaign › Polling
Data for Progress
Data for Progress
Poll source
Data for Progress
Date(s)administered
June 10–22, 2020
Samplesize
556 (LV)
Marginof error
–
CharlesBooker
43%
AmyMcGrath
46%
Other
–
Undecided
10%
Garin-Hart-Yang
Garin-Hart-Yang
Poll source
Garin-Hart-Yang
Date(s)administered
June 16–18, 2020
Samplesize
–
Marginof error
–
CharlesBooker
32%
AmyMcGrath
42%
Other
–
Undecided
–
Civiqs/Data for Progress
Civiqs/Data for Progress
Poll source
Civiqs/Data for Progress
Date(s)administered
June 13–15, 2020
Samplesize
421 (LV)
Marginof error
± 5.5%
CharlesBooker
44%
AmyMcGrath
36%
Other
9%
Undecided
11%
YouGov Blue/MVMT Communications
YouGov Blue/MVMT Communications
Poll source
YouGov Blue/MVMT Communications
Date(s)administered
June 8–12, 2020
Samplesize
313 (RV)
Marginof error
± 7.0%
CharlesBooker
39%
AmyMcGrath
49%
Other
6%
Undecided
3%
YouGov Blue/MVMT Communications
YouGov Blue/MVMT Communications
Poll source
YouGov Blue/MVMT Communications
Date(s)administered
May 2020
Samplesize
–
Marginof error
–
CharlesBooker
13%
AmyMcGrath
62%
Other
–
Undecided
–
YouGov Blue/MVMT Communications
YouGov Blue/MVMT Communications
Poll source
YouGov Blue/MVMT Communications
Date(s)administered
April 2020
Samplesize
–
Marginof error
–
CharlesBooker
11%
AmyMcGrath
62%
Other
–
Undecided
–
YouGov Blue/MVMT Communications
YouGov Blue/MVMT Communications
Poll source
YouGov Blue/MVMT Communications
Date(s)administered
January 2020
Samplesize
–
Marginof error
–
CharlesBooker
7%
AmyMcGrath
65%
Other
–
Undecided
–
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
CharlesBooker
AmyMcGrath
Other
Undecided
Data for Progress
June 10–22, 2020
556 (LV)
–
43%
46%
–
10%
Garin-Hart-Yang
June 16–18, 2020
–
–
32%
42%
–
–
Civiqs/Data for Progress
June 13–15, 2020
421 (LV)
± 5.5%
44%
36%
9%
11%
YouGov Blue/MVMT Communications
June 8–12, 2020
313 (RV)
± 7.0%
39%
49%
6%
3%
YouGov Blue/MVMT Communications
May 2020
–
–
13%
62%
–
–
YouGov Blue/MVMT Communications
April 2020
–
–
11%
62%
–
–
YouGov Blue/MVMT Communications
January 2020
–
–
7%
65%
–
–
Democratic primary results[10] · Democratic primary › Results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
544,062
Candidate
100.0%
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Democratic
Amy McGrath
247,037
45.41%
Democratic
Charles Booker
231,888
42.62%
Democratic
Mike Broihier
27,175
4.99%
Democratic
Mary Ann Tobin
11,108
2.04%
Democratic
Maggie Joe Hilliard
6,224
1.14%
Democratic
Andrew Maynard
5,974
1.10%
Democratic
Bennie J. Smith
5,040
0.93%
Democratic
Jimmy Ausbrooks (withdrawn)
3,629
0.67%
Democratic
Eric Rothmuller
2,995
0.55%
Democratic
John R. Sharpensteen
2,992
0.55%
Total votes
544,062
100.0%
· General election › Predictions
Likely R
Likely R
Source
The Cook Political Report
Ranking
Likely R
As of
October 29, 2020
Safe R
Safe R
Source
Inside Elections
Ranking
Safe R
As of
October 28, 2020
Likely R
Likely R
Source
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Ranking
Likely R
As of
November 2, 2020
Safe R
Safe R
Source
Daily Kos
Ranking
Safe R
As of
October 30, 2020
Likely R
Likely R
Source
Politico
Ranking
Likely R
As of
November 2, 2020
Likely R
Likely R
Source
RCP
Ranking
Likely R
As of
October 23, 2020
Safe R
Safe R
Source
DDHQ
Ranking
Safe R
As of
November 3, 2020
Safe R
Safe R
Source
538
Ranking
Safe R
As of
November 2, 2020
Likely R
Likely R
Source
Economist
Ranking
Likely R
As of
November 2, 2020
Source
Ranking
As of
The Cook Political Report
Likely R
October 29, 2020
Inside Elections
Safe R
October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Likely R
November 2, 2020
Daily Kos
Safe R
October 30, 2020
Politico
Likely R
November 2, 2020
RCP
Likely R
October 23, 2020
DDHQ
Safe R
November 3, 2020
538
Safe R
November 2, 2020
Economist
Likely R
November 2, 2020
· General election › Polling › Polls
