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2020 United States Senate election in Kansas

Updated: Wikipedia source

2020 United States Senate election in Kansas

The 2020 United States Senate election in Kansas was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Kansas, concurrently with the 2020 U . presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. On January 4, 2019, incumbent Republican Senator Pat Roberts announced he would not run for a fifth term. Candidates had until June 1, 2020 to file to run for the open seat, or to drop out if they had already filed. The U . Senate primaries were held on August 4, 2020. Republican U . Representative Roger Marshall was considered a narrow favorite based on polling, but he won by around 11 points, a larger margin than most experts predicted. However, this was the first Senate election since 1978 where a Democrat won Shawnee County, the first Senate election since 1974 where a Democrat won Riley County, and the first Senate election ever in Kansas's history where a Democrat won Johnson County; all three counties were also flipped by Democrat Joe Biden in the concurrent presidential election.

Infobox

Nominee
Roger Marshall
Party
Republican
Popular vote
727,962
Percentage
53 %

Tables

· Republican primary › Polling
Civiqs/Daily Kos
Civiqs/Daily Kos
Poll source
Civiqs/Daily Kos
Date(s) administered
May 30 – June 1, 2020
Sample size
419 (LV)
Margin of error
–
Bob Hamilton
15%
Kris Kobach
35%
Dave Lindstrom
4%
Roger Marshall
26%
Susan Wagle
–
Other
4%
Undecided
16%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Poll source
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Date(s) administered
May 10–12, 2020
Sample size
600 (V)
Margin of error
±  4%
Bob Hamilton
6%
Kris Kobach
26%
Dave Lindstrom
4%
Roger Marshall
33%
Susan Wagle
7%
Other
–
Undecided
24%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
Poll source
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
Date(s) administered
February 12–16, 2020
Sample size
300 (LV)
Margin of error
± 5 %
Bob Hamilton
2%
Kris Kobach
40%
Dave Lindstrom
5%
Roger Marshall
23%
Susan Wagle
8%
Other
–
Undecided
21%
co/efficient (R)
co/efficient (R)
Poll source
co/efficient (R)
Date(s) administered
January 19–20, 2020
Sample size
1,246 LV
Margin of error
± 3 %
Bob Hamilton
–
Kris Kobach
29%
Dave Lindstrom
–
Roger Marshall
29%
Susan Wagle
6%
Other
9%
Undecided
28%
The Tarrance Group (R)
The Tarrance Group (R)
Poll source
The Tarrance Group (R)
Date(s) administered
October 21–23, 2019
Sample size
607 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Bob Hamilton
–
Kris Kobach
43%
Dave Lindstrom
3%
Roger Marshall
24%
Susan Wagle
8%
Other
5%
Undecided
16%
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Bob Hamilton
Kris Kobach
Dave Lindstrom
Roger Marshall
Susan Wagle
Other
Undecided
Civiqs/Daily Kos
May 30 – June 1, 2020
419 (LV)
–
15%
35%
4%
26%
–
4%
16%
May 28, 2020
Wagle withdraws from the race
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
May 10–12, 2020
600 (V)
± 4%
6%
26%
4%
33%
7%
–
24%
March 30, 2020
Hamilton announces his candidacy
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
February 12–16, 2020
300 (LV)
± 5 %
2%
40%
5%
23%
8%
–
21%
co/efficient (R)
January 19–20, 2020
1,246 LV
± 3 %
–
29%
–
29%
6%
9%
28%
The Tarrance Group (R)
October 21–23, 2019
607 (LV)
± 4 %
–
43%
3%
24%
8%
5%
16%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Poll source
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Date(s) administered
May 10–12, 2020
Sample size
600 (V)
Margin of error
± 4%
Kris Kobach
34%
Roger Marshall
48%
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Kris Kobach
Roger Marshall
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
May 10–12, 2020
600 (V)
± 4%
34%
48%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Poll source
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Date(s) administered
May 10–12, 2020
Sample size
600 (V)
Margin of error
± 4%
Bob Hamilton
10%
Kris Kobach
29%
Roger Marshall
41%
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Bob Hamilton
Kris Kobach
Roger Marshall
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
May 10–12, 2020
600 (V)
± 4%
10%
29%
41%
NRSC
NRSC
Poll source
NRSC
Date(s) administered
October 21–23, 2019
Sample size
607 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Kris Kobach
17%
Roger Marshall
11%
Mike Pompeo
54%
Other
7%
Undecided
10%
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Kris Kobach
Roger Marshall
Mike Pompeo
Other
Undecided
NRSC
October 21–23, 2019
607 (LV)
± 4 %
17%
11%
54%
7%
10%
NRSC
NRSC
Poll source
NRSC
Date(s) administered
October 21–23, 2019
Sample size
607 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Kris Kobach
24%
Mike Pompeo
68%
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Kris Kobach
Mike Pompeo
NRSC
October 21–23, 2019
607 (LV)
± 4 %
24%
68%

References

  1. Key: A – all adults RV – registered voters LV – likely voters V – unclear
  2. "someone else" with 4%
  3. "Someone else" with 9%
  4. Hartman with 5%
  5. Wagle with 4%; Hartman with 2%; Lindstrom with 1%
  6. "Other candidate/write-in" with 1%
  7. Archived November 2, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
    https://web.archive.org/web/20201102051002/https://bollierforkansas.com/new-kssen-poll-bollier-1/
  8. Standard VI response
  9. Includes Undecided
  10. If Bollier and Marshall were the only candidates
  11. "Someone else" and would not vote with 1%
  12. Includes "Refused"
  13. "Someone else" with 2%
  14. "Someone else" with 11%
  15. Figures for other Republicans tested against Grissom in this poll have not been released, but all others led him by at l
  16. Poll conducted for the Marshall campaign.
  17. This poll was sponsored by Kris Kobach's campaign
  18. This poll was conducted by the National Republican Senatorial Committee.
  19. Poll sponsored by Bollier's campaign.
  20. Poll sponsored by Protect Our Care, a pro-Affordable Care Act organization.
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