Swayable
Swayable
Poll source
Swayable
Date(s)administered
October 23 – November 1, 2020
Samplesize
365 (LV)
Marginof error
± 7.9%
MitchMcConnell (R)
49%
AmyMcGrath (D)
46%
BradBarron (L)
5%
Other /Undecided
–
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
October 22–31, 2020
Samplesize
911 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3%
MitchMcConnell (R)
51%
AmyMcGrath (D)
40%
BradBarron (L)
–
Other /Undecided
–
Bluegrass Community & Technical College
Bluegrass Community & Technical College
Poll source
Bluegrass Community & Technical College
Date(s)administered
October 12–28, 2020
Samplesize
250 (RV)
Marginof error
–
MitchMcConnell (R)
50%
AmyMcGrath (D)
40%
BradBarron (L)
–
Other /Undecided
10%
Cygnal
Cygnal
Poll source
Cygnal
Date(s)administered
October 19–20, 2020
Samplesize
640 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.9%
MitchMcConnell (R)
50%
AmyMcGrath (D)
40%
BradBarron (L)
5%
Other /Undecided
5%
Mason-Dixon
Mason-Dixon
Poll source
Mason-Dixon
Date(s)administered
October 12–15, 2020
Samplesize
625 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4%
MitchMcConnell (R)
51%
AmyMcGrath (D)
42%
BradBarron (L)
4%
Other /Undecided
3%
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
September 11–20, 2020
Samplesize
746 (LV)
Marginof error
± (2% – 7%)
MitchMcConnell (R)
52%
AmyMcGrath (D)
37%
BradBarron (L)
–
Other /Undecided
–
Data for Progress (D)
Data for Progress (D)
Poll source
Data for Progress (D)
Date(s)administered
September 14–19, 2020
Samplesize
807 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
MitchMcConnell (R)
46%
AmyMcGrath (D)
39%
BradBarron (L)
3%
Other /Undecided
12%
48%
48%
Poll source
48%
Date(s)administered
41%
Samplesize
–
Marginof error
11%
Quinnipiac University
Quinnipiac University
Poll source
Quinnipiac University
Date(s)administered
September 10–14, 2020
Samplesize
1,164 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.9%
MitchMcConnell (R)
53%
AmyMcGrath (D)
41%
BradBarron (L)
–
Other /Undecided
5%
Quinnipiac University
Quinnipiac University
Poll source
Quinnipiac University
Date(s)administered
July 30 – August 3, 2020
Samplesize
909 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.3%
MitchMcConnell (R)
49%
AmyMcGrath (D)
44%
BradBarron (L)
–
Other /Undecided
7%
Bluegrass Data (D)
Bluegrass Data (D)
Poll source
Bluegrass Data (D)
Date(s)administered
July 25–29, 2020
Samplesize
3,020 (RV)
Marginof error
± 2.0%
MitchMcConnell (R)
49%
AmyMcGrath (D)
46%
BradBarron (L)
4%
Other /Undecided
–
Morning Consult
Morning Consult
Poll source
Morning Consult
Date(s)administered
July 24 – August 2, 2020
Samplesize
793 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.0%
MitchMcConnell (R)
53%
AmyMcGrath (D)
36%
BradBarron (L)
–
Other /Undecided
12%
Spry Strategies (R)
Spry Strategies (R)
Poll source
Spry Strategies (R)
Date(s)administered
July 11–16, 2020
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.7%
MitchMcConnell (R)
55%
AmyMcGrath (D)
33%
BradBarron (L)
–
Other /Undecided
12%
Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D)
Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D)
Poll source
Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D)
Date(s)administered
July 7–12, 2020
Samplesize
800 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
MitchMcConnell (R)
45%
AmyMcGrath (D)
41%
BradBarron (L)
7%
Other /Undecided
7%
Civiqs/Data for Progress
Civiqs/Data for Progress
Poll source
Civiqs/Data for Progress
Date(s)administered
June 13–15, 2020
Samplesize
898 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.8%
MitchMcConnell (R)
53%
AmyMcGrath (D)
33%
BradBarron (L)
4%
Other /Undecided
11%
RMG Research
RMG Research
Poll source
RMG Research
Date(s)administered
May 21–24, 2020
Samplesize
500 (RV)
Marginof error
± 4.5%
MitchMcConnell (R)
40%
AmyMcGrath (D)
41%
BradBarron (L)
–
Other /Undecided
19%
Bluegrass Data (D)
Bluegrass Data (D)
Poll source
Bluegrass Data (D)
Date(s)administered
April 7–12, 2020
Samplesize
4,000 (RV)
Marginof error
–
MitchMcConnell (R)
40%
AmyMcGrath (D)
38%
BradBarron (L)
7%
Other /Undecided
–
Change Research (D)
Change Research (D)
Poll source
Change Research (D)
Date(s)administered
January 17–21, 2020
Samplesize
1,281 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.8%
MitchMcConnell (R)
41%
AmyMcGrath (D)
41%
BradBarron (L)
–
Other /Undecided
18%
Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D)
Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D)
Poll source
Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D)
Date(s)administered
January 8–13, 2020
Samplesize
802 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.5%
MitchMcConnell (R)
43%
AmyMcGrath (D)
40%
BradBarron (L)
–
Other /Undecided
17%
Fabrizio Ward
Fabrizio Ward
Poll source
Fabrizio Ward
Date(s)administered
July 29–31, 2019
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
MitchMcConnell (R)
47%
AmyMcGrath (D)
46%
BradBarron (L)
–
Other /Undecided
6%
Change Research (D)
Change Research (D)
Poll source
Change Research (D)
Date(s)administered
June 15–16, 2019
Samplesize
1,629 (LV)
Marginof error
–
MitchMcConnell (R)
47%
AmyMcGrath (D)
45%
BradBarron (L)
–
Other /Undecided
8%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
MitchMcConnell (R)
AmyMcGrath (D)
BradBarron (L)
Other /Undecided
Swayable
October 23 – November 1, 2020
365 (LV)
± 7.9%
49%
46%
5%
–
Morning Consult
October 22–31, 2020
911 (LV)
± 3%
51%
40%
–
–
Bluegrass Community & Technical College
October 12–28, 2020
250 (RV)
–
50%
40%
–
10%
Cygnal
October 19–20, 2020
640 (LV)
± 3.9%
50%
40%
5%
5%
Mason-Dixon
October 12–15, 2020
625 (LV)
± 4%
51%
42%
4%
3%
Morning Consult
September 11–20, 2020
746 (LV)
± (2% – 7%)
52%
37%
–
–
Data for Progress (D)
September 14–19, 2020
807 (LV)
± 3.5%
46%
39%
3%
12%
48%
41%
–
11%
Quinnipiac University
September 10–14, 2020
1,164 (LV)
± 2.9%
53%
41%
–
5%
Quinnipiac University
July 30 – August 3, 2020
909 (RV)
± 3.3%
49%
44%
–
7%
Bluegrass Data (D)
July 25–29, 2020
3,020 (RV)
± 2.0%
49%
46%
4%
–
Morning Consult
July 24 – August 2, 2020
793 (LV)
± 3.0%
53%
36%
–
12%
Spry Strategies (R)
July 11–16, 2020
600 (LV)
± 3.7%
55%
33%
–
12%
Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D)
July 7–12, 2020
800 (LV)
± 3.5%
45%
41%
7%
7%
Civiqs/Data for Progress
June 13–15, 2020
898 (RV)
± 3.8%
53%
33%
4%
11%
RMG Research
May 21–24, 2020
500 (RV)
± 4.5%
40%
41%
–
19%
Bluegrass Data (D)
April 7–12, 2020
4,000 (RV)
–
40%
38%
7%
–
Change Research (D)
January 17–21, 2020
1,281 (LV)
± 2.8%
41%
41%
–
18%
Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D)
January 8–13, 2020
802 (LV)
± 3.5%
43%
40%
–
17%
Fabrizio Ward
July 29–31, 2019
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
47%
46%
–
6%
Change Research (D)
June 15–16, 2019
1,629 (LV)
–
47%
45%
–
8%
Civiqs/Data for Progress
Civiqs/Data for Progress
Poll source
Civiqs/Data for Progress
Date(s)administered
June 13–15, 2020
Samplesize
898 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.8%
MitchMcConnell (R)
52%
CharlesBooker (D)
38%
Other /Undecided
9%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
MitchMcConnell (R)
CharlesBooker (D)
Other /Undecided
Civiqs/Data for Progress
June 13–15, 2020
898 (RV)
± 3.8%
52%
38%
9%
Gravis Marketing
Gravis Marketing
Poll source
Gravis Marketing
Date(s)administered
June 11–12, 2019
Samplesize
741 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.6%
MitchMcConnell (R)
49%
JimGray (D)
41%
Undecided
10%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
MitchMcConnell (R)
JimGray (D)
Undecided
Gravis Marketing
June 11–12, 2019
741 (LV)
± 3.6%
49%
41%
10%
Public Policy Polling
Public Policy Polling
Poll source
Public Policy Polling
Date(s)administered
May 14–15, 2020
Samplesize
1,104 (V)
Marginof error
–
MitchMcConnell (R)
47%
GenericDemocrat
44%
Other /Undecided
9%
Public Policy Polling (D)
Public Policy Polling (D)
Poll source
Public Policy Polling (D)
Date(s)administered
Feb 11–12, 2019
Samplesize
748 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.6%
MitchMcConnell (R)
45%
GenericDemocrat
42%
Other /Undecided
12%
Public Policy Polling (D)
Public Policy Polling (D)
Poll source
Public Policy Polling (D)
Date(s)administered
Aug 15–16, 2017
Samplesize
645 (V)
Marginof error
–
MitchMcConnell (R)
37%
GenericDemocrat
44%
Other /Undecided
19%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
MitchMcConnell (R)
GenericDemocrat
Other /Undecided
Public Policy Polling
May 14–15, 2020
1,104 (V)
–
47%
44%
9%
Public Policy Polling (D)
Feb 11–12, 2019
748 (RV)
± 3.6%
45%
42%
12%
Public Policy Polling (D)
Aug 15–16, 2017
645 (V)
–
37%
44%
19%
Fabrizio Ward/AARP
Fabrizio Ward/AARP
Poll source
Fabrizio Ward/AARP
Date(s)administered
July 29–31, 2019
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
Yes
31%
No
62%
Other /Undecided
8%
Public Policy Polling (D)
Public Policy Polling (D)
Poll source
Public Policy Polling (D)
Date(s)administered
Feb 11–12, 2019
Samplesize
748 (RV)
Marginof error
± 3.6%
Yes
32%
No
61%
Other /Undecided
8%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
Yes
No
Other /Undecided
Fabrizio Ward/AARP
July 29–31, 2019
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
31%
62%
8%
Public Policy Polling (D)
Feb 11–12, 2019
748 (RV)
± 3.6%
32%
61%
8%
Cygnal
Cygnal
Poll source
Cygnal
Date(s)administered
October 19–20, 2020
Samplesize
640 (LV)
Marginof error
± 3.9%
GenericRepublican
55%
GenericDemocrat
39%
Other /Undecided
6%
Quinnipiac University
Quinnipiac University
Poll source
Quinnipiac University
Date(s)administered
September 10–14, 2020
Samplesize
1,164 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.9%
GenericRepublican
54%
GenericDemocrat
38%
Other /Undecided
8%
Fabrizio Ward/AARP
Fabrizio Ward/AARP
Poll source
Fabrizio Ward/AARP
Date(s)administered
July 29–31, 2019
Samplesize
600 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.0%
GenericRepublican
48%
GenericDemocrat
42%
Other /Undecided
13%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
GenericRepublican
GenericDemocrat
Other /Undecided
Cygnal
October 19–20, 2020
640 (LV)
± 3.9%
55%
39%
6%
Quinnipiac University
September 10–14, 2020
1,164 (LV)
± 2.9%
54%
38%
8%
Fabrizio Ward/AARP
July 29–31, 2019
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
48%
42%
13%
2020 United States Senate election in Kentucky[122] · General election › Results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
2,135,057
Candidate
100.00%
Votes
N/A
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
mw- ±%
Republican
Mitch McConnell (incumbent)
1,233,315
57.76%
+1.57%
Democratic
Amy McGrath
816,257
38.23%
−2.49%
Libertarian
Brad Barron
85,386
4.00%
+0.92%
Write-in
99
0.01%
-0.00%
Total votes
2,135,057
100.00%
N/A
Republican hold
· General election › Results › By congressional district
1st
1st
District
1st
McConnell
67%
McGrath
28%
Representative
James Comer
2nd
2nd
District
2nd
McConnell
62%
McGrath
33%
Representative
Brett Guthrie
3rd
3rd
District
3rd
McConnell
37%
McGrath
61%
Representative
John Yarmuth
4th
4th
District
4th
McConnell
60%
McGrath
36%
Representative
Thomas Massie
5th
5th
District
5th
McConnell
74%
McGrath
22%
Representative
Hal Rogers
6th
6th
District
6th
McConnell
51%
McGrath
46%
Representative
Andy Barr
District
McConnell
McGrath
Representative
1st
67%
28%
James Comer
2nd
62%
33%
Brett Guthrie
3rd
37%
61%
John Yarmuth
4th
60%
36%
Thomas Massie
5th
74%
22%
Hal Rogers
6th
51%
46%
Andy Barr

References

  1. Poll released after the primary in July
  2. Poll sponsored by McGrath's campaign
  3. Poll sponsored by Booker's campaign
  4. This poll's sponsor, Ditch Mitch Fund, supported the electoral defeat of Mitch McConnell prior to the sampling period
  5. This poll's sponsor is the American Principles Project, a 501 that supports the Republican Party.
  6. Poll sponsored by U.S. Term Limits, a PAC supporting candidates who support term limits in Congress.
  7. Poll sponsored by AARP.
  8. Poll sponsored by The Ditch Mitch Fund
  9. Poll sponsored by Our Lives on the Line
  10. Key:A – all adultsRV – registered votersLV – likely votersV – unclear
  11. Broihier and "someone else" with 4%; Tobin with 1%
  12. Broihier with 5%; other with 1%
  13. Not yet released
  14. Undecided with 10%
  15. Undecided with 5%
  16. Undecided with 3%
  17. Standard VI response
  18. Undecided with 12%
  19. If only McConnell and McGrath were candidates
  20. Undecided with 11%
  21. "Someone else" with 1%; Undecided with 4%
  22. "Someone else" and would not vote with 1%; Undecided with 5%
  23. "Someone else" and Undecided with 6%
  24. Undecided with 7%
  25. "someone else" with 8%; undecided with 3%
  26. Undecided with 10%; "Some other candidate" with 9%
  27. Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
  28. Barron (L) with 4%; "someone else" with 2%; undecided with 3%
  29. Undecided with 7%; "refused" with 1%
  30. Undecided with 6%
  31. Undecided with 8%
  32. Undecided with 10%; "don't know/refused" with 3%
  33. "Charles Booker is determined to fight voter suppression in Kentucky"
    https://www.thenation.com/article/politics/kentucky-voter-suppression-georgia/
  34. The Courier-Journal
    https://www.courier-journal.com/story/news/politics/elections/2020/10/10/more-than-658000-people-asked-for-absentee-ballots-for-2020-presidential-election/5942476002/
  35. Miami Herald
    http://www.miamiherald.com/news/politics-government/article213094359.html/
  36. AP News
    https://apnews.com/1c57404aaea9427fba5478dd61f5a801
  37. wdrb.com
    https://www.wdrb.com/news/senate-majority-leader-mitch-mcconnell-just-got-two-more-primary/article_18e3efd2-2201-11ea-b2fc-a74f0ffbe713.html
  38. Kentucky Secretary of State
    https://web.archive.org/web/20201010183700/https://web.sos.ky.gov/electionmall/default.aspx?id=3
  39. Lexington Herald Leader
    https://www.kentucky.com/news/politics-government/article230935263.html
  40. Kentucky Secretary of State
    https://web.archive.org/web/20200523214628/https://web.sos.ky.gov/electionmall/default.aspx?id=3
  41. WKYT
    https://www.wkyt.com/content/news/McGrath-to-challenge-Sen-McConnell-in-2020-512460422.html
  42. Commonwealth of Kentucky – State Board of Elections
    https://elect.ky.gov/results/2020-2029/Documents/2020%20Primary%20Election%20Results.pdf
  43. Lexington Herald Leader
    https://www.kentucky.com/news/politics-government/article232418242.html
  44. Vox
    https://www.vox.com/2020/6/30/21301591/amy-mcgrath-kentucky-senate-primary-mcconnell
  45. Lexington Herald Leader
    https://www.kentucky.com/news/politics-government/article238980863.html
  46. The Courier-Journal
    https://www.courier-journal.com/story/news/2020/01/05/democrat-charles-booker-decides-2020-us-senate-bid/2794647001/
  47. The Courier-Journal
    https://www.courier-journal.com/story/news/politics/2019/07/18/democrat-mike-broihier-wants-to-challenge-mitch-mcconnell-in-2020-us-senate-race/1743571001/
  48. "Eric Rothmuller for U.S. Senate 2020 – Kentucky – Ditch Mitch & Take Back Your Senate"
    https://web.archive.org/web/20200127015644/https://ericrothmuller.com/
  49. benniejsmith.com
    https://web.archive.org/web/20200924151015/https://www.benniejsmith.com/
  50. www.wymt.com
    https://www.wymt.com/content/news/See-who-filed-to-run-on-the-2020-Kentucky-ballot-566889761.html
  51. "About the Candidate: Jimmy Ausbrooks – Jimmy Ausbrooks For Kentucky 2020 US Senate"
    https://web.archive.org/web/20210420232656/https://jimmyausbrooks.com/about/
  52. "I welcome all my supporter to join me in supporting @MikeForKY for the Democratic nomination and together we will #BeTheChange Kentucky deserves!"
    https://x.com/jimmy4congress/status/1266373010522431488
  53. Steve Cox for US Senate
    https://web.archive.org/web/20191205004452/https://coxforus.com/
  54. "I'm out of this race. I cant thank those that supported me enough. I love you all & this great state. I'll keep fighting. Mitch is done. Please everyone support Charles Booker. He is the only progressive hope left in this race. https://youtu.be/-6zgaujqwo8 via @YouTube"
    https://x.com/StevenCoxUSA/status/1215990346468950016
  55. The Green Papers
    http://www.thegreenpapers.com/Log/19Q4
  56. FEC
    https://docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/forms/C00715599/1347619/
  57. Kentucky.com
    https://www.kentucky.com/news/politics-government/article237959839.html
  58. "Can McConnell Be Defeated in 2020?"
    https://web.archive.org/web/20190514043907/https://thedemocraticstrategist.org/2019/03/can-mcconnell-be-defeated-in-2020/
  59. AP News
    https://apnews.com/357f0e6196414923acee9ee7aebdf8b8
  60. The Washington Post
    https://www.washingtonpost.com/video/politics/matt-bevin-concedes-defeat-in-kentucky-governors-race/2019/11/14/42fc0ea7-2d26-4f87-9856-07f6c701ad7b_video.html
  61. The Courier-Journal
    https://www.courier-journal.com/story/news/politics/2019/03/12/amy-mcgrath-vs-mitch-mcconnell-group-launches-campaign-draft-her/3131763002/
  62. Daily Kos
    https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2019/2/17/1832410/-Here-s-our-ultimate-Democratic-wishlist-for-Senate-in-2020-Who-s-on-yours
  63. FEC
    https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00718908/
  64. The Washington Post
    https://www.washingtonpost.com/sports/2019/11/15/matt-jones-potential-mcconnell-opponent-says-he-will-not-run-senate/
  65. Courier Journal
    https://www.courier-journal.com/story/news/politics/elections/kentucky/2020/03/05/kentucky-senate-race-mcgrath-other-mcconnell-challengers-forum/4967060002/
  66. WFPL
    https://wfpl.org/watch-live-kentucky-democratic-senate-candidates-debate-in-newport/
  67. Winchester Sun
    https://www.winchestersun.com/2020/06/02/mcgrath-takes-on-booker-and-broihier-in-only-scheduled-democratic-u-s-senate-debate/
  68. Kentucky Educational Television – KET/PBS
    https://www.ket.org/program/kentucky-tonight/2020-primary-election-candidates-part-two
  69. Data for Progress
    http://filesforprogress.org/datasets/2020/6/ky/dfp_ky_primary.pdf
  70. Garin-Hart-Yang
    https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000170-7541-da94-a9f2-ff6364500000
  71. Civiqs/Data for Progress
    http://filesforprogress.org/datasets/2020/6/ky/Civiqs_DataforProgress_KY_banner_book_2020_06.pdf
  72. YouGov Blue/MVMT Communications
    https://bookerforkentucky.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/06/Booker-Internal-2020-06-13.pdf
  73. YouGov Blue/MVMT Communications
    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EabmZsfXQAUL-b3?format=jpg&name=medium
  74. Courier Journal
    https://courier-journal.com/story/news/politics/2020/06/22/rev-jesse-jackson-endorses-charles-booker-senate-kentucky-primary/3235040001/
  75. The Courier-Journal
    https://www.courier-journal.com/story/news/politics/elections/kentucky/2020/06/09/bernie-sanders-endorses-charles-booker-kentucky-senate-primary/5326417002/
  76. New York Intelligencer
    https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2020/06/amy-mcgraths-senate-campaign-is-in-real-trouble.html
  77. Associated Press
    https://apnews.com/article/senate-elections-coronavirus-pandemic-kentucky-racial-injustice-louisville-9d6a823a52252b3b1a394bd4f9e694a9
  78. "Endorsement news: Charles Booker, Alexandra Owensby"
    https://forwardky.com/endorsement-news-charles-booker-alexandra-owensby/
  79. "Flight Attendants Union Endorses Charles Booker for United States Senate in Kentucky"
    https://www.afacwa.org/flight_attendants_union_endorses_charles_booker_senate_kentucky
  80. National Nurses United
    https://www.nationalnursesunited.org/press/national-nurses-united-endorses-charles-booker-us-senate
  81. Politico
    https://www.politico.com/news/2020/06/17/charles-booker-endorsements-kentucky-326536
  82. FOE
    https://foeaction.org/news/friends-earth-action-endorses-charles-booker-progressive-democrat-running-u-s-senate-ky/
  83. "KFTC's New Power PAC endorses Charles Booker in Democratic primary for U.S. Senate"
    https://kftc.org/press/releases/kftc%E2%80%99s-new-power-pac-endorses-charles-booker-democratic-primary-us-senate
  84. Lexington Herald-Leader
    https://www.kentucky.com/opinion/editorials/article243084106.html
  85. Louisville Courier-Journal
    https://www.courier-journal.com/story/opinion/editorials/2020/06/10/courier-journal-endorsement-booker-best-democrat-face-mcconnell/5334027002/
  86. westkentuckystar.com
    http://www.westkentuckystar.com/News/State/Kentucky/Ojeda-Endorses-Broihier-in-Primary-Challenge.aspx
  87. Twitter.com
    https://twitter.com/marwilliamson/status/1270139001853186048
  88. Newsweek
    https://www.newsweek.com/how-kentucky-farmer-running-unseat-mitch-mcconnell-earned-andrew-yangs-endorsement-1507129
  89. WYMT-TV
    https://www.wymt.com/2020/06/16/democratic-senate-candidates-pick-up-key-endorsements-as-june-23rd-primary-nears/
  90. "Indivisible Kentucky Endorses Mike Broihier in Senate Race"
    https://wfpl.org/indivisible-kentucky-endorses-mike-broihier-in-senate-race/
  91. Council for a Livable World
    https://livableworld.org/meet-the-candidates/senate-candidates/amy-mcgrath-for-senate-d-ky/
  92. The Hill
    https://apple.news/ABgYUM2yeTOOI1lH_y1w0DA
  93. feministmajoritypac.org
    https://feministmajoritypac.org/endorsements/2020/
  94. Giffords
    https://giffords.org/press-release/2020/04/amy-mcgrath-endorsement-2/
  95. JStreetPAC
    https://web.archive.org/web/20180502152638/https://donate.jstreetpac.org/candidate-directory/
  96. VoteVets.org
    https://www.votevets.org/candidates
  97. Libertarian Party of Kentucky
    https://lpky.org/kb/convention-participation-guidelines/
  98. "2020 LP Kentucky Annual Convention"
    https://web.archive.org/web/20200304014001/https://lpky.org/event/2020-lp-kentucky-annual-convention-2020-03-07/
  99. Libertarian Party of Kentucky
    https://lpky.org/about/governance/
  100. Brad Barron 2020 US Senate
    https://web.archive.org/web/20200127015653/https://www.bradbarron2020.com/
  101. "Derek Petteys Reform Party for Senate"
    https://web.archive.org/web/20200527033825/https://kysenator2020.com/
  102. Open Secrets
    https://www.opensecrets.org/races/summary?cycle=2020&id=KYS1
  103. Compared
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ibd15oool2M
  104. The Cook Political Report
    https://cookpolitical.com/ratings/senate-race-ratings/230641
  105. Senate Ratings
    https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/senate/2020-senate-ratings-october-28-2020
  106. Sabato's Crystal Ball
    https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2020-senate/
  107. Daily Kos Elections
    https://elections.dailykos.com/app/elections/2020/office/senate
  108. "2020 Election Forecast"
    https://www.politico.com/2020-election/race-forecasts-and-predictions/senate/
  109. "Battle for the Senate 2020"
    https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/senate/2020_elections_senate_map.html
  110. "2020 Senate Elections Model"
    https://forecast.decisiondeskhq.com/senate
  111. FiveThirtyEight
    https://web.archive.org/web/20200918120501/https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/senate/
  112. "Forecasting the US elections"
    https://projects.economist.com/us-2020-forecast/senate
  113. "Democrats Could Flip The Senate In 2020. Kirsten Gillibrand Wants To Be Behind That Effort"
    https://www.refinery29.com/en-us/2019/12/9009905/kirsten-gillibrand-off-the-sidelines-2020-senate-races
  114. "Kamala Harris Endorsements"
    https://medium.com/@KamalaHarris/kamala-harris-endorsements-68f1711e105
  115. Serve America PAC
    https://web.archive.org/web/20201101183838/https://serveamericapac.com/challengers
  116. The Courier-Journal
    https://www.courier-journal.com/story/news/politics/2020/09/14/kentucky-senate-race-beshear-endorses-mcgrath-against-mitch-mcconnell/5793973002/
  117. "Ann Coulter Supports Amy McGrath and Calls for Mitch McConnell's Defeat"
    https://www.politicususa.com/2020/07/10/ann-coulter-amy-mcgrath-mcconnell.html
  118. "Page by Page Report Display (Page 768 of 3007)"
    https://docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/fecimg/?201910159163861769
  119. Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs
    https://www.jacpac.org/story/18/07/09/meet-2020-candidatesJTA
  120. ifpte.org
    https://web.archive.org/web/20201026051752/http://www.ifpte.org/news/details/IFPTE-Releases-Its-2020-Congressional-Endorsements
  121. "Endorsements"
    https://web.archive.org/web/20201113032112/https://ky.aflcio.org/endorsements
  122. educationvotes.nea.org
    https://educationvotes.nea.org/us-senate/
  123. "Primary and General Election Endorsements"
    https://web.archive.org/web/20200713102942/http://www.seiu1199.org/2020-endorsements/
  124. uawendorsements.org
    http://uawendorsements.org/map/kentucky/
  125. Swayable Archived November 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
    https://www.swayable.com/polls/2020-11-02-large.html
  126. Morning Consult
    https://morningconsult.com/form/2020-u-s-election-tracker/
  127. Bluegrass Community & Technical College Archived October 30, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
    https://www.wtvq.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/1-All-Summary-Data-Complete-Responses.pdf
  128. Cygnal
    https://www.cygn.al/cygnal-poll-mcconnell-up-double-digits-in-kentucky-senate-race/
  129. Mason-Dixon
    https://wfpl.org/mcconnell-leads-mcgrath-by-9-points-in-new-poll
  130. Morning Consult
    https://morningconsult.com/2020/09/22/majority-makers-south-carolina-senate-harrison-graham/
  131. Data for Progress (D)
    https://filesforprogress.org/memos/2020-senate-project/week-1/KY_1.pdf
  132. Quinnipiac University
    https://poll.qu.edu/kentucky/release-detail?ReleaseID=3673
  133. Quinnipiac University
    https://poll.qu.edu/images/polling/ky/ky08062020_crosstabs_bgxe21.pdf
  134. Bluegrass Data (D) Archived August 9, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
    https://ditchmitchfund.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/08/July-2020-Bluegrass-Kentucky-Poll-Memo.pdf
  135. Morning Consult
    https://morningconsult.com/2020/08/04/senate-presidential-polling-alabama-kentucky-sc-texas/
  136. Spry Strategies (R)
    https://americanprinciplesproject.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/07/APP.Kentucky.pdf
  137. Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D) Archived July 16, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
    https://amymcgrath.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/07/Polling-Memo-07-16.pdf
  138. RMG Research
    https://www.termlimits.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/05/KY-Survey-May-21-2020.pdf
  139. Bluegrass Data (D) Archived August 9, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
    https://ditchmitchfund.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/08/July-2020-Bluegrass-Kentucky-Poll-Memo.pdf
  140. Change Research (D)
    https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000170-7541-da94-a9f2-ff6364500000
  141. Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D)
    https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000170-7541-da94-a9f2-ff6364500000
  142. Fabrizio Ward
    https://www.aarp.org/content/dam/aarp/research/surveys_statistics/politics/2019/five-state-prescription-drug-survey-annotated-questionnaire-KY.doi.10.26419-2Fres.00335.003.pdf
  143. Change Research (D)
    http://kentuckytoday.com/stories/mcgrath-comes-out-firing-in-battle-for-mcconnells-seat,20426
  144. Gravis Marketing
    http://www.gravismarketing.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/06/Kentucky-June-14-2019.pdf
  145. Public Policy Polling
    https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/05/KentuckyResultsMay2020.pdf
  146. Public Policy Polling (D) Archived February 25, 2019, at the Wayback Machine
    https://ditchmitchfund.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/02/KentuckyMemoFeb21.pdf
  147. Public Policy Polling (D) Archived December 9, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
    http://ourlivesontheline.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/KentuckyResults.pdf
  148. Fabrizio Ward/AARP
    https://www.aarp.org/content/dam/aarp/research/surveys_statistics/politics/2019/five-state-prescription-drug-survey-annotated-questionnaire-ME.doi.10.26419-2Fres.00335.004.pdf
  149. Public Policy Polling (D) Archived February 25, 2019, at the Wayback Machine
    https://ditchmitchfund.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/02/KentuckyMemoFeb21.pdf
  150. Fabrizio Ward/AARP
    https://www.aarp.org/content/dam/aarp/research/surveys_statistics/politics/2019/five-state-prescription-drug-survey-annotated-questionnaire-KY.doi.10.26419-2Fres.00335.003.pdf
  151. The New York Times
    https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/results-senate.html
  152. The Hill
    https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/525612-mcconnell-treads-cautiously-in-trumps-post-election-fight
  153. The New York Times
    https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/results-kentucky-senate.html
  154. Kentucky Secretary of State
    https://elect.ky.gov/results/2020-2029/Documents/2020%20General%20Election%20Results.pdf
  155. Daves Redistricting
    https://davesredistricting.org/maps#viewmap::4f9930e4-072e-452d-9b5f-12cab0427ece
